O boy howdy! If any here have yet to get a spa pedicure, I can recommend it. The girls must have taken half a shoe size off. Started smelling like a horse being shod for awhile. Anyway, what's left I can live with.
And I don't mind the color either.
So now we move on to the costume, they said some zippo miners will be along later this afternoon and they want me ready for something they call the Line Up. Maybe that's what the bells have been about. Maybe some of their wives will come along with them.
Yeah, that is why I added the graph to put it in context. Charge-offs have been at this level for 6 months (with noise). I expect charge-offs over 10% early next year.
That huge spike in 2005 is the common charge-off rate now
Given the number of lives that Capitol One has ruined with their predatory business strategy, I must weight my pleasure at watching their drawn-out suffering against the benefits of a more rapid collapse. Win-win situation here!
What kind of business model is one where you expect 10% of sales to be uncollectable? Of course it isn't that bad. Lots of the "sales" ultimate written off are accumulated 29.99% interest and usurious charges and fees. And those only after months or even years of the poor borrower paying those rates and fees.
Wait... so if I was levered up 10:1, and charged off 10% of 'assets', what would I be?
Well, if the asset were a $7 cup of coffee, for which the end user has already paid a $30 over the limit fee, and $10 in interest, I think you can afford the $0.70 writedown.
By the way, one of the sidebars of the health reform bill under consideration now in congress would allow those over 55 to buy into medicare coverage, which now begins at age 65. Just think for a few minutes what that will do for health care coverage. Even if the "public option" is discarded, this element , if included, would by default be the public option. Think about it. When does coverage get expensive? When you get older. And medicare doesn't care if you smoke, are 150 pounds overweight, etc.
If it is approved, it is hard for me to envision what health care coverage would look like 12 months after implementation, and I have been in this business for >30 years.
Well, if the asset were a $7 cup of coffee, for which the end user has already paid a $30 over the limit fee, and $10 in interest, I think you can afford the $0.70 writedown.
under consideration now in congress would allow those over 55 to buy into medicare coverage,
That died, fully dead, yesterday when Joe LIEberman said he couldn't stomach it, even though he proposed it on TV three months ago. Now being embalmed and the grave being prepared. The autopsy revealed no apparent cause of death except a psychotic family.
The sad thing being the evidence that people are more diligent about keeping their cards current than their mortgage when things get tough. The other thing is the hidden borrowing. For everyone carrying a very public high rate balance you have to know they have already tapped friends and relatives.
I'm not so sure it's a matter of "consumers under stress."
I'm thinking that Walking Away has caught on with a larger segment of society than the finance industry would like. I don't have any credit card balances, but if I was carrying some big ones and my card issuer jacked my rates up to make up for their own piss poor management, I'd be real tempted to start ignoring their bills.
As it is, you can talk about people getting hurt on their credit score, but as a co-worker put it a few months ago: "All I have to tell anyone was "It was 2009" and everyone will understand." The game has changed for a lot of people and good credit isn't holding the same priority as it has in the past.
LoserBeachBum wrote:
Jubilee is coming, one way or another. Either by some kind of new law or because bankruptcies will flood the courts like a tsunami.
awesome. can i haz free house, please?
Sure, as long as you don't mind property taxes that exceed your current PITI.
Even if the "public option" is discarded, this element , if included, would by default be the public option. Think about it. When does coverage get expensive? When you get older. And medicare doesn't care if you smoke, are 150 pounds overweight, etc.
Sadly, this was discarded. I was hoping it was included as the only reason I bother "working" is for health-coverage. So, I could have quit and given my extremely difficult job to a youngster.
I'm trying to gain entry into the exciting world of social services. After a day and a half on a bus, a near miss with my last day on earth, I am warm and making progress and the Swiss steak is starting to smell pretty good after two days of cheeseandcrackers.
Sadly, this was discarded. I was hoping it was included as the only reason I bother "working" is for health-coverage. So, I could have quit and given my extremely difficult job to a youngster.
Throw my name in the hat when you leave. I a very good "worker" as well. Being self employed kind of makes slacking off at work on the internet bittersweet.
As it is, you can talk about people getting hurt on their credit score, but as a co-worker put it a few months ago: "All I have to tell anyone was "It was 2009" and everyone will understand."
I doubt whether there will even be such a thing as a "credit score" in ten years' time. If it does still exist, it will be of nowhere near the importance it acquired this decade.
When the FIRE industry is finally finished augering into the ground, whatever banking industry emerges from the smoking crater will go back to using more tailored, meaningful means to obtain an answer to the only question they care about: Is this borrower capable of paying back the money we plan to loan him? They'll think it absurd that anyone ever thought a three-digit number could stand in for old-fashioned due diligence.
And people who are sacrificing careers, families, and health to keep this "number" high are going to look back in a decade and kick themselves.
the only question they care about: *Is this borrower capable of paying back the money we plan to loan him? They'll think it absurd that anyone ever thought a three-digit number could stand in for old-fashioned due diligence.
