no no guys, we're fine. really.

Big Brother, Could you spare 107 billion dimes?

Hey, nudge nudge, wink wink, maybe we can take the $7 billion worth of bogus treasury sales and give it to Fannie, say no more.

Domine, domine, domine, indulgeo nos nostrum vitium quod sino nos ut servo nostrum capitale

I say pre-privatize already. Why is that not an option?

14.8 Billion. Come on.... is that worthy of a pig? My TRAIN stimulus could spend more than that in a week!

What does the word renminbi mean anyway

"Death To America!"

King County (Seattle) cancelled a bunch of jobs last week, jobs I'd noticed, didn't quite fit but kept re-appearing.
That's all gone now.
Looks like they cancelled a bunch of work-in-progress.

So NPLs up about 17% quarter over quarter? And they have common stock because...

but, isnt' the $10.7bln request from the treasury less than the request they made last time they went to the well? It's a Green Shoots i tells ya, a big fat Green Shoots

If work is so good for us, how come they have to pay us to do it?

This won't cut into Cash For Clunkers money, will it? No? Good.

Wasn't state and local spending supposed to be counter cyclical?

Hahahahahahah

Cash for Clunkers in trouble. Dealers aint gonna be so happy if the already sold a car and the trade doesn't qualify. They'll get bailed out, though. The new hang-up is that the republicans want to limit the program to incomes of less than 50K. People that make less than 50K shouldn't be getting new cars, methinks.

171B in non-performing loans? Those will all cure with the V-shaped recovery, right?

King County (Seattle) cancelled a bunch of jobs last week, jobs I'd noticed, didn't quite fit but kept re-appearing.
...............

But they have 2 stadiums and a nifty light rail to nowhere....

Liz:

If the states cut back in the good times and put money away, instead of ramping up even more, then may be it would be.

how can you have both deflation and recovery? in the same sentence no less:

"The Bank of Japan will probably forecast that declines in consumer prices will extend into 2011 even as the economy recovers, according to two people familiar with the matter."
BOJ Said to See Deflation Stretching Through 2011 (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

Holy Sh*t! ! ! !

Say they lose a third of that $171B

Guess they will be back....

The good thing is the debt is denominated in dollars.

What DOES the word renminbi mean anyway

The renminbi (simplified Chinese: 人民币; traditional Chinese: 人民幣; pinyin: rénmínbì; literally "people's currency")

From the all-knowing wiki 8-ball: Ask Wiki

AIG proved that $171 Billion in dodgy loans is not a detriment to doing business...

Remain calm, all is well~

Re: Fannie's bullshit and fraud...

how about no!
How 'bout no, you crazy Dutch bastard!

Team Obama better get its shit together and pull the plug, then put all the crooks in jail! I know, I'm dreaming... Team O will embrace this as a win-win and print as much money as it takes to fill the crooks treasure chest to the fullest capacity .... bastards!

Fannie Mae is by law and acclaimation a private company. It has no more a claim on the treasury than does say Goldman Sachs. Oh... wait. never mind.

Here is what HAS to happen. First the Stockholders are wiped out and then the bond holders are impaired to the maximum and then and only then are the taxpayers in line for a flensing [look it up].

Can I have a machine gun smiley CR? NothingburgerTicking time bomb

Based on a very rough estimate, that $171,000,000,000 in non-performing loans is about $855,000,000 per month is mortgage payments not being made.
That's like its own cash for clunkers program every month. Green shoots!

This is a good thing to have NPLs of $171.0 billion. RIght - Come on please. It has to be a good thing and beneficial to the taxpayer as well. Tell me how I am wrong.

The only leftovers from the Section 8 Years in the highest levels are Ben & Sheila, thus I would expect the blame game to concentrate upon them...

Did anyone else here start out believing Ron Paul, Mish , Jas, and KD were completely off their rockers ? Looks like
I was the delusional one.

Welcome to the C4CC: Cash for Corporate Clunkers.

flensing

........

In Vino Veritas props for archaic usage!

Nothing like throwing good money after bad, down a RAT hole, after all, it's only taxpayer's money. In fact, let me be more specific. It's so far gone, that it's not this generation's nor the children's, but grandchildren's tax payer money, and soon we shall start on the great grandchildren's.

All right, I'll look it up. It sounds like something, er, intestinal.

But they have 2 stadiums and a nifty light rail to nowhere....

I've spent much time hunting down all the non-corporate jobs. The truth is that except for money, the best job I had was for the Federal DOT. The corporate thing has been so much backstabbing and theft and robbery that I'm surprised the corporations can function at all. What's surprising is how many State, county and city jobs were still being posted up until 1-2 months ago. Oregon is still posting a ton of State jobs and the City of Seattle job postings doubled in the past two weeks.

Big news locally was that fed stimulus money will allow the city to keep the cop jobs it cut from the budget. Eeeeh haaaah!

It's so far gone, that it's not this generation's nor the children's, but grandchildren's tax payer money, and soon we shall start on the great grandchildren's.

................

Soon enough, we'll have nothing but upcoming generations who think this is just the way it's done, the way it's always been. What's to fret about?

Re; Ron Paul, Mish

They might be right, but there's still no solution. The peasants aren't with THEM like they are with the big mommy or big daddy party concept.

White House "light years" away from Fannie plan (my headline)

WASHINGTON, Aug 6 (Reuters) - The White House dismissed on Thursday a Washington Post report that U.S. officials were considering a plan to isolate failing assets held by Fannie Mae FM.N and Freddie Mac (FRE.N).

"The story out today is light years ahead of any decision-making process here," White House spokesman Robert Gibbs told reporters. "Safe to say that many senior administration economic officials learned of this proposal sometime this morning."

Did anyone else here start out believing Ron Paul, Mish , Jas, and KD were completely off their rockers ?

About what?

Mish is off his rocker with the "eliminate e-ville government stuff" but his grasp of the economics is solid.

Why don't they just F'ing explain to people, like their TaxPaying Shareholders, their Taxpayer Invetors, that they having no F'ing clue as to whatthey are doing, andthat the only reason they ever made any money (on paper) was because of F'ing fraud, as in packaging F'ing MBS and spinning off F'ing fruad in collusion with Treasury and all those other F'ing agencies that were on the take, I mean that are on the take, taking F'ing cash from American Taxpaying shareholders that are getting F'ing robber in broad daylight on a day-to F'ing basis. This is really getting F'ing old and I swear to God above, and may lightening strike you all dead (if I'm wrong) that Obama better get his F'ing crap together and distance himself from this fraud ASAP.... amen? Needs More Cowbell

Another reason why I dont have kids and dont save. There is no reason to save as currency and value is meaningless and taxes going forward and standards of living are going to drop oh my.

Munch where did you see the clunker amendments by the faux conservatives.

Why yes, I did believe that Jas was completely off his rocker and remain convinced.

How much is that in real money? (someone had to say it)

I get about 3 internal job postings a week at the state U I work for. And I thought we were in catastrophic budget straits....

Drudge had the clunkers link. I got no skillz.

Nah, the generations will not be screwed, after a while, anyway.

We will simply default and start over. Or, inflate, the chinese water torture of default.

But I just don't see how inflation is gonna happen. Without the literal helicopters hurling
money over low income areas.

Rob Dawg (homepage, profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 6:27 pm

Fannie Mae is by law and acclaimation a private company. It has no more a claim on the treasury than does say Goldman Sachs. Oh... wait. never mind.

Here is what HAS to happen. First the Stockholders are wiped out and then the bond holders are impaired to the maximum and then and only then are the taxpayers in line for a flensing [look it up].


Flensing Definition | Definition of Flensing at Dictionary.com

Re: that they having no F'ing clue as to whatthey are doing,

Somebody famous said (something like): The only great thing about the great-depression is to see how little the big-men know.

I really like Edward Gibbon's Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire. Read it as a youth, I intend to reread it with fresh eyes. It covers the Roman Empire from Hadrian to the fall of Constantinople in 1453. One snippet comes to mind: At its height, the Roman Coinage was almost pure gold/silver. By the time the Vandals sacked the western empire in 476 AD, the coinage was mostly base metal filler.

