Georgia will not be out failed! The south shall fail again.

Come on double digit doozie.

Bank of Hiawassee Hiawassee GA

It is almost its own haiku.

Fort Deposit, Alabama

Fort No Deposits, Alabama

Fixed It For Ya

Seven! Guess the new hires are coming up to speed!

How many more will fail?

six hundred?

Someday this war's gonna end...

Shiela is on a roll.

Wonder how fast she will take them down this year.

Those chumps in Minnesota are failing alot, too. Just like their Vikings.

7? Where did the other two come from?

Dean Baker: The Holes in the Fed

First paragraph:

The Obama Administration announced its three picks for the vacant positions at the Fed last week. Not surprisingly, no one on the list was among those who had warned of the housing bubble. This is not surprising because there is virtually no overlap between the list of people who had warned of the bubble and the list of people who are politically acceptable as appointees to the Fed. . . .

What do you get when you mate a Georgia banker with a Minnesota banker?

Stupid kids.

FOUR at once!!! This is gonna be a challenge to SGIP.

Reminds me of the fairy tale where the tailor embroidered "Seven at a blow." on his scarf.

[PS: I took six in the poll and thought I was bold. Now I'm toast.]

an explaination, perhaps, of the financial acumen of the peach state:

Georgia, especially the southern portion of the state, has a variation called the scrambled dog (or dawg, as it is colloquially known).
*Originating in Columbus, Georgia, it is a cheap, usually red-skinned hot dog, served on a toasted white bun and topped with mustard and spicy chili.

Bank of Hiawassee Hiawassee GA

It is almost its own haiku.

Needs a seasonal tag or word.

Blackwaterwannabe wrote:

7? Where did the other two come from?

34 THROUGH #37 is 4 banks, plus 3 earlier.= 7 Tongue

Debtliverance

Community & Southern Bank, Carrollton, Georgia, Assumes All of the Deposits of Appalachian Community Bank, Ellijay, Georgia

So hard to keep up, i think i voted 7. Gnomster, did I vote 7?

it is a cheap, usually red-skinned hot dog, served on a toasted white bun and topped with mustard and spicy chili.

Sounds akin to the cherrios of Australia. Little red sausages.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

Debtliverance

All we need is moonshine, some bandos playing banjos, and the night is complete.

I walk away from the computer for 5 minutes and four banks go down. Wow.

Blame it on the nice weather ...

best to all

CalculatedRisk wrote:

Blame it on the nice weather ...

I blame it on Steve Bartman.

Cost to DIF today (so far): ~$1,260B

But, of course, they were already anticipated and set aside.

Somebody at the FDIC figured out how the plunger works. They are flowing good now!

Appalachian Community Bank, Ellijay, Georgia
Bank of Hiawassee, Hiawassee, Georgia

Both in the 40% loss to assets range. How long can Sheila stay away from the begging window? Ohhhh, imagine if she confesses and names "the real number" before the trillion dollar vote on Sunday? I can dream.

I'm starting a rumour that CR is walking away

Mike Whitney: Greenspan Returns

Well-written article about Greenspan's speech today at the Brookings Inst.

Blame it on the nice weather ...

There it is!

Four banks go down.
Blame it
On the nice weather

Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:

usually red-skinned hot dog

Are they already eating Seminoles in Georgia? Cannibalism is a natural progression from bank failure.

Will someone explain the three numbers in a bank failure press release?

As of December 31, 2009, Appalachian Community Bank had approximately $1.01 billion in total assets and $917.6 million in total deposits. ... The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $419.3 million.

In this case: $1.01 billion are Assets and $917.6 million are liabilities (deposits they owe to depositors).

But where is the estimated loss of $419.3 coming from? Is it because the assets are overstated?

Nobody cares, as your back is covered @ your bank no matter what happens, so mostly what Sheila's been doing is a dog and pony show.

So hard to keep up, i think i voted 7. Gnomster, did I vote 7?

LL - Either you got a new keyboard or you're off your meds.

MrBeach wrote:

Is it because the assets are overstated?

No, just underappreciated.

I have no skin in this game (forgot to do the BFF poll) ... but I REALLY want a double digit day. How else is the FDIC going to clear the backlog? Declare a bank holiday?

Hiawassee, GA

Population: 808 (no joke)

That would be a per-capita shot to the DIF of $170,420.79

I wonder if the name Hiawassee is Cherokee for "Wampum sinkhole"

Wow, walk away for a couple of hours to do some work and the FDIC GOES WILD You Maniacs! You blew it up! Ah, damn you! Damn you all to hell!

03/2010: Already at 15 for the month with a week to go. Up 300% Y-O-Y
03/2009 5
03/2008 1

Let the blood-letting begin.

On the bright side, it appears Puerto Rico is safe for another week.

brewcrew wrote:

I wonder if the name Hiawassee is Cherokee for "Wampum sinkhole"

Hiawatha was born in Hiawassee. Or, at least, that's what I heard.

I got Pigged big time... Too many morans to keep up with...

Attention all - be sure to make you Macmorani with Genuine Kraft imitation Cheese products - Buy American!!!

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

Nobody cares, as your back is covered @ your bank no matter what happens, so mostly what Sheila's been doing is a dog and pony show

No one is going to pay attention as long as Sheila keeps kicking the can down the road and closing a few smallish banks every week with the ocassional larger fish. However, if she were to drop a bomb and close 40 banks in one weekend that might turn some heads, but I won't hold my breath.

ShadowInventory wrote:

Macmorani with Genuine Kraft imitation Cheese products - Buy American!!!

That is genuine imitation gov't cheese now since Kraft was bailed out.

The "other poll" results:

10y T v. 30y Conventional Mortgage Spread?

±10 bps, FedGov is not a playah 5% (3 votes)
25-50 bps, transactional costs 11% (6 votes)
51-75 bps, uncertainty premium 18% (10 votes)
76-100 bps, supply/demand reasserts itself 18% (10 votes)
101-125 bps, historical mean? 11% (6 votes)
126-150 bps, all of the above 9% (5 votes)
151+ bps, market price 27% (15 votes)
Total votes: 55

Wow. And I thought 151+ bps was the throwaway number.

quote from a referenced article..

A default would also appropriately place part of the costs of Greece’s borrowing spree on creditors. The Germans and French would need to inject new capital into their banks (perhaps finally becoming open to tighter regulation to prevent this from happening again), and the whole world would become more wary about lending to profligate sovereigns.

So PAY ATTENTION China, Japan - dont be buying up bonds from profligate spenders, like the US Congress.....

Remember, this is only the Eastern Time Zone, other than MN. Sun is slowly moving over Midwest, then Mountain, then Pacific!

fudge_hend wrote:,

However, if she were to drop a bomb and close 40 banks in one weekend that might turn some heads, but I won't hold my breath.

If she drops a bomb, American will collectively drop an F bomb.

Pigged

By the way, Cornell crushed Temple.

So there Advanta ge Big Red.
The Red Pill Love Santa My Head Just Exploded In Vino Veritas Red Herring Elmo! Evil Kool-Aid Bic Flick Got Concrete? Tap Your Heels Together Three Times My Head Just Exploded

The Big Red (just happened to be in Vegas, too... Cash

Must have missed the earlier reports..thank you josap.

What better time to drop some numbers than when the health care bill is dominating the media?

Attention FDIC - it is now mandated that all BFF pizzas contain 100% KRAFT Cheese products - Kraft - the finest name in Real American Cheese Products which contain some actual real cheese.

brewcrew wrote:

Hiawassee, GA
Population: 808 (no joke)

Saaaaaalute!

The Allerton Hotel on Michigan Avenue has landed in financial purgatory, burdened with $79 million in overdue loans.

The owner of the landmark 443-room hotel, San Francisco-based Chartres Lodging Group LLC, had agreed to hand the property back to its lender through a so-called deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, according to a February report by a loan trustee

With its equity wiped out, it would make sense to walk away from the Allerton and let Wells Fargo take over the property.

