U.S. trade gap widens sharply in Sept. - MarketWatch
Not a lot of details in the article. Oil price recovery probably played a part in it, but I wonder if big business is starting to get the sense that the government is going to try and put the burden of more spending on them, and are beginning to restructure their businesses in a way where the "profits" are made outside the US of A and beyond the reach of the USG.
I wasn't quite an adult when the brothers Hunt showed me what financial bubbles are all about...
They and their Saudi sycophants were the only buyers of the grey mare, and delivery had to be in 1,000 ounce .999 fine Comex deliverable bars, and the refineries were so backed up in turning not pure silver into Comex bars, that anything not pure was discounted quite a bit back of the spot price, in the last few months of the 1970's...
When the end came, nobody wanted silver @ any price, it seemed.
From last thread: "The Brits, French and Germans bombed their manufacturing base into smithereens, with our help. They all have national health care if you haven't noticed. What gives you the foggiest notion that Mexico won't nationalize the factories one day, just like Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua... Or just tax them into foreclosure as soon as they are self-sufficient."
Didn't know Europe got bombed in the '60s, '70s and 80's - and you can pay for national health care when you are not paying for defense.
EDIT: As for nationalization, seems like that is the course this regime is taking here.
Didn't know England, France and Germany stopped making cars in the 60's, 70's and 80's. Have you been to France? The standard of living is quite high, despite all the socialism like government subsidized mass transportation.
Cinco-X, it takes more than 2 quarters of growth to declare a recession over. The NBER would like to see some indicators at or above pre-recession levels - especially real GDP, before arguing the recession has ended. If we get another downturn early to mid next year, the NBER would probably consider that part of the same recession that started in 2007.
I'm trying to work through the logic on something and not certain if it's right.
As the dollar devalues, we have to spend more nominally in order to purchase foreign goods - think more of that damned plastic crap - while foreigners have to spend less of their money to purchase our soybeans. So on a nominal level, the trade deficit would rise. Does that sound right?
If so, then what's the utility of the trade deficit information since it's real status is masked by the dollar's devaluation? Is there any way to obtain dollar adjusted data or do we have to rely on proxies such as tonnage/# containers out of the Port of LA?
To give you an idea of how crazy things got during the silver bubble circa late 1979, the U.S. Mint in Philly sold 1976 3 piece Bicentennial 40% silver commemorative sets for $12 over the counter in their retail operation. Each of these sets contained a little over 1/2 an ounce of pure silver.
I knew somebody that was just waiting for the spot price to reach a certain number, and then he struck, and bought all they had, something like 100,000 sets for $12 when silver hit a little over $30.
He had lined up a refiner to be ready for the job, and the coin sets went from the U.S. Mint to the melting pot in one fell swoop.
I think he made a dollar a set, a small but useful profit...
Mike in Long Island wrote:
So we have or had 1 qtr of prosperity before continuing our recessionistic ways?
Takes 2 successive quarters of reduced growth to declare a recession. Does it take 2 quarters of growth to declare one over?
Calvinball so who knows. NBER hasn't declared this one over yet.
Eric, yes. I'm guessing NBER will pick July 2009 as the end - and they won't make the announcement until late 2010. If there is a downturn in the mean time - they will consider that part of the same recession.
Didn't know England, France and Germany stopped making cars in the 60's, 70's and 80's. Have you been to France? The standard of living is quite high, despite all the socialism like government subsidized mass transportation.
On the last thread, yoiu suggested I move - I prefer to stay and try to take back our government from the Marxists who are currently in charge. If that is unsuccessful, I will vote with my feet, as is happening in England, New York, California, New Jersey and Illinois.
LOL! Not at you CR but at those saying we might double-dip...we can't because we never got that recovery in the first place (save the equities markets and commodities market). That UE is a lagging indicator this time isn't going to wash as without sustained improvements tax coffers will continue to be stressed at the state, local and federal levels. Previous 'recessions' were also job-loss, millions end up blowing through savings, , taking a hit by liquidating IRAs, 401k to 'weather the storm' then taking on part-time jobs and selling the McMansion.
This is a perfect storm. Hoards of boomers have watched their savings over decades vanish in their 401ks, equity in their homes, earning nothing as physical savings to stay up with that invisible inflation all this; while trying to send children to to college on second mortgages, filling the gaps of their elderly parents who have outlived their savings and look into a future where no relief can be found.
The measurements the fed.gov uses and massages for those equity market players. The real economy is not served, we're merely served up.
Some notables on the world stage have suggested that GDP be measured using different data sets more reflective of economic conditions to main street and individuals. What they don't get is we don't count.
Treasury officials also have said they have less maneuvering room than in the past. Tactics such as tapping federal retirement funds would free up roughly $150 billion - about the same amount as the interest payments that come due on Dec. 31.
Temporary Measures
“Depending on the date that we hit the debt limit, they could last days or at most weeks,” compared with five or six months in previous debt-limit impasses, said Matthew Rutherford, deputy assistant Treasury secretary for federal finance, in a press conference last week.
Why is looking at the trade deficit without petroleum important? Oil imports are real dollars flowing out of the US. From the graph, petroleum imports correlate highly to imports ex-petroleum.
U.S. Treasury Confident Congress Will Increase Debt Ceiling - Bloomberg.com
From yogi's link
"The White House wants an increase of at least $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, according to a person familiar with the deliberations between lawmakers and the administration. Record budget deficits are pushing the national debt closer to the $12.1 trillion statutory limit. "
How quaint. Why don't they just ask for another $10 trillion so they aren't back asking for more 2 years from now...
Stimpak 2 is going to be for a least double Stimpak 1.
I don't give a damn what the NBER says. The end of the last recession kicked off a debt binge that left most Americans far worse off. Even if the NBER declares the recession over, it has to be considered in the context of the additional debt we have assumed (the future cost of the "growth").
I think the Japanese consumer has fared far better than the American consumer over the past 10 years, despite so-called stagnant growth. Japanese households have lower unemployment, less debt, stable prices and savings. The typical American CONsumer has none of those luxuries and is facing a forced decline in living standards.
The NBER believed our eCONomy was growing from 2002 to 2008. In reality, the majority were being impoverished with unpayable debt. That was SOME "growth". Real incomes FELL!
The NBER believed our eCONomy was growing from 2002 to 2008. In reality, the majority were being impoverished with unpayable debt. That was SOME "growth". Real incomes FELL!
Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- A former client adviser at UBS AG was banned and fined 35,000 pounds ($58,000) by Britain’s financial regulator for his part in unauthorized trades that led to the bank receiving an 8 million-pound fine last week.
Andrew Cumming, who left the bank in 2008, according to the Financial Services Authority’s register, won’t be able to work in regulated financial companies for five years, the FSA said today. He helped to document false loans that were used to conceal losses from as many as 50 unauthorized trades a day in currencies and precious metals from January 2006 through December 2007.
The FSA last week levied its third-highest penalty over the trades. It said UBS’s bonus policies contributed to the violations by encouraging employees to take risks. The bank has had to pay $42 million in compensation to its customers for the unauthorized trades so far.
(said bad boy moves to unregulated trading exchanges like ICE-my speculation)
good morning everyone and happy friday the 13th and bff
where did this recovery start in july 09? dont think we(south ga) have really started the recession or maybe we are just a slow pocket.or maybe i just dont get out enough.
good morning gabyjan: I resemble "maybe I just don't get out enough". lol. There are some landmines about today, tread carefully. I'm off to get my high fructose corn syrup and milk that costs more than gasoline in a diary state.
As I was driving home this morning I was listening to WINC-FM which is a radio station out of Winchester VA. The signal carries to the DC burbs plus covers some of the rural area.
They run a question of the day and who ever calls in with the correct answer wins movie tickets etc. The question was "What have 25% of Americans reported cutting back on for their kids?"
good morning gabyjan: I resemble "maybe I just don't get out enough". lol. There are some landmines about today, tread carefully. I'm off to get my high fructose corn syrup and milk that costs more than gasoline in a diary state.
N-N,
I checked the ingredients of the Cinnamon-Dulce syrup at , and there's no HFCs to be found. None none in their treats either.
I don't see how the NBER dingbats can declare the recession over in July 2009. If they do it's a travesty.
Aggregate income, especially private income, is still falling. Plus, the private economy is still shrinking. All of the Q3 "growth" was due to Government borrowing and deficit spending.
That's not growth in my book as it ignores the cost and sustainability of the growth. It's no wonder the majority are getting poorer.
I don't see how the NBER dingbats can declare the recession over in July 2009. If they do it's a travesty.
Aggregate income, especially private income, is still falling. Plus, the privated economy is still shrinking. All of the Q3 "growth" was due to Government borrowing and deficit spending.
That's not growth in my book as it ignores the cost and sustainability of the growth. It's no wonder the majority are getting poorer.
But the top 5% that constitute the bulk of income are doing better!? Is it really that hard to understand?
/snark or at least wish I was...
"You know, if you consume fewer resources one year, you have more left for future years."
.
.......exactly right. If I consume a freezer full of beef over the course of the year, but also grow another calf in the meantime, I have "more left for future years" as well.......
Terry says its because the Marxists have taken over the government. You hear that Timmy, you're doing too much for the workers and not enough for the capitalists. (Heckuva job fooling the poor dope.)
That 5/6th loss in reserves in one quarter from the other day, strikes me as the kind of number i'd supply if in fact there were no reserves.
It's all a matter of time before the first sycophant high up enough, spills the beans about the mess we are truly in. So far the sangfroid has been solid, but these people are all power freaks in one way or another, and sooner than later a soothsayer will speak truth to the people in a manner that will divide him or her from those, for whom manna is their god.
Cinco-X (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 9:34 am
But the top 5% that constitute the bulk of income are doing better!? Is it really that hard to understand?
/snark or at least wish I was...
Since we basically know they aren't CREATING wealth or increasing productivity by the magical powers of their passive income, if they have seen real gains, they had to have come from redistribution (theft is a type of redistribution, as is fraud, as is extortion, as is taxation). We pretty much have established this as true - the top end has grown their net worth as well as incomes disproportionately to the bottom 4 quintiles.
But the top 5% that constitute the bulk of income are doing better!? Is it really that hard to understand?
Apparently it is that hard to understand. The Fed, CONgress and NBER seem oblivious to the simple fact that our "growth" was based on unpayable debt issuance. That's not growth at all, it's impoverishment. Absent the Fed and the bailouts, all that growth would have gone up in smoke and the wealthy would understand the bogusness and the fragility of their "wealth".
It's a credit system. The assets are only as good as the liabilities. But Bernanke and the NBER idiots ignore distribution, debt levels and ability of borrowers to service debt through incomes. They actually believe that servicing debt with more debt is a positive.
Look...If were interested in building a milk pipeline ala the colonial oil pipeline and all the other's that supply customers throughout the country, then maybe then we can have milk as cheap as gas...
Today, four companies process 90 percent of the beef consumed in the United States. In dairy, just two companies process nearly 70 percent of the milk produced nationally.
If I consume a freezer full of beef over the course of the year, but also grow another calf in the meantime, I have "more left for future years" as well.......
It's really weird to be cruising up or down Hwy 99 in the CV, seeing a few billboards offering up milk cows for sale, as meat.
The milking industry has been milking itself poor just by doing business as usual, and the more milk they make, the more they lose, in this economic climate.
