first. (deleted for irrelevance to updated title)

Charles Gasparino: Could Bankers Turn the Tables on Obama in 2012?

President Obama last week took a break from his phony fat-cat-calling of Wall Street executives, to say what he really means. In an interview with BusinessWeek, he referred to JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein as "savvy businessmen." He went on to defend both men's salaries, comparing them to high-paid baseball players, some of whom have lousy years but still earn millions of dollars in salary. In other words, what's the big deal about a couple of savvy fat cats getting even fatter?

Forget the absurdity of the baseball player comparison (for all their faults, professional athletes didn't destroy the financial system in 2008). The comment's real measure, I am told, is in what it reveals about the panic setting in among people at the highest levels of Obama's political apparatus about their ability to raise money from Wall Street leading up to 2012.

For all the talk about Obama's grassroots fundraising prowess, a recent New York Times article pointed out just how big of a role Wall Street money had played in the Obama presidential money machine.

It was always an odd match: The community organizer who wants to be president and the Wall Street heavy-hitters who probably never heard the word ACORN before Obama burst on the scene. But the marriage seemed to work out well. Many top Wall Street executives were impressed with Obama's poise during the financial crisis -- after all he didn't suspend his campaign as did his Republican challenger John McCain when the financial system was on the verge of collapse in the Fall of 2008. (more)

Loan servicers ... seem to have "nearly exhausted the supply of plausible candidates for loan modifications" and will find that many loans are "unredeemable," [a] S&P study says.

I'll say it... Hoocoodanode?

Is it me or is Simon's bid on GGP a sure sign that there's another bubble?

Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:

Is it me or is Simon's bid on GGP a sure sign that there's another bubble?

May be an M&A bubble coming.

My local ggp mall has more stores vacant than ever--but it's no
really that many total.

As to last thread's detroit houses, sooo sad. These were perfectly
livable houses for inpecunious buyers.

Bite the bullet. Kick Greece out of the euro | Ruth Lea - Times Online

Okay Eurozone readers; this isn't me talkin'.......it's one of you, or at least could be-

"That's why officials now say they are looking at unemployment options and more incentives to borrowers to keep paying on trial modifications and on loans that are significantly "underwater" with respect to the property value."

Interesting, wonder what they are thinking of?

The SPG deal almost makes me want to buy SRS. Almost.

Yahoo! 

Main page, under news headlines, in the middle of the page, it shows the dow as up (1.68%) and the NASDAQ as down ( -99.98% )

Ouch.

officials now say they are looking at unemployment options and more incentives to borrowers to keep paying

Maybe they could issue the unemployment checks directly to the bank as mortgage payments?

Oxtail wrote:

The SPG deal almost makes me want to buy SRS. Almost.

Fight the urge. Fight it.

Cramdowns, cramdowns cramdowns. . .will be avoided until they
can't be any more.

And those Detroit houses--how bout paying someone to take them
off the owner's hands?

CaptainMorgan wrote:

Interesting, wonder what they are thinking of?

Reality?

M wrote:

Main page, under news headlines, in the middle of the page, it shows the dow as up (1.68%) and the NASDAQ as down ( -99.8% ) Ouch.

For several years I kept a printout of yahoo finance, as it mistakenly showed the DOW change as the price. It got lots of questions hanging in my cubicle, some dumb, some funny.

CaptainMorgan wrote:

unemployment options and more incentives to borrowers to keep paying on trial modifications and on loans that are significantly "underwater"

So how much of that tiny, taxable unemployment check do they think people can pay? And why would they think someone $200,000.00 underwater would keep paying on something that will never reach the loan amount?

But they're current on their HEMP payments Smile

Speed wrote:

But they're current on their HEMP payments

Plenty of money for Currently Smoking Cannibis when you dont pay your mortgage.

--99%? Somebody doesn't know what % is.

lawyerliz wrote:

Cramdowns, cramdowns cramdowns. . .will be avoided until they
can't be any more.

I fail to see how a cramdown is better than a short sale, from the banks perspective. If they start doing cramdowns, why wouldn't everyone want one?

Most people would not want a short sale due to losing the house, and the credit hit. Why wouldn't you want a cramdown?

Detroit needs to realize to get next years taxes, they need to let go of the back taxes and let the market determine the price for those house.

"That's why officials now say they are looking at unemployment options and more incentives to borrowers to keep paying on trial modifications and on loans that are significantly "underwater" with respect to the property value."

What is the point? So they are going to pay the mortgage for unemployed borrowers who are underwater?

Just push the short sales and get it over with, we are going to be dealing with a stagnant economy for another decade as it is, let's throw in the towel and not make it twenty years.

"They" don't think anything.

There is no "they".

CaptainMorgan wrote:

they need to let go of the back taxes

Past due property taxes are usually sold to investors, they bid using interest rates for the past due amounts. But the ones the city really owns, due to no investor purchase, they could forgo the taxes due.

"And why would they think someone $200,000.00 underwater would keep paying on something that will never reach the loan amount? "

exactly, what is the point? There is no point. Just wasting more money we don't have.

I am pretty non-partisan, but these idiots can't get out of the Administration fast enough, you could put a pack of dogs in there and do less harm than these clowns.

Didn't George Washington grow hamp? Currently Smoking Cannibis

Cinco-X wrote:

Some may find this chart useful, interesting, or whatever.

If we could get a chart comparing this to US debt to GDP, I'm thinking broward would say we were getting somewhere.

Disillusioned Bayh advocates electoral “shock” to broken system - Yahoo! News

In an interview on MSNBC this morning, newly retiring Sen. Evan Bayh declared the American political system "dysfunctional," riddled with "brain-dead partisanship" and permanent campaigning. Flatly denying any possibility that he'd seek the presidency or any other higher office, Bayh argued that the American people needed to deliver a "shock" to Congress by voting incumbents out in mass and replacing them with people interested in reforming the process and governing for the good of the people, rather than deep-pocketed special-interest groups.

Not a fan of Bayh but agree with him 100% on this

I have plenty of clients who would make the payments if you crammed
the price down.

You would save the 6% realtor's commission and also months of
the property being empty.

Also, hard to say, but I think I am seeing some overshoot at the low end.

Little cramdowns would have worked a year ago. Now big ones
are necessary and huge ones will be necessary a year from now.

If they had done little ones, with lowered rates year and half ago, the death
spiral would be over.

Also high interest rates (7 12) would be a boon in South Florida
because you could get a loan at that rate, I think. Better than no loan at all.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Just push the short sales and get it over with, we are going to be dealing with a stagnant economy for another decade as it is, let's throw in the towel and not make it twenty years.

Agree. If they don't push the short sales through those houses will be forclosures. Either - Or. I don't see any middle ground.

Bayh was possibly the nicest guy to BB in recent hearings. I almost expected him to give him a shoulder rub and hot towel. Thank god he's going far, far away from anything resembling public office.

Right, hemp is what they made ropes and clothes out of! Hamp is what they smoke when they come up with new and exciting ways for the taxpayer to own houses.

lawyerliz wrote:

I have plenty of clients who would make the payments if you crammed
the price down.

How do you prevent everyone from wanting a cramdown?

I'm not saying there isn't a good way to prevent it, but I just don't see how. Especially not on the scale we are talking about in CA and FL.

MLM wrote:

Some may find this chart useful, interesting, or whatever.

If we could get a chart comparing this to US debt to GDP, I'm thinking broward would say we were getting somewhere.

I doubt there's much there; we already know that there's been an exponential explosion of debt and a roughly linear (in %) increase in GDP at least up until 2006. Somewhat uncharted waters since then-

lawyerliz wrote:

If they had done little ones, with lowered rates year and half ago, the death
spiral would be over.

Sorry lliz, that ain't so. Too much debt sucking at too little money in the "system". Little write/cramdowns aren't going to do it.

Smoot Hawley Cramdowns Got Popcorn? and besides,
let Citi fail.

