He said it was also the issue of whether “you are generating the conditions that might foster a bubble that really might come back to hurt you later? I think this will be a big issue for the committee.”
Attention Mr. and Mrs. Fed: You are generating serial asset bubbles right NOW. Please see the prices for glod, sliver, roady-yum, wheatabix, and platynumnum. And please google "Carry Trade" as you are enabling it with the dollar. Today!
Now you can't say you weren't warned. "Might foster," indeed.
We were at my favorite time share in the Sierra Nevada over the weekend...
It's one we call "Falling Water", and it's like Frank Lloyd Wright's masterpiece, except in lieu of a home between and betwixt waterfalls and ponds, we have a camping spot hidden away from the maddening crowd, off-trail. A 300 pound jet-black black bear paid us a visit on Friday night, just 25 feet away, and as we were sitting, it looked even bigger from where we stood, but no problemo, bears are really mellow here, and besides-everything was in a bear canister, a fun encounter~
There are about 5 ponds and waterfalls below us on a creek, and about a dozen of each above, the waterfalls small as a few feet high, to about 130 feet high. The view in the distance is Bishop's Hat Rocks, stunning.
A glacier was up the creek about 12,000 years ago, and glacial polish is everywhere on the rocks-wickedly smooth granite, and you can easily make out the gouging marks leftover from when it receded for the last time, way back when.
The tea-bag thing was political. I'm not talking about politics, lobbying or dollars to do that. We don't have much power as citizens I will agree, but as individuals we can make choices. It is in those Apoliticalchoices that a larger message can be sent.
The immediate needs which include hunger, homelessness, and children shouldn't be confused with political needs. Media sucks as do the the jabbering heads that fuel blame mongering and confuse/divert and make neighbors enemies.
====================================
On topic: What Bernanke fears most is deflation, all the actions thus far have been efforts to reflate real-estate and the economy, its largely been a failure. He can't increase interest rates as the economic is way too fragile, deflation is bearing down in consumer discretionary.
I'm not an economist but it appears to me central bankers have run out of bullets worldwide. Brown breaking up Lloyds and RBS is the giant clue there. Its interesting and compelling as RBS is a primary dealer to US fed. hummmmm. If the EU follows Brown's lead, then Bernanke get painted into a corner? lol. Who needs a soap opera
Attention Mr. and Mrs. Fed: You are generating serial asset bubbles right NOW. Please see the prices for glod, sliver, roady-yum, wheatabix, and platynumnum.
Out of curiosity, what happens to the money supply when large amounts of these commodities are purchased on margins, and the value (or at least the price) of them drops precipitously?
If you do something long enough you forget why you were doing it in the first place. The how becomes more important than the why. This particularly true of the Fed. fighting inflation. The reason to contain inflation is because high inflation leads to unsound economic decisions and capital allocation which ultimately causes economic problems.
Thus failing to asset inflation into account misses the whole point of why you are fighting inflation in the first place. It is no coincident that bubbles take place when conventional measures of inflation are low. BTW including the cost of saving for retirement into the CPI would help capture some of this broader inflation.
I worry a little about old Ben. He never saw a problem in the future, claimed it was contained when he finally admitted to it, and used "unconventional methods" to "fix it". Given his record, massive inflation is in the cards, tho maybe that's what he truly wants.
I think that the Fed's going to find themselves really in no position to have an impact on inflation, apart from having loosed that particular monster. Much is going to be dependent on the remainder of the world and the currency required in settling trade accounts. If the Arab states want their payments in some undefined currency basket that has much less presence of dollar - and some aspect of gold/PM at high dollar costs, then the inflation is gonna rip through this system regardless of what the Fed thinks that it can do.
About as much utility as a left-handed screwdriver.
I find the whole inflation thing hysterically funny. Inflation reporting and data became so silly via Greenspan that it has become a tool for purposes other than its original intention. Now it has no foundation for conditions on Main Street or the real economy, its a tool for the new economy and the new economy ONLY. Now we have asset inflation in commodities, a weak dollar and a fed that has no more bullets save 'quantitative easing' which is this giant sponge of leverage soaking up every drop of liquidity they can produce. The sponge is not even moist yet.
Now I really don't pay attention to the man behind the curtain, its gonna be what its gonna be and I have no confidence that Geithner, Bernanke or Hu can wrangle it now.
nanoo
wonder how long "as the fed churns"will run. looks like we,the people are going to have do things ourselves wonder if tptb would notice, do we care whether they do or not. personally ive given up on them.
Nanoo-Nanoo (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 8:31 am
What happened in commodities in 08 was sick and like gasoline, prices didn't come down in tandem as commodity prices eased and demand destruction took hold. What happened with wheat in 08 was worse than oil and it meant real starvation of real people in developing nations.
I don't know how some of these people sleep at night.
After you've build your first money bin and that magic moment comes when you swim around in it for the first time, you'll understand.
When you're doing lines of coke with supermodels, celebrities and business magnates from the security of your private jet, hopping out to a private resort to spend the weekend with them, you'll understand.
When you survey the favelas and see the dirty children playing in the street and panhandling tourists as you look on leisurely across your grassy field, far below, past the private fence and security force that guards your private villa in Paraguay, you'll understand.
My guess is that every time gold runs up $50/oz in a week, the Fed will bring out another suit talking about keeping inflation under control. Maybe if prices rise $100 in a week, Bernanke will make a surprise appearance in the "Monday Night Football" broadcasting booth.
I was but a wee lad during that period, but from what I've been told Volker took an awful lot of heat before the outcome became apparent. Especially in the early days, I've been told/read that Volker was a bit of a pariah and there were many who believed he was taking the wrong approach. Does this jive with anyone's experiences from that time?
The reason that I'm so concerned about Bernanke's approach is that no one, with the exception of bloggers and the commentariat, is calling for Bernanke's head, which means he's sacrificing effectiveness for political attractiveness.
A lack of inflation expectations would be a serious worry, though.
Nah, the great unwashed doesn't pay attention to inflation targets, right? I mean, the most they're going to do is postpone their major purchases until prices decline further, and maybe postpone smaller purchases until next week's flyer comes out, and then buy as little as necessary because next week's flyer is going to have even better deals...
My 1981 mtg was switched to an arm and it went
down down down with no refinancing costs or anything.
I loved that arm. I knew someone with a neg am mtg who
took it out at just the right time, and after a year rates had
dropped so much, it was paying off positively.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Pass me an A.R.M. and that bottle of ketchup, please.
You're sick and twisted and thats why I like you because it takes one to know one. LOL.
"woke up this morning and got myself a beer
i said i woke up this morning and got myself a beer
because the futures uncertain and the end is always near
so let it roll baby roll
let it roll baby roll
so let it roll baby roll
let it roll....all...night...long ( j morrison and the doors)
especially if unforeseen circumstances arise in the future-
I've wondered what would have happened with AIG if we had a bad hurricane season this year or tornado outbreak or earthquake or..or..or. It was a quiet year for disasters of magnitude.
You know how it is with fading stars, who can't work as cheap or make as much as they used to do, washed-up, but hanging around for one more season, because it really needs the paycheck, having squandered it's savings long ago...
SyFy is unwatchable now, it was bad before but I have an affinity and sick attachment to bad horror/sci-fi movies going back into the early '60s. However, the ads are neverending, I don't have a DVR either (one day maybe). The worst Sci-Fi movies of the 50s look like Oscar nominees next to Sci-Fi's stuff. I swear they are using high-school drop outs to write and produce those things.
LL- if we are trading anecdotes- what is the difference between college tuition 7 years ago and today.? Since not all things go up by the same amount some things will go up less than the average and others more. The cost of manufactured goods should be going up by less so as to compensate for those going up faster.
The reason that are inflation statistics are a joke is that they fail to incorporate taxes. Taxes are what pay for services that are least able to generate productivity gains- e.g teachers and cops- plus because we run chronic deficits we don't even pay the full cost of those.
Gee, I don't know, we got the Florida prepaid plan so
we didn't have to worry how much tuition was--state
schools anyway. Plus the son got money to live on
from the army. He graduated owing 2k.
Volker had the BB's (brains and balls) to pay the bills. Not extend and pretend. Obama the pitch man used Volkers reputation to get elected and now ignores his advice. It think Volker and Reagan would never have let this country engage in the fraud and rape we have now. So yes we would be much better under Volker. I cussed him when we had to 18% on a commercial RE loan.
Bulltard is another Fed liar. There is absolutely no reason to worry about inflation or deflation in a free market. The Fed's main CONcern is propping up the value of trillions in bogus credit issued by banks over the past two decades. The Fed is papering over their own mistakes and preserving the value of faux wealth. The cost of such actions are felt every day and every year by the productive Americans (the producers) who see their surplus stolen via inflation.
"Friedman and Schwartz estimated that prices in general fell from 1869 to 1879 by 3.8 percent per annum. Unfortunately, most historians and economists are conditioned to believe that steadily and sharply falling prices must result in depression: hence their amazement at the obvious prosperity and economic growth during this era." -- Murray Rothbard
Hi all and Good Morning! Just finished reading the overnite and this thread.
We all know the Fed and Bernanke are quivering at the wrong thing. No matter what we know and say however they will ride the inflation chupathingy down into rubble and flames.
A few comments about the overnithe thread, and as the token CR poor person, (formerly) food stamp receiving, children getting free lunch at school, Salvation Army handout and shelter recipient person, I think I have some standing so I suggest you listen up.
Many, including myself, use the whole Food stamp allotment at one time because we do not have working cars. A trip to the grocery store is an adventure in logistics, communication, endurance and community cooperation rivaled only by D-Day. Wal-mart has the best prices on pantry staples anywhere. Instead of pissing or mocking the poor schleps who shop there give them a cheer for being thrifty, eh?
As for thewhole condescending attitude about wal-mart and those horrible people who shop there, fuck you. I am so sorry that the poor, the ugly, the stupid and the tasteless actually inisit on shopping and living. Your reality would be so much more pleasant if we would just gracefully crawl away and melt out ofview wouldnt it? Look cheer up you snobby elitists, if there werent a wal-mart or equivalent the ewwww! people would actually be shopping with you instead of in their little poor corral.
Oh yeah, and to whatever poster last nite who suggested poor people should not be allowed to use their assistance at wal-mart since it isjust tooooo tempting to spend money on stuff they dont need...if it is food, they do not get money. If it is money then they are retirees or ssi recipients and if they are that old they can purchase what they ewant,eh? Welfare doesnt get moeny anymore at least not where I am.
I am actually considering giving up rights to my child to join the army to provide a bit better for us all and you guys get to whine about theose horrid wal-martians. screw you.
My first mortgage was 13% in 1985 - the Republic was doing rather well back then. All this gnashing of teeth that an increase in the funds rate will cause all sorts of problems is just pure BS. If we accepted that the economy wasn't that sensitive to to 1/4 % changes in rates how many people on Wall Street would be without a job? Thats why we don't.
we hear a lot of excitement bout gold with the toasting of the dollar
and that makes sense to me
but
but the open secret among PM bugs is that silver and palladium are up approaching gains of 50% in the last 12 months
i wonder if thats about playing catch-up
or
if its bubblelicious
I was totally serious too and thanks mock turtle. Perhaps one of their children will resemble Linda Blair only there will be no exorcism and bio-engineered locusts that have needles for teeth will eat them nibble by nibble starting with preferred private parts . ewww...sorry. I have watched too many movies.
crazyv-my health insurance premiums with a very large base rose 100% last year. ALL of my insurance of any kind have gone up (homeowners, auto which of course are mandated.) Food prices fluctuate, gas remains high and heating my home this year is still over 1/3 more than 2 years ago, last year it was 2/3s more than the previous year that was 1/3 more. Deflation is only evident in consumer discretionary spending. Taxes have increased in this neck of the woods on everything making the cost of living here breathtaking. I expect that will continue to go up as tax coffers in the states continue to be stressed.
We've had inflation all of our lives, but never all at once, seemingly measured to make us want to get rid of cash as soon as possible, by not having any impetus to save.
These were the prices of things when I ventured out into the wild blue yonder, from somewhat constricted circumstance, way back when on the edge of the new frontier, in the City of Angles...
New Car: $2k
Gas: 25 cents
New Home: $15k
The prices today?
New Car $20k
Gas $3
New Home $600k (on the outskirts of town)
Notice how the car and gas went up about the same amount (10x & 12x), but the home went up 40x, in less than 50 years~
These were the prices of things when I ventured out into the wild blue yonder, from somewhat constricted circumstance, way back when on the edge of the new frontier, in the City of Angles...