No foreclosure suit has been filed, and Chartres has no plans to hand over the property, Mr. Blum says.

Ultimate Squatter?

Allerton Hotel saddled with delinquent loans | Crain's Chicago Business

Mom of octuplets may lose home to foreclosure

I guess when you buy a house w/no money down and miss almost a half mill balloon payment they get kinda nasty...

ShadowInventory wrote:

the finest name in Real American Cheese Products which contain some actual real cheese.

Try to guess what the secret ingredient in Cheese Whiz is....

Now that we've all had seven beers, did anyone remember to replenish the DIF?

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/SsgUCTR1JGI/AAAAAAAAGgc/NMu2h0Pj2UU/s1600-h/FDICDifOct22009.jpg

Seriously, I can't remember if she collected the advance fees or not. I can't imagine she's going to love having Timmy write her a check.

FYI: That update was from sept/oct, and I can't locate a more recent post, tho I'm sure there was one...

Elvis wrote:

secret ingredient

Soylent Mozillo?

Blackwaterwannabe wrote:

Vitamin 'A'?

Vitamin PP.

Elvis wrote:

I blame it on Steve Bartman.

I knew there was a reason I liked Elvis.

Elvis I'm pimpin' for Kraft because I got some KFT shares in the Cadbury buyout - and I want to know should I buy, sell or hold them...

LAM wrote:

With its equity wiped out, it would make sense to walk away from the Allerton and let Wells Fargo take over the property.
No foreclosure suit has been filed, and Chartres has no plans to hand over the property, Mr. Blum says.

Sure, just another walk away debtor. But this one is business.
And the bank doesn't want the property either. Smile
Is this a shadow property now?

ShadowInventory wrote:

and I want to know should I buy, sell or hold them...

Cook them, of course.

josap wrote:

Chartres has no plans to hand over the property

So now that we are no longer worrying about making any payments on our debt service, we can forgo any maintenance or longer term investments in the property and just squeeze cash out of that sucker until it falls down... and then the local taxpayers can bring in the dozers and dumptrucks to clear the lot...

*Hiawassee, GA
Population: 808 (no joke) *

71 more critters than us.... at least our bank has a 2 star rating

Blackwaterwannabe wrote:

I guess when you buy a house w/no money down and miss almost a half mill balloon payment they get kinda nasty...

But Wells Fargo is ok with the 78 million dollar past due on the hotel.
She probably can file a discrimination suit.

MrBeach wrote:

But where is the estimated loss of $419.3 coming from? Is it because the assets are overstated?

Bingo.

China has 112 listed SOEs, ====== A-Z Index of China's State Enterprises ======
and apparently 129 SOEs that have nothing to do with hotels -- own hotels, SOEs Ordered to Check Out of Hotel Sector_English_Caixin
with a little bribery you too can benefit from their negative interest rate investment, state-owned enterprises
edit: apparently there are '154,000' SOEs in China, I assume the discrepancy about the number of parent SOEs is fluid

josap wrote:

Is this a shadow property now?

If it blocks the sunlight from the neighboring hotel's pool, it has already been shadow property for some time.

Elvis wrote:

Cook them, of course.

This evening's special - Steamed shell corporations with Kraft Cheese Sauce...

ShadowInventory wrote:

Steamed shell corporations with Kraft Cheese Sauce...

And Georgia moonshine.

Sure, just another walk away debtor. But this one is business.

Fifty-four Chicago-area hotels with a combined $1.2 billion in loans are in various degrees of distress, according to a recent report from Real Capital Analytics Inc. The list downtown includes the Hotel Burnham in the Loop and the Amalfi Hotel in River North.

Does Kraft make cheese curds? You could make poutine, eh.

OT
So my oldest daughter just called to tell me that her short sale was approved, $300 under amount owed plus Realtor fees. Bank says there are 7 liens on the property, not, including one for over
150k to the Federal Govt. Title ins. says can't see any of that.
Can kicking? What?

LAM wrote:

the Amalfi Hotel in River North.

That is a typo. It should be "a mafia Hotel"

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

End the FDIC.

Never interfere when your enemies are committing suicide.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

End the FDIC.

End world hunger. Kill all the hungry people. Problem solved.

grillfalcon wrote:

there are 7 liens on the property

Holy No one 17 and under admitted

Secret ingredient? Well, we KNOW it can't be cheese..

Never interfere when your enemies are committing suicide.

Yeah but do they have to kill that $500 billion hostage before themselves?

You know, little Johnny Taxpayer....

ShadowInventory wrote:

So PAY ATTENTION China, Japan - dont be buying up bonds from profligate spenders, like the US Congress.....

Ahh, so you are convinced that China and Japan have recently, in secret, decided not to run a CA surplus? Exceptional insight.

Cheese whiz? are they the same folks who make Whiz Beer?

If you want to see what a REAL bank run looks like. Look elsewhere in the world where there is no deposit insurance. It gets very ugly very fast at the first whiff of trouble.

Hong Kong had a bank run start a few years back because there was a long line waiting for a bus and the line happened to be next to a bank. Cell-phone texts started flying and a bank run started.

The problem is not the intent of the FDIC as it was initially invisaged. It's that it was bastardized in the same way very good idea gets bastardized and corrupted in the US.

The full article on the Allerton Hotel in Chicago mentions the Amalfi Hotel as being in similar situation. I stayed there a couple of years ago when it first opened and it was quite nice at a good price. Current pricing per Kayak is about $170/day; pretty good for Chicago.

yossarian wrote:

Secret ingredient?

The secret ingredient in the Big Mac's secret sauce is pureed hungry people. It really is ironic that hungry people taste so good.

??:???

The liens are there or not Get copies. If filed they will have little rec0rding numbers on them. Are they against the daughter or a prior owner? Does she have common name?

Mary Johnson? Maria Rodriguez? could be a different person.
Ididn't get the meds for an hour after sked time.

The problem is not the intent of the FDIC as it was initially invisaged. It's that it was bastardized in the same way very good idea gets bastardized and corrupted in the US.

Socialize the losses, privatize the profits and bonuses. Not a very good idea from the start. Neither is a ponzi scheme, from the suckers' perspective.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Neither is a ponzi scheme, from the suckers' perspective.

I imagine that if it were a Fonzi scheme, the results would have been much cooler.

Liz,
Told her to get the paper. Don't know about common names, will find out.
Title ins. said clear title. This north of Balto. by the way.
Meds kicking in I hope.

lawyerliz wrote:

Ididn't get the meds for an hour after sked time.

Nancy Reagan says, "Just say no to drugs." However, it is hard to say no to Nancy Reagan. Especially when she is wearing a teddy.

Well, I just got blown out of the water after voting 4 again, heck. I don't know how happy my liver will be to 7 toast for seven roasted banks. Well, I still got a 7 hours before I can enjoy the Dooooooooooooooom!!!

Insurance is a very good idea. For-profit insurance is a ponzi scheme. Hundred-million dollar bonuses in the FIRE sector for hiding money under shells was the eye of Hurricane Ponzi.

Time to throw bacon grease at cop cars. Good night. May the man with the plan have a good plan and not an evil plan.

Perhaps we need to return the FIRE ecomony (Insurance, Banks, Investment Banks) to unlimited liability status. That would definately reduce the overleveraging and excessive risk taking more than any other regulation TPTB could impose.

Is the daughter buying or selling?

Title insurance is not a substitute for good title. How to say this?? I know it's hard to believe, but sometimes title underwriters take a long time to pay.

Liz,
Daughter is selling. Big new job on the Eastern Shore.
Slow underwriters? hoocoodanode!

Aaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhhh. The Red Pill

If Sheila Bair is going to run this race like an ultra-marathon-speedwalking competition, she should have some spare time -- could she star in a reality tv show where she chases a leprechaun to get the leprechaun's pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Economically, aggregate welfare increases so legislators should wholeheartedly support the idea

give it some time--that was very conceptual.

lawyerliz wrote:

Everybody gone?

