The next question is whether GM or Chrysler can be called a “financial institution” under
EESA. The language of the statute itself does not provide a clear answer. Although the statute
provides a list of entities that may be considered “financial institutions,” including such patently
“financial” institutions as banks, savings associations, and credit unions, it states that the
universe of what may be considered a “financial institution” includes but is “not limited to” those
on the list. The ambiguity of this list presents a challenge in determining what types of
institutions absent from the list may still be considered within the statute‟s purview.
Must_keep_score_ high because... well because without a high score you'll have to pay more for credit you shouldn't have in the first place. By paying more the banks will umm. make more money and ummm...
Okay, I give up. If you already have a mortgage and a car payment the high score "helps" you how? And let's face it. Lenders made monster mistakes relying upon scores anyway. In 2012 I can see real creditworthiness evaluations including giving you a lower risk rating if you showed in 2009 that you were smart enough to exercise intelligent default on a hopeless economic position.
Last two times I purchased a new car, I paid cash. Does that affect FICO one way or another, I wonder. Anybody know? I should know this, I used to work for FairIsaac.
One of the tragedies of the housing / credit bubble was that many people bought homes before they were financially ready - or bought homes they could not afford. Now many of these people will be soured on the home buying experience, and their credit scarred for years.
Short answer: a lot of them will. But it isn't all bad if their primary reason for 'owning' was for an 'investment'. Homes are places you live that sometimes and sometimes don't 'pay a little back'. In the course of my father's life he said he owned six homes... three he made money on and three he didn't - two of them he lost money. We've just passed through a period where for some in certain locations owning was an apparent no-brainer 'win'. Now we are back to normalcy where maybe it will pay off or maybe it won't. But the first question should be do I want to live here followed closely by can I afford it? That is probably the best thing to have come out of this crash.
Ruthless default = (Total saved in mortgage payments) > (Increased future borrowing costs due to ruthless defaulting)
My cousin recently short-saled her underwater house. Between getting it ready for sale, fee that the bank extracted and the realtor's commission, it was a push as to wether or not she would have been better off letting it go into foreclosure.
"Ruthless default"...isn't that what the financial elites did when they lost their money due to stupid mistakes and then got congress to bail them out on the backs of the American taxpayer. There isn't an ounce of credibility left in the credit system and everyone knows it.
I mean we saw that all over rust belt & fly over in the early 80s when interest rates skied & credit quality for many was crushed and sellers didn't want to cut price - they'd find a buyer willing to pay the sticker price and then contract for deed & take their chances. I am sure some did okay but also know some of those deals blew up & the 'seller' got their property back in less than pristine shape.
lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 10:25 am
If, in the future, anyone wants to sell on credit, they will have to extend
it to people with low scores, because that is all there will be.
They'll have to lend to people with low scores because they'll be the only ones willing to borrow. For all the wealth destruction it still seems there is more money looking for returns than borrowing looking for funding. That's not universal as banks are in the process of killing commercial lending. I recently loaned a local business at what I considered usurious rates bridge funding that was collateralized against October receipts. The wine business is cyclical and this would have been a no brainer for any bank even last year. Not that i mind swapping a 120 day CD <2% for double digit returns but it illustrates just how dysfunctional lending has become.
Is there bad news here? This sounds like people who should be restrained, for their own good, from the debt system for a number of years, and if the system does that, then it's working.
Sadly, I suspect the opposite -- during the heady go-go years, I recall having my credit card canceled by a bank: when I inquired, it was because my credit behavior was too good: they weren't making any damn money off of me! They wanted more balances to carry and late payments to fee.
So, the real bad news is: these people will not be kept out of the debt system -- indeed, they'll be the tasty main course during the next up-cycle in the business of debt-distribution.
There are constitutional cases that heavily restrict the use of written exams to decide employment and promotions. The old argument was that minorities were at a disadvantage when taking written exams, and the threat was enough to remove their use outside of highly technical fields. I think this year, there was a ruling that started the trend against reverse discrimination (aka majority discrimination) because minorities were getting promotions when they were clearly underperforming on the written exams. It had become so systemic that the white firemen wanted to know why they were getting passed over when everything being equal sans better test scores, minorities were getting the jobs.
Tests & Exams may make a return, but there are enough legal hurdles that it will be a slow march.
"I recall having my credit card canceled by a bank: when I inquired, it was because my credit behavior was too good: they weren't making any damn money off of me! They wanted more balances to carry and late payments to fee."
We've had our limit cut by at least one card for the same reason, I suppose. Doesn't bother us in the least. We are members of the debt-averse.
The court ruled for white firefighters in New Haven, Conn., who said city officials violated their rights when it threw out the results of a promotions test on which few minorities scored well. The case drew outsize attention because President Obama's nominee for the high court, Judge Sonia Sotomayor, had been part of a unanimous panel on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit that endorsed a lower-court ruling upholding New Haven's decision.
New Haven officials said they found themselves in a difficult position when the test results showed that no African Americans and only two Hispanics would have been eligible for promotion to the ranks of lieutenant and captain. City officials said they feared a lawsuit.
I think that buying for cash may have no effect--since credit's not involved, the transaction may not exist as far as FICO's concerned.
A friend who had owned her home for years (mortgage paid off probably in early '80's) & had only purchased motor vehicles for cash, no credit cards, had no credit record at all. When she got divorced, needed a new (as in newer used) car, her employer co-signed the car loan for her. Otherwise she wouldn't have gotten a loan, even though she'd had a checking & savings account for years & hadn't bounced any checks.
As soon as she got the car loan, she got some credit card offers, and I suggested she allege whatever information she needed to get a credit card & use it twice a year, pay off the balance, build a credit record. So now she has a credit record & when she had to replace the first used vehicle she was able to get a loan without recourse to a co-signer.
At a press conference on November 7, 2008, Tony Fratto, Deputy White House Press
Secretary in the Bush Administration, stated that:
What we have to deal with here in the federal government, though, are the rules
that – or the authorities that Congress gave us to deal with how we can assist the
automakers and other automotive component makers. And that is the section 136
auto loan program that is being administered by the Department of Energy…If
Congress has any interest in going beyond that, that‟s a decision that they‟re
going to have to make.320
The funny thing about a housing bubble is that the people most damaged by it are also the people who created and nurtured it. So in the end it actually makes sense.
Corporate "free speech" is strictly in its own interest, which is maximizing profits for it's shareholders, often at the expense of the environment, labor, and other broader interests. In addition, it would allow foreign entities a measure of influence in our political process.
Citizen AllenM (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 10:46 am
So, Dawg, if the Booj doesn't sell, you get to drink your collateral- well, there are worse things.
Indeed, win win. In this specific case the loan is against already booked shipments that are already purchased. They just don't invoice or charge ccards until shipping o it isn't even against the juice but receivables.
Trolling craigslist for a cheap vinotemp.
Gonna pickup a cheap one for under a k.
Way less than $1k these days. The "trappings" of wealth are finally starting to move to the strong hands (ours).
While Treasury (and President Bush) have made various
statements regarding their interpretations of the statute and the authority to use the TARP in this
way, it is not clear that any of these statements is sufficient to qualify as speaking with the force
of law, especially since there has not been one coherent statement but a mix of court filings, oral
argument, and statements by Treasury officials.
Treasury was instructed to act in a “commercial manner” by the White House, and
there can be no doubt that Treasury robustly defended its interests (and thus those of taxpayers)
like any other stakeholder. There is also no doubt that the other parties involved were
sophisticated and well-represented, and more than equal to intense negotiations. Some feel that
the government was too tough,506
... Preliminary Objection of the Chrysler Non-Tarp Lenders to Motion of
Debtors in Possession, Pursuant to Sections 105, 363 and 365 of the Bankruptcy Code and Bankruptcy Rules 2002,
6004 and 6006, For (I) An Order (A) Approving Bidding Procedures and Bidder Protections for the Sale of
Substantially All of the Debtors‟ Operating Asset.. blah, blah
Treasury must provide more detail about Treasury‟s corporate governance policies with
respect to the automotive companies,510 including how the government will deal with
conflicts of interest between its role as an equity holder or creditor and as regulator. In
addition, Treasury should establish policies prohibiting Treasury employees from
accepting employment with either company for a period of at least one year following the
termination of their employment at Treasury.
For example, Bush/Paulson connected people will end up running the automotive companies with Goldman and the American dream will continue, as citizens sleep.
Just received a newsletter from local friends/realtors summarizing the effect of a foreclosure or short sale. Some key notes:
Foreclosure - Ineligble for a Fannie Mae loan for 5 years if a primary residence; 7 years for Fannie Mae-backed investor loan.
. . . For other than Fannie Mae loans, standard loan application form 1003 asks if you had property foreclosed in past 7 years, which will impact future interest rates
. . . Foreclosure lowers credit score by 200-250 points and persists for an average of 3 years.
Short Sale - Ineligible for a Fannie Mae loan for 2 years
. . . Currently no short-sale related question on form 1003
. . . Effect on FICO is variable - estimates range from 50 to 200 points. - Depends greatly on how lender reports it.
I am expecting Federal regulation to change the credit scoring system.
If they are making good changes, it would include: 1. Allowing consumers to close accounts with zero balances which have been current for at least 12 months with no effect on their credit score. Putting this provision in the current calculation has lead to a de facto exit penalty for closing accounts. The accounts consumers are most likely to want to make sure they want to close out are ones where they have received poor treatment. 2. Having it take longer before people with no outstanding credit also have no credit score.
Of course, I'm concerned the opposite will happen. Foreclosures might get downgraded to less of an effect.
Re: "Now many of these people will be soured on the home buying experience, and their credit scarred for years."
This will impact the jobless recovery and as for the post-housing bubble and the re-pumping and re-priming of the current asset bubble, I would assume that the housing inventory will build and fewer people will plunge into buying McMansions.
We have to make a final decision by early 2011 because the tax forgiveness of a mortgage default expires in 2012. My spreadsheet says we will be underwater until 2019, but we were planning to stay in this house that long so it is a dilemma. The kids will probably tip us into staying and eating the losses.
So, I guess those of us in the third group: bought within our means, house not underwater, mortgage payments and bills paid on time are just chopped liver.
I have no sympathy for those getting their credit scores clobbered by poor money management. What CR calls a "tragedy" is what I call "moral hazard" when it comes to people who will have their credit score scarred for years because they couldn't do simple math to figure out what they could actually afford.
"Foreclosure - Ineligble for a Fannie Mae loan for 5 years if a primary residence; 7 years for Fannie Mae-backed investor loan.
. . . For other than Fannie Mae loans, standard loan application form 1003 asks if you had property foreclosed in past 7 years, which will impact future interest rates
. . . Foreclosure lowers credit score by 200-250 points and persists for an average of 3 years."
Our foreclosure lowered our credit score by approx 80 points, to 739/"Excellent". All our non-mortgage finance matters are perfect, and I believe that had an influence on the new score.
If TPTB want houses to be sold, and they do, eligibility for Fannie will change.
It doesn't matter to me. We lost our butts on our formerly 7-figure NorCal home and are now in another state due to job loss/change. We have no plans to buy another house for the forseeable future.
Did anyone watch "Troy Story" last night. 19-year old Barkley drove the Trojans over 80 years in the final minutes to score a come from behind victory over Ohio State in the Shoe. His second college game out of high school, he defeats an angry mob of Buckeyes.
The credit raters say they want to have a history of successfully paying debt on time (as excuse why someone who pays cash has no/poor rating.)
So, if you have been paying cash (paying on time, to the minute), and you have for many years, you are a risk even bigger than someone who has more unpaid credit debt than their income/assets.
Does this make any sense?
What they really want to know is if the credit lenders can make any money off you in interest, penalties, and fees. That's why they cancel those who pay full balance or don't borrow at all.
Mr Barber, TUC general secretary since 2003, said: "Cut the stimulus off and the economy would go into decline again. Public spending cuts will provoke a double-quick, double-dip recession.
"Unemployment could well exceed four million and it would take many years before there was any chance of returning to anything like full employment. That would scar for life a whole generation of young people."
"Unemployment could well exceed four million and it would take many years before there was any chance of returning to anything like full employment. That would scar for life a whole generation of young people."
And what will 25% unemployment do to Spain.....
You're seriously going to start seeing Spaniards emigrating to Latin America. What a switch that would be.
England followed the US and got rid of jobs that made their hands dirty and kept the high finance crooks with soiled souls. Time to get back to basic, there and here. Self sustaining economics.
I pay cash for almost everything, and pay off my credit card every month. If credit card providers want to base my access to credit on how much profit they will make from me, rather than just how certainly I will repay them, then that's fine with me. That's their prerogative. (I don't recall there being a constitutional right to equal credit.) Of course, a big determinant of their future profit is the likelihood of repayment, something that's becoming more important now, not less.
However, for institutions backstopped by the govt, the repayment issue is not an issue, of course, so they are likely to change their procedures to downplay the importance of prior failures to repay loans. This seems to have happened already, since there is no other rational explanation why a short sale's effect on your credit should be limited to a mere 2 years (as picosec reports FNM and FRE are doing). I suspect the credit rules for FNM and FRE and FHA and even many of the banks hooked up to the govt easy credit machine are being written in Chris Dodd's and Barney Frank's offices.
Ok, that's a reason for a short sale. Frankly, I've always thought
it would be better to just stay there as long as possible, if your
credit was ruined anyway.
"People have never stopped drinking wine. Not in the dark ages, certainly not in GD I, not ever."
A massively irritating wine-snob friend has hit the skids financially, and he prided himself on never letting grape juice worth less than $50 a bottle pass his lips heretofore, and in lieu of drinking cheap plonk, he's given up on wine altogether...
'England followed the US and got rid of jobs that made their hands dirty and kept the high finance crooks with soiled souls. Time to get back to basic, there and here. Self sustaining economics."
That's a great theory but having just spent the weekend in Mumbai, India, we're competing with a nation with 1 billion people, 40% of whom live on $2/day or less. There are adding 750 million people by 2050. And we're competing with that.
Myrtle Beach area golf courses stuck in sluggish economy
Vereen said he has requested the loan be extended from annual payments over just three years. "Right now it's three years and we couldn't handle that one," Vereen said. "A balloon payment and the economy kind of caught me. I'll tell you right now everything will be fine. The negotiating is nearly complete. It should be settled before the end of the month."
I don't know what he's imbibing now, but he's one of those wino alcoholics in denial, not unlike people that take gobs of prescription pills, and yet claim they don't have a drug problem...
I'll let Jim answer for himself, LL, but I'll offer a comment to help explain why attitudes like this are common here. Relatively few commenters on this board believe that an economic system can function well under the primary guidance of Adam Smith's invisible hand. So the notion that, if there is little profit in a commercial activity, it is probably not very socially useful or necessary, is not accepted by most commenters here.
LL - I have several CCs, although only use 2-3 regularly, and pay off every one every month. I've only had one cut my limit, and not that much. I have never checked my FICO but bet it's high enough that they trust me to pay and want the 2% rake on every sale.
I have no special access to the distribution of rates on credit cards. But we tend to hear the most noise about the extremes. So I'd maintain a healthy skepticism about stories saying that all rates are over 20%. For years, everyone underestimated and underpriced risk. Quite a few commenters on CR pointed that out, and bitched about it. Increasing the price for risk is tough for those who have to pay it, but it is necessary. Will it be done perfectly? No, but let's not make perfection into the enemy of the good. We can always improve the method of applying higher risk charges, but increasing them is the first step.
