Volcker on Financial Reform

Pigged

More Asian sensibility?

If our homeless operated with "Asian sensibility", it would make life much more interesting. I didn't realize how tidy and prompt the homeless of Japan were until I found myself walking past tons of neatly piled "camps" under overpasses with tarps over them. I have a feeling that the police had something to do with it, but even the homeless tried to use what they could and maximize their time and energies to ensure that the greater society was not any more hampered by them if possible.

If people really want to experience Singapore, Japan, or Seoul, please do so on your own dime before you drag the entire country with you. Like any marriage, there are Pros and Cons, and I think many people are using American Hopium when they talk about "Asian sensibility".

makes sense. now, i see why he's the crazy uncle in the White House attic.

Wow, guess he isn't pulling any punches.

Ownership or sponsorship of hedge funds and private equity funds should be among those prohibited activities. So should in my view a heavy volume of proprietary trading with its inherent risks. Some trading, it is reasonably argued, is necessary as part of a full service customer relationship. The distinction between “proprietary” and “customer-related” may be cloudy at the border. But surely by the active use of capital requirements and the exercise of supervisory authority, appropriate restraint can be maintained.

Nuclear Glass Steagal.

He is right. Now the howls begin.

Back to the future. GS- this means you.

Someday this war's gonna end...

What's all so wrong with plain old bringing back Glass-Steagall? Banks didn't like it? Tough their my banks now and I say Glass-Steagall comes back with a vengance. Oh and here on out no more Mulligans either.

I hope Volcker has a roast beef taster.

Generally if the banks hate an idea that's a strong indication it's good for the consumer.

Volcker goes on to disagree with the Treasury plan to name banks that are “systemically important” or "too big to fail".

Pitchforks and Torches
.
Oh wait. He isn't talking about TBTF in a way in which I have grown accustomed...

Volcker is a spearhead behind which the cowards will gather. He isn't saying anything more timid shadows haven't already approved. Encouraging.

Citizen AllenM, yes, Volcker is pretty strict. I think he is correct - naming "too big to fail banks" makes no sense and creates competitive advantages (and excessive risk taking). Nuclear Glass-Steagal is the way to go.

Volcker is right on top of things. He clearly didn't like bailing out all the bondholders (and sometimes shareholders) during the financial crisis - the "moral hazard" issue looms large.

best wishes

If Volcker speaks to the Congress, will anyone hear?

Volcker is a genius and one of the last, maybe THE last honest banker.

He shames the current administration and Fed.

No one size fits all? Well, they could have tried the Bagehot model first. And then smeared an alternative all over the financial and business landscape like a blancmange.

I object to his use of "unanticipated". The transformation of the safety net into a golden throne from which to piss on others from a great height was anticipated by many reasoned observers. And some venal and aggressive insiders.

C

If Volcker speaks to the Congress, will anyone hear?

What is the over-under that when he gets to GE that CNBC cuts to commercial or talking head commentary?
.
On a more serious note, we should all read aloud the transcripts of what he says at work to ensure that people at least had the chance to hear him. Wink

CR,

I particularly like the FDIC style ability to liquidate institutions.

National insurance would have allowed sufficient oversight of AIG- so in short Volcker has made his point that the old ways worked quite well.

I am sure that he has some prime words behind the scenes for the fed to hire some professional internal critics too.

They need an office of skepticism to keep them intellectually honest.

Greenspan proved that groupthink can be quite seductive- freezing out Blinder was a colossal mistake.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Why do they have prepared statements? It seems as if these Financial Services Committee boobs should be caught off guard and soil themselves on the tube! This gives them advanced warning to wear pampers -- but it would be nice to see the fraudsters look a little ashamed and have a wee bit of guilt (for those of watching this farce)!

Freezing out, and talking down to, the Bank for International Settlements, was a colossal mistake too.

C

....sometimes the best step forward is a step back........

What's all so wrong with plain old bringing back Glass-Steagall?

It is all actually very simple: any depositary institutions that wants the FDIC protection or any financial institution that wants access to Fed's lending facilities (discount window and beyond) should not be allowed to own (directly or via subsidiaries) capital market trading operations that put institution's capital at risk.

So if an investment banks wants to merge with a retail bank - fine, just tell your customers that they are not protected by the FDIC (=taxpayers).

This is Volcker's last speech -- count on it and no one will give a shit on the Financial Services Committee!

Why do they have prepared statements?

When I was working for a white shoe firm, "prepared statements" would typically be leaked to us, confidentially, 3-15 days ahead of the actual congressional testimony. We got to see what these bums would say before they said it.

BIS had the word "International" in it. There is no way a self-respecting Fed officer could side with them. Now if they had called it: "The Fed's Golden Throne For The Peasants' Settlements" then they probably would not have frozen 'em out, no?

You, you ... transparencist!

But then, y'know, customers would ... know.

C

TBTF should be the same as a 'Money Utility'. Make them as exciting & profitable as city water plant or sewer system. They want to take risk then they need to be TSTN - too small to notice.

Nuclear Glass-Steagal is the way to go.

Absolutely!

Sadly, we'll never see it.

...TSTN - too small to notice.

Kinda like the TVA until one of their soot pond's support wall gave way? Oh wait...

"You, you ... transparencist!"

We cannot let the transparrorists win!

Volker's job is to create the appearance that there is a debate within the administration.

It's sad that he's only a puppet. What makes it even sadder is that he knows it.

BIS is the don of the global federal reserve system.

We cannot let the transparrorists win!

+1 Total Win

My mother was born in 1920 and on the day they repealed Glass-Steagall she remarked that the idiots in charge had guaranteed a crash within 10 years.others of her generation said the same at the time.Stupidity of sufficient magnitude is indistinguishable from malice.

Hoopajoops LTD wrote:

When I was working for a white shoe firm, "prepared statements" would typically be leaked to us, confidentially, 3-15 days ahead of the actual congressional testimony. We got to see what these bums would say before they said it.

I had a friend who worked as a staffer - the heads up gives them time to write the questions for their senators & congress critter to ask in the 'live' hearings... can you imagine these guys actually asking questions ad lib, off the cuff? They wouldn't know how to ask what's for lunch...

It really is a joke, that a man like Volker has to give a speech like this to the scum that reside on the Financial Services Committee -- this is like having Mother Teresa giving a going away lecture to a group of mafia hitmen in Vegas.

If only they made Summers, Geithner, and Bernanke report to Volcker. He really does seem to be the only credible voice of good sense at a senior level.

What say any bank and its officers subject to oversight/regulation be forbidden from making campaign contributions?

LOL! Imagine just receiving a text and then responding!

The real game is procuring the text before it's officially leaked, and beat the stuffing out of it long prior to the last draft. Oh the stories I could tell.

C

Kinda like the TVA until one of their soot pond's support wall gave way? Oh wait...

But that was local & while ugly for the natives involved wasn't a 'systemic risk'... think Hoover Dam blowing out... or the Missouri River dams up in the Dakotas... like losing Three Gorges. That's the difference between TBTF & so small you don't notice.

"others of her generation said the same at the time."

The ones I knew just bought more In glod we trust

Bluto,

This speech is a fine effort aimed at providing truth and it is sad that Volker is being abused in this curtain call -- he deserves better, but I guess he's doing all he can with what's left to him.

this is like having Mother Teresa giving a going away lecture to a group of mafia hitmen in Vegas.

Well, Mother Teresa did believe in the virtue of suffering

The fanatic, fraudulent Mother Teresa. - By Christopher Hitchens - Slate Magazine

Nytol

Tom Stone wrote:

My mother was born in 1920 and on the day they repealed Glass-Steagall she remarked that the idiots in charge had guaranteed a crash within 10 years.others of her generation said the same at the time.

Add my late father to the list. Died a few years ago but fully expected this crash...

Wouldn't it be great theater if he deviated from the prepared text?

"that a man like Volker has to give a speech like this to the scum that reside on the Financial Services Committee "

It might be worth watching this on C-SPAN to catch it uninterrupted by the TV talking heads. If anyone on the Committee gives Volcker a bad time, a donation to their opponent in the upcoming primaries might be useful.

Of course the benefit of releasing a text in advance is that you can then make an even bigger statement by departing from it.

Or making your entire address about what you really wanted to say, especially if it was to be your last anyway...

Black swan song?

C

/dawg, snap.

No, it wasn't a systemic risk, but it showed how many "failures" we can have. We are just waiting for the next one... and the next one...
.
Eventually, we may get an equivalent of Corus or Colonial, and a failed bank v. a utility is not a contest.
.
In sum, point taken. Smile

What say any bank and its officers subject to oversight/regulation be forbidden from making campaign contributions?

