Sniff. [I'm not gonna cry, I'm not gonna cry...]

The mortgage mod posting had me thinking about Tanta earlier...miss you, T
.
edit: Dawg, got Pigged - any links on home refuelling stations appreciated

Gotta admit that re-reading some of Tanta's posts made me realize how good a writer she was. She knew a lot about loans, and had political opinions, but above all she was a very talented writer.

my apologies for not reading the headlines. I litterally just logged on and saw the new post and ..
Tanta seemed like a pretty cool girl.

bww,
Razor wit, steel toed bunny slippers and not above showing a little thigh when that was to her advantage...we are all poorer in her absence (dammit Dawg, now you got me going, too - something seems to be in my eye)

Rob Dawg, I don't know why this is, but everytime I read what you write, the voice of Mr. Potato Head from Toy Story starts ringing in my ears.

Tanta was not only super smart, she was so funny you couldn't get thru a post without laughing out loud. It would have been fun to have heard her discussions face-to-face.

What's going on at the CR homepage? All I'm getting is a bunch of heiroglyphs of broken code.

patientrenter, yes - she was smart, knowledgeable, funny, and creative. Larry Gonick was a fan - and this was a nice tribute.

best wishes

Works fine for me. Weird things happen sometimes ...

best wishes

I post follow ups to pigged comment. There I said Honda is the new small provider.

Tanta Vive...almost a year now since we lost her, and she is greatly missed.

Thanks Dawg, I'll follow up on that...

Outsider, she was just as funny on the phone - and the conversations were just as long as her posts and they always seemed to end too soon.

best wishes

patientrenter,
reply on savings and gdp in last thread

Blackwaterwannabe (homepage, profile) wrote on Mon, 10/12/2009 - 11:55 pm

* reply
* Ignore user

my apologies for not reading the headlines. I litterally just logged on and saw the new post and ..
Tanta seemed like a pretty cool girl.

She might object to the term girl and maybe your accolade of pretty cool. She was a very astute and knowledgeable underwriter.

Outsider wrote:

Rob Dawg, I don't know why this is, but everytime I read what you write, the voice of Mr. Potato Head from Toy Story starts ringing in my ears.

Honest to f-ing God. Some of my fraternities were within crawling (important) distance of the "Cheers" bar back before the TV show. Alas, those particular institutions of higher education determined that my aspirations were best pursued elsewhere.

Edit: For those scratching their head; Cliff from Cheers was also the voice of Mr. Potato Head and also from Massachusetts.

"the "Cheers" bar "

Ah, the Bull & Finch. Smile The show ruined that place...

I remember one of her former co-workers (Kevin?) posted when he found out her identity that she was just as funny in person.

I am so sad I missed out on that experience.

Edit: I should qualify that with knowing that she would've whipped my ignorant butt. Smile

She might object to the term girl and maybe your accolade of pretty cool.

I said that in the highest respect one could make in not having the pleasure of meeting her.
Again, my apologies for your loss. Your absence from her might be shorter than you might think.
Aside from any religion per se- remember the 1st law of Thermodynamics.

Absolulement mon amie. The Purple Shamrock was "gobsmacked" but survived The Black Rose rode the storm and my one time favorite The Lord Bunbury was yuppified beyond saving.

Hmmm, making me want a glass of In Vino Veritas

Wait a minute, Dawg, I think you're wrong. You made me look it up (I had no idea whose voice Mr. Potato Head's was) and it was Don Rickles. Does that change anything?

FWIW, I've always heard your voice as a cross between Mr. Potato Head and Michael Savage. Smile

I have never read anyone else with her abilty to flay open a subject and leave it lying on the ground like the naked essence of Voldemort.

...the conversations were just as long as her posts and they always seemed to end too soon.

That says it all.

Outsider wrote:

Don Rickles. Does that change anything?
FWIW, I've always heard your voice as a cross between Mr. Potato Head and Michael Savage.

