btw, its now aug. Does it feel like a recovery to anyone? Everyone i know in small business is losing ground. These are the engines of the economy sputtering. In the town where I live, both big supermarkets, chains, are laying off. Its tough to get immediate service in the deli and bakery at times. Layoffs.
We're sorry, currently our video library can only be streamed within the United States. For more information on Hulu's international availability, click here.
Does anyone know how to stream this through a proxy in the US?
John Mauldin has a good article up on the The Great Reflation Experiment.
I like a chart there with the SPX and the Case Shiller counterpoised showing the great bubble in stocks, the great bubble in housing. Whats next?
Dawg - some deals are going through. Heard of a couple this last week... some that will affect me... probably suck me back into some business efforts I thought were dead. Quite bizarre.
Starts five years ago when a PE firm bought a company I work with - the PE principals were taken to the cleaners by the original owners whom they thought were simpletons [older bunch of guys in a family owned biz from the sticks - the PE firm run by a lot younger, all Ivy types from near NYC].
Anyway two years ago it went real bad for the PE run biz & they 'reorged' - basically stuck it to the 'partners'... with the creditors & original PE team taking over the reorged biz.
Now - two years later - the largest creditor is one of those in deep doo doo with an alphabet soup federal bailout plan and they can't make payments to get free - you probably can guess which one - so they are going to force the PE to sell the company... at a small fraction of what it sold for originally. Probably an 80% loss.
The team coming in to buy it are some of the original management team with additional PE money from a different firm that sat out the frenzy a half decade ago. Now they have cash & and are credit worthy and the prices are right...
A friend who is involved tell me the numbers will work - the reduction of overhead makes this company VERY competitive - even against Asia. I've known this guy for 20 years - he's been through it before. If he says the numbers work - they work.
And because of that even the banks want a piece of it. I got confirmation this afternoon - totally blew my mind. That was why I wasn't around for BFF - trying to get my chin up off the floor.
I think we will start hearing more of these - the prices are getting that low.
Great story. That's the upside of Schumpeter's creative destruction, a true (albeit tiny) green shoot. Unfortunately it'll take years and tens of thousands of those before we see real broad swaths of lush green.
Wow!
But so many layers and transactions in all that.....any chance of things ever simplifying, businesswise, or is that too Mayberry for the new world odor?
1 currency now -yogi
Are you suggesting we're half brain dead?
I wasn't exactly, but probably you're right. Becuase the left brain does well here, but the right brain lacks pictures...for example...i was in the local bar today, and the waitress...well, that was a picture. We exchanged looks, and then some pedestian words on the way out. I can tell you, my brain was full engaged, but mostly through silent communication. Sorry if i digress...
Agree TJ - the cool part is I work with another company hungry to machine the 'stuff' these guys make - there is synergy. They then too grow & rebound. It can happen faster than people realize.
The key part of the whole thing though was the first PE realizing it was a lost cause [helped along by pressure from their #1 largest creditor]. Until they were forced to 'recognize' the loss we could have been in purgatory forever. It busted through this week. Hasn't closed but close.
I used to think so, too. But now I think what's important is that the lies not be too outlandish and that most of the population believe the same core set of lies.
broward : I used to think so, too. But now I think what's important is that the lies not be too outlandish and that most of the population believe the same core set of lies.
How true and also profound. And i think we know they are lies, but there is a comfort threshold...and Kissinger to explain it all
I used to think so, too. But now I think what's important is that the lies not be too outlandish and that most of the population believe the same core set of lies.
Well, when I say lies, what I really mean is super-lies.
TJ - I agree. There is a time to hold & a time to fold. For those guys it was way passed fold. They should have sold their stake long ago... what was it Tanta would say? "Your first loss is your best loss". Was true here.
By Chris Hedges, Nation Books
Media and Technology: A culture that cannot distinguish between reality and illusion dies. A visit to a Las Vegas porn convention reveals we are dying now.
Hello Comrade Dazed & Amused - how are things in Monterrey? Been thinking about you lately... hope to chat again sometime. It is a very interesting time.
I have been in Las Vegas, at another industry convention, when there was a porn convention. They are the definitive of seedy. And I usually end up in the peeler bar anyway as a matter of course, as I don't gamble. But that crowd is something else.