First banks, then pharma, then telecom - you are on a slippery slope, Rob!
/snark off

My question is, who is Volkers protege ? I'm betting he is heavy into the mentor role right now

Rob Dawg wrote:

Wouldn't it be great theater if he deviated from the prepared text?

No one would notice - the congress critters would still only ask the questions they already had prepared based off the 'original' text... it would be grand kabuki but kabuki just the same.

i think it's cute that Volcker's prepared statement looks like it from a typewriter. took me for ever to scroll through the 19 pages.

Deese is Summers' protege.

Unfortunately, at this stage of the game this is sort of like Ron Paul speaking about what he'd do if he were president. He's accepted a position that effectively allows Obama to muzzle him. By that I mean he's part, averysmallpart, of the administration. I think his words would carry more weight if he were an outsider looking in.

My question is, who is Volkers protege ? I'm betting he is heavy into the mentor role right now

I wish it was me. My man-crush on the elderly giant continues unabated.

Of course, I lack the appropriate training and necessary mental agility, but I make up for it with a roundish-physique and infectious laugh.

Didn't Bernanke do that once last year? I remember once he started saying something about "preserving Americans' confidence in their retirement assets" that I couldn't find anywhere in the prepared text. It stuck in my mind, because it was probably the one thing he said that he actually meant (as opposed to speaking towards a calculated effect).

And you're right--it was completely ignored in the questioning, and in the media commentary afterwards, all of which was based on the original text.

Volcker Criticizes Obama Plan to Expand Fed’s Role (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
“I don’t know what systemically important institutions are,” Volcker said. “But I’m sure that if you picked them out, people will assume they’re going to be saved, that they’re too big to fail.”

http://www.siouxcityjournal.com/articles/2009/09/19/news/local/fdb224bba885d8c6862576360007ab76.txt

"It was appropriate to have the large stimulus package, but I think the emphasis should be a long investment in infrastructure in the U.S., the infrastructure means jobs, I was not hrilled with subsidies like the cash for clunkers program." he said.

+++

who was the pres at the time, Clinton? Thanks.

China down 3.5% right now.

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

I think his words would carry more weight if he were an outsider looking in.

If he were an outsider he wouldn't be there... they are only [really] listening to him because they have to... because he still has some 'power' although small & rather symbolic. But hell - face it - they'd rather be golfing with their lobbyists and wish Volcker was playing shuffleboard somewhere.

Slightly weird OT find from the electronic connection: Dooooooooooooooom!!!

Live blogging: Timothy Geithner defends reg restructuring plan before House Financial Services - Bank Think

10:53am: Rep. Brad Sherman, D-Calif., has the floor now. He points to Sec. 1204 of the bill and calls it "Tarp, on steroids." Sec. 1204 is unlimited, though, whereas Tarp was only $700 billion and it had an expiration date. "In Tarp, there are all kinds of special oversights, including Elizabeth Warren, and in your proposal there's no oversight." There are also no limits on executive compensation.

Forgive us at BankThink, we didn't know off the top of our head what Sec. 1204 of the Treasury's bill said, but apparently it is the resolution authority.

Geithner: "I don't recognize most of your concerns in the approach we've recommended," but I agree that "it would be a mistake for us as a country, as part of the reform process," to institutionalize "too big to fail."

Sherman interrupts him. He wants to limit Sec. 1204 "to $1 trillion." Still not sure what he means. Geithner doesn't reveal whether he understands. "I would not support proposals that would put this country in the position we were in in 2007 and 2008..." where we didn't have the authority to resolve failing institutions.

The argument seems to be over the potential cost of a resolution. Sherman says "the only companies that are going to benefit from this are the systemically important institutions."

10:58am: Frank calls time. Geithner quickly interjects that he does not agree with Sherman's characterization of the resolution authority.

Now Rep. Frank Lucas, R-Okla., brings up community banks' fears of the CFPA and its potential regulatory burden. He quickly moves on to derivatives--he's the ranking member of the House Agriculture Committee--and wants to know again how the Treasury's derivatives legislation would keep end users, small companies using derivatives to hedge, safe from crippling capital and margin requirements.

my old prof Richard Pious at Columbia used to tell us the various tricks an Admin would use
to put an issue out in public and then bury it... for instance say you appoint a blue ribbon commission
to study the banking system and its findings are not what you wanted so you rig the roll-out of the
report somewhere between calling up the national forces on standby alert and say the day the president
pardons the Thanksgiving turkey
////
OT: see those pictures of Sydney Australia... cue Bowie's Life on Mars

When I hear Summers speak, or Geithner or Bernanke, I hear clever men who are aware of most issues, understand much but not all, and have decent but not great judgment. Whenever I hear Volcker speak, I hear someone who has a clear view of the long term, the medium term and the short term, and how the grand strategy should best be played out over years and decades. That's the reason he is confident to do things that may be tough in the short and medium term, because he sees the long term prize quite clearly. These other guys can't. For all their cleverness, we have mental midgets running our economic policy, and it's only completely obvious at moments like this, when you hear what Volcker says.

Basel - ya think?

His protege is probably one of the many blue dog intellectual giants.

C

wow, pointing out the most obvious cases of moral hazard ever seen while refusing to actually call out folks that gamed the system like Dimon, Lewis, Thain and Blankfein by name. and god forbid he dare to utter the slightest bit of criticism in the direction of Lord Henry, Benny the Bumbler or Tiny Timmay. what's next - a scathing observation that the sky is, generally speaking, blue, and water is, for the most part, wet?

he's not a hero, and the fact that he should know better makes him something much closer to the opposite. Grade Wheres MY pony? Hat

WTF, did I miss this? Dooooooooooooooom!!! Santa

Congressman Brad Sherman (CA27) :: Press Release :: Geithner Rejects $1 Trillion Limit on New Bailout Power

Sherman asked Secretary Geithner whether he would accept a $1 trillion limit on the new bailout authority; if the executive branch wanted to spend more, it would have to come back to Congress. Geithner rejected a $1 Trillion limit, insisting that the executive branch be able to respond without coming back to Congress.

so... looking at the dollar, i wonder if we are starting the next meltdown (in equities)

Plus... as Keynes said 'in the long run we are dead'... Volcker's at the age where in the short run he'll be dead. There's just a lot less bull shitting once you realize that.

I wonder what Volker would say about Section 1204, and maybe his swan song should touch on this Obama fraud?

poic - which index? CSI300 is showing -1.5%, biggest decline is Shenzhen A down -2.27 at lunch.

C

To be fair, he has the considerable advantage of having no official position, so he can say what he thinks. Bernanke, in particular, cannot--every word has to be weighed for its expected effect, as opposed to its truthful content. It's the nature of his job, unfortunately.

I'll be interested to hear what Bernanke has to say when he finally steps down, although I suspect I'll be disappointed because he'll play the role to the grave. (He certainly started playing the role well before his nomination....)

Congressman Brad Sherman (CA27) :: Press Release :: Geithner Rejects $1 Trillion Limit on New Bailout Power

How many zeros did the Renten Mark have ??

German Rentenmark - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

I realize Volcker is quite elderly, but several people have referred to this appearance being his last major speech. Does he have an illness I am not aware of (apart from the normal aches and pains of age)?

When I was working for a white shoe firm, "prepared statements" would typically be leaked to us, confidentially, 3-15 days ahead of the actual congressional testimony. We got to see what these bums would say before they said it.

As a lobbyist, we usually try to give politician's staff advance notice of what we're talking about prior to testimony we give in committees, etc. If the issue is one where a joint statement between government and industry groups is beneficial, we'll work out a release together far in advance. It's quite frequent that politician's staff sends me a press release or prepared statement in advance so that we know what's coming and that we won't crap all over it without understanding rationales behind it (or at least they know how we'll crap on it).

Lobbyists are a weird but necessary evil. Where most people anticipate lobbyists to be undertaking the greatest harm--by interfering in the development and discussion of potential legislation--they actually perform a valuable and productive service in helping the government reach consensus. Where most people think of them as being benign--such as consumer advocacy, environmental, or similar populist grassroots groups--they can accomplish the greatest harm in distorting effective policy.

Most have great disdain for corporate lobbyists because they are perceived as being a source of implicit--if not explicit--bribes to politicians. But the populist or special-interest grassroots organizations are far more dangerous because they control votes, the only tender that is of absolute importance to politicians. And in the interest of disclosure, my work is with the latter.

Geithner rejected a $1 Trillion limit, insisting that the executive branch be able to respond without coming back to Congress.

if $787B was Hank's bazooka, is Timmay asking for Maria B's nightstand cowboy or some other WMD?

Sorry your right c

hsi down 3.5 %
sse down 1.5%

Treasury remains an on-going threat to America and Congress should act to stop this financial terrorism!

Professor Marilyn Strathern's formulation of Goodhart's law:

When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.

