I.M.F. Chief Calls for ‘Fire Brigade’ to Aid European Banks
PARIS — Europe should have a “fire brigade” backed by funds from governments and the private sector to deal with failures of large banks, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund said Friday...
In his speech, Mr. Strauss-Kahn said the new authority should be able to bail out “at least the major cross-border banking groups, as well as all banks running large-scale cross-border operations.”
Total assets of $300+Billion doesn't really seem like that much.
I mean,even if losses were 1/3 of total assets for every institution on the list, it's a drop in the bucket compared to the amount of bailouts we've performed so far.
Let's add in the assets of C, JPM, and BAC (not to mention the GSEs) and see how big the total of assets at troubled financial institutions really is.
2% margins on export-oriented businesses is not representative of any sort of real competitive advantage. A real competitive advantage when it comes to exporting would show double-digits profit margins. This whole sector is hanging by a thread…nearly none of the activity China has engaged in since the downturn is secular or self-sustaining.
If the 2% is true, China is in more trouble than I thought.
quick drive-by anecdotal data points from my life...
Darby & Darby, a NYC-based patent boutique founded in 1895, folded up shop suddenly a week ago. A competitor, Finnegan Henderson, is arguably the most respected patent firm in America, and supposedly sent around an internal memo recently suggesting that February was the worst month in a year? decades? ever?
My wife works for a government/defense contractor, and reports that contractor terminations for lack of funding are increasing exponentially in recent weeks.
Okay this is too much. Dude, have you ever been to another country? Do you know what it is like to actually be in a hospital that is a hell hole? Gain a little perspective before spouting random BS, whining and crying and moaning about how absolutely piss poor and awful we have it here with health care.
You have no idea at how bad hospitals are in just about every other country.
Our medical system is NOT broken, it has warts, but it is not defunct. Why do we believe it is our god-given right to have THE best medical care, regardless of the costs?
The massive amount of moaning about health care makes me think if a new medical procedure that costs 1 million dollars existed to extend life by 10 years it should be everyone's RIGHT to have that care. No, wait everyone should have access to it and it should be free! Kids should train for 8 years to develop new technologies and innovations just b/c they are benevolent. Oh wait, the fed. gov. should pay them to go to school so they can develop free stuff. Where does it end?
We have gone from a society of negative rights to positive rights. Instead of right to keep what you earn, you have a right to take in order to live.
Man, this country is screwed up . . . if this mandatory health care coverage is great. I've got a much better idea. It should be mandatory for everyone to spend at least 1 year living in some 3rd world country and then comeback and whine and moan about how they aren't getting health care coverage to pay for a broken foot.
Of course, one sad thing about living in a foreign country for a while, you realize how much further we have to fall . But the upside is I know I can survive when the SHTF!
Interesting posts by yves on China:
China’s Exporters Hanging by a Thread? « naked capitalism
Thinking the Unthinkable: What if China Devalues the Renminbi? « naked capitalism
That is why they need to let it float - it does more to fix itself than the central banks do.
And I semi-agree. China cheap exports are languishing some - they need to ramp up domestic consumption ASAP. Central bank intervention doesn't do that for them.
My neighbor is trying to sell his house to develop some property in Yuma! Does that qualify as good news?
And no, we don't talk to each other that much (his front entrance runs along my backyard and he's down about fifteen feet, so we just shout hello occasionally.)
Edit: He actually is already in the process of developing, but decided to move on site to supervise.
We have so much new work at a machine shop I work with we are having trouble cash flowing the growth. Now for the bad news - most of this new work is from competition going BK.
Recent surveys looked at the effects of yuan appreciation on a number of labor-intensive industries, such as the textiles. Several associations for labor-intensive industries estimated their net profit rates would fall 1 percentage point for every point of yuan appreciation. Profit margins for many companies in these industries are in the 3 to 5 percent range. And since exporters suffered severe shocks during the international financial crisis, their ability to weather a yuan appreciation may be strained.
The guy the WSJ quoted was making the Chinese government's case. While not lying, he is intentionally being misleading. I have seen the 3-5% figure quoted elsewhere when I searched for it. Logically it makes sense, the margin to handle all the price swings in rent, inputs, labor, etc from one piecemeal contract to the next for the small marginal exporters. This is why there is so much quality substitution, that's the only way for the small exporter to make a profit
Gain a little perspective before spouting random BS, whining and crying and moaning about how absolutely piss poor and awful we have it here with health care.
I think everyone generally recognizes the quality of final health-care delivery in the USA. The argument, as I've watched it generally unfold here, is much more about the non-value-adding component of the health-care system: insurance.
There's nothing more capitalistic than undertaking a process review and stripping out the components that detract from final product quality, consumer experience, and profitability. I think that the method of health insurance coverage is due for a good old-fashioned process review.
most of this new work is from competition going BK
I'm recently revisiting arguments from 18-24 months ago that BK is part of a healthy process, and if our government could just try and ensure an orderly process, the U.S. would be much better off pushing insolvent institutions and individuals into BK. The BK itself qualifies as good news to me, so long as the work is still done by someone on the other side.
I think that the method of health insurance coverage is due for a good old-fashioned process review.
If they did they'd drop another 40 MM from coverage immediately. Seriously. Best way to make money is to cherry pick the healthy and let somebody else cover the sick suckers. Churn the pools aggressively and often so they are out of your pools before they get unlucky enough to require a claim. Then once out never let them back in. Ka Ching!
Darby & Darby, a NYC-based patent boutique founded in 1895, folded up shop suddenly a week ago. A competitor, Finnegan Henderson, is arguably the most respected patent firm in America, and supposedly sent around an internal memo recently suggesting that February was the worst month in a year? decades? ever?
This data-point, if reflective of the entire patent industry, should be almost more disturbing than the difficulties experienced in manufacturing and the housing sector. If R&D expenditures have dried up so much as to cut down the amount of patents being filed, that's not particularly comforting for the state of future competitiveness and innovation.
If they did they'd drop another 40 MM from coverage immediately. Seriously. Best way to make money is to cherry pick the healthy and let somebody else cover the sick suckers.
You're absolutely right, of course, if the review was undertaken by the insurance industry.
Now imagine if the review was undertaken from the perspective of doctors, hospital administrators, and patients...
EDIT: I'm not being realistic, of course. Once in a while the irrepressible optimist in me sneaks out.
I'm an unreliable interested party, but I think you are interpreting it correctly. Its not necessarily R&D that dried up. Its the drying up of demand for protection of IP rights in the U.S., due perhaps to the perceived decrease in prospective value of those rights going forward, or perhaps the simple drying up of that demand in a deflationary environment where cold hard cash is in great demand.
The BK itself qualifies as good news to me, so long as the work is still done by someone on the other side.
It can. In this case it's inevitable - praise it or damn it - doesn't change it - they are going down.
The thing is it might take a decade to get everyone working again and at close to comparable compensation. On paper its all good - try explain that to the families losing out.
60-80% of the productivity gains associated with trade are from the least efficient producers shutting down
in many cases right now, most of that productivity gain could come from efficient breaches on debt
it is a good thing -- provided there is enough work to go around
the sooner there is a clear set of idle hands, the sooner there is price flexibility, and the sooner there is an environment conducive to creating a new vector of demand
I don't know, to tell you the truth. I assume the patient is the one paying, the doctor is the one doing the work, and the hospital administrators are the ones providing the infrastructure.
I would hope so, but some seem to disagree. I'm okay with a capitalistic review . . .but do people actually think that a bill coming from Congress, who gave us TARP, STIM I, and heaven knows what else etc. is actually going to do a good job of it?
The blind faith in the fed. gov. astounds me.
Actually, it doesn't it's not that people actually trust the Fed. gov. to do anything right, it's all about what's in it for me. As long as I get my piece of the pie, screw the rest of you suckers. I want my pony, my mort. mod. my right to a job, my right to health care, mine, mine, mine.
So people implicitly know the fed. gov. won't and more importantly CAN NOT fix the problem. It's all about me.
And once that is played up it's all about the sob story. I bet dollars to donuts those who feel so sad and sorry about the sob story and say "well it's just not right" haven't donated much of anything to charity. I've found in life the ones who push the hardest for social charity are the worst for actually doing something personal about it (but that's just my experience).
I'm an unreliable interested party, but I think you are interpreting it correctly. Its not necessarily R&D that dried up. Its the drying up of demand for protection of IP rights in the U.S., due perhaps to the perceived decrease in prospective value of those rights going forward, or perhaps the simple drying up of that demand in a deflationary environment where cold hard cash is in great demand.
Nope - its a pure cashflow thing. Seen it before.
When in a crisis one of the first areas to go is R&D - it's payback is way too far out to justify when bleeding this bad. In stagflation I was told [as a young engineer] that if paybacks couldn't be made in nine months then don't spend the money. Now interest rates were higher so hurdles also higher but still. That was a period when the job market for engineers all but dried up. I knew experienced engineers who went 2-3 years without work.
No different now - has nothing to do w/ IP - everything to do with cashflow.
On paper its all good - try explain that to the families losing out.
I can't even adequately explain the environment to millionaire patent attorneys looking at clients demanding discounts. No way the working folks in this country would accept the paper explanation.
I've found in life the ones who push the hardest for social charity are the worst for actually doing something personal about it (but that's just my experience).
Its not necessarily R&D that dried up. Its the drying up of demand for protection of IP rights in the U.S., due perhaps to the perceived decrease in prospective value of those rights going forward, or perhaps the simple drying up of that demand in a deflationary environment where cold hard cash is in great demand.
For sure, I just found it interesting because it's not a datapoint I've heard any of the MSM harping on yet. Companies--last I checked--are still hoarding cash, so it may be by cutting out R&D and other long-term initiatives in order to augment that.
Yeah, I wish so too. I love helping people out, but more on the teaching someone to fish vs. giving it to them. I have seen things that have absolutely wrenched my heart in pieces, but the best way to fix it is to teach people a better way, rather than band-aid over it.
I don't know I come from a long line of rebellious people (southern blood ). I really hate being told to give or told I must buy HC. If I'm in that situation, I might just write a big screw you on the tax forms and tell them I'll see you in court. Paying taxes is one thing, but a health care tax which is in essence a life tax elevates it to a whole new level.
I don't know if I've ever said to follow the Canadian example; it has its own problems, most notably with regards to capital expenditures, and it'll be stressed enough in the coming years due to our ageing population.
It's late at night and I'm tired, which is why I'm over-simplifying to such an incredible degree. It just seems to me that such a simple transaction has become exceptionally complicated, and I'm just trying to understand it from a process perspective.
Buy them as pair and have the factory machines !!!!!!!
The dovetail grinder comes with spare pope spindles.