Looks that way-

lawyerliz wrote:

Everybody gone?

Seven Beer and we might as well all be on perkoset. Just waiting for 5:00 PM on the left coast.

Still here. Had to read mail, eat food.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Seven Beer and we might as well all be on perkoset. Just waiting for 5:00 PM on the left coast.

Thought we had until 6.

Edit: never mind. I'm waiting for 5 as well. Beautiful day out there.

Did Geithner or Bair or Obama's neighbour ever sell their houses?

fudge_hend wrote:

Georgia will not be out failed! The south shall fail again.

GA should opt-out of banks being closed like they plan to opt-out of health care reform (if it passes)

Rob Dawg wrote:

10y T v. 30y Conventional Mortgage Spread?Wow.
And I thought 151+ bps was the throwaway number.

I think the current spread is ~ 100bps. So that means an increase of just another 50bps on the spread once the Fed stops buying.

Seven cocktails and everyone is passed out already?

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Seven cocktails and everyone is passed out already?

3 and I'm done. Party

kali Greece Italy all still here.

Commentators bored.

Citi still here.

Blehhh.

Just H2O cocktails now days for me. Seven of those and I slosh when I walk.

dfwmix wrote:

Rob Dawg wrote:
10y T v. 30y Conventional Mortgage Spread?Wow.
And I thought 151+ bps was the throwaway number.
I think the current spread is ~ 100bps. So that means an increase of just another 50bps on the spread once the Fed stops buying.

10y 3.70% 30y Fixed conventional 5%. The poll was how much more the spread will widen.

Interesting concept, the government forces you to buy something just for living.

Not like driving a car, where you can always chose not to own a car.

Or buying property insurance, where you can always chose to not own a house.

If you are alive, you MUST buy health insurance or you will be fined.

Our founding fathers must be rolling in their graves. I would bet they would take up arms against the current POTUS.

End in sight, health care battle tilts Obama's way - Yahoo! News

"For the first time, most Americans would be required to purchase insurance, and they would face penalties if they refused. "

The UK has an election in May, Q1 prelim GDP numbers come out a week before the vote, should be fun
Relatively speaking, Greece is the model of austerity

ghostface - Right you are.

I wish they would just call it what it is - a health care tax.

wELL DAWG. lIZ TAPS FINGER.

When does kali enter the Twilight zone?

Silly question. Would the penalties be applied to the miscreant's health insurance?

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

"For the first time, most Americans would be required to purchase insurance, and they would face penalties if they refused. "

Isn't that a better solution than taxpayers paying billions in emergency room charges for uninsured 30m plus folks? Economics pov alone, societal obligations aside?

"For the first time, most Americans would be required to purchase insurance, and they would face penalties if they refused. "

They still haven't gotten blood out of a turnip. I see this ending badly.

When does kali enter the Twilight zone?

You mean it left? Oh feces, I miss all the good stuff.

Outsider... I wish they would just call it what it is - a health care tax. +11

LAM wrote:

*Hiawassee, GA
Population: 808 (no joke) *

71 more critters than us.... at least our bank has a 2 star rating

Yupper Sheila ranged far and wide this week...

Aurora Minnesota... check it out, won't take long.

EDIT: Look for 'Big Guys Bar'... next to 'The Other Garage'...LOL.

Outsider
with all due respect, I don't see what any of it has to do with healthcare
healthcare is just the chosen ground for a set of independent battles

They still haven't gotten blood out of a turnip. I see this ending badly.

Massachusetts has been doing this for what, a couple years now? I wonder if they've had problems with non-compliance. I haven't heard any big stories about it.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

They still haven't gotten blood out of a turnip. I see this ending badly.

I can't see how this would ever be considered Constitutional. Forcing someone to buy something?

Then again, with today's Supreme Court...

Well, EHP, I don't know. Obama seems to believe it's all about healthcare. I don't know why he chose this issue. I wish he had gotten more steamed about the oligarchy than health care. Maybe then we could have made some progress by now.

lawyerliz wrote:

wELL DAWG. lIZ TAPS FINGER.
When does kali enter the Twilight zone?

California? I don't want to jinx it until my tax refund deposit clears.

For the entire nation? Sometime Sunday. From the CBO:
About $53 billion of the net deficit reduction is from Social Security taxes collected on the wages people will now be getting in lieu of health care benefits.

Bwahahah! They think wages will rise to replace lost healthcare benefits.

good lord, who let Bair's army on the loose ?

is it to late to pick 10 ?

Republican Health Care Horror Story

John Thomas (46), a single father with three children was arrested in Middletown, Ohio today on charges of failing to pay his insurance premium. Mr. Thomas, in tears, as he was led away from his weeping children shouted to our local reporter "I have no job! It was buy food or pay for health care!"

Democrat Health Care Horror Story

Tamika McCain (32), mother of four, was found dead in the hallway of the Ramada Inn where she worked in Custodial Services. The cause of death was reported to be Chinese made Benedril that she had purchased from the local drugstore. Sources report the company that imported it is run by Dick Boner, Chairman of Republicans for Freedom. .

Americans could all get jobs insuring one another, then re-insuring. Oh wait, that's the oligopoly that makes Buffett's billions. Never mind. So much value added. That old guy is motivated to take risk for that extra dollar...

Outsider wrote:

I wish he had gotten more steamed about the oligarchy than health care.

He works for the oligarchy. This is as much about control of the masses as it is about healthcare.

I heard a lot hadn't, but compliance had improved.

Outsider,

Chase down todays Neil Cavoto, he had the state treasurer on and pretty much said it is costing way beyond the projections and is a debt mess. It has been interesting the lack of news on their attempt to do health care. I see that as not good.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

The UK has an election in May, Q1 prelim GDP numbers come out a week before the vote, should be fun
Relatively speaking, Greece is the model of austerity

Looking at Germany, it isn't exactly a great time to win elections. Great win in September and now falling polls and a very harsh time.

Chase down todays Neil Cavoto, he had the state treasurer on and pretty much said it is costing way beyond the projections and is a debt mess.

Makes me nauseous just reading your 3 lines about it. I could never stomach the rest of the story.

Another nail in the coffin.

What the heck is going on with Puerto Rico?

If this was a hockey game, I'd tell Sheila to quit dancing, drop the gloves, and take them out. They've been skating around each other and feinting for ages.

RE wrote:

it isn't exactly a great time to win elections.

Labor's big hope in the election is to not lose too badly so they can prevent the Tories from running the country for a couple of years while they finish the knife fight to see who leads the party once they dump Brown.

They've been stealing SS monies for decades. What's to stop them from stealing HC monies in the future?

noob:

Shiela is trying to line up buyers and financing. If she seizes 62 billion in assets outright, it means a trip to the Treasury during a very sensitive political battle. She's a political animal just like all high ranking government officials.

Outsider, if they can't pass healthcare how in the h e double hockeysticks can they take on the Oligarchy?

Comrade Kristina wrote:

can they take on the Oligarchy?

Do you think they want to?

What makes you think they want to, CK? They are the oligarchy... or their tools.

Perhaps Puerto Rico is turning out to be messier than anyone thought.

According to two people familiar with the matter, the agency has hired an investment bank to try to find capital or outright purchasers for W Holding Co. Inc., R&G Financial Corp. and Eurobancshares Inc., which have almost $21 billion in combined assets.

The three banks hold almost 30% of Puerto Rico's $62 billion of deposits, and their bank subsidiaries are operating under enhanced FDIC scrutiny.

Comrade Kristina
I hate to be the one to break it to you, but 'special interests' as Obama groups them, are the ones supporting what is being called healthcare

Outsider wrote:

Massachusetts has been doing this for what, a couple years now? I wonder if they've had problems with non-compliance. I haven't heard any big stories about it.