Isn't that just the three 'c's? Creditworthiness, Collateral, and Capacity? #2 especially will become far more prominent after the death of #1, sort of like what happened to the Beatles, but even 'Capacity'--the Ringo Starr of lending--will see a resurgence.
And people who are sacrificing careers, families, and health to keep their "number" high are going to look back in a decade and kick themselves.
That's especially true if they did business with the Friends & Family Savings Bank. My girlfriend's ex-roommate liked to tell stories about how everyone back home treated her so poorly, like a Cinderella. It was only much later she mentioned that she'd borrowed money from just about all of them and hadn't paid them back. Based on her career prospects and finances, she wasn't likely to pay them back any time soon.
They'll think it absurd that anyone ever thought a three-digit number could stand in for old-fashioned due diligence.
Three digit numbers are easy to program tho. We were working on a 3D automated avatar loan-officer that would ask old-school questions like "Hey, dude, like, dude, can you repay this loan?" but the marketing department keeps wanting to substitute: "Dude, like, why don't you take more money, dude?".
Principal Interest Taxes Insurance - The immutable costs of homeownership. One of those catch-all phrases for standardizing relative housing expenses. Alt.: Mr. Ts take on homeownership. "Mr. T PITIs da fool!"
Three digit numbers are easy to program tho. We were working on a 3D automated avatar loan-officer that would ask old-school questions like "Hey, dude, like, dude, can you repay this loan?" but the marketing department keeps wanting to substitute: "Dude, like, why don't you take more money, dude?".
Art Eclectic said: "I'm thinking that Walking Away has caught on with a larger segment of society than the finance industry would like. I don't have any credit card balances, but if I was carrying some big ones and my card issuer jacked my rates up to make up for their own piss poor management, I'd be real tempted to start ignoring their bills."
If walking away has "caught on", it's only in the same sense that losing your job has "caught on."
And if you were carrying big credit card balances, why is anyone who loaned you all that money obligated to keep your rates low when the risk to them is so high (because you've borrowed so much money)? By raising rates, they're incenting you to pay down the debts you legitimately incurred.
If you choose to renege on your obligations, that's not poor judgment on the part of the lender, unless you consider them stupid for trusting you.
This is a non-issue. As part of StimPak II there's going to be a cross-country water pipeline built. The Canadians on here should NOT be alarmed, as we have no plans at ALL to take ANY of their water and all the rumors that the pipeline is actually being built through Ontario is just a rumor. Really.
Selling and developing these credit score risk models, or just the service/result, was and is a hugely-profitable business that isn't going away that easily. The advantages of speed, accuracy and efficiency are very hard to beat, meaning transaction volume has to come down or hiring of experienced loan reps has to go way up, in the event that these models are abandoned. Using them without human supervision to qualify loan applicants for mortgages and other personal loans is/was the height of stupidity and bubbledom.
People lose their jobs, default on their mortgages and credit cards, collections agencies start dunning, the state and federal taxes shoot the moon. Is this not a recipe for off-book employment? With business overtaxed and individuals running from garnishment, isn't that the epilogue?
Bankruptcy laws will need to be re-written to remove the credit card hooks. But even if federal taxes are cut, states will seize the opportunity to hike taxes to pay for their overextended employment obligations.
I see cash transactions making a big comeback. Most Christmas shoppers used cash this year.
Why is repaying TARP such a big deal? Owe $10 billion? Issue 426 million sharers at $25 - find buyers who always, always show up and sell. Stock ticks down a few blips for a few days and four weeks later all is forgotten and we're back. Doesn't seem very complicated or hard to do.
And if you were carrying big credit card balances, why is anyone who loaned you all that money obligated to keep your rates low when the risk to them is so high (because you've borrowed so much money)? By raising rates, they're incenting you to pay down the debts you legitimately incurred.
They're obligated because they have not demanded any supporting collateral, and by jacking up the rates they have destroyed capacity to repay. It's in their best interest to keep rates low to maximize probability of repayment.
That is, unless, they have some foolproof mechanism to collect on their loans from an alternative source. Maybe the government?
Using them without human supervision to qualify loan applicants for mortgages and other personal loans is/was the height of stupidity and bubbledom
Yes and No. Huge bonuses were paid, never to be retracted, based on the illusory profits booked under this no-underwriting underwriting regime. And the losses are mostly borne by the taxpayers. So maybe the managers who instituted dumb underwriting were very smart.
So maybe the managers who instituted dumb underwriting were very smart.
pr - yes. hence the profitability from lowering the transaction cost and processing time.
that's not poor judgment on the part of the lender, unless you consider them stupid for trusting you.
Uhhh. I'm not sure what you meant here? Wouldn't "trust" be part of the cost equation? If they (the lender) gave money to people that DID think this way then that would be very poor judgment on the part of lender. A history of repayment and a rational debt level, eliminates the need for "trust". I wouldn't want to run a lending business based on "trusting" the borrow to repay!
