That's it, everyone. If you didn't buy more than you could afford, or if you didn't buy at all, we'll just hit your forehead with this big "SUCKER" stamp and hand a few bags of money to the guy down the street who's intentionally falling behind on his payments. Let this be a lesson for you.
The Raleigh News & Observer newspaper reported Wednesday that a parent advisory council at Rosewood Middle School came up with the fundraising plan after last year's chocolate sale flopped.
The school will sell 20 test points to students for $20. Students can add 10 extra points to each of two tests of their choice. The extra points could take a student from a B to an A on those tests or from a failing grade to a passing one.
Rob, I tried calling the phone number. The number is answered by a recording that announces they are a "debt collector", and then says they are now closed. ROFLOL.
so this isn't a principal reduction, but a principal forbearance. not a great deal.
Story says the principle is reduced to $334,400 from an initial first note balance of $392,000. That's a reduction, no? The balloon payment is simply the leftover principle after 25 years paying at a 40-year amortization rate.
The only 'economic' strategy that's going to work in slowing foreclosures and keeping people in their underwater bubble homes... is dramatic 'principal reductions' and/or no-doc & low-doc modifications and refinancings...
sorry for the rude early thread-jacking, still haven't had the chance to read through today's earlier articles/posts. The FHA condo shift, I have no idea effectively how much of a dollar contribution it will be, but I feel that it could be a huge move to stabilize pricing in cities where condos form the base of the affordability pyramid
"That's a reduction, no? The balloon payment is simply the leftover principle after 25 years paying at a 40-year amortization rate."
Nope, 334,377.69 amortized over 40 years at 5.5% gives you a payment of 1,724.62. So they are fully amortizing the 334,377.69 over 40 years, then still requiring the balloon of 197,714.69 after 40 years.
334,377.69+197,714.69 = 532,092.38. So they are charging interest on the forbearance amount as well.
“We are all working aggressively to overcome this compensation barrier that stands in the way of restoring AIG’s value.” *
outstanding! As far as I can tell, the only work they ever did was ways to increase their compensation...do they perform any needed service to the community?
"The school will sell 20 test points to students for $20. Students can add 10 extra points to each of two tests of their choice. The extra points could take a student from a B to an A on those tests or from a failing grade to a passing one."
How much to get an underachieving, political hopeful, through Yale?
i vaguely remember reading about this BAC program. somehow, it's tied to an FHA reverse mortgage, with the taxpayer eating the loss when the homedebtor dies.
Rob, I tried calling the phone number. The number is answered by a recording that announces they are a "debt collector", and then says they are now closed. ROFLOL.
Oh, the joys of subcontracting in the financial "services" "industry". I guess Guido and Vinny are out back smashing someone's kneecaps with a crowbar right now and will be in to renegotiate the loan after the cauterization is done.
Balloon payment after 25 years of 200k? So they're amortizing less than the principal amount so the borrower can afford the new payments. Sounds like another creative way of kicking the can.
And what's to stop this borrower from accepting the deal, making one payment and then redefaulting? Is this offer recourse?
What if this news makes it to yahoo boards and all manner of other sites. Assume that it's read by 10M people and 10% of them pursue the ruthless default avenue.
If the average mortgage is $200K and 1 M pursue default, then that's one hell of a lot of zeroes ($200B if I'm correct?). Apparently someone realized that this wasn't a really good idea...
Nope, 334,377.69 amortized over 40 years at 5.5% gives you a payment of 1,724.62. So they are fully amortizing the 334,377.69 over 40 years, then still requiring the balloon of 197,714.69 after 40 years.
334,377.69+197,714.69 = 532,092.38. So they are charging interest on the forbearance amount as well.
NOT a good deal.
Awesome. That's totally hilarious. I'm glad we have a consumer protection agency in place so real, live people won't be subjected to predacious schemes cloaked in helpful robes.
Rob, I tried calling the phone number. The number is answered by a recording that announces they are a "debt collector", and then says they are now closed. ROFLOL.
CR,
In all seriousness I am increasingly troubled by these trial balloons and early launches and all the rest. People can sense desperation.
Increasingly they also have to address the issue of the better you are as a client the worse you are treated. This hs long term negative consequences.
334,377.69+197,714.69 = 532,092.38. So they are charging interest on the forbearance amount as well.
NOT a good deal.
They would owe closer to $250,000 after 25 years on a 40-year amortization schedule if the loan principle weren't reduced from 392k to 334.4k. There is clearly a principle reduction involved.
Edit: read this bullet point in CR's post:
" The new loan would be a fixed rate at 5.5%, with the same term (about 25 years left), but amortized over 40 years. In 25 years the homeowner would owe a balloon payment of $198,000."
Term stays the same, but their payments are determined as though it's a 40-year loan. The loan ends at 25 years with a balloon payment for the remaining principle. Not a forbearance. More like something approaching an interest only loan.
New mortgage lending standard & interest rate calculation for underwriters...
Is there any reasonable guarantee a borrower will be employed for the duration of the loan?
read the current post.
gave me the idea to set up a lottery consultation. basic program would be to convert any losses into a negative carry loan amortized over 40 years, while booking all wins immediately. it's a strategy to create the largest bank in the country in no time
or have ever heard of. Are you thinking of the movie "National Treasure"
no on the movie: all the gold coins are minted at West Point, right? I'd heard somewhere they were also storing it, but haven't googled to see where i could have heard that.
Homeowner will pay nothing, with no refinancing at any rate over any term, and with no balloon payment of any kind ever made, under any circumstances.
BofA will, for its part, "suck it."
All things considered, that's a pretty good counter, and I strongly advise BofA to take it.
Fixing Troubled Mortgages for the Elderly - WSJ.com Mr. Garcia owed about $490,000 on his home, which a recent appraisal said is now worth only about $150,000. Bank of America wrote down about $405,000 of the loan. To account for the rest, the bank then issued a reverse mortgage for about $85,000. But instead of paying that amount to Mr. Garcia, as is usual with a reverse mortgage, the bank paid the proceeds to itself. A reverse mortgage is a form of equity loan available to older homeowners that generally doesn't need to be repaid until after the homeowner dies.
Correct me if wrong, but in the last decade condo building has not been constructing the low end wood-frame "apartment" designs, but rather the concrete and glass $200K for 1,000 sq ft designs. I'd think it likely that the low end condo construction largely ceased, as even the least creditworthy borrower could get enough loan to get a 3 bd 2 bath 1300 sq ft detached SFR.
n.
1. A basic truth, law, or assumption: the principles of democracy.
2.
a. A rule or standard, especially of good behavior: a man of principle.
b. The collectivity of moral or ethical standards or judgments: a decision based on principle rather than expediency.
3. A fixed or predetermined policy or mode of action.
4. A basic or essential quality or element determining intrinsic nature or characteristic behavior: the principle of self-preservation.
5. A rule or law concerning the functioning of natural phenomena or mechanical processes: the principle of jet propulsion.*
**** prin·ci·pal (prns-pl)**
adj.
1. First, highest, or foremost in importance, rank, worth, or degree; chief. See Synonyms at chief.
2. Of, relating to, or being financial principal, or a principal in a financial transaction.
n.
1. One who holds a position of presiding rank, especially the head of an elementary school or high school.
2. A main participant in a situation.
3. A person having a leading or starring role.
4.
a. The capital or main body of an estate or financial holding as distinguished from the interest or revenue from it.
b. A sum of money owed as a debt, upon which interest is calculated. ****
Banks need to give up the 'artificial gains' rendered or 'earned' by the bubble...these gains in valuation were not sustainable and are/were based on an institutionalized pyramid of deception...
The number of homeowners who have been offered trial loan modifications has more than doubled since August to 919,965, or 29% of those eligible, the Treasury Department said in its monthly progress report on the program. Homeowners receive modifications if they stay current on their loans for the three-month trial phase.
Treasury did not report how many mortgages have been permanently modified, but a congressional panel's report last month put the number at 1,711 as of Sept. 1.
According to Treasury, California has the most active trial modifications — 134,609 — followed by Florida at 82,614.
Despite lenders' progress in getting more borrowers into trial modifications, the bulk of homeowners — 80% of those estimated to be eligible for help — still have not received a modification that could prevent a possible foreclosure.
IF they expected this loan to last 40 years, that would mean they are charging something like 1.5% compounded interest on the forbearance amount.
But, no one in the industry would expect a loan to last 40 years. Assuming a 5.5% rate on the forbearance amount, that would put the average expected life at about 10.5 years. Maybe a bit long, but reasonable.
As I said, this is no deal, this is just hoping the borrower gets bad financial advice and elects to help them kick the can down the road.
If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment, then just treat it like a rental - when you need to go, you just stop paying 6 months beforehand, then just up and leave.
I'd heard somewhere they were also storing it, but haven't googled to see where i could have heard that.
Spent 2 years there as a Cadet. Never saw anything that could've been construed as something like that, and as cadets, we did travel over much of the post. Do you frequent the DailyKOS? I've seen a few whoppers that originated there, such as the rumor that John McCain crashed 7 airplanes (it's not true) before being shot down.
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
Cinco-X wrote:
How much to get through Yale?
Rough night, huh? I didn't write that either
Had to modify it to make my point.
It's past midnight here and I'm always up against your guys posting at work all fresh after your morning coffee. When I'm at work, you're sleeping. Not fair.
rosethorn,
those are sunk costs, shouldn't affect current pricing. during the bubble they were always the most affordable option, so call it what you will lost land value or lost finishing costs, but I would expect it to have a huge impact on urban markets because the FHA specializes in sub-400-something-k homes... so long as the FHA's stream of money is uninterrupted
I spent $30,000 for my Yale master's degree, am still paying it off, and no one in Asia gives a shit about it. EDUCATION BUBBLE.