I haven't heard of any noncompliance issues, but I've heard of some big boosts in premiums in spite of the promise of savings and reduced costs. One of our dem congressmen (Steven Lynch) announced yesterday or today that he was voting no on the federal bill, and our formerly dem treasurer has quit the party and is now planning an independent run for governor. He's been quoted as saying that the bill presently under consideration will bankrupt the country in 4 years, and is heavily opposed to it. He should know; it's been his job to try and figure out how to pay for our universal health care fiasco for the last few years....

Oligarchies fail when oligarchs continually write themselves bigger bonuses while working wages fall. Oh, wait.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Outsider, if they can't pass healthcare how in the h e double hockeysticks can they take on the Oligarchy?

But they are not - that's the problem - this 'health care reform bill' is an insurance & mega-provider bailout bill. The reason the right doesn't frame it that way is they are as bought & paid for as the so called reformers.

The only thing this bill does is push us closer toward real reforms - once it blows up.

Until then... Skol! Beer

I think R&G alone is a probable 10B.

Rajesh wrote:

Labor's big hope in the election is to not lose too badly so they can prevent the Tories from running the country for a couple of years while they finish the knife fight to see who leads the party once they dump Brown.

Yep, that is in essence what it has come down to. I'm not sure that the present Tory lead will actually result in a Tory government. They seem to need about 40% but are presently at 36%.

UK Polling Report

SS, as I understand, will be cash flow negative for a couple years, return to the black for 2013-2016, then go into terminal decline from then on. All thins puts more and more pressure on the Treasury to raise money. Some people still don't get that all the SS money has already been spent by guys like me. I just ordered some new firefighting equipment for the site. Your SS payments at work.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

What makes you think they want to, CK? They are the oligarchy... or their tools.

Exactly. This bill has very little to do with healthcare, and a lot to do with control and subjugation.

"You MUST buy health insurance slave, you MUST pay higher taxes to the machine, you MUST, you MUST, you MUST".

nova wrote:

Sources report the company that imported it is run by Dick Boner

Dick Boner!? Did you make that up? Laughing out loud

Cinco-X,

That sounds like the guy I was listening to today.

nova wrote:

Republican Health Care Horror Story / Democrat Health Care Horror Story

In politics, rhetoric trumps logic every single time. Double rhetoric doesn't cancel out, it just makes people twice as angry.

For the real clincher, just wait for a story about someone who is arrested for failing to pay their premiums and while he is in the clink his wife suffers a fall, is rushed to ER, and they are saddled with $100K in healthcare debt because they aren't covered by insurance.

dryfly wrote:

this 'health care reform bill' is an insurance & mega-provider bailout bill.

"You MUST pay higher premiums to the corporatists, slave. If not we will fine you and garner your slave wages."

Cinco - How does the average beleaguered Mass. citizen who is living thru recessionary job losses afford higher and higher mandated premiums? There must be some serious subsidization going on.

He's been quoted as saying that the bill presently under consideration will bankrupt the country in 4 years

Why can they not see this? It makes one wonder whether bk-ing the US isn't part of the plan?

Jeesh, this is just too Tinfoil Hat I don't want to harsh anyone's Friday night. I better sequester myself.

Nytol

nova wrote:

Perhaps Puerto Rico is turning out to be messier than anyone thought.

I'm sure that is the case.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Outsider, if they can't pass healthcare how in the h e double hockeysticks can they take on the Oligarchy?

Better question: why expend all of this political capital when they should have gone after TPTB straight away?

Nuke wrote:

Shiela is trying to line up buyers and financing. If she seizes 62 billion in assets outright, it means a trip to the Treasury during a very sensitive political battle. She's a political animal just like all high ranking government officials.

She's been trying to line up those buyers for almost two years.

At a certain point I'd assume that she'd accept that no one wants them.

Outsider wrote:

It makes one wonder whether bk-ing the US isn't part of the plan?

It is.

noob goldberg wrote:

In politics, rhetoric trumps logic every single time.

Rhetoric grounded in emotion not logic.

Oh, I'm not under any illusions about the HCR bill. I dislike it. I am hoping Grayson can push his agenda of Buy in to Medicare for all. I also understand if they don't pass something now it will be another generation before they try again. That is simply not acceptable.

11 fouls, 4 yellow cards, nil-nil, waiting on a clumsy red card challenge in the box: 93rd minute.

dryfly wrote:

The only thing this bill does is push us closer toward real reforms - once it blows up.

This is why this bill needs to go through. Politics is about advancing issues by inches. I don't like the bill but consider it incredibly important because it will likely forever banish rescission and pre-existing conditions unless the courts turn it down. I also believe that its failure will bring the public option much closer to fruition than no bill at all.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

That sounds like the guy I was listening to today.

He was on "Greater Boston" with Emily Rooney a couple of nights ago, and the right wing press has undoubtedly got wind of it and are pumping his views as best they can. I read that GFI's link, and it's not looking good. I guess it's out of our hands now.......

Senator Bernie Sanders, an Independent from Vermont, said the decision was a “major victory” for U.S. taxpayers.

“This money does not belong to the Federal Reserve,” Sanders said in a statement. “It belongs to the American people, and the American people have a right to know where more than $2 trillion of their money has gone.”

But it says "Federal Reserve" right on the money...
FED IS OVER
(If you want it)

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

It makes one wonder whether bk-ing the US isn't part of the plan?

It is.

Yep.

dryfly wrote:

Rhetoric grounded in emotion not logic.

No, of course not. I hope I didn't give that impression.

What it is, however, is politics. What I'm saying is that it's hard to defeat rhetoric with logic and a sound argument. It appears cold and unfeeling and can easily become a political liability.

EDIT: Sorry, I think I see what you're saying. Yes, rhetoric that feeds into people's most basic emotions, like anger, fear, pity, etc. Not hot air for the sake of hot air.

Why can they not see this?

Because 4 years is an eternity away.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Oh, I'm not under any illusions about the HCR bill. I dislike it. I am hoping Grayson can push his agenda of Buy in to Medicare for all.

It would break the bank. Or the buy in would be so severe none would. The only compelling area fed.gov has an interest is in catastrophic and nobody's talking about that.

noob,

You are missing the camera work as it slowly moves in on the face of the 3 kids. Two blond girls, one a toddler clutching a stuffed bear, a boy, blue eyed and tring to be brave and comforts his sister. Dad, a fit White male with exceptional hair an anquished face. Then the backstory. The wife dead in a runaway Prius accident. How Dad volunteers with special needs kids.

RE wrote:

This is why this bill needs to go through. Politics is about advancing issues by inches. I don't like the bill but consider it incredibly important because it will likely forever banish rescission and pre-existing conditions unless the courts turn it down. I also believe that its failure will bring the public option much closer to fruition than no bill at all.

You might get exactly the opposite - depends on the outcome of the next election. Regardless the current bill is a Nothingburger unless you are a big insurer or provider [then its Ka Ching]....

No minority governments (hung parliament, largest party in parliament doesn't have a majority, then there there can be lots of negotiation or coalitions) in the UK since 1979 right?
given the fiscal situation, the only successful governing strategy would be to bribe all the referees and poor countries England may face in the World Cup
I'm not trying to be gauche, I think UK solvency is crisis #1 at the moment
BoE not only monetized all new issuance, but also debt issuance from before it began
there aren't any clear stages between now and the breaking point

Before I try to go calm myself down, the other thought is what is tucked into this bill. Such as, what rights are we giving up, including rights to privacy re: our medical histories. Absolutely scary.

D'oh! I did it again. Someone please tell me it's Tinfoil Hat Or better yet, this is all a bad dream.

(I only have one beer in the fridge. And I'm saving that for emergencies. Like bedtime. Smile )

nova wrote:

You are missing the camera work as it slowly moves in on the face of the 3 kids. Two blond girls, one a toddler clutching a stuffed bear, a boy, blue eyed and tring to be brave and comforts his sister. Dad, a fit White male with exceptioal hair an anquished face. Then the backstory. The wife dead in a runaway Prius accident. How Dad volunteers with special needs kids.

