The Hoopajoops gameshow: Name some interesting field and I will blindly submit a resume, if it is in the greater Sacramento area. Considering renting a stall at farmers markets in upscale neighborhoods and handing out cookies with a resume stapled to them.
How Politics Caused Fiscal Disaster - Minyanville.com
Here's a well reasoned comment about this article from the article's comments:
DAVID GONDEK
Arrogance and self delusion
Democrats and Republicans, in concert, produced policies which increased government spending and reduced taxes on the back of an already overly-indebted country. When confronted with the obvious fact that these combined policies are unsustainable the arrogant and even delusional answer was, and remains, we've always found a way before. American ingenuity and industriousness are apparently believed to be panaceas for all manner of incongruous thinking.
However, the situtation is even worse than Mr. Stockton suggests as it fails to take into acount the enormous consequences of the demographic impact to healthcare, housing and entitlements that are on the horizon. Not to mention the impact that dramatically increased energy costs will have on the economic environment in which all these issues must be addressed.
I couldn't agree more emphatically with the statement that "The Fed's strategy in the face of the Great East Asian Deflation, then, was exactly upside down". However, if interest rates would have been raised and credit contracted leading to lower domestic wages, prices, and corporate cost structures why would there have been the incentive to ship our manufacturing base overseas which resulted in this precipitous Asian economic development?
Arrogance and stupidity allowed people to assume that manufacturing could be replaced by government spending and 'financial services' and as long as GDP grew God was in his heaven and all was right with the world. Using GDP numbers as a measure of economic prosperity can be highly misleading but as long as these numbers were telling us what we wanted to hear who was going to question them? Structural current account defictis should have given these masters of the universe a hint but somehow the lemmings kept marching to the sea.
Minyanville needs more articles like this one so that we might finally have an intellectually honest discussion regarding the merits of the gold standard and the limitations of Keynesian beliefs and the power of central banks.
Does residential destruction add to GDP? When they bulldoze a house, does the amount the bull dozer operator get paid count against residential investment, maybe as home improvement?
Name some interesting field and I will blindly submit a resume, if it is in the greater Sacramento area.
It's a field research assistant endowed by the NIH. They are looking for state elected officials, bureaucrats, and service employees of every stripe with any spinal column
Fund flows for the week ending Jan. 27 showed US equity funds with outflows of $1.17 billion, according to AMG Data Services. Yet that number comes with a caveat-money market funds had outflows of $19.8 billion, demonstrating that investors are tiring of safety positions and looking to put money to work.
The fact that money market funds can suspend redemption probably isn't helping to keep money in. I have to imagine not all of those people pulling money out are turning around and throwing it at riskier investments.
EvilHenryPaulson, one of those jobs requires three years of cheerleading experience. Do you think working for wallstreet firms during the boom time counts? I think the experience is only relevant if we're doing our cheers at the edge of a great precipice...
Hoopajoops
If you just care about the experience, and are interested then there are some NGOs you could try like the Red Cross or the International Rescue Committee or some UN/IMF/World Bank Agency
"intellectually honest discussion regarding the merits of the gold standard and the limitations of Keynesian beliefs"
fiat money "POW'
fractional reserve banking "BAM"
eternal store of exchange value "ZAP"
Ya', I almost "snipped" that part. But the rest was good!
Pigged...
Rob Dawg wrote:
Turns out short term municipal operating costs are "investment" too. Screw the law, it is what they say it is.
How are they any different from any other city town or school board bond---or RAN (revenue anticipation note)...?
How is that categorically worse than those municipal lease-backs....?.
Hiffington Post which overall is liberal blog...but not always
(consider the butt kicking Huff Po has been giving obama over the very issues we hammer the prez about over here)
REAL liberals are ranking on the Prez because he's not liberal enough. That doesn't make them conservatives by any means.
My wife, who is ethnically Chinese, heard that the US was pulling out of manned space exploration (or some such, I really wasn't listening that closely), and she said to me, "You guys are crazy if you leave space to the Chinese".
While perhaps fiscally minor, I find this decision of the government to back out of manned space exploration to be sociologically telling. It is a symptom of cultural change, a kind of social aging (not maturation).
I think there is a phase transition coming. - socially, politically, culturally. Is the end at hand? One should say perhaps that one thing is ending, another beginning.
Please note: There are probably military space programs which are not accounted for in any public overview.
By now, it ought to be obvious why President Obama has wanted his health-care overhaul passed quickly. It would be (and now will be) inconvenient to promote expanded government health spending while simultaneously pledging to rein in future budget deficits -- when unrestrained health spending is a major cause. It's like promising to go on a diet but first treating yourself to one last binge.
The Congressional Budget Office confirms the dire fiscal outlook. From 2011 to 2020, the CBO projects cumulative deficits of $6 trillion. By 2020, the debt-to-economy (GDP) ratio increases to 67 percent, up from 40 percent in 2008. Unfortunately, these projections incorporate assumptions, required by law, that are optimistic. Many tax cuts, backed by both parties, are assumed to expire. Adjusting for this and other dubious assumptions could increase deficits by another $6 trillion or more over the decade. By 2020, the debt-to-GDP ratio could approach 100 percent, near its peak in 1946.(More)
Before spending more, we need to spend better. If we don't, all possible outcomes are bad: high deficits or higher taxes; stunted take-home pay (squeezed by insurance premiums and taxes); lower spending on other programs; or meat-cleaver cuts in health spending. The vast medical-industrial complex -- doctors, hospitals, drug companies and more -- should be forced to change, just as other industries (autos, media, airlines) have had to adjust. The changes need not involve the mass layoffs of other industries, but they must alter how medical care is financed and delivered.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Welcome to Q3 '80.
For the first time in 3 to 4 months, I got zero job calls or emails today so far.
Ominous given that we're at the start of a new year / new budgets.
All that remains is for me to pretend modesty when everyone remembers my inevitability call of a double dip.
Seriously, the recovery is going to suck near as much as the recession because this time we find ourselves with dead consumers walking. They may be alive long enough to be rescued but too many drank sea water to get here.
For the first time in 3 to 4 months, I got zero job calls or emails today so far.
Ominous given that we're at the start of a new year / new budgets.
All that remains is for me to pretend modesty when everyone remembers my inevitability call of a double dip.
Seriously, the recovery is going to suck near as much as the recession because this time we find ourselves with dead consumers walking. They may be alive long enough to be rescued but too many drank sea water to get here.
Those that are underemployed but still have technical skills should probably take on side projects that you can call consulting or entrepreneurship. It'll pay off in the long run when the job market does turn around. These folks might even be able to turn it into some cash flow.
Seriously, the recovery is going to suck near as much as the recession
Might suck worse.
There's an underlying paranoia and hatred that's rarely discussed and I suspect it's grown larger.
The hate mob that piled on Casey Serin reminded me of the French Revolution stories. Their sheer hatred and persistent hounding were so far out of proportion to personal consequences from Casey. I've seen it in other areas since. I can't believe they're still after him. They've full hate and spite, deeply deeply sick.
The Hoopajoops gameshow: Name some interesting field and I will blindly submit a resume, if it is in the greater Sacramento area. Considering renting a stall at farmers markets in upscale neighborhoods and handing out cookies with a resume stapled to them.
How about dressing up as Lady Liberty and waving at cars in front of an income tax preparer's office? That should tide you over until mid April.
"By now, it ought to be obvious why President Obama has wanted his health-care overhaul passed quickly. It would be (and now will be) inconvenient to promote expanded government health spending while simultaneously pledging to rein in future budget deficits..."
the health care reform bill would have saved medicare expenditures via a number of cost cutting and fraud reduction measures
(including death panels and killing grandma) ok snarks up
*Offer to sell missiles to Taiwan.
Offer to sell a missile shield to China.
For this to work and not rattle the markets, both offers have to be made at the same time. *
Very clever. Is that why they say: Too clever by half?
The idea I want to roll around in my head is if every job loss is equal, and if not what are the differentiating factors and the resulting outcomes.
Like losing a $100k job is a bigger loss ceteris paribus than a $30k job, but maybe that $100k job was insecure/volatile and the loss of a $30k job has a larger impact because they could/would/did leverage up due to their income stability. Then there is benefits, and the trust that they will be there to payout far into the future. What if it's in a growing or contracting sector, is there room for advancement, what is the balance of employers to employees (a lot of opportunities, a few niche opportunities, etc)
Hoops,
since money is not an issue, why not abandon Sacramento and head for Thailand? You could do volunteer work with kids, rehab with elephants or map and rehab temples...and get a nice tan and meet the folks.
There's an underlying paranoia and hatred that's rarely discussed and I suspect it's grown larger.
The hate mob that piled on Casey Serin reminded me of the French Revolution stories. Their sheer hatred and persistent hounding were so far out of proportion to personal consequences from Casey. I've seen it in other areas since. I can't believe they're still after him. They've full hate and spite, deeply deeply sick.
Germany, here we come.
While I agree with the tenor I disagree with the specifics. Supposedly Casey's parent's house in on the auction block today. There's a reason we as a society look askance at people so bereft of moral compass that they abuse their own family. Likewise I live down the hill from what was once Countrywide. Casey remains the face their failure.
As to Germany, no. We sacrificed too many to fix that embarrassment of history to repeat it ourselves.
REAL liberals are ranking on the Prez because he's not liberal enough. That doesn't make them conservatives by any means.
What the FF is a REAL liberal? A real conservative? What are you?
What was TR? What was FDR? What was RR?
Today's conservatives are really conservative, eh....must be why SCOTUS's conservative wing killed 107 years of precedent & common sense....
While I agree with the tenor I disagree with the specifics.
The sheer hatred directed at Casey is sick. Do you see the same hatred and hounding of Bernanke or Greenspan or Paulson, who easily caused far more damage? He's the scapegoat for the accumulated anger against the real problem because he's defenseless and easily accessible.
It's far out of proportion because it belongs somewhere else.
While I agree with the tenor I disagree with the specifics. Supposedly Casey's parent's house in on the auction block today. There's a reason we as a society look askance at people so bereft of moral compass that they abuse their own family. Likewise I live down the hill from what was once Countrywide. Casey remains the face their failure.
Wasn't this the guy that was on some TV news magazine and while interviewing, basically admitted to the commission of fraud? It's hard to feel too bad for him, even while it seems that "everyone else was doing it too". The rest of them should go to jail too-
Like losing a $100k job is a bigger loss ceteris paribus than a $30k job
I think a $100k job loss is a bigger hit to the economy than a $30k job. There may be some small levering difference based on perceived stability, but nothing to make up that big an income difference. A government job loss should be less of a hit than the same paying private job loss because the government job also contains a drag component on the productive economy, though many gov jobs are necessary and important.
mock turtle
this lack of loan demand is something I have been on top of for a while now
I didn't read what Mish wrote on it, but trust me that it's the truth and it's not just the USA
as for constant demand, you have to look over multiple surveys not just the QoQ
basically in an era of contracting credit, the only loans that provide positive returns are ones that steal market share as the market/demand as a whole must be contracting along with effective money supply. If they're stealing market share, they're probably making other loans go bad which further contracts credit. the reason why credit is contracting is that previously apparent capital appreciation was paying the bills, but once asset prices tried to stay at a permanently high plateau there was nothing to pay the interest, and there are limits on budgets (eg in the long run, housing cannot consume over 100% of income)
While perhaps fiscally minor, I find this decision of the government to back out of manned space exploration to be sociologically telling. It is a symptom of cultural change, a kind of social aging (not maturation).
