Only 30? What do you wanna bet it's that darned flyover keeping that total down again?

w00t! That leaves 20 where the rate didn't increase... we're batting .400 baby! Green Shoots

This is good news,right? If unemployment actually were 12.% in my county it would be a huge improvement.

No need to be negative. Presumably UE decreased in 20 states...

I'll pretend I didn't hear that.

Fifteen states and D.C. now have double digit unemployment rates. New Jersey and Indiana are close.

Fifteen states and D.C. constituting more than 40% of the population now have double digit unemployment rates. New Jersey and Indiana are close. Fixed It For Ya

31 flavors of Double Dip

Thirty states and the District of Columbia recorded over-the-month unemployment rate increase

Job Openings Up Sharply in January to 2.7M as well!(NYT)

Blackhalo wrote: No need to be negative. Presumably UE decreased in 20 states...

From the main post:

... 9 states registered rate decreases, and 11 states had no rate change...

We're only hitting .290 based on 9 for 39 with 11 pushes.

Do they have pushes in baseball?

Soccer is a better analogy with 9W, 30L, 11T for a .290 win percentage. D.C. isn't a state.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Fifteen states and D.C. constituting more than 40% of the population now have double digit unemployment rates.

Then let's focus our stimulus on only those states and bring a new meaning to the phrase "battleground state"! Crown

Pigged
Seem like mortgage decent rates. Will they rise dramatically when purchases of MBS stop? Will they be kept low by low demand for mortgages?

......................10 year..................15 year .................20 year...................30 year
Points..............1.............0............1.............0............1..............0............1.............0
Interest Rate....4.13%......4.25%......4.25%......4.50%......4.75%......4.88%......5.00%......5.25%
APR.................4.37%......4.28%......4.42%......4.52%......4.89%......4.89%......5.10%......5.26%
Payment/$1k....$10.19......$10.25.....$7.52.......$7.65.......$6.46.......$6.53 .......$5.37......$5.53

Do they have pushes in baseball?

Only when the pantomime known as clearing the dugouts occurs~

At least with the Republicans in charge we don't have to worry about wild foreign adventures,deficit spending or government intrusion into the affairs of private citizens...Oh,wait.

J.D., I wondered if that would slip by. You're too perceptive.

yagij wrote:
Then let's focus our stimulus on only those states and bring a new meaning to the phrase "battleground state"!
Definitely. Those states that were prudent and have stable economies should be punished, and those that were irresponsible and run on speculative bubbles need to be rewarded.

Do they have pushes in baseball?

Baseball push - 30 seconds long: YouTube - Runner Destroys Catcher at Home ; Benches Empty

yagij wrote:

Then let's focus our stimulus on only those states and bring a new meaning to the phrase "battleground state"!

Let's not....and I say that with 8 of those states being reliable red states....

Comment by ResistanceIsFeudal from thread 'Unemployment Rate Increases in 30 States in January' said it better than I :hat-tip:

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Those states that were prudent and have stable economies should be punished, and those that were irresponsible and run on speculative bubbles need to be rewarded.

It's the (new) American Way!
.
Cinco-X wrote:

and I say that with 8 of those states being reliable red states....

You can have a "battle" nowadays without guns. D'uh.

You would think those Red States would have been the pillar of financial conservatism...Like my State of Florida. Completely controlled by the GOP and a fiscal wreck...go figure.

OT - some china housing numbers

That means that a middle-class family of three looking to buy a modest 80 square meter apartment will have to come up with RMB2.4 million, or about $350,000.

This is pretty startling considering that the average annual income of urban workers only reached about RMB29,000 ($4,250) in 2008, as reported by Xinhua News Agency. The median multiple, which measures the ratio of the median house price to the median annual household income, has historically hovered around 3.0 or less in the US, but rose dramatically prior to the recent housing bubble.

EconBrowser has a write-up on a new financial index.

Econbrowser: A new index of financial conditions 

It appears to be indicating Double Dip, 1980's style.

12th Percentile (profile) wrote on Wed, 3/10/2010 - 11:17 am

While the English did place horrible legal restrictions on the Irish I can find no documentation of a law to prevent fishing until after the end of the famine.

I'm certainly not an expert on the laws back then. I read it in the book Trinity. I assumed that guy did his research. I'm quite sure I remember it correctly because i was so pissed off when i read it. Guys were sneaking out at night in small boats to catch what they could to feed their starving families. I don't see why this should be surprise. The english had no problem letting the irish starve.

Irish potato famine also known as An Gorta Mor, The Great Hunger, caused mass emmigration & starvation in mid 1800s Ireland>

In September of 1845, the blight was observed first in Waterford and Wexford. It then spread quickly to other regions of Ireland. No part of the country was spared, but those who lived near fishing areas fared better than those who lived inland. "The scourge of famine has struck the West and the South with greater fury than elsewhere" (Keegan 18). In the first year of the blight, the English authorities took prompt action to remedy the situation. To prevent food prices from soaring, and to control the market, Sir Robert Peel, Prime Minister of England, purchased $100,000 worth of Indian corn and meal from the United States (Moody 268). This was a considerate gesture, by any means, but the first act that should have been implemented was to prohibit the export of foodstuffs from Ireland. This was never considered because foremost in Peel's mind was the thought of the revenue that the exports would collect for England. But he did donate $365,000 in government grants and the Irish made it through the first year safely.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

You would think those Red States would have been the pillar of financial conservatism...Like my State of Florida.

Florida is not one of the ones I counted as reliably red....and that may very well be a one of the sources of its problems.

middle-class family of three looking to buy a modest 80 square meter apartment

1 square meter = 10.7639104 square feet

80 x 10.7639104 = 861.11 square feet

Is it that tight in NY ? I heard it's bad there, but hate big cities.

I noticed something else about that chart Jonathan. Even during our "boom" time prior to this crash the index didn't reach as high as it did previously....Hmmmm

12th Percentile wrote:
That means that a middle-class family of three looking to buy a modest 80 square meter apartment will have to come up with RMB2.4 million, or about $350,000.
This is pretty startling considering that the average annual income of urban workers only reached about RMB29,000 ($4,250) in 2008, as reported by Xinhua News Agency.

"It is glorious to get rich"

That's only 80:1 or better... perfectly sustainable. Not even a whiff of speculative frenzy here. Yeah, they're FUNo one 17 and under admitted!!

Comrade Kristina wrote:

You would think those Red States would have been the pillar of financial conservatism...Like my State of Florida. Completely controlled by the GOP and a fiscal wreck...go figure.

California Completely controlled by the liberals and a fiscal wreck...go figure. That said Kristina you are wrong to conflate GOP and conservative. Hasn't been that way for very long time. GOP and fiscal conservatism for even longer.

The State Government is reliably Red and has been for a very long time.

ha ha

A friend was in Tokyo and took in a Giants game there, and up to bat was an American ballplayer who had to dodge a couple of pitches on the way to getting hit by the pitcher, and instead of heading towards first base, he ran for the mound and the hurler didn't stand his ground, but high-tailed it for left field with the batter in hot pursuit and the chase went on alongside the warning track until the batter was able to jump on top of him and give him what my friend described as "a bunch of noogies to the head".

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

That's only 80:1 or better... perfectly sustainable. Not even a whiff of speculative frenzy here. Yeah, they're FU

Not as big a problem as here, if there is little secondary market and 'walking' is not an option(jail time).

Comrade Kristina wrote:

The State Government is reliably Red and has been for a very long time.

Better Red than dead!

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Those states that were prudent and have stable economies should be punished, and those that were irresponsible and run on speculative bubbles need to be rewarded.

Well... A lot of those states may have gotten a disproportionate windfall from the stimulus and government spending.

Per Capita Federal Expenditure by State (by expenditure)

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I noticed something else about that chart Jonathan. Even during our "boom" time prior to this crash the index didn't reach as high as it did previously....Hmmmm

It would be interesting to see this chart superimposed against total debt (not budget deficit).