My mother set a rule for my father, that he was not allowed to pay more for a vehicle than they paid for their first house, which was $27K. Due to the fact he needed a large diesel 4x4, he finally had to break that rule in 1999 after only 25 years.
i havent spoken to the father since a month pregnant. he is nine now. They have never met, and I do not even know which state the father lives in.
I sounded really shrill and mean up above. For some of it I apologize. Look people I get tired of the whole condescending snottiness about the whole walmart socio-economic level.
The choices I have made have contributed to where I am now, and I accept that. I am working, thinking, planning for worst case, best case and middle. The army issue is worst case, and most likely will not happen however however however there is a segment of this population that are making these choices, and I tell you they are the ones you mock with the whole wal-mart/those people meme (hehehehe i stole broward's word) and it enrages me.
My real question is if wal-mart sucks, and the people who shop there suck, what is next? how do you end that? I can see some ways down the road and none of them are very pretty. But dont worry! If and when it all hits the doom loop we can all go down to wal-mart together and purchase our made in china Cloaks of Squalor and Doom. Ill even show you where the damaged goods and day-old bread sale stacks are.
rsj: I wish you and your family all the best. Please consider alternates, what a heartbreaking decision to make. Resources are thin I know and not savory. Words cannot express how much your example fuels anger towards those who do not see us and who have taken our opportunities away to provide for ourselves. May you and yours find peace and a path towards keeping you and your family intact.
FED keeping an eye on inflation is like Napoleon saying during the French invasion of Russia of 1812, "Look, Englishmen are not attacking! All is good!"
I sounded really shrill and mean up above. For some of it I apologize. Look people I get tired of the whole condescending snottiness about the whole Walmart socio-economic level.
I buy all of my diapers at Walmart. It's the best deal for diapers, and although I'm sure some parents believe their precious snowflake's bum deserves only the finest organically-grown and sustainably-harvested linens, I'm all about minimizing the costs of a disposable item that only sees an hours use.
I'm seeing mild deflation, but generally agree with your statement that costs today are higher than several years ago. However, the fact that prices haven't fallen much makes me less worried about inflation, not more worried. Wages were stagnant and are now declining. You can't spend what you don't have - it's that simple.
Here's the part of the inflationist's thinking that I don't get: The Government has huge future unfunded liabilities that they won't be able to meet so they will inflate. Huh? For one, inflation or deflation is irrelevant as the future unfunded costs would rise or fall with inflation or deflation. That said, you can't provide what you can't afford. Promised benefits will simply not be delivered imo. The notion that the Government will screw creditors in favor of entitlement beneficiaries is goofy and shows a lack of understanding of how our system works.
No. Not mean at all. As I have been homeless, done the shelter, foodstamp thing also. Sometimes I want to scream a big FU to people. I dislike the entire "people of wal-mart" thing. FU. Your shit does not stink? Maybe you had better choices you smug prick.
Sheeple - another FU! They are not sheeple. They are your brothers and sisters. You dip shit. You do not laugh. If you were a "good" person you would understand the concept of Protect and Defend those who have less. Smug, self-righteous, planet raping, consumerer, cock sucker of the media illusions...just wait.
My father didn't support me either and when I met
him at 14 I disliked him. However, my mom was
luckily to be born in a medium affluent family, so we
didn't suffer financially.
Luck certainly plays a part with lives, along with choices.
But, I still hate Walmart and I don't appoligize for not
being forced to shop there.
There are more people here who have shared some of those experiences than you know, and certainly than is shown by the comments of those who are small and petty...this is a very diverse bunch, try not to paint everyone with the same brush...just sayin'
Here's a snapshot of pricing: (a great resource, by the way)
Whoa, that's so cool!
The price of cars is fascinating. From 1971 to 1981 they tripled, and then almost tripled again from 1981 to 1991, and then went almost no where for the next ten years or so. I am going to waste too much time on that site.
but sometimes the anger blunts one's point and puts allies in opposition
Wal Mart is a perfect example of what our thinking has become on so many levels. Rather than dealing with the core problem- the lack of jobs of that pay decent wages that are growing - we provide an alternative to help people make what they have go further. It is the same logic that prevents us from serving healthy food in school lunch programs because it would cost more. We tinker with symptoms rather than causes and it works because it divides us. Those who object to Wal Mart for its labor practices are put into opposition to those who shop at Wal Mart (and who will benefit most from improved labor practices throughout the economy).
Thanks guys. We will be ok. Family is more than legalities. Like I said, it will most likely not happen, but I am seriously considering it as Plan Z. That is the bestest thing about this site, helped me realize that planning for the possibilities, good and bad and very very doomloop bad, is the only way to have a chance in the future. Especially for the minnows.
Look, dont worry bout the wal-marts and the horrors of foreign made store brand staples, that is the sort of thing that will sort itself out one way or the other as this plays out. That is a sideshow and a misdirection of thought. Besides walmart has the best store-brand cheezwiz evah! ;D
Dont focus on the poor people waiting to get in to the places, focus on the amt of new people qualifiying for food stamps, the amount of people using shelters, and food banks. The amount of use of the saftey net is what needs to be noticed.
Oh liz no no. I do not expectpeople to apologize or feel badly for not having to shop there, never that honest. That is part of capitalism, and free will, and choice. I respect that. I just get irate about the attitude that many have towards those that do have to shop there. that and I am a bit stressed and cranky, and it just hit a nerve. Oh, smoke free 8 days 1 hr and 23minutes and I am feeling it.
Those who object to Wal Mart for its labor practices are put into opposition to those who shop at Wal Mart (and who will benefit most from improved labor practices throughout the economy).
Didn't you say that as a shareholder you would want your corporation to not participate in corporate philanthropy and want your corporation to take advantage of every nook and cranny available to maximize your gains?
.
Can I assume that you are not a shareholder of WMT? Also, why do we need to provide an alternative to the situation because aren't the Market Forces That Be are doing what the Market is allowing?
OT: Spot Gold shows its exhaustion gap (IMO, it's an exhaustion gap), 1098-1105, at least 7 points. Short term, IMO, gold will now retrace to 1045, a drop of 50+ points, to fill the breakaway gap. Any more newbies want a piece of gold here?
IMO, if this were a runaway rally, we'd be in the mid 1100's and heading north. But while one can wish something to be true, the historical odds are so low that that too becomes imo cognitive dissonance. After retracement to 1045 to close the gap, there's not a scintilla of doubt in my mind that much higher numbers are up next.
I speak solely of short term trading, not long term hedging and asset shifting.
Further, there's not a scintilla of doubt in my mind that the vast majority of Americans are about to lose the store of value symbolized by their holding MMF's, savings accounts, and Treasuries. This is a tragic though necessary part of the readjustment after the Primary Dealers disemboweld the world's Western financial system. Drawing and quartering is too good for each and every one of those men and women, Paulson included.
rsj (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:09 am
I sounded really shrill and mean up above. For some of it I apologize. Look people I get tired of the whole condescending snottiness about the whole walmart socio-economic level.
The choices I have made have contributed to where I am now, and I accept that. I am working, thinking, planning for worst case, best case and middle.
Nothing I hate worse than the entitled talking about "choices". I'm from a close-knit midwestern family with lower and lower-middle class roots and have relatives on food stamps, government assistance and just at or above the poverty line. I hate the notion that your socioeconomic status is primarily the result of "bad choices" (it being a catch-all part of the American entitlement mythos), but more because it implies that those higher up the pyramid somehow made much better and smarter choices from an identical playing field. I don't feel at all superior for being (merely) "upper-middle class"; I sometimes feel a bit guilty in fact.
BTW, I've personally witnessed multiple people walk into a Wal-Mart for the first time after years of scorn, only to fall in love with the place. Everybody loves cheap.
Those who object to Wal Mart for its labor practices are put into opposition to those who shop at Wal Mart (and who will benefit most from improved labor practices throughout the economy).
Before Walmart, the distribution systems of every major retailer were horribly inefficient, leading to huge amounts of waste. This waste was reflected in the prices charged by everyone. By minimizing distribution costs, Walmart forced the entire industry to pull up their socks and focus on that one issue. This was their competitive advantage for a decade or more.
Once the industry saw the light and tightened their supply chains, Walmart had to look elsewhere for a new competitive advantage. They cut costs by sourcing to China and cutting costs at home, especially labour. Walmart is a company in a death-spiral, because it's competitors are almost as efficient logistically as they are, but with none of the consumer-associated bad impressions. And it'll be very hard to change everyone's collective impression of Walmart.
But we really should appreciate them for their contributions, both negative and positive.
I hate that new title. I can't imagine how much they paid an image consulting firm to come up with that silly name.
Are you old enough to remember when NBC changed its logo from something like
NB
C
to a giant "Block" "N"
Johnny Carson must've run with that (I think they spent a million or so on it) for 2-3 weeks. Really funny. BTW, a million was a fair bit of change back then....
Arent they already eating the poor? Pensions are dying or gone, savings are almost nonexistent and they are working as hard as they can to make savings unattractive to jack up the risk taking, foreclosures and evictions heavenward levels, jobless recoveries, etc.
They just dont like the way the poor taste, so they are finding ways to consume them and remove them without having to physically eat them.
I hope that came across right. I didn't want JD to feel unloved.
rsj: I doubt I can add to the kinder words spoken above, but fwiw: If somebody doesn't like the way you live or what you do, to hell with 'em. Learn what you can from them, but don't let it get under your skin because life is too short.
Good luck and godspeed.
Edit:
Oh, smoke free 8 days 1 hr and 23minutes and I am feeling it.
"Nothing I hate worse than the entitled talking about "choices". I'm from a close-knit midwestern family with lower and lower-middle class roots and have relatives on food stamps, government assistance and just at or above the poverty line"
Now you are doing that American thingy again, fierce competition! Who is the most dirt poor and humble of all (or their parents were)! From rags to educated and civilized rags?
Up until this month, I had not shopped at WM because I really want things not produced in China.
However, our room mate lost her job last week. She has a 7 yr old son. ( no way will we ask a woman with a child to leave, regardless of income) Hubby's business is super slow, has been for over a year now. At this point I am going to be suporting 4 people. Price is now the primary factor in allot of decision making.
The other very difficult decision was to no longer have one person working with me. Hubby will take over that work and we will keep more of the income in our household. Things change, we change to meet new situations.
walmart... blah, blah.
I always refuse to believe that the few smart blogs are filled with people on the dole yacking while their scooter recharges, sucking on a coke.
The big news is what Shill posted, Advanta just shut down. 1 million small biz's just lost one of their credit arms. This is a kick that will have repercussions. Knock on effects have to be spectacular over the next 30 days. And sales will be charged to ???
PS I also have an image in my head when I hear doom loop---a demented hamster running in the wheel that is connected to everything. If the wheel stops, it all stops. Poor thing trying to keep it all going and it's little hamster heart is about to explode over everything.
I always thought Advanta had the best chance as being all things to everybody:
It sounds like a car, a prescription drug or a failed credit-card lender
Same with 'Altria', except that sounds like a health-care company, a failed bank, and shoddy Oldsmobile. But since 'healthcare' is the first thing to pop into my head, I'm pretty sure Phillip Morris got their money's-worth with that one.
LoserBeachBum (profile) wrote on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:32 am
Now you are doing that American thingy again, fierce competition! Who is the most dirt poor and humble of all (or their parents were)! From rags to educated and civilized rags? Smile
No shit..... I had one of those elliot wave websites bookmarked for about a week, just reading it for giggles.
The only time I've ever heard someone talk more out of both sides of their mouths was during election season.
If I were one of Merican's amoral scumbags, I would definitely create a scam to take advantage of people who do not understand probability and statistics.
So I shop @ Target, is it any better/worse than Wal*Mart?
We have a Target and Wal Mart literally across the street from each other, built at nearly the same time and in nice part of town. Shopping at the Target you see nice cars, well dressed people, and decent employees.
Shopping at the Wal Mart feels like you walked all the way across town it's so drastically different, trashy people and horrible employees.
The only thing I can think is the Wal Mart perception kept away the higher end shoppers, and at some point critical mass was reached to where none of them shopped their anymore.
FWIW, not to far away is a newer Wal Mart that puts the Target described above to shame.
Shill, the blog commentaries here have changed over the past 2 years dramatically. From the erudite, insightful, this has attracted those who find deals and discounts at discounters as the "new money". Instead of hanging out at the coupon blogs, this place seems to offer more fertile soil.