Imagine going to all the work of producing milk, just to lose money everyday, guaranteed?
nova
i find that hard to believe,but i believe it. they have no idea of how to shop. i take a calulator,grocercy list and pen.and i look at prices dont buy things on sale if i dont want them and use coupons,some stores are total twits about coupons and yes you can use coupons with food stamps. no i dont use them dont need them. its takes a lot of time. most stores send out flyers of their weekly specials and you can get a good ideal of their prices sorry got excited you were just reporting the fact.
yeah, the cost of living here is totally outrageous and despite the 'mystique'...VT is a poor state. Last year VT topped CA, HW and AK in taxation, its insane. We were the #1 highest taxed state in the union in '08.
and you can pay for national health care when you are not paying for defense.
so who is smarter? In an earlier conversation I had posed the question - what are the security threats facing the United States. None of the opinions offered required that the United States spend 50% of the worlds total military spending. Avoid getting into stupid wars and we too could have health insurance for everybody. Isn't ironic that there is so much angst about a $1 trillion commitment to health care but we are not supposed to "dither" about sending an additional 40,000 men to Afghanistan which will certainly cost more than a trillion when it is all done.
yeah, the cost of living here is totally outrageous and despite the 'mystique'...VT is a poor state. Last year VT topped CA, HW and AK in taxation, its insane. We were the #1 highest taxed state in the union in '08.
Is that all in? Meaning sales, income and property tax?
16% tax on ordinary income, nothing on cap gains. Gov't rev comes from those reduced rates, as well as assessments on real estate, and some duities and fees.
Beijing doesn't have to dick with it because the elites are all trying to be more catholic than the pope.
Bloated but effective bureaucracy here, and the seafood is quivering fresh.......
As the dollar devalues, we have to spend more nominally in order to purchase foreign goods - think more of that damned plastic crap - while foreigners have to spend less of their money to purchase our soybeans. So on a nominal level, the trade deficit would rise. Does that sound right?
I didn't see anyone answer your question. Your assumption would be correct with constant volumes. However, it's generally assumed that a relative reduction in the cost of exports would encourage importing countries to consume more, and vice versa. So as the dollar depreciates, the trade deficit should narrow.
Unfortunately, since oil is one of the largest imports into the USA and volumes demanded don't change dramatically, any devaluation in the USD--assuming quantities of exports remained relatively stable--would result in an increasing trade deficit.
Adjusting for the value of the dollar would pretty much relegate us to volume analysis, like you suggested, as far as I'm concerned.
yup. And I keep saying it, then when retail numbers are worse than last year, the flu will be blamed and it will be considered a 'temporary' problem to gather up for the 2nd qtr of '10.
About the parents cutting back on food...around here that translated to middle class moms shopping at Target aren't buying organic, and have cut back to Hamburger Helper and Mac and Cheese. This is more about trying to stretch paychecks by eating cheaper, than actually skipping meals. I do believe however, the lower down on the income rung, the more drastic the cutbacks are....and this should not marginalize the issue of hungry kids, they are real and the number is growing. Locally, the school lunch program is feeding many kids their only 'real' meal of the day.
nanoo, back when we were looking at possible country living sites, I answered an ad from a seller in VT. During the hour long conversation, he proceeded to tell me all the reasons why I didn't want to move to VT - from his perpectual smashed mailboxes to the houses painted w/whatever leftover paint to cars in yards, etc. He was hysterically funny. I wonder if he ever sold his place, because he tried his best to talk me out of it. I guess his dream country estate idea went downhill pretty quickly. But VT is absoutely beautiful. Hard to beat that scenery.
shill
isnt the sahara on the african continent? surely no one with an ounce of brains would put our fed gov in charge of anything. but wait, the fed would be importing sand from the sahara saying it cheaper over there blah blah
so who is smarter? In an earlier conversation I had posed the question - what are the security threats facing the United States. None of the opinions offered required that the United States spend 50% of the worlds total military spending.
I keep reading all these articles that say the only kind of stimulus spending that really works is military spending (or spending unrelated to "typical" domestic activities). I can't evaluate the validity of these arguments, but I do wonder if that's the real driver behind military spending today.
YUP! 2/3s of my property tax goes to education and its in the thousands and thousands every year (and no, I do not live in a McMansion or have a business or tons o land). Its due ALL IN the same time every year...no credit, no terms, no nothing...poor schmucks in trouble can't even use a credit card to pay for it. Depending on the county, sales taxes are 8-9%. 10%+ restaurant and hotel taxes. Taxes for sin items rose big time for alcohol, tobacco, gasoline and we also have a state income tax that is the silliest thing you ever saw. We do get a homestead exemption but still pay BIG anyway despite a fixed income and modest housing in the BOONIES.
"The major contributors to the increase in the trade deficit were the increase in oil prices, and more imports from China. Also - the deficit is higher than expected, suggesting a downward revision to Q3 GDP."
One of your best CR...really...tight concise and accurate.
Avoid getting into stupid wars and we too could have health insurance for everybody. Isn't ironic that there is so much angst about a $1 trillion commitment to health care but we are not supposed to "dither" about sending an additional 40,000 men to Afghanistan which will certainly cost more than a trillion when it is all done.
You already spend more per capita than most other developed countries on health-care, so you could keep your subs and guns and fighter jets. It's just a reallocation.
Just make government the single-pay insurer and leave the rest of the health-care market alone. Current insurers can be relegated to providing supplementary insurance. Why is this so complicated?
comrade rally monkey
the price of diesel figures very much into the price of milk. diesel not gas diesel! diesel is what makes this country go around and it needs not to go higher than gas jmo
Dairy issues are mainly attributable to unfair pricing practices by Dairy Farmers of America (DFA) and Dean Foods Company. You take their price or you pour the milk onto the ground. Centralizing control of entire industries in a few hands always begets abuse. Sherman Antitrust Act and the failure of the DOJ to enforce it. One of multitudes.
ac,
The last five years of my father's military career...he started to talk about the transformation of the army from a military force to a social program designed to meet the needs of certain segments of the population. This was fine during periods of relative peace but would backfire in a prolonged 'real' war environment.
I keep reading all these articles that say the only kind of stimulus spending that really works is military spending. I can't evaluate the validity of these arguments, but I do wonder if that's the real driver behind military spending today.
Other forms of stimulus merely pull demand forward; military spending has the advantage that it's pure waste and there's no real demand to pull forward.
Blankfein claims GS employees are the most productive in the world....
Really?
Petroleum pipelines depend on a relatively small national workforce of about 10,000 skilled men and women, yet that workforce transports over 828.8 billion ton-miles of freight each year. These workers accomplish this job so efficiently that America's oil pipelines transport 17% of all U.S. freight, but cost only 2% of the nation's freight bill
VT's quality of life is outstanding. As much as I gripe, and the huge shock about taxation upon moving here, I pay because I do love it. We give up a whole lot to live here. People who move here either love it or hate it. I suppose it depends on the conveniences which are important to them. In the depressed areas, life is particularly rough just like in other regions of the nation that are depressed rural and urban. So moving here requires more research than in suburban and metro areas. You could easily find yourself over an hours drive to a retail grocery store, hospital if you don't pay attention. Jobs are scarce and resources are thin.
However, it's generally assumed that a relative reduction in the cost of exports would encourage importing countries to consume more, and vice versa.
However, since much of what we import isn't produced anymore in the United States a weakening dollar just increases the cost of imported goods. So we don't get the import substitution that would normally take place. So at best the a weaker dollar only stimulates exports- but then again we don't make a lot of stuff that the world wants to buy so we are left with just the price elasticity of a few items. On that basis a weaker dollar is very weak tool.
Dairy issues are mainly attributable to unfair pricing practices by Dairy Farmers of America (DFA) and Dean Foods Company. You take their price or you pour the milk onto the ground. Centralizing control of entire industries in a few hands always begets abuse. Sherman Antitrust Act and the failure of the DOJ to enforce it. One of multitudes.
In Canada we pay significantly more for milk due to our legislated marketing boards. However, since that pretty much all goes back to the farmer, they love the system, and processors are forced to pay a price that covers the cost of production and permits a living. It's protectionist as hell, distorts the market all out of whack, and yet is probably a system we'll see emulated in other countries as this crisis unfold, IMHO.
Juvenal Delinquent (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 9:55 am
,rad RIF,
There's many an American would plenty of meat on the hoof, 4 legs good eating, 2 legs not so much.
Indeed. The true reason for fattening us up on a carbohydrate and protein-rich diet is now coming into view for me. I had ignorantly assumed it was just to increase our dependency on the medical establishment. In reality, perhaps it improves our flavor or results in more tender and succulent flesh (at least in the younger ones).
Apparently it is that hard to understand. The Fed, CONgress and NBER seem oblivious to the simple fact that our "growth" was based on unpayable debt issuance. That's not growth at all, it's impoverishment.
However, since much of what we import isn't produced anymore in the United States a weakening dollar just increases the cost of imported goods. So we don't get the import substitution that would normally take place. So at best the a weaker dollar only stimulates exports- but then again we don't make a lot of stuff that the world wants to buy so we are left with just the price elasticity of a few items. On that basis a weaker dollar is very weak tool.
Agreed, but I'll have to channel dryfly and argue that we're still in the early stages of this crisis--from a manufacturing perspective--and it will probably take a couple of years to rebuild the manufacturing sector from decades of neglect. But the economics are finally in favour of it, so I have no doubt it's going to happen now.
Couple of other things about Vermont- the State actually does provide income based relief with regard to property taxes- so people with low income incomes e.g. the elderly who are living in expensive homes don't get displaced because the they can't afford the property taxes. Also aid to schools is equalized so that schools in more expensive real estate neighborhoods don't spend more money per pupil. Also our Republican governor proposed several years ago to increase the capital gains tax in order to reduce income taxes.
Indeed. The true reason for fattening us up on a carbohydrate and protein-rich diet is now coming into view for me. I had ignorantly assumed it was just to increase our dependency on the medical establishment. In reality, perhaps it improves our flavor or results in more tender and succulent flesh (at least in the younger ones).
So you're saying we'll need to get a "long pig" icon soon?
Not a lot of details in the article. Oil price recovery probably played a part in it, but I wonder if big business is starting to get the sense that the government is going to try and put the burden of more spending on them, and are beginning to restructure their businesses in a way where the "profits" are made outside the US of A and beyond the reach of the USG
.
Cinco-X, these global, multi-national , US originated corporations do not belong to the American people anymore. Whether they make big profits outside the US or not should not be our concern since their foreign profits do not help 99% of the Americans and most of them pay on average, around 2% in US taxes anyway
'It's protectionist as hell, distorts the market all out of whack, and yet is probably a system we'll see emulated in other countries as this crisis unfold, IMHO."
Necessary protectionism. Ag support has always been justified as being in the national interest. Abused? Certainly but primarily by the large Ag companies and not at the solo farmer or dairyman level. The few that are left.
The issue is the middleman prices at the level that ensures them a guaranteed profit. Mark it to the false efficiencies of the free market.
I think if we focused on things like unfair labor and environmental standards we wouldn't have to resort to the clumsy tool of currency depreciation. Sometimes I wonder what kind of universe I am in when I listen to economic prognosticators - bigger government deficits and weaker currency are the path to economic health!!!