So many tag lines. So little time.

km4 wrote:
Disillusioned Bayh advocates electoral “shock” to broken system - Yahoo! News
Interesting observation and choice of words.... ECT anyone?
Electroconvulsive therapy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Remarkable similarities to some degree between the status quo and a pathologically non-functioning psyche... obliterating the failing parts, almost a reset switch of a sort for a human brain that's become unworkable?

Couple it with bk, as the esteemed Tanta suggested.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Just push the short sales and get it over with, we are going to be dealing with a stagnant economy for another decade as it is, let's throw in the towel and not make it twenty years.

If we keep the interventions going, we can stay in a permanent depression, which eliminates the business cycle!

"Agree. If they don't push the short sales through those houses will be forclosures. Either - Or. I don't see any middle ground. "

It may take awhile because some borrowers will delay the inevitable for as long as they can, but it will happen, people are not going to come out of pocket to pay off an underwater mortgage, sooner or later they walk or are forced to walk, with very few exceptions.

If we don't push the short sales we will increased default levels for years, dragging down the economy as the uncertainty of ultimate losses continues to handcuff banks.

We need to get this over with, enough is enough.

That is a good one, and would work quite well I imagine.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

"And why would they think someone $200,000.00 underwater would keep paying on something that will never reach the loan amount? " exactly, what is the point? There is no point. Just wasting more money we don't have.

High Priest Bernanke thinks the negative equity is just an illusion, that if given time people will believe again and the equity will rise

lawyerliz wrote:
AKA the dark ages.
We'll call them something else, of course... and it will be suitably Orwellian. Probably already being decided in committee, actually.

@ResistanceIsFeudal (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Tue, 2/16/2010 - 3:01 pm
km4 wrote:Disillusioned Bayh advocates electoral “shock” to broken system - Yahoo! News
Interesting observation and choice of words.... ECT anyone?
Electroconvulsive therapy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Remarkable similarities to some degree between the pathologically non-functioning psyche... obliterating the failing parts, almost a reset switch of a sort for a human brain that's become unworkable?

Perhaps Bayh was thinking of this movie http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Flew_Over_the_Cuckoo's_Nest_(film) Big smile

Bayh wants current incumbents voted out and replaced with people who will be more cooperative with Obama and vote for his policies. He's not leaving because we're throwing government money around left and right. He's leaving because those nasty Blue Dogs are keeping him from throwing even more money around.

"If we keep the interventions going, we can stay in a permanent depression, which eliminates the business cycle!"

That's true, Zimbabwe hasn't had any problems with booms and busts, didn't Obama say he wanted to avoid those?

aHHH, Feudal, did you enjoy your dark ages. (Ireland wasn't dark, by
the way.)

Fixed It For Ya Coop's got a new icon, a new icon.

Was I first?

I am redeemed! I am redeemed! Redeemed by the Blood of the HAMP!

(not!)

Mr Slippery wrote:

we can stay in a permanent depression

You may be much more right than you know.

How long will we have high unemployment? Lower US dollar values? Decreasing real estate values? Increased food costs?

I passed underwriting in lightning speed apparently. I'm set to close a week early.

In my case, the bank is going to recoup less then 39% of the 2005 purchase price after they pay off the tax liens and cover my closing. My recorded sale price will be 7330 below 1993 price. This deal keeps getting weirder and weirder but that's sacramento for you. I think the bank was just happy to see a owner/occupier. We've become a rare bird in these parts.

Here is the part that will make CR readers flip out. The current owners are retired state workers and the husband is a vet. They plan on renting for 2 years and then buying again with 0% down. They've learned nothing from all this.

Weather Helm wrote:
Redeemed by the Blood of the HAMP!
Many would prefer the sacrifice of the HAMP as a sin offering.

FYI Oxtail - Bayh is a blue dog

"High Priest Bernanke thinks the negative equity is just an illusion, that if given time people will believe again and the equity will rise"

Yes indeed, he is a true Keynesian at heart, a strong believer in the animal spirits. Until the day I die I will remain convinced he helped prop up the stock market from March - June last year.

Unfortunately for him, it is a lot harder for him to buy houses outright and hide his tracks, he can buy MBS, but that won't quite cut it.

Congrats, Jane, congrats.

Well, you really think someone will offer a deal like this?

When did they buy? Did they heloc all the value out?

I could really use a Nothingburger and a The Dude Abides right now.....

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Many would prefer the sacrifice of the HAMP as a sin offering.

Wha? You want to see the blood of the HAMP a-squirtin' and a-spittin' and a-oozin' about? LOL

Last night I watched that wonderful movie American Graffiti again. About America just a few years before it began its downhill slide (circa 1963), when FRN's could still be redeemed for silver coins.

One thing that most people miss when enjoying the film: while it depicts America at its wealthiest, the wealth is mostly hidden--embedded in the productive infrastructure. The kids don't have a lot of pocket money, no cellphones or ipods or gameboys, and their fun is pretty much cheap fun--cruising the Miracle Mile circuit on .20/gal gas, hanging out at Mel's for cheeseburgers and cokes, dancing at the freshman hop. No limo's, no expensive toys, no designer clothes.

None of them intend to become MBA's either.

It's an uplifting film and also heartbreaking. Is it an unrealistic portrayal of life in the US early Sixties? Not really. Yes, it overlooks racial prejudice and endemic hypocrisy and under-the-surface spousal/child abuse and lots of other societal maladies. But having been there at the time, I can tell you that it gets the temper of the times right. The US was on top of the world, and reality still could defeat illusions.

Little did anyone know what was coming.

Like I said, watching the film is a bittersweet experience.

"The Treasury-Reserve: When David Blaine's magic shows are just too short"

I should go into marketing... hey Hoopajoops if you're still looking for a career change, I recently entertained the idea of being a person who takes pictures of beautiful women... no idea what kind of career it is, hell of a hobby though

Deflationary Jane wrote:

Here is the part that will make CR readers flip out. The current owners are retired state workers and the husband is a vet. They plan on renting for 2 years and then buying again with 0% down. They've learned nothing from all this.

They'll learn something in two years. Better late than never.

Congrats, Jane.

lawyerliz wrote:
aHHH, Feudal, did you enjoy your dark ages. (Ireland wasn't dark, by the way.)
Winter follows fall every year. We've clearly not broken the cycle this time, either. The time of 'rest' or nescience isn't all bad, however, just very different than that to which we've been accustomed to regard as life in the past, epic, boom, and a necessary corrective, like passing out after too much drink.

km4 wrote:

Bayh argued that the American people needed to deliver a "shock" to Congress by voting incumbents out in mass and replacing them with people interested in reforming the process and governing for the good of the people, rather than deep-pocketed special-interest groups.

I'll say it again: voting out the incumbents doesn't fix the main problem with the system which is that it PURPOSELY isn't scaled to a growing population, it is scaled ONLY to land acquisition. We all know what happens to systems that don't scale - they continue to work less and less until the users simply give up on it. The hapless continue to try to patch it up, but the patches are short-lived and then the patches need to be patched. Voting out the incumbents is merely a patch - a good idea but the patch will simply not do the job very long. We need to split the 50 states into at least 125 and have about 4000 + 250 representatives in Congress. We have basically the same number of reps as in 1920 - with 3x the population. It's a math problem that is being ignored because of a fetish with the numbers 50 and 435.

Here is the part that will make CR readers flip out. The current owners are retired state workers and the husband is a vet. They plan on renting for 2 years and then buying again with 0% down. They've learned nothing from all this.

They learned a lot. They learned you can game the system and suffer no real consequences. How much cash did they extract over the years?

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Yes indeed, he is a true Keynesian at heart, a strong believer in the animal spirits. Until the day I die I will remain convinced he helped prop up the stock market from March - June last year.

I don't think of this as Keynesian. Since Keynes is dead and can't speak up, I interpret Keynesianism as "saving during the good times to pay for smoothing out the bad times", you have to remember that Ricardian Equivalence used to be all the rage at one time

Deflationary Jane wrote:

They plan on renting for 2 years and then buying again with 0% down. They've learned nothing from all this.