Isn't that just the three 'c's? Creditworthiness, Collateral, and Capacity?
(Re FICO scores) I would think it would be just the first, creditworthiness. There is no collateral on a credit card of course, and capacity nowadays is a measure of whether all the offers can fit in your mail box.
Well, I got a raise last week so I guess no charge-off for me. I keep a revolving balance just for the FICO benefit....but I'm thinking after x-max, I'm just going to pay it off.
Times are too strange to have even a few hundred bucks hanging over your head.
Goodbye x-mas bonus....
Bloomberg: The U.S. House is considering reinstituting the Depression-era Glass-Steagall Act, which barred bank holding companies from owning other financial companies, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said today.
(Re FICO scores) I would think it would be just the first, creditworthiness. There is no collateral on a credit card of course, and capacity nowadays is a measure of whether all the offers can fit in your mail box.
While I'm not necessarily promoting the concept, some banks do offer collateralized credit cards for new immigrants and other individuals with no credit history. What's wrong with pledging some collateral to support a credit card?
Bloomberg: The U.S. House is considering reinstituting the Depression-era Glass-Steagall Act, which barred bank holding companies from owning other financial companies, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said today.
f it is approved, it is hard for me to envision what health care coverage would look like 12 months after implementation, and I have been in this business for >30 years.
If facts matter (which they don't appear to these days) the proposal was for people to buy into Medicaire at Medicaires cost of covering them. Thus it would have no impact on the structural Medicaire deficit since what went out would match what was coming in. However, it would affect Medicaire in two ways one positive one negative. The positive would actually be a reduction in Medicaire's future cost as those in the 60's get treatment for conditions that they might have waited to go onto Medicaire to treat. The negative is that as the population covered by medicaire expands it becomes harder to cost shift for medical providers. Although if you have a large population essentially 2/3 of medical service users what are the providers going to do other than accept lower income.
Now things have gotten a little more interesting..
I had it on good authority that a number of house Democrats wanted to postpone the "populist" attack on the financial services industry until 2010. I think those CEO's missing the meeting with Obama (even if their excuses are justified) have focused the mind.
volker the viking, you can level with us: Did you line-up a book deal before you did this? "Who You Have to F*** to Get a Job in the Obama Economy: Confessions of a Soft-Porn Employee", or some such?
I'd imagine a few finance lobbyists just left skidmarks in their pants...
IT departments too. You can't imagine how integrated the Zombie have become (internally). I'd bet that IF Glass-Steagall was in danger of being reinstated the IT argument would be used against it.
Oh, the IT costs would be huge, HUGE, I tell ya....
I just came back from a discovery meeting for a fraud case. I understand that officials in charge of keeping the wolves out of the pen can be bought. Large sums of money can be tempting I suppose. What is so freaking depressing is how cheap they can be had.
This isn't the first big fraud case I have ever done. I don't know if it is because I see this stuff that it taints how I see everything, or fraud and corruption is so rampant behind the scenes that it is everywhere. Maybe it has always been that way.
This is a non-issue. As part of StimPak II there's going to be a cross-country water pipeline built. The Canadians on here should NOT be alarmed, as we have no plans at ALL to take ANY of their water and all the rumors that the pipeline is actually being built through Ontario is just a rumor. Really. "
Recall that back in the 1950s when engineers could dream dreams and design earth changing projects there was a plan to pipe water from the MacKenzie river near great bear lake, up the rocky mountain trench to the Columbia, and then down the columbia to central oregon, and thence to Ca, as well as a plan to reverse rivers running into James Bay. (The Soviet engineers had grander plans). There was serious discussion about damning the straights of Gibraltar and taking the entire Mediterranean down 100 meters, then building a second set of dams accross the now smaller gap between Italy and Tunsia and taking the eastern Med down another 100 meters.
Back then the environment was not a concern just mega engineering projects. This is terraforming terra. Modern examples include the space mirror to limit global warming etc. We were going to use Abombs to dig another panama canal as well.
Or give big boys big toys and they will play with them. Recall the shows where someone gets to drive one of the big earthmovers and he describes the feeling of power.
NOTaREALmerican said: "Uhhh. I'm not sure what you meant here? Wouldn't "trust" be part of the cost equation? If they (the lender) gave money to people that DID think this way then that would be very poor judgment on the part of lender. A history of repayment and a rational debt level, eliminates the need for "trust". I wouldn't want to run a lending business based on "trusting" the borrow to repay!
Unless I'm not understanding what you are saying."
My point is that ruthless defaulters shouldn't be elevated to heroic status, and ruthless defaults shouldn't be encouraged. The extra risk that they cause doesn't just cost the banks, it costs the rest of us honest borrowers, too. Walk aways ought to have some guilt about it because they're harming our society.
