What's in Cap. One's balance sheet?
.
Is there a secret Repo 105 version for credit card liabilities?

yagij wrote:

Is there a secret Repo 105 version for credit card liabilities?

"This disintegrating nation is woefully distracted by Web 2.0, iPads, Avatar movies, Facebook, and the idiot celebrity spectacles of TV, not to mention the disasters of job loss, foreclosure, medical extortion, bankruptcy, corporate loot-ocracy, and the squandered moments of politics. We know we have to go somewhere. We know that something like history is leaving us behind. We have no idea how to get to a new place. And we're spending most of our mental energy gaping into the rear-view mirror, which is the last place to look for your destination."
--JHK

yagij wrote:

Is there a secret Repo 105 version for credit card liabilities?

There was, but FAS 166/167 closed it.

down a whole 1/3rd of a %......wow....must be a slow news day.

Ciao
MS

Terry wrote:

There was, but FAS 166/167 closed it.

Fortunately FAS 169/170 reopened it, right? Snark

Cap One probably closed or lowered more lines of credit than BoA.

adornosghost wrote:
And we're spending most of our mental energy gaping into the rear-view mirror, which is the last place to look for your destination.
Sometimes the past is all you have to look forward to.

yagij wrote:

Fortunately FAS 169/170 reopened it, right?

I am interested to see what bringing all the securitized card receivables back on the balance sheet will do to the banks. Nothing pretty, IMHO.

It all began with a forgotten wallet…

It's 1949. Businessman Frank McNamara schedules dinner at Major's Cabin Grill, a New York City restaurant. Dinner over, Frank realizes he has left his wallet in his other suit. His wife rescues him and pays. He resolves never to face this embarrassment again.

February 1950. McNamara and his partner Ralph Schneider return to Major's Cabin Grill. When the bill comes, McNamara presents a small, cardboard card, a Diners Club Card, and signs for the purchase. In the credit card industry, this event is known as the First Supper…

Diners Club

- Company history of Diners Club

I'd be interested in how they handle portfolio sales to collection agencies. Lots of room for accounting flexibility.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

Dinner over, Frank realizes he has left his wallet in his other suit. His wife rescues him and pays. He resolves never to face this embarrassment again.

February 1950. McNamara and his partner Ralph Schneider return to Major's Cabin Grill. When the bill comes, McNamara presents a small, cardboard card, a Diners Club Card, and signs for the purchase

How's he supposed to do that, if he forgets his wallet?

Does anybody take Kunstler seriously? When I first read him a few years ago I found his prose entertaining. But eventually it becomes obvious that he's just a crabby old coot. An old vinyl record left spinning on the run-out groove.

Lucky that we aren't seeing these same kinds of defaults on residential or commercial mortgages, because their outstanding balances dwarf credit cards.

Oh, wait...

flaminia wrote:

An old vinyl record left spinning on the run-out groove.

Sort of like Mish, in that way.

Rob Dawg wrote:

accounting flexibility.

I soooo need to learn how to do that with my check book.

josap wrote:

I soooo need to learn how to do that with my check book.

Or any calculation related to your annual bonus.

Rob Dawg wrote:
I'd be interested in how they handle portfolio sales to collection agencies. Lots of room for accounting flexibility.
You see, we divided this dog turd into tranches based on their relative levels of odiferousness...

some investor guy wrote:

Or any calculation related to your annual bonus.

Self employed = no bonus.

Rob Dawg wrote:

I'd be interested in how they handle portfolio sales to collection agencies. Lots of room for accounting flexibility.

Not so sure - since these are charged off accounts to start with. Not a part of the card business I work with, though.

Someone better cue up the record again or people are going to notice all the chairs are gone.

You see the snow kept people from buying stuff, which meant fewer Capital One defaults.
But the snow forced more people to buy heat and shovels, which caused more BofA defaults.

This is a fun game.

If only he had forgotten his wallet again, and was forced to do dishes to pay off his debt, maybe we would have never had credit cards?

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

If only he had forgotten his wallet again, and was forced to do dishes to pay off his debt, maybe we would have never had credit cards?

Diners was a charge card, which had to be paid off each month, not a credit card. Maybe we need to go back to charge cards?

Terry wrote:

Not so sure - since these are charged off accounts to start with. Not a part of the card business I work with, though.

Exactly. Package up a bundle of capped but performing cards in runoff mode and sell at 80¢ for fast cash or sell previously charged off accounts for pennies and subtract that back out of charge offs? Way too many ways to game the numbers. Lehmanomics writ larger.

Diners was a charge card, which had to be paid off each month, not a credit card.

This turned out to be quite a slippery slope, good intentions and all, but 3 score later oh so many Americans have $10k balances that they barely chip away at...

TIC data came in at 19.1 bb vs 47.5 expected for January. rut-roh. Market yawns. Total NET TIC flows were NEGATIVE 33.4 vs positive 80/9 previous (which was revised down to 53.6).

AP Breaking News- Rats found running computers at largest trading firms to keep Hopium spirits high....Many rats interviewed stated that the cheese is getting boring and running 24/7 just to help promote recovery is starting to drive them crazy...They are asking for a 10% raise and more Gouda or will go on strike letting the fat cats take over....

flaminia wrote:

An old vinyl record left spinning on the run-out groove.

But he can write! And we will see if his analysis proves right.
I personally think he is an optimist.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

slippery slope

Long time ago, my grandpa was talking about when Sears Roebuck started selling things on credit to farmers... he said that was the farmers downfall, spending money before the crop was in... He died in 1958 so he didnt really get a look at what credit could really destroy....

ShadowInventory wrote:

Long time ago, my grandpa was talking about when Sears Roebuck started selling things on credit to farmers...