Crude jumped after EIA reported crude build up. Tongue

Beat me to it CK: Those states that give generous tax breaks to businesses and actively hold the people's business hostage in Congress for pork deals in their states are just as stressed, if not more, than the 'liberal' ones.

speed racer wrote:

Better Red than dead!

It's cute the way you red states think you'll have a choice after the mid-terms.

punchy wrote:

Crude jumped after EIA reported crude build up.

Mortimer Duke: "The squid has set the price."

Comrade Kristina wrote:

The State Government is reliably Red and has been for a very long time.

Graham was a dominant force in FL politics for a long time, and was a staunch democrat. Did he even lose and election? Additionally, the larger metropolitan areas of Southern FL (sans Miami maybe?) tend to lean very blue, and that's where you've seen of lot of issues recently, dating back in particular to the 2000 election problems and even before....

Crude jumped after EIA reported crude build up

OPEC did raise their projections for demand in 2010.

If this doesn't scream GREEN SHOOTS what does?

Yep Nanoo and the citizens of this state suffer as as a result. In Florida we have one of the highest rates of non insured people at 25%. That number is scary but not terrifying until you think about the HUGE part of our population here that IS insured via Medicare (all our Seniors). Which means the working class stiffs are largely uninsured. We also have some of the lowest wages in the Union and a barely there social safety net. Ahhhh just another day in Paradise.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

the hurler didn't stand his ground, but high-tailed it for left field

That's not how Nolan Ryan would handle it...

the Vampire Squid from Hell is the largest holder of USO. Until that changes I doubt oil is going south.

Blackhalo wrote:
Well... A lot of those states may have gotten a disproportionate windfall from the stimulus and government spending.
True.. but a spendthrift who can't balance a budget is still a spendthrift who can't balance a budget,The problem isn't economic, it's behavioral. And DC is still the black hole at the center of our national galaxy

Per Capita Federal Expenditure by State (by expenditure)

Nevada in last place and it has the Senate Majority Leader? Where's the pork?

12th Percentile wrote:

OPEC did raise their projections for storage in 2010.

Fixed It For Ya

If construction spending keeps going down this year and UE increases or stays the same I think we could go GDP negative in the 3rd quarter this year. Just Pullin' Yer Leg

Crude jumped after EIA reported crude build up.

  • Smaller build in inventory than expected! This should help push the price of crude up into the $84 to $87 range in the next week. I'm taking it in the Brown Pants on my DTO fund Puzzled

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

Beat me to it CK: Those states that give generous tax breaks to businesses and actively hold the people's business hostage in Congress for pork deals in their states are just as stressed, if not more, than the 'liberal' ones.

On the other hand, MI, CA and "purple" FL have more population than the the all of the "red: states in the top 12. In fact, I'll bet CA alone has more than the 8 I mentioned, and for that matter, I wouldn't be surprised if MI and FL together have more than those 8.

sportsfan wrote:

Per Capita Federal Expenditure by State (by expenditure)
Nevada in last place and it has the Senate Majority Leader? Where's the pork?

Really old data.

Except Florida is NOT purple in regards to it's state Legislature, not even close. Who runs the states finances? The State legislature.

Republican Party of Florida - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

I thought NC was a (se)bastion of economic strength.

OPEC did raise their projections for demand in 2010.

  • They raised their projections from the previous month by roughly 1/10th of a percent! Super bullish signal no doubt Snark
They raised their projections from the previous month by roughly 1/10th of a percent! Super bullish signal no doubt Snark

I was just putting it out there. Not that any of these facts matter when it comes to the price of oil. Don't fight the squid.

Gas was up another penny today. That is 8 cents in the last 6 days.

It is Spring Break here in Panama City, our gas skyrockets every March. Up over 20 cents a gallon in the past couple weeks.

Does it really matter Cinco? I suspect there will be both class warfare and political warfare waged in a blizzard of finger pointing rather than actually identifying and solving problems. There's a lot of blame to case on both sides. There been greed on both sides and much in the way of credit is wealth even among those who know better.

Only the Dakotas are barely solvent. The rest no matter their political alliances are either in the high single digits or double digits in budget gaps. All this means is a lot of pain for those worst off, those not so bad off will be worse off. We know who will likely only be playing games with their balance sheets but feel no change in their lifestyles or quality of life.

In the end this is about people, the services they need that won't be available, people losing livelihoods and families more challenged. I'm getting impatient as those who do Gawds work are so richly rewarded and yet are exempted from consequences or sharing responsibilities at the same level as those who work just as hard do but aren't as unethical. Greed knows no nation, state or political party.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Really old data.

It was the latest I could find with Google.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Except Florida is NOT purple in regards to it's state Legislature, not even close. Who runs the states finances? The State legislature.
Republican Party of Florida - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not living there or keeping up with the news there, I can't really comment on the finances. Is FL about to default on debt? Given its population, is FL running a deficit substantially higher than the US on average? What exactly has the legislature done to draw your ire?

12th Percentile wrote:

They raised their projections from the previous month by roughly 1/10th of a percent! Super bullish signal no doubt Snark
I was just putting it out there. Not that any of these facts matter when it comes to the price of oil. Don't fight the squid.
Gas was up another penny today. That is 8 cents in the last 6 days.

And yet near contract Apr '10 natgas is at life contract lows and 60% off peak $4.50. When this BTU/$ imbalance corrects it will be a shock to the economy no matter which way it falls.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

In the end this is about people, the services they need that won't be available, people losing livelihoods and families more challenged.

You mean it's all not just about statistics? What a concept.

I need to stop trading oil! I lose my ass in both directions it seems. Research and fundamentals don't matter anymore My Head Just Exploded It really is a losers game unless you're Vampire Squid from Hell

Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:

If this doesn't scream GREEN SHOOTS what does?

this: Prudent Greek Fiscal Policy - Panhandling For Public Debt | zero hedge

This account has appeared about at the same time as California has started asking retail investors to directly invest in its critical $2 billion bond offering. In the sovereign crises of the future, will paypal donations play a critical role? All signs point to yes.

I can see the day when we can just paypal tax payments to the government towards the causes we want to support. Snark
.
tncubsfan wrote:

It really is a losers game unless you're Vampire Squid from Hell

To quote Bill Engvall: Here's your sign.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

Does it really matter Cinco? I suspect there will be both class warfare and political warfare waged in a blizzard of finger pointing rather than actually identifying and solving problems. There's a lot of blame to case on both sides. There been greed on both sides and much in the way of credit is wealth even among those who know better.

My reply was to a point about all of the red states in the top 12 for UE. Does it really matter if AK has a particularly high rate of UE? AK's population is only about 2/3's that of Cleveland, OH.

dawg

are you buying natgas at this level? what is your preferred way to buy it?

Clearly this increase in UE is good for the economy. Just look at the Dow.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Their answer? Cut Medicaid and give tax breaks to business! Yay!

That's simple. Medicaid beneficiaries don't pay taxes. Business might.

sportsfan wrote:
You mean it's all not just about statistics? What a concept.
I thought we were all just numbers...
Interestingly, the less power numbers have over your life, the less the Vampire Squid from Hell controls your destiny. Economics is a useful way of thinking about certain problems and situations in life, but not the only one.

Wholesale inventories fall while sales increase - Yahoo! Finance

Sales were up a solid 1.3 percent, the best showing since a 3.6 percent rise in November.

So please tell me how that ties back to a 5% decline in state sales tax revenues across the country, particularly at a time when there were several states that increased their sales tax rates?

sportsfan wrote:

That's simple. Medicaid beneficiaries don't pay taxes. Business might.

CK just got busted! Hooty-hoo! Got Concrete?

Most of the states on the right side of the graph have relatively small populations.