I am actually considering giving up rights to my child to join the army to provide a bit better for us all and you guys get to whine about theose horrid wal-martians.
I don't think you need to give up rights in order to join. Unfortunately, the reqs. to join the service have gone up due to the economy [edit], and you may not get the placement you would have if you'd joined previously. Additionally, having joined the service during the Carter Administration, I recall that the military wasn't very well taken care of at the time, and a lot of poor kids that joined after knocking up their girlfriend had a very rough time of it, since the COLAs for off post housing weren't enough to survive on, and of course, inflation was still rampant then. It was much better for soldiers a few years later, so you can hope. All in all, the Army was good to me, but you better get accustomed to the idea of taking orders. Good luck-
Was it this one? Because I don't remember this logo at all.
I also didn't have a TV for the first portion of my childhood.
Not quite; it was the "N" with a solid fill and no peacock. The one you linked was the updated response after months of ridicule
Its still funny to me .....
Absolutely- that is why I don't invest in Wal Mart stock or shop there.
It seems to me that to invest in a company and criticize their practices is outright hypocrisy. It amazes me - I assumed that the people on this board were basically cynics in its original context not the popular understanding of that term. As a cynic I deal with the world as it not on the basis of some idealized construct. I don't expect anything but the most venal of behavior from CEO's and believe that we should organize society on that basis. Should they turn out not to be venal well then I will be pleasantly surprised. You on the other expect good behavior and are constantly disappointed. Why do you think corporations engage in philanthropy - it is simply to distract us from what they really are- profit maximizing organizations.
Shill, the blog commentaries here have changed over the past 2 years dramatically. From the erudite, insightful, this has attracted those who find deals and discounts at discounters as the "new money".
What has been lost in the ability for an indepth thread analysis, has been gained in the amount and speed of information being brought in. If there are only 15 people commenting, that's only 15 sets of eyes browsing news and bringing relevant news to the attention of the commentariat. If there are 500 sets of eyes browsing the news, the aggregation ability of the commentariat increases dramatically. CR has turned into a generalists site for economic information, commentary, and insight. For those who long for threads with 1000 word comments, this is probably no longer the place.
The notion that the Government will screw creditors in favor of entitlement beneficiaries is goofy and shows a lack of understanding of how our system works.
A lot of the inflation/deflation debate reminds me of the arguments over C. Wright Mills back when I was in school. Those who basically agree with Mills and think that US politics is largely run by a moneyed elite for its own benefit are more likely to expect deflation; those who disagree and think US politics tends to favor large masses of voters are more likely to expect inflation.
I hate the notion that your socioeconomic status is primarily the result of "bad choices" - this is what elites from both the left and the right would have you believe as they systematically knock out the rungs that would allow people to climb higher. However, there is one thing that people can do- which they don't and that is to vote. If not actually cast a vote than at least register t vote. It is ironic that in a poor country like India the poor vote in far large numbers than the middle and upper classes. In the US we have allowed the notion that my vote doesn't matter to become a self fulfilling prophecy at precisely the time when your vote has actually begun to matter a great deal. Just think of the margins of victory in some prominent races. If you don't vote expect to be ignored. If you are unhappy with whats going on vote against the incumbent.
Before Walmart, the distribution systems of every major retailer were horribly inefficient
Not true. Sears Roebuck was one of the largest implementers of IT infrastructure in the 50's and 60's. A very innovative copany for the time.
Follow the time line of the large US retailers and it parallels the abrupt changes in the US monetary.banking system. Montogomery Ward was huge and Sears was tiny - until the Federal Reserve system was created. After that, Sears was able to borrow more easily whereas Ward had old debt to retire and couldn't borrow as much. Wal-Mart's rise coincides with the abandonment of the gold standard in the late 60's early 70's - Walton could borrow more easily than Sears Roebuck which had old debt to retire. The next shock to the monetary system will likely give an upstart a chance to eat into WalMart's market share.
We are trying to buy a house out in the country. I do not want to use any of our money if possible. I was just told that even though lenders say they are lending as low as 5% down - no one is. It is a minimum 10% for under jumbo.
The possible failure of JIT logistics is the thing that scares me the most. If it fails, it will not matter how nice little garden you got there, people are going to try to steal your tomatoes and potatoes like desperate zombies. Unless you live inside ammo factory, your little garden will be gone pretty soon...
That is why "screw you I got mine" is not going to work so good during times of economic chaos.
But we really should appreciate them for their contributions, both negative and positive.
I don't criticize people who have to shop at Wal Mart- I do criticize those who could afford to pay a little bit more at a competitor with better better practices like Costco. For many people Wal Mart is what allows them to make it and I acknowledge that. So simply trying to put Wal Mart out of business without addressing the underlying root cause of lack of income growth would be cruel.
Before Walmart, the distribution systems of every major retailer were horribly inefficient
Not true. Sears Roebuck was one of the largest implementers of IT infrastructure in the 50's and 60's. A very innovative copany for the time.
My understanding was that Walmart could change shelf space allocation and stocking in 24 hours in response to a sales trend, and was able to basically maintain a significant portion of its inventory in transit, which is something Sears was never able to do, as least as far as I've heard. I have to agree with No0B-
The next shock to the monetary system will likely give an upstart a chance to eat into WalMart's market share.
Now there's a theory I've never heard before. Fascinating, and I'll have to mull it for a while.
While I don't deny Sears' investment into IT, the difference between them and Walmart was not the investment, but the inter-relationship between retailers and manufacturers. Whereas Sears may have had efficient internal distribution systems, Walmart provided manufacturers with huge volumes of retail data, to the point where manufacturers would know which items were being bought where in real time. No one else had ever done this to the level Walmart took it too, and it allowed manufacturers to reduce their held inventory because they had a better grasp of final consumer demand. No more warehouses full of obsolete goods created 'just in case' or because of distorted demand data.
The wife and I are looking to buy a new fridge, and walked into a Sears in our area....I swear, other than the two of us, the place was empty....literally. My wife commented
Ah this one then: File:1975 NBC logo.svg - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Yes, I can see how someone might be wanting a portion of their $1 million back for that.
On the flipside, think of how much LSD you could get for a million bucks.
Yup; I suspect that some heads rolled.
If you had a $million, the thing to do would to be to buy capacity rather than the drug itself. You could probably set up labs in every state, but then again, LSD wasn't particularly popular during this era; to many memories of the "brown acid" fresh in peoples minds at the time-
I hate the notion that your socioeconomic status is primarily the result of "bad choices" - this is what elites from both the left and the right would have you believe as they systematically knock out the rungs that would allow people to climb higher.
I think we had a period where it largely was, maybe for a couple of decades or so. I certainly see that in the people I know in my day to day life as well as my family members. We may have come from a period where this wasn't the case, especially for certain groups, and I think we be entering a period where it won't be the case in the future, but what I see at least in my day to day experience is that the people who tried to make something of themselves generally had pretty good lives.
People do what they must: Make the most of what they have. I seriously doubt many people who shop WalMart have stock.
I don't like WalMart's business practices and as long as I can hold out and not shop there, I won't and its not because of rubbing shoulder with people I'd rather not. Its amazing, people who don't have resources to pretty themselves up or even take a shower daily get the worst from media. People who have to buy cheap foods end up eating a lot of fat and carbs because that is what is affordable.
There are examples of lawsuits regarding how WalMart treats their employees. They move into small markets, price below cost until the competition is out of business (Mom and Pop stores, small businesses). China goods did the same utilizing slave and child labor to capture entire market sectors, WalMart was just one venue for that business practice. Mfg represents only 10% of our GDP now as a result.
Businesses broadly were allowed to give up their responsibilities to their workers in providing benefits, living wages, etc. while given endless means to avoid taxation in the US. Now even pharmaceuticals, medical equipment and implants are produced overseas. Companies gave up even quality assurance on their own products for that extra quarterly profit.
So, even our last path to security and tangible wealth have been short circuited. Homeownership was that path, it was slow and unsexy. Saving money in a bank was also that path, it was slow and unsexy. Now there is nothing left for anyone to do to for a modest degree of security through prudence in their lives. Prudence today = LOSER. Unless you are a gambler, you can just freaking forget it and unless you don't mind cannibalizing your family and friends in the name of turning a buck, you can just freaking forget it.
FWIW, not to far away is a newer Wal Mart that puts the Target described above to shame.
Give it a dozen years. The objectives/incentives a WalMart store manager faces in a new store are much different than in an established store. Most district managers have little understanding of how different the clientele can be 2 or 3 miles away but the profit goals are the same so 2 stores are operated by the 2 individual managers differently.
In fairness to Wal Mart they also stood the pricing model on its head. Unlike all the other retailers they backward engineered. They figured out what price they wanted to sell a particular commodity at and worked backwards to figure out how to do it. That thinking led them to China way before anybody else figured it out and was in large part the reason they were successful.
My understanding was that Walmart could change shelf space allocation and stocking in 24 hours in response to a sales trend, and was able to basically maintain a significant portion of its inventory in transit, which is something Sears was never able to do, as least as far as I've heard.
Yes, at the time. Now it's common industry practice. Walmart institutionalized the practice of 'dock-to-dock' inventory movement, which meant that distribution centers were no longer inventory warehouses, but simply a place where stuff is moved from one trailer to another.
To the concerns of LoserBeachBum and others, they are right in that no one holds inventory in a giant warehouse anymore.
However, what good is inventory in a huge distribution warehouse compared to not having it at all? Whatever knocks out the ability for JIT to operate would have a similar effect on the ability to move fixed inventory from a warehouse to the retail outlet. So we'd be equally screwed.
Bullard also felt the unemployment rate should have topped out months ago, he doesn't know what he's doing other than wanting to avoid the mistake from last time. So not an inflation hawk, but afraid of possible asset bubbles. a FRB mutant
While I don't deny Sears' investment into IT, the difference between them and Walmart was not the investment, but the inter-relationship between retailers and manufacturers. Whereas Sears may have had efficient internal distribution systems, Walmart provided manufacturers with huge volumes of retail data, to the point where manufacturers would know which items were being bought where in real time. No one else had ever done this to the level Walmart took it too, and it allowed manufacturers to reduce their held inventory because they had a better grasp of final consumer demand. No more warehouses full of obsolete goods created 'just in case' or because of distorted demand data.
No0B,
You are correct, or at least that's the narrative that I've heard. Of course, Walmart originally chose to put its stores in markets that everyone else, besides the Sears Catalog was ignoring; Rural, redneck communities. It's only in the past 10 years or maybe less that they've started putting stores in more built up areas where they face real competition. This factor, more than their debt overhead, will play a role during the "next" cycle.
"However, what good is inventory in a huge distribution warehouse compared to not having it at all? Whatever knocks out the ability for JIT to operate would have a similar effect on the ability to move fixed inventory from a warehouse to the retail outlet. So we'd be equally screwed"
US military is probably one of the largest logistic system in the world? How they do it, large warehouses in places like Ramstein, Germany or JIT?
This factor, more than their debt overhead, will play a role during the "next" cycle.
When stores like Home Depot, Lowes, and others are using large amount leveraged capital to purchase land to prevent competitors from opening stores in urban areas, you know we're about to see the seeds of the next cycle.
And the more I think of it, the more Charles Kiting's theory of monetary disorder leading to reorganization of retailers (and the rest of the economy) as the megaliths can't match the flexibility and opportunities provided by a relatively clean credit slate. I believe he's providing the context, and I'm discussing the mechanism of how Walmart overtook Sears.
Whatever happens, the next couple of decades shall be interesting.
In fairness to Wal Mart they also stood the pricing model on its head. Unlike all the other retailers they backward engineered. They figured out what price they wanted to sell a particular commodity at and worked backwards to figure out how to do it. That thinking led them to China way before anybody else figured it out and was in large part the reason they were successful.
They also marketed very heavily on the ghost of "small town values" Sam Walton, as Disney has with Walt Disney for many years.
US military is probably one of the largest logistic system in the world? How they do it, large warehouses in places like Ramstein, Germany or JIT?
I don't know how rapidly the military has moved to a JIT model; certainly its the flavour toujour, and if they've outsourced it to private firms or consultants for portions of their sourcing needs I'm sure they would have moved to more of a JIT model.
But armies love inventory, so I'd bet their large warehouses are still quite prevalent.
And the more I think of it, the more Charles Kiting's theory of monetary disorder leading to reorganization of retailers (and the rest of the economy) as the megaliths can't match the flexibility and opportunities provided by a relatively clean credit slate.