This machine is from Bridgeport Miling Machine Plant
They had excellent mechanical machine maintence ways are very nice on this machine. It is under power in our south carolina location and you come come try it out here. We have a matching (same main castings) vertical spindle way grinder specially built for grinding the dovetails for bridgeport milling machine tables . This machine has a pope vertical spindle and was custom built by Mattison for bridgeport. We also have some bridgeport tables. These machines were used at the factory to grind Bridgeport tables so here a chance to own the actual machines bridgeport used to grind tables. We will list the way grinder later.
The Triffin dilemma, less commonly called Triffin paradox, is the fundamental problem of the United States dollar's role as reserve currency in the Bretton Woods system, or more generally of a national currency as reserve currency.
Briefly, the use of a national currency as global reserve currency leads to a tension between national monetary policy and global monetary policy.
This is reflected in fundamental imbalances in the balance of payments, specifically the current account: to maintain all desired goals, dollars must both overall flow out of the United States, but dollars must at the same time flow in to the United States. Currency inflows and outflows of equal magnitudes cannot both happen at once.
The dilemma is named after Belgian-American economist Robert Triffin, who first identified the problem in 1960.
LOL! I must be the tired one. I thought you were running ebay auctions and wanted your doomer buddies to have a shot.
Funny thing is my machine shop has all these big new Japanese machining centers but we still hunt for lappers & grinders & hones & broaches - all about as old as we are. Secondary ops they do outside the machining center cycle time - parallel. Got a used grinder not unlike that awhile back and have at least one lapping machine & maybe a double disk grinder in our sights too - we'll get both for free if we take over the job that runs on them.
" If R&D expenditures have dried up so much as to cut down the amount of patents being filed, that's not particularly comforting for the state of future competitiveness and innovation.
Or am I interpreting this incorrectly. "
I did software in biotech for about 8 years. I was in the field during the initial sequencing of the genome phase. I worked on computer software for displaying and manipulating genomic sequences. Many biotechs during this period were applying for for patents for every sequence they found regardless of whether there was a proven application for the sequence. The proverbial needle in a hay-stack method. Science is not my forte so I'm sure I'm not explaining this very well.
But the long and short is that there was then and probably still are a lot patents being applied for without an actual application behind the idea.
They had excellent mechanical machine maintence ways are very nice on this machine. It is under power in our south carolina location and you come come try it out here. We have a matching (same main castings) vertical spindle way grinder specially built for grinding the dovetails for bridgeport milling machine tables . This machine has a pope vertical spindle and was custom built by Mattison for bridgeport. We also have some bridgeport tables. These machines were used at the factory to grind Bridgeport tables so here a chance to own the actual machines bridgeport used to grind tables. We will list the way grinder later.
Buy them and go into the spare parts biz - be a good idea too if the base casings ever wore out - which they don't. Oh well.
And I semi-agree. China cheap exports are languishing some - they need to ramp up domestic consumption ASAP. Central bank intervention doesn't do that for them.
Last time the Chinese devalued their currency, we had the Asian currency crisis once it worked through the system.
I would hope so, but some seem to disagree. I'm okay with a capitalistic review . . .but do people actually think that a bill coming from Congress, who gave us TARP, STIM I, and heaven knows what else etc. is actually going to do a good job of it?
I've generally (with some notable failures) attempted to stay out of this debate because I don't have any skin in this particular argument.
Irrespective of the country, however, I think that healthcare is something a little bit different. I'm from Canada, and we're quite willing to accept that rich people will drive nicer cars than us, live in fancier houses, eat exotic food, have housekeepers, fly first class everywhere, have a summer home, attend better schools, etc etc. I don't think--even in Canada--that many people begrudge the rich for having access to those accouterments of their success. In many ways the Canadian Dream, if one exists, is almost identical to the American one.
But if you're a 40 year old father who just watched their son die because he couldn't find a way to pay for a surgery that could have been available if he was rich....well, I don't know how that would affect a person, or what they'd be willing to do. In Canada we chose that, for better or worse, with regards to health-care everyone is equal. I don't know if that's the right approach, and I'm not advocating it for anyone else, but I think access to affordable health-care has broader social implications than is often recognized.
EDIT: That said, if I did have some skin in the game I would almost certainly agree with your reservations as you outlined them above.
Was that in 1998? I seem to remember something about a currency problem in Thailand...
1997 Thailand was in the center of it but it was anything but contained. To their credit - the Chinese snuffed it out by NOT following the rest of Asia & devaluing. Back then a lot of the Asians were pegged to the dollar - when they no longer could support their exchange rates their currencies collapsed. That is exactly the opposite of what is happening wrt China now.
Yup 1998, China devalued a couple of years before and all the other Asian export boom economies switched from boom to bust. Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korean got caught in the undertow when they didn't switch gears fast enough.
Although the currency crisis has not affected mainland China's renminbi to a large extent, China still has the potential of experiencing a major financial crisis. The problem began in 1981 when the government changed the banking system from one in which banks financed investments and provided funds to enterprises as part of the government's central plan to one based more on banking principles. Banks were to provide funds only as loans rather than as investments and were to charge interest and require repayments. Suddenly, the flow of funds from the banks to state-owned enterprises became liabilities that had to be repaid.
China's four state-owned specialty banks do 75% of the nation's deposit and loan business. Data on the condition of these banks is sketchy, but in late 1994, the four banks reported over 570 billion yuan (about $68 billion) in bad loans or about 20% of all the loans they had issued. Overdue loans were 11.3%, idle loans 7.7% and uncollectible loans 1.3%. These accounted for 90% of the officially recognized bad loans in the banking system.37 These figures, however, are likely to be understated because the state-owned banks have been lending to state-owned enterprises, and only about 30% of those enterprises are profitable, 20% have been losing money for years and are beyond salvaging, and the remaining 50% are somewhere in between.38
The state-owned banks, therefore, have accumulated a huge portfolio of bad debts that have little prospect of being repaid. As was pointed out at a conference in Beijing in January 1997, China's national economy is being threatened by a latent monetary credit crisis. Furthermore, even though loans now are supposed to be allocated according to sound banking principles, in practice a large amount of monetary assets is still being allocated ineffciently through administrative and planned economic channels. State-owned banks have been required to provide loans to support enterprises which are running at low profit rates or at a loss. These are "loans for preservation of stability and unity" and "loans for clearing up defaults." The resultant depletion of assets of state-owned banks has become an important factor threatening their own survival.39
But if you're a 40 year old father who just watched their son die because he couldn't find a way to pay for a surgery that could have been available if he was rich...
What if the father couldn't swing a home in a better neighborhood and just watched his son die of a drive-by? I can think of a million examples wherein people's abilities and/or choices lead to similarly bad outcomes, so what makes healthcare some kind of special case?
my brother's girl friend left Thailand after the currency crisis bankrupt her family. It happened very fast; a lot of regular as well as very well off people went bankrupt literally overnight and a lot of CRE stopped being built and was abandoned and mothballed.
It took probably till 2005 or so for Thailand to recover half decently from that crisis.
"so what makes healthcare some kind of special case? "
Most of the first-world other than the US see decent healthcare for it's citizens as something that separates 1st world countries from 2nd/3rd world ones.
Most of the first-world other than the US see decent healthcare for it's citizens as something that separates 1st world countries from 2nd/3rd world ones.
That's not an answer, and "decent" is not what a rich man can afford so it isn't even relevant.
But the long and short is that there was then and probably still are a lot patents being applied for without an actual application behind the idea.
as i remember it president clinton made a speech one day in march 2000? and said no patents would be handed out on genome sequences and the market crashed (as did my share of it) but then a few days later the patent office itself came out with a memo -the only time i can recall ever actually hearing from the patent office- saying essentially 'never mind what he said, patents are patent and rules such as those involving utility etc. still apply
anyway my impression was you can't just 'grab' a piece of the genome without a good and valid reason
am i wrong on that?
"That's not an answer, and "decent" is not what a rich man can afford so it isn't even relevant. "
Sure it is. You asked what's so special about healthcare versus other issues. I gave you an answer; you may not agree with it but that's a separate issue.
TJ and The Bear
Keeping it strictly to economics, do you know how much time, money, and effort it takes to raise a new human? It can be cheaper to repair one with all of the existing sunk cost. Letting them die would be detrimental to the size of the national pie. If that safety net were not there, there would be the ultimate incentive to earn money by any means necessary -- without regard for the law. Furthermore, people who did save would be likely to "over save" to cover their health care expenses, which could be troublesome with regards to both investing and consumption. Finally, "market based" healthcare doesn't appear to result in reduced obesity, smoking, drinking, drug use, or other risk factors.
The arguments for single payer, or similar, systems utilize market based principles. Like there isn't an opportunity to allow competition when a procedure is needed. Healthcare is capital intensive, and is pre-disposed to regional monopolies. There are economies of scale in overhead. Savings on marketing. Knowledge sharing productivity gains.
There isn't a perfect system out there yet, but with every new shock or strain there is an opportunity to learn or adapt. It's not a recipe you should be after, it's a process.
"anyway my impression was you can't just 'grab' a piece of the genome without a good and valid reason
am i wrong on that? "
Well I'm not a scientist so I can't really explain the specifics. But I do remember hearing of tons of genomic patents being applied for that didn't have a "valid" reason. One of the problems was that these were huge patent applications and the patent department didn't really have the scientific background to really look at them. So you ended up with a lot of fluff applications.
I don't know how the patent department really looked at these. A lot of them were inches thick.
so what makes healthcare some kind of special case?
I don't know. But somehow when we think of what it means to be human, denying care seems deeply inhumane. It's a tricky switch from decent care for someone's health, and what is now possible (ignoring associated costs).
No it isn't. You didn't describe anything unique about healthcare, just pointed out that someone else considers it such. Yawn.
Also, noob's example talked about rich vs. poor care, and virtually any socialized healthcare country is not going to provide anything close to the coverage rich people can afford. If they did, their rich citizens would use it, and they generally don't
these were huge patent applications and the patent department didn't really have the scientific background to really look at them. So you ended up with a lot of fluff applications
We'll just have to agree to disagree. I agree with the view that a basic level of healthcare for all citizens is something that uniquely separates a 1st world country from a 2nd/3rd world. Our opinions just differ on this issue
Completely agree with the "economies of scale" and other points. I was just arguing philosophically, extending the point someone made earlier. Everyone wants Cadillac care at Yugo prices, and that's never going to happen.
Oh, and regarding this statement... "Letting them die would be detrimental...", well, one could argue that one of the biggest problems we face today is overpopulation. Jus' sayin'.