I think that is part of TPTB plan. After 3 years from a forclosure or short sale you can buy through FHA. So if they can drag this out long enough for the first wave to buy again .... at cheaper prices and feel like they are getting a deal everything will work out.

"How long will we have high unemployment? Lower US dollar values? Decreasing real estate values? Increased food costs? "

Broken record time for me, but it is incomprehensible to me that oil prices are over 70 in the midst of a global recession, just shows the extent of global currency devaluation going on. The UKs inflation was what, 3.5% this past year, and the BoE shrugs it off, while UK savers get nothing for their money.

The crime of the century.

Has David Blaine ever held his breath for a year and a half?
beginning to worry about Bernanke's brain cell

unirealist wrote:

It's an uplifting film and also heartbreaking. Is it an unrealistic portrayal of life in the US early Sixties? Not really. Yes, it overlooks racial prejudice and endemic hypocrisy and under-the-surface spousal/child abuse and lots of other societal maladies. But having been there at the time, I can tell you that it gets the temper of the times right. The US was on top of the world, and reality still could defeat illusions.

People weren't wealthy, but society was. With so much more money in a few pockets, that society is now a dream.

Even so -- look behind the paint and you'll see that a lot of the cars would have been salvaged from the junkyard and mod'ed by teenage mechanics. We didn't need as much stuff done/made for us in those days -- but we were taught to need more and more as the wealth allocated to society become less and less.

Now that was mean.

Funny, but mean.

You need at least 2 to rub together.

Lucas had a really light touch for a very young kid. Fresno is still not the wealthiest city in California, which explains some of that ambience.

Sale prices were 135k in 1993, 195k in 1999, 325k in 2005, and a heloc in late 2005 to push the loan up to 362k. They used the heloc to buy another property in east Sac. The husband is nice but kinda clueless. The wife was and still is huffing HGTV glue.

My piti will be the same as the rent on a 1br apt down the street but sellers are still asking for 250 to 300 sqft for REO flips. That's how off this whole scenario is.

greenchutes wrote:

Thank god he's going far, far away from anything resembling public office.


all depends what you consider the offices of JPM or GS to be

unirealist wrote:

Like I said, watching the film is a bittersweet experience.

Dude, life is a bittersweet experience.

Deflationary Jane wrote:

Here is the part that will make CR readers flip out. The current owners are retired state workers and the husband is a vet. They plan on renting for 2 years and then buying again with 0% down. They've learned nothing from all this.

I dunno, Jane, they may not have a state pension in 2 years. So they'll have to go no-doc as well. NINJA II, The Sequel.

Deflationary Jane, your house isn't by a levee is it?

Weren't you living in WA, moving to Sacramento, do you also chase Tornados?

So you paid about 125k. Cooool.

And you said 30% down? less than 500 p & I. Super congrats.

CaptainMorgan wrote:

How do you prevent everyone from wanting a cramdown?


I guess if people were willing to file for bankruptcy you couldn't deny them a cram down. A year ago the numbers who would have elected to go that route would have been few- with each passing day the stigma of filing for bankruptcy declines. A year ago I would never have suggested to either of my children that they including the value of being able to walk away on a mortgage in their decision making- today it seems old fashioned and naive to honor ones debts.

Bob Dobbs wrote:
We didn't need as much stuff done/made for us in those days -- but we were taught to need more and more as the wealth allocated to society become less and less.
An unintended consequence of the specialist/expert society that embeds so much of that expertise into its technology and lifestyle is our growing and nearly utter dependence on those with that specialized knowledge just to live a normal modern life. This suggests that 'normal modern life' is a pretty radical deviation from normality Smile

Jane, makes me wish I had a career going; I'd be buying a house about now too.

what part of Sactown? congratulations......

km4 wrote:

FYI Oxtail - Bayh is a blue dog

Which is why it's odd that he blames GOP partisanship for stalling legislation in congress.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

I interpret Keynesianism as "saving during the good times to pay for smoothing out the bad times"

I think that short changes Keynes. The crucial Keynesian concept is "uncertainty". Not risk, which can be measured and assigned a number, but something about which no probability can be assigned. Uncertainty forces you to think about liquidity premiums and leads to hoarding of cash.

Nope, I'm in prime x500 flood plain per the disclosures. That's about as good as it gets here unless you are in the foothills.

See, people still want to buy a house. . .even guys.

It's genetic.

And population fell severely in Europe when Rome fell.
Not fun for those who starved.

The Brits was no able to make it back to were they were
before they were conquered.

It's not a good idea to get too complex.

@ Oxtail (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Tue, 2/16/2010 - 3:19 pm
km4 wrote:FYI Oxtail - Bayh is a blue dog
Which is why it's odd that he blames GOP partisanship for stalling legislation in congress.

Reminds me of WW1 trench warfare...time to break out the mustard gas to replace Hopium that's stinking up the place Big smile

Mr Slippery wrote:
Not risk, which can be measured and assigned a number, but something about which no probability can be assigned.
LOL... indeed. Risk is mathematical; Uncertainty is behavioral Smile The "unknown unknowns" of Herr Rumsfeld.

I think we have plenty of known knowns to deal with.

It was a toss up between cash and 20% down. I did 20 and that left a nice cushion for repairs and some upgrades.

greenchutes wrote:

Lucas had a really light touch for a very young kid. Fresno is still not the wealthiest city in California, which explains some of that ambience.

Just a snit (snivelling nit): Modesto. It was a market town serving a large farming area. On the one hand, not rich as you say; on the other hand, Saturday was market day in Modesto for everyone within 20-30 miles, to come in and buy and sell. On that day, Modesto really rocked. My mom told me about it.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

booms and busts, didn't Obama say he wanted to avoid those

The only way to do that is to go to a command economy, and many of us (though they might not be well represented here) definitely do not want that. See the old Soviet Union for all the reasons why not...

Bernanke says Bear Stearns will pay back loans: Bernanke expects Fed to get repaid by AIG, Bear Stearns - Yahoo! News

NY Fed to take loss on Maiden Lane: FT.com / UK - Fed carrying losses from Bear portfolio

Someone is lying, a stupid three card monte sucker, or deliberately misleading or failing to disclose.

But savvy Jamie Dimon earned his $17 million, leading genius Ben down the primrose path to Maiden Lane.

Then Maiden Lane II. Then Maiden Lane III. Do Princeton prof's think you get to be a maiden thrice?

Let me just say it's a nice walk to the capitol >; )

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

An unintended consequence of the specialist/expert society that embeds so much of that expertise into its technology and lifestyle is our growing and nearly utter dependence on those with that specialized knowledge just to live a normal modern life.

The growth of the two-income family also caused us to need more services -- all the things that would have been done withint the family, but for which there was no longer time. I'm glad for women's rights, but that whole two-earner thing was a poison pill concealed by a thin layer of virtue. If it ever was simply "you can," it quickly turned into "you have to."

Sacramento => Suckramento
Merced => Mercy
Modesto => Molesto
Folsom => Fulsome
Bakersfield => BKfield
Moorpark => spelt backwards
and the biggest insults; Oxnard and Fresno remain unchanged.

Cinco-X wrote:

The only way to do that is to go to a command economy,

fractional lending <> market economy

I dunno, Rob, I always though Oxnard was an obscure nickname for a variety of animal feces. "Watch out, don't step in the ox nard!"

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

I don't think of this as Keynesian. Since Keynes is dead and can't speak up, I interpret Keynesianism as "saving during the good times to pay for smoothing out the bad times", you have to remember that Ricardian Equivalence used to be all the rage at one time

That's little more than a caveat of Keynesian-ism. Keynes' primary "contributions" to economics revolve around government deficit spending and transfer payments.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

suggests that 'normal modern life' is a pretty radical deviation from normality

Ya think.....?