I don't know. The government doesn't build planes; companies build planes to gov't specs. If private industry becomes the prime contractor for space programs instead of the gov't, I imagine the gov't will be influencing the development in the direction it wants soon enough. And there will be "special' craft under direct gov't control.
In some ways, the space ops portion of NASA is a dated entitlement program. What you don't want, of course, is a private space travel contractor essentially becoming an outlaw part of the gov't and controlling the program far beyond propriety. Think the Blackwater of space travel.
A government job loss should be less of a hit than the same paying private job loss because the government job also contains a drag component on the productive economy, though many gov jobs are necessary and important.
Prediction: the government job hits will turn out to be more impactful on a dollar for dollar basis
In looking back on 2009, we saw the nominal GDP start out the 1st quarter at a negative 6.4% decrease, then turn around to a positive .7% increase in the 2nd quarter, with 2.2% increase in the 3rd, and a whopping 5.7% increase initially reported for the 4th. The trend is your friend, right? A few threads back, 1 currency now-yogi posted the CPI for the last quarter and for the year. I didn't realize that the CPI was so high for the year and was clocked doing a rate of 2.7% for the YEAR after a CPI for all of 2008 of only .1%. Gasoline was the big killer with it up 53.5%. So, subtracting the CPI for the year from the nominal GDP for the year, real GDP fell 2.4% for all of 2009. What appears to be happening is the SOS that caused the problems 2 years ago, energy prices. If we get the anticipated QE this year like the government has said, what happens to oil and gasoline prices, the CPI, interest rates, and ability to service debt and also consume for our fellow Americans with a negative rate of increase in wages and sticky and high unemployment?
Seriously, the recovery is going to suck near as much as the recession because this time we find ourselves with dead consumers walking
Consumers are gonna drag the retailers down with them.
"My first attempt as a haggler saved me almost 15 bucks and placed me at the center of "the biggest sea change of consumer behavior since the end of the Second World War," as Nancy Koehn, a Harvard Business School retail historian, calls it. In a country that has long shunned haggling outside of car dealerships and mattress stores, my behavior may have once appeared unseemly, even crass. That is, until the Great Recession. Firms are desperate for revenue, Americans are feeling broke, and the aisles from Best Buy to Macy's and even your neighborhood Giant -- as well as the 1-800 numbers at Comcast and Verizon -- have become venues for let's-make-a-deal.
A recent Consumer Reports study found that 66 percent of American consumers had haggled at least once in the preceding six months, with an 88 percent ka-ching rate on gadgets, clothes, furniture and steak. "People like this," Koehn said. "They are not going to go back to giving their money away. Why would they?"
...
"These flowers look a day old -- can I get a discount?" I asked the employee. Three bucks off. It felt fantastic.
Feeling good, according to Koehn, the Harvard retail expert, is what could make this behavior last beyond the economic recovery. Consumers want to feel powerful, she said, to exact revenge on Wall Street for crushing the value of their homes. "This is Rocky running up the Philadelphia museum steps," she said.
The sheer hatred directed at Casey is sick. Do you see the same hatred and hounding of Bernanke or Greenspan or Paulson, who easily caused far more damage? He's the scapegoat for the accumulated anger against the real problem because he's defenseless and easily accessible.
With Casey nobody's political ox is being gore. It made him a much easier target than the others whose actions might be considered treasonous.
not when bond issuance is paying for it -- without crowding out the private market -- instead of taxes
The bond payments still have to come out of taxes if we are talking municipal bonds, and not treasuries. Even with treasuries, there will be a reckoning day from either taxes or inflation.
pavel.chichikov wrote:
While perhaps fiscally minor, I find this decision of the government to back out of manned space exploration to be sociologically telling. It is a symptom of cultural change, a kind of social aging (not maturation).
I don't know. The government doesn't build planes; companies build planes to gov't specs. If private industry becomes the prime contractor for space programs instead of the gov't, I imagine the gov't will be influencing the development in the direction it wants soon enough. And there will be "special' craft under direct gov't control.
In some ways, the space ops portion of NASA is a dated entitlement program. What you don't want, of course, is a private space travel contractor essentially becoming an outlaw part of the gov't and controlling the program far beyond propriety. Think the Blackwater of space travel.
The whole story may be a bit different than "the retreat from space," I truly hope that is the case. Time will tell, but the Constellation program appeared to have the defects the Apollo program did - not focused on building the nuts and bolts infrastructure necessary to become a spacefaring species - with the key issue of reducing the cost per pound to orbit. If that is truly becomes the new focus (rather than abandoning space to the Chinese) then some good will come of this.
I think that's the essence of the case. Roubini et al don't really understand the anxiety at the root of markets like these. Maybe they should buy a copy of that Jung book that just came out.
The bond payments still have to come out of taxes if we are talking municipal bonds, and not treasuries. Even with treasuries, there will be a reckoning day from either taxes or inflation.
Yes, well Ricardian equivalence has not held up in practice during the past few decades precisely because there has been no pushback. There's been more than a generation of issuing debt with no expectation that outlays to revenues must balance around zero in the long run.
energyecon wrote:
Prediction: the government job hits will turn out to be more impactful on a dollar for dollar basis
What is your rationale?
Bookmark and lets see what the coming round of state and municipal cuts brings. The framework required for Adam Smith to work is a function of government, not it's absence.
There's been more than a generation of issuing debt with no expectation that outlays to revenues must balance around zero in the long run.
The federal deficit is made up with more issuance, which adds to the percentage of GDP consumed by interest. I don't believe in free lunches, even for the mighty USA.
energyecon wrote:
Prediction: the government job hits will turn out to be more impactful on a dollar for dollar basis
What is your rationale?
I would say that there are a few factors.
Government jobs don't compete for private market demand.
They're stable, have benefits, which should result in a lower savings rate.
They are often a large employer in specific regions providing the net positive cashflow to sustain much larger ecosystems of employment
The people who would be laid off are likely to be unemployed for a longer period of time, or at least cause the duration of unemployment on net to be greater. Even if a teacher takes a Wall Mart greeter job, it'll bump someone else in a very broad/general skillset. It's unlikely that they have the switch from government job to export oriented manufacturing.
The government job stability/benefits often enables a spouse to pursue a riskier career, as in a private job market subsidy transmitted through the household
A lot, or all, of these things apply to something like a Verizon head office, or credit card processors in North Dakota, or other anchor employers.
Bookmark and lets see what the coming round of state and municipal cuts brings. The framework required for Adam Smith to work is a function of government, not it's absence.
Your conclusion presumes that current staffing and pay levels in government are necessary for functioning.
Were municipalities to announce police and fire department hiring at half current pay levels I can guarantee that they would still receive many multiples of qualified applicants for every opening.
In some ways, the space ops portion of NASA is a dated entitlement program.
What's the point of humanity if it isn't to explore strange new worlds, to seek out new life forms and new civilizations, to boldly go where no man has gone before?
The framework required for Adam Smith to work is a function of government, not it's absence.
I wasn't arguing that less government is always better, only that an equivalent private sector job, lets say accounting, does not have to be paid for with taxes. If core services like police, fire, and road service are cut beyond maintenance, then everyone suffers.
Mr Slippery
Have you seen interest rates lately? What is the sensitivity/elasticity to increased issuance -- especially if quantitative easing is used
Yes, in the long run... but you're making assumptions of the long run. Like debt will be repaid.
What's the point of humanity if it isn't to explore strange new worlds, to seek out new life forms and new civilizations, to boldly go where no man has gone before?
Green slave women. [Don't look at me like that, you asked.]
Were municipalities to announce police and fire department hiring at half current pay levels I can guarantee that they would still receive many multiples of qualified applicants for every opening.
If we don't overpay the constabulary, some other municipality will.
I'm fairly certain starting pay for police here is just shy of 31K. Are you saying it would be a good idea to have our streets patrolled by people making 15K per year? Seriously? I don't see anything that can go wrong there...nosireebob....
I wasn't arguing that less government is always better, only that an equivalent private sector job, lets say accounting, does not have to be paid for with taxes. If core services like police, fire, and road service are cut beyond maintenance, then everyone suffers.
Ah, thanks for clarification, though I suspect that the list of functions is longer than that - we will see.
What is the sensitivity/elasticity to increased issuance -- especially if quantitative easing is used
I think we are in a debt deflation, causing unusual demand for "risk free" government bonds. QE has not probably caught up with net credit destruction yet, though it has partially reinflated stocks, gold, and oil. Let's see what happens to Japan in the medium term.
FWIW, I see the so-called double-dip sort of like a James Bond movie.
What we've experienced to date is the opening action sequence -- fast, dramatic, etc. Then of course comes the credits, character intros, story setup, etc.
Now we're at the point where the action starts to pick up again. Not as quick and breathtaking as the opener, but overall much greater overall impact spread over a longer time span.
IOW, the recession was the opening act of the depression.
Oh and amazingly enough the wingnut crowd here thinks they make too much and are upset they have adopted a Union. They do get hospital and major medical as a benefit and if they take a five percent pay cut they can participate in the retirement fund. Woohoo.
I'm not advocating government spending here, I'm just talking about the analysis of the relative impact of one job loss to another.
One more government vs private factor is people can be locked into pensions, but draw upon 401ks more readily to supplement their income, at least for a while.
How widespread are requirements on credit history in the job market? I know legal, military, etc are not supposed to have walk-aways show up, but is there a meaningful divide between government (+contractor) and private employment on this issue? One might be more likely to cut their spending in order to maintain mortgage payments in that case, which would be worse than the opposite for the economy as on net that money is effectively dying instead of being spent again
energycon wrote "Time will tell, but the Constellation program appeared to have the defects the Apollo program did - not focused on building the nuts and bolts infrastructure necessary to become a spacefaring species - with the key issue of reducing the cost per pound to orbit."
Hmm. The Apollo program was amazingly successful at first doing pure research, then engineering the research into something practical, then testing the engineering, and finally deploying it. That, I would argue, is precisely the nuts and bolts of becoming a space-fairing species. Reducing cost to orbit is a fine and much needed efficiency, but I would say things like gimbaled motors, high specific impulse, material properties for acoustic pressure, computing power, highly reliable parts, transistors, etc were the biggies.
