good morning all
hope everyone had a good christmas
and i am so glad its over!

The best victory is when the opponent surrenders of its own accord before there are any actual hostilities... It is best to win without fighting. -- Sun Tzu

I appreciate China's candor. Nothing like a fuck-you to the rest of world. They are clearly feeling their cheerios as the trade surplus King.

Timmay will stamp his foot and ball his hands up into fists.

LOL. What are we going to do about it?

I saw this story earlier in my early morning noodling, and one tiny little thought appeared somewhere in my coffee-starved consciousness...

What sane economic entity expected them to change this policy...? Certainly the "I'll huff and puff and blow your house in" bluster from the Obama administration was certain to produce nothing...why did the reporter of this story think this was news? I certainly don't...

volker the viking wrote:

Timmay will stamp his foot and ball his hands up into fists.

He'll probably manage a 'darn' or two also.

JimPortlandOR wrote:

Nothing like a fuck-you to the rest of world.

O! and Merry Xmas. Have a look at the new salad shooter catalog. More useless junk? Or more leaning back by consumers?

Nothing price won't fix.

Way to go Free Trade.
I guess the Free Trade proponents did not do much contingency planning.

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

Certainly the "I'll huff and puff and blow your house in" bluster from the Obama administration

is why the Chinese made Obummer look like a chump at Copenhagen

The (mis)statement of the week:

UPDATE: China Wen: China Won't Yield To Any Kind Of Pressure On Yuan - WSJ.com
SHANGHAI (Dow Jones)--China's Premier Wen Jiabao said Sunday despite growing calls from trading partners for the yuan to appreciate, China won't succumb to any such pressure.
Demanding a stronger yuan while adopting trade protectionism at the same time by some foreign countries is meant to arrest China's development, Wen told the official Xinhua News Agency in an interview.
"Keeping the yuan's value basically steady is our contribution to the international community at a time when the world's major currencies have been devalued," Wen said.

Umm, steady relative to what???

volker
will he jump up and down and turn red in the face? cause if he doesnt he needs to go stand in the corner til he gets it right.
by the way what is going on that we need to be distracted by fear? been out of town away from computer watching(not much) msn?

The Chinese have been at the money game a lot longer than everybody else (er, except for that opium stretch) and they also have patience.

dfwmix wrote:

I guess the Free Trade proponents did not do much contingency planning.

One of the alternatives not planned as contingency: Under what circumstances would the US withdraw from the WTO, and renounce/renegotiate bi-lateral and multi-lateral trade agreements?

(in order to save the US economy)

gabyjan wrote:

by the way what is going on that we need to be distracted by fear?

well, it's been in all the papers

Good morning Coffee

And when the dollar devalues, what are the Chinese going to do about that?

"I guess the Free Trade proponents did not do much contingency planning."

Yeah, we didn't believe people could be stupid enough to believe gov't regulated everything was free trade. Working on that one though...

josap wrote:

And when the dollar devalues, what are the Chinese going to do about that?

raise prices

they don't care what happens, they are in search of being a de facto reserve currency

all they need do is nothing

Currency wars will be interesting.

Hu want big trouble in little China.

It appears we can assume they will continue the status quo (buy US debt to balance their trade surplus) uninterrupted and in perpetuity. Do they have any other option?

"And when the dollar devalues, what are the Chinese going to do about that?"

They're diversifying out of dollars. However, building empty cities with unsterilized exchange might not be such a good idea.

no_vaseline wrote:

Do they have any other option?

yes

they take the long view and they have been buying PM's, base metals, all sorts of stuff

also, they are one of the biggest producers of gold from their domestic resources

relax, a century is a long time, we're just getting started

josap wrote:

Currency wars will be interesting.

Bernake will need a whole fleet of helis to distribute the US $1 Million Notes that will buy a pack of gum

China is having its own little problems regarding overcapacity in mfg, CRE and state bank liquidity raising problem. Not much to buy Treasury's Hu said recently.

So, they wait for the race to the bottom? They have more ability to shelter their currency and move in and on? But if the world's currencies implode, who will buy after the carnage is done because then everyone is busted.

Its a fools errand. China overplayed their hand, they are using bravado but it won't be sufficient. JMHO. I'm not saying the dollar won't get replaced but I don't think it will play out in the strong way China believes it will.

Have we had enough Dooooooooooooooom!!! yet to call a Elmo! or Its not easy being green when the casino opens tonight? The salad spinner is full of Green shoots Team squid HAS to only show some good from the shoping season and it will be rally day. I think they can spin up few hundered next week.

New rule:

I can only watch MTP, if i've got an i.v. drip going. I get dehydrated waiting for David Gregory to ask an intelligent question, or follow-up. Thank goodness it's but an hour long, otherwise i'd walk the plank____

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

who will buy after the carnage is done because then everyone is busted

see, it may not get as bad as the doomers think

even in the worst of times, exchanges go on

markets become localized

and maybe if you could get a dozen fresh oysters to Fargo, you could make some serious money, given they like oysters

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

I can only watch MTP, if i've got an i.v. drip going

Morphine instead of saline might work better.

It's the last link in my Newstroika supply chain.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

I can only watch MTP, if i've got an i.v. drip going. I get dehydrated waiting for David Gregory to ask an intelligent question, or follow-up.

I gave them a year and a half after Russert passed away. It sucks anymore. The only reason I continue to watch is I'm afraid whoever replaces George at "This Week" will suck worse.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

Its a fools errand. China overplayed their hand, they are using bravado but it won't be sufficient. JMHO. I'm not saying the dollar won't get replaced but I don't think it will play out in the strong way China believes it will.

I'm not saying China's not in a position of strength; but you can be strong and also run scared from something stronger; in this case, fear of severe social unrest -- and regime change -- should demand for China's goods fall further -- and employment with it.

Remember, the CCP replaced the "iron ricebowl" with a happy dream of capitalistic wealth-for-everybody. If that goes away, it's 1935 again -- only this time, they're the Nationalists.

volker the viking wrote:

Timmay will stamp his foot and ball his hands up into fists.


you forgot- and hold his breath

China is in deep trouble... but not as deep as the US or Europe... They are playing a game of "currency chicken".. and so far they are winning..

Chicken (game) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

I love my Sunshine Minting 5oz Silver Eagle, so pretty. Note; do not hold in bright sunlight while looking! worse than a camera flash at 1 foot. One eye typing now

The US is in big trouble...but the EU and UK appear even worse. Its all dominoes and you're right, big game of chicken going on...we shall see Hu blinks first but it maybe while the boys are waiting for that a big asteroid will hit them from behind. Meanwhile, central bankers and the G-20 "doing whatever it takes" means sitting on their hands instead looking like doe's in the headlights. What a bunch of buffoons...ALL of them.

JimPortlandOR wrote:

Under what circumstances would the US withdraw from the WTO, and renounce/renegotiate bi-lateral and multi-lateral trade agreements?