I work in higher ed. Yes, it's a total bubble, but most of the proceeds are going to facilities and upper management. The grunts are facing heavy layoffs and wage cuts.
You're also right that a college education is basically useless these days. But I really hope that doesn't get out, because that's MY zombie you're trying to kill there, dude.
Working out a 'deal' on the primary loan...there are cases where the 2nd ( a different lender than the 1st) initiates foreclosure...which will mess up a modification agreement (or shortsale) in the works where the borrower is delinquent on the 1st & 2nd (& 3rd, etc.).
If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment, then just treat it like a rental - when you need to go, you just stop paying 6 months beforehand, then just up and leave.
The reality is that until this debt is cleared, we'll have difficulty moving forward in any degree. Unfortunately, the Bankers own the politicians, and they're dragging this on as long as possible, hoping to be out before the $h!t REALLY hits the fan. Despite the rantings, the frothing at the mouth, etc. , Karl Denninger is correct about this point.
Not saying it's a great deal, but it's really nothing different than an I/O loan. It certainly wouldn't be a bad idea to ask for a lower interest rate (or for that matter a 50 year or longer term). Like you said, treat it like you're renting it from the bank since that's basically all you're doing for at least the next 10 years (about $30k paid to principle over the first 120 months).
Edit: and as Gavshire just noted, it's beyond a horrible deal if the mod is recourse.
re: China
APEC, yes it is still alive even the goal of a free trade zone is dead, had some finance ministers from other Asian countries complain about China's currency valuation. Also, the EU which has borne the brunt of the currency gaming has complained loudly and led a wave of tariffs. US tariffs have played a role too. Feels like a delay tactic. They have a long way to go before they are even back at the pre-crisis yuan:dollar levels, which were way off natural levels
I work in higher ed. Yes, it's a total bubble, but most of the proceeds are going to facilities and upper management
Facilites: In other words, overpriced real estate
Upper Management: Overpriced educator CEO types
Taught as a professor for a small private school in downtown San Diego. Made a few thousand bucks for a semester for a 3 credit class. Students paid $15,000/year. Wondered where the difference went pretty much everyday I was there.
"They're a fool if they do this more than a few percent. I'd just hold tight, if I were they. "
I have a feeling that the Chinese Central Bank knows a bit more than others what's truly going on with inflation, unemployment, exports, imports etc.. in China. Versus what you hear in the news.
Thanks! from link: The red letter date for West Point was March 31, 1988, when it gained official status as a United States Mint. Today, it is still a storage facility,
I wonder how much. In the early 80s they say they had $20B in gold, which isn't a lot (by India's standard).
My larger question still remains: how much does the US government hold in total. I'd bet is less than either the IMF or India. China is DADT.
Yes, this will be fun watching cultures that have been trying to game each other for thousands of years....longer than any other part of the world....trying to get along well enough to move the APEC ball down the field.
A good 'offer' for a modification is a 40 year loan, 35% principal reduction or so depending of the bubble area, a 2-3% fixed interest rate, and one-page, no-doc application just needing a signature...this mod program might keep some 'homeowners' in their homes...
West Point Mint Facility
Located near the U.S. Military Academy in New York state, the United States Mint at West Point manufactures the entire family of American Eagle proof and uncirculated coins in gold, silver, and platinum.
I never saw it, and I was there from '80-'82
BTW: I looked on google maps, and realized that they've blurred out the satellite view. Interesting-
It really hit me a year ago that real estate is like a ratcheting treadmill. . . whenever disposable income increases -- no matter how: from productivity, labor arbitrage, lower income taxes, lower interest rates -- we bid up the cost of housing to match, leaving us working stiffs no richer.
Then every 7 years or so it all crashes and we have to restart the treadmill.
What a crazy system. Name a decade of US history and chances are I can find a serious speculative crash coming out of real estate. Until I discovered the georgist land value tax I had no idea there could be an alternative.
Where are the programs for getting these bums out of their ill-gotten homes? huh? Meanwhile I keep on renting because I'm too ethical to scam the system that just keeps fucking me.
if I were in the position of this post's case-scenario, I would rewrite the offered contract and return it to them signed. If BofA agrees to the unilateral renegotiation, bonus, if not then you're still ahead of the first offer. Wouldn't be surprised if they were being cheap and using underpaid drones as official agents of the bank. If they do spot the changes, then use it as an opening for further negotiations where delay is a strategic target
"If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment, then just treat it like a rental - when you need to go, you just stop paying 6 months beforehand, then just up and leave."
I would too...unfortunately this relies on the people to actually understand the process and something tells me they didn't fully understand what they got themselves into when they fogged that mirror.
"If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment......"
.
....If I were THIS borrower, I'd pack up my bags and walk the Hell away - those terms are Nuts!
If buyers/taxpayers were 'insolvent' when they defaulted and were foreclosed upon, they may not be liable for any lender 'loss' tax ramifications?
taxes may be another issue for default borrowers in addition to 'recourse'...which will go nowhere if buyers are 'insolvent'...
American universities have begun to fire the innovators/academics from the management positions and replace them with bean counters. I have no idea what the justification or logic for this is, but it contributes more than you can imagine to making the model university into a Supermodel University: a gorgeous, emaciated, and stupid degree factory. There's severe dryrot even beyond what you can see.
European universities have much saner priorities, in my experience. Chinese universities are broke, and Japanese universities are a total joke. By far the worst in the world.
What an insane system we've got.
It really hit me a year ago that real estate is like a ratcheting treadmill. . . whenever disposable income increases -- no matter how: from productivity, labor arbitrage, lower income taxes, lower interest rates -- we bid up the cost of housing to match, leaving us working stiffs no richer.
Well, I used to live in the Soviet Union. That system of land ownership sucked more.
As of March of this year the United States government officially held 8,133.5 tonnes of gold, of which half is stored at fort Knox. This is down drastically from the peak that occurred just after WWII when the U.S. had over 20,000 tonnes of gold.
Had a great long conversation with my dad driving to a funeral a few weeks ago in the US; he's a Director of Research at a major global technology company (think a Dow 30 name). Relevant because he says companies don't do research anymore as they are too focused on quarterly results. As a former university professor, I say all of the research has to be at the company level, since universities can't do it anymore.
What this leads to is an economy based upon financialization rather than innovation, since no one is innovating any more. That means endless asset bubbles.
In other words, take away the stimpack, and authentic growth is way lower. Apologies for my confusion earlier, I'm trying to do too many things at once.
The banks don't want to write down loans on asset values that don't exist now, if those values ever existed.
Government feels it must pressure banks to renegotiate to keep Congress rabble happy.
Banks pretend to react to market reality and gov't pressure.
Some suckers respond by accepting bad deals that will fail later (but not sooner). Wiser mortage recipients will just walk away, but only when the sherifff arives.
Result: can kicked down the garbage filled alley, and some other people get to hold the bag.
I just don't think 'buyers' should be stuck with any destructive ramifications of the bankers' losses on bubble pumped equity and securitization that was resting on a deceptive House of Cards...and even perpetuated after the bubble popped...to trap buyers in these inflated home prices...forever and a day...
Relevant because he says companies don't do research anymore as they are too focused on quarterly results. As a former university professor, I say all of the research has to be at the company level, since universities can't do it anymore.
I know! Let's have the DoE National Labs do it! (crickets chirp, waits for Nuke to add hysterical bitter comment here)
What this leads to is an economy based upon financialization rather than innovation, since no one is innovating any more. That means endless asset bubbles.
See, I think the financialization is actually the dog here, rather than the tail. If it were hard to make decent returns through any means other than innovation, then innovation would happen. But we've made it very easy for anyone to profit/gamble/extort their way to profits and then flee the scene.
I don't understand how we continue to talk about moral hazard or bad motivations in the abstract. It's like a permanent belief in the selfishness of humanity, then saying that America is somehow totally exempt from it. It bloweth the mindeth.
Iran seems to be, or at least was, on the ball when it came to electrical engineering and university - EHP
Hi there, Evil! My dad used to "teach" in Iran until the revolution broke out. He said the guys were smart, but had been trained from birth in the rote memorization technique, and therefore had zero analytical abilities. Also an extreme reverence for the teacher, so no Socratic method or "seminar" type techniques. This made it hard for them to do higher math, and related stuff like avionics. Also, if something broke down, they would just stand there, and expect some peon to come along and fix it. No sense of "hands on." Of course, things may have changed since then.
I see it as financialization was the only vehicle to avoid politically unpalatable recessions many moons ago, and that it attracted attention away from R&D. Eventually the gap between what financialization apparently offered and what R&D could deliver grew and grew, while priorities shifted proportionally. I say apparently offered, because I believe a lot of the financialization analyzed over its life cycle will have much lower returns than expected with the bulk of the difference being ponzi, fraud and obfuscation.
Jipped buyers lost down payments in some cases to the Bubble and lost their credit due to the House of Cards or House of Pain...maybe they even lost their jobs to the bubble/bust...that's enough pain for the consumers to bear...
Well, I used to live in the Soviet Union. That system of land ownership sucked more.
No doubt. That sort of thinking was what confusing me in my early-mid adulthood -- I could see no policy space between a command economy and total, absolute rights in private land ownership. Then in late 2002 I discovered the georgist argument that Land is different, and the scales fell off
Boy, the rotating tiles are really annoying. I use legacy but it doesn't save the setting, so I manually switch every time I get logged out. Also, the ignore hover function is still a big problem.
From the article: Mr. Garcia paid $23K for the house in 1970. So, $470K of the liberated equity went poof.