One reason we are all flying blind. The Fed and Treasury are goosing so many financial and economic statistics their explanatory powers are lost.
All we have is noise.

I realize Volcker is quite elderly, but several people have referred to this appearance being his last major speech. Does he have an illness I am not aware of (apart from the normal aches and pains of age)?

No, I think the impression is simply that he's gone too far off the reservation this time and will be prevented from attending too many more public speaking functions.

"I'll be interested to hear what Bernanke has to say when he finally steps down"

Ben was an apologist for the bubble when it was in full swing. He is trying to reflate like crazy, and with no regard for moral hazard. His actions please the WH and Congress. Compare that to what Volcker did in the early 1980's, facing down the Treasury Secretary and the barons of Congress in the midst of a nasty recession proximately triggered by Volcker raising rates to the high single digits. I am not interested in hearing what the vapid, eager-to-please Ben has to say to cover his ass now or in the future.

H-FIN:IND usually leads the way, and is again.

We've seen this movie before. The reel got a bit jammed yesterday, but it looks like we can settle in.

Got Got Popcorn??

If it really heads down, then I was only 24 hours out with my Sept 21 call.

C

Lay down the law Volcker. Enforce Glass Steagal, oh Golden Slacks that means you. I thought two years ago the talk of the town was we should never permit TBTF, now that's all their doing is making the big bigger. And uncle Paul, if you could throw in some language like laws, fraud, corruption, prison that would go over well.

Yes, that's a good way to learn nothing that you don't already know.

I realize Volcker is quite elderly, but several people have referred to this appearance being his last major speech. Does he have an illness I am not aware of (apart from the normal aches and pains of age)?

The one thing I've appreciated most when hearing Volcker talk is his humility and recognition of what he doesn't know. The man realizes bullshit when he sees it, but also goes through great pains in describing the deficiencies in information that interfere with effective analysis. I have a deep respect for that approach, and it makes his conclusions--when he finally reaches them--all that more powerful.

Hey, noob, I have to go snooze now, but before I go I have a question for you. My assumption is that the reason the reflation efforts of the govt happen to be routed through actions that would also help to keep home prices high is that Congress is acting to (a) keep contribution dollars flowing from FIRE companies that rely on RE values, and (b) keep homeowning voters happy, by keeping home prices high.

Does that sound right to you?

Naming companies as "too big to fail" is retarded beyond all belief. They could name a random pissant company trading on the pink sheets as TBTF and it would immediately - overnight - become exactly that.

Skip the hagiography. If the man had half the nutsack and objectivity the folks here seem to ascribe to him, he would be properly calling Paulson and Bernanke criminals, and stating that the obvious - the closure of the Fed - was long past due.

He doesn't. He was working for the Fed back in nineteen-fucking-fifty-two. Does he leverage that stature and experience into a voice for change? Hell no. He's just Timmay minus an octave and plus four decades.

Princeton, Harvard - might as well be a fucking Bonesman. Someone who legitimizes treason with a veneer of integrity belongs in a very low circle of hell.

FYI: Obama’s Speech: ‘TARP on Steroids’ - Economix Blog - NYTimes.com

Mr. Sherman pointed to Section 1204 in the Obama administration’s bill, which he said would give the Treasury broad authority to order the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to invest, lend money or take a wide range of other actions to prevent a systemically important institution from collapsing in a disorderly way.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation — which would actually carry out the job of arranging an orderly sale, shutdown, shot-gun marriage or some other “resolution’’ of the bank — would be authorized to borrow as much as it needed from the Treasury.

To be sure, the proposal also instructs the F.D.I.C. (see section 1209, subsections ‘n’ and ‘o’) to set up a new insurance fund to pay for all this through premiums on medium-sized and large financial institutions.

But Mr. Sherman said the proposal is vague and would be unfair. Any institution with more than $10 billion in assets would have to pay into the fund, and its assessment would be based on an analysis of its size and riskiness, but only the 20 biggest institutions would get any additional protection in exchange.

In practice, Mr. Sherman said, the F.D.I.C. would be starting out with no money in its fund and a huge potential exposure.

“It’s implicit insurance with no insurance premium,” he complained. His recommendations: 1) require that Congress approve any new bailouts; 2) tell the public exactly what the additional insurance that the government would be providing to institutions that are “too big to fail’’ would be, and then make the insurance premiums explicit.

Naming companies as "too big to fail" is retarded beyond all belief. They could name a random pissant company trading on the pink sheets as TBTF and it would immediately - overnight - become exactly that.

True, but what a fun ride that would be. Unless they reverse split you down to one share on the way up Wink

obviously, I was very aware of GATA when I was researching that stuff seven years ago. hard to say what their mission is, exactly, when the market print is obviously making the point for them. the condescension in the response from the Fed does provide some entertainment value, however.

Hey, noob, I have to go snooze now, but before I go I have a question for you. My assumption is that the reason the reflation efforts of the govt happen to be routed through actions that would also help to keep home prices high is that Congress is acting to (a) keep contribution dollars flowing from FIRE companies that rely on RE values, and (b) keep homeowning voters happy, by keeping home prices high.

Does that sound right to you?

b) for sure, no question. For a), it's difficult because I have only experience with the Canadian side of lobbying, which is somewhat restrictive toward corporate campaign contributions. However, I do not know the level of restriction placed on those contributions in America, so they may be higher.

Usually it doesn't much matter, as only a really stupid or exceptionally partisan company would support one party over another, and even those that do support a company will flow it in a much more obscure way than direct contributions. We don't do any contributions, as we're cash poor (but vote rich), however I'm sure that monied lobbyists would throw fund-raising galas and other such events in order to support a campaign without explicitly supporting a specific candidate. If you can provide $100K worth of advertising support through an indirect measure without actually giving them $100K, the candidate will remember that gesture.

Sorry, I don't know the specific answer to your question, but those are my best guesses.

There's nothing in the actual Fed letter that even remotely "confirms" what that website is claiming.

"He's just Timmay minus an octave and plus four decades"

Well, I like what he says now a lot better than what Mr Geithner says.

And, back in the early 1980's, what Volcker did, facing down Congress, the WH, and most of the American populist public, and putting the screws to inflation by raising interest rates to bone-jarring high single digit levels into a deep recession, to wring a terrrible and long term inflation out of the system for the next 3 decades, may not impress you, but it impresses me.

Skip the hagiography. If the man had half the nutsack and objectivity the folks here seem to ascribe to him, he would be properly calling Paulson and Bernanke criminals, and stating that the obvious - the closure of the Fed - was long past due.

But that's exactly what he's doing. He's just doing it in a different language than you're used to. It's called tact.

Thanks, noob, that was enlightening for me.

yes, he was a key component of the policies which saved the dollar from endless commodity inflation, and pushed these inflationary pressures into great things like securitized mortgages and ridiculously overvalued equities, helping explode the ceo/worker income multiple from something like 20-1 to 2000-1. he served under Reagan at the same time as James Watt, right? what a hero.

I agree with the sentiment completely. William Black doesn't have quite the cred that Volcker has but he's not too far off, having cleaned up the S&L crisis. Unlike Volcker he's denouncing the bailout publicly in whatever venue he can find, and in no uncertain terms, but it's just making him easy to dismiss as a crank with an axe to grind. Volcker's doing it the right way, methinks.

patientrenter wrote:

Well, I like what he says now a lot better than what Mr Geithner says.

And he isn't going to advocate shutting down the fed - that's like expecting the pope to advocate shutting down the church... isn't gonna happen. In fact if any of them did I'd worry even more... the replacement they had in mind most certainly would be worse.

But I do get the feeling this presentation is a bit of a death bed confession - as close as we are likely to get from any of them. I'd bet a lot more than we ever get from AG... he is likely to go into the night muttering something no one will understand. Rosebud or something...

Bloodbath in Hong Kong, worse in China-related indices:

HANG SENG CHINA ENT INDX 11,971.07 -460.74 -3.71%

HANG SENG CHINA AFF.CRP 3,983.18 -100.92 -2.47%

HS MAINLAND FREEFLOAT IX 6,422.74 -199.21 -3.01%

HANG SENG MAINLAND25 IX 7,331.32 -244.18 -3.22%

HANG SENG H-FINANCIALS 16,295.41 -655.11 -3.86%

Could be a long afternoon, especially if Nikki gets backwash and says hi to elmo.

C

"It's called tack."

I don't see how it involves boats or horses... no, wait, I do... his tact legitimizes the trillions of dollars in ponies and the latest yacht purchases stationed at the caymans... got it.

have another bite, jamie, ken, lloyd... don't worry, paul the maitre'd has the breath mint ready

YouTube - The Meaning Of Life - The Autumn Years

"pushed these inflationary pressures into great things like securitized mortgages and ridiculously overvalued equities....he served under Reagan at the same time as James Watt, right?"