Who cares about our kids getting the bill. They will get everything they need from Mommy government. They will even get an allowance to spend! Why work and pay taxes? Cut out the middle man and give it all to the government, they will take care of you!

Re: 3 internal job postings

Cali is still hiring people too. If the Titanic was big enough, they woulda been hiring on one side and loading the life-boats on the other.

It covers the Roman Empire from Hadrian to the fall of Constantinople in 1453

A significant difference is rate of technological change.

OT, but has anybody seen the ranting and raving of Lou Dobbs against healthcare reform when it includes public health care? If you have the courage to watch him, next time a commercial that promotes healthcare reform comes on, check the bottom of the screen at the end wherein it states the ad is paid for by the American drug industry. Really enjoyed the bruhaha between Keith and Lou yesterday, great exchange. Keep it up boys!

couple points:

A lot of what they said aligns with the data Matt shared earlier - dqs rising, foreclosure pipeline clogged.

second, the reduction in credit impairments - totally seasonal. second quarter is always best, due to tax refunds + whatever measly bonus folks get these days.

in addition, many of their high risk loans are insured by the MI companies - companies that are teetering on the brink, with BB IFS ratings. do you think they are taking a haircut for the MI coverage? i doubt it, they are probably assuming they will collect on those.

on at least one of the MIs, they are not.

Triad Ordered to Defer Claims Payments by Regulator (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

Re: Q&A With Fannie Mae’s Heidi McKibben: Fannie Mae Looks at Ways to Mitigate Risks from Weaker Apt. Markets
Published: June 11, 2009
Q&A With Fannie Mae’s Heidi McKibben: Fannie Mae Looks at Ways to Mitigate Risks from Weaker Apt. Markets

"MHN: What is the update on Fannie Mae's initiative to sell more Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS)? Has the market demand for MBS normalized in the last few months?

McKibben: Our effort to revitalize the multifamily MBS market is going very well.

We have seen strong and growing demand over the course of this year for Fannie Mae's multifamily MBS by various investor types. We issued approximately $2.4 billion in MBS securities in the first quarter of 2009. We have been working to re-introduce our MBS product to the market with our flagship MBS/DUS product. We have updated our marketing materials and have worked with our lender partners to increase the flow of MBS product that is made available to the market.

This increase in activity has been well received and a majority of our business is now being delivered as an MBS execution. We have also seen significant improvement in trading levels for our MBS/DUS and have seen spreads tighten by approximately 40 to 50 basis points since March of this year. We have seen strong and growing demand over the course of this year by various investor types. "

See Code key for future text: Its not easy being green = Shi-head = Steel Toed Bunny Slipper = lieing assho-e Elmo! = lieing bastard (insert as needed)

People that make less than 50K shouldn't be getting new cars, methinks.

Probably right, but people making over 50K shouldn't be getting a subsidy.

Liz, you have new Japanese party not wanting to buy $ denominated debt.
Agency and Sovereign purchase of $ 2 T by Uncle Ben.
Chinese want to buy TIPS going forward for new issuances.
The rest of world does NOT want us to devalue our debt and want us to pay it back the hard way.
Carter bonds will make a comeback.
Deflation is baked in the cake and I agree with others time for a good ole fashioned jewish debt jubilee.

broward:

That just means we can debase faster!

"At its height, the Roman Coinage was almost pure gold/silver. By the time the Vandals sacked the western empire in 476 AD, the coinage was mostly base metal filler."

cause and effect?

Can I say this!..Can I say this! Read my Lips.

http://market-ticker.org/uploads/DebtGrowth.png

Love it when all the juicy stuff comes out after 5. Also looking at that chart I would say if your heavy on dollars and light on metals your in deep.

The new hang-up is that the republicans want to limit the program to incomes of less than 50K.

If I'm paying cash it's nobody's business what my annual income is.

The company also reported a substantial decrease in impairment losses on investment securities, which was due in part to the adoption of new accounting guidance.

So does that mean that they are using mark-to-fantasy instead of mark-to-market accounting now? What would they look like if they had to recognise the true market value of the securities?

Ever wonder what the fuss was all about in regards to alchemists trying to transmute base metals into gold?

It was perfected somewhat in terms of turning copper into silver, when technology reared it's ugly head and a crude form of electroplating copper to make it look like silver was achieved.

Around the time of Julius Caesar and for several hundred years afterwards, the denarius was about 95% pure, it took 25 of them to make 1 gold aureus.

by the 3rd Constantine Emperor in the mid 4th century, it took about 3,500 of them to make 1 gold aureus~

"Liz, you have new Japanese party not wanting to buy $ denominated debt.
Agency and Sovereign purchase of $ 2 T by Uncle Ben.
Chinese want to buy TIPS going forward for new issuances."

that find posted on Zero Hedge is HUGE. the Fed totally juiced that 7 year auction.

If that auction had failed, I am convinced it would have triggered a currency run. That may have been the end, I am not kidding.

ghostfacedinvestah:

Probably because an increasingly corrupt and autocratic ruling class killed the goose that laid the golden egg and tried to make up the shortfall (for bread, circuses and the legions) by printing, I mean debasing.

Charles Kiting (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 3:38 pm

The new hang-up is that the republicans want to limit the program to incomes of less than 50K.
If I'm paying cash it's nobody's business what my annual income is.

But you aren't paying cash. You are paying cash plus clunker plus subsidy. That means it isn't a private transaction and if you want the considerations of a private transaction then don't participate in the C$C program.

My secy said her landlord is gonna quit paying. That would be the 2nd time.

but I misunderstood, the landlord is defaulting on the the home that they are
living in, not the one she lives in. They will move into the house she lives in,
so we will obfuscate and delay and delay very wholeheartedly.

The landlord hasn't even been served yet, so this is far down the road.

Read some book not long ago about the fall of Rome. The author studied dispersal of coinage and mass-produced pottery as a benchmark for Roman influence and its decline.

He noted that as things collapsed, there was no longer a manufacturing base to supply cheap goods to the provinces, so pottery got more crude, and coinage was less evident.

No one should get any subsidy to buy a car. How bout "cash for mattresses". "Cash for blow up dolls".

RE: The new hang-up is that the republicans want to limit the program to incomes of less than 50K.

That's actually a brilliant way to kill it. If it's only THOSE LOSERS making less than 50k that benefit, the REAL Mericans will be against it (GET A JOB YOU F* HIPPIES!!!)

(I bow before their cynicism)

"Did anyone else here start out believing Ron Paul, Mish , Jas, and KD were completely off their rockers ? Looks like
I was the delusional one. "

Now you know how Neo felt.

Re: about the fall of Rome

But, don't forget, it took 500 years AND they just changed their corporate name to Italy (it was a debt for equity swap) They didn't really "fall". So we (you me) and Mish and Ron Paul won't be around when it happens here, to "clean things up".

Well, if we are buying our own stuff, does that mean it's sterilized?

I didn't understand this the first time around, in the 80s, and still don't.

"A significant difference is rate of technological change."

Right you are.

Howzabout cash for super-sized meals @ McCrapshack, but only if you can purge your previous eaten meal on the premises?

On Topic: Non-performing loans of $171B?! And nobody is responsible? Nobody has gone to jail?
Gimme a pitchfork!

it is actually quite striking- but I think that it had more do with the collapse of a market economy. As Rome went into decline it was no longer able to provide the security for people to bring their products to market. People had to start making their own stuff rather than trading for it- and the quality of everything goes down.

Howsabout finding out where these suckers live, GS people too, and start picketing them?

Rome's power, originally, was built on large, disciplined armies made up of citizens. These armies were superior and cheaper to field than their adversaries (the Carthiginians relied on mercenaries and the barbarians, fuggehtaboutit). As Rome declined, they could no longer attract citizens into the ranks. It is one thing to risk your life for the People and the Senate of Rome, but who wants to march all the way to Britain to die for some crazy emperors delusions of granduer. Anyway, they had to fill the ranks with mercenaries and barbarians who cared only for their pay and were loyal only to their generals. This imposed massive costs that the state could only service by debasing the currency. This contributed to the fall.

notarealamerican:

Originally, they changed their name to Byzantium. Italy came later.