For individuals, it is almost always possible to reduce credit costs by..... reducing how much you borrow. Lenders control the interest rate you must pay IF you borrow. You control how much you borrow. There are always the exceptions, of course, but exceptional cases should not be allowed to form the basis for the general rules.
If I have the most recent guidelines, Fannie Mae will consider extenuating circumstances which will reduce the foreclosure impact timeframe. True hardship such as job loss, reduced pay or significant medical problem should reduce the ineligibility for a Fannie Mae to 3 years.
Ruthless default will be the 5 years, or until guidelines change.
That'd be fine if it weren't that you're talking about corporations, as opposed to humans, having "rights." And if it weren't almost impossible to stay in a hotel without showing a credit card, or rent a car, or do any number of actions that people do occasionally have to or want to perform. You don't get a real choice when it comes to having or not having a credit card.
I stay in hotels twice a year to attend meetings for some volunteer work I do. I am not paying for the room, the organization is. Even so, it's become impossible for me to get into that room without providing a credit card--allegedly in case I use any of the "extras". Which I never do. I got tired of the arguing & the games I had to play to try to get into the room without providing a card. I don't get to choose the hotel.
So just what are my "choices" here? Are they real choices? To not participate in volunteer work that I enjoy and that I'd like to think is useful?
Let me know when an increasing number of routine daily activities don't effectively require use of a credit card in one way or another --or I have effective real bargaining power with the corporation so that I can not have to provide a card to get into that hotel room --and then I'll think I have some economic rights equal to those possessed by corporations. Until then, you're talking about situations in which the parties involved do not have equal bargaining powers, and it is not a arms length transaction or anything like it.
So if you overstated income to get the loan, then you just show your actual income. If you gave your actual income to get the loan, then you just understate it now. With the political overseers of FNM and FRE and FHA and banks etc all looking for ways to reduce the impact of foreclosures on borrowers, I can see how this is a loophole big enough to drive a truck through.
Is there any way to quantify the cost of thrashing your credit score because of a short sale/foreclosure? If you own real estate that is underwater, how do you determine the break point where you're better off taking the loss vs a short sale or foreclosure?
azurite, I was answering LL's comment about high rates on credit card debt. Your point is different. You are saying (I think) that significant numbers of financially secure people are losing their last credit card. I wasn't aware of this, and it seems very odd. Why would credit card companies cut off their customers completely?
Following is the basic FHA loan qualification guidelines.
* Two Years of steady employment, preferably with same employer.
* Last two years Income should be the same or increasing.
* Credit report should typically have less than two thirty day lates in last two years with a minimum credit score of 580 or higher or no credit score at all.
* Bankruptcy's must be at least two years old, with perfect credit since discharge.
* Foreclosure's must be at least three years old, with perfect credit since.</b>
* Your new mortgage payment should be approximately 30% of your gross (before taxes) income.
mp, I am glad to hear that. I prefer paying cash, but I find myself paying with a credit card at most hotels and car rental companies. How do you avoid that?
Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman - Bloomberg.com
“In the U.S. and many other countries, the too-big-to-fail banks have become even bigger,” Stiglitz said in an interview today in Paris. “The problems are worse than they were in 2007 before the crisis.”
Thanks, TJ. So with picosec's info and yours, we can say that the entities providing 90% of the financing in the US housing market (FNM, FRE, FHA) penalize you for 2 years for a short sale, and for 3 years for a foreclosure, with possible further breaks if you show some evidence of a reduction in income, nudge, wink. Sounds pretty easy to me. Like I say, I think these rules are being written in Chris Dodd's and Barney Frank's offices, because no one who was actually going to put their own money at risk would implement rules as loose as this.
Correction: short sales are 3 years for FHA, and 2 years for FNM, FRE, per TJ
I expected to find a rash of identity theft and fake ID as a result of foreclosures (a Faux Clean Slate). I haven't heard much about it. Anybody here have any insights?
I know that some of the fraudulent loans were on stolen IDs, which the victims generally didn't figure out until later.
Credit cards have lots of utility. The nearby Costco only accepts ccards for gasoline purchases. The benefit is lower operating costs that result in lower gas prices. Use my Costco Business Amex and 3¢ more per gallon is rebated. I also appreciate the simplified record keeping.
I can use a debit card at most of those places. I also have an Amex card which is a defacto debit card to my Fidelity account. They aren't issuing any new ones of these, but it works well.
Like many others who want to pay cash, but want to have a credit rating, I pay my cable and utility bills by credit card, and have the credit card balances automatically paid each month. Works pretty well. You don't even need to carry the cards around with you. They can be left at home in a safe place if you like.
An acquaintance in O.C. short-sold both his homes in 2008 (Laguna Niguel and Lake Elsinore). His FICO lost only 60 points, and he was told by one of the servicers that this was standard.
MBS holders have a huge incentive to plant stories to discourage workouts. I suspect this well-meaning LA Times reporter has been hoodwinked by one or more PR firms.
Got pigged so I'm reposting since my ox was gored in the last set of remarks advising not to send the little darlings to higher education.
"Nuke,
When my Dad taught at City College of NY, he was expected to teach 2-3 courses a semester, plus run labs. Now, 1 course is the norm. Many professors don't even have a course every semester. And the labs are all done by grad students. This large decrease in productivity goes a long way to explain the exploding costs."
The reality hasn't changed much. Our institution's load is 4-4, although admittedly it may decrease to 4-3 next year. I'm afraid teaching load is misperceived, over-influenced by the elite Ivy League privates and Carnegie Research 1 state research schools with Top 20 football teams. But for most professors, it's probably 3-3. That's true for almost all of PhD's with whom I graduated. Attendance last summer at a chair's conference confirmed 3-3 as the average load for most of professoriate, so I'm not relying on anecdote here.
And don't pick on English majors, who are liberal arts majors and can at least read, write, and research (well, most can), a claim that can't be made for for many other majors. Engineers and science majors generally also have a good set of skills, in my experience. If you're going to deny loans to liberal arts majors, Liz, how about focusing on law school loans and your generic business majors, particularly management and finance. Don't want to bore you with the proud recipients of law degrees applying to teach as adjunct faculty over the last two years, which suggests to me they'll have a hard time paying back their law school loans.
Those of you who have an 18-22 year old, I doubt most of you are as cynical about sending your scions to college as most posters here, although there's no doubt that the generation has a rough row to hoe ahead of them. Ben Dover has the right idea: 2 yrs of community college, plus 2 years of upperlevel is still a very affordable route for the average 18-22 year old, particularly if you send them to a state school.
I might ask: what is the young generation supposed to do, in your valued experience? Blow off post K-12 and work at Burger King while waiting for blue collar manufacturing jobs to return and pay our Medicare/Social Security bills. Rrrriiiiiggggghhhtttt. I didn't hear many workable alternatives to going to college from all you pundits, at least alternatives that might offer a decent career. There are some, I know, like starting a business, but that requires capital. And having some management, tax, and other coursework would help.
"I find myself paying with a credit card at most hotels and car rental companies. How do you avoid that?"
Hotels--As I said, in the last three years the only time I had a problem was at a junky little motel in Wyoming. The gas drilling boom was in full swing and there was literally nowhere to stay. I was told they wanted a card because so many rooms had been trashed by oil people having drunken parties. I've never had a problem at a major chain or "upmarket" hotel. The higher up the prestige ladder, the more they like cash. That's my experience.
Car rentals--I don't rent cars. If I need a car, I usually get the use of a courtesy car from the local fixed base operator, or they'll give me a ride. If they don't have one, I use a taxi.
Truck rentals--I do rent trucks on the road and always use Budget. They have excellent trucks, they like cash, and they have excellent discounts. Their computer knows us.
Thanks, some investor guy, those are good tips. I will try a debit card next time I check into a hotel room, or pick up a rental car. I assumed they wouldn't allow me to do that. I assumed that they pre-authorize a higher amount on the credit card than your estimate, to cover things that are unknown in advance, such as damage.
I'm sure the data are available; I seem to recall reading that the average rate was ~15% but that was before the recent changes where the CC companies indexed their rates to beat the law changes that take effect early next year.
I assist a man managing his (meager) finances and the rate on his one active CC went from 16% to 25% when he quit paying on some other cards. He has a substantial balance ($7,000) so clearly the bank is concerned and want to recover as much as they can as soon as they can.
I'm thinking of recommending that he bail on this card. He can survive without it, but has a problem paying $160 in interest every month on his income. As I've written before, the bank is playing chicken with the borrower and I'm sure they've got models that have told them this is their optimum tactic.
"A massively irritating wine-snob friend has hit the skids financially, and he prided himself on never letting grape juice worth less than $50 a bottle pass his lips heretofore, and in lieu of drinking cheap plonk, he's given up on wine altogether..."
JD,
Due to the globalization of wine--Argentinean Malbec, etc-- there is an incredible amount of excellent wine priced at $15-20, $12-15 if you know what you're looking for in discount shops and grocery stores with sales. Drank an $18 Chianti (2005, which was the best vintage in a while) last night that was very good. French wine or California Chardonney (generally overpriced and not that good save at the $40/$50 range) are exceptions, perhaps. The Champagne region is tossing 20-25% of grapes in an attempt to prop up prices (and probably quality, admittedly).
mp, sounds like you have a corporation and a flow of business to Budget that can help you get a better (cash) deal. My personal travel is too sporadic for that, but I'll try some investor guy's trick of offering a debit card next time for hotels and rental cars.
picosec, if you or I had loaned our personal money to someone who was not paying their other cards, I suspect we'd be increasing the rate we charge them. No one likes that situation to occur, but when it does, we'd have to take care of our own interests.
"An acquaintance in O.C. short-sold both his homes in 2008 (Laguna Niguel and Lake Elsinore). His FICO lost only 60 points, and he was told by one of the servicers that this was standard.
MBS holders have a huge incentive to plant stories to discourage workouts. I suspect this well-meaning LA Times reporter has been hoodwinked by one or more PR firms."
I am not in the mortgage business, but I'd put a lot of money on zipflash being correct. The political power, pressures and incentives in lending now outweigh commercial considerations by a long shot. It's all about getting the govt to cover your defaults, and not put you out of business. The incentive therefore is to allow default rates on new loans to increase.
"I might ask: what is the young generation supposed to do, in your valued experience?"
Used to be, you entered the service. Some kids though (like our last middle one), was too fat to get in. His next choice was to work the required 20-hrs per wk in lieu of room/board.......that didn't work and he ended up walking down the driveway - thereby turning him to door #3 - whatever THAT is for him.
Most young adults are learning in a BIG hurry that being Mommy's little boy/girl doesn't work as easily any more, thereby requiring THEM to grow up in a hurry.
Dummies who remain under water for years! Get on with it because the assumption is that on a go forward basis, credit scores will mean something. I think not.
In my fall nostalgia, I keep hearing an echo of the FNM/FRE bailout and someone saying they were going to be made smaller. Broken up even. Whatever happened to that?
I simply could not imagine a new cadre of late teens going for a year or two in some organized civil service. There is a prevailing attitude amounst that/this generation has a right of entitlement and the word service means nothing more than a fast McChicken at the takeout window. (IMHO)
The one thing I like about a draft (have them fight fire, not people) is the idea that Americans could get to know one-another again, our Heinz 57 mix of humanity...
"Federal Reserve Oversight and the Failure of Riverside Bank of the Gulf Coast"
I just read this recent post of CR. He is spot-on. The failure was not just a failure of oversight of an individual bank. What was going on at these two banks, and weakening them, was going on on a vast scale in many parts of the country. The Federal Reserve failed miserably in its role as a regulator of systemic risk, and these two banks are merely small examples of that. There were many actions open to the Fed to tamp down this risk, but they did virtually nothing. In fact, they stoked the flames with easy and cheap credit policies. There were no stormy and persistent and closely contested arguments within the Fed on this issue. They didn't just fail, they missed the mark by a mile. Therefore, this weakness at the Federal Reserve can only be corrected with a thorough root-and-branch reform.
Why anyone you want an unreformed Fed to increase its influence as as systemic risk regulator is beyond me. It is so counterintuitive that I am leaning toward a belief that the motives of those advocating the increase in power are not looking to prevent a recurrence of the bad behavior that led to the recent crisis. Maybe they are even looking to perpetuate the bad behavior, by shoring up the backstops supporting it?
I agree, 2 yrs of some type of service makes sense. Two years that they don't need to look for a job. 2 yrs away from mom & dad to help them transition into adulthood. 2 yrs to figure out a bit of life before they make a desicion about an education, or marriage or kids or buying a house etc.
Several other countries do this, all for the above reasons.
CR said
"One of the tragedies of the housing / credit bubble was that many people bought homes before they were financially ready - or bought homes they could not afford. Now many of these people will be soured on the home buying experience, and their credit scarred for years."
This seems like a great minimization, equaled only the story below:
Many years ago friends were in a seedy movie theater and heard a loud voice:
Sorry, Sorry? You piss on my wife and you say you are sorry??
People wanted something they couldn't afford. So they look it any. No different then shoplifting or stealing a car. But instead of going to jail, these borrows actually have to have impared credit for a few years.
Didn't many of hey commit fraud by lying on the application?
Have you heard of anyone being jailed for mortgage fraud?
Grand theft auto can get you seven years in jail. But grand theft mortgage fraud? Oh gee they got seven yeard bad credit. And they do say they are sorry.
"...FNM/FRE bailout and someone saying they were going to be made smaller. Broken up even. Whatever happened to that?"
Counterpointer, you are too funny. FNM and FRE allow banks and others to make loans without being responsible for the future losses. And they allow voters without a pot to piss in buy $729,000 homes. Or, more accurately, they allow these voters to buy $300,000 homes for $729,000, and voters owning $300,000 homes to sell them for $729,000. And the only people who have to pay are FUTURE taxpayers. That is a winning combination. Winning combinations like that never die, and when they do appear to die, they merely rise again in a different form..
the trojans looked more frustrated and confused than I think I've seen them in the entirety of the PC era. look for two or more intra-conference chokes this year.
"Who among us here is willing to give the government two years of free service; military or civil?"
I wouldn't "want" to, because I feel as if I paid my dues but, if there was a genuine emergency, I would do so.
Anyway, I'm not talking literally "free service." They'd be paid. It just wouldn't be a lot of money.
Hell, take nursing homes for instance. There are a lot of people there who could use some companionship, or simply have the newspaper read to them. Disabled and 4F youngsters could do things like that.
The old folks would get something out of it, and the youngsters would learn something about life.
I'm already on record here as supporting a requirement for two years service to the government . . . and that obviously includes the military . . . just so long as there is no 'rich kids exemption.'
But I logged on to post OT about one of the reasons we're not seeing perp walks:
No word yet on whether it was suicide, but it may not have been given his history. The WSJ ran a couple of interesting articles on Pang and PEMGroup back in April:
Oh, c'mon, HH, 2 buck chuck was OK in the beginning, but you'd have to be roaring drunk to tolerate what they sell now. I couldn't finish the last bottle of it I bought, and I am really cheap.
exactly, HG. the current situation in mexican bordertowns is directlly attributable to the cocktail of the gringo appetite for narcotics (or, really, our puritan streak and correctional industry's political influence) and one of our few truly excellent exports, paramilitary/torture training.
