But are they keeping it on their books at par?

Inquiring minds want to know.

daddyo: If you're still reading:
You posted about looking the asset up on Bloomberg and had scenarios showing it would not last till thanksgiving. Some of us wouldn't mind seeing more details.

JP, there are many details in the PDF.

best wishes

As flies to wanton boys are toxic bonds to NPR (and the shorts).

C

Count me in! Mars we'll be ours, you lowly Americans!

the pdf was the details. i couldn't figure out the hoocood white paper section, so i sent it to CR.

Whoops. Next time I'll RTFA.
Thanks daddyo.

Great! Werner's little brother is back.

Anyone have an idea whether most toxic assets been downgraded by now?

In other words, is it still possible to present trash-for-cash at the various Fed programs? (a sanctioned version of Lehman's repo games)

What about synthetic CDOs and CDO-squareds -- are those still on bank books?

Pigged

If HAMP were designed to help homeowners rather than banks, it would exempt any applicant who is already protected from foreclosure by a homestead exemption.

Also, it would be available equally to those who might own free and clear but are facing tax lien foreclosure because of the same circumstances (reduced income, medical bills). [The bank might have already been paid off in full so who cares? The local government's problem...]

Don't see any mention of these issues on the website.

It would be helpful if they mentioned that their bond is a subordinate bond. The FAQ makes it sound like their bond is a representation of the entire $4T RMBS market.

From the PDF:

43% of the loans were cash-out (translation: living on bubble equity)
100% of the loans are negative-amortization (translation: could never afford the loan in the first place)

I wonder how many were ninja loans as well. If anyone has the ability to I'd love to know who bought this issue originally. What a securitized pile of No one 17 and under admitted Somehow I'm sure the originator fully disclosed the potential risks to the original buyer, or rather just paid off the rating agencies. Even after the collapse I still can't believe anyone would ever buy this crap at par.

most of the downgrades have occurred, and still occur regularly. in fact, in a lot of cases, fairly decent bonds are downgraded past where they deserve.

Matty wrote:

Great! Werner's little brother is back.

He's awfully noisy, that's for sure. But I'm not yet convinced he isn't just an automated spam-bot.

100% Countrywide deal.

87% low doc, 13% full doc.

"Great! Werner's little brother is back. "

Well, I love you too but it will cost you!

Matty wrote:
Great! Werner's little brother is back.
where's sebastian's dad these days? more importantly, when will dinner be ready?

daddyo wrote:

100% Countrywide deal.

Im shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!

87% low doc, 13% full doc.

Is there a good definition for "low doc"? We were debating that a few weeks ago.

Quick! Sell it to the FED at PAR! Make a killing !

ghostface is probably better equipped to answer the low-doc question. i'm actually a CMBS/ABS guy who knows enough to get in trouble in RMBS.

Looks AAA to me. All my professional ratings buddies agreed a few years ago.

Thanks Daddyo

85% of the loans are above the original loan amount. Pretty much every trance is going to get slaughtered. The wonders of securitization at work. Multiply this times millions of other pools. Ticking time bombs in pension funds and insurance companies etc... everywhere.

Hey LoserBeachBum,

Thanks for the Greek bail out. Cool

I sure hope those savvy bankers that dumped a trillion plus of junk on the Fed paid themselves big bonuses this year. They have real talent. Which banks were they, again? Oh yeah Ben won't tell us. Any anonymous banker whistleblowers out there?

Bueller?

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Don't see any mention of these issues on the website.

+100

I am assuming that this tranche was not one of the AAA rated ones.
If I'm wrong about that, the entire pension system is toast.

Originally A-/A3.

The original AAA classes will likely take losses, but when you factor in the interest, they actually have positive yield, albeit small (2-3% on a 10 year bond).

Its one of the lower tranches but its also from 2005, not even the worst of the bubble years and more than 85% of the remaining loans exceed the original balance. I can't see a lot of those performing. Especially considering the amount of 'low doc' loans Daddyo stated. Its impressive anyone could put this pool together and sell it to someone with a straight face and say it was a safe investment.