You'll notice their projection for UE by this winter is over 12% with it only falling "down" to 10% in 2012. So, let's cut what little social safety net we have? Brilliant! I can see Florida becoming its own little Somalia on the Gulf.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Florida's $3 Billion Deficit and Slow Recovery May Force Deep Cuts to State Programs | Latest News
| TheLedger.com
Their answer? Cut Medicaid and give tax breaks to business! Yay!

The Takeaway: State budget shortfalls for the 2008-2009 fiscal year
Painful, but not yet totally irresponsible. Also, from what I hear, a conservative is kicking Charlie Crist's @$$ in the primary, so he's apparently not all that red himself.

Rob Dawg wrote:

That said Kristina you are wrong to conflate GOP and conservative. Hasn't been that way for very long time. GOP and fiscal conservatism for even longer.

If Barry Goldwater came back today would he be GOP? Wink

yagij wrote:

CK just got busted! Hooty-hoo!

I didn't bust her with my reply. I agree with her outlook. The State (doesn't matter if it's Florida or any other) cuts Medicaid benefits because it doesn't really give a damn about people, but has to balance its budget and balance it while giving additional tax breaks to people who don't qualify for Medicaid because they already have too much money.

sportsfan wrote:

That's simple. Medicaid beneficiaries don't pay taxes. Business might.

But doctors do... And as in the link to Nevada's poor showing in federal largess, being due to a stingy medicade plan, FL will lose out on the federal matching funds.

ille_vir wrote:

Most of the states on the right side of the graph have relatively small populations.

A good outbreak of Black Plague would fix some of the problems. Wink

energyecon wrote:

If Barry Goldwater came back today would he be GOP?

Yes-
Gotta go............

Numbers are an abstraction. useful for those with power. But mostly a method of definition and division. Geometry on the other hand...

12th Percentile wrote:

dawg
are you buying natgas at this level? what is your preferred way to buy it?

Extremely tempting but I am only theoretical trading because I am trying to refine a strategy that works in such a crooked house. The near term natgas prices seem low and the oil seems extremely high. But as you see the oil price is immune from fundamentals. I'm thinking the infrastructure plays are undervalued and IIRC energyecon agrees.

They hate Charlie because he is "Teh Gay". There is no doubt Rubio will beat Crist in a primary. The mouth breathers here love Rubios brand of crazy. I figure Crist will run Indy or switch to Dem and Rubio will be gone bye bye.

I knew what you meant Cinco. Smile Just sayin' those fiscal responsibility yappers were just yapping. Obviously there is no magic bullet, different state will suffer differently and for different reasons. You also have to break down the demographics further which I'm too lazy to do and then get into the meat and potatoes of their bases in employment and taxation.

Bottom line is there aren't very many secure, well paying jobs out there no matter what state you are located in, how educated or specialized you are. Some states have weathered this better than others but its not because of some magic recipe of legislation due to political homogeneous governors/representatives on either side. The ones which were weathering it better are beginning to slide both in budget gaps and in UE. States cannot make up for bad federal laws or deals which have gamed the system so badly, the middle class now is on a respirator after wall over a decade of malinvestment of public and private capital.

Jonathan,

Many thanks to the link - Econobrowser links the source paper as well:
http://research.chicagobooth.edu/igm/events/docs/2010usmpfreport.pdf

We should stop taxing businesses and rich people completely. It should be obvious that the pittance they pay now is really just hurting the rest of us.

Zero taxes - Infinite growth.

We can just tax poor people and make it up on volume.

Blackhalo wrote:

And as in the link to Nevada's poor showing in federal largess being due to a stingy medicade plan, FL will lose out on the federal matching funds.

Absolutely, I believe it's 50% with Medicaid.

All snark aside, the very interesting question is what the States will do with poor sick people after the dismantling of the social services net is complete. That day is coming.

I should have said "Medicaid beneficiaries don't have any political power. Businesses do."

sportsfan wrote:

All snark aside, the very interesting question is what the States will do with poor sick people after the dismantling of the social services net is complete. That day is coming.

Healthy poor people are more difficult to control than sick poor people.

tncubsfan wrote:

Research and fundamentals don't matter anymore

Sadly true as commented here numerous times...

What happens when you let the wolves watch the sheep.

Always interesting to read how others see us...

But even when I've visited here before, as a student, my first impression was of a country that is full of madmen, ranging from somewhat mentally competent to total lunatics. And the further south I traveled, the more obvious this became.

LOL. ClubOrlov: Corn Madness

Disclaimer: My take on the American people is that they are among the most generous, open and welcoming people I've ever met. Especially in the South, which is where I live. However, this is and will continue to meet a harsher and angrier reality than many people expect.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

We can just tax poor people and make it up on volume.

We've tried that.
.
(@sportsfan: Total Snark on my part. You are right.)

Unemployment Stresses Spread To House: Brown Pants

Massa went on television Tuesday night for the first time since the allegations surfaced, but his comments in two cable television interviews contradicted earlier statements, serving only to raise more questions.

The freshman Democrat told Fox News Channel host Glenn Beck that "not only did I grope [a staffer], I tickled him until he couldn't breathe," then said hours later on CNN's "Larry King Live" that "it is not true" that he groped anyone on his staff.

He told Beck that he resigned from the House because he made the mistake of "getting too familiar with my staff" members....

sportsfan wrote:

I should have said "Medicaid beneficiaries don't have any political power. Businesses do."

I suspect beneficiaries vote in great numbers, but that medicade is one of the few levers, that states in bad shape can pull. Unlike the contractual requirements associated with public pension obligations...

Vonbek777 wrote:
Numbers are an abstraction. useful for those with power. But mostly a method of definition and division. Geometry on the other hand...
Numbers are the ultimate tool of control. By running our lives and making our decisions based on economic considerations we fall right into the hands of the predictive powers of government over our behavior. A bitter irony but an unfortunate reality (in that numbers can help us as individuals to make ideal choices).

Blackhalo wrote:

Unlike the contractual requirements associated with public pension obligations...

I wonder whether the States will be left on their own when it comes to their own stupidity.

Not being a government employee (since 1970) and not having a pension of any kind, I guess it's time to go stand in front of Lowe's and see if I can pick up any work today.

Have a good day, folks.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I can see Florida becoming its own little Somalia on the Gulf.

I'm seeing a business opportunity in opening a pirate school!

sportsfan wrote:
I wonder whether the States will be left on their own when it comes to their own stupidity.
Never. Politics is going to decide who gets the loot, and the loudest voice wins. Welcome to democracy 2.0

As Michigan goes, so goes the Nation

speed racer wrote:
I'm seeing a business opportunity in opening a pirate school!
If my students work very hard, I'll give them an ARRRRR! on their report card.

Doc Holiday wrote:

As Michigan goes, so goes the Nation

Where are we going? Not much to report from there.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I can see Florida becoming its own little Somalia on the Gulf.

I see a day when alligators will rule the South.

Doc Holiday wrote:

As Michigan goes, so goes the Nation

Jeff Daniels for president!
Is that Dumb, or Dumber?

Doc Holiday wrote:

I see a day when alligators will rule the South.

They'll be eating donkey stew!

Nice link, good read. Thanks Jonathan.

I believe the "unemployment rate" as calculated is a rather inaccurate statistic for many reasons.

However, even "as stated" it is very disconcerting...

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

Just sayin' those fiscal responsibility yappers were just yapping. Obviously there is no magic bullet, different state will suffer differently and for different reasons. You also have to break down the demographics further which I'm too lazy to do and then get into the meat and potatoes of their bases in employment and taxation.

As (I believe) Rob has pointed out, the average Congress Critter behaves far more liberally and far more irresponsibly than his/her constituents, with the possible exception of those from CA.....

Doc Holiday wrote:

He told Beck that he resigned from the House because he made the mistake of "getting too familiar with my staff" members....