If they did, their rich citizens would use it, and they generally don't
There are some --very-- good doctors in Canada's public system. Maybe that's because past a certain point increases in money are insignificant compared to social considerations. I don't know. Maybe you can tell me why some of the most skilled people in the world travel around the world to donate their knowledge, skills, and time at a cost to themselves.
The rich people? They buy a new robot/machine/hospital wing, and do get better service for it. Alternatively they are free to pay for any care they like outside the public system within Canada. They can go abroad to the USA or Thailand for healthcare, it's their choice. They do derive value in having neighbours, community, employees, parents of their children's friends, etc have access to good value healthcare
I agree with the view that a basic level of healthcare for all citizens is something that uniquely separates a 1st world country from a 2nd/3rd world.
You're assuming a differing opinion when I have not stated such. Oh, and it's the very cost of "a basic level of healthcare for all citizens" (via Medicare, Medicaid, cost-shifting, etc.) that's breaking the bank. The administration isn't trying to cover the uninsured so much as force money out of them to pay for those that are already running up the bills.
"Oh, and it's the very cost of "a basic level of healthcare for all citizens" (via Medicare, Medicaid, cost-shifting, etc.) that's breaking the bank."
I actually don't think Medicare and Medicaid are a basic level of healthcare. They cover a lot more than basic IMO. Something like a replacement knee for an 80 year old with the most up-to-date, most expensive part sourced by a private for profit company isn't really basic IMO.
We have a weird mishmash of private/public in US healthcare. Just another example of public welfare for corporations.
Completely agree with the "economies of scale" and other points. I was just arguing philosophically, extending the point someone made earlier. Everyone wants Cadillac care at Yugo prices, and that's never going to happen.
So act like a leader. Be honest with the people, and trust that they will follow your decision.
You are overpaid, this hospital has no reason to exist, we can't afford you running up these bills for that, you need to pay more taxes, etc
If people do get married, and make the marriage work -- then why not healthcare? Surely the desire for healthcare is more tame than lust and personal relationships
Again, you're missing my point -- we're talking relative levels of care (and I use that term loosely), not passing judgment on the general level of care in Canada. Seems like a decent system to me.
When Americans (or their loved ones are sick) they always adopt a "money's no object" mindset when money is exactly the object. Canadians accept their system and live within it, but Americans generally are still living with an entitlement mentality that precludes common sense cost controls. This especially goes for the Medicare set, with some obvious exceptions.
I'm an unreliable interested party, but I think you are interpreting it correctly. Its not necessarily R&D that dried up. Its the drying up of demand for protection of IP rights in the U.S., due perhaps to the perceived decrease in prospective value of those rights going forward, or perhaps the simple drying up of that demand in a deflationary environment where cold hard cash is in great demand.
I think it's a number of things. One the patent frenzy got really out of hand. Two the supreme court made a very significant ruling that greatly expanded what counts as prior art. That happened about two years ago and I think it's taken a while for it to sink in how worthless it made most patents.
A lot of patents were for combine well known A with well known B and get A + B just as you'd expect. The supreme court said basically if the result of 1 + 2 is 3 then then patent no worth dingus. Probably doesn't make patent trolls and their lawyers happy, but as a practicing engineer it makes me happy.
TJ and The Bear,
Was trying to provoke thought more than attacking you or making this personal
It is all a funny situation
Like the US has Social Security for all, regardless of income while in Canada there is only a fallback to the Old Age Pension for impoverished seniors
"Canadians accept their system and live within it, but Americans generally are still living with an entitlement mentality that precludes common sense cost controls."
That is very, very true. A more inclusive health-care system is either going to cost more or result in less for everyone. There's not very much honest open discussion in the current health-care debate on MSN.
Was trying to provoke thought more than attacking you or making this personal.
Perish the thought! I consider these friendly debates, and the livelier the better for exploring ideas and learning things. You are an especially good one for discussion, and I appreciate the "Northern" perspective.
I never intend to offend anyone, although I'm not averse to throwing things back at people when they make ridiculous statements. Lucky for you that you don't tend to do that.
I think Americans could live within the limits of a system, but it's a matter of comfort. Along the same lines as workers in former communist states going from having everything provided, to being responsible for it themselves. The money entrenched in retaining the existing system probably means that it will continue until it no longer cash flows
"A lot of patents were for combine well known A with well known B and get A + B just as you'd expect. The supreme court said basically if the result of 1 + 2 is 3 then then patent no worth dingus. Probably doesn't make patent trolls and their lawyers happy, but as a practicing engineer it makes me happy."
Through no fault of my own I ended up on two patents related to my software work in genomics (trust me my work was not anywhere close to ground-breaking) and got to sit through the whole application process. I was quite surprised how generic a lot of the explanations were. This was more than 2 years ago so perhaps it's gotten more detailed oriented since then.
Please sit tight while I walk you through the math of Medicare. As you may know, the program comes in three parts: Medicare Part A, which covers hospital stays; Medicare B, which covers doctor visits; and Medicare D, the drug benefit that went into effect just 29 months ago. The infinite-horizon present discounted value of the unfunded liability for Medicare A is $34.4 trillion. The unfunded liability of Medicare B is an additional $34 trillion. The shortfall for Medicare D adds another $17.2 trillion. The total? If you wanted to cover the unfunded liability of all three programs today, you would be stuck with an $85.6 trillion bill. That is more than six times as large as the bill for Social Security. It is more than six times the annual output of the entire U.S. economy.
If this problem bank thread is going to stay a medical insurance bailout thread, then I think I need to head out and toast to the seven that bit the dust today.
If this problem bank thread is going to stay a medical insurance bailout thread, then I think I need to . . . point out something completely off topic as well.
3%, 5%? It is irrelevant to discuss what margins Chinese exporters work with until you nail just how much VAT rebate they get, and also whether that VAT is actually assessed in the first place through the successive transactions in the pipeline. These rebates can run from 12-18% on invoice value.
I tried poking around in that rabbit hole once, and it was deep and dark.
Home renting up as costs deter buying
6 March 2010
Shanghai Daily
HOME renting activities in Shanghai rose in February because buyers were put off by high apartment prices and also on a recovery in demand as migrant workers returned after the Spring Festival holiday, the city's largest property agency said.
Across the city, the volume of rentals, by units, rose one fifth month on month, with most deals, 24 percent of the city's total, concluded in Pudong New Area, 10 percent in Baoshan District and 9 percent in Minhang District, according to Shanghai Centaline Property Consultants Ltd, operator of more than 180 branches.
However, different areas recorded a mixed picture for rents with the city's average shedding 11 percent from January to 36.90 yuan (US$5.40) per square meter per month in February.
"Shanghai's overall leasing market rebounded last month because more people temporarily gave up their plans to buy homes and rented apartments instead amid record high housing prices," said Ma Ji, a senior research manager at Shanghai Centaline.
"Moreover, migrant workers returning to the city also helped boost demand."
Rent cuts by some owners of high-end properties and more renting deals involving mid-to-low class apartments contributed to the drop in average rent last month, according to the company's research.
The average price of new homes, excluding those designated for relocated residents under urban redevelopment plans, remained at a high of 19,696 yuan per square meter in the city in February, according to latest industry statistics.
Doubts hit new home sales
16 March 2010
Shanghai Daily
NEW home sales in Shanghai continued to be sluggish in the first two weeks of this month amid low supply as real estate developers are uncertain of the prospects for the market.
About 218,000 square meters of new homes, excluding those designated for relocated residents under urban redevelopment plans, were sold in the city between March 1 and March 14, less than half of the volume in the same period a year earlier.
The supply of new homes during the two weeks plunged to 93,000 square meters, even less than 10 percent of the stock in the same period in 2009, Shanghai Uwin Real Estate Information Services Co said yesterday.
"Most real estate developers are still not sure about how to price their products properly," said Lu Qilin, a researcher at Uwin. "On one hand, they fear that sales will be affected if they set their prices too high but on the other hand, they might lose money if the price is set too low. Releasing supply in small volumes could help test the water for them."
The market did an about-turn over the past two-and-a-half months after a crazy 2009 when housing prices nationwide soared at a record pace.
"Most developers won't likely to launch large volumes of new homes into the market until they get a clearer perspective," Lu added. In Shanghai, the housing market usually starts to pick up in March with both supply and sales rebounding notably after the traditional slack January and February when the Spring Festival holiday occurs, analysts said.
While transactions in the housing market were sluggish, prices continued to stay above the 20,000 yuan (US$2,928) per square meter mark. The average price of new homes hit 20,487 yuan per square meter in Shanghai in the first 14 days of the month, against 19,696 yuan per square meter in February, according to Uwin statistics.
The Shanghai Statistics Bureau also said yesterday investment in real estate development climbed nearly 12 percent to 23.1 billion yuan in the first two months of the year and housing sales dropped 7 percent to 2.83 million square meters in the same period.
One of the major differences between the United States and the other industrialized countries in terms of medical care is end of life care: when people are terminally ill in the United States (they are going to be dead within a few months no matter what), they often undergo large numbers of expensive operations. Other countries don't do this.
there are few places as busy with RE investment as London right now
just for Canary Wharf skyscrapers. 3 under construction, 20 approved, 12 more seeking approval
buildings are 104 - 237m (340 - 778ft), call them $1bn each to build
Headed out again shortly but I must respond to above
Dryfly wrote:
It isn't all broke yogi... some places yes
Of course not. There are even financial PHD's that add value.
Not every socialist movement results in a Gulag either, as you implied.
I take it you'd agree that Warren Buffett doesn't personally add hundreds of billions of dollars of value, as much as thousands of surgeons. Of course any social[ist] policy will redistribute some wealth somewhat unfairly.
So that means you just throw in the towel and let Wall Street pay whatever bonuses they can squeeze from public Fed money?
If a surgeon demanded all of a dying billionaire's money to operate he'd be in jail. But a manufacturer can build an unlimited personal fortune if he develops a patent?
This caps my hide a little bit. The FDIC is insurance, it may be technically insolvent, but it's not a Ponzi Scheme.
When people start using technical terms as common insults then those terms lose their descriptive value. Like fascist. There are a number of people and organizations that are basically fascist, but you can't use the term because it's been hijacked as a common insult by mouth breathing hippies.
Wrong. This may be too subtle for a gibbon, but I'll try a short version. I'll be back later in the week if you need help. Insurance is when risk or losses are shared to ease individual burden. A ponzi transfers wealth from late suckers to early sellers. Banks take deposits. Banks place bets. When banks win, they pay bonuses and dividends. When banks lose, they fail, and the FDIC covers deposits. That's insurance if the remaining banks cover the FDIC, but the FDIC has a potential $500 billion line of credit from the taxpayer. If any any of that is ever used, it's a ponzi (arguably, the bazooka effect from the guarantee is a ponzi benefit even if it isn't used). Sure, Sheila swears the last banks standing in the future will pay back every penny, but they would be late suckers too. The bonuses have been eaten. Even the future claw back would probably be paid back with dollars horribly devalued by deflation.