Depends. When poorly performing operations are kept in business by cheap credit, rather than having to fix their operations and/or go bankrupt, the situation is going to end badly. If they went TU, and their market share and inventory was sold off for what it was actually worth, perhaps we wouldn't have to see the kind of dislocations CK describes. However, when a corporation can hide its business model's deficiencies by continuously expanding with cheap credit, things eventually need to right themselves. Eventually-
If you are buying as a primary residence, you could use VA(if you don't have a VA loan on current home). There is also 100% financing through the USDA rural development program(must be only home you own to qualify for that program). I am not aware of any loans for second homes with less than 10% down-payment.
Yes I have spoken to a few people in my 'hood. They either don't understand what is really going on or don't care. Both are fairly dangerous attitudes to have. The problem is that most people get news from "katie" at 6pm so when that is your starting point....etc.
To borrow a phrase from denniger..."it's 6th grade math".
As long as the ATM, gas card and banks are open.....nothing is going to happen to them...so they think.
Well, that explains all the empty warehouses around SoCal . . . and Vegas . . . and Phoenix.
I should clarify that when I say 'hold' I mean putting three months of inventory in a warehouse. This still occurs, especially when converting perishable goods like vegetables into non-perishables like canned goods, where an entire harvest must be processed in a few months and then held for the entire year.
But if this can be avoided, it will. The current meme is that held inventory is capital locked in a non-productive use, and so must be constantly trimmed. I have a feeling this has swung too far, and companies will soon rediscover the importance of having some inventory on site to deal with supply chain interruptions, but much of this trend is here to stay, IMHO, no matter what happens in the future.
If they went TU, and their market share and inventory was sold off for what it was actually worth, perhaps we wouldn't have to see the kind of dislocations CK describes. However, when a corporation can hide its business model's deficiencies by continuously expanding with cheap credit, things eventually need to right themselves.
I agree. We are both Miseans in this regard, Cinco-X.
Making useful products cost less money is a net benefit to everyone in society regardless of income. To the lowest incomes, it means more essentials are available and to the 2nd quintile that less money needs to go to necessities, freeing it up for stuff like cable TV, football jerseys and NASCAR tickets. Your TP costs 5% less and so does Lord Blankfein's.
Of course, it's accomplished by grinding down suppliers with market power, exploitation of lowest-cost labor etc, but...
update: Kraft offered the same deal for Cadbury today when it was required to make the bid hostile or walk away by regulation
in terms of national pride, it is like China buying GM perhaps
Additionally, the so-called under-employment rate, which includes part-time workers who’d prefer a full-time position, and people who want work and have given up looking, reached 17.5 percent last month, the highest level since records began in 1994.
The economy has lost 7.3 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007.
Commenting on the third quarter’s surge in worker productivity, Rosenberg said “we are producing more with fewer average hours worked -- how sustained is that is anyone’s guess.”
I'm sick of Christmas already and be SCROOGE and just IGNORE it except for what I said before. I guess I'm a strange female as shopping for me is punishment rather than a source of entertainment and has always been. I'm too neurotic I suppose.
Maybe I should just do what George Costanza did, create that imaginary "Human" non-profit donation card for everyone...lol.
Festivus for the restofus. I need to dust off that pole.
This is pretty common thing, as we've become very anonymous in the various Big Smokes, and don't want to hear, don't want to help.
I went to a town hall meeting, and they were begging for volunteers, and I do what I can here and there and help out, but truth be said, if it wasn't for a gaggle of women in their 70's, nothing would get done around here.
energyecon (homepage, profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 11:23 am
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Making useful products cost less money is a net benefit to everyone in society regardless of income.
How about if that tends to make income zero except for government transfer payments via the loss of manufacturing jobs?
Yeah, that's a problem, isn't it? I guess we should have thought of that. On the other hand, we make the folks in third-world nations that took them a lot better off and they have a lot more stable lives (at least temporarily). It's also grand for the execs and politicos, and anyone who lives off passive income generated in the tertiary financial economy.
You flatter me noob! If I did that, they would jail me for scaring people. Nope that the unadorned aluminum pole of scorn and retribution passed around on festivus eve.
I went to a town hall meeting, and they were begging for volunteers, and I do what I can here and there and help out, but truth be said, if it wasn't for a gaggle of women in their 70's, nothing would get done around here.
I often wonder what volunteering will look like in the next 20-30 years. Many of the women involved in volunteering now, the older ones, stayed at home with the kids and then used their extra time, once the kids were off at school or out of the house, to volunteer--sort of as an unpaid job.
But with so many women immediately entering the workforce, I wonder if that will influence the non-profit volunteer sector? All anecdotal and probably more than a little politically incorrect, but I'm curious nonetheless.
Fannie Mae Reviewing Treasury Decision on Credit Sale (Correct)
By Dawn Kopecki
Nov. 9 (Bloomberg) -- Fannie Mae is evaluating whether it will have to write down the value of its low-income housing tax credits after the U.S. Treasury Department rejected a plan to sell them, the mortgage-finance company said today.
A proposal by Fannie Mae to sell $2.6 billion of the credits would cost taxpayers more than the company would gain from the sale, according to a letter Treasury sent to the Washington-based company on Nov. 6. Treasury was weighing whether to let Goldman Sachs Group Inc. buy credits, which could be used to lower the firm’s tax bill. Fannie May Write Down $5.2 Billion in Tax Credits (Update3) - Bloomberg.com
It was stunning, there were veins of oak trees with 22k gold-looking leaves, from around 4,500 to 6,000 feet, the ones in the distance looking like so many gold nuggets stuck in the middle of the deciduous...
Lloyd Blankfein says he's a banker “doing God's work.” Mr. Blankfein, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Inc., told London's Sunday Times the Wall Street giant has a social purpose...
On Goldman's success : "Everybody should be, frankly, happy …. The financial system led us into the crisis and it will lead us out."
That shitbag needs to be boiled in urine (tonight)! Then financially engineered into hamburger for madcows!
I believe that Target pays slightly better and has better health care coverage versus Walmart (doesn't pay enough, many people clocking less hours then required to get healthcare, dumps a lot if the benefits they should be paying onto state/local agencies)
Around here the Walmart parking lots are full of Mercedes,Bmws and 40k SUVs driven by people who complain about their house or 401k dropping in value while every good paying job disappears overseas.
Cinco X they were individual rations, but all I really remember, was it was raining so hard the water coming off my poncho was spilling into my mess kit. Good Times.
Jd- that place sounds like one big soul massage....
RSJ-good rant, the people need to point all fingers at govt and the pigmen...not some citizen trying to save a $1 by going somewhere cheaper...end the fed coming up..time for all people to show up in front of a fed building and shout
Leftys Liquors Lubricants and Tarp and Bank wrote:
Cinco X they were individual rations, but all I really remember, was it was raining so hard the water coming off my poncho was spilling into my mess kit. Good Times.
You and I have different definitions of 'Good Times'.
My understanding was that Walmart could change shelf space allocation and stocking in 24 hours in response to a sales trend, and was able to basically maintain a significant portion of its inventory in transit, which is something Sears was never able to do, as least as far as I've heard. I have to agree with No0B-
Not arguing against that, but I know that Sears was working on similar projects twenty years ago. The difference is that those projects cost lots of money which WalMart could borrow more easily than Sears. Also, WalMart offloaded a lot of the costs onto vendors which Sears was not willing to do. WalMart operates on the theory that price matters more than choice. But their main advantage comes from location - securing prime retail locations is a lot easier when you can borrow money easily. Sears had/has so many locations in sites where the retail landscape has changed - when a new retail corridor emerges two miles away from an older retail corridor WalMart is able to get in there while Sears has a lot less flexibility because they have established sites with leases they can't get out of or exist on company-owned property that is now in less demand. WalMart may run into similar problems with locations in new retail developments that get loaded with foreclosures/vacancies. I don't mean to knock WalMart's innovations, but the bulk of their advantage has more to do with their age than anything else.
No more warehouses full of obsolete goods created 'just in case' or because of distorted demand data.
Not really true. The warehouses of low-demand goods were just the manufacturer's warehouses instead of the store's warehouses. Big overhead that required shifting manufacturing to very-low-cost areas. There's always going to be a bagholder.
Yes, inflation outlook is uncertain, but what is certain is that the market will continue to be volatile as a result of that. That means an investor must figure out a way to know when to get in and when to get out at a profit.
Using a good market timing system can help an investor profit both from the upside and downside of this market.
Inflation.....just what the un-employed, out of work, one paycheck from the street needs.
yeah right, sure glad they arent tracking ida
Comment by LoserBeachBum from thread 'WalMart: Quote of the Night'
See wha'cha did!
Unflation incertain
that works jd
He said it was also the issue of whether “you are generating the conditions that might foster a bubble that really might come back to hurt you later? I think this will be a big issue for the committee.”
Attention Mr. and Mrs. Fed: You are generating serial asset bubbles right NOW. Please see the prices for glod, sliver, roady-yum, wheatabix, and platynumnum. And please google "Carry Trade" as you are enabling it with the dollar. Today!
Now you can't say you weren't warned. "Might foster," indeed.
Edit: correction: parallel asset bubbles
If you think the real estate crash has been bad here.......
Then check this out-
Have already seen small business's go belly up inflating prices to make up for less cashflow and less profit. Not to big to fail.
(pigged up on waivers)
We were at my favorite time share in the Sierra Nevada over the weekend...
It's one we call "Falling Water", and it's like Frank Lloyd Wright's masterpiece, except in lieu of a home between and betwixt waterfalls and ponds, we have a camping spot hidden away from the maddening crowd, off-trail. A 300 pound jet-black black bear paid us a visit on Friday night, just 25 feet away, and as we were sitting, it looked even bigger from where we stood, but no problemo, bears are really mellow here, and besides-everything was in a bear canister, a fun encounter~
There are about 5 ponds and waterfalls below us on a creek, and about a dozen of each above, the waterfalls small as a few feet high, to about 130 feet high. The view in the distance is Bishop's Hat Rocks, stunning.
A glacier was up the creek about 12,000 years ago, and glacial polish is everywhere on the rocks-wickedly smooth granite, and you can easily make out the gouging marks leftover from when it receded for the last time, way back when.
To MaryAnn:
The tea-bag thing was political. I'm not talking about politics, lobbying or dollars to do that. We don't have much power as citizens I will agree, but as individuals we can make choices. It is in those Apoliticalchoices that a larger message can be sent.
The immediate needs which include hunger, homelessness, and children shouldn't be confused with political needs. Media sucks as do the the jabbering heads that fuel blame mongering and confuse/divert and make neighbors enemies.
====================================
On topic: What Bernanke fears most is deflation, all the actions thus far have been efforts to reflate real-estate and the economy, its largely been a failure. He can't increase interest rates as the economic is way too fragile, deflation is bearing down in consumer discretionary.
I'm not an economist but it appears to me central bankers have run out of bullets worldwide. Brown breaking up Lloyds and RBS is the giant clue there. Its interesting and compelling as RBS is a primary dealer to US fed. hummmmm. If the EU follows Brown's lead, then Bernanke get painted into a corner? lol. Who needs a soap opera
nervousrex
but wheatabix is british?
NervousRex wrote:
Out of curiosity, what happens to the money supply when large amounts of these commodities are purchased on margins, and the value (or at least the price) of them drops precipitously?
So. This is inflationary, right?
Anyone else get temporary aphasia and read the title as "Fed's BullTard"?
Tiny (asset) bubbles (tiny bubbles)
In the wine (in the wine)
Make me assets happy (make me happy)
Make me assets feel fine (make me feel fine)
Tiny golden bubbles (tiny bubbles)
Make me warm all over
With a feeling that I'm gonna
Love you till the end of time
So here's to the golden moon
And here's to the silver sea
And mostly here's a platinum toast
To you and the rhodium and me
So here's to the steel and aluminum lei
I give to you today
And here's a kiss
That will not oxidize away
(c.f. Don Ho and Leon Pober)
Union breaking?
Looks for ghost in closets? Inflation is the least of our worries.
If you do something long enough you forget why you were doing it in the first place. The how becomes more important than the why. This particularly true of the Fed. fighting inflation. The reason to contain inflation is because high inflation leads to unsound economic decisions and capital allocation which ultimately causes economic problems.
Thus failing to asset inflation into account misses the whole point of why you are fighting inflation in the first place. It is no coincident that bubbles take place when conventional measures of inflation are low. BTW including the cost of saving for retirement into the CPI would help capture some of this broader inflation.
ken melvin wrote:
But lack of it is a major worry-
I worry a little about old Ben. He never saw a problem in the future, claimed it was contained when he finally admitted to it, and used "unconventional methods" to "fix it". Given his record, massive inflation is in the cards, tho maybe that's what he truly wants.