It would require most of the sheep in this country to stop worrying about - abortion, gay rights, guns and god. When they are prepared to vote for somebody who is willing to demand that all our trade agreements require that products exported to the United States must be produced in establishments that meet our environmental, safety and labor standards and whose currencies are freely traded then we will have the luxury to worry about all the distractions.

BTW to show you how stupid we Americans are - I was talking to somebody well connected in the DC circles who made the observation that it was politically more feasible to hand out huge amounts to the banks rather than have the government take them over. i.e. its ok to nationalize the liabilities of the banks but not the assets - because that would be attacked as too much government involvement!!!. If our discourse is that stupid or that hung up on one liners we are getting exactly what we deserve. I the Chinese and Indians if they are not donating to all the crazies who want creationism taught as science they should be. While they educate engineers and scientists we debate whether the world was created 6,000 years ago and whether god placed the fossils as part of his creation.

Well, just restart the opium trade and those pesky uppity Chinese will be slaves for Westerners again. Just like Mighty Gawd intended things to be Smile

You can't beat Currently Smoking Cannibis !

If you thought you've heard all the crazy ideas of the year, wait - there is more!

And if you thought Ponzi schemes got thoroughly discredited - here the ultimate one.

Robert Shiller wants to sell out the future of America (and any other country, for that matter)

ECONOMIC VIEW; A Way to Share in a Nation’s Growth - NY Times
CORPORATIONS raise money by issuing both debt and equity, the latter giving investors an implicit share in future profits. Governments should do something like this, too, and not just rely on debt.
Borrowing a concept from corporate finance, governments could sell a new type of security that commits them to paying shares in national “profit,” as measured by gross domestic product.
Historically, one impediment to such a move was the difficulty in accounting on a national scale: governments didn’t even try to measure G.D.P. until well into the 20th century.
Although G.D.P. numbers still aren’t perfect — they are subject to periodic revisions, for example — the basic problem has been largely solved. So why not issue shares in G.D.P. now?
Such securities might help assuage doubts that governments can sustain the deficit spending required to keep sagging economies stimulated and protected from the threat of a truly serious recession. In a recent pair of papers, my Canadian colleague Mark Kamstra at York University and I have proposed a solution. We’d like our countries to issue securities that we call “trills,” short for trillionths.
Let me explain: Each trill would represent one-trillionth of the country’s G.D.P. And each would pay in perpetuity, and in domestic currency, a quarterly dividend equal to a trillionth of the nation’s quarterly nominal G.D.P.
If substantial markets could be established for them, trills would be a major new source of government funding. Trills would be issued with the full faith and credit of the respective governments. That means investors could trust that governments would pay out shares of G.D.P. as promised, or buy back the trills at market prices.
...
The United States government is highly unlikely to default on its debt, but even this remote possibility would be virtually eliminated by trills, because the government’s dividend burden would automatically decline in tough times, when G.D.P. declined.

Obviously, this is an indirect tax: you give the money to the federal government, but the payment is linked to the size overall economy, both public and private.
You also create substantial barriers to GDP restatements, something that the BEA did not long time ago (they went back quite a few years).
Most importantly, this is a one-time capital infusion. The government will not benefit from the secondary market. You get the money today, the next generations will be paying for you, so they will have to repeat the cycle with gusto.

But hey - there isn't a problem a market cannot sole, right? /snark off

While they educate engineers and scientists we debate whether the world was created 6,000 years ago and whether god placed the fossils as part of his creation.

I have 45,000 year old furniture, but you know how unreliable carbon dating is.

Maybe it's off a little?

no_vaseline wrote:

It appears we can assume they will continue the status quo (buy US debt to balance their trade surplus) uninterrupted and in perpetuity. Do they have any other option?


two schools - they have no option and as the largest creditor of the United States they have the problem. The other school which I am sure the Chinese think themselves in - by being the largest creditor to the United States they are immune from any US action and in a couple of years will be able to dictate to the United States. Is any American President prepared to have US interest rates shoot to 10% . ? We may have the biggest military in the world but the Chinese have the ability to extract tremendous economic pain. Maybe not today but certainly within 10 years. The Indian economy will grow by over 7% this year- not much different than the go go years- I think they have demonstrated the advantage of a domestically driven economy- I think the Chinese will learn from that. And when they do look out.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

The US is in big trouble...but the EU and UK appear even worse. Its all dominoes and you're right, big game of chicken going on...we shall see Hu blinks first but it maybe while the boys are waiting for that a big asteroid will hit them from behind. Meanwhile, central bankers and the G-20 "doing whatever it takes" means sitting on their hands instead looking like doe's in the headlights. What a bunch of buffoons...ALL of them.

Some governments may decide to prevent the toxic debt from destroying their currency, but most won't. I think 2010 / 2011 will be the years that those decisions become apparent.

The only true single currency that can go it alone is the US. That is why it is the world reserve currency. The EU would spin off into obstinate basket cases and resentful responsible nations. US housing policy writ large. The Japanese are too small and too export oriented. The Chinese cannot turn inward as their economy (and society!) is not oriented towards providing what their billion people need/want. India is not a world player and never will be until the Pakistan issue is resolved and I know of no one who thinks that ends well. Oil exporters, political instability papered over with oil revenues. Currency crisis is their real external enemy and for all their bluster they know it. Look only to Venezuela for what happens when oil revenues fall short of social goals.

For all its faults there are reasons the USD holds its precarious position. The Chicomms think they can hitch their boat to the USD and ride out the storm. No. Time they understood it is better to cast off than be cut loose.

Of the G7, the US has the lowest average maturity on its debt and the largest percentage of foreign ownership. If there is a change in sentiment, we may feel it sooner rather than later (seeing as how we have an incentive to increase the average maturity in the face of record borrowing needs).

The UK, by comparison, has the highest average maturity.

crazyv wrote:

I was talking to somebody well connected in the DC circles who made the observation that it was politically more feasible to hand out huge amounts to the banks rather than have the government take them over. i.e. its ok to nationalize the liabilities of the banks but not the assets - because that would be attacked as too much government involvement!!!

I suppose that by "politically" you acceptable to lobbyists, right?
I do not recall any grassroot support for TARP

China has stock piled allot of raw materials. How long could they keep their people producing without selling to the US market? Could they just stockpile the finished goods? Wait for everyone else to implode? While dumping dollars and not buying our debt, they might be able to ride out the strom.

josap wrote:

China has stock piled allot of raw materials. How long could they keep their people producing without selling to the US market? Could they just stockpile the finished goods? Wait for everyone else to implode? While dumping dollars and not buying our debt, they might be able to ride out the strom.

Hu knows...

Hu is on the other side of the Hopium trade?

MrM wrote:

Shiller said: paying shares in national “profit,”

What profit is he talking about? I see debt. I don't see profit.