I'm ashamed to tell what I pay for eggs because I insist on certified, humanely treated animals. I'll do without something else to assure that. The ones I get are so unlike no name store brand eggs in consistency, shelf-life, flavor, color!! You really can tell the difference. I am something of a closet Buddhist I think.
crazyv...the equalized property tax thingie SUCKS majorly and isn't fair to said taxpayers. If you saw my tax bill, my home, CPR would be necessary. and oh...I'm childless.
Ok, I really gotta go now. ha. Like I said CR is evil!!
Just make government the single-pay insurer and leave the rest of the health-care market alone. Current insurers can be relegated to providing supplementary insurance. Why is this so complicated?
I keep reading all these articles that say the only kind of stimulus spending that really works is military spending (or spending unrelated to "typical" domestic activities). I can't evaluate the validity of these arguments, but I do wonder if that's the real driver behind military spending today.
One thing about military spending; it's difficult by regulation to outsource it to China or India. I believe it allows folks here to gain income without simultaneously swamping the market with consumer goods. Finally, there has been evidence in the past that there have been many technology spin-offs that helped improve out standard of living. Of course, it's all paid for with taxes or debt, so there needs to be a limit to it; we can't rely on it to be the sole driver of growth, or even a primary driver.
Necessary protectionism. Ag support has always been justified as being in the national interest. Abused? Certainly but primarily by the large Ag companies and not at the solo farmer or dairyman level. The few that are left.
The issue is the middleman prices at the level that ensures them a guaranteed profit. Mark it to the false efficiencies of the free market.
Consumer willingness to pay at the retail level is only slightly different between Canada and the USA. The difference is who's extracting the rent at that level. In Canada, it's the farmers and retailers, with processors getting a thin slice. In the USA it's processors and retailers, with farmers getting a government cheque.
"The August to September increase in exports of goods reflected increases in capital goods ($1.7 billion); industrial supplies and materials ($1.4 billion); consumer goods ($0.5 billion); automotive vehicles, parts, and engines ($0.2 billion); and other goods ($0.2 billion). A decrease occurred in foods, feeds, and beverages ($0.4 billion)."
"The August to September increase in exports of services was mostly accounted for by increases in other private services ($0.1 billion), which includes items such as business, professional, and technical services, insurance services, and financial services, and in other transportation ($0.1 billion), which includes freight and port services. Changes in the other categories of services exports were small." FTD - Congressional Highlights
'It's protectionist as hell, distorts the market all out of whack, and yet is probably a system we'll see emulated in other countries as this crisis unfold, IMHO."
It guarantees huge profits for agribusinesses and for large farmers. Also it allows us to burn our foods in our gas tanks (ethanol). Farmers and automobile owners all vote and agribusiness contributes large to political campaigns. What's not to like?
they really wanna hold this market up through the end of the year. I'd love to see a crash before the warm and fuzzy holiday season.
You may get your wish. I think hedge fund redemption notices for this quarter are due november 15th. With long funds having a great return this year I can see a lot people wanting to lock in their gains. And since they have pretty much been the market this year there could be some year end selling. It will have the additional benefit of providing a lower base to pump from next year and provide political cover for the next stimpack which will heat up after xmas when small businesses get decimated by poor xmas sales.
Good lord, I lobby in agriculture right now, and that's got enough drama for me. I can't imagine the soap opera running the US healthcare gauntlet would be!
But I'm obviously missing something (intentionally...I'm trying to stay as ignorant as possible toward this issue). From what I understand, doctors in the USA hate the current system because they have to hire umpteen administrative support personnel simply to deal with processing insurance claims. In Canada, three or four doctors operating in a clinic together can share one part-time clerk who comes in a couple times a week and and deals with the limited paperwork.
Just think of the waste and extra expense that's being generated in that one activity alone in the current health-care system? If every doctor has to have at least two or three full time assistants to deal with the paperwork, that drives up all medical costs.
I think anybody who complains about the their tax burden should also offer their list of spending cuts first. To give you just an example- I proposed that my City should consider reducing its foot print of footpaths so that the existing maintenance spending would be in balance with the expected life time of the foot path. It went down like lead balloon. In fact there were petitions that we should be building more paths by the same people who were complaining that our taxes are too high.
Cinco-X (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 10:12 am
I believe it allows folks here to gain income without simultaneously swamping the market with consumer goods. Finally, there has been evidence in the past that there have been many technology spin-offs that helped improve out standard of living. Of course, it's all paid for with taxes or debt, so there needs to be a limit to it; we can't rely on it to be the sole driver of growth, or even a primary driver.
I would assume the success rate on big, complex projects sucks, and we are just playing the odds with the peoples' money, figuring one or two lucky hits will compensate for dozens of expensive failures. Which is still far better than loaning the money to merchant banks so they can rig markets to make massive short-term profits, then position themselves to profit against the downside they've created, then hand back the taxpayer loot with a big smile and a thank you.
Any ag product getting a subsidy from the american taxpayer should not be exportable. Problem solved.
How should we deal with cross-subsidization? Subsidize corn and soybeans, for example, which are then fed as cheap food-sources to cattle and chickens. The American cost of production is lower, but since they aren't directly subsidizing livestock production, can they still export them?
There are ways of encouraging and supporting agriculture that do not rely on direct subsidization, but they are hard to implement and sell and subsidies are easier to explain and justify, even if they're counterproductive.
Let’s keep this simple. Word got out today via Politico that the RNC’s health care package for their employees covers abortions. At the risk of belaboring the obvious, if you at any time have donated to the RNC since 1991 (when this policy apparently took place), some incremental portion of your donation went to the administrative costs of running the RNC, including employee salaries and benefits packages. Part of “benefits packages” in this context is apparently a health care package that pays for abortions
When I was in elementary school, the developmentally challenged kids were on the same campus, but segregated somewhat, and they came to school on the "Mahaney Bus Co." short-bus, and we sadly called the kids 'Mahaneys'.
The Unabankers are very much Mahaneys in their own special fashion...
I would assume the success rate on big, complex projects sucks, and we are just playing the odds with the peoples' money, figuring one or two lucky hits will compensate for dozens of expensive failures. Which is still far better than loaning the money to merchant banks so they can rig markets to make massive short-term profits, then position themselves to profit against the downside they've created, then hand back the taxpayer loot with a big smile and a thank you.
Success on SW projects sucks (>90% failures?). The hardware projects I've known about in the past did much better. Even McNamara's Folly, the F-111 turned out to be a very good airframe over the long haul, despite 15 years of setbacks. It just needed to find its niche-
Lord Blankcheck's (stole that) behavior is calculated but his intent is causing me to draw a blank. Lord Shiny Dimon has an excellent Orwellian doublespeak commentary in today's Post. Throw in Gates and Buffet cheerleading yesterday and it seems the bad banker role is being Figureheaded to Blankfein. Did that oligarch make so much money that he is willing to take the heat for the bankers? Or is he just that arrogant and assured of his place in the world?
Noob, cattle here are massively subsidized,what with letting them feed on federal lands and all, so no export. Chickens, with their sawdust diet, can be shopped at wil (at least that's my 2cents )
Darth Blanklook's ill-advised verbal direrhea this week has been astounding, and he's on a roll...
Agreed. I assume some $500/hour public relations expert told him to stop showing weakness and get out there and be the alpha male. It's remeniscent of "Thank you for smoking" when Aaron Eckhart flips the whole sleeping-with-the-reporter situation into some sort of advantage.
I just can't believe he took them seriously and took that advice. "GS Employees are the most productive in the world" is going to be as timeless as "Let them eat cake", with the notable difference that he actually said it! I'd be surprised if it wasn't turned into a rallying cry at some point in the future...or a sign painted over a row of swinging nooses.
I proposed that my City should consider reducing its foot print of footpaths so that the existing maintenance spending would be in balance with the expected life time of the foot path. It went down like lead balloon. In fact there were petitions that we should be building more paths by the same people who were complaining that our taxes are too high.
Each community has its own school district. Centralization of purhcasing and admininstrative functions would be a step in the right direction - chances of that actually happening are slim and none.
Uncle Ar, I used to have a client in Mississippi who got $35/ acre from the government to not raise cattle. He said that he never made that rate of return per acre raising them.
Cinco-X (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 10:27 am
Success on SW projects sucks (>90% failures?). The hardware projects I've known about in the past did much better. Even McNamara's Folly, the F-111 turned out to be a very good airframe over the long haul, despite 15 years of setbacks. It just needed to find its niche-
That makes sense based on my somewhat hazy recollection of some research done for a project management class years ago. There are so much better ways to spend large amounts of money in foolish and risky ways that create or support interesting and hi-tech research and development jobs than letting merchant banks play the ponies with it.
The easiest way to cut school spending is to cut teacher salaries. Ain't gonna happen any time soon. Same with city government, except you see some of that through the back door with outsourcing. Counting paper clips ain't gonna save too much.
externalized costs
are the rest pulling away from him? i see he's talking,he is out there, why why now? unless he is so %#%^&&#@%^% proud that he dont care and just thumbing his nose? at them or/and us?
homedad, excellent. If we are reduced to exporting agriculture products exclusively as many of our trading partners would like, then we are third world and no amount of devaluation of the dollar is going to do anything but help our descent into poverty
where is the
t r orwell
what is poverty? i think poverty is different for each one of us.and as a country how many would realize it it would be same old same old to them.
better to have the abortion payment come from the RNC for your paige than from the senator's wallet.
I didn't realize young boys needed abortions.
Just like the best way to get a nun pregnant is to dress her up like a choir boy, the best way to get a RNC female staffer pregnant is to dress like a paige-- works almost every time.
I thought inquiring mind would want to know!
Any ag product getting a subsidy from the american taxpayer should not be exportable. Problem solved.
Didn't you just completely eliminate US food aid? i.e. govvie money supporting exports of food to 'where it's needed' (to wipe out other countries ag).
More extend and pretend out of the banking regulators:
Agencies Issue Final Rule for Mortgage Loans Modified Under the Home Affordable Mortgage Program
Washington--The federal bank and thrift regulatory agencies today issued a final rule providing that mortgage loans modified under the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Home Affordable Mortgage Program (HAMP) will generally retain the risk weight appropriate to the mortgage loan prior to modification.
The agencies adopted as final their interim final rule issued on June 30, 2009, with one modification. The final rule clarifies that mortgage loans whose HAMP modifications are in the trial period, and not yet permanent, qualify for the risk-based capital treatment contained in the rule.
The final rule, issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and Office of Thrift Supervision, will take effect 30 days after publication in the Federal Register, which is expected shortly.
If the Agriculture Industrial Complex can sell it's carrots for $3 a pound f.o.b. to China, and can only get a dollar a pound here, who gets the carrots, Buggs?
gaby-I don't know. I do know Lord Dimon is the Big Man and a tried and true friend to the Administration. If anyone wields the reins of power it is Dimon. Blankfein has made hundreds of millions and GS is facing an incredibly damaging pr backlash. Add the real possibility that GS has some big bonuses, lawsuits and investigations pending and a fall guy is being manufactured. Blankfein does a credible mea culpa with a Truman "buck stops here" and takes the populist anger away with him as he steps down to run a hedgefund in Asia.
All conjecture on my part. Entertainment purposes only.
When I was a kid, my parents told me to finish my meals, "because there are people starving to death in China", and it was true at the time, sure enough.
Might a Chinaman in the future tell his children to finish their meals, "because there are people starving to death in the United States"?