Just trying to get to know them....
.
.
.
.
in the Biblical sense-

What about a 3-D chart that plots the banks already closed in the last three years (with dollar amounts) with an overlay of banks on the soon-to-be-closed axis, with an overlay of unemployment that is proximate to bank failures. Perhaps just a simple map of the USA territory as a background, with little interactive dollar signs over each failure, surrounded by a pool of color which displays the unemployment percentage within the target area? Can you do that for me? And ahhh, maybe toss in state and county debt as well and then perhaps a link to other demographics and voting records, sexual preferences and relationships with GDP....

energyecon wrote:

Econobrowser links the source paper as well

Thanks for that. It's good work from the Vampire Squid from Hell (Hatzius) so we may as well enjoy it!

With ever more government interference in all areas of everything, we need metrics that attempt to disentangle what's actually happening.

"...... all 50 states had an unemployment rate in January that was higher than a year earlier."
.

.....and CNN-Money has the headline, "State unemployment picture brightens".......as in a 'bomb blast'? What idiots!

Vonbek777 wrote:
LHC to shut down for a year to address design faults
Best and the brightest......dreaming of perfect circles.

Low bidder gets the contract, skimp on problem discovery phase to meet unrealistic deadlines and come in under budget to get my bonus... Just guessin' Smile

Black Star Ranch wrote:
.....and CNN-Money has the headline, "State unemployment picture brightens".......as in a 'bomb blast'?
The white flash of a nuke warhead detonation

How about we just stamp EPIC FAIL on our foreheads instead and shame ourselves for a lost decade and get on with the real work of rebuilding this country.

Just got my electric bill for this month. The highest ever. I though the 315 dollar one was bad in December. We dropped our thermostat and managed to get it down to $284 last month, this month? $365 dollars. I give up. Since June of 2008 they've given themselves a 17% hike then a 9% hike and then another 8% hike. The one in '08 was an "emergency" hike because of the high cost of fuel during the spike. Of course they never removed that hike once the price of fuel sank like the Titanic. Thievery.

Jonathan wrote:

Always interesting to read how others see us...
But even when I've visited here before, as a student, my first impression was of a country that is full of madmen, ranging from somewhat mentally competent to total lunatics. And the further south I traveled, the more obvious this became.
LOL. ClubOrlov: Corn Madness
Disclaimer: My take on the American people is that they are among the most generous, open and welcoming people I've ever met. Especially in the South, which is where I live. However, this is and will continue to meet a harsher and angrier reality than many people expect.

Excerpt:

The question of when the modern capitalist system is going to collapse has interested me since my student years, and I have approached it from various directions: from the commonplace conspiracy theories to the serious works of Oswald Spengler and Noam Chomsky.

Serious works of Noam Chomsky? Can't be bothered with anyone that takes Noam Chomsky seriously. What a quack-

Vonbek777 wrote:
How about we just stamp EPIC FAIL on bankster and politician foreheads instead and shame them publicly for a lost decade, put them in prison where they can't hurt anyone or spend anyone's money, and the rest of us can get on with the real work of rebuilding this country.
Fixed It For Ya

Vonbek777 wrote:

Best and the brightest......dreaming of perfect circles

Cause, you know, a lot of people are TALKING about the Higgs Boson, but these guys are actually doing something about it.

I'm to bed now, but I'd like to pass along a short, seemingly simple statement from Broward last night:

"When governments destroy their credibility, they open the gates for anything and everything else."

I've been thinking about this today, and will think about it for a long time.

As (I believe) Rob has pointed out, the average Congress Critter behaves far more liberally and far more irresponsibly than his/her constituents, with the possible exception of those from CA.....

Can we leave liberals and conservatives out of it, and just say that most of the Congress vermin act more selfishly than their constituents?

I'm firmly convinced at this point that "serving" (bwahahaha) in Congress is their chosen path (through previous graft) to personal enrichment and wealth.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

Can we leave liberals and conservatives out of it, and just say that most of the Congress vermin act more selfishly than their constituents?

Anyone can rattle off a few dozen liberals in Congress but conservatives are hen's teeth. That makes it a legitimate issue when we discuss the struggle to return to conservative fiscal policy.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:
I'm firmly convinced at this point that "serving" (bwahahaha) in Congress is their chosen path (through previous graft) to personal enrichment and wealth.
DING DING DING! You win the Booby Prize. They already took all the good stuff.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

Can we leave liberals and conservatives out of it, and just say that most of the Congress vermin act more selfishly than their constituents?

I repeated what I believe Rob Dawg said. Thought about it afterward and realized that there might be an implication that:
liberalism=(fiscally)irresponsible
Sorry 'bout that; 2000-2008 show that fiscally irresponsibility enjoyed bipartisan support.

Cinco-X wrote:

Can't be bothered with anyone that takes Noam Chomsky seriously.

I'll offer 100:1 odds you've never read anything he's written. (Well, aside from some brief quotes lifted out of context.)

Cinco-X wrote:

Serious works of Noam Chomsky? Can't be bothered with anyone that takes Noam Chomsky seriously. What a quack-

Spoken with the bravado of a man who I'd guess has never done much more than crack the cover of one, if that.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Just got my electric bill for this month. The highest ever.

No snark: should we start considering electricity and heating/AC more as a luxury going forward?
.
FD: I've been able to keep my utility bills easily under 100 USD (averaging ~70 USD), but I live in a small(ish) apartment and make sure things are turned off as much as possible (unplugged too where applicable).

Cinco-X wrote:
Sorry 'bout that; 2000-2008 show that fiscally irresponsibility enjoyed bipartisan support.
Everybody wants to spend everybody else's money... it's psycho-genetic.

Cinco-X wrote:

I repeated what I believe Rob Dawg said. Thought about it afterward and realized that there might be an implication that:
liberalism=(fiscally)irresponsible
Sorry 'bout that; 2000-2008 show that fiscally irresponsibility enjoyed bipartisan support.

Liberalism = fiscally unsustainable. Far less an indictment than irresponsible. You are also correct that 00-08 was a period of extreme irresponsibility.

That said that last vestiges of sustainable were when Clinton loggerheaded with a Republican Congress. Not coincidentally just before we blew the credit and housing bubbles.

Comrade Janošik wrote:

Spoken with the bravado of a man who I'd guess has never done much more than crack the cover of one, if that.
Yalt (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Wed, 3/10/2010 - 12:32 pm
I'll offer 100:1 odds you've never read anything he's written. (Well, aside from some brief quotes lifted out of context.)

I read an article by him once, and entire book dedicated to refuting his various fallacies. The guy is a quack and a liar. Unfortunately, many like him believe that lies are okay if one believes their cause is just. I don't buy their moral relativism arguments, or anything else they write...

Oil futures rise after supply report - Mar. 10, 2010

What analysts are saying: "U.S. oil demand hit its highest level since September 2009, giving us a bit of a boost today," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst for PFG Best.

Demand destructionists, demand destructionists, wherefore art thou?

Can anyone explain to me why the markets have been so thoroughly kermit over the last few weeks? It doesn't make any god damned sense to me, and it feels like a set up for a fall.

I don't know if someone posted something about this, but the WSJ Blog put a curious spin on this:

"Unemployment Rates, by State: Most Regions Added Jobs in January"

Particularly obvious: Why say "State" when you use "Regions" as the criterion. And so in general, the least populated states are the ones with the better unemployment figures. Wow!

Cinco-X wrote:

entire book dedicated to refuting his various fallacies.

Those would be the "brief quotes lifted out of context" i mentioned. I see you were able to save time by finding them all in one place.

Outsider wrote:

Demand destructionists, demand destructionists, wherefore art thou?

I defer to energycon for that one. I am prone to believe someone who has a track record here over anyone with the title of "analysts". Loss of confidence does that to people.

Cinco-X wrote:

I read an article by him once, and entire book dedicated to refuting his various fallacies.

It's funny I've read your comments for a while now, and I thought -- "Manufacturing Consent" would be right up your alley.