Bloomberg: The U.S. House is considering reinstituting the Depression-era Glass-Steagall Act, which barred bank holding companies from owning other financial companies, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said today.
It's about time.........it only took 2-years to start discussing it?........good thing they got such a "jump" on it!
And if you were carrying big credit card balances, why is anyone who loaned you all that money obligated to keep your rates low when the risk to them is so high (because you've borrowed so much money)? By raising rates, they're incenting you to pay down the debts you legitimately incurred.
Kind of like your friendly neighborhood (insert drug of choice) dealer. Hey - this one's on me. The next one maybe not so much.
Well, it's a HUGE difference. You aren't NOT paying AND keeping the house. Your giving the house back. It's an investment decision ON an investment. Any rational bank would do exactly the same thing.
Man, folks here are being nice to you today.....
Me, not so much....your comment on CC rates shows just how much socialize the losses and privatize the gains has become the dominant way of doing business...
I get my rates jacked up, even though it was the cc cos that skipped on any due diligence. Nice how that works....oh, and my taxes & my childrens' taxes helped you do this....
My point is that ruthless defaulters shouldn't be elevated to heroic status, and ruthless defaults shouldn't be encouraged.
Default is a contractual issue. Why would you inject a moral tone by adding the word 'ruthless' to it?
Was Cerberus "ruthless" when it cited "uncertainty in the credit and financing markets" for walking away from its LBO of United Rentals?
Were KKR and Goldman Sachs "ruthless" when they pulled out of their deal to buy Harman International?
Was JC Flowers "ruthless" when they walked away from their LBO of Sallie Mae, then went to court to contest the $900 million breakup fee?
It's really more a matter of enlightened self-interest. Of course, we know that rich and poor alike are forbidden to steal bread and sleep under bridges.
Capital one charge-offs continue because they intentionally drive their customers over the cliff.
For the last several months I have been trying to close my capital one card with a zero balance.
The thing is they don’t respond to written correspondence and will only talk to you if you promise to agree to all their terms (which you can't get in writing!)
Even after being contacted by the credit agencies (which struck Capital One off) they still send me bills! They charged me a yearly member fee then sent it to collections!
Ho ho ho
Nemo, leave Volkers new friends out of this
Looks like every month is one time spike nowadays.
somehow the 2005 BK "reform" didn't work as intended.
Cool, new highs every month.
oh wait ....
If congress ever allows BK mortgage cram downs, the numbers we see today will be low.
It appears we've reached a permanent plateau.
O boy howdy! If any here have yet to get a spa pedicure, I can recommend it. The girls must have taken half a shoe size off. Started smelling like a horse being shod for awhile. Anyway, what's left I can live with.
And I don't mind the color either.
So now we move on to the costume, they said some zippo miners will be along later this afternoon and they want me ready for something they call the Line Up. Maybe that's what the bells have been about. Maybe some of their wives will come along with them.
Yeah, that is why I added the graph to put it in context. Charge-offs have been at this level for 6 months (with noise). I expect charge-offs over 10% early next year.
That huge spike in 2005 is the common charge-off rate now
best to all
OT but funny.
YouTube - The 12 Months Of Default (Christmas Song)
steelhead wrote:
Not OT... I'm sure they charged their vacation.
Given the number of lives that Capitol One has ruined with their predatory business strategy, I must weight my pleasure at watching their drawn-out suffering against the benefits of a more rapid collapse. Win-win situation here!
What kind of business model is one where you expect 10% of sales to be uncollectable? Of course it isn't that bad. Lots of the "sales" ultimate written off are accumulated 29.99% interest and usurious charges and fees. And those only after months or even years of the poor borrower paying those rates and fees.
What's in your Serta?
From last thread
Shill's Article:
A Case for the Inflation Camp - Robert P. Murphy - Mises Institute
Accord:
Fed’s Road to Neutral Is Riddled With Potholes: Caroline Baum - Bloomberg.com
Wait... so if I was levered up 10:1, and charged off 10% of 'assets', what would I be?
originate the accounts, securitize them, and reap the servicing fees.
Humph, Crapital One is losing more money?
Gee, hoocoodanode?
After all, what was subprime is now a loss.
What's in your wallet? A loss for CapOne!!!
Someday this war's gonna end...
Jonathan wrote:
Well, if the asset were a $7 cup of coffee, for which the end user has already paid a $30 over the limit fee, and $10 in interest, I think you can afford the $0.70 writedown.
By the way, one of the sidebars of the health reform bill under consideration now in congress would allow those over 55 to buy into medicare coverage, which now begins at age 65. Just think for a few minutes what that will do for health care coverage. Even if the "public option" is discarded, this element , if included, would by default be the public option. Think about it. When does coverage get expensive? When you get older. And medicare doesn't care if you smoke, are 150 pounds overweight, etc.