Oh the stories you could tell him! Big smile

creditcriminalslovetarp wrote:

TIC data came in at 19.1 bb vs 47.5 expected for January. rut-roh

tg-587: Treasury International Capital Data For January

OT: What does PepsiCo know that I don't? Puzzled
.
PepsiCo to buy back up to $15 billion in shares

The world's second-biggest soft drink seller -- whose brands include Gatorade, Quaker and Pepsi-Cola -- had said before that it was buying about $4.4 billion worth of its shares this year. Some of the buybacks will be made under a prior repurchase authorization from 2007, which had $6.4 billion remaining at the start of the year and expires in June.

Part of me wants to say that this is a decent starting point, then I look at the graph and see any number of months that were down from previous months. And they then continued to ascend.

We'll see.

ShadowInventory wrote:

spending money before the crop was in..

Now credit is used when the crop has failed.
People paying card debt so they will have "reserves" if they lose their jobs.
Not paying the mortgage because all their "savings" have evaporated.

Isn't it interesting how SS had to raid the kitty for $29 Billion, and we gave the Unabankers a lot more than that for richly deserved bonuses...

on Kunstler....
If half of his book (currently reading Long Emergency) comes to pass then I'd say we have alot of individual planning to do. Discount at your own peril....

But I do see how one could get caught up in the presenting style of it all.....doesn't change the material though.

Ciao
MS

yagij wrote:

OT: What does PepsiCo know that I don't?

Like the rest of us, they probably can't find any safe place for their money with greater than 1/2% return, so they are going to extinguish shares instead.

MS wrote:

But I do see how one could get caught up in the presenting style of it all.....doesn't change the material though.

He's been so wrong for so long it's hard to enjoy the snappy style.

adornosghost, my favorite period of reading him was during the presidential primary in 2008. He was very entertaining then. But I can only read his raving about tattooed and pierced yobbos a couple times and then I'm done. I find his disaster fantasy silly.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
we gave the Unabankers a lot more than that for richly deserved bonuses..
We? Who is this "we"? The owners of the country/hedge fund 'USA' simply decreased retained earnings for the year.

Treasury International Capital Data For January

WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for January 2010. The next release, which will report on data for February 2010, is scheduled for April 15, 2010.

Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $19.1 billion.

* Net foreign purchases of long-term U.S. securities were $36.1 billion.

  • U.S. residents purchased a net $17.0 billion of long-term foreign securities.

???

Mr Slippery wrote:

Like the rest of us, they probably can't find any safe place for their money with greater than 1/2% return, so they are going to extinguish shares instead.

This is often suggested by those that have lots of stock options.

It occurs to me that the rate doesn't mean a whole lot unless we know the denominator. Is the apparent improvement just because of dilution? I've started getting credit card offers again, and presumably the newest accounts won't be going into default yet.

creditcriminalslovetarp wrote:

TIC data came in at 19.1 bb vs 47.5 expected for January. rut-roh. Market yawns. Total NET TIC flows were NEGATIVE 33.4 vs positive 80/9 previous (which was revised down to 53.6).

Capital Flight of the BumbleBen.

Mr Slippery wrote:
Capital Flight of the BumbleBen.
...bumble
...mumble
...stumble
...fumble
but definitely not 'humble'.

bumbleben tuna- We magically process out the mercury so you can eat more.....

Was just in BoA ten mins ago. They have a greeter to direct you.
Suit and tie, not walmart style.

creditcriminalslovetarp (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 3/15/2010 - 11:04 am

Hemp produces the most ethanol with least amount of water....damn weed grows everywhere....
we could something like human Roundup to harvest it ....low impact, no chemical hippies....

You should note that hemp makes a very moisture resistant rope, and was the preferred rope by sailors in the past. This would indicate that there is a lot of fiber in it that is hard to break down, and thus hard to ferment into ethanol. It probably requires a secondary stage for bacteria, perhaps those such as termite have in the bellies, to break down the fibrous material into something that can then be fermented into ethanol. Note that this is just speculation on my part; I have not seen anything on the viability of hemp for ethanol.
BTW, I still think beets would be a good choice. They can actually use salty water for their growth, and thus might be able to use seawater directly or perhaps as an admixture with fresh water....

Any CC insiders?

How much would you be willing to accept on a $10k debt with a typical deadbeat that's never gonna pay you and will eventually go bk...

$4k?

Three-Way Ballot: Democrats 36%, GOP 27%, Tea Party 21% - Rasmussen Reports™

I still think any Tea Party candidates will have trouble drawing votes, and those that do will hurt the Repubs more than the Dems.....

dawg-

Wrong for so long? Not in my opinion......you really should look at the timescale for the collapse......we're just starting to see the ramifications of it. Also one must look at the extraordinary measures (what passes for fiscal and energy policy's) put in place to soften the blow over the same amount of time.

It'll happen...just a question of when.

Ciao
MS

Capital One said the annualized net charge-off rate — debts the company believes it will never collect — for U.S. credit cards fell to 10.19 percent in February from 10.41 percent in January. ...

Money from not paying your mortgage makes an appearance.

Cinco-X wrote:

You should note that hemp makes a very moisture resistant rope, and was the preferred rope by sailors in the past. This would indicate that there is a lot of fiber in it that is hard to break down, and this hard to ferment into ethanol.

I don't really know about hard to ferment, but I thought the benefit of hemp rope was that it didn't stretch a lot when wet and does not photo degrade in sunlight, but am going by fuzzy memory here.

OT A guy shows up at my door and asks "Hello Captain, mind if I ask you a few questions?"

At first I thought Steve but quickly realized he just wanted to sell me steaks or pink slime out of the back of his truck. Was dressed real nice so it through me off.

http://www.hempcar.org/hempfacts.shtml

Farming 6% of the continental U.S. acreage with biomass crops would provide all of America's energy needs.