Ever heard of FSLIC? No ponzi there? Too much mouth breathing for you?
But I didn't need to read them. Any idiot can spot a ponzi scheme that only puts up cash of 1.15% of the amount it "insures", but actually has much less than that on hand.
Any idiot can spot a ponzi scheme that only puts up cash of 1.15% of the amount it "insures", but actually has much less than that on hand.
Seems like enough to cover 10% losses for 10% of the insured or 20% losses for 5%. That's insurance. Insurance is not meant to protect against systemic failure nor can it cover willful misapplication of FDIC regulation that the percentages are based upon.
A more inclusive health-care system is either going to cost more or result in less for everyone.
Not if the system is made more efficient by becoming single-payer. The savings accruing from eliminating the insurance layer of the HC process would reduce the overall cost of delivering HC by at least 20%.
There's plenty wrong with the US HC system--and plenty right with it, too. But it needs to be fixed, no matter how great it is, because it is consuming 15% of the economy.
Unfortunately, that problem can't be addressed rationally because those who profit from HC have enough juice to prevent it from happening.
I don't see how anyone can argue with my statements here, but I suppose someone here will.
In the US healthcare model both the customers and companies are acting like spoiled little brats. Most customers are NOT taking care of their health, eating crap all their lives, not exercising at all. Then they go to a doctor and expect problems to be solved yesterday. Then if something really goes wrong, why not sue to doctor and one might get a big jackpot from the Great American Justice Casino System.
On the other side, the companies (both hospitals and insurance mafia) are milking every penny from patients every way possible. Covering only the minimum they can get away with and then reading the papers like devil the bible in case the customer actually gets real sick. Lobby armies are taking care of establishing "company" friendly laws. They are pretty much "covered" from all sides. It is most disgusting and appalling "care" when compared to any other 1st world or even many 3rd world systems. But at least the restrooms look cool with the latest $$$ design and nurses are hot!
unirealist + 1
LoserBeachBum + 1
I'm so conflicted.
I look at it as just another tax, my concern is that the money will just continue to feed a system that is not serving the needs of the people, and just being soaked up by the scum sucking vacuum that is the middle men / insurance companies / hospital administration / et al.
Does anyone have a link for the final bill that is being voted on this Sunday?
Is it being updated with changes still every 10 minutes?
I read upstream your job is going away. I remember you work at Pearl. Do you mind discussing the circumstances? I am curious wrt the Navy/DoD aspect. Of course, if you'd rather not talk about it I understand.
TJ and The Bear - Well, nothing like KK killing a thread on his way out.
I come here to praise CR and HCN , not to bury it.
The evil that is the FED lingers long,
The good is oft stolen by the TBTF,
So let it be with all transgressions, American Idol is on.
Let it further distract the citizens,
From the grievous fault committed.....
Tried to work Mafiacracy in there, just too tired.
OK, time to get some sleep.
Nuke - I'm a contractor, and I work at the pleasure of uncle Sam.
The program I work for has been cut, cut and cut. The plans for the next year are released, and the entire section here is being cut, along with a ton of other things.
The plan forward is to remove the positions here and centralize in one place.
I'm not freaked out about it, actually I'm happy to know what the plan is, so I can start looking at what I need to do.
Now the problem is to make the plan work, that will be a challenge. Only the Government would ask a bunch of contractors to figure how to eliminate their own jobs. But it is challenges like that, that make my job interesting.
Seems like enough to cover 10% losses for 10% of the insured or 20% losses for 5%. That's insurance. Insurance is not meant to protect against systemic failure nor can it cover willful misapplication of FDIC regulation that the percentages are based upon.
Exactly the underlying business is insurance. A Ponzi scheme is notable in that there is no underlying business and payments to investors depend on an exponentially increasing number of new investors.
What I've noticed is that because they manage risk and depend on investments to maintain reserves, insurance agencies end up being squeezed hard during downturns. More so because during boom times competition and high returns on their investments encourage them to go lighter on their reserves and charge too little. When the SHTF, those high returns disappear and the losses start to mount. Then they have to barrow money and raise rates right when it's most likely to piss people off.
So in my book the FDIC is merely a predictable side show in this whole mess. Exact same thing happened during the S&L crises.
YJACKET
It should be mandatory for everyone to spend at least 1 year living in some 3rd world country and then comeback and whine and moan about how they aren't getting health care coverage to pay for a broken foot."
...
I have spent a number of years in 3rd countries and have gone to their best hospitals. the last one in Ho Chi Minh City
I checked into to have a CT scan and I left with a major case of staph on both my legs.
...
I am finally back in the fly=over state of Indiana. Boy, people are so damned fat out here. Instead of being pro-active like the French they expect medical science to save their fat asses from that massive coronary that's Nature way of thinning the herd. (don't worry, I'm on my way back to NYC asap)
duke
China’s Exporters Hanging by a Thread? « naked capitalism
Thinking the Unthinkable: What if China Devalues the Renminbi? « naked capitalism
dryfly replied:
That is why they need to let it float - it does more to fix itself than the central banks do.
And I semi-agree. China cheap exports are languishing some - they need to ramp up domestic consumption ASAP. Central bank intervention doesn't do that for them.
How are they supposed to do that when they're paying ~$3.00/hr. ?
Looks like I missed the party. Busy end of the week and ended up having to fly today, ie Saturday; much less convenient.
But 7 huh? Typical. I've been betting 7 or 9 for months!
Not that it makes much difference these days, although there are still ticker names going down. But if it ain't a whale, don't tell me the tale.
More curious behavior in the bond market. 2y10 spread has tightened right up, and bloomie's quoting some useful idiots on buying the belly of the curve... just in time for, hey look, a massive pile of mid-tenor notes going on sale!
OT,My allergies are awful this time of year,I was trying to put a positive spin on them and the best I could do is compare pollen to sperm and realize a runny nose was the inevitable result of non consensual oral sex with multiple species.Somehow I don't feel better...
How are they supposed to do that when they're paying ~$3.00/hr. ?
...
yep, watched Hanoi devalue 3 times in last year or two and they've had to put a number of illegal
factory strikes over pay increases. the factory workers in Nam have very tight margins, not a lot of
discretionary income so any devaluation really hurts and they get really pissed.
Devalue the Renminbi?
me thinks not, and if they do almost de minimus...
Damn...
am I screwed up! no wonder there's nobody on-line today it's Saturday!!!
my head is still in Bangkok. gawd, Indiana really blows! Sheeple for miles
around.
you've got to see this video... just watch the first minute and think about how it relates
to our world of CR - YouTube - UN DOMINO MAI VISTO - OK GO - THIS TOO SHALL PASS(VIDEO UFFICIALE
You have no idea at how bad hospitals are in just about every other country.
yjacket, hospitals in our "peer group" of developed countries are NOT bad. France has the best health care system in the world. Switzerland was the last developed country to implement a system of national health care, in 1994 . Except for us in the United States. We are alone among modern, wealthy states in not having some system of national health care.
I don't believe it is our "god-given right" to have "the best medical care." I believe it is our right as a modern, developed, 1st world state to have DECENT health care for our citizens. Is the US to fall behind other states in every measure of quality of life? Why are we striving so hard to keep our status as top dog if most of us don't benefit?
And I don't get why we are supposed to rejoice that we aren't suffering at the level of third world poverty. Is that all we are supposed to aspire to?
YouTube - UN DOMINO MAI VISTO - OK GO - THIS TOO SHALL PASS(VIDEO UFFICIALE
Wow, Duke! That was incredible!
And I don't get why we are supposed to rejoice that we aren't suffering at the level of third world poverty. Is that all we are supposed to aspire to?
Aspire? Who cares what we aspire to or for? We're a disposable resource. Would you maintain or repair a $19.00 Black&Decker drill? No, you'd use it until it broke and toss it out.
We're going to be bled until we're bled dry. It doesn't matter any more if we turn into a 3rd world country because the Monies don't need us as a sustainable resource. They have accumulated enough assets to continue growing by merely manipulating money -- FIRE.
HEMET, Calif. -- The tense atmosphere surrounding a California police department plagued by booby trap attacks has been stepped up a notch following the latest threat against officers.
Someone called 911 at about 5:45 p.m. Friday saying a police car would be blown up in the Hemet-San Jacinto area in the next 24 to 48 hours, Hemet Police Chief Richard Dana said.
"We're heightening the alert," Dana told The Press-Enterprise. The caller said the attack would be in retaliation for the law enforcement sweep against the Vagos Motorcycle Club earlier this week.
Gnomes and s are completely separate species, gnomester. Hope you don't mind me posting the winners. Though I didn't go into the money this week, I couldn't help spreading the good news.
Gibbon > A Ponzi scheme is notable in that there is no underlying business and payments to investors depend on an exponentially increasing number of new investors.
Wrong again. Charles Ponzi had an underlying business: international stamp arbitrage. He merely greatly exaggerated the promised returns likely to accrue to investors and sold it by using new money to pay inflated returns that would never materialize.
Just as the FDIC greatly underestimates the likely losses and uses the DIF to pay for early failures, with ultimate collapse fairly certain.
Ponzi originally was convinced he had found a legitimate arbitrage. FDIC doesn't promise that it will cover 10% of total deposits. It promises to cover every penny of every deposit. It doesn't have the money because the money doesn't exist. It is a ponzi scheme.
Unfortunately it is not a bad dream,but I will catch an hour or two more of sleep.My sweetie came up and since her shift starts at 7 am in SF (VA Nurse) I wanted to fix her a good breakfast.peet's Arabian Moch-Java,home made hash browns,applewood smoked bacon and scrambled eggs with garden herbs and cheese.Gotta treat them right if you want to keep them.
March 20 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said government bailouts of large financial firms are “unconscionable” and must be ended as part of a regulatory overhaul following the worst financial crisis since the 1930s.
“It is unconscionable that the fate of the world economy should be so closely tied to the fortunes of a relatively small number of giant financial firms,” Bernanke said today in the text of a speech in Orlando, Florida. “If we achieve nothing else in the wake of the crisis, we must ensure that we never again face such a situation.”
No, genius, if we achieve nothing else we must ensure that the firms that held the system hostage to bailouts are not allowed to get away with it, or you can be sure they will try it again.
Did you guys catch Dodd's letter to Holder yesterday?
Dear Attorney General Holder:
I am deeply concerned about the facts that have come to light regarding the demise of Lehman Brothers and the accounting manipulation that contributed to it. I respectfully ask you to commission a task force to investigate the Lehman situation as well as other companies that may have engaged in similar accounting manipulation with a view to prosecution of employees or agents who contributed to any violations of the law.