What's your monthly cost (cost of power, distribution fees, and taxes) divided by kilowatts used? If it is about 14 cents or so, it's not an unusual price.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

Can anyone explain to me why the markets have been so thoroughly kermit over the last few weeks?

ghostfaced would say: 1.25 trillion in MBS purchases that are ending 3/31 is all you should need to know. If the market is Its not easy being green still by April 15, 2010, then ask the Magic 8-Ball again.

Rob Dawg wrote:

That said that last vestiges of sustainable were when Clinton loggerheaded with a Republican Congress. Not coincidentally just before we blew the credit and housing bubbles.

One might make the argument that those times were an artifact of large tax revenues resulting from the dot.com bubble, and even they did not represent sustainability. I don't know if anyone has look closely; it seems that both sides look back and draw unfounded conclusions that support their current philosophy without looking under the rug for the real dirt.....

Can anyone explain to me why the markets have been so thoroughly kermit over the last few weeks? It doesn't make any god damned sense to me, and it feels like a set up for a fall.

By the last few weeks I assume you mean "the last 52", right?

sportsfan wrote:

All snark aside, the very interesting question is what the States will do with poor sick people after the dismantling of the social services net is complete. That day is coming.

Really? I don't really see this happening. For example, the never-ending continuation of unemployment. Commitment to a health bill. Programs to avoid foreclosure. Food stamp programs. Increased taxes to pay for shortfalls in social security, medicare, and pensions.

The only way these programs will end is if the US goes bankrupt -- which may happen. But your statement implies that we're in the process of dismantling social services now. I'll argue that what's happening is the opposite. We have a government that has promised far too much to far too many, and has no credible ability to repay. Plus we've crossed the rubicon, and there is no longer incentive to be responsible. We now have a critical mass of people who are on the receiving end of government largess, and have the ability to vote themselves additional benefits that OTHERS would pay for.

You'll interpret this as a partisan issue, because that's what you do. In reality it is a far larger problem, and I don't play the red/blue game.

It is, patience is a virtue. I am amazed by how effective extend and pretend has been. Like people remind me they can do this longer than I can remain solvent.

But remember, the market has absolutely zip to do with the real conditions on Main Street. When you consider that, then its not so hard to understand the fundamentals make no difference.

It appears that way yagij. Unfortunately our homes down here are not insulated very well and tend to have many windows. We also are entirely electric (hot water, heat, ac, cooking etc.). I just called them and went over the numbers and double checked the readings. The Rep thinks they probably misread last months causing the spike this month. One lady was on the news here during the cold snap, her bill was over a thousand dollars for the month. Insanity.

Just got my electric bill for this month. The highest ever.

Glad to see my investment in your power company will be paying good dividends! Same thing happening around here; we just had a neighborhood meeting just yesterday about the spike in everyone's gas bill. We blame the SMART meters they just installed.

ghostfaced would say: 1.25 trillion in MBS purchases that are ending 3/31 is all you should need to know. If the market is Its not easy being green still by April 15, 2010, then ask the Magic 8-Ball again.

I had the feeling we were going to tank. That sounds like a good trigger.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:
Can anyone explain to me why the markets have been so thoroughly kermit over the last few weeks? It doesn't make any god damned sense to me, and it feels like a set up for a fall.
Hope is our dope. Extend and pretend. Fake it till you make it.

Gambler world!

Chomsky a "quack"?

Yeah, Galileo too.
My Head Just Exploded

What analysts are saying: "U.S. oil demand hit its highest level since September 2009, giving us a bit of a boost today," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst for PFG Best.

WHAT?? And demand was what in Sep '09!!?? Total Nothingburger comment.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

It doesn't make any god damned sense to me, and it feels like a set up for a fall.

You're not alone in your confusion. Puzzled

Hmmmmm.......Yalt and Janosik = fans of Noam Chomsky

I have a liberal friend that actually attended MIT (edit: and took a class from Chomsky), and who has a band that actually plays from time to time at democratic fund raisers; even he thinks Chomsky is out there. Prozac

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Chomsky a "quack"?

Yeah, Galileo too.

I think there are plenty of accusations you can sling at Chomsky (as well as loads of praise)?
But "quack" isn't really one of them.

How about $3.76? Sound good? Bill was for 365 bucks and I used 97Kw.

With yogi, yagij, sportsfan, and me around and posting, the lawyer commentariat faction is ascendant. Now is our chance to push through needed reforms.

Gavshire Hathaway wrote:

The only way these programs will end is if the US goes bankrupt -- which may happen. But your statement implies that we're in the process of dismantling social services now. I'll argue that what's happening is the opposite. We have a government that has promised far too much to far too many, and has no credible ability to repay. Plus we've crossed the rubicon, and there is no longer incentive to be responsible. We now have a critical mass of people who are on the receiving end of government largess, and have the ability to vote themselves additional benefits that OTHERS would pay for.

Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell Needs More Cowbell

CK, I watch the 8-14 day weather forecasts and have noticed that the southeastern US has been very cold. For your area temperatures have averaged (for the past 6 weeks) to be below normal (up 8 degrees too low) or much below normal(up to 16 degrees below normal). I think your high energy bill is partly doe to the cold weather.

Yup, blaming it all on the weather again...

If you think your electric bill is to expensive, consider the additional cost if it is green energy electricity.

Gavshire Hathaway wrote:

We now have a critical mass of people who are on the receiving end of government largess, and have the ability to vote themselves additional benefits that OTHERS would pay for.

Once a critical mass is reached we are truly Dooooooooooooooom!!!ed. As a sheeple idi-ion is moved beyond the debt threshold it becomes excited and creates two T-partycles which pushes other sheeple idi-ions into the excited state and creates more T-partycles. Once the sheeple have reached critical mass the chain reaction will create a frothing excited mixture of dim witted sheeple plasma idi-ions that will surely destroy us all.

ghostfaced would say: 1.25 trillion in MBS purchases that are ending 3/31 is all you should need to know.

FTW. You have a bingo!

Higher unemployment? Awesome job ZIRP is doing in destroying the economy. Great theory gone wrong.

Except it wasn't just a theory, we have seen ZIRP in practice elsewhere, and could observe the results.

Comrade Janošik wrote:

I think there are plenty of accusations you can sling at Chomsky (as well as loads of praise)?
But "quack" isn't really one of them.

No praise, and quack is quite suitable. Kool-Aid

I'm sure it is traderwalt but the continual rate hikes for "emergencies" that never get rescinded are not helping. Also, each hike is then added to the new "cost". So the actual percentage is much higher than just adding up the hikes collectively.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:
With yogi, yagij, sportsfan, and me around and posting, the lawyer commentariat faction is ascendant. Now is our chance to push through needed reforms.
Use your temporary political ascendancy to pass laws that give you special privileges. Then when the political winds turn, the laws (and your privileges) will remain, especially if you can make other people's livelihoods dependent on those privileges -- they will fight for you! Snark Hey, it works in DeeCee.

Cinco-X wrote:

I have a liberal friend that actually attended MIT,

wtf, they allow libruls at MIT? Those dawgs will let anyone in.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

If you think your electric bill is to expensive, consider the additional cost if it is green energy electricity.

Actually, if she had the money for a grid tied solar system, it would pay for itself even without tax credit and such. FL has lots of "solar resources"

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

and could observe the results.

You mean some economists might actually notice the events of the world's second biggest economy in the past 20 years instead of regurgitating half-understood Friedman from a half-century ago? Im shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!

Cinco-X wrote:

I have a liberal friend that actually attended MIT, and who has a band that actually plays from time to time at democratic fund raisers; even he thinks Chomsky is out there.

Look, I've learned to take everything I read with a grain of salt, and not to just seek out things that will validate my world view.
I'm just saying don't judge the man's body of work (and it's huge) on the basis of one article, and one attack book.

I don't think he became a professor of linguistics at MIT, and somewhat of an authority on the subject, by being an idiot.