If you weren't such a good writer, nova, I'd say you missed your calling as a political communications consultant. Follow that up with a policy brief to an influential politician and you can see how dangerous a heart-wrenching story can be.

Kristina:

I'm with dryfly. Medicare is blowing up as we speak. Allowing a buy in now would immediately overwhelm the program, trigger deep payment cuts, and bankrupt lots of providers. Sorry, but some problems don't have easy (or palatable) solutions.

I am hoping Grayson can push his agenda of Buy in to Medicare for all.

"At cost."

Why not? Either the ponzi insurer and reinsurer make a bigger profit or health care costs go down. Not both.

nova wrote:

The wife dead in a runaway Prius accident.

You left out "a runaway Prius driven by an illegal Chinese communist immigrant who was stoked up on meth mixed with melamine while listening to a pirated Britney Spears CD signed by Tiger Woods."

BoE still has some dry Treasury powder they can dump. Where's Buiter? Aint workin for the Queen last I checked.

There are no heated verbal battles in the US. There are carefully crafted video segments and well reseached buzz words strung together to make the average Americans thought process twitch like a frog leg attached to a car battery.

bANK fAILURE wrote:

Where's Buiter?

He's a CitiGuy now.

I go with Nuke and Dryfly. Simply put there is no revenue stream to support some thing that has already been robbed and failing.

Outsider wrote:

Cinco - How does the average beleaguered Mass. citizen who is living thru recessionary job losses afford higher and higher mandated premiums? There must be some serious subsidization going on.
He's been quoted as saying that the bill presently under consideration will bankrupt the country in 4 years

There's a lot of subsidization for the lower income folks, and of course, if you have a higher income, the odds are you have a company policy. The state either provides or mandates some high deductible plans; if you're not covered some other way, you can get one of these and essentially pay your own way unless something big happens (I seem to recall a $500 deductible for one of them, but I'm not sure), and then you have the "major medical" policy to fall back on. Even with the high deductible, they're not that cheap; maybe $5k/year? I'm not sure...

Why can they not see this? It makes one wonder whether bk-ing the US isn't part of the plan?

It might be.....But on the other hand, if they put the country in bad enough shape, we'll have no other choice than to depend on government handouts, and the USG will be able to decide the winners and losers as they see fit-

Rajesh, That was good. A little over the top but it would work.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I also understand if they don't pass something now it will be another generation before they try again. That is simply not acceptable.

If that's the case, why not pass a bill for a national holiday where everyone must wear a red clown nose?
Something instead of nothing is only relevant if you are fighting for anything
As in if I wanted to relax, I wouldn't accept a kick in the nuts instead of kayaking or frisbee

noob goldberg wrote:

Sorry, I think I see what you're saying. Yes, rhetoric that feeds into people's most basic emotions, like anger, fear, pity, etc. Not hot air for the sake of hot air.

Yup. BTW - go back & check out the Aurora MN Google Map link I posted above - tell me that doesn't look like NW Ontario. East Mesabi has a nice little hockey program too - for a town that small. I was drinking at Mardi Gras one night with both a bunch of US citizens from SE US & Canadians from near Thunder Bay - I had WAY more in common with the folks from Thunder Bay than I did with the party from Alabama & Mississippi. Weird how that works.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

Because 4 years is an eternity away.

It's only 3 years now...

dryfly wrote:

You might get exactly the opposite - depends on the outcome of the next election. Regardless the current bill is a Nothingburger unless you are a big insurer or provider [then its Ka Ching]....

My expectation is that the Dems will lose big in the next election. For Obama to win in 2012, he needs this to happen. It is much easier to play defense of the common good rather than advancing the common good from a majority party where everybody expects lots of goodies. Unless the courts nix the health care bill, Obama will veto any watering down at least until 2012 and with a decent chance until 2016.

Once the bill is active, it will be political suicide to kill the most preferred provisions. It will then be purely about tuning. The opposition knows this very well.

nova:

I'm watching Breaking Bad, probably the best drama to TV right now. You would make an excellent screenwriter. Have you considered trying to sell a series based on American Apocalypse? I could see FX making it, in the same tradition of The Shield or Sons of Anarchy.

Who you gonna take in the mini-bracket of Vickles and Buiter against Kashkari and Gross?

dryfly wrote:

The only compelling area fed.gov has an interest is in catastrophic and nobody's talking about that.

You and I have talked about it, not that anyone else was listening...

Allowing a buy in now would immediately overwhelm the program, trigger deep payment cuts, and bankrupt lots of providers.

Why? I'd buy in for catastrophic. That's all I want. Why should I have to pay Buffett?

Cinco-X wrote:

You and I have talked about it, not that anyone else was listening...

I've bounced it off hard core business guys I work with - more conservative than any one on this forum - they bought in. Maybe that's why it goes nowhere - it would end the debate.

nuke, I can't even get an agent.

bANK fAILURE wrote:

Vickles and Buiter against Kashkari and Gross?

Got to stick with Gross. He's the go to guy at the moment.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Why? I'd buy in for catastrophic. That's all I want. Why should I have to pay Buffett?

Who do you think insures embassies and other government buildings? Reinsurers do directly

anybody watching the Paulsen and Soros brackets?

looks fairly correlated.

dryfly wrote:

You might get exactly the opposite - depends on the outcome of the next election. Regardless the current bill is a Nothingburger unless you are a big insurer or provider [then its Ka Ching]....

Steven Lynch was on the tube this morning saying "I know the bill is bad based on the number of calls my office is getting from insurance companies asking me to vote yes". Follow the money-

Im not so sure Raj, everybody is levering up short bonds looking and playing for the buzzer beater.

nova wrote:

There are no heated verbal battles in the US. There are carefully crafted video segments and well researched [New Speak] strung together to make the average Americans thought process twitch like a frog leg attached to a car battery. Fixed It For Ya

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

I'm not trying to be gauche, I think UK solvency is crisis #1 at the moment

I agree with that. No government in the U.K. will enjoy its reign, see Greece for pointers and the U.K. is quite a bit more spoilt.

dryfly wrote:

EDIT: Look for 'Big Guys Bar'... next to 'The Other Garage'...LOL.

HA!

Google Maps

And it does look like a smaller version of Kenora. I've told my wife more than once that we might do worse than have a house in Kenora and a condo in Florida when we're old and frail. I don't know why that town grabbed my heart, as I've only been there a handful of times and never for very long, but there's something about it, and the landscape around it.

Why? I'd buy in for catastrophic.

Because by the time the politicians got through with it the coverage would expand, the costs would explode and the system will fail. The best example is the TennCare program. It was originally intended to provide catastrophic coverage. By the time the state killed the program a few years later it was consuming something like 40% of the budget and sucking all the oxygen out of the room.

dryfly wrote:

I've bounced it off hard core business guys I work with - more conservative than any one on this forum - they bought in.

More conservative the moi?

Fuck the profiteers.
Oligopoly scum.
Bonus whores.
Ponzi fraudsters.
Just give me medicare AT COST.

part of it is that the UK is orders of magnitude larger, interconnected, .... relevant. Socially, financially, politically.
even if the funds could be made available to critically damp the disruption, would other countries get past their rivalries bury the hatchet and help, if they did then what kind of fallout would this have on confidence in the UK and countries globally

Nuke wrote:

By the time the state killed the program a few years later it was consuming something like 40% of the budget and sucking all the oxygen out of the room.

That can't be good for your health!
Wink

It's only 3 years now...

Junkies only look to the next fix, not the one after that or the one after that. Whores may have a bit more foresight, but I'd have to defer to an expert on that question.

noob goldberg wrote:

And it does look like a smaller version of Kenora. I've told my wife more than once that we might do worse than have a house in Kenora...

Been to Kenora many times. When I was younger I wanted to kayak from Warroad to Kenora - about 110 miles. Long enough to enjoy the trek but not too long - lotsa fishing along the way.

That was before 9/11 made border crossings a challenge.

Best fries [with gravy on them] I've ever had in Kenora.

