You all know, a Volker type is really really rare.
This is a type of madness. When the madness is on us, then
everyone is affected practically. We are a social species with
a partically herd mentality and we have that herd mentality, because
it worked more often than it didn't.
The thing to do is almost always the opposite of what everyone else
is doing.
The supervision is "inadequate" because it shouldn't exist.
. Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:
My Father's business partner is a doctor and the two are goofus and gallant when it comes to money. My dad put it in 20 year munis when they were 10%+, while Doctor B bought at the top of bubble after bubble:tech, Naples, FL RE, you name it. The Doc still makes good money from his practice, but he has 1/3 the net worth of the old man.
A revelation I had a few years back showed me that the "smart" players are more bond savvy than the average retail investor. They also have more protection and rights than equity holders. Coincidence?
In other news, the IMF spent all of last year examining the door of an empty barn. After a careful study, they have determined that the horses are gone.
Perhaps the reason that the World's Regulatory Supervision Shockingly was, is and remains Inadequate -- is because they are investors with conflicts of interest. I think it's safe to say that the reason regulation doesn't exist, is because of corruption and collusion. We live in a lawless time and there is no justice
Bulkeley, Hunt, Willard, Hosmer, Meriam, Flint,
Possessed the land which rendered to their toil
Hay, corn, roots, hemp, flax, apples, wool and wood.
Each of these landlords walked amidst his farm,
Saying, "'Tis mine, my children's and my name's.
How sweet the west wind sounds in my own trees!
How graceful climb those shadows on my hill!
I fancy these pure waters and the flags
Know me, as does my dog: we sympathize;
And, I affirm, my actions smack of the soil.'
Where are these men? Asleep beneath their grounds:
And strangers, fond as they, their furrows plough.
Earth laughs in flowers, to see her boastful boys
Earth-proud, proud of the earth which is not theirs;
Who steer the plough, but cannot steer their feet
Clear of the grave.
They added ridge to valley, brook to pond,
And sighed for all that bounded their domain;
'This suits me for a pasture; that's my park;
We must have clay, lime, gravel, granite-ledge,
And misty lowland, where to go for peat.
The land is well,--lies fairly to the south.
'Tis good, when you have crossed the sea and back,
To find the sitfast acres where you left them.'
Ah! the hot owner sees not Death, who adds
Him to his land, a lump of mould the more.
Hear what the Earth says:--
Earth-Song
'Mine and yours;
Mine, not yours, Earth endures;
Stars abide--
Shine down in the old sea;
Old are the shores;
But where are old men?
I who have seen much,
Such have I never seen. 'The lawyer's deed
Ran sure,
In tail,
To them, and to their heirs
Who shall succeed,
Without fail,
Forevermore.
'Here is the land,
Shaggy with wood,
With its old valley,
Mound and flood.
"But the heritors?--
Fled like the flood's foam.
The lawyer, and the laws,
And the kingdom,
Clean swept herefrom.
'They called me theirs,
Who so controlled me;
Yet every one
Wished to stay, and is gone,
How am I theirs,
If they cannot hold me,
But I hold them?'
When I heard the Earth-song,
I was no longer brave;
My avarice cooled
Like lust in the chill of the grave.
When I heard the Earth-song,
I was no longer brave;
My avarice cooled
Like lust in the chill of the grave.
I don't know why anybody is "shocked". It was wealth extraction operation. An obvious skimming operation. Bernanke was in on the sham too. His helicopter deflation prevention speech was really a campaign speech to convince Wall St. to let Bush appoint him as Fed Chairman.
Ilsa: I can't fight it anymore. I ran away from you once. I can't do it again. Oh, I don't know what's right any longer. You have to think for both of us. For all of us. Rick: All right, I will. Here's looking at you, kid. Ilsa: [smiles] I wish I didn't love you so much.
. . . and the HuffPost article about Lehman and the 105s, with a bonus video of Dylan "Question Authority" Ratigan explaining everything. (Note to DR: If you question authority, you don't get your own show on CNBC. Like, duh.)
Even those will be the subject of studies and debate, because all the witnesses are in protection programs. No one really knew who was involved and there is no evidence of wrong doing.
This is a type of madness. When the madness is on us, then
everyone is affected practically. We are a social species with
a partically herd mentality
“The extreme run-up in housing prices was just a symptom of the largest, most ill-advised credit bubble in history, the impacts of which extend across nearly all asset classes. One effect of the credit bubble was that we lived well beyond our economic means for nearly two decades. To try and sustain that unsustainable condition with further borrowing and money printing is not only probably impossible, but it risks the complete destruction of our money itself. Worse, the larger story, that we are living well beyond the carrying capacity of the earth, is being utterly ignored.”
-CM
M1 money multiplier at record low ( 0.7 something). As long as it is below 1 the effects of "equity" destruction are not fully digested. Cash is not circulating. It is settling debt.
The Fed can and will print all it wants until the multiplier flips back. The fed can flip it back at will with negative rates that would put all cash to work.
Ah yes, the good ol days, when FASB was hired to change the accountability rules for how many barn door hinges are needed for a barn:
Seeking to resolve this situation, FASB's new guidance allows banks and their auditors to use "significant judgment" when valuing the illiquid assets such as mortgage securities.
Let's not forget the barn "windows": 70" high and 47" wide with a sill 4" off the ground. What? Those aren't doors! They're off balance sheet ventilation.
More and more I see the stage being set for a transactional currency, meaning a currency that is not a store of value but required to legally transact. Of course this would have to be cashless and compulsory to work. Probably require taxation and surveillance software throughout the supply chain.
Even with the higher haircut, most of Lehman’s Repos did not meet SFAS 140 criteria for true sales; no US lawyer would sign off on their treatment as a true sale. Without true sale status, the things were pretty much pointless.
But there was a clever way to get around the US GAAP problem.
Lehman went abroad — to London and to `magic circle‘ law firm Linklaters specifically. They could do so by dint of their non-US operations, in particular, Lehman Brothers International Europe (LBIE), which ended up taking the lead on Repo 105 transactions.
Also see: http://1.bp.blogspot.com/wkgIzuqJM0w/S5sF0B-3LaI/AAAAAAAADDg/ow5qpMEWL7k/s1600-h/41870-REPO_105-sfull-2.png
Meanwhile, the Department of Barnland Security is dispatching teams all over the country to weld the remaining barn hinges closed. Arabian horses are being summarily deported, to undisclosed Alpo factories throughout the world.
mock turtle (profile) wrote on Fri, 3/12/2010 - 9:26 pm
reposting a link i put up late last night
about how turbotaxtimmay G probably knew about the book cooking a lehman and looked the other way
from lolfed
"There is a massive, 2,200 page tome that was released yesterday that goes into excruciating detail as to why Lehman failed. Anton Valukas, the examiner, assuredly had a lot to work with. We weren’t quite expecting an encyclopedia, but we guess we shouldn’t be surprised either. And what did he find? Bad mortgages? Sure, of course. No collateral other than that closet full of stress balls and tote bags that ultimately got auctioned on eBay? At the very end, yeah.
He also found a massive sleight of hand where Lehman shuffled fitty bill or so in crap assets off its books (books certified by Dick Fuld, of course) in a desperate attempt to stay solvent. He refers to it as “reverse engineer[ing] the firm’s net leverage ratio for public consumption”, but you and I might refer to it as “making s**t up”. This apparently started in late 2007, well before Lehman became a household name.
Karl Denninger’s had time to parse this, and it looks like the NY Fed under Geithner may well have known and looked the other way:"
Lehman Faked It, Timmay Knew It, That Settles It?
mock turtle (profile) wrote on Fri, 3/12/2010 - 9:30 pm
someone needs to play the role of john dean (1973) as obama plays richard nixon
"mr. obama...there is a cancer growing on the presidency"
and its geithner and mr president, that tumorous growth needs to be excised now before it metastasizes
Dont forget that all Mexicans take a nap after lunch, all black people eat watermelon, all asians cant drive, all lawyers would rob their mother in an instant, ...
I have several doctor buddies who went to Haiti, several more who go to third world countries each year to fix cleft palates, and many more that do pro bono work.
The notion that deflation is bad is a ruse. Economies can funtion fine with deflation. It's ponzi finance and Wall Street shams that can't survive under deflation.
Angry Saver wrote: The notion that deflation is bad is a ruse. Economies can funtion fine with deflation. It's ponzi finance and Wall Street shams that can't survive under deflation.
Deflation = evolutionary selection
Inflation = devolution and adverse selection
Since last I looked, we humans function in an environment where entropy is always increasing (we grow old and die, shit falls apart over time, etc), deflation is the natural condition of the observable part of our local universe.
What's to stop the fed from CHARGING interest on reserves held at the fed? Cash with a shelf life would force banks to lend.
What happens after ZIRP? the number line does not stop at zero.
Negative REAL interest rates exist. Negative nominal interest rates are not impossible, government and the central bank only have to so ordain.