Bob Dobbs wrote:

I dunno, Rob, I always though Oxnard was an obscure nickname for a variety of animal feces. "Watch out, don't step in the ox nard!"

When the city fathers got together to form the city the Oxnard brothers were the only ones who didn't show up to the meeting.

The growth of the two-income family also caused us to need more services -- all the things that would have been done withint the family, but for which there was no longer time.
--bob dobbs

But didn't that do wonders for the GDP?

greenchutes wrote:

Lucas had a really light touch for a very young kid. Fresno is still not the wealthiest city in California, which explains some of that ambience.

I thought that movie was based on his youth in Modesto-

good enough....land park, midtown and east sac are nice....the key is walking distance to harlows for some blues, jazz and glen livet....

And I always think of that star Trek episode, tho the guys name
wasn't Oxnard.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

This suggests that 'normal modern life' is a pretty radical deviation from normality

Well duh! Ya' think it's normal that folks would rather hang around talking to people on a computer than experience real life? Ummmm.....wait a mini...

Yup there is MUCH more on the way. I have a friend who's got a job offer out of state, better money, better employer, better job.
Problem is he has an underwater house, so he's going for a short sale. If that doesn't work, and it's really unlikely, he's moving and the bank can just foreclose, he'll take the pain on his credit report. I wonder how many more people in this situation.

~splat

Oh? What's normal?

There isn't any normal, there is stuff that lasts a long time
and stuff that doesn't.

ot-

Mavericks was held this weekend...it's the annual big wave contest where inland creatures come to learn how little they know about the ocean..see here....

Set waves clean up surf fans at Maverick's Contest; three people hospitalized | SURFLINE.COM

some people are just forrest gump in real life without the luck....

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

makes me wish I had a career going;

they don't make those anymore domestically, only entry level positions for experienced people
have to go to Asia if you want a career today, or to Africa if you want a career 2 more years

Cinco-X wrote:

I thought that movie was based on his youth in Modesto-

Modesto, Fresno, Sacramento, Oxnard, it's all the same to an outsider.

Bob Dobbs wrote:

If it ever was simply "you can," it quickly turned into "you have to."

Guess I am a living example of that. Except my income was usually the highest and most relied on. Earn, bring home, cook and clean up the bacon.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

This suggests that 'normal modern life' is a pretty radical deviation from normality

What is normality in this context ? A hunter-gatherer society, pre-industrial revolution or post apocalyptic ?
~splat

I'm sure glad they're concerned..... If they were the FAA, they'd be talking about where to store the wreckage instead of fixing the air traffic control system.

unirealist wrote:

But didn't that do wonders for the GDP?

Hurricane Andrew also did wonders for GDP-

Cloture vote graph is kind of scary.

It has a rough correlation to economy, did you notice that?

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/e/e8/Cloture_Voting,_U.S._Senate,_1947_to_2008.jpg

Dips preceding the 1980, 1990, 2007 recessions.

Not if you know what the delta breeze is. Then they are very different.

Those people are proof that people have no idea that the natural
world is dangerous.

VDARE.com: 02/15/10 - America–A Country of Serfs Ruled By Oligarchs

It is a different situation today. Layoffs result from the jobs being moved offshore and from corporations replacing their domestic work forces with foreigners brought in on H-1B, L-1 and other work visas. The U.S. labor force is being separated from the incomes associated with the goods and services that it consumes. With the rise of offshoring, layoffs are not only due to restrictive monetary policy and inventory buildup. They are also the result of the substitution of cheaper foreign labor for U.S. labor by American corporations. Americans cannot be called back to work to jobs that have been moved abroad. In the New Economy, layoffs can continue despite low interest rates and government stimulus programs.

Why Politicians Can't Create Real Jobs - Yahoo! Finance

Rick Newman, On Tuesday February 16, 2010, 11:19 am EST
The history of recessions offers some unwelcome news for all those in Washington who think they have the power to boost hiring.
Jobs used to return quickly after recessions. After the downturn that ended in 1975, it took only two months for the unemployment rate to peak and then start falling. In 1982, unemployment peaked the very same month that the recession ended and then dropped as sharply as it had risen. That was when the U.S. economy was less globalized and more self-contained. Foreign companies found it difficult to compete with American ones. When recessions ended, things went back to normal and many employers simply rehired the people they had laid off.
That's not how it works anymore. After the 1991 recession, it took 15 months for the unemployment rate to peak and net job growth to resume. After the 2001 recession, it took 19 months. Technology is one reason; it allows firms to be more productive with fewer workers and put off hiring once a recovery begins. Globalization also allows firms to replace expensive American workers with cheaper ones overseas, and there's no better pretext for paring labor costs than a grueling recession.
Jobless recoveries are now the norm. And that's what we're in right now. The official arbiters haven't yet declared when (or if) the recession has technically ended, but many economists date the end of the recession to around August 2009. The economy is growing again, following the steepest decline since the Depression--but it's not adding new jobs. And the recent recession was obviously far worse than the fairly mild ones in 1991 and 2001. So the politicians are on the case, with plans to spend billions more to encourage firms to start hiring. (More)

I think there were always oligarchs, but not always serfs.

lawyerliz wrote:

Stinking mudflats?

What are you talking about?

Yep...lliz I took the little lady to Gualala, Mendencino coast this wknd and adults were letting kids hang out near the water line with 20 ft swells pumping in....stupid is, stupid does.....10 people died there last year, swept away.....

So Cinco, is there a Smoot Hawley in our future?

tg wrote:

They are also the result of the substitution of cheaper foreign labor for U.S. labor by American corporations. Americans cannot be called back to work to jobs that have been moved abroad.

Not news to anyone who worked, or tried to, in Silicon Valley these past ten or so years.

Career
a.A chosen pursuit; a profession or occupation.
b.The general course or progression of one's working life or one's professional achievements: an officer with a distinguished career; a teacher in the midst of a long career.

Progression? Progression? We talking about progression...

Normally, the old perceive changing times as abnormal. Then they realize it's the meme chose.

I believe most humans 10,000 years ago assumed they were living in the most quickly evolving technological generation ever, and that everything had been invented already..

"There is nothing new under the Sun."

---King David, (oral tradition).

But he never witnessed a back-double-full at high speed in the middle of a mogul course.

lawyerliz wrote:

See Jane--delta breeze.

Okay; what is she talking about?

lawyerliz wrote:

serfs.

serfin usa

Without growth in consumer incomes, the economy can go nowhere. Washington policymakers substituted debt growth for income growth. Instead of growing richer, consumers grew more indebted. Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan accomplished this with his low interest rate policy, which drove up housing prices, producing home equity that consumers could tap and spend by refinancing their homes.

from article

---CONJURE'S MAD MAX COUNTDOWN CLOCK---

The time is now:

11:48:06.1

The clock has advanced 0.1 seconds since 2/15/2010

Conjure says, "Someone sent JP Morgan a love letter addressed 'To Whom It May Concern'."

Bomb Explodes Outside JPMorgan Athens Office, No Injuries - Bloomberg.com

The waves in Brevard are wimpy, but just once they were
very powerful and scary. Took me a bit to figure out which
way to jump--straight in. When a wave takes you, you go with it.

And then there are people who think it's a good idea to feed
the bears, or have the kids feed the bears.

You're more likely to find me at L st. - they had the best little Sauternes recently >; )
ps - still looking for a good GC << bangs head on desk repeatedly>>

D-Jane

Under their circumstances, a 30 year fixed is simply a fixed rent;-}
Not bad if you get it cheap enough.

I still argue that houses are going to be in surplus until 1955 + 76 years=2031. So no real returns to housing until half the boomers are in the grave.

Ugh. That really does depress me. Well, now, Bennie old boy, how about some real inflation?

I felt very lonely betting today on a decline in oil prices this week.

Usually give me a better chance that I am right though.

The herd is thundering north- tomorrow the herd thunders south. GS points out the direction.
Boring. Simply boring. The entire market is just waiting for a mythical dawn of a new era, without fixing the problems of the old.
Har.