Bush Survivor (profile) wrote on Sat, 8/1/2009 - 1:13 am replyIgnore userI really don't want to to hit that link or get further involved, but what on earth is "gonzo porn" (I'm asking about the "gonzo" bit...)
In the film she has sex with 65 men who stand in two lines, their pants unzipped, on either side of her. She is smiling at the camera. Jollee has sleek dark hair with bangs, a tribal armband tattoo around one bicep, and wears jeans and a loose black tank top. She has rounded arms, full cheeks and a slightly heavy chin. Jollee started doing porn in 2003 when she was 20 in a film called Nasty Girls 30. She has done hundreds of films and is one of the industry's premier "gonzo" girls, purportedly enjoying extreme abuse.
Hey there dryfly. Monterrey is doing good. When are you coming back down again? I've got a bottle of tequila in the freezer. We can sit and do a few shots. Sounds like there are lots of interesting things going on up north.
I am guessing we'll be back with in a month. And yes it is getting interesting.
Question - a 'hypothetical' question... how long would it take for a shipment of parts to get from Monterrey to Juarez? Is it an eight hour drive? More? They wouldn't have to go up to Texas then across & back down would they? I know the roads aren't great over the mountains but not so bad they'd have to go up into Texas - right?
KR - my wife works for a company that makes display booths - they've done booths for those shows... the clients come in to preview. It is quite the scene.
We just set-up for Mrs.B's summer show (Buyers' Market of American Crafts) It's the smallest we've seen in fifteen years. Half the Convention Center is closed off, and we both got the impression that some of the aisles were wider. Not good.
DF- Really??? Do they put the display up in the main area where they stage everything? If it's the same place I was at earlier this month -it would be interesting.
DF- Really??? Do they put the display up in the main area where they stage everything? If it's the same place I was at earlier this month -it would be interesting.
Yes - it goes up in the main staging area - but the graphics stay down until 'after hours'... and any worker who finds it offensive can opt out of working on it. Few do - its a job.
The unions have those convention centers locked down pretty tight, don't they? I once considered doing a show in Chicago for a business venture I had in the early 90''s; you can't even plug in a PC yourself.
I used to ship the other direction, Juarez to Saltillo. With team drivers, it was about a 20 hour run. Add another hour to Monterrey. The roads are pretty good, IF you make sure the drivers will go on the toll roads. I had a couple of shipments where the drivers pocketed the toll money and went on the free roads. The shipments were late and damaged.
As far as shipping via Texas, obviously the roads are better, but you will loose 2 to 4 hours at each border crossing. Also, the customs broker costs are higher because you do 2 exportations and 2 importations.
TJ - some are worse than others. Javitz in NY, McCormick in Chicago, Vegas are some of the more difficult in that respect. It increases the cost some but mostly it is only a PITA.
there was a big stink about that here, TJ, but not as long as you don't need seperate electric, you're ok to do your own booth set-up. I'm not sure about The Gift Show up in NYC (which she's doing next week), but last time we were there (12 years ago) we couldn't even bring our cases upstairs ourselves. The Stevedores had to move the cases.
As you said it's a job and right now I am just happy both me & the hubs have one. I've received about 4-5 times the calls this year to exhibit at different conferences. Have not had that in the 6 years I've been stuck with this part of the job. Funny though- the CO I work for has a yearly conference that historically has had attendance from1500-2000 and have almost all of my booths booked, as well as high interest in advertising. Not to mention what the decorators(Freeman, etc.) have thrown at us this year.
TJ, not all of the carriers have GPS in Mexico, especially the cheaper ones.
Bandits....well lets say cargo theft is a distinct possibility. It pays to have high quality cargo insurance. I often hear stories about trucks loaded with consumer goods getting stolen.
TJ- Would completely agree with Dryfly. Definitely depends on the location. Out in RI, I wasn't able to bring a small box (kinko's copies) into the hall without severe harassment from the union guys (seriously thought they were going to beat down a gal in 2" heels). Down in Ft. Lauderdale, I sat for 4 hours waiting for the guys to bring my stuff the 10 ft from the dock to my booth. Just a general rule, the further west of the Mississippi I go the more relaxed the staff, with the exception being McCormick
Those "green shoots" were either marijuana plants (and were being smoked by the media) or worse, they have been running around with cans of green spray paint, "colorizing" the dead brown weeds, then pointing at them and screaming "green shoots!"