Negative interest rates, widely implemented, would force savings into useful endeavors and explode the velocity of money because any marginal endeavor with a positive return is better than cash with a shelf life. Passive wealth creation would change to active wealth creation.
NIRP would create a tax on savings and a cost associated with holding cash.
NIRP would make money primarily a medium of exchange and not a store of value
NIRP would cause assets to be used to increase assets, not dollars, leading to real growth.
NIRP would make people use dollars as opposed to holding them.
Money would flee into every asset imaginable = inflation
Also, more speculatively;
Nirp would counterbalance an inflationary asset backed dollar.
Because;
Rising asset prices would increase the value of an asset backed dollar.
And possibly;
A self sustaining bubble could be reformed where dollar value gets propped up with increased transactions and not necessarily wealth creation.
I have several doctor buddies who went to Haiti, several more who go to third world countries each year
How does that improve the situation of health care in the 1st world.
What is needed is more doctors. Many more. Do any of you doctor friends volunteer to train new doctors? Or contribute to funding more seats at schools?
Similarly, as noted in In re Global Crossing Ltd. Securities Litigation, even if a defendant established that its accounting practices “were in technical compliance with certain individual GAAP provisions . . . this would not necessarily insulate it from liability. This is because, unlike other regulatory systems, GAAP’s ultimate goals of fairness and accuracy in reporting require more than mere technical compliance.” The court explained that “when viewed as a whole,” GAAP has no “loopholes” because its purpose, shared by the securities laws, is “to increase investor confidence by ensuring transparency and accuracy in financial reporting.” Technical compliance with specific accounting rules does not automatically lead to fairly presented financial statements. “Fair presentation is the touchstone for determining the adequacy of disclosure in financial statements. While adherence to generally accepted accounting principles is a tool to help achieve that end, it is not necessarily a guarantee of fairness.”
“Indeed,” the examiner wrote, “audit walk‐through papers prepared by Lehman’s outside auditor, Ernst & Young, regarding the process for reopening or adjusting a closed balance sheet stated: ‘Materiality is usually defined as any item individually, or in the aggregate, that moves net leverage by 0.1 or more (typically $1.8 billion).’ Repo 105 moved net leverage not by tenths, but by whole points.
About 3 or 4 years ago there were some freak windstorms* on the 14 freeway and down into LA that caused many powerlines to go down, and quite a few residents were eithout power for about 5 days...
Part of climate change is heretofore unexperienced extremes, what's happened in your area along those lines?
How bad were they? I read an account of somebody that had their windshield 'punched in' by the wind as they were driving on the 14...
How does that improve the situation of health care in the 1st world.
I hope the doctors who travel to do good in other countries stay there, at least until their LLbean gear wears out. Holiday do-gooders. Give me a F'in break. How about they go to homeless row in Anytown USA.
Too close to home?
Sounds like they need to compartmentalize, photograph, record and self promote their altruism. Hmmm.
Greg Mankiw and others have suggested NIRP. All these meddling schemes only make matters worse for the majority. Consider. The majority have little in the way of assets. The poor by and large have no assets and live off cash. Any tax on cash would hurt the poor and the majority and benefit the wealthy as cash further pushed up asset prices.
We have a debt problem. We have a distribution problem. Rather than taxing cash and further pumping asset prices, perhaps it's time to tax assets more and incomes less.
Richard S. Fuld Jr., Lehman’s former chief executive, certified the misleading accounts, the report said.
So, is this F'ing pig going to prison or what?
Mr. Fuld was “at least grossly negligent,” the report states, adding that Henry M. Paulson Jr., who was then the Treasury secretary, warned Mr. Fuld that Lehman might fail unless it stabilized its finances or found a buyer.
Lehman executives engaged in what the report characterized as “actionable balance sheet manipulation,” and “nonculpable errors of business judgment.”
What we need is a policy that stops rewarding the off-shoring of every aspect of life possible for the benefit of billionaires and to the detriment of everyone else.
"Greg Mankiw and others have suggested NIRP... Any tax on cash would hurt the poor and the majority and benefit the wealthy as cash further pushed up asset prices."
I started writing about it in 08. The poor, who are largely subsidized, spend their cash too fast for it to affect them much. NIRP would affect savings. Poor people are notorious for having no savings and no assets.
"perhaps it's time to tax assets more and incomes less. "
Captain Renault: Oh no, Emil, please. A bottle of your best champagne, and put it on my bill.
Emil: Very well, sir.
Victor Laszlo: Captain, please...
Captain Renault: Oh, please, monsieur. It is a little game we play. They put it on the bill, I tear up the bill. It is very convenient.
What we need is a policy that stops rewarding the off-shoring of every aspect of life possible for the benefit of billionaires and to the detriment of everyone else.
While I agree with the general sentiment that isn't entirely fair. DVD players for $25 are a quality of life improvement for everyone and that didn't happen without the competition of offshoring and the capital provided by the rich and the profits generated.
NIRP are a sham based on THEFT. I for one think that we've had enough shams to last for generations. Rather than propose more and more immoral shams, we should stop meddling.
otishertz wrote: Entropic money would be better matched to the natural environment.
With enough money, even the laws of the natural universe will bend to your will. You never grow old nor die, and whatever you wish becomes reality, and if you have enough of it you need never work again or risk what you have. That is the system that we've attempted to set up. Little surprise it can only be accomplished with exponential amounts of theft.
edit: and systematic methods of risk transfer
While I agree with the general sentiment that isn't entirely fair. DVD players for $25 are a quality of life improvement for everyone and that didn't happen without the competition of offshoring and the capital provided by the rich and the profits generated.
Oh bullshit. I don't agree with any of the assertions in the above statement. Usually you seem like a smart guy.
Found a back door to the mankiv article, "It May Be Time for the Fed to Go Negative" I don't want a NYT account or cookie:
"The problem with negative interest rates, however, is quickly apparent: nobody would lend on those terms. Rather than giving your money to a borrower who promises a negative return, it would be better to stick the cash in your mattress. Because holding money promises a return of exactly zero, lenders cannot offer less."
In my idea NIRP would be applied to the massive reserves currently earning interest at the fed, by the fed, and not by every lender in the entire economy. It would be absurd to pay people to use credit cards, for example.
O, wait...
Anyway, this harvard mankiw bush adviser is dismissing the whole notion because it is something that cannot be unilaterally applied to all debt transactions. Kinda short sighted.
Air Temperature: 46° F
Humidity: 91
Wind direction (W Dir): East (75 - 84 Degrees)
Wind Speed (W Spd): 33.1 kts (38.0 mph)
Wind Gust (W Spd): 38.9 kts (44.7 mph)
Dominant Wave Period (DWP): 9 sec
Dominant Wave Height (DWH): 14.76 ft
Dominant Wave Range (DWR): exactly 14.8 ft
Wind Wave Period (WWP): 6 sec
Wind Wave Height (WWH): 11.48 ft
Wind Wave Range (WWR): 10.66 - 12.30 ft
I can see I have some tree trimming in my future. The wind is causing some branches to batter the powerlines. I'm surprised I still have power...
Expecting up to 5 or 6" of rain with this storm!! A real nor' easter.
but the 25$ dvd player has hidden costs that are transferred to the purchaser when they are not looking
Of course. Trade offs are all part of the equation. I'm just saying the wholesale condemnation of the past 20-30 years is a one-sided analysis. There's been some benefits to all quintiles even if some of them are pooh-poohed by people who presume a better result if only they were in charge. And I'll say it before someone else; the distribution of benefits borders on criminal.
One good thing about what we've offshored is that we really can live without most of it. The US still pays a rediculously low percentage of income on necessities. Cut out the junk and at least we can withstand rising prices in necessities.
otishertz wrote: I'm not so much proposing it. I am nobody, as Dr. Munch will point out. I am theorizing the possibility.
Warning: unauthorized thought. A representative from the Temporal Orthodoxy Ecclesia has been dispatched to deal with your offense.
Woman: What makes saloonkeepers so snobbish?
Banker: Perhaps if you told him I ran the second largest banking house in Amsterdam.
Carl: Second largest? That wouldn't impress Rick. The leading banker in Amsterdam is now the pastry chef in our kitchen.
Banker: We have something to look forward to.
sure if the 2,500 dollar dvd player cost reflected high salaries paid to middle class working families
Actually, I'm more incensed that those $25 DVD players are only cheap to** us**. There's something wrong when the producers of an item pay more than the consumers overseas.
And I'll say it before someone else; the distribution of benefits borders on criminal.
The elephant in the room.
One good thing about what we've offshored is that we really can live without most of it. The US still pays a ridiculously low percentage of income on necessities. Cut out the junk and at least we can withstand rising prices in necessities.
Combined with re-localizing some of our production capabilities, there may be a way forward that doesn't end up MadMax.
As every scientist knows, Power = Work/Time.