Bond Girl wrote:

Of the G7, the US has the lowest average maturity on its debt

That's the Bear Stearns and Lehman funding logic - because the default is highly unlikely in the near term, your short-term borrowing costs are very low. This approach works fine until rather suddenly it stops working.

MrM wrote:

The United States government is highly unlikely to default on its debt, but even this remote possibility would be virtually eliminated by trills, because the government’s dividend burden would automatically decline in tough times, when G.D.P. declined.

And yet nobody talks exporting labor... We start shipping millions of poor people and prisoners to China and they become free labor. For each year someone works, China forgives $50 of our debt to them.

Seems like we played in this market years ago.. something ended it... I can't remember....

LoserBeachBum wrote:

just restart the opium trade

now give some thought to why we are and will be in Afghanistan for the foreseeable future

Thank you and I agree. That little hybrid experiment didn't work out very well. I do not underestimate China or dismiss them very easily. They have proven over and over again over their very long history that they are patient and ruthless. If the Chinese people ever rise up...oh my for everyone.

Speaking of rebellions/revolutions. I watched Dr. Zhivago again for the millionth time over the course of my life. I hadn't seen it in a long while. Everytime I see that film, it says something different to me, depending on where I am in my life. I think here in the US we mistakenly believe that bad things do not happen in this nation on that scale and in mass human strife. We've come out of a historic time of prosperity (albeit much was false in at least the last 2 decades) and social quiet relatively speaking. When I look at human history in its entirety, that is when my doom-meter goes off the scale. I hoped I would not live to see what is inevitable, maybe I'll get by yet. Its times like these I really appreciate my doggie friends the most.

josap wrote:

China has stock piled allot of raw materials. How long could they keep their people producing without selling to the US market? Could they just stockpile the finished goods? Wait for everyone else to implode? While dumping dollars and not buying our debt, they might be able to ride out the strom.

I speculated elsewhere yesterday that we'll be trading them rice for copper pound for pound. (Very roughly doubling the price of rice and halving the price for copper).

Bond Girl wrote:

If there is a change in sentiment, we may feel it sooner rather than later


I think an early test in the New Year will be when the Obama administration submits the new arms control treaty with Russia for ratification. If that breaks down along party line votes I think it will be conclusive proof that the United States in ungovernable. I think the first fallout will be in the bond market as any ideas of future tax increases to fill the budget hole disappear. I think it is quite likely that the stock market will also tank - as higher interest rates reduce the allure of stocks and the ability of the government to support the economy.

MrM wrote:

I suppose that by "politically" you acceptable to lobbyists, right?

I actually think the person was talking in broader terms- included Congress and the broader public. On TARP while there was not broad public support for it - that was largely because there were those who believed that the banks should have been "pre-privatized" and those who thought the government should keep their hands off. I think there were large majorities against the idea that the government should do nothing. If one accepted the idea that doing nothing was not an option then it was felt that it was easier to do TARP than have the FDIC takeover all the major banks.

"The only true single currency that can go it alone is the US. That is why it is the world reserve currency. The EU would spin off into obstinate basket cases and resentful responsible nations."

A few years back even reaching euro-dollar parity was "out of question", according to Americans. Germany is the biggest exporter on this planet with mere 90 million people. Americans cannot even beat that with more than three times more people. US exports are only twice of "basket case" Italy's (60 million people). Now that shows the real weakness of US economy, meaning CONSUMPTION based economy.

I generally like to tell people we've taken out a massive ARM to pay for the crisis. An imperfect metaphor, but whatever.

The bigger they are, the harder they fall.

So rather than dealing with the problem of a hopeless economic climate, we instead can just minimize the symptoms:

Alcohol substitute that avoids drunkenness and hangovers in development - Telegraph

"He envisions a world in which people could drink without getting drunk, he said.
No matter how many glasses they had, they would remain in that pleasant state of mild inebriation and at the end of an evening out, revellers could pop a sober-up pill that would let them drive home."

MrM wrote:

That's the Bear Stearns and Lehman funding logic - because the default is highly unlikely in the near term, your short-term borrowing costs are very low. This approach works fine until rather suddenly it stops working.

For a little while, you could just print money.

Oh wait!

"He envisions a world in which people could drink without getting drunk, he said.
No matter how many glasses they had, they would remain in that pleasant state of mild inebriation and at the end of an evening out, revellers could pop a sober-up pill that would let them drive home."

Sounds like Currently Smoking Cannibis w/o the drinking part.

It was the most complicated of options. Doing nothing wasn't an option but what was done because of the shrill who did understand was the worst of options. The solution was much easier than what was done only there would have been massive losses by those in powerful positions, politically and on Wall Street. Nationalization of the banks temporarily, then sold off to private sector while restoring banking structure. Radical, yes but it was a solution that was never considered in reality and would have been a less costly remedy particularly to taxpayers and those who HAVE been net savers/owners. idiots. This in my view shows me who owns DC in no uncertain terms and it isn't voters, this is no longer a republic or democracy.

Bond Girl wrote:

I generally like to tell people we've taken out a massive ARM to pay for the crisis. An imperfect metaphor, but whatever.

And started using payday loans to make the payments.

Now that shows the real weakness of US economy, meaning CONSUMPTION based economy.

It's hell being a fungus.

crazyv wrote:

On TARP while there was not broad public support for it - that was largely because there were those who believed that the banks should have been "pre-privatized" and those who thought the government should keep their hands off. I think there were large majorities against the idea that the government should do nothing. If one accepted the idea that doing nothing was not an option then it was felt that it was easier to do TARP than have the FDIC takeover all the major banks.

Yes, I think that most people wanted the government to do something to arrest the collapse of the financial system. However, it does not follow that the majority therefore supported giving away money to banks with few strings attached. That's a false trade-off.

When people close to the government talk about some option being "politically unfeasible" , they usually mean that they talked to people around them and like them and nobody liked that option, not that they polled their constituencies and found out their views.

and those payday loan operations are owned through a bunch of holding operations (to making tracking it back harder for ADD types) by the TBTF...so sweet (for them).

Rob Dawg wrote:

And started using payday loans to make the payments.

Smile

Lookie here what I found in Wiki

Since June 2000, Gregory has been married to former federal prosecutor and former Fannie Mae executive vice president, general counsel and corporate secretary, Beth Wilkinson

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

he solution was much easier than what was done only there would have been massive losses by those in powerful positions, politically and on Wall Street.

Perhaps you meant to say "even more massive"? Plenty of people, even powerful people, lost a lot of money.

I personally think a different solution would have worked better. Give money to well managed banks. Take over insolvent banks, and fire their management. Some could be fixed and sold. Others would be dissolved.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

and those payday loan operations are owned through a bunch of holding operations (to making tracking it back harder for ADD types) by the TBTF...so sweet (for them).

Won't it be nice for TBTF when we are all using payday loans and check cashing store fronts. Great profits and only the very wealthy will have acess to banks. Banks can then become the investment houses they once were and the little people can get reamed at the strip mall money stores.