More foreclosures will happen, including the knifecatchers of 2007-8- has everybody forgotten about them?

Someday this war's gonna end....

Although the number of permanent modifications probably increased significantly

Permanent modifications is a fleeting term.

Which reminds me EHP. I thought Jean-Luc Brassard got screwed a few turns back. But he took it in stride, not like those whining figure skaters. Crying

lawyerliz wrote:

And then there are people who think it's a good idea to feed the bears

CR fed the bears.

That's why they hang around all the time now.

lawyerliz wrote:

So Cinco, is there a Smoot Hawley in our future?

Good question; I doubt it. If you think the drop in GDP was bad last year, then wait until we put up trade barriers (Real GDP would be crushed, though we'd probably try to inflate it away). World wide GDP goes in the tank, the probability of war with China becomes much more probable. It's much better for all of us to have our interests link than to think we can go it alone. We just need a better exchange rate for the Yuan.

mp wrote:

---CONJURE'S MAD MAX COUNTDOWN CLOCK---
The time is now:
11:48:06.1
The clock has advanced 0.1 seconds since 2/15/2010
Conjure says, "Someone sent JP Morgan a love letter addressed 'To Whom It May Concern'."
Bomb Explodes Outside JPMorgan Athens Office, No Injuries - Bloomberg.com

The Dawg understands Conjure's blip-tick and predicts that the coming domestic reactions will be so odious that it will be those actions cause a much larger advance on the clock.

There are way too many bank branches for a recovery, and bombs are cheaper than bulldozers. There are 10 JPM branches within a half -mile of my apartment, not counting Wachovia.

You won't hear me calling for demolition, I want to put in spinning bikes. Green Shoots Squash courts. Green Shoots A bank has high ceilings.

In Canada, squash is not a banker's only sport. Which is why they had a world no. 1, but the USA never.

I agree. And it is depressing but at least I can expand the bathroom if I own the place. It I didn't get better then rental parity then I'd never have jumped in.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

There are 10 JPM branches within a half -mile of my apartment, not counting Wachovia.

If they close all the extra branches, how many are out of a job?
Banks are on everyones S-list. If they start laying off lowly tellers they are just digging a deeper hole.

190 jobs? That's not a restaurant, it's an edible foodlike substance factory. No wonder it's called manufacturing.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

I don't think of this as Keynesian. Since Keynes is dead and can't speak up, I interpret Keynesianism as "saving during the good times to pay for smoothing out the bad times", you have to remember that Ricardian Equivalence used to be all the rage at one time

R.E. is one of the reasons why I don't have a PhD after my name. I told a tenured Prof that any equilibrium system that included a sufficient proof of R.E. as an outcome would end up useless for any macro work. I think the last fifteen years, especially the Bush tax cut has proven R.E. is pretty much dead, unless most of you have saved up wealth over the last nine years to pay the tax increase starting next year.

Sometimes it is far far far better to be proven right, than lick the boots and tell them sweet lies.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

190 jobs? That's not a restaurant, it's an edible foodlike substance factory. No wonder it's called manufacturing.

Catering?

Djane,
I'll put in a call to my friend in elk grove....I know he's backed off doing any work because he's taking care of wife full time who has MS...She immobile right now....does great work....used to be foreman at Granite...odds are he won't do it...he is 24/7 taking care of her....
he's actually a hero to me....

Fallacy: jobs don't increase net wealth. Productivity--reduction of work-- increases net wealth.

The extra bank branches don't add value. Poker clubs would be more utilitarian. Rose Colored Glasses

Bob Dobbs wrote:

The growth of the two-income family also caused us to need more services -- all the things that would have been done withint the family, but for which there was no longer time. I'm glad for women's rights, but that whole two-earner thing was a poison pill concealed by a thin layer of virtue. If it ever was simply "you can," it quickly turned into "you have to."

Great summation of the issue. I'm filing this away for future reference In glod we trust

Mr Slippery wrote:

5,500 apply for 190 jobs at restaurant...

As painful as it would be, I think somebody needs to get a hold of applications or resumes and try to determine how many of these are actually qualified and how many are desperate and applying for anything and everything.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

190 jobs? That's not a restaurant, it's an edible foodlike substance factory. No wonder it's called manufacturing.

There's a restaurant here in town that employs 150, and it's not that big. But there's a bar/dance venue, the dining room, the banquet room. And most everybody works part-time; some, seasonally. If everybody worked full time, the number would probably collapse down to less than half that --- maybe much less.

From what you say, it sounds like you got a pretty nice deal. 2 bdr or 3 bdr, condo? If sacramento prices have come down like that it gives me hope for places like nova.

Jamie Dimon can open up a lot of restaurants with his $17 million, but who can afford a table?

The next wave of ARMs will coincide with the wave of CRE defaults. We have yet to see capitulation.

Bob Dobbs wrote:

There's a restaurant here in town that employs 150, and it's not that big. But there's a bar/dance venue, the dining room, the banquet room. And most everybody works part-time; some, seasonally. If everybody worked full time, the number would probably collapse down to less than half that --- maybe much less.

But hiring part timers gets around the requirement to pay benefits, plus it also means you almost always have someone that is already "cross trained" to step in when an employee gets tired of working for peanuts and walks...

a friend of mine is sales agent at carmel woodbury in irvine....she said they had 100 pre-sales at re-grand opening.....

hopium is OC's finest drug....I thought all was good down there.....bubble redeux part 2....

seems I was wrong....

Pawn shops come to mind as more useful to society. Or better yet, mini library branches.

Lots of surplus banking premises. My second payoff of 17 cents is heading to the investor after the BPO- which, I giggle, they told me would cost $110- well if there is no deal, then good luck collecting suckas. The BPO is going to read like the location of the Titanic.

D-Jane, I said real returns, which doesn't mean a house bought cheap enough and lived in won't have decent returns, just in real constant dollar terms they will suck. Thought about buying some dirt the other day, it was down to $2k an acre, but still too much. Still tempting to flip it on the come line with a land contract and a monthly nugget.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Thought about buying some dirt the other day, it was down to $2k an acre, but still too much

Roughly where? I'm curious....

Cinco-X wrote:

It's much better for all of us to have our interests link than to think we can go it alone. We just need a better exchange rate for the Yuan

But Cinco, do you really think that a more favorable exchange rate will ever happen? S/H was the last in a series of tariffs (which the US had used since its inception to fund the government and to support domestic industry) it wasn't the cause of GD1. If the US was to institute a S/H or selective series of tariffs (say, linked to environmental destruction), how exactly is the US harmed in the long term? In the S/H analysis, we're not the exporting powerhouse that's going to be retailiated against.

Alternatives to tariffs might be a more thorough inspection regime -- e.g. let's check that all of the paint on all of the toys doesn't contain lead. Or it could be an equalization tax that would force the yuan to level that we feel is appropriate.

We're in an economic battle in which we are fighting using a different set of rules from our opponents (and those rules aren't to our advantage). It just seems like the solution from too many people is well, we can't do anything except wait for China to revalue the Yuan. Revaluing the Yuan will only happen when it benefits China...................

Cinco-X wrote:

Roughly where? I'm curious....

Ash Fork AZ- bankerdome trailer land.
Your neighbor will be telling you all about the black helicopters that belong to the UN and the camps they are setting up to round up all the guns....

Someday this war's gonna end...

Cinco-X wrote:

But hiring part timers gets around the requirement to pay benefits, plus it also means you almost always have someone that is already "cross trained" to step in when an employee gets tired of working for peanuts and walks...

Well, yeah. That's why a restaurant with 190 workers is not a prodigy for the world to see. When I was a kid I worked in a restaurant operation not much larger than a good-sized Starbucks. But there were 30 employees, only 4 or five full-timers, only two of those with benes. And that was in "the good old days."

I got out because I was too reliable; they were calling me in to sub for everybody who walked on a moments notice or stayed home sick with a joint. And I never got a raise or any recognition. If I had, I might have stayed for the management training program. Now that woulda been a mistake: assistant manager meant fixed salary and unlimited work week.

