Friend of ours just left. He will close his business in June. Just no business. He laid off 1/2 his work force about 6 months ago. He has been in business for over 10 yrs. TV repair, warnentee work, VCRs. sound systems.
He is a hard worker. His employees are hard working, honest and good people.
Blackhalo, I think the idea of supporting asset prices by restricting supply in some areas (by modifications), and boosting demand with the FTHB tax credit, low mortgage rates, and loose lending (FHA) is flawed. I'd think the Fed (and other regulators) would see the bidding wars in some areas - and high inventory in others - as a signal that something is wrong with policy / regulations. But apparently not ...
Issa, in a letter to his committee's chairman, Ed Towns (D-N.Y.), asked for a similar subpoena and even specified exactly which documents he wants: Those tagged electronically as "sb-aig-01000092 to sb-aig-010000125" and "Draft Memo on AIG.pdf."
Does it even matter anymore? WHORES all of them. Anyone that can't see that by now needs to be cleansed from the gene pool because it is wayyyyyyy too polluted.
And the MSM will conveniently forget who pushed hard for deregulation of the banks. St. Ronnie won't get brought up nor will Phil Gramm and his whore wife.
And then return to a "Business as Usual" growth paradigm-unlimited growth in a finite system?
Does anyone see something wrong with this analysis?
Inquiring minds want to know---
I have to assume that what the Court decides is good law
You mean what Anthony Kennedy decides. The current ideological divide is quite remarkable (in a train-wreck sort of a way), with Kennedy almost always the swing vote. Unfortunately, Justice Stevens is 90 and there's no shot in hell that anyone of his political bent gets even an iota of consideration.
"Richard Behney, an Indiana Tea Party activist and candidate for the Republican nomination for Senate against Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh, made a striking pronouncement at a meeting late last year of the "Evansville 2nd Amendment Patriots": That if new people don't get elected to Congress in 2010, he'll be getting out his guns to face down the American government...
"I believe personally, we're at a crossroads. We have one last opportunity. And I believe 2010 is it. All right? And we can do it with our vote. And we can get new faces in, whether it's my face or not, I pray to God that I see new faces. And if we don't see new faces, I'm cleaning my guns and getting ready for the big show. And I'm serious about that, and I bet you are, too. But I know none of us want to go that far yet, and we can do it with our vote."
It is a huge gift to the (R) in November as they can now run on an anti-banker platform, without actually being anti-banker.
LoL! It would work, if they were smart. But the people who run the Republican party are incapable of campaigning against a banking oligopoly. And, as you point out, it doesn't matter anyway. What we need is not more Republicans, or more Democrats, but more independent and tough representatives who are ready to take down a couple of big banks and the bankers who run them, for a start.
> Last year, 47 percent of U.S. homebuyers were first-timers. In Columbus [Ohio], the figure was even higher: 51 percent of homes were sold to people who had never owned one, according to a study commissioned by the Ohio Association of Realtors.
By comparison, in 2003 -- the last year for which such a study was done -- 38 percent of homebuyers were first-timers.
The disproportionate number of first-time buyers helped keep sales prices down. The average price of a home sold in central Ohio last year was $159,840. That was the lowest figure since 2002 and well below the peak of $179,046 in 2006.
So if law abiding citizens just shoot these imbeciles will anybody care? I could really use some target practice (moving type). I saw a great bumper sticker today it read: "Sniper, don't bother running you'll just die tired"...hahahahahaha
the democrats are a bunch of stupid boot licking b tards for voting for tarp, fall of 08 and not letting this giant meteoritic casino banking turd leave a big deep heaping smoldering stinking hole in the earth on the repubs watch
now the dems will pay in full for whoring for the banks
Ahhahaha adornosghost. I was told by a coworker to never let anyone know that I was not a Christian at my job. Of course I have, just to twist their little panties in a bunch. One was babbling about what someone's "Christian" name was the other day. I asked what that meant. She was flummoxed.
dont mis quote me....the NSA is watching and i would never say that
the quote you attached to me was made by a tea party candidate for senate in indianna
"I'm cleaning my guns and getting ready for the big show. And I'm serious about that, and I bet you are, too.", Richard Beheny, announced candidate for US senate
St. Ronnie won't get brought up nor will Phil Gramm and his whore wife.
You are right. The problem is that not enough people can see that one political party has the good people and the truths, and the other does not. On most economic and financial issues, the same party is right, and the other is wrong. What each of us needs to do is become more loyal to that party, and quit making up our own minds, and quite disagreeing about equally with both parties.
Not much to agree or disagree with regarding the Republicans. I mean, obstructionism isn't exactly a platform. These "people" have practically no ideas, beyond those that will get them re-elected so that they can give them and their ilk a tax cut.
The earliest baby boomers turn 64. A whole new category of inventory is about hit the market.
I've been looking at the retirement stats. In 2012, SS retirements were expected to start really ramping up. But in 2009 they nearly hit the level originally projected for 2012. The beginning of the baby boomer retirement wave has already begun. It will become ever more interesting over the next 10 years. A whole new dynamic we haven't seen for the last 50 years, or ever, really.
Borders, which has been under a cloud of speculation about its long-term financial stability, has struggled to improve sales in a difficult market for book retailing. It has posted disappointing results amid price pressure from big-box retailers like Wal-Mart and competition from online booksellers like Amazon.
The company announced that sales fell nearly 14 percent over the 11-week holiday period ended Jan. 16, compared with the period a year earlier. By comparison, Barnes & Noble, the country’s largest bookstore chain, said that holiday sales fell 5 percent during a nine-week period ended Jan. 2.
That's gotta sting. Personally, I used to be buying in Borders every couple weeks. I am now a net seller of books!
Note to kcoop, any chance of having the red hat tip work in the preview?
I thought in return for the pain we had all learned some lessons. I was naïve. Congress will probably stay in the
pocket of the fi nancial world, and few useful changes will be made. Investors, traditionally reluctant to burn their
fi ngers badly twice in a generation, line up to buy risk and bid down spreads as if eager to suffer for a third time in a
decade. Scientists believe that some wild animals that are threatened constantly by predators quickly forget the worst
episodes lest they become so completely traumatized that they dare not return to nibbling grass.
In case anyone is interested, near Flagstaff where my brother lives they had 4 feet of snow dumped in one day (I think that's what he said) and are expecting another 8" tomorrow.
This in a state already so stretched they had to sell their capital building, among others.
I imagine the plowing costs are going to be very difficult for their budget.
In our locale, in order to meet budget, one of the considerations is to cut out all high school busing service, among other things. They are really struggling under a budget cap.
I'd love a thread that summarizes some of the current state economic conditions.
Reverend, if you're short tomorrow, you've got balls like church bells. Come to think of it, if you're in and at, youve got a pair.
I got lucky and got into EEV, SKF, SRS, etc when the DOW was about 10,600, just into the big crash last week, so I have a bit of a buffer before I really feel the squeeze. For now it's the most market excitement I've had since last March.
But in 2009 they nearly hit the level originally projected for 2012.
I am one of those. I looked at the numbers and concluded there was no reasonable expectation of living long enough to catch up for getting 25% less three years sooner.
near Flagstaff where my brother lives they had 4 feet of snow dumped in one day (I think that's what he said) and are expecting another 8" tomorrow.
my sister lives there. The fence in her back yard was 6 inches shy of being full. The snow in the front was higher than she could reach. ( I love skype)
I am one of those. I looked at the numbers and concluded there was no reasonable expectation of living long enough to catch up for getting 25% less three years sooner.
How are you liking it? I am always interested in that life change. Some people love it, others tolerate it.
Well there is no across-the-board 'normal' anymore in real estate....those days in America are in all likelihood pretty much gone ( yes there will be good pockets still ).
1950's to 2005 - increasing prosperity for Americans and since the 1980's driven mostly by asset appreciation ( mostly real estate )
2005 to ? - decreasing prosperity for more and more Americans driven mostly asset devaluation and real incomes going down
And the MSM will conveniently forget who pushed hard for deregulation of the banks. St. Ronnie won't get brought up nor will Phil Gramm and his whore wife.
We're all just tools anyway, being worked to give TPTB the illusion of popular buy-in.
Sounds like a dumbass selling wolf tickets. Someone that would shit down both legs if someone actually fired a shot in his vicinity...Don't talk about it...be about it...I love assholes like this. Never been anywhere dangerous in their sorry, silver spoon lives.
This Amherst report is several months old...but it states that one out of every five families has an unemployed breadearner.
Top five cities with 'shadow inventory': Las Vegas, San Diego, LA, San Francisco, and Phoenix.
Sure. As soon as we find 10,000,000 + new jobs. And 401ks look hefty enough. And companies start paying dividends. And pension funds stop going belly up.
I am one of those. I looked at the numbers and concluded there was no reasonable expectation of living long enough to catch up for getting 25% less three years sooner.
Can you elaborate? Seems like you'd be behind the curve in only 12 years.
Agreed mp. I think you can tell how my day was Seriously though, I just hate that bullshit bravado from one balled losers. I doubt they could even pull the trigger if it came down to it.
Yes, this will be a consequence of baby boomers ageing. As the ratio of dependents to active full-time productive workers increases, there will be more and more demand for those younger healthy workers.
It will be interesting to see the wage bargaining interaction in 2025 between the younger person with huge debt who bought his/her first home for $1 million in 2007 from an older rich guy in a wheelchair, who in turn bought it for $25,000 in 1975.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
St. Ronnie won't get brought up nor will Phil Gramm and his whore wife.
But, but-- The FBI, alleging a plot to wiretap Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu's office in downtown New Orleans, arrested four people Monday, including James O'Keefe, a conservative filmmaker whose undercover videos at ACORN field offices severely damaged the advocacy group's credibility.
How are you liking it? I am always interested in that life change. Some people love it, others tolerate it.
Love it. Some time ago I discovered people will read what I write and a few of them will even click ads on my websites. Web hosting is really cheap and I only need a corner of one room for the computers. So I write about whatever I get interested in, publish it on the web, and do it again with some other subject.
It's why I find the endless "We are doomed" comments, published on the greatest communication system ever known, to be more than a little ironic. I have the feeling there are lots of people busy starting their empires invisibly in the grass roots of the economy.
More trouble for Bernanke:
Issa and Bunning claim to have documents tying Bernanke to AIG decisions.
And now we have Bernanke making calls to lobby for votes.
Vote is scheduled for Thursday.
Well Cheney's involvement with Enron sure ruined his life.....We'll see how ol' Heli fares.
Nope. EMRATIO is likely reflecting those early retirements and the 1989-1990 echo kids are entering the workforce.
Take a longer view. More, less abled, older dependents per younger, active, person is an automatic force for labor shortage. Unless we decide to implement immigration 'reform'.
Dryfly left everyone a note in the last thread. I'll wait and see if he reposts it here, but he found jobs for anyone looking. Just requires a short relocation...to North Dakota.
I saw that. Couldn't happen to nicer whores. I followed that story closely and it was pure BS from the start. The guy is an asshole, he'll learn more about assholes in prison.
The FBI, alleging a plot to wiretap Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu's office in downtown New Orleans, arrested four people Monday, including James O'Keefe, a conservative filmmaker . . . .
I don't suppose G. Gordon Liddy was one of the other people arrested, was he?
It's why I find the endless "We are doomed" comments, published on the greatest communication system ever known, to be more than a little ironic. I have the feeling there are lots of people busy starting their empires invisibly in the grass roots of the economy.
Good for you! This is the most heartening thing I've read on the CR comments in quite a long time.
mhdoc wrote:
I have the feeling there are lots of people busy starting their empires invisibly in the grass roots of the economy.
That would be a very good thing.
That is most definitely what my household is doing. So far, so good.