Scene: s sprawled on their backs, bloated bellies distended, looking like balloons.
The Thanksgiving turkey carcass stripped to the bones laying on the floor.
The guests thankful that the s don't like cranberry jelly.
CK......your place of employment seems quite similar to The Mrs' bar (day shift is filled with old retired guys, many military, and many, many pissed off about the economy, the wars, and now, healthcare). Many are medically cared for by the VA (as is myself), and are noticing acute shortages with regards to physicians, abilities to make appointments, late and outright cancellations of meds, and office clinic closures. A gal that is an higher-up exec in the Vegas group has some truly disturbing "cut-back" horror stories re. med-care. I had always assumed our medical system would be one of the last structures to crumble, but either it's later than even I think, or I've totally underestimated the ineptitude of our Federal administrators.
that's a lot of scrolling
This week the list includes 653 institutions with assets of $332.0 billion,
That probably means $100b losses.
I find it interesting the the newly added banks are in the flyover regions supposedly protected from the craziness of the coasts and sand states.
Yup, my lips were getting chapped trying to speed read 'em.
......cracks are appearing throughout the entire structure.
If we close our eyes and pretend, this all goes away.
I.M.F. Chief Calls for ‘Fire Brigade’ to Aid European Banks
PARIS — Europe should have a “fire brigade” backed by funds from governments and the private sector to deal with failures of large banks, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund said Friday...
In his speech, Mr. Strauss-Kahn said the new authority should be able to bail out “at least the major cross-border banking groups, as well as all banks running large-scale cross-border operations.”
I.M.F. Chief Calls for ‘Fire Brigade’ to Aid European Banks - NY Times
Me thinks its time for BTO....
THIS BTO I can take......
YouTube - BTO - Takin' Care Of Business (A Sexier Version)!
Total assets of $300+Billion doesn't really seem like that much.
I mean,even if losses were 1/3 of total assets for every institution on the list, it's a drop in the bucket compared to the amount of bailouts we've performed so far.
Let's add in the assets of C, JPM, and BAC (not to mention the GSEs) and see how big the total of assets at troubled financial institutions really is.
Interesting posts by yves on China:
China’s Exporters Hanging by a Thread? « naked capitalism
Thinking the Unthinkable: What if China Devalues the Renminbi? « naked capitalism
As Michael Q, who is an equity analyst, noted:
2% margins on export-oriented businesses is not representative of any sort of real competitive advantage. A real competitive advantage when it comes to exporting would show double-digits profit margins. This whole sector is hanging by a thread…nearly none of the activity China has engaged in since the downturn is secular or self-sustaining.
If the 2% is true, China is in more trouble than I thought.
Rob Dawg wrote:
CRE is going to do to us what RRE did to you all.
fried wrote:
Maybe Sheila can open an offshore branch... will that fix our balance of trade?
Saying goes, "once you've had a taste", from here on I'd like at least seven each week.
dryfly wrote:
And we in the bubble central states get both, aren't we lucky.
dryfly wrote:
From the last thread I thought I'd note my appreciation for your comment that it's not all broken.
If I thought it was all broken I, for one, wouldn't be chatting about it on this forum.
quick drive-by anecdotal data points from my life...
Darby & Darby, a NYC-based patent boutique founded in 1895, folded up shop suddenly a week ago. A competitor, Finnegan Henderson, is arguably the most respected patent firm in America, and supposedly sent around an internal memo recently suggesting that February was the worst month in a year? decades? ever?
My wife works for a government/defense contractor, and reports that contractor terminations for lack of funding are increasing exponentially in recent weeks.
Does anybody have any happy news to share?
pigged
Okay this is too much. Dude, have you ever been to another country? Do you know what it is like to actually be in a hospital that is a hell hole? Gain a little perspective before spouting random BS, whining and crying and moaning about how absolutely piss poor and awful we have it here with health care.
You have no idea at how bad hospitals are in just about every other country.
Our medical system is NOT broken, it has warts, but it is not defunct. Why do we believe it is our god-given right to have THE best medical care, regardless of the costs?
The massive amount of moaning about health care makes me think if a new medical procedure that costs 1 million dollars existed to extend life by 10 years it should be everyone's RIGHT to have that care. No, wait everyone should have access to it and it should be free! Kids should train for 8 years to develop new technologies and innovations just b/c they are benevolent. Oh wait, the fed. gov. should pay them to go to school so they can develop free stuff. Where does it end?
We have gone from a society of negative rights to positive rights. Instead of right to keep what you earn, you have a right to take in order to live.
Man, this country is screwed up . . . if this mandatory health care coverage is great. I've got a much better idea. It should be mandatory for everyone to spend at least 1 year living in some 3rd world country and then comeback and whine and moan about how they aren't getting health care coverage to pay for a broken foot.
Found out my contractor job will be going away sometime this year. (Good news for the tax payer right? )
Of course, one sad thing about living in a foreign country for a while, you realize how much further we have to fall
. But the upside is I know I can survive when the SHTF!
noob goldberg wrote:
Me either - yogi must have had indigestion.
Mattison Surface Grinder 12 x 60 Inch In SC near GA - eBay (item 370268507930 end time Mar-30-10 07:40:26 PDT)
yjacket wrote:
Yep.....ignorance sometimes is quite loud if the refrigerator is full.
energyecon wrote:
That is why they need to let it float - it does more to fix itself than the central banks do.
And I semi-agree. China cheap exports are languishing some - they need to ramp up domestic consumption ASAP. Central bank intervention doesn't do that for them.
Josh wrote:
My neighbor is trying to sell his house to develop some property in Yuma! Does that qualify as good news?
And no, we don't talk to each other that much (his front entrance runs along my backyard and he's down about fifteen feet, so we just shout hello occasionally.)
Edit: He actually is already in the process of developing, but decided to move on site to supervise.
Josh wrote:
We have so much new work at a machine shop I work with we are having trouble cash flowing the growth. Now for the bad news - most of this new work is from competition going BK.
You didn't say how much good news - just some.
Saw something more accurate a week ago, Resume Gradual Adjustment of the Yuan_English_Caixin
The guy the WSJ quoted was making the Chinese government's case. While not lying, he is intentionally being misleading. I have seen the 3-5% figure quoted elsewhere when I searched for it. Logically it makes sense, the margin to handle all the price swings in rent, inputs, labor, etc from one piecemeal contract to the next for the small marginal exporters. This is why there is so much quality substitution, that's the only way for the small exporter to make a profit
yjacket wrote:
I think everyone generally recognizes the quality of final health-care delivery in the USA. The argument, as I've watched it generally unfold here, is much more about the non-value-adding component of the health-care system: insurance.
There's nothing more capitalistic than undertaking a process review and stripping out the components that detract from final product quality, consumer experience, and profitability. I think that the method of health insurance coverage is due for a good old-fashioned process review.
dryfly wrote:
I'm recently revisiting arguments from 18-24 months ago that BK is part of a healthy process, and if our government could just try and ensure an orderly process, the U.S. would be much better off pushing insolvent institutions and individuals into BK. The BK itself qualifies as good news to me, so long as the work is still done by someone on the other side.
noob goldberg wrote:
If they did they'd drop another 40 MM from coverage immediately. Seriously. Best way to make money is to cherry pick the healthy and let somebody else cover the sick suckers. Churn the pools aggressively and often so they are out of your pools before they get unlucky enough to require a claim. Then once out never let them back in. Ka Ching!
Josh wrote:
This data-point, if reflective of the entire patent industry, should be almost more disturbing than the difficulties experienced in manufacturing and the housing sector. If R&D expenditures have dried up so much as to cut down the amount of patents being filed, that's not particularly comforting for the state of future competitiveness and innovation.
Or am I interpreting this incorrectly.
dryfly wrote:
You're absolutely right, of course, if the review was undertaken by the insurance industry.
Now imagine if the review was undertaken from the perspective of doctors, hospital administrators, and patients...
EDIT: I'm not being realistic, of course. Once in a while the irrepressible optimist in me sneaks out.
Mattison Surface Grinder 12 x 60 Inch In SC near GA - eBay (item 370268507930 end time Mar-30-10 07:40:26 PDT)
noob goldberg wrote:
I'm an unreliable interested party, but I think you are interpreting it correctly. Its not necessarily R&D that dried up. Its the drying up of demand for protection of IP rights in the U.S., due perhaps to the perceived decrease in prospective value of those rights going forward, or perhaps the simple drying up of that demand in a deflationary environment where cold hard cash is in great demand.
Josh wrote:
It can. In this case it's inevitable - praise it or damn it - doesn't change it - they are going down.
The thing is it might take a decade to get everyone working again and at close to comparable compensation. On paper its all good - try explain that to the families losing out.
60-80% of the productivity gains associated with trade are from the least efficient producers shutting down
in many cases right now, most of that productivity gain could come from efficient breaches on debt
it is a good thing -- provided there is enough work to go around
the sooner there is a clear set of idle hands, the sooner there is price flexibility, and the sooner there is an environment conducive to creating a new vector of demand
noob goldberg wrote:
Why ask them - they paying for anything?
dryfly wrote:
I don't know, to tell you the truth. I assume the patient is the one paying, the doctor is the one doing the work, and the hospital administrators are the ones providing the infrastructure.
I would hope so, but some seem to disagree. I'm okay with a capitalistic review . . .but do people actually think that a bill coming from Congress, who gave us TARP, STIM I, and heaven knows what else etc. is actually going to do a good job of it?
The blind faith in the fed. gov. astounds me.
Actually, it doesn't it's not that people actually trust the Fed. gov. to do anything right, it's all about what's in it for me. As long as I get my piece of the pie, screw the rest of you suckers. I want my pony, my mort. mod. my right to a job, my right to health care, mine, mine, mine.
So people implicitly know the fed. gov. won't and more importantly CAN NOT fix the problem. It's all about me.
And once that is played up it's all about the sob story. I bet dollars to donuts those who feel so sad and sorry about the sob story and say "well it's just not right" haven't donated much of anything to charity. I've found in life the ones who push the hardest for social charity are the worst for actually doing something personal about it (but that's just my experience).
Josh wrote:
Nope - its a pure cashflow thing. Seen it before.
When in a crisis one of the first areas to go is R&D - it's payback is way too far out to justify when bleeding this bad. In stagflation I was told [as a young engineer] that if paybacks couldn't be made in nine months then don't spend the money. Now interest rates were higher so hurdles also higher but still. That was a period when the job market for engineers all but dried up. I knew experienced engineers who went 2-3 years without work.