That just means we can debase faster!

Exactly my point. Seriously, The System is constrained by consumption (among other things). That's one reason the numbers have gotten so ridiculous. We've had enormous productivity gains over the past 150 years which the Romans didn't have.

I'm amazed at how blase the public (and world) is about the Internet. In FIFTEEN years, we've gone from almost zero access to 2 billion people with instant, almost costless access to almost all music, movies, scientific knowledge. I can not believe I can video-conference China with an iPhone from almost anywhere in the US for pennies.

That's a phenomenal change.

As Rome went into decline it was no longer able to provide the security for people to bring their products to market.

................

That's right...reminds me of other parts of that book....people's pay would not arrive, and the delegates sent to fetch it never came back. Why bother participating in the system if it was broken?

Climate change was also an issue in Ancient Rome. Ostia was it's main harbor, and now it's a few miles from actual water...

I understand that Rome didn't really fall on the historically appointed date; that
was a canard published by Justinian, (name correct?) who had his very good
general Belasarious march up and down Italy, destroying things. One of J's
author-minions published the earlier date, and it stuck.

There are a serious of alternate history scifi books about Belasarius.

http://www.fanniemae.com/mbs/pdf/MBS_ancillary_report1q09.pdf

Fannie Mae's DUS program has been the company's primary multifamily lending platform for twenty years. Fannie Mae DUS lenders were responsible for over 90% of the Fannie Mae multifamily debt business in 2008
Media: News Releases > Fannie Mae Announces its Top Originators of Multifamily Debt for 2008

Who The F is RED CAPITAL GROUP is a Comprehensive Capital Provider for Multifamily Housing, Health Care and Real Estate Industries ??

RED CAPITAL GROUP, a PNC Financial Services Group company, is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, employs approximately 250 people and maintains twelve offices nationwide. Since 1990, the bankers of RED CAPITAL GROUP have provided over $46 billion in taxable and tax-exempt first mortgage debt, mezzanine level capital and equity to multifamily, seniors housing, health care, and other real estate properties nationwide. In addition, Red Mortgage Capital, Inc. services more than $20 billion of income property mortgage loans.
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (http://www.pnc.com) is one of the nation's largest diversified financial services organizations providing retail and business banking; specialized services for corporations and government entities, including corporate banking, real estate finance and asset-based lending; wealth management; asset management and global fund services

Ahhhh shit, I give up...... Steel Toed Bunny Slipper

But you aren't paying cash. You are paying cash plus clunker plus subsidy. That means it isn't a private transaction and if you want the considerations of a private transaction then don't participate in the C$C program.

They either want my money or they don't.

killed the goose that laid the golden egg and tried to make up the shortfall (for bread, circuses and the legions) by printing,

Except that we're not in the middle of a shortfall.
Until 2008, there was a ton of stuff being made.
Houses, cars, junk from China, food from everywhere.
.
.
It's likely that the Feds did juice the 7-year auction.
That just confirms to me that the situation isn't anywhere near what it looks like.
I watched this with Greenspan in the early 1990s, I totally misjudged the banking collapse situation and the Fed's reaction.


Nuke (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 6:48 pm

Rome's power, originally, was built on large, disciplined armies made up of citizens. These armies were superior and cheaper to field than their adversaries (the Carthiginians relied on mercenaries and the barbarians, fuggehtaboutit). As Rome declined, they could no longer attract citizens into the ranks.

The Carthaginians relied on Hannibal's skills as a general; he was one of the all time greats. I suspect that Rome declined because they could no longer attract citizens to the army, and not the other way around. At least that's what taught in military history.

"He noted that as things collapsed, there was no longer a manufacturing base to supply cheap goods to the provinces, so pottery got more crude, and coinage was less evident."

The fall of Rome is such a complex subject that I admire anyone who can make a rational theory out of the process. Fernand Braudel, the French historian, even disputed whether the fall was any more than a very prolonged dissipation, at least around the Mediterranean. Certain aspects of trade went on for centuries. Others will write that the Empire merely adjourned to Constantinople, and did not fall until 1453.

Ecological factors, epidemiology and climate change, demographics all have to be taken into account. Transport and communications remained in the Iron Age form of development. Northern Europe moved into political dominance. The records are not all that voluminous.

"That's a phenomenal change."

Quite right.

"We are dependent on the continued support of Treasury in order to continue operating our business," Fannie Mae said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing late Thursday.

Stuff is moving too fast this afternoon.

Can't....breathe....

I always feel bad for the poor Brits who got used to hot baths.....one day they just didn't work, and nobody was left who knew how to run them.....

Re: picketing them

PICKETING? This is a total LOSER of an idea in Merica. Let war-game this idea:

YOU start picketing.

Faux News finds out. Breaking: LIBERAL LAWYER LIZ PICKETS HONEST HARDWORKING BUSINESS MEN OF MERICA.

O' Riley (sp): Liz is a Lawyer, Lawyers are LIBERALS, Liberals PICKET. Liberals LIKE THOSE PEOPLE, YOU FIGURE IT OUT !!!

Typical dumbass Faux News watcher: Hears: “THOSE PEOPLE” in his tiny brain. Neurons fire, bring up images of THOSE PEOPLE. FEAR AND PANIC hit.

You immediately have 40% of the population against you.

"We are dependent on the continued support of Treasury in order to continue operating our business," Fannie Mae said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing late Thursday."

Stunning.

I prefer talks about the fall of the Incan Empire over those of Rome. Please start talking about the fall of the Incan Empire. It is so much more interesting.

I believe there was a bout of bubonic plague in there in the 3rd? 4th? century.

Come on peeps, this is retarded! Wake the F up and call someone, call or yell out your window, bitch to your mafia-linked Congressperson....

Re: $14.8 Billion Loss, Requests $10.7 Billion from Treasury

Re: The Enron Corporation, the nation's leading wholesale electricity marketer and natural gas trader, posted a third-quarter loss yesterday because of more than $1 billion in one-time charges for various businesses.

Enron was a BIG deal, why is this NOT a big deal? Why are we going to bail out more crooks???? Reward them, help them take more??? WTF??

"NPLs of $171.0 billion. Wow."

Any idea what their traditional loss rate is on NPLs? Guessing somewhere near 50%, that would translate into $85 billion in future losses to come... Wow.

Hsnk Greenberg got hit with a $15 million fine by the SEC, but no jail time...

It's like letting them get away with murder, and nailing em' on jaywalking charges instead~

The Incans were really weird in their social arrangements.

"Any idea what their traditional loss rate is on NPLs? Guessing somewhere near 50%"

In normal times, that is about right.

Today? With no equity to bail you out?

You guess is as good as mine.

Would you like to buy a car that's going to be built in the next month?

Carmakers rush to replenish depleted dealer stocks

Did Incans have an expiration date on the bottom?

nuke
im listening to the decline and fall of the roman empire. on vol 1 book 4 or 5. good narator. it isnt a bedtime story but it is good.

pavel:

Agree. rome did not fall for one reason; it was a tragic confluence of events.

JD:

Rome's problem was cooling. As Gibbon points out, it got colder in the 300-400 AD period. The rivers forming many of Rome's natural boundaries froze in the winter, allowing Germanic hordes to cross and plunder at will.

Rome's fall also underscores the importance of having a powerful and relatively benign hegemon to maintain order, keep the sea lanes open, etc. We won;t be filling this role much longer. Lets just hope the Chinese are quick studies and aren't too abusive.

Don't forget lead poisoning!

Don't forget lead poisoning!

Don't worry, that part is coming soon.
Mostly for bankers. Smile

Higher class Incans got all the women; lower class Incans got none.
Fooling around severely punished. Very regimented.

Doc Holiday (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 6:57 pm replyIgnore userCome on peeps, this is retarded! Wake the F up and call someone, call or yell out your window, bitch to your mafia-linked Congressperson....

Won't do any good. They have no choice but to continue to fund, prop up the US housing market. Can't reflate without it.

The only leftovers from the Section 8 Years in the highest levels are Ben & Sheila, thus I would expect the blame game to concentrate upon them...