There won't a (any) solution(s) until globalism collapses or is destroyed. Somebody said something related up-thread; so-called consumers can't consume without the jobs to consume with.

Cinco-X wrote:

If you think the drop in GDP was bad last year, then wait until we put up trade barriers (Real GDP would be crushed, though we'd probably try to inflate it away). World wide GDP goes in the tank, the probability of war with China becomes much more probable.

Conjure says, "War with China is already baked into the cake and is not a question of if, but when."

"US and Chinese strategic interests in Asia will collide."

Bob Dobbs wrote:

And most everybody works part-time; some, seasonally.

No benifits, no insurance, no unemployment.

Lot of people call Sacramento - PsychoTomato

Treasury Concerned, Brought to you by the people who couldn't see it coming. Liars

Ed S. wrote:

We're in an economic battle in which we are fighting using a different set of rules from our opponents (and those rules aren't to our advantage). It just seems like the solution from too many people is well, we can't do anything except wait for China to revalue the Yuan. Revaluing the Yuan will only happen when it benefits China...................

Some of China's moves earlier today actually appear to be the beginnings of a revaluation; foreign interests in US Treasuries drops anybody?
Foreigners cut Treasury stakes; rates could rise - Yahoo! Finance
When others stop buying our money, it's value drops, and on a relative basis, the value of theirs increases.

Interesting article on 'brownouts' in manufacturing. Or 'grey-shifts'.

On MicroSD Problems « bunnie's blog

Why that Kingston MicroSD card may not be what you think it is.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Roughly where? I'm curious....

Ash Fork AZ- bankerdome trailer land.

I see; just curious where $2k/acre land still existed.

Bob Dobbs wrote:

I got out because I was too reliable; they were calling me in to sub for everybody who walked on a moments notice or stayed home sick with a joint.

When I got out of the Army in the early '80s, there used to be adds for jobs down in Tampa that read like: $4.00 per hour/ all the overtime you can use....i.e. cheap pay and lots of overtime was a benefit, but it was expected that you take it when it was offered. Another way to cut down on insurance costs if you're using full time employees.

mp wrote:

Conjure says, "War with China is already baked into the cake and is not a question of if, but when."

A nuclear exchange? I think that probably won't happen. It'll almost certainly be a proxy war of some sort. Perhaps not even a hot war per se.....

ShadowInventory wrote:

Lot of people call Sacramento - PsychoTomato

News flash; we say that about all of CA Wink

PS: I would have gone with Psycho Pimento, but that's just me....

Oxtail wrote:

Which is why it's odd that he blames GOP partisanship for stalling legislation in congress.

Funny man....we all know the GOP is the party of yes.....Bwahahahaha

Cinco-X wrote:

I see; just curious where $2k/acre land still existed.

I will sell you 36 acres for $1k per acre- but it is 40 miles east of Flagstaff- with water about 180 feet down. Scrubland though- you could grow beans if you like. Close to a new casino at Twin Arrows. Etc. View of the San Franscisco Peaks, elevation 5,000 feet. Not really hot in summer, but cold month or two in winter.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Jonathan wrote:

Interesting article on 'brownouts' in manufacturing. Or 'grey-shifts'.

That's nothing, counterfeiting is a real issue as well. That or stealing reject units headed for scrap or recycling and selling them as good units.

Cinco-X wrote:

When I got out of the Army in the early '80s, there used to be adds for jobs down in Tampa that read like: $4.00 per hour/ all the overtime you can use....i.e. cheap pay and lots of overtime was a benefit, but it was expected that you take it when it was offered. Another way to cut down on insurance costs if you're using full time employees.

There was actually a place up near where I lived like that in the same timeframe -- Jelly Belly, the gourmet jelly bean outfit, Reagan's favorite. They paid regular manufacturing wages, but with all the overtime you could eat; they were running flat-out to meet demand. There were semi-skilled blue-collar guys making $60K a year in the early '80s and buying houses, but they had no life. Saw a little clip about Jelly Belly on the Sanitized History Channel the other day, and they emphasized how automated they are now.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

put in spinning bikes

I was thinking of exercise equipment that would pump water uphill so it could flow down through a turbine and generate electricity... The machines could have a card reader (like the casino slots have) to record the amount of energy credited to the operators account. Generate enough energy to earn your welfare check...

Government may need to be the employer of last resort, but the taxpayers should get some labor in return.

CaptainMorgan wrote:

That's nothing, counterfeiting is a real issue as well. That or stealing reject units headed for scrap or recycling and selling them as good units.

Yep, that's actually what it's about.

The interesting part is when you integrate a broken part into something important... and it fails.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I will sell you 36 acres for $1k per acre- but it is 40 miles east of Flagstaff-

I'm good, but thanks anyway-
Nytol

lawyerliz wrote:

See, people still want to buy a house. .

I'm waiting to get a six pack of them at Costco. That way I can choose who my neighbors are.

broward wrote:

CR fed the bears.
That's why they hang around all the time now.

Funny!

My spinning studio plans to have generators hooked up. Green Shoots

Green Shoots CC deliquencies are only about 5-7% and charge-offs are only 8-13% of amounts owed. Kinda like a doctor saying the good news is they got the bleeding under control - the bad news is that the patient bled out . . . Bank of America, JPMorgan, AmEx Say Overdue Card Payments Drop - Bloomberg.com

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Pawn shops come to mind as more useful to society. Or better yet, mini library branches.

I used poker as an example of an almost completely "non-productive" activity yet more productive than JPM.

My spinning studio plans to have generators hooked up.

Add flywheels to the scheme and it might make a usable product.

What are people really saying when they call for a revaluation of the Yuan?

"I want all of the cheap crap at wal-mart to go up in price by 30%... though this will make the already-shattered working class that much poorer, it will magically cause our low-value manufacturing sector to emerge from the ashes, and suddenly michigan will have millions of new industrial jobs, and NC millions of new textile jobs, PA millions of new steel jobs, as flying Wheres MY pony? Wheres MY pony? spew I drink your MILKSHAKE! in the streets from their nether regions..."

ShadowInventory wrote:

I was thinking of exercise equipment that would pump water uphill so it could flow down through a turbine and generate electricity...

2 hours flat out at 70% efficiency = 10¢ retail. We aren't there... yet.

[I also do bar mitzvahs.]

I think they should require prisoners to pump water for power the same way - power the prison with prisoner labor.... keep them busy and tired so they dont have the time or energy for mischief...

Keynes said the govt should build pyramids - that was sort of what the WPA and CCC were in the 30's although we got some nice parks and buildings out of it.... But I still like the power generation idea... there could be small gyms all over the place - the water could be pumped into an overhead tank with a small turbine... Some engineer can work out the details but it solves 2 problems - gives the unemployed work and gives society something back in exchange, and it keeps the unemployed out of trouble too...

mp wrote:

Conjure says, "War with China is already baked into the cake and is not a question of if, but when."
"US and Chinese strategic interests in Asia will collide."

Continue to collide...(viz von Clausewitz)

One of the more clever bits of futurism from "Soylent Green".

OK I'll have a go:

GDP growth is an illusory measure of economic progress.

If the currency float ("money supply- FRN's") stays constant, economic progress can only be made by deflating consumer prices: more grains of corn, gigs, vacation days, for the same dollar.

Politicians make plenty of wind power but that costs a lot more then 10 cents an hour!

josap wrote:

Banks are on everyones S-list. If they start laying off lowly tellers they are just digging a deeper hole.

I'm personally surprised at the high number of bank branches. I rarely go into a bank. I'm either online or at the ATM.

Go down that road long enough, and you'll start becoming a In glod we trust bug, and we can't have that!

CaptainMorgan wrote:

As painful as it would be, I think somebody needs to get a hold of applications or resumes and try to determine how many of these are actually qualified and how many are desperate and applying for anything and everything.