Kristina, since it would be way too easy to pick a California municipality to mock, I'm going with West Vancouver:
Salary and Expectations
Police officers at the West Vancouver Police Department start at the rank of Constable with a starting salary of $57,277, and within a few short years will become a 1st Class Constable making over $75,000 per year.
As your career progresses, you will be able to apply and compete for the ranks of Corporal/Detective, Sergeant, Staff Sergeant, and even Inspector.
Were municipalities to announce police and fire department hiring at half current pay levels I can guarantee that they would still receive many multiples of qualified applicants for every opening.
Absolutely true. In my little hamlet, each Fire job receives 400-500 applicants, and this level applied BEFORE the 2008 melt down. I am pro-Fireman, but the compensation [in some places] is off the scale.
Mr Slippery
That's fine, but we were talking about all this in the context of what kinds of job cuts have a bigger impact on the economy. You said that government job cuts would have less of a negative impact on the economy, and to me that doesn't make as much sense as the alternative
Absolutely true. In my little hamlet, each Fire job receives 400-500 applicants, and this level applied BEFORE the 2008 melt down. I am pro-Fireman, but the compensation [in some places] is off the scale.
It's not just the compensation, but mainly the, how-you-say, work conditions. Not a lot required for full time.
Where I live nobody gets hired for a fire job unless they're already halfway in the door through the standard nepotism and good ol' boy networks.
I would say things like gimbaled motors, high specific impulse, material properties for acoustic pressure, computing power, highly reliable parts, transistors, etc were the biggies.
So why can't we build a Saturn V today? A lot of the engineering in the Apollo program was done and then thrown away. The Constellation program wasn't even going to match what Apollo and at a much higher price. In the '70s Nasawent from an engineering program to a jobs program.
You said that government job cuts would have less of a negative impact on the economy, and to me that doesn't make as much sense as the alternative
I got your points about how employable a laid off gov worker would be compared to the private sector worker and spousal risk taking. My point was simply that a government job (beyond basic necessities) must be paid for with taxes while a private sector job is not.
At this point in time, most lay offs have been from the private sector and the UEMPMED is in record territory. Even private sector folks are having a hard time as the economy tries to adjust. Sorry if I am belaboring the issue.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Note how I went to efforts on my blog and elsewhere to defuse emotions when the mob transitioned from justice to vengeance.
Yes, that's true now that you mention it.
I was thinking more about what happened after the flaming nexus left your blog.
Thank you. That nexus did not "leave" it was transitioned out at no small expense and effort. I want(ed) nothing to do with it.
Hmm. The Apollo program was amazingly successful at first doing pure research, then engineering the research into something practical, then testing the engineering, and finally deploying it. That, I would argue, is precisely the nuts and bolts of becoming a space-fairing species. Reducing cost to orbit is a fine and much needed efficiency, but I would say things like gimbaled motors, high specific impulse, material properties for acoustic pressure, computing power, highly reliable parts, transistors, etc were the biggies.
We built a throwaway launch vehicle to beat Ivan to the moon, not an infrastructure for continued operations.
The spin-offs were nothing short of amazing, and IC and hence the computer revolution exist in large part because of the minaturization requirements for space travel. And the intestinal fortitude of the astronauts who operated these vehicles was also nothing short of amazing, particularly when the specs for the LEM are reviewed. But I watched the first lunar landing as an 8 year old almost 41 years ago...and we are almost done building the ISS. The launch technology has not progressed.
I have great admiration for what was accomplished then (and since) but we do you want to argue that we have been making establishing the necessary architecture to expand as a spacefaring species a priority?
Hmm. The Apollo program was amazingly successful at first doing pure research, then engineering the research into something practical, then testing the engineering, and finally deploying it. That, I would argue, is precisely the nuts and bolts of becoming a space-fairing species. Reducing cost to orbit is a fine and much needed efficiency, but I would say things like gimbaled motors, high specific impulse, material properties for acoustic pressure, computing power, highly reliable parts, transistors, etc were the biggies.
But nitrous oxide just isn't as cool as liquefied hydrogen slush as a propellant-
- As long as folks in the govt specify the technology, it'll always be expensive. The Military Industrialist Establishment wouldn't have it any other way.
black dog posted: "These flowers look a day old -- can I get a discount?" I asked the employee. Three bucks off. It felt fantastic.
Or if you're feeling especially ruthless and piratical, go to a Toyota dealership and ask for a test-drive. Then after you've been driving for a few minutes, slam down on the gas and start screaming. When you return to the dealership, ask for a discount.
So why can't we build a Saturn V today? A lot of the engineering in the Apollo program was done and then thrown away. The Constellation program wasn't even going to match what Apollo and at a much higher price. In the '70s Nasawent from an engineering program to a jobs program.
We should buy the heavy booster technology from Russia, and farm out production to the Japanese, who will reduce the cost and improve the reliability. At least they would have done that 15 years ago-
The spin-offs were nothing short of amazing, and IC and hence the computer revolution exist in large part because of the minaturization requirements for space travel.
It's worth noting that the advent of the micro Processor was a response by Intel to a RFQ from a Japanese calculator manufacturer, IIRC.
Or if you're feeling especially ruthless and piratical, go to a Toyota dealership and ask for a test-drive. Then after you've been driving for a few minutes, slam down on the gas and start screaming. When you return to the dealership, ask for a discount.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Is there any other job in West Vancouver that starts out @ $57.267 per annum?
You could make more than that standing on a street corner with a cup and a sign!
If it is of any value as an anecdote; my teenaged girls two summers ago were disappointed that I wouldn't circle around so they could take pictures of the 'fishnet lady' on the street corner in West Vancouver.
If it is of any value as an anecdote; my teenaged girls two summers ago were disappointed that I wouldn't circle around so they could take pictures of the 'fishnet lady' on the street corner in West Vancouver.
You could make more that $57 as a beggar; you could probably make more than $57k as a hooker-
A proposal by former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker to limit bank’s proprietary trading will be either be dropped or significantly modified in the Senate, lawmakers and staffers told dealReporter.
My point was simply that a government job (beyond basic necessities) must be paid for with taxes while a private sector job is not.
I agree with everything you've said, but I feel the need to be sticky on this point. If they are issuing debt, and there isn't crowding out of the bond market -- there hasn't been to date -- then you pre-suppose that all debt is repaid at par. Since no one is acting like debt must be repaid, thus not raising taxes by necessary amounts, it is then incorrect to force what you consider a simple/logical relation on the system. If your assumptions were strong, then Madoff would have never happened.
No, just two teenaged daughters. More than that to deal with in this doomsted. Pray to the gods of University of California that senior pre-med courses are not reduced and local school districts don't increase bus fees.
The permanent adolescence of the American voters insures that every politician who dares to cut entitlements will lose, and every politician who seeks to raise taxes by $1.3 trillion will also lose. (As they should, in my own view. As always, the rentier-predatory Power Elites will largely escape taxation and thus the burden will fall on the dwindling productive class/small business, creating a feedback which will impoverish what's left of the productive citizenry and drive tax revenues ever lower.)
So why can't we build a Saturn V today? A lot of the engineering in the Apollo program was done and then thrown away. The Constellation program wasn't even going to match what Apollo and at a much higher price. In the '70s Nasawent from an engineering program to a jobs program.
I have great admiration for what was accomplished then (and since) but we do you want to argue that we have been making establishing the necessary architecture to expand as a spacefaring species a priority?
Space travel is unlikely to be financially profitable for the foreseeable future. At least we can assume so. Eventually it may turn out to be inestimably important, but our financial horizons don't extend that far. You can't tell bookkeepers that something immensely important might be found, or needed, next year, or fifty or a hundred years from now.
The technology of manned space travel has been frozen, essentially, for almost forty years. I find it astonishing that we haven't gone beyond low orbit for that length of time.
We're financially strapped, but I don't think we're desperate enough to risk a space program.
A proposal by former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker to limit bank’s proprietary trading will be either be dropped or significantly modified in the Senate, lawmakers and staffers told dealReporter.
but the Constellation program appeared to have the defects the Apollo program did - not focused on building the nuts and bolts infrastructure necessary to become a spacefaring species - with the key issue of reducing the cost per pound to orbit. If that is truly becomes the new focus (rather than abandoning space to the Chinese) then some good will come of this.
The old-line aerospace firms don't want space to be cheap. They make too much money per launch now. Oh, sure, eventually demand would ramp up in response to the new cheapness and business would be better than before. But there'd be a five-plus year period in there where they'd be making a lot less money on space. And what publicly-traded corporation wants to do that in this enlightened day and age?
I had a Lockheed guy tell me that straight out.
Edit -- there were cheaper-per-pound space systems on the drawing board ten years ago at the major aerospace firms. Single- or two-stage to orbit reusables. There was a nascent private space boom in the '90s, and the feds threw some money at Lockheed for an SSTO project -- it was Newt Gingrich's hobby project. But Lockheed blew threw the money on new tech that didn't work rather than using proven, the usual $$$ extension wasn't given, Newt was gone, and everybody went back to business as usual. Boeing had their own project on the drawing boards if it looked like they'd have to go in that direction. But in the end, they didn't have to.
Capital Journal: Budget Deficit Threatens National Security - WSJ.com
That must be why WSJ.com railed against tax cuts for the rich that were never paid for or wars of discretion that were never paid for or Medicare drug plans that not only were never paid for but which required buying the highest priced drugs.
Oh, wait. I don't think that was WSJ.com. Probably some off the wall site like TheHuffingtonPost.com
The sheer hatred directed at Casey is sick. He's the scapegoat for the accumulated anger against the real problem because he's defenseless and easily accessible. It's far out of proportion because it belongs somewhere else.
People get angry and start looking for somebody to blame, forgetting that the wheels of justice turn slowly.
He should also be easily prosecutable, as he has documented his fraud well in his blogs and videos. However, he is nowhere near a big fish in the mortgage fraud department. People are angry that it seems like nobody is being prosecuted, so they need an example that something is being done. Should have been able to get a plea deal out of Casey and shown the willingness to go after fraud.
The old-line aerospace firms don't want space to be cheap. They make too much money per launch now. Oh, sure, eventually demand would ramp up in response to the new cheapness and business would be better than before. But there'd be a five-plus year period in there where they'd be making a lot less money on space. And what publicly-traded corporation wants to do that in this enlightened day and age?
I had a Lockheed guy tell me that straight out.
A those in govt are in lockstep with them. Nobody in DOD or NASA wants to be in the equivalent of a program making steam locomotives, unless of course they're powered by nuclear fission. It wouldn't look good on their resume. That's why I mentioned liquefied hydrogen slush above. While some rogues in NASA were arguing for cheaper boosters, the brass wanted an even more expensive solutions with lots of technical challenges to enhance their resumes.
The old-line aerospace firms don't want space to be cheap. They make too much money per launch now.
My old employer bid and lost the contract for the space shuttle engine coving for Enterprise atmospheric testing. The price was 1/10th the winning bid but because he couldn't also afford to teach NASA enough to understand the structure some place called Rockwell got the job.