Therefore, Knowledge = Power = Work / Time = Work / Money, or
Money = Work / Knowledge
Thus for any given amount of work, as Knowledge approaches zero, Money goes to infinity.
...so i'm getting a haircut and reading People magazine, and there's some pill that will fix your ailments, that required 4 full pages of disclaimers-side effect warnings and what have you, following the page of regular advertising for it~
...so i'm getting a haircut and reading People magazine, and there's some pill that will fix your ailments, that required 5 full pages of disclaimers-side effect warnings and what have you
Actually, I'm more incensed that those $25 DVD players are only cheap to** us**. There's something wrong when the producers of an item pay more than the consumers overseas.
What makes you think DVD players aren't as cheap/cheaper in their countries of origin?
What we need is a policy that stops rewarding the off-shoring of every aspect of life possible for the benefit of billionaires and to the detriment of everyone else.
While I agree with the general sentiment that isn't entirely fair. DVD players for $25 are a quality of life improvement for everyone and that didn't happen without the competition of offshoring and the capital provided by the rich and the profits generated.
Bosch-
Why the Amero-centric thinking? What is so wrong about seeing standards of living rise in India, Brazil, SE Asia, etc?
Ever been to the slums in Mumbai? It isn't something you forget easily...and no, Slumdog Millionaire doesn't scratch the surface. I think if you had, you'd see some value in seeing living standards rise worldwide, even it is means Americans can't afford that 3rd or 4th sport utility monster.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote: and there's some pill that will fix your ailments, that required 4 full pages of disclaimers-side effect warnings and what have you, following the page of regular advertising for it
Sounds more like an ailment exchange... trade off your old stale ailments for new and better ones
Not to worry -- proposals are on the table to give Inspector Renault, er, Eurostat "Formidable Auditing Powers" over the books of eurozone member states. That'll clean up the casino, right?
Actually, I'm more incensed that those $25 DVD players are only cheap to** us**. There's something wrong when the producers of an item pay more than the consumers overseas.
BINGO X 2!
Having been overseas for a few years now, one of the shocking things is how obscenely expensive America is. Not to mention Western Europe.....GAWD!
I don't think much has changed in terms of expense (ok, health care, taxes), but my perception has massively changed being overseas.
From previous thread - "Most of what we export is raw materials...that are being used for finished products that remain in Asia or inventory that is hopefully built and then comes back to the U.S. as finished products.”
I think my school text books taught me the following - Developing countries export raw materials and advanced countries export finished goods. Is that still true or are the rules different now?
My ad on CR's page is for a "Master of Science in Finance" from Northeastern University.
I'm curious. Just what would be the curriculum for such a degree?
And even more importantly, the objective (other than learning how to skim mils off of each transaction without technically breaking the law, or at least getting caught)?
I think my school text books taught me the following - Developing countries export raw materials and advanced countries export finished goods. Is that still true or are the rules different now?
It's just that we've never had such a neoliberal experiment as now. The new equilibrium is still being established....
Not to worry -- proposals are on the table to give Inspector Renault, er, Eurostat "Formidable Auditing Powers" over the books of eurozone member states. That'll clean up the casino, right?
The thing Eurostat is going to be inspecting is the sore redness after the rogering EU banks have taken from the squid and City wankers.
Remember, there are socialists in Europe, and many are pretty pissed off at public school prissys.
Greece hosts a vulnerable class of very wealthy Europeans. Will their assets be taxed?
dfwmix wrote: Developing countries export raw materials and advanced countries export finished goods. Is that still true or are the rules different now?
All correct, but postindustrial countries export their own debt as financial instruments pawned off on the unsophisticated.
I'm just saying the wholesale condemnation of the past 20-30 years is a one-sided analysis. "BINGO! "
wrong
its not bingo
its checkmate
I guess that's one way of looking at; the opportunity is figuring out how to either (a) bring down our cost structure or (b) be justified in become a higher income country where the income is actually earned, rather than being generated by debt.
The former would happen via debt deflation or currency devaluation, and the latter by becoming a true knowledge economy, where the nation has a much higher percentage of college degrees and becomes an economy with almost no dependence on construction or manufacturing industries.
Picture what would happen if all the construction workers you knew had master's degrees instead and worked in higher income industries....that's what I'm thinking. Laugh all you want, but I know a lot of real estate/construction guys going back to school right now and for jobs in real, meaningful industries.
What makes you think DVD players aren't as cheap/cheaper in their countries of origin?
You're right. Googled around and the prices aren't significantly higher for China. Wish I could claim that I was talking about relative to our standards of living, but I wasn't. I guess I'm unduly influenced by the stories of "dumping".
One really has to choose sides or at least determine which side he is on. Take dr munch, He is angry because certain words written in a certain order that make sense reveal things he hasn't considered (assuming from his reaction that he is a genuine financed US medical service provider). Doctors, politicians, average professionals, and the like are in it for the respectability and peer acceptance. The money is secondary to the halo. Take away the halo and the rat will run.
I'm sorry, doctors are complicit in the Health Care Holocaust. All their arguments justifying the current system are vain, deluded, easily destroyed and evidence of compartmentalized humanity, AKA lack of human compassion.
There is no way to justify charging two people different prices for the same injury or malady. Same goes for hiding prices from the 60 million cash customers forced out of the system by the Finance industry that excludes the sick from medicine.
Finance is the main form of reimbursement for doctors, aside from the government. They are complicit with the insurance companies to price discriminate and exclude the sick from medicine. Where are the prices? All the sick people lost their insurance.
Rob Dawg wrote: Postfinancial America will export apologies and import new management.
But only after the technology-enforced totalitarian regime of financial capitalism dies an ugly death, which fortunately should only take a decade or two, absent international intervention to enthrone it globally.
But only after the technology-enforced totalitarian regime of financial capitalism dies an ugly death, which fortunately should only take a decade or two, absent international intervention to enthrone it globally.
Great nations are simply the operating fronts of behind-the-scenes, vastly ambitious individuals who had become so effectively powerful because of their ability to remain invisible while operating behind the national scenery.
R. Buckminster Fuller
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote: Picture what would happen if all the construction workers you knew had master's degrees instead and worked in higher income industries
The 'knowledge economy' will take off when people start inventing and innovating with all that knowledge... till then it will just grind down wages for paper-shuffling and resource management as more and more qualified workers flood the applicant pools and the value of the degree diminishes in proportion to the oversupply of qualified degree-holders already employed
I'm just saying the wholesale condemnation of the past 20-30 years is a one-sided analysis. "BINGO! "
wrong
its not bingo
its checkmate
wiwbot wrote
I guess that's one way of looking at; the opportunity is figuring out how to either (a) bring down our cost structure or (b) be justified in become a higher income country where the income is actually earned, rather than being generated by debt.
ask yourself one question, ( no.... not did i fire 5 shots or did i fire six....)
what happens when or if, the standard of living around the globe comes to near parity and wage arbitrage can no longer over come transportation costs?
said another way, what if there were only the 50 states on planet earth....no 2nd and 3rd world country to export jobs away
or in other words, what if there were still tariffs...
would that be the end of the world as we know it...
end of the usa...
armageddon?
not at all..but it would result in less super rich and more middle class...the real point of our screwing
we got this half trillion trade deficit year after year during the last decade, and, our boarders are porus to goods and illegal immigration
Greece hosts a vulnerable class of very wealthy Europeans. Will their assets be taxed?
They'll have to find them first to audit them -- they might be an example of the Laffer curve in action, with tax rises followed by a fall in receipts. And if they're that talented at hiding income (always tough), imagine their skill at hiding the more-fungible assets.
The real question is whether Germany is finally going to exact a real price for underwriting nearly everything in the EU (including the eventual bank bailout, whether explicit or by stealth). It might be the moment -- bailing out Greece could wake up even their notoriously torporific electorate.
"Great nations are simply the operating fronts of behind-the-scenes, vastly ambitious individuals who had become so effectively powerful because of their ability to remain invisible while operating behind the national scenery."
I think that gives too much credit to the autonomy of any individual.
as more and more qualified workers flood the applicant pools and the value of the degree diminishes in proportion to the oversupply of qualified degree-holders already employed
"
Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said on Thursday that she would not include a public option in a health care reconciliation package that the House will send to the Senate.
"We're talking about something that is not going to be part of the legislation," Pelosi said, noting "with sadness" that the public insurance option won't be part of legislation. "I'm quite sad that the public option is not in there," she said.
Earlier Thursday, a spokesman to Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), the Majority Whip, said Durbin would "aggressively whip" a health care bill that included a public option.
Pelosi, however, put the onus back on the Senate, saying that the chamber didn't have the votes needed for it.
"I'm not having the Senate, which didn't have a public option in its bill, put any of that on our doorstep," she said. "It did not prevail. What we will have in reconciliation will be something that is agreed upon, House and Senate, that they can pass and we can pass... It isn't in there because they don't have the votes."