It would be fascinating to know what he owed in 1985 and 1995 on that home. My guess in 1985 he owed less than what he had borrowed by 1995 was probably in debt for twice the amount .
scone
I just know a lot of Iranians in Canada who are superb and world renowned in EE. I can't say it applies to those left in Iran or other local Iranian diasporas, but they did manage to initiate some clusters of excellence. It helps to have cultural biases that channel the top candidates into select fields, but credit where credit is due
In other words, take away the stimpack, and authentic growth is way lower. Apologies for my confusion earlier, I'm trying to do too many things at once.
Scone- how is that different from GDP growth based on consumer borrowing? I don't think it is a question of government versus private I think it is debt versus income.
I just know a lot of Iranians in Canada who are superb and world renowned in EE. - EHP
Yes, it's the diaspora. They are the cream of the crop, by all accounts. The guys my dad was teaching were connected to the Shah's military. My dad's remarks lead me to think they represent the privileged "second sons" rather than prime sons from prime wives. If that's the expression I want.
could you turn off the automatic comment preview for the mobile theme
Have you tried disabling it? I haven't looked recently, but I included a cookie that should remember your setting. I agree it should be the default for the mobile theme though.
'Exotic' Financialization & Derivitization Credit Bubbles may be the Path to Government & Fed ownership of everything.
That's an awfully Big Moral hazard to worry about!
Scone- how is that different from GDP growth based on consumer borrowing? - c
Well, if (just an example) the stimpack contributed 1.5% of the 3.5%, then "real" growth was 2%. In other words, what would growth have been if the stimpack was not there? I don't have an answer to that, but everybody seems to think it's significant.
BTW, one of the economists quoted in the article points to defense spending as well as consumer stuff. I don't have a breakdown of categories, that would be useful.
it's terrible that they have to exist, but every single diaspora really brings the best out of a group, over and above the selection biases. people work harder when they have something to prove, and having an informal supportive network brings down barriers. bastards are another group of over-achievers
The only 'economic' strategy that's going to work in slowing foreclosures and keeping people in their underwater bubble homes... is dramatic 'principal reductions' and/or no-doc & low-doc modifications and refinancings...
That won't work, and principal reductions are the worst idea EVER. If you really want to keep people from foreclosing (which frankly I don't care one way or another), you urge lawmakers to make all loans full recourse immediately. Go a step further and make them like child support or student loans, something that nobody can get away from even with bankruptcy. You'll see these intentional walk-aways stop in a heartbeat. Principal reductions will fuel the fire and be like delivering a winning lotto ticket to every asshole that bought during the bubble or sucked the equity out of their houses.
A middle school in North Carolina is selling better test scores to students in a bid to raise money.
Apparently NC DPI just put a stop to this.
But... the ongoing practise by several schools of adding to grades in exchange for donating school supplies is apparently allowed to continue, one infers.
That should teach them kids some interesting lessons.
Imagine the position of an anti-consumer, anti-American, anti-worker advocate...it would be almost fashionable in some internet circles...as condemnation of the U.S. intensifies for the 'expectations' created for the 'currency speculator' attacks and 'predictions' of the internationalgoldbugs...
I'm not so sure about that. It shakes up the gene pool, which is a good thing, and evens out the economies of the world, where people send money home from the 1st world to the 3rd. It also stimulates trade and travel. It certainly saves lives, e.g. Jews escaping from Europe in WWII.
And it's been going on for many thousands of years. Humans have always been nomadic, to some extent, and some still are. Historians don't see it as a bad thing, per se.
klarek,
People would still walk if they had to even it was 'illegal'...buyers didn't just buy any product...they bought products based on a deregulated Bubble/Bust pyramid, House of Cards...
Principal reductions would be fair in many cases since the values (we know now) were artificially pumped up by turning the RE/CRE markets into Casinos with dangerous historic leverage built on a House of Cards, regulatory capture, deregulation, faulty ratings, hit-the mark appraisals, no-doc & low doc risky lending, etc.
scone
I didn't say it is terrible they exist, but that is is terrible they have to exist. That there is genocide, famine, war, political conquest and other things that are the driving force. We can easily achieve the same results without such concentrations of misery. Even if we humans didn't have a soft spot for adventurism like taking a one-way trip to Mars, and we couldn't achieve the same churning and cross-pollination I wouldn't be opposed to losing mobs of jerk-faces in power along with a faster economic growth rate.
merchants of fear wrote: > The only 'economic' strategy that's going to work in slowing foreclosures and keeping people in their underwater bubble homes...
Why should the same people get to hog all the homes all the time? Let them default and become renters somewhere else. Then, when the home reaches a reasonable price, a prudent person who has been patiently renting can have a turn.
kcoop
I don't want to put you to work, please don't on my account. That's why I said it in a casual post instead of an e-mail, if you're poking around and it comes up in front of you then it's there in your idea bank (also under the legacy theme, I think the 'save' button should be above the comment preview so it doesn't dance around as the preview updates)
Many buyers tried to work it out with the banks but were rejected usually because the banks' own original lending standards were faulty and overly risky...the banks couldn't re-qualify borrower they originally 'qualified' in the dangerous bubble ascent...
The single worst idea so far has been to change the tax treatment of loan forgiveness. The only time that loan forgiveness should not be a taxable event is in bankruptcy. It seems to me that the greatest risk right now has to be the strategic default. I think even the people with a strong sense of morality are going to have their patience tested. Give people a free pass vis a vis taxes is just one more incentive to walk away. My advice to anybody thinking of walking away- do it quickly before they change their midns.
Report: 10 states face looming budget disasters - Yahoo! News
From the link...
Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Michigan, Nevada, New Jersey, Oregon, Rhode Island and Wisconsin join California as those most at risk of fiscal calamity, according to the report by the Pew Center on the States.
How come Minnesota isn't on that list - how bad do you have to F/U to make the Top 10 anyway? Its getting tougher than winning Biggest Loser.
kidbuck,
I agree defaults are the best 'market solution' in most cases for this bust phase of the bubble but if mods are offered, they should take into account...reality.
Iran seems to be, or at least was, on the ball when it came to electrical engineering and university
As a country, no. As a people, yes. (this is in response to the overall Persian/Iranian conversation above)
To generalize, Iranians are exceptionally bright and productive. Amongst all the expats and immigrants in the U.S., they're the only ones that advance further (in terms of education accomplishment and income) as a group than do our indigenous Euro-honkies that have been in the U.S. for several generations. One explanation could be the "old money" theory, but after 30 years and that other similar diaspora groups of different countries haven't achieved such prominence, I doubt it.
The country itself sucks. It takes them decades to build a tunnel or airport. I don't know if this is because of a lack of analytical/creative thinking or because they are run by incompetent pious thugs that promote other ignorant thugs into govt leadership positions, but I tend to believe it's the latter.
merchants of fear wrote:
The only 'economic' strategy that's going to work in slowing foreclosures and keeping people in their underwater bubble homes...
Why should the same people get to hog all the homes all the time? Let them default and become renters somewhere else. Then, when the >home reaches a reasonable price, a prudent person who has been patiently renting can have a turn.
I don't understand why this is so hard for people to grasp. The LAST people that should ever get any sort of handout are these underwater owners. Force those fuckers to pay back what they owe if they walk away and they'll start making their payments ASAP.
Financialization of the US economy has been the only vehicle to avoid politically unpalatable recessions since the Volcker recession that ended the inflationary spiral, and it attracted economic attention in terms of investment away from research and development. Eventually the gap in return on investment between what financialization apparently offered and what R&D could deliver grew and grew, while investment priorities shifted proportionally. I say apparently offered, because most of the return on financialization analyzed over its life cycle will be significantly lower than was promised due to the bulk of the difference being based on pyramid schemes, fraud and obfuscation.
I'd like to post this paraphrase on my blog without attribution, if it's OK with you.
But I do think that the tales of "strategic default" are somewhat exaggerated, as compared to the folks that quit paying simply because the checking account has run dry, and they are unemployed or unemployable.
I'll not overlook or excuse the individual bad behavior, particularly the reckless MEW we have all seen, but the reality for the banks is that they will be unable to recover these bad debts EVEN IF the loans are full recourse ... which in fact they are, in those states that allow deficiency judgments and collection activities on such accounts.
There is simply no money out there to support these defaulted obligations. The old saying is, "You can't get blood from a stone, no matter how hard you squeeze." It is impossible to collect from people who have lost everything, and you can't garnish the unemployed.
The states that take the view that seizure of the collateral is full extinguishment of the underlying debt are certainly free to change their laws going forward (I am leery of retroactive changes to law) but that itself alters the risk/reward calculus for both borrower and lender. In some states, old deficiency judgments sit around bothering the courts and judges for YEARS with only token sums collected ... the people are just flat broke, and there is no money to collect! You just hang onto the judgment, on the off-chance your judgment-debtor hits the Lotto, or something, I guess. Judges, clerks, lawyers, bailiffs, everyone hates these "dead" cases, and like LLiz tells us, they end up clogging up boxes stacked up in courthouse basements all over the place.
If the banks want to collect SOMETHING they have to realize that they are going to be unable to collect EVERYTHING.
That's all, I am just trying to take a pragmatic approach that salvages whatever we can out of the situation.
Otherwise, all is lost for both bank and borrower.
BTW, one of the economists quoted in the article points to defense spending as well as consumer stuff.
We've averaged at least $800B per year for a while. Not sure how much of this is hot money [that never was cashed into a US bank] but in the end a dollar is a dollar.
Say $500B/yr in spending and $50K per year required to be an economic agent -- that's 10 MILLION jobs being directly and indirectly supported by defense spending. All that spending being flushed down the toilet instead of being put into productive uses. Man we're screwed.
scone
I didn't say it is terrible they exist, but that is is terrible they have to exist. That there is genocide, famine, war, political conquest and other things that are the driving force.- EHP
History just doesn't work that way. In any case, most of the time war is not the original impulse to the diaspora, anyway. It's an end-stage as the wave of nomads passes through. If you look at the whole of human history, most of the nomadic movement is a result of environmental change in the constant search for food and resources. For example, the Nile Valley was settled by waves of people coming in from areas that were getting drier over time, such as the Sahara:
That doesn't apply to the Holocaust, obviously, but that's not the typical diaspora case over the last 10,000 years or so. The 20th c. is abnormal in many ways.