Senate Banking Committee ranking member Richard Shelby (R-AL) said he opposes the so-called Volcker rule and the Obama administration’s call to levy a USD 90bn tax on banks.
[Sen] Warner said he is proposing that US banks set up a USD 1trn fund to invest in US infrastructure projects as a way to avoid the USD 90bn bank levy. A staffer said that Warner is not calling for the banks to place USD 1trn in cash, but to raise such an amount through leverage.
That craft goes to 100km and then descends, not really what I would call space travel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kármán_line
It's an achievement to be sure, but it doesn't come near to what Gagarin did 50 years ago
Warner said he is proposing that US banks set up a USD 1trn fund to invest in US infrastructure projects as a way to avoid the USD 90bn bank levy. A staffer said that Warner is not calling for the banks to place USD 1trn in cash, but to raise such an amount through leverage.
Warner for President! Warner for President! Of @#$% Crazytown!!!!
I can continue to hope California can annex Baja and build a Linear Accelerator for low earth orbit bulk material.
Going the Heinlein route, eh? Certainly more practical, but not as sexy as some cable disappearing into the ionosphere.
My buckytube cable will need to be lowered from my station to my ground facility.
and the populace becomes ever more ticked off about it. Thus, you get the Tea Bagger movement, and things like it, where the disenfranchised meld legitimate complaints with fantasies and conspiracy theories, and produce an incoherent agenda based on ideas like "keeping the government out of Medicare!" One can easily see a movement like this ramping up into full-bore corn-pone Naziism
The People decide what the Constitution is or is not
And since we took the trouble to write it down and then vote on the fucker means it is what it is. Beware fucking with it. It has proven sufficient so far.
By international convention 100 km is the limit for low orbit. Passengers on Virgin Galactic get Astronaut wings. They are also trying to sell it as a platform for launching satellites (unmanned) to low orbit very cheaply.
'Thus, you get the Tea Bagger movement, and things like it, where the disenfranchised meld legitimate complaints with fantasies and conspiracy theories, and produce an incoherent agenda based on ideas like "keeping the government out of Medicare!" '
Thus, you get the Tea Bagger movement, and things like it, where the disenfranchised meld legitimate complaints with fantasies and conspiracy theories, and produce an incoherent agenda
It's funny how you can substitute "Tea Bagger" with "Progressive", and the sentence makes just as much sense.
Historians in the future will be hard-pressed to find any particulars in regards to the Volcker Rule, as there were none.
Just use Baye's theorem and construct what it is by knowing what it is not -- after all that is the manner in which it was conceived. It's exactly a defence of banks, and is meant to cut off talk along the lines of TBTF. You can't trust Volcker to think as anything but a banker, looking out for the world he knew. It reminds me of the dividing generations among organized crime. Each successive generation pushes the envelope a little more, forgets a bit more about honour. Yet the old gangsters believe that if honour were simply restored there would be no problem, but they can't conceive that the old system was only sustainable with the secular decline of honour. That without ongoing growth the whole system could not support it's present, let alone its past.
Anyways, forcing hedge funds to use a single broker really tells the whole story. It's not about changing a single action, or preventing any systemic risk, it just changes the the structure in how it all happens.
The People decide what the Constitution is or is not
And since we took the trouble to write it down and then vote on the fucker means it is what it is. Beware fucking with it. It has proven sufficient so far.
FWIW, the SCOTUS is given the power to interpret the Constitution and decide what it means, whether some of the people like their decisions or not.
I'm okay with them so far. We shall see what we shall see.
But many are not; I'm still waiting to see what the fallout from their most recent high profile decision will be. If it helps negate the influence of Georger Soros et al, then good. If it puts our govt completely up for sale, assuming that is not the de facto situation right now, then perhaps not so good.
By international convention 100 km is the limit for low orbit. Passengers on Virgin Galactic get Astronaut wings. They are also trying to sell it as a platform for launching satellites (unmanned) to low orbit very cheaply.
It would also work for getting satellites to high orbit if scaled appropriately. When you get to low orbit, you release the third stage engine and payload, which continues to high orbit.
I thought the SCOTUS took for itself the power to interpret the Constitution and decide what it means. No snark.
I thought it was implied, and since the other branches agreed, it's been a done deal ever since-
Do you recall which decision led to that? It's all gettin' fuzzy now....
I hate Obama and his Wall Street friends!
I hate Republicans because I'm so inherently superior to those ignorant "mudskippers"!
Now I'm going to scream!!!
Is this like an Ivy League version of a populist rant? Usually populist rants don't get into describing the populace as uneducated yeast people.
Do you recall which decision led to that? It's all gettin' fuzzy now....
Marbury v. Madison was the first time the Supreme Court declared something "unconstitutional," and established the concept of judicial review in the U.S. (the idea that courts may oversee and nullify the actions of another branch of government). The landmark decision helped define the "checks and balances" of the American form of government.
No, TJ. you can't just substitue "liberals" for "conservatives" and have it make any sense.
There is nothing liberal about teabaggers. They're as conservative as a group gets in the U.S.
They are just dumber than most conservatives and louder than most, but they are the logical extension of conservative thought, which is backward in nature, regressive in an evolutionary sense.
The utimate end of conservative thought is Neanderthal thought.
Plus he has got a link to his new ebook but I need to get less cynical. His point of telling the truth is the main message. We are broke we cannot afford all this shit. Let's get on with what we can afford what we need and what we have the compassion for. We need a middle ground
Marbury v. Madison was the first time the Supreme Court declared something "unconstitutional," and established the concept of judicial review in the U.S. (the idea that courts may oversee and nullify the actions of another branch of government). The landmark decision helped define the "checks and balances" of the American form of government.
Right! And didn't Madison essentially set that one up for them, as in set up a pick so they could slam dunk it? Maybe that wasn't his intent, but......it important to consider the unintended consequences of your decisions. And in any event, it's served our nation well for ~200 years.
Plus he has got a link to his new ebook but I need to get less cynical. His point of telling the truth is the main message. We are broke we cannot afford all this shit. Let's get on with what we can afford what we need and what we have the compassion for. We need a middle ground
With apologies to James Carville, "It's the spending, stupid"
Teabaggers are the exact opposite of Progressive. They're conservatives to the point of being Neaderthals.
I advocate absolutely no position but I have two observations that need to be heard. Progressive is a label that some liberals adopt because they think it is more acceptable. There is no difference twixt liberal and progressive excepting historical baggage. Second, Neanderthal is absolutely in a different class of appellation. Conservative has had enduring meaning for more than a century but that meaning has also spanned the creation of the national parks and EPA. Conservatives have successfully resisted any number of specific attacks unlike the Republican Party. it is unfair to conflate those two.
I hesitate to post this because I don't want to get into a political pissing contest. However, this is an excellent read on true believers of all flavours. He concentrates on the religious right because they are the best current example, but one could substitute godless Bolshevicks just as easily.
What's especially abhorrent to me about Faux news is the clown in charge, the embodiment of his audience physically, a man with no neck calling the shots...
I hesitate to post this because I don't want to get into a political pissing contest.
A few of points;
He left out the neo-cons
Many conservatives are libertarian, and that's the opposite of authoritarian.
Many "progressives" are authoritarians ; see Lenin, Stalin, Mao, et al
From the link:
OK, what’s this book about? It’s about what happened to the American government after "conservatives" gained control of Congress in the 1990s and the White House in 2000. It’s about the disastrous decisions that government made, which have created the enormous problems we face now. It’s about the corruption that rotted the Congress. It’s about how traditional conservatism has nearly been destroyed by authoritarianism. It’s about how the “Religious Right” teamed up with amoral authoritarian leaders to push its un-democratic agenda onto the country.
“Well,” you might be thinking, “I don’t believe any of this is true.” Or maybe you’re thinking, “What else is new? I’ve known this all along.” Why should a conservative, moderate, or liberal bother with this book? Why should any Republican, Independent, or Democrat click the “Introduction” link on this page?
Because if you do, you’ll begin an easy-ride journey through some relevant scientific studies I have done on authoritarian personalities.....
As retiring Baby Boomers flee to safer investments, some analysts fear there will be too many stocks and too few investors. But, a lot depends on how many of the more than 70 million Boomers can really afford a more conservative investing style, as they try to recover from a lost decade for the stock market.
CNBC Investing Rule 1: if you get behind, double down.
Well at the very least there are a few things the republicans & democrats can surely agree upon:
The government we have is shit & too big
The financial system where lenders run everything is a hopeless mess
Special interests are ruining the country at will
For the first time in 3 to 4 months, I got zero job calls or emails today so far.
kid buck started a new job last month. His first assignment was to cull 8 likely prospects from a stack of 400 resumes. It was only a mid level warehouse job, but I put on top of the stack 2 lawyers, 2 electrical engineers, a couple of computer scientists, (one each with PHDs) a few MBAs, and a few business types with 10 or more years solid business management experience. My new boss read my selections and said, "What am I going to do with these? They're all nuts." He turned the pile over and selected a bunch of young guys with little relevant work experience.
His next comment was, "I get them cheap and can train 'em."
Furst!
The Hoopajoops gameshow: Name some interesting field and I will blindly submit a resume, if it is in the greater Sacramento area. Considering renting a stall at farmers markets in upscale neighborhoods and handing out cookies with a resume stapled to them.
Damn! "Other" has taken a real beating
How Politics Caused Fiscal Disaster - Minyanville.com
Here's a well reasoned comment about this article from the article's comments:
DAVID GONDEK
Arrogance and self delusion
Democrats and Republicans, in concert, produced policies which increased government spending and reduced taxes on the back of an already overly-indebted country. When confronted with the obvious fact that these combined policies are unsustainable the arrogant and even delusional answer was, and remains, we've always found a way before. American ingenuity and industriousness are apparently believed to be panaceas for all manner of incongruous thinking.
However, the situtation is even worse than Mr. Stockton suggests as it fails to take into acount the enormous consequences of the demographic impact to healthcare, housing and entitlements that are on the horizon. Not to mention the impact that dramatically increased energy costs will have on the economic environment in which all these issues must be addressed.
I couldn't agree more emphatically with the statement that "The Fed's strategy in the face of the Great East Asian Deflation, then, was exactly upside down". However, if interest rates would have been raised and credit contracted leading to lower domestic wages, prices, and corporate cost structures why would there have been the incentive to ship our manufacturing base overseas which resulted in this precipitous Asian economic development?
Arrogance and stupidity allowed people to assume that manufacturing could be replaced by government spending and 'financial services' and as long as GDP grew God was in his heaven and all was right with the world. Using GDP numbers as a measure of economic prosperity can be highly misleading but as long as these numbers were telling us what we wanted to hear who was going to question them? Structural current account defictis should have given these masters of the universe a hint but somehow the lemmings kept marching to the sea.