If I recall correctly, Volcker was pushed out in 1987. The most ridiculous portion of our last 3 decades' worth of asset price inflation occurred after that, under Greenspan. James Watt? Is he relevant to Paul Volcker's role in the country's financial system in anything beyond a tangential way?

"that's like expecting the pope to advocate shutting down the church..."

or expecting an archbishop to acknowledge abuse in his parish and just apologize. EXACTLY like it in fact. but, no, Paul's loyalty is to his fellow members of the cloth, now and forever, and he would NEVER criticize Darth Paulson by name... he might not get invited to the next party in the Hamptons...

So Noob Goldburg;

Who is really funding those groups?
From what I've seen, it's usually one or more of the big foundations, which are run by the same old Harvard/Yale/Princeton/Skull&Bones types...

is now the time to go massively short? i mean, eric IS on vacation and all...

"And he isn't going to advocate shutting down the fed"

I get it. Anyone who doesn't advocate the abolition of the role of a central bank for the US is a coward and/or idiot.

Thank you, I know where you are coming from now.

"The most ridiculous portion of our last 3 decades' worth of asset price inflation occurred after that, under Greenspan"

the seeds of those trends were firmly in place in Reagan's first term, the goosed stock market, the salomon brothers orgy of securitization, the culture of scam equity.

"James Watt? Is he relevant to Paul Volcker's role in the country's financial system in anything beyond a tangential way? "

He sure as hell is, much as it is no accident that Bernanke and Rumsfeld served under the same exact boss at the same exact time.

Wherefore by their fruits ye shall know them.

following up on Noob's comments they remind me of a case from the late 70s.
Five movie studios sued Sony over the copyright infringement potential of their
Betamax machines. .
And Sony right before they went to trial offered to pay a license fee on each machine sold
and even a fee on each blank tape sold.
Riding shotgun for the studios was the godfather himself Lew Wasserman of MCA/Universal (Reagan's former agent @ MCA).
He rejected the offer cause he was cocksure they'd win - they lost. Appealed the case all the way to the Supreme Court.
The courts saw the device as a time shifting mechanism whereas one could tape a show on TV and watch it later, not as
a device to build your own personal film library.
There was also a institutional taboo against selling films. Much like say Hughes Tool and his oil drill bits in the 20s you could
only rent or lease say Gone with the Wind or even a B movie like DOA. At some point the canisters are picked up and bicycled around the distribution chain.
And because of this the early video stores needed product and this created a mini boom-let of Indie film financing in the 1980s.
My point - when the studios released some titles for sale they tried to stop the rental of VHSs by going to Congress to get protection
much like they had in the recording (it's illegal to rent out an LP and to this day a CD) but their was an association
something like American Home Video Store Assoc. who went to Congress and said they represented hundreds of mom and
pop video stores in US and that the legislation would kill 'em.
Noob-
the kicker in all of this was that association was created out of whole cloth by a handful of VHS makers from Japan... (of course they signed up a bunch of mom and pops and took their case to DC and they won!

It has utterly, completely failed as an institution and its complete contempt towards Congress has become more extreme as the nature of this failure has become more obvious.

But if Ad Hominems and Reductio Ad Absurdums make you feel better, so be it. Tripling gold and UE speaks for itself.

"Federal Reserve Admits Hiding Gold Swap Arrangements, GATA Says "

This is old news to the GATA folks, they're just excited because they interpret the letter as admitting that the Fed was doing what they thought all along. It's sort of a paper victory at the end of a long string of FOIA requests.

he would NEVER criticize Darth Paulson by name... he might not get invited to the next party in the Hamptons...

Well, if he gave up his place within the circle of power-brokers by screaming obscenities at Bernanke et al, at least he might be more available to spend time with Ron Paul making very effective YouTube videos.

"But if Ad Hominems and Reductio Ad Absurdums make you feel better, so be it."

"Skip the hagiography. If the man had half the nutsack and objectivity the folks here seem to ascribe to him, he would be properly calling Paulson and Bernanke criminals,"

Mirror- check. You have several more quotes above that make the point in my juxtaposition, but I'll leave it at one.

Thank you, I know where you are coming from now.

I wasn't advocating that - saying HE won't advocate that as if that is what is required to make to some here 'respect' him.

I'm not talking about screaming obscenities - just acknowledging the basic fact that the crew that presided over TARP's administration were utterly criminal, and that the fig leaf granted to them in terms of 'conflict of interest' was one of the most brazen acts of treason in the history of the republic.

but I'm glad you bring up Paul - I loved his exchanges with Greenie in '02 when no one really knew or cared about who he was. obviously, you're still on the other side of that exchange from the good Doctor. must be a nice world to inhabit.

God bless Volcker. He's the only honest and competent guy in the room.

" the kicker in all of this was that association was created out of whole cloth by a handful of VHS makers from Japan... (of course they signed up a bunch of mom and pops and took their case to DC and they won!"

And Jack Valenti never stopped whining about it, even though VHS and later DVD saved the industry and his job.

It's worth mentioning that the porn industry helped a bit as well. In fact, they kept the Mom and Pops fed with content at a crucial time, among other things.

Well, if he gave up his place within the circle of power-brokers by screaming obscenities at Bernanke et al, at least he might be more available to spend time with Ron Paul making very effective YouTube videos.

LOL - KD might link to them too... with caps locks taped down.

ummm.... i'm an annonymous guy on a blog whose net worth will probably never hit seven digits... i'm just saddened by the destruction of my country, and disgusted when my intellectual superiors drool over the emperor's invisible finery. my entire point is that Volcker is not. yet he fails in any attempts to rehabilitate his own historical role in the debacle. miserably.

not to godwin this one... but do you think de gaulle differentiated between Vichy officials, as in, some were a bit less evil than others, and really nice guys when you got to know them?

BT. i thought we were friends.

Sad

(of course they signed up a bunch of mom and pops and took their case to DC and they won!"

Well, duh.

I thought that type of dog and pony show was mandatory in DC.

sm_landlord wrote:

This is old news to the GATA folks, they're just excited because they interpret the letter as admitting that the Fed was doing what they thought all along. It's sort of a paper victory at the end of a long string of FOIA requests.

So is this gonna get Greenspan in hot water [lying to congress] if in fact they can show they were doing it [swaps] even as AG testified they weren't. Sounds like a bigger deal than lying about a blow job.

the war against DAT tapes was similarly pathetic and ultimately pyrrhic

futures look very Elmo!

i'm going to skulk off to bed. too much action to look forward to tomorrow.

Nytol

So Noob Goldburg;

Who is really funding those groups?
From what I've seen, it's usually one or more of the big foundations, which are run by the same old Harvard/Yale/Princeton/Skull&Bones types...

I'll reiterate that I don't know the lobby situation in the USA, so I can't effectively answer that question. But I do know that even in Canada, with fewer total lobbying dollars (due to our smaller economic size), there are a number of one-trick lobbying shops that seem to spring out of nowhere but have sizable financial backing to lobby on one or a few specific issues. Without ever seeing a balance sheet it's usually quite easy, just by looking at the issues that these shops address, to follow the money.

I know of at least one organization in Canada that pretends to speak for thousands, but is 98% funded by one large multinational organization. But you'd never find it on their website.

I have no doubt that the same is true in the USA. You can always tell by the quality of the suits they're wearing when they show up for committee meetings. Like the excellent story Duke just gave us about the Home Video Storeowners, it would be easy to tell because any grassroots organization addressing small ma-and-pa video stores would have a hard time coming up with $300K for a year's worth of salaries and building rent; if the guys representing them are wearing Armani's and charging $1K a day, it tells you something.

"So is this gonna get Greenspan in hot water [lying to congress] if in fact they can show they they were doing it [swaps] even as AG testified they weren't."

So much was redacted that I don't think they can prove anything concrete. The next step would be for Congress or an AG to somehow get the unredacted documents that the Fed still claims that they do not have to supply. Greenspan will have gone to his reward before that happens. This will be sorted out 20 or 30 years from now is my guess.

While Volcker raises many great points, he omits the rampant control fraud that effectively led to our current state. While TBTF is a definite problem, widespread banking system insolvency is the next big issue.

We need to focus on preventing massive problems to begin with. As William Black stated, they were taking down banks before they began posting losses. Clearly, bank supervision went downhill.

In all honesty the speech is very weak and starts out with a whimpering tone, almost apologetic and poetic, like a swan song and then, he slips in a small crumb, under the table to the aging dogs to gum: Substantial progress is being made on a voluntary
basis in the area of derivative markets, including
particularly in clearance and settlement arrangements.