Well, in Arizona, our Hooveresque Lobbyslature has just dumped 340,000 people off of our rock bottom health care system. I could dig up the quote from the Republican Gov that they should just "..go to the hospitals emergency rooms and free clinics when they need care." but what would be the point?

You want to see a collapsing health care system- that was 5% of the state population that was just thrown under the health care bus!

Now, how much is the amount medicare and insurance are going to have to pay to provide services to those folks?

It is very interesting to live in a state approaching collapse, with ideology running wild, and common sense rarer than hen's teeth. The really funny part is the republicans are still giving tax cuts to big business, while the tea party folks protest tax hikes!!! Cognitive dissonance is the national state of mind!!!

Someday this war's gonna end....

to recover or not to recover? this is the question Excel is asking itself right now...

how goes bff?

Cinco-X wrote:

More conservative the moi?

Yes.

Putting everyone on Medicare would also crush the providers. Medicare doesn't reimburse at cost. The healthcare unions would be the first to cry bloody murder after the layoffs and pay cuts hit.

dryfly wrote:

More conservative the moi?

Yes.

Hmmm......do they really have people like that in MN?

Best fries [with gravy on them] I've ever had in Kenora.

I've been a Californian for 50 years but that brings back wonderful memories of Tops Diner in Johnstown, PA (RIP)

well, what if I didn't have health insurance????

National Health Care

The National Health Care Dept announced the building of its new offices in No. VA. Regional offices will be constructed in (insert Senator or Congressman who is collecting on vote).

The Dept. of NHC is projected to employ 70,000 federal workers within 2 years. Today the President said "In these times of high unemplyment my administration has shown it can create jobs!" Critics of the new agency say it will cost the taxpayer an estimated 53B just for the first year administration costs.

RockyR wrote:

to recover or not to recover? this is the question Excel is asking itself right now...

You should have seen what popped up when I was changing the glass in the back door:

http://kuvaton.com/kuvei/windows_paperclip.jpg

Cinco-X wrote:

Hmmm......do they really have people like that in MN?

Yes - see M Bachman - she didn't steal the election - people voted for her. The folks I know are very good businessmen but less intellectual about their conservativeness - more visceral.

Nuke wrote:

Putting everyone on Medicare would also crush the providers. Medicare doesn't reimburse at cost. The healthcare unions would be the first to cry bloody murder after the layoffs and pay cuts hit.

What all the folks who advocate single payer systems, etc. fail to realize is that one reason our regular insurance premiums keep going up is that providers are doing Medicare and Medicaid work at below cost, and passing the bill over to the folks with regular insurance. If the US goes over to a single payer system, these payments will either have to reflect the real costs it takes to provide care, or some care will have to be curtailed. There are no savings to be had, and MA is just one example of why this is true-

lawyerliz wrote:

well, what if I didn't have health insurance????

Welcome to much of the US - what can you sell to pay the bill? Nothing? Well there is bankruptcy. Not being snarky - just the way it is.

lawyerliz wrote:

well, what if I didn't have health insurance????

They shoot horses, don't they?

Well liz, they'd have treated you at the ER. You'd get the Medicaid/Workers Comp Special. I have a coworker that fell at work. She broke her ankle, badly. She's had 6 or 7 operations to fix the original screw up and is still not recovered well over a year later. She's lost what little she has and is still not working.

In case anyone hasen't visited the post recently:

March banking madness
Bair's team dominate the boards
Four more fall today

by Soylent Green is People

nova:

The Dept. of NHC is projected to employ 70,000 federal workers within 2 years. Today the President said "In these times of high unemplyment my administration has shown it can create jobs!" Critics of the new agency say it will cost the taxpayer an estimated 53B just for the first year administration costs.

Yeah, I could see that. You need an agent and a contract with FX.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

even if the funds could be made available to critically damp the disruption, would other countries get past their rivalries bury the hatchet and help, if they did then what kind of fallout would this have on confidence in the UK and countries globally

This is why Greece as a precedent is so interesting. Any decision could affect what happens if the U.K. falls. Because the U.K. has long been dismissive regarding the Euro, it would be much harder to find support, especially in France and Germany. Obviously old rivalries play a role as well but I believe the sense of humiliation in the U.K. to have to accept foreign aid and support would be a sight to behold. Wouldn't even compare with 1992.

Globally, it would change the sovereign debt markets in a fundamental way...

Cinco-X wrote:

What all the folks who advocate single payer systems, etc. fail to realize is that one reason our regular insurance premiums keep going up is that providers are doing Medicare and Medicaid work at below cost, and passing the bill over to the folks with regular insurance.

And those who aren't insured who show up deathly sick anyway. How uncourteous of them.

LL,

the only reason to have insurance is to protect you wealth. When you have nothing your have nothing to lose. Very popular now days to have nothing and live off the fat of the land.

Cinco:

How is the MA budget situation? In NY, we are 9 billion in the red and counting. The deficit goes up every month as revenue comes in below expectations. They just froze state payments to schools and tax refunds so we can pay the bonds coming due in April.

I think the rich should all have private doctors 24/7 like Michael Jackson had.

dryfly wrote:

And those who aren't insured who show up deathly sick anyway. How uncourteous of them.

Here in MA, the folks that used to show up before at ER's with no insurance still show up at ERs. No behavior has changed. It's not like trading places....

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

PeteSearch: How to split up the US

I didn't see that the first time it was posted. That's really cool!

Time to go. Nytol

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

I think the rich should all have private doctors 24/7 like Michael Jackson had.

The future is now.

There is an emergency health care center run by the same people who run all of No.VA's hospitals, well almost all of them. I have been in there four or five times. It is fast and has an excellent staff. No insurance and it is "Sorry. Try County." My wife worked in a clinic in DC and people would rather die at their desk than call an ambulance in DC. Why? On a 911 call you pay to ride.

Since we've devolved into a health care discussion, a hidden cost of medicine...

My daughter is a pediatrician. She has two young children of her own.

It is a rare moment when she, her kids, and her husband are all healthy.

Every germ descends on her household (and some make it to grandpa and grandma [cough, cough]

you would have spent the money you're hoarding. As a highly educated and professional woman married to an extremely talented NASA engineer with a paid off house, enjoy.

people who don't have saved money,quality education, or stable housing don't have that luxury.

The HCR is not about you liz, its about your college educated architect daughters', daughter.

To say to someone who is injured an needs care to go stand in todays equivalent of the poorhouse line is on the same level of a father who would feed his son stones instead of bread.

Cinco-X wrote:

Here in MA, the folks that used to show up before at ER's with no insurance still show up at ERs. No behavior has changed. It's not like trading places....

And what are they supposed to do? They are poor have a kid who has broken a leg - bone sticking out - and tough it? They go the ER and worry about the bill later. The thing that blows me away is otherwise smart people seem shocked by this behavior - like the people were cutting in line at the movies.

Nuke wrote:

How is the MA budget situation? In NY, we are 9 billion in the red and counting. The deficit goes up every month as revenue comes in below expectations. They just froze state payments to schools and tax refunds so we can pay the bonds coming due in April.

Not as bad, but we're still in the red, and despite the fact that the state government started curtailing expenses early on (and I have mentioned that I thought that was a good thing for Gov. Patrick to have done), we seem to keep sinking deeper and having continuing budget shortfalls. Some fees have been raised, and the sales tax went up too, but the $h!t hasn't really hit the fan yet....

Cinco-X wrote:

Here in MA, the folks that used to show up before at ER's with no insurance still show up at ERs. No behavior has changed. It's not like trading places....

Ever been to ER at one of these hospitals? It is an awe inspiring site. I've been to Kaiser Fontana's ER in SoCal a few times and what you see there should make anybody rethink that ER is a humane way to treat people. With no insurance, people sometimes wait hours in waiting rooms hurting and moaning all the way.

cinco:

My dad lives in MA. He has mostly praise for Duval Patrick. He echoes your sentiments: that he started cutting early and has avoided some of the huge tax increases/spending cuts elsewhere. Also, he seems to have done a better job standing up to the public sector unions than Paterson, who completely folded in 2008.