Minyanville needs more articles like this one so that we might finally have an intellectually honest discussion regarding the merits of the gold standard and the limitations of Keynesian beliefs and the power of central banks.
Jesus, hoops, that's a significant rider. The 80 corridor really isn't an economic sparkplug these days.
GrandOldTurkey wrote:
first is sooooo over
It's my opinion that it may take awhile (quite?) to squeeze the juice out of this grape
Does residential destruction add to GDP? When they bulldoze a house, does the amount the bull dozer operator get paid count against residential investment, maybe as home improvement?
The grand prize is a resume and a cookie which may or may not still have a staple in it
Per my advertisement, D. Wernette of Hinsdale, Illinois made 10K following the advice of an attractive cougar in a cowboy hat.
Hoopajoops LTD wrote:
It's a field research assistant endowed by the NIH. They are looking for state elected officials, bureaucrats, and service employees of every stripe with any spinal column
doesn't pay much
Here are a few from Sacramento Craigslist:
Cheer/Cheerleading Manager for Large Youth Recreation Company
Swimming Pool Technician
Loan Modification Admin
Customer Service - DOG HOTEL
Casino Gaming Associate
Nerve stapling is an atrocity, volker. Do you wish to vote to suspend the UN Charter for this mission? I shall assemble the planetary council.
nail tech?
payday loan processor?
guy with a sign and a clown suit waving at traffic?
Markets 'Flashing Orange' But Investors Still Taking Chances - Yahoo! Finance
The fact that money market funds can suspend redemption probably isn't helping to keep money in. I have to imagine not all of those people pulling money out are turning around and throwing it at riskier investments.
EvilHenryPaulson, one of those jobs requires three years of cheerleading experience. Do you think working for wallstreet firms during the boom time counts? I think the experience is only relevant if we're doing our cheers at the edge of a great precipice...
Hoopajoops LTD wrote:
I don't think they have what you need. Call TSA, get some of those full body scanners, then have the different departments cycle through
wait a minute, what are we paying you for?
How bout "Fry cook", Agoura.
2, 4, 6, 8,
Double-Dips
Taste Great!
Go Team America~
Welcome to Q3 '80.
Hoopajoops LTD wrote:
I think your CR time counts.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Fook Ya'!
"intellectually honest discussion regarding the merits of the gold standard and the limitations of Keynesian beliefs"
fiat money "POW'
fractional reserve banking "BAM"
eternal store of exchange value "ZAP"
broward wrote:
I agree! Hoops has been laying it on a little thick
Hoopajoops
If you just care about the experience, and are interested then there are some NGOs you could try like the Red Cross or the International Rescue Committee or some UN/IMF/World Bank Agency
Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:
Ya', I almost "snipped" that part. But the rest was good!
Rob Dawg wrote:
For the first time in 3 to 4 months, I got zero job calls or emails today so far.
Ominous given that we're at the start of a new year / new budgets.
Pigged...
Rob Dawg wrote:
Turns out short term municipal operating costs are "investment" too. Screw the law, it is what they say it is.
How are they any different from any other city town or school board bond---or RAN (revenue anticipation note)...?
How is that categorically worse than those municipal lease-backs....?.
Hiffington Post which overall is liberal blog...but not always
(consider the butt kicking Huff Po has been giving obama over the very issues we hammer the prez about over here)
....so guess who they just hired as and editor
i promise you will forgive my OT post
http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/files/2010/01/Simon-Johnson.pdf
i deserve a red hat for this...uh...
can ya make mine blue?
... ah... not any more...maybe purple would be more appropriate
mock turtle wrote:
REAL liberals are ranking on the Prez because he's not liberal enough. That doesn't make them conservatives by any means.
Cinco-X
good point...i stand corrected!
My wife, who is ethnically Chinese, heard that the US was pulling out of manned space exploration (or some such, I really wasn't listening that closely), and she said to me, "You guys are crazy if you leave space to the Chinese".
While perhaps fiscally minor, I find this decision of the government to back out of manned space exploration to be sociologically telling. It is a symptom of cultural change, a kind of social aging (not maturation).
I think there is a phase transition coming. - socially, politically, culturally. Is the end at hand? One should say perhaps that one thing is ending, another beginning.
Please note: There are probably military space programs which are not accounted for in any public overview.
RealClearMarkets - Before Spending More, Spend Better
broward wrote:
All that remains is for me to pretend modesty when everyone remembers my inevitability call of a double dip.
Seriously, the recovery is going to suck near as much as the recession because this time we find ourselves with dead consumers walking. They may be alive long enough to be rescued but too many drank sea water to get here.
the new twist for the second dip though is the now proven lack of loan demand, which undercuts Bernanke's entire perception of the matter
Is that what that salty taste was? Crap.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Those that are underemployed but still have technical skills should probably take on side projects that you can call consulting or entrepreneurship. It'll pay off in the long run when the job market does turn around. These folks might even be able to turn it into some cash flow.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Might suck worse.
There's an underlying paranoia and hatred that's rarely discussed and I suspect it's grown larger.
The hate mob that piled on Casey Serin reminded me of the French Revolution stories. Their sheer hatred and persistent hounding were so far out of proportion to personal consequences from Casey. I've seen it in other areas since. I can't believe they're still after him. They've full hate and spite, deeply deeply sick.
Germany, here we come.
Cinco-X wrote:
Why do you think this "turns around"?
The Hoopajoops gameshow: Name some interesting field and I will blindly submit a resume, if it is in the greater Sacramento area. Considering renting a stall at farmers markets in upscale neighborhoods and handing out cookies with a resume stapled to them.
How about dressing up as Lady Liberty and waving at cars in front of an income tax preparer's office? That should tide you over until mid April.
Cinco-X referenced this
By Robert Samuelson
"By now, it ought to be obvious why President Obama has wanted his health-care overhaul passed quickly. It would be (and now will be) inconvenient to promote expanded government health spending while simultaneously pledging to rein in future budget deficits..."
the health care reform bill would have saved medicare expenditures via a number of cost cutting and fraud reduction measures
(including death panels and killing grandma) ok snarks up
Side-by-Side Comparison of Major Health Care Reform Proposals - Kaiser Family Foundation
I think there's a way for Obama to increase U.S. exports and solve diplomatic problems at the same time.
Offer to sell missiles to Taiwan.
Offer to sell a missile shield to China.
For this to work and not rattle the markets, both offers have to be made at the same time.
Offer to sell missiles to Taiwan.
Offer to sell a missile shield to China.
Ok, these are things I can get behind. Submitting a resume to both parties now. I'll tell each one that they have to beat the other's offer.
*Offer to sell missiles to Taiwan.
Offer to sell a missile shield to China.
For this to work and not rattle the markets, both offers have to be made at the same time. *
Very clever. Is that why they say: Too clever by half?
rich wrote:
Yes! Sell the problem and solution at the same time, like Microsoft does with Windows Anti-virus.
re: Local government job cuts
Granted Mish was making a separate point, but he lists quite a few job cuts @ Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Massive Layoffs Coming in NYC, Nevada, California, Colorado, Arizona, Everywhere
The idea I want to roll around in my head is if every job loss is equal, and if not what are the differentiating factors and the resulting outcomes.
Like losing a $100k job is a bigger loss ceteris paribus than a $30k job, but maybe that $100k job was insecure/volatile and the loss of a $30k job has a larger impact because they could/would/did leverage up due to their income stability. Then there is benefits, and the trust that they will be there to payout far into the future. What if it's in a growing or contracting sector, is there room for advancement, what is the balance of employers to employees (a lot of opportunities, a few niche opportunities, etc)
Hoops,
since money is not an issue, why not abandon Sacramento and head for Thailand? You could do volunteer work with kids, rehab with elephants or map and rehab temples...and get a nice tan and meet the folks.
Starfish Volunteers Thailand - Rewarding Volunteer Work and Volunteer Travel in Thailand
What's Taiwan going to do with the missiles? Point them at Taiwanese-owned factories in China?
Mr Slippery wrote:
Didn't they farm out Virus production to China and the old Eastern Bloc?
fried wrote:
Good question.
he longer I sit here, the easier it gets but that's because I have a stocked refrigerator.
But Hoops, you should be getting hungry by now.
I suspect that your references to "farmer's market" and "cookies" were subliminal signals.
broward wrote:
While I agree with the tenor I disagree with the specifics. Supposedly Casey's parent's house in on the auction block today. There's a reason we as a society look askance at people so bereft of moral compass that they abuse their own family. Likewise I live down the hill from what was once Countrywide. Casey remains the face their failure.
As to Germany, no. We sacrificed too many to fix that embarrassment of history to repeat it ourselves.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Straight to God's ear, please.
EHP regardin "proven lack of loan demand"
ya know i read mish's commentary
and then went to the federal reserve report
and the numbers supporting mish's case were not that strong
more than 50% of banks in three categories...s,m,l reported constant demand
dont challenge me to a bet, yet,..cause.i'd have to check before i 'd ..fade that...
Cinco-X wrote:
What the FF is a REAL liberal? A real conservative? What are you?
What was TR? What was FDR? What was RR?
Today's conservatives are really conservative, eh....must be why SCOTUS's conservative wing killed 107 years of precedent & common sense....
Cinco-X wrote:
The ones from China are real, only the Norton and McAffee viruses are outsourced
/mostly snark
Rob Dawg wrote:
The sheer hatred directed at Casey is sick. Do you see the same hatred and hounding of Bernanke or Greenspan or Paulson, who easily caused far more damage? He's the scapegoat for the accumulated anger against the real problem because he's defenseless and easily accessible.
It's far out of proportion because it belongs somewhere else.
MLM wrote:
I don't know about God but for what it's worth: Not on my watch. Ever.
dr munch wrote:
Is it me, or does she look like a witch?
Rob Dawg wrote:
Wasn't this the guy that was on some TV news magazine and while interviewing, basically admitted to the commission of fraud? It's hard to feel too bad for him, even while it seems that "everyone else was doing it too". The rest of them should go to jail too-
Johann Hari: This corruption in Washington is smothering America's future -
Johann Hari, Commentators - The Independent
Mr Slippery wrote:
DOH! Should;a known
That's why I use Grisoft-
The guy in my advert picked 92 out of 100 stock winners, so why does he need me?