This is interesting (from the gonzo porn article ref'd above):
And porn is very lucrative to some of the nation's largest corporations. General Motors, for example, owns DirectTV, which distributes over forty million streams of porn into American homes every month. AT&T Broadband and Comcast Cable are the currently biggest American companies accommodating porn users with The Hot Network, Adult Pay-Per-View and similarly themed services. AT&T and GM rake in approximately 80 percent of all porn dollars spent by consumers.
via wikipedia: In December 2003, GM's interests in the remainder of the company, DirecTV, DirecTV Latin America, PanAmSat and Hughes Network Systems were sold to Rupert Murdoch's News Corporation. This group was renamed the DirecTV Group. News Corp. actually owned only 39% of DirecTV, however it was the largest single shareholder, and several DirecTV executives had strong links to News Corp.
Guess that's an old article. Also, I think the porn business model is hit worst than the music business model by the Internet... also... I'd imagine young people are way beyond porn... why watch cows making milk when everyone is making their own milk.
See here
Perhaps it's always been like this... (guess I wasn't one of the cool kids in school)
Dry, there are guys that will overnight a load in 14 hours
It's been almost ten years since I've been in Mexico (I don't count trips down the coast to TJ and Ensenada), but I have a vivid memory of every steep grade having a trailer rig or bus over the side at the bottom.
When they say PELIGROSO, they mean it. Hairpin turns like bobbypins, complete with little wiggles after the main loop. If you're heading down one at a sensible speed, odds are you'll get passed by a bus rocketing down as if it had no brakes. Little crosses set up along the side allow you to assess the mortality rate.
Don't remember clearly the highway down to Monterrey, we drove round the clock in shifts out to Cuatro Cienagas and back, maybe it's straight?
When you're talking about goods that represent years of human labor, like homes, it's simply impossible for everybody to save that much money. Not unless they've continually deposited their savings at a bank, which has lent their money out to ..... homeowners that have borrowed to buy a home. As a matter of fact, any savings you have IS somebody else's debt in our monetary system; It's one for one.
People dis debt, but it's one of the greatest inventions of humanity. Unfortunately it's also dangerous and easy to abuse.
Yep! there's only 2 roadsigns in Mexico that I pay any attention to: "Curva Peligrosa" (dangerous curve) and the picture of a cow (cattle in roadway)!! When they put those 2 road signs up, they really mean it!
I also look for school zone signs, because the "mordidas" are a lot higher if you get caught speeding there. All of the rest of the road signs can be treated as suggestions.
Karl Denninger of MarketTicker has become the spearhead of the Harsh Truth Troops. He's getting CNBC time, and Bernanke fielded one of his questions in a town meeting a few days ago.
Personally, I'd love to see him as Secretary of Treasury.
He's frigging relentless and always stays on point. He has the makings of a Huey Long.
Sooner or later, TPTB are going to have to either co-opt him, blackmail him into shutting up, or kill him.
Otherwise he'll be running for President in four years. And he'll win.
I was looking through CBO cost estimates and they estimate that raising the FDIC insurance level will only have a net impact of like $8B over 2009-2014. From the CBO estimate We assume that the FDIC will reduce certain special assessments on the financial industry that otherwise would take effect within the next 12 months, resolve certain cases more quickly, and
reduce its reliance on loss-sharing methods to resolve failed institution in some situations.
Wait; so by giving the FDIC a bigger loan ceiling they won't impose special assessments on the financial industry? Even though these assessments are deemed needed? So instead of these assessments, which we should be getting they just will rely on the bigger loan authority for FDIC?
Another nice little nugget in this CBO estimate, this is regarding the expansion of Hope for Homeowners: To determine this subsidy cost, CBO estimated the volume of loans that will be refinanced under this voluntary
program and the likelihood that borrowers will default on their refinanced mortgages.
Based on participation in the current Hope for Homeowners program, the FHASecure
program, and information from mortgage industry participants, CBO estimates that as
many as 25,000 additional loans will be refinanced as a result of the amendments to the
program, representing a loan volume of about $5 billion over the next four years. (As of
June 2008, only one loan has been guaranteed under the Hope for Homeowners program.