He then begins to gain some strength, as if this is an opera that needs pacing to pick up the aria:

However, I want to emphasize two inter-
related issues of fundamental importance that run across
the more particular elements of reform. One is a matter of
broad regulatory practice: how to deal with the insidious,
potentially risk-enhancing, spread of “moral hazard”, the
presumption that systemically important institutions may be
protected in the face of imminent failure.

Then..... the drugs kick in and the ghost writer takes over:

The Federal Reserve Board should not
become an academic seminar debating in its marble palace
various approaches toward monetary policy without the
leavening experience of direct contact with, and
responsibility for, the world of finance and the
institutions through which monetary policy is effected.

.... Then he takes sides and wants to piss off some people:

In sum, I believe the needed oversight and
coordinating role should be in the hands of the Federal
Reserve rather than the Treasury.

Sorry, but after looking at this, I'd say thumbs down and a very poor last effort by a man that once seemed to offer hope.

Heard your songs of freedom and man forever stripped,
Acting out his folly while his back is being whipped.
Like a slave in orbit, he's beaten 'til he's tame,
All for a moment's glory and it's a dirty, rotten shame.
YouTube - Bob Dylan - Dirge Dooooooooooooooom!!!

"I wasn't advocating that - saying HE won't advocate that as if that is what is required to make to some here 'respect' him."

Did I come across as condescending? Maybe. I think I just realized I was in that bar deep in Texas near closing time, and it dawned on me that the natives were mad, and I looked furren', and it was time to bid adieu.

HollywoodHack
the salomon brothers orgy of securitization"

... talk about hyperbole! I was there at Salomon for the latter
part of the 1980s.... our total bonus pool at at the end of '87 was
56 million dollars, of that 3.5 was to go to Geutfreund which he
put back into the pool (Ranieri had left the previous July and Tom Strauss [Archipelago founder]
became the new Vice Chairman)...
And since I was a bond analyst and followed the top 100 commercial banks
I can tell you that the profits made by Bankers Trust via trading (about 48%)
were not seen in a good light at all... my MD had come over from S&P, that might
explain it.
.....
your use of the word orgy is almost as hilarious as when you called yourself
a manufacturer of culture...
Crown duke

headcount was about 6,000

thanks, doc, I felt even more insane than usual... the need for a daddy figure warps the best of minds, obviously

Hey Basel

"Mad Money: Cramer: Here Comes Another Pullback - Mad Cap Recap - CNBC.com"

Page 232 of Cramers book "Real Money" ....." There is another type of bottom worth commenting on: the Tax loss bottom. Every year at the end of October when most mutual funds end their fiscal year, the funds like to take their losses....now you know why there are so many crashes during this period."

Cramer may be a hack, but he is consistent in his arguments.

but I'm glad you bring up Paul - I loved his exchanges with Greenie in '02 when no one really knew or cared about who he was. obviously, you're still on the other side of that exchange from the good Doctor. must be a nice world to inhabit.

As opposed to now, when the world hangs on Paul's every word.

Ron Paul caters to his base; he's intelligent to know better than anyone that his approach here will do nothing more than guarantee re-election until he's eligible for collecting a pension. How's it feel to be someone's base?

"the war against DAT tapes was similarly pathetic and ultimately pyrrhic "

Oh man. I remember when you needed to prove you were a professional to buy one. They tried to enter the market "carefully". Do you remember the god-awful watermarking that they attempted on both DAT and CD? And Sony's compression format that would distort the ring-out on piano chords? What a mess.

ah, duke, alas, I am exactly that... and the factory floor can be dreary....

the reality is that a direct line can be drawn between that securitization which started in the early 80s and the events of the past year involving MBSs, derivatives, and the total lack of lending currently seen in the dirty 19. and a big, bright, red line it is.

noob goldberg wrote:

How's it feel to be someone's base?

Something like being a daddy figure I'd guess.

That is confusing to me, what he will say, because it seems contradictory and at odds with being truthful:

On one hand he says:

The Federal Reserve Board should not
become an academic seminar debating in its marble palace
various approaches toward monetary policy without the
leavening experience of direct contact with, and
responsibility for, the world of finance and the
institutions through which monetary policy is effected.

On the other hand he says:

In sum, I believe the needed oversight and
coordinating role should be in the hands of the Federal
Reserve rather than the Treasury.

Speak to the hand....

Long live Volcker! I hope he lives for another twenty years because it might take us that long to get us out of this mess. He is an honest voice I can trust.

Something like being a daddy figure I'd guess.

So no sleep and constantly covered in puke?

My brain's fried, and I have to be up way too early early, but this has been a hoot tonight, thanks everyone!

Nytol

i don't lose any sleep over it, and never sent the man a dime or lived within a thousand miles of east texas, so i'm a pretty weak component of said 'base'.

but i'm unsurprised that you would totally avoid any mention of the substance of his arguments and instead use the same approach used by mccain, thompson, romney etc.

i'm an isolationist first and foremost, and was disappointed that Paul didn't join Lee.

of course, as a foreigner, you have zero stake in any of this and any familiarity with it must just just be chalked up to intellectual curiosity. give the queen my regards.

securitization can add value. it was (ab)used, along with other tools, to eliminate effective loan underwriting in the 2000's. sure, the tools matter, but look to the tool-users first. Who failed to advocate higher down payment requirements in 2004, 2005 etc?

dr paul is really more of a crazy uncle figure

I guess Volker is telling Bernanke to use his power to swat down Timmy, but obviously Timmy is playing doctor to Bernanke's nurse (or something like that). It makes sense that an ex-Fed dude would understand the power of that position and Bernanke has been weak in dealing with Paulson and Timmy, so Paul V is telling Bernanke to wake the fuck up and do something, like start the printing press ....no, what should Ben be doing (Paul)?

Doc - Treasury & the Fed have a love hate thing going, always have... we know what side Volcker will side with - no way he'd ever want Treasury to be the arbiter of 'oversight'. After all we all know the Treasury isn't 'independent'.

he's saying that the Fed should continue its twin functions: monetary policy and supervision. The problem Volcker sees is that the supervisory functions are often given short shrift by the Fed, who are dominated by industry insiders, who definitely don't increased supervision, and academics who get hard-ons over monetary theory. While supervision is tedious, it still needs to be done. and then he drones on about creating a Vice Chairman over supervision.

of course, as a foreigner, you have zero stake in any of this and any familiarity with it must just just be chalked up to intellectual curiosity. give the queen my regards.

She's lying next to me. She says hi.

HollywoodHack wrote:

dr paul is really more of a crazy uncle figure

And in honesty - I LIKE him even though there is NO WAY I'd want to see him president. We need voices like him... ignored for sure... but there.

sure, it can add value to an executive involved in packaging or marketing the product, and said packaging and marketing created many temporary jobs.

but it can also lead to a complete break in the connection between a lender and the product they're lending against, and, especially, the people they are lending to. it did. and here we are.

"So if an investment banks wants to merge with a retail bank - fine, just tell your customers that they are not protected by the FDIC (=taxpayers)."

But then the investment arms would not have all of those tasty FDIC insured deposits to gamble with.../snark.

To really put on some hurt, any bank, TBTF should not be FDIC eligible. It sure would be nice to see how fast those TBTF shrink as deposits flee to "good" banks.

Looks like Elmo is morphing into Godzilla in the Asian markets tonight, can't stay up for the fun though, be interested to see how everything settles in the morning. A little alternate science for you Tinfoil Hat lovers tonight...

The DNA Mystery: Scientists Stumped By "Telepathic" Abilities

This has interesting repercussions if true.

"he's saying that the Fed should continue its twin failures"

fixed that for you...

and I missed the part where 20% U6 and trillions of dollars in warehoused bad mortgage paper were part of the 'mandate'

Hollywood
why stop the bright line there? might as well go back to the first state deposit bank, Banco di San Giorgio (Bank of St. George), founded in 1407 at Genoa, Italy.
Also consider that without the advent of banking (Italian word banco "desk/bench") used during the Renaissance in Florence
that town would look nothing like it does today.
......
I worked under Glass Steagall and I don't see that thin red line of which you speak... more like a series of lurches at best...

Basel, does he have anything in there to help keep that Vice Chairman for Supervision more independent of the banks?

i would actually go back to the FHA and GI bill in terms of the roots of the culture of moral hazard - and, as well, Wilson's abuses of federal power in so many aspects of his misrule.

glass steagall was a joke in any case - about as effective as the 'chinese wall' it often referenced. when criminals regulate criminals, laws mean nothing.

"Mad Money: Cramer: Here Comes Another Pullback - Mad Cap Recap - CNBC.com"

Go long SkyNet on the dip. Cramer says they will be terminating the competition.

And I actually believe Cramer on the Funds fiscal year-end part.