OK, so it's hard for those of us (or at least: me) who don't look at bloomberg daily to parse the pics fully. I'll have more time later.

But still, I don't think I've seen the tranches laid out plainly like that, along with moody's & S&P ratings. (I assume that they only get 2 agencies to rate for cost reasons? And because (let's face it) they never differ anyway?)

Someone should send this over to the NPR guys.

Great post.

sm_landlord wrote:

I am assuming that this tranche was not one of the AAA rated ones.

I'm with you on that one. But I think the devastation would extend beyond the pension system if it indeed was AAA at the time it was sold.

sm_landlord wrote:

I am assuming that this tranche was not one of the AAA rated ones.
If I'm wrong about that, the entire pension system is toast.

According to the pdf tranche B6, second in line rated CC with B7 currently taking losses.

That said, AAA don't mean what it is supposed to mean. The least crazy inmate in the asylum would earn a AAA and still be crazy.

daddyo
Thanks for adding some color to this. I am continually amazed by the amount of info contained in a bloomberg.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:
I sure hope those savvy bankers that dumped a trillion plus of junk on the Fed paid themselves big bonuses this year.
There's no need to be savvy, or even intelligent, when you have captured a government. There is a need to be inconspicuous however... FAIL.
Laughing out loud

Edit: redundant with posts above and below.

Here the conditions on rating from the original prospectus:

http://www.ise.ie/debt_documents/Gstreet_2113.pdf

Shows A3 and A- ratings.

Rob Dawg wrote:

The least crazy inmate in the asylum would earn a AAA and still be crazy.

Yeah, but he would just be some Joe on suicide watch, not Ted Bundy or Charlie Manson.

Just barely made it in time for the BFF poll. Does Paris Hilton post here?

This deal is a fairly standard alt-a non-agency deal. Tons and tons of stuff like this out there.

You typically give your deal docs out to all three (sometimes DBRS also, the ugly duckling) rating agencies, and see what they come back with. Some investors would pay up for a third rating, so you would have to weight the cost of the third agency against how much tighter you could price the deal. And if one of the agencies was way off on some enhancement level or some other feature, they would get booted.

daddyo wrote:

The original AAA classes will likely take losses, but when you factor in the interest, they actually have positive yield, albeit small (2-3% on a 10 year bond).

Even though the AAA classes in this case will have a positive yield after taking losses it still means potential problems for all of the pension funds and insurance companies and others chasing yield. They bought these tranches to increase yield to fund future obligations, which isn't working out how they had hoped. All your yield belongs to us Vampire Squid from Hell

Is it possible to track how much servicers have issued for pre-payment that they have not collected?
As in property is 90+ days delinquent, but MBS coupon payments haven't been interrupted, and the servicer is charging x% interest to the MBS pool until house is sold. I would guess the interest rate charged is a very healthy spread for the banks in today's world
but I'm mainly interested in the total outstanding figure to see what light it sheds on shadow inventory, and as a sidebar the bilking of whomever owns the top tranches

daddyo wrote:

This deal was a fairly standard alt-a non-agency deal
Fixed It For Ya

daddyo wrote:

And if one of the agencies was way off on some enhancement level or some other feature, they would get booted.

My Head Just Exploded You can fail to report a rating? And this is not breach of fiduciary duties?

daddyo
you have my thanks as well, especially for the summaries translated from BBergish into English, and to CR as always

" Hey LoserBeachBum, - Thanks for the Greek bail out."

You are welcome...those you know unpeople! Smile

Early failure. Another NY bank.
Park Avenue Bank.

JP wrote:

And this is not breach of fiduciary duties?

Who said anything about being a fiduciary? This is all about ripping somebody's face off (not that a fiduciary might not have done that too).

Edit: ever read "Liar's Poker"?