I was about to mock this statement with "qualified to be a cook or waiter"? However, I've heard complaints from firms who get 300 applications to be a receptionist and no one is qualified.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

mini library branches

I have been to three different combo bars and libraries in three different cities.

People like the illusion of growing wealthier by selling their houses at a nominal gain and getting raises in salary and bonuses. They also like paying back debts with devalued currency (especially foreign debts). So the GDP ponzi team creates mythical "hedonic gains" and increases the float through fancy shell games when no one is paying attention.

mp wrote:

"US and Chinese strategic interests in Asia will collide."

Afghanistan and global dominance Pt2

mp- pass this comment on to Conjure:

That war ended in Korea, we will never directly face them again, because we could really lose."

As for the economic war, we have already managed to lose that one too.

Our intellectual property was given away through our greedy universities, our great natural resources plundered through low returns to the state, our manufacturing was scrapped out starting in the 1970s when we hung our hat on the FIRE sector. The only really big growth sector coming in America is servicing the aging boomers, and judging by what health care cost my parents last year (over 20k with one on Medicare and one not), we are essentially done.

We can hire mercenaries for a large conflict, but if it last more than six months,we are done.

Essentially, our military can no longer sustain combat at levels commensurate with VIETNAM in 1968, let alone the size of any large scale Asian land war. So much production is gone from America- and it will only return with tariffs or a destroyed dollar.

Someday this war's gonna end...

This allows those with closest access to the new float to make easy money. The primary dealers are not private entities competing in a free market (sorry, Mr. President). The notion is absurd. They borrow at .25%. That is not a market rate.

Funny thing about letting the greediest people in the world run things, there's not a lot left for everyone else.

"Essentially, our military can no longer sustain combat at levels commensurate with VIETNAM in 1968"

Our military? As a native american I don't see those mercs on the other side of the planet fighting unemployment as my military.

some investor guy wrote:

I was about to mock this statement with "qualified to be a cook or waiter"?

I'm sure there are plenty of way overqualified people in there as well.

The definition of qualified does depend on the environment. In this kind of environment, why would you consider somebody with no previous experience when there are multiple candidates with experience? It's not like the case of wait staff making less because they are young and inexperienced.

It's a pretty high turnover field as well, and no reason to risk losing even more people since they didn't realize what the job was going to be like and quit.

But my point is that the x,000 per job numbers that keep getting thrown out may or may not accurately reflect the job situation. I suspect it shows desperation on the part of job seekers, and that is understandable.

There is fierce competition to get close to or control the Fed, but this in no way resembles an open market. We still don't know who got the TALF trillion; the FDIC won't tell us if a big bank is failing. Throughout the history of currency use, there has been fierce competition to raid the national treasury. This is why the US Constitution requires a regular public accounting of ALL public funds.

Federal Reserve "independence from politics" is a smokescreen for the raiders. That means independence from Constitutional checks and balances.

The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is pursuing comprehensive transformation from a mass army designed for protracted wars of attrition on its territory to one capable of fighting and winning short-duration, high-intensity conflicts along its periphery against high-tech adversaries...

The PLA is also developing longer range capabilities that have implications beyond Taiwan. Some of these capabilities have allowed it to contribute cooperatively to the international community’s responsibilities in areas such as peacekeeping, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief, and counter-piracy. However, some of these capabilities, as well as other, more disruptive ones, could allow China to project power to ensure access to resources or enforce claims to disputed territories.

Over the past several years, China has begun a new phase of military development by beginning to articulate roles and missions for the PLA that go beyond China’s immediate territorial interests, but has left unclear to the international community the purposes and objectives of the PLA’s evolving doctrine and capabilities. Moreover, China continues to promulgate incomplete defense expenditure figures and engage in actions that appear inconsistent with its declaratory policies. The limited transparency in China’s military and security affairs poses risks to stability by creating uncertainty and increasing the potential for misunderstanding and miscalculation.

http://www.defense.gov/pubs/pdfs/China_Military_Power_Report_2009.pdf

Anonymous Bosch wrote:

Add flywheels to the scheme and it might make a usable product.

Bicycle Generator.  The Pedal-A-Watt Stationary Bicycle Generator.

I feel like a vegetarian who has just been taken on a tour of a slaughter house.

Digging more deeply into the foreclosure/securitization issue—I stumbled on to information today that I am having a hard time grasping. I am hoping someone here on CR can tell me if I am understanding this correctly.

Per Wikipedia's description of asset-backed securities, “Discrete trusts consist of a fixed or static pool of receivables that are tranched into senior/subordinated bonds.” I get the tranching thing. But does the “static” in the phrase “fixed or static pool of receivables” mean what I think it means?

That an issuer (lender) compiles a huge pool of mortgages, has a public offering, thereby selling them into a trust. Now there is a trust out there with these mortgages. But—if I understand this correctly—if it is a “static” pool, the lender gets to pull particular mortgages in and out of such trusts on a monthly basis for up to 3 years. So—theoretically, one mortgage could have been pulled out of and shoved into 36 different trusts over a period of 3 years?

I need someone to tell me this isn't so. Please.

Aggression in the Spratlys or Formosa could be a response to internal pressures if their housing bubble and/or stock bubble dramatically unwinds. Nothing like a Great Patriotic War to remind people to get in line and not question their superiors.

greenchutes wrote:

Aggression in the Spratleys or Formosa could be a response to internal pressures if their housing bubble and/or stock bubble dramatically unwinds.

Conjure and I have said all we're going to say on this subject.

Conjure is hardly objective, his dim sum habit is notorious and, I'm sure, quite costly.

Rob Dawg wrote:

2 hours flat out at 70% efficiency = 10¢ retail. We aren't there... yet.

[I also do bar mitzvahs.]

50 spinners losing unsightly pounds in 7 one-hour shifts= about $500/month. My rent just went down. But efficiency is gaining on the combusto's.

greenchutes wrote:

dim sum

I don't think that means what you think it means...

greenchutes wrote:

Aggression in the Spratlys or Formosa could be a response to internal pressures if their housing bubble and/or stock bubble dramatically unwinds. Nothing like a Great Patriotic War to remind people to get in line and not question their superiors.

Aggression in the Spratlys or Formosa could be a response to internal pressures when their housing bubble and/or stock bubble dramatically unwinds.
Fixed It For Ya

Well, the story is that he skips the tea part and just goes straight for the 燒賣 in a cloud of tattered leather and crab roe... but these are just legends I've heard.

So what equities go up when RE goes down?
When high unemployment lasts a long, long time?
What could benefit from protectionism?

Looks like I'll be buying some sin stocks....

Squirrel! Fixed It For Ya If we're hungry and run out of ammo, there will still be a solution.

Crying After all these years, sorta funny. XXX Federal, that I used to
represent kicked out the law firm, (I got fired) and went bust low these many years
ago. 20 years? The spot where my desk was was filled with exercise bikes
for a while. I think there is something else there now.

Securitized lending is ponzi. "Secure" is a noun, "to secure" is a verb.

"Securitization" renders instruments progressively less secured by hard assets.

Chinese invasion of Taiwan means nuclear Japan. That's when the fun really starts.

End the Fed.

Later, Got to eat to keep the wheels spinning.

lawyerliz wrote:

I think there is something else there now.

rats.

one way or another.

Based on that first link, they're dying for a reason, and it's got nothing to do with the weather.

Is 燒賣 the chinese characters for ground up dog balls?

Treadmill motors can be used to make wind generators. Make the tread mills into generators at the gym and make some money!

OK last one. Derrida coodanode.

They call it Bank of America because it isn't. First National Federal Trust isn't first, national, or federal, and you can't trust it.
Securitized assets are less secure.

EvilHenryPaulson (profile) wrote on Tue, 2/16/2010 - 6:09 pm replyIgnore user"The Treasury-Reserve: When David Blaine's magic shows are just too short"

I should go into marketing... hey Hoopajoops if you're still looking for a career change, I recently entertained the idea of being a person who takes pictures of beautiful women... no idea what kind of career it is, hell of a hobby though
.
Eh, what? The Women of the Central Banks?