Hemp is Earth's number-one biomass resource; it is capable of producing 10 tons per acre in four months.

Biomass can be converted to methane, methanol, or gasoline at a cost comparable to petroleum, and hemp is much better for the environment. Pyrolysis (charcoalizing), or biochemical composting are two methods of turning hemp into fuel.

Hemp can produce 10 times more methanol than corn.

LA was/is the bank robbery capital of the USA, and about 15 years ago B of A did a very smart thing. They'd employ man Fridays to hang out in the parking lot to dissuade would-be bank robbers. Why hold up a B of A, when there's a guy in the parking lot that can mess with your getaway plans or get a license plate number?

On Topic:

Is there any reason to think that this is the result of their strategy of raising their rates on some high risk cardholder to 79%, forcing these folks to move their balances to other CC issuers?

13.5% of all mortgages are non-current, that is a sh*tload of stimulus.

Pace of Mortgage Delinquency Slowing: LPS « HousingWire

"The total loan delinquency rate of US mortgages is 10.25% as of January 2010 — a 2% increase from December 2009 and a 22.1% increase from January 2009, according to mortgage performance data and analytics provider Lender Processing Services (LPS: 40.49 -0.27%). Another 3.3% of foreclosure inventory brings the total non-current rate to 13.5% in January."

Cinco-X wrote:

Note that this is just speculation on my part; I have not seen anything on the viability of hemp for ethanol.

Here's a piece from Mish back in 2006:

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: The Politics of Ethanol

There's a long-ish snip from an MIT paper, but the link is dead.

Makes it sound as though it's the seeds that are used for oil.

The cellulose's big benefit is that it's not cotton.

Why hold up a B of A, when there's a guy in the parking lot that can mess with your getaway plans or get a license plate number?

In the movies that dude would be part of the caper.

flaminia wrote:

But I can only read his raving about tattooed and pierced yobbos a couple times and then I'm done. I find his disaster fantasy silly.

I think his commentary on the fashion and and tribal rituals of the proletariat funny and insightful, but, I agree, it only needs to be pointed out a few times.
Anyone paying attention during the current mass extinction better take the ever increasing instability in energy and life support systems seriously, as equilibrium is harder to maintain, and is the reason we are all here at this site.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

LA was/is the bank robbery capital of the USA, and about 15 years ago B of A did a very smart thing. They'd employ man Fridays to hang out in the parking lot to dissuade would-be bank robbers. Why hold up a B of A, when there's a guy in the parking lot that can mess with your getaway plans or get a license plate number?

Yup, a good bank will have a greeter like this ... it does dissuade a potential robber if they notice that the bank's staff is alert

Brazil produces cheap Ethanol out of sugar cane. We used to grow it why not now?

The recovery must be very strong - gas at my regular station has gone up 16 cents a gallon the past week.

Cinco-X wrote:
Is there any reason to think that this is the result of their strategy of raising their rates on some high risk cardholder to 79%, forcing these folks to move their balances to other CC issuers?
Smile This game of hot potato can only end one way. It's just a matter of who's holding it when the gameshow host yells 'stop'.

About 10 years ago I pulled into the parking lot of my B of A in Glendale, Ca. and the man Friday was drunk as a skunk, as 18 employees including him, had just hit the lottery to the tune of $17 million...

creditcriminalslovetarp wrote:

-http://www.hempcar.org/hempfacts.shtml
Farming 6% of the continental U.S. acreage with biomass crops would provide all of America's energy needs.
Hemp is Earth's number-one biomass resource; it is capable of producing 10 tons per acre in four months.
Biomass can be converted to methane, methanol, or gasoline at a cost comparable to petroleum, and hemp is much better for the environment. Pyrolysis (charcoalizing), or biochemical composting are two methods of turning hemp into fuel.
Hemp can produce 10 times more methanol than corn.

Methanol, not ethanol. While these can perform similar functions, methanol is much more dangerous than ethanol, and if I'm not mistake, has less energy per unit weight. I'm a fan of hemp, particularly regarding hemp fiber, but it'd be interesting to see a less biased analysis of the benefits of using it for fuel. I wonder if anyone's looked into using it's fiber for wood pellet stoves?

yagij wrote:

The world's second-biggest soft drink seller -- whose brands include Gatorade, Quaker and Pepsi-Cola -- had said before that it was buying about $4.4 billion worth of its shares this year. Some of the buybacks will be made under a prior repurchase authorization from 2007, which had $6.4 billion remaining at the start of the year and expires in June.

So lets do a little math there:

Previously announced program had $6.4 billion remaining with June expiry
Newly announced program has $4.4 billion with December expiry...

Sounds like a -$2 billion change to me...

Maury the Credit Responsibility Panda wrote:
Here's a piece from Mish back in 2006:
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: The Politics of Ethanol
There's a long-ish snip from an MIT paper, but the link is dead.

Thanks for the reminder of why I used to read Mish regularly rather than as a couple hours' worth of weekend diversion...

MS wrote:

It'll happen...just a question of when.

That "when" is some time after JHKs best case scenario of 2010. He's just wrong on the facts. I'm not in the habit of giving do-overs to people who profess prescience.

Good morning everyone. Boy did I have a weird dream early this morning. Was driving down a freeway...was detoured into a warehouse district. I was following behind two other cars. They turned into a fenced in section with lots of buildings, I thought they were taking a short cut to an on ramp...Anyway they sped up and turned a corner, I get there, have to slam on the brakes. More fence, cars are gone. A security car show up and as I am explaining to the guard what I am doing on private property, a man appears from a nearby building and gestures the guard away. Tall man, dressed in a black suit with a cane and a hat. No sense of the age of the man. He asks me what I am doing there, I tell him about the cars I was following. He says there were no other cars, but he believes I saw them. I ask him what that means. He walks over to the fence and runs his hand through it. A holographic fence. Explains how the illusion of the fence keeps the honest out. And a real fence wouldn't deter the dishonest or curious, so the illusion was as 'real' in purpose. I then realized the entire detour and other cars had been an illusion. I asked him if he was a magician. He said he preferred the term artist, and his meager gifts weren't magical, though magic did exist. Then I woke up. Very frustrating.