"And started using payday loans to make the payments. "

Another approved lending practice from the Economist at Rob, Peter, Pay, Paul!

Shiller's idea is somewhat similar to Sumner.

Dateline Jan 22nd, 2012 - In Washington D.C. today President Dawg announced the formation of "Bank of The United States" as successor to the failing Federal Reserve system. US citizen holders of Federal Reserve Notes (commonly called money) are urged to arrange a currency exchange as soon as possible as the presently fixed 10:1 rate cannot be guaranteed. Foreign holders are encouraged to make arrangements with their respective governments for pooling FRN scrip as negotiations for repatriation swaps will be held at that level. Thank you America. Thank you world.

After snooping the other morning, I found out where profits and private holdings are sheltered. Politically and otherwise they say they lost but they are doing what is expedient (they meaning super/uber-wealthy...that includes corporate shelters).

Nationalization of insolvent would have meant just what you are describing, it would have been temporary and essentially would have been money for well-managed banks. Problem is, without structural reforms in banking including more strident capital standards on lending, the money would revert right back into the same hands with a different name. Without that, capital isn't needed at large banks...it is guaranteed now and will continue to be until there is structural reform and a return to more utilitarian banking at least for the main street economy. Wall Street believed they could exist and be profitable without main street and they did...for awhile...now what?

Now, banks broadly are in increasing trouble, even those well managed ones, here and abroad. The giant sucking sound can be heard in Antarctica of the what was once wealth from productive endeavors of masses of people going into fewer and fewer pockets. Like China, the hand was overplayed, greed is good until there is no more roast beef to eat and all the cattle are gone.

Phil Gramm missed history classes and biology evidently. Food chains are fragile.

Bond Girl wrote:

Shiller's idea is somewhat similar to Sumner.

My first reaction was that instead of trillionths we sell the smaller denominated quadtrillionths. Quatloos for short and then we could all be enThralled. We already do this, they are called bonds. He's just proposing protection against variations in the economy, those are called TIPS. He just wants to cut out the middleman of overt taxation. IOW, less transparency as to our collective debt. Bad, very bad idea.

In recent weeks the demands for China to appreciate its currency in order to help a rebalancing of the global economy have increased to include not only the US and the European Union but also developing nations such as Brazil and Russia.

It is what I was saying months ago - the squeeze isn't on the dollar or the US. It isn't even about us - not really. You all think the Chinese are sticking it to & laughing at Ben, Timmay & O - think again. This little barb was shot at their brothers in BRIC and also the EU.

Everyone knows the dollar is gonna slide - fine let it go - the question was what was going to happen w/ the yuan vis-a-vis the pseudo peg. Would they step up to be the next reserve currency and their answer wasn't no - it was HELL NO!

Well now we know. Happy New Year Mr. Trichet. Real French Sparkly Party Real French Sparkly

Also - on a side note - you think maybe this year's holiday 'sales report' form China Inc. to the politburo was delivered & precipitated this? I do. So much for the meme China can live w/out the 'export trade'.

...while the boys are waiting for that a big asteroid will hit them from behind.

Perhaps a comet.

Bond Girl wrote:

Shiller's idea is somewhat similar to Sumner.

A simpler idea that does most of the job for US private investors is to exempt the inflation portion of returns on TIPS from income (or capital gains) taxes.

lol...What to do Wen property prices bubble on Hu? sorry, couldn't resist.

Wen Says China Will Cool Property Prices, Stand Firm on Yuan - Bloomberg.com

“Property prices have risen too quickly in some areas and we should use taxes and loan interest rates to stabilize” them, Wen said today in an online interview with the official Xinhua News Agency.

.....

China’s property prices climbed last month at the quickest pace since July 2008, adding to concern that record lending and inflows of money will inflate asset bubbles in the world’s fastest-growing major economy. Central bank adviser Fan Gang said Nov. 18 that the nation needs to be on alert for stock, real-estate and commodity bubbles as global capital flows into emerging economies.

.....
“It’s difficult to see how serious the government is about cooling the property market,” said Andy Xie, former Morgan Stanley chief Asian economist. “The issue isn’t about introducing new measures but enforcing existing measures.”

In November, real-estate prices in 70 major cities rose 5.7 percent from a year earlier, compared with a 3.9 percent increase in October.

China should anticipate that inflation may appear and that the government will keep consumer-price increases within a “reasonable range,” Wen said. The government will also maintain a “moderately loose” monetary policy and a “proactive” fiscal policy, he said.

End of Deflation

Consumer prices climbed 0.6 percent in November from a year earlier, snapping a nine-month run of deflation.

“China will keep its loose stance at least in the first half of next year as inflation is expected to stay within tolerable levels,” said Shen Minggao, chief economist for Greater China at Citigroup Inc. “There won’t be significant changes, to maintain policy stability, but some industries with excess capacity have seen credit tightened.”

.........

If we can only create 1 million air marshall jobs, by building the requisite amount of airplanes, and training pilots.

To ensure flights will be full of the usual suspects, all flights of fancy are free.

dryfly wrote:

Also - on a side note - you think maybe this year's holiday 'sales report' form China Inc. to the politburo was delivered & precipitated this? I do. So much for the meme China can live w/out the 'export trade'.

China has some internal political issues, but the shift of power from West to East seems to be well under way. Capital flows tell the tale. The international trade system needs another overhaul, but what the new system will look like is hard to determine.

Karl D looks like he's expectin' to blow up (all in vein) real good, soon.

Mr Slippery wrote:

China has some internal political issues, but the shift of power from West to East seems to be well under way. Capital flows tell the tale. The international trade system needs another overhaul, but what the new system will look like is hard to determine.

Don't need any of that [Int'l Trade System] - the forex & comex will take care of the problem. And actually - it is now.

And as for the Ascendancy of the East... isn't happening until their currencies reflect it - until then they are still giving it away to us a la colonialism... just a different form of peasant servitude.

His idea is much less attractive from the investor's perspective. The government can pay back the share of GDP or the market price. That would protect investors to some extent, but in a major event, they are pretty much screwed. Unless I am just completely misunderstanding his idea. (I have a difficult time devoting much attention to things that seem idiotic even on the surface.)

Sumner's idea was to use nGDP futures contracts in executing monetary policy. That at least appeals to bankers' love of betting on random crap.

One million airport security jobs.
One million loan mod work out specialists hired by F & F.
One million home care workers to keep our aging population in their homes.
One million road construction workers, bridge fixers (we really do need this work done)
One million teachers assitances to help with over crowded class rooms.

If only I had the pancake makeup concession on Mrs. Alan Greenspan's mug, i'd be set for life. She was giving props to Sarah Palin on MTP.

Ok, i'm done with that show, cold turkey. over.