That fire that took out 250 square miles on the outskirts of LA in Angeles Crest, probably had 100 years of duff buildup, which is pretty common for all of our forests in the west...
You could keep 25,000 young adults busy clearing it out, for years~
there's a great article in a recent new yorker about franzia. we bought some white for cooking and when too lazy to go get better stuff, i was pleasantly surprised. i do have some standards, too, a buddy's attempt at hefeweizen (sp?) literally went down the drain after a sip just last night.
you could, but why. even redwoods need a good burn every few generations. Angeles NF is going to be gorgeous a week after the first real rains, I plan on driving the 2 to see it.
the legal side. almost every gangster over 20 knows they're just idiot pawns. wheras the guards, pols, cops know just how sweet a solid pension is in a depression.
There's so much duff buildup, and the fire temps are so high as a result, that it's essentially sterilizing the ground in many places, where nothing will grow in the future~
"It is The Good Soldier Svejk with a small mark over the S."
Beg to report, sir, but my grandfather always said you should never argue with an Austrian, or otherwise his exalted Highness the Emperor would hear about it and it would make his piles hurt even worse, because he suffers for his people, so if the Austrians prefer to spell my name the way they want to, who am I to cause his imperial Highness any distress, since he would hear about it all the way to Vienna. Beg to report.
"Would you support a mandatory two year "service" period for those 65 and older?"
No, but I would support a voluntary one.
Older people tend to have more obligations than younger people. Just because you're 65 doesn't mean you're retired.
I can see a lot of people having their lives meaningfully disrupted by something like that.
On the other hand, I know a number of "retired" people who hate their retirement and would jump at some kind of voluntary program, especially if they received a living wage.
I know one guy who sits around all day. He won't take a Walmart job, but I think he would do something on the order of national service.
He knows he needs to get out of the house. He's told me that retirement is "killing" him.
No way will the military, IMHO, let draftees back into the service unless in some almost inconceivable national emergency it's unavoidable - but it's hard to imagine what that might be.
the presence of anything except total desert south of SLO is a minor miracle in any case. in terms of this fire, almost none of the burn area can be seen from the 210. invisible means nonexistent in LA!
As long as people over 65 are able to do the task. I would suport that.
Schools need help. Food banks, nursing homes, Lots of things the over 65 crowd could do. But the age would need to be adjusted for SS benifits, I don't get mine till 67.
......"He knows he needs to get out of the house. He's told me that retirement is "killing" him."
Hell, mp, find out if he wants to be a "cowboy-gardener" and sleep in a bunkhouse - the pay ain't that great, but the peach pie and ice cream after dinner is to die for.......
"No way will the military, IMHO, let draftees back into the service unless in some almost inconceivable national emergency it's unavoidable - but it's hard to imagine what that might be."
Pavel, I agree with you. The military would probably put up a strong resistance, and that's one of the things that frightens me.
Also, one additional item.
If I recall correctly, the Selective Service Act gives the government authority to draft men up to 65 in the event of a "national emergency."
Borrowers who defrauded lenders by lying on their mortgage application could be thrown in prison for up to 30 years and forced to pay a $1 million fine under the current federal law. But the FBI says there is no intention to pursue borrowers at this time.
In 2006, the FBI studied three million mortgage loans and found that 30 to 70 percent of early payment defaults can be linked to misrepresentations in mortgage loan applications.
The figures aren't really surprising when you consider the fact that most of the defaults occurring right now involve borrowers who have not yet seen a payment reset. It is blatantly obvious there were an overwhelming number of borrowers approved for mortgages they could not afford.
The only way for this to happen was for someone to lie on a mortgage application. Some media stories have implied that it was lenders who did the lying and that most borrowers are victims of predatory lending schemes.
The truth is that borrowers did their fair share of lying too. More than 40 percent of subprime borrowers received loans without having to document their ability to pay. The borrowers simply 'stated' their income on the mortgage applications.
Almost 60 percent of stated-loan applicants inflated their incomes by at least 50 percent, according to the Mortgage Asset Research Institute. The worst part is that everyone knew the income was being inflated. The industry even had a name for these kinds of loans--'liar's loans.'
FBI Barking Up the Wrong Tree
Although lying on a mortgage application is a federal crime, borrowers who committed mortgage fraud are low on the FBI's list of priorities. Joseph Schadler, an FBI spokesman, said investigators will be focusing on organized property flipping rings and bogus foreclosure rescue schemes instead of lying buyers.
'We're going to pick the ones that are the most egregious and have the greatest impact on the economy,' Schadler said. 'Fraud for property is less impactful on the economy than the speculative fraud where people are trying to flip homes for profit.'
"To do what, mp? How many 65 year olds can even run to a bus stop with risking a cardiac event? "
Pavel, I have no idea. I'm simply saying that, if I remember it correctly, the existing law gives them the authority, that's all.
Having said that, I had a friend who served in the Army Air Corps during WWII. He had been classed 4F because of a heart condition, but somehow ended up being drafted and was a teletype operator at Wendover, UT through the closing years of the war.
From the archives... Slate.com July 14 last year on Fannie/Freddie, see last para on hypothetical 5% default rate on FNM/FRE mtgs, a figure the esteemed author cites as "unlikely":
I'm just refreshing myself with the timeline... impending trouble, denials, experts saying all's well, rumors of assistance, failure, emergency action, lull, further action at hundreds of billions more. Wow, there's a great book in there somewhere about the public masquerade during cascading meltdowns.
And the bubblevisionaries get terse at skeptics and doomers...
As a famous personage once said, I don't care what you say about me just spell my name correctly. Perhaps it was Jaroslav Hasek again with the small mark over the s.
Sept. 14 (Bloomberg) -- China announced a probe into the alleged dumping of American auto and chicken products, two days after U.S. President Barack Obama imposed tariffs on imports of tires from the Asian nation.
Chinese industries have complained that they’re being hurt by “unfair trade practices,” the nation’s Ministry of Commerce said on its Web site yesterday. The Beijing-based ministry is also looking into subsidies for the products, it said. It didn’t specify the imports’ value.
Humbly report sir, that's why we went in the army, and why our mother's bore us-so we could be made mincemeat of when we were put in uniform, and we do it gladly because we know our bones wont rot in vain, as we shall fall for his Imperial Majesty and his Royal Family, and they'll make a few pounds of bone charcoal out of what's left of us, humbly reporting.
"...the FBI says there is no intention to pursue borrowers at this time..."
Exactly. If a million buyers committed fraud, maybe a thousand will be prosecuted and convicted, if that. It'll be just a token effort, to appease people like me who get bent out of shape when taxpayers have to provide rewards to people who lie, except the people appeased will be a little more gullible. And yes, I'd love to see the people with power in and over the financial world, who promoted the resulting bad loans, also go to jail. But along with a large group of folks from the last Administration like Greenspan and Rove, and financiers like Lehman leaders and rating agency leaders, that would mean Bernanke would be behind bars, along with Chris Dodd and Barney Frank. Hell... freeze...
"we do it gladly because we know our bones wont rot in vain, as we shall fall for his Imperial Majesty and his Royal Family"
I'm simply saying that, if there'd been a draft, there might have been several hundred thousand young people in the streets of Washington with torches when Bush announced his plan to start a war in Iraq.
A school teacher told me she filled out fake IRS forms to give to the lender. Then looked at the look on my face and told me she didn't know that was illiegal RIGHT!!!!!
Okay, it's not enough that you guys are going to leave your young people in a mountain of debt, but now you want to enslave them for two years too? I mean, okay, start the draft up if there's an actual war, but let's not get paranoid: there's no enemy on the horizon and probably won't be for many years.
You want a volunteer WPA sort of program? I can get behind that. But an absolutely needless draft? Nuts.
"A school teacher told me she filled out fake IRS forms to give to the lender. Then looked at the look on my face and told me she didn't know that was illiegal RIGHT!!!!!"
You and I know that she knew. I agree there aren't enough jails, but if instead of sending out a message that "borrowers won't be pursued", law enforcement were saying that such fraud would be pursued wherever possible, and they made a very prominent example of a few people, people like that schoolteacher would think twice next time. As it is, future generations of middle class, normally law-abiding citizens are being taught that loan fraud is a personal and private moral decision, not a risky venture that society may well expose and punish severely. There will be consequences for this new direction we are taking.
And the nice teacher has teen kids, who also know what their parents did. Great example, and the kids will grow up to understand that lieing is ok, at least when it comes to getting money.
.....instead, lets let the youngins' stay idiots.....
......quite seriously, you've never obviously seen the difference then, when a boy enters the service and comes out a man. Some of them don't EVER grow up without it.......
mp - wasn't that the point of Goldwater-Nichols, and the Weinberger / Powell doctrines? Force restructuring, and strategic posture, backed up by persistent messages from top brass that the political echelon would never again be able to enter into a major conflict without the kind of overwhelming force that would necessitate burning the political capital of reinstituting the draft? I'm not an expert by any means but have a friend in a think-tank which was doing a GN "modernization" draft bill - seemed to hinge around those issues plus integrating RMA and the post-Cold War experience.
I'll just walk backwards slowly towards the door now if that's ok with everyone...
and some men come out in body bags.
Or with life long brain injuries from an I.E.D.
Or able to return to the 'hood and teach the gangsters some urban combat tactics.
I do know that Goldwater was highly misunderstood when he ran for president. Johnson's people took his views and made him look like some kind of monster, which he wasn't.
In retrospect, I think Goldwater is beginning to receive a more sympathetic hearing. Too late now.
One thing is certain: Goldwater understood the use of military power far better than Johnson, who had little or no understanding of it.
.....instead, lets let the youngins' stay idiots.....
......quite seriously, you've never obviously seen the difference then, when a boy enters the service and comes out a man. Some of them don't EVER grow up without it.......
There are idiots in the service, and there are idiots outside the service. There are idiots everywhere.
Who are you to force someone to join the military when there's no threat to the homeland?
mp, any civil service is fine with me as well. I understand some don't cope well with what might be required of them in the armed forces - I didn't either. It sure as Hell woke my dumb ass up in a hurry and "grew me up" fast as well. Would I have done things differently? Yep, Id'a zigged when I zagged.
Agronox (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 2:34 pm
I'm not saying send them to war.Military training isn't going to hurt them. That is what many countries do. No one will invade the Swiss. Why? Because they all own rifles and have very good military training.
I'm not saying send them to war.Military training isn't going to hurt them. That is what many countries do.
But why force them? If a kid wants to go join an engineering program or a construction crew or write a book or, heck, just hitchhike around the country for a year, why force them to go through the armed forces instead? Time alone has it's way of making people grow up.
Besides, the Republic is militarized enough already, don't you think?
" I mean, okay, start the draft up if there's an actual war, but let's not get paranoid: there's no enemy on the horizon and probably won't be for many years."
Just curious, but you do know that we are presently fightling two wars...in Iraq and Afghanistan? Institute a draft, with no exemptions, so that the bankers and the politicians kids face combat, and we might be declaring victory and exiting Iraqistan sooner rather than years from now.
as cynical as it might be to say it, we need places like Afganistan to keep our troops in fighting trim, if we're going to have an Army at all. It's the real deal. How else would a soldier gain any experience that was worth a damn?
"as cynical as it might be to say it, we need places like Afganistan to keep our troops in fighting trim, if we're going to have an Army at all. It's the real deal. How else would a soldier gain any experience that was worth a damn?"
A transition time between living at home and full out on your own is not a bad thing.
Remember that the first 2 yrs of college you used to be required to live in the dorm?
How else would a soldier gain any experience that was worth a damn?
........by fighting in a declared war that can be believed in.......The last one started for us about 68-years ago. The "incursions" since haven't been thought out - no clear objective, no end game. Just illegal games started by cowards working in Washington.
I'm not a fan of mandatory service or government interfering in peoples' lives, but I think any college student who takes out student loan should have to work ~4000 hours before getting the loan. I'm back in school, doing pay-go myself, and the debt load these kids are saddling themselves with is scary.
Vietnam redux. Senator Aiken told both LBJ and Nixon to simply declare victory and leave. Both ignored his advice. In the end, the north Vietnamese forced our hand and we made, shall we say, a hasty and undignified retreat. Of course, stalling on the inevitable cost more than 50,000 American lives, untold numbers of Vietnamese, Laotian, and Cambodian lives,
abandoned MIAs, and many, many injured and broken American vets. Lots of money too, if that counts. Oh, and the demoralizing effects on the military.
mp - not sure I understand your question. All I'm saying, is it's a perfect proving ground to keep an army in shape. Skills degenerate if they are not constantly exercised. Believe me, I'm not happy about being there, but somehow leaving the Taliban to their own devices just doesn't seem like much of an option.
Could always outlaw financial assistance for college so that they aren't able to jack their tuition to keep pace with credit growth/ availablity...
But what do I know?
I worked ~30 hours a week while carrying 18 hours in college.
Got out and owed $1500.
Others I went to school with had no job, took 9 hours and maximum loans.
One of them got out with damn near 40K in loans.
"Are there some programs that pay for college already?"
Money? Money can pay for college. Earn it, save it, borrow it. Is there a concern that people can't borrow enough? I am not being snarky, I just can't discern the problem we're trying to solve.
In the strict sense, tragedy is the destruction of an individual brought about by a flaw in an otherwise decent character. It's a narrative form.
I agree with CR: the tragedy lies with those who bought homes they couldn't afford.
As to Afghanistan or Iraq functioning to temper US forces, these theaters have produced more than 300,000 civilian deaths. How does that figure in your cost/benefit analysis?
"Washington is the new Wall Street," Ross said. "No major capital transactions appear to occur without the intervention of Washington. To the degree that becomes a permanent part of the landscape is the question."
Detroit is the poster child for what large municipalities might end up looking like in the future. Italy is my nomination for the path of governance the US is following.
Italy is interesting on many levels. Birthplace of the Roman Empire, home of the RCC, accepted criminalization of a large portion of bureaucracy and society. A leader who owns the majority of mass media and has pushed through laws limiting criticisms from those he does not.(Berlusconi is the owner of three analogue television channels, various digital television channels, as well as some of the larger-circulation national news magazines.) In 2009 he formed the People of Freedom Party(has a nice ring to it) by combining two of the national parties. The list of supporting data pointing to a corporate/criminal state goes on and on. Probably the most significant point about Italy is the corruption is well known and accepted. People continue to go about their daily business and shrug. Is that our future?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silvio_Berlusconi
The need to finance wars created the bond markets. Modern finance was born. Yay us.
In theory national service is a benefit to society but the ability to abuse this mandatory service is huge and tempting. I do agree that the military services have created a relatively race free meritocracy but the key here is the all volunteer force. Funny how perspective shifts when you have to do something as opposed to wanting to do something. I value my years of military service and especially the GI Bill/college fund it provided. Downside these days is you are literally putting a value on your life. College and a future versus the chance at death or dismemberment. Unless there were forces marching across our borders I would have a hard time advocating military service under the current situations. Of course if that is your only perceived way to a better life then you roll the dice.
......I had a good friend many years ago that went to Canada instead of Nam. After touching bases and a night out drinking (in the 90s), it seemed apparent he would not have done it again the same way. His life pretty much fell apart and he finally died a drunk a dozen years ago. A very sad spur of the moment choice by a dumb young adult.