Hemp-derived booze? I'm writing the biz plan now.

Maury the Credit Responsibility Panda wrote:

Makes it sound as though it's the seeds that are used for oil.
The cellulose's big benefit is that it's not cotton.

It is the seeds, as cellulose into ethanol has proven impossible on a scale that makes sense to produce.
The seed oil is also high in omega3's, which has interesting implications.

lobbyist-

Good question...most likely the "wrong" people profit from it..also we shut out Brazil in the export game and furthermore I think the climate plays a big part in our ability to produce enough domestically...but that doesn't explain why we can't import it.....somewhat stable gov't...plenty of supply...nuts really.

Ciao
MS

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

We used to grow it why not now?

What do you mean used to? I live in the south and there are cane fields galore around here....

US per capita sugar consumption is about 60 - 65 pounds, I guess that's where it goes.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Brazil produces cheap Ethanol out of sugar cane. We used to grow it why not now?

We're trying to reestablish the Florida Everglades, a substantial portion of which was destroyed to raise sugar cane....

Methanol is the choice of alcohol for most drag racers.

Speaking of deteriorating credit...

U.S., U.K. Move Closer to Losing AAA Debt Rating, Moody’s Says - Bloomberg.com 

The U.S. government will spend about 7 percent of its revenue servicing debt in 2010 and almost 11 percent in 2013, according to the baseline scenario of moderate economic recovery, fiscal adjustments in line with government plans and a gradual increase in interest rates, Moody’s said.

That can't be good.

Long time ago, my grandpa was talking about when Sears Roebuck started selling things on credit to farmers... he said that was the farmers downfall, spending money before the crop was in...

Ah... for the days when common sense ruled.

Once a nation loses its collective common sense, is it possible to regain it? Doesn't seem so. Like lost manufacturing skills, it would take tremendous effort to ramp back up - if ever.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

This game of hot potato can only end one way. It's just a matter of who's holding it when the gameshow host yells 'stop'.

As an outside observer, this is true; however, if you're one of the folks tossing around the "hot potato", there are two very different potential outcomes.

JP wrote:

Hemp-derived booze? I'm writing the biz plan now.

Liquid Hopium™.

"He's just wrong on the facts."

How so?..... Overall the actualities of the decline have not taken place on his original timescale....that doesn't make the facts he presents any less true.

Ciao
MS

Cinco-X wrote:

Methanol, not ethanol. While the can perform similar functions, methanol is much more dangerous than ethanol, and if I'm not mistake, has less energy per unit weight

Correct- ethanol is more energy dense. I use ethanol for fuel is light weight stoves for backpacking.
Gasoline is even more energy dense, but the technology to use it is heaver, so there is a trade off.

JP wrote:

Hemp-derived booze? I'm writing the biz plan now.

If it produces methanol, it'd be poisonous. IIRC, the symptoms are pain and blindness, followed by death.

Hawaii used to be big in sugar cane. Not much sugar beets either anymore.

MS wrote:

.that doesn't make the facts he presents any less true.
Ciao
MS

If anything, he is an optimist.
Obviously his y2k and stock market predictions were wildly wrong.

Vonbek777 wrote:
Explains how the illusion of the fence keeps the honest out. And a real fence wouldn't deter the dishonest or curious, so the illusion was as 'real' in purpose. I then realized the entire detour and other cars had been an illusion. I asked him if he was a magician. He said he preferred the term artist, and his meager gifts weren't magical, though magic did exist.
"Dr. Bernanke, I presume?"

adornosghost wrote:

The seed oil is also high in omega3's, which has interesting implications.

I looked into crops to produce oil that can be processed into bio-diesel. I believe that Rapeseed (Canola?) is perhaps the best though it may require more input than hemp. Omega3s make it sound like an excellent feed source for chickens, etc.

MS wrote:

Good question...most likely the "wrong" people profit from it..also we shut out Brazil in the export game and furthermore I think the climate plays a big part in our ability to produce enough domestically...but that doesn't explain why we can't import it.....somewhat stable gov't...plenty of supply...nuts really.

Cuba? Is Fidel dead yet?

Cinco-X wrote:

If it produces methanol, it'd be poisonous. IIRC, the symptoms are pain and blindness, followed by death.

That's a long-winded way to tell me that the product name/tagline should be "Poison: Drink too much and you die."

Admit it: it'll sell like crazy. Where's Lefty?

Cinco-X wrote:
As an outside observer, this is true; however, if you're one of the folks tossing around the "hot potato", there are two very different potential outcomes.
Unless you're TBTF. Then the taxpayer has your back, man. It's a brave new world out there.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Hawaii used to be big in sugar cane.

Sugar cane is one of the only crops one can actually get a positive EROEI from.
Corn is a helpless situation, only possible through subsidies.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Methanol is the choice of alcohol for most drag racers.

It burns cool, which is important if you've removed the water pump in your Donovan Hemi to extract that last bit of horse power out of it....

The local evang church-militia-tax evader congregation was out in the street with guns at the ready on the night of December 31st and they hung out until about noon on January 1st, in case Y2K reared it's ugly head....

MS wrote:

Overall the actualities of the decline have not taken place on his original timescale....that doesn't make the facts he presents any less true.

Sure it does.... at some point, the earth will crash into the sun. But calling for a zero on the market based on that isn't very helpful.

JP wrote:

That's a long-winded way to tell me that the product name/tagline should be "Poison: Drink [it] and you die."