Every State is in the red right now. Florida is in deep and we have no Health Care. In fact, 25% of this State is uninsured which should be shocking considering the high percentage of Seniors in our population that are covered through Medicare/Medicaid. I would guess that translated to about 40% uninsured in the working population.

I guess I am rich? Never thought this would be rich.

I wouldn't feel guilty, about just having money, but this is having life.

It's all so simple, just eliminate insurance coverage and medicare. Let everyone pay for their own healthcare out of their pocket.

I know, aint gonna happen!

The tea party socialists will scream when their Medicare is cut off, as well as the rest of the seniors, as well as all other free loaders.

Just imagine though, a real market based health care system, just what the right wants. A real Darwinian system where the strong survive and the weak die!

I won't matter, we are going to get the same old socialism, just what form it takes, who knows?

Putting everyone on Medicare as default is the only way to keep the entire medicare system solvent. Over the next two decades, Medicare will add an average of 4 million people per year as the boomers impact the system. Current funding is less than 30% of what will be necessary, and those folks demand their healthcare as their boomer birthright.

So, the only way to provide those massive increases in GDP that those folks will eat up is higher taxes, and you get that the easy way, by extending coverage. The current health care bill is designed to fail, and the Republicans are total dupes by fighting it. Sometimes you can win by allowing others their follies. I also think the currency may fail at the inability to solve our problems through actual solutions instead of ideology.

Someday this war's gonna end...

I would guess you are "rich" by most people's standards liz. When half the population makes less than 32K per year and only 10% make 200K or more it doesn't take much to fall into "rich".

bANK fAILURE wrote:

The HCR is not about you liz, its about your college educated architect daughters', daughter.

Except this bill isn't taking care of them either - its taking care of Medica & BC/BS.

lawyerliz wrote:

I guess I am rich?

Everyone knows that lawyers are rich. And your husband is a government employee, they are rich too!

Snark Off.

RE
What about looking at Pakistan instead? That came together at the very last minute, around $10bn from the IMF over several years.
As for systemically important, I don't think that is a strong enough reason to get other countries on board. Some of the cross-border central bank relationships turned nasty with the BoE. At the end of the day, deal making is a personal business. The bickering about superiority and dominance just seals the deal.
Whatever the costs, it will be cheaper to look after oneself than to do that and help the UK. What's more, domestic firms gain marketshare and get to choose from the best employees
I believe there is very good reason to see a UK bankruptcy within a decade, sooner rather than later, and that when it happens it will be one of the singular items used to define an era in the media and history books

dryfly wrote:

And what are they supposed to do? They are poor have a kid who has broken a leg - bone sticking out - and tough it? They go the ER and worry about the bill later. The thing that blows me away is otherwise smart people seem shocked by this behavior - like the people were cutting in line at the movies.

I'm not talking about folks with legitimate emergencies. I'm referring to the folks that go to the emergency room for a cold, and who instead of seeing the doctor on a regular basis and trying to stay healthy. Hell.....I've only been to the emergency room once in the over 25 years I've lived here, even though when I call my PCP for an urgent matter, they refer me to the emergency room. Instead, I'll ask to see another physician and avoid the huge bills; additionally, I have Harvard-Pilgrim insurance, so I COULD go to the ER if I wanted to do so. The only time I did was when I broke my leg skiing late on a Sunday night.
One of the claims for universal health care is that it will reduce costs by allowing poor folks to get regular health care from a PC rather than relying on care at the ER. It hasn't happened.

Some good reasons the Roman Empire collapsed? No public safety net. Slave revolts. Crony oligarchy manipulating the currency.

You think "the strong" are the ones with cash in pocket? Darwin says the strong are the ones that can pass a health care bill protecting them. They deserve to survive.

Yep. I would buy in immediately. My employers coverage is complete crap and not cheap. I would much rather pay into Medicare to help bolster the system than feed an insurance company more profits. They need to be gone. 17% of our GDP? Pfffft.

RE wrote:

Ever been to ER at one of these hospitals? It is an awe inspiring site. I've been to Kaiser Fontana's ER in SoCal a few times and what you see there should make anybody rethink that ER is a humane way to treat people. With no insurance, people sometimes wait hours in waiting rooms hurting and moaning all the way.

New Left Review - Teri Reynolds: Dispatches from the Emergency Room

an excerpt:

Frequently, the ed fails to take the whole patient into account. Given the volume and acuity of the patients we see, some stable patients just have too many problems to address in the course of a visit. We talk about the ‘chief complaint’ in medicine—the main reason for the visit. It might be abdominal pain, a sprained ankle, lost insurance or chest pain. When patients start on a list of several complaints, we sometimes ask them to identify the main thing that brought them in that day. A colleague recently signed out a patient to me as ‘a 65-year-old man with vision loss in one eye for two weeks, seen here four days ago for indigestion, now waiting for a ct scan to rule out stroke’. I asked why we had not evaluated his vision loss when we had seen him four days ago, and was told that the patient had not mentioned it then. When we asked him why, the patient said he had been told he could only have one problem. He chose the indigestion because it hurt, while the vision loss was painless.

LL,

It really doesn't take much in paid off assets to make the rich list now days. It just doesn't feel like your rich. I am the same poor kid just older.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I would guess that translated to about 40% uninsured in the working population.

If true - that is a recipe for disaster.

Those are the same people that have caused these "Super Bugs". Prancing off to the doctor or ER for antibiotics everytime they sneeze. And doctors need to be slapped for going along with that BS. They are every bit as culpable.

EHP:

WRT the UK, I think the default of a major western power will define the end of the modern welfare state. I have no clue what will replace it. Keep in mind this system has only been around for about 70 years.

Oh, the 25% uninsured is a fact. I'm just guessing on the other numbers. We have a huge Senior population that IS covered so you have to figure the employed population not covered by Medicare has to be huge that is uninsured. MOST of the people I know are not insured. Keep in mind we have a huge tourism industry and service employees rarely get insurance from their employers. Read "Nickel and Dimed" for an in depth look into that world.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

doctors need to be slapped for going along with that BS.

Doctors have to pay their bills, too. If they have to give prescriptions to hypochondriacs in order to finance their offices so they can treat who are really sick, can you really blame them?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Over the next two decades, Medicare will add an average of 4 million people per year as the boomers impact the system.

They're all going to show up with their hands out and scream about high taxes!

Nuke wrote:

My dad lives in MA. He has mostly praise for Duval Patrick. He echoes your sentiments: that he started cutting early and has avoided some of the huge tax increases/spending cuts elsewhere. Also, he seems to have done a better job standing up to the public sector unions than Paterson, who completely folded in 2008.

Patrick's only real mistake was when he was first elected, and he would say stupid stuff "off the cuff" in front of cameras. After about 4 mos. of that, he disappeared from the public eye for a few months, and when he returned, he was much better about "staying on message". I'm not criticizing him about it; it's just that when the whole state hangs on your words, and anything misspoken gets rehashed and analyzed to the nth degree, you have to maintain discipline. He hasn't been a bad governor considering the situation that arose after he took office.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Yep. I would buy in immediately. My employers coverage is complete crap and not cheap. I would much rather pay into Medicare to help bolster the system than feed an insurance company more profits. They need to be gone.
This bill will not let that happen. Obviously, this would be the logical solution. The only segment of the US population that competes with the wellness of the rest of the first world is people over 65.
Now, what do people over 65 have?

CK: Still in play:
Health Care's Last Lap: Which House Democrats Are Still In Play? | TPM LiveWire

and tell them to keep their government hands off their Medicare...snort.

Nuke wrote:

I have no clue what will replace it.