No different now - has nothing to do w/ IP - everything to do with cashflow.
noob goldberg wrote:
What country are you from again?
dryfly wrote:
I can't even adequately explain the environment to millionaire patent attorneys looking at clients demanding discounts. No way the working folks in this country would accept the paper explanation.
yjacket wrote:
Thankfully, that has not been my experiance.
Josh wrote:
For sure, I just found it interesting because it's not a datapoint I've heard any of the MSM harping on yet. Companies--last I checked--are still hoarding cash, so it may be by cutting out R&D and other long-term initiatives in order to augment that.
mp - are you pimping that surface grinder? My people have a couple of them [got one for almost free in one of the BKs they took over].
Mattison Surface Grinder 12 x 60 Inch In SC near GA - eBay (item 370268507930 end time Mar-30-10 07:40:26 PDT)
Yeah, I wish so too. I love helping people out, but more on the teaching someone to fish vs. giving it to them. I have seen things that have absolutely wrenched my heart in pieces, but the best way to fix it is to teach people a better way, rather than band-aid over it.
I don't know I come from a long line of rebellious people (southern blood
). I really hate being told to give or told I must buy HC. If I'm in that situation, I might just write a big screw you on the tax forms and tell them I'll see you in court. Paying taxes is one thing, but a health care tax which is in essence a life tax elevates it to a whole new level.
dryfly wrote:
We pay, just not at the hospital door
I don't know if I've ever said to follow the Canadian example; it has its own problems, most notably with regards to capital expenditures, and it'll be stressed enough in the coming years due to our ageing population.
It's late at night and I'm tired, which is why I'm over-simplifying to such an incredible degree. It just seems to me that such a simple transaction has become exceptionally complicated, and I'm just trying to understand it from a process perspective.
Brother Power: Naked Chinese Man vs. Modern Society | chinaSMACK
69-year-old granny buried alive, family members get 5 homes plus 600,000 as compensation | ChinaHush
dryfly wrote:
I thought he was holding a silent wake for the Bridgeport company. At least that was my interpretation.
noob goldberg wrote:
Well, at least someone got it.
mp, what is up? Do you have something to grind or what?
Or are you just experimenting to see what ad's you can get on HCN?
He wasnt really grinding his axe, ... That looks like a lot of machine for 7 grand....
**FROM THE AD
**
Mattison 12 x 60 Surface Grinder
18 by 3 Inch Wheel
20 Inch Vertical Capacity
12 by 60 Magnetic Chuck
From Bridgeport Milling Machines Plant
Used to grind bridgeport tab les
We also have the matching Mattison way grinder
Used to grind the dovetails.
Buy them as pair and have the factory machines !!!!!!!
The dovetail grinder comes with spare pope spindles.
This machine is from Bridgeport Miling Machine Plant
They had excellent mechanical machine maintence ways are very nice on this machine. It is under power in our south carolina location and you come come try it out here. We have a matching (same main castings) vertical spindle way grinder specially built for grinding the dovetails for bridgeport milling machine tables . This machine has a pope vertical spindle and was custom built by Mattison for bridgeport. We also have some bridgeport tables. These machines were used at the factory to grind Bridgeport tables so here a chance to own the actual machines bridgeport used to grind tables. We will list the way grinder later.
Just learning about the Triffin dilemma:
Triffin dilemma - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Triffin dilemma, less commonly called Triffin paradox, is the fundamental problem of the United States dollar's role as reserve currency in the Bretton Woods system, or more generally of a national currency as reserve currency.
Briefly, the use of a national currency as global reserve currency leads to a tension between national monetary policy and global monetary policy.
This is reflected in fundamental imbalances in the balance of payments, specifically the current account: to maintain all desired goals, dollars must both overall flow out of the United States, but dollars must at the same time flow in to the United States. Currency inflows and outflows of equal magnitudes cannot both happen at once.
The dilemma is named after Belgian-American economist Robert Triffin, who first identified the problem in 1960.
mp wrote:
LOL! I must be the tired one. I thought you were running ebay auctions and wanted your doomer buddies to have a shot.
Funny thing is my machine shop has all these big new Japanese machining centers but we still hunt for lappers & grinders & hones & broaches - all about as old as we are. Secondary ops they do outside the machining center cycle time - parallel. Got a used grinder not unlike that awhile back and have at least one lapping machine & maybe a double disk grinder in our sights too - we'll get both for free if we take over the job that runs on them.
Bridgeport, bye bye.
It was nice.
" If R&D expenditures have dried up so much as to cut down the amount of patents being filed, that's not particularly comforting for the state of future competitiveness and innovation.
Or am I interpreting this incorrectly. "
I did software in biotech for about 8 years. I was in the field during the initial sequencing of the genome phase. I worked on computer software for displaying and manipulating genomic sequences. Many biotechs during this period were applying for for patents for every sequence they found regardless of whether there was a proven application for the sequence. The proverbial needle in a hay-stack method. Science is not my forte so I'm sure I'm not explaining this very well.
But the long and short is that there was then and probably still are a lot patents being applied for without an actual application behind the idea.
mp wrote:
Buy them and go into the spare parts biz - be a good idea too if the base casings ever wore out - which they don't. Oh well.
dryfly wrote:
Last time the Chinese devalued their currency, we had the Asian currency crisis once it worked through the system.
FUBAR and WASS LLC wrote:
It would again... and of course be 'contained' to Asia... right? Right?.... [crickets]
dryfly wrote:
Was that in 1998? I seem to remember something about a currency problem in Thailand...
yjacket wrote:
I've generally (with some notable failures) attempted to stay out of this debate because I don't have any skin in this particular argument.
Irrespective of the country, however, I think that healthcare is something a little bit different. I'm from Canada, and we're quite willing to accept that rich people will drive nicer cars than us, live in fancier houses, eat exotic food, have housekeepers, fly first class everywhere, have a summer home, attend better schools, etc etc. I don't think--even in Canada--that many people begrudge the rich for having access to those accouterments of their success. In many ways the Canadian Dream, if one exists, is almost identical to the American one.
But if you're a 40 year old father who just watched their son die because he couldn't find a way to pay for a surgery that could have been available if he was rich....well, I don't know how that would affect a person, or what they'd be willing to do. In Canada we chose that, for better or worse, with regards to health-care everyone is equal. I don't know if that's the right approach, and I'm not advocating it for anyone else, but I think access to affordable health-care has broader social implications than is often recognized.
EDIT: That said, if I did have some skin in the game I would almost certainly agree with your reservations as you outlined them above.
ShadowInventory wrote:
1997 Thailand was in the center of it but it was anything but contained. To their credit - the Chinese snuffed it out by NOT following the rest of Asia & devaluing. Back then a lot of the Asians were pegged to the dollar - when they no longer could support their exchange rates their currencies collapsed. That is exactly the opposite of what is happening wrt China now.
Yup 1998, China devalued a couple of years before and all the other Asian export boom economies switched from boom to bust. Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korean got caught in the undertow when they didn't switch gears fast enough.
Yeah, that's a good idea, dryfly. As soon as I start getting involved in health-care arguments I know I've overstayed my welcome.
poic wrote:
Thanks for the clarification, poic, and I hope that you're right, that this was simply dropping the inefficient R&D/patent expenditures.
Asian currency crisis.
Look how far we've come
noob goldberg wrote:
What if the father couldn't swing a home in a better neighborhood and just watched his son die of a drive-by? I can think of a million examples wherein people's abilities and/or choices lead to similarly bad outcomes, so what makes healthcare some kind of special case?
glad I could finally add bit of useful information noob.
my brother's girl friend left Thailand after the currency crisis bankrupt her family. It happened very fast; a lot of regular as well as very well off people went bankrupt literally overnight and a lot of CRE stopped being built and was abandoned and mothballed.
It took probably till 2005 or so for Thailand to recover half decently from that crisis.
"so what makes healthcare some kind of special case? "
Most of the first-world other than the US see decent healthcare for it's citizens as something that separates 1st world countries from 2nd/3rd world ones.
poic wrote:
That's not an answer, and "decent" is not what a rich man can afford so it isn't even relevant.
poic wrote:
as i remember it president clinton made a speech one day in march 2000? and said no patents would be handed out on genome sequences and the market crashed (as did my share of it) but then a few days later the patent office itself came out with a memo -the only time i can recall ever actually hearing from the patent office- saying essentially 'never mind what he said, patents are patent and rules such as those involving utility etc. still apply
anyway my impression was you can't just 'grab' a piece of the genome without a good and valid reason
am i wrong on that?
"That's not an answer, and "decent" is not what a rich man can afford so it isn't even relevant. "
Sure it is. You asked what's so special about healthcare versus other issues. I gave you an answer; you may not agree with it but that's a separate issue.
TJ and The Bear
Keeping it strictly to economics, do you know how much time, money, and effort it takes to raise a new human? It can be cheaper to repair one with all of the existing sunk cost. Letting them die would be detrimental to the size of the national pie. If that safety net were not there, there would be the ultimate incentive to earn money by any means necessary -- without regard for the law. Furthermore, people who did save would be likely to "over save" to cover their health care expenses, which could be troublesome with regards to both investing and consumption. Finally, "market based" healthcare doesn't appear to result in reduced obesity, smoking, drinking, drug use, or other risk factors.
The arguments for single payer, or similar, systems utilize market based principles. Like there isn't an opportunity to allow competition when a procedure is needed. Healthcare is capital intensive, and is pre-disposed to regional monopolies. There are economies of scale in overhead. Savings on marketing. Knowledge sharing productivity gains.
There isn't a perfect system out there yet, but with every new shock or strain there is an opportunity to learn or adapt. It's not a recipe you should be after, it's a process.
"anyway my impression was you can't just 'grab' a piece of the genome without a good and valid reason
am i wrong on that? "
Well I'm not a scientist so I can't really explain the specifics. But I do remember hearing of tons of genomic patents being applied for that didn't have a "valid" reason. One of the problems was that these were huge patent applications and the patent department didn't really have the scientific background to really look at them. So you ended up with a lot of fluff applications.
I don't know how the patent department really looked at these. A lot of them were inches thick.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
I don't know. But somehow when we think of what it means to be human, denying care seems deeply inhumane. It's a tricky switch from decent care for someone's health, and what is now possible (ignoring associated costs).
poic wrote:
No it isn't. You didn't describe anything unique about healthcare, just pointed out that someone else considers it such. Yawn.
Also, noob's example talked about rich vs. poor care, and virtually any socialized healthcare country is not going to provide anything close to the coverage rich people can afford. If they did, their rich citizens would use it, and they generally don't
poic wrote:
yes......i think you have the answer right there.
TJ and the Bear.