Dont forget John Dugan the CofC, totally missed everything before the crash, and now claims that we dont need a Consumer Financial Products protection agnecy since the existing regulators do such a bang up job protecting consumers from toxic mortgages and credit cards. Time to fire the clown

bitch to your mafia-linked Congressperson....

Mine became President. Now what?

LL are you referring to David Drakes series? Fortunes stroke etc----They are re-releasing them in hardcover omnibus type collections. Ihave read the first 3 and by the time i was ready for the next they were pulled, waiting for the hardcover releases.

Regarding rome---Didnt agriculture play a part in the decline? Lots of land went fallow as people could not pay taxes leading to less food, higher prices, more unrest etc. There were lots of crisis that combined for rome. Military, leadership, citizens being both victims and locusts, debasement, agriculture....wham wham wham wham.

Just tell fannie mae to make a notation in their books----problem solved heehee. wow, debasing paper is so much easier than debasing coin, aint it?

Hey, take a name. I wouldn't call what is going on in Fla propping up!! Perhaps a
little bit of going down more slowly, up is a forgotten direction.

The Anasazi are also really interesting....

I suggest "Anasazi America" for a glimpse into what made them tick, an excellent book.

Mish is off his rocker with the "eliminate e-ville government stuff" but his grasp of the economics is solid.

You've got to be kidding. Among many things tntc, he does not understand the basic concept of savings, global wage arbitrage, the new mechanices of the bond market, nor the intricacies of the various carry trades.

I prefer the Maya...those who didnt starve dispersed, only to be treated like second class citizens at best, elsewhere, many years later.

Yep. The small farms were killed or severely hurt by the aristos fairly
early on. Long before Rome fell.

WRT agriculture:

Roman elites also started demanding huge grain tribute from vassals in Egypt, Asia Minor, etc. These food imports crushed the local farming economy and led to destitution for much of the middle class. This strategy worked until the roads and shipping lanes closed. Then it led to famine.

You've got to be kidding.

Revised to "Mish's grasp of the credit cycle is solid".

"Why bother participating in the system if it was broken?"

Supporting C4C, TARP, PPIP, AIG, Fannie and Freddie, the 19 TBTF, underwater defaulters living in homes that banks are afraid to F/C on for fear of harm to their balance sheets, by debasing our currency... our system is broken too.

Bringing in lots of slaves from Judea and many other places didn't help Roman Joe AmphoraPack either.

Roman elites also started demanding huge grain tribute from vassals in Egypt, Asia Minor, etc. These food imports crushed the local farming economy and led to destitution for much of the middle class. This strategy worked until the roads and shipping lanes closed. Then it led to famine.
................

I've also read it was the other way around....workers were set to factory work making export goods and military gear, not farming. So more grain was needed to feed the central hub. As commerce collapsed, there went the grain imports....

"Wake the F up and call someone, call or yell out your window, bitch to your mafia-linked Congressperson.."

Seeing as how the other half the population is employed by the government, I'd say your best bet is to minimize your taxes. Stop working so hard. Stop spending. Offer to barter or pay under the table for stuff.

If you're still dutifully going to your dayjob and paying out taxes, you have no right to complain.

This is all deflationary right?

Oh and no one going to jail? How about the guy who killed himself last year? Freddie Mac executive, right?

$400 bucks for every mattress and a car in every garage.

These food imports crushed the local farming economy and led to destitution for much of the middle class.

A huge increase in productivity could offset a collapse.

I'm not a globalist, I don't see any economic point to it but I see a lot of risk and false expectation. If the situation were confined to the U.S., it would be a lot easier to manage and predict from the Federal Reserve's standpoint. I don' think there's much question the Feds have to do a big debt burn-off to rebalance a lot of stuff. But I think it's possible to "recover", at least to the degree that the U.S. economy stays within acceptable boundaries.

30 million households isn't an acceptable boundary.
Feds can't let that happen, I think.

I passed on the C4C after I thought about the sales tax and license fees I would give to the state and local government. My game is time to starve the tax beast! So I save a lot by not playing the game.

Killing yourself over a financial debacle is so 2008...

Re: Freddie Mac executive

Too much guilt or morals. He was unworthy to be in the nobility.

Did he leave a note? I forget.

Re: A huge increase in productivity could offset a collapse.

One word: TRAIN stimulus.

Oh, better yet. Max out your credit cards and stop paying.

30 million households underwater, that is.

2 days ago I opened up some long positions... d'oh!

Oil was used in the Roman Empire, mostly for lamps... It was of minor significance in the scheme of things.

A bit different, here in the Roaming Empire...

Speaking of debasement:

The First Duffer
By Michael Scherer Thursday, Aug. 06, 2009
Presidents, like normal people, tend to seek in others what they admire about themselves. Which brings us to the par-5 12th hole at Woodlawn golf course in Fort Belvoir, Va., on Father's Day. Vice President Joe Biden, an 8 handicap, has leaked a 3-wood into the trees near the green. He stands amid the underbrush, talking with his match-play teammate, the President of the United States.

Barack Obama's Golf Game - TIME

I can't wait for these losers to go under...

"Fannie Mae (FNM/NYSE) reported a loss of $14.8 billion, or ($2.67) per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2009....... the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which has been acting as our conservator since September 6, 2008, submitted a request for $10.7 billion from the U.S. Department of the Treasury on our behalf"

Why make such a fuss over an outcome so expected (FNMA losses) and a reaction so automatic (more funding from taxpayers)? Just put this bill on autopay.

I almost got my card on the MPGA Tour, but triple-bogarted that god damn windmill hole...

Ben Dover:

I too starve the tax beast (perhaps unwise, as I am a federal employee), but not of political conviction. I am merely stingy.

This death spiral is not a good thing. I've been asking for months: who will finance the
REOs? Prices are affordable now, here. I repeat, for any bigwig who is listening:

After REOs are being held for X months, financing must be offered by the REO owner

One last thing, take a look at a few charts:

The Bonddad Blog: From Invictus: I'm Not Convinced

"We also know that the consumer – 70% of GDP – is still under significant strain and will likely remain so for quite some time to come (delinquencies, defaults, foreclosures, bankruptcies all still at troubling levels). We know that there are six applicants for every job opening. We know that unemployment is headed to double digits (lagging, yes, but problematic nonetheless). We know that there’s a huge overhang of housing inventory. Lastly, we know that Capacity Utilization is at an all-time low."

Thus, in terms of any type of turn around hope related to future cash flow, Fannie has no place to go, but DOWN and down and down, but where do you go in a black hole? Why are we taxpayers allowing this government backed fraud to continue and call it a conservatorship?

Re: "Conservatorship is a legal concept in the United States of America, where an entity or organization is subjected to the legal control of an external entity or organization, known as a conservator."

So, who is stealing now?

One word: TRAIN stimulus.

I should have taken pictures.
We drove through northern Idaho and eastern Washington last week.
If you've never been there, it's an amazing sight, i call it the "Wheat Dunes".
Wheat fields cover the ground for thousands of square miles.
Very few people live there, it's all done by large combines and it's repetitive, which means it could probably be harvested with almost no people at all.
.
.
There's a lot of productivity things which can still happen at an information / robotic level.

Jeebus, I have got to get out of this country.

Oh wait. I am!

At this rate I'll be at Dulles just before the pitchforks and torches head for DC after the collapses in fall.

C

I thought it was olive oil, Juvie?

Very few people live there, it's all done by large combines and it's repetitive, which means it could probably be harvested with almost no people at all.
..................

I used to live in that neck o' the woods. Some of those combines are satellite-steered.
It's hypnotic driving through there when the wheat is green and there's a breeze rippling it.

No no no NotaREALAmerican. not just train stimulus, the big old tri-partisan pork stabilizer-----the MagWatrain.

maglev/waterline/train

If some stimulus is good, then more is better, right? right?

liz,

Mostly, but they knew all about petroleum seeps, but mankind had to wait until 1859, to really exploit go-juice.

Is this why Fannie Mae spiked up recently? It was because someone knew they were going hat-in-hand for more money? This is going to piss off the people that are already pissed off re: health care, cap and trade, and bailouts. Let's just settle this with a great American death-match fight...

One word: TRAIN stimulus.

That's two words. But that makes you qualified for a cabinet position.

