Recent comments by Blackhalo

Mike_PNW wrote:

I could see 40

Demand would have to collapse quite a bit for that to happen. But that might be good for retail?

Drove from Austin to Nashville, and down to Tampa. More truck traffic than I have seen in a LONG time. Except for Fla. Just a lot of rain.


That is quite a multiple of inflation and interest rates.

Sebastian wrote:

throw it into the pile with all the other bullish indicators.

I don't care how many times it's repeated or how many unimportant pieces of data get quoted to support it, weakness in housing (and related credit markets) isn't as significant as it's being made out to be.

There is considerable knowledge and understanding of housing and the mortgage market on this board, no question. It's just not the only factor involved in accurate economic forecasting, or even the most significant one.

Unfortunately, there's no fast or easy way to get up to speed on economic forecasting. It just takes time and effort to find data with genuine forecasting ability, and more time and effort to understand how the different pieces interact.

Recent comments by Sebastian | Hoocoodanode?

I see. So as soon as any indicator goes bullish, it is suddenly significant. And if it goes negative, well then, not so important.

vtcodger wrote:

(Don't ask what eventually happened to GM)

They had their hand in the CDS till?

Comrade Kristina wrote:

not quite 2 hours

That would be outside my comfort zone for a commute...

Comrade Kristina wrote:

the long drive

How long?

Comrade Gibbon wrote:

Wall Street expectations.

Aren't those usually set by the comments of the CEO?

robj wrote:

Fables of the Reconstruction and Life's Rich Pageant are two big favorites of mine.

Automatic for the People is is pretty fantastic as a single album.

R.E.M. - Automatic for the People - Full album. - YouTube

Outsider wrote:

I didn't know Japan had 50 nuclear plants.

All filled with spent rods?

Jackdawracy wrote:

I've never heard of anybody in California refer to the state as 'cali'

LL Cool J - Going Back To Cali - YouTube

I don't think so.

Jackdawracy wrote:

I've never heard of anybody in California refer to the state as 'cali'

LL Cool J - Going Back To Cali - YouTube

Comrade Gibbon wrote:

they are short about $350 per capita. $1000 per family.

They can fix that by cutting public school funding, surely. Then Kansas families can just pay a tutor to cover the educational shortfall. Well, those that can afford it. Pay no attention to the problem that an undereducated population is not so good long-term.

traderwalt wrote:

a week out.

Would a week of solid rain, Cali wide, even make a dent in how dry SoCal is YoY?

Jackdawracy wrote:

fill up a 2,000 gallon tanker truck in 10 minutes...

The fun part would be which futures contract blows up over the missing 2K gallons. Makes me wonder what happens with those CDS if enough folks pull the trick.

Wilberforce wrote:

just need to cut taxes below 0%

A job-creator subsidy? I would not put it past them.

Mike in Long Island wrote:

So when will GS, JPM, et al begin the great water arb?

They can do for Cali water, what Enron did for Cali power?

dilbert dogbert wrote:

not be able to manage him.

??? Aa a manager, his authority is derived from seniority, and an older employee throws a wrench in that?

sm_landlord wrote:

governments that cannot print their own money, produce little or nothing, and whose only business is redistribution.

Well they, in theory, would want to produce the most productive workforce and tax base. Oddly, with London and their controversial immigration policy ahead of other EU stalwarts, winning ATM.

Man, that LSU QB had crazy room to run...

sdtfs wrote:

Mostly true, even the guys were hot.

I worked in food service for a decade before getting into tech. Way better fringe benefits.

The male servers though, not the benefits I was looking for...

1 year working as a Hooters cook. Best job ever.

Who was calling for a Bama LSU tie! Outrageous!

sdtfs wrote:

I can honestly state, that a woman's attractiveness never influenced my purchasing decisions,

Is Mrs. sdtfs not wearing a wedding ring, Or just a homer? Not even a cute waitress?

KidPsych wrote:

if you messed around with diagnoses, others would figure out fast.

You'd never make it as a sub-prime loan originator. But then again, they don't have to carry malpractice insurance, and with the current temperature in the Fed AG... why bother. See that, back on topic.

KidPsych wrote:

use other tools first and recommend drugs as a last resort.

That's no way to get ahead. Damn Hippocratic oath!

Don't Hate Them Because They're Beautiful: Do Looks Matter In Sales? | TheGrindstone

Man, the Buckeys are almost just rubbing in now. :glee:

KidPsych wrote:

And darn it, I don't get any sexy pharma reps! Just special ed catalogs.

You need to move to a specialty where the major moneymaker drugs, are not drifting to patent expiry and generics...

KidPsych wrote:

Life with a child who can't read social cues and does not respond to ordinary social pressure is a very, very challenging situation. Some end up on meds, some don't.