I think that the Fed's going to find themselves really in no position to have an impact on inflation, apart from having loosed that particular monster. Much is going to be dependent on the remainder of the world and the currency required in settling trade accounts. If the Arab states want their payments in some undefined currency basket that has much less presence of dollar - and some aspect of gold/PM at high dollar costs, then the inflation is gonna rip through this system regardless of what the Fed thinks that it can do.
About as much utility as a left-handed screwdriver.
,rad dr,
I think Cagey B is like the rest of them, simply in too deep. His 15 minutes of fame came and went long ago.
I find the whole inflation thing hysterically funny. Inflation reporting and data became so silly via Greenspan that it has become a tool for purposes other than its original intention. Now it has no foundation for conditions on Main Street or the real economy, its a tool for the new economy and the new economy ONLY. Now we have asset inflation in commodities, a weak dollar and a fed that has no more bullets save 'quantitative easing' which is this giant sponge of leverage soaking up every drop of liquidity they can produce. The sponge is not even moist yet.
Now I really don't pay attention to the man behind the curtain, its gonna be what its gonna be and I have no confidence that Geithner, Bernanke or Hu can wrangle it now.
nanoo
wonder how long "as the fed churns"will run. looks like we,the people are going to have do things ourselves wonder if tptb would notice, do we care whether they do or not. personally ive given up on them.
scare tacitics?
I had a BankUnited Representative actually come to my
law office door seeking business. I told her about Fred
Camner.
Since when do bankers go door to door?
I keep a vestigal trust account there just in case.
Ida is a Cat 1 storm.
Nanoo-Nanoo (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 8:31 am
What happened in commodities in 08 was sick and like gasoline, prices didn't come down in tandem as commodity prices eased and demand destruction took hold. What happened with wheat in 08 was worse than oil and it meant real starvation of real people in developing nations.
I don't know how some of these people sleep at night.
After you've build your first money bin and that magic moment comes when you swim around in it for the first time, you'll understand.
When you're doing lines of coke with supermodels, celebrities and business magnates from the security of your private jet, hopping out to a private resort to spend the weekend with them, you'll understand.
When you survey the favelas and see the dirty children playing in the street and panhandling tourists as you look on leisurely across your grassy field, far below, past the private fence and security force that guards your private villa in Paraguay, you'll understand.
This is their world.
If you don't have any money, it doesn't matter what it can buy.
The Big Picture
I saw this on SNL this weekend; pretty funny.....and true
gabyjan wrote:
O! the plot lines;
will Sheila leave Timmay?
will Ben be exposed as a marginal though helpless introvert given to long bouts with depression?
will there be a return of paulsen and his bully tactics?
will anyone leave Alan?
will shopping at home become more than a minor obsession?
will Fall City close up shops serving the homeless?
Magic 8 Ball™ predictions; $13.95
Federal Reserve predictions; $13.95 trillion.
"Outlook Uncertain" identical wording; priceless.
When was the outlook not uncertain?
I remain a deflationista.
lawyerliz wrote:
Under Volker.
My guess is that every time gold runs up $50/oz in a week, the Fed will bring out another suit talking about keeping inflation under control. Maybe if prices rise $100 in a week, Bernanke will make a surprise appearance in the "Monday Night Football" broadcasting booth.
When the tv news weatherman comes on and says there's a 50% chance of rain, you just know he's angling for a job with the Fed.
Outsider wrote:
I'm not really sure.
A lack of inflation expectations would be a serious worry, though.
The rich could eat the homeless... this would be deflationary and also reduce income inequality, plus fewer would starve. Win-win!
The hub paid roughly what I paid for my car over
3 years ago, and about what my mom paid 7 or 8
years ago for comparable cars. This is not inflation.
Rob Dawg wrote:
I was but a wee lad during that period, but from what I've been told Volker took an awful lot of heat before the outcome became apparent. Especially in the early days, I've been told/read that Volker was a bit of a pariah and there were many who believed he was taking the wrong approach. Does this jive with anyone's experiences from that time?
The reason that I'm so concerned about Bernanke's approach is that no one, with the exception of bloggers and the commentariat, is calling for Bernanke's head, which means he's sacrificing effectiveness for political attractiveness.
The greenback is ailing today. Out on injured reserve.
A Modest Proposal Feudal. Stick with babies.
Donner Jerky?
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
The converse is also true-
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
That reserve status is in danger. The other teams just don't want to pick up his option either. Insert expansion team draft reference here.
Volker--ah, the time of the great interest rate run up.
Not that there was anything wrong with that.
Yalt wrote:
Nah, the great unwashed doesn't pay attention to inflation targets, right? I mean, the most they're going to do is postpone their major purchases until prices decline further, and maybe postpone smaller purchases until next week's flyer comes out, and then buy as little as necessary because next week's flyer is going to have even better deals...
Oh crap.
Pass me an A.R.M. and that bottle of ketchup, please.
noob goldberg wrote:
he was once described as "...a son of a bitch who smoked cheap cigars"
he responded: "I don't smoke cheap cigars."
Rob Dawg wrote:
Just wait to pick him up on waivers; could be a real bargain, especially if unforeseen circumstances arise in the future-
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
You're sick and twisted and thats why I like you because it takes one to know one. LOL.
My 1981 mtg was switched to an arm and it went
down down down with no refinancing costs or anything.
I loved that arm. I knew someone with a neg am mtg who
took it out at just the right time, and after a year rates had
dropped so much, it was paying off positively.
Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:
You are both going to HELOC for that.
inflation uncertain?
"woke up this morning and got myself a beer
i said i woke up this morning and got myself a beer
because the futures uncertain and the end is always near
so let it roll baby roll
let it roll baby roll
so let it roll baby roll
let it roll....all...night...long ( j morrison and the doors)
Cinco-X wrote:
I've wondered what would have happened with AIG if we had a bad hurricane season this year or tornado outbreak or earthquake or..or..or. It was a quiet year for disasters of magnitude.
Rob Dawg wrote:
So are MEW.
/okay, that doesn't work so well.
,rad Dawgma,
You know how it is with fading stars, who can't work as cheap or make as much as they used to do, washed-up, but hanging around for one more season, because it really needs the paycheck, having squandered it's savings long ago...
They usually end up making a C-rated zombie movie on SyFy.
Ida could strengthen. . .
Or she could drop enough rain that Home Depot and Lowe's
would rejoice.
Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:
I hate that new title. I can't imagine how much they paid an image consulting firm to come up with that silly name.
Liz, has there been a run on plywood, bottled water, batteries and generators yet?
speaking of going to heloc
nanoo nanoo
i read your diatribe, previous thread against that goldman banksta claimin to be doing God"s work
and your suggestion that justice of biblical proportions should be rained down upon his head ...
to that i say amen (no snark)
Nah. It's only a one and not expected here.
I can't imagine how much they paid an image consulting firm to come up with that silly name.
About as much (that is, nothing) as they pay for all the dreck they show as "entertainment".
That brief Warehouse thing made such little sense and
was so weird, I rather enjoyed it.
SyFy is unwatchable now, it was bad before but I have an affinity and sick attachment to bad horror/sci-fi movies going back into the early '60s. However, the ads are neverending, I don't have a DVR either (one day maybe). The worst Sci-Fi movies of the 50s look like Oscar nominees next to Sci-Fi's stuff. I swear they are using high-school drop outs to write and produce those things.
Only inflation that is important is the the Stock indexes and of course the GS stock price.....
Why the preoccupation with trivial affairs like watching the economy ? The only measure is GS share prices !
Over $200.oo yet ?
w10949 wrote:
Speaking of which, someone quick print up some "DOW 11K 2.0" hats; we'll need 'em by the end of the week.
Talking head from the Fed blah, blah in, blah out.
YouTube - Missing Persons - Destination Unknown
LL- if we are trading anecdotes- what is the difference between college tuition 7 years ago and today.? Since not all things go up by the same amount some things will go up less than the average and others more. The cost of manufactured goods should be going up by less so as to compensate for those going up faster.
The reason that are inflation statistics are a joke is that they fail to incorporate taxes. Taxes are what pay for services that are least able to generate productivity gains- e.g teachers and cops- plus because we run chronic deficits we don't even pay the full cost of those.
They squealed like stuck pigs. The reason he is remembered is because he took a very unpopular step.
The Dethroning of the U.S. Dollar - Coming Soon!
The Dethroning of the U.S. Dollar - Coming Soon!
Gee, I don't know, we got the Florida prepaid plan so
we didn't have to worry how much tuition was--state
schools anyway. Plus the son got money to live on
from the army. He graduated owing 2k.
Volker had the BB's (brains and balls) to pay the bills. Not extend and pretend. Obama the pitch man used Volkers reputation to get elected and now ignores his advice. It think Volker and Reagan would never have let this country engage in the fraud and rape we have now. So yes we would be much better under Volker. I cussed him when we had to 18% on a commercial RE loan.
I closed residential fixed rate RE loans at as high as 17 1/2%.
Pen would hover over paper for a while, but nobody ever
walked out.
Bulltard is another Fed liar. There is absolutely no reason to worry about inflation or deflation in a free market. The Fed's main CONcern is propping up the value of trillions in bogus credit issued by banks over the past two decades. The Fed is papering over their own mistakes and preserving the value of faux wealth. The cost of such actions are felt every day and every year by the productive Americans (the producers) who see their surplus stolen via inflation.
"Friedman and Schwartz estimated that prices in general fell from 1869 to 1879 by 3.8 percent per annum. Unfortunately, most historians and economists are conditioned to believe that steadily and sharply falling prices must result in depression: hence their amazement at the obvious prosperity and economic growth during this era." -- Murray Rothbard
Hi all and Good Morning! Just finished reading the overnite and this thread.
We all know the Fed and Bernanke are quivering at the wrong thing. No matter what we know and say however they will ride the inflation chupathingy down into rubble and flames.
A few comments about the overnithe thread, and as the token CR poor person, (formerly) food stamp receiving, children getting free lunch at school, Salvation Army handout and shelter recipient person, I think I have some standing so I suggest you listen up.
Many, including myself, use the whole Food stamp allotment at one time because we do not have working cars. A trip to the grocery store is an adventure in logistics, communication, endurance and community cooperation rivaled only by D-Day. Wal-mart has the best prices on pantry staples anywhere. Instead of pissing or mocking the poor schleps who shop there give them a cheer for being thrifty, eh?
As for thewhole condescending attitude about wal-mart and those horrible people who shop there, fuck you. I am so sorry that the poor, the ugly, the stupid and the tasteless actually inisit on shopping and living. Your reality would be so much more pleasant if we would just gracefully crawl away and melt out ofview wouldnt it? Look cheer up you snobby elitists, if there werent a wal-mart or equivalent the ewwww! people would actually be shopping with you instead of in their little poor corral.
Oh yeah, and to whatever poster last nite who suggested poor people should not be allowed to use their assistance at wal-mart since it isjust tooooo tempting to spend money on stuff they dont need...if it is food, they do not get money. If it is money then they are retirees or ssi recipients and if they are that old they can purchase what they ewant,eh? Welfare doesnt get moeny anymore at least not where I am.
I am actually considering giving up rights to my child to join the army to provide a bit better for us all and you guys get to whine about theose horrid wal-martians. screw you.
My first mortgage was 13% in 1985 - the Republic was doing rather well back then. All this gnashing of teeth that an increase in the funds rate will cause all sorts of problems is just pure BS. If we accepted that the economy wasn't that sensitive to to 1/4 % changes in rates how many people on Wall Street would be without a job? Thats why we don't.
we hear a lot of excitement bout gold with the toasting of the dollar
and that makes sense to me
but
but the open secret among PM bugs is that silver and palladium are up approaching gains of 50% in the last 12 months
i wonder if thats about playing catch-up
or
if its bubblelicious
I was totally serious too and thanks mock turtle. Perhaps one of their children will resemble Linda Blair only there will be no exorcism and bio-engineered locusts that have needles for teeth will eat them nibble by nibble starting with preferred private parts . ewww...sorry. I have watched too many movies.
crazyv-my health insurance premiums with a very large base rose 100% last year. ALL of my insurance of any kind have gone up (homeowners, auto which of course are mandated.) Food prices fluctuate, gas remains high and heating my home this year is still over 1/3 more than 2 years ago, last year it was 2/3s more than the previous year that was 1/3 more. Deflation is only evident in consumer discretionary spending. Taxes have increased in this neck of the woods on everything making the cost of living here breathtaking. I expect that will continue to go up as tax coffers in the states continue to be stressed.