Automotive products, industrial goods and materials, and machinery and equipment were the main sources of growth for exports. Energy products mitigated the gains.
Higher exports to the European Union were largely responsible for the overall increase in exports.
Exports to the United States increased 0.5 per cent while imports grew 1.7 per cent. As a result, Canada's trade surplus with its largest trading partner shrank to $2.1 billion in September from $2.3 billion in August.
US imports continue to shift towards Asia, and I'm apprehensive with all the price adjustments and hedging going on that the Census' import values are accurate
exteernalized costs
you got to admit it is entertaining sort of almost taking a leaf from Ws god told him...
i know nothing about this financial stuff but jmo and just a feeling. bonuses are going to parachutes better to call them bonuses isnt it. then parachutes
Juvenile Delinquent, this is exactly what happened in Argentina when the politicians sold out the country to foreigners. Neither Bugs Bunny nor the Argentinians got anything except very expensive carrots. AND THEY RIOTED to the detriment of their foreign investors temporarily.
Once again I was surprised by the continued upward trend in the Baltic Dry Index! The upward trend appears to be getting more momentum! I trust this an indicator more than most other gauges.....
Problem with parachutes....if you jump out of a plane over a burning forest....might be praying for that chute not to open...same goes for jumping out over a rioting mob with pitchforks...makes for rough landings...
A must read on the disincentives created by the health care bills on the working poor: The Dead Zone: The Implicit Marginal Tax Rate - Clifford F. Thies - Mises Institute
How stupid and evil must our elected representatives be to do this to the working poor! Actually, this being a democracy, there is nobody to blame but the electorate. Especially the left-liberal do-gooders. Since Milton Friedman developed the negative income tax, waaay back in the 1950s, there can be no excuse for any educated person to not be aware of the fact that taxes and means-tested benefits destroy the lower classes' positive incentive to work.
Not a War Chicken (Auburn) fan, but'cha gotta love it.
if they get the card cant buy either nor anything other than food and seeds vegetable only (i think)
I just recently saw something about foodstamps being used for buying other stuff. Probably some sort of barter arrangement or crooked store owners. Not supposed to happen, but it does. See the post above regarding morbid obesity.
Cinco, they finally got rid of one of the ones near Panama City... St. Joe Company building new condos after the environmental cleanup.
I heard that. I used to visit cousins that lived downwind off them back in the '70s. Even when the wind wasn't blowing that smell past their place, the houses, trees and everything else still had that smell. I wouldn't be surprised it you went out to the local ponds and creeks and stilled up the mud that you'd still smell it-
...using someone with a "food stamp credit card" to buy you groceries and then they are paid back "some way" happens all the time - watch the food shoppers (I sit on a bench at Wal-Mart near the check-out counters while the Mrs shops) - the "traders" are easy to pick out.
Cinco, nice thing about eating garlic, is that you can't smell yourself. The wife has been eating it too, so it doesn't bother her, and since I am generally antisocial...don't really worry about offending the masses. So far the wife's co-workers haven't complained, although she has invested in the mouthwash and breath mints, so I concur with your counter-suggestion.
One thing i'd most definitely invest in, would be a 20 pack of N-95 masks, it's around $50 or so.
When SARS hit earlier in the century, and I was at the post office almost everyday, you wouldn't believe how many Asian people were mailing masks, back home.
If you ever got downwind of the paper mills in Tuscaloosa, AL or Panama City, FL, you wouldn't pine away for domestic paper production.
This is not a discussion you want to start. My grandmother was Horace A. Moses' Executive Secretary at Strathmore and I was a mill chemist including being responsible for effluent treatment. Whatever you think, I've got a different story. Given the north american resources amenable to paper production it is indeed a shame that we aren't able to execute sustainable production practices as the jobs would be plentiful, varied and well paying.
So far the wife's co-workers haven't complained, although she has invested in the mouthwash and breath mints, so I concur with your counter-suggestion.
Guess you won't need to worry about her cheatin' on ya'
oh yeah something is going on funny how gs got out of bank holding business just as sheila wants her prepaid fees. insider ? isnt fee going to be based on deposits or something?
jd
you know how long you can wear one mask before changing to another, im cheap really cheap couldnt i double triple up on N-94s got some of them already.
This is not a discussion you want to start. My grandmother was Horace A. Moses' Executive Secretary at Strathmore and I was a mill chemist including being responsible for effluent treatment. Whatever you think, I've got a different story. Given the north american resources amenable to paper production it is indeed a shame that we aren't able to execute sustainable production practices as the jobs would be plentiful, varied and well paying.
Edit; Just checked. I have GOT to remember to add those "smileys" . Later
I was (again) just teasin' you. I'm sure things are better around paper mills than they used to be. If we'd get rid of the desire for bleached paper, we'd also get fewer (is it?) dioxins in the effluents. Being responsible is always a good option in my opinion. We just need to get exchange rates and regulations that allow it to be practicable.
It's very un-Slumdog of him to not come on here and crow about the 1/2 of 1% profit he scored day-trading the barbarous, while we of the cyclops persuasion were asleep, with one eye closed.
She likes kimchi too...so I don't worry too much...although there is that single Korean contractor I keep my eyes on... just kidding . We're both incredibly introverted...about as close to eagles as you come.
Clearly it's wrong to discriminate against people who are too poor to afford a home. It's their right to have a new home regardless of ability to pay.
This should be the reverse side of the executive class having the right to inflated salaries & bonuses regardless of competency in their job.
~splat
Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve’s policy of keeping interest rates near zero is fueling a wave of speculative capital that may cause the next global crisis, Hong Kong’s leader said.
“I’m scared and leaders should look out,” said Donald Tsang, chief executive of the city, said in Singapore today. “America is doing exactly what Japan did last time,” he said, adding that Japan’s zero interest rate policy contributed to the 1997 Asian financial crisis and U.S. mortgage meltdown.
My parents were stationed in Korea for four years, after I left for college, didn't get to go....they developed a taste for it too. I love sauerkraut, but I can't do kimchi at most of our local joints. I am told the real stuff is much better.
gabyjan, The Effectiveness of Antibacterial Wipes
Lysol is effective about half the time, and it leads to anti-biotic resistant bacteria Avoid The Antibacterial Soaps | The Good Human
instead use soap, vinegar, bleach, or alcohol
Swine Flu arose because of the overuse of anti-biotics in NC pig farms, while at the same time using too little to make sure the bacteria is dead (to save money). No one wants a pandemic to be named after them
former Thai fugitive billionaire Thaksin spoke to a crowd of 300 Biz leaders here in Phnom Penh yesterday
even amidst the saber rattling fromThailand (he was protected by Hun Sen security detail) interesting that
he said Cambodia should not become a one or two horse town (textiles, labor) and diversify, actually
pointed at the USA as a country that did just that in finance !
....
just watched Jim TV in La Jolla did you know he once went by a monker? Jim Jama-Lama
The famous Las Vegas Herbst family who owned all the "Terrible Herbst" gas stations, casinos, Primm properties, and slot routes, hoped to keep the slot routes in bankruptcy court. A Reno judge throw them out of ALL. One brother (of three) still runs the casino operations for the other principals, but everything INCLUDING the lucrative slot routes were taken away.
FYI, "Slot route" companies are what most all of the small bars, restaurants, & businesses use to gain slot machine revenue. Instead of buying 15-machines (the basic limited gambling license), a slot route company will install and service THEIR machines and provide you with a cut of the proceeds, generally 30-60%).
The paper mill on the Tennessee River, don't know the name, but several on my street including the CFO are now retired from it and called the smell, The smell of money.
dum luk wrote:
Not a lot of details in the article. Oil price recovery probably played a part in it, but I wonder if big business is starting to get the sense that the government is going to try and put the burden of more spending on them, and are beginning to restructure their businesses in a way where the "profits" are made outside the US of A and beyond the reach of the USG.
I wasn't quite an adult when the brothers Hunt showed me what financial bubbles are all about...
They and their Saudi sycophants were the only buyers of the grey mare, and delivery had to be in 1,000 ounce .999 fine Comex deliverable bars, and the refineries were so backed up in turning not pure silver into Comex bars, that anything not pure was discounted quite a bit back of the spot price, in the last few months of the 1970's...
When the end came, nobody wanted silver @ any price, it seemed.
From last thread: "The Brits, French and Germans bombed their manufacturing base into smithereens, with our help. They all have national health care if you haven't noticed. What gives you the foggiest notion that Mexico won't nationalize the factories one day, just like Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua... Or just tax them into foreclosure as soon as they are self-sufficient."
Didn't know Europe got bombed in the '60s, '70s and 80's - and you can pay for national health care when you are not paying for defense.
EDIT: As for nationalization, seems like that is the course this regime is taking here.
"suggesting a downward revision to Q3 GDP"
a big adjustment or one of the infamous tweaks?
volker the viking wrote:
So we have or had 1 qtr of prosperity before continuing our recessionistic ways?
a big adjustment or one of the infamous tweaks?
Didn't know England, France and Germany stopped making cars in the 60's, 70's and 80's. Have you been to France? The standard of living is quite high, despite all the socialism like government subsidized mass transportation.
volker the viking wrote:
Big enough to make Q4 look "less worse less faster", but small enough for CNBC to declare it a
Mike in Long Island wrote:
Takes 2 successive quarters of reduced growth to declare a recession. Does it take 2 quarters of growth to declare one over?
Cinco-X, it takes more than 2 quarters of growth to declare a recession over. The NBER would like to see some indicators at or above pre-recession levels - especially real GDP, before arguing the recession has ended. If we get another downturn early to mid next year, the NBER would probably consider that part of the same recession that started in 2007.
We have a ways to go ...
best wishes
You know, if you consume fewer resources one year, you have more left for future years.
I'm trying to work through the logic on something and not certain if it's right.
As the dollar devalues, we have to spend more nominally in order to purchase foreign goods - think more of that damned plastic crap - while foreigners have to spend less of their money to purchase our soybeans. So on a nominal level, the trade deficit would rise. Does that sound right?
If so, then what's the utility of the trade deficit information since it's real status is masked by the dollar's devaluation? Is there any way to obtain dollar adjusted data or do we have to rely on proxies such as tonnage/# containers out of the Port of LA?
To give you an idea of how crazy things got during the silver bubble circa late 1979, the U.S. Mint in Philly sold 1976 3 piece Bicentennial 40% silver commemorative sets for $12 over the counter in their retail operation. Each of these sets contained a little over 1/2 an ounce of pure silver.
I knew somebody that was just waiting for the spot price to reach a certain number, and then he struck, and bought all they had, something like 100,000 sets for $12 when silver hit a little over $30.
He had lined up a refiner to be ready for the job, and the coin sets went from the U.S. Mint to the melting pot in one fell swoop.
I think he made a dollar a set, a small but useful profit...
Cinco-X wrote:
Calvinball so who knows. NBER hasn't declared this one over yet.
NBER
Look at the table at the top right of the page:
Last Four Recessions and their duration
12/07 to ?
NBER hasn't declared this one over yet.
As CR has pointed out numerous times, there's a huge lag.
when NBER declares it over, they will backdate it.
Just like they did with the start.
What I've been saying for a year. Just look at a couple of precious metals, the Euro, the Yen. No "recovery".