The key to downsizing our military is somehow finding jobs to replace the last upper-middle-class corporate jobs in quantity in our country, toiling for the arms merchants.
"And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you - ask what you can do for your country."
Not a huge Kennedy fan myself, but that was a damned good speech.
I'm decidedly of a libertarian bent, but I see nothing but good in a mandatory 2 years in service to the country, be it military or civil. Freedom isn't free, and there'd be far less (pardon the phrase) sheeple out there if they spent a short amount of time involved in something other than themselves.
COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) -- A study by South Carolina's Criminal Justice Academy shows that almost 20 percent of the prospective law enforcement officers in the past year could not read at a 10th-grade level.
The Post and Courier of Charleston also reported Sunday that nearly 4 percent of the 843 candidates were reading below a sixth-grade level.
Academy Director Hubert Harrell said instructors have encountered students who cannot read or comprehend the material presented to them.
Academy officials are encouraging police agencies to screen recruits for reading comprehension. Some larger agencies already do this, but smaller agencies with fewer resources often do not. The study found nearly 34 percent of the failing candidates came from departments with 50 or fewer officers.
It was my impression that the Nazi failure to invade/occupy Switzerland during WWII was because they needed the financial services the Swiss could provide and Switzerland's alpine railways. How much the Swiss cooperated with the Germans during WWII probably depends on who they thought was winning the war at the time--and the outcome was in doubt for at least 3 years, I think.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerland_during_World_War_II
Something my mother (a refugee from Austria) has impressed on me is that people really did not know which side was going to win for some time. Churchill seems to have believed that if the US was brought in, victory was more likely, although I think the Soviets had much to do with the defeat of the Axis powers.
As to Afghanistan or Iraq functioning to temper US forces, these theaters have produced more than 300,000 civilian deaths. How does that figure in your cost/benefit analysis? - burnside
I think the figure is somewhat higher than that, but most of those deaths were Sunni on Sheite(sp?), and vise-versa once Saddam was removed, who was doing quite a number on his own people, as well. The sectarian violence goes on to this day, as I am sure you are aware.
IIRC, my DI said there is a right way a wrong way and the Marine Corp way. One thing about boot camp, they operate on the assumption that you know nothing. By the way the marines were taking draftees right out the induction center in Oakland, CA.
COLUMBIA, S.C. -- U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham says Medicare recipients should cover more of their costs and Medicaid should be replaced with private care plans.
Those were part of the long-term solutions Graham said need to be considered to curtail entitlement programs that threaten the nation's financial stability. And the South Carolina Republican said they are better than President Obama's "phony" plans.
Speaking at a town hall meeting on Sunday, Graham singled out the Medicare Part B program that charges beneficiaries $96 monthly for extra coverage. But that is only a quarter of the cost. Graham said people should pay more based on their income and that some should be allowed to opt out of Medicare altogether.
Graham also wants mandatory arbitration of malpractice claims.
COLUMBIA, S.C. -- U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham says Medicare recipients should cover more of their costs and Medicaid should be replaced with private care plans.
in other news, U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham triples up on HMO stocks.
We bought a retirement condo 1 year ago. It is a disaster. We had perfect credit ratings for all of our 41 years of marriage. Yet now, at our age we are finding ourselves underwater and we can see no recourse. We were so conservative in our financial dealings, always putting a respectable down payment on any purchase, and being responsible for all our commitments, although we are one of those social 'liberal' families we now find that we cannot compete with the market. What is happening to the average American family who has always tried to 'do the right thing/'
The Swiss somehow ended up with a shitlode of gold after the war, and one of their ingenious methods of history laundering it, was to mint a tremendous quantity of 1935 20 Franc coins...
"We bought a retirement condo 1 year ago.....What is happening to the average American family who has always tried to 'do the right thing/"
lubecpat, did you borrow to buy the condo? The reason I am asking is that the typical person who plans to support themselves in retirement should be debt free by their mid 40's or so. What age are you?
barfly, yes, the figure is out of date and is, presumably, greater now.
But it refers to our uniformed combatants killing civilians, exclusive of sectarian violence. Modern warfare - after Coventry - seems to accept this with little remorse. I'm afraid I do not.
Union bank - a creation of GHWB's father (W's grandad, of course) - was convicted of trading with the enemy shortly after the war. Can you find any kind of conviction like this involving a Swiss bank?
lubecpat (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 3:45 pm
We bought a retirement condo 1 year ago. It is a disaster. We had perfect credit ratings for all of our 41 years of marriage. Yet now, at our age we are finding ourselves underwater and we can see no recourse.
What's wrong with living/retiring in the condo and paying the mortgage? None of factors that made this condo a place to live have changed have they? Underwater is only a factor if you are selling.
Vietnam widow - saw all the mistakes the US made - saw all the heroic efforts our troops made - want to make sure that the YOUNG troops are still remenbered, honored, because they were indoctrinated to believe that what they were doing in VN was a 'god-given- directive. People/Sheeple - please try to research what you are talking about.
burnside, I am in total sympathy with your sentiment. Iraq should never have happened. I see Afganistan differently, however, but I still regret civilian deaths. What do you do when the enemy uses civilians as human shields to kill our soldiers?
In the latest round of Capitol brinksmanship, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger vetoed a bill honoring Vietnam veterans and threatened to kill 72 other proposals on his desk because he said lawmakers have ignored his priority issues.
The Senate withdrew all of its 43 bills from the Republican governor's desk for temporary safekeeping. But in an act of defiance, the Assembly left on his desk a bill that would designate March 30 as "Welcome Home Vietnam Veterans Day."
on the contrary, it is a point of pride for that crew. the big smile and firm handshake given by rummy to saddam in the very week that he obviously was using chemical weapons on the battlefield shows that some traditions live on for our ruling class.
I get the anti-war point of view. I really do. But the world we live in just doesn't allow it. Sad truth. Are we to allow poppy production to go unchecked, or somehow "contain" it?
Or warlordism? These are self-perpetuating problems that don't admit of easy solutions. The jihadist ideology is unyielding. They want us dead. All of us. What do you do in the face of something like that?
Heroin is entwined in the Afghan economy. That some of the proceeds are funding all controlling interests seems to have escaped the notice of US policymakers. That, and that it is - and has been for a very long time - a fundamental prop for the agrarian economy.
Where we require farms to destroy poppy fields, poverty quickly follows. Given that warlords are the only employers currently hiring, what outcome do we expect?
American ideologues have no interest in understanding these cultures; it is the source of many blunders and, in consequence, the needless waste of many lives.
edit: What to do in the face of that? I think first and foremost, we do not become them.
Well, I guarantee you, we're not over there on a lark. This has nuclear implications, with respect to weapons in a very shaky Pakistan. Walking away just isn't an option.
re: we do not become them
that would mean a return for us to the fourth century. Not going to happen. I think as a nation we are incapable of such a vicious mindset.
Yup, in the last category.
Should default and run for the hills.
Someday this war's gonna end...
The mountains are calling and I must go.
AMF
Time for a little credit score grade inflation?
That's OK; when it comes to credit scores, we are all graded on a curve.
YLSP,
OT: My dog suggests that she go out for a nature break, but I'll read this: Link to report is here
Link to report is here
Nature calls...
The next question is whether GM or Chrysler can be called a “financial institution” under
EESA. The language of the statute itself does not provide a clear answer. Although the statute
provides a list of entities that may be considered “financial institutions,” including such patently
“financial” institutions as banks, savings associations, and credit unions, it states that the
universe of what may be considered a “financial institution” includes but is “not limited to” those
on the list. The ambiguity of this list presents a challenge in determining what types of
institutions absent from the list may still be considered within the statute‟s purview.
Must_keep_score_ high because... well because without a high score you'll have to pay more for credit you shouldn't have in the first place. By paying more the banks will umm. make more money and ummm...
Okay, I give up. If you already have a mortgage and a car payment the high score "helps" you how? And let's face it. Lenders made monster mistakes relying upon scores anyway. In 2012 I can see real creditworthiness evaluations including giving you a lower risk rating if you showed in 2009 that you were smart enough to exercise intelligent default on a hopeless economic position.
Last two times I purchased a new car, I paid cash. Does that affect FICO one way or another, I wonder. Anybody know? I should know this, I used to work for FairIsaac.
One of the tragedies of the housing / credit bubble was that many people bought homes before they were financially ready - or bought homes they could not afford. Now many of these people will be soured on the home buying experience, and their credit scarred for years.
Short answer: a lot of them will. But it isn't all bad if their primary reason for 'owning' was for an 'investment'. Homes are places you live that sometimes and sometimes don't 'pay a little back'. In the course of my father's life he said he owned six homes... three he made money on and three he didn't - two of them he lost money. We've just passed through a period where for some in certain locations owning was an apparent no-brainer 'win'. Now we are back to normalcy where maybe it will pay off or maybe it won't. But the first question should be do I want to live here followed closely by can I afford it? That is probably the best thing to have come out of this crash.
IMHO.
If, in the future, anyone wants to sell on credit, they will have to extend
it to people with low scores, because that is all there will be.
"If, in the future, anyone wants to sell on credit, they will have to extend
it to people with low scores, because that is all there will be."
You can' mean that literally, Liz.
Can you imagine somebody wigged out by their credit score in 1932?
Welcome, Brave New World
If, in the future, anyone wants to sell on credit, they will have to extend
it to people with low scores, because that is all there will be.
OR significantly lower price to increase the pool of potential buyers.
Ruthless default = (Total saved in mortgage payments) > (Increased future borrowing costs due to ruthless defaulting)
My cousin recently short-saled her underwater house. Between getting it ready for sale, fee that the bank extracted and the realtor's commission, it was a push as to wether or not she would have been better off letting it go into foreclosure.
Sooner or later Congress with mandate that credit scores not use FC and shortsales in their calculations. Probably with the support of banks as well.
"Ruthless default"...isn't that what the financial elites did when they lost their money due to stupid mistakes and then got congress to bail them out on the backs of the American taxpayer. There isn't an ounce of credibility left in the credit system and everyone knows it.
I mean we saw that all over rust belt & fly over in the early 80s when interest rates skied & credit quality for many was crushed and sellers didn't want to cut price - they'd find a buyer willing to pay the sticker price and then contract for deed & take their chances. I am sure some did okay but also know some of those deals blew up & the 'seller' got their property back in less than pristine shape.
lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 10:25 am
If, in the future, anyone wants to sell on credit, they will have to extend
it to people with low scores, because that is all there will be.
They'll have to lend to people with low scores because they'll be the only ones willing to borrow. For all the wealth destruction it still seems there is more money looking for returns than borrowing looking for funding. That's not universal as banks are in the process of killing commercial lending. I recently loaned a local business at what I considered usurious rates bridge funding that was collateralized against October receipts. The wine business is cyclical and this would have been a no brainer for any bank even last year. Not that i mind swapping a 120 day CD <2% for double digit returns but it illustrates just how dysfunctional lending has become.
Is there bad news here? This sounds like people who should be restrained, for their own good, from the debt system for a number of years, and if the system does that, then it's working.
Sadly, I suspect the opposite -- during the heady go-go years, I recall having my credit card canceled by a bank: when I inquired, it was because my credit behavior was too good: they weren't making any damn money off of me! They wanted more balances to carry and late payments to fee.
So, the real bad news is: these people will not be kept out of the debt system -- indeed, they'll be the tasty main course during the next up-cycle in the business of debt-distribution.
For what it's worth...
The time spent elsewhere 51 weeks a year when Burning Man isn't happening is referred to by Burners, as...
"The Default World"
"There isn't an ounce of credibility left in the credit system and everyone knows it."
It's the last system standing for most of us. Not all.
@ Nuke:
re: Tests & Exams
There are constitutional cases that heavily restrict the use of written exams to decide employment and promotions. The old argument was that minorities were at a disadvantage when taking written exams, and the threat was enough to remove their use outside of highly technical fields. I think this year, there was a ruling that started the trend against reverse discrimination (aka majority discrimination) because minorities were getting promotions when they were clearly underperforming on the written exams. It had become so systemic that the white firemen wanted to know why they were getting passed over when everything being equal sans better test scores, minorities were getting the jobs.
Tests & Exams may make a return, but there are enough legal hurdles that it will be a slow march.
"I recall having my credit card canceled by a bank: when I inquired, it was because my credit behavior was too good: they weren't making any damn money off of me! They wanted more balances to carry and late payments to fee."
We've had our limit cut by at least one card for the same reason, I suppose. Doesn't bother us in the least. We are members of the debt-averse.
Griggs v. Duke Power
As for the firemen: Link
The court ruled for white firefighters in New Haven, Conn., who said city officials violated their rights when it threw out the results of a promotions test on which few minorities scored well. The case drew outsize attention because President Obama's nominee for the high court, Judge Sonia Sotomayor, had been part of a unanimous panel on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit that endorsed a lower-court ruling upholding New Haven's decision.
New Haven officials said they found themselves in a difficult position when the test results showed that no African Americans and only two Hispanics would have been eligible for promotion to the ranks of lieutenant and captain. City officials said they feared a lawsuit.
I think that buying for cash may have no effect--since credit's not involved, the transaction may not exist as far as FICO's concerned.
A friend who had owned her home for years (mortgage paid off probably in early '80's) & had only purchased motor vehicles for cash, no credit cards, had no credit record at all. When she got divorced, needed a new (as in newer used) car, her employer co-signed the car loan for her. Otherwise she wouldn't have gotten a loan, even though she'd had a checking & savings account for years & hadn't bounced any checks.
As soon as she got the car loan, she got some credit card offers, and I suggested she allege whatever information she needed to get a credit card & use it twice a year, pay off the balance, build a credit record. So now she has a credit record & when she had to replace the first used vehicle she was able to get a loan without recourse to a co-signer.
When we last bought a car they did a credit check on us and the lady behind the desk said: "Well, you have a very good credit record."
"That''s good," I said, in my most idiotic Good Soldier Schweik tone of voice, receiving in return a most puzzled look.
So, Dawg, if the Booj doesn't sell, you get to drink your collateral- well, there are worse things.
Trolling craigslist for a cheap vinotemp.
Gonna pickup a cheap one for under a k.
Someday this war's gonna end...
Virtual OT:
At a press conference on November 7, 2008, Tony Fratto, Deputy White House Press
Secretary in the Bush Administration, stated that:
What we have to deal with here in the federal government, though, are the rules
that – or the authorities that Congress gave us to deal with how we can assist the
automakers and other automotive component makers. And that is the section 136
auto loan program that is being administered by the Department of Energy…If
Congress has any interest in going beyond that, that‟s a decision that they‟re
going to have to make.320
I Schweiked last week @ a drive-thru in Reno...
The person they don't allow to handle money (please pay at the 1st window, and pull up to the 2nd for your food) told me cheerfully "Have A Nice Day"
I cheerfully told her I had other plans
The funny thing about a housing bubble is that the people most damaged by it are also the people who created and nurtured it. So in the end it actually makes sense.
Corporate "free speech" is strictly in its own interest, which is maximizing profits for it's shareholders, often at the expense of the environment, labor, and other broader interests. In addition, it would allow foreign entities a measure of influence in our political process.
Citizen AllenM (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 10:46 am
So, Dawg, if the Booj doesn't sell, you get to drink your collateral- well, there are worse things.