We've had inflation all of our lives, but never all at once, seemingly measured to make us want to get rid of cash as soon as possible, by not having any impetus to save.
These were the prices of things when I ventured out into the wild blue yonder, from somewhat constricted circumstance, way back when on the edge of the new frontier, in the City of Angles...
New Car: $2k
Gas: 25 cents
New Home: $15k
The prices today?
New Car $20k
Gas $3
New Home $600k (on the outskirts of town)
Notice how the car and gas went up about the same amount (10x & 12x), but the home went up 40x, in less than 50 years~
Oh, rsj, what a horrible choice to make!!
Do you get along with the dad ok?
We lived poor when we first married, but
our relatives helped us.
rsj,
I love you.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
My mother set a rule for my father, that he was not allowed to pay more for a vehicle than they paid for their first house, which was $27K. Due to the fact he needed a large diesel 4x4, he finally had to break that rule in 1999 after only 25 years.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
I notice you didn't include wages, either
rsj
you make a number of great points
im not sayin you dont have cause to be angry
but sometimes the anger blunts one's point and puts allies in opposition
theres a lot of anger on these pages... and all around us
i second your call that the more affluent here, myself included..yeah...i need to check my smugness
good people, many poor are going to get crushed...and we all could do with a little more humility
and kindness
word
thanks rsj
i havent spoken to the father since a month pregnant. he is nine now. They have never met, and I do not even know which state the father lives in.
I sounded really shrill and mean up above. For some of it I apologize. Look people I get tired of the whole condescending snottiness about the whole walmart socio-economic level.
The choices I have made have contributed to where I am now, and I accept that. I am working, thinking, planning for worst case, best case and middle. The army issue is worst case, and most likely will not happen however however however there is a segment of this population that are making these choices, and I tell you they are the ones you mock with the whole wal-mart/those people meme (hehehehe i stole broward's word) and it enrages me.
My real question is if wal-mart sucks, and the people who shop there suck, what is next? how do you end that? I can see some ways down the road and none of them are very pretty. But dont worry! If and when it all hits the doom loop we can all go down to wal-mart together and purchase our made in china Cloaks of Squalor and Doom. Ill even show you where the damaged goods and day-old bread sale stacks are.
Here's a snapshot of pricing: (a great resource, by the way)
Morris County NJ historic price survey 1901-2001
rsj: I wish you and your family all the best. Please consider alternates, what a heartbreaking decision to make. Resources are thin I know and not savory. Words cannot express how much your example fuels anger towards those who do not see us and who have taken our opportunities away to provide for ourselves. May you and yours find peace and a path towards keeping you and your family intact.
FED keeping an eye on inflation is like Napoleon saying during the French invasion of Russia of 1812, "Look, Englishmen are not attacking! All is good!"
rsj wrote:
I buy all of my diapers at Walmart. It's the best deal for diapers, and although I'm sure some parents believe their precious snowflake's bum deserves only the finest organically-grown and sustainably-harvested linens, I'm all about minimizing the costs of a disposable item that only sees an hours use.
Nanoo-Nanoo,
I'm seeing mild deflation, but generally agree with your statement that costs today are higher than several years ago. However, the fact that prices haven't fallen much makes me less worried about inflation, not more worried. Wages were stagnant and are now declining. You can't spend what you don't have - it's that simple.
Here's the part of the inflationist's thinking that I don't get: The Government has huge future unfunded liabilities that they won't be able to meet so they will inflate. Huh? For one, inflation or deflation is irrelevant as the future unfunded costs would rise or fall with inflation or deflation. That said, you can't provide what you can't afford. Promised benefits will simply not be delivered imo. The notion that the Government will screw creditors in favor of entitlement beneficiaries is goofy and shows a lack of understanding of how our system works.
rsj,
No. Not mean at all. As I have been homeless, done the shelter, foodstamp thing also. Sometimes I want to scream a big FU to people. I dislike the entire "people of wal-mart" thing. FU. Your shit does not stink? Maybe you had better choices you smug prick.
Sheeple - another FU! They are not sheeple. They are your brothers and sisters. You dip shit. You do not laugh. If you were a "good" person you would understand the concept of Protect and Defend those who have less. Smug, self-righteous, planet raping, consumerer, cock sucker of the media illusions...just wait.
My father didn't support me either and when I met
him at 14 I disliked him. However, my mom was
luckily to be born in a medium affluent family, so we
didn't suffer financially.
Luck certainly plays a part with lives, along with choices.
But, I still hate Walmart and I don't appoligize for not
being forced to shop there.
This is a groovy economic weapon:
Measuring Worth - Purchasing Power of US Dollar
There are more people here who have shared some of those experiences than you know, and certainly than is shown by the comments of those who are small and petty...this is a very diverse bunch, try not to paint everyone with the same brush...just sayin'
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Whoa, that's so cool!
The price of cars is fascinating. From 1971 to 1981 they tripled, and then almost tripled again from 1981 to 1991, and then went almost no where for the next ten years or so. I am going to waste too much time on that site.
mock turtle wrote:
Wal Mart is a perfect example of what our thinking has become on so many levels. Rather than dealing with the core problem- the lack of jobs of that pay decent wages that are growing - we provide an alternative to help people make what they have go further. It is the same logic that prevents us from serving healthy food in school lunch programs because it would cost more. We tinker with symptoms rather than causes and it works because it divides us. Those who object to Wal Mart for its labor practices are put into opposition to those who shop at Wal Mart (and who will benefit most from improved labor practices throughout the economy).
I loves Silver MT.
Thanks guys. We will be ok. Family is more than legalities. Like I said, it will most likely not happen, but I am seriously considering it as Plan Z. That is the bestest thing about this site, helped me realize that planning for the possibilities, good and bad and very very doomloop bad, is the only way to have a chance in the future. Especially for the minnows.
Look, dont worry bout the wal-marts and the horrors of foreign made store brand staples, that is the sort of thing that will sort itself out one way or the other as this plays out. That is a sideshow and a misdirection of thought. Besides walmart has the best store-brand cheezwiz evah! ;D
Dont focus on the poor people waiting to get in to the places, focus on the amt of new people qualifiying for food stamps, the amount of people using shelters, and food banks. The amount of use of the saftey net is what needs to be noticed.
Wow, I almost stepped over into CAPS and spittle on that one.
So I shop @ Target, is it any better/worse than Wal*Mart?
Not really, all the same junk from China.
Anybody ever unload on Target shoppers?
nova,
no worries until you start jacking up the font size
Advanta files for bankruptcy protection
UPDATE 3-US credit card issuer Advanta files for bankruptcy
| Reuters
Oh liz no no. I do not expectpeople to apologize or feel badly for not having to shop there, never that honest. That is part of capitalism, and free will, and choice. I respect that. I just get irate about the attitude that many have towards those that do have to shop there. that and I am a bit stressed and cranky, and it just hit a nerve. Oh, smoke free 8 days 1 hr and 23minutes and I am feeling it.
crazyv wrote:
Didn't you say that as a shareholder you would want your corporation to not participate in corporate philanthropy and want your corporation to take advantage of every nook and cranny available to maximize your gains?
.
Can I assume that you are not a shareholder of WMT? Also, why do we need to provide an alternative to the situation because aren't the Market Forces That Be are doing what the Market is allowing?
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
You suck.
OT: Spot Gold shows its exhaustion gap (IMO, it's an exhaustion gap), 1098-1105, at least 7 points. Short term, IMO, gold will now retrace to 1045, a drop of 50+ points, to fill the breakaway gap. Any more newbies want a piece of gold here?
IMO, if this were a runaway rally, we'd be in the mid 1100's and heading north. But while one can wish something to be true, the historical odds are so low that that too becomes imo cognitive dissonance. After retracement to 1045 to close the gap, there's not a scintilla of doubt in my mind that much higher numbers are up next.
I speak solely of short term trading, not long term hedging and asset shifting.
Further, there's not a scintilla of doubt in my mind that the vast majority of Americans are about to lose the store of value symbolized by their holding MMF's, savings accounts, and Treasuries. This is a tragic though necessary part of the readjustment after the Primary Dealers disemboweld the world's Western financial system. Drawing and quartering is too good for each and every one of those men and women, Paulson included.
rsj (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:09 am
I sounded really shrill and mean up above. For some of it I apologize. Look people I get tired of the whole condescending snottiness about the whole walmart socio-economic level.
The choices I have made have contributed to where I am now, and I accept that. I am working, thinking, planning for worst case, best case and middle.
Nothing I hate worse than the entitled talking about "choices". I'm from a close-knit midwestern family with lower and lower-middle class roots and have relatives on food stamps, government assistance and just at or above the poverty line. I hate the notion that your socioeconomic status is primarily the result of "bad choices" (it being a catch-all part of the American entitlement mythos), but more because it implies that those higher up the pyramid somehow made much better and smarter choices from an identical playing field. I don't feel at all superior for being (merely) "upper-middle class"; I sometimes feel a bit guilty in fact.
,rad noob,
It's certainly a keeper, a way back pricing machine, if you will...
Cheer up doomsters!
We have 89.8% employment! That's a big number! It's great!
Ah--hah!!
Never got into ciggies, luckily.
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Soylent Green flavoured Doom Loops?
Here's something from 2003 about Wal-Mart: THE EXILED – MANKIND'S ONLY ALTERNATIVE » Page not found
BTW, I've personally witnessed multiple people walk into a Wal-Mart for the first time after years of scorn, only to fall in love with the place. Everybody loves cheap.
crazyv wrote:
Before Walmart, the distribution systems of every major retailer were horribly inefficient, leading to huge amounts of waste. This waste was reflected in the prices charged by everyone. By minimizing distribution costs, Walmart forced the entire industry to pull up their socks and focus on that one issue. This was their competitive advantage for a decade or more.
Once the industry saw the light and tightened their supply chains, Walmart had to look elsewhere for a new competitive advantage. They cut costs by sourcing to China and cutting costs at home, especially labour. Walmart is a company in a death-spiral, because it's competitors are almost as efficient logistically as they are, but with none of the consumer-associated bad impressions. And it'll be very hard to change everyone's collective impression of Walmart.
But we really should appreciate them for their contributions, both negative and positive.
blah blah justification blah blah retrace blah blah breakaway gap blah blah.
negative, oh uni-horned one - we have 58.5% employment, and the rate of decline year over year has accelerated into the Potemkin Recovery:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/EMRATIO/
noob goldberg wrote:
Are you old enough to remember when NBC changed its logo from something like
NB
C
to a giant "Block" "N"
Johnny Carson must've run with that (I think they spent a million or so on it) for 2-3 weeks. Really funny. BTW, a million was a fair bit of change back then....
shill- the most interesting part of the story is that it was filed by reporters in India !!
Arent they already eating the poor? Pensions are dying or gone, savings are almost nonexistent and they are working as hard as they can to make savings unattractive to jack up the risk taking, foreclosures and evictions heavenward levels, jobless recoveries, etc.
They just dont like the way the poor taste, so they are finding ways to consume them and remove them without having to physically eat them.
I hope that came across right. I didn't want JD to feel unloved.
rsj: I doubt I can add to the kinder words spoken above, but fwiw: If somebody doesn't like the way you live or what you do, to hell with 'em. Learn what you can from them, but don't let it get under your skin because life is too short.
Good luck and godspeed.
Edit:
Count that in money too.
blah blah justification blah blah retrace blah blah breakaway gap blah blah.
No shit..... I had one of those elliot wave websites bookmarked for about a week, just reading it for giggles.
The only time I've ever heard someone talk more out of both sides of their mouths was during election season.
Cinco-X wrote:
Was it this one? Because I don't remember this logo at all.
I also didn't have a TV for the first portion of my childhood.
I always thought Advanta had the best chance as being all things to everybody:
It sounds like a car, a prescription drug or a failed credit-card lender
rsj (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:29 am
Arent they already eating the poor?
Exactly. Smart man. Just remember, the more you can grind into the dirt of wretched poverty, the wealthier you become.
"Nothing I hate worse than the entitled talking about "choices". I'm from a close-knit midwestern family with lower and lower-middle class roots and have relatives on food stamps, government assistance and just at or above the poverty line"
Now you are doing that American thingy again, fierce competition! Who is the most dirt poor and humble of all (or their parents were)! From rags to educated and civilized rags?
Up until this month, I had not shopped at WM because I really want things not produced in China.