Hello everyone - don't have much time to chat - on the road in North Dakota [in a city with <4% UE]... looking for a job CK? Well the bar across the street from the hotel is hiring all shifts all positions - of course who would want to live here right? They had a blizzard yesterday and the snow mound in the parking lot where they push the snow from plowing is taller [like twice as high] as the roof of the bar.
On the other hand the motel I'm in tonight is almost empty - maybe 25% full max. It is a place that focuses on weekend traffic [nice pool & atrium] and less business. I stay here because I just eat in the atrium instead of going out [its like zero out and way less considering windchill].
Talked with a guy at a company up here - does parts mfg for ag equipment, rec vehicles, etc. Pretty big company [like 1000 employees in the region - NW Minn & ND]. They nearly blew up last year in the down draft - they then cut head count heavily [massive 'right sizing']. A lot of that business is now coming back PLUS they are winning orders by taking business from other failing competition. Still off '08 levels but getting stronger everyday. But they don't plan to hire many back - don't need them. Many of the cuts were in 'support' and they've found ways to work around and 'lean up' the process. So even if they doubled business they might only increase employment 10%. He said in the last quarter after having 'right sized' - [Q4 2009] - they made more money than all of 2008 combined - and that was before the down draft. Right sizing is 'nice' - to them.
I think there are a lot of companies out there asking the same question - what where those people doing before?
High unemployment is going to be with us for a LONG time. A VERY LONG time.
My gift to the commentariat for the evening. A little known artist that writes and performs all vocals AND instruments on all his tracks. I have his original CD. He hasn't put out another one but he is awesome and soothing. If you like Jazz or Soul you will love it
I hope people aren't planning to earn a living from web ads.
Ad payouts from both Google, Yahoo, and most ad networks are way down from 5 years ago. It is a rare site that earns more than the cost of cheap hosting from ads.
I don't think CR works so tirelessly here for the ad revenue.
I happen to know a mistyped site name squatter here who works less than 5 hrs a day and is makin over $100k doing that. I said to him, um, how do you look at yourself in the mirror, and he took me to his nice hi rise condo, all paid for, and showed me. This is how. And I still saw myself in the mirror, just sadder.
Two things concerning today's CBO report, then I must go:
First, CBO expects unemployment to return to 5%, the so-called "natural rate", in 2016 (I'll probably be dead by then, so let me know how that turned out);
Secondly, CBO expects the growth rate to pick up during 2011 due to a pick-up in commercial and residential investment. Now, that would be interesting.
I think there are a lot of companies out there asking the same question - what where those people doing before?
High unemployment is going to be with us for a LONG time. A VERY LONG time.
In my happy oblivious world of academia, no one can get their heads around this concept. They still claim that is only for the 'corporate' world. But guess what....people who don't have their heads up their asses are leaving for more vital jobs and not being replaced. The end result is the same. Steady workload, less people. And these ivory tower morons have the nerve to say good riddance to the people who think freely enough to get through this downturn.
Even in the lala land of a university library, the right-sizing is coming, and it's going to Katrina these educated dumbasses.
Secondly, CBO expects the growth rate to pick up during 2011 due to a pick-up in commercial and residential investment. Now, that would be interesting.
More, less abled, older dependents per younger, active, person is an automatic force for labor shortage. Unless we decide to implement immigration 'reform'.
Emigration reform would be a more efficient solution than immigration reform.
Just take all their money and then dump the old baby boomers in Tijuana.
I solved that problem a couple years ago but nobody listened. If there were not jobs here they wouldn't come. Every illegal you have working for you costs you 50K every time you get caught. Problem solved. No fences, no cops and we MAKE money on the deal.
You's guy's don't know what you are talking about. Am I justified being annoyed that in the thread on the House Oversight testimony no one mentioned that the biggest news of all was the confirmation of Paulson as a witness?
and it's going to Katrina these educated dumbasses.
We're all going to write stuff for everyone else to read. It's foolproof I tells ya. You add in the good news from Italy and Greece and it's party time.
Even in the lala land of a university library, the right-sizing is coming, and it's going to Katrina these educated dumbasses.
I imagine it is the same in state government jobs. But if even one of them goes into default. The interest rates on their debt, starts changing the equations. Makes me wonder how much of the stimulus money just went to keeping operations going. i.e. rebranding an existing project and "canceling" the old version.
The Walmart that was being built here got busted for illegal concrete workers before they even had a building up yet....I think they busted ten workers. That would be 500K in fines with my plan. How many more times do you think it would happen at that price?
I was kicking myself I didn't bring my 'good' camera up with me - beautiful sunset with the 'frozen haze' you only get with really cold temps and mountains of snow everywhere - and of course all the 'snow cars'... cars that haven't been washed in months ['cause if you do - the doors freeze solid and you can't get them open again until like May]. Quite the sight - a picture would tell people all they need to know about January in Fargo.
But I did stop and take a picture of Lefty's in Staples w/ my mobile phone - he's still there, advertising lots of specials [cardboard signs stapled to the outside]. Pretty funny. Next time I'm stopping and having a drink.
First, CBO expects unemployment to return to 5%, the so-called "natural rate", in 2016 (I'll probably be dead by then, so let me know how that turned out);
Secondly, CBO expects the growth rate to pick up during 2011 due to a pick-up in commercial and residential investment. Now, that would be interesting.
well, let me give you some color on what is coming down the pipe in CA, SF, state U, to be specific. The last few week (and I know this from an insider who also happens to be my sister) there have been quite a few group meetings, where certain keywords were frequently repeated. Not "restructuring" but realigning, you know, good fluffy soft CA type words. You see, the thing is, there are SO many of these middle manager do nothing types, and they make a pretty penny for doin nuttin. And they are toast and have no clue...
Seriously. The asshole contractors here are amazing. I actually had a guy argue with me that he HAD to hire illegals because he couldn't afford to pay more than 9 bucks an hour for concrete work....Uhm ok. The cheapest rent around here at the time was well over 600 bucks a month. He said he had to compete in bids with the other companies that were using illegal labor.
"I think the idea of supporting asset prices by restricting supply in some areas (by modifications), and boosting demand with the FTHB tax credit, low mortgage rates, and loose lending (FHA) is flawed."
CR, this is an entity that believes only IT can properly set interest rates.
I actually had a guy argue with me that he HAD to hire illegals because he couldn't afford to pay more than 9 bucks an hour for concrete work
Same bullshit arguement applies for why people shop at Walmart. Can't (won't) afford anything else, which feeds into the whole lowest common denominator loop. The average idiot primate can't see past their nose to the global commons.
You see, the thing is, there are SO many of these middle manager do nothing types, and they make a pretty penny for doin nuttin. And they are toast and have no clue...
That would be interesting organization that only dumped the people who do nothing. They are seldom the first to go, as they have plenty of time to play politics while they are not doing their jobs.
Of course Joanna. I live in Red State hell so they love them some WalMart. Hell, they don't even bother to get dressed to go to WalMart. PJ's and bunny slippers are not uncommon.
Cold weather has some advantages - I can only IMAGINE the tats & stretch marks covered up by parka's & snowmobile suits - you actually have to SEE them.
Elizabeth Warren was on Jon Stewart tonight (link tomorrow).
Smart, passionate, as always - but with too much respect for "Barney Frank's financial reform"
Haha Joanna. I had a patron tell me they were at Walmart one day and saw some fat woman in the aisle with PJ's and bunny slippers on (literally). She said she was disparaging them under her breath until they turned around and it was her sister...BWAHAHAHAHHA
Also, those with any real talent and mobility, can smell the doom coming and GTFO.
You can only imagine how nerve-wracking it is to smell doom from every angle, and be literally trapped at this one particular job. The state teat can only be sucked so far.
Luckily I'm building my farm empire as fast as I can, with decent results.
But the stench of doom aggravates my survivor instincts.
Smart, passionate, as always - but with too much respect for "Barney Frank's financial reform"
In person, Barney Frank is a witty, larger-than-life character, who happens to live near Elizabeth Warren. It wouldn't shock me if they knew each other and liked each other personally. So I understand the empathy. But you are right that trusting Barney Frank's judgment on prudential financial supervision and regulation is.... unwise.
Elizabeth Warren was on Jon Stewart tonight (link tomorrow).
Smart, passionate, as always - but with too much respect for "Barney Frank's financial reform"
She seems to have no political ambition. She actually says what she thinks.
It's refreshing.
Add-on: thanks for the heads-up for those of us West of you.
But 5 weeks of consumption with no productivity will take care of that.
I wouldn't be surprised if that's what happens.
Gov't workers cut to 36 hours and... well... the 40 just never comes back again, ever.
I can't figure out the job situation.
Dice up 16% from its recession bottom but Careerbuilder and Monster still DOA.
I had quite a few calls until this past two weeks which were almost dead.
Today a recruiter told me he had sixty positions to fill and I got callbacks for applications from three months ago but then nothing ever goes anywhere. It's very erratic and odd.
Today a recruiter told me he had sixty positions to fill and I got callbacks for applications from three months ago but then nothing ever goes anywhere. It's very erratic and odd.
Wage arbitraging their existing employees using applicants as market comps.
Today a recruiter told me he had sixty positions to fill and I got callbacks for applications from three months ago but then nothing ever goes anywhere. It's very erratic and odd.
I know a recruiter who stays in touch with me in case I need bodies. I have hired several people through him in the past for gigs running six to twelve months. Previously, he would only supply candidates for FT positions. He has recently switched to filling part-time positions. Which I find refreshing... some projects need the ability to mix talent in less than FT quanta, and he seems to have wised up to that fact.
[broward] Today a recruiter told me he had sixty positions to fill and I got callbacks for applications from three months ago but then nothing ever goes anywhere. It's very erratic and odd.
Wage arbitraging their existing employees using applicants as market comps.
Heh, more likely things just not coming together on time. My experience recently is lots of clients asking for quotes but not pushing the button.
Her main point was spot on: "We either fix the financial system now or the game is literally over for the middle class"
Couldn't agree more. In my wildest dream, Obama would accept Geithner's resignation and immediately announce that Elizabeth Warren was his nominee for SecTreas.
Man, still **<35>** undecided on Ben. I guess they're waiting for the polls to get back...
Or they are waiting for promises on their "requests for clarification".
I wonder how many of these are up for election this year?
Undecided or unannounced (35)
John Barrasso (R-WY)
Kit Bond (R-MO)
Sam Brownback (R-KS)
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
Roland Burris (D-IL)
Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
Bob Casey (D-PA)
Saxby Chambliss (D-GA)
Tom Coburn (R-OK)
Thad Cochran (R-MS)
Mike Enzi (R-WY)
Al Franken (D-MN)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
Chuck Grassley (R-IA)
Johnny Isakson (R-GA)
Ted Kaufman (D-DE)
Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Patrick Leahy (D-VT)
George LeMieux (R-FL)
Carl Levin (D-MI)
Blanche Lincoln (D-AR)
Claire McCaskill (D-MO)
Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Patty Murray (D-WA)
Mark Pryor (D-AR)
Jim Risch (R-ID)
Pat Roberts (R-KS)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)
Arlen Specter (D-PA)
John Thune (R-SD)
Mark Udall (D-CO)
Tom Udall (D-NM)
Jim Webb (D-VA)
Roger Wicker (R-MS)
Ron Wyden (D-OR)
Wage arbitraging their existing employees using applicants as market comps.
Or sounding the market.
I don't think that's the whole deal, though.
I did two real interviews in the past five days (not recruiters, hiring managers). Both were planning expansions but unsure of where they were trying to go or how I might fit in.
... excerpt since I know people can get "link fatigue"..