Indeed, win win. In this specific case the loan is against already booked shipments that are already purchased. They just don't invoice or charge ccards until shipping o it isn't even against the juice but receivables.
Trolling craigslist for a cheap vinotemp.
Gonna pickup a cheap one for under a k.
Way less than $1k these days. The "trappings" of wealth are finally starting to move to the strong hands (ours).
Sometimes I wonder if the Spanish had a Mission Statement, when they were in California in the 18th Century?
"Sometimes I wonder if the Spanish had a Mission Statement, when they were in California in the 18th Century?"
I'm off to a Franciscan monastery shortly, JD, so perhaps I'll ask someone.
One more pharaoh to inter,
One more empty sepulcher -
Those who steal the pharaoh’s gold
Themselves will turn to dust and mold -
And in F'ing closing:
While Treasury (and President Bush) have made various
statements regarding their interpretations of the statute and the authority to use the TARP in this
way, it is not clear that any of these statements is sufficient to qualify as speaking with the force
of law, especially since there has not been one coherent statement but a mix of court filings, oral
argument, and statements by Treasury officials.
... Preliminary Objection of the Chrysler Non-Tarp Lenders to Motion of
Debtors in Possession, Pursuant to Sections 105, 363 and 365 of the Bankruptcy Code and Bankruptcy Rules 2002,
6004 and 6006, For (I) An Order (A) Approving Bidding Procedures and Bidder Protections for the Sale of
Substantially All of the Debtors‟ Operating Asset.. blah, blah
Maybe, maybe not.
What Congress is more likely to do is prohibit use of credit data in employment.
Too many people are getting denied work opportunities because of bad credit.
I like to advance towards a retreat a couple of times a year...
Ok, one last thing(as usual)
Treasury must provide more detail about Treasury‟s corporate governance policies with
respect to the automotive companies,510 including how the government will deal with
conflicts of interest between its role as an equity holder or creditor and as regulator. In
addition, Treasury should establish policies prohibiting Treasury employees from
accepting employment with either company for a period of at least one year following the
termination of their employment at Treasury.
For example, Bush/Paulson connected people will end up running the automotive companies with Goldman and the American dream will continue, as citizens sleep.
"Sometimes I wonder if the Spanish had a Mission Statement, when they were in California in the 18th Century?"
The Spanish mission statement was the same everywhere.
Simple, no?
Yes, can be on topic at times...
Just received a newsletter from local friends/realtors summarizing the effect of a foreclosure or short sale. Some key notes:
Foreclosure - Ineligble for a Fannie Mae loan for 5 years if a primary residence; 7 years for Fannie Mae-backed investor loan.
. . . For other than Fannie Mae loans, standard loan application form 1003 asks if you had property foreclosed in past 7 years, which will impact future interest rates
. . . Foreclosure lowers credit score by 200-250 points and persists for an average of 3 years.
Short Sale - Ineligible for a Fannie Mae loan for 2 years
. . . Currently no short-sale related question on form 1003
. . . Effect on FICO is variable - estimates range from 50 to 200 points. - Depends greatly on how lender reports it.
picosec,
Any similar info for FHA?
I am expecting Federal regulation to change the credit scoring system.
If they are making good changes, it would include: 1. Allowing consumers to close accounts with zero balances which have been current for at least 12 months with no effect on their credit score. Putting this provision in the current calculation has lead to a de facto exit penalty for closing accounts. The accounts consumers are most likely to want to make sure they want to close out are ones where they have received poor treatment. 2. Having it take longer before people with no outstanding credit also have no credit score.
Of course, I'm concerned the opposite will happen. Foreclosures might get downgraded to less of an effect.
Re: "Now many of these people will be soured on the home buying experience, and their credit scarred for years."
This will impact the jobless recovery and as for the post-housing bubble and the re-pumping and re-priming of the current asset bubble, I would assume that the housing inventory will build and fewer people will plunge into buying McMansions.
"I like to advance towards a retreat a couple of times a year..."
Bravo!
Any similar info for FHA?
No, but I'm sure the info is out there. This just "fell in my lap" at the right time.
I am also in the last category.
We have to make a final decision by early 2011 because the tax forgiveness of a mortgage default expires in 2012. My spreadsheet says we will be underwater until 2019, but we were planning to stay in this house that long so it is a dilemma. The kids will probably tip us into staying and eating the losses.
So, I guess those of us in the third group: bought within our means, house not underwater, mortgage payments and bills paid on time are just chopped liver.
I have no sympathy for those getting their credit scores clobbered by poor money management. What CR calls a "tragedy" is what I call "moral hazard" when it comes to people who will have their credit score scarred for years because they couldn't do simple math to figure out what they could actually afford.
I hate that Orwellian "Jobless Recovery" gibberish, in lieu of it... I propose
"Snow-Job Recovery"
"Foreclosure - Ineligble for a Fannie Mae loan for 5 years if a primary residence; 7 years for Fannie Mae-backed investor loan.
. . . For other than Fannie Mae loans, standard loan application form 1003 asks if you had property foreclosed in past 7 years, which will impact future interest rates
. . . Foreclosure lowers credit score by 200-250 points and persists for an average of 3 years."
Our foreclosure lowered our credit score by approx 80 points, to 739/"Excellent". All our non-mortgage finance matters are perfect, and I believe that had an influence on the new score.
If TPTB want houses to be sold, and they do, eligibility for Fannie will change.
It doesn't matter to me. We lost our butts on our formerly 7-figure NorCal home and are now in another state due to job loss/change. We have no plans to buy another house for the forseeable future.
"I have no sympathy for those getting their credit scores clobbered by poor money management."
Gee, one might come to the conclusion that the FICO score is supposed to gauge someone's ability to manage their credit.
Thanks, the data I suppose never gets to the credit data companies.
Did anyone watch "Troy Story" last night. 19-year old Barkley drove the Trojans over 80 years in the final minutes to score a come from behind victory over Ohio State in the Shoe. His second college game out of high school, he defeats an angry mob of Buckeyes.
An amazing talent out of the OC.
The credit raters say they want to have a history of successfully paying debt on time (as excuse why someone who pays cash has no/poor rating.)
So, if you have been paying cash (paying on time, to the minute), and you have for many years, you are a risk even bigger than someone who has more unpaid credit debt than their income/assets.
Does this make any sense?
What they really want to know is if the credit lenders can make any money off you in interest, penalties, and fees. That's why they cancel those who pay full balance or don't borrow at all.
Liars and thieves!
More on cash payers: you are guilty of bad credit until you prove yourself innocent by using credit.
BBC NEWS | UK | UK Politics | TUC warns of four million jobless
Mr Barber, TUC general secretary since 2003, said: "Cut the stimulus off and the economy would go into decline again. Public spending cuts will provoke a double-quick, double-dip recession.
"Unemployment could well exceed four million and it would take many years before there was any chance of returning to anything like full employment. That would scar for life a whole generation of young people."
Allen M and Rob,
craigslist | Page Not Found
250 + bottle for $950.
"Unemployment could well exceed four million and it would take many years before there was any chance of returning to anything like full employment. That would scar for life a whole generation of young people."
And what will 25% unemployment do to Spain.....
You're seriously going to start seeing Spaniards emigrating to Latin America. What a switch that would be.
Good one Mike.
craigslist | Page Not Found
$2/bottle. 100 bottles, $200.
This is like plotting median home prices over time.
England followed the US and got rid of jobs that made their hands dirty and kept the high finance crooks with soiled souls. Time to get back to basic, there and here. Self sustaining economics.
I pay cash for almost everything, and pay off my credit card every month. If credit card providers want to base my access to credit on how much profit they will make from me, rather than just how certainly I will repay them, then that's fine with me. That's their prerogative. (I don't recall there being a constitutional right to equal credit.) Of course, a big determinant of their future profit is the likelihood of repayment, something that's becoming more important now, not less.
However, for institutions backstopped by the govt, the repayment issue is not an issue, of course, so they are likely to change their procedures to downplay the importance of prior failures to repay loans. This seems to have happened already, since there is no other rational explanation why a short sale's effect on your credit should be limited to a mere 2 years (as picosec reports FNM and FRE are doing). I suspect the credit rules for FNM and FRE and FHA and even many of the banks hooked up to the govt easy credit machine are being written in Chris Dodd's and Barney Frank's offices.
This just means that banks are not very good at lending money!
People have never stopped drinking wine. Not in the dark ages, certainly
not in GD I, not ever.
Limited to 2 years? I thought it was 3.
Ok, that's a reason for a short sale. Frankly, I've always thought
it would be better to just stay there as long as possible, if your
credit was ruined anyway.
Very dark and gloomy here in allegedly sunny Fla.
"People have never stopped drinking wine. Not in the dark ages, certainly not in GD I, not ever."
A massively irritating wine-snob friend has hit the skids financially, and he prided himself on never letting grape juice worth less than $50 a bottle pass his lips heretofore, and in lieu of drinking cheap plonk, he's given up on wine altogether...
SNAFU-
'England followed the US and got rid of jobs that made their hands dirty and kept the high finance crooks with soiled souls. Time to get back to basic, there and here. Self sustaining economics."
That's a great theory but having just spent the weekend in Mumbai, India, we're competing with a nation with 1 billion people, 40% of whom live on $2/day or less. There are adding 750 million people by 2050. And we're competing with that.
So....any other ideas?
Well, Jim, I must say they are in business to make money.
I try to not do free stuff. Why shouldn't they?
He'll be back. What's he drinking in lieu of wine?
I just made a rum and coke. Haven't had one for ages.
My daughter gave me an ice cube tray last b'day.
Shapes of Titanics and icebergs.
Myrtle Beach area golf courses stuck in sluggish economy
Vereen said he has requested the loan be extended from annual payments over just three years. "Right now it's three years and we couldn't handle that one," Vereen said. "A balloon payment and the economy kind of caught me. I'll tell you right now everything will be fine. The negotiating is nearly complete. It should be settled before the end of the month."
Like these Liz?
GIN & TITONIC ICE CUBE TRAY
I don't know what he's imbibing now, but he's one of those wino alcoholics in denial, not unlike people that take gobs of prescription pills, and yet claim they don't have a drug problem...
Exactly!!
Stiglitz ripping ass this weekend:
Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman
Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman - Bloomberg.com
Stiglitz Urges End to GDP ‘Fetish’ in Favor of Broader Measures
Stiglitz Urges End to GDP ‘Fetish’ in Favor of Broader Measures - Bloomberg.com
"I try to not do free stuff. Why shouldn't they?"
I'll let Jim answer for himself, LL, but I'll offer a comment to help explain why attitudes like this are common here. Relatively few commenters on this board believe that an economic system can function well under the primary guidance of Adam Smith's invisible hand. So the notion that, if there is little profit in a commercial activity, it is probably not very socially useful or necessary, is not accepted by most commenters here.
Well cards are certainly socially useful. they are much less useful at over 20%.
Thing is, there seems to be no middle ground. Either you get ripped off, or they
cut you off.
Lots of other cute cubes on that site too gnomester. The bergs should have been bigger and fatter.
LL - I have several CCs, although only use 2-3 regularly, and pay off every one every month. I've only had one cut my limit, and not that much. I have never checked my FICO but bet it's high enough that they trust me to pay and want the 2% rake on every sale.
Yeah, you'd think the 2% was enough motivation.
"they are much less useful at over 20%"
I have no special access to the distribution of rates on credit cards. But we tend to hear the most noise about the extremes. So I'd maintain a healthy skepticism about stories saying that all rates are over 20%. For years, everyone underestimated and underpriced risk. Quite a few commenters on CR pointed that out, and bitched about it. Increasing the price for risk is tough for those who have to pay it, but it is necessary. Will it be done perfectly? No, but let's not make perfection into the enemy of the good. We can always improve the method of applying higher risk charges, but increasing them is the first step.
For individuals, it is almost always possible to reduce credit costs by..... reducing how much you borrow. Lenders control the interest rate you must pay IF you borrow. You control how much you borrow. There are always the exceptions, of course, but exceptional cases should not be allowed to form the basis for the general rules.
If I have the most recent guidelines, Fannie Mae will consider extenuating circumstances which will reduce the foreclosure impact timeframe. True hardship such as job loss, reduced pay or significant medical problem should reduce the ineligibility for a Fannie Mae to 3 years.
Ruthless default will be the 5 years, or until guidelines change.
https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/ssg/annltrs/pdf/2008/0816.pdf
Patient renter,
That'd be fine if it weren't that you're talking about corporations, as opposed to humans, having "rights." And if it weren't almost impossible to stay in a hotel without showing a credit card, or rent a car, or do any number of actions that people do occasionally have to or want to perform. You don't get a real choice when it comes to having or not having a credit card.
I stay in hotels twice a year to attend meetings for some volunteer work I do. I am not paying for the room, the organization is. Even so, it's become impossible for me to get into that room without providing a credit card--allegedly in case I use any of the "extras". Which I never do. I got tired of the arguing & the games I had to play to try to get into the room without providing a card. I don't get to choose the hotel.
So just what are my "choices" here? Are they real choices? To not participate in volunteer work that I enjoy and that I'd like to think is useful?
Let me know when an increasing number of routine daily activities don't effectively require use of a credit card in one way or another --or I have effective real bargaining power with the corporation so that I can not have to provide a card to get into that hotel room --and then I'll think I have some economic rights equal to those possessed by corporations. Until then, you're talking about situations in which the parties involved do not have equal bargaining powers, and it is not a arms length transaction or anything like it.
"reduced pay"
So if you overstated income to get the loan, then you just show your actual income. If you gave your actual income to get the loan, then you just understate it now. With the political overseers of FNM and FRE and FHA and banks etc all looking for ways to reduce the impact of foreclosures on borrowers, I can see how this is a loophole big enough to drive a truck through.
Is there any way to quantify the cost of thrashing your credit score because of a short sale/foreclosure? If you own real estate that is underwater, how do you determine the break point where you're better off taking the loss vs a short sale or foreclosure?
azurite, I was answering LL's comment about high rates on credit card debt. Your point is different. You are saying (I think) that significant numbers of financially secure people are losing their last credit card. I wasn't aware of this, and it seems very odd. Why would credit card companies cut off their customers completely?
I'm sorry, but I'm having a lot of problems understanding some of this.
I can understand borrowing money to buy a house, a building, or a large piece of equipment, but I can't understand the need for credit cards.
I travel, and sometimes a lot. Over the past three years I can only remember being challenged once about paying cash, and that was in Wyoming.
Even then, the problem was quickly resolved.
I don't get it.
FTR:
Following is the basic FHA loan qualification guidelines.
* Two Years of steady employment, preferably with same employer.
* Last two years Income should be the same or increasing.
* Credit report should typically have less than two thirty day lates in last two years with a minimum credit score of 580 or higher or no credit score at all.
* Bankruptcy's must be at least two years old, with perfect credit since discharge.
* Foreclosure's must be at least three years old, with perfect credit since.</b>
* Your new mortgage payment should be approximately 30% of your gross (before taxes) income.
mp, I am glad to hear that. I prefer paying cash, but I find myself paying with a credit card at most hotels and car rental companies. How do you avoid that?
Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman
Stiglitz Says Banking Problems Are Now Bigger Than Pre-Lehman - Bloomberg.com
“In the U.S. and many other countries, the too-big-to-fail banks have become even bigger,” Stiglitz said in an interview today in Paris. “The problems are worse than they were in 2007 before the crisis.”
Thanks, TJ. So with picosec's info and yours, we can say that the entities providing 90% of the financing in the US housing market (FNM, FRE, FHA) penalize you for 2 years for a short sale, and for 3 years for a foreclosure, with possible further breaks if you show some evidence of a reduction in income, nudge, wink. Sounds pretty easy to me. Like I say, I think these rules are being written in Chris Dodd's and Barney Frank's offices, because no one who was actually going to put their own money at risk would implement rules as loose as this.
Correction: short sales are 3 years for FHA, and 2 years for FNM, FRE, per TJ
ALSO, it looks like FHA treats short sales the same as foreclosures.
I expected to find a rash of identity theft and fake ID as a result of foreclosures (a Faux Clean Slate). I haven't heard much about it. Anybody here have any insights?
I know that some of the fraudulent loans were on stolen IDs, which the victims generally didn't figure out until later.
Credit cards have lots of utility. The nearby Costco only accepts ccards for gasoline purchases. The benefit is lower operating costs that result in lower gas prices. Use my Costco Business Amex and 3¢ more per gallon is rebated. I also appreciate the simplified record keeping.
PatientRenter,
I can use a debit card at most of those places. I also have an Amex card which is a defacto debit card to my Fidelity account. They aren't issuing any new ones of these, but it works well.
Like many others who want to pay cash, but want to have a credit rating, I pay my cable and utility bills by credit card, and have the credit card balances automatically paid each month. Works pretty well. You don't even need to carry the cards around with you. They can be left at home in a safe place if you like.
An acquaintance in O.C. short-sold both his homes in 2008 (Laguna Niguel and Lake Elsinore). His FICO lost only 60 points, and he was told by one of the servicers that this was standard.
MBS holders have a huge incentive to plant stories to discourage workouts. I suspect this well-meaning LA Times reporter has been hoodwinked by one or more PR firms.
Got pigged so I'm reposting since my ox was gored in the last set of remarks advising not to send the little darlings to higher education.
"Nuke,
When my Dad taught at City College of NY, he was expected to teach 2-3 courses a semester, plus run labs. Now, 1 course is the norm. Many professors don't even have a course every semester. And the labs are all done by grad students. This large decrease in productivity goes a long way to explain the exploding costs."
The reality hasn't changed much. Our institution's load is 4-4, although admittedly it may decrease to 4-3 next year. I'm afraid teaching load is misperceived, over-influenced by the elite Ivy League privates and Carnegie Research 1 state research schools with Top 20 football teams. But for most professors, it's probably 3-3. That's true for almost all of PhD's with whom I graduated. Attendance last summer at a chair's conference confirmed 3-3 as the average load for most of professoriate, so I'm not relying on anecdote here.
And don't pick on English majors, who are liberal arts majors and can at least read, write, and research (well, most can), a claim that can't be made for for many other majors. Engineers and science majors generally also have a good set of skills, in my experience. If you're going to deny loans to liberal arts majors, Liz, how about focusing on law school loans and your generic business majors, particularly management and finance. Don't want to bore you with the proud recipients of law degrees applying to teach as adjunct faculty over the last two years, which suggests to me they'll have a hard time paying back their law school loans.
Those of you who have an 18-22 year old, I doubt most of you are as cynical about sending your scions to college as most posters here, although there's no doubt that the generation has a rough row to hoe ahead of them. Ben Dover has the right idea: 2 yrs of community college, plus 2 years of upperlevel is still a very affordable route for the average 18-22 year old, particularly if you send them to a state school.
I might ask: what is the young generation supposed to do, in your valued experience? Blow off post K-12 and work at Burger King while waiting for blue collar manufacturing jobs to return and pay our Medicare/Social Security bills. Rrrriiiiiggggghhhtttt. I didn't hear many workable alternatives to going to college from all you pundits, at least alternatives that might offer a decent career. There are some, I know, like starting a business, but that requires capital. And having some management, tax, and other coursework would help.
"I find myself paying with a credit card at most hotels and car rental companies. How do you avoid that?"
Hotels--As I said, in the last three years the only time I had a problem was at a junky little motel in Wyoming. The gas drilling boom was in full swing and there was literally nowhere to stay. I was told they wanted a card because so many rooms had been trashed by oil people having drunken parties. I've never had a problem at a major chain or "upmarket" hotel. The higher up the prestige ladder, the more they like cash. That's my experience.
Car rentals--I don't rent cars. If I need a car, I usually get the use of a courtesy car from the local fixed base operator, or they'll give me a ride. If they don't have one, I use a taxi.
Truck rentals--I do rent trucks on the road and always use Budget. They have excellent trucks, they like cash, and they have excellent discounts. Their computer knows us.
Thanks, some investor guy, those are good tips. I will try a debit card next time I check into a hotel room, or pick up a rental car. I assumed they wouldn't allow me to do that. I assumed that they pre-authorize a higher amount on the credit card than your estimate, to cover things that are unknown in advance, such as damage.
@ patient renter - regarding CC interest rates.
I'm sure the data are available; I seem to recall reading that the average rate was ~15% but that was before the recent changes where the CC companies indexed their rates to beat the law changes that take effect early next year.
I assist a man managing his (meager) finances and the rate on his one active CC went from 16% to 25% when he quit paying on some other cards. He has a substantial balance ($7,000) so clearly the bank is concerned and want to recover as much as they can as soon as they can.
I'm thinking of recommending that he bail on this card. He can survive without it, but has a problem paying $160 in interest every month on his income. As I've written before, the bank is playing chicken with the borrower and I'm sure they've got models that have told them this is their optimum tactic.
Yes, PatientRenter, they will often authorize a fairly high amount, and then adjust the charge when you return the car or check out from your room.
"A massively irritating wine-snob friend has hit the skids financially, and he prided himself on never letting grape juice worth less than $50 a bottle pass his lips heretofore, and in lieu of drinking cheap plonk, he's given up on wine altogether..."
JD,
Due to the globalization of wine--Argentinean Malbec, etc-- there is an incredible amount of excellent wine priced at $15-20, $12-15 if you know what you're looking for in discount shops and grocery stores with sales. Drank an $18 Chianti (2005, which was the best vintage in a while) last night that was very good. French wine or California Chardonney (generally overpriced and not that good save at the $40/$50 range) are exceptions, perhaps. The Champagne region is tossing 20-25% of grapes in an attempt to prop up prices (and probably quality, admittedly).
mp, sounds like you have a corporation and a flow of business to Budget that can help you get a better (cash) deal. My personal travel is too sporadic for that, but I'll try some investor guy's trick of offering a debit card next time for hotels and rental cars.
picosec, if you or I had loaned our personal money to someone who was not paying their other cards, I suspect we'd be increasing the rate we charge them. No one likes that situation to occur, but when it does, we'd have to take care of our own interests.
It is The Good Soldier Svejk with a small mark over the S.
"An acquaintance in O.C. short-sold both his homes in 2008 (Laguna Niguel and Lake Elsinore). His FICO lost only 60 points, and he was told by one of the servicers that this was standard.
MBS holders have a huge incentive to plant stories to discourage workouts. I suspect this well-meaning LA Times reporter has been hoodwinked by one or more PR firms."
I am not in the mortgage business, but I'd put a lot of money on zipflash being correct. The political power, pressures and incentives in lending now outweigh commercial considerations by a long shot. It's all about getting the govt to cover your defaults, and not put you out of business. The incentive therefore is to allow default rates on new loans to increase.
Thank you for a reasoned, thoughtful reply.
"I might ask: what is the young generation supposed to do, in your valued experience?"
Used to be, you entered the service. Some kids though (like our last middle one), was too fat to get in. His next choice was to work the required 20-hrs per wk in lieu of room/board.......that didn't work and he ended up walking down the driveway - thereby turning him to door #3 - whatever THAT is for him.
Most young adults are learning in a BIG hurry that being Mommy's little boy/girl doesn't work as easily any more, thereby requiring THEM to grow up in a hurry.
......more on topic...........I wouldn't know my FICO score from my IQ. Haven't checked either in decades.......nor used either either!
"Used to be, you entered the service. "
I'm totally for some kind of national service. In fact, I'm probably for a return of the draft.
If there was a draft, there would be far more involvement in political affairs by young people.
Maybe some of these bullshit wars could have been avoided outright.
Anyway, professional armies frighten me.
Dummies who remain under water for years! Get on with it because the assumption is that on a go forward basis, credit scores will mean something. I think not.
Credin = Financial Imbecile
"Anyway, professional armies frighten me"
Politicians?
I agree, mp..........time to reinstate the draft. There are plenty of other voluntary work organizations available for the COs - Peace Corps, etc.
In my fall nostalgia, I keep hearing an echo of the FNM/FRE bailout and someone saying they were going to be made smaller. Broken up even. Whatever happened to that?
C
Frankly, some professional soldiers frightened me more than the politicians.
Especially the academy graduates. Some of them had political views that are not welcome in a democracy.
"time to reinstate the draft"
I simply could not imagine a new cadre of late teens going for a year or two in some organized civil service. There is a prevailing attitude amounst that/this generation has a right of entitlement and the word service means nothing more than a fast McChicken at the takeout window. (IMHO)
The one thing I like about a draft (have them fight fire, not people) is the idea that Americans could get to know one-another again, our Heinz 57 mix of humanity...
"Federal Reserve Oversight and the Failure of Riverside Bank of the Gulf Coast"
I just read this recent post of CR. He is spot-on. The failure was not just a failure of oversight of an individual bank. What was going on at these two banks, and weakening them, was going on on a vast scale in many parts of the country. The Federal Reserve failed miserably in its role as a regulator of systemic risk, and these two banks are merely small examples of that. There were many actions open to the Fed to tamp down this risk, but they did virtually nothing. In fact, they stoked the flames with easy and cheap credit policies. There were no stormy and persistent and closely contested arguments within the Fed on this issue. They didn't just fail, they missed the mark by a mile. Therefore, this weakness at the Federal Reserve can only be corrected with a thorough root-and-branch reform.
Why anyone you want an unreformed Fed to increase its influence as as systemic risk regulator is beyond me. It is so counterintuitive that I am leaning toward a belief that the motives of those advocating the increase in power are not looking to prevent a recurrence of the bad behavior that led to the recent crisis. Maybe they are even looking to perpetuate the bad behavior, by shoring up the backstops supporting it?
I agree, 2 yrs of some type of service makes sense. Two years that they don't need to look for a job. 2 yrs away from mom & dad to help them transition into adulthood. 2 yrs to figure out a bit of life before they make a desicion about an education, or marriage or kids or buying a house etc.
Several other countries do this, all for the above reasons.
"The one thing I like about a draft (have them fight fire, not people)..."
You could them a choice: national service or the military.
Personally, I think it's important to have a citizen army, to keep the professionals at bay.
Also, if young people were more involved, they'd be better citizens. They'd have skin in the game.
Did anyone else notice that Friday's close on the DOW was equal to the close on 9/11?
CR said
"One of the tragedies of the housing / credit bubble was that many people bought homes before they were financially ready - or bought homes they could not afford. Now many of these people will be soured on the home buying experience, and their credit scarred for years."
This seems like a great minimization, equaled only the story below:
Many years ago friends were in a seedy movie theater and heard a loud voice:
Sorry, Sorry? You piss on my wife and you say you are sorry??
People wanted something they couldn't afford. So they look it any. No different then shoplifting or stealing a car. But instead of going to jail, these borrows actually have to have impared credit for a few years.
Didn't many of hey commit fraud by lying on the application?
Have you heard of anyone being jailed for mortgage fraud?
Grand theft auto can get you seven years in jail. But grand theft mortgage fraud? Oh gee they got seven yeard bad credit. And they do say they are sorry.
You could even involve the 4F types and young people with disabilities.
They could learn how to make a productive use of their lives.
Sorry
People wanted something they couldn't afford. So they look it any
should read
....So they took it anyway
Who among us here is willing to give the government two years of free service; military or civil?
NOT ME!
my second thought is:
Have you talked to the youth these days?
A lot of them are dumber than a box of rocks or a bag of hammers.
"...FNM/FRE bailout and someone saying they were going to be made smaller. Broken up even. Whatever happened to that?"
Counterpointer, you are too funny. FNM and FRE allow banks and others to make loans without being responsible for the future losses. And they allow voters without a pot to piss in buy $729,000 homes. Or, more accurately, they allow these voters to buy $300,000 homes for $729,000, and voters owning $300,000 homes to sell them for $729,000. And the only people who have to pay are FUTURE taxpayers. That is a winning combination. Winning combinations like that never die, and when they do appear to die, they merely rise again in a different form..
Sorry had to step out for a while.
Can;t compete with that, that is why said self sustaining economies. Otherwise we are racing to the bottom.
the trojans looked more frustrated and confused than I think I've seen them in the entirety of the PC era. look for two or more intra-conference chokes this year.
"A lot of them are dumber than a box of rocks or a bag of hammers."
.....the perfect candidate needing a Drill Instructor as a new Mommy. They have done wonders for many troubled/untroubled youth.
The road from where we are now to a self sustainng economy is very long and frought with all kinds of disasters. The world is a smaller place now.
My trojans look hard and ready to perform!
My dad was a DI. He was a lifer and retired from the military.
Do we really want to train more gangbangers in small team urban combat?
I think not.
"Who among us here is willing to give the government two years of free service; military or civil?"
I wouldn't "want" to, because I feel as if I paid my dues but, if there was a genuine emergency, I would do so.
Anyway, I'm not talking literally "free service." They'd be paid. It just wouldn't be a lot of money.
Hell, take nursing homes for instance. There are a lot of people there who could use some companionship, or simply have the newspaper read to them. Disabled and 4F youngsters could do things like that.
The old folks would get something out of it, and the youngsters would learn something about life.
I'm already on record here as supporting a requirement for two years service to the government . . . and that obviously includes the military . . . just so long as there is no 'rich kids exemption.'
But I logged on to post OT about one of the reasons we're not seeing perp walks:
That's one way to avoid serving time.
But this one is a story that has been brewing in and around Irvine, CA for a while:
PEMGroup Founder Danny Pang, Accused of Bilking Investors, Dies
No word yet on whether it was suicide, but it may not have been given his history. The WSJ ran a couple of interesting articles on Pang and PEMGroup back in April:
Highflying Financier Faces Questions Over Fund Empire
Taiwan Banks Probe Notes From Danny Pang's Firm
Either way, when the tide goes out, you find out who's swimming naked.
mortgage fraud
Real Estate/Mortgage Fraud: Facts, Figures and Closed Cases
Federal Bureau of Investigation - Mortgage Fraud
2 buck chuck is actually shockingly not bad. not good, of course, but plenty of worse stuff sells for much, much more.
"My dad was a DI. He was a lifer and retired from the military."
josap, he's probably a fine man but drove you nuts as a teen, huh?
There is a cheap Argintinie wine at one of our markets that I really like. $5.00 is cheap for a good wine.
Oh, c'mon, HH, 2 buck chuck was OK in the beginning, but you'd have to be roaring drunk to tolerate what they sell now. I couldn't finish the last bottle of it I bought, and I am really cheap.
exactly, HG. the current situation in mexican bordertowns is directlly attributable to the cocktail of the gringo appetite for narcotics (or, really, our puritan streak and correctional industry's political influence) and one of our few truly excellent exports, paramilitary/torture training.