JP wrote:
wtf, they allow libruls at MIT? Those dawgs will let anyone in.
Them's as gots, gets... hell, remember Gee Dubya's academic pedigree...

I so want to go solar but it is very expensive to get started.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Use your temporary political ascendancy to pass laws that give you special privileges. Then when the political winds turn, the laws (and your privileges) will remain, especially if you can make other people's livelihoods dependent on those privileges -- they will fight for you!

Ahem.......they already did that.....the lawyers anyway-

Yeah, and the pace of purchases is actually increasing relative to supply, as the Fed tries to spend the entire 1.25T by March 31st. Sort of like a version of Brewster's Millions.

Look out below when those stop, even if momentarily. I am starting to get anxious about my PM and commodities positions, kind of feel like I am playing chicken here, how much more upside can I get out of them before the spigot is turned off?

Cinco-X wrote:
Ahem.......they already did that.....the lawyers anyway-
Damn, there I am late to the punch bowl again... it's almost like I was extending an analogy and pretending it didn't already happen in another context Smile

JP wrote:

I have a liberal friend that actually attended MIT,

wtf, they allow libruls at MIT? Those dawgs will let anyone in.

Right! The People's Republic of Cambridge is such a conservative bastion Snark Ya' know it's just walking distance from Harvard Yard, don'cha?

Umm, sounds off. For exj., my last bill, estimated was for $243 and we used 2073 kilowatts. $243/2073=0.117 per kilowatt hr. Does your bill give a 'price to compare' for your kilowatt cost? Perhaps the 97 kw was a daily use estimate?

Cinco-X wrote:

Actually, if she had the money for a grid tied solar system, it would pay for itself even without tax credit and such. FL has lots of "solar resources"

Maybe, but then if everyone went of Grid the job destruction would be huge. More loss.

OT but that rarely stops anyone here....Tropicana now blaming the weather Dooooooooooooooom!!!

Orange juice giant Tropicana said it will reduce the package size of its
flagship 64-ounce Tropicana Pure Premium orange juice carton and will raise
the price of its gallon-size Pure Premium product to reflect the small,
freeze-affected Florida orange crop this year.
In an effort to keep prices on its core product stable, Tropicana will
reduce the size of its 64-ounce Pure Premium orange juice carton to 59 ounces.

the very interesting question is what the States will do with poor sick people after the dismantling of the social services net is complete

Use a broad brush and blame them all for their plight in order to sleep at night?

We now have a critical mass of people who are on the receiving end of government largess

Drive on a road? Do you flush your toilets? Do you have employees who were educated under a public system? Could you possibly become unemployed? Old? Is it possible you could get sick and need benefits? Congrats, you are also on the receiving end of government largess, welfare queen!

Once a critical mass is reached we are truly Dooooooooooooooom!!!ed.

I don't buy the conservative's critical welfare mass Armageddon scenario, though I hear it a lot. The fact is, people prefer to work and have their own family and run their own lives and will overwhelmingly choose to do so given the opportunity for square work and square wages. Not working sucks, and it drives a person crazy after a while. In my opinion, only where workers are paid debt-slave wages, where they don't truly own anything, their bottom line is met only by supplementing their income with debt, and it's economically impossible to build a stable life and raise kids on a household's one and a half income does the crappy lifestyle provided by going 100% on government support look appealing. Humans like working and building; it releases pleasing neurochemicals in the brain, it's addictive. We like to do it.

It is GrandOldTurkey. I looked at the wrong numbers that was per day. Actual cost is 12 cents per KWH.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I so want to go solar but it is very expensive to get started.

You could probably "jimmy" together a solar hot water system for not much money. Search the net-

Since 70% of Florida's tomato crop is wiped out, I did my duty to increase scarcity by buying a few extra jars of spaghetti sauce, canned tomatoes, fresh tomatoes to freeze...

Remember the rice days?

Yes Cinco, the water heater set up is fairly inexpensive. It would be start anyway. I really want the whole house solar though. Maybe when I win the lottery.

Cinco-X wrote:

Actually, if she had the money for a grid tied solar system, it would pay for itself even without tax credit and such. FL has lots of "solar resources"

link please, about "paying for itself", that is.

Cinco-X wrote:

Right! The People's Republic of Cambridge is such a conservative bastion Snark

Don't know why you're snarking: MIT was #1 on the list of military funding, probably since the 50s. (Haven't seen the list in ten years tho.) Such pro-military is rarely on the list of librulism.

Ya' know it's just walking distance from Harvard Yard, don'cha?

I know enough to call it Hahvahd Yahd, and my pic made front-page of the Crimson, thankyouverymuch.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

Can anyone explain to me why the markets have been so thoroughly kermit

Perhaps TARP is working for the insolvent banks. If you as an individual were to be given several million from taxpayers, wouldn't you go play with it? The best model to look at is the Paulson/Bush PPT market run-up prior to the TARP systemic failure. This is just physics once again and this thin-skinned synthetic balloon being pumped up, is not dynamically structured to expand in concert with a ballooning deficit.

It may be time for me to go into my secret underground battle room and look at the S&P E/P and look at where things are.

I stocked up here as well Outsider although I'll have my own crops by the end of April if all goes well with the weather. Last year I had my first tomatoes in April.

That's pretty heavy on the Red Herring for you, EHP. Infrastructure maintenance expenses are a very different beast than long-term entitlements. Obfuscation isn't going to magically improve growth as H&HS hits 2 trillion as the GDP slouches back under 10 tril.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Maybe, but then if everyone went of Grid the job destruction would be huge. More loss.

No; we're talking grid tied systems, and it's generally agreed that we need a newer, smarter grid to accommodate these new technologies. Besides, jobs lost at the electric company would be in part made up by jobs and solar manufacturers and installers. Since there would be real competition at those smaller companies, they wouldn't be sucking the economy dry like some of the big monopolies like to do. Disclaimer: I'm not opposed to BHO's "green jobs" initiative; I am opposed to government "supervision" of it.

Noam Chomsky is almost certainly the world's pre-eminent linguist, but then, he is also an admitted anarchist, or sometimes, "anarcho-syndicalist". One can acknowledge his contributions to his area of scholarly expertise, while at the same time have perfectly rational disagreement with his personal politics, about which, personally, I would say "quack" is entirely warranted.

I still give him more respect than Krugman, however, as while I tend to disagree with their politics almost all of the time, at least Chomsky's work in his own field is rather uncontroversial. I would say I disagree with Krugman's economics half the time as well, as do many here on this board who tend to agree with his politics. Might have something to do with his penchant for roast beef dinners.

Thor, I think that anarcho-syndicalism, along with many other, more equitable forms of government would be quite possible and sustainable if we could only wave a magic wand and raise everyone's IQ points by about 10-20 or so. You'd be astonished at what would could accomplish as a society if we were all just a hair smarter.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:
Use a broad brush and blame them all for their plight in order to sleep at night?
No, they have pills for that now.

Outsider wrote:

You all are a bunch of whiners.

That's certainly a fact. Tongue

OMG I agree with CincoX.....ACK! My only quibble is if it isn't "supervised" the monopolies will insert their ugly, money grubbing paws into it.

JP wrote:

I know enough to call it Hahvahd Yahd, and my pic made front-page of the Crimson, thankyouverymuch.

Link please? Also, you realize that for decades that funding for college research in psychology was predominantly from the military, though t was often disguised. Additionally, agencies like DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) fund a lot of stuff that has many other uses beyond the military, like.....uh...the Internet, formerly known as DARPAnet...

That reminds me, haven't seen Basel Too lately.

I only have another few minutes so I won't waste it defending Chomsky from a knee jerk. On the legal front: evidently, Roberts made some remark about having to appear at the State of the Union to take humiliation from Congress.