We'll just have to agree to disagree. I agree with the view that a basic level of healthcare for all citizens is something that uniquely separates a 1st world country from a 2nd/3rd world. Our opinions just differ on this issue
EHP,
Completely agree with the "economies of scale" and other points. I was just arguing philosophically, extending the point someone made earlier. Everyone wants Cadillac care at Yugo prices, and that's never going to happen.
Oh, and regarding this statement... "Letting them die would be detrimental...", well, one could argue that one of the biggest problems we face today is overpopulation. Jus' sayin'.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
There are some --very-- good doctors in Canada's public system. Maybe that's because past a certain point increases in money are insignificant compared to social considerations. I don't know. Maybe you can tell me why some of the most skilled people in the world travel around the world to donate their knowledge, skills, and time at a cost to themselves.
The rich people? They buy a new robot/machine/hospital wing, and do get better service for it. Alternatively they are free to pay for any care they like outside the public system within Canada. They can go abroad to the USA or Thailand for healthcare, it's their choice. They do derive value in having neighbours, community, employees, parents of their children's friends, etc have access to good value healthcare
poic wrote:
You're assuming a differing opinion when I have not stated such. Oh, and it's the very cost of "a basic level of healthcare for all citizens" (via Medicare, Medicaid, cost-shifting, etc.) that's breaking the bank. The administration isn't trying to cover the uninsured so much as force money out of them to pay for those that are already running up the bills.
"Oh, and it's the very cost of "a basic level of healthcare for all citizens" (via Medicare, Medicaid, cost-shifting, etc.) that's breaking the bank."
I actually don't think Medicare and Medicaid are a basic level of healthcare. They cover a lot more than basic IMO. Something like a replacement knee for an 80 year old with the most up-to-date, most expensive part sourced by a private for profit company isn't really basic IMO.
We have a weird mishmash of private/public in US healthcare. Just another example of public welfare for corporations.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
So act like a leader. Be honest with the people, and trust that they will follow your decision.
You are overpaid, this hospital has no reason to exist, we can't afford you running up these bills for that, you need to pay more taxes, etc
If people do get married, and make the marriage work -- then why not healthcare? Surely the desire for healthcare is more tame than lust and personal relationships
Again, you're missing my point -- we're talking relative levels of care (and I use that term loosely), not passing judgment on the general level of care in Canada. Seems like a decent system to me.
When Americans (or their loved ones are sick) they always adopt a "money's no object" mindset when money is exactly the object. Canadians accept their system and live within it, but Americans generally are still living with an entitlement mentality that precludes common sense cost controls. This especially goes for the Medicare set, with some obvious exceptions.
Josh wrote:
I think it's a number of things. One the patent frenzy got really out of hand. Two the supreme court made a very significant ruling that greatly expanded what counts as prior art. That happened about two years ago and I think it's taken a while for it to sink in how worthless it made most patents.
A lot of patents were for combine well known A with well known B and get A + B just as you'd expect. The supreme court said basically if the result of 1 + 2 is 3 then then patent no worth dingus. Probably doesn't make patent trolls and their lawyers happy, but as a practicing engineer it makes me happy.
TJ and The Bear,
Was trying to provoke thought more than attacking you or making this personal
It is all a funny situation
Like the US has Social Security for all, regardless of income while in Canada there is only a fallback to the Old Age Pension for impoverished seniors
poic wrote:
Definitely not with Medicare, as I just stated. In many (but not all) ways it's a cost-no-object plan hidden behind massive cost-shifting.
"Canadians accept their system and live within it, but Americans generally are still living with an entitlement mentality that precludes common sense cost controls."
That is very, very true. A more inclusive health-care system is either going to cost more or result in less for everyone. There's not very much honest open discussion in the current health-care debate on MSN.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
No doubt.
Perish the thought! I consider these friendly debates, and the livelier the better for exploring ideas and learning things. You are an especially good one for discussion, and I appreciate the "Northern" perspective.
I never intend to offend anyone, although I'm not averse to throwing things back at people when they make ridiculous statements. Lucky for you that you don't tend to do that.
I think Americans could live within the limits of a system, but it's a matter of comfort. Along the same lines as workers in former communist states going from having everything provided, to being responsible for it themselves. The money entrenched in retaining the existing system probably means that it will continue until it no longer cash flows
"A lot of patents were for combine well known A with well known B and get A + B just as you'd expect. The supreme court said basically if the result of 1 + 2 is 3 then then patent no worth dingus. Probably doesn't make patent trolls and their lawyers happy, but as a practicing engineer it makes me happy."
Through no fault of my own I ended up on two patents related to my software work in genomics (trust me my work was not anywhere close to ground-breaking) and got to sit through the whole application process. I was quite surprised how generic a lot of the explanations were. This was more than 2 years ago so perhaps it's gotten more detailed oriented since then.
I think under a US originating patent you have 2 years to amend the filing? So if it's valuable, fill in the blanks later
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
That's why I've come to believe that true American UHC requires the death of Medicare. You can imagine how that idea would fly with the AARP crowd.
interesting read on hyperinflation.
Parenteau: The Hyperinflation Hyperventalists « naked capitalism
TJ and The Bear wrote:
I think Medicare was killed when they got what they wanted, because they weren't the only ones who got what they wanted Storms on the Horizon - Richard Fisher Speeches - News & Events - FRB Dallas
If this problem bank thread is going to stay a medical insurance bailout thread, then I think I need to head out and toast to the seven that bit the dust today.
YouTube - AMV Seven
Kauai_Kahuna wrote:
No need. I think we're probably all in violent agreement here.
You have something original to say (and potentially argue) about banks?
Well, nothing like KK killing a thread on his way out.
Kauai_Kahuna wrote:
3%, 5%? It is irrelevant to discuss what margins Chinese exporters work with until you nail just how much VAT rebate they get, and also whether that VAT is actually assessed in the first place through the successive transactions in the pipeline. These rebates can run from 12-18% on invoice value.
I tried poking around in that rabbit hole once, and it was deep and dark.
US "dear dollar" policy is having meaningful success.
Chinese-made, lower-range-labor-cost items is not comptitive with US mf'd prices.
One of the major differences between the United States and the other industrialized countries in terms of medical care is end of life care: when people are terminally ill in the United States (they are going to be dead within a few months no matter what), they often undergo large numbers of expensive operations. Other countries don't do this.
there are few places as busy with RE investment as London right now
just for Canary Wharf skyscrapers. 3 under construction, 20 approved, 12 more seeking approval
buildings are 104 - 237m (340 - 778ft), call them $1bn each to build
Headed out again shortly but I must respond to above
Dryfly wrote:
Of course not. There are even financial PHD's that add value.
Not every socialist movement results in a Gulag either, as you implied.
I take it you'd agree that Warren Buffett doesn't personally add hundreds of billions of dollars of value, as much as thousands of surgeons. Of course any social[ist] policy will redistribute some wealth somewhat unfairly.
So that means you just throw in the towel and let Wall Street pay whatever bonuses they can squeeze from public Fed money?
If a surgeon demanded all of a dying billionaire's money to operate he'd be in jail. But a manufacturer can build an unlimited personal fortune if he develops a patent?
Gibbon wrote:
Wrong. This may be too subtle for a gibbon, but I'll try a short version. I'll be back later in the week if you need help. Insurance is when risk or losses are shared to ease individual burden. A ponzi transfers wealth from late suckers to early sellers. Banks take deposits. Banks place bets. When banks win, they pay bonuses and dividends. When banks lose, they fail, and the FDIC covers deposits. That's insurance if the remaining banks cover the FDIC, but the FDIC has a potential $500 billion line of credit from the taxpayer. If any any of that is ever used, it's a ponzi (arguably, the bazooka effect from the guarantee is a ponzi benefit even if it isn't used). Sure, Sheila swears the last banks standing in the future will pay back every penny, but they would be late suckers too. The bonuses have been eaten. Even the future claw back would probably be paid back with dollars horribly devalued by deflation.
Ever heard of FSLIC? No ponzi there? Too much mouth breathing for you?
Just a quick google search of other mouth breathing hippies:
JSTOR: The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 3, No. 4 (Autumn, 1989), pp. 31-47
The S & L insurance mess: how did it ... - Google Books
American Spectator American Spectator - The Big Fix
But I didn't need to read them. Any idiot can spot a ponzi scheme that only puts up cash of 1.15% of the amount it "insures", but actually has much less than that on hand.
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
Seems like enough to cover 10% losses for 10% of the insured or 20% losses for 5%. That's insurance. Insurance is not meant to protect against systemic failure nor can it cover willful misapplication of FDIC regulation that the percentages are based upon.
A more inclusive health-care system is either going to cost more or result in less for everyone.
Not if the system is made more efficient by becoming single-payer. The savings accruing from eliminating the insurance layer of the HC process would reduce the overall cost of delivering HC by at least 20%.
There's plenty wrong with the US HC system--and plenty right with it, too. But it needs to be fixed, no matter how great it is, because it is consuming 15% of the economy.
Unfortunately, that problem can't be addressed rationally because those who profit from HC have enough juice to prevent it from happening.
I don't see how anyone can argue with my statements here, but I suppose someone here will.
In the US healthcare model both the customers and companies are acting like spoiled little brats. Most customers are NOT taking care of their health, eating crap all their lives, not exercising at all. Then they go to a doctor and expect problems to be solved yesterday. Then if something really goes wrong, why not sue to doctor and one might get a big jackpot from the Great American Justice Casino System.
On the other side, the companies (both hospitals and insurance mafia) are milking every penny from patients every way possible. Covering only the minimum they can get away with and then reading the papers like devil the bible in case the customer actually gets real sick. Lobby armies are taking care of establishing "company" friendly laws. They are pretty much "covered" from all sides. It is most disgusting and appalling "care" when compared to any other 1st world or even many 3rd world systems. But at least the restrooms look cool with the latest $$$ design and nurses are hot!
unirealist + 1
LoserBeachBum + 1
I'm so conflicted.
I look at it as just another tax, my concern is that the money will just continue to feed a system that is not serving the needs of the people, and just being soaked up by the scum sucking vacuum that is the middle men / insurance companies / hospital administration / et al.
Does anyone have a link for the final bill that is being voted on this Sunday?
Is it being updated with changes still every 10 minutes?
Kahuna:
I read upstream your job is going away. I remember you work at Pearl. Do you mind discussing the circumstances? I am curious wrt the Navy/DoD aspect. Of course, if you'd rather not talk about it I understand.
I come here to praise CR and HCN , not to bury it.
The evil that is the FED lingers long,
The good is oft stolen by the TBTF,
So let it be with all transgressions, American Idol is on.
Let it further distract the citizens,
From the grievous fault committed.....
Tried to work Mafiacracy in there, just too tired.
OK, time to get some sleep.