But the real regulatory break-through for the CFPA would be the promotion of “plain vanilla” contracts that would likely meet the needs of about 95% of consumers. These contracts would have a regulatory safe harbor. By using an off-the-shelf template for a plain vanilla contracts and filling in the blanks for interest rates, penalty rates and a few other key terms, a financial institution can legally satisfy all its federal regulatory requirements—no need to do more.
Of course, some banks would want to offer more complicated products. For many, they could file-and-use, so long as they met the same regulatory standards of adequately disclosing risks and explaining costs—briefly enough and clearly enough for people to understand them.
A streamlined new regulatory regime would have a serious impact on the credit industry. Today’s complicated disclosure system favors big lenders that can hire a legion of lawyers to navigate the rules—and spread the costs among millions of customers. Those complex rules fall much harder on a smaller institution that must navigate the same regulatory twists and turns, but with far smaller administrative staffs. Plain vanilla contracts will be particularly beneficial for community banks and credit unions that will be able to divert fewer resources toward regulatory compliance and more toward customer service and innovation.
Or they are waiting for promises on their "requests for clarification".
Exactly. How much will they get for being one of those who have to vote for the guy? That's what it's all about. We'd have to call and email like crazy, and protest like it's 1969, to actually make the vote fail.
By changing from a bank charter to a thrift charter, for example, a financial institution can change from one regulator to another. The regulators’ budget comes in large part from the institutions they regulate. If a big financial institution leaves one regulator, the agency will face a budget shortfall and the agency will likely shrink. Knowing this, financial institutions can shop around for the regulator that provides the most lax oversight, and regulators can compete by offering to regulate less. Regulatory arbitrage triggered a race to the bottom among prudential regulators and blocked any hope of real consumer protection.
The second structural reason that prudential regulators failed to exercise their authority to protect consumers is a cultural one: consumer protection staff at existing agencies find themselves at the bottom of the pecking order because these agencies are designed to focus on other matters. At the Federal Reserve, senior officers and staff wake up every morning thinking about monetary policy. At the OCC and OTS, agency heads wake up thinking about capital adequacy requirements and safety and soundness. Consumer protection issues are—at best—an afterthought.
[CK] But will they lower full time requirements for benefits?
Ummmm No.
Of course not. Even if "health reform" is dead, who wants to take on FT employees with benes in this environment? Only a company with a government contract (or a government directly) could make that kind of commitment with any confidence. There is zero visibility right now.
But the banking industry, led by a U.S. Chamber of Commerce effort, has fought a multimillion-dollar campaign to kill it. Such pressure on moderate Democrats led House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass., to narrow the agency's scope to win passage of his financial regulatory bill in December. The House bill would provide national banks a limited pre-emption from state consumer laws and allow only examination and enforcement for the biggest banks and credit unions. The struggle has been even tougher in the Senate, where Banking Committee ranking member Richard Shelby, R-Ala., has publicly nixed the idea. Amid reports that Dodd might further water down the agency, Warren wrote to supporters Monday asking them to contact Senate Banking member offices and create "visible public support" for CFPA in the media.
Allright, that's it no more links from me tonight...
One final piece - the bankers continue to push back
"It is a nice little recovery you got there. Would be a shame if something happened to it"
FT.com / Global Economy - Big banks in call for greater co-ordination The world’s big banks on Tuesday warned that unless countries adopted a co-ordinated approach to banking reforms, their ability to lend would be damaged and the financial system revert back to the “business as usual” attitude that applied before the crisis.
On the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos, senior bankers deplored the fragmentation of global regulatory initiatives that have seen bonus taxes introduced in the UK and France, a US levy on banks, and the proposed “Volcker rule” limiting the size and activities of US banks.
I did two real interviews in the past five days (not recruiters, hiring managers). Both were planning expansions but unsure of where they were trying to go or how I might fit in.
Very few hiring managers have budgets that they can count on.
I really miss the days when I could get a commitment from the board for even a year's worth of budget. No hiring manager wants to bring on people only to face cuts a few months later.
This was true even a few years ago, but not as bad as it is now. I remember a few years back when I was told that I was unrealistic to be planning an entire year out based on my annual budget. They told me: "just because you got that budget doesn't mean that you can plan on spending it". Compare and contrast to the 1980s and 1990s where a budget meant that the money was committed.
(D)s and (R)s following the 35 names reflect the D:R ratio as a whole. Must be a coincidence.
Yes, coincidence. The Senate leaders certainly would not be in a room, sorting out who gets the less than 50 stickers saying "I opposed Bernanke on cloture".
Yes, coincidence. The Senate leaders certainly would not be in a room, sorting out who gets the less than 50 stickers saying "I opposed Bernanke on cloture".
Well, you would not want the "independant" Fed Chair nomination to be a partisan issue...
Yes. I was what they called a "technical engineer" in the biz. The guy who made the systems work, helped get sounds, and did the drudge work like punching in guitar solos and providing the third and fourth hands in mixes.
ever meet a guy named eddie kramer
Yes. Several times. Although he mostly worked in NY and I mostly worked in LA and SF.
1983 is when I met the women who's in the next room and 1984 was a very good year for the dance floor.
By contrast to Rick Springfield's "The Human Touch," and whatever album it was on [no, I'd never heard it before], Prince had "1999" and the album of the same name [number]. It's a striking contrast, to say the least.
As fans of Prince's music from 1984 know, 1999 [the reocrd] led straight into the next number. I can honestly say that after 26 years, the ride is still so smooth it's amazing:
As fans of Prince's music from 1984 know, 1999 [the reocrd] led straight into the next number. I can honestly say that after 26 years, the ride is still so smooth it's amazing:
Prince was good, no question. One of the reasons that I decided to exit the business in 1984 was that it seemed like every band I got the opportunity to produce wanted to sound like Prince. I couldn't convince them the sound like themselves. Either that, or they wanted to sound like Ronnie James Dio, and you can't just plug that in.
and eddie gave us a tour of electric lady studio
was the biggest mixing board id ever seen or imagined...as i recall 32 channels or something like that
and two soundproof studios side by side...built to hendrix specifications, or so i was told
Electric Ladyland was built by Gary Kellgren to make Jimi happy. I studied under Kellgren, he was my boss for five years in the 1970s.
One of the reasons that I decided to exit the business in 1984 was that it seemed like every band I got the opportunity to produce wanted to sound like Prince.
I can see where that would have happened to those in the business. He made a big splash. My wife and I each could relate to his music and, even more importantly, to each other. Those two numbers were definitely there at the start.
It's just mind-boggling to realize how much time has passed since then.
LA and SF. By 1972, _____ and _____ had opened studios in LA and SF. They sold out of NY in about 1972, and as I recall, Eddie Cramer bought NY from them.
First, CBO expects unemployment to return to 5%, the so-called "natural rate", in 2016 (I'll probably be dead by then, so let me know how that turned out);
"To get from today's U3 number of 15.3 million unemployed, a 10% rate, to a 5% rate and 7.65 million jobless by 2015, the US needs to add 1.53 million jobs each year, on top of the 150,000 per month or 1.8 million per year needed just to play even. That means needing 277,500 jobs every month for 60 months. And that's just if you use U3. Take the far more realistic U6 number, and you're looking at a demand of around 400,000 jobs every single month."
--AE
Broward I want to open a cycling studio with 50 bikes hooked up to race one another. Billing, race results, video course... Do you do that kind of programming?
Broward did you get to look at Grignon's digital coin pdf?
I have it up right now, I was skimming through it. It's been ten years since I went through Grabbe's scheme but one difference (I think) is trying to tie back the digital coins to physical objects. Grabbe had conversions to existing national money and trusted gold repositories.
I still say that the mapping of money to geography to physical force is an issue.
Last time I checked, it was Dark Side of the Moon.
I remember when Thriller passed it. It held #1 for about 8 years, if I recall correctly and still is one of my favorites of all time. My kids grew up listening to that work by Pink Floyd and the staff that assembled it, which might explain their love for music (over video games) today.
Last time I checked, it was Dark Side of the Moon.
I remember when Thriller passed it. It held #1 for about 8 years, if I recall correctly and still is one of my favorites of all time.
Dark Side of The Moon had legs. Jackson appealed to those splashing in the shallow end of the pool, and they are common and bland.
this was mixed on a system that used magnetic core memory as its main RAM
Ahh, the days of flying faders. Someday I might bother to get my GML up and running again, but I doubt it. I have to fix the center section on my Trident 1st.
So many records from the 80's sound so dated except for acts that didn't have budgts to record in A rooms, but B or C.
to add to the current account deficit + public debt ring of fire chart, Deleverage This, My Friend
considering only public debt is inadequate (h/t Reinhart and Rogoff), even if it's just because of private debt w/ public guarantees like PPP projects
Of course they do. They just hadn't settled the price for each vote, and who was going to plump instead for one of the 49 available "I voted against Bernanke on cloture" stickers. Now they've got it all sorted out.
And these guys actually expect us to re-elect them all in November.
Thanks for the heads up. I still have a corporation in Oregon. It will be gone by next week.
I don't want to believe this, But fuck you, Oregon.
Wiat a minute, you're in California. How could Oregon be a worse alternative for taxation?
From poic's link:
Democrats who have commanding majorities in the Legislature said they were careful to target the upper 2 percent of individual taxpayers and the businesses with the biggest sales, many headquartered out of state.
Regarding the armed comments upthread, just yesterday I met a fellow school parent. He heard my US accent and asked where I was from. Told him, and we started chatting. Within literally two minutes, he told me he expected armed conflict within the borders before O's term is completed, if it's completed.
I rarely have a chance to mingle with Americans (in the physical world), and while his view is not uncommon, it was the first I've heard it among generally well heeled expats over here . . .
I suggested economic calamity likely, governmental breakdown less than 50/50, and social breakdown common enough on the edges, but the core withstanding the strain. "Rose colored glasses" he said. Too many armed and pissed and disenfranchised.
Federal spending or stimulus...priming the pump...which the admin. experts approve of
'All the (Greenspan) stimulus (2003) did back then was create housing and debt bubbles.(true) Then it crashed anyway.(true but debated) Now supposedly the cure is more spending?' (not true according to the 'consenus' admin. experts)
-Mish making the argument you can't spend your way out of a bubble.
But if it becomes a 'systemic risk emergency'...the consensus of the will again be to keep spending 'til the dollar tanks. Are we reaching another 'crisis' moment? What if we don't...reappoint?
How could Oregon be a worse alternative for taxation?
To my dismay, and counter to the urban myth, California is rated only moderate in it's taxation.
I'm sure we can tax more, and move up into the heavily taxed, but are slackers at the moment.
And these guys actually expect us to re-elect them all in November.
The DVI party already 1 and 0 after Brown. They didn't see that coming and they won't see it personally until the primaries. Those are going to be interesting. Both parties have internal issues and I expect a lot of dirty laundry to air due to the inability to control the process.
Yeah...what's the unemployment numbers in OR now? Well OR used to kiss the ass of big timber companies because OR pretty much was clear cut to a checkerboard...but the timber companies cut and ran leaving timber towns to wither and die (and the spotted owl was blamed for all of it). And the big timber companies moved to where they had greener forests to rape with less red tape...ever fly over OR?
broward,
Portland is popular with younger professionals and a range of lifestyles who can't afford San Francisco...and like how Portland is set up as many small communities who don't like 'big box' retailing and enjoy mom-and-pop businesses and farmer's markets over chain grocery stores...Eugene is a typical university town and so is Corvallis...OR will always attract young people...
The WSJ article echoed comments I made during the poll for Next Fed Chair: Bernanke can not be counted on to be a strong leader.
I'm coming around to the same view of Obama. (I realize that some here who are there already). When I see the recent schizophrenic initiatives, I just cringe. Get tough on bankers - but support Bernanke? Focus on jobs - but freeze the budget?