It did, until it didn't.

I wish that someone would repost that graph showing productivity and
pay wending their entirely separate ways in about '74.

greenchutes wrote:

Thank god he's going far, far away from anything resembling public office.

Another spineless blue dog. He hasn't ruled out working as a lobbyist...just like his wife.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

"Securitization" renders instruments progressively less secured by hard assets

And according to this memo ( http://www.mwe.com/info/news/wp0905a.pdf ), the lenders did not have to tell the investors what was in the trust at any given time, right? So this has so many ramifications. One being--just how easy it would be to slip the same mortgage into these vague, "static" pools. Again--no wonder the lenders don't want to have to be producing these original mortgage notes in court. I don't understand how it could be argued that the chain of title wasn't severed.

Nobody knows how to do wifely stuff anymore.

The term wife got contemptified.

You guys want wives back, we get some respect for being wives.

I can't tell you how many times I've been treated differently at a
party when people thought I was merely a "wife" vs a lawyer.

lawyerliz wrote:

You guys want wives back

Hmm, no thanks. Smile

Anyone ever have a Chinese pork pump? It's pretty yummy.

hey Hoopajoops if you're still looking for a career change, I recently entertained the idea of being a person who takes pictures of beautiful women...

The judge told me I had to stop doing that

Citizen AllenM wrote:

So much production is gone from America- and it will only return with tariffs or a destroyed dollar

Ben & the Administration are trying in every imaginable way to crash the dollah and they can't even get that right. With China pegged it will only matter for the Euro/Nippon imports that have pretty much been sidelined.

Tariffs.

I've been a receptionist. Being women's work it is implicitly mocked.

It takes some intelligence, however.

Wouldn't it be nice to have some more receptionists instead
of those glod-awful machines?

Liz:

You're cranky about being called merely a wife?

Try being introduced to a large group of people as the good Doctor's wife.

I do wifely stuff damned well but I look like s**t in a dress.

I've heard complaints from firms who get 300 applications to be a receptionist and no one is qualified.

Deflationary sickness.

I'm consistently rejected by interviewers who could not pass their own specifications.

Ego madness.

LL,

Machines cost less and don't call in sick, take breaks, etc. The younger generation is taking over and are accepting of machines.

lawyerliz wrote:

Nobody knows how to do wifely stuff anymore.
The term wife got contemptified.

No kidding - just like "blue collar" got contemptified. You really start to notice this when you go back and look at movies from the late 80s and early 90s. Usually only appear in roles such as "abusive husband" or alternately "abusive father"

On the topic of "unnecessary" bank branches, I think when people see a bank branch in their neighborhood, they are much more likely to open an account with them, even if they do most of their banking online. I think it's advertising, and covering old folks that don't understand computers, more than anything.

Oxtail wrote:

Anyone ever have a Chinese pork pump? It's pretty yummy.

I used to eat them all the time until I found out they were full of melamine.

It was on the news last weeks and the week before. I
didn't think you guys were interested.

I didn't pay too much attention but I recall where one of the big
poo-bahs apparently made some dreadful accounting error.

The union angle not played up in Miami Dade at all.

Scientists create hottest temperature since Big Bang - 250,000 times more scorching than our Sun

What kinda of pot holder do you need when your're working with stuff that hot in the kitchen?

They actually do come up with the notes eventually, Pearl.

Takes 6 months.

I'm sure there was some more nefarious stuff going on, but not
that much in the way of double assignments.

Vonbek777 wrote:

What kinda of pot holder do you need when your're working with stuff that hot in the kitchen?

I usually tell her she looks good in that apron.

Ok, you want somebody whom you support, but who cleans the house,
cooks the food, washes the clothes, runs the errands, makes the curtains,
waxes the floors, takes care of the kids and bottles the root beer? My
grandma did all that and she didn't get much respect either.

I find it interesting that the greek bomb exploded outside of the JPM offices. Given the involvement of GS in advising the greek government, I'd have thought that the bomb would target GS instead.

Hmm...

I'd say something else, but I have to take the brandy and cigars to the wife and her friends in the study and then go polish the silver.

My wife was reading over my shoulder on that one... You're getting Stare at, and anyway, I wear the aprons in this family, Wink

lawyerliz wrote:

Ok, you want somebody whom you support, but who cleans the house,
cooks the food, washes the clothes, runs the errands, makes the curtains,
waxes the floors, takes care of the kids and bottles the root beer?

Nope.

Just sex and a show.

Starving Artist wrote:
No kidding - just like "blue collar" got contemptified. You really start to notice this when you go back and look at movies from the late 80s and early 90s. Usually only appear in roles such as "abusive husband" or alternately "abusive father"
The 'feminizing' of culture doesn't seem in retrospect to have raised one gender up so much as it has raised the non-gender aspects of men and women... it seems sophisticated and novel, but the real effects speak for themselves. The 'right' to be viewed as a producing economic unit seems to have come with the duty to become a producing economic unit. Ironically this takes away the very independence and freedom of choice that drove seeking personal economic power and establishing oneself in a place and role outside the home at the outset.

Liz:

And don't forget quizzing the kids. Math tables and unit tests on Asia, not to mention ongoing conversation in Spanish.

I'm a mostly bilingual wife.

No snide remarks, please.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

So much production is gone from America- and it will only return with tariffs or a destroyed dollar.

I have thought a lot about why certain types of jobs left the US, why others stayed, and why some grew.

One reason isn't discussed a lot. Our healthcare system has led to fewer jobs that:A. Tend to be taken by smokers (because on average they need more healthcare). B. Are filled by people with less education (because on average they need more healthcare). C. Are physically demanding (because on average they need more healthcare, especially work-related injuries). D. Are unionized (because they tend to negotiate broader and richer healthcare benefits).

Here is the odd part. To a large extent, the healthcare costs are being rearranged. Depending on the circumstances, the costs are moved to Medicaid, indirectly added to the cost of other private insurance or healthcare, or sent to the largest catastrophe healthcare plan in the US (bankruptcy court).

After the leather pants photo, Broward, it kinda killed it for me.

I'll settle for the show, though.

LL,

I guess I do every thing wrong. My wife was a stay at home mom and got a Benz, jewelry, and an early retirement with me.

lawyerliz wrote:

I'm sure there was some more nefarious stuff going on

Hi Lawyerliz--did you see this FL foreclosure case that was dated last Friday--BAC Funding Consortium v. US Bank? It was just about summary judgments, but what I thought was so ironic was that it was two banks fighting over the issue of who held the mortgage! Too funny.

Machines cost less and don't call in sick, take breaks, etc.

They also don't buy houses, cars, clothes, food, or flat screen TVs, to name just a few items don't don't buy.

lawyerliz wrote:

The spot where my desk was was filled with exercise bikes
for a while. I think there is something else there now.

I worked with an attorney who was laid off due to a merger. He got a new job quickly with another firm. They moved into the space vacated by his old firm. Didn't even change the decor. They offered him his old office if he wanted it. He declined, on the grounds that it would just be too weird.

AB,

Yep, pretty much shows what we had going and screwed it up. Now I breath so I deserve to be taken care of will finish us off.

Anonymous Bosch wrote:
They also don't buy houses, cars, clothes, food, or flat screen TVs, to name just a few items don't don't buy.
We can engineer robots that aren't self-sustaining though Smile And give them a drive for power that is very difficult to override. Unfortunately we can't use sexual selection as a behavioral conditioning aid, but maybe the need to eat and to control others will be enough.

No need. They're already called "politicians."

It is a little late for the Treasury to be concerned about the next wave of foreclosures.
We are no where near the end of the foreclosures by these arrogant Bankers.
These same bankers that caused this financial crisis are still in power and have been
even more empowered by the recent acts of a Congress which has basically spit on the American people.

It will be yearsif not decades before the sun shines on this country again.

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