The GSEs will modestly increase their mortgage-backed securities portfolios through the end of 2009, and "in 2010 their portfolios will begin to be gradually reduced at the rate of 10% per year...eventually stabilizing at a lower, less risky size."
Treasury and FHFA have established preferred stock purchase agreements, under which Treasury will "ensure that each company maintains a positive net worth" that will support market stability, with the government now acknowledging that "we have a responsibility to both avert and ultimately address the systemic risk now posed by the scale and breadth of the holding of GSE debt and MBS," which are held by central banks and investors in the U.S. and around the world which assumed that debt was risk free.
Treasury is forming a new secured lending credit facility--which Paulson called an "ultimate liquidity backstop"--which, combined with the preferred share purchase agreements, should allow the "GSEs to be in a stronger position to fund their regular business activities in the capital markets." The facility will expire in December 2009.
Treasury itself will begin a temporary program to purchase new mortgage-backed securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac through December 2009. This step will help ensure mortgage availability and affordability.
Paulson made it clear that "there is no reason to expect taxpayer losses from this program, and in fact, it could produce gain." However, he noted that while they are in conservatorship the GSEs "will no longer be managed with a strategy to maximize common shareholder returns," and that "the ultimate cost to the taxpayer will depend on the business results of the GSEs going forward." Fannie Mae CEO Dan Mudd and Freddie Mac CEOs Dick Syron have been let go, though they will stay for an undefined period to help new CEOs "supported by new non-executive chairmen" through the transition.

Broward:

We just need a superpower to guarantee the flow of oil/goods around the world, and to maintain stability. Like I said, I don't think we will be doing this much longer, and I am curious to see who we will pass the torch to. The British handed off to us after WW2. All periods of massive economic/productivity expansion have such a power.

Some of those combines are satellite-steered.

Are they fully automated now?
You have to drive through to really grasp it.
Last time I drove through there was 1997.
It's like driving through Los Angeles, end-to-end except it's wheat fields instead of houses.

Nuke,

I am afraid you are right. Who next will be the global ruler. Lazy thinking Americans gave away our country.

All periods of massive economic/productivity expansion have such a power.

The Great Reckoning's main premise is that hegemonic power leaves the U.S. and goes to the East.
Written in 1991, it's pretty obvious now.

But I'm still inclined to think the Indians are the guys, not the Chinese.
They' have a much greater cultural link to Western culture.

Let's just settle this with a great American death-match fight...

"We shall fight on the beaches,we shall fight in the fields and in the streets,we shall fight in the hills, we shall fight in the nursing homes..."

"Lots of land went fallow as people could not pay taxes leading to less food, higher prices, more unrest etc."

Shrinking population base, for various reasons, forced the Byzantine government to raise taxes and apply draconian methods to collect them, causing impoverishment and disaffection.

Perhaps the situation in the western empire was similar. Records, are, I believe, rather sparse.

There's no good reason to expect a benign or enlightened global ruler, after loot & grab not necessarily in that order.

Hegemonic power transfers to the country that has the most to lose. It's a hot potato right now.

broward:

Its the periods between hegemons we need to worry about. The period between England's decline and our ascent was not at all pleasant, and punctuated by 2 world wars.

Shrinking population base, for various reasons, forced the Byzantine government to raise taxes and apply draconian methods to collect them, causing impoverishment and disaffection.

Sounds like Oakland's parking meter policy.

I think I read that Roman population went down to 25K at one point

Except for that nasty drug addiction they couldn't shake for a couple of centuries, China has always been a land of businessmen.

And I like Chinese food more than Indian food, edge to China.

the most to lose.

Interesting idea.
The Great Reckoning ties hegemonic transfer to link to Western powers.
I don't remember the order of succession.
Spain -> France -> Dutch -> Enlish -> U.S. etc, and mentions abortive attempts at Eastern transfer (Moors, etc).
.
.
GF has a date tonight.
I suppose I'll go the Art Walk and dinner.
Later.

JP: "Non-performing loans of $171B?! And nobody is responsible? Nobody has gone to jail? Gimme a pitchfork!"

But who will we send to jail? Who had the power to stop it? Whose job was it to look after the taxpayers' interests, not their company's?

The New York Times reported on Sept. 11, 2003:

''These two entities -- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac -- are not facing any kind of financial crisis,'' said Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, the ranking Democrat on the Financial Services Committee.

I like going down the Farm equipment dealers and look at the new machines. Amazing! Some day the wheat/corn harvest will not need combine drivers in the cab at all.

So is this Denninger/Zerohedge story true?! Has it been up all day? Seems like people don't seem to notice or care.

broward,
I posted something to last night beyond late; gonna go look if you responded with something insightful...

Last fall, I sort of thought the only solution to Fannie/Freddie was Fed monetization.

I didn't make the leap from monetization to my tax burden until later. Of course, it could be my inflation burden.

And yet most of the Fannie/Freddie management still has happy, shiny, jobs with salaries, benefits, and vacations in the Bahamas.

Something seems amiss.


broward (homepage, profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 7:24 pm

But I'm still inclined to think the Indians are the guys, not the Chinese.
They' have a much greater cultural link to Western culture.

They also have a real middle class-

broward - reposted from overnight thread:

broward,
Question for you: Work is finite. But isn't creativity infinite? And can't creativity lead to work? And what about sex in the reproductive manner? Isn't that work that when multiplied over time can lead to infinite result?

Sorry, you're just screwing with my head with what in my mind is like a "first law of work-o-dynamics" or something...

probably a topic of discussion after midnight...

Re: Seems like people don't seem to notice or care.

Zero Hedge salutes CM for this brilliant piece of sleuthing: now if only the MSM would have the guts to demonstrate the pyramid scheme that the US Bond and Equity markets have become.

It's because MOST people (including myself) can't comprehend it. When it IS digested and filtered and picturized by the MSM it will become more of a topic.

China has always been a land of businessmen.

As mentioned before, I worked for an Indian company in 2008.
I saw their strengths and weaknesses.
They're on the track to be Americans of the 1950s.
Perhaps it was the group I worked with but I was surprised.
Primitive in many ways but a lot of energy and very attentive to "how Americans do things".

I posted something to last night beyond late;

Sorry, had GF all night, no time for CR. Smile

Instead of giving money to F & F, why not have a lottery. We put the names of all delinquent owners in a hat and pull out names. Big winners get their mtges paid off, Lesser winners get 1/3 off and a mod; others get brought current. Money goes to F & F, but taxpayers get juiced too. It's a win-win.

Rob a liquor-store @ gunpoint for $233, get caught and do 10 years in the slammer: Cost to taxpayer $500,000

Robbing Paul to pay Peter for $7 Billion: Priceless

Re: And yet most of the Fannie/Freddie management still has happy, shiny, jobs with salaries, benefits, and vacations in the Bahamas.

What's your point?


lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 7:35 pm

Instead of giving money to F & F, why not have a lottery. We put the names of all delinquent owners in a hat and pull out names. Big winners get their mtges paid off, Lesser winners get 1/3 off and a mod; others get brought current. Money goes to F & F, but taxpayers get juiced too. It's a win-win.

Liz,
I don't have a mortgage or debt; what do I win?

"So is this Denninger/Zerohedge story true?! Has it been up all day? Seems like people don't seem to notice or care. "

The CUSIPS don't lie.

The bond market should care. This is a big freakin deal. If that 7 year auction failed, game over.

See I thought you were posting on CR 'cause you were done, and then you were gone again...

Anyone know what happened to Roland's sword? Have a feeling the new Rome may need it soon.

My sincere esteem and Love .

We paid off our mortgage a year and a half ago.


ghostfaceinvestah (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 7:37 pm

The bond market should care. This is a big freakin deal. If that 7 year auction failed, game over.
It didn't fail; Fed bought the remainder Wink
............Oh $#!t

They also have a real middle class-

And hostile neighbors (on one side anyway) to distract them.

England is an island nation, their neighbors were more competitive than ideological enemies. The US is fairly friendly with their border mates. As someone said earlier, it's the between period that's the most dangerous - and screws up any predictions.