Is he going into election mode? Promising everything to everyone? Maybe we'll know more after the State of the Union.
Earlier today, bearly wrote of the many FAILs of the Obama administration. Many of these are related to economic policy. Obama has to find the strength to LEAD, Leaders hold people accountable. Obama has had time enough to understand that:
Bernanke's role in the financial crisis disqualifies him for re-nomination. His policies before and after the crisis have benefited the bankers. He seems an unlikely partner for a get-tough with the banks approach.
Geithner and Summers saved the banks but did it in a way that was too lenient on the banks and didn't solve the underlying problems. While a "safe" solution may have been desirable a year ago, "extend and pretend" policies will come back to haunt the Administration going forward. Maybe this wouldn't have been such a big problem politically if the bank rescue had demanded more from the banks. It didn't. And passing healthcare, while helpful, won't forgive the deteriorating economic situation and unfair burdens.
If Obama doesn't see these things, may he just isn't smart enough, or isn't listening. If he does and doesn't change, maybe he is too weak or maybe he has made a choice to support the banks at all cost. Either way, I think Obama and the Dems suffer at the polls for any failure of political leadership - and it seems to me that changing his economic team: Bernanke, Geithner, and Summers, is key to showing that leadership.
"beyond which, each additional unit if increasing complexity
results in an exponentially increased risk of system breakdown"
.
Totally agree, and Phil Spector is the best example.
Was reading a little about Julius Robert Von Mayer (entropy). Had to be institutionalized and refused to think about physics after regaining equilibrium.
If Obama doesn't see these things, may he just isn't smart enough, or isn't listening.
He's had a lot on his plate and what makes you think a lawyer knows anything about economics? That said, he'd better figure it out soon or there will be hell to pay. Of course, I think it's going to be bad anyway, but at least he'd be leading, instead of making himself a target.
changing his economic team: Bernanke, Geithner, and Summers, is key to showing that leadership.
Ahhhh, a reminder that Jon Stewart comes on in 15 minutes, as MrM advised. Still, I don't think Elizabeth Warren can replace all three of them; at least not at the same time.
Obama suffers from people perceiving him in stark terms, black or white as it were, but usually thought of as
Totally agree, and Phil Spector is the best example.
I entered "Phil Spector's next girlfriend" into the 2009 Celebrity dead pool.
It occurs to me that the environment for digital money is substantially different since 1999.
Gov't money is increasingly untrustworthy, net access is ubiquitous.
If you treat "trust" as invisible background modifier, you could argue that "peak trust" has passed and that the market value of "trust" is rising. If that market value rises higher than an offsetting ability to project local violence, the digital coin thing might be workable.
Jackrabbit,
You think Obama was selected, developed, and shaped by his promoters and handlers from nowhere to the highest office if they thought he wouldn't be loyal to his inner circle of advisors. Do you have any real knowledge of Obama's background? Such a quick rise was shaped to get him into this position to do the job outlined by his 'team' who created him.
The same thing has been mentioned at UC. Depts will be combining to lessen admin costs.
Administratively, haven't seen that yet at our campus. Lots of rumors on the academic side, though. In one or two cases they cut staff on a popular academic program and rolled operational responsibility back into the parent department's staff. Some tough talk about profs not teaching what they want to teach, but what the students need to learn; code words for cutting electives. Though I always wondered whether a UC ever really needed a class on "The Films of John Carpenter."
"While we would obviously prefer that the schedule not be produced at all, this special procedure seems to indicate that they [the SEC] understand the extreme sensitivity of the information," wrote James Bergin, an in-house NY Fed lawyer, to his boss, general counsel Thomas Baxter, in a Jan. 13, 2009, e-mail.An e-mail message dated as early as November 2008 among New York Fed lawyers included the comment, "I don't think any of us expected" the documents would become public.
What is so damming that it NEEDS to be kept secret? What does Ben know and when did he know it? What is the justification in failing to disclose to the SEC the details of a government owned corporation?
But the politicians will likely be out for blood on Wednesday. "The New York Fed was orchestrating what can only be characterized as an extreme effort to ensure that details of the counterparty deal stayed secret," said Rep. Darrell Issa, ranking committee member. "The culture of secrecy that was pervasive throughout the Fed is deeply disturbing, and someone needs to be held accountable for that."
What other shoes are left to drop? What other information has the Fed failed to disclose about the health of other banks that may put shareholders at risk? Whose Job was it to protect the the public from TBTF?
"Peak trust", nice. The way information travels now, it should become harder to hide local violence. Someone replied earlier that no Fed Chair nominee has gotten more than 19 nays (we've added a couple States since 1913). Bernanke is sure to raise peak distrust.
Such a quick rise was shaped to get him into this position to do the job outlined by his 'team' who created him.
Kind of the same thing with W. Quick meteoric rise, and a dearth of real world experience.
Obama needs to find some new friends, but I fear he has been captured by the Washington bubble. Shame if he does not have some old non-political friends back home, that can speak honestly and give him some feedback as to the situation on the ground.
That riff that Stewart did on him at the elementary school was telling.
Must be the 'new' normal.
An aside.
Friend of ours just left. He will close his business in June. Just no business. He laid off 1/2 his work force about 6 months ago. He has been in business for over 10 yrs. TV repair, warnentee work, VCRs. sound systems.
He is a hard worker. His employees are hard working, honest and good people.
Blackhalo wrote:
We won't get to new normal for several years. Lots of unlisted REOs to work through. Lots of new REOs to work through. My guess is about 5 more years.
Blackhalo, I think the idea of supporting asset prices by restricting supply in some areas (by modifications), and boosting demand with the FTHB tax credit, low mortgage rates, and loose lending (FHA) is flawed. I'd think the Fed (and other regulators) would see the bidding wars in some areas - and high inventory in others - as a signal that something is wrong with policy / regulations. But apparently not ...
best wishes
What danger lurks in the heart of housing? The Shadow grows.
Hahahaha Dawg...nice.
josap wrote:
No being out of business I see that a small business cycle lasting generally about ten years. I would work it and sell when profitable and move on.
The Shadow grows
+1
Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:
That was his plan a couple of years ago. He has built and sold a few.
REBear wrote:
Rats. Of all the times for Wikileaks to be down.
Bernanke Gains Backers as Reid Sets Procedural Vote (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
Republicans were split 13-13 on a second term for Bernanke, while Democrats favored the Fed chief by a 35-6 margin
I hate the whole 2 party charade, but the Democrats are really sticking their necks out for Bernanke, a Bush appointee.
RATM wrote:
It is a huge gift to the (R) in November as they can now run on an anti-banker platform, without actually being anti-banker.
Blackhalo wrote:
I think they will all run on that meme.
Does it even matter anymore? WHORES all of them. Anyone that can't see that by now needs to be cleansed from the gene pool because it is wayyyyyyy too polluted.
And the MSM will conveniently forget who pushed hard for deregulation of the banks. St. Ronnie won't get brought up nor will Phil Gramm and his whore wife.
josap wrote:
And then return to a "Business as Usual" growth paradigm-unlimited growth in a finite system?
Does anyone see something wrong with this analysis?
Inquiring minds want to know---
From last thread, OT but too important
I have to assume that what the Court decides is good law
You mean what Anthony Kennedy decides. The current ideological divide is quite remarkable (in a train-wreck sort of a way), with Kennedy almost always the swing vote. Unfortunately, Justice Stevens is 90 and there's no shot in hell that anyone of his political bent gets even an iota of consideration.
I'm shocked it's it not 26-0 Republicans against.
From the comments I read here, they are susposedly as pure as the fresh snow.
Comrade K,please stop denigrating whores.
or maybe they will run on this meme
"Richard Behney, an Indiana Tea Party activist and candidate for the Republican nomination for Senate against Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh, made a striking pronouncement at a meeting late last year of the "Evansville 2nd Amendment Patriots": That if new people don't get elected to Congress in 2010, he'll be getting out his guns to face down the American government...
"I believe personally, we're at a crossroads. We have one last opportunity. And I believe 2010 is it. All right? And we can do it with our vote. And we can get new faces in, whether it's my face or not, I pray to God that I see new faces. And if we don't see new faces, I'm cleaning my guns and getting ready for the big show. And I'm serious about that, and I bet you are, too. But I know none of us want to go that far yet, and we can do it with our vote."
Tea Party Activist And Senate Candidate: 'If We Don't See New Faces, I'm Cleaning My Guns And Getting Ready For The Big Show' (VIDEO) | TPMDC
Blackhalo wrote:
LoL! It would work, if they were smart. But the people who run the Republican party are incapable of campaigning against a banking oligopoly. And, as you point out, it doesn't matter anyway. What we need is not more Republicans, or more Democrats, but more independent and tough representatives who are ready to take down a couple of big banks and the bankers who run them, for a start.
Dancing whores...you can get the same entertainment at a strip club as you can watching congress on CSPAN.
> Last year, 47 percent of U.S. homebuyers were first-timers. In Columbus [Ohio], the figure was even higher: 51 percent of homes were sold to people who had never owned one, according to a study commissioned by the Ohio Association of Realtors.
By comparison, in 2003 -- the last year for which such a study was done -- 38 percent of homebuyers were first-timers.
The disproportionate number of first-time buyers helped keep sales prices down. The average price of a home sold in central Ohio last year was $159,840. That was the lowest figure since 2002 and well below the peak of $179,046 in 2006.
Area home sales rise as U.S. deals plunge | The Columbus Dispatch
There is only one 'G' is Hagerty. And there is still no 'C' in Shnaps.
adornosghost wrote:
No, I don't see a return to "Usual".
Main street remembers, at least for a couple of generations.
So if law abiding citizens just shoot these imbeciles will anybody care? I could really use some target practice (moving type). I saw a great bumper sticker today it read: "Sniper, don't bother running you'll just die tired"...hahahahahaha
Got
on last thread.
The earliest baby boomers turn 64. A whole new category of inventory is about hit the market.
I should add, thankfully they keep their clothes on while dancing.
'...this optimism is premature.' The 'housing overhang' is impediment to recovery.
A SECOND U.S. REAL ESTATE "BUBBLE" A POSSIBILITY IN 2010 SAYS AMHERST SECURITIES GROUP LP - Vox
mock turtle wrote:
Guns and butter are always big sellers.
Medicare crashing and burning should be a spectacular show Dawg...I can hardly wait.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
"Sorry I messed church, I was busy practicing witchcraft, and being a lesbian"
Of course, that was in Fairfax, who's town motto is "Mayberry on acid"
the democrats are a bunch of stupid boot licking b tards for voting for tarp, fall of 08 and not letting this giant meteoritic casino banking turd leave a big deep heaping smoldering stinking hole in the earth on the repubs watch
now the dems will pay in full for whoring for the banks
when they should have paid only in half
Thanks
Looking forward to the New Home sales report tomorrow ...
best to all
CCTV in the sky: police plan to use military-style spy drones |
UK news |
The Guardian
Obviously the younger Cheney then...
Ahhahaha adornosghost. I was told by a coworker to never let anyone know that I was not a Christian at my job. Of course I have, just to twist their little panties in a bunch. One was babbling about what someone's "Christian" name was the other day. I asked what that meant. She was flummoxed.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Strip clubs are less expensive.
Strip clubs are voluntary.
Strip clubs have booze.
Strip clubs give you exactly what they are selling.
Doubtful. Thanks to the 2nd Boston Tea Party, the death panels in ObamaCare have now been defeated.
True that josap. I'd much rather spend the night at a strip club than spend it with a Congress member.