Dammit. "Cliff" is Hammy.

That said, think of me as Michael Savage in Starship Troopers. Particularly his views on government.

Awesome! Though I hope for a better retirement package than he had in that movie...Wink

'Economic Implications of the "Too Big To Fail" Policy'
FRASER - 'Federal Reserve Archival System for Economic Research'
FRASER » Publications » Economic Implications of the "Too Big To Fail" Policy
'This hearing, held before the Subcommittee on Economic Stabilization of the House of Representatives reviews the economic implications of a "too big to fail" policy in light of the bank failures that took place in the 1980's.'
Might be interesting...it's a large pdf 10.7M download...

I can only hope for a "retirement" as notable.

This isn't about me. Let's talk about Doris. She and I knocked heads a few times. I gives me no solace that I was less generous to the human spirit and I never forget she knew more than i will ever learn.
Ladies and Gentlemen; a Real French Sparkly. Tanta vive! Prosit!.

Starship Troopers? You guys on here with your weird movies...

I have to say, on the recommendations posted on this blog, I checked Brazil out of the library, and I honestly could not see what all the hoopla was about. Must be a guy thing.

Typing "1" does not qualify as a first post. It's a cheap thing.

You can say just 2-3 words but please say something profound or witty.

This will only be solved by cramdowns.

Either the bank gives the person in the house a cramdown
sufficent so the person is even with the debt, or eventually
the bank will take the property back, many will be wrecked
and the value will be crammed down even more in order
to sell it.

As per previous thread.

And I believe that Tanta said that the banks had lost their
minds,. and cram downs were appropriate.

It's too late for small to medium cramdowns. The window
has shut on that. And it appears to be becoming the style to walk--or
stop paying anyway.

Starship Troopers was just about Heinlein's worst novel.

How come nobody has made the Moon Is a Harsh Mistress?

WTF. I guess I am logged in. I want a hole in the wall downtown. Whats the problem?

Outsider wrote:

I checked Brazil out of the library, and I honestly could not see what all the hoopla was about. Must be a guy thing.

Huh, I never thought of it as a guy movie at all. It was just a movie about societal duplicity, and wondering how scummy the average person could really be.

lawyerliz wrote:

How come nobody has made the Moon Is a Harsh Mistress?

Were there large evil commie bugs to blast?

CalculatedRisk wrote:

and they always seemed to end too soon.

Much, much too soon.

Liz,

If it was voluntary, it wouldn't be called a cramdown. One of the problems with principal reduction is that you would have to do it multiple times. The problem that scares the hell out of banks it that in many parts of the US, once the bottom is reached, the majority of their loans would have taken a haircut to principal.

Way back in 2006 when I was trying to convince people that real estate prices could drop nationwide, I told people that prices might drop by 45% in LA. I thought about 1/3 of homes would be underwater. I didn't know at the time the extent of HELOCs and cashout refis. Now I believe that 70% of homes with mortgages will be underwater in CA at the bottom.

Remember T Boone Pickens talking about high oil prices and "the largest transfer of wealth in human history"? Writing all residential mortgages down to 2011 market values would be the largest writedown due to a pyramid scheme in human history. Since much of the equity wasn't really ever there, I am not sure whether to call it a wealth transfer.

C'mon lliz, there was plenty of his juvenile fiction that could "compete" with Starship Troopers...Glory Road might have more of a chance of actually getting made due to subject matter, but the Moon Is A Harsh Mistress would be difficult to treat well - though if done well would be a treasure...

'This will only be solved by cramdowns.'
Yes...but the 'securitization' investors who bet(invested) on the mortgages?

150$, that is not too much to ask, but I guess we will find out, I really don't care for paying too much more.