If it is approved, it is hard for me to envision what health care coverage would look like 12 months after implementation, and I have been in this business for >30 years.
BinT
Bruce in Tennessee wrote:
Not any more.
Thanks, Joe Lieberman, you asshole.
So the answer is...
Highly-rewarded Lord of Finance.
Bonuses, hookers and blow all round then.
Bruce in Tennessee wrote:
That died, fully dead, yesterday when Joe LIEberman said he couldn't stomach it, even though he proposed it on TV three months ago. Now being embalmed and the grave being prepared. The autopsy revealed no apparent cause of death except a psychotic family.
Jonathan wrote:
What is 'bankrupt', Alex.
I'll take Regulatory Capital requirements for $200, please...
The sad thing being the evidence that people are more diligent about keeping their cards current than their mortgage when things get tough. The other thing is the hidden borrowing. For everyone carrying a very public high rate balance you have to know they have already tapped friends and relatives.
Jubilee is coming, one way or another. Either by some kind of new law or because bankruptcies will flood the courts like a tsunami.
Eric wrote:
One hero, making a difference!!!!
Vs a whole party of goats. Why does Joe even get airtime?
While things are slow here, can somebody summarize what the hell Volker the Viking is doing today (new job?)
What's the best way to get a spot at the lard-laden trough Hope, Ben & Timmay are overfilling ?
I know self-reported surveys aren't very trustworthy, but this can't be a good sign:
Gallup Economic Weekly: Spending Lacks Luster
Spending off 20% from 2008 Christmas season? Horrific if true.
http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/1731-To-Congress-Your-Loan-Has-Been-Called.html
Rob Dawg wrote:
How does this compare to Fed MBS purchases?
That gallup poll explains why the dow is tanking. Down 15 as we speak.
Bruce in Tennessee wrote:
Yet.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Well, they closed the home ATM, so what else could they do? Besides, they may not be planning on paying that back either.
I'm not so sure it's a matter of "consumers under stress."
I'm thinking that Walking Away has caught on with a larger segment of society than the finance industry would like. I don't have any credit card balances, but if I was carrying some big ones and my card issuer jacked my rates up to make up for their own piss poor management, I'd be real tempted to start ignoring their bills.
As it is, you can talk about people getting hurt on their credit score, but as a co-worker put it a few months ago: "All I have to tell anyone was "It was 2009" and everyone will understand." The game has changed for a lot of people and good credit isn't holding the same priority as it has in the past.
JimPortlandOR wrote:
yep, so far it's looking good
hope there's no hitch in the giddy up
Charles Kiting wrote:
Neither will any public option. The plan is to cover everyone, right?
LoserBeachBum wrote:
awesome. can i haz free house, please?
JiminPortland, (new job) !!!!!! Funny.
RockyR wrote:
Sure, as long as you don't mind property taxes that exceed your current PITI.
Rob Dawg wrote:
buzz kill
Bruce in Tennessee wrote:
Sadly, this was discarded. I was hoping it was included as the only reason I bother "working" is for health-coverage. So, I could have quit and given my extremely difficult job to a youngster.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Please add PITI to the glossary- Thanks...
JimPortlandOR wrote:
Utilizing his natural talents. You know, he was in advertising before,...
sdtfs wrote:
What kind of job?
sdtfs wrote:
still am
JimPortlandOR wrote:
Vegas Viking Lodge 6-152 Sons of Norway ?
Cinco-X wrote:
Some are more equal than others.
volker the viking wrote:
"What are you advertising?"
.
"Deeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeze nuts!"
per Ken Feinberg just now on NPR, some of the pay cap exemptions were requested by Treasury.......Boy, could we use a follow-up on that!
Christmas 2009 brought to you by Bankruptcy 2010.
When you ain't got nothing, you got nothing to lose.
Kids' Swine flu shots recalled; not strong enough - Yahoo! News
yagij wrote:
I'm trying to gain entry into the exciting world of social services. After a day and a half on a bus, a near miss with my last day on earth, I am warm and making progress and the Swiss steak is starting to smell pretty good after two days of cheeseandcrackers.
Shady Lady Ranch - a Nevada Brothel
hell, they advertised for a few good men
that's me!
I imagine charge-offs should decline in January and February. I don't know why, but everything else seems to be upside-down lately, so why not?
REBear wrote:
Not so much Orwellian as OrsonWellsian.
Speed wrote:
Curse my spend-thrift ways! I'm trying to make it through '10 without BK, and yet, I'm probably missing out on Yet Another J6P Bailout!
Cinco-X wrote:
Done. With free snark.
Narm:
Throw my name in the hat when you leave. I a very good "worker" as well. Being self employed kind of makes slacking off at work on the internet bittersweet.
I doubt whether there will even be such a thing as a "credit score" in ten years' time. If it does still exist, it will be of nowhere near the importance it acquired this decade.