He just wants to help you JD
hmmm
the barbarous, patricious, and pedestrious all did well today
but not so much the equestrious (hi ho silver)...have we named them all
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
I think a $100k job loss is a bigger hit to the economy than a $30k job. There may be some small levering difference based on perceived stability, but nothing to make up that big an income difference. A government job loss should be less of a hit than the same paying private job loss because the government job also contains a drag component on the productive economy, though many gov jobs are necessary and important.
mock turtle
this lack of loan demand is something I have been on top of for a while now
I didn't read what Mish wrote on it, but trust me that it's the truth and it's not just the USA
as for constant demand, you have to look over multiple surveys not just the QoQ
basically in an era of contracting credit, the only loans that provide positive returns are ones that steal market share as the market/demand as a whole must be contracting along with effective money supply. If they're stealing market share, they're probably making other loans go bad which further contracts credit. the reason why credit is contracting is that previously apparent capital appreciation was paying the bills, but once asset prices tried to stay at a permanently high plateau there was nothing to pay the interest, and there are limits on budgets (eg in the long run, housing cannot consume over 100% of income)
pavel.chichikov wrote:
I don't know. The government doesn't build planes; companies build planes to gov't specs. If private industry becomes the prime contractor for space programs instead of the gov't, I imagine the gov't will be influencing the development in the direction it wants soon enough. And there will be "special' craft under direct gov't control.
In some ways, the space ops portion of NASA is a dated entitlement program. What you don't want, of course, is a private space travel contractor essentially becoming an outlaw part of the gov't and controlling the program far beyond propriety. Think the Blackwater of space travel.
Mr Slippery wrote:
not when bond issuance is paying for it -- without crowding out the private market -- instead of taxes
Mr Slippery wrote:
Prediction: the government job hits will turn out to be more impactful on a dollar for dollar basis
In looking back on 2009, we saw the nominal GDP start out the 1st quarter at a negative 6.4% decrease, then turn around to a positive .7% increase in the 2nd quarter, with 2.2% increase in the 3rd, and a whopping 5.7% increase initially reported for the 4th. The trend is your friend, right? A few threads back, 1 currency now-yogi posted the CPI for the last quarter and for the year. I didn't realize that the CPI was so high for the year and was clocked doing a rate of 2.7% for the YEAR after a CPI for all of 2008 of only .1%. Gasoline was the big killer with it up 53.5%. So, subtracting the CPI for the year from the nominal GDP for the year, real GDP fell 2.4% for all of 2009. What appears to be happening is the SOS that caused the problems 2 years ago, energy prices. If we get the anticipated QE this year like the government has said, what happens to oil and gasoline prices, the CPI, interest rates, and ability to service debt and also consume for our fellow Americans with a negative rate of increase in wages and sticky and high unemployment?
Seriously, the recovery is going to suck near as much as the recession because this time we find ourselves with dead consumers walking
Consumers are gonna drag the retailers down with them.
"My first attempt as a haggler saved me almost 15 bucks and placed me at the center of "the biggest sea change of consumer behavior since the end of the Second World War," as Nancy Koehn, a Harvard Business School retail historian, calls it. In a country that has long shunned haggling outside of car dealerships and mattress stores, my behavior may have once appeared unseemly, even crass. That is, until the Great Recession. Firms are desperate for revenue, Americans are feeling broke, and the aisles from Best Buy to Macy's and even your neighborhood Giant -- as well as the 1-800 numbers at Comcast and Verizon -- have become venues for let's-make-a-deal.
A recent Consumer Reports study found that 66 percent of American consumers had haggled at least once in the preceding six months, with an 88 percent ka-ching rate on gadgets, clothes, furniture and steak. "People like this," Koehn said. "They are not going to go back to giving their money away. Why would they?"
...
"These flowers look a day old -- can I get a discount?" I asked the employee. Three bucks off. It felt fantastic.
Feeling good, according to Koehn, the Harvard retail expert, is what could make this behavior last beyond the economic recovery. Consumers want to feel powerful, she said, to exact revenge on Wall Street for crushing the value of their homes. "This is Rocky running up the Philadelphia museum steps," she said.
In tough economic times, shoppers take haggling to new heights - washingtonpost.com
broward wrote:
With Casey nobody's political ox is being gore. It made him a much easier target than the others whose actions might be considered treasonous.
I'd like to see Rocky Balboa go 12 rounds with haggler.
MLM wrote:
Germany looked egalitarian, too, until the hard decisions were forced.
There's not anything close to a consensus towards fixing problems, as demonstrated by the Federal and State deficits.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
The bond payments still have to come out of taxes if we are talking municipal bonds, and not treasuries. Even with treasuries, there will be a reckoning day from either taxes or inflation.
Bob Dobbs wrote:
The whole story may be a bit different than "the retreat from space," I truly hope that is the case. Time will tell, but the Constellation program appeared to have the defects the Apollo program did - not focused on building the nuts and bolts infrastructure necessary to become a spacefaring species - with the key issue of reducing the cost per pound to orbit. If that is truly becomes the new focus (rather than abandoning space to the Chinese) then some good will come of this.
energyecon wrote:
What is your rationale?
broward wrote:
Note how I went to efforts on my blog and elsewhere to defuse emotions when the mob transitioned from justice to vengeance.
Thing is Casey and Mozillo and all the rest by their very continued freedom constitute a multiplying moral hazard.
I think that's the essence of the
case. Roubini et al don't really understand the anxiety at the root of markets like these. Maybe they should buy a copy of that Jung book that just came out.
Mr Slippery wrote:
Yes, well Ricardian equivalence has not held up in practice during the past few decades precisely because there has been no pushback. There's been more than a generation of issuing debt with no expectation that outlays to revenues must balance around zero in the long run.
sportsfan wrote:
Plenty of other targets - CEOs, Tom Vu, that NAR spokesman, realtors, etc.
It's easy to find excuses to burn people, isn't it?
EvilHenryPaulson
your reputation for good analysis is well known
i guess ill bet with you on this one!
I'd like to see Rocky Balboa go 12 rounds with haggler.
marvelous!
In all likelihood, we were the Spain of space travel in the new world above us.
Our contemporaries the Portuguese (Russia) kept it up for awhile, until they fell by the wayside.
Oh no you didn't...
broward wrote:
For some it's virtually second nature. For others, there has to be solid reasoning and supporting facts.
Mr Slippery wrote:
Bookmark and lets see what the coming round of state and municipal cuts brings. The framework required for Adam Smith to work is a function of government, not it's absence.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
The federal deficit is made up with more issuance, which adds to the percentage of GDP consumed by interest. I don't believe in free lunches, even for the mighty USA.
Mr Slippery wrote:
I would say that there are a few factors.
Government jobs don't compete for private market demand.
They're stable, have benefits, which should result in a lower savings rate.
They are often a large employer in specific regions providing the net positive cashflow to sustain much larger ecosystems of employment
The people who would be laid off are likely to be unemployed for a longer period of time, or at least cause the duration of unemployment on net to be greater. Even if a teacher takes a Wall Mart greeter job, it'll bump someone else in a very broad/general skillset. It's unlikely that they have the switch from government job to export oriented manufacturing.
The government job stability/benefits often enables a spouse to pursue a riskier career, as in a private job market subsidy transmitted through the household
A lot, or all, of these things apply to something like a Verizon head office, or credit card processors in North Dakota, or other anchor employers.
energyecon wrote:
Your conclusion presumes that current staffing and pay levels in government are necessary for functioning.
Were municipalities to announce police and fire department hiring at half current pay levels I can guarantee that they would still receive many multiples of qualified applicants for every opening.
Bob Dobbs wrote:
What's the point of humanity if it isn't to explore strange new worlds, to seek out new life forms and new civilizations, to boldly go where no man has gone before?
Don't ever underestimate the will to succeed of first generation immigrants from Vietnam.
energyecon wrote:
I wasn't arguing that less government is always better, only that an equivalent private sector job, lets say accounting, does not have to be paid for with taxes. If core services like police, fire, and road service are cut beyond maintenance, then everyone suffers.
Mr Slippery
Have you seen interest rates lately? What is the sensitivity/elasticity to increased issuance -- especially if quantitative easing is used
Yes, in the long run... but you're making assumptions of the long run. Like debt will be repaid.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Green slave women. [Don't look at me like that, you asked.]
People forget how bubbly things were at the peak in '91. Ah, nostalgia, the days before Greenspan wrecked the country...
All the USA is not Dawgifornia - time will tell
Rob Dawg wrote:
But but but... those are to be found by exploring strange new worlds!!!
,rad Dawgma wrote:
If we don't overpay the constabulary, some other municipality will.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Not when they're all in the same fiscal boat they won't.
p.s.: Sorry, was that banker bonus snark? Please icon as appropos.
let's get that pay level down so we can bribe our way out of the speeding ticket
I'm fairly certain starting pay for police here is just shy of 31K. Are you saying it would be a good idea to have our streets patrolled by people making 15K per year? Seriously? I don't see anything that can go wrong there...nosireebob....
Mr Slippery wrote:
Ah, thanks for clarification, though I suspect that the list of functions is longer than that - we will see.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
I think we are in a debt deflation, causing unusual demand for "risk free" government bonds. QE has not probably caught up with net credit destruction yet, though it has partially reinflated stocks, gold, and oil. Let's see what happens to Japan in the medium term.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Someone once suggested that hurricanes be named after men and then no storm would ever make it past the Virgin Islands.
FWIW, I see the so-called double-dip sort of like a James Bond movie.
What we've experienced to date is the opening action sequence -- fast, dramatic, etc. Then of course comes the credits, character intros, story setup, etc.
Now we're at the point where the action starts to pick up again. Not as quick and breathtaking as the opener, but overall much greater overall impact spread over a longer time span.
IOW, the recession was the opening act of the depression.
Oh and amazingly enough the wingnut crowd here thinks they make too much and are upset they have adopted a Union. They do get hospital and major medical as a benefit and if they take a five percent pay cut they can participate in the retirement fund. Woohoo.
I'm not advocating government spending here, I'm just talking about the analysis of the relative impact of one job loss to another.
One more government vs private factor is people can be locked into pensions, but draw upon 401ks more readily to supplement their income, at least for a while.
How widespread are requirements on credit history in the job market? I know legal, military, etc are not supposed to have walk-aways show up, but is there a meaningful divide between government (+contractor) and private employment on this issue? One might be more likely to cut their spending in order to maintain mortgage payments in that case, which would be worse than the opposite for the economy as on net that money is effectively dying instead of being spent again
energycon wrote "Time will tell, but the Constellation program appeared to have the defects the Apollo program did - not focused on building the nuts and bolts infrastructure necessary to become a spacefaring species - with the key issue of reducing the cost per pound to orbit."
Hmm. The Apollo program was amazingly successful at first doing pure research, then engineering the research into something practical, then testing the engineering, and finally deploying it. That, I would argue, is precisely the nuts and bolts of becoming a space-fairing species. Reducing cost to orbit is a fine and much needed efficiency, but I would say things like gimbaled motors, high specific impulse, material properties for acoustic pressure, computing power, highly reliable parts, transistors, etc were the biggies.
Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:
Ah, New Orleans pay scale...
Kristina, since it would be way too easy to pick a California municipality to mock, I'm going with West Vancouver:
Police Opportunities
Bennies, of course, would be in addition to that and whoa, what about that full retirement age?
Rob Dawg wrote:
Absolutely true. In my little hamlet, each Fire job receives 400-500 applicants, and this level applied BEFORE the 2008 melt down. I am pro-Fireman, but the compensation [in some places] is off the scale.