"As mentioned before, I worked for an Indian company in 2008.
I saw their strengths and weaknesses.
They're on the track to be Americans of the 1950s.
Perhaps it was the group I worked with but I was surprised.
Primitive in many ways but a lot of energy and very attentive to "how Americans do things".

This is what America is missing as we have screwed our selves in the ground with debt and tax load. Other countries are like the 1950's USA ready to run. We probably won't make the top 5 in the recovery race.

.....and you wonder why I stopped "playing the game"............why do you keep feeding the dead fish?

LL,
Did you at least have a proper Mortgage Burning Party?


Charles Kiting (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 7:38 pm

They also have a real middle class-

And hostile neighbors (on one side anyway) to distract them.

England is an island nation, their neighbors were more competitive than ideological enemies. The US is fairly friendly with their border mates. As someone said earlier, it's the between period that's the most dangerous - and screws up any predictions.
Ask a Dutchman about the 100 years War- Doesn't get much press here in Anglo-America-

You'd think in this freaky world of itsy bitsy spider microphones, there'd be a fly on the wall recording heads about to explode, somewhere on the Eastern Front.

What's your point?

My point was that at best they are incompetent, at worst, thieves and racketeers. Yet, there are no consequences.

I know they are only one link in the chain, but the fair and mighty American justice system has yet to take any action.

/snark?

Well, it's been fun, but the TV has gotten lonely.

Love

Mtg burning:

Nope, we talked about it, but we didn't.

Our reward was that this year, with no mtg deduction at all
we had to pay $354 in income tax. I'm sure that will save the US.

Green Shoots

I don't have a mortgage or debt; what do I win?

You can't win if you don't play.

Re: This is what America is missing as we have screwed our selves in the ground with debt and tax load.

We've also screwed ourselved into the ground with hatred and spite. The Indians are lucky, the have an external enemy to pull them together. We only hate each other.

......Freddie will be the next drunk "bellying up to the bar".........

"As mentioned before, I worked for an Indian company in 2008.
I saw their strengths and weaknesses.
They're on the track to be Americans of the 1950s."

I've never been, but a retired laywer friend of mine has spent years there. He's now president of a nonprofit community mediation agency. Last year he went back and taught a couple of conflict resolution classes gratis for (I believe) the Bangalore Chamber of Commerce and a law school some distance away.

His take on the average Indian businessman and barrister was that the only "conflict resolution" was crushing the other guy. That wasn't everybody, of course, and the women who managed to get in were extremely receptive.

But then again, you've got these stories about Indian business students snapping up copies of Mein Kampf because they admire strong leaders and... I dunno about Indian world leadership. That point of view just doesn't get you into the hegemon's Laz-E-Boy.

Indian business students snap up copies of Mein Kampf .

Presumably somebody had to turn on the internet way back when, I suppose.

How easy would it be to turn it off?

So next week's 10yr auction will be ... interesting?

C

Re: The SEC nailed Martha.

I can still remember my conservative friends being SO overjoyed that that BITCH got nailed too. It helped them get over that minor Enron thing. "Damn women thinks she's above the law. HA. Showed her who's boss."

I used to be a conservative and I was incensed at here prosecution. I still think she was railroaded for what is common practice on Wall Street.

Primary source of information for that story is:
Here (Treasury Results) 
Here (today's POMO) 

Looks like the story is legit... I mean treasury direct and the new york fed wouldn't lie...?

it's hard to understand the time in whice we live without first understanding joseph goebbels Joseph Goebbels - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

fascinating man. a pioneer in marketing / news manufacturing.

Let's say the last of the dinonewspapers dies off in a year or 2, advertising just ain't there for tv/radio...

So the only 2 mediums that control everything on a 1-way basis cut a deal with the devil, who cuts off the internet.

Presto Pravda!

100 dollar nothingburgers for everyone

Oregon does something for it's citizens.

Perhaps one of the end results of the collapse will be an ascendancy of states that do things right and do the right thing.

Oregon becomes one of 12 states to cover all kids with health insurance

- Oregonlive.com

There should be a poll for the expected % monetization of the 10 and 30 yr offers next week.

If Fannie and Freddie have such large losses, what must the actual losses of the banks' portfolios look like?

excuse my typos. been drinking...

Re: Presto Pravda!

As long as they keep Merican Idle on, 99.999999% won't care. And the others, as we know, aren't patriots.

otishertz:

Pardon my skepticism, but in an era of declining revenues, where will the money for these programs come from. Other states, like NY and Cali, have tried to do the right thing, and look where it got them.

I sometimes frequent another message-board with an oblique political discussion going on, a sample of the comments:
Their comments in italics. My comments here in bold

Why not just let Fannie and Freddie collapse? Unless you realize what that would do to the economy you really shouldn't comment. A loss of the secondary market would be a disaster. You think the economy is bad now? Ha! You lose those two giants and the economy of tomorrow makes today look like we are riding a bubble.

Imagine a complete collapse of the housing market. Not a foreclosure problem mind you. A complete collapse that no amount of bail out could hope to solve. No secondary market, no housing market. Without freddie and fannie the housing market would be that of a third world economy. Super high rates, 50% or more down to buy, and prices that rise and fall based on ever house sold because almots nothing would sell. We'd take a massive step towards becoming a nation of landlords and renters becuase the middle class owning homes would be nothing more than a dream.

How would be a nation of landlords and renters if this happened to everyone? Wouldn't that mean homes would be affordable and people could buy with cash (if they didn't already blow it?)

Not "too big" to fail. Too integral to fail. Fanny and Freddie are quasi-public companies that serve a unique role. Heck, why not let the FDIC fail too? It's just a "corporation."...

(How are the TARP and stimulus going?)
Amazingly well, actually... When is the last time you heard about the financial system melting down? Not for months right? What you hear now is banks in a hurry to pay it back. PAY IT BACK?! Months ago they were about to close their doors and now they are rushing to get the government their money back. Amazing turn around I'd say.

This is joe american voter here and what he thinks. They are clueless; and believe we can keep going down the path we've gone, nay; not just continue, but that we must continue!

Re: joseph goebbels

I'm sure he'd have a full 3 hours on Faux News now.

We've been in the midst of a seismic SNAFU this week, a Trouble Whiching? hour

Probably about 25 years ago I interviewed one of the local survivalists, who told me there was a global conspiracy to encourage excessive borrowing in order to bankrupt America and pave the way for government control of everything. What a whacko! Oh, wait...Tinfoil Hat

"The SEC nailed Martha."

And how many billions did she bilk the taxpayer out of? Oh, right guilty of being famous and not on the friends of W, list.

It's not really a conspiracy...

Love this from AP: An incoming adviser to the top U.S. general in Afghanistan predicted Thursday that the United States will see about two more years of heavy fighting and then either hand off to a much improved Afghan fighting force or "lose and go home."

How about we just "lose and go home" now and save the money? Not really interested in seeing how it ends...

Re: with an oblique political discussion going on...

The conservative peasants I works with are MUCH more pissed off at THOSE UNIONS and THOSE LAZY UNION BASTARDS than the bankers.

Dude, the banks are payin' back, dude! You think the UAW is ever payin' it back?

jd -- no way. the guy was too good for that. if he were running things now we'd be focused on sports and reality tv.

Oh wait, but they're gonna raise my taxes! I gotta go out and protest! They are gonna force us all to have health care! I gotta get out and protest! I need to go give my Representative an airfull.

But our young men dying in far away lands... meh they all signed up for that job... in fact I'm sure its where they'd all rather be now.

AIGreenberg's couple of billion in the bank is going to have to fork over $15 million to get a pass...

And so it goes~

Re: the guy was too good for that

HA! Probably right!

at its peak the brightest and the best also went into the legions to earn fame and glory. Later they became debauched and preferred to become rentiers hanging around the forum - today's equivalent engineers rather than making real products going to work on Wall street doing "financial engineering"

YLSP:

Because losing and going home hands control of the country back to those who perpetrated 9/11. I agree that Iraq was a huge mistake, but no country can afford to be attacked and not respond with force. I appreciate your concern for the troops, but this is exactly why we maintain a military.

The humane thing to do when a critter is mangled, suffering and moaning without halt, is to PUT THE ANIMAL DOWN.

