Sunday Night Futures

On Recession Calls

2015 correction

Based on the lowest closing price of the S&P 500 between May 21 2015 and November 1, 2015, what is the extent of the drop from the high of 2015?

New high without a 5% correction
5% (1 bet)
Range bound (less than 5% correction and no new high)
0% (0 bets)
Less than 2024.28 but greater than 1917.74 (5% correction)
21% (4 bets)
Less than 1917.74 but greater than 1811.20 (10% correction)
26% (5 bets)
Less than 1811.20 but greater than 1704.66 (15% correction)
21% (4 bets)
Less than 1704.66 but greater than 1598.12 (Bear market)
11% (2 bets)
Less than 1598.12 but greater than 1491.57 (Down 25%)
11% (2 bets)
Less than 1491.57 but greater than 1278.49 (Down 30%)
0% (0 bets)
Less than 1278.49 (Down 40%+)
5% (1 bet)
Total bets: 19
This prediction is now closed for betting. It will be eligible for reckoning Thursday, November 5, 2015 - 3:00pm by Rajesh.
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