I agree defaults are the best 'market solution' in most cases for this bust phase of the bubble but if mods are offered, they should take into account...reality.
You said that principal reductions are the only solution to foreclosures. I countered with a "shackle them to the banks losses" solution. What do you think?
'Economic strategies' on mods and refi's so far has been basically to support the bubble prices which is another distortion of the RE/CRE markets...and an attempt to re-inflate or maintain the bubble 'profits'...
I don't know if this is because of a lack of analytical/creative thinking or because they are run by incompetent pious thugs that promote other ignorant thugs into govt leadership positions, but I tend to believe it's the latter.
All the capable people left. Under the Shah it was something of a lootacracy so the smart ones got out when the getting was good. I was living in El Cerrito as a kid and some nice Iranians moved across the hall ca. 1976, waiting for their money to clear before they moved up into the hills...
rosethorn,
You can always take what I say and reproduce it in any way you like. My only preference is that it be provided in context, or with a link to the original context. The same goes for anyone who wants to slag me, I haven't been the most diplomatic of judges of character
edit: thanks for letting me know though, flattering
kidbuck,
No you are right...renters and savers have been royally screwed in this fiasco...and now buying is out of reach for many because of credit problems or employment issues...the homes will drop more in prices in the bubble areas...but is credit available when the time to buy finally comes...whenever? The actions of the Govt/Banks are delaying market adjustments to rational price levels...obviously...
the banks is that they will be unable to recover these bad debts EVEN IF the loans are full recourse ... which in fact they are, in those states that allow deficiency judgments and collection activities on such accounts.
There is simply no money out there to support these defaulted obligations. The old saying is, "You can't get blood from a stone, no matter how hard you squeeze." It is impossible to collect from people who have lost everything, and you can't garnish the unemployed.
I know plenty of people that are going to eventually default (some already have) where they aren't tapped out at all. They are gainfully employed, and either have a decent 401k/savings or a wealthy relative. I find the argument about "squeezing blood from a stone" to be highly irrelevant. Do student loans get erased because the graduating debtor has no money, therefore cannot be squeezed? It's more a measure to stop strategic defaulters (deadbeat gamblers), but will also get people to pay back what they owe. Is that too un-American to force people to repay their debts? We do it for student loans.
I think the 'save' button should be above the comment preview so it doesn't dance around as the preview update
Good point. I've actually been working on improving hoocooblue a bit (which is where I now spend most of my time), and when I get that out, I'll see about this.
I really do welcome suggestions. I don't get to all of them right away, but I want this site to work well for people.
Financialization of the US economy has been the only vehicle to avoid politically unpalatable recessions
It was the only way to drive down wage while maintaining sales so as to boost corporate profits and stock valuations without getting the peasants to revolt/ I am struck by GS comments- it almost has the ring of Marie Antoinette. You think he would keep his mouth shut but the fact that he doesn't suggests to me that he is pretty confident about the government he has purchased.
Only because of World War 2, am I here in America. Different time, similar diaspora.
My father could have gone to Australia for free, but it cost $200 to come to the USA, and it looked more promising here, and most importantly in his decision: Australia didn't have any mountains, to speak of...
scone
I'm not saying it is possible to avoid them, it's like the weather. Even if I can't change it, I can still choose to dislike -40°C weather where your boogers freeze
klarek, as I said, it is mostly a matter of state law, and some states do indeed take your view and allow deficiency judgments up to the dollar value of the note. Other states view it as a "secured" loan, and allow the remedy of seizure of the asset borrowed against.
Essentially, they requrie satisfaction of the debt, and (but) consider the home to be full satisfaction. After all, it was the bank's own determination of the amount they were willing to lend, right?
Well, if that is how much the bank values the house at, then receipt of the house satisfies the debt. Fair is fair.
All the capable people left. Under the Shah it was something of a lootacracy so the smart ones got out when the getting was good. I was living in El Cerrito as a kid and some nice Iranians moved across the hall ca. 1976, waiting for their money to clear before they moved up into the hills...
I don't think so. I see no difference in Iranians I see protesting in the streets than I do the ones that could have gotten out and did. They're just the ones without the money to leave, or have stayed because they would rather hope for Iran to change than ever leave there. But the point is that this "old money" argument lost credibility at some point in the past. Iranian prominence in academia, science, and engineering in the western wordl isn't a fluke. And they don't have the relative "strength by numbers" explanation afforded to the Indians and Chinese.
The aspect of deterrence that is most to be feared is the temptation to extend it beyond the restricted aim of deterring war, to that of deterring an opponent from actions one deplores. This constitutes "compellance", not deterrence. It is, in the oft-quoted phrase of the Prussian theorist of warfare Karl von Clausewitz, "Diplomacy pursued by other means". Deterrence is something different. Neither Clausewitz nor anyone else has suggested that mutual suicide serves the purposes of diplomacy; it merely obviates the need.
klarek, as I said, it is mostly a matter of state law, and some states do indeed take your view and allow deficiency judgments up to the dollar value of the note. Other states view it as a "secured" loan, and allow the remedy of seizure of the asset borrowed against.
Essentially, they requrie satisfaction of the debt, and consider the home to be full satisfaction. After all, it was the bank's own determination of the amount they were willing to lend, right?
Well, if that is how much the bank values the house at, then receipt of the house satisfies the debt. Fair is fair.
I'm not talking about the law as it is. I'm talking about what a practical "solution" is to the problem of foreclosures (which I don't have a problem with, and am just stating hypothetically). This would be in better context if the govt was forcing banks to reduce principal owed, like in the cramdown rumors of past.
But on a purely practical level, principal reductions are the worst possible "solution". If you want to stop foreclosures, you need a system where people are punished for not paying back what they owe. That won't stop all foreclosures, but a substantial amount to the point that it won't be a "problem". If we can force poor college graduates to carry a $100,000 debt on their shoulders when they graduate, surely we can do the same to a guy that walks away from his house and sacks the bank with an equal debt (note: not talking about the amount owed on balance, just the amount the banks lose from foreclosure).
Again this is outside the debate about the law, just a practical solution. Principal reduction is a no-go every way I look at it.
kalrak,
Yeah...you might as well be for maintaining or re-inflating, or at least protecting the 'bubble' prices which is the official economic policy now as the banks' basic position...
Is that too un-American to force people to repay their debts? We do it for student loans.
It's un-American to value creditors over debtors. Georgia was founded as a haven for debtors and that was a factor in founding several of the other original 13 colonies. Also, the Constitution always has provided for bankruptcy law.
Traditionally, the fact that we valued debtors over creditors in business helped to encourage economic growth and innovation. Chapter 11 is widely admired internationally, even in places that have little use for American culture more generally.
Nondischargeability of student loans in bankruptcy is despicable. Preferential treatment for creditors reflects our slide from economic growth and innovation to rentierism and stagnation.
Nondischargeability of student loans in bankruptcy is despicable.
Unfortunately, it's the result of abuse by people that took huge loans to go to Harvard and become doctors, and then subsequently blew off paying for their loans.
Yeah...you might as well be for maintaining or re-inflating, or at least protecting the 'bubble' prices which is the official economic policy now as the banks' basic position...
No, not at all. Which is why I'm fine with letting the deadbeats walk. I'm speaking purely about "solving the problem of foreclosures" if it's actually a problem that must be solved. Chain the walkaways to their debt.
You seem to forget many people have tried to work it out and stay in their homes but the banks said 'NO' to the work-outs...
You seem to forget many people have tried to work it out and stay but won't accept anything less than principal reductions. I'm not saying that chaining them to their debt will stop all foreclosures, but a substantial amount.
feralpig wrote:
It's un-American to value creditors over debtors.
Really? So I borrow $1000 and tell the person that lent it to me to GFY and it's un-American to demand I pay it back?
Nondischargeability of student loans in bankruptcy is despicable. Preferential treatment for creditors reflects our slide from economic growth and innovation to rentierism and stagnation.
I disagree with you on that to some extent. Given the bankruptcy provisions, it's too easy for people to screw creditors, thereby punishing responsible borrowers. You start letting people screw the lenders of student loans and that will substantially drive up the amount paid by the other sucker students that pay back what was loaned to them.
When did these threads start advocating the deadbeat lifestyle that has become this once-great country? I can't believe anybody with a sound mind could support principal reductions, though that's what I think I'm hearing here.
When did these threads start advocating the deadbeat lifestyle that has become this once-great country? I can't believe anybody with a sound mind could support principal reductions, though that's what I think I'm hearing here.
I support bankruptcy. I think principal reductions are absurd. I don't see any inconsistency in those stances.
Translation: Keep paying. For my children's sake and the sake of the banking industry keep paying!
so this isn't a principal reduction, but a principal forbearance. not a great deal.
That's it, everyone. If you didn't buy more than you could afford, or if you didn't buy at all, we'll just hit your forehead with this big "SUCKER" stamp and hand a few bags of money to the guy down the street who's intentionally falling behind on his payments. Let this be a lesson for you.
Is this broken: I can't be first.
Off-Topic:
Rob, I tried calling the phone number. The number is answered by a recording that announces they are a "debt collector", and then says they are now closed. ROFLOL.
best wishes
Assume Crash Positions wrote:
I was thinking more along the lines of milking goats, raising chickens, and catching
s
Comment by Cinco-X from thread 'Economic Outlook: Possible Upside Surprises, Downside Risks'
Mortgage Loan Modification Programs - Which Program Do You Qualify For?
ghostfaceinvestah wrote:
Story says the principle is reduced to $334,400 from an initial first note balance of $392,000. That's a reduction, no? The balloon payment is simply the leftover principle after 25 years paying at a 40-year amortization rate.