Liz - I just have a fundamental problem letting the debtor keep assets vis-a-vis the secured creditor - the government violated the absolute priorty rule to the nth degree in the GM and Chrysler bankruptcies - the secured creditor shoud be able to decide if it wants the current debtor to stay in the house and pay the reduced debt, or it they want to forclose and sell. I foresee serious issues with this form of risk shifting.

Massive off topic post follows.

Heinlein was good and bad. When he was good he was very very good when he was bad he was horrid.

Troopers had content and adventure. Probably in his lower quintile of stories. Most weren't movie material for pacing or time line or history. The rest were so self indulgent or cerebral that they weren't film worthy. I'd be happy if some bright boy (yes, it has to be a boy) would make a few dozen shorts from his teen novels.

That said, I cannot understand why Starman Jones hasn't been made several times.

"Were there large evil commie bugs to blast?"

In the book, they're Japanese. It's an allegory about WWII.

Also, the citizens aren't exactly capitalist--you have to serve (military or other risky service) to be a citizen and vote. It doesn't matter how rich you are.

energyecon wrote:

there was plenty of his juvenile fiction that could "compete" with Starship Troopers.

What I liked about the trooper movie tho, was how the director made the "good guys" look like fascists; with their uniforms and worship of weapons and the state. Was a funny touch I thought.

Merchant,

Perhaps a buydown would be more appropriate. Buy MBS at a discount. Keep buying the whole loan MBS which are offered at the largest discounts.

feralpig wrote:

It doesn't matter how rich you are

Oh, fiction.

merchants of fear wrote:

'This will only be solved by cramdowns.'
Yes...but the 'securitization' investors who bet(invested) on the mortgages?

Bankruptcy is the appropriate avenue. That was both the mortgagee and the mortgagor pay the price for the error of their ways. Any other approach results in greater costs in the future.

some investor guy,
Sounds good...whatever 'haircut' works...to deflate the bubble.

...whatever 'haircut' works...

first you might want to take care the fine nice folks that created it in the first place, otherwise another will just pop up again.

Got ammo?

merchants of fear wrote:

Sounds good...whatever 'haircut' works...to deflate the bubble.

I think we'll have to wait until there's an alien invasion of responible politicians that temporarily take over the government, balance the budget - remove or "reeducate" the smart amoral scumbags - and, then, blast off into the sunset never to be seen again.

Yeppers, It's over there on aisle 9 by the guns and the bibles.

I've had two friends die in the last month. Death is a funny thing. You can't explain it with statistics without diminishing the importance of their life to yours. You can't explain it by saying it was simply their time to go without ignoring all that they might have yet done. You want to listen to music in remembrance, but nothing completely fits. My mind did wander around the matter, and I did make a chart. I'm not sure if it's appropriate in this thread, but that's just my social deafness and not any poor intentions. drop.io igjt9s3 It just shows the seasonal pattern to death in Canada

I just saw a TV ad for a small, local bank - appeared pretty unprofessional and I can't remember the last commerical I saw for small local banks. Makes me worry about how they're being hurt by the big boys. And they're probably guiltless compared to the big boys.

For anyone who didn't grow up reading Heinlein, here is the Wiki link on the Dean of Science Fiction:
Robert A. Heinlein - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Rob Dawg wrote:

I'd be happy if some bright boy (yes, it has to be a boy) would make a few dozen shorts from his teen novels.

Are you kidding? "All You Zombies" would be much more marketable (snicker,snicker,snicker)

Very good graph Evil Henry.
Interesting. Thank you.