When the FIRE industry is finally finished augering into the ground, whatever banking industry emerges from the smoking crater will go back to using more tailored, meaningful means to obtain an answer to the only question they care about: Is this borrower capable of paying back the money we plan to loan him? They'll think it absurd that anyone ever thought a three-digit number could stand in for old-fashioned due diligence.
And people who are sacrificing careers, families, and health to keep this "number" high are going to look back in a decade and kick themselves.
Mook wrote:
Mook wrote:
Isn't that just the three 'c's? Creditworthiness, Collateral, and Capacity? #2 especially will become far more prominent after the death of #1, sort of like what happened to the Beatles, but even 'Capacity'--the Ringo Starr of lending--will see a resurgence.
Mook wrote:
That's especially true if they did business with the Friends & Family Savings Bank. My girlfriend's ex-roommate liked to tell stories about how everyone back home treated her so poorly, like a Cinderella. It was only much later she mentioned that she'd borrowed money from just about all of them and hadn't paid them back. Based on her career prospects and finances, she wasn't likely to pay them back any time soon.
Mook wrote:
Three digit numbers are easy to program tho. We were working on a 3D automated avatar loan-officer that would ask old-school questions like "Hey, dude, like, dude, can you repay this loan?" but the marketing department keeps wanting to substitute: "Dude, like, why don't you take more money, dude?".
Note: the language module is generational-aware.
Points To Ponder
Here is another Bank "Thorn" to be concerned with:
http://www.occ.treas.gov/FTP/RELEASE/2009-34A.PDF
OT -
Rob Dawg - re: drought
US Drought Monitor
http://www.engr.colostate.edu/~jsalas/classes/ce624/Handouts/20th%20century%20drought-Heim-02.pdf
Rob Dawg wrote:
Nice:
NOTaREALmerican wrote:
I'm not your dude, bro!
Art Eclectic said: "I'm thinking that Walking Away has caught on with a larger segment of society than the finance industry would like. I don't have any credit card balances, but if I was carrying some big ones and my card issuer jacked my rates up to make up for their own piss poor management, I'd be real tempted to start ignoring their bills."
If walking away has "caught on", it's only in the same sense that losing your job has "caught on."
And if you were carrying big credit card balances, why is anyone who loaned you all that money obligated to keep your rates low when the risk to them is so high (because you've borrowed so much money)? By raising rates, they're incenting you to pay down the debts you legitimately incurred.
If you choose to renege on your obligations, that's not poor judgment on the part of the lender, unless you consider them stupid for trusting you.
Sebastian
yagij wrote:
Male stripper try-outs in a Nevada brothel.
dum luk wrote:
This is a non-issue. As part of StimPak II there's going to be a cross-country water pipeline built. The Canadians on here should NOT be alarmed, as we have no plans at ALL to take ANY of their water and all the rumors that the pipeline is actually being built through Ontario is just a rumor. Really.
Sebastian wrote:
And your point is?
Selling and developing these credit score risk models, or just the service/result, was and is a hugely-profitable business that isn't going away that easily. The advantages of speed, accuracy and efficiency are very hard to beat, meaning transaction volume has to come down or hiring of experienced loan reps has to go way up, in the event that these models are abandoned. Using them without human supervision to qualify loan applicants for mortgages and other personal loans is/was the height of stupidity and bubbledom.
People lose their jobs, default on their mortgages and credit cards, collections agencies start dunning, the state and federal taxes shoot the moon. Is this not a recipe for off-book employment? With business overtaxed and individuals running from garnishment, isn't that the epilogue?
Bankruptcy laws will need to be re-written to remove the credit card hooks. But even if federal taxes are cut, states will seize the opportunity to hike taxes to pay for their overextended employment obligations.
I see cash transactions making a big comeback. Most Christmas shoppers used cash this year.
broward wrote:
For the record, it was JimPortlandOR that asked the question!
Sebastian wrote:
...and their stupidity should be rewarded - - why ?
broward wrote:
eat yer heart out
Sebastian wrote:
I blame it on the lender overly trusting formerly reliable econometric models.
Why is repaying TARP such a big deal? Owe $10 billion? Issue 426 million sharers at $25 - find buyers who always, always show up and sell. Stock ticks down a few blips for a few days and four weeks later all is forgotten and we're back. Doesn't seem very complicated or hard to do.
Sebastian wrote:
They're obligated because they have not demanded any supporting collateral, and by jacking up the rates they have destroyed capacity to repay. It's in their best interest to keep rates low to maximize probability of repayment.
That is, unless, they have some foolproof mechanism to collect on their loans from an alternative source. Maybe the government?
Sorry, yagij, I'm still used to the nested reply in Usenet news.
Deflation in dating land - I got an email for a Speed Dating event reduced from $35 to $20 (for men only, though).
I'd seen that before in 2008.
Men are the first to bail out on cost when it comes to dating.