Why do I think that a governmental incentive is playing a role here?
The only 'economic' strategy that's going to work in slowing foreclosures and keeping people in their underwater bubble homes... is dramatic 'principal reductions' and/or no-doc & low-doc modifications and refinancings...
sorry for the rude early thread-jacking, still haven't had the chance to read through today's earlier articles/posts. The FHA condo shift, I have no idea effectively how much of a dollar contribution it will be, but I feel that it could be a huge move to stabilize pricing in cities where condos form the base of the affordability pyramid
Thanks CR, this reminds me to make an offer to B of A to not pay annual credit card fees to them anymore.
Get ready for a tsunami of home owners defaulting for 'personal reasons' (aka 'strategic defaulters')!
"That's a reduction, no? The balloon payment is simply the leftover principle after 25 years paying at a 40-year amortization rate."
Nope, 334,377.69 amortized over 40 years at 5.5% gives you a payment of 1,724.62. So they are fully amortizing the 334,377.69 over 40 years, then still requiring the balloon of 197,714.69 after 40 years.
334,377.69+197,714.69 = 532,092.38. So they are charging interest on the forbearance amount as well.
NOT a good deal.
Wish I was way underwater and had some personal reasons not to pay on my obligations.
If I get my handy dandy calculator, I'm guessing even with the principle reduction, the property doesn't come above water for 5 years.
outstanding! As far as I can tell, the only work they ever did was ways to increase their compensation...do they perform any needed service to the community?
"The school will sell 20 test points to students for $20. Students can add 10 extra points to each of two tests of their choice. The extra points could take a student from a B to an A on those tests or from a failing grade to a passing one."
How much to get an underachieving, political hopeful, through Yale?
i vaguely remember reading about this BAC program. somehow, it's tied to an FHA reverse mortgage, with the taxpayer eating the loss when the homedebtor dies.
Is there any gold in Ft. Knox/West Point/NY Fed (that has US ownership)?
Comment by JimPortlandOR from thread 'Economic Outlook: Possible Upside Surprises, Downside Risks'
None in any substantial quantity at West Point that I know of, or have ever heard of. Are you thinking of the movie "National Treasure"
CalculatedRisk wrote:
Oh, the joys of subcontracting in the financial "services" "industry". I guess Guido and Vinny are out back smashing someone's kneecaps with a crowbar right now and will be in to renegotiate the loan after the cauterization is done.
Blackhalo wrote:
Go to the source and ask John Kerry-
Balloon payment after 25 years of 200k? So they're amortizing less than the principal amount so the borrower can afford the new payments. Sounds like another creative way of kicking the can.
And what's to stop this borrower from accepting the deal, making one payment and then redefaulting? Is this offer recourse?
BoA can go to hell
What if this news makes it to yahoo boards and all manner of other sites. Assume that it's read by 10M people and 10% of them pursue the ruthless default avenue.
If the average mortgage is $200K and 1 M pursue default, then that's one hell of a lot of zeroes ($200B if I'm correct?). Apparently someone realized that this wasn't a really good idea...
That would put a dent in things.
ghostfaceinvestah wrote:
Awesome. That's totally hilarious. I'm glad we have a consumer protection agency in place so real, live people won't be subjected to predacious schemes cloaked in helpful robes.
Oh, wait.
CalculatedRisk wrote:
CR,
In all seriousness I am increasingly troubled by these trial balloons and early launches and all the rest. People can sense desperation.
Increasingly they also have to address the issue of the better you are as a client the worse you are treated. This hs long term negative consequences.
ghostfaceinvestah wrote:
They would owe closer to $250,000 after 25 years on a 40-year amortization schedule if the loan principle weren't reduced from 392k to 334.4k. There is clearly a principle reduction involved.
Edit: read this bullet point in CR's post:
" The new loan would be a fixed rate at 5.5%, with the same term (about 25 years left), but amortized over 40 years. In 25 years the homeowner would owe a balloon payment of $198,000."
Term stays the same, but their payments are determined as though it's a 40-year loan. The loan ends at 25 years with a balloon payment for the remaining principle. Not a forbearance. More like something approaching an interest only loan.
Report: 10 states face looming budget disasters - Yahoo! News
New mortgage lending standard & interest rate calculation for underwriters...
Is there any reasonable guarantee a borrower will be employed for the duration of the loan?
" Blackhalo wrote:
How much to get an underachieving, political hopeful, through Yale?
Go to the source and ask John Kerry- "
How does that compare to the cost of getting a political failure through both Yale and Harvard?
Cinco-X wrote:
I spent $30,000 for my Yale master's degree, am still paying it off, and no one in Asia gives a shit about it. EDUCATION BUBBLE.
read the current post.
gave me the idea to set up a lottery consultation. basic program would be to convert any losses into a negative carry loan amortized over 40 years, while booking all wins immediately. it's a strategy to create the largest bank in the country in no time
Cinco-X wrote:
no on the movie: all the gold coins are minted at West Point, right? I'd heard somewhere they were also storing it, but haven't googled to see where i could have heard that.
Here is my counter offer to BofA:
Homeowner will pay nothing, with no refinancing at any rate over any term, and with no balloon payment of any kind ever made, under any circumstances.
BofA will, for its part, "suck it."
All things considered, that's a pretty good counter, and I strongly advise BofA to take it.
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
Rough night, huh? I didn't write that either
here's the WSJ story on it.
Fixing Troubled Mortgages for the Elderly - WSJ.com
Mr. Garcia owed about $490,000 on his home, which a recent appraisal said is now worth only about $150,000. Bank of America wrote down about $405,000 of the loan. To account for the rest, the bank then issued a reverse mortgage for about $85,000. But instead of paying that amount to Mr. Garcia, as is usual with a reverse mortgage, the bank paid the proceeds to itself. A reverse mortgage is a form of equity loan available to older homeowners that generally doesn't need to be repaid until after the homeowner dies.
Correct me if wrong, but in the last decade condo building has not been constructing the low end wood-frame "apartment" designs, but rather the concrete and glass $200K for 1,000 sq ft designs. I'd think it likely that the low end condo construction largely ceased, as even the least creditworthy borrower could get enough loan to get a 3 bd 2 bath 1300 sq ft detached SFR.
Dictionary, Encyclopedia and Thesaurus - The Free Dictionary
*>**** prin·ci·ple (prns-pl)**
Banks need to give up the 'artificial gains' rendered or 'earned' by the bubble...these gains in valuation were not sustainable and are/were based on an institutionalized pyramid of deception...
mp:
us=associates.
I wonder about the various members of the commentariat, having read y'all for years now. The knowledge base here is fascinating.
But you're the only one who i suspect has to enter the mp workarea through an elevator accessed via a Starbucks refrigerator.
The number of homeowners who have been offered trial loan modifications has more than doubled since August to 919,965, or 29% of those eligible, the Treasury Department said in its monthly progress report on the program. Homeowners receive modifications if they stay current on their loans for the three-month trial phase.
Treasury did not report how many mortgages have been permanently modified, but a congressional panel's report last month put the number at 1,711 as of Sept. 1.
According to Treasury, California has the most active trial modifications — 134,609 — followed by Florida at 82,614.
Despite lenders' progress in getting more borrowers into trial modifications, the bulk of homeowners — 80% of those estimated to be eligible for help — still have not received a modification that could prevent a possible foreclosure.
Trial mortgage modifications offered to nearly 1 million - USATODAY.com
China Signals It May Allow Currency to Rise Against Dollar - CNBC
As per the letter, total amount due = 445,835.69
"New" principal amount = 334,377.69.
Difference = 111,458
Balloon Payment Due = 197,714.69
IF they expected this loan to last 40 years, that would mean they are charging something like 1.5% compounded interest on the forbearance amount.
But, no one in the industry would expect a loan to last 40 years. Assuming a 5.5% rate on the forbearance amount, that would put the average expected life at about 10.5 years. Maybe a bit long, but reasonable.
As I said, this is no deal, this is just hoping the borrower gets bad financial advice and elects to help them kick the can down the road.
If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment, then just treat it like a rental - when you need to go, you just stop paying 6 months beforehand, then just up and leave.
JimPortlandOR wrote:
Spent 2 years there as a Cadet. Never saw anything that could've been construed as something like that, and as cadets, we did travel over much of the post. Do you frequent the DailyKOS? I've seen a few whoppers that originated there, such as the rumor that John McCain crashed 7 airplanes (it's not true) before being shot down.
Cinco-X wrote:
Had to modify it to make my point.
It's past midnight here and I'm always up against your guys posting at work all fresh after your morning coffee. When I'm at work, you're sleeping. Not fair.
Are these loan modifications recourse?
rosethorn,
those are sunk costs, shouldn't affect current pricing. during the bubble they were always the most affordable option, so call it what you will lost land value or lost finishing costs, but I would expect it to have a huge impact on urban markets because the FHA specializes in sub-400-something-k homes... so long as the FHA's stream of money is uninterrupted
US Mint at West Point:
Mint Facilities - The United States Mint
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
I work in higher ed. Yes, it's a total bubble, but most of the proceeds are going to facilities and upper management. The grunts are facing heavy layoffs and wage cuts.
You're also right that a college education is basically useless these days. But I really hope that doesn't get out, because that's MY zombie you're trying to kill there, dude.
poic wrote:
They're a fool if they do this more than a few percent. I'd just hold tight, if I were they.
From the article: Mr. Garcia paid $23K for the house in 1970. So, $470K of the liberated equity went poof.