However, our room mate lost her job last week. She has a 7 yr old son. ( no way will we ask a woman with a child to leave, regardless of income) Hubby's business is super slow, has been for over a year now. At this point I am going to be suporting 4 people. Price is now the primary factor in allot of decision making.
The other very difficult decision was to no longer have one person working with me. Hubby will take over that work and we will keep more of the income in our household. Things change, we change to meet new situations.
Funny I try and strike up a conversation with what I assume to be smart people....man am I ever so wrong.
Me: Hey you see the price of Gold and the Dollar?
Them: No I do not pay attention to those things.
Me: Crickets chirping
Them: Why should I?
Me: Forget it.
Them: So hey you see that football game yesterday?
Me: Crickets chirping ........( This conversation just took place 10 minutes ago.)
walmart... blah, blah.
I always refuse to believe that the few smart blogs are filled with people on the dole yacking while their scooter recharges, sucking on a coke.
The big news is what Shill posted, Advanta just shut down. 1 million small biz's just lost one of their credit arms. This is a kick that will have repercussions. Knock on effects have to be spectacular over the next 30 days. And sales will be charged to ???
got to go. bye.
PS I also have an image in my head when I hear doom loop---a demented hamster running in the wheel that is connected to everything. If the wheel stops, it all stops. Poor thing trying to keep it all going and it's little hamster heart is about to explode over everything.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
It sounds like a car, a prescription drug or a failed credit-card lender
Same with 'Altria', except that sounds like a health-care company, a failed bank, and shoddy Oldsmobile. But since 'healthcare' is the first thing to pop into my head, I'm pretty sure Phillip Morris got their money's-worth with that one.
LoserBeachBum (profile) wrote on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:32 am
Now you are doing that American thingy again, fierce competition! Who is the most dirt poor and humble of all (or their parents were)! From rags to educated and civilized rags? Smile
Yep! Race you to the bottom!
JP,
No problemo, I get that a lot, heck you leave the store with a bullseye on your bags, for crying out loud.
Eric wrote:
If I were one of Merican's amoral scumbags, I would definitely create a scam to take advantage of people who do not understand probability and statistics.
We have a Target and Wal Mart literally across the street from each other, built at nearly the same time and in nice part of town. Shopping at the Target you see nice cars, well dressed people, and decent employees.
Shopping at the Wal Mart feels like you walked all the way across town it's so drastically different, trashy people and horrible employees.
The only thing I can think is the Wal Mart perception kept away the higher end shoppers, and at some point critical mass was reached to where none of them shopped their anymore.
FWIW, not to far away is a newer Wal Mart that puts the Target described above to shame.
Shill, the blog commentaries here have changed over the past 2 years dramatically. From the erudite, insightful, this has attracted those who find deals and discounts at discounters as the "new money". Instead of hanging out at the coupon blogs, this place seems to offer more fertile soil.
I
When somebody has to tell you over and over again that they traded their gold for paper money @ $1085, what's in it for them, really?
rsj wrote:
I don't think you need to give up rights in order to join. Unfortunately, the reqs. to join the service have gone up due to the economy [edit], and you may not get the placement you would have if you'd joined previously. Additionally, having joined the service during the Carter Administration, I recall that the military wasn't very well taken care of at the time, and a lot of poor kids that joined after knocking up their girlfriend had a very rough time of it, since the COLAs for off post housing weren't enough to survive on, and of course, inflation was still rampant then. It was much better for soldiers a few years later, so you can hope. All in all, the Army was good to me, but you better get accustomed to the idea of taking orders. Good luck-
Slumdog (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:36 am
Instead of hanging out at the coupon blogs, this place seems to offer more fertile soil.
Probably because of all the fertilizer here (to which, I might add, I am a happy contributor)
noob goldberg wrote:
Not quite; it was the "N" with a solid fill and no peacock. The one you linked was the updated response after months of ridicule
Its still funny to me .....
CaptainMorgan wrote:
In summary, as soon as there is a peopleoftarget.com website showing the kind of people who shop there...
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Are there points for achieving ignore status?
Absolutely- that is why I don't invest in Wal Mart stock or shop there.
It seems to me that to invest in a company and criticize their practices is outright hypocrisy. It amazes me - I assumed that the people on this board were basically cynics in its original context not the popular understanding of that term. As a cynic I deal with the world as it not on the basis of some idealized construct. I don't expect anything but the most venal of behavior from CEO's and believe that we should organize society on that basis. Should they turn out not to be venal well then I will be pleasantly surprised. You on the other expect good behavior and are constantly disappointed. Why do you think corporations engage in philanthropy - it is simply to distract us from what they really are- profit maximizing organizations.
Oops! Nothing to say-
JP wrote:
Ummmm......no; I don't think that's it-
I walked into a morgue last week, and realized it was a Sears only after entering.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
What tipped you off?
shill wrote:
And the reporting on the story was done from Bangalore, delivered by a firm based in London, but owned by Canadians.
Slumdog wrote:
What has been lost in the ability for an indepth thread analysis, has been gained in the amount and speed of information being brought in. If there are only 15 people commenting, that's only 15 sets of eyes browsing news and bringing relevant news to the attention of the commentariat. If there are 500 sets of eyes browsing the news, the aggregation ability of the commentariat increases dramatically. CR has turned into a generalists site for economic information, commentary, and insight. For those who long for threads with 1000 word comments, this is probably no longer the place.
Angry Saver wrote:
A lot of the inflation/deflation debate reminds me of the arguments over C. Wright Mills back when I was in school. Those who basically agree with Mills and think that US politics is largely run by a moneyed elite for its own benefit are more likely to expect deflation; those who disagree and think US politics tends to favor large masses of voters are more likely to expect inflation.
noob goldberg wrote:
Assuming you discount poetry and Dirk van Dyck-
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
noob goldberg wrote:
Not true. Sears Roebuck was one of the largest implementers of IT infrastructure in the 50's and 60's. A very innovative copany for the time.
Follow the time line of the large US retailers and it parallels the abrupt changes in the US monetary.banking system. Montogomery Ward was huge and Sears was tiny - until the Federal Reserve system was created. After that, Sears was able to borrow more easily whereas Ward had old debt to retire and couldn't borrow as much. Wal-Mart's rise coincides with the abandonment of the gold standard in the late 60's early 70's - Walton could borrow more easily than Sears Roebuck which had old debt to retire. The next shock to the monetary system will likely give an upstart a chance to eat into WalMart's market share.
We are trying to buy a house out in the country. I do not want to use any of our money if possible. I was just told that even though lenders say they are lending as low as 5% down - no one is. It is a minimum 10% for under jumbo.
Cinco-X wrote:
Ah this one then: File:1975 NBC logo.svg - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Yes, I can see how someone might be wanting a portion of their $1 million back for that.
On the flipside, think of how much LSD you could get for a million bucks.
I wouldn't want to be even 5% under Jumbo - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Talking discounters, I shop @ the Grocery Outlet*, aka Trader Joe's on the cheap~
2 thumbs^
The possible failure of JIT logistics is the thing that scares me the most. If it fails, it will not matter how nice little garden you got there, people are going to try to steal your tomatoes and potatoes like desperate zombies. Unless you live inside ammo factory, your little garden will be gone pretty soon...
That is why "screw you I got mine" is not going to work so good during times of economic chaos.
noob goldberg wrote:
I don't criticize people who have to shop at Wal Mart- I do criticize those who could afford to pay a little bit more at a competitor with better better practices like Costco. For many people Wal Mart is what allows them to make it and I acknowledge that. So simply trying to put Wal Mart out of business without addressing the underlying root cause of lack of income growth would be cruel.
ResistanceIsFeudal,
I was trying to do the real estate lingo thing and sound smart.....
Charles Kiting wrote:
My understanding was that Walmart could change shelf space allocation and stocking in 24 hours in response to a sales trend, and was able to basically maintain a significant portion of its inventory in transit, which is something Sears was never able to do, as least as far as I've heard. I have to agree with No0B-
Charles Kiting wrote:
Now there's a theory I've never heard before. Fascinating, and I'll have to mull it for a while.
While I don't deny Sears' investment into IT, the difference between them and Walmart was not the investment, but the inter-relationship between retailers and manufacturers. Whereas Sears may have had efficient internal distribution systems, Walmart provided manufacturers with huge volumes of retail data, to the point where manufacturers would know which items were being bought where in real time. No one else had ever done this to the level Walmart took it too, and it allowed manufacturers to reduce their held inventory because they had a better grasp of final consumer demand. No more warehouses full of obsolete goods created 'just in case' or because of distorted demand data.
Hahaha @ Sears.
The wife and I are looking to buy a new fridge, and walked into a Sears in our area....I swear, other than the two of us, the place was empty....literally. My wife commented
" Is this place open or are we Trespassing "
noob goldberg wrote:
Yup; I suspect that some heads rolled.
If you had a $million, the thing to do would to be to buy capacity rather than the drug itself. You could probably set up labs in every state, but then again, LSD wasn't particularly popular during this era; to many memories of the "brown acid" fresh in peoples minds at the time-
nova wrote:
Almost always a bad idea
@nova
Primary residence or second home? Are you a veteran?
LoserBeachBum wrote:
think neighborhood as the smallest societal unit
we'll be fine
I hate the notion that your socioeconomic status is primarily the result of "bad choices" - this is what elites from both the left and the right would have you believe as they systematically knock out the rungs that would allow people to climb higher.
I think we had a period where it largely was, maybe for a couple of decades or so. I certainly see that in the people I know in my day to day life as well as my family members. We may have come from a period where this wasn't the case, especially for certain groups, and I think we be entering a period where it won't be the case in the future, but what I see at least in my day to day experience is that the people who tried to make something of themselves generally had pretty good lives.
People do what they must: Make the most of what they have. I seriously doubt many people who shop WalMart have stock.
I don't like WalMart's business practices and as long as I can hold out and not shop there, I won't and its not because of rubbing shoulder with people I'd rather not. Its amazing, people who don't have resources to pretty themselves up or even take a shower daily get the worst from media. People who have to buy cheap foods end up eating a lot of fat and carbs because that is what is affordable.
There are examples of lawsuits regarding how WalMart treats their employees. They move into small markets, price below cost until the competition is out of business (Mom and Pop stores, small businesses). China goods did the same utilizing slave and child labor to capture entire market sectors, WalMart was just one venue for that business practice. Mfg represents only 10% of our GDP now as a result.
Businesses broadly were allowed to give up their responsibilities to their workers in providing benefits, living wages, etc. while given endless means to avoid taxation in the US. Now even pharmaceuticals, medical equipment and implants are produced overseas. Companies gave up even quality assurance on their own products for that extra quarterly profit.
So, even our last path to security and tangible wealth have been short circuited. Homeownership was that path, it was slow and unsexy. Saving money in a bank was also that path, it was slow and unsexy. Now there is nothing left for anyone to do to for a modest degree of security through prudence in their lives. Prudence today = LOSER. Unless you are a gambler, you can just freaking forget it and unless you don't mind cannibalizing your family and friends in the name of turning a buck, you can just freaking forget it.
CaptainMorgan wrote:
Give it a dozen years. The objectives/incentives a WalMart store manager faces in a new store are much different than in an established store. Most district managers have little understanding of how different the clientele can be 2 or 3 miles away but the profit goals are the same so 2 stores are operated by the 2 individual managers differently.
In fairness to Wal Mart they also stood the pricing model on its head. Unlike all the other retailers they backward engineered. They figured out what price they wanted to sell a particular commodity at and worked backwards to figure out how to do it. That thinking led them to China way before anybody else figured it out and was in large part the reason they were successful.
Cinco-X wrote:
Yes, at the time. Now it's common industry practice. Walmart institutionalized the practice of 'dock-to-dock' inventory movement, which meant that distribution centers were no longer inventory warehouses, but simply a place where stuff is moved from one trailer to another.
To the concerns of LoserBeachBum and others, they are right in that no one holds inventory in a giant warehouse anymore.
However, what good is inventory in a huge distribution warehouse compared to not having it at all? Whatever knocks out the ability for JIT to operate would have a similar effect on the ability to move fixed inventory from a warehouse to the retail outlet. So we'd be equally screwed.
nova (homepage, profile) wrote on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 10:53 am
ResistanceIsFeudal,
I was trying to do the real estate lingo thing and sound smart.....
And I extracted maximal value from the attempt
Have any of you talked to your neighbors next door, or down the street about matters financial or other assorted doomabilities?