How long did it take the power to go to the life-appointee's pointy head? There's a reform I'd push, term limits for SCOTUS. (Long)

JP wrote:
Don't know why you're snarking: MIT was #1 on the list of military funding, probably since the 50s. (Haven't seen the list in ten years tho.) Such pro-military is rarely on the list of librulism.
Teach them the idealistic view of free market economics, and insulate them from the real world of business politics in a research lab, and they'll assume that's how it works, since everyone is a rational economic actor and the world is just a giant engineering problem.
Laughing out loud

Hoops I was just snarking about the critical mass of people causing doom. However, I do think we are reaching the point where the will of the electorate is to demand more services than they are willing to pay for with taxes to no ones surprise, but this is just really a function of filing the gaps with debt on a public level. Ultimately it will just hasten the collapse of the government debt bubble if we vote free ponies and ice cream for everyone. Or we could try to change course, but that would take some leadership to admit that the current economic model is not sustainable and we will have to make some difficult changes.

Roberts made some remark about having to appear at the State of the Union to take humiliation from Congress.

I heard that on the radio. What a disgusting affront to the court's dignity the Speed Striped chief justice is.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

OMG I agree with CincoX.....ACK! My only quibble is if it isn't "supervised" the monopolies will insert their ugly, money grubbing paws into it.

Worse yet, I'm on board with BHO! The end must be near Wink

He was upset about the POTUS chastising them on their Citizens United decision. I wonder if he noticed that somewhere in the vicinity of 70% of Americans are also chastising him...I'm sure he doesn't care. He did was he was put here to do. The coup is complete.

Not a bad price for today's costs. Solar is much more expensive, see DIY Solar Panel Installation - Are Cheap Solar Panels Finally Here? - Popular Mechanics. $2.87/watt; .287/kilowatt; payback time 18 years!

Inverted Hammer of Thor wrote:

Noam Chomsky is almost certainly the world's pre-eminent linguist, but then, he is also an admitted anarchist, or sometimes, "anarcho-syndicalist". One can acknowledge his contributions to his area of scholarly expertise, while at the same time have perfectly rational disagreement with his personal politics, about which, personally, I would say "quack" is entirely warranted.
I still give him more respect than Krugman, however, as while I tend to disagree with their politics almost all of the time, at least Chomsky's work in his own field is rather uncontroversial. I would say I disagree with Krugman's economics half the time as well, as do many here on this board who tend to agree with his politics. Might have something to do with his penchant for roast beef dinners.

Very nicely put; my utter disgust with Chomsky made it difficult for me to articulate my utter disgust....

Cinco-X wrote:

I have a liberal friend that actually attended MIT (edit: and took a class from Chomsky), and who has a band that actually plays from time to time at democratic fund raisers; even he thinks Chomsky is out there.

Well, I can certainly see why you'd think there's nothing but "quackery" in that dim world all the way to the left of democratic fund raisers. Whatever you do, don't ever pick up one of his books.

I do think we are reaching the point where the will of the electorate is to demand more services than they are willing to pay for with taxes to no ones surprise

You need to remember that human beings are basically good, that the greedy few who make headlines are not anywhere near a representative proportion, that we are hard-wired to take pleasure from selflessness, charity, and working for the good of our communities, and that given all of these factors, an educated, empowered electorate will not choose to push the button and destroy itself out of some sort of stupid animal rush to loot everything.

The myth that people are basically evil, greedy savages is an essential plank in the fascist argument that we really can't be trusted to govern ourselves. The next step down this path is the quite reasonable conclusion that it's better off after all if our power to vote and govern ourselves is diminished, for our own good. You need to sensitize yourself to this argument, and be very, very skeptical of anyone you hear repeating it. They, or someone they've listened to, thinks that they should rule you as a lord. For your own good, of course.

Cinco-X wrote:

Link please?

Fortunately, the mid eighties is not online.

Also, you realize that for decades that funding for college research in psychology was predominantly from the military, though t was often disguised. Additionally, agencies like DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) fund a lot of stuff that has many other uses beyond the military, like.....uh...the Internet, formerly known as DARPAnet...

Yes, there are different classes of funding. Many of the grants made to research institutions explicitly allow pursuing things not on the proposal, if the PI thinks it's worthwhile. The agent is not obligated to renew funding if the PI goes nuts.

like.....uh...the Internet, formerly known as DARPAnet...

Internet formerly DARPAnet formerly ARPAnet formerly DARPAnet formerly ALOHAnet

and I'm sure some of the other folks here can fill in the incarnations that i've missed.

Markets are up because the March jobs number will be roasting hot; it seems guaranteed between the weather, census, and b/d numbers. And the Nasdaq is within a few percentage points of ragaining half of its 2000 value.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

Thor, I think that anarcho-syndicalism, along with many other, more equitable forms of government would be quite possible and sustainable if we could only wave a magic wand and raise everyone's IQ points by about 10-20 or so. You'd be astonished at what would could accomplish as a society if we were all just a hair smarter.

Hoops,

I'm afraid I would have to disagree; the problem being that intelligence does not automatically equate to, or correlate with, morality. The smartest people tend to make the best cheaters, after all, what good are smarts if they can't give you an advantage over everyone else? And that's to say nothing of the equally common problem of people assuming, based on their intelligence, that their ideas are automatically the best ones.

Yalt wrote:

Whatever you do, don't ever pick up one of his books.

Don't worry your little head over that.....

You can thank Gavin Newsom for him and every other judge appointed '04-'08. Heckuva job, Gav.

No one 17 and under admitted Why not do another rail off the ass of your best friend's wife, bro?

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

Thor, I think that anarcho-syndicalism, along with many other, more equitable forms of government would be quite possible and sustainable if we could only wave a magic wand and raise everyone's IQ points by about 10-20 or so. You'd be astonished at what would could accomplish as a society if we were all just a hair smarter.

Classic. Anyone who thinks Choamsky is a quack is just too stupid to understand him.

Arthur: Then who is your lord?
Woman: We don't have a lord!
Arthur: (suprised) What??
Man: I told you! We're an anarcho-syndicalist commune! We're
taking turns to act as a sort of executive-officer-for-the-week--
Arthur: (uninterested) Yes...
Man: But all the decisions of that officer 'ave to be ratified at
a special bi-weekly meeting--
Arthur: (perturbed) Yes I see!
Man: By a simple majority, in the case of purely internal affairs--
Arthur: (mad) Be quiet!
Man: But by a two-thirds majority, in the case of more major--
Arthur: (very angry) BE QUIET! I order you to be quiet!
Woman: "Order", eh, 'oo does 'e think 'e is?
Arthur: I am your king!
Woman: Well I didn't vote for you!
Arthur: You don't vote for kings!
Woman: Well 'ow'd you become king then?
(holy music up)
Arthur: The Lady of the Lake-- her arm clad in the purest shimmering
samite, held aloft Excalibur from the bosom of the water, signifying by
divine providence that I, Arthur, was to carry Excalibur. THAT is why
I am your king!
Man: (laughingly) Listen: Strange women lying in ponds distributing
swords is no basis for a system of government! Supreme executive power
derives from a mandate from the masses, not from some... farcical
aquatic ceremony!
Arthur: (yelling) BE QUIET!
Man: You can't expect to wield supreme executive power just 'cause
some watery tart threw a sword at you!!
Arthur: (coming forward and grabbing the man) Shut UP!
Man: I mean, if I went 'round, saying I was an emperor, just
because some moistened bink had lobbed a scimitar at me, they'd put me
away!
Arthur: (throwing the man around) Shut up, will you, SHUT UP!
Man: Aha! Now we see the violence inherent in the system!
Arthur: SHUT UP!
Man: (yelling to all the other workers) Come and see the violence
inherent in the system! HELP, HELP, I'M BEING REPRESSED!

Cinco-X wrote:

Very nicely put; my utter disgust with Chomsky made it difficult for me to articulate my utter disgust....

Yes, the world can seem so cold, so unfathomably alien once you move aside the lens of American exceptionalism...