"It means that these things all happen, in regular rhythm,
whether we like. it or not. It means that when skirts are due
to go up, all the stylists in Paris can't make 'em go down.
It means that when prices are going down, all the controls
and supports and government planning can't make 'em go
up." He pointed to a curve. "Take a look at the grocery ads.
Then turn to the financial page and read how the Big Brains
try to double-talk their way out of it. It means that when an
epidemic is due, it happens, despite all the public health
efforts. It means we're lemmings."
She pulled her lip. "I don't like it. I am the master of my
fate,' and so forth. I've got free will, Potty. I know I have
I can feel it."
"I imagine every little neutron in an atom bomb feels the
same way. He can go spung or he can sit still, just as he
pleases. But statistical mechanics work out anyhow. And
the bomb goes off which is what I'm leading up to. See
anything odd there, Meade?"
She studied the chart, trying not to let the curving lines
confuse her. "They sort of bunch up over at the right end."
"You're dem tootin' they do! See that dotted vertical line?
That's right now and things are bad enough. But take a
look at that solid vertical; that's about six months from now
and that's when we get it. Look at the cycles the long
ones, the short ones, all of them. Every single last one of
them reaches either a trough or a crest exactly on or almost
on that line."
"That's bad?"
"What do you think? Three of the big ones troughed in
1929 and the depression almost ruined us . . . even with
the big 54-year cycle supporting things. Now we've got the
big one troughing and the few crests are not things that
help. I mean to say, tent caterpillars and influenza don't do
us any good, Meade, if statistics mean anything, this tired
old planet hasn't seen a jackpot like this since Eve went into
the apple business. I'm scared."
She searched his face. "Potty you're not simply having
fun with me? You know I can't check up on you."
"I wish to heaven I were. No, Meade, I can't fool about
numbers; I wouldn't know how. This is it. The Year of the
Jackpot."

NH state employees are voting on a contract today that the gov. wants - includes 19 furlough days over 2 years. Gov. says if they don't approve the plan, 750 state layoffs will be necessary.

This ought to be interesting. Not on a California interesting scale, of course. But still.

-Too Big To Fail-
'As one economist who has recently examined FDICIA notes, the law clearly moves toward the elimination of the TBTF and it gives the accountable agencies political incentives to avoid resorting to the systemic-risk exception.'
'Continental Illinois and "Too Big to Fail'''
http://www.fdic.gov/bank/historical/history/235_258.pdf

750 employees x 250 working days per year = 19 x Z
Z ~= 9,868 government union workforce?

The leading causes of death in Canada are the same as in the U.S.: heart, cancer, stroke, respiratory.

Most people who die are old and worn out in one of these ways.

Seasonal, weather or emotional factors are indirect causes of death.

Older people are more vulnerable to getting worn out during winter months and during darkness.

They are more likely to give up, or others are more likely to pull the plug.

rich wrote:

Older people are more vulnerable to getting worn out during winter months and during darkness.

Hi-ho, hi-ho, it's off to FL we go.....

"Hi-ho, hi-ho, it's off to Fl we go....."

Yes, the Fountain of Youth was there, wasn't it?

Liz, what about a slogan:

"Move to Florida and put off the inevitable."

"Tax Day Looms for Offshore Account Holders"

I love watching tax cheats squirm. Of course, their Congressional protectors will save a good number of them, but this looks like it will actually catch a few.

Tax Evaders Face Choice: Pay or Pray - NY Times

patientrenter
Did you see my reply on savings rate?

"This will only be solved by cramdowns."

Agreed. Banks will not (and cannot) reduce principal voluntarily.

Modifications without principal reductions will fail.

The government's approach is to try to reinflate the housing bubble. that approach will FAIL.

Then again, it depends on what you mean by "solved".

"Tax Day Looms for Offshore Account Holders"

Yeah, I loved the trader quoted in there, as if it's UBS's fault he's a tax-cheating scumbag.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

"This will only be solved by cramdowns."

I realize the word cramdown has a long history.....

But what's in my mind is more like a cram up (the bankers' backside).

"Tax Day Looms for Offshore Account Holders"

or "Whose going to be the 1st patsy?"
Please spare me.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

forget vampire squid

Smile

I feel that the pictures of Geithner and Bernanke capture their personalities particularly well.

750 employees x 250 working days per year = 19 x Z
Z ~= 9,868 government union workforce?