Oh JD...I need some Pepto after that. Props to Palin? For what pray tell?

josap wrote:

One million airport security jobs.
One million loan mod work out specialists hired by F & F.
One million home care workers to keep our aging population in their homes.
One million road construction workers, bridge fixers (we really do need this work done)
One million teachers assistants to help with over crowded class rooms.

The sad thing is that even this proposal will not recover all the jobs lost so far in this recession

Bonus Army 1932: WW1 Vets want money due to them in a dozen years.

Bonus Army 2012: Consumers want S.S. money due to them in a dozen years.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

Props to Palin? For what pray tell?

Original thinking, I bet

Luckily for all of us, the transcript isn't available yet, but it was ugly.

China faces a squeeze worse than currency. Feeding 1.35 billion people-- 23 percent of the global population-- on only 8 percent of the world's arable land. (Despite the country's geographic expanse, much of the western part is desert and unfit for agriculture.) China's fertile land covers 120 million hectares--only 0.09 hectare for each person in China, compared with 0.7 hectare for every American.

Maybe the wasteful growing of rice in the Central Valley is not such a bad idea.

One million teachers assitances to help with over crowded class rooms.

Are class rooms really crowded?

josap wrote:

One million airport security jobs.

That reminds me :

If the Nigerian was on a watch list why was not he required to go thru the pat down route? We routinely pat down, xray and use the wind sniffer on children and old people on wheel chairs; but here comes a man from Nigeria on the watch list and no pat down, no sniff, no xray; so more bodies doing the work may not add much value. I like the Israeli model myself.

MrM wrote:

The sad thing is that even this proposal will not recover all the jobs lost so far in this recession

True, However, there would be suport for those jobs. Payroll, suppliers, dry cleaners, micro waveable luches.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Maybe the wasteful growing of rice in the Central Valley is such a bad idea.

Central valley should be growing what it was before Mulholland - wheat.

Rob Dawg wrote:

compared with 0.7 hectare for every American.

I hope you like corn.

josap wrote:

One million airport security jobs.
One million loan mod work out specialists hired by F & F.
One million home care workers to keep our aging population in their homes.
One million road construction workers, bridge fixers (we really do need this work done)
One million teachers assitances to help with over crowded class rooms.

We also need jobs that reduces our trade deficit; don't we?

,rad Dawgma,

Despite you thinking that rice is the culprit for the drought in California, please have a look-see tonight, and watch some of the 130,000 almond trees being uprooted by one farmer, because he can't get the water.

Tonight on 60 Minutes~

It's time to open your eyes

REBear wrote:

Are class rooms really crowded?

Some are. But that isn't the real point, our education system sucks so extra time - teaching can't be a bad thing. Mostly we need jobs, jobs here, jobs that have some possibility of enhancing our lives, jobs that can't be sent out of the country.

Uncle Sam devalues the Yuan by proxy? Maybe Ben doesn't raise rates as soon as I expect.

China wants runaway inflation and cratering t bills while the rest of the world front runs the most obvious trade in the world? Best of luck with that. USD could run down to 50 in that case.

dryfly wrote:

Rob Dawg wrote:
Maybe the wasteful growing of rice in the Central Valley is such a bad idea.
Central valley should be growing what it was before Mulholland - wheat.

That would add to the unemployment problem. Not only because of the labor intensive crop substitution we have now but even our own JD would be out of a job without a permanent water crisis for him to address.

SNAFU wrote:

We also need jobs that reduces our trade deficit; don't we?

Yes. Those jobs have to be private sector. The jobs I listed could easily be WPA types of jobs.

,rad Dawgma is a funny guy. When he gets locked into a way of thinking, he doesn't change his mind, no matter what the facts are, that suggest otherwise.

Droughts and floods are damned interesting to watch. The latter is almost over just after it began, while the former takes forever to come to fruition...

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

Despite you thinking that rice is the culprit for the drought in California,

DO NOT TELL ME WHAT I THINK.

I think Central Valley rice growing is poor management policy and no longer appropriate use of an increasingly constrained resource.

Now, will you stop this nonsense or may I join in the personal attacks by telling all the world what YOU think?

Legalize pot...export it.. no 'trade agreements' for our unique strains. Then we can concentrate the money on the war on drugs to the ones that are really dangerous like meth labs, heroin and other really mean nasties that honestly need those full resources. That export would be in high demand and bring down that trade deficit. That requires putting some new age farmers to work too and different ag expenditures. Wink

dryfly wrote:

Rob Dawg wrote:

Maybe the wasteful growing of rice in the Central Valley is such a bad idea.

Central valley should be growing what it was before Mulholland - wheat.

Also - in much of the Midwest - Nebraska, Kansas, Dakotas - where heavily irrigated land was switched from wheat to corn 50-60 years ago... its going back to wheat now again as irrigation costs sky rocket.

One of the few places it will still make sense to raise rice in the US for as long as I can see - Arkansas 'delta'. They had 80 inches of rain this past year - broke a 150 year record. I travel there on business and it looks every bit like they had 80 inches.

josap wrote:

jobs that can't be sent out of the country.

Farmers markets are a big hit in certain parts of the country. In the past two years, I personally have bought all my vegetables and fruits in the local farmer's market. If they really caught on all over the country, that could add another million jobs in the farming sector.

josap wrote:

jobs that can't be sent out of the country.

IMHO, trying to artificially create jobs using debt money may be far worse policy than straight out protectionism.

,rad Dawgma,

You brought up rice and cotton growing repeatedly in the past few months as being the culprit to the man-made drought in California, your words.

And please put away your CAP-gun, you're a grown man, fer chrissakes!
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Regional lake study points to faster warming

Tahoe's surface waters warmed 3.7 degrees Fahrenheit from 1992 to 2008 – a mean annual increase of 0.23 degrees. During the same period, air temperature recorded at Tahoe City increased 0.10 degrees annually. (Sac Bee)

SNAFU wrote:

Farmers markets are a big hit in certain parts of the country. In the past two years, I personally have bought all my vegetables and fruits in the local farmer's market. If they really caught on all over the country, that could add another million jobs in the farming sector.

Ya - I go to the markets near us. The people there don't get rich but I think more than a few are learning you don't get rich in the regular cash-job economy either - especially not working at a big box.

My anecdotal evidence? Last spring I got a call from a guy who grow lamb. I used to buy from him all through the 90s. Then he disappeared. I asked him where he went to - said 'construction'... quit raising lamb & farming and went to work for one of the big builders as a contractor... he can't get work so he's back to farming & raising lamb. I bought the last one he had and told him to put me back on the list for next spring - if he has one I'll get a call [probably around April or May].

I think we'll hear a lot of stories like that.

Was on cruise when the water bottle caper in the UK blew up, had to board in Seattle, transfer in St.Paul to Menphis and change in Memphis to another carrier to our own town airport. We boxed and shipped everything UPS home and almost stripped bucknaked ,only carrying passport and a few dollars in cash. Grandmoms with big purses were given hell. We find that shipping ahead to our hotels is always better and cheaper than bringing luggage with us on our travels.