Fixed It For Ya
It's not poisonous in excess; that would describe ethanol. Methanol is DEADLY!

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
and they hung out until about noon on January 1st, in case Y2K reared it's ugly head....
Too bad they missed Y2-10K...

Henry Ford used as part of body of vehicle in 41, due to lack of metal...

YouTube - cannabis hemp dot info episode #2

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Unless you're TBTF. Then the taxpayer has your back, man.

Damn! You're right again. I stand corrected.....

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

The local evang church-militia-tax evader group was out in the street with guns at the ready on the night of December 31st and they hung out until about noon on January 1st, in case Y2K reared it's ugly head....

I was living in a small village on the tip of Guam, and we were without power, and no news--
Being right over the date line, I didn't know until morning if y2k had happened as a disaster or not.

Eric wrote:

Sure it does.... at some point, the earth will crash into the sun. But calling for a zero on the market based on that isn't very helpful.

Go long (very very very long) dated puts, garunteed profit. Just have to sit back and wait for pure profit. Just make sure to stock up on the SPF 1.0E1000

Hi folks, anyone got a few minutes to help test out some new hoocoodanode features? If so, contact me.

Does anybody take Kunstler seriously? When I first read him a few years ago I found his prose entertaining. But eventually it becomes obvious that he's just a crabby old coot. An old vinyl record left spinning on the run-out groove.

I do. I enjoy his insights and writing.

Your comment shows age bias, so stop it.

Hmm, moodys warning on us/uk aaa rating. Sabre rattling with China. Greece situation still not solved.

Which one explains the massive 35 point drop in the Dow?

I don't know Resistance. I think this was a warning. I have been doing a lot of thinking and writing on human consciousness, especially a trinity division, the model I have mentioned before. Reading Swedenborg, and his rejection of the holy trinity, which in my mind is also a model for human consciousness...perhaps the division is a form of marginalization that keeps a fourth aspect from emerging. This silly old bear needs to do some more thinking.

How many churches are you aware of that have their own shooting range?

creditcriminalslovetarp wrote:

Henry Ford used as part of body of vehicle in 41, due to lack of metal...
YouTube - cannabis hemp dot info episode #2

I said it before; I'm a big fan of the fiber...

.....and it the truth be known, the buds, but that's a different story and a slightly different plant Wink

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Brazil produces cheap Ethanol out of sugar cane. We used to grow it why not now?

In 2008, the latest figures available, the US producted almost 28 million tons of sugarcane. We were the 9th largest producing country in the world

Sow hemp like wildflowers along the border, enrich us all in more ways than one. Wink

Which one explains the massive 35 point drop in the Dow?

The Vampire Squid from Hell trader had to make a starbucks run. All will be back to 'normal' shortly.

Guerilla planting !!!

I love it. Just try not to get arrested procuring the seeds.

"But calling for a zero on the market based on that isn't very helpful. "

really? if that's the message you got from it then I guess I see why you would come to that conclusion. The truth lies somewhere in-between IMO...inventing doomer porn scenarios is not what I got from it. On the energy side we have a resource that is finite.....we are not doing anything sustainable to replace it. Once we get to the point of having to spend a barrel of oil to get one is where we lose the ability to continue the habits we've become accustomed to....that's just the energy side of it...I think what most people miss is that you need a cheap oil supply to be able to manufacture most of the parts of a green energy replacement.

Calling a market zero is a relative thing methinks....lose the engine and it just might get there sooner than we all think.

Ciao
MS

Cinco-X wrote:

It burns cool, which is important if you've removed the water pump in your Donovan Hemi to extract that last bit of horse power out of it....

Lot have turned to it for stability at altitude being it has more oxygen content for consistency. Big NA motors (600+ ciu) and blower motors it works well.

no matter what, to dismiss something/anything that could help our energy costs and our oil imports is utterly ludicrous....it reduces our debt while increasing prosperity....

its like telling Halle Berry or Charlize Theron, whomever your choice, that you can't go home with her even though she is standing there naked hungry in lust, because your single and you dont want to miss work tomorrow....

Cinco-X wrote:
Damn! You're right again. I stand corrected.....
This new way of thinking was foreign to me once, as well. Soon, we will all be well-acquainted with this eerie inversion of logic and denial of causality and consequence, however.

OP-ED COLUMNIST; Taking On China - NY Times

PK, IMHO, misses the bigger impact of Chinese currency manipulation; It's the Fed's job to manage the money supply. Ideally, they should print money to accommodate growth in the economy to avoid deflationary pressures. However, when a SWF has policies that effectively reduce our money supply by quarantining USDs in their SWF, it causes the Fed to be unable to do it's job properly, and in turn print far more dollars than are otherwise justified to keep deflationary forces at bay. We should have had inflation throughout the latter part of the '90s and for all of the '00s based on our monetary policy, but it wasn't apparent due to manipulation of the Yuan.
This prompted the loose money policies that brought us to where we are now. The Fed assumed under AG that it was managing the currency correctly because it was not prompting high inflation, but in reality, it was the effect of Chinese currency manipulation that produced this result.

poic wrote:

Hmm, moodys warning on us/uk aaa rating. Sabre rattling with China. Greece situation still not solved.
Which one explains the massive 35 point drop in the Dow?

I thought it was the Vampire Squid from Hell saber rattling over:
With Financial Reform Bill, a Test for Congress - Yahoo! Finance

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

How many churches are you aware of that have their own shooting range?

All of the "really" good ones Wink

I checked my CC statement to see if it reflected the now required payoff estimation information.
I have like 800 bucks on it (whenever I use it I always pay it off that month or the next).

They're now required to tell me that if I only make the minimum payment the payoff period is like 11 years.
lol.