Progressive activist Adam Green, who's been leading an outside effort to reintroduce the public option into the debate, said that Pelosi's whip count is unconvincing. "When the Senate Whip says he will aggressively whip the House reconciliation bill through the Senate unamended and onto the President's desk, the Speaker doesn't get to say the Senate lacks the votes," said Green, a co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee. "Mark Warner, Tom Harkin, Herb Kohl, Claire McCaskill, and other undeclared senators are not going to vote against the president's top priority, and if Speaker Pelosi refuses to even allow a vote on the public option, then she killed the public option. She needs to step up."
Pelosi is correct that the Senate bill did not include a public option, but when the upper chamber passed its legislation, the vote threshold was at 60 and Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) vowed to filibuster it. But under reconciliation, only 50 votes are needed.
Story continues below
Whatever the political reality in the Senate -- and it does appear that the votes exist there -- Pelosi faces her own public-option problems in the House. Even were she to push for a public option, she might not be able to get it through her chamber this time around, despite succeeding the last time. Several Democrats who have backed the bill, and are supporters of the public option, are bucking the Speaker this time, objecting that their restrictive abortion language is not in the legislation.
Pelosi said after the briefing that abortion law changes could not be made in the reconciliation, a process that must stick only to budget matters. That means Pelosi needs to flip 'no' votes who thought that the earlier House bill was too liberal, and adding a public option could complicate that process.
**
It doesn't help Pelosi that the Obama administration has shown no interest in the public option over the past year.
**
Pelosi argued that she should not be blamed for the failure to implement the public option, charging that she has been a supporter of single-payer health care before most reporters at her briefing were born. She also attempted to put a positive gloss on it.
"While we may not have the final version we have the purpose of the public option," she said, saying that tough rules on insurers and health insurance exchanges will increase competition and keep down costs. "I believe we have a very strong bill."
or in other words, what if there were still tariffs...
I got your point and mostly agree with you, but I think it is essentially politically impossible and therefore irrelevant. The big banks effectively run the OECD now and will not permit limits on the free movement of capital and goods.
In the OECD, it is effectively the bankers all of the with monetary and political power, and all of the rest of us with kneepads on and ballcocks strapped into our mouths.
Pelosi is correct that the Senate bill did not include a public option, but when the upper chamber passed its legislation, the vote threshold was at 60 and Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) vowed to filibuster it. But under reconciliation, only 50 votes are needed.
If the Dems pull this off there will be retribution over this abuse of the reconciliation process.
The Spiegel confirms the Guardian story from yesterday. The Guardian is generally very accurate and it again was this time.
Greek debt has passed the event horizon -- it's still growing, and all this does is kick the can down the road. During the next inevitable debt crisis, the flight the quality will squeeze their debt mass into a black hole. Another bailout, or a default, in 18 months is all but inevitable.
Greek debt has passed the event horizon -- it's still growing, and all this does is kick the can down the road. During the next inevitable debt crisis, the flight the quality will squeeze their debt mass into a black hole. Another bailout, or a default, in 18 months is all but inevitable.
Yeah....looking at the rollover schedule for that debt, it's a dark couple of years in Greece. And the rest of Club Med.
If the Dems pull this off there will be retribution over this abuse of the reconciliation process.
No-one will care about the process. The heat will be from the half-assed quality of the final bill: every inevitable implementation problem will be an advertisement for their inability to govern effectively.
The big banks effectively run the OECD now and will not permit limits on the free movement of capital and goods.
I think it is an illusion to want to go back to an idealized past to solve our problems. International trade is unavoidable with limited resources. Otherwise we simply invite hoarding and the real fun will begin soon after.
We have to look forward not backwards. And BTW automation/robotics and AI are not going away and their advance was not primarily driven by globalization and, in fact, would likely have proceeded much faster had cheaper labor not been available abroad. There were many times in my career where a proper implementation of my solutions could have reduced manpower by multiples if the organization had had the desire and will to properly implement them. Outsourcing was the lesser evil as global markets provided the better excuse. But do not think for a moment that it wouldn't have happened.
The problems we face as societies are matching their increase in complexity. That also implies that the solutions will in most cases be complex and not easily understood.
We need much better public discussion forums rather than ideological platforms with oversimplified talking points.
Another bailout, or a default, in 18 months is all but inevitable.
No disagreement here. I made a similar point yesterday. They are entering deflation and it will be very difficult to escape their downward spiral therefore, debt repayments seem almost impossible.
They are entering deflation and it will be very difficult to escape their downward spiral therefore, debt repayments seem almost impossible.
The gov't cutbacks they have promised (assuming [ahem] they make them) equal to 10% of GDP -- hard to imagine any chance of growth with this scale of anti-stimulus package going on, coupled with wage deflation. I don't see how it's possible to get their population to choose what is, in effect, a depression for the next half-decade.
At the top of this thread someone llnked thhe report on Lehman. Rather that read it all, which is unlikely, I suggest reading the table of contents for appendix 1. It will tell you a lot.
I don't see how it's possible to get their population to choose what is, in effect, a depression for the next half-decade.
It will lead to a destabilization in Greece and having lived there during the Junta days, a repeat might not be out of the question. Now that would be an interesting political challenge for the EU.
You all know, a Volker type is really really rare.
This is a type of madness. When the madness is on us, then
everyone is affected practically. We are a social species with
a partically herd mentality and we have that herd mentality, because
it worked more often than it didn't.
The thing to do is almost always the opposite of what everyone else
is doing.
The supervision is "inadequate" because it shouldn't exist.
Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:
.
A revelation I had a few years back showed me that the "smart" players are more bond savvy than the average retail investor. They also have more protection and rights than equity holders. Coincidence?
It's all just a movie, and not a good one this time.
Shockingly inadequate
You gotta admit - 'shockingly' has a bit more pizzaz that 'unexpectedly'.
After a certain point, the amount of money you make really doesn't matter.
What matters is the amount that sticks around, and the amount of debt
you don't have.
My dad put it in 20 year munis when they were 10%+,
My dream trade.
black dog wrote:
And either way, it isn't "shockingly" or "unexpectedly". Hoocoodanode.
"Why do people hate banks?" Dimon asked. Maybe, he said, it's because "banks sometimes have to say 'no' to their customers."
Bwahahahah!
Wait a minute. We have regulatory supervision in finance?
Did I miss the memo?
In other news, the IMF spent all of last year examining the door of an empty barn. After a careful study, they have determined that the horses are gone.
Casa Blanca = White House
We have regulatory supervision in finance?
My alltime favorite picture posted on CR is the dudes with the chainsaws and pruners.
Yup LL -
says it all.
Captain Renault: The economy has been shot. Round up the usual numbers.
That was my reaction too, Mook. What is this "regulatory supervision" of which you speak?
I'm thinking Blogdaddy
may be reaching the limits of his equanimity. I can picture him wandering around the Sierras laughing hysterically.
Has this been posted yet?
The Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Chapter 11 Proceedings Examiner’s Report
Examiner’s Report - Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Chapter 11 Proceedings
Read it and excrete moisture from your eye sockets.
Perhaps the reason that the World's Regulatory Supervision Shockingly was, is and remains Inadequate -- is because they are investors with conflicts of interest. I think it's safe to say that the reason regulation doesn't exist, is because of corruption and collusion. We live in a lawless time and there is no justice
black dog wrote:
Can you say Phogress?
Ralph Waldo Emerson
YouTube - Die Krupps - Language of Reality
Poems
Hamatreya
Bulkeley, Hunt, Willard, Hosmer, Meriam, Flint,
Possessed the land which rendered to their toil
Hay, corn, roots, hemp, flax, apples, wool and wood.
Each of these landlords walked amidst his farm,
Saying, "'Tis mine, my children's and my name's.
How sweet the west wind sounds in my own trees!
How graceful climb those shadows on my hill!
I fancy these pure waters and the flags
Know me, as does my dog: we sympathize;
And, I affirm, my actions smack of the soil.'
Where are these men? Asleep beneath their grounds:
And strangers, fond as they, their furrows plough.
Earth laughs in flowers, to see her boastful boys
Earth-proud, proud of the earth which is not theirs;
Who steer the plough, but cannot steer their feet
Clear of the grave.
They added ridge to valley, brook to pond,
And sighed for all that bounded their domain;
'This suits me for a pasture; that's my park;
We must have clay, lime, gravel, granite-ledge,
And misty lowland, where to go for peat.
The land is well,--lies fairly to the south.
'Tis good, when you have crossed the sea and back,
To find the sitfast acres where you left them.'
Ah! the hot owner sees not Death, who adds
Him to his land, a lump of mould the more.
Hear what the Earth says:--
'Mine and yours;
Mine, not yours, Earth endures;
Stars abide--
Shine down in the old sea;
Old are the shores;
But where are old men?
I who have seen much,
Such have I never seen. 'The lawyer's deed
Ran sure,
In tail,
To them, and to their heirs
Who shall succeed,
Without fail,
Forevermore.