Eric, yes. I'm guessing NBER will pick July 2009 as the end - and they won't make the announcement until late 2010. If there is a downturn in the mean time - they will consider that part of the same recession.
best wishes
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
On the last thread, yoiu suggested I move - I prefer to stay and try to take back our government from the Marxists who are currently in charge. If that is unsuccessful, I will vote with my feet, as is happening in England, New York, California, New Jersey and Illinois.
Well if that means the US is going back to is old excess consumption ways, then all the carnage was for naught.
Did any beneficial structural changes in the US economy actually take place?
LOL! Not at you CR but at those saying we might double-dip...we can't because we never got that recovery in the first place (save the equities markets and commodities market). That UE is a lagging indicator this time isn't going to wash as without sustained improvements tax coffers will continue to be stressed at the state, local and federal levels. Previous 'recessions' were also job-loss, millions end up blowing through savings, , taking a hit by liquidating IRAs, 401k to 'weather the storm' then taking on part-time jobs and selling the McMansion.
This is a perfect storm. Hoards of boomers have watched their savings over decades vanish in their 401ks, equity in their homes, earning nothing as physical savings to stay up with that invisible inflation all this; while trying to send children to to college on second mortgages, filling the gaps of their elderly parents who have outlived their savings and look into a future where no relief can be found.
The measurements the fed.gov uses and massages for those equity market players. The real economy is not served, we're merely served up.
Some notables on the world stage have suggested that GDP be measured using different data sets more reflective of economic conditions to main street and individuals. What they don't get is we don't count.
Did any beneficial structural changes in the US economy actually take place?
I'm sure
would say "yes, sir!"
I'm sure Vampire Squid from Hell would say "yes, sir!"
What the hell is that thing?!
Exports say that experts are wrong as usual.
Can't export our way out of the dilemmajam, what now?
ac wrote:
The banksters are again profitable-
/snark
U.S. Treasury Confident Congress Will Increase Debt Ceiling - Bloomberg.com
U.S. Treasury Confident Congress Will Increase Debt Ceiling - Bloomberg.com
Hehe...
It's all straight out of the history books.
What's the old saying?
"Each time history repeats the price goes up."
Why is looking at the trade deficit without petroleum important? Oil imports are real dollars flowing out of the US. From the graph, petroleum imports correlate highly to imports ex-petroleum.
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
From yogi's link
"The White House wants an increase of at least $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, according to a person familiar with the deliberations between lawmakers and the administration. Record budget deficits are pushing the national debt closer to the $12.1 trillion statutory limit. "
How quaint. Why don't they just ask for another $10 trillion so they aren't back asking for more 2 years from now...
Stimpak 2 is going to be for a least double Stimpak 1.
I don't give a damn what the NBER says. The end of the last recession kicked off a debt binge that left most Americans far worse off. Even if the NBER declares the recession over, it has to be considered in the context of the additional debt we have assumed (the future cost of the "growth").
I think the Japanese consumer has fared far better than the American consumer over the past 10 years, despite so-called stagnant growth. Japanese households have lower unemployment, less debt, stable prices and savings. The typical American CONsumer has none of those luxuries and is facing a forced decline in living standards.
The NBER believed our eCONomy was growing from 2002 to 2008. In reality, the majority were being impoverished with unpayable debt. That was SOME "growth". Real incomes FELL!
Good riddance, Terry.
Enjoy Paraguay.
A word of warning: if you're thinking of violent overthrow of the US Government because they're "marxists", go fuck yourself, traitor.
Angry Saver wrote:
Facts! We don't need no stinkin' facts!
Gotta love this one for the FX traders/gold bugs:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aae3NJRYVR6I&pos=7
(said bad boy moves to unregulated trading exchanges like ICE-my speculation)
good morning everyone and happy friday the 13th and bff
where did this recovery start in july 09? dont think we(south ga) have really started the recession or maybe we are just a slow pocket.or maybe i just dont get out enough.
gabyjan wrote:
It was a "V" shaped recovery. North Dakota, Louisiana, and Vermont, as I recall....
but it's best not to rely on my memory.
newspapers vs lectric media
headlines change 10 times an hour...so the story flip-flops all day long.
good morning gabyjan: I resemble "maybe I just don't get out enough". lol. There are some landmines about today, tread carefully. I'm off to get my high fructose corn syrup and milk that costs more than gasoline in a diary state.
As I was driving home this morning I was listening to WINC-FM which is a radio station out of Winchester VA. The signal carries to the DC burbs plus covers some of the rural area.
They run a question of the day and who ever calls in with the correct answer wins movie tickets etc. The question was "What have 25% of Americans reported cutting back on for their kids?"
1st caller "Money"
2nd caller "Eating out."
Correct answer "Food."
Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:
N-N,
, and there's no HFCs to be found. None none in their treats either.
I checked the ingredients of the Cinnamon-Dulce syrup at
utoh Nova, this gets into an argument in the last
thread. I gotta go get food, its getting late, dang. CR is EVIL.
I don't see how the NBER dingbats can declare the recession over in July 2009. If they do it's a travesty.
Aggregate income, especially private income, is still falling. Plus, the private economy is still shrinking. All of the Q3 "growth" was due to Government borrowing and deficit spending.
That's not growth in my book as it ignores the cost and sustainability of the growth. It's no wonder the majority are getting poorer.
it has to be considered
in the context
I think the Japanese consumer
better than the American consumer
You missed four "CON"s.
Angry Saver wrote:
But the top 5% that constitute the bulk of income are doing better!? Is it really that hard to understand?
/snark or at least wish I was...
nanoo
last week milk was 56 cents more than gas. milk $2.97 gas 2.40.9 and i wont go to store til monday.
I don't see how the NBER dingbats can declare the recession over in July 2009.
Now we know what social stratum you're in.
.......exactly right. If I consume a freezer full of beef over the course of the year, but also grow another calf in the meantime, I have "more left for future years" as well.......
"If you put the Federal Government in charge of the Sahara Desert, in five years there would be a shortage of sand."
If 25% can't afford to fee their kids enough food then imports will be going down. So will retail after Christmas.
Terry says its because the Marxists have taken over the government. You hear that Timmy, you're doing too much for the workers and not enough for the capitalists. (Heckuva job fooling the poor dope.)
That 5/6th loss in reserves in one quarter from the other day, strikes me as the kind of number i'd supply if in fact there were no reserves.
It's all a matter of time before the first sycophant high up enough, spills the beans about the mess we are truly in. So far the sangfroid has been solid, but these people are all power freaks in one way or another, and sooner than later a soothsayer will speak truth to the people in a manner that will divide him or her from those, for whom manna is their god.
Cinco-X (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 9:34 am
But the top 5% that constitute the bulk of income are doing better!? Is it really that hard to understand?
/snark or at least wish I was...
Since we basically know they aren't CREATING wealth or increasing productivity by the magical powers of their passive income, if they have seen real gains, they had to have come from redistribution (theft is a type of redistribution, as is fraud, as is extortion, as is taxation). We pretty much have established this as true - the top end has grown their net worth as well as incomes disproportionately to the bottom 4 quintiles.
But the top 5% that constitute the bulk of income are doing better!? Is it really that hard to understand?
Apparently it is that hard to understand. The Fed, CONgress and NBER seem oblivious to the simple fact that our "growth" was based on unpayable debt issuance. That's not growth at all, it's impoverishment. Absent the Fed and the bailouts, all that growth would have gone up in smoke and the wealthy would understand the bogusness and the fragility of their "wealth".
It's a credit system. The assets are only as good as the liabilities. But Bernanke and the NBER idiots ignore distribution, debt levels and ability of borrowers to service debt through incomes. They actually believe that servicing debt with more debt is a positive.
Look...If were interested in building a milk pipeline ala the colonial oil pipeline and all the other's that supply customers throughout the country, then maybe then we can have milk as cheap as gas...
AOPL | Association of Oil Pipe Lines
nova - I have questions about that figure. 25% can't afford to feed their kids as much as they used to? Sounds fishy.
edit: maybe parents are just cutting out some of the pre-packaged junk food stuff. Good riddance to that.
FACTOID:
....time to milk.....later....
I see my bank's 30 yr. fixed rate is back down to 4.875 again this morning. I didn't think I'd see that rate again, or at least not so soon.
Any predictions on how low the 30 yr. fixed will drop?
Madoff’s Air Charter Company Files for Bankruptcy Protection
Madoff’s Air Charter Company Files for Bankruptcy Protection - Bloomberg.com
Milton Friedman
I'll take "Ivory tower wingnuts" for $2,000 please, Alex.
"...suggesting a downward revision to Q3 GDP."
Hey, no kidding. Did you really buy into those government stats?
How's your oil crop doing?
I pay $3.15/gal for a LOCAL brand of milk...other prices are higher.
Nanoo - wow. Here in NH I'm paying $2.39.
,rad Comrade,
It's really weird to be cruising up or down Hwy 99 in the CV, seeing a few billboards offering up milk cows for sale, as meat.
The milking industry has been milking itself poor just by doing business as usual, and the more milk they make, the more they lose, in this economic climate.
Imagine going to all the work of producing milk, just to lose money everyday, guaranteed?
No wonder Bessie & co. are expendable...
nova
i find that hard to believe,but i believe it. they have no idea of how to shop. i take a calulator,grocercy list and pen.and i look at prices dont buy things on sale if i dont want them and use coupons,some stores are total twits about coupons and yes you can use coupons with food stamps. no i dont use them dont need them. its takes a lot of time. most stores send out flyers of their weekly specials and you can get a good ideal of their prices sorry got excited you were just reporting the fact.
yeah, the cost of living here is totally outrageous and despite the 'mystique'...VT is a poor state. Last year VT topped CA, HW and AK in taxation, its insane. We were the #1 highest taxed state in the union in '08.
JD, let's face it, 90% of the American populace is expendable at this point.
they really wanna hold this market up through the end of the year. I'd love to see a crash before the warm and fuzzy holiday season.
Outsider,
I went to the WINC-FM website but they don't post sources and I didn't hear it.
Terry wrote:
so who is smarter? In an earlier conversation I had posed the question - what are the security threats facing the United States. None of the opinions offered required that the United States spend 50% of the worlds total military spending. Avoid getting into stupid wars and we too could have health insurance for everybody. Isn't ironic that there is so much angst about a $1 trillion commitment to health care but we are not supposed to "dither" about sending an additional 40,000 men to Afghanistan which will certainly cost more than a trillion when it is all done.
Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:
Is that all in? Meaning sales, income and property tax?
When they respond "food" that could mean anything from Twinkies to beef jerky.
Terry, if you finally reckon to move, come to HK.
16% tax on ordinary income, nothing on cap gains. Gov't rev comes from those reduced rates, as well as assessments on real estate, and some duities and fees.
Beijing doesn't have to dick with it because the elites are all trying to be more catholic than the pope.
Bloated but effective bureaucracy here, and the seafood is quivering fresh.......
homedad43 wrote:
I didn't see anyone answer your question. Your assumption would be correct with constant volumes. However, it's generally assumed that a relative reduction in the cost of exports would encourage importing countries to consume more, and vice versa. So as the dollar depreciates, the trade deficit should narrow.
Unfortunately, since oil is one of the largest imports into the USA and volumes demanded don't change dramatically, any devaluation in the USD--assuming quantities of exports remained relatively stable--would result in an increasing trade deficit.
Adjusting for the value of the dollar would pretty much relegate us to volume analysis, like you suggested, as far as I'm concerned.
yup. And I keep saying it, then when retail numbers are worse than last year, the flu will be blamed and it will be considered a 'temporary' problem to gather up
for the 2nd qtr of '10.