Mr Slippery
That's fine, but we were talking about all this in the context of what kinds of job cuts have a bigger impact on the economy. You said that government job cuts would have less of a negative impact on the economy, and to me that doesn't make as much sense as the alternative
Hi, guys.
I think if I see another raindrop, I'll scream. If this is the dry season, I dread
to see what the rainy season will be.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Yes, that's true now that you mention it.
I was thinking more about what happened after the flaming nexus left your blog.
It will be interesting to watch our society age just as relatively quick EMS responses begin to be less of an expected standard in bigger cities.
Hahahahahahahahahahah
Wait and see how slow response time gets when their pay gets cut in half...
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Aha, dead electron meme spreading.
Mr Slippery wrote:
It's not just the compensation, but mainly the, how-you-say, work conditions. Not a lot required for full time.
Where I live nobody gets hired for a fire job unless they're already halfway in the door through the standard nepotism and good ol' boy networks.
I wanna be a constable.
Duke wrote:
So why can't we build a Saturn V today? A lot of the engineering in the Apollo program was done and then thrown away. The Constellation program wasn't even going to match what Apollo and at a much higher price. In the '70s Nasawent from an engineering program to a jobs program.
It was a Monday i'm detective Friday, and I was doing bunco desk @ the blog when the call came in...
I can make nearly 60 large in BFE in the PNW being a copper~
Is there any other job in West Vancouver that starts out @ $57.267 per annum?
Because the citizens didn't want to spend the money.
Useless nasa, bad bad. Remember 2 or 3 moonlandings were cancelled.
Been there, done that.
Sigh.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
I got your points about how employable a laid off gov worker would be compared to the private sector worker and spousal risk taking. My point was simply that a government job (beyond basic necessities) must be paid for with taxes while a private sector job is not.
At this point in time, most lay offs have been from the private sector and the UEMPMED is in record territory. Even private sector folks are having a hard time as the economy tries to adjust. Sorry if I am belaboring the issue.
broward wrote:
Thank you. That nexus did not "leave" it was transitioned out at no small expense and effort. I want(ed) nothing to do with it.
Duke wrote:
We built a throwaway launch vehicle to beat Ivan to the moon, not an infrastructure for continued operations.
The spin-offs were nothing short of amazing, and IC and hence the computer revolution exist in large part because of the minaturization requirements for space travel. And the intestinal fortitude of the astronauts who operated these vehicles was also nothing short of amazing, particularly when the specs for the LEM are reviewed. But I watched the first lunar landing as an 8 year old almost 41 years ago...and we are almost done building the ISS. The launch technology has not progressed.
I have great admiration for what was accomplished then (and since) but we do you want to argue that we have been making establishing the necessary architecture to expand as a spacefaring species a priority?
Rob Dawg wrote:
Casey is meaningless, he's just nuts and thoroughly neutralized now.
Mozillo is a real problem because he's far more calculating and deliberate.
Duke wrote:
But nitrous oxide just isn't as cool as liquefied hydrogen slush as a propellant-
- As long as folks in the govt specify the technology, it'll always be expensive. The Military Industrialist Establishment wouldn't have it any other way.
black dog posted: "These flowers look a day old -- can I get a discount?" I asked the employee. Three bucks off. It felt fantastic.
Or if you're feeling especially ruthless and piratical, go to a Toyota dealership and ask for a test-drive. Then after you've been driving for a few minutes, slam down on the gas and start screaming. When you return to the dealership, ask for a discount.
Sebastian
Loan mod admin.
How COULD have known?
Rajesh wrote:
We should buy the heavy booster technology from Russia, and farm out production to the Japanese, who will reduce the cost and improve the reliability. At least they would have done that 15 years ago-
broward wrote:
The executive escort and the street whore. Same crime, different ends of one continuous spectrum.
TCA wrote:
Kenmore & Colvin?????
Whoa.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
You could make more than that standing on a street corner with a cup and a sign!
Cinco-X wrote:
Now they would just help the vehicle accelerate to lightspeed much faster...
energyecon wrote:
It's worth noting that the advent of the micro Processor was a response by Intel to a RFQ from a Japanese calculator manufacturer, IIRC.
Sebastian wrote:
Gotta get your

where ya can.
lawyerliz wrote:
of course you do
lawyerliz wrote:
Huh!?
MLM wrote:
LOL!
Mr Slippery wrote:
There's an apropos JMK quote just for you......
broward wrote:
he's a street guy, he'll roll over
Silver, equestrious, cool.
Cinco-X wrote:
If it is of any value as an anecdote; my teenaged girls two summers ago were disappointed that I wouldn't circle around so they could take pictures of the 'fishnet lady' on the street corner in West Vancouver.
TCA wrote:
Remember to put it on the resume as tax law consulting.
Rob Dawg wrote:
You could make more that $57 as a beggar; you could probably make more than $57k as a hooker-
FT.com / Mergermarket - Volcker rule unlikely to move forward in Senate, lawmakers say
Link from ****MADCAPMAN
Cinco-X wrote:
"I like Rockwell. It's really really neat. Its' got big green numbers and little rubber feet."
A tech trivia bit so obscure I'd be surprised even the internet has a reference.
Cinco-X wrote:
Sure the hours are flexible,but the benefits aren't so good.
Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:
But that can be true working for a small company too-
Hahahahahahah
Cinco-X wrote:
no kidding, two daughters
do they have blue eyes
volker the viking wrote:
Not a really good sequey there.
Cinco-X wrote:
But that won't create jobs in Utah (NASA's #1 design priority.)
Sounds very much like our drive-by of Newburgh, NY...
Liz is going in reverse again
tg wrote:
meds kicking in
Rob,
I sent you a message-
Humph.
Mr Slippery wrote:
I agree with everything you've said, but I feel the need to be sticky on this point. If they are issuing debt, and there isn't crowding out of the bond market -- there hasn't been to date -- then you pre-suppose that all debt is repaid at par. Since no one is acting like debt must be repaid, thus not raising taxes by necessary amounts, it is then incorrect to force what you consider a simple/logical relation on the system. If your assumptions were strong, then Madoff would have never happened.
volker the viking wrote:
No, just two teenaged daughters. More than that to deal with in this doomsted. Pray to the gods of University of California that senior pre-med courses are not reduced and local school districts don't increase bus fees.
I think the next thing will be Empire.
Late Republican Rome was a mess too.
So the Dems and Reps are re enacting on a national scale the mess in
California, and this is being noted more and more
Given how the Reps spent when they were in, why should we believe them now?
Seems like someone should remind the bozos in congress that there is such a
thing as the national interest.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Amazing how things change when you suspend the rules, isn't it?
lawyerliz wrote:
You might want to check out:
Political Economy of Monarchy and Democracy - Hans-Hermann Hoppe - Mises Institute
charles hugh smith-Welfare Nation: Addiction, Denial and Magical Thinking
lawyerliz wrote:
What?? Too many Republicans in the Senate?
Seriously, it's not just bad now, but getting worse.
F$@^% that. I want a space elevator. And pronto.
TCA wrote:
Bad news; your elevator is going the other direction
I have great admiration for what was accomplished then (and since) but we do you want to argue that we have been making establishing the necessary architecture to expand as a spacefaring species a priority?
Space travel is unlikely to be financially profitable for the foreseeable future. At least we can assume so. Eventually it may turn out to be inestimably important, but our financial horizons don't extend that far. You can't tell bookkeepers that something immensely important might be found, or needed, next year, or fifty or a hundred years from now.
The technology of manned space travel has been frozen, essentially, for almost forty years. I find it astonishing that we haven't gone beyond low orbit for that length of time.
We're financially strapped, but I don't think we're desperate enough to risk a space program.
pavel.chichikov wrote:
Tell Richard Branson and Elron Musk that.
Capital Journal: Budget Deficit Threatens National Security - WSJ.com
it's a national security problem my buckoos! WSJ has spoken
"These two categories will not increase significantly until the number of excess housing units is reduced"
Bulldozing.
It's not just for sleeping cattle anymore.
tg wrote:
Nice link-
TCA wrote:
The butterflies disagree. [A. C. Clarke]
I can continue to hope California can annex Baja and build a Linear Accelerator for low earth orbit bulk material.
Checkmate. Game over.
Now, we wait.
energyecon wrote:
The old-line aerospace firms don't want space to be cheap. They make too much money per launch now. Oh, sure, eventually demand would ramp up in response to the new cheapness and business would be better than before. But there'd be a five-plus year period in there where they'd be making a lot less money on space. And what publicly-traded corporation wants to do that in this enlightened day and age?
I had a Lockheed guy tell me that straight out.
Edit -- there were cheaper-per-pound space systems on the drawing board ten years ago at the major aerospace firms. Single- or two-stage to orbit reusables. There was a nascent private space boom in the '90s, and the feds threw some money at Lockheed for an SSTO project -- it was Newt Gingrich's hobby project. But Lockheed blew threw the money on new tech that didn't work rather than using proven, the usual $$$ extension wasn't given, Newt was gone, and everybody went back to business as usual. Boeing had their own project on the drawing boards if it looked like they'd have to go in that direction. But in the end, they didn't have to.
Tell Richard Branson and Elron Musk that.
Low orbit.
Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:
That must be why WSJ.com railed against tax cuts for the rich that were never paid for or wars of discretion that were never paid for or Medicare drug plans that not only were never paid for but which required buying the highest priced drugs.
Oh, wait. I don't think that was WSJ.com. Probably some off the wall site like TheHuffingtonPost.com
broward wrote:
People get angry and start looking for somebody to blame, forgetting that the wheels of justice turn slowly.
He should also be easily prosecutable, as he has documented his fraud well in his blogs and videos. However, he is nowhere near a big fish in the mortgage fraud department. People are angry that it seems like nobody is being prosecuted, so they need an example that something is being done. Should have been able to get a plea deal out of Casey and shown the willingness to go after fraud.
mp wrote:
Wall Street soooo totally owns DC. Sigh.
Bob Dobbs wrote:
A those in govt are in lockstep with them. Nobody in DOD or NASA wants to be in the equivalent of a program making steam locomotives, unless of course they're powered by nuclear fission. It wouldn't look good on their resume. That's why I mentioned liquefied hydrogen slush above. While some rogues in NASA were arguing for cheaper boosters, the brass wanted an even more expensive solutions with lots of technical challenges to enhance their resumes.
Bob Dobbs wrote:
My old employer bid and lost the contract for the space shuttle engine coving for Enterprise atmospheric testing. The price was 1/10th the winning bid but because he couldn't also afford to teach NASA enough to understand the structure some place called Rockwell got the job.
Elron Musk, sounds like a name a Dan Ackroyd character would use
I read a fair piece of that Hoppe thing.
I must point out that Kings and nobles often did NOT act in their own logical
self interest.
Disastrous wars and overspending are nothing new.