All very simple. Let's monetize that debt and be done with it.

Sadly, few of my colleagues are interested in what is happening with the financial system.

The ones that are interested aren't that interested.

"Other states, like NY and Cali, have tried to do the right thing"

What is this "right thing" you speak of with regard to these two states? Did I miss the snark tag?

Well, I'm out-a-here. Off to the power-hour and yoga to watch the hotties for a few hours.

Combined loss reserves were $55.1 billion on June 30, 2009, up from $41.7 billion on March 31, 2009

What are the losses going to be for calendar year 2009 ?
Then greater losses for 2010 and perhaps 2011

YIKES the printing presses will be going full blast as America turns into a much large version of Mexico and/or Argentina !

Holy crap, just read the story about the 5 and seven year auction, could the treasury market finally be exposing US insolvency?

Honestly, I am rooting for them to succeed at monetization although I know mathematically it can't work. The implications are the nightmare scenario. I get pissed off about stock market manipulation but currencies and interest rates are always subject to government control and influence. It is expected there.

I hope they prove us all wrong and pull out a win but I am far too skeptical to bet they will.

The mistakes in the middle east will pale in comparison to what happens when you bring your soldiers out of harm's way, back into a world that has no place for them...

I may have to bring forward my departure date.

C

crazyv:

I have made that exact point numerous times. During the recent "boom", many of my engineer friends went into the financial services industry. You still see lots of engineers getting MBAs for this very reason. I have no such illusions. I carry my slide rule with pride.

blackhalo:

My fault, I should have put it in. My point is that open ended commitments like this, especially from a state with depressionary unemployment numbers, will probably lead to ill in the long run.

In the age of information as we know it right now, things that could be easily hidden away from peering eyes, aren't anymore.

Catching a thief in the act is always thrilling, except when it's your own government...

jd -- come on. sneak into a church on sunday. vets get standing ovations.

Nuke,
Yes. We maintain a military for national defense. There sure is a high risk that Afghanistan is going to invade us with some new, powerful, secret weapon and take over our country!
We need to man up and admit it, we got punked on 9/11, and we f---ked a bunch more people up for it. But, what is the end-game and war goals for ending both of these wars?

I'll confess to watching Fox News in 2003 in my college dorm cheerleading the attack... however how can people's attitudes not turn and start to feel the war costs just aren't worth it. We've wasted our military in the desert; when it's supposed to be used for national defense. Now when we might need it for national defense, it could be too tired, and cost too much money.

We're passive aggressive and not good with emotions as a country, and don't want to admit a bunch of low-tech thugs punked us. And yes, they punked us hard, and yes people knew people in the towers... but I just don't see the point anymore.

What's the going wage for standing ovations nowadays?

AMF,
Depends if you are in a jurisdiction that got stimulus money... if your unemployment is high enough its minimum wage... but the work is quite slow...

Prediction:

100% of TARP money that is repaid goes directly to Fannie and Freddie. All of it. Every nickel.

Hunky Dory ( and farewell to US middle class )
Hunky Dory - Clusterfuck Nation

Excerpts:

Those in the broad bottom 95 percent were content as long as there was a chance that they, too, could become members of the top 5 percent -- by dint of car-dealing, or house-building, or mortgage-selling, or some other venture enabled by easy credit and a smile. Those days and those ways are now gone. The bottom 95 percent are now left with de-laminating houses they can't make payments on, no prospects for gainful work, re-po men hiding in the bushes to snatch the PT Cruiser, cut-off cable service, Kraft mac-and-cheese (if they're lucky), and Larry Summers telling them their troubles are over. (If I were Larry, I'd start thinking about a move to some place like the Canary Islands.)


Too many disastrous things are lined up in the months ahead to insure that we're entering a new phase of history:

Government at every level is worse than broke.


Our currency, the US dollar, is hemorrhaging legitimacy.


Inability to service old debt at all levels or incur new debt.


Bad (toxic) debt lurking off balance sheets everywhere.


The housing bubble fiasco is far from over <<<< DING DING DING per this post


Commercial real estate fiasco just getting started.


Unemployment rising implacably.


So-called "consumers" unable to consume consumables.


Crucial energy import supply lines fragile.


Food supply subject to energy problems and climate abnormalities.


A world full of other societies who would enjoy watching us fail and suffer.

Here, in the dog days of summer, it seems to me that the situation in the USA is so fundamentally bad, so unpromising, so booby-trapped for failure, that I wonder if there has ever been a society so badly deluded as ours. We're prisoners of our wishes, living in a strange dream-time, oblivious to the forces gathering at the margins of our vision, lost in a wilderness of our own making.

......... gotta bail... baseball with son....

"The humane thing to do when a critter is mangled, suffering, moaning without halt and bleeding money profusely, is to PUT THE ANIMAL DOWN."

Fixed that for ya.

YLSP:

I don't think you understand my point. Afganistan won't invade. However, it was, and may well be in the future, a base to launch attacks at the US. The end game in Afganistan is denying the country as a base to those organizations. I appreciate that you don't see the point anymore. That doesn't mean there is no point. If you don't think this qualifies as national defense, perhaps you should look both those words up in the dictionary and familiarize yourself with the definitions. Yes, we did get "punked". However, unlike on MTV, the consolation prize was not a trip to Panama City.

"The mistakes in the middle east will pale in comparison to what happens when you bring your soldiers out of harm's way, back into a world that has no place for them..."

they are going to think that iowa city is fallujah?

If you're really serious about the fall of Rome, read "Europe between the Oceans" by Barry Cunliffe.

I don't think the vets are the ones you need to worry about. As a portion of the population, they are small and, on average, better educated and less prone to criminal pathology. Also, the new GI bill is awesome! The problems, if they come, will probably be from those who fall through the safety nets as governments cut back services.

nuke -- have you read the scorpions gate by clarke? if so, what is your opinion?

Compare our armed forces of this day in 2001 with the current model...

2001: Most troops had never seen battle, the few that did won a quick victory a decade before. National Guard was something that helped out when hurricanes or earthquakes hit, etc. stateside.

2009: Most troops have seen battle, they have fought an unidentified foe, which means they've had to be on constant guard almost all waking hours . The National Guard reservists are worn out just like all the expensive high-ticket weaponry.

polite request for CR: Please do not punctuate your posts with expressions such as "Wow," "Uh oh," etc. It scares me.

"Afganistan won't invade. However, it was, and may well be in the future, a base to launch attacks at the US. The end game in Afganistan is denying the country as a base to those organizations."

I would agree that Afganistan is justified and the right thing to do, and that Iraq (without international support) was pure folly, but your point above seems weak, as those terrorist groups will just move to Sudan, Somalia or some other place without rule of law and a lack of oil to get U.S. interest. While the radical fundamentalists in Saudi continue to funnel them money.

nihilist:

No. What is it about.

JD:

After WW2, most troops were battle hardened and bloodied. They turned out all right. Most Vietnam Vets, despite popular belief to the contrary, turned out OK. This batch will be the same. After every war, some come back scarred and unable to cope. The VA is VERY responsive now (much better than post WW2, for example), so I would not be too concerned.

"but I just don't see the point anymore."

.....it's time to close and lock the gates, start thinking with the big brain, and start remembering how to extricate our head from our anus.

John Stark:

You made it this far without being scared? Impressive... I past scared last Christmas.

Nuke,

Imagine WW1 ending in 1931, and the doughboys come marching home off the troopships?

I hold the opinion that it was the USG response to the attacks of 9/11 that did more to destroy our way of life than the attacks themselves.

"2001: Most troops had never seen battle, the few that did won a quick victory a decade before. National Guard was something that helped out when hurricanes or earthquakes hit, etc. stateside."

40% of forces in theater during Gulf War I, were National Guard or reservists. Granted, I'm sure it is much higher this time around. Downside is that these "weekend" warriors get nowhere near the support of active duty forces, before and after activation.

I'll confess to watching Fox News in 2003 in my college dorm cheerleading the attack... however how can people's attitudes not turn and start to feel the war costs just aren't worth it. We've wasted our military in the desert; when it's supposed to be used for national defense. Now when we might need it for national defense, it could be too tired, and cost too much money.