In addition, about 4,000 delinquent borrowers refinanced their loans under FHASecure
over the 16-month lifetime of the program.)
CBO estimates that the program, as modified by the bill, will have a subsidy rate of
14 percent of the loan value. This estimated subsidy rate assumes that the cumulative
default rate for the program will be about 40 percent and that recoveries on defaulted
mortgages will be about 60 percent of the outstanding loan amount. Those rates reflect
CBO’s view that mortgage holders will have an incentive to direct their highest-risk loans
to the program and are based on the expectation that the underwriting standards
established for the new program will be less restrictive than those currently in place for
FHA’s single-family loan-guarantee program, thereby allowing FHA to insure loans with
a greater risk of default.
I was just reading about how they estimate the cost of $100B added to FHA. The subsidy cost is something like 2%? Since the estimates on loan losses is apparently low.
Now, the question is are the losses through FHA about to go through the roof if all of the Fannie/Freddie "junk" gets funneled there?
Ahhhh hell wtf is the point in posting this on an over-night Friday thread?
"Not true if your savings are in precious metals. "
... or oil baseball cards or whatever hard asset. Even under the gold standard, the amount of gold-denominated savings/debt was vastly over the amount of actual gold.
One week after a state budget deal fell apart following voiced opposition from Governor Beverly Perdue, a revised budget deal is close to fruition – providing hope that a balanced budget for the 2009-11 biennium will be in place by the time teachers and students return to class. According to our conversations with House and Senate leadership, budget negotiators have struck a revised agreement to raise nearly $990 million in new revenues.
Like last week’s deal that was opposed by Governor Perdue, this deal also reportedly increases the state sales tax by 1 cent, boosts taxes on cigarettes and alcohol, and requires sales taxes be paid at the time of purchase on digital downloads and online purchases. Unlike the previous deal, which would have imposed a 2 percent state income tax surcharge for everyone, married couples earning more than $250,000 annually would pay a 3 percent surcharge, while those with incomes between $100,000 and $250,000 would pay 2 percent. The state would hold back two-thirds of county and city beer and wine revenues – roughly $7 million for counties – to help boost the state’s bottom line in the first year of the biennium.
With the latest version of a continuing resolution set to expire Friday, the General Assembly on Thursday passed a third continuing resolution (CR) that would again restrict state expenditures to 84 percent of 2008-09 fiscal year levels. H102 also directs the Director of the Budget to implement the budget reductions set forth in the Senate and the House budget versions that are not in controversy, such as the loss of county corporate tax school construction moneys (the ADM Fund). While the CR references the county Medicaid relief swap – not to worry. Section 4. (a) excludes the additional federal Medicaid funding via the stimulus bill from the Medicaid hold harmless calculation, leaving the Medicaid relief swap intact per normal federal/state Medicaid spending proportions. Unlike previous CRs, H102 does not have an expiration date.
Speaker Hackney did caution his House that committee schedules may be up in the air next week, pending a potential budget vote.
"Karl Denninger of MarketTicker has become the spearhead of the Harsh Truth Troops. He's getting CNBC time, and Bernanke fielded one of his questions in a town meeting a few days ago."
Wow. Just why he keeps coming back to get pwned over and over by that moron Spiky Hair Boy is beyond my ken.
/////////////////////////////////////
"Sooner or later, TPTB are going to have to either co-opt him....
Otherwise he'll be running for President in four years. And he'll win."
You're demonstrating a remarkable vacuity for presidential politics. While recent administrations have been lefties (the hand they write with), there has not been a single candidate, let alone nominee from any party that had his head festooned by a hair piece.
....dribs and drabs, mini-blow-ups, upcoming "events", kicking just 'small cans' down the road, stashing large ones in committees, legislative posturing with increasing secretive cover, board resignations ala AS, brain drains thru-out, a TBTF pandemic with competing vaccines, deficit spending growing its own living-breathing-head, ..............experts agree, it's too late. Signs weren't clear of system's grave condition.