Working out a 'deal' on the primary loan...there are cases where the 2nd ( a different lender than the 1st) initiates foreclosure...which will mess up a modification agreement (or shortsale) in the works where the borrower is delinquent on the 1st & 2nd (& 3rd, etc.).
ghostfaceinvestah wrote:
The reality is that until this debt is cleared, we'll have difficulty moving forward in any degree. Unfortunately, the Bankers own the politicians, and they're dragging this on as long as possible, hoping to be out before the $h!t REALLY hits the fan. Despite the rantings, the frothing at the mouth, etc. , Karl Denninger is correct about this point.
The deals remind me of the Seinfeld skit 'moviephone'
kramer..." why don't you just tell me how much you can pay"
Not saying it's a great deal, but it's really nothing different than an I/O loan. It certainly wouldn't be a bad idea to ask for a lower interest rate (or for that matter a 50 year or longer term). Like you said, treat it like you're renting it from the bank since that's basically all you're doing for at least the next 10 years (about $30k paid to principle over the first 120 months).
Edit: and as Gavshire just noted, it's beyond a horrible deal if the mod is recourse.
re: China
APEC, yes it is still alive even the goal of a free trade zone is dead, had some finance ministers from other Asian countries complain about China's currency valuation. Also, the EU which has borne the brunt of the currency gaming has complained loudly and led a wave of tariffs. US tariffs have played a role too. Feels like a delay tactic. They have a long way to go before they are even back at the pre-crisis yuan:dollar levels, which were way off natural levels
ndk wrote:
Facilites: In other words, overpriced real estate
Upper Management: Overpriced educator CEO types
Taught as a professor for a small private school in downtown San Diego. Made a few thousand bucks for a semester for a 3 credit class. Students paid $15,000/year. Wondered where the difference went pretty much everyday I was there.
"They're a fool if they do this more than a few percent. I'd just hold tight, if I were they. "
I have a feeling that the Chinese Central Bank knows a bit more than others what's truly going on with inflation, unemployment, exports, imports etc.. in China. Versus what you hear in the news.
threetorches wrote:
Thanks! from link:
The red letter date for West Point was March 31, 1988, when it gained official status as a United States Mint. Today, it is still a storage facility,
I wonder how much. In the early 80s they say they had $20B in gold, which isn't a lot (by India's standard).
My larger question still remains: how much does the US government hold in total. I'd bet is less than either the IMF or India. China is DADT.
this particular loan is already recourse because it was refied in 2006.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Yes, this will be fun watching cultures that have been trying to game each other for thousands of years....longer than any other part of the world....trying to get along well enough to move the APEC ball down the field.
A good 'offer' for a modification is a 40 year loan, 35% principal reduction or so depending of the bubble area, a 2-3% fixed interest rate, and one-page, no-doc application just needing a signature...this mod program might keep some 'homeowners' in their homes...
threetorches wrote:
From the Website:
I never saw it, and I was there from '80-'82
BTW: I looked on google maps, and realized that they've blurred out the satellite view. Interesting-
What an insane system we've got.
It really hit me a year ago that real estate is like a ratcheting treadmill. . . whenever disposable income increases -- no matter how: from productivity, labor arbitrage, lower income taxes, lower interest rates -- we bid up the cost of housing to match, leaving us working stiffs no richer.
Then every 7 years or so it all crashes and we have to restart the treadmill.
What a crazy system. Name a decade of US history and chances are I can find a serious speculative crash coming out of real estate. Until I discovered the georgist land value tax I had no idea there could be an alternative.
Where are the programs for getting these bums out of their ill-gotten homes? huh? Meanwhile I keep on renting because I'm too ethical to scam the system that just keeps fucking me.
if I were in the position of this post's case-scenario, I would rewrite the offered contract and return it to them signed. If BofA agrees to the unilateral renegotiation, bonus, if not then you're still ahead of the first offer. Wouldn't be surprised if they were being cheap and using underpaid drones as official agents of the bank. If they do spot the changes, then use it as an opening for further negotiations where delay is a strategic target
"If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment, then just treat it like a rental - when you need to go, you just stop paying 6 months beforehand, then just up and leave."
I would too...unfortunately this relies on the people to actually understand the process and something tells me they didn't fully understand what they got themselves into when they fogged that mirror.
Ciao
MS
"If I were this borrower, I would negotiate a lower interest rate to get a lower monthly payment......"
.
....If I were THIS borrower, I'd pack up my bags and walk the Hell away - those terms are Nuts!
Cinco-X wrote:
therefore it can't exist (lol)
If buyers/taxpayers were 'insolvent' when they defaulted and were foreclosed upon, they may not be liable for any lender 'loss' tax ramifications?
taxes may be another issue for default borrowers in addition to 'recourse'...which will go nowhere if buyers are 'insolvent'...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
American universities have begun to fire the innovators/academics from the management positions and replace them with bean counters. I have no idea what the justification or logic for this is, but it contributes more than you can imagine to making the model university into a Supermodel University: a gorgeous, emaciated, and stupid degree factory. There's severe dryrot even beyond what you can see.
European universities have much saner priorities, in my experience. Chinese universities are broke, and Japanese universities are a total joke. By far the worst in the world.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Well, I used to live in the Soviet Union. That system of land ownership sucked more.
Gavshire - There are none. Bubble buyers, and people who used their homes as ATM machines, have been declared "too big to fail".
As of March of this year the United States government officially held 8,133.5 tonnes of gold, of which half is stored at fort Knox. This is down drastically from the peak that occurred just after WWII when the U.S. had over 20,000 tonnes of gold.
Iran seems to be, or at least was, on the ball when it came to electrical engineering and university
All about delaying the Notice of disclosure. That is what it will always be about from here on out.
Ciao
MS
ndk wrote:
Had a great long conversation with my dad driving to a funeral a few weeks ago in the US; he's a Director of Research at a major global technology company (think a Dow 30 name). Relevant because he says companies don't do research anymore as they are too focused on quarterly results. As a former university professor, I say all of the research has to be at the company level, since universities can't do it anymore.
What this leads to is an economy based upon financialization rather than innovation, since no one is innovating any more. That means endless asset bubbles.
Re 3.5% GDP growth:
Big contributors were consumer spending on autos — cash for clunkers — federal government, inventories and housing — tax credit…
Economists React: GDP Puts Last Bit of Dirt on Great Recession’s Grave? - Real Time Economics - WSJ
In other words, take away the stimpack, and authentic growth is way lower. Apologies for my confusion earlier, I'm trying to do too many things at once.
kicking the can down the garbage filled alley:
The banks don't want to write down loans on asset values that don't exist now, if those values ever existed.
Government feels it must pressure banks to renegotiate to keep Congress rabble happy.
Banks pretend to react to market reality and gov't pressure.
Some suckers respond by accepting bad deals that will fail later (but not sooner). Wiser mortage recipients will just walk away, but only when the sherifff arives.
Result: can kicked down the garbage filled alley, and some other people get to hold the bag.
Private wages year over year
energyecon: Personal Income: Private Wages Year Over Year Change
I just don't think 'buyers' should be stuck with any destructive ramifications of the bankers' losses on bubble pumped equity and securitization that was resting on a deceptive House of Cards...and even perpetuated after the bubble popped...to trap buyers in these inflated home prices...forever and a day...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
I know! Let's have the DoE National Labs do it! (crickets chirp, waits for Nuke to add hysterical bitter comment here)
See, I think the financialization is actually the dog here, rather than the tail. If it were hard to make decent returns through any means other than innovation, then innovation would happen. But we've made it very easy for anyone to profit/gamble/extort their way to profits and then flee the scene.
I don't understand how we continue to talk about moral hazard or bad motivations in the abstract. It's like a permanent belief in the selfishness of humanity, then saying that America is somehow totally exempt from it. It bloweth the mindeth.
What's wrong with this:
Daily Kos: Crash McCain
I think you're confusing the charge that he and his wife owned at least seven houses with the five crashes as a USN pilot.
When I first saw 4.5% 30 year loans, I thought who would want to hold those to maturity?
Apparently nobody...
Iran seems to be, or at least was, on the ball when it came to electrical engineering and university - EHP
Hi there, Evil! My dad used to "teach" in Iran until the revolution broke out. He said the guys were smart, but had been trained from birth in the rote memorization technique, and therefore had zero analytical abilities. Also an extreme reverence for the teacher, so no Socratic method or "seminar" type techniques. This made it hard for them to do higher math, and related stuff like avionics. Also, if something broke down, they would just stand there, and expect some peon to come along and fix it. No sense of "hands on." Of course, things may have changed since then.
I see it as financialization was the only vehicle to avoid politically unpalatable recessions many moons ago, and that it attracted attention away from R&D. Eventually the gap between what financialization apparently offered and what R&D could deliver grew and grew, while priorities shifted proportionally. I say apparently offered, because I believe a lot of the financialization analyzed over its life cycle will have much lower returns than expected with the bulk of the difference being ponzi, fraud and obfuscation.
Jipped buyers lost down payments in some cases to the Bubble and lost their credit due to the House of Cards or House of Pain...maybe they even lost their jobs to the bubble/bust...that's enough pain for the consumers to bear...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists wrote:
No doubt. That sort of thinking was what confusing me in my early-mid adulthood -- I could see no policy space between a command economy and total, absolute rights in private land ownership. Then in late 2002 I discovered the georgist argument that Land is different, and the scales fell off
edit:
oh yeah:
Open letter to Mikhail Gorbachev (1990) - Wikisource
Boy, the rotating tiles are really annoying. I use legacy but it doesn't save the setting, so I manually switch every time I get logged out. Also, the ignore hover function is still a big problem.
Holiday season approaching, KCoop...
Winston,
20,000 tons of gold held at Ft. Knox went down to 8000 tons or so...where'd the gold go?