JP wrote:

Internet formerly DARPAnet formerly ARPAnet formerly DARPAnet formerly ALOHAnet
and I'm sure some of the other folks here can fill in the incarnation that i've missed.

Call it what you will, it was developed under the auspices of the military, and not as some believe, by former VP Al Gore Wink

KC, I just checked and crude oil prices are almost 1/3 higher his February than last. By the way I don't have any sympathy for oil companies at all or utility companies, either. Nope, none at all...

Inverted Hammer of Thor wrote:

The smartest people tend to make the best cheaters, after all, what good are smarts if they can't give you an advantage over everyone else?

I miss NaRm.

Rob Dawg writes:
Anyone who thinks Choamsky is a quack is just too stupid to understand him.

That's not what I said, RD. I said we, as a people, aren't smart enough to pull it off. I didn't say that we as a people aren't smart enough to admire the noble qualities of the thinking of Noam Chomsky.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

The myth that people are basically evil, greedy savages is an essential plank in the fascist argument that we really can't be trusted to govern ourselves.

I wonder sometimes if the people who make this argument also apply it in their private lives, with friends and family.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Classic. Anyone who thinks Choamsky is a quack is just too stupid to understand him.

Thanks Rob; I stand by my assertion, though I limit it to his political views, not his work as a linguist.

Yalt writes:
I wonder sometimes if the people who make this argument also apply it in their private lives, with friends and family.

People who make this argument almost universally think that they are the special exception. Whether because they've had a lot of good luck and some skill and have made money or had a secure financial life, because they've been born with brains and cash, or because they've done whatever is proscribed by their religious community to secure special privileged status from their God(s).

Yes it has gone up over the last year but that emergency hike was in '08 when oil was 140 a barrel. When it dropped to 40 a barrel in '09 they were given another rate hike on top of the 17% emergency one they got six months earlier. This January they were given another 9% or so. People simply cannot continue to pay another 10-20% every year when their pay (if they are lucky enough to have a job) is going down.

I personally find the people who are slightly smarter than the norm, are the cheaters. The super-smart are generally disgusted outcasts living on the fringe or carefully controlled by the slightly smarter. In my experience at least.

Whoops, cursory pre-coffee reading, confused EHP and hoops. Apologies to all.

Just started reading The Long Emergency by Kunstler.....about 100 pages in....based on the first hundy pages I will say that if he was invested the way his take on the financial system is/was he made a killing up to about this time last year. Review will follow upon completion.

Ciao
MS

160 and above IQs are liabilities, and they often come packaged with a stunning inability to judge the character of both individuals and organizations.

Oh my. Crimson has scanned back to the 1920s. I stand corrected.
A quick search doesn't find me. Perhaps they've purged those pissant MIT guys from the archives.

" Yalt wrote:

Whatever you do, don't ever pick up one of his books.

Don't worry your little head over that..... "

I've read one of his books and watched a video of one of his lectures.

What I got out of it all was don't trust what the establishment says/does. Don't trust what you read without verifying.

I found him rather thought provoking.

CR, you may be interested in this survey http://www.ebri.org/pdf/PR.868.9Mar10.RCS-10.Final.pdf

Here is part of it. People retiring later means that you need more jobs to keep any particular unemployment rate.

"Workers postponing retirement: One-quarter of workers (24 percent) report they have postponed
their planned retirement age in the past year. Among the reasons cited for delaying retirement are
the poor economy (29 percent of those postponing retirement), a change in their employment
situation (22 percent), inadequate finances (16 percent), and the need to make up for losses in the
stock market (12 percent).
• Later retirement expected: Although the age at which workers report they expect to retire shows
little change from 2009, a longer-term look finds significant change. In particular, the percentage
of workers who expect to retire after age 65 has increased over time, from 11 percent in 1991 to
14 percent in 1995, 19 percent in 2000, 24 percent in 2005, and 33 percent in 2010."

greenchutes wrote:

160 and above IQs are liabilities, and they often come packaged with a stunning inability to judge the character of both individuals and organizations.

They just want you to think that-

Agree about the liabilities...starring at the whole can blind you, but you can have those with high empathy past 160.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

an educated, empowered electorate will not choose to push the button and destroy itself out of some sort of stupid animal rush to loot everything.

While I would agree that people are generally good in a civilized society we are ultimately still animals and are subject to animal instincts when our base needs are not met. When society breaks down and the common good is lost you can call it evil or just reverting to basic animal instincts. I don't subscribe to the mad max scenario, but we have let the political power and economic power of the country be increasingly concentrated to less and less people. Its a course I don't want to see us continue down. I don't believe the electorate is either as educated or empowered as it needs to be as those with the money and power will fight any changes that decreases their hold over either.

Rob Dawg wrote:

I mean, if I went 'round, saying I was an emperor, just because some moistened bink had lobbed a scimitar at me, they'd put me away!

"Moistened bink". Pure comedic awesomeness.

I think I had to read a Chomsky paper on Turkish syntax in undergraduate school over 40 years ago. I think my head still hurts from it. Just to be clear: I didn't understand it at all then or now.

There is a very pertinent comment on an econbrowser post, that speaks to your point:

Econbrowser: Modeling problems in credit markets (See first comment)

A further problem that exacerbates the problem is that economic data has been too tampered with in some regards to still be meaningful, and one of them would be the CPI number. Anyone, in my opinion, which I admit isn't worth much, would have to overlook quite a bit to believe that the US had low inflation rates over the last decade. The US engaged in two wars on the other side of the world, we up military expenditures and all of this while lowering taxes? Also, with all the banking deregulation in the 1990's (like sweep accounts) and the loosening of monetary controls (such as bank reserve requirements) in conjunction with the huge amounts of banks we have that were lending, and we still got low inflation? I find it hard to believe. Further, still, we see the signs of inflation in people's economic behavior, that is, when people are struggling to keep up with the cost of living they tend to engage in more and more speculative endeavors in order to make up for that gap; and we saw rampant speculation in the housing market, which is uncommon for the ordinary person to engage in such wild speculation in the face of low inflation.

In contrast with the CPI, we had rampant healthcare and housing inflation. Elizabeth Warren's lecture on the Coming Collapse of the Middle-Class covers this extensively, with numbers that even she didn't believe initially.

traderwalt wrote:

I think I had to read a Chomsky paper on Turkish syntax.

I almost fell asleep just reading that.

Jonathan, you should repost that on the new thread.

some investor guy wrote:

Later retirement expected: Although the age at which workers report they expect to retire shows little change from 2009, a longer-term look finds significant change. In particular, the percentage of workers who expect to retire after age 65 has increased over time, from 11 percent in 1991 to 14 percent in 1995, 19 percent in 2000, 24 percent in 2005, and 33 percent in 2010.

It's almost as if inflation was actually quite high and reducing real savings, despite the ever-reducing Fed Funds rate and low-CPI during that period. /snark

conservative? liberal? these terms get mis-used too much

mostly to corral voters on issues that put fire the gut, so that pols can get re-elected and do what ever

the best laugh ive had in a while

was arguing with friends at a dinner party

about enforcing strict construction of the constitution esp the bill of rights

both the lib and the con present took turns arguing in favor of some rights while wiping the feet on others

dont know if should laugh or cry

personally i prefer that people just state their position on a particular policy and spare me the label

but we all gotta do what we gotta do...yeah i still call myself a lefty (librul) but i carry a pistol and believe in a balanced budget amendment

mock turtle wrote:

dont know if should laugh or cry

Crying for the country and Eric's puts-

If solar or wind really had any real cost recovery to it I would have it. Does not add up. Manufacturing and instillation is job destruction. Like construction they are one and done sales/jobs. They can only exist with a tax subsidy as a sale point. Current electrical provides many sustainable jobs start to finish. As some one mentioned look back to the 80's for solar failure.

Either you repeat the same conventional doctrines everybody is saying, or else you say something true, and it will sound like it's from Neptune.

Noam Chomsky

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