I mean, I know this, but I think such math will come as a shocker to quite a few people.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Lot have turned to it for stability at altitude being it has more oxygen content for consistency. Big NA motors (600+ ciu) and blower motors it works well.

They're not using nitrous?

ts like telling Halle Berry or Charlize Theron, whomever your choice, that you can't go home with her even though she is standing there naked hungry in lust, because your single and you dont want to miss work tomorrow....

Can you choose both?

Comrade Janošik wrote:

I checked my CC statement to see if it reflected the now required payoff estimation information.

Is it required now, or later this year?

creditcriminalslovetarp wrote:

to dismiss something/anything that could help our energy costs

That is the key, as the ability to provide lower cost energy at the scale needed (even with lots of conservation, which should be the first order of business - none of the alternatives can provide the cost benefit that simpy being smarter about energy use would provide).

traderwalt wrote:

In 2008, the latest figures available, the US producted almost 28 million tons of sugarcane. We were the 9th largest producing country in the world.

How does that work out on a per capita basis?

SKIL - Learn How Sugar Is Made

Be among the first to experience HCN TNG! While supplies last! Contact me for details.

Eric wrote:

Is it required now, or later this year?

Actually not sure, but my statement reflects the new rules now...maybe Chase is ahead of the game.
But why?

It's not energy that will doom this country. It's corruption & fraud that will do us in.

Comrade Janošik wrote:

But why?

Just curious as to when the new rules actually come into play..... much like healthcare reform, I expect many of them don't actually kick in for some time.

kcoop wrote:

Be among the first to experience HCN TNG! While supplies last! Contact me for details.

Ken, you are the Ticking time bomb - and that isn't just the In Vino Veritas talking!

From Rosenberg today:

THE TRUTH ON RETAIL SALES
“It’s always best to look at what consumers do rather than what they think or say. They’re spending — that's the main thing”. That goes down as the glib remark of the weekend — front page of the Investors Business Daily (Shoppers Perk Up, Lifting Retail Sales, By A Surprise 0.3%). Another pundit said pretty well the same thing in Barron’s and following the data on Friday there was an economist on CNBC who said that you never win by betting against the U.S. consumer.

What a load of you-know-what.

Let’s more closely examine that retail sales report.

First, the raw data actually showed that sales fell 1.6% MoM in February. Now it would be meaningful if February was usually a weak month for sales compared to January so that it would make perfect sense for the seasonal adjustment factor to give the raw data an upward skew. But in fact, retail sales rise over half the time in February. And while, on average, the not seasonally adjusted retail sales data are down 0.4% in each February over the past decade, the reality is that this past February was four times as bad as the norm — not to mention tied for the third worst February since 1998. Really good result, eh?

Second, here we have the greatest stimulus experience in seven decades and retail sales are still down 5% from the pre-recession peak and on a per capital basis are down 8%. Sales are actually lower today than they were in January 2006 — four years ago — even though the population has risen 4.3% over this time. And on a per capita basis, retail sales are no higher today than they were back in July 2005. Then adjust for inflation and draw the picture of real retail sales on a per capita basis (see below) and you shall see that they are down to 1996 levels. Don’t bet against the U.S. consumer? Sure thing.

Eric wrote:

Just curious as to when the new rules actually come into play...

I guess I meant...why would they do it early? Isn't it seen as quite the credit splurge buzz-kill.

We bought some stuff on our credit card, and my most recent statement says it will take me 29 years to pay it off by sending in the minimum payment...

Comrade Janošik wrote:

I mean, I know this, but I think such math will come as a shocker to quite a few people.

Only if they parse the info. I kinda doubt it myself, but I'd love to be surprised.

However, I was surprised to find the following info in the table tho:
$20 min payment = 9years = 1.8 x totaldebt paid out
$34 = 3 years = 1.3 x totaldebt paid out. "(savings =$477)"

Is that second line also required? If so, then I agree with Comrade Janošik.

The algo program bots are fighting each other. Smile

Angry Saver wrote:

It's not energy that will doom this country. It's corruption & fraud that will do us in.

You fightin' with LBO over QOTD?

creditcriminalslovetarp wrote:
its like telling Halle Berry or Charlize Theron, whomever your choice, that you can't go home with her even though she is standing there naked hungry in lust, because your single and you dont want to miss work tomorrow....
Not really - it's passing on a second date with the smart and reasonably attractive young law associate you met at the coffee shop to hook up with the slut you took home from the bar you hit afterward that same night. You aren't ignorant of the opportunity for long-term benefit, just looking for the easiest option and hoping no one notices.

traderwalt wrote:

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Brazil produces cheap Ethanol out of sugar cane. We used to grow it why not now?

In 2008, the latest figures available, the US producted almost 28 million tons of sugarcane. We were the 9th largest producing country in the world


there is the small problem of climate- basically the cane is grown in Florida HW and LA and even in those areas the yield per acre is lower than that in Brazil. The only reason that we are able to grow as much cane as we do is because of the sugar tariff most of which goes to one family. If the sugar tariff was abolished it would make absolutely no economic sense to grow sugar cane in the lower 48

Basically the whole idea of reducing the dependence on a foreign oil source by depending on an agricultural product makes absolutely no sense. At least the oil producers can be influenced by the 10st airborne and the 7th fleet. Hard to negotiate with the powers who control the weather.

Did the change in the bankruptcy law fuel the bubble and/or this crisis?

Looks like the bulk of US produced sucrose comes from beets.

BRAZIL
Exports: 6 million tons
Production: 14.5 million tons
Population: 167 million
Per Capita Consumption: 48 kg

USA American Flag
Exports: nil
Production: 6.5 million tons
Population: 269 million
Per Capita Consumption: 30 kg

Chile is pretty much 1st world, and it'll be interesting to see how they do as a result of power outages...