BSR, you have that soooo right.
Great childhood, awful teen years and good friends as adults.
Then 25% UE rate in the US is also inevitable, barring severe $ devaluation that will level the playing fields some.
That fire that took out 250 square miles on the outskirts of LA in Angeles Crest, probably had 100 years of duff buildup, which is pretty common for all of our forests in the west...
You could keep 25,000 young adults busy clearing it out, for years~
there's a great article in a recent new yorker about franzia. we bought some white for cooking and when too lazy to go get better stuff, i was pleasantly surprised. i do have some standards, too, a buddy's attempt at hefeweizen (sp?) literally went down the drain after a sip just last night.
Sometimes hard to tell who wants to avoid the end of the Drug War more- the "illegal" side or the "legal" side.
"..barring severe $ devaluation.."
I wouldn't bar a significant devaluation. It's already down quite a bit, and something in the range of 10-30% in total would make a big difference.
you could, but why. even redwoods need a good burn every few generations. Angeles NF is going to be gorgeous a week after the first real rains, I plan on driving the 2 to see it.
the legal side. almost every gangster over 20 knows they're just idiot pawns. wheras the guards, pols, cops know just how sweet a solid pension is in a depression.
Because we are talking about sending "others" to do some "sacrifice" for our common good...
"You could keep 25,000 young adults busy clearing it out, for years"
Why? That's what fires DO!
Open Question:
Would you support a mandatory two year "service" period for those 65 and older?
Here's the deal...
There's so much duff buildup, and the fire temps are so high as a result, that it's essentially sterilizing the ground in many places, where nothing will grow in the future~
The Mortgage Fraud Reporter
Mortgage and Real Estate Fraud - Home Page
"It is The Good Soldier Svejk with a small mark over the S."
Beg to report, sir, but my grandfather always said you should never argue with an Austrian, or otherwise his exalted Highness the Emperor would hear about it and it would make his piles hurt even worse, because he suffers for his people, so if the Austrians prefer to spell my name the way they want to, who am I to cause his imperial Highness any distress, since he would hear about it all the way to Vienna. Beg to report.
As a homebrewer with 10 years experience, I can say that the hefeweizen style can be difficult.
Fermentation temperatures are key.
"Would you support a mandatory two year "service" period for those 65 and older?"
No, but I would support a voluntary one.
Older people tend to have more obligations than younger people. Just because you're 65 doesn't mean you're retired.
I can see a lot of people having their lives meaningfully disrupted by something like that.
On the other hand, I know a number of "retired" people who hate their retirement and would jump at some kind of voluntary program, especially if they received a living wage.
I know one guy who sits around all day. He won't take a Walmart job, but I think he would do something on the order of national service.
He knows he needs to get out of the house. He's told me that retirement is "killing" him.
No way will the military, IMHO, let draftees back into the service unless in some almost inconceivable national emergency it's unavoidable - but it's hard to imagine what that might be.
the presence of anything except total desert south of SLO is a minor miracle in any case. in terms of this fire, almost none of the burn area can be seen from the 210. invisible means nonexistent in LA!
Beg to report, sir, but my grandfather always said you should never argue with an Austrian. . .
Chicago School, take note!
As long as people over 65 are able to do the task. I would suport that.
Schools need help. Food banks, nursing homes, Lots of things the over 65 crowd could do. But the age would need to be adjusted for SS benifits, I don't get mine till 67.
it is my least favorite style of beer, almost as bad as belgian swill, IMO, so he was as at a disadvantage to my pallet from the start
I don't know about a draft, but operating the Carousel should count as 'national service'.
......"He knows he needs to get out of the house. He's told me that retirement is "killing" him."
Hell, mp, find out if he wants to be a "cowboy-gardener" and sleep in a bunkhouse - the pay ain't that great, but the peach pie and ice cream after dinner is to die for.......
"it is my least favorite style of beer, almost as bad as belgian swill, IMO"
What was it? What do you prefer? You can't beat a 9% Belgian liter for....
Did I hear someone say swill?
I like Chimay and it come from Belgian
Chimay Brewery - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
"No way will the military, IMHO, let draftees back into the service unless in some almost inconceivable national emergency it's unavoidable - but it's hard to imagine what that might be."
Pavel, I agree with you. The military would probably put up a strong resistance, and that's one of the things that frightens me.
Also, one additional item.
If I recall correctly, the Selective Service Act gives the government authority to draft men up to 65 in the event of a "national emergency."
Just saying.
I've made some really nice Belgian Triples; at least I think so.

But the Belgian Beer catagory encompasses quite a bit of varied styles.
Beer in Belgium - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
I couldn't operate the Carousel, I would want to ride it. Maybe I can help the tiny tots stay on?
Thanks Barfly
picked this off a blog no source:
Borrowers who defrauded lenders by lying on their mortgage application could be thrown in prison for up to 30 years and forced to pay a $1 million fine under the current federal law. But the FBI says there is no intention to pursue borrowers at this time.
In 2006, the FBI studied three million mortgage loans and found that 30 to 70 percent of early payment defaults can be linked to misrepresentations in mortgage loan applications.
The figures aren't really surprising when you consider the fact that most of the defaults occurring right now involve borrowers who have not yet seen a payment reset. It is blatantly obvious there were an overwhelming number of borrowers approved for mortgages they could not afford.
The only way for this to happen was for someone to lie on a mortgage application. Some media stories have implied that it was lenders who did the lying and that most borrowers are victims of predatory lending schemes.
The truth is that borrowers did their fair share of lying too. More than 40 percent of subprime borrowers received loans without having to document their ability to pay. The borrowers simply 'stated' their income on the mortgage applications.
Almost 60 percent of stated-loan applicants inflated their incomes by at least 50 percent, according to the Mortgage Asset Research Institute. The worst part is that everyone knew the income was being inflated. The industry even had a name for these kinds of loans--'liar's loans.'
FBI Barking Up the Wrong Tree
Although lying on a mortgage application is a federal crime, borrowers who committed mortgage fraud are low on the FBI's list of priorities. Joseph Schadler, an FBI spokesman, said investigators will be focusing on organized property flipping rings and bogus foreclosure rescue schemes instead of lying buyers.
'We're going to pick the ones that are the most egregious and have the greatest impact on the economy,' Schadler said. 'Fraud for property is less impactful on the economy than the speculative fraud where people are trying to flip homes for profit.'
If I recall correctly, the Selective Service Act gives the government authority to draft men up to 65 in the event of a "national emergency."
To do what, mp? How many 65 year olds can even run to a bus stop with risking a cardiac event?
"find out if he wants to be a "cowboy-gardener" and sleep in a bunkhouse"
LOL
I'll tell him that.
Well, he knows he needs to do something. He's not getting enough exercise and he says he's drinking more than he used to.
Dangerous.
Any emergency that requires that kind of manpower is likely to be over by the time draftees are inducted, processed and trained.
But that was a kind of irish bull, wasn't it?
"To do what, mp? How many 65 year olds can even run to a bus stop with risking a cardiac event? "
Pavel, I have no idea. I'm simply saying that, if I remember it correctly, the existing law gives them the authority, that's all.
Having said that, I had a friend who served in the Army Air Corps during WWII. He had been classed 4F because of a heart condition, but somehow ended up being drafted and was a teletype operator at Wendover, UT through the closing years of the war.
True Pavel, we would have blown ourselves to bits in the 8 weeks it takes to teach a guy to shoot a rifle.
There are lots of desk jobs in the military. What do you think they do with guys waiting to retire?
From the archives... Slate.com July 14 last year on Fannie/Freddie, see last para on hypothetical 5% default rate on FNM/FRE mtgs, a figure the esteemed author cites as "unlikely":
The Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac bailout would be an incredible bargain. - By Daniel Gross - Slate Magazine
I'm just refreshing myself with the timeline... impending trouble, denials, experts saying all's well, rumors of assistance, failure, emergency action, lull, further action at hundreds of billions more. Wow, there's a great book in there somewhere about the public masquerade during cascading meltdowns.
And the bubblevisionaries get terse at skeptics and doomers...
C
As a famous personage once said, I don't care what you say about me just spell my name correctly. Perhaps it was Jaroslav Hasek again with the small mark over the s.
Looks like the trade war is warming up...
Sept. 14 (Bloomberg) -- China announced a probe into the alleged dumping of American auto and chicken products, two days after U.S. President Barack Obama imposed tariffs on imports of tires from the Asian nation.
Chinese industries have complained that they’re being hurt by “unfair trade practices,” the nation’s Ministry of Commerce said on its Web site yesterday. The Beijing-based ministry is also looking into subsidies for the products, it said. It didn’t specify the imports’ value.
China Probes ‘Unfair Trade’ in U.S. Chicken and Auto Products - Bloomberg.com
Humbly report sir, that's why we went in the army, and why our mother's bore us-so we could be made mincemeat of when we were put in uniform, and we do it gladly because we know our bones wont rot in vain, as we shall fall for his Imperial Majesty and his Royal Family, and they'll make a few pounds of bone charcoal out of what's left of us, humbly reporting.
"...the FBI says there is no intention to pursue borrowers at this time..."
Exactly. If a million buyers committed fraud, maybe a thousand will be prosecuted and convicted, if that. It'll be just a token effort, to appease people like me who get bent out of shape when taxpayers have to provide rewards to people who lie, except the people appeased will be a little more gullible. And yes, I'd love to see the people with power in and over the financial world, who promoted the resulting bad loans, also go to jail. But along with a large group of folks from the last Administration like Greenspan and Rove, and financiers like Lehman leaders and rating agency leaders, that would mean Bernanke would be behind bars, along with Chris Dodd and Barney Frank. Hell... freeze...
"we do it gladly because we know our bones wont rot in vain, as we shall fall for his Imperial Majesty and his Royal Family"
I'm simply saying that, if there'd been a draft, there might have been several hundred thousand young people in the streets of Washington with torches when Bush announced his plan to start a war in Iraq.
That's all I'm saying.
There aren't enough jails.
A school teacher told me she filled out fake IRS forms to give to the lender. Then looked at the look on my face and told me she didn't know that was illiegal RIGHT!!!!!
"He's not getting enough exercise and he says he's drinking more than he used to."
....perfect, mp........he'll get plenty of exercise, and booze gets dumped if found on the Ranch.
Okay, it's not enough that you guys are going to leave your young people in a mountain of debt, but now you want to enslave them for two years too? I mean, okay, start the draft up if there's an actual war, but let's not get paranoid: there's no enemy on the horizon and probably won't be for many years.
You want a volunteer WPA sort of program? I can get behind that. But an absolutely needless draft? Nuts.
Chinese industries have complained that they’re being hurt by “unfair trade practices,”
Crimea River
Yes mp. along wiht their Nam age parents.
These wars seem to be the wars we are prevented from seeing. Or don't want to see.
Yes a truly great book. From beginning to end a classic and in my view a most appropriate ending.
"These wars seem to be the wars we are prevented from seeing. Or don't want to see."
I would say don't want to see.
Unnecessary Draft = Chains you can believe in!
"A school teacher told me she filled out fake IRS forms to give to the lender. Then looked at the look on my face and told me she didn't know that was illiegal RIGHT!!!!!"
You and I know that she knew. I agree there aren't enough jails, but if instead of sending out a message that "borrowers won't be pursued", law enforcement were saying that such fraud would be pursued wherever possible, and they made a very prominent example of a few people, people like that schoolteacher would think twice next time. As it is, future generations of middle class, normally law-abiding citizens are being taught that loan fraud is a personal and private moral decision, not a risky venture that society may well expose and punish severely. There will be consequences for this new direction we are taking.
After 2 yrs of service they get free college. or at least 2 yrs free.
Of course she knew.
And the nice teacher has teen kids, who also know what their parents did. Great example, and the kids will grow up to understand that lieing is ok, at least when it comes to getting money.
"But an absolutely needless draft? Nuts."
.....instead, lets let the youngins' stay idiots.....
......quite seriously, you've never obviously seen the difference then, when a boy enters the service and comes out a man. Some of them don't EVER grow up without it.......
mp - wasn't that the point of Goldwater-Nichols, and the Weinberger / Powell doctrines? Force restructuring, and strategic posture, backed up by persistent messages from top brass that the political echelon would never again be able to enter into a major conflict without the kind of overwhelming force that would necessitate burning the political capital of reinstituting the draft? I'm not an expert by any means but have a friend in a think-tank which was doing a GN "modernization" draft bill - seemed to hinge around those issues plus integrating RMA and the post-Cold War experience.
I'll just walk backwards slowly towards the door now if that's ok with everyone...
C
Black Star, I don't think it needs to be military service, but there should be service.
and some men come out in body bags.
Or with life long brain injuries from an I.E.D.
Or able to return to the 'hood and teach the gangsters some urban combat tactics.
Home, we had a 'banger in my first platoon in boot..........that lasted about 2-days
the gangster kids think they live in slums with no way out.
Send them to work with people in 3rd world slums.
That may change their point of view.
and the draft should include the Senator's sons.
Counterpointer, I don't know.
I do know that Goldwater was highly misunderstood when he ran for president. Johnson's people took his views and made him look like some kind of monster, which he wasn't.
In retrospect, I think Goldwater is beginning to receive a more sympathetic hearing. Too late now.
One thing is certain: Goldwater understood the use of military power far better than Johnson, who had little or no understanding of it.
FBI says U.S. criminal gangs are using military to spread their reach | Stars and Stripes
.....instead, lets let the youngins' stay idiots.....
......quite seriously, you've never obviously seen the difference then, when a boy enters the service and comes out a man. Some of them don't EVER grow up without it.......
There are idiots in the service, and there are idiots outside the service. There are idiots everywhere.
Who are you to force someone to join the military when there's no threat to the homeland?
mp, any civil service is fine with me as well. I understand some don't cope well with what might be required of them in the armed forces - I didn't either. It sure as Hell woke my dumb ass up in a hurry and "grew me up" fast as well. Would I have done things differently? Yep, Id'a zigged when I zagged.
Agronox (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 2:34 pm
I'm not saying send them to war.Military training isn't going to hurt them. That is what many countries do. No one will invade the Swiss. Why? Because they all own rifles and have very good military training.
mp - I mean the Act, Goldwater-Nichols 1986. Lays it all out pretty plainly.
I'd never heard of Goldwater until I read Hunter Thompson. Needed some wider reading after that but it was an interesting intro.
C
Counterpointer, I'll have to read up on Goldwater-Nichols. I remember it only vaguely. You obviously know something about it, so why not lay it on us?
I'm not saying send them to war.Military training isn't going to hurt them. That is what many countries do.
But why force them? If a kid wants to go join an engineering program or a construction crew or write a book or, heck, just hitchhike around the country for a year, why force them to go through the armed forces instead? Time alone has it's way of making people grow up.
Besides, the Republic is militarized enough already, don't you think?
" I mean, okay, start the draft up if there's an actual war, but let's not get paranoid: there's no enemy on the horizon and probably won't be for many years."
Just curious, but you do know that we are presently fightling two wars...in Iraq and Afghanistan? Institute a draft, with no exemptions, so that the bankers and the politicians kids face combat, and we might be declaring victory and exiting Iraqistan sooner rather than years from now.