Got get some sleep - don't wanna fall asleep tomorrow during Pauls' testimony!

Nytol

Volcker also makes little to no mention of the unsustainable aggregate debt to GDP, excessive bank/financial institution leverage, or the perils of massive unregulated financial instruments.

but, gosh golly, he seems like such a grandfatherly straight-shooter.

I would think Timmy/Treasury would be supportive of auditing The Fed Reserve!

no particulars regarding banks. just generalized stuff about how the Fed isn't subject to the same funding (duh) and political constraints as the Treasury.

Volcker also makes little to no mention of the unsustainable aggregate debt to GDP, excessive bank/financial institution leverage, or the perils of massive unregulated financial instruments.

To be fair, he spoke to this at length even last summer (2008) when I heard him speak in Montreal, so it could have been simply a speech-writing thing. I don't know if I heard agg debt to GDP explicitly in those speeches, but definitely leverage and financial instruments were discussed.

Now Nytol for good.

It really is a joke, that a man like Volker has to give a speech like this to the scum that reside on the Financial Services Committee -- this is like having Mother Teresa giving a going away lecture to a group of mafia hitmen in Vegas.

Come on now, really? Comparing Senators to mob hit men? That's totally unfair; in fact it's outrageous! Mob hit men kill people at the behest of their superiors in return for remuneration. In other words, they provide their employers with a valuable service in return for money. When was the last time a Senator actually provided a valuable service to their putative emploers? (That is, the voters that elected them.) You really owe the hit men an apology....

Volker did a great job of providing a voice for change last year, then he was brought on board the Obama bandwagon, and then that clear voice of reason was silenced, and now he comes along to give this pandering back-slapping retro look backwards, with a very old and tired song of how maybe banks should be regulated -- this has no fire or spirit and has no relationship to what the Volker of a year ago was saying! The watered down Volker looks like a watered down Obama!

Icepick,

I was out of line and I hope that Vegas will understand that I spoke with passion and forget to think clearly -- Don Vito, please accept my apology....

I was hoping that he would illuminate additional, very significant issues. I was really hoping that he would blast ALL of the bad actors.

"Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who referred in his speech to the “absurd doctrine that markets could regulate themselves,” broke with the U.S. by later saying Ahmadinejad would visit Brazil in November to discuss enhanced trade and cooperation in the two countries’ oil industries. Lula said he plans to visit Tehran sometime early next year.

Lula said Ahmadinejad assured him that Iran was developing its nuclear industry for peaceful, civilian uses and he has so far seen no evidence it was evading international norms.

“I’ve told all the presidents who ask me about Iran the same thing I’ll tell you: I defend for Iran the same rights with respect to nuclear energy that I do for Brazil,” Lula said."

Obama Pledge to Engage UN Runs Into Resentment of U.S. Power - Bloomberg.com
++++
Reading over the day's events at the UN and Pres Obama snubbing PM Brown over the last few days points towards much discord. Hegemony left some marks on the emerging markets, multinationals with a primary US identity are hoeing a tough row. Deservedly.
++++
Does anyone believe the nuclear powers of the world can stop nuclear proliferation?

"Does anyone believe the nuclear powers of the world can stop nuclear proliferation? "

stop it? we have actively encouraged it and incentivized it as a nation.

Any ideas on why the Chinese markets are down so much?

Is it the threatening appearance of the Fed moving towards the Treasuries / MBS punchbowl, the Japanese export figures, declining Chinese oil-use, or just eoy blues? Dooooooooooooooom!!!

"

Any ideas on why the Chinese markets are down so much?

Is it the threatening appearance of the Fed moving towards the Treasuries / MBS punchbowl, the Japanese export figures, declining Chinese oil-use, or just eoy blues? Dooooooooooooooom!!!
"

Just use your magic 8-ball or Ouiji Board and the answer will become clear.

"Any ideas on why the Chinese markets are down so much?"

Could it have been that massive currency intervention during the last hour in New York?

Take a peek at the DXY chart.

I figured out how to mount a legal challenge to use of TARP funds. The way to gain standing is to buy shares in an auotmaker stock; and say that by propping up GM and C it is hurting the economic value of those shares. Once this is established it's almost trivial to show Congress did not intend a "broad interpretation" of financial institution in the TARP. I believe a district court would grant standing on those grounds.

In fact by bailing the automakers out under TARP it cut into the $700B that treasury needs for the real banks. I can't figure why a clever Republican wouldn't sue over this as well; you could potentially deadlock Congress if they have enough votes to block the reinstatement of funds that will happen when a judge smacks the whole thing down and they have to go back and specifically authorize funds for automakers.

Now that I have what I believe to be a set of case law and framework for the challenge I'm going to draft up the complaint and release it into the public domain and see if anyone is willing to go all William Wallace... I'm not... by now I've probably done as much time as $15k in fees to a lawyer would get you. Our Constitution is in worse shape than anyone knows. We've gone from "When the President does it, it is not illegal... to when Congress and the President do it, it is not illegal." We are no more a nation of laws than a nation of "political will".

I think the courts are the next battlefield... if the courts fail than what's left is the guns... country is turning dangerous. All the damn fools screaching about unconstitutional acts need to sue in court if they really feel it is unconstitution (looking in your direction Hannity, Rush, etc.) What's also clear is that Bush basically said, "I don't care if it is illegal, no one is going to challenge me..." and he's right, so far... not one person has challenged this in court, even though it fell squarly on his shoulders. That guy has some balls...

All the people trying to sue Obama over his citizenship should focus their efforts here if they want to be a thorn in his side... just saying.

I think he is correct - naming "too big to fail banks" makes no sense and creates competitive advantages (and excessive risk taking). Nuclear Glass-Steagal is the way to go.

The one way that naming these institutions makes sense would be if the plan is to pass some new antitrust legislation and break them up. I haven't given that idea the thought it deserves, but on the surface, it seems a really nifty idea.

Good for you.

I too am amazed that there hasn't been more challenges made; you'd think a lawyer somewhere would want to make a name for themself, or that some well-heeled type with real concerns about the country's direction would call out the dogs. Where are they? For that matter, where are the bond vigilantes?? Is everyone co-opted somehow?!?

That's where I've been the past month instead of here in my spare time. My basic conclusion although scary is "what's the point?" It's not worth the liberty, freedom and pursuit of happiness to be the guy who stands up and paints a target on myself. While we are entitled to "due process" does anyone not believe that it can be trampled once you make yourself a target? Hello... whoever challenges this would get audited by the IRS every year, forever at least... plus the media-mouthpieces will make him out to be a clown (edited from mouthpice) .

The saddest part in this was reading the solicitor general's defense In Re Chrysler case. Her first argument was that "when Congress is ambiguous the executive decides" when the Supreme Court has ruled no where Congress is amibiguous the context of the law and other parts of the statue are taken into consideration... ie "what is the true will of Congress?" (Chevron vs. someone). Her 2nd defense was, "Even if it is not legal, think about all the jobs lost... those are more important than following the law".

So I read this from the solicitor general and see her biography... University of Chicago Law School, Harvard Law, blahblahblah. Clearly there are two classes in America, it's the politically connected; and the not politically connected. And by the way, the politically connected own the media,

But my essential conclusion is that we've been given enough rope in the name of "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness" that we will have a disasterous downfall. Additionally I came to the conclusion the best political position to have. When the R's are the minority I'm going to be a D, and when the D's are in the minority I'll be a R. Everyone wants to say "US is purple". No! That's bullshit! The American people like saying "no" to the majority party. So clearly the type of legislature we'd like is one where it's 51-49 for one party; and the house is 223-222 for the other party. In fact were I a Congressman I would make it my duty to switch parties if I was going to caucus with the majority. The problem is nationally we end up over-correcting...

Anyone with some time may enjoy reading the following

http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19950201meeting.pdf

1995 FOMC meeting. Greenspan in the chair. LOTS of color, including a long discussion on releasing minutes, how to impart minimum information in the FOMC statement, an impassioned Janet Yellen on Fed inflation targeting, paranoia about congress and a just HILARIOUS comedy farce of a conversation talking about the Mexican crisis.

Honestly, things like this are absolutely the best argument for never throwing ANY meeting minutes away.

Edit: 1. Sorry to be underfoot of YLSP, and 2. pp69 is the smoking 'gold swap' reference, in context of crap that can be pulled in the interests of supporting a 'stable system of currency exchange'.

Jonathan,
Reading through this: reminds me of a phrase that just I just assembled today...

"All the German generals sitting around a table... and none of them realize that invading Russia is a stupid idea..."

There's no question the courts (and the administration) abused creditors in the automaker BKs.

One other area I really have to wonder about is the Fed's bank assistance. Again, how the hell can publicly traded financial institutions seek & acquire Fed help without it being considered a material event requiring public reporting? Why hasn't a major bank stockholder sued the hell out of the Fed and one or more banks on that basis???