FT.com / Mergermarket - Volcker rule unlikely to move forward in Senate, lawmakers say
Senate Banking Committee ranking member Richard Shelby (R-AL) said he opposes the so-called Volcker rule and the Obama administration’s call to levy a USD 90bn tax on banks.
[Sen] Warner said he is proposing that US banks set up a USD 1trn fund to invest in US infrastructure projects as a way to avoid the USD 90bn bank levy. A staffer said that Warner is not calling for the banks to place USD 1trn in cash, but to raise such an amount through leverage.
Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:
Modine Guntz
The constitution is not supposed to be a suicide pact, except
now it seems to be going that way.
Going the Heinlein route, eh? Certainly more practical, but not as sexy as some cable disappearing into the ionosphere.
Rajesh wrote:
That craft goes to 100km and then descends, not really what I would call space travel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kármán_line
It's an achievement to be sure, but it doesn't come near to what Gagarin did 50 years ago
lawyerliz wrote:
How so? The rights come from God.
REBear wrote:
Warner for President! Warner for President! Of @#$% Crazytown!!!!
lawyerliz wrote:
The People decide what the Constitution is or is not>
TCA wrote:
Doesn't that approach have an issue with charge build-up, or is that a "feature"?
Historians in the future will be hard-pressed to find any particulars in regards to the Volcker Rule, as there were none.
Rajesh wrote:
That's the bad news. What's the good news?
O should realize that he'll get NOTHING through compromise, and
just start making blood sweat and tears speeches.
Reps vote against stuff THEY proposed, just because the Dems and
O want it.
Just how much contempt do they want to endure?
(Which is not to say that an idea is good or not.)
Rajesh wrote:
Actually, no.
TCA wrote:
My buckytube cable will need to be lowered from my station to my ground facility.
The Jive Economy - Clusterfuck Nation
Tea boogers r us
Rajesh wrote:
And since we took the trouble to write it down and then vote on the fucker means it is what it is. Beware fucking with it. It has proven sufficient so far.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
By international convention 100 km is the limit for low orbit. Passengers on Virgin Galactic get Astronaut wings. They are also trying to sell it as a platform for launching satellites (unmanned) to low orbit very cheaply.
tg quoted:
So sad, but oh so true.
tg wrote:
It's funny how you can substitute "Tea Bagger" with "Progressive", and the sentence makes just as much sense.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Just use Baye's theorem and construct what it is by knowing what it is not -- after all that is the manner in which it was conceived. It's exactly a defence of banks, and is meant to cut off talk along the lines of TBTF. You can't trust Volcker to think as anything but a banker, looking out for the world he knew. It reminds me of the dividing generations among organized crime. Each successive generation pushes the envelope a little more, forgets a bit more about honour. Yet the old gangsters believe that if honour were simply restored there would be no problem, but they can't conceive that the old system was only sustainable with the secular decline of honour. That without ongoing growth the whole system could not support it's present, let alone its past.
Anyways, forcing hedge funds to use a single broker really tells the whole story. It's not about changing a single action, or preventing any systemic risk, it just changes the the structure in how it all happens.
I must point out that Kings and nobles often did NOT act in their own logical
self interest.
Liz, that's not only kings and nobles you're describing. It's the species.
volker the viking wrote:
FWIW, the SCOTUS is given the power to interpret the Constitution and decide what it means, whether some of the people like their decisions or not.
Cinco-X wrote:
or acornistas
Cinco-X wrote:
I'm okay with them so far. We shall see what we shall see.
*an incoherent agenda based on ideas like "keeping the government out of Medicare!" *
Ice cream cones grow on the Ice Cream Cone Tree. Harvest in winter and freeze.
volker the viking wrote:
But many are not; I'm still waiting to see what the fallout from their most recent high profile decision will be. If it helps negate the influence of Georger Soros et al, then good. If it puts our govt completely up for sale, assuming that is not the de facto situation right now, then perhaps not so good.
Rajesh wrote:
It would also work for getting satellites to high orbit if scaled appropriately. When you get to low orbit, you release the third stage engine and payload, which continues to high orbit.
Cinco-X wrote:
I thought the SCOTUS took for itself the power to interpret the Constitution and decide what it means. No snark.
pavel.chichikov wrote:
Hey you broke the cease fire on the gw thingy
Cinco-X wrote:
Teabaggers are the exact opposite of Progressive. They're conservatives to the point of being Neaderthals.
Mr Slippery wrote:
I thought it was implied, and since the other branches agreed, it's been a done deal ever since-
Do you recall which decision led to that? It's all gettin' fuzzy now....
Hey you broke the cease fire on the gw thingy
What's that?
tg wrote:
Did someone mention GWA?!?!?!?!?!
Oh, I get it.
tg wrote:
So basically this article can be boiled down to:
I hate Obama and his Wall Street friends!
I hate Republicans because I'm so inherently superior to those ignorant "mudskippers"!
Now I'm going to scream!!!
Is this like an Ivy League version of a populist rant? Usually populist rants don't get into describing the populace as uneducated yeast people.
sportsfan wrote:
It's funny how you can substitute "conservatives" with "liberals" and the sentence makes just as much sense.
pavel.chichikov wrote:
Something about not mentioning that the sitting Chair of IPCC just published a smut (bodice ripper) novel.
Cinco-X wrote:
could be, I'm watching that one too
this horse opera is going to play out over the next few years
relax get some
and some
and do like my wife did on her wedding night
volker the viking wrote:
No, the rights come from "We, the people.."
Blackhalo wrote:
you're wrong
Cinco-X wrote:
Marbury v. Madison was the first time the Supreme Court declared something "unconstitutional," and established the concept of judicial review in the U.S. (the idea that courts may oversee and nullify the actions of another branch of government). The landmark decision helped define the "checks and balances" of the American form of government.
Marbury v. Madison - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Non-Euclidean economics.
No, TJ. you can't just substitue "liberals" for "conservatives" and have it make any sense.
There is nothing liberal about teabaggers. They're as conservative as a group gets in the U.S.
They are just dumber than most conservatives and louder than most, but they are the logical extension of conservative thought, which is backward in nature, regressive in an evolutionary sense.
The utimate end of conservative thought is Neanderthal thought.
sportsfan wrote:
bullshit
Oxtail wrote:
Plus he has got a link to his new ebook but I need to get less cynical. His point of telling the truth is the main message. We are broke we cannot afford all this shit. Let's get on with what we can afford what we need and what we have the compassion for. We need a middle ground
Mr Slippery wrote:
Right! And didn't Madison essentially set that one up for them, as in set up a pick so they could slam dunk it? Maybe that wasn't his intent, but......it important to consider the unintended consequences of your decisions. And in any event, it's served our nation well for ~200 years.
sportsfan wrote:
No. It's stasis.
Got Tea? I wonder if it is from China?
tg wrote:
please provide a list of who must die
tg wrote:
With apologies to James Carville, "It's the spending, stupid"
A lot of people who go to Ivy League schools are just innocent nerds or token minorities. There can only be so many college age top 0.01%ers
Ice cream I scream, on any sundae.
burnside wrote:
Now back to our bipartisan bickering-
sportsfan wrote:
I advocate absolutely no position but I have two observations that need to be heard. Progressive is a label that some liberals adopt because they think it is more acceptable. There is no difference twixt liberal and progressive excepting historical baggage. Second, Neanderthal is absolutely in a different class of appellation. Conservative has had enduring meaning for more than a century but that meaning has also spanned the creation of the national parks and EPA. Conservatives have successfully resisted any number of specific attacks unlike the Republican Party. it is unfair to conflate those two.
I'm comfortable with my 99.9% lot in life.
Cinco-X wrote:
. . . or we could just let you do your all-day-long Obama bashing with conservative tripe.
Can I sorta kinda post somthing that's almost on topic?
THE PRAGMATIC CAPITALIST » » AN INTERVIEW WITH A CHINESE REAL ESTATE INSIDER
Thanks.
Obama implodes!
Cinco-X wrote:
Not really, Cinco. He's describing the 'reactionary' impulse. Which becomes more visible in troubled times. It knows no current party affiliation.
Oops, maybe TARP wasn't such a good idea after all...
Neil Barofksy's Latest Musing On TARP - Dealbreaker - A Wall Street Tabloid - Business News Headlines and Financial Gossip
I hesitate to post this because I don't want to get into a political pissing contest. However, this is an excellent read on true believers of all flavours. He concentrates on the religious right because they are the best current example, but one could substitute godless Bolshevicks just as easily.
The Authoritarians
volker the viking wrote:
burnside wrote:
Okay-
sportsfan wrote:
Sure you can -- the far left is every bit as looney tunes as the far right.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Thank God for the centrists in the Senate that keep people like BB off the streets.
sm_landlord
thanks, great link!
+1 must read
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Not if you listen to the MSM.
greenchutes wrote:
Hear hear! At least there's one thing we can all agree on.
What's especially abhorrent to me about Faux news is the clown in charge, the embodiment of his audience physically, a man with no neck calling the shots...
tg wrote:
there will be a draft
book it
FHA and Fannie: Pushing Foreclosure Sales - CNBC
Even some at CNBC are starting to question the government's housing incentive programs.
Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:
A few of points;
From the link:
ghostfaceinvestah wrote:
Diana Olick is pretty sensible. Now if Larry Kudlow had written that, I would be very surprised...
CNBC:
CNBC Investing Rule 1: if you get behind, double down.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34941333
It is becoming rather obvious with failure after failure government meddling can not stop the insanity it help make.
Well at the very least there are a few things the republicans & democrats can surely agree upon:
The government we have is shit & too big
The financial system where lenders run everything is a hopeless mess
Special interests are ruining the country at will
We surely can agree on how to fix all but #1
Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:
TIFIFY
Think I'll go clean the garage.
Later
Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:
it would be nice to have a play book of governments that succeeded in fixing what the banksters fucked up anytime since Diocletian
volker the viking wrote:
It would be even nicer if they would stop making those mistakes to begin with-
Before we had the consumer driven economy, I think Government did help a little by buying stuff. Now they just order out for Chinese.
Cinco-X wrote:
Santayana.
Cinco-X wrote:
somebody stop me
volker the viking wrote:
From........?
Satyagraha
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
I cede the field.
burnside wrote:
you should
fine.
burnside wrote:
good show
volker the viking wrote:
no one should be alone, on a palindrome day of all days (01/02/2010)
broward wrote:
kid buck started a new job last month. His first assignment was to cull 8 likely prospects from a stack of 400 resumes. It was only a mid level warehouse job, but I put on top of the stack 2 lawyers, 2 electrical engineers, a couple of computer scientists, (one each with PHDs) a few MBAs, and a few business types with 10 or more years solid business management experience. My new boss read my selections and said, "What am I going to do with these? They're all nuts." He turned the pile over and selected a bunch of young guys with little relevant work experience.
His next comment was, "I get them cheap and can train 'em."
It's how he got me.