Nuke - I'm a contractor, and I work at the pleasure of uncle Sam.
The program I work for has been cut, cut and cut. The plans for the next year are released, and the entire section here is being cut, along with a ton of other things.
The plan forward is to remove the positions here and centralize in one place.
I'm not freaked out about it, actually I'm happy to know what the plan is, so I can start looking at what I need to do.
Now the problem is to make the plan work, that will be a challenge. Only the Government would ask a bunch of contractors to figure how to eliminate their own jobs. But it is challenges like that, that make my job interesting.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Exactly the underlying business is insurance. A Ponzi scheme is notable in that there is no underlying business and payments to investors depend on an exponentially increasing number of new investors.
What I've noticed is that because they manage risk and depend on investments to maintain reserves, insurance agencies end up being squeezed hard during downturns. More so because during boom times competition and high returns on their investments encourage them to go lighter on their reserves and charge too little. When the SHTF, those high returns disappear and the losses start to mount. Then they have to barrow money and raise rates right when it's most likely to piss people off.
So in my book the FDIC is merely a predictable side show in this whole mess. Exact same thing happened during the S&L crises.
YJACKET
It should be mandatory for everyone to spend at least 1 year living in some 3rd world country and then comeback and whine and moan about how they aren't getting health care coverage to pay for a broken foot."
...
I have spent a number of years in 3rd countries and have gone to their best hospitals. the last one in Ho Chi Minh City
I checked into to have a CT scan and I left with a major case of staph on both my legs.
...
I am finally back in the fly=over state of Indiana. Boy, people are so damned fat out here. Instead of being pro-active like the French they expect medical science to save their fat asses from that massive coronary that's Nature way of thinning the herd. (don't worry, I'm on my way back to NYC asap)
duke
I just received this link from a super talented painter friend in Genoa named Corrado Zeni.
It's the greatest Rube Goldberg like art happening set to music I have seen in some time -
talk about the genius of invention!!!
YouTube - UN DOMINO MAI VISTO - OK GO - THIS TOO SHALL PASS(VIDEO UFFICIALE
How are they supposed to do that when they're paying ~$3.00/hr. ?
Looks like I missed the party. Busy end of the week and ended up having to fly today, ie Saturday; much less convenient.
But 7 huh? Typical. I've been betting 7 or 9 for months!
Not that it makes much difference these days, although there are still ticker names going down. But if it ain't a whale, don't tell me the tale.
More curious behavior in the bond market. 2y10 spread has tightened right up, and bloomie's quoting some useful idiots on buying the belly of the curve... just in time for, hey look, a massive pile of mid-tenor notes going on sale!
Yield Curve Flattens for Fifth Week on Fed Rate, Inflation View - Bloomberg.com
C
OT,My allergies are awful this time of year,I was trying to put a positive spin on them and the best I could do is compare pollen to sperm and realize a runny nose was the inevitable result of non consensual oral sex with multiple species.Somehow I don't feel better...
How are they supposed to do that when they're paying ~$3.00/hr. ?
...
yep, watched Hanoi devalue 3 times in last year or two and they've had to put a number of illegal
factory strikes over pay increases. the factory workers in Nam have very tight margins, not a lot of
discretionary income so any devaluation really hurts and they get really pissed.
Devalue the Renminbi?
me thinks not, and if they do almost de minimus...
Go back to sleep, Tom. You're having a bad dream.
Tom - look on the bright side, your liabilities are highly liquid.
C
China would have to encourage the dreaded wage inflation to redirect their production, wouldn't they.
Me too, Tom. Never used to have allergies, now my nose leaks like a cheap chinese-made faucet.
Damn...
am I screwed up! no wonder there's nobody on-line today it's Saturday!!!
my head is still in Bangkok. gawd, Indiana really blows! Sheeple for miles
around.
you've got to see this video... just watch the first minute and think about how it relates
to our world of CR - YouTube - UN DOMINO MAI VISTO - OK GO - THIS TOO SHALL PASS(VIDEO UFFICIALE
Where is HomeGnome? Wakey, wakey, you little lawn ornament.

BFF Poll for Fri. March 19th 2010
May I have the envelop, please?
And the winners are:
71.97.186.189
128.200.147.74
JP
NGBROI
B and B Hawaiian Dope
lawyerliz
sporkfed
steelhead
amiramr0
Vonbek777
REBear
Tom Stone
yjacket wrote:
yjacket, hospitals in our "peer group" of developed countries are NOT bad. France has the best health care system in the world. Switzerland was the last developed country to implement a system of national health care, in 1994 . Except for us in the United States. We are alone among modern, wealthy states in not having some system of national health care.
I don't believe it is our "god-given right" to have "the best medical care." I believe it is our right as a modern, developed, 1st world state to have DECENT health care for our citizens. Is the US to fall behind other states in every measure of quality of life? Why are we striving so hard to keep our status as top dog if most of us don't benefit?
And I don't get why we are supposed to rejoice that we aren't suffering at the level of third world poverty. Is that all we are supposed to aspire to?
Pellice, you obviously don't understand the appeal of a Randian Utopia. See Somalia for a reference point
Wow, Duke! That was incredible!
Aspire? Who cares what we aspire to or for? We're a disposable resource. Would you maintain or repair a $19.00 Black&Decker drill? No, you'd use it until it broke and toss it out.
We're going to be bled until we're bled dry. It doesn't matter any more if we turn into a 3rd world country because the Monies don't need us as a sustainable resource. They have accumulated enough assets to continue growing by merely manipulating money -- FIRE.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
---
HEMET, Calif. -- The tense atmosphere surrounding a California police department plagued by booby trap attacks has been stepped up a notch following the latest threat against officers.
Someone called 911 at about 5:45 p.m. Friday saying a police car would be blown up in the Hemet-San Jacinto area in the next 24 to 48 hours, Hemet Police Chief Richard Dana said.
"We're heightening the alert," Dana told The Press-Enterprise. The caller said the attack would be in retaliation for the law enforcement sweep against the Vagos Motorcycle Club earlier this week.
New threat puts Hemet officers on heightened alert - State & Regional - Wire - TheState.com
Gnomes and
s are completely separate species, gnomester. Hope you don't mind me posting the winners. Though I didn't go into the money this week, I couldn't help spreading the good news.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
---Not at all.
are mortal enemies of my peeps.
Pellice wrote:
It's a badge of honor among 'Merikins. We dumb, and proud of it!
Good morning from the left coast, bottom corner pocket.
So, anyone marching today?
It is March 20th.
I'll be in the streets of SF.
Good on ya, adornosghost.
United for Peace & Justice : Index
HomeGnome wrote:
Thanks-
A.N.S.W.E.R. Coalition San Francisco Bay Area
Wrong again. Charles Ponzi had an underlying business: international stamp arbitrage. He merely greatly exaggerated the promised returns likely to accrue to investors and sold it by using new money to pay inflated returns that would never materialize.
Just as the FDIC greatly underestimates the likely losses and uses the DIF to pay for early failures, with ultimate collapse fairly certain.
Ponzi originally was convinced he had found a legitimate arbitrage. FDIC doesn't promise that it will cover 10% of total deposits. It promises to cover every penny of every deposit. It doesn't have the money because the money doesn't exist. It is a ponzi scheme.
I've been marching all month, think i'll go for a ski in the forest for the trees.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
I spent yesterday hiking Mt Tam. I was alone for most of the day.
Good morning from the mountains of central America.
Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:
--Iowa doesn't have mountains.
Duh.
Nice~
Golden poppies have started appearing in numbers around here, soon there will be hillsides full of them...
Unfortunately it is not a bad dream,but I will catch an hour or two more of sleep.My sweetie came up and since her shift starts at 7 am in SF (VA Nurse) I wanted to fix her a good breakfast.peet's Arabian Moch-Java,home made hash browns,applewood smoked bacon and scrambled eggs with garden herbs and cheese.Gotta treat them right if you want to keep them.
Making a mountain out of a mole hill on the prairie! LOL! Not Iowa either one more to the west.
I was marching
on Thursday and Friday.
Tom Stone wrote:
---Guys, pay attention.
Many moons ago I used to have a license plate frame on my jalopy that looked very official, and it read "For Unofficial Use Only".
Bernanke Says Large Bank Bailouts ‘Unconscionable,’ Must End - Bloomberg.com
No, genius, if we achieve nothing else we must ensure that the firms that held the system hostage to bailouts are not allowed to get away with it, or you can be sure they will try it again.
Howzabout Greenspan casting blame on the fall of communism as the route of all the financial evil that bedevils us presently...
It's a little Stretch Armstrong, it almost reeks of desperation
Tell us hypocrite Chairman Bernanke, which large firms did you unconscionably bail out in secret?
Some people should be given a shawl and a rocking chair on a porch facing the sunset.
...they say he threw away a promising carreer in music
Did you guys catch Dodd's letter to Holder yesterday?
Dodd Calls For Probe Into Lehman Accounting
Scene:
s sprawled on their backs, bloated bellies distended, looking like balloons.
s don't like cranberry jelly.
The Thanksgiving turkey carcass stripped to the bones laying on the floor.
The guests thankful that the
Benny: "Baaad
s! Baaad! Don't do that again."
And yet he's on a world tour as a stand up tragic.
Would there be any reason why the other Unabankers would have differed in their business practices from Lehman?
It's the kind of business where no good scheme is secret for very long...
Waiting for therapist to come therapize me.
Good Morning. liz. Hope you're feeling better.
lawyerliz wrote:
---gOOd foR YOU, LiZ.
HopE you'Re FeelING BETter.
Investigate the still-in-business companies. An autopsy in the middle of a pandemic seems a bit tepid.
Mother OK?
We need you two on your feet.
Corpus Derelicti
Woops. I'm forgeting to :icon: this morning.
Thankss Bosch.
s . . . .from which they conclude boh we'sbetter slink away before they notice, nextt time. Thanks juvie, everybody.
Baaaad
Morning all......
CK......your place of employment seems quite similar to The Mrs' bar (day shift is filled with old retired guys, many military, and many, many pissed off about the economy, the wars, and now, healthcare). Many are medically cared for by the VA (as is myself), and are noticing acute shortages with regards to physicians, abilities to make appointments, late and outright cancellations of meds, and office clinic closures. A gal that is an higher-up exec in the Vegas group has some truly disturbing "cut-back" horror stories re. med-care. I had always assumed our medical system would be one of the last structures to crumble, but either it's later than even I think, or I've totally underestimated the ineptitude of our Federal administrators.
OT. Has this been posted?
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/mar/19/raj-patel-colbert-report-benjamin-creme
A combination of Steven Colbert, an obscure cult, and global economics.
Back from rehab. Attractive older lady there with no feet. Gosh.