BFF is off Park Avenue Bank NY NY
Another NY NY for Sheila

LoserBeachBum
What do you see happening over in Asia, or multinational-land right now?

Vonbek777 wrote:

For you sun watchers...
Solar 'Current of Fire' Speeds Up

So the Sun is experiencing global warming?

fudge_hend wrote:

Early failure. Another NY bank.
Park Avenue Bank.

We are all knurdistan. Beer

[Here come da Pigged]

LBB: Too much Ayinger, dude!

We Bought A Toxic Asset; You Can Watch It Die.

SRS ?!?

EHP - Servicing advances are collected, you have to hit the remittance reports for those. Remittance reports make my head hurt. Servicers make good money on advances and other fees, and they take their cut before anyone else gets a penny. That's why everyone is scrambling over buying up the servicers.

You wouldn't boot a servicer after the deal was done, this was all pre-closing. So before you launch a deal, you do all the rating work, including selecting the agencies who will rate it. Generally, the agencies rated all the bonds the same, but they would disagree over enhancement levels, which are how much protection each tranche has from losses. If you didn't like the levels of one of the agencies, you would politely tell them they would not be rating the deal. This is the "rating shopping" people always talk about.

The haiku should be good for Park Ave Bank. Maybe a Monopoly theme SGIP?

C

Well.

Somebody just tried to steal $14,750 from my trust account.

My bank yanked the money back.

Citi apparently took the loss.

No kidding.

First time anything like this has ever happened.

The phony check had my former address on it.

daddyo wrote:

i'm actually a CMBS/ABS guy who knows enough to get in trouble in RMBS.

daddyo,

How are these doing 1Q2010:

The deterioration in the quantitative indicators was concentrated in non-mortgage ABS issuance, commercial mortgage debt, and repo loans.

These are the elements of a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI) built by Hatzius et. al. that has significant negative divergence from the existing FCI's.
Econbrowser: A new index of financial conditions 
http://research.chicagobooth.edu/igm/events/docs/2010usmpfreport.pdf

"LoserBeachBum - What do you see happening over in Asia, or multinational-land right now? "

My children will know everything about sex before they hit 12. I am liberal and I am here to kill you..freshwater Americans. Waiting just for an excuse to enroll... to kill any shithead against abortion.

I don't think we know. My uneducated take is that something (dark matter, dark sun, new interstellar cloud, take your pick) is shunting the sun. Sun is compensating, but cycle is disrupted. Or this could be completely normal behavior, and we just haven't been around long enough with the 'eyes' to see it. Should be a fascinating couple of decades trying to rework the models though.

And that how I see it. I am a liberal and proud of it.

You might want to check that American dictionary again. Liberal is not interchangeable with Do Not Feed The Troll

Vonbek777 wrote:

For you sun watchers...
Solar 'Current of Fire' Speeds Up

I hate articles like that - they never tell you what you need to know - do I have to finally break down and buy central air or upgrade the furnace. Damn scientists - nothing but useless trivia.

dryfly wrote:

nothing but useless trivia

As an absent minded philosopher...I see most of mankind's pursuit of knowledge in this light. Invest in both.

Vonbek777 wrote:

As an absent minded philosopher...I see most of mankind's pursuit of knowledge in this light. Invest in both.

You didn't see my Snark because I had turned on its cloaking device... sneaky huh?

Very sneaky...I have to retool my Tinfoil Hat sensors to better detect. Wink Course my head is still My Head Just Exploded from the above discourse...so I am not working on all afterburners right now anyway. Maybe I need some mountain dew.

We Bought A Toxic Asset; You Can Watch It Die.

SRS ?!?

=========

no, they bought something not already dead

This MBS came galloping out of the gate with 4 Yield Maintenance agreements covering 5 classes with Swiss Re and had the two senior classes insured by AMBAC for full principal plus accrued interest. Is the B- rating because the Rating company doesn't think AMBAC will pay up for all of the defaulted loans?

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