'Here is the land,
Shaggy with wood,
With its old valley,
Mound and flood.
"But the heritors?--
Fled like the flood's foam.
The lawyer, and the laws,
And the kingdom,
Clean swept herefrom.
'They called me theirs,
Who so controlled me;
Yet every one
Wished to stay, and is gone,
How am I theirs,
If they cannot hold me,
But I hold them?'
When I heard the Earth-song,
I was no longer brave;
My avarice cooled
Like lust in the chill of the grave.
When I heard the Earth-song,
I was no longer brave;
My avarice cooled
Like lust in the chill of the grave.
Hawley Smoot wrote:
Is it that funny?
It was my understanding that they determined, after much study, that there was a barn from sifting through the ashes and finding barn hinges.
I don't know why anybody is "shocked". It was wealth extraction operation. An obvious skimming operation. Bernanke was in on the sham too. His helicopter deflation prevention speech was really a campaign speech to convince Wall St. to let Bush appoint him as Fed Chairman.
Bernanke seemed to be in it for the prestige, but the 30 pieces of silver and 15 minutes of fame were a nice added bonus...
JD:
Judas had the good sense to hang himself after the deed was done.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Wall Street and Fed...
Shocked? Seriously. As if you can charge society twice as much for housing AND make society wealthier.
What a joke. Fed and Wall St. eCONomists are propagnda whores that provide an "intellectual" veneer for Wall Street's wealth extraction operation.
. . . and the HuffPost article about Lehman and the 105s, with a bonus video of Dylan "Question Authority" Ratigan explaining everything. (Note to DR: If you question authority, you don't get your own show on CNBC. Like, duh.)
Lehman Bankrutpcy: 'Repo 105,' Firm's 'Accounting Gimmick,' Was Like 'A Drug,' Emails Show
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Even those will be the subject of studies and debate, because all the witnesses are in protection programs. No one really knew who was involved and there is no evidence of wrong doing.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
The hinges being found in the open position, the insurance company not only refuses to pay but raises everyone else's premium.
Nuke wrote:
It's hard to find people with integrity these days!
lawyerliz wrote:
“The extreme run-up in housing prices was just a symptom of the largest, most ill-advised credit bubble in history, the impacts of which extend across nearly all asset classes. One effect of the credit bubble was that we lived well beyond our economic means for nearly two decades. To try and sustain that unsustainable condition with further borrowing and money printing is not only probably impossible, but it risks the complete destruction of our money itself. Worse, the larger story, that we are living well beyond the carrying capacity of the earth, is being utterly ignored.”
-CM
The only bright note is that the reduction in equinnel raised the productivity numbers.
Judas, I's c a riot breaking out when the hoi ploy figures out what you did...
adornosghost wrote:
These things tend to self correct, over time.
M1 money multiplier at record low ( 0.7 something). As long as it is below 1 the effects of "equity" destruction are not fully digested. Cash is not circulating. It is settling debt.
The Fed can and will print all it wants until the multiplier flips back. The fed can flip it back at will with negative rates that would put all cash to work.
dont you believe it wrote:
Always, and we are in the early stages.
Ah yes, the good ol days, when FASB was hired to change the accountability rules for how many barn door hinges are needed for a barn:
Seeking to resolve this situation, FASB's new guidance allows banks and their auditors to use "significant judgment" when valuing the illiquid assets such as mortgage securities.
otishertz wrote:
Really?
adornosghost wrote:
I don't know who CM may be but I know "Club of Rome" nonsense when I see it.
Rob Dawg wrote:
We will see---
Look around, how are things?
Doc Holiday wrote:
Let's not forget the barn "windows": 70" high and 47" wide with a sill 4" off the ground. What? Those aren't doors! They're off balance sheet ventilation.
More and more I see the stage being set for a transactional currency, meaning a currency that is not a store of value but required to legally transact. Of course this would have to be cashless and compulsory to work. Probably require taxation and surveillance software throughout the supply chain.
"seed to smoke surveillance and compliance"
Coming soon to a theater near you.
FT Alphaville » The genesis of Repo 105
Even with the higher haircut, most of Lehman’s Repos did not meet SFAS 140 criteria for true sales; no US lawyer would sign off on their treatment as a true sale. Without true sale status, the things were pretty much pointless.
But there was a clever way to get around the US GAAP problem.
Lehman went abroad — to London and to `magic circle‘ law firm Linklaters specifically. They could do so by dint of their non-US operations, in particular, Lehman Brothers International Europe (LBIE), which ended up taking the lead on Repo 105 transactions.

Also see: http://1.bp.blogspot.com/wkgIzuqJM0w/S5sF0B-3LaI/AAAAAAAADDg/ow5qpMEWL7k/s1600-h/41870-REPO_105-sfull-2.png
,rad Dawgma wrote:
Is that like the Heir Club for Men?
I heard you can restore your wealth to it's former prominence thanks to their 100% payoff plugs that are inserted where apparent losses were before...
Meanwhile, the Department of Barnland Security is dispatching teams all over the country to weld the remaining barn hinges closed. Arabian horses are being summarily deported, to undisclosed Alpo factories throughout the world.
mock turtle (profile) wrote on Fri, 3/12/2010 - 9:26 pm
reposting a link i put up late last night
about how turbotaxtimmay G probably knew about the book cooking a lehman and looked the other way
from lolfed
"There is a massive, 2,200 page tome that was released yesterday that goes into excruciating detail as to why Lehman failed. Anton Valukas, the examiner, assuredly had a lot to work with. We weren’t quite expecting an encyclopedia, but we guess we shouldn’t be surprised either. And what did he find? Bad mortgages? Sure, of course. No collateral other than that closet full of stress balls and tote bags that ultimately got auctioned on eBay? At the very end, yeah.
He also found a massive sleight of hand where Lehman shuffled fitty bill or so in crap assets off its books (books certified by Dick Fuld, of course) in a desperate attempt to stay solvent. He refers to it as “reverse engineer[ing] the firm’s net leverage ratio for public consumption”, but you and I might refer to it as “making s**t up”. This apparently started in late 2007, well before Lehman became a household name.
Karl Denninger’s had time to parse this, and it looks like the NY Fed under Geithner may well have known and looked the other way:"
Lehman Faked It, Timmay Knew It, That Settles It?
mock turtle (profile) wrote on Fri, 3/12/2010 - 9:30 pm
someone needs to play the role of john dean (1973) as obama plays richard nixon
"mr. obama...there is a cancer growing on the presidency"
and its geithner and mr president, that tumorous growth needs to be excised now before it metastasizes
it's a shame we didn't have any Lehman laws to protect us from dishonest dealers who knowingly sold everyone inferior vehicles...
mock turtle wrote:
Kids these days.
They don't want to become rich. They want to become untouchable.
Re: Otis and his characterization of all doctors.
Dont forget that all Mexicans take a nap after lunch, all black people eat watermelon, all asians cant drive, all lawyers would rob their mother in an instant, ...
I have several doctor buddies who went to Haiti, several more who go to third world countries each year to fix cleft palates, and many more that do pro bono work.
Stick it up your ass Otis.
I heard that pieces of paper with Arabic numerals were found at the Barn Site and have been given to Homeland Security for further analysis...
dont you believe it wrote:
Most are learning they don't have an option.
Don't worry more debt cures everything!
mock turtle wrote:
Too bad the tumor is in his ears, maybe someone needs to send a written memo!
The notion that deflation is bad is a ruse. Economies can funtion fine with deflation. It's ponzi finance and Wall Street shams that can't survive under deflation.
Who took the money theme music:
YouTube - Talking Heads - Girlfriend Is Better (Live 1984)
adornosghost wrote
"Worse, the larger story, that we are living well beyond the carrying capacity of the earth, is being utterly ignored.” - CM
Rob Dawg in reply
"I don't know who CM may be but I know "Club of Rome" nonsense when I see it. "
but do you know "not club of rome" nonsense when you see it
mock turtle wrote:
The need to be dismissive rather than rebut on a factual basis is something of a pattern in certain areas...
Angry Saver wrote:
The notion that deflation is bad is a ruse. Economies can funtion fine with deflation. It's ponzi finance and Wall Street shams that can't survive under deflation.
Deflation = evolutionary selection
Inflation = devolution and adverse selection
Since last I looked, we humans function in an environment where entropy is always increasing (we grow old and die, shit falls apart over time, etc), deflation is the natural condition of the observable part of our local universe.
dont you believe it wrote:
What's to stop the fed from CHARGING interest on reserves held at the fed? Cash with a shelf life would force banks to lend.
What happens after ZIRP? the number line does not stop at zero.
Negative REAL interest rates exist. Negative nominal interest rates are not impossible, government and the central bank only have to so ordain.
Negative interest rates, widely implemented, would force savings into useful endeavors and explode the velocity of money because any marginal endeavor with a positive return is better than cash with a shelf life. Passive wealth creation would change to active wealth creation.
NIRP would create a tax on savings and a cost associated with holding cash.