EHP, could you repeat that in english? I don't speak symbol. I really do want to know what you're saying.

Since we're off in the weeds a bit, what does the commentariet think of this:
TaxProf Blog: Economists Warm to Financial Transactions Tax

Yes???

EDIT: Sorry, that was impolite of me. I apologize.

  • and they always seemed to end too soon.

Much, much too soon. *

Definitely.

picosec wrote:

what does the commentariet think of this

generally a good idea, but like many good ideas, the Wall Streeters will get an exemption for high frequency trades and total $ volume of trades - so it just makes the bandits stronger.

EvilHenryPaulson wrote:

Did you see my reply on savings rate?

Yes, thanks. I think I'll just hope that debt forgiveness doesn't increase savings, to help me have some faith in the credibility of our national accounts. You might have had a more finely tuned point related to the lenders being partly foreign, but I'll stick to my current interpretation until I see that the foreign CBs are being allowed to receive large default losses on US loans As you know, they are being largely protected.

NH employee union rejected the 19 days furlough over 2 years.

Now let's see if the 750 layoffs come to fruition. (11,500 state workers)

Regulate the structure of the market, otherwise there will be innumerable loopholes to minimize the transaction tax.

I rambled about my favoured idea in August I believe. It's incredibly simple, lowers costs, improves liquidity, improves transparency and informational value. Too quickly describe it, a company's shares are given expiry dates when they must be put to auction, evenly divided amongst trading days. Yes I said auction, it is the best combination of value and efficiency.

You can only place bids to buy. As I said, a guaranteed number of shares must be put to auction each trading day. Sellers get the weighted average accepted bid price. Bidders pay whatever they bid if they are in the top X# of bids. There are more details such as how to sell shares that aren't scheduled to expire for some time. The market takes its cut as a bit from payments to sellers. The more often shares go to auction, the more you pay. Fee for service. No need to give volume discounts. Why not limit the auctions of shares to once per day per company. The end result is a lot less manipulation, a lot less waste, a lot less systemic risk/uncertainty. More investing, less trading.


It allows for better coupling of options or futures as well. Won't need to worry about naked shorts or short squeezes.

The most likely outcome of a Tobin tax is that retail investors will pay increased fees while the biggest players get volume discounts.

I miss Tanta too. I would be so happy when she responded to one of my posts. I still remember her posts on poetry and her kind replies to me the poetry-challenged.

I havent seen Bacondreamz since Tanta died. I hope he is ok.

Okey dokey, Pavel.

Fill those con-damn-iniums.

I must've read the Red Planet 20 times as a kid.

Tanta was so intelligent and kind, maybe she was spared the consequences of what she was warning us about. As a cancer survivor myself, when she made jokes about chemo and what she was going through, her indominitable spirit really shown through. How she could continue to be so precise, funny, and informative till the last of her days will only be an inspiration to all us here. Sniff, sniff, for sure. Miss you, girl!

I know this has been pigged. But, I have to leave a mssg....miss you T!

Those mornings after opening a uber post were special.

Why is it that an O can get a peace prize and someone so enlightenined, so open to share gets bumpkuss...

Judging by her adoring fans Barley, I don't think she got bumpkuss(?). How much more prized can you get than that?

You know, it's strange to miss somebody so much whom you never actually met face to face. It was a wonderous experience to learn so much and be so entertained at the same time. She comented in the unlikelyness of people WANTING to hear about the details of servicing and pooling and tranching without truely realizing that it was her wit and humor that made us come back for more.

Lawyer liz, A year or two ago, Tim Minear (One of the writers from Buffy the Vampire slayer) was hired to write a screenplay for The Moon is a harsh mistress. But the Heinlein property that I'd like to see would be Citizen of the Galaxy. I figure a three part animated (to cut costs and make it filmable) series. An episode of Thorby as a slave, an episode as a free trader, and an episode in the navy. You can throw out the section after he reacher earth.

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