March 15 (Bloomberg) -- Chileans braced for more blackouts after an outage yesterday left 80 percent of the population without power and much of Santiago in darkness for more than two hours, the result of grid damage from last month’s earthquake.

“Things like this could happen in the future,” Energy Minister Ricardo Raineri told reporters in Santiago yesterday. “Recovering the systems is a difficult task” after the Feb. 27 quake, and there may be blackouts for “months,” he said.

Chile May Face More Blackouts After 80% Lose Power (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

As an obsessive foodie, the sugar tariff pisses me off to no end. One day someone is going to stand up to the sugar lobby. Right after they stand up to the corn lobby, I suppose.

Mel wrote:

Did the change in the bankruptcy law fuel the bubble and/or this crisis?

Didn't it occur long after the beginning of the bubble? It was most likely pushed by CC issuers as a response to their own over extension of credit to folks who were financing their lifestyle using their home equity......

Mel wrote:

Did the change in the bankruptcy law fuel the bubble and/or this crisis?

It was kind of a no-op.

Mel wrote:

Did the change in the bankruptcy law fuel the bubble and/or this crisis?

I suspect that it led to riskier credit extensions by lenders, with them knowing that it is now much more difficult to discharge any CC debt.

"Capital One's credit card annualized net charge-off rate is now at 10.19% - down slightly from January, but still above that spike in 2005!"

......More telling is the chart. Seems the charge-off rate hovered around 3 - 3.75% or so until the wheels fell off the party wagon late in 2007, and then it has continued to "sky" to present day. Obviously, to cover collection and charge-off costs, credit charges are increasing as are credit customer qualifications. It sure points out the magnitude of people living outside their means.

......One of our cows eats like it's always her last meal - we call her "Pig-Cow".....wonder what the 2-legged variety might be termed?

Oxtail wrote:

Right after they stand up to the corn lobby, I suppose.

Aren't they still dallying over deal to buy of the Nebraska senator for the health care bill? Think they'll turn around and screw him over corn after that?

Black Star Ranch wrote:

.One of our cows eats like it's always her last meal - we call her "Pig-Cow".....wonder what the 2-legged variety might be termed?

'Merican?

Cinco-X wrote:
Didn't it occur long after the beginning of the bubble?
I agree with you that the primary purpose was damage control, not institutionalizing a racket. That only happened afterward Smile

BK reform was done in 2005. They attached that little gem at the end of it that allowed for CDS contracts to be paid out prior to the actual BK in court. This way they don't have to bother with silly things like Judges before getting their loot.

Black Star Ranch wrote:

wonder what the 2-legged variety might be termed?

Vampire Squid from Hell or banker, I presume.

Comrade Kristina wrote:
They attached that little gem at the end of it that allowed for CDS contracts to be paid out prior to the actual BK in court. This way they don't have to bother with silly things like Judges before getting their loot.
Hey, Mac, sorry your house burned down... Here's your $120,000 to cover it. So we're square now, right? Yeah, and if you ever have another house you want to not burn down, gimme a call.

OT: I've been waiting for the return of dividends. Eventually, somebody is going to figure out that leaving money with management is asking for trouble:

The Intelligent Investor: Companies Hoard Their Dividends - WSJ.com

gabyjan wrote:

FOXNews.com - Social Security to Start Cashing Uncle Sam's IOUs

This year, for the first time since the 1980s, when Congress last overhauled Social Security, the retirement program is projected to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes — nearly $29 billion more.

Sounds like a good time to start tapping the nest egg. Too bad the federal government already spent that money over the years on other programs, preferring to borrow from Social Security rather than foreign creditors. In return, the Treasury Department issued a stack of IOUs — in the form of Treasury bonds — which are kept in a nondescript office building just down the street from Parkersburg's municipal offices.

Oops!

JP wrote:

OT: I've been waiting for the return of dividends. Eventually, somebody is going to figure out that leaving money with management is asking for trouble:

From my observation, stock buybacks have sort of replaced dividends in many shareholders eyes, despite not encouraging the same long term loyalty.

CaptainMorgan wrote:
From my observation, stock buybacks have sort of replaced dividends in many shareholders eyes, despite not encouraging the same long term loyalty.
Mercenaries good, loyalty bad.

Cinco X,

Most use Nitrous. We do but small block 406" on race gas. We are faster at high altitude then most at sea level.

Cinco-X wrote:

This year, for the first time since the 1980s, when Congress last overhauled Social Security, the retirement program is projected to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes — nearly $29 billion more.

That should make for some record treasury auctions, as the gov will not be able to offset the deficit spending as much, by raiding the SSA surplus anymore.

gabyjan wrote:

FOXNews.com - Social Security to Start Cashing Uncle Sam's IOUs

I love the end of this piece:

The national debt — the amount of money the government owes its creditors — is about $12.5 trillion, or nearly $42,000 for every man, woman and child in the country. About $8 trillion has been borrowed in public debt markets, much of it from foreign creditors. The rest came from various government trust funds, including retirement funds for civil servants and the military. About $2.5 trillion is owed to Social Security.
Good luck to the politician who reneges on that debt, said Barbara Kennelly, a former Democratic congresswoman from Connecticut who is now president of the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare.
"Those bonds are protected by the full faith and credit of the United States of America," Kennelly said. "They're as solid as what we owe China and Japan."

Rut-roh shaggy!

If only we had let King George II go along with his plan to invest all that SS money in Wall*Street, we'd be on easy street...

"Social Security is projected to drain its trust funds by 2037 unless Congress acts, and there's concern that the looming crisis will lead to reduced benefits."

EXCEPT, that the monies from the "trust fund" weren't put in the sock drawer - it was spent! The Account is ALREADY DRAINED!.........sorry to sound like KD, but wording means a lot.......unless you're a 21st century journalist.