Bullard also felt the unemployment rate should have topped out months ago, he doesn't know what he's doing other than wanting to avoid the mistake from last time. So not an inflation hawk, but afraid of possible asset bubbles. a FRB mutant
noob goldberg wrote:
No0B,
You are correct, or at least that's the narrative that I've heard. Of course, Walmart originally chose to put its stores in markets that everyone else, besides the Sears Catalog was ignoring; Rural, redneck communities. It's only in the past 10 years or maybe less that they've started putting stores in more built up areas where they face real competition. This factor, more than their debt overhead, will play a role during the "next" cycle.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Damn, you beat me to the Magic 8 Ball commentary!
"However, what good is inventory in a huge distribution warehouse compared to not having it at all? Whatever knocks out the ability for JIT to operate would have a similar effect on the ability to move fixed inventory from a warehouse to the retail outlet. So we'd be equally screwed"
US military is probably one of the largest logistic system in the world? How they do it, large warehouses in places like Ramstein, Germany or JIT?
kylo,
Yes, I am a vet and it would be a 2nd house
Cinco-X wrote:
When stores like Home Depot, Lowes, and others are using large amount leveraged capital to purchase land to prevent competitors from opening stores in urban areas, you know we're about to see the seeds of the next cycle.
And the more I think of it, the more Charles Kiting's theory of monetary disorder leading to reorganization of retailers (and the rest of the economy) as the megaliths can't match the flexibility and opportunities provided by a relatively clean credit slate. I believe he's providing the context, and I'm discussing the mechanism of how Walmart overtook Sears.
Whatever happens, the next couple of decades shall be interesting.
rsj, excellent rant, above.
LoserBeachBum wrote:
Yup! Those WWI k-rats taste mighty fine when you haven't eaten for 48hrs.
Dollar down, Market up. End of story?
crazyv wrote:
They also marketed very heavily on the ghost of "small town values" Sam Walton, as Disney has with Walt Disney for many years.
noob goldberg wrote:
Well, that explains all the empty warehouses around SoCal . . . and Vegas . . . and Phoenix.
Dollar down, Market up. End of story?
Bucky burning.
Film at 11.
LoserBeachBum wrote:
I don't know how rapidly the military has moved to a JIT model; certainly its the flavour toujour, and if they've outsourced it to private firms or consultants for portions of their sourcing needs I'm sure they would have moved to more of a JIT model.
But armies love inventory, so I'd bet their large warehouses are still quite prevalent.
We had to destroy the dollar, in order to save it.
noob goldberg wrote:
Depends. When poorly performing operations are kept in business by cheap credit, rather than having to fix their operations and/or go bankrupt, the situation is going to end badly. If they went TU, and their market share and inventory was sold off for what it was actually worth, perhaps we wouldn't have to see the kind of dislocations CK describes. However, when a corporation can hide its business model's deficiencies by continuously expanding with cheap credit, things eventually need to right themselves. Eventually-
Nova,
If you are buying as a primary residence, you could use VA(if you don't have a VA loan on current home). There is also 100% financing through the USDA rural development program(must be only home you own to qualify for that program). I am not aware of any loans for second homes with less than 10% down-payment.
JD-
Yes I have spoken to a few people in my 'hood. They either don't understand what is really going on or don't care. Both are fairly dangerous attitudes to have. The problem is that most people get news from "katie" at 6pm so when that is your starting point....etc.
To borrow a phrase from denniger..."it's 6th grade math".
As long as the ATM, gas card and banks are open.....nothing is going to happen to them...so they think.
Ciao
MS
and ................... SPIKE!
sportsfan wrote:
I should clarify that when I say 'hold' I mean putting three months of inventory in a warehouse. This still occurs, especially when converting perishable goods like vegetables into non-perishables like canned goods, where an entire harvest must be processed in a few months and then held for the entire year.
But if this can be avoided, it will. The current meme is that held inventory is capital locked in a non-productive use, and so must be constantly trimmed. I have a feeling this has swung too far, and companies will soon rediscover the importance of having some inventory on site to deal with supply chain interruptions, but much of this trend is here to stay, IMHO, no matter what happens in the future.
black friday ads are trickling out
Black Friday Ads - Official Black Friday Site for Black Friday 2009 Ads, Black Friday Deals, Black Friday Sales, Thanksgiving Sale, Thanksgiving Deals and Browse Black Friday Ads, 2009 Black Friday, Black Friday 2009 | 2009 Black Friday Ads
are the best compilation sites from a quick search, sam's club apparently had theirs come out today
I don't know how different they actually are, but the ads aren't being received on blogs/forums with the same enthusiasm and euphoria from past years
Cinco-X wrote:
I agree. We are both Miseans in this regard, Cinco-X.
14,000 Today!! Why not, when measured in arbitrary scraps of printed paper...
noob goldberg wrote:
but are we both dopes?
In the late sixties, I ate K rations from the fifties, complete with four cigarettes and a pack of matches for desert.
,rad nova,
Congrats on your new doomstead, as doom is a many splendor thing.
My son worked briefly at a Walmart.
He was not impressed to say the least.
He didn't see any nimbleness or marketing
genius. He saw a dirty store, with sloppy habits.
Cinco-X wrote:
I don't see him in the 'Online Users', so unless he's one of the 512 guests, we'll have to wait and see if he'll let us in his exclusive club.
Making useful products cost less money is a net benefit to everyone in society regardless of income. To the lowest incomes, it means more essentials are available and to the 2nd quintile that less money needs to go to necessities, freeing it up for stuff like cable TV, football jerseys and NASCAR tickets.
Your TP costs 5% less and so does Lord Blankfein's.
Of course, it's accomplished by grinding down suppliers with market power, exploitation of lowest-cost labor etc, but...
Leftys Liquors Lubricants and Tarp and Bank wrote:
Are you sure they were K's and not C's? Could'a been either, so I'm just askin'-
update: Kraft offered the same deal for Cadbury today when it was required to make the bid hostile or walk away by regulation
in terms of national pride, it is like China buying GM perhaps
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
How about if that tends to make income zero except for government transfer payments via the loss of manufacturing jobs?
Dow to hit 14K by XMAS
Additionally, the so-called under-employment rate, which includes part-time workers who’d prefer a full-time position, and people who want work and have given up looking, reached 17.5 percent last month, the highest level since records began in 1994.
The economy has lost 7.3 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007.
Commenting on the third quarter’s surge in worker productivity, Rosenberg said “we are producing more with fewer average hours worked -- how sustained is that is anyone’s guess.”
the kradbury affair is significant for giving hope to all the M&A people with no job to perform (but the bonuses are good for the work being done!)
I'm sick of Christmas already and be SCROOGE and just IGNORE it except for what I said before. I guess I'm a strange female as shopping for me is punishment rather than a source of entertainment and has always been. I'm too neurotic I suppose.
Maybe I should just do what George Costanza did, create that imaginary "Human" non-profit donation card for everyone...lol.
Festivus for the restofus. I need to dust off that pole.
,rad MS,
This is pretty common thing, as we've become very anonymous in the various Big Smokes, and don't want to hear, don't want to help.
I went to a town hall meeting, and they were begging for volunteers, and I do what I can here and there and help out, but truth be said, if it wasn't for a gaggle of women in their 70's, nothing would get done around here.
Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:
Which pole would that be, Nanoo? Would it be made of brass, per chance?
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
JD: Did it look anything like this?
Bishop Fall Colors
WB
energyecon (homepage, profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 11:23 am
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
Making useful products cost less money is a net benefit to everyone in society regardless of income.
How about if that tends to make income zero except for government transfer payments via the loss of manufacturing jobs?
Yeah, that's a problem, isn't it? I guess we should have thought of that. On the other hand, we make the folks in third-world nations that took them a lot better off and they have a lot more stable lives (at least temporarily). It's also grand for the execs and politicos, and anyone who lives off passive income generated in the tertiary financial economy.
You flatter me noob! If I did that, they would jail me for scaring people. Nope that the unadorned aluminum pole of scorn and retribution passed around on festivus eve.
rich - if you're here, just watched the CCC program on American Experience. Thanks for the recommendation. Excellent show.
The Civilian Conservation Corps | American Experience | PBS Video
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
I often wonder what volunteering will look like in the next 20-30 years. Many of the women involved in volunteering now, the older ones, stayed at home with the kids and then used their extra time, once the kids were off at school or out of the house, to volunteer--sort of as an unpaid job.
But with so many women immediately entering the workforce, I wonder if that will influence the non-profit volunteer sector? All anecdotal and probably more than a little politically incorrect, but I'm curious nonetheless.
Fannie Mae Reviewing Treasury Decision on Credit Sale (Correct)
By Dawn Kopecki
Nov. 9 (Bloomberg) -- Fannie Mae is evaluating whether it will have to write down the value of its low-income housing tax credits after the U.S. Treasury Department rejected a plan to sell them, the mortgage-finance company said today.
A proposal by Fannie Mae to sell $2.6 billion of the credits would cost taxpayers more than the company would gain from the sale, according to a letter Treasury sent to the Washington-based company on Nov. 6. Treasury was weighing whether to let Goldman Sachs Group Inc. buy credits, which could be used to lower the firm’s tax bill.
Fannie May Write Down $5.2 Billion in Tax Credits (Update3) - Bloomberg.com
,rad Windward,
It was stunning, there were veins of oak trees with 22k gold-looking leaves, from around 4,500 to 6,000 feet, the ones in the distance looking like so many gold nuggets stuck in the middle of the deciduous...
Nanoo-Nanoo (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 11/9/2009 - 11:24 am
I guess I'm a strange female as shopping for me is punishment rather than a source of entertainment and has always been. I'm too neurotic I suppose.
Marketing fail on behavioral conditioning of at least one female. Must not have gotten to you when you were young.
Lloyd Blankfein says he's a banker “doing God's work.” Mr. Blankfein, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Inc., told London's Sunday Times the Wall Street giant has a social purpose...
On Goldman's success : "Everybody should be, frankly, happy …. The financial system led us into the crisis and it will lead us out."
That shitbag needs to be boiled in urine (tonight)! Then financially engineered into hamburger for madcows!
I believe that Target pays slightly better and has better health care coverage versus Walmart (doesn't pay enough, many people clocking less hours then required to get healthcare, dumps a lot if the benefits they should be paying onto state/local agencies)
Around here the Walmart parking lots are full of Mercedes,Bmws and 40k SUVs driven by people who complain about their house or 401k dropping in value while every good paying job disappears overseas.
Cinco X they were individual rations, but all I really remember, was it was raining so hard the water coming off my poncho was spilling into my mess kit. Good Times.
Jd- that place sounds like one big soul massage....
RSJ-good rant, the people need to point all fingers at govt and the pigmen...not some citizen trying to save a $1 by going somewhere cheaper...end the fed coming up..time for all people to show up in front of a fed building and shout
YouTube - Network - "I'm as mad as hell" speech [english subtitles]
Leftys Liquors Lubricants and Tarp and Bank wrote:
You and I have different definitions of 'Good Times'.
Lloyd Blankfein says he's a banker “doing God's work.”
Indeed. The David Koresh of the financial world
Doc, I think you're suggesting that someone "do god's work" on Lloyd Blankfein. No?
Markar wrote:
If this quote got broad circulation, especially within the bible-thumping circles, it might get some legs.
Paint the financial sector as the antichrist, etc....
Interesting possibilities.
Cinco-X wrote:
Not arguing against that, but I know that Sears was working on similar projects twenty years ago. The difference is that those projects cost lots of money which WalMart could borrow more easily than Sears. Also, WalMart offloaded a lot of the costs onto vendors which Sears was not willing to do. WalMart operates on the theory that price matters more than choice. But their main advantage comes from location - securing prime retail locations is a lot easier when you can borrow money easily. Sears had/has so many locations in sites where the retail landscape has changed - when a new retail corridor emerges two miles away from an older retail corridor WalMart is able to get in there while Sears has a lot less flexibility because they have established sites with leases they can't get out of or exist on company-owned property that is now in less demand. WalMart may run into similar problems with locations in new retail developments that get loaded with foreclosures/vacancies. I don't mean to knock WalMart's innovations, but the bulk of their advantage has more to do with their age than anything else.
noob goldberg wrote:
Not really true. The warehouses of low-demand goods were just the manufacturer's warehouses instead of the store's warehouses. Big overhead that required shifting manufacturing to very-low-cost areas. There's always going to be a bagholder.
crazyv wrote:
A lot closer to the truth than IT innovations.
blank
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Consider Invetrics - Financial insights and stock market timing signals for the active investor
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