Gang bang porn flicks (and live events) are nothing new. They've been around for at least 10 years if not more. The Alternet writer apparently just heard of them, however. I recall reading an article in Slate (I think) years ago about some "event" that involved one woman shooting for a goal of 500 in one day, although their definitiion of a sexual act was rather loose.
And the author's content about "separating fantasy from reality" being somehow the building block of culture, is dead wrong. We don't have culture today; we simply repackage culture that evolved back in the days of "fantasy." We repackage this culture and sell it to each other. A "cultural scene" basically means that there are a lot of outlets for one to consume culture created by other, more so-called "primitive" and "fantasy-based" societies around the world. In that sense, the idea of say, New York City being a "cultural hub" just means that it's a good place to go and consume re-packaged bits of other people's cultural heritages. Culture develops from societies that are struggling for subsistence. A wealthy and well-fed society generally stops developing its own culture and starts consuming (cannibalizing?) the culture of others.
IIRC, At Javits, you're required to get union labor if a ladder is involved. When I was doing that stuff, 1-2 hours of labor was actually kinda' nice. Get them to help with the heavy stuff and send them on their way.
That SNL skit NEVER gets old!!!
p.s.: NEMO!!!
Yeah, it's all fun and games until they do a skit about blog addiction.
Killjoy.
Am I crashing a private party here?
SNL skit - it's funny cause it's true.
How do we send this clip to congress?
Rob Dawg :
Yeah, it's all fun and games until they do a skit about blog addiction
Agreed (hilarious). But look at how much time we used to watch TV, and there, were completely brain dead.
The youth have facebook, the adults have blogs.
Life has gotten really weird.
Are you implying that we can't quit anytime? You, sir, are out of order.
btw, its now aug. Does it feel like a recovery to anyone? Everyone i know in small business is losing ground. These are the engines of the economy sputtering. In the town where I live, both big supermarkets, chains, are laying off. Its tough to get immediate service in the deli and bakery at times. Layoffs.
KR,
Still July here in Cali! Don't rush the summer, dude.
I got sucked into Facebook as a work requirement, so now I do both.....Still beats tv though.
Damn, all I get from the video is this:
We're sorry, currently our video library can only be streamed within the United States. For more information on Hulu's international availability, click here.
Does anyone know how to stream this through a proxy in the US?
The large chain market here used to be open 24/7, now they close for 6 hrs at night.
Home Depot was near empty of cutomers last night when I was there. They didn't need 1/3 of the employees standing around talking to each other.
As the consumer continues to spend less, cause they have less, more layoffs are on the way, this is now self-feeding
Dazed, try finding it on utube.
So who won the BFF pool tonight?
Does anyone know how to stream this through a proxy in the US?
Try this
the-cloak anonymous web surfing (anonymous proxy)
There's a bandwidth limit, though.
John Mauldin has a good article up on the The Great Reflation Experiment.
I like a chart there with the SPX and the Case Shiller counterpoised showing the great bubble in stocks, the great bubble in housing. Whats next?
The Great Reflation Experiment - Thoughts From The Frontline - InvestorsInsight.com | Financial Intelligence, Advice & Research / Investment Strategies & Planning for Individual Investors.
Dazed, try finding it on utube.
I looked already. The closest thing is a homemade recreation of the skit. I searched on Google, and all references point back to Hulu.
YouTube - Don't Buy Stuff You Can't Afford
not sure, but this may be the homemade skit.
"But look at how much time we used to watch TV, and there, were completely brain dead. "
Are you suggesting we're half brain dead?
Dawg - some deals are going through. Heard of a couple this last week... some that will affect me... probably suck me back into some business efforts I thought were dead. Quite bizarre.
Starts five years ago when a PE firm bought a company I work with - the PE principals were taken to the cleaners by the original owners whom they thought were simpletons [older bunch of guys in a family owned biz from the sticks - the PE firm run by a lot younger, all Ivy types from near NYC].
Anyway two years ago it went real bad for the PE run biz & they 'reorged' - basically stuck it to the 'partners'... with the creditors & original PE team taking over the reorged biz.
Now - two years later - the largest creditor is one of those in deep doo doo with an alphabet soup federal bailout plan and they can't make payments to get free - you probably can guess which one - so they are going to force the PE to sell the company... at a small fraction of what it sold for originally. Probably an 80% loss.