Hong Kong, a million years ago, had great fish and chips
I see a billboard in the future with us on it, and it says...
"Pets or Meat"
Outsider wrote:
Holy cow. I have to tell that to my wife. Our closed 10 year fixed is currently 6.95, and that's the longest one we have.
About the parents cutting back on food...around here that translated to middle class moms shopping at Target aren't buying organic, and have cut back to Hamburger Helper and Mac and Cheese. This is more about trying to stretch paychecks by eating cheaper, than actually skipping meals. I do believe however, the lower down on the income rung, the more drastic the cutbacks are....and this should not marginalize the issue of hungry kids, they are real and the number is growing. Locally, the school lunch program is feeding many kids their only 'real' meal of the day.
nanoo, back when we were looking at possible country living sites, I answered an ad from a seller in VT. During the hour long conversation, he proceeded to tell me all the reasons why I didn't want to move to VT - from his perpectual smashed mailboxes to the houses painted w/whatever leftover paint to cars in yards, etc. He was hysterically funny. I wonder if he ever sold his place, because he tried his best to talk me out of it. I guess his dream country estate idea went downhill pretty quickly. But VT is absoutely beautiful. Hard to beat that scenery.
Retail stocks boosted by J.C. Penney, Abercrombie
Bizarre world! JC Penney was down 78%??????????????????????? they will be the first to go in 2010.
shill
isnt the sahara on the african continent? surely no one with an ounce of brains would put our fed gov in charge of anything. but wait, the fed would be importing sand from the sahara saying it cheaper over there blah blah
JD - Our great advantage is that the food value of most humans is much lower than that of animals raised for slaughter. For now...
so who is smarter? In an earlier conversation I had posed the question - what are the security threats facing the United States. None of the opinions offered required that the United States spend 50% of the worlds total military spending.
I keep reading all these articles that say the only kind of stimulus spending that really works is military spending (or spending unrelated to "typical" domestic activities). I can't evaluate the validity of these arguments, but I do wonder if that's the real driver behind military spending today.
,rad RIF,
There's many an American would plenty of meat on the hoof, 4 legs good eating, 2 legs not so much.
YUP! 2/3s of my property tax goes to education and its in the thousands and thousands every year (and no, I do not live in a McMansion or have a business or tons o land). Its due ALL IN the same time every year...no credit, no terms, no nothing...poor schmucks in trouble can't even use a credit card to pay for it. Depending on the county, sales taxes are 8-9%. 10%+ restaurant and hotel taxes. Taxes for sin items rose big time for alcohol, tobacco, gasoline and we also have a state income tax that is the silliest thing you ever saw. We do get a homestead exemption but still pay BIG anyway despite a fixed income and modest housing in the BOONIES.
shill wrote:
Bizarre world! JC Penney was down 78%??????????????????????? they will be the first to go in 2010.
...Yeah, but they beat analyst estimates !!
Without military spending the DC burbs would dry up and blow away
Uh oh... did consumer continence just take a dive?
"The major contributors to the increase in the trade deficit were the increase in oil prices, and more imports from China. Also - the deficit is higher than expected, suggesting a downward revision to Q3 GDP."
One of your best CR...really...tight concise and accurate.
(Klaxon sounds repeatedly)
crazyv wrote:
You already spend more per capita than most other developed countries on health-care, so you could keep your subs and guns and fighter jets. It's just a reallocation.
Just make government the single-pay insurer and leave the rest of the health-care market alone. Current insurers can be relegated to providing supplementary insurance. Why is this so complicated?
comrade rally monkey
the price of diesel figures very much into the price of milk. diesel not gas diesel! diesel is what makes this country go around and it needs not to go higher than gas jmo
"did consumer continence just take a dive? "
That Depends....
buh-duh-duh...
Thanks, tip the waitresses...I'm here all week.
With a do nothing Congress, and DO NOTHING COMMANDER IN CHIEF...its a wonder the whole economy has not tanked............oh wait.
Without military spending Tijuana-adjacent withers up and dies financially, but you can't beat the weather.
Comrade Misean is Dope wrote:
How's the veal?
Dairy issues are mainly attributable to unfair pricing practices by Dairy Farmers of America (DFA) and Dean Foods Company. You take their price or you pour the milk onto the ground. Centralizing control of entire industries in a few hands always begets abuse. Sherman Antitrust Act and the failure of the DOJ to enforce it. One of multitudes.
Kinda like Wall Street and high finance...
Obama sues big milk producers
ac,
The last five years of my father's military career...he started to talk about the transformation of the army from a military force to a social program designed to meet the needs of certain segments of the population. This was fine during periods of relative peace but would backfire in a prolonged 'real' war environment.
outsider
fresh produce costs more then canned frozen etc etc
shill wrote:
I think we'd be in much better condition if they had done nothing, actually.
Chewy...
ac wrote:
Other forms of stimulus merely pull demand forward; military spending has the advantage that it's pure waste and there's no real demand to pull forward.
And I can't decide if that's snark or not.
Hu clucks klaxon?
Blankfein claims GS employees are the most productive in the world....
Really?
Petroleum pipelines depend on a relatively small national workforce of about 10,000 skilled men and women, yet that workforce transports over 828.8 billion ton-miles of freight each year. These workers accomplish this job so efficiently that America's oil pipelines transport 17% of all U.S. freight, but cost only 2% of the nation's freight bill
anyone else have examples?
VT's quality of life is outstanding. As much as I gripe, and the huge shock about taxation upon moving here, I pay because I do love it. We give up a whole lot to live here. People who move here either love it or hate it. I suppose it depends on the conveniences which are important to them. In the depressed areas, life is particularly rough just like in other regions of the nation that are depressed rural and urban. So moving here requires more research than in suburban and metro areas. You could easily find yourself over an hours drive to a retail grocery store, hospital if you don't pay attention. Jobs are scarce and resources are thin.
noob goldberg wrote:
However, since much of what we import isn't produced anymore in the United States a weakening dollar just increases the cost of imported goods. So we don't get the import substitution that would normally take place. So at best the a weaker dollar only stimulates exports- but then again we don't make a lot of stuff that the world wants to buy so we are left with just the price elasticity of a few items. On that basis a weaker dollar is very weak tool.
Externalized Costs wrote:
In Canada we pay significantly more for milk due to our legislated marketing boards. However, since that pretty much all goes back to the farmer, they love the system, and processors are forced to pay a price that covers the cost of production and permits a living. It's protectionist as hell, distorts the market all out of whack, and yet is probably a system we'll see emulated in other countries as this crisis unfold, IMHO.
U.S. Nov. UMich sentiment 66.0 vs 70.6 Oct.
9:55 a.m.
MarketWatch.com Search
nanoo
the price i said was sell price,reg price was $3.72 (saving of 75cents) but a dozen eggs large was 1.46
,rad Comrade,
Everybody knows the Squid is specialer than everybody else. They fly in short-planes you know...
Juvenal Delinquent (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 9:55 am
,rad RIF,
There's many an American would plenty of meat on the hoof, 4 legs good eating, 2 legs not so much.
Indeed. The true reason for fattening us up on a carbohydrate and protein-rich diet is now coming into view for me. I had ignorantly assumed it was just to increase our dependency on the medical establishment. In reality, perhaps it improves our flavor or results in more tender and succulent flesh (at least in the younger ones).
Angry Saver wrote:
THAT'S why I wished I was snarking.
Chuck Norris - One World Government
EclippTV :: Video :: Chuck Norris - One World Government
crazyv wrote:
Agreed, but I'll have to channel dryfly and argue that we're still in the early stages of this crisis--from a manufacturing perspective--and it will probably take a couple of years to rebuild the manufacturing sector from decades of neglect. But the economics are finally in favour of it, so I have no doubt it's going to happen now.
Couple of other things about Vermont- the State actually does provide income based relief with regard to property taxes- so people with low income incomes e.g. the elderly who are living in expensive homes don't get displaced because the they can't afford the property taxes. Also aid to schools is equalized so that schools in more expensive real estate neighborhoods don't spend more money per pupil. Also our Republican governor proposed several years ago to increase the capital gains tax in order to reduce income taxes.
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
So you're saying we'll need to get a "long pig" icon soon?
,rad RIF,
I would assume that tender veal would bring a pretty penny, or perry?
U.S. Nov. UMich sentiment 66.0 vs 70.6 Oct.
Diving drill complete.
Back to the highs.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
I don't know why we're ragging on Blankenstein, we should be encouraging him.
Give the man enough rope, and he'll...[inaudible pithy idiom muttering]
Cinco-X wrote:
'It's protectionist as hell, distorts the market all out of whack, and yet is probably a system we'll see emulated in other countries as this crisis unfold, IMHO."
Necessary protectionism. Ag support has always been justified as being in the national interest. Abused? Certainly but primarily by the large Ag companies and not at the solo farmer or dairyman level. The few that are left.
The issue is the middleman prices at the level that ensures them a guaranteed profit. Mark it to the false efficiencies of the free market.
Noob
I think if we focused on things like unfair labor and environmental standards we wouldn't have to resort to the clumsy tool of currency depreciation. Sometimes I wonder what kind of universe I am in when I listen to economic prognosticators - bigger government deficits and weaker currency are the path to economic health!!!
I saw an interesting billoard on a Metro bus this morning.
Black woman holding a phone. She is scared and looking back over her shoulder.
It said "What if you called 911 and nobody answered?"
At the bottom "Don't cut the police budget."
FTD - Congressional Highlights
I'm ashamed to tell what I pay for eggs because I insist on certified, humanely treated animals. I'll do without something else to assure that. The ones I get are so unlike no name store brand eggs in consistency, shelf-life, flavor, color!! You really can tell the difference. I am something of a closet Buddhist I think.
crazyv...the equalized property tax thingie SUCKS majorly and isn't fair to said taxpayers. If you saw my tax bill, my home, CPR would be necessary. and oh...I'm childless.
Ok, I really gotta go now. ha. Like I said CR is evil!!
Noob, how about you lobby for us?
Spunkmeyer (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 10:08 am
So you're saying we'll need to get a "long pig" icon soon?
Hopefully not for a few more years, as we see the dastardly plan coming ever more into view.
ac wrote:
One thing about military spending; it's difficult by regulation to outsource it to China or India. I believe it allows folks here to gain income without simultaneously swamping the market with consumer goods. Finally, there has been evidence in the past that there have been many technology spin-offs that helped improve out standard of living. Of course, it's all paid for with taxes or debt, so there needs to be a limit to it; we can't rely on it to be the sole driver of growth, or even a primary driver.
Externalized Costs wrote:
The issue is the middleman prices at the level that ensures them a guaranteed profit. Mark it to the false efficiencies of the free market.
Consumer willingness to pay at the retail level is only slightly different between Canada and the USA. The difference is who's extracting the rent at that level. In Canada, it's the farmers and retailers, with processors getting a thin slice. In the USA it's processors and retailers, with farmers getting a government cheque.
omg jd i can just see them in their short planes and copters too right? about the copters
Juvenal Delinquent (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 10:08 am
,rad RIF,
I would assume that tender veal would bring a pretty penny, or perry?
-grams
Probably
crazyv wrote:
In that respect, you and I are in complete agreement. I'd be perfectly happy if the days of multinational regulatory arbitrage were behind us.