NIRP would make money primarily a medium of exchange and not a store of value
NIRP would cause assets to be used to increase assets, not dollars, leading to real growth.
NIRP would make people use dollars as opposed to holding them.
Money would flee into every asset imaginable = inflation
Also, more speculatively;
Nirp would counterbalance an inflationary asset backed dollar.
Because;
Rising asset prices would increase the value of an asset backed dollar.
And possibly;
A self sustaining bubble could be reformed where dollar value gets propped up with increased transactions and not necessarily wealth creation.
It is a different type of money destruction
dr munch wrote:
How does that improve the situation of health care in the 1st world.
What is needed is more doctors. Many more. Do any of you doctor friends volunteer to train new doctors? Or contribute to funding more seats at schools?
Deflation = evolutionary selection
Inflation = devolution and adverse selection
R.I.F.,
Well said.
dr munch wrote:
Truth hurts.
dont you believe it wrote:
sad day for the catholic church as the "rot" appears to extend to the top
jury is out but doesnt look good...very sad
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Entropic money would be better matched to the natural environment.
Fairness
Similarly, as noted in In re Global Crossing Ltd. Securities Litigation, even if a defendant established that its accounting practices “were in technical compliance with certain individual GAAP provisions . . . this would not necessarily insulate it from liability. This is because, unlike other regulatory systems, GAAP’s ultimate goals of fairness and accuracy in reporting require more than mere technical compliance.” The court explained that “when viewed as a whole,” GAAP has no “loopholes” because its purpose, shared by the securities laws, is “to increase investor confidence by ensuring transparency and accuracy in financial reporting.” Technical compliance with specific accounting rules does not automatically lead to fairly presented financial statements. “Fair presentation is the touchstone for determining the adequacy of disclosure in financial statements. While adherence to generally accepted accounting principles is a tool to help achieve that end, it is not necessarily a guarantee of fairness.”
“Indeed,” the examiner wrote, “audit walk‐through papers prepared by Lehman’s outside auditor, Ernst & Young, regarding the process for reopening or adjusting a closed balance sheet stated: ‘Materiality is usually defined as any item individually, or in the aggregate, that moves net leverage by 0.1 or more (typically $1.8 billion).’ Repo 105 moved net leverage not by tenths, but by whole points.
otishertz wrote:
In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, they are not.
About 3 or 4 years ago there were some freak windstorms* on the 14 freeway and down into LA that caused many powerlines to go down, and quite a few residents were eithout power for about 5 days...
Part of climate change is heretofore unexperienced extremes, what's happened in your area along those lines?
Typical of second-world places like Mexico or Turkmenistan.
If you can achieve the latter, the former naturally follows.
dont you believe it wrote:
I hope the doctors who travel to do good in other countries stay there, at least until their LLbean gear wears out. Holiday do-gooders. Give me a F'in break. How about they go to homeless row in Anytown USA.
Too close to home?
Sounds like they need to compartmentalize, photograph, record and self promote their altruism. Hmmm.
Otis,
Greg Mankiw and others have suggested NIRP. All these meddling schemes only make matters worse for the majority. Consider. The majority have little in the way of assets. The poor by and large have no assets and live off cash. Any tax on cash would hurt the poor and the majority and benefit the wealthy as cash further pushed up asset prices.
We have a debt problem. We have a distribution problem. Rather than taxing cash and further pumping asset prices, perhaps it's time to tax assets more and incomes less.
Cash with a shelf life would force banks to lend.
To whom? You can't force people/businesses to borrow. Unless we get back to no doc 100% financing I don't see enough (credit worthy) demand.
Angry Saver wrote:
The problem with NIRP is that it only makes bad debt less bad. What is needed is a policy that makes for less debt period.
Meanwhile, back on topic:
Report Details How Lehman Hid Its Woes « Accounting
Richard S. Fuld Jr., Lehman’s former chief executive, certified the misleading accounts, the report said.
So, is this F'ing pig going to prison or what?
Cash with a shelf life would cause people to withdraw cash from banks and take it out of circulation (out of sight).
No more gimmicks please. Pretty please with sugar on top.
Otis, what world bettering profession might you be a member of?
Angry Saver wrote:
BINGO! Been advocating that for years.
What we need is a policy that stops rewarding the off-shoring of every aspect of life possible for the benefit of billionaires and to the detriment of everyone else.
Greg Mankiw and others have suggested NIRP.
And exactly what type of investments are the seniors to hold??
Angry Saver wrote:
I started writing about it in 08. The poor, who are largely subsidized, spend their cash too fast for it to affect them much. NIRP would affect savings. Poor people are notorious for having no savings and no assets.
Perhaps.
Cash already has a shelf life for people who rely on cash. It's called "inflation for the things you need."
You're a day late and yuan short, the equpment with which to make the tools to build the barn were sold to you know Hu.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Grow or die--
Now, what could possibly go wrong?
True dat, JD.
Captain Renault: Oh no, Emil, please. A bottle of your best champagne, and put it on my bill.
Emil: Very well, sir.
Victor Laszlo: Captain, please...
Captain Renault: Oh, please, monsieur. It is a little game we play. They put it on the bill, I tear up the bill. It is very convenient.
hmmm tariffs for the movement of capital in and out of country?
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
While I agree with the general sentiment that isn't entirely fair. DVD players for $25 are a quality of life improvement for everyone and that didn't happen without the competition of offshoring and the capital provided by the rich and the profits generated.
Otis,
NIRP are a sham based on THEFT. I for one think that we've had enough shams to last for generations. Rather than propose more and more immoral shams, we should stop meddling.
otishertz wrote:
Entropic money would be better matched to the natural environment.
With enough money, even the laws of the natural universe will bend to your will. You never grow old nor die, and whatever you wish becomes reality, and if you have enough of it you need never work again or risk what you have. That is the system that we've attempted to set up. Little surprise it can only be accomplished with exponential amounts of theft.
edit: and systematic methods of risk transfer
Angry Saver wrote:
Are you referring to the article where he said one of his students brought it up?
but the 25$ dvd player has hidden costs that are transferred to the purchaser when they are not looking
Rob Dawg wrote:
Oh bullshit. I don't agree with any of the assertions in the above statement. Usually you seem like a smart guy.
Are you referring to the article where he said one of his students brought it up?
Yes.
It's still the same old story
A fight for love and glory
A case of do or die.
Play it, Sam.
The $25 DVD player is part of the race to the bottom. Where does it end, when a trailer and an outhouse is considered luxurious for the common people?
RCA, Whirlpool, Ethan Allen, etc. used to make products people who worked here could afford.
YouTube - Coppertone ad with Jill St. John
It's still the same old story
A fight for love and glory
A case of do or die.
Play it, Uncle Sam.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Well, turn it on it's head; would the world be a better place if the DVD players were $2,500?
Found a back door to the mankiv article, "It May Be Time for the Fed to Go Negative" I don't want a NYT account or cookie:
"The problem with negative interest rates, however, is quickly apparent: nobody would lend on those terms. Rather than giving your money to a borrower who promises a negative return, it would be better to stick the cash in your mattress. Because holding money promises a return of exactly zero, lenders cannot offer less."
In my idea NIRP would be applied to the massive reserves currently earning interest at the fed, by the fed, and not by every lender in the entire economy. It would be absurd to pay people to use credit cards, for example.
O, wait...
Anyway, this harvard mankiw bush adviser is dismissing the whole notion because it is something that cannot be unilaterally applied to all debt transactions. Kinda short sighted.
It's 1984?
How about some weather
?
Marine Buoy Forecast : Weather Underground
Air Temperature: 46° F
Humidity: 91
Wind direction (W Dir): East (75 - 84 Degrees)
Wind Speed (W Spd): 33.1 kts (38.0 mph)
Wind Gust (W Spd): 38.9 kts (44.7 mph)
Dominant Wave Period (DWP): 9 sec
Dominant Wave Height (DWH): 14.76 ft
Dominant Wave Range (DWR): exactly 14.8 ft
Wind Wave Period (WWP): 6 sec
Wind Wave Height (WWH): 11.48 ft
Wind Wave Range (WWR): 10.66 - 12.30 ft
I can see I have some tree trimming in my future. The wind is causing some branches to batter the powerlines. I'm surprised I still have power...
Expecting up to 5 or 6" of rain with this storm!! A real nor' easter.
It would be a better place if people would converse and socialize instead of sitting in front of a TV for hours at a time.
Meanwhile, back off topic...
I am a member of the raise hell and speak truth contingent of your local bearers of reality, group 105.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
I'm just looking for the baby that I tossed out with the bath water. Jeez, you'd think they'd put a warning label on the kiddie tubs.
I'm not so much proposing it. I am nobody, as the genteel Dr. Munch will point out. I am theorizing the possibility. It shouldn't hurt.