Less likely to catch something nasty from the stripper.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
I like to mention that we druids worship trees all year round and not just at the winter solstice.
josap
be careful
dont mis quote me....the NSA is watching and i would never say that
the quote you attached to me was made by a tea party candidate for senate in indianna
"I'm cleaning my guns and getting ready for the big show. And I'm serious about that, and I bet you are, too.", Richard Beheny, announced candidate for US senate
So, im guessin if you are holding, then tomorrow is your sell into the rally day, and then watch Joe F light off the fireworks starting next week.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
That was in the town of Fairfax: the town motto is: "Mayberry on Acid"
http://i104.photobucket.com/albums/m163/bl82/SPXAndrPfrk012510.gif
VIX and More: Andrews Pitchfork
Comrade Kristina wrote:
You are right. The problem is that not enough people can see that one political party has the good people and the truths, and the other does not. On most economic and financial issues, the same party is right, and the other is wrong. What each of us needs to do is become more loyal to that party, and quit making up our own minds, and quite disagreeing about equally with both parties.
At least trees provide something useful to society.
Not much to agree or disagree with regarding the Republicans. I mean, obstructionism isn't exactly a platform. These "people" have practically no ideas, beyond those that will get them re-elected so that they can give them and their ilk a tax cut.
GDD9000 wrote:
What if you're short? Head over to Lefty's and stock up on the slippery stuff to get through the day?
This is all hypothetical, of course. A rational person would never put real money into this casino.
(nervously glances about)
Uhm...you missed the point once again...WHORES...all of them,.
Reverend, if you're short tomorrow, you've got balls like church bells. Come to think of it, if you're in and at, youve got a pair.
Price stabilization is temporary because of a huge shadow inventory of 7 million units (and counting).
Shadow Inventory Report Amherst 9-23-09
the democrats , and i used to be one, sold out to the bankstas just as thoroughly as the republicans
just because they came later to the party doesnt absolve them
Rob Dawg wrote:
I've been looking at the retirement stats. In 2012, SS retirements were expected to start really ramping up. But in 2009 they nearly hit the level originally projected for 2012. The beginning of the baby boomer retirement wave has already begun. It will become ever more interesting over the next 10 years. A whole new dynamic we haven't seen for the last 50 years, or ever, really.
In other
Resignation at Borders Stirs Anxiety in Book World - NY Times
That's gotta sting. Personally, I used to be buying in Borders every couple weeks. I am now a net seller of books!
Note to kcoop, any chance of having the red hat tip work in the preview?
Removing whores from the gene pool is a lot like removing greed from bankers ... good luck with that!
http://www.gmo.com/websitecontent/JGLetter_ALL_4Q09.pdf
They weren't late, Bill Clinton was "right on time"...I can think of maybe a handful of either party that isn't corrupt down to their core.
patientrenter wrote:
They got laid off and there are no jobs. May as well retire, if you can afford to.
In case anyone is interested, near Flagstaff where my brother lives they had 4 feet of snow dumped in one day (I think that's what he said) and are expecting another 8" tomorrow.
This in a state already so stretched they had to sell their capital building, among others.
I imagine the plowing costs are going to be very difficult for their budget.
In our locale, in order to meet budget, one of the considerations is to cut out all high school busing service, among other things. They are really struggling under a budget cap.
I'd love a thread that summarizes some of the current state economic conditions.
Wayyyyy better than CSPAN
YouTube - Akon - Smack That ft. Eminem
GDD9000 wrote:
I got lucky and got into EEV, SKF, SRS, etc when the DOW was about 10,600, just into the big crash last week, so I have a bit of a buffer before I really feel the squeeze. For now it's the most market excitement I've had since last March.
patientrenter wrote:
I am one of those. I looked at the numbers and concluded there was no reasonable expectation of living long enough to catch up for getting 25% less three years sooner.
Jonathan wrote:
The red hat has worked for me in the preview before. Not sure about now.
Outsider wrote:
my sister lives there. The fence in her back yard was 6 inches shy of being full. The snow in the front was higher than she could reach. ( I love skype)
mock turtle wrote:
Hmm.
Sounds like something called "The Mad Max Scenario."
mhdoc wrote:
How are you liking it? I am always interested in that life change. Some people love it, others tolerate it.
Well there is no across-the-board 'normal' anymore in real estate....those days in America are in all likelihood pretty much gone ( yes there will be good pockets still ).
1950's to 2005 - increasing prosperity for Americans and since the 1980's driven mostly by asset appreciation ( mostly real estate )
2005 to ? - decreasing prosperity for more and more Americans driven mostly asset devaluation and real incomes going down
quick one as Juvie is signed in.
you pulled a red hat youtube link from one of my floyd tunes today, and you replaced it with Brain damage.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
We're all just tools anyway, being worked to give TPTB the illusion of popular buy-in.
Sounds like a dumbass selling wolf tickets. Someone that would shit down both legs if someone actually fired a shot in his vicinity...Don't talk about it...be about it...I love assholes like this. Never been anywhere dangerous in their sorry, silver spoon lives.
josap wrote:
Can we expect worker shortage?
News simile of the day:
Haiti earthquake: A long way from normal | MNN - Mother Nature Network
This Amherst report is several months old...but it states that one out of every five families has an unemployed breadearner.
Top five cities with 'shadow inventory': Las Vegas, San Diego, LA, San Francisco, and Phoenix.
Maybe I should run for office? I can sure tell it like it us in terms even morons can understand and I'm cuter than Palin.
mock turtle wrote:
Richard Behney, an Indiana Tea Party activist:
ANOTHER DAMN POLITICIAN! Promises that they'll never keep.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Go on, I'm listening.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Unfortunately, there are a lot of them out there and, the more there are, the more likely it is something profoundly stupid will happen.
Anyway, how was your day?
Well, I DID inhale. And I meant to.
REBear wrote:
Sure. As soon as we find 10,000,000 + new jobs. And 401ks look hefty enough. And companies start paying dividends. And pension funds stop going belly up.
More trouble for Bernanke:
Issa and Bunning claim to have documents tying Bernanke to AIG decisions.
And now we have Bernanke making calls to lobby for votes.
Vote is scheduled for Thursday.
mhdoc wrote:
Can you elaborate? Seems like you'd be behind the curve in only 12 years.
mp wrote:
Sounds like the story at a lot more places than politics. Sad to say.
Agreed mp. I think you can tell how my day was
Seriously though, I just hate that bullshit bravado from one balled losers. I doubt they could even pull the trigger if it came down to it.
REBear wrote:
Yes, this will be a consequence of baby boomers ageing. As the ratio of dependents to active full-time productive workers increases, there will be more and more demand for those younger healthy workers.
It will be interesting to see the wage bargaining interaction in 2025 between the younger person with huge debt who bought his/her first home for $1 million in 2007 from an older rich guy in a wheelchair, who in turn bought it for $25,000 in 1975.
Jackrabbit wrote:
That's not very independant...of him. Of course him hamfisting AIG payouts is not either...
REBear wrote:
Nope. EMRATIO is likely reflecting those early retirements and the 1989-1990 echo kids are entering the workforce.
patientrenter wrote:
But, but--
The FBI, alleging a plot to wiretap Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu's office in downtown New Orleans, arrested four people Monday, including James O'Keefe, a conservative filmmaker whose undercover videos at ACORN field offices severely damaged the advocacy group's credibility.
patientrenter wrote:
Love it. Some time ago I discovered people will read what I write and a few of them will even click ads on my websites. Web hosting is really cheap and I only need a corner of one room for the computers. So I write about whatever I get interested in, publish it on the web, and do it again with some other subject.
It's why I find the endless "We are doomed" comments, published on the greatest communication system ever known, to be more than a little ironic. I have the feeling there are lots of people busy starting their empires invisibly in the grass roots of the economy.
Jackrabbit wrote:
Well Cheney's involvement with Enron sure ruined his life.....We'll see how ol' Heli fares.
patientrenter wrote:
Dream on. The retirees will just vote the border open...
mhdoc wrote:
I wish I could sell my SS to JG Wentworth for a lump sum.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Take a longer view. More, less abled, older dependents per younger, active, person is an automatic force for labor shortage. Unless we decide to implement immigration 'reform'.
Dryfly left everyone a note in the last thread. I'll wait and see if he reposts it here, but he found jobs for anyone looking. Just requires a short relocation...to North Dakota.
mhdoc wrote:
That would be a very good thing.
broward wrote:
Kind of like the passbooks of the 30's?
I saw that. Couldn't happen to nicer whores. I followed that story closely and it was pure BS from the start. The guy is an asshole, he'll learn more about assholes in prison.
adornosghost wrote:
I don't suppose G. Gordon Liddy was one of the other people arrested, was he?
I'd rather slash my wrists with a spork.
In case it's not posted already: Bernanke cloture vote on Thursday.
- NY Times
mhdoc wrote:
Good for you! This is the most heartening thing I've read on the CR comments in quite a long time.
josap wrote:
That is most definitely what my household is doing. So far, so good.
Hello everyone - don't have much time to chat - on the road in North Dakota [in a city with <4% UE]... looking for a job CK? Well the bar across the street from the hotel is hiring all shifts all positions - of course who would want to live here right? They had a blizzard yesterday and the snow mound in the parking lot where they push the snow from plowing is taller [like twice as high] as the roof of the bar.
On the other hand the motel I'm in tonight is almost empty - maybe 25% full max. It is a place that focuses on weekend traffic [nice pool & atrium] and less business. I stay here because I just eat in the atrium instead of going out [its like zero out and way less considering windchill].
Talked with a guy at a company up here - does parts mfg for ag equipment, rec vehicles, etc. Pretty big company [like 1000 employees in the region - NW Minn & ND]. They nearly blew up last year in the down draft - they then cut head count heavily [massive 'right sizing']. A lot of that business is now coming back PLUS they are winning orders by taking business from other failing competition. Still off '08 levels but getting stronger everyday. But they don't plan to hire many back - don't need them. Many of the cuts were in 'support' and they've found ways to work around and 'lean up' the process. So even if they doubled business they might only increase employment 10%. He said in the last quarter after having 'right sized' - [Q4 2009] - they made more money than all of 2008 combined - and that was before the down draft. Right sizing is 'nice' - to them.
I think there are a lot of companies out there asking the same question - what where those people doing before?
High unemployment is going to be with us for a LONG time. A VERY LONG time.
Got meetings tomorrow & long drives... see ya.
[noob your reply is on last thread - next time?]
Comrade Kristina wrote:
I'm spork centric, being a backpacker and all—
We need sporks when we will all soon be on the road-
My gift to the commentariat for the evening. A little known artist that writes and performs all vocals AND instruments on all his tracks. I have his original CD. He hasn't put out another one but he is awesome and soothing. If you like Jazz or Soul you will love it
YouTube - Remy Shand - Rocksteady
broward wrote:
Be very carefull what you wish for.
I hope people aren't planning to earn a living from web ads.
Ad payouts from both Google, Yahoo, and most ad networks are way down from 5 years ago. It is a rare site that earns more than the cost of cheap hosting from ads.
I don't think CR works so tirelessly here for the ad revenue.
edit: sorry to be a nattering nabob.
Blackhalo wrote:
In 12 years I would be 75. I would be astonished if I am still around.
I spend my time building small websites on timeless subjects. Over time I expect they will gradually make the SS income irrelevant.
I happen to know a mistyped site name squatter here who works less than 5 hrs a day and is makin over $100k doing that. I said to him, um, how do you look at yourself in the mirror, and he took me to his nice hi rise condo, all paid for, and showed me. This is how. And I still saw myself in the mirror, just sadder.
Two things concerning today's CBO report, then I must go:
First, CBO expects unemployment to return to 5%, the so-called "natural rate", in 2016 (I'll probably be dead by then, so let me know how that turned out);
Secondly, CBO expects the growth rate to pick up during 2011 due to a pick-up in commercial and residential investment. Now, that would be interesting.