But I've always been overly optimistic.
"The August to September increase in exports of goods reflected increases in capital goods ($1.7 billion); industrial supplies and materials ($1.4 billion); consumer goods ($0.5 billion); automotive vehicles, parts, and engines ($0.2 billion); and other goods ($0.2 billion). A decrease occurred in foods, feeds, and beverages ($0.4 billion)."
"The August to September increase in exports of services was mostly accounted for by increases in other private services ($0.1 billion), which includes items such as business, professional, and technical services, insurance services, and financial services, and in other transportation ($0.1 billion), which includes freight and port services. Changes in the other categories of services exports were small."
FTD - Congressional Highlights
'It's protectionist as hell, distorts the market all out of whack, and yet is probably a system we'll see emulated in other countries as this crisis unfold, IMHO."
It guarantees huge profits for agribusinesses and for large farmers. Also it allows us to burn our foods in our gas tanks (ethanol). Farmers and automobile owners all vote and agribusiness contributes large to political campaigns. What's not to like?
nanoo
go to the store now.
gabyjan wrote:
Are you sure? Frozen food is quite expensive, and not as good, at least here in the NE-
For you sun watchers:
Another parallel with the Maunder Minimum
Go long thermal underwear....
Nanoo -
I can relate.
2010 assessed value @ $490k
2009 general tax @ $3900
2009 school tax @ $6632
2010 school tax @ $7267
2.5% tax on home energy (includes oil, nat gas, propane, coal and firewood)
Sales tax 8.625%
State income tax 6.85%
regular gas at the pump is $2.85 of that $.42 is state tax and federal - county taxes gas as a percentage of price as well at the rate of 4.25%
I'm sure I'm omitting a few.
,rad noob,
What was I thinking?
Darth Blanklook's ill-advised verbal direrhea this week has been astounding, and he's on a roll...
they really wanna hold this market up through the end of the year. I'd love to see a crash before the warm and fuzzy holiday season.
You may get your wish. I think hedge fund redemption notices for this quarter are due november 15th. With long funds having a great return this year I can see a lot people wanting to lock in their gains. And since they have pretty much been the market this year there could be some year end selling. It will have the additional benefit of providing a lower base to pump from next year and provide political cover for the next stimpack which will heat up after xmas when small businesses get decimated by poor xmas sales.
Yalt wrote:
blackdog,
+1
t r orwell wrote:
That was my point, and is the reason that we should be concerned-
Uncle Ar wrote:
Good lord, I lobby in agriculture right now, and that's got enough drama for me. I can't imagine the soap opera running the US healthcare gauntlet would be!
But I'm obviously missing something (intentionally...I'm trying to stay as ignorant as possible toward this issue). From what I understand, doctors in the USA hate the current system because they have to hire umpteen administrative support personnel simply to deal with processing insurance claims. In Canada, three or four doctors operating in a clinic together can share one part-time clerk who comes in a couple times a week and and deals with the limited paperwork.
Just think of the waste and extra expense that's being generated in that one activity alone in the current health-care system? If every doctor has to have at least two or three full time assistants to deal with the paperwork, that drives up all medical costs.
Any ag product getting a subsidy from the american taxpayer should not be exportable. Problem solved.
Mike in Long Island-
I think anybody who complains about the their tax burden should also offer their list of spending cuts first. To give you just an example- I proposed that my City should consider reducing its foot print of footpaths so that the existing maintenance spending would be in balance with the expected life time of the foot path. It went down like lead balloon. In fact there were petitions that we should be building more paths by the same people who were complaining that our taxes are too high.
Cinco-X (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 10:12 am
I believe it allows folks here to gain income without simultaneously swamping the market with consumer goods. Finally, there has been evidence in the past that there have been many technology spin-offs that helped improve out standard of living. Of course, it's all paid for with taxes or debt, so there needs to be a limit to it; we can't rely on it to be the sole driver of growth, or even a primary driver.
I would assume the success rate on big, complex projects sucks, and we are just playing the odds with the peoples' money, figuring one or two lucky hits will compensate for dozens of expensive failures. Which is still far better than loaning the money to merchant banks so they can rig markets to make massive short-term profits, then position themselves to profit against the downside they've created, then hand back the taxpayer loot with a big smile and a thank you.
Uncle Ar wrote:
How should we deal with cross-subsidization? Subsidize corn and soybeans, for example, which are then fed as cheap food-sources to cattle and chickens. The American cost of production is lower, but since they aren't directly subsidizing livestock production, can they still export them?
There are ways of encouraging and supporting agriculture that do not rely on direct subsidization, but they are hard to implement and sell and subsidies are easier to explain and justify, even if they're counterproductive.
Some of you will get a big kick out of this:
Apparatchica gabyjan,
When I was in elementary school, the developmentally challenged kids were on the same campus, but segregated somewhat, and they came to school on the "Mahaney Bus Co." short-bus, and we sadly called the kids 'Mahaneys'.
The Unabankers are very much Mahaneys in their own special fashion...
Cinco-X, I'm on your side, just reaffirming in my own way.
better to have the abortion payment come from the RNC for your paige than from the senator's wallet.
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Success on SW projects sucks (>90% failures?). The hardware projects I've known about in the past did much better. Even McNamara's Folly, the F-111 turned out to be a very good airframe over the long haul, despite 15 years of setbacks. It just needed to find its niche-
Lord Blankcheck's (stole that) behavior is calculated but his intent is causing me to draw a blank. Lord Shiny Dimon has an excellent Orwellian doublespeak commentary in today's Post. Throw in Gates and Buffet cheerleading yesterday and it seems the bad banker role is being Figureheaded to Blankfein. Did that oligarch make so much money that he is willing to take the heat for the bankers? Or is he just that arrogant and assured of his place in the world?
Banks should be allowed to expand - and fail - washingtonpost.com
Noob, cattle here are massively subsidized,what with letting them feed on federal lands and all, so no export. Chickens, with their sawdust diet, can be shopped at wil (at least that's my 2cents
)
didn't consumer sentiment unexpectedly decline last month, too?
U.S. Economy: Consumer Sentiment Unexpectedly Falls (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Agreed. I assume some $500/hour public relations expert told him to stop showing weakness and get out there and be the alpha male. It's remeniscent of "Thank you for smoking" when Aaron Eckhart flips the whole sleeping-with-the-reporter situation into some sort of advantage.
I just can't believe he took them seriously and took that advice. "GS Employees are the most productive in the world" is going to be as timeless as "Let them eat cake", with the notable difference that he actually said it! I'd be surprised if it wasn't turned into a rallying cry at some point in the future...or a sign painted over a row of swinging nooses.
I didn't realize young boys needed abortions.
RockyR wrote:
The consumer has evidently not gotten the memo: we're in a recovery
crazyv wrote:
Each community has its own school district. Centralization of purhcasing and admininstrative functions would be a step in the right direction - chances of that actually happening are slim and none.
Uncle Ar wrote:
I just KNEW somebody was going to enjoy that-
'Noose & Squirrel"?
Uncle Ar, I used to have a client in Mississippi who got $35/ acre from the government to not raise cattle. He said that he never made that rate of return per acre raising them.
Cinco-X (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 11/13/2009 - 10:27 am
Success on SW projects sucks (>90% failures?). The hardware projects I've known about in the past did much better. Even McNamara's Folly, the F-111 turned out to be a very good airframe over the long haul, despite 15 years of setbacks. It just needed to find its niche-
That makes sense based on my somewhat hazy recollection of some research done for a project management class years ago. There are so much better ways to spend large amounts of money in foolish and risky ways that create or support interesting and hi-tech research and development jobs than letting merchant banks play the ponies with it.
The easiest way to cut school spending is to cut teacher salaries. Ain't gonna happen any time soon. Same with city government, except you see some of that through the back door with outsourcing. Counting paper clips ain't gonna save too much.
Where is Liz ?
Home, Condo Sales on the Rise in Florida
externalized costs
are the rest pulling away from him? i see he's talking,he is out there, why why now? unless he is so %#%^&&#@%^% proud that he dont care and just thumbing his nose? at them or/and us?
cinco-x
got memo filed in round file under hogwash
Chuck Norris doesn't jump into the water, the water jumps onto Chuck...
Gold just left the launch pad.....climb Mr. Market climb!
homedad, excellent. If we are reduced to exporting agriculture products exclusively as many of our trading partners would like, then we are third world and no amount of devaluation of the dollar is going to do anything but help our descent into poverty
where is the
t r orwell
what is poverty? i think poverty is different for each one of us.and as a country how many would realize it it would be same old same old to them.
shill wrote:
*Did the launch fail? Booster rocket didn't kick in?
*
Looks like V shaped recovery for deficit.
Uncle Ar wrote:
Just like the best way to get a nun pregnant is to dress her up like a choir boy, the best way to get a RNC female staffer pregnant is to dress like a paige-- works almost every time.
I thought inquiring mind would want to know!
Uncle Ar wrote:
Didn't you just completely eliminate US food aid? i.e. govvie money supporting exports of food to 'where it's needed' (to wipe out other countries ag).
More extend and pretend out of the banking regulators:
Agencies Issue Final Rule for Mortgage Loans Modified Under the Home Affordable Mortgage Program
Washington--The federal bank and thrift regulatory agencies today issued a final rule providing that mortgage loans modified under the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Home Affordable Mortgage Program (HAMP) will generally retain the risk weight appropriate to the mortgage loan prior to modification.
The agencies adopted as final their interim final rule issued on June 30, 2009, with one modification. The final rule clarifies that mortgage loans whose HAMP modifications are in the trial period, and not yet permanent, qualify for the risk-based capital treatment contained in the rule.
The final rule, issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and Office of Thrift Supervision, will take effect 30 days after publication in the Federal Register, which is expected shortly.
If the Agriculture Industrial Complex can sell it's carrots for $3 a pound f.o.b. to China, and can only get a dollar a pound here, who gets the carrots, Buggs?
Just a reminder that the BFF Poll is open!
BFF!!!
gaby-I don't know. I do know Lord Dimon is the Big Man and a tried and true friend to the Administration. If anyone wields the reins of power it is Dimon. Blankfein has made hundreds of millions and GS is facing an incredibly damaging pr backlash. Add the real possibility that GS has some big bonuses, lawsuits and investigations pending and a fall guy is being manufactured. Blankfein does a credible mea culpa with a Truman "buck stops here" and takes the populist anger away with him as he steps down to run a hedgefund in Asia.
All conjecture on my part. Entertainment purposes only.
Unemployment Projections Through 2020
Unemployment Projections Through 2020-Minyanville
gotta go- enjoy the day.
A must read on the disincentives created by the health care bills on the working poor: The Dead Zone: The Implicit Marginal Tax Rate - Clifford F. Thies - Mises Institute
It's funny...
When I was a kid, my parents told me to finish my meals, "because there are people starving to death in China", and it was true at the time, sure enough.
Might a Chinaman in the future tell his children to finish their meals, "because there are people starving to death in the United States"?
CBC News - Canada - Rising exports narrow Canada's trade deficit
US imports continue to shift towards Asia, and I'm apprehensive with all the price adjustments and hedging going on that the Census' import values are accurate
gabyjan wrote:
The least you could've done was recycle it.
JP Morgan fixed income chiefs replace New York credit head
Hmm. Sure would like to know what is going on behind the scenes there.