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Yes and No. Huge bonuses were paid, never to be retracted, based on the illusory profits booked under this no-underwriting underwriting regime. And the losses are mostly borne by the taxpayers. So maybe the managers who instituted dumb underwriting were very smart.
With all this good news, I question why I paid of my CC bills when they could have been excused.
So maybe the managers who instituted dumb underwriting were very smart.
pr - yes. hence the profitability from lowering the transaction cost and processing time.
moved to vermont because wrote:
You left out the rest:
Sebastian wrote:
Uhhh. I'm not sure what you meant here? Wouldn't "trust" be part of the cost equation? If they (the lender) gave money to people that DID think this way then that would be very poor judgment on the part of lender. A history of repayment and a rational debt level, eliminates the need for "trust". I wouldn't want to run a lending business based on "trusting" the borrow to repay!
Unless I'm not understanding what you are saying.
noob goldberg wrote:
(Re FICO scores) I would think it would be just the first, creditworthiness. There is no collateral on a credit card of course, and capacity nowadays is a measure of whether all the offers can fit in your mail box.
Well, I got a raise last week so I guess no charge-off for me. I keep a revolving balance just for the FICO benefit....but I'm thinking after x-max, I'm just going to pay it off.
Times are too strange to have even a few hundred bucks hanging over your head.
Goodbye x-mas bonus....
Bloomberg: The U.S. House is considering reinstituting the Depression-era Glass-Steagall Act, which barred bank holding companies from owning other financial companies, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said today.
Good point.
Ummm, could you loan me $12,000 until payday?
I'm good for it.
If I don't pay you back, just jack up the interest.
umop apisdn wrote:
While I'm not necessarily promoting the concept, some banks do offer collateralized credit cards for new immigrants and other individuals with no credit history. What's wrong with pledging some collateral to support a credit card?
sdtfs wrote:
Guidos.
we need more Guidos.
Speed wrote:
House Discussing Renewal of Glass-Steagall Act, Hoyer Says - Bloomberg.com
Now things have gotten a little more interesting...
I'd imagine a few finance lobbyists just left skidmarks in their pants...
Does Big Gov get a credit-card statement every month, with a minimum payment of $13,569,458.16?
I'm very very curious to see who lines up on which side for this fight.
Bruce in Tennessee wrote:
If facts matter (which they don't appear to these days) the proposal was for people to buy into Medicaire at Medicaires cost of covering them. Thus it would have no impact on the structural Medicaire deficit since what went out would match what was coming in. However, it would affect Medicaire in two ways one positive one negative. The positive would actually be a reduction in Medicaire's future cost as those in the 60's get treatment for conditions that they might have waited to go onto Medicaire to treat. The negative is that as the population covered by medicaire expands it becomes harder to cost shift for medical providers. Although if you have a large population essentially 2/3 of medical service users what are the providers going to do other than accept lower income.
Basel Too wrote:
Sure it did - institutionalized the 'debt slaves' in perpetuity.
noob goldberg wrote:
Learn something new everyday! "Secure credit cards" - not that I'm in the market, but good to know.
noob goldberg wrote:
I had it on good authority that a number of house Democrats wanted to postpone the "populist" attack on the financial services industry until 2010. I think those CEO's missing the meeting with Obama (even if their excuses are justified) have focused the mind.
doube-dip from abysmal levels for HB sentiment.
umop apisdn wrote:
That's how I started my credit record.
volker the viking, you can level with us: Did you line-up a book deal before you did this? "Who You Have to F*** to Get a Job in the Obama Economy: Confessions of a Soft-Porn Employee", or some such?
Sebastian
noob goldberg wrote:
IT departments too. You can't imagine how integrated the Zombie have become (internally). I'd bet that IF Glass-Steagall was in danger of being reinstated the IT argument would be used against it.
Oh, the IT costs would be huge, HUGE, I tell ya....
Concise history of Glass Steagall
frontline: the wall street fix: mr. weill goes to washington: the long demise of glass-steagall | PBS
Not a credit card statement, but I'm pretty sure that short term bonds do get rolled over.
OT - waiting for Boeing 787 "Dreamliner" first flight at 1:00 eastern - why is it so difficult to be punctual. Why doesn't 1 pm mean 1 pm?
I just came back from a discovery meeting for a fraud case. I understand that officials in charge of keeping the wolves out of the pen can be bought. Large sums of money can be tempting I suppose. What is so freaking depressing is how cheap they can be had.
This isn't the first big fraud case I have ever done. I don't know if it is because I see this stuff that it taints how I see everything, or fraud and corruption is so rampant behind the scenes that it is everywhere. Maybe it has always been that way.
Charles Kiting wrote:
Touche.
nova wrote:
Of course it has. The past wasn't pure. You just weren't there to see it, so it sounds pure.
moved to vermont because wrote:
So they found enough Chinese fasteners that pass the spec's to build one, huh? That could be the
of the day!