"Who are you to force someone to join the military......"..........
chillax - I'm not. I'm just voicing my opinion - like you.
Agronox,
Can you justify NOT wanting to support the Purple Corporate Fascist Party with low wage mandatory "service"?
fried,
What is your measurement(s) for "victory" in Iraq and Afghanistan?
as cynical as it might be to say it, we need places like Afganistan to keep our troops in fighting trim, if we're going to have an Army at all. It's the real deal. How else would a soldier gain any experience that was worth a damn?
Victory in Iraqistan is defined as having to replace hideously expensive military hardware as often as possible...
Actually winning or losing and leaving town?
Naaaaah!
"What is your measurement(s) for "victory" in Iraq and Afghanistan?"
We declare victory and leave. We can do it years from now, or we can do it now. But we will leave, and these two countries will go forward without us.
"as cynical as it might be to say it, we need places like Afganistan to keep our troops in fighting trim, if we're going to have an Army at all. It's the real deal. How else would a soldier gain any experience that was worth a damn?"
Christ, when did you graduate from West Point?
But war is good for bidness.
Just ask any "no-bid, cost plus contractor".
Military minds:
If we departed the scene in Afghanistan and Iraq, how much downsizing of the armed forces would happen?
I think we all agree on some type of "service".
A transition time between living at home and full out on your own is not a bad thing.
Remember that the first 2 yrs of college you used to be required to live in the dorm?
None as we can't afford to have these people in the job market or worse yet seeking their old jobs back.
I most definitely do NOT agree on some type of "service"; josap.
But you are welcome to volunteer all you want.
How else would a soldier gain any experience that was worth a damn?
........by fighting in a declared war that can be believed in.......The last one started for us about 68-years ago. The "incursions" since haven't been thought out - no clear objective, no end game. Just illegal games started by cowards working in Washington.
Juvenal Delinquent (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 2:51 pm
Military minds:
If we departed the scene in Afghanistan and Iraq, how much downsizing of the armed forces would happen?
We'll need them in Oakland, Oxnard and Ontario before long.
I'm not a fan of mandatory service or government interfering in peoples' lives, but I think any college student who takes out student loan should have to work ~4000 hours before getting the loan. I'm back in school, doing pay-go myself, and the debt load these kids are saddling themselves with is scary.
Vietnam redux. Senator Aiken told both LBJ and Nixon to simply declare victory and leave. Both ignored his advice. In the end, the north Vietnamese forced our hand and we made, shall we say, a hasty and undignified retreat. Of course, stalling on the inevitable cost more than 50,000 American lives, untold numbers of Vietnamese, Laotian, and Cambodian lives,
abandoned MIAs, and many, many injured and broken American vets. Lots of money too, if that counts. Oh, and the demoralizing effects on the military.
mp - not sure I understand your question. All I'm saying, is it's a perfect proving ground to keep an army in shape. Skills degenerate if they are not constantly exercised. Believe me, I'm not happy about being there, but somehow leaving the Taliban to their own devices just doesn't seem like much of an option.
Are there some programs that pay for college already? I though there were.
I most definitely do NOT agree on some type of "service"
You're no Jack Kennedy.
Ok, we don't agree.
Could always outlaw financial assistance for college so that they aren't able to jack their tuition to keep pace with credit growth/ availablity...
But what do I know?
I worked ~30 hours a week while carrying 18 hours in college.
Got out and owed $1500.
Others I went to school with had no job, took 9 hours and maximum loans.
One of them got out with damn near 40K in loans.
Nor do I wish to be, TJ.
"Are there some programs that pay for college already?"
Money? Money can pay for college. Earn it, save it, borrow it. Is there a concern that people can't borrow enough? I am not being snarky, I just can't discern the problem we're trying to solve.
Bad credit score gets you drafted?
The Spanish Civil War was a most excellent training ground for armed forces trying out new military hardware as well...
How do we help the people between 17 and 25 find jobs? Or those over 55 who need jobs after the co they worked for goes under?
There are going to be more unemployed and they are going to be unemployed for a long time.
@counterpointer
I'm going to do some reading.
All, have a good day.
In the strict sense, tragedy is the destruction of an individual brought about by a flaw in an otherwise decent character. It's a narrative form.
I agree with CR: the tragedy lies with those who bought homes they couldn't afford.
As to Afghanistan or Iraq functioning to temper US forces, these theaters have produced more than 300,000 civilian deaths. How does that figure in your cost/benefit analysis?
Guess "we" should have never taught them how to fight the Russians years ago...
Comes around, goes around.
Finance moves from Wall Street to DC.
"Washington is the new Wall Street," Ross said. "No major capital transactions appear to occur without the intervention of Washington. To the degree that becomes a permanent part of the landscape is the question."
In Shift, Wall Street Goes to Washington - washingtonpost.com
Detroit is the poster child for what large municipalities might end up looking like in the future. Italy is my nomination for the path of governance the US is following.
Italy is interesting on many levels. Birthplace of the Roman Empire, home of the RCC, accepted criminalization of a large portion of bureaucracy and society. A leader who owns the majority of mass media and has pushed through laws limiting criticisms from those he does not.(Berlusconi is the owner of three analogue television channels, various digital television channels, as well as some of the larger-circulation national news magazines.) In 2009 he formed the People of Freedom Party(has a nice ring to it) by combining two of the national parties. The list of supporting data pointing to a corporate/criminal state goes on and on. Probably the most significant point about Italy is the corruption is well known and accepted. People continue to go about their daily business and shrug. Is that our future?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silvio_Berlusconi
The need to finance wars created the bond markets. Modern finance was born. Yay us.
In theory national service is a benefit to society but the ability to abuse this mandatory service is huge and tempting. I do agree that the military services have created a relatively race free meritocracy but the key here is the all volunteer force. Funny how perspective shifts when you have to do something as opposed to wanting to do something. I value my years of military service and especially the GI Bill/college fund it provided. Downside these days is you are literally putting a value on your life. College and a future versus the chance at death or dismemberment. Unless there were forces marching across our borders I would have a hard time advocating military service under the current situations. Of course if that is your only perceived way to a better life then you roll the dice.
My .02 for the day. Ciao
Operation Cyclone - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Guess "we" should have never taught them how to fight the Russians years ago...
Gnome, I think by your tone you resent that somehow. But you did the right thing and have benefitted. Are you still angry about it and, if so, why?
///The need to finance wars created the bond markets. Modern finance was born. Yay us.
////
That's what happens when you stop pillaging.
......I had a good friend many years ago that went to Canada instead of Nam. After touching bases and a night out drinking (in the 90s), it seemed apparent he would not have done it again the same way. His life pretty much fell apart and he finally died a drunk a dozen years ago. A very sad spur of the moment choice by a dumb young adult.
The key to downsizing our military is somehow finding jobs to replace the last upper-middle-class corporate jobs in quantity in our country, toiling for the arms merchants.
Good luck with that...
Nope no resentment here.
It is hard to gauge tone over the interwebs though.
I would have thought Al Gore would have remedied that...
"And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you - ask what you can do for your country."
Not a huge Kennedy fan myself, but that was a damned good speech.
I'm decidedly of a libertarian bent, but I see nothing but good in a mandatory 2 years in service to the country, be it military or civil. Freedom isn't free, and there'd be far less (pardon the phrase) sheeple out there if they spent a short amount of time involved in something other than themselves.
////I would have thought Al Gore would have remedied that... //////
LOL
Freedom isn't free
Are you sold out of the "these colors don't run" t-shirt?
Do you have any patriotic T-shirts that are actually made in America?
"Operation Urgent Fury" is my favorite nom de guerre...
So utterly ridiculous~
".........and there'd be far less .....sheeple out there if they spent a short amount of time involved in something other than themselves."
.....I agree.
///".........and there'd be far less .....sheeple out there if they spent a short amount of time involved in something other than themselves."
.....I agree.
Third.
....time to pick 'maters..........have a great Sunday, people.......
Enjoy, BSR.
Nothing quite like the taste of a homegrown 'mater.
Nothing.
Agreed, tj.
I miss real 'maters.
OT (I think)
COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) -- A study by South Carolina's Criminal Justice Academy shows that almost 20 percent of the prospective law enforcement officers in the past year could not read at a 10th-grade level.
The Post and Courier of Charleston also reported Sunday that nearly 4 percent of the 843 candidates were reading below a sixth-grade level.
Academy Director Hubert Harrell said instructors have encountered students who cannot read or comprehend the material presented to them.
Academy officials are encouraging police agencies to screen recruits for reading comprehension. Some larger agencies already do this, but smaller agencies with fewer resources often do not. The study found nearly 34 percent of the failing candidates came from departments with 50 or fewer officers.
It was my impression that the Nazi failure to invade/occupy Switzerland during WWII was because they needed the financial services the Swiss could provide and Switzerland's alpine railways. How much the Swiss cooperated with the Germans during WWII probably depends on who they thought was winning the war at the time--and the outcome was in doubt for at least 3 years, I think.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerland_during_World_War_II
Something my mother (a refugee from Austria) has impressed on me is that people really did not know which side was going to win for some time. Churchill seems to have believed that if the US was brought in, victory was more likely, although I think the Soviets had much to do with the defeat of the Axis powers.
Look up Operation Gladio, even more interesing.
As to Afghanistan or Iraq functioning to temper US forces, these theaters have produced more than 300,000 civilian deaths. How does that figure in your cost/benefit analysis? - burnside
I think the figure is somewhat higher than that, but most of those deaths were Sunni on Sheite(sp?), and vise-versa once Saddam was removed, who was doing quite a number on his own people, as well. The sectarian violence goes on to this day, as I am sure you are aware.
MP,
IIRC, my DI said there is a right way a wrong way and the Marine Corp way. One thing about boot camp, they operate on the assumption that you know nothing. By the way the marines were taking draftees right out the induction center in Oakland, CA.
and the need to spread risk in financing slave ship operations created the equity markets and insurance companies. double yay us!
obviously, your familiarity with european geography could use some help.
OT:
COLUMBIA, S.C. -- U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham says Medicare recipients should cover more of their costs and Medicaid should be replaced with private care plans.
Those were part of the long-term solutions Graham said need to be considered to curtail entitlement programs that threaten the nation's financial stability. And the South Carolina Republican said they are better than President Obama's "phony" plans.
Speaking at a town hall meeting on Sunday, Graham singled out the Medicare Part B program that charges beneficiaries $96 monthly for extra coverage. But that is only a quarter of the cost. Graham said people should pay more based on their income and that some should be allowed to opt out of Medicare altogether.
Graham also wants mandatory arbitration of malpractice claims.
COLUMBIA, S.C. -- U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham says Medicare recipients should cover more of their costs and Medicaid should be replaced with private care plans.
We bought a retirement condo 1 year ago. It is a disaster. We had perfect credit ratings for all of our 41 years of marriage. Yet now, at our age we are finding ourselves underwater and we can see no recourse. We were so conservative in our financial dealings, always putting a respectable down payment on any purchase, and being responsible for all our commitments, although we are one of those social 'liberal' families we now find that we cannot compete with the market. What is happening to the average American family who has always tried to 'do the right thing/'
The Swiss somehow ended up with a shitlode of gold after the war, and one of their ingenious methods of history laundering it, was to mint a tremendous quantity of 1935 20 Franc coins...
"We bought a retirement condo 1 year ago.....What is happening to the average American family who has always tried to 'do the right thing/"
lubecpat, did you borrow to buy the condo? The reason I am asking is that the typical person who plans to support themselves in retirement should be debt free by their mid 40's or so. What age are you?
barfly, yes, the figure is out of date and is, presumably, greater now.
But it refers to our uniformed combatants killing civilians, exclusive of sectarian violence. Modern warfare - after Coventry - seems to accept this with little remorse. I'm afraid I do not.
Union bank - a creation of GHWB's father (W's grandad, of course) - was convicted of trading with the enemy shortly after the war. Can you find any kind of conviction like this involving a Swiss bank?
lubecpat (profile) wrote on Sun, 9/13/2009 - 3:45 pm
We bought a retirement condo 1 year ago. It is a disaster. We had perfect credit ratings for all of our 41 years of marriage. Yet now, at our age we are finding ourselves underwater and we can see no recourse.
What's wrong with living/retiring in the condo and paying the mortgage? None of factors that made this condo a place to live have changed have they? Underwater is only a factor if you are selling.
The Gnomes don't take kindly to people prying for answers to mysteries of the past...
Vietnam widow - saw all the mistakes the US made - saw all the heroic efforts our troops made - want to make sure that the YOUNG troops are still remenbered, honored, because they were indoctrinated to believe that what they were doing in VN was a 'god-given- directive. People/Sheeple - please try to research what you are talking about.
That's twice today that we Gnomes have been disrepected.

You have all been warned.
burnside, I am in total sympathy with your sentiment. Iraq should never have happened. I see Afganistan differently, however, but I still regret civilian deaths. What do you do when the enemy uses civilians as human shields to kill our soldiers?
In the latest round of Capitol brinksmanship, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger vetoed a bill honoring Vietnam veterans and threatened to kill 72 other proposals on his desk because he said lawmakers have ignored his priority issues.
The Senate withdrew all of its 43 bills from the Republican governor's desk for temporary safekeeping. But in an act of defiance, the Assembly left on his desk a bill that would designate March 30 as "Welcome Home Vietnam Veterans Day."
Schwarzenegger accepts veto dare - Sacramento Politics - California Politics | Sacramento Bee
on the contrary, it is a point of pride for that crew. the big smile and firm handshake given by rummy to saddam in the very week that he obviously was using chemical weapons on the battlefield shows that some traditions live on for our ruling class.
"What do you do when the enemy uses civilians as human shields to kill our soldiers?"
Lodge a stiff protest with the UN.
Bar the top 5 Taliban leaders from Club Med for one year. No exceptions.
Send another billion dollars to Pakistan, to fight terrorism, or... whatever they want to do with it.
barfly, I do wish that were to sum of the problem. But it isn't.
Meanwhile, the heroin trade is as large as ever.
You've heard of the Gnomes (3rd time is the charm?, HG) of Zurich?
That's what I was talking about...
Yeah, I have Juvenal.
You are safe.
for now.
Although I might be back later...
I'd like to do a heroine trade... say Eleanor Roosevelt for Madam Curie-straight up
I get the anti-war point of view. I really do. But the world we live in just doesn't allow it. Sad truth. Are we to allow poppy production to go unchecked, or somehow "contain" it?
Or warlordism? These are self-perpetuating problems that don't admit of easy solutions. The jihadist ideology is unyielding. They want us dead. All of us. What do you do in the face of something like that?
Heroin is entwined in the Afghan economy. That some of the proceeds are funding all controlling interests seems to have escaped the notice of US policymakers. That, and that it is - and has been for a very long time - a fundamental prop for the agrarian economy.
Where we require farms to destroy poppy fields, poverty quickly follows. Given that warlords are the only employers currently hiring, what outcome do we expect?
American ideologues have no interest in understanding these cultures; it is the source of many blunders and, in consequence, the needless waste of many lives.
edit: What to do in the face of that? I think first and foremost, we do not become them.
Well, I guarantee you, we're not over there on a lark. This has nuclear implications, with respect to weapons in a very shaky Pakistan. Walking away just isn't an option.
re: we do not become them