Badger boy wrote:
It would be fascinating to know what he owed in 1985 and 1995 on that home. My guess in 1985 he owed less than what he had borrowed by 1995 was probably in debt for twice the amount .
The Moral Hazard is getting Bigger and Bigger every day now...
scone
I just know a lot of Iranians in Canada who are superb and world renowned in EE. I can't say it applies to those left in Iran or other local Iranian diasporas, but they did manage to initiate some clusters of excellence. It helps to have cultural biases that channel the top candidates into select fields, but credit where credit is due
And somebody continues to manipulate the REITs. Step out from behind the curtain, Ben. Take a bow!
scone wrote:
Scone- how is that different from GDP growth based on consumer borrowing? I don't think it is a question of government versus private I think it is debt versus income.
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
Yeah, I agree it's updating too frequently. I'll slow it down.
Gorbachev was in public recently advising America to embark on an American-styled Perestroika (Russian for rebuilding)
I just know a lot of Iranians in Canada who are superb and world renowned in EE. - EHP
Yes, it's the diaspora. They are the cream of the crop, by all accounts. The guys my dad was teaching were connected to the Shah's military. My dad's remarks lead me to think they represent the privileged "second sons" rather than prime sons from prime wives. If that's the expression I want.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Wait, didn't we overbuild? Evil Henry?
kcoop
if your suggestion box is open, could you turn off the automatic comment preview for the mobile theme? it runs slowly, at least for me
I've changed the update frequency to 30 seconds. You'll need to refresh the page to see it.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Have you tried disabling it? I haven't looked recently, but I included a cookie that should remember your setting. I agree it should be the default for the mobile theme though.
'Exotic' Financialization & Derivitization Credit Bubbles may be the Path to Government & Fed ownership of everything.
That's an awfully Big Moral hazard to worry about!
Scone- how is that different from GDP growth based on consumer borrowing? - c
Well, if (just an example) the stimpack contributed 1.5% of the 3.5%, then "real" growth was 2%. In other words, what would growth have been if the stimpack was not there? I don't have an answer to that, but everybody seems to think it's significant.
BTW, one of the economists quoted in the article points to defense spending as well as consumer stuff. I don't have a breakdown of categories, that would be useful.
it's terrible that they have to exist, but every single diaspora really brings the best out of a group, over and above the selection biases. people work harder when they have something to prove, and having an informal supportive network brings down barriers. bastards are another group of over-achievers
merchants of fear wrote:
That won't work, and principal reductions are the worst idea EVER. If you really want to keep people from foreclosing (which frankly I don't care one way or another), you urge lawmakers to make all loans full recourse immediately. Go a step further and make them like child support or student loans, something that nobody can get away from even with bankruptcy. You'll see these intentional walk-aways stop in a heartbeat. Principal reductions will fuel the fire and be like delivering a winning lotto ticket to every asshole that bought during the bubble or sucked the equity out of their houses.
kcoop,
thanks for the reply, I only see the option to turn off glossary indicators under account settings, will look for cookie file later
The diaspora of wealthy and brainy Persians seemed to favor the City of Angles...
It usually takes foreigners a generation to fit into a new existence elsewhere, but they seemed to have found their groove sooner than most.
I kinda wonder what becomes of them, should we go to war with Iran?
@ klarek:
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!
Ain't no money, honey, no matter what the law says.
Ain't no money.
Freedom's just another word for nothing left to lose ...
Apparently NC DPI just put a stop to this.
But... the ongoing practise by several schools of adding to grades in exchange for donating school supplies is apparently allowed to continue, one infers.
That should teach them kids some interesting lessons.
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
Yes ... very distrac ...
... what did you say?
Imagine the position of an anti-consumer, anti-American, anti-worker advocate...it would be almost fashionable in some internet circles...as condemnation of the U.S. intensifies for the 'expectations' created for the 'currency speculator' attacks and 'predictions' of the international goldbugs...
the last thing school is about now is education
EHP,
Good point. It will be interesting to see if FHA buyers can be steered to places like the South Waterfront in PDX South Waterfront Homes for Sale - Portland Oregon Lofts Condos Condominiums Townhouses and Homes for Sale which has 640 sq ft units for $170K.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
They went to the UofA.
...it's terrible that they have to exist - EHP
I'm not so sure about that. It shakes up the gene pool, which is a good thing, and evens out the economies of the world, where people send money home from the 1st world to the 3rd. It also stimulates trade and travel. It certainly saves lives, e.g. Jews escaping from Europe in WWII.
And it's been going on for many thousands of years. Humans have always been nomadic, to some extent, and some still are. Historians don't see it as a bad thing, per se.
The proposed principal reduction is like a nothingburger combo, with a bowl of stone soup and glass of water.
klarek,
People would still walk if they had to even it was 'illegal'...buyers didn't just buy any product...they bought products based on a deregulated Bubble/Bust pyramid, House of Cards...
OT, but extremely interesting report from Grant Thornton, highly recommended.
http://www.gt.com/staticfiles/GTCom/Public%20companies%20and%20capital%20markets/gt_wakeup_call_.pdf
threetorches wrote:
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!
Ain't no money, honey, no matter what the law says.
Ain't no money.
Freedom's just another word for nothing left to lose ...
I'm afraid I don't know what you're saying. So you think these principal reductions are a good thing?
Oh, sorry, sending you on a goose chase. I was thinking of autorefresh. I'll see what I can do.
Principal reductions would be fair in many cases since the values (we know now) were artificially pumped up by turning the RE/CRE markets into Casinos with dangerous historic leverage built on a House of Cards, regulatory capture, deregulation, faulty ratings, hit-the mark appraisals, no-doc & low doc risky lending, etc.
LA is diaspora central. Which is one of the attractions of living here. Lots of really great food from all the various diaspora groups.
scone
I didn't say it is terrible they exist, but that is is terrible they have to exist. That there is genocide, famine, war, political conquest and other things that are the driving force. We can easily achieve the same results without such concentrations of misery. Even if we humans didn't have a soft spot for adventurism like taking a one-way trip to Mars, and we couldn't achieve the same churning and cross-pollination I wouldn't be opposed to losing mobs of jerk-faces in power along with a faster economic growth rate.
Movie Tip:
"House of Games"
Yeah, I'd be shorting gold right now!
Barrick shuts hedge book as world gold supply runs out - Telegraph
LOLOLOLOLOL
merchants of fear wrote:
> The only 'economic' strategy that's going to work in slowing foreclosures and keeping people in their underwater bubble homes...
Why should the same people get to hog all the homes all the time? Let them default and become renters somewhere else. Then, when the home reaches a reasonable price, a prudent person who has been patiently renting can have a turn.
kcoop
I don't want to put you to work, please don't on my account. That's why I said it in a casual post instead of an e-mail, if you're poking around and it comes up in front of you then it's there in your idea bank (also under the legacy theme, I think the 'save' button should be above the comment preview so it doesn't dance around as the preview updates)
Many buyers tried to work it out with the banks but were rejected usually because the banks' own original lending standards were faulty and overly risky...the banks couldn't re-qualify borrower they originally 'qualified' in the dangerous bubble ascent...
merchants of fear wrote:
The single worst idea so far has been to change the tax treatment of loan forgiveness. The only time that loan forgiveness should not be a taxable event is in bankruptcy. It seems to me that the greatest risk right now has to be the strategic default. I think even the people with a strong sense of morality are going to have their patience tested. Give people a free pass vis a vis taxes is just one more incentive to walk away. My advice to anybody thinking of walking away- do it quickly before they change their midns.
pavel.chichikov wrote:
From the link...
How come Minnesota isn't on that list - how bad do you have to F/U to make the Top 10 anyway? Its getting tougher than winning Biggest Loser.
,rad Oxtail,
My favorite strip-mall in West LA, had superb Greek, Oaxacan and Italian restaurants ($10-15 for dinner), one-stop dining.
Jonathan wrote:
Peak Glod?
All the arguments for peak oil apply.
kidbuck,
I agree defaults are the best 'market solution' in most cases for this bust phase of the bubble but if mods are offered, they should take into account...reality.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
As a country, no. As a people, yes. (this is in response to the overall Persian/Iranian conversation above)
To generalize, Iranians are exceptionally bright and productive. Amongst all the expats and immigrants in the U.S., they're the only ones that advance further (in terms of education accomplishment and income) as a group than do our indigenous Euro-honkies that have been in the U.S. for several generations. One explanation could be the "old money" theory, but after 30 years and that other similar diaspora groups of different countries haven't achieved such prominence, I doubt it.
The country itself sucks. It takes them decades to build a tunnel or airport. I don't know if this is because of a lack of analytical/creative thinking or because they are run by incompetent pious thugs that promote other ignorant thugs into govt leadership positions, but I tend to believe it's the latter.
kidbuck wrote:
I don't understand why this is so hard for people to grasp. The LAST people that should ever get any sort of handout are these underwater owners. Force those fuckers to pay back what they owe if they walk away and they'll start making their payments ASAP.
EHP,
I took your comment here and paraphrased it:
Financialization of the US economy has been the only vehicle to avoid politically unpalatable recessions since the Volcker recession that ended the inflationary spiral, and it attracted economic attention in terms of investment away from research and development. Eventually the gap in return on investment between what financialization apparently offered and what R&D could deliver grew and grew, while investment priorities shifted proportionally. I say apparently offered, because most of the return on financialization analyzed over its life cycle will be significantly lower than was promised due to the bulk of the difference being based on pyramid schemes, fraud and obfuscation.
I'd like to post this paraphrase on my blog without attribution, if it's OK with you.
poic wrote:
In other news physicists begrudgingly acknowledge 'gravity sucks'.
merchants of fear wrote:
Nobody's taking into account my reality...sitting in a crappy apartment that costs me 60% of my net income.