Sebastian wrote:
it's NOT porn, it's a legal legitimate recession proof industry and if they'll have me, well; it will be the sacrifice I make
within limits of course
some oars volker don't pull on
NOTaREALmerican wrote:
Recall that back in the 1950s when engineers could dream dreams and design earth changing projects there was a plan to pipe water from the MacKenzie river near great bear lake, up the rocky mountain trench to the Columbia, and then down the columbia to central oregon, and thence to Ca, as well as a plan to reverse rivers running into James Bay. (The Soviet engineers had grander plans). There was serious discussion about damning the straights of Gibraltar and taking the entire Mediterranean down 100 meters, then building a second set of dams accross the now smaller gap between Italy and Tunsia and taking the eastern Med down another 100 meters.
Back then the environment was not a concern just mega engineering projects. This is terraforming terra. Modern examples include the space mirror to limit global warming etc. We were going to use Abombs to dig another panama canal as well.
ldmeier wrote:
Ahhh. The innocence of geeks with tools.
Or give big boys big toys and they will play with them. Recall the shows where someone gets to drive one of the big earthmovers and he describes the feeling of power.
NOTaREALmerican said: "Uhhh. I'm not sure what you meant here? Wouldn't "trust" be part of the cost equation? If they (the lender) gave money to people that DID think this way then that would be very poor judgment on the part of lender. A history of repayment and a rational debt level, eliminates the need for "trust". I wouldn't want to run a lending business based on "trusting" the borrow to repay!
Unless I'm not understanding what you are saying."
My point is that ruthless defaulters shouldn't be elevated to heroic status, and ruthless defaults shouldn't be encouraged. The extra risk that they cause doesn't just cost the banks, it costs the rest of us honest borrowers, too. Walk aways ought to have some guilt about it because they're harming our society.
Sebastian
dryfly wrote:
Well, the true purpose was to pop the stock until 2007.
It worked just fine.
Sebastian wrote:
Shouldn't people just be encouraged to make decisions that are best for their OWN economic interests. The invisible-hand?
umop apisdn wrote:
I think I used the word 'collateralized' incorrectly, but you get the idea. Some asset to back up the credit.
nova wrote:
I wonder the same thing at least once a week.
Cinco-X wrote:
plenty of money to loan, but unless you don't need it, don't bother askin
plenty of private health insurance there.....unless you really need it....
notice the similarity, or is it too tough.....
dryfly wrote:
So they think they've found enough Chinese fasteners that pass the spec's to build one, huh? That could be the
of the day!
There. Fixed that for ya. I use the only remaining wing pivot bolt from the American SST as a paperweight here at my desk.
Speed wrote:
It's about time.........it only took 2-years to start discussing it?........good thing they got such a "jump" on it!
NOTaREALmerican said: "Shouldn't people just be encouraged to make decisions that are best for their OWN economic interests."
Like burglars, you mean?
Sebastian
Sebastian wrote:
Kind of like your friendly neighborhood (insert drug of choice) dealer. Hey - this one's on me. The next one maybe not so much.
Sebastian wrote:
Well, it's a HUGE difference. You aren't NOT paying AND keeping the house. Your giving the house back. It's an investment decision ON an investment. Any rational bank would do exactly the same thing.
Sebastian wrote:
Man, folks here are being nice to you today.....
Me, not so much....your comment on CC rates shows just how much socialize the losses and privatize the gains has become the dominant way of doing business...
I get my rates jacked up, even though it was the cc cos that skipped on any due diligence. Nice how that works....oh, and my taxes & my childrens' taxes helped you do this....
Sebastian wrote:
Default is a contractual issue. Why would you inject a moral tone by adding the word 'ruthless' to it?
Was Cerberus "ruthless" when it cited "uncertainty in the credit and financing markets" for walking away from its LBO of United Rentals?
Were KKR and Goldman Sachs "ruthless" when they pulled out of their deal to buy Harman International?
Was JC Flowers "ruthless" when they walked away from their LBO of Sallie Mae, then went to court to contest the $900 million breakup fee?
It's really more a matter of enlightened self-interest. Of course, we know that rich and poor alike are forbidden to steal bread and sleep under bridges.
"What's in your Serta"
Best comment so far today.
Henry Nicholas and friend beat the backdating charge this morning.
Carney ruled that prosecutors had improperly intimidated witnesses, tainting their testimony and making the case "a mockery of justice."
Although if you have a large population essentially 2/3 of medical service users what are the providers going to do other than accept lower income.
OR, you will have fewer providers...
Capital one charge-offs continue because they intentionally drive their customers over the cliff.
For the last several months I have been trying to close my capital one card with a zero balance.
The thing is they don’t respond to written correspondence and will only talk to you if you promise to agree to all their terms (which you can't get in writing!)
Even after being contacted by the credit agencies (which struck Capital One off) they still send me bills! They charged me a yearly member fee then sent it to collections!
Stay away from Capital One!