This is one of the things that should be made mandatory reading under Hoops 'civic education' plan.

My wife has complained that I have a pile of books, unread, next to the bed. Well, it's not every day one has the opportunity to watch the cracks in modern life widen into fissures.

And germane to your point, day two of the discussion has just commenced with a discussion of the no longer de minimis $200 billion current account deficit.

I am on the edge of my seat to see how the comedy troop of Greenspan and his merry bankers deal with this question...

For a point a couple weeks ago I seriously considered filing Amicus Curiae with Supreme Court asking them to hear the Chrysler appeal. When I learned I needed a lawyer boarded by the SC... well it wasn't worth it. Looking into it I think realized this thing could still be challenged in District Court; no one has challenged it yet...

But just thinking of who you would be up against; Federal govt + UAW? I have a friend with a theory on Mexican hit squads that can make any hit look accidental hired by the mob (he has a Chicago background and lived in Phoenix)... I really don't think I want to see if these alleged hit squads exist.

Who cares anymore? Blah blah blah. The only path that will be taken is the path of collective cowardice. We intervene to protect those who commit the greatest acts of evil simply because we fear the alternatives. Through our interventions we have meddled with the natural selection of the marketplace, creating a bias for the concentration of power. Even our leader promising change and hope has now turned on the hopeful, scorning them in their demand for fairness and justice. How dare we put limits on the evil-doers who we were collectively forced to save! The road of too big to fail only leads to tyranny. A properly functioning financial system would require the culling of some number of financial institutions periodically. Either let nature take its course or cull the herd responsibly. Selecting for size is guaranteed to end in fascism and slavery. Give me liberty or give me a Big Mac.

Johnathon: Why read through old FOMC minutes for a laugh, I suggest the daily Congressional record.

Nevada Rep on Unemployment Extension
The once recession-proof economy of my district of Las Vegas has not been spared from the effects of this downturn. In fact, Nevada has been hit harder than any other State by the foreclosure crisis, and our unemployment rate has skyrocketed to over 13 percent, the second highest in the Nation. This legislation will bring much-needed relief to many jobless Nevadans.

I think it's going to collapse on itself spectacularly...

I didn't see this reported anywhere else, you heard it first from YLSP.

Barack Obama extends national emergency re: terrorist attacks

To the Congress of the United States:

Section 202(d) of the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1622(d)) provides for the automatic termination of a national emergency unless, prior to the anniversary date of its declaration, the President publishes in the Federal Register and transmits to the Congress a notice stating that the emergency is to continue in effect beyond the anniversary date. In accordance with this provision, I have sent to the Federal Register for publication the enclosed notice, stating that the national emergency with respect to persons who commit, threaten to commit, or support terrorism is to continue in effect beyond September 23, 2009.

The crisis constituted by the grave acts of terrorism and threats of terrorism committed by foreign terrorists, including the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, in New York and Pennsylvania and against the Pentagon, and the continuing and immediate threat of further attacks on United States nationals or the United States that led to the declaration of a national emergency on September 23, 2001, has not been resolved. These actions pose a continuing unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security, foreign policy, and economy of the United States. For these reasons, I have determined that it is necessary to continue the national emergency declared with respect to persons who commit, threaten to commit, or support terrorism, and maintain in force the comprehensive sanctions to respond to this threat.

Barack Obama.

The White House, September 21, 2009.

But just thinking of who you would be up against; Federal govt + UAW? I have a friend with a theory on Mexican hit squads that can make any hit look accidental hired by the mob (he has a Chicago background and lived in Phoenix)... I really don't think I want to see if these alleged hit squads exist.

YLSP, the Markopolis testimony on Madoff shows that he was very very afraid of just such a thing, and he seemed to take it as quite a matter of fact.

HM was also somewhat worried that the SEC had been penetrated. See testimony (top of page 4, and enlarged upon during testimony)

http://financialservices.house.gov/markopolos020409.pdf

YLSP wrote:

Johnathon: Why read through old FOMC minutes for a laugh, I suggest the daily Congressional record.

I'd submit that the FOMC minutes are to the congressional testimony, as the conversations between pilots at an airshow are to the conversations of the crowd.

Heh, I may have inadvertently summed up why we are such a hole.

Additional reading note on those 1995 FOMC minutes (page 94) ... (Denninger, I hope you're reading this!)

Governor Lindsay gives a prescient warning that 44%, or almost HALF of '93 - '94 PCE growth was financed on 'installment' credit.

Most likely completely unrelated, but in 1997, Governor Lindsay resigns to join 'Economic Strategies'. I'm sure this was nothing to do with expressing concerns over the growth in credit. Greenspan was not to resign until 2006.

Federal Reserve Board governor Lawrence B. Lindsey to join Economic Strategies, Inc. as managing director | Business Wire | Find Articles at BNET

"Shares of VeriChip Corp (CHIP.O) tripled after the company said it had been granted an exclusive license to two patents, which will help it to develop implantable virus detection systems in humans.

The patents, held by VeriChip partner Receptors LLC, relate to biosensors that can detect the H1N1 and other viruses, and biological threats such as methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, VeriChip said in a statement.

The technology will combine with VeriChip's implantable radio frequency identification devices to develop virus triage detection systems."
VeriChip shares jump after H1N1 patent license win
| Reuters

How sweet the future.

HollywoodHack : "Skip the hagiography. If the man had half the nutsack and objectivity the folks here seem to ascribe to him, he would be properly calling Paulson and Bernanke criminals, and stating that the obvious - the closure of the Fed - was long past due.

He doesn't. He was working for the Fed back in nineteen-fucking-fifty-two. Does he leverage that stature and experience into a voice for change? Hell no. He's just Timmay minus an octave and plus four decades.

Princeton, Harvard - might as well be a fucking Bonesman. Someone who legitimizes treason with a veneer of integrity belongs in a very low circle of hell."


Applause, bravo.
For those who get it, skip the first 16 pages of grand rhetoric and cut to the chase on page 17 and read how power should be transferred to the Fed reserve rather than Treasury, and then page 19 on how the US should 'coordinate' the other major countries regarding the oversight of international banking organisations...

the end game is on...

Hey Duke, if you're around, we should chat. I have a deal you can't refuse and the time is now Smile
we need to exchange skype addies...
Cheers!
KR

yeah, I'm around right now (although I'll be leaving soon to see a speech given tonight by the 2009 Pulitzer Prize winner in Drama (Ruined))
does this involve Nigeria by chance? [actually, could be convergence since her play deals with genital mutilation in Africa]

lol..sure we could do Nigeria, but i have a better address in mind

we'll have to work out how to exchange addy's in code. I have to get my beauty sleep now, i'll catch up with you on the weekend or such.

Jumped down from earlier entries -

It's a mistake to characterize Brian Deese as anyone's protege except in the purest sense of that word. Thanks to his considerable gifts a great deal of bad strategy has ended on the cutting-room floor.

I'm glad he's in Washington, and will follow his trajectory with interest. If he's listening to Paul Volcker - and why would he not - you can bet he misses nothing.

burnside,
Deese has politico, politico, hack written all over him. I expect to see him on cable news channels carrying the water for the D's for years to come when the R's are in power; and I expect he'll rotate in and out of the D adminitstration's for years to come as well. This is the type of class that needs to die; as they've run this country into the ground for x amount of years...

But, to counterpoint myself; there's something to say about youth and someone like Deese might be bold enough to say the emperor has no clothes and challenge some of the older folks assertions...

Going forward, I also urge that the United States recognize the need to coordinate with the authorities of the other major countries regarding the oversight of international banking organizations, the open and timely sharing of information, and greater clarity on home and host responsibilities, including dealing with failing institutions. This will greatly assist in the closing of regulatory gaps, and raise standards, and help in developing a “level playing field”. - Volker statement

For all the early criticism in his remarks he ends by pushing for a stronger Fed and international ties. In the end he is all about saving the banks and as such makes him no different than Barry, Timmay or Larry.

YLSP,

Was responding to BD's evident mental firepower - swift triage at automakers as an example, and decently done. I can't project the man's future, but think it says too little to reduce him to 'protege'.

For all I know he may end an Isabel Archer. Right age and attributes.

burnside wrote:

Was responding to BD's evident mental firepower - swift triage at automakers as an example, and decently done.

Shouldn't we wait for the arrow to land before grading the shot? Granted his plan appears designed to provide the most public protection but we are still a long way from resolution.

Agreed with mp and many others.

Volcker's right, but you ain't never gonna see his policy in action, 'cause this is a crisis of policy cohort, not a crisis of policy. It ain't that they can't-are-unable to formulate good policy, it's that they can't-be-arsed to formulate good policy.