JD - Perhaps the Chinaman will tell his children to get back to the factory so that the people in the United States can get their food stamps.
i got the recovery memo. i'll rejoin doomerism here in a few months when things turn more sharply south, again
exteernalized costs
you got to admit it is entertaining sort of almost taking a leaf from Ws god told him...
i know nothing about this financial stuff but jmo and just a feeling. bonuses are going to parachutes better to call them bonuses isnt it. then parachutes
Market like-um bad news today.
Juvenile Delinquent, this is exactly what happened in Argentina when the politicians sold out the country to foreigners. Neither Bugs Bunny nor the Argentinians got anything except very expensive carrots. AND THEY RIOTED to the detriment of their foreign investors temporarily.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
if we triple our population and/or freeze the great plains, maybe.
Cinco-X wrote:
Recycling killed domestic aluminum production. When demand increases shortages will cause price disruptions and environmental laws will prevent reopening thus sending sources overseas exacerbating trade deficits. Ain't 'Merica grand?
because someone might get an A************ on the tax dollar......
(didn't want to say it out loud......)
That Minyanville bit on UE is an excellent piece of analysis - recommended reading!
Just a note that BFF Poll closes upon the first announced "failure" or 5:55 EST.
Friday the 13th today too!
BFF!
*"because there are people starving to death in the United States"? *
worst line of logic ever....
result? 28% morbid obesity rate
Once again I was surprised by the continued upward trend in the Baltic Dry Index! The upward trend appears to be getting more momentum! I trust this an indicator more than most other gauges.....
Bloomberg.com:
Personal Finance
jd could be but give us at least couple of months and plenty of water, faties going on diet. then they might be able to say that. but we have stores
Problem with parachutes....if you jump out of a plane over a burning forest....might be praying for that chute not to open...same goes for jumping out over a rioting mob with pitchforks...makes for rough landings...
Super-rich seen buying gold, selling hedge funds
Super-rich seen buying gold, selling hedge funds | Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee
picky picky picky
Terry wrote:
Not a War Chicken (Auburn) fan, but'cha gotta love it.
the consumer sentiment article has already fallen out of bloomie's breaking news section. it's all blue skies and
s, now.
News doesn't mean jack - look at the EUR/USD cross - just sayin'
,rad Comrade,
The future waists for no one.
Don't know why my Baltic Dry Chart link shows up as "Franchise Times Magazine". The link does work however.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
No; they're mostly either upper-middle class anoexic white girls, or kids whose parent use their foods stamps to buy drugs and/or alcohol.
Cinco-X wrote:
War my economy not sucking.
War me not having to eat cat food.
War the CR Commentariat.
.
And I'm out.
,rad orwell,
It takes too big to fail to tango.
Tic Tic Tic Tic
Pathetic Volume, that is all
Shark Investing - Volume Charts
Rob Dawg wrote:
If you ever got downwind of the paper mills in Tuscaloosa, AL or Panama City, FL, you wouldn't pine away for domestic paper production.
cinco-x
if they get the card cant buy either nor anything other than food and seeds vegetable only (i think)
Cinco, they finally got rid of one of the ones near Panama City... St. Joe Company building new condos after the environmental cleanup.
It's a Chinaman's chance, that the hoi ploy will keep on getting stamps.
add savanh to that list maybe been long time since in city
I'd like to see what Mish's UE projections are for a double dip.
bdi
Bloomberg.com:
Personal Finance
gabyjan wrote:
I just recently saw something about foodstamps being used for buying other stuff. Probably some sort of barter arrangement or crooked store owners. Not supposed to happen, but it does. See the post above regarding morbid obesity.
McDonald's is a key DOW component. So is WalMart. Jus sayin'
What a country!
Go long garlic?
Swine flu causes surge of garlic sales in Serbia
It cured my ear infection, and I am still eating a raw clove a day. Nice little energy boost. Keeps the
away too.
Jonathon, exportable for cash or other currency. Giving to charity still ok, with controls that it doesn't get 'hijacked' and sold anyway.
Vonbek777 wrote:
I heard that. I used to visit cousins that lived downwind off them back in the '70s. Even when the wind wasn't blowing that smell past their place, the houses, trees and everything else still had that smell. I wouldn't be surprised it you went out to the local ponds and creeks and stilled up the mud that you'd still smell it-
cinco-x
with the stamps yes very possible,with the card dont see how you never get cash back its a debit without the money back thingie
...using someone with a "food stamp credit card" to buy you groceries and then they are paid back "some way" happens all the time - watch the food shoppers (I sit on a bench at Wal-Mart near the check-out counters while the Mrs shops) - the "traders" are easy to pick out.
gabyjan wrote:
And northern Maine....I 'm sure there's a lot of them, but I named the 2 I was familiar with-
Vonbek777 wrote:
Go long mouthwash and breathmints?
bearly
where would i find that, i want to see who else makes it up
Vonbek777 wrote:
Mmmm.......Squid with butter and garlic
bsr
yeah that tottaly forgot about that
We Must End the Era of "Too Big Too Fail" - Jamie Dimon, Washington Post
Need a new keyboard now
11.13.09- World Gold Supply Runs Out, Barrick Gold Shuts Hedge Book
The Silver Bear Cafe
This is just the daily chart from stocktiming.com. I don't know where the hyperlink language is coming from....
Expert Stock Market Timing Models used by Money Managers and Investors...
Cinco, nice thing about eating garlic, is that you can't smell yourself. The wife has been eating it too, so it doesn't bother her, and since I am generally antisocial...don't really worry about offending the masses.
So far the wife's co-workers haven't complained, although she has invested in the mouthwash and breath mints, so I concur with your counter-suggestion.
Popular item in annual Gilroy garlic festival. Sadly, Gilroy garlic production is on the way out; can't compete with Chinese garlic imports.
ACORN and the Housing Spike - Edward Pinto, Wall Street Journal
Time to stir the pot!
Those of you spooked by Swine Flu...
One thing i'd most definitely invest in, would be a 20 pack of N-95 masks, it's around $50 or so.
When SARS hit earlier in the century, and I was at the post office almost everyday, you wouldn't believe how many Asian people were mailing masks, back home.
Cinco-X wrote:
This is not a discussion you want to start. My grandmother was Horace A. Moses' Executive Secretary at Strathmore and I was a mill chemist including being responsible for effluent treatment. Whatever you think, I've got a different story. Given the north american resources amenable to paper production it is indeed a shame that we aren't able to execute sustainable production practices as the jobs would be plentiful, varied and well paying.
Vonbek777 wrote:
Guess you won't need to worry about her cheatin' on ya'
oh yeah something is going on funny how gs got out of bank holding business just as sheila wants her prepaid fees. insider ? isnt fee going to be based on deposits or something?
I used to live near the Champion paper mill in Canton NC. P-U. Plus, issues w/the river resulting.
Of course, the local saying was: Smells like money.
jd
you know how long you can wear one mask before changing to another, im cheap really cheap couldnt i double triple up on N-94s got some of them already.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Edit; Just checked. I have GOT to remember to add those "smileys" . Later
I was (again) just teasin' you. I'm sure things are better around paper mills than they used to be. If we'd get rid of the desire for bleached paper, we'd also get fewer (is it?) dioxins in the effluents. Being responsible is always a good option in my opinion. We just need to get exchange rates and regulations that allow it to be practicable.
It's very un-Slumdog of him to not come on here and crow about the 1/2 of 1% profit he scored day-trading the barbarous, while we of the cyclops persuasion were asleep, with one eye closed.
re: Swine Flu
ALDA Pharmaceuticals Corp. named Official Supplier of hand sanitizer and disinfectant cleaning products for the 2010 Winter Games - News Releases : Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics
Alda Soars on 2010 Olympic Contract as J&J Withdraws (Update2) - Bloomberg.com 1-Yr Return 359.259%
Cinco-X wrote:
Smells like money.
She likes kimchi too...so I don't worry too much...although there is that single Korean contractor I keep my eyes on... just kidding
. We're both incredibly introverted...about as close to eagles as you come.
"Central banks and the bullion price"
Buttonwood: Paper promises, golden hordes | The Economist
Ooh! I added it to my post above and here you've beat me to it!
For gaby
Bloomberg.com:
Movers by Index
i use lysol wipes
Quickie Poll for shits and giggles
What following event is most likely to happen before the end of the year?
Oh yeah and on topic of trade
Why China won't save the world - Alan Kohler - News - Business Spectator
something is going on funny how gs got out of bank holding business just as sheila wants her prepaid fees.
GS isn't a bank holding company because it is a financial holding company.
vonbek777
love kimchi but have to wash it, please dont tell her.
Octopi Octopirates, same same.
Cinco-X wrote:
Clearly it's wrong to discriminate against people who are too poor to afford a home. It's their right to have a new home regardless of ability to pay.
This should be the reverse side of the executive class having the right to inflated salaries & bonuses regardless of competency in their job.
~splat
I'll take 3 Tim. And I have to ask, are you going to the movie tonight?
thanks mike
Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve’s policy of keeping interest rates near zero is fueling a wave of speculative capital that may cause the next global crisis, Hong Kong’s leader said.
“I’m scared and leaders should look out,” said Donald Tsang, chief executive of the city, said in Singapore today. “America is doing exactly what Japan did last time,” he said, adding that Japan’s zero interest rate policy contributed to the 1997 Asian financial crisis and U.S. mortgage meltdown.
Fed May Cause Next Crisis, Hong Kong’s Tsang Suggests (Update2) - Bloomberg.com
basel too
does that mean they do or dont have to play the prepaid fee game?
777
Box office
My parents were stationed in Korea for four years, after I left for college, didn't get to go....they developed a taste for it too. I love sauerkraut, but I can't do kimchi at most of our local joints. I am told the real stuff is much better.
gabyjan,
The Effectiveness of Antibacterial Wipes
Lysol is effective about half the time, and it leads to anti-biotic resistant bacteria Avoid The Antibacterial Soaps | The Good Human
instead use soap, vinegar, bleach, or alcohol
Swine Flu arose because of the overuse of anti-biotics in NC pig farms, while at the same time using too little to make sure the bacteria is dead (to save money). No one wants a pandemic to be named after them
NC? Which NC? Not the state?
former Thai fugitive billionaire Thaksin spoke to a crowd of 300 Biz leaders here in Phnom Penh yesterday
even amidst the saber rattling fromThailand (he was protected by Hun Sen security detail) interesting that
he said Cambodia should not become a one or two horse town (textiles, labor) and diversify, actually
pointed at the USA as a country that did just that in finance !
....
just watched Jim TV in La Jolla did you know he once went by a monker? Jim Jama-Lama
The famous Las Vegas Herbst family who owned all the "Terrible Herbst" gas stations, casinos, Primm properties, and slot routes, hoped to keep the slot routes in bankruptcy court. A Reno judge throw them out of ALL. One brother (of three) still runs the casino operations for the other principals, but everything INCLUDING the lucrative slot routes were taken away.
FYI, "Slot route" companies are what most all of the small bars, restaurants, & businesses use to gain slot machine revenue. Instead of buying 15-machines (the basic limited gambling license), a slot route company will install and service THEIR machines and provide you with a cut of the proceeds, generally 30-60%).
SNAFU wrote:
Now that is a D**n shame. What's next, the artichokes in Watsonville?
The paper mill on the Tennessee River, don't know the name, but several on my street including the CFO are now retired from it and called the smell, The smell of money.