ShadowInventory wrote:

he said that was the farmers downfall, spending money before the crop was in... He died in 1958 so he didnt really get a look at what credit could really destroy....

Starting a farm today requires pre-spending 30 years of crop returns.

CaptainMorgan wrote:

stock buybacks have sort of replaced dividends in many shareholders eyes...

Well that is what management is trying to sell. Of course the main reason they like buybacks, is that their compensation is tied to share price more so than profitability. If management's compensation was metered to dividends, that is what you'd get more of.

OT: H1N1 Flu Pandemic.

Heads up. H1N1 is nearing full pandemic in the pigs in the USA. It is currently in multiple states in the pig populations.

For readers who understand the evolutionary origins of 1918, you know what this portends. "June" may be more than the name of a month.

H1N1 has multiple subclades that are 100% Tamiflu resistant H274Y.
And there's a polymorphism now widespread but not yet dominant which is associated with hemorrhagic damage in human lungs.

This is now a when, not an if. By this I mean the odds are imo 70% and climbing that the new strains in pigs will jump to humans. Because this is a pig, bird, human flu, H1N1 deserves to be monitored very closely.

The only antiviral on the market that's yet effective is Relenza. Good luck finding any. Again, non comestibles are wise to stock in abundance in your family home. Water, too, as it will last 1 year. And for heaven's sake, develop a plan to access food earlier than everyone else because panic is panic.

At least 1 month's supply of cold hard, depreciating cash is a very smart idea, in large and small bills. Consider it like a TBill. It will pay you nothing. But you want it anyhow.

Oh, and the CDC continues to ignore recombination as the driving force. From my sources, this year's pandemic flu H1N1 vax does not have the right virus in it. Assuming G158E, D225G/N, and H274Y will appear in humans, it is 100% assured that the Government's vax will fail. (Time for yet another after-the-fact round of training? After all, the vax companies are too big to fail. Those who will be unprepared stand stupidly in front of a firing squad wondering whether the bullets are blanks. Heads up.)

.....geeze......please, give it a rest, Slimedog.......actually, the message (food/water/cash) storage is a good one......sorry for the rebuke.

I liked your rambling a lot bettor when you wrote of the great redoubling pumpkin...

So it looks like America is going into the money rehab league, AA.

From PIIGS to pigs. Devolution discourtesy of Slummy.

I'm not buying it, but ask the average shareholder or worker at those companies and a typical response is that stock buybacks are good.

It is very hard to come up with a reward metric that can't be gamed, and not all people are motivated in the same way, especially at lower levels.

Montana used to grow alot of sugar beet, but can get more now for wheat, so farmers are decreasing amount of acreage for sugar beets--sugar cane subsidy has significant ag ripple effects. Montana sugar industry's future uncertain - USATODAY.com

OT, but MT grows a hard wheat that is very good for making bread & I think may be the only place in US where kamut (supposed to be an ancient form of wheat) is grown. Montana Flour and Grains Kamut®Brand

You know what I despise about politicians of both stripes nowadays?

The propensity of them to tell of how their constituents Jenny Smith or Fred Jones are effected by the financial climate, it sounds so very hokey as all of them do it now...

Black Star Ranch wrote:

.....geeze......please, give it a rest, Slimedog.......actually, the message (food/water/cash) storage is a good one......sorry for the rebuke.

Boys, this is not a joke. I've a pile of money sunk in the game of vax forecasting. If I survive, I'll do so very rich, and rightfully so. My line to what's happening is the mainline. I suggest you raise your consciousness, if not already so.

There will be some who do, and some who don't. I urge this esteemed group of doomers to act responsibly in advance, and sleep well thereafter.

Slumdog wrote:

Boys, this is not a joke.

Unintentional comedy meter just red-lined.

azurite wrote:

OT, but MT grows a hard wheat that is very good for making bread & I think may be the only place in US where kamut (supposed to be an ancient form of wheat) is grown.

Most of that Kamut is grown in Saskatchewan, as far as I know, even though the company is located in the US.

EDIT: I didn't realize that they were growing it in Montana now as well.

Eric:

Unintentional comedy meter just red-lined.

Sorry you're here, Eric. Please ignore what I just wrote. It certainly wasn't directed to you. Hit delete on my post and we'll see if this round H1N1 does you the same courtesy. Chuus.

Slumdog wrote:

OT: H1N1 Flu Pandemic.

Is Henry Niman looking for money again?

edit: the link

Swine To Swine Transmission of Pandemic H1N1 In MN IL IA

I think I just found the problem with AIG ...

"In addition to these traditional actuarial methods, AIG’s actuaries utilize ground-up claim projections provided
by AIG claims staff as a benchmark
for determining the indicated ultimate losses for all accident years other than the
most recent accident year."

http://www.aigcorporate.com/investors/2654275_15501T04_CNB.pdf

Obviously, when grinding up meat which is tainted, one needs to clean the grinder from time to time, and hence AIG actuaries were sloppy and screwed up their internal benchmarks and lost sight of WTF they were doing -- and all these butchers need to be in prison for fraud! Dooooooooooooooom!!!

Sacred cows make the best hamburger -- Mark Twain

Comrade Kristina wrote:

BK reform was done in 2005. They attached that little gem at the end of it that allowed for CDS contracts to be paid out prior to the actual BK in court. This way they don't have to bother with silly things like Judges before getting their loot.


the problem is that in bankruptcy the trustee has the option to affirm or dis-affirm a contract.Naturally the trustee would affirm the contracts that were favorable and dis-affirm those that aren't. The industry tried to get around this via netting agreements- but even with that it left an option of the trustee. This presented two problems- firstly the uncertainty of the whole thing- the non defaulting party can't take any remedial measures without knowing whether their contract was going to be affirmed. Secondly, most of these transactions are part of a daisy chain and breaking the sequence of payments can have greater systemic problems.

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