....there's a small private lion and big cat "shelter" here. Volcker is kinda like "Teddie" a big old lion they keep around there, because of the kids.........they like watching him watch them.

I see the place hasn't fallen apart since last night. Good Morning.

Here's another review of the surprising number and large size of recent oil discoveries around the world. The link is below. Also NPR continues it's series on natural gas. (Today: the industry doesn't contribute enough to Congress critters to affect energy policy)

With apologies to the FT, perhaps this is the time of peak banks and not peak oil...

Oil Everywhere: It's a Boom Year for New Finds - NY Times

All are being stymied by a legislative deadlock that has stalled projects in Missouri and throughout the U.S. With revenue from fuel taxes declining, lawmakers are arguing over how to renew a six-year, $286.5 billion spending law that expires in six days.

How can a room full of Democrats be "stymied by a legislative deadlock"? Seems when the 'Publicans had the majority, they much didn't want to step on any toes - they never learned how to "pull-the-trigger". The times they DID, they shot themselves in the foot. The Dems fight amongst themselves......the house is on fire, and the two 7-year old brothers are fighting over who gets the red marbles.

It is estimated the population of the underground community could be as many as 700. As well as credit-hustling, they earn their money off the wildly excessive city above by begging and "dumpster diving" - raiding bins and skips.

"Now I credit hustle but there are lots more people doing it these days. Hundreds and hundreds. You see little old ladies doing it."

Rather than working in the bars or kitchens they "credit hustle", prowling the casinos searching the fruit machines for money or credits left by drunken gamblers.

He now works the same hotels credit-hustling, and his life retains other similarities with the one he left behind.

The people living in drains below Las Vegas | The Sun |Features 

Wall*Street is also all about "credit-hustling", funny that.

JD...........and, there are as many living just outside the tunnels under and along I-15. Most of them don't want to go to work - they want a hand-out. I talked to an old gentleman who gets some of his brothel women from the Greyhound Bus Station, so I figured I'd try and round up a few "ranch-hands" during construction years ago from downtown Vegas.........turned out no one wanted to work.......they'd rather just continue 'pan-handling'.

Robert, yes. We absolutely should. Though I persist in seeing the two rarities of competence and speed, regardless of the final tally. Of course it's possible they won't recover.

Just finished a longish essay - long for a blog, otherwise short - on European financial regulatory reform. A fine read:

Paul Volcker, Lord Turner & the EU’s new take on the intoxicating effects of global finance « naked capitalism

"they'd rather just continue 'pan-handling'."

Wall*Street's pan-handling is just a homeless person's 'credit-hustle'...

BSR: man, how did you feel on your way home to crops in the field and no help to get them in.

And when you got home, was everything else in order or was it a Country song?

In 2001 the median house fetched 460 ounces of gold and the median price was about $115,000, a 4-to-1 ratio ounces of gold per dollar of house value. By the valuation peak in 2005 that ratio had fallen to 2.17-to-1. The boom period actually saw an overall loss in value.
Stated another way the best time to sell your home and buy gold actually occurred in 2001; you would have received twice the gold which would have seen very handsome appreciation. The truth: the boom was over by the time everyone thought it had begun.

Priced in gold, the median house bought 460 ounces of gold in 2001 and 490 ounces at the peak in 2005--a gain of 6%, considerably less than the nominal price in dollars.

Had a homeowner eschewed the blandishments of the housing bubble in 2001 and sold his/her home for 460 ounces of gold and rented for eight years, he/she could now buy a home for 160 ounces of gold and have 300 ounces in hand.

charles hugh smith-Weblog and Essays 

JD writes: "The truth: the boom was over by the time everyone thought it had begun."


Just like disco.

Re-instituting Glass Steagal is a start, but severely curbing leverage would also help.

Financial leverage (debt) absolutely soared when we left the gold standard. Why? Because with a policy of inflation in place the power of government guaranteed exponential growth was set. Financial debt (leverage) was/is a way for banks to grab the future inflation.

What happens when the anticipated future inflation (bogus credit creation) fails to materialize? The financial system starts to implode. But no worries. Central Banks the world over are always there to guarantee the banks your piece of the future inflation (senseless credit creation).

Is it any wonder while the FIRE industry has flourished while most everyone else has taken a step back financially?

Inflation should be eliminated or distributed more evenly. Perhaps it should be taxed.

Angry Saver writes: "Inflation should be eliminated or distributed more evenly. Perhaps it should be taxed."


I'm going to try to be constructive and suggest you begin reading. I have no bibliography in mind, you can even get a great deal further along in your understanding by reading articles and every single link at every single blog you frequent.

U.S. Commerce Creates Office to Boost Entrepreneurs (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

Commerce Secretary Gary Locke will announce the initiative in a speech today in Maryland, saying his department will help fledgling business owners get training, credit and access to government research, according to a copy of the remarks he is to deliver at the event.

......having the FedGov help in a small-business start-up.........now THAT'S a sure-fire money-making combination! Don't they have a few more pressing matters to contend with?

Commerce Dept Strategic Goal #1: Enhance economic growth for all Americans by developing partnerships with private sector and nongovernmental organizations.

LOL....Volker, yur a crack - up.......

Don't mind my rambling............it's the "enter your veggies in the the Harvest Festival" Day today. I'm a little "wrapped". Time to endure another "my maters are fatter than yur maters" weekend....... I hate 'em.

We used to have partners like that.

And these old biddies and bent over ex bull whackers screw up their noses and pinch, pinch, pinch, then sniff. They exchange knowing glances and shake their heads slightly. They are secure in their crown and crowning achievement from lives spent too long in the waterless void called Nevada.

ROFLOL........you've been here before........

pr wrote:

securitization can add value.

Net or to bankers? How? Please don't say long-term capital gains welfare arbitrage.

I'm with yogi. I am of the belief that the quants are the bastards that put us in the ditch.

Add value? Maybe so in a universe compelled by abstruse formulae, unbounded greed and the delusion that there is a future value of anything.

And remember--abstruse is a mighty fine word, just a bit tough to work into a conversation.

"Washington Times - Dems block GOP demand for more time"

Finally,a first step...

No sense in READING a damned spending bill before VOTING on it, nowadays........no sense in letting the voters read it as well........Hell no.......lets just pass SOMETHING....

And you guys don't have a problem with that?............

"Washington Times - Dems block GOP demand for more time" Finally,a first step...

First step to what? Serfdom?..This bill as well as Cap and Trade will be the un-gluing of this country in a big way...be very careful of what you wish for.-

You all ought to read "Eight Days" in the Sept 21 New Yorker...

It's all about the financial dominos of this time, last year~

The players are even more despicable than I had imagined.

The eight days of the financial crisis : The New Yorker

.....the delay is to allow the Congressional Budget Office to complete its final analysis on the cost and implications of the legislation.

.....what is it the Dems are afraid of - they'll wake up and realize it's NOT just all a bad dream?

Last year, HP Loancraft hit up congress for $700 Billion-detailed in a 3 page report, and congress said pound sound, so HP expanded his request out to 451 pages of financial fahrenheit and congress was overwhelmed by the thickness of it all, and told HP "Ok, you can have $787 Billion now, we appreciate your request being 448 pages longer this time".

BSR: the Dems are like the little boy who stood at the bus stop whispering into the ear of passing pretty girls. He got slapped a lot.

But when the possibility of consummation presents itself, one would rather act than think.

All things being unequal and the power in their favor, what is there to think about? Easier to act and beg forgiveness than wait and gain permission.

BSR,

Read the article. It's about voting on amendments.

Routinely during the Bush administration, Republicans offered final versions of bills, not amendments, which contained hundreds of pages and never gave Democrats a time to read the bill before Republicans forced a vote.

Walt..........I was hoping that after the last scaliwags were run out of DC, they would be replaced by a "change we can believe in" time & crew that took to heart the figurative "lopping off of heads for criminal finance-types & bankers". Imagine my disappointment.........

One thing about the New Yorker article, is it makes it very clear that King George II had nothing to do with matters financial in the dying months of a horribly failed presidency, it was all Henry Paulson's doing...

"Securitizing" is just ponziform for "securing". Triple A, super-duper senior preferred guaranteed security- backed by full faith and credit.

More syllables= greater security.

BSR writes: "Imagine my disappointment........."


Bathed in the dull light of an articulated reading lamp clamped precariously on an avovado green Barca Lounger he droops his head upon his chest and dreams a fitful dream of days ahead when uniformed strangers come visit with papers and orders and specific direction as to how he will hup-two-three-four through the rest of his life.

awaiting the jobless number pig

Oh its change BSR, from Bad to worse...but it seems acceptable to some....amazing how dumb society has become.

530k, car dealers still magically employed...

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