Sorry, klarek.
No, I don't think much of it is "good" at all.
But I do think that the tales of "strategic default" are somewhat exaggerated, as compared to the folks that quit paying simply because the checking account has run dry, and they are unemployed or unemployable.
I'll not overlook or excuse the individual bad behavior, particularly the reckless MEW we have all seen, but the reality for the banks is that they will be unable to recover these bad debts EVEN IF the loans are full recourse ... which in fact they are, in those states that allow deficiency judgments and collection activities on such accounts.
There is simply no money out there to support these defaulted obligations. The old saying is, "You can't get blood from a stone, no matter how hard you squeeze." It is impossible to collect from people who have lost everything, and you can't garnish the unemployed.
The states that take the view that seizure of the collateral is full extinguishment of the underlying debt are certainly free to change their laws going forward (I am leery of retroactive changes to law) but that itself alters the risk/reward calculus for both borrower and lender. In some states, old deficiency judgments sit around bothering the courts and judges for YEARS with only token sums collected ... the people are just flat broke, and there is no money to collect! You just hang onto the judgment, on the off-chance your judgment-debtor hits the Lotto, or something, I guess. Judges, clerks, lawyers, bailiffs, everyone hates these "dead" cases, and like LLiz tells us, they end up clogging up boxes stacked up in courthouse basements all over the place.
If the banks want to collect SOMETHING they have to realize that they are going to be unable to collect EVERYTHING.
That's all, I am just trying to take a pragmatic approach that salvages whatever we can out of the situation.
Otherwise, all is lost for both bank and borrower.
scone wrote:
We've averaged at least $800B per year for a while. Not sure how much of this is hot money [that never was cashed into a US bank] but in the end a dollar is a dollar.
Say $500B/yr in spending and $50K per year required to be an economic agent -- that's 10 MILLION jobs being directly and indirectly supported by defense spending. All that spending being flushed down the toilet instead of being put into productive uses. Man we're screwed.
scone
I didn't say it is terrible they exist, but that is is terrible they have to exist. That there is genocide, famine, war, political conquest and other things that are the driving force.- EHP
History just doesn't work that way. In any case, most of the time war is not the original impulse to the diaspora, anyway. It's an end-stage as the wave of nomads passes through. If you look at the whole of human history, most of the nomadic movement is a result of environmental change in the constant search for food and resources. For example, the Nile Valley was settled by waves of people coming in from areas that were getting drier over time, such as the Sahara:
Predynastic Egypt - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
That doesn't apply to the Holocaust, obviously, but that's not the typical diaspora case over the last 10,000 years or so. The 20th c. is abnormal in many ways.
Persians are about the only people I know that give gifts of gold for most any occasion. Usually a Credit Suisse 2.5 or 5 gram bar, or a Pahlavi.
merchants of fear wrote:
You said that principal reductions are the only solution to foreclosures. I countered with a "shackle them to the banks losses" solution. What do you think?
'Economic strategies' on mods and refi's so far has been basically to support the bubble prices which is another distortion of the RE/CRE markets...and an attempt to re-inflate or maintain the bubble 'profits'...
klarek wrote:
All the capable people left. Under the Shah it was something of a lootacracy so the smart ones got out when the getting was good. I was living in El Cerrito as a kid and some nice Iranians moved across the hall ca. 1976, waiting for their money to clear before they moved up into the hills...
rosethorn,
You can always take what I say and reproduce it in any way you like. My only preference is that it be provided in context, or with a link to the original context. The same goes for anyone who wants to slag me, I haven't been the most diplomatic of judges of character
edit: thanks for letting me know though, flattering
JimPortlandOR wrote:
Orrrrr, as the website states, it's located NEAR West Point, not on the post-
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Primarily the fact that it's not true-
kidbuck,
No you are right...renters and savers have been royally screwed in this fiasco...and now buying is out of reach for many because of credit problems or employment issues...the homes will drop more in prices in the bubble areas...but is credit available when the time to buy finally comes...whenever? The actions of the Govt/Banks are delaying market adjustments to rational price levels...obviously...
threetorches wrote:
I know plenty of people that are going to eventually default (some already have) where they aren't tapped out at all. They are gainfully employed, and either have a decent 401k/savings or a wealthy relative. I find the argument about "squeezing blood from a stone" to be highly irrelevant. Do student loans get erased because the graduating debtor has no money, therefore cannot be squeezed? It's more a measure to stop strategic defaulters (deadbeat gamblers), but will also get people to pay back what they owe. Is that too un-American to force people to repay their debts? We do it for student loans.
EvilHenryPaulson wrote:
Good point. I've actually been working on improving hoocooblue a bit (which is where I now spend most of my time), and when I get that out, I'll see about this.
I really do welcome suggestions. I don't get to all of them right away, but I want this site to work well for people.
Klarek,
But most big banks anyway already have been paid for their losses...
rosethorn wrote:
It was the only way to drive down wage while maintaining sales so as to boost corporate profits and stock valuations without getting the peasants to revolt/ I am struck by GS comments- it almost has the ring of Marie Antoinette. You think he would keep his mouth shut but the fact that he doesn't suggests to me that he is pretty confident about the government he has purchased.
Only because of World War 2, am I here in America. Different time, similar diaspora.
My father could have gone to Australia for free, but it cost $200 to come to the USA, and it looked more promising here, and most importantly in his decision: Australia didn't have any mountains, to speak of...
klarek,
Who are the BIG deadbeat gamblers?
Hint: 19
Armenians are quite fond of gold and jewelry as well. And they can get a little pissy if you accidentally call them Persians.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
does anybody know if they have any numismatic value or just the value of the gold?
scone
I'm not saying it is possible to avoid them, it's like the weather. Even if I can't change it, I can still choose to dislike -40°C weather where your boogers freeze
Oxtail wrote:
Or Turks-
klarek, as I said, it is mostly a matter of state law, and some states do indeed take your view and allow deficiency judgments up to the dollar value of the note. Other states view it as a "secured" loan, and allow the remedy of seizure of the asset borrowed against.
Essentially, they requrie satisfaction of the debt, and (but) consider the home to be full satisfaction. After all, it was the bank's own determination of the amount they were willing to lend, right?
Well, if that is how much the bank values the house at, then receipt of the house satisfies the debt. Fair is fair.
kcoop
thanks again, you've always done more than enough since the olden days of crkit
Comrade Troyski wrote:
I don't think so. I see no difference in Iranians I see protesting in the streets than I do the ones that could have gotten out and did. They're just the ones without the money to leave, or have stayed because they would rather hope for Iran to change than ever leave there. But the point is that this "old money" argument lost credibility at some point in the past. Iranian prominence in academia, science, and engineering in the western wordl isn't a fluke. And they don't have the relative "strength by numbers" explanation afforded to the Indians and Chinese.
scone wrote:
Clauswitz defined it as diplomacy pursued by "other means"
Nuclear roulette: 'conventional' thinking on nuclear weapons is a recipe for mutual suicide | UNESCO Courier | Find Articles at BNET
threetorches wrote:
I'm not talking about the law as it is. I'm talking about what a practical "solution" is to the problem of foreclosures (which I don't have a problem with, and am just stating hypothetically). This would be in better context if the govt was forcing banks to reduce principal owed, like in the cramdown rumors of past.
But on a purely practical level, principal reductions are the worst possible "solution". If you want to stop foreclosures, you need a system where people are punished for not paying back what they owe. That won't stop all foreclosures, but a substantial amount to the point that it won't be a "problem". If we can force poor college graduates to carry a $100,000 debt on their shoulders when they graduate, surely we can do the same to a guy that walks away from his house and sacks the bank with an equal debt (note: not talking about the amount owed on balance, just the amount the banks lose from foreclosure).
Again this is outside the debate about the law, just a practical solution. Principal reduction is a no-go every way I look at it.
kalrak,
Yeah...you might as well be for maintaining or re-inflating, or at least protecting the 'bubble' prices which is the official economic policy now as the banks' basic position...
Klarek,
You seem to forget many people have tried to work it out and stay in their homes but the banks said 'NO' to the work-outs...
klarek wrote:
It's un-American to value creditors over debtors. Georgia was founded as a haven for debtors and that was a factor in founding several of the other original 13 colonies. Also, the Constitution always has provided for bankruptcy law.
Traditionally, the fact that we valued debtors over creditors in business helped to encourage economic growth and innovation. Chapter 11 is widely admired internationally, even in places that have little use for American culture more generally.
Nondischargeability of student loans in bankruptcy is despicable. Preferential treatment for creditors reflects our slide from economic growth and innovation to rentierism and stagnation.
feralpig wrote:
Unfortunately, it's the result of abuse by people that took huge loans to go to Harvard and become doctors, and then subsequently blew off paying for their loans.
merchants of fear wrote:
No, not at all. Which is why I'm fine with letting the deadbeats walk. I'm speaking purely about "solving the problem of foreclosures" if it's actually a problem that must be solved. Chain the walkaways to their debt.
You seem to forget many people have tried to work it out and stay but won't accept anything less than principal reductions. I'm not saying that chaining them to their debt will stop all foreclosures, but a substantial amount.
feralpig wrote:
Really? So I borrow $1000 and tell the person that lent it to me to GFY and it's un-American to demand I pay it back?
I disagree with you on that to some extent. Given the bankruptcy provisions, it's too easy for people to screw creditors, thereby punishing responsible borrowers. You start letting people screw the lenders of student loans and that will substantially drive up the amount paid by the other sucker students that pay back what was loaned to them.
When did these threads start advocating the deadbeat lifestyle that has become this once-great country? I can't believe anybody with a sound mind could support principal reductions, though that's what I think I'm hearing here.
klarek wrote:
I support bankruptcy. I think principal reductions are absurd. I don't see any inconsistency in those stances.