Funny this country was made by a bunch of assholes who fought for it. Now we have a bunch of _______ (Fill in the blank) it cost to much to be free (for the moment). Lets give up freedom and let them win. Real problem has been our lack of independence and showing the world our weakness.

the mostly badly deluded Americans today had better 'get experienced' for the demise of their American dream Wink

Are You Experienced? Jimi Hendrix
YouTube - Are You Experienced? Jimi Hendrix

nuke -- what's it about? i was hoping to ask you. (seemingly) ridiculous naval tactics i.e., hiding an entire fleet. that is a small part of the story, but it it was a great read.

Google maps has a cool new tool,type in the city and state,then Real Estate in the next field and you get a satellite image showing all the foreclosures and preforeclosures.I guess I don't live in a town that is immune after all...

blackhalo:

Those countries are problems, as well. However, the main difference in Afganistan was used as a base of attack, the others have not. Afganistan also sets the precedent that regimes that harbor these groups will be destroyed. Some ruling elites (like in Sudan) are probably lecherous and corrupt enough to be swayed by threats.

JD:

Many European countries, like France, were in a state of depression after WW1. None collapsed (it was the reparations, not angry vets, that did in Germany).

homegnome:

just read an article from the free times about Innovista. i've always known it was a higher-ed administrator's wet dream boondoggle, but the level of incompetence simply astounds.

Wasting one's military on far away feints is a bit foolish, no matter how much patriotism gibberish you care to apply to your argument...

Countrymen and Patriots,
Let us gather around the Tree of Liberty and discuss the future of our nation....

Sorry CR, but any number with the word "Billions" after it just doesn't provoke much excitement anymore amongst us sheeple. "Trillions" is even starting to go stale. I have been seeing the word "Quadrillion" come up in economic discussions lately and that does still provoke some awe in my soul. We're like frogs boiled slowly so that they don't notice.

Nuke,

It's not 1918 anymore. Kids go to war wired for sound with big guns at the ready in uber SUV's. In their downtime they get to play video games, most of which are hyper violent.

p.s., happy birthday

Discussion of the market's reaction to speculation about the GSE's future: " "The uncertainly isn't rattling the market at all," MacDonald said. "It's a healthy discussion as long as the government doesn't indicate it may pull support for existing programs and securities." "

Translation: It doesn't matter what the faucet looks like, as long as endless easy money for housing flows out of it when Congress turns it on.

"Looks like the story is legit... I mean treasury direct and the new york fed wouldn't lie...? "

The scary thing is there is probably way more to the story. Are they ringing the bell for inflation?

JD,

IF Clinton had done his job then 9/11 may very well not have happened.

blackhalo:

I was a reservist in the Marines before going active. Indeed, the support for the reserve was dismal. No health benefits, lousy GI bill, and, when you get activated, huge pay cut. It is much, much better now.

JD:

I agree Iraq was a waste. Afganistan was/is not. It is precisely what we maintain a military for. Where have I applied patriotic gibberish to my arguments? I go out of my way to avoid waving the flag and rely solely on facts and reasoned statements.

HomeGnome,
I hold the opinion that it was the USG response to the attacks of 9/11 that did more to destroy our way of life than the attacks themselves.

Mi papa feels the same way. 30+ years Army, and our greatest enemy is ourselves, even though he is still optimistic about the future (whereas I am not). One of the things that got to him was the fact the NSA was monitoring all calls from US to troops in Iraq...including personal calls with spouses. Of course this was supposed to be rare cases. in the interests of national security..etc...he blew a gasket on that one.

I'm skeptical too but at least they are doing something to help people with money they can never pay back instead of wasting it or just looting.

"You made it this far without being scared?"

.......as a friend said earlier to me this week, "After you've had bamboo shoots rammed up your dick, not too much else worries ya." (early '60s VN vet & POW)

.......how bad can it get? They can't shave our heads and forcibly send us to Nam anymore. This is more along the lines of a good movie.........seriously................you might have to learn how to grow food............that's a tough one..........

Nuke,

It wasn't you...

Came from a feverish partisan, still trying to lay the blame on somebody other than King George II

"Funny this country was made by a bunch of assholes who fought for it. Now we have a bunch of _______ (Fill in the blank) it cost to much to be free (for the moment). Lets give up freedom and let them win."

I agree Iraq was a waste. Afganistan was/is not.

Bullshit!....they both have same objective

Iraq - 2nd biggest oil reserves to Saudi Arabia

Afghanistan - a war for oil and gas pipelines
21st Century British Nationalism: Afghanistan - A war for Gas and Oil Pipelines
Aug 5, 2009

JD:

I don't think the guys have changed that much. One of my pleasures is talking to the old timers, vets etc. My impression is that the guys are pretty much the same as they ever were. In fact, today's military is probably less tolerant of pathological behavior than in the past (the joke used to be that a DUI, bust and divorce were pre-requisites for making Chief). I think they will do OK, in aggregate. Some of course won't, but luckily the VA has made progress in recent years.

km4:

Thanks for your reasoned response. You are probably right. The pipeline was the reason we invaded. A large attack perpetrated by a group headquartered in the country was merely the pretext.

I have a friend who did that. masters in computer science. just got his sloan MBA in 2008. Got a job at citigroup locked up that april.

And is now working for the shitty.

a bunch of my friends are still in business school, a few have gotten out and already lost their jobs at PE firms. Serves them right I guess, they didn't really want to build things. They just were hopping on whatever gravy train was the latest one.

"Imagine WW1 ending in 1931, and the doughboys come marching home off the troopships? "

I don't have to imagine too hard...

"The self-named Bonus Expeditionary Force was an assemblage of some 43,000 marchers — 17,000 World War I veterans, their families, and affiliated groups, who protested in Washington, D.C., in spring and summer of 1932."

"The 1932 march was brutally suppressed by U.S. Army troops under the leadership of Douglas MacArthur and George S. Patton."

emulate Hoover 

Iraq should have been finished By Bush 1. Bush 2 had to finish it and Clinton let the UN and other crooks loot the place, Oil for Food? The whole Iraq war was badly handled.

Failed Freedom Follies:

Freedom Letter
Freedom Maid's Outfit
Freedom Onion Soup
Freedom Cuffs
Freedom?

@ Basel,
Yes, it is.
Yes it is.

The American Empire will never make it out of Afghanistan intact.
Guess "we" should have never trained them to defeat the Russians back in the day.
Blowback.

"

Sadly, few of my colleagues are interested in what is happening with the financial system.

The ones that are interested aren't that interested."

Like knowing a secret nobody will believe. Nobody but those with an esoteric interest in macroeconomics can fathom the implications of failed treasury auctions due to economic illiteracy. Much of what is taught, from rational expectations, to the invisible hand, is nothing more than corporate religion.

Now it's all King George I's fault?

@ Nuke (profile) wrote on Thu, 8/6/2009 - 5:36 pm
Just remember everything is intertwingled especially when it comes to oil geopolitics for the USA Wink

Gentlemen,

Thank you for your discourse. I am going out with the wife.

@ Black Star Ranch "After you've had bamboo shoots rammed up your dick, not too much else worries ya."

I've never heard that thought more elegantly spoken. I'll remember it always. Thank You!

Yes, just a handling/management problem. Lets do over but start with Vietnam. Unemployment problem solved.

Also Eisenhower may have been involved in cracking some veteran skulls in Anacostia and burning down their shantytowns.
Not a bad troika - Patton, MacArthur and Eisenhower - NO bonuses for you WWI vets

I prefer talks about the fall of the Incan Empire over those of Rome. Please start talking about the fall of the Incan Empire. It is so much more interesting.

The Incan empire fell because they thought white men on horses were sent by the gods and could not be challenged by mere mortals. So when Pizarro rode into Cuzco with a few dozen bearded white men on horses, tens of thousands of Incas bowed down.

They never got up.

All their gold got sent to Spain.

The moral is...don't trust white guys with beards who claim to know great truths, but really want to give away the public's money to the rich.

JD,

Yes it is He didn't finish what he started along with the rest of our allies. Maybe you could explain why we where there to begin with, beings you think it was all GWB's fault.

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