2X+ good
sure if the 2,500 dollar dvd player cost reflected high salaries paid to middle class working families
...and brave new world all mixed together
mock turtle wrote:
Of course. Trade offs are all part of the equation. I'm just saying the wholesale condemnation of the past 20-30 years is a one-sided analysis. There's been some benefits to all quintiles even if some of them are pooh-poohed by people who presume a better result if only they were in charge. And I'll say it before someone else; the distribution of benefits borders on criminal.
One good thing about what we've offshored is that we really can live without most of it. The US still pays a rediculously low percentage of income on necessities. Cut out the junk and at least we can withstand rising prices in necessities.
mock turtle wrote:
How about this? Media players could be subsidized by media owners.
otishertz wrote:
I'm not so much proposing it. I am nobody, as Dr. Munch will point out. I am theorizing the possibility.
Warning: unauthorized thought. A representative from the Temporal Orthodoxy Ecclesia has been dispatched to deal with your offense.
Woman: What makes saloonkeepers so snobbish?
Banker: Perhaps if you told him I ran the second largest banking house in Amsterdam.
Carl: Second largest? That wouldn't impress Rick. The leading banker in Amsterdam is now the pastry chef in our kitchen.
Banker: We have something to look forward to.
Does Greece have more assets than the IMF?
and Lloyd of the Flies, with Lord Piggy
mock turtle wrote:
Actually, I'm more incensed that those $25 DVD players are only cheap to** us**. There's something wrong when the producers of an item pay more than the consumers overseas.
The elephant in the room.
Combined with re-localizing some of our production capabilities, there may be a way forward that doesn't end up MadMax.
sdtfs wrote:
Oh great. Now we are talking US pharma.
Touché subject, funny that.
Senor Ferrar [Greenspan]i: As the leader of all illegal activities in Casablanca [Fed reserve], I am an influential and respected man.
Greenspan is the bankers pastry chef. Let them eat cake eh?!
thesis + antithesis = synthesis
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
They have a pill for that now.
Knowledge is Power.
Time is Money.
As every scientist knows, Power = Work/Time.
Therefore, Knowledge = Power = Work / Time = Work / Money, or
Money = Work / Knowledge
Thus for any given amount of work, as Knowledge approaches zero, Money goes to infinity.
Any questions?
...so i'm getting a haircut and reading People magazine, and there's some pill that will fix your ailments, that required 4 full pages of disclaimers-side effect warnings and what have you, following the page of regular advertising for it~
Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:
ordo ab chao
shiva
yin yang
Beauty in contrast.
Life spans the positive and negative.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
cyanide
otishertz wrote:
Nothing so deep.
I was commenting on the rather excellent use of Eisensteinianesqueish montage in the youtube clip.
sdtfs wrote:
What makes you think DVD players aren't as cheap/cheaper in their countries of origin?
mock turtle wrote:
Expats say NOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Rob Dawg wrote:
agreed there were trade offs
the top quintile did better than all the rest as we arbitraged the difference between labor costs here and overseas
and the real purchasing power of the middle class, excluding debt ponzi heloc crazyness...went down
and of course one other trade off...a trillions and trillions of dollars of cumulative trade imbalance over the last 35 years
sucks to be us
Rob Dawg wrote:
Bosch-
Why the Amero-centric thinking? What is so wrong about seeing standards of living rise in India, Brazil, SE Asia, etc?
Ever been to the slums in Mumbai? It isn't something you forget easily...and no, Slumdog Millionaire doesn't scratch the surface. I think if you had, you'd see some value in seeing living standards rise worldwide, even it is means Americans can't afford that 3rd or 4th sport utility monster.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
and there's some pill that will fix your ailments, that required 4 full pages of disclaimers-side effect warnings and what have you, following the page of regular advertising for it
Sounds more like an ailment exchange... trade off your old stale ailments for new and better ones
Rob Dawg wrote:
BINGO!
Not to worry -- proposals are on the table to give Inspector Renault, er, Eurostat "Formidable Auditing Powers" over the books of eurozone member states. That'll clean up the casino, right?
sdtfs wrote:
BINGO X 2!
Having been overseas for a few years now, one of the shocking things is how obscenely expensive America is. Not to mention Western Europe.....GAWD!
I don't think much has changed in terms of expense (ok, health care, taxes), but my perception has massively changed being overseas.
"Two postman diriveted by three milkmen makes how many abendable intergratable community workers?
Decode your answer now....
Times up. Did you remember to carry the bum"
firesign theatre 1974 we are all bozos on this buss
From previous thread -
"Most of what we export is raw materials...that are being used for finished products that remain in Asia or inventory that is hopefully built and then comes back to the U.S. as finished products.”
I think my school text books taught me the following - Developing countries export raw materials and advanced countries export finished goods. Is that still true or are the rules different now?
Men have become the tools of their tools. -- Thoreau
A rare and profound insight.
pavel.chichikov wrote:
Kind of like Marx talking about the declining utility of labor over time.
My ad on CR's page is for a "Master of Science in Finance" from Northeastern University.
I'm curious. Just what would be the curriculum for such a degree?
And even more importantly, the objective (other than learning how to skim mils off of each transaction without technically breaking the law, or at least getting caught)?
George L Tirebiter for Prez !
dfwmix wrote:
It's just that we've never had such a neoliberal experiment as now. The new equilibrium is still being established....
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists in reply to
I'm just saying the wholesale condemnation of the past 20-30 years is a one-sided analysis. "BINGO! "
wrong
its not bingo
its checkmate
DCRogers wrote:
The thing Eurostat is going to be inspecting is the sore redness after the rogering EU banks have taken from the squid and City wankers.
Remember, there are socialists in Europe, and many are pretty pissed off at public school prissys.
Greece hosts a vulnerable class of very wealthy Europeans. Will their assets be taxed?
*Men have become the tools of their tools. -- Thoreau
A rare and profound insight. *
*Kind of like Marx talking about the declining utility of labor over time. *
There might be a tenuous logical connection between the two. Alienation= functional dehumanization. But I think Thoreau's insight is deeper.
RayOnTheFarm wrote:
"The Giant Rat of Chicagoland."
dfwmix wrote:
Developing countries export raw materials and advanced countries export finished goods. Is that still true or are the rules different now?
All correct, but postindustrial countries export their own debt as financial instruments pawned off on the unsophisticated.
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Postfinancial America will export apologies and import new management.
mock turtle wrote:
I guess that's one way of looking at; the opportunity is figuring out how to either (a) bring down our cost structure or (b) be justified in become a higher income country where the income is actually earned, rather than being generated by debt.
The former would happen via debt deflation or currency devaluation, and the latter by becoming a true knowledge economy, where the nation has a much higher percentage of college degrees and becomes an economy with almost no dependence on construction or manufacturing industries.
Picture what would happen if all the construction workers you knew had master's degrees instead and worked in higher income industries....that's what I'm thinking. Laugh all you want, but I know a lot of real estate/construction guys going back to school right now and for jobs in real, meaningful industries.
Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:
You're right. Googled around and the prices aren't significantly higher for China. Wish I could claim that I was talking about relative to our standards of living, but I wasn't. I guess I'm unduly influenced by the stories of "dumping".
Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:
As the dual nature of man.
One really has to choose sides or at least determine which side he is on. Take dr munch, He is angry because certain words written in a certain order that make sense reveal things he hasn't considered (assuming from his reaction that he is a genuine financed US medical service provider). Doctors, politicians, average professionals, and the like are in it for the respectability and peer acceptance. The money is secondary to the halo. Take away the halo and the rat will run.
I'm sorry, doctors are complicit in the Health Care Holocaust. All their arguments justifying the current system are vain, deluded, easily destroyed and evidence of compartmentalized humanity, AKA lack of human compassion.
There is no way to justify charging two people different prices for the same injury or malady. Same goes for hiding prices from the 60 million cash customers forced out of the system by the Finance industry that excludes the sick from medicine.
Finance is the main form of reimbursement for doctors, aside from the government. They are complicit with the insurance companies to price discriminate and exclude the sick from medicine. Where are the prices? All the sick people lost their insurance.
Look around, everyone.
Lehman was the bad apple. Now business can and should go on as usual.
otishertz wrote:
I looked around and saw this: GRAYSON INTRODUCES PUBLIC OPTION ACT Bill Opens Up Medicare To Anyone Who Can Pay For It
purple wrote:
Rob Dawg wrote:

Postfinancial America will export apologies and import new management.
But only after the technology-enforced totalitarian regime of financial capitalism dies an ugly death, which fortunately should only take a decade or two, absent international intervention to enthrone it globally.
dont you believe it wrote:
Sign me up. Every dollar I don't put into private sector health care is a dollar well spent.
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Sure we're not already a decade or two ahead?
We shape our tools and afterwards our tools shape us.
Marshall McLuhan
Great nations are simply the operating fronts of behind-the-scenes, vastly ambitious individuals who had become so effectively powerful because of their ability to remain invisible while operating behind the national scenery.