What sayeth CR on the second point?
Comrade Kristina
did you hear the joke about the difference between bill clinton and jerry brown (calif governor, and kinda hippie)
bill clinton never inhaled
jerry brown never exhaled
dryfly wrote:
In my happy oblivious world of academia, no one can get their heads around this concept. They still claim that is only for the 'corporate' world. But guess what....people who don't have their heads up their asses are leaving for more vital jobs and not being replaced. The end result is the same. Steady workload, less people. And these ivory tower morons have the nerve to say good riddance to the people who think freely enough to get through this downturn.
Even in the lala land of a university library, the right-sizing is coming, and it's going to Katrina these educated dumbasses.
josap wrote:
125 million jobs @ 40 hours per week = 139 million jobs @ 36 hours per week.
I guess I'd have to vote for Jerry then mock
Check out the video I posted. The guy is really great.
mp wrote:
Who in the hell will be doing the investing??
Emigration reform would be a more efficient solution than immigration reform.
Just take all their money and then dump the old baby boomers in Tijuana.
Kind of like a "Logan's Run" remake.
Mr Slippery wrote:
Links? You can register a domain for $8.00 per year and I figure hosting costs about $1.00 per month for a small site. Not much downside.
Joanna wrote:
The term "financial exigency" will be relearned in academia shortly.
I solved that problem a couple years ago but nobody listened. If there were not jobs here they wouldn't come. Every illegal you have working for you costs you 50K every time you get caught. Problem solved. No fences, no cops and we MAKE money on the deal.
Are you reading ZeroHedge?
Some FED whisle blower email is in Darrell Issa's posession. Intersting !!!
You's guy's don't know what you are talking about. Am I justified being annoyed that in the thread on the House Oversight testimony no one mentioned that the biggest news of all was the confirmation of Paulson as a witness?
Joanna wrote:
We're all going to write stuff for everyone else to read. It's foolproof I tells ya. You add in the good news from Italy and Greece and it's party time.
Instead of Fedgate, we'll get Acorngate...but maybe as evidence surfaces quickly, it'll be a double feature...
Joanna wrote:
I imagine it is the same in state government jobs. But if even one of them goes into default. The interest rates on their debt, starts changing the equations. Makes me wonder how much of the stimulus money just went to keeping operations going. i.e. rebranding an existing project and "canceling" the old version.
mhdoc wrote:
yeah and someday those plants will be big, and the harvest will come in
joking aside, i hope u r right
The Walmart that was being built here got busted for illegal concrete workers before they even had a building up yet....I think they busted ten workers. That would be 500K in fines with my plan. How many more times do you think it would happen at that price?
broward wrote:
139 million jobs @ 40hr/wk plus 5 weeks of vacation. Untaxed if exercised.
YLSP wrote:
Ooooh, that is exciting.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
I was kicking myself I didn't bring my 'good' camera up with me - beautiful sunset with the 'frozen haze' you only get with really cold temps and mountains of snow everywhere - and of course all the 'snow cars'... cars that haven't been washed in months ['cause if you do - the doors freeze solid and you can't get them open again until like May]. Quite the sight - a picture would tell people all they need to know about January in Fargo.
But I did stop and take a picture of Lefty's in Staples w/ my mobile phone - he's still there, advertising lots of specials [cardboard signs stapled to the outside]. Pretty funny. Next time I'm stopping and having a drink.
Okay.
Me's Guy's don't know's whats going on either.
I just read the ZH news regarding Fed whistleblower and Issa's report.
Bye-bye Timmy!
Who cares about Paulson...
"Who in the hell will be doing the investing??"
:face_in_mirror: icon
mp wrote:
I want some of those drugs.
well, let me give you some color on what is coming down the pipe in CA, SF, state U, to be specific. The last few week (and I know this from an insider who also happens to be my sister) there have been quite a few group meetings, where certain keywords were frequently repeated. Not "restructuring" but realigning, you know, good fluffy soft CA type words. You see, the thing is, there are SO many of these middle manager do nothing types, and they make a pretty penny for doin nuttin. And they are toast and have no clue...
Rob Dawg wrote:
won't work, we're already at peak production.
Seriously. The asshole contractors here are amazing. I actually had a guy argue with me that he HAD to hire illegals because he couldn't afford to pay more than 9 bucks an hour for concrete work....Uhm ok. The cheapest rent around here at the time was well over 600 bucks a month. He said he had to compete in bids with the other companies that were using illegal labor.
broward wrote:
Why would that not be the same thing as a 35 hour work week?
"I think the idea of supporting asset prices by restricting supply in some areas (by modifications), and boosting demand with the FTHB tax credit, low mortgage rates, and loose lending (FHA) is flawed."
CR, this is an entity that believes only IT can properly set interest rates.
Of course said contractor lived in a 500K house and was driving a 50K truck.
sm_landlord wrote:
Ah, I mis-understood Dawg's numbers.
Well, yes, that would work. That's basically what Europe is doing.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Same bullshit arguement applies for why people shop at Walmart. Can't (won't) afford anything else, which feeds into the whole lowest common denominator loop. The average idiot primate can't see past their nose to the global commons.
Is that "IT" in the "Wrinkle in Time" sense of "IT"?
broward wrote:
But 5 weeks of consumption with no productivity will take care of that.
Is there a Deep Throat in the Fed?
GDD9000 wrote:
That would be interesting organization that only dumped the people who do nothing. They are seldom the first to go, as they have plenty of time to play politics while they are not doing their jobs.
Dunno, but there are well over 500 deepthroaters in congress..
Joanna wrote:
When I contracted for the USDOT, I was surprised that some drivers were thankful about Federal regulations.
Of course Joanna. I live in Red State hell so they love them some WalMart. Hell, they don't even bother to get dressed to go to WalMart. PJ's and bunny slippers are not uncommon.
merchants of fear wrote:
It's probably just Krugman, Summers or Stiglitz seeing an opportunity...
This one is apropos for todays enviornment....
YouTube - Remy Shand - Burning Bridges
Burning Bridges....
broward wrote:
Parts of Europe have actually done both in some cases.
'I wasn't involved in that decision'
'I did not have sex with that woman.'
'Read my lips.'
Comrade Kristina wrote:
People of Walmart: a collection of all the creatures that grace us with their presence at Walmart, America's favorite store.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Cold weather has some advantages - I can only IMAGINE the tats & stretch marks covered up by parka's & snowmobile suits - you actually have to SEE them.
Good one CK!
Joanna wrote:
LoL! That would be you, Joanna. Where did you think all that $1.25 trillion for RRE investment, laundered through FNM and FRE, will be coming from?
krugman has been rippin on the prez over and over
guess he dont want no more of that roast beef dinner
Elizabeth Warren was on Jon Stewart tonight (link tomorrow).
Smart, passionate, as always - but with too much respect for "Barney Frank's financial reform"
Haha Joanna. I had a patron tell me they were at Walmart one day and saw some fat woman in the aisle with PJ's and bunny slippers on (literally). She said she was disparaging them under her breath until they turned around and it was her sister...BWAHAHAHAHHA
sm_landlord wrote:
I think I'm turning Viennese.
I think I'm turning Viennese.
I really think so....
sm_landlord wrote:
That matches my experience EXACTLY. Also, those with any real talent and mobility, can smell the doom coming and GTFO.
MrM wrote:
She knows who signs the paycheck...
If BB manages to get back in the saddle...will he just get bucked off real quick like?
Blackhalo wrote:
You can only imagine how nerve-wracking it is to smell doom from every angle, and be literally trapped at this one particular job. The state teat can only be sucked so far.
Luckily I'm building my farm empire as fast as I can, with decent results.
But the stench of doom aggravates my survivor instincts.
MrM wrote:
In person, Barney Frank is a witty, larger-than-life character, who happens to live near Elizabeth Warren. It wouldn't shock me if they knew each other and liked each other personally. So I understand the empathy. But you are right that trusting Barney Frank's judgment on prudential financial supervision and regulation is.... unwise.
This one is O's ode to the banksters....
YouTube - Remy Shand - I Met Your Mercy
"I'm at your mercy when you turn me on...I try to think twice about the bad times...."
MrM wrote:
She seems to have no political ambition. She actually says what she thinks.
It's refreshing.
Add-on: thanks for the heads-up for those of us West of you.
merchants of fear wrote:
QE2 will be the pony he rides and even the four horsemen dare not oppose his might.
Rob Dawg wrote:
I wouldn't be surprised if that's what happens.
Gov't workers cut to 36 hours and... well... the 40 just never comes back again, ever.
I can't figure out the job situation.
Dice up 16% from its recession bottom but Careerbuilder and Monster still DOA.
I had quite a few calls until this past two weeks which were almost dead.
Today a recruiter told me he had sixty positions to fill and I got callbacks for applications from three months ago but then nothing ever goes anywhere. It's very erratic and odd.
my imagination runs wild
Man, still 45 undecided on Ben. I guess they're waiting for the polls to get back...
sportsfan wrote:
No problem
Her main point was spot on: "We either fix the financial system now or the game is literally over for the middle class"
broward wrote:
Wage arbitraging their existing employees using applicants as market comps.
broward wrote:
I know a recruiter who stays in touch with me in case I need bodies. I have hired several people through him in the past for gigs running six to twelve months. Previously, he would only supply candidates for FT positions. He has recently switched to filling part-time positions. Which I find refreshing... some projects need the ability to mix talent in less than FT quanta, and he seems to have wised up to that fact.
Blackhalo wrote:
Or they are waiting for promises on their "requests for clarification".
But will they lower full time requirements for benefits?
Liz Warren likes Barney Frank's regulatory reform because the consumer finance protection agency is her idea.
Guest Post on Baseline Scenario, Liz Warren Mythbusting of CFPA
Rob Dawg wrote:
Heh, more likely things just not coming together on time. My experience recently is lots of clients asking for quotes but not pushing the button.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Ummmm No.
MrM wrote:
Couldn't agree more. In my wildest dream, Obama would accept Geithner's resignation and immediately announce that Elizabeth Warren was his nominee for SecTreas.
i emailed and called both US senators this morning and asked for a no vote on bernanke
followed by a recommendation for eliz warren followed by simon johnson
for the position of chair fed reserve board of governors
sm_landlord wrote:
Or they are waiting for promises on their "requests for clarification".
I wonder how many of these are up for election this year?
Undecided or unannounced (35)
John Barrasso (R-WY)
Kit Bond (R-MO)
Sam Brownback (R-KS)
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
Roland Burris (D-IL)
Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
Bob Casey (D-PA)
Saxby Chambliss (D-GA)
Tom Coburn (R-OK)
Thad Cochran (R-MS)
Mike Enzi (R-WY)
Al Franken (D-MN)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
Chuck Grassley (R-IA)
Johnny Isakson (R-GA)
Ted Kaufman (D-DE)
Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Patrick Leahy (D-VT)
George LeMieux (R-FL)
Carl Levin (D-MI)
Blanche Lincoln (D-AR)
Claire McCaskill (D-MO)
Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Patty Murray (D-WA)
Mark Pryor (D-AR)
Jim Risch (R-ID)
Pat Roberts (R-KS)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)
Arlen Specter (D-PA)
John Thune (R-SD)
Mark Udall (D-CO)
Tom Udall (D-NM)
Jim Webb (D-VA)
Roger Wicker (R-MS)
Ron Wyden (D-OR)
Rob Dawg wrote:
Or sounding the market.
I don't think that's the whole deal, though.
I did two real interviews in the past five days (not recruiters, hiring managers). Both were planning expansions but unsure of where they were trying to go or how I might fit in.
At least they seemed like real interviews.
... excerpt since I know people can get "link fatigue"..