SNAFU wrote:

Farmers markets are a big hit in certain parts of the country.

I love fresh foods. Spent part of my growing up on a small ranch.

But the prices here at the Farmers Markets are at least twice that of the stores. Cause they think they are "special".

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

,rad Dawgma,
You brought up rice and cotton growing repeatedly in the past few months as being the culprit to the man-made drought in California, your words.
And please put away your CAP-gun, you're a grown man, fer chrissakes!

Cite? Come on you wouldn't lie when you said "your words."

Full Disclosure: I have no employment or financial interests in water or water politics. JD does.

SNAFU wrote:

that could add another million jobs in the farming sector.

and wipe out the grocers

It's interesting how the California drought dovetails nicely with the financial crisis.

2005 was a very wet year, but starting in 2006, each winter has been a dud in not just the Sierra Nevada, but throughout the entire state.

Greedy Unabankers and their political foils created $787 Billion dollars out of thin air, but how much water can they conjure up in such a fashion?

Shipping luggage is the only way to go. Fed Ex Ground preferred. Less expensive than checking luggage.

josap wrote:

But the prices here at the Farmers Markets are at least twice that of the stores. Cause they think they are "special".

Cost - they don't get rich. If you think so try it.

Local market producers are FAR more labor intensive and have much less 'capital' behind them. I bet they lose money at only 2:1 premium.

BTW - I worked in capital intensive ag processing. You really have no idea what it is about until you've been inside the belly of the beast.

volker the viking wrote:

and wipe out the grocers

Won't happen, we want our summer produce in the winter. We are very spoilt when it comes to the availabily of food. An those using food stamps have to shop at the grocers.

dryfly wrote:

Local market producers are FAR more labor intensive and have much less 'capital' behind them. I bet they lose money at only 2:1 premium.

I fully agree.

But with so many families cutting expenses they will shop at the big box stores to save money.

josap wrote:

volker the viking wrote:

and wipe out the grocers

Won't happen, we want our summer produce in the winter. We are very spoilt when it comes to the availabily of food. An those using food stamps have to shop at the grocers.

The grocers here are starting to selectively buy from the local producers too - in season when the surplus is so heavy they can't sell all of it to either 'the pack' or via farmers markets. That is a very short window of time here in Minnesota. Rest of the year it is trucked in or flown in.

We need jobs that do not require more then simple start up subsidies, not for ever support. There should be no job destruction to create a new job.

josap wrote:

But with so many families cutting expenses they will shop at the big box stores to save money.

And their fresh veggie & fruit bill is like what - 5% of their bill compared to 'processed food'?

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

We need jobs that do not require more then simple start up subsidies, not for ever support. There should be no job destruction to create a new job.

Clearly a government regulation is required. If you hire someone, you are responsible for them and their family forever.

longwaver wrote:

Clearly a government regulation is required. If you hire someone, you are responsible for them and their family forever.

We have that now it is called government, union job. Government UE is no where near the private sector UE.

Az has a limited amount of food grown here. So we ship most food in.

What we have that is local doesn't match the quality of imported foods for allot of items. My POV is, of course, based on my suroundings.

dryfly wrote:

And their fresh veggie & fruit bill is like what - 5% of their bill compared to 'processed food'?

~40% of food grown in the US is discarded; so food prices can stand some appreciation to reduce waste.

I too have been to the Arkanas Delta where rice is grown and mosquitoes are as big as small birds. Water, water as for as the eye can see covering rice.
My part of the country still has water coming out of the hills with fresh water streams every where.

SNAFU wrote:

~40% of food grown in the US is discarded

not in our house. That is insane.

edit to add: we also have a dog who will eat anything.

lol...dogs are amazing. I have a husband that will eat nearly anything too...so I'm safe. What kind of dog do you have josap?

On topic

How much longer before we see tariffs?

Rob Dawg wrote:

China faces a squeeze worse than currency. Feeding 1.35 billion people

And a rapidly aging population.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

What kind of dog do you have josap?

Wiemaraner. The dog will eat a frisbee.
Our room mate has a very old Great Dane, who is a very picky eater.
Friend with a travel trailer in the back yard has a terrier mix that eats sticks.

SNAFU wrote:

How much longer before we see tariffs?

when there is a successful case in front of the WTO??

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said

"The purpose [of these calls for appreciation] is to hold back China’s development."

No, dude, that's just a side effect. The purpose of these calls for appreciation is so the US can weasel out of unpayable debt.

The purpose of Afghanistan and Iraq is to hold back China's development. Get your chain of causality straight.

JimPortlandOR wrote:

One of the alternatives not planned as contingency: Under what circumstances would the US withdraw from the WTO, and renounce/renegotiate bi-lateral and multi-lateral trade agreements?

Armed conflict

"I generally like to tell people we've taken out a massive ARM to pay for the crisis. An imperfect metaphor, but whatever."

It's effective. US gov'ts at all levels have been playing the borrow-short spend-long policy. That trade has already blown up for muni's. Shouldn't be long now for The Feds.

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

Shouldn't be long now for The Feds.

were that we could know when

then I would be all in

but, not now

everyone (many at least) love to type bold predictions with date certain specific outcomes

not volker

Maury the Credit Responsibility Panda wrote:

he purpose of Afghanistan and Iraq is to hold back China's development. Get your chain of causality straight.

Sorry if I am being dense, but you lost me there.

crazyv wrote: "We may have the biggest military in the world..."

Just a small point that's totally without snark: We probably do not have the "biggest" military in the world. The Chinese do. Their military could march across any of our boarders and surrender 100,000 soldiers a day and after a month we wouldn't be able to house or feed them. We probably have the most technologically advance military. But that is it.

The Chinese have always considered themselves the "Middle Country" in more ways than one. And they have had Sun Tzu's the Art for more than two centuries. Let's not be lulled into any false sense of superiority.

just a small point

"everyone (many at least) love to type bold predictions with date certain specific outcomes"

Me neither. I thought the bubbles HAD to pop in '98 and '04. The ability to keep the game going just amazes me.

WTO was signed in what year by which POTUS.

The Chinese are eventually to discover the back hand of world market participation. All those letters of credit denied? The long term purchase contracts for oil made at $147 the reneged upon? The futures contracts gone wrong and unfilled? Those are the people with longer memories and more patience than even the Middle Country.

Sorry for the OT but never the less, market is closed..and josap got me started.

I had a dog once that would chew on rocks, he would clack them around in his mouth..another very large dog that ate an entire towel once and a disposible razor and lived to tell about, he would also help me 'landscape' by pulling out entire bushes and deposit them at the back door for me..lol.....now I have a Lhasa Apso (I can't chase labradors around anymore). I was worried about a smaller dog, I adored bigger dogs and had 3, one was a whopping 145lbs and not fat. He was a gentle guy but horribly mischievous. Even my all male husband who I worried wouldn't like a small dog totally adores this one. She is a big dog in small package and scary smart.