R. Buckminster Fuller
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
Picture what would happen if all the construction workers you knew had master's degrees instead and worked in higher income industries
The 'knowledge economy' will take off when people start inventing and innovating with all that knowledge... till then it will just grind down wages for paper-shuffling and resource management as more and more qualified workers flood the applicant pools and the value of the degree diminishes in proportion to the oversupply of qualified degree-holders already employed
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
I'm just saying the wholesale condemnation of the past 20-30 years is a one-sided analysis. "BINGO! "
wrong
its not bingo
its checkmate
wiwbot wrote
I guess that's one way of looking at; the opportunity is figuring out how to either (a) bring down our cost structure or (b) be justified in become a higher income country where the income is actually earned, rather than being generated by debt.
ask yourself one question, ( no.... not did i fire 5 shots or did i fire six....)
what happens when or if, the standard of living around the globe comes to near parity and wage arbitrage can no longer over come transportation costs?
said another way, what if there were only the 50 states on planet earth....no 2nd and 3rd world country to export jobs away
or in other words, what if there were still tariffs...
would that be the end of the world as we know it...
end of the usa...
armageddon?
not at all..but it would result in less super rich and more middle class...the real point of our screwing
we got this half trillion trade deficit year after year during the last decade, and, our boarders are porus to goods and illegal immigration
how well has that worked out for us?
dont you believe it wrote:
They'll have to find them first to audit them -- they might be an example of the Laffer curve in action, with tax rises followed by a fall in receipts. And if they're that talented at hiding income (always tough), imagine their skill at hiding the more-fungible assets.
The real question is whether Germany is finally going to exact a real price for underwriting nearly everything in the EU (including the eventual bank bailout, whether explicit or by stealth). It might be the moment -- bailing out Greece could wake up even their notoriously torporific electorate.
"Great nations are simply the operating fronts of behind-the-scenes, vastly ambitious individuals who had become so effectively powerful because of their ability to remain invisible while operating behind the national scenery."
I think that gives too much credit to the autonomy of any individual.
Theres a question, that I've wondered about for a very long time.
What happens when there is no more 'we can build them cheaper over there' to mass produce $49 iPods ?
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
You're talking about China
, right?
Nancy Pelosi Will Not Include Public Option In Final Bill
"
Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said on Thursday that she would not include a public option in a health care reconciliation package that the House will send to the Senate.
"We're talking about something that is not going to be part of the legislation," Pelosi said, noting "with sadness" that the public insurance option won't be part of legislation. "I'm quite sad that the public option is not in there," she said.
Earlier Thursday, a spokesman to Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), the Majority Whip, said Durbin would "aggressively whip" a health care bill that included a public option.
Pelosi, however, put the onus back on the Senate, saying that the chamber didn't have the votes needed for it.
"I'm not having the Senate, which didn't have a public option in its bill, put any of that on our doorstep," she said. "It did not prevail. What we will have in reconciliation will be something that is agreed upon, House and Senate, that they can pass and we can pass... It isn't in there because they don't have the votes."
Progressive activist Adam Green, who's been leading an outside effort to reintroduce the public option into the debate, said that Pelosi's whip count is unconvincing. "When the Senate Whip says he will aggressively whip the House reconciliation bill through the Senate unamended and onto the President's desk, the Speaker doesn't get to say the Senate lacks the votes," said Green, a co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee. "Mark Warner, Tom Harkin, Herb Kohl, Claire McCaskill, and other undeclared senators are not going to vote against the president's top priority, and if Speaker Pelosi refuses to even allow a vote on the public option, then she killed the public option. She needs to step up."
Pelosi is correct that the Senate bill did not include a public option, but when the upper chamber passed its legislation, the vote threshold was at 60 and Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) vowed to filibuster it. But under reconciliation, only 50 votes are needed.
Story continues below
Whatever the political reality in the Senate -- and it does appear that the votes exist there -- Pelosi faces her own public-option problems in the House. Even were she to push for a public option, she might not be able to get it through her chamber this time around, despite succeeding the last time. Several Democrats who have backed the bill, and are supporters of the public option, are bucking the Speaker this time, objecting that their restrictive abortion language is not in the legislation.
Pelosi said after the briefing that abortion law changes could not be made in the reconciliation, a process that must stick only to budget matters. That means Pelosi needs to flip 'no' votes who thought that the earlier House bill was too liberal, and adding a public option could complicate that process.
**
It doesn't help Pelosi that the Obama administration has shown no interest in the public option over the past year.
**
Pelosi argued that she should not be blamed for the failure to implement the public option, charging that she has been a supporter of single-payer health care before most reporters at her briefing were born. She also attempted to put a positive gloss on it.
"While we may not have the final version we have the purpose of the public option," she said, saying that tough rules on insurers and health insurance exchanges will increase competition and keep down costs. "I believe we have a very strong bill."
NVM, going outside.
L8R, T8Rs
The Spiegel confirms the Guardian story from yesterday. The Guardian is generally very accurate and it again was this time.
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/0,1518,683435,00.html
mock turtle wrote:
I got your point and mostly agree with you, but I think it is essentially politically impossible and therefore irrelevant. The big banks effectively run the OECD now and will not permit limits on the free movement of capital and goods.
In the OECD, it is effectively the bankers all of the with monetary and political power, and all of the rest of us with kneepads on and ballcocks strapped into our mouths.
Pelosi is correct that the Senate bill did not include a public option, but when the upper chamber passed its legislation, the vote threshold was at 60 and Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) vowed to filibuster it. But under reconciliation, only 50 votes are needed.
If the Dems pull this off there will be retribution over this abuse of the reconciliation process.
RE wrote:
Greek debt has passed the event horizon -- it's still growing, and all this does is kick the can down the road. During the next inevitable debt crisis, the flight the quality will squeeze their debt mass into a black hole. Another bailout, or a default, in 18 months is all but inevitable.
China to bid on US high-speed rail projects - Yahoo! Finance
The Chinese have some experience already in building railroads in the US!
DCRogers wrote:
Yeah....looking at the rollover schedule for that debt, it's a dark couple of years in Greece. And the rest of Club Med.
Rob Dawg wrote:
No-one will care about the process. The heat will be from the half-assed quality of the final bill: every inevitable implementation problem will be an advertisement for their inability to govern effectively.
Rob Dawg wrote:
this is the retribution
the abuse already happened... approximately 15 out of the 20 times reconciliation has been used
it has been used by the repubs
and btw, when the repubs take over , and they will
the dems will become the new party of NO
Republicans used reconciliation nearly every year they were in power « MNpublius.com
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
I think it is an illusion to want to go back to an idealized past to solve our problems. International trade is unavoidable with limited resources. Otherwise we simply invite hoarding and the real fun will begin soon after.
We have to look forward not backwards. And BTW automation/robotics and AI are not going away and their advance was not primarily driven by globalization and, in fact, would likely have proceeded much faster had cheaper labor not been available abroad. There were many times in my career where a proper implementation of my solutions could have reduced manpower by multiples if the organization had had the desire and will to properly implement them. Outsourcing was the lesser evil as global markets provided the better excuse. But do not think for a moment that it wouldn't have happened.
The problems we face as societies are matching their increase in complexity. That also implies that the solutions will in most cases be complex and not easily understood.
We need much better public discussion forums rather than ideological platforms with oversimplified talking points.
It's Official - EU Agrees On Greece Bailout | zero hedge
Germany achieves what it sought after 70 years ago (plus Portugal and Spain!)
DCRogers wrote:
No disagreement here. I made a similar point yesterday. They are entering deflation and it will be very difficult to escape their downward spiral therefore, debt repayments seem almost impossible.
some stereotypes have more truth than others.
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
Adenauer was a very smart man.
I've read enough of the Lehman report to say that I'm no longer going to be active in US debt and equity.
The scale of the fraud at work in this economy has become insane.
Laws and regulations aren't going to fix this.
The time has come to line up the lot of these sonsabitches against a wall.
as we used to say in the old west
we gonna give ya fair trial
and then we gonna hang ya
RE wrote:
The gov't cutbacks they have promised (assuming [ahem] they make them) equal to 10% of GDP -- hard to imagine any chance of growth with this scale of anti-stimulus package going on, coupled with wage deflation. I don't see how it's possible to get their population to choose what is, in effect, a depression for the next half-decade.
At the top of this thread someone llnked thhe report on Lehman. Rather that read it all, which is unlikely, I suggest reading the table of contents for appendix 1. It will tell you a lot.
http://lehmanreport.jenner.com/VOLUME%206%20-%20APPENDIX%201.pdf
play this in the background
YouTube - BRUCE COCKBURN - If I Had A Rocket Launcher
DCRogers wrote:
It will lead to a destabilization in Greece and having lived there during the Junta days, a repeat might not be out of the question. Now that would be an interesting political challenge for the EU.
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
You either own the factors of production or you are a factor of production.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Long, but it gets to the nuances of this one, albeit smallish part of the HC debate/debacle.
High Prices