But the real regulatory break-through for the CFPA would be the promotion of “plain vanilla” contracts that would likely meet the needs of about 95% of consumers. These contracts would have a regulatory safe harbor. By using an off-the-shelf template for a plain vanilla contracts and filling in the blanks for interest rates, penalty rates and a few other key terms, a financial institution can legally satisfy all its federal regulatory requirements—no need to do more.
Of course, some banks would want to offer more complicated products. For many, they could file-and-use, so long as they met the same regulatory standards of adequately disclosing risks and explaining costs—briefly enough and clearly enough for people to understand them.
A streamlined new regulatory regime would have a serious impact on the credit industry. Today’s complicated disclosure system favors big lenders that can hire a legion of lawyers to navigate the rules—and spread the costs among millions of customers. Those complex rules fall much harder on a smaller institution that must navigate the same regulatory twists and turns, but with far smaller administrative staffs. Plain vanilla contracts will be particularly beneficial for community banks and credit unions that will be able to divert fewer resources toward regulatory compliance and more toward customer service and innovation.
She's going to be the CFPA Czar...
sm_landlord wrote:
Exactly. How much will they get for being one of those who have to vote for the guy? That's what it's all about. We'd have to call and email like crazy, and protest like it's 1969, to actually make the vote fail.
2nd excerpt...
By changing from a bank charter to a thrift charter, for example, a financial institution can change from one regulator to another. The regulators’ budget comes in large part from the institutions they regulate. If a big financial institution leaves one regulator, the agency will face a budget shortfall and the agency will likely shrink. Knowing this, financial institutions can shop around for the regulator that provides the most lax oversight, and regulators can compete by offering to regulate less. Regulatory arbitrage triggered a race to the bottom among prudential regulators and blocked any hope of real consumer protection.
The second structural reason that prudential regulators failed to exercise their authority to protect consumers is a cultural one: consumer protection staff at existing agencies find themselves at the bottom of the pecking order because these agencies are designed to focus on other matters. At the Federal Reserve, senior officers and staff wake up every morning thinking about monetary policy. At the OCC and OTS, agency heads wake up thinking about capital adequacy requirements and safety and soundness. Consumer protection issues are—at best—an afterthought.
broward wrote:
Understandable. Well-chosen IT investments allow for greater cost-cutting.
Or waiting to see what damage the 'leaks' cause?
josap wrote:
Of course not. Even if "health reform" is dead, who wants to take on FT employees with benes in this environment? Only a company with a government contract (or a government directly) could make that kind of commitment with any confidence. There is zero visibility right now.
patientrenter wrote:
Yeah, that worked so well for TARP... Of course MA may have been a bit of a wake-up call as to how serious the peeps are.
merchants of fear wrote:
Yes, or more generally: See which way the wind is blowing before committing. You know, showing leadership.
this is interesting
http://marketoracle.co.uk/images/2010/Jan/us-collapse-18-11.gif
Article from January 19 on efforts to water down CFPA...
But the banking industry, led by a U.S. Chamber of Commerce effort, has fought a multimillion-dollar campaign to kill it. Such pressure on moderate Democrats led House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass., to narrow the agency's scope to win passage of his financial regulatory bill in December. The House bill would provide national banks a limited pre-emption from state consumer laws and allow only examination and enforcement for the biggest banks and credit unions. The struggle has been even tougher in the Senate, where Banking Committee ranking member Richard Shelby, R-Ala., has publicly nixed the idea. Amid reports that Dodd might further water down the agency, Warren wrote to supporters Monday asking them to contact Senate Banking member offices and create "visible public support" for CFPA in the media.
Allright, that's it no more links from me tonight...
Comrade Kristina
remy shand...checked it out very mellow thanks
heres one back for you and the commentariat...very tunefull and mellow
with a message for uncertain times
david crosby...great harmony
YouTube - David Crosby - Laughing
Too late, got to go
One final piece - the bankers continue to push back
"It is a nice little recovery you got there. Would be a shame if something happened to it"
FT.com / Global Economy - Big banks in call for greater co-ordination
The world’s big banks on Tuesday warned that unless countries adopted a co-ordinated approach to banking reforms, their ability to lend would be damaged and the financial system revert back to the “business as usual” attitude that applied before the crisis.
On the eve of the World Economic Forum in Davos, senior bankers deplored the fragmentation of global regulatory initiatives that have seen bonus taxes introduced in the UK and France, a US levy on banks, and the proposed “Volcker rule” limiting the size and activities of US banks.
Maybe mp sold him a cow.
Krugman is pretty close to my point of view on this. It's going to be hard for Obama to recover if his base won't even listen to his speeches.
Blackhalo wrote:
That's right. And in between elections we'd have to protest a lot more loudly than the easy-to-ignore emails and phone calls we created during TARP.
Well, that's good news. Looks like the non-military spending freeze won't affect the economy at all.
The durable good shipping chart pretty much shows the militarization of the economy.
Blackhalo wrote:
(D)s and (R)s following the 35 names reflect the D:R ratio as a whole. Must be a coincidence.
broward wrote:
Very few hiring managers have budgets that they can count on.
I really miss the days when I could get a commitment from the board for even a year's worth of budget. No hiring manager wants to bring on people only to face cuts a few months later.
This was true even a few years ago, but not as bad as it is now. I remember a few years back when I was told that I was unrealistic to be planning an entire year out based on my annual budget. They told me: "just because you got that budget doesn't mean that you can plan on spending it". Compare and contrast to the 1980s and 1990s where a budget meant that the money was committed.
More shenanigans in the morning.
merchants of fear wrote:
It's a disturbing chart, for sure.
Anybody know if that's how Russia looked just before it collapsed?
sportsfan wrote:
Yes, coincidence. The Senate leaders certainly would not be in a room, sorting out who gets the less than 50 stickers saying "I opposed Bernanke on cloture".
Looks like 21 Dems undecided...
patientrenter wrote:
yeah, we didnt win
but i thought that we did ok ,defeating tarp on the first round of voting in the house of reps
considering it was the first time the troops took to the field
patientrenter wrote:
Well, you would not want the "independant" Fed Chair nomination to be a partisan issue...
the ruskies looked pasty pale and anemic
and the people rolled over for screwing after screwing
dont think it will play out that way here
patientrenter wrote:
I'd rather party like it's 1999:
YouTube - Prince - 1999
sm_landlord wrote:
That's a good point.
However, both interviews had headcounts, goals and some budget numbers.
New market areas funded by existing cash flow but not 100% sure of specifics yet.
broward wrote:
What a weird way to run a business! That'll never work.
sportsfan wrote:
Nah, party like it's 1983:
YouTube - Rick Springfield - Human Touch
I probably should not admit that I helped make this record. But it's kinda cute.
Edit: and for the nerds: this was mixed on a system that used magnetic core memory as its main RAM.
sm_landlord wrote:
I probably shouldn't admit that I bought that album around 84 or 85.
sm_landlord
were you working as an engineer?
ever meet a guy named eddie kramer
sm_landlord wrote:
Nothing wrong with that song
although the old Little Mountain Sound Studio produced better stuff : - )
mock turtle wrote:
Yes. I was what they called a "technical engineer" in the biz. The guy who made the systems work, helped get sounds, and did the drudge work like punching in guitar solos and providing the third and fourth hands in mixes.
Yes. Several times. Although he mostly worked in NY and I mostly worked in LA and SF.
sm_landlord wrote:
No, you should be proud. Both the record and the video have strong production values.
Now the mere fact that the artistic endeavor is both dated and campy at the same time is something else again.
1983 is when I met the women who's in the next room and 1984 was a very good year for the dance floor.
By contrast to Rick Springfield's "The Human Touch," and whatever album it was on [no, I'd never heard it before], Prince had "1999" and the album of the same name [number]. It's a striking contrast, to say the least.
As fans of Prince's music from 1984 know, 1999 [the reocrd] led straight into the next number. I can honestly say that after 26 years, the ride is still so smooth it's amazing:
YouTube - Prince - Little Red Corvette
I have lived one charmed life and the little ones, who are now all grown, think we were dated and campy.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Your patriotism is admirable.
But the stuff that came out of Seattle was better IMHO. Heart, etc., then the grunge.
sm_landlord
alright, very cool
i used to race cars and met this guy at a track in upstate NY
we got to be friends racing against each other
eddie kramer
at first i didnt know who the heck he was
we just hung out together...i was blue collar at the time and he was for all appearance a very british gentilman
tho actually i recall he came from south aftrica?
for what ever reason our differences didnt seem to matter socially
any way , one evening as he and his wife and my girlfriend and i were hanging out in his back yard he said
hey wanna see what i do for a living...said sure
we drove down to nyc was about an hour south of where he lived in armonk ny
and eddie gave us a tour of electric lady studio
was the biggest mixing board id ever seen or imagined...as i recall 32 channels or something like that
and two soundproof studios side by side...built to hendrix specifications, or so i was told
CR,
Could you please answer Mish's comments about something that you said at Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Obama's Preposterous "Partial Spending Freeze"; Lessons of 1937
? Thanks
sportsfan wrote:
Prince was good, no question. One of the reasons that I decided to exit the business in 1984 was that it seemed like every band I got the opportunity to produce wanted to sound like Prince. I couldn't convince them the sound like themselves. Either that, or they wanted to sound like Ronnie James Dio, and you can't just plug that in.
mock turtle wrote:
Electric Ladyland was built by Gary Kellgren to make Jimi happy. I studied under Kellgren, he was my boss for five years in the 1970s.
Eddie Kramer was one of Jimi's favorite engineers. What a session of musicians for the Electric Ladyland album.
sm,
By '84, synth pop had fizzled.
sm_landlord
its a small world!
sm_landlord wrote:
In LA or NY?
This feels like the calm before a storm.
sm_landlord
Is Bon Jovi's Slippery When Wet not still the #1 album of all time, did I miss something?
sm_landlord wrote:
I can see where that would have happened to those in the business. He made a big splash. My wife and I each could relate to his music and, even more importantly, to each other. Those two numbers were definitely there at the start.
It's just mind-boggling to realize how much time has passed since then.
broward wrote:
LA and SF. By 1972, _____ and _____ had opened studios in LA and SF. They sold out of NY in about 1972, and as I recall, Eddie Cramer bought NY from them.
Oregon voters OK tax hikes on wealthy, businesses - Yahoo! News
Oh snap, I just told clients they were gonna shoot that down. WTF do I know anyway? Argh....
Broward did you get to look at Grignon's digital coin pdf? I haven't found a flaw, but I have yet to digest it.
mp wrote:
"To get from today's U3 number of 15.3 million unemployed, a 10% rate, to a 5% rate and 7.65 million jobless by 2015, the US needs to add 1.53 million jobs each year, on top of the 150,000 per month or 1.8 million per year needed just to play even. That means needing 277,500 jobs every month for 60 months. And that's just if you use U3. Take the far more realistic U6 number, and you're looking at a demand of around 400,000 jobs every single month."
--AE
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Last time I checked, it was Dark Side of the Moon. Produced by Alan Parsons.
But I haven't been paying much attention lately.
EvilHenry,
Bon Jovi is quite a ways down this list (if it's accurate):
List of best-selling albums worldwide - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Broward I want to open a cycling studio with 50 bikes hooked up to race one another. Billing, race results, video course... Do you do that kind of programming?
GDD9000 wrote:
Yeah, how unAmerican of those folks in Oregon to tax the rich and businesses.
poic wrote:
Thanks for the heads up. I still have a corporation in Oregon. It will be gone by next week.
I don't want to believe this, But fuck you, Oregon.
" GDD9000 wrote:
Oh snap, I just told clients they were gonna shoot that down.