Be warned, Lhasa's are not for first time dog owners..they are wonderful but 'head strong' and like I said...smart and 'calculating'. She is my sunshine and joy in life, I'm lucky that I am able to have her.

Freego Walkabout wrote:

The Chinese do. Their military could march across any of our boarders

World Top Ten Countries With Largest Armies

Okay. Bring 'em on. And the two weeks they are at sea, bringing their force to bear what will happen?

Or this, the two long years bogged down in the Khyber Pass losing millions of lives, what then?

Two routes. Of course the solution resides within the art, less evident to some.

O! And because they have the bulk of their men under arms split between India and Taiwan, they must percieve the threat, no?

And go find reports of skirmishes between China and India. The situation is not so simple.

A nation is powerful if they can bring their force to bear. Otherwise, it needs to play nice.

Like I said above - this has little to do about the US - the memo from Wen was to the EU & [rest of] BRICs - in effect telling them to shut up or put up... "we are now done w/ the US and coming your way - happy new year."

dryfly wrote:

the memo from Wen was to the EU & BRICs - in effect telling them to shut up or put up... "we are now done w/ the US and coming your way - have a nice holiday."

...the memo from Wen was to the EU & BRICs - in effect telling them to shut up or put up... "we are for now done w/ the US and coming your way - have a nice holiday."

There. Fixed that for ya.

Freego Walkabout wrote:

And they have had Sun Tzu's the Art for more than two centuries. Let's not be lulled into any false sense of superiority.
just a small point

Well, yes though you could say more than two millenia for a bit more effect... Wink
For those interested, Sun Tsu wrote The Art of War 

Hu's kidding Hu? Tell Hu that we will never pay him back, and we will not default, the connotation of which I leave to Hu. All this, after we gave Hu the rights to the choicest drilling area in Iraq. How long do you think Hu will pump oil for a $1.30 to $1.50/barrel for himself and the rest for Iraq before renegotiating like Hu always does and asking for higher prices and/or a big refund? Remember the Alamo!

"Okay. Bring 'em on. And the two weeks they are at sea, bringing their force to bear what will happen?

Or this, the two long years bogged down in the Khyber Pass losing millions of lives, what then?"

They need to take Kamchatka. May take a turn or two, but stack up all the armies there, then come across through Alaska. I usually take N.A. from the south, but it's a viable strategy.

So, how does China maintain the peg, continue to buy Dollar denominated assets, like US Treasuries? That would seem to me to be putting an awful lot of their foreign reserves into one basket.

volker the viking wrote:

A nation is powerful if they can bring their force to bear. Otherwise, it needs to play nice.

Exactly right - all about force projection - why China is on a crash project to build a bluewater navy, IIRC they just got or are about to get their first aircraft carrier (older tech I think but ya gotta start somewhere)...

edit: link to aircraft carrier by 2012 to 2015 timeframe:
US Admiral: China to have first aircraft carrier by ’15

Rob Dawg wrote:

...the memo from Wen was to the EU & BRICs - in effect telling them to shut up or put up... "we are for now done w/ the US and coming your way - have a nice holiday."

There. Fixed that for ya.

Exactly.

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

but it's a viable strategy.

Risk master

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

May take a turn or two, but stack up all the armies there

Let's play Global Thermonuclear War! (not)

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

it's a viable stratespeaking of strategy,

take a look at this again:

World Top Ten Countries With Largest Armies

cool beans or what?

Blackhalo, the US dollar is still the reserve currency, so Hu can create yuan electronically, sell them for dollars to depress the yuan, then take those dollars and buy food and natural resources all over the world! Hu's not kidding me?

our puppet masters here in the usa were very keen on bringing china (and russia) into the capitalistic world

of course the old saw about capitalism and freedom and democracy being tethered together is just so much bull shit

so what "we" (the puppet masters) really got is what was wanted

...

we have me the enemy and hu is us

ps...wake up china loves dollar devaluation

cause the yuan is pegged to the dollar
Smile

energyecon wrote:

Let's play Global Thermonuclear War! (not)

Its closer to global 'Monopoly' that 'Risk'... I wouldn't sweat it. This isn't even about us - except we now maintain the board for everyone else to play on - the dollar. The best thing that could happen to the US would be some other country stepping up to be the next reserve currency. Wen just told them 'not us'. No one else seems to have the death wish so... more of same next year. What a surprise.

China would definitely co-opt Mexico and their ports using the desperate population there as cannon fodder in the first waves. San Diego is indefensible and we lack their callous disregard for human life and won't do what's necessary to deny them Baja to Santa Barbara.

Me? I like to sit tight in the Mexico to Argentina squares with all my armies until all the other nations decimate themselves then sweep into Africa and collect the bonus armies for holding those two continents. Either that or Australia and a march across Eurasia.

mock turtle wrote:

we have me the enemy and hu is us

this statement has all the markings of Solipsism Syndrome

mock turtle wrote:

ps...wake up china loves dollar devaluation

cause the yuan is pegged to the dollar

Except when they buy metal, oil or food. Kinda sucks then - especially since they also price low in dollars. Price low in a weak currency means you have less then poor purchasing power. Feed a billion plus with that Wen you can.

Re farmer's markets and costs: As someone said, small-plot farming is labor intensive, so the farmer's markets arround here mainly sell higher-value crops at high prices -- organics, mainly, but also hard-to-find stuff, heirloom crops, things like that. Some prices are comparable to the supermarkets at the height of one or another crops' season, and the quality is almost always superior.

But Joe Low-Income can't afford to shop there. He goes to Safeway or Albertson's or Lord knows where and buys cheap produce treated with God knows what which has traveled farther from its country of origin than he ever will. And let's not forget the Vietnamese tilapia.

On another note; went to the market this morning to buy toothpicks for party snacks; three different brands, all made in China. I'm sure that makes sense on some level, economically, but I ain't buying it. Toothpicks?

t r orwell wrote:

then take those dollars and buy food and natural resources all over the world!

China has been stock piling raw materials and oil for a couple of years now.

Bob Dobbs wrote:

But Joe Low-Income can't afford to shop there. He goes to Safeway or Albertson's or.......

........I don't know.......have you priced cancer lately?............

A nice sustainable oceans international agreement imposed on China. A world trade agreement on food as exempt from free trade regulations. A sudden interest in testing Chinese manufactured items for safety and efficacy. Copyright and IP issues being enforced.

The worst thing China can do and they seem oblivious to it is focusing combined international attention on their practices.

Black Star Ranch wrote:

.......I don't know.......have you priced cancer lately?............

We're a quarter-to-quarter nation. Besides, nobody plans on getting cancer. That's for the other guy.

Contrary to the popular believe tariffs and quotas are used worldwide in international trade. It is just USA dropped or lowered most of them with Asia and that created huge trade deficits. Without exports to USA China's international trade would be IN BALANCE.