Socialism - real socialism retried and retreaded. People will not starve in the dark if their neighbor has it good even if their neighbor did it fair and square - won't happen. That's why safety nets are in the riches best interest not just the poor - but we have to learn that over and over by kicking heads around the street every few centuries. We'll do it again - probably some here reading now will have their heads or loved ones heads booted about.

the simplest way to adapt would be more flexibility/accessibility for work and education
people need to work longer, working people provide for themselves
the big change should be in the squeezing out of "middle-men"
but it could just be so chaotic that we'll all be hijacked by someone

Ya, spending by the people without any say by the people where that money goes.

He's taking my freedoms! I'm a hero!

Marine officers being deployed to Iraq were required to visit an ER in the inner city so they could see what an average shift brought in on a Sat. Night. Why? To make them familiar with severe trauma.

A country that has next to no social services net, no real UE benefits, no work, and what services that are provided by local gov being severely cut back is a country that will not avoid civil unrest.

Nytol

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

I believe there is very good reason to see a UK bankruptcy within a decade, sooner rather than later, and that when it happens it will be one of the singular items used to define an era in the media and history books

I have to go out for a while. But I agree with you, a U.K. default will put sovereign risk into a whole different category. It's not just Argentina anymore though Germany in the 1920's was quite an event by itself.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

big change should be in the squeezing out of "middle-men"

But the benevolent insurance company is going to save me!

I would have to say I have what most would call a gold plated health plan, and 5 years ago I got that "primary complaint" crap from my doctor. I have not seen that ... for around 5 years now.
Even when both the company and person pays a lot into the insurance, you still can end up being treated like cattle.

Dry and others assume that if HC bill passes, the costs will be excessive one way or the other. But non partisan estimates are predicting manageable costs even though estimates vary widely.This is partially because the bill, I believe, still has many financial incentives for the HC industry. Nobody knows how successful they will be.

Furthermore,people assume that the HC bill which may pass will be implemented, as is. Several commenters, including Krugman, believe that this HC bill would only be a beginning. But when people are forced to buy insurance, they in all likelihood will complain to Congress about the cost and force more cost savings. Congress will then have to deal with such costs as sky high malpractice premiums paid by doctors, very high profit margins of private insurers, all of which are "off limits" now. And look out medical malpractice lawyers! But one thing's for sure, Americans will be better served if Congress tackles the Health Care "rents" that we are all being forced to pay now, rather than subjecting us to them for years to come.

nova wrote:

A country that has next to no social services net, no real UE benefits, no work, and what services that are provided by local gov being severely cut back is a country that will not avoid civil unrest.

Yup.

nova wrote:

A country that has next to no social services net, no real UE benefits, no work, and what services that are provided by local gov being severely cut back is a country that will not avoid civil unrest.

Ecosocialism or Barbarism? There is no other way. The current system is barbarism, but some of the knuckle draggers are fine with that.

longterm healthcare experts agree that forced buying is the best kind.
:hatip: Arbitrage Macht Frei

Comrade Kristina wrote:

and tell them to keep their government hands off their Medicare...snort.

Medicare is symbol for the generational war that is looming. I am reminded of a Richard Pryor comedy line ' I got mine, you get yours!". An angry young person w/o insurance and nothing to lose can take out quite a few geezers. The medicare generation will have to yield to need based health care costs, sooner the better for society.

bANK fAILURE wrote:

ongterm healtcare experts agree that forced buying is the best kind.

Kinda of like forced fire protection, or forced libraries.

nova wrote:

Marine officers being deployed to Iraq were required to visit an ER in the inner city so they could see what an average shift brought in on a Sat. Night. Why? To make them familiar with severe trauma.

Inner cities have always sucked, at least since the '60s. Of course, when you've been shot during a mugging, it stinks to go in a have to wait to see a nurse because folks that shouldn't be there are for specious reasons. I went in to a regular ER in a mid sized town with a broken leg and had to wait 3 hours to see a doctor, since the place was full of folks who, as best I could tell, did not have emergencies. However, since I didn't have a compound fracture and I wasn't screaming, I didn't get prompt attention.
Are you near Baltimore? I've heard it's really bad in that regard, which is good for Johns-Hopkins, since they get a steady supply of indigent patients to train interns and residents on.
Nytol folks....

even if their neighbor did it fair and square -

But he didn't.

Jamie Dimon is clean because they reported those 105's that Dick Fuld didn't? Buffett's clean because he got TARP early and often through the back door?

traderwalt:

Our assumptions of excessive cost are based on past performance of government cost controls. My experience is with the DoD. Our MO is to lowball the estimates, spend all the money, end up with a half finished project, then go to congress for more cash. At that point they have to pay up to get the sub out of drydock. I have been through 2 maintenance availabilities and this has happened without fail. Please excuse my cynicism. Oh, the projected savings from this bill assume congress cuts medicare reimbursement to doctors by over 20%. Not gonna happen. Poof, there goes your savings, and them some.

nova same thing with military going to haita, training pure and simple.

Love Nytol

I don't feel guilty about money. I have and could live on lots less money,
but heath care is in a whole different category-- I find it hard to accept that the rest of my life could have been ruined by a stupid tripping up. Depending on whether I paid a health insurance premium.

I did a quick calculation a few weeks ago on the Medicare numbers. I based it on what I've paid in my 25 years paying. By my figures most people have paid in about 50K when they arrive at Medicare age. That doesn't cover the first stent.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Jamie Dimon is clean because they reported those 105's that Dick Fuld didn't? Buffett's clean because he got TARP early and often through the back door?

Some did some didn't - won't matter - didn't matter in the Gulags. I mean I know a number of guys who built fortunes from scratch - hired thousands did it in mfg in rural areas. No connections. No gov't help other than just maintain roads and educate kids who one day become their employees - won't matter - they'll receive the same fate as Fuld or Dimon when the balloon goes up.

No one ever said it was going to be fair - wasn't then, isn't now and won't be in the future.

Best insurance rich people have that they keep their head is to make sure everyone has a full stomach and warm place to sleep. Everyone.

Nuke wrote:

Our assumptions of excessive cost are based on past performance of government cost controls.

One big difference is that taxpayers never "see" the DOD overruns. But people will be forced to buy HC insurance, if costs go up, their premiums will go up accordingly. I think the situations are not similar.

Night liz. Sleep tight and get well soon for us! You find it hard to accept because you are a caring, feeling human being. That is nothing to be ashamed of.

Kinda of like forced fire protection, or forced libraries.

Don't forget forced literacy, or forced vaccination, hygiene, occasional quarantine.
Forced wages paid to slaves. Forced integration by skin pigment. Forced sharing of water and air.

Cinco-X wrote:

I went in to a regular ER in a mid sized town with a broken leg and had to wait 3 hours to see a doctor, since the place was full of folks who, as best I could tell, did not have emergencies.

Interesting perspective. How could you tell? Just like you, they weren't screaming and you conclude that THEY didn't have emergencies!?! People that scream in pain, are usually in really, really bad shape.

anyone interested in various resource production and consumption data (energy, metals, everything) just found these cool sites by Jonathan Callahan, a PhD chemist who has worked for almost 20 years as a data analysis/data visualization expert for various Federal science agencies (NOAA, NASA, EPA) (ht to TOD):

energy
Energy Export Databrowser

everything else
US Minerals Databrowser 

edit: I see you found this yesterday adornosghost!

lawyerliz wrote:

I don't feel guilty about money. I have and could live on lots less money,
but heath care is in a whole different category -- I find it hard to accept that the rest of my life could have been ruined by a stupid tripping up. Depending on whether I paid a health insurance premium.

For some it does matter. Matters a lot. That was why my otherwise conservative mother was so strongly in favor of SOME KIND of universal coverage - she started out as a public health nurse in a public inner city hospital and saw it all first hand. Never let us kids forget it.

But people will be forced to buy insurance, if costs go up, their premiums will go up accordingly. I think the situations are not similar.

Read up on TennCare. Started as a unversal health care system to provide a minimum base of coverage via Medicaid. Within a few years the cost blew up and consumed 40% of the state budget. Then they killed the program. Why would this be different?

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