But there have often been these outliers. I had a foster brother who was in a severe state, and my son was real terror, but then so was I. My parents dealt. It is a bit of a spectrum, is it not? And heaven forbid a pharmaceutical co might hire a buch of Bud Light girls to peddle their product. (4536896) 4 out of 5 doctors agree: It'd be great if sexy pharmaceutical sales reps slept with them

emergency hotdog wrote:

i'm assuming you've read culture jam from way back in 2000.

Meme Wars: The Creative Destruction of Neoclassical Economics: Kalle Lasn, Adbusters: 9781609804732: Books

And more. Plus I have a friend of a friend who does major ad buys. So, I know a bit about the workings.

KidPsych wrote:

I'd say 70 - 80% of the time I'm making a diagnosis I meet the dad (usually, sometimes the mom) and go "oh."

My guess would be Big Pharma providing an incentive for doctors to over-diagnose and over-prescribe in an effort to sell more Adderall and Ritalin.

emergency hotdog wrote:

you and your friends are special.

In resiting ad driven marketing, hell yes. Thanks to AdBlock, Netflix, HBO GO, and Bittorrent, the only ad's I ever see are during football season. Plus, it costs far, far less than cable.

Outsider wrote:

Jill Stein was for legalization of pot, anyway. And she's an MD.

So was Ron Paul, also an MD. But Big Pharma and Beerco, don't buy ads on the networks holding the debates, now do they?

emergency hotdog wrote:

it's the marketing that tells them that they are special and more resistant to the marketing that makes them special.

I think it has more to do with modern electronic connectivity, and peer related product reviews.

emergency hotdog wrote:

maybe they won't be asking why we took so many drugs.

I think they are more curious why you let the drug enforcement, prison and police state get so far out of hand...

Steve Winwood // Blind Faith - "Can't Find My Way Home" - YouTube

emergency hotdog wrote:

marketing, marketing, marketing.

I wonder what conditions make Gen Y more resistant to the tactics that Howdy Doody and Mickey Mouse Club pioneered.

robj wrote:

I think there are huge variations in styles of both, but beer is often underestimated in style range.

Odd how the boomers were content with the wild flavors of Coors, Miller and Bud.

sdtfs wrote:

Actually, none of the beer drinkers I know want any of the Big Brew, no matter what age they are.

As a bar owner, the old fuddles in Sun City only want whatever is cheapest. $2.25! Outrageous!

sdtfs wrote:

Can't go five miles without passing a microbrew around here.

And it is a great thing. Tons of flavors and styles, almost like wine.

Outsider wrote:


Plus they are skipping on the McMansions and Hummers in favor of urban living.

The Cheapest Generation - Derek Thompson and Jordan Weissmann - The Atlantic 

KidPsych wrote:

I would literally rather watch curling.

That Danish women's curling team, I tell you what...

emergency hotdog wrote:

usa should dominate this sport

Don't all the good US drivers go to NASCAR?

Buckeyes are making a game of it.

And if Alabama and Auburn fall out... Go LSU!

1 Mississippi State 8-0
2 Florida State 8-0
3 Auburn 7-1
4 Oregon 8-1
5 Alabama 7-1
6 TCU 7-1
7 Kansas State 7-1
8 Michigan State 7-1
9 Arizona State 7-1
10 Notre Dame 7-1
11 Ole Miss 7-2
12 Baylor 7-1
13 Nebraska 8-1
14 Ohio State 7-1

adornosghost wrote:

In population overshoot, ecologically devastated, illiterate population crippled by religious fundamentalism, dependent on imported energy and industrial ag, and all run by a corrupt military.

And, a nuclear power.

sporkfed wrote:

Great marching band though.

As a Buckeye, meh. But the crowd participation at a home game is something to behold.

Ohio State Marching Band "TV Land" - Halftime vs. Virginia Tech: 9-6-14 - YouTube

emergency hotdog wrote:

in a airport, for example,

Y U H8 the wide stance?

sporkfed wrote:

Good deal, now I just need Bama to lose.

Don't let Cinco hear you say that.

If everyone in the SEC has 2 losses, do they still get to send 2 to the playoff?

robj wrote:

Aggies just knocked off Auburn.

Rock-on! Gig 'em!

lawyerliz wrote:

There was a line at the ladies room.

I imagine Matthew McConaughey brings out the ladies.

robj wrote:

It shouldn't have been Planet of the Apes but Planet of the Racoons

Damnation Alley Giant Cockroaches - YouTube

robj wrote:


Ah! Back when the internet was still young and most were on AOL.

Dip Da Dee Da Dee Da Doh Doh - YouTube