EU and others DO watch their trade balances like hawks and endlessly renegotiate quotas and tariffs with others. Americans dropped their shields with East and expected Asia to do the same.

Nothing like that with EU-US trading negotiations, that is a regular horse show, tit-for-tat and then some. No favors asked nor given there.

Bob Dobbs wrote:

But Joe Low-Income can't afford to shop there.

Joe Low-Income pays as much or more buying processed food at WalMart. In part because neither he nor Mrs. Low-Income even know how to cook a pot of beans... so its frozen pizza and 'microwave frozen Kraft dinner' [I couldn't even believe such a thing existed until I saw it w/ my own eyes... Kraft instant in a box isn't easy enough - gotta buy it ready to microwave instead].

Bring back basic home economics - should be a requirement for accepting food stamps. Of course where would we find the teachers - its a lost art in all economic segments from what I can see.

The question becomes for Hu to decide if the rate of his accumulation of natural resources and food for his people is faster than the rate of his currency and the dollar's decline while Hu leads his country in global exports. I think Hu thinks he can have it all.

dryfly wrote:

Bring back basic home economics - should be a requirement......

wait a minute.........when will they take the other most important classes like "Intolerance Modeling", "One-World Ethics", and even PE without taking showers.

dryfly wrote:

Bring back basic home economics - should be a requirement for accepting food stamps.

Should be required in early high school. Just like it used to be in my day, yes I'm old. One asignment was to make a meal for 4, for .50 each. We got some good meals in class.

How many dinners for 4 can you get from 1 whole chicken?

LoserBeachBum wrote:

EU and others DO watch their trade balances like hawks and endlessly renegotiate quotas and tariffs with others.

True a few years ago - less so now. EU trade w/ China is exploding. They are where we were in say 2002-2003. China is making far more of its own machine tools [what the Chinese used to import from EU] and sending a lot more components & consumer products EU way. Heavily accelerated last year - I know folks in that trade personally. Even more so next year unless something changes.

EU might reinstate tariffs but if they did it would be a massive retreat from WTO [of which they are even more invested than the US].

Can't say it won't happen but it would be a real game changer if it did.

"How many dinners for 4 can you get from 1 whole chicken? "

Bonus question:

"How many joints are in a lid?"

josap wrote:

Should be required in early high school.

My high school even pressured us guys to take it - called it 'bachelor survival'. I did - changed my life. I'm by far the better cook between myself & my wife.

I'm convinced it will be the forex that takes us down. More likely than war.

Deficit spending will take years to have it's toll. I just told my 14 y/o daughter that she'll be paying for all of this backasswards fiscal policy. She no likey.

well, I'd love to spend the day discussing the important issues of our time, but I'm going "garage-trolling" today........buying more sh** to fill up this plot of sand. Enjoy, All..........

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

"How many joints are in a lid?"

Fattys or not?
Clean lid?

On topic: US outlook on China’s demographic prospects « Wasatch Economics

The US Census says that "China’s labor force may continue to grow for several years since the population ages 20 to 59 (prime working ages) is not expected to peak until 2016 at 831 million, an increase of 24 million from the current estimated level."

If their work force peaks that soon they are going to become more dependent on exports to support a growing retired/aged population. It also will be harder to maintain GDP growth rates with a smaller workforce.

Xtra-bonus essay question:

Relate the number of joints in a lid to the number of meals in a whole chicken.

"Fattys or not?"

See xtra bonus essay above.

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

"Fattys or not?"

See xtra bonus essay above.

Didn't you guys have Middle Eastern friends? On today's menu it is 'Hash Under Glass'...

Bob Dobbs wrote:

nobody plans on getting cancer

yeah, not much of a market for it until you get it

then everybody wants a piece of the action

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

Relate the number of joints in a lid to the number of meals in a whole chicken.

LOL 1 joint to 1 chicken.

josap wrote:

Fattys or not?
Clean lid?

You guys are all busted. There will be a knock on your door within thehour.

Nothing personal, need the extra 30 silver after the holidays....

Blackwaterwannabe wrote:

You guys are all busted. There will be a knock on your door within thehour.

Nothing personal, need the extra 30 silver after the holidays....

These guys... Steve Steve ... right?

Since we are already swapping recipes...

Christmas trees went dark, cooking was interrupted and other Christmas-morning activities were delayed for three hours at more than 1,000 places in the Santa Ynez Valley after a Squirrel! got into a PG&E substation.

I can't keep up with the stream of comments this am..... coming.... too ... fast ....

But, that is one COOL map website, Volcker!!

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

Relate the number of joints in a lid to the number of meals in a whole chicken.

If the chicken comes before the joint, probably a couple of meals for 4.
If the joint comes before the chicken, I'm going to eat the whole thing my damn self!

yossarian wrote:

But, that is one COOL map website, Volcker!!

looks like an end game risk board, no?

ric wrote:

I'm going to eat the whole thing my damn self!

and you other three can fend for yourselves

dryfly wrote:

so... more of same next year

here's hoping that Jenga tower has a few more pieces to pull out and move up...

By the way, following Volcker's link on the map site.... The US is not the largest army in the world, based on footsoldiers.

But of course it is the largest by actual expenditures...

We're number one. No one is even close to spending what we do. In fact, we spend MORE than ALL the other Top Ten nations combined!

None of this should surprise.

Careful readers will note that JD has been unable to come up with the citations he claimed proved I am a liar. More careful readers will also note the sudden silence with respect to his making a full disclosure as to any conflicts of interest in the issues being discussed. Truth be told he just looked at the national and state drought maps and there is nary a D3 (drought condition 3, severe) to be found. It was this same behavior that caused him to change his avatar on HBB way back at the start of the bubble on HBB. Apparently the new bubble is in dire pronouncements of certitude.

t r orwell wrote:

then take those dollars and buy food and natural resources all over the world! Hu's not kidding me?

But, if they spend those dollars... do they not break the peg?

volker the viking wrote 10:33 am

mock turtle wrote:

we have me the enemy and hu is us

this statement has all the markings of Solipsism Syndrome


reality is an delusion...all be it a persistent shared delusion at that

Rob Dawg wrote- 11:28 am

"Careful readers will note that JD has been unable to come up with the citations he claimed proved I am a liar"


i for one, have never found you to be a liar...wrong sometimes (and more often right) but never a liar !

Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:

I appreciate China's currency.

You have it pegged.

dryfly wrote:

Bring back basic home economics - should be a requirement for accepting food stamps.

But not for accepting billions in bailout welfare?

Omen ?

At some point, there will be more chinese citizens who will benefit from a purchasing
power increase than will lose jobs.

To hell with China. Their currency fix is the most blatant manipulation of trade imaginable. Fck them. Seriously. The US needs to slap some serious tariffs on all the useless crap we import from them. Enough is enough. Fck China and f*ck these trade deals that suck jobs out of the US permanently. Absolute BS.

Login or register to post comments