Yeah, how unAmerican of those folks in Oregon to tax the rich and businesses. "
Someone needs to post this to Mish's blog and see whether he agrees with the solution
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
I have it up right now, I was skimming through it. It's been ten years since I went through Grabbe's scheme but one difference (I think) is trying to tie back the digital coins to physical objects. Grabbe had conversions to existing national money and trusted gold repositories.
I still say that the mapping of money to geography to physical force is an issue.
I'll spend some time on it tonight.
mechants of fear
word
this was the way it felt to me
during the weeks just before lehman face planted on the pavement
and the libor rate was like a kite on a windy day without a tail
sickening
Apropos of the rock theme, has anyone linked this yet? Bill Gross correlates self with rockstar, makes Johnny Cash reference:
FT Alphaville » An eye-catching quote…
Worth watching the Shanghai Composite this afternoon (local). Just back over the open, some resistance at the 3000 mark.
C
YouTube - Aerosmith-Eat the rich (just one of many recorded at Little Mountain Sound Studio : D)
sm_landlord wrote:
I remember when Thriller passed it. It held #1 for about 8 years, if I recall correctly and still is one of my favorites of all time. My kids grew up listening to that work by Pink Floyd and the staff that assembled it, which might explain their love for music (over video games) today.
looks like they have the votes
Senate to take up Bernanke nomination Thursday - Yahoo! News
Tx. There's a link at his forum to an open-source perpetual data project. Also came across bitcoin https://www.bitcoin.org/smf/index.php?board=1.0
Eh, one more reason to downgrade the Northwest region.
sm_landlord wrote:
Don't be too quick on the draw.
It's going to happen in many States and cities.
Movement costs money, you don't want to do it two or three or four times.
sportsfan wrote:
Dark Side of The Moon had legs. Jackson appealed to those splashing in the shallow end of the pool, and they are common and bland.
sm_landlord wrote:
Ahh, the days of flying faders. Someday I might bother to get my GML up and running again, but I doubt it. I have to fix the center section on my Trident 1st.
So many records from the 80's sound so dated except for acts that didn't have budgts to record in A rooms, but B or C.
to add to the current account deficit + public debt ring of fire chart, Deleverage This, My Friend
considering only public debt is inadequate (h/t Reinhart and Rogoff), even if it's just because of private debt w/ public guarantees like PPP projects
poic wrote:
Of course they do. They just hadn't settled the price for each vote, and who was going to plump instead for one of the 49 available "I voted against Bernanke on cloture" stickers. Now they've got it all sorted out.
And these guys actually expect us to re-elect them all in November.
Anyone have good explanations of how/why per capita income went stagnant in Taiwan, Japan, South Korea? Why at those levels
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
We are running out of resources and energy, and can no longer support this much complexity without huge diminishing returns?
Just a thought--
Korea encouraging more baby making? Once a month they make people leave work for 'family time'
sm_landlord wrote:
Wiat a minute, you're in California. How could Oregon be a worse alternative for taxation?
From poic's link:
butter wrote:
ditto for Singapore, Japan
Sound like Prince?
I always wanted to sound like these guys:
YouTube - Making of The Dark Side of the Moon - Pink Floyd - Part 1/5
Regarding the armed comments upthread, just yesterday I met a fellow school parent. He heard my US accent and asked where I was from. Told him, and we started chatting. Within literally two minutes, he told me he expected armed conflict within the borders before O's term is completed, if it's completed.
I rarely have a chance to mingle with Americans (in the physical world), and while his view is not uncommon, it was the first I've heard it among generally well heeled expats over here . . .
I suggested economic calamity likely, governmental breakdown less than 50/50, and social breakdown common enough on the edges, but the core withstanding the strain. "Rose colored glasses" he said. Too many armed and pissed and disenfranchised.
Federal spending or stimulus...priming the pump...which the admin. experts approve of

will again be to keep spending 'til the dollar tanks. Are we reaching another 'crisis' moment? What if we don't...reappoint?
'All the (Greenspan) stimulus (2003) did back then was create housing and debt bubbles.(true) Then it crashed anyway.(true but debated) Now supposedly the cure is more spending?' (not true according to the 'consenus' admin. experts)
-Mish making the argument you can't spend your way out of a bubble.
But if it becomes a 'systemic risk emergency'...the consensus of the
sportsfan wrote:
To my dismay, and counter to the urban myth, California is rated only moderate in it's taxation.
I'm sure we can tax more, and move up into the heavily taxed, but are slackers at the moment.
i have longed believed that
for any system, there is a level of complexity
beyond which, each additional unit if increasing complexity
results in an exponentially increased risk of system breakdown
Actually, I was always partial to "Wish You Were Here", with "Shine on You Jamie Dimon".
Set the controls for the heart of the sun.
sportsfan wrote:
Interesting article forwarded by a friend.
The top ten magnet cities, which unfortunately contain three of my own target cities.
The Next Hot Youth-Magnet Cities - WSJ.com
Re: Yogi, sent me an email about the bike software.
mock turtle wrote:
Tainter
mock sez:
i have longed believed that
for any system, there is a level of complexity
beyond which, each additional unit if increasing complexity
results in an exponentially increased risk of system breakdown
.
Totally agree, and Phil Spector is the best example.
What?
Oh, never mind.
patientrenter wrote:
The DVI party already 1 and 0 after Brown. They didn't see that coming and they won't see it personally until the primaries. Those are going to be interesting. Both parties have internal issues and I expect a lot of dirty laundry to air due to the inability to control the process.
Yeah...what's the unemployment numbers in OR now? Well OR used to kiss the ass of big timber companies because OR pretty much was clear cut to a checkerboard...but the timber companies cut and ran leaving timber towns to wither and die (and the spotted owl was blamed for all of it). And the big timber companies moved to where they had greener forests to rape with less red tape...ever fly over OR?
merchants of fear wrote:
Or Washington -- horrific! Took the 150 all over the state, finding small places to land.
If people only knew, or cared.
Ok, when we have a clearer picture.
adornosghost
thanks for the lead...tainter
just searched it up...hmmm fall of the roman empire due to societal compleity
thanks
merchants of fear wrote:
High but my point with that article is that people continue to move there, accepting lower wages.
mock turtle wrote:
Read Tainter, he is the thinker of the future.
mos def will do
good nite
mock turtle wrote:
Think I'll lister to some Nature podcasts, and drift off--
broward,
Portland is popular with younger professionals and a range of lifestyles who can't afford San Francisco...and like how Portland is set up as many small communities who don't like 'big box' retailing and enjoy mom-and-pop businesses and farmer's markets over chain grocery stores...Eugene is a typical university town and so is Corvallis...OR will always attract young people...
Anak wrote:
The WSJ article echoed comments I made during the poll for Next Fed Chair: Bernanke can not be counted on to be a strong leader.
I'm coming around to the same view of Obama. (I realize that some here who are there already). When I see the recent schizophrenic initiatives, I just cringe. Get tough on bankers - but support Bernanke? Focus on jobs - but freeze the budget?
Is he going into election mode? Promising everything to everyone? Maybe we'll know more after the State of the Union.
Earlier today, bearly wrote of the many FAILs of the Obama administration. Many of these are related to economic policy. Obama has to find the strength to LEAD, Leaders hold people accountable. Obama has had time enough to understand that:
If Obama doesn't see these things, may he just isn't smart enough, or isn't listening. If he does and doesn't change, maybe he is too weak or maybe he has made a choice to support the banks at all cost. Either way, I think Obama and the Dems suffer at the polls for any failure of political leadership - and it seems to me that changing his economic team: Bernanke, Geithner, and Summers, is key to showing that leadership.
Anak wrote:
Was reading a little about Julius Robert Von Mayer (entropy). Had to be institutionalized and refused to think about physics after regaining equilibrium.
The same thing has been mentioned at UC. Depts will be combining to lessen admin costs.
Jackrabbit wrote:
He's had a lot on his plate and what makes you think a lawyer knows anything about economics? That said, he'd better figure it out soon or there will be hell to pay. Of course, I think it's going to be bad anyway, but at least he'd be leading, instead of making himself a target.
Jackrabbit wrote:
Ahhhh, a reminder that Jon Stewart comes on in 15 minutes, as MrM advised. Still, I don't think Elizabeth Warren can replace all three of them; at least not at the same time.
Obama suffers from people perceiving him in stark terms, black or white as it were, but usually thought of as
YouTube - wimpy wimpy wimpy HEFTY HEFTY HEFTY
Julius Robert Von Mayer (entropy).
yogi, it is hard to fathom the first law, or once you have, imagine science without it.
But I can imagine an a cappella version of "Be My Baby", and think I would prefer it!
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
I entered "Phil Spector's next girlfriend" into the 2009 Celebrity dead pool.
It occurs to me that the environment for digital money is substantially different since 1999.
Gov't money is increasingly untrustworthy, net access is ubiquitous.
If you treat "trust" as invisible background modifier, you could argue that "peak trust" has passed and that the market value of "trust" is rising. If that market value rises higher than an offsetting ability to project local violence, the digital coin thing might be workable.
Jackrabbit,
You think Obama was selected, developed, and shaped by his promoters and handlers from nowhere to the highest office if they thought he wouldn't be loyal to his inner circle of advisors. Do you have any real knowledge of Obama's background? Such a quick rise was shaped to get him into this position to do the job outlined by his 'team' who created him.
The public has fantasies about our leaders.
Deflationary Jane wrote:
Administratively, haven't seen that yet at our campus. Lots of rumors on the academic side, though. In one or two cases they cut staff on a popular academic program and rolled operational responsibility back into the parent department's staff. Some tough talk about profs not teaching what they want to teach, but what the students need to learn; code words for cutting electives. Though I always wondered whether a UC ever really needed a class on "The Films of John Carpenter."
Would be cool if Obama just fired the whole bunch surrounding him though...just Hope Obama will Change...
merchants of fear wrote:
What is so damming that it NEEDS to be kept secret? What does Ben know and when did he know it? What is the justification in failing to disclose to the SEC the details of a government owned corporation?
What other shoes are left to drop? What other information has the Fed failed to disclose about the health of other banks that may put shareholders at risk? Whose Job was it to protect the the public from TBTF?
Fed Worked to Keep AIG Deal Details Quiet - Forbes.com
This story is bubbling up on Digg, and the comments are not favorable. The public is not amused. And record high banker bonuses are not helping.
Fed Strove To Keep America In Dark On AIG - Forbes.com
Anak wrote:
??
Energy can neither be created nor destroyed. It can only change forms.
Laws of thermodynamics - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Me too!
I admit that, like many, I hoped for more from Obama. I'm still hoping. (I'm not a cynic at heart.)
The close connection of his economic team to Wall Street is problematic. I'm sure there are SOME advantages but it is sinking him.
I was heartened by Mass. People need to hold the pols. accountable. (this flows thru to those who work for the pols).
We need more accountability in corporations also (as discussed earlier). BoD need to be more independent and more responsive to shareholders.
I think people can understand the need for these things. I can't bring my self to accept that
is inevitable.
"Peak trust", nice. The way information travels now, it should become harder to hide local violence. Someone replied earlier that no Fed Chair nominee has gotten more than 19 nays (we've added a couple States since 1913). Bernanke is sure to raise peak distrust.
merchants of fear wrote:
Kind of the same thing with W. Quick meteoric rise, and a dearth of real world experience.
Obama needs to find some new friends, but I fear he has been captured by the Washington bubble. Shame if he does not have some old non-political friends back home, that can speak honestly and give him some feedback as to the situation on the ground.
That riff that Stewart did on him at the elementary school was telling.
NY Fed turned over 250,000 documents...
All future Presidents will be Chauncy Gardener.
As long as they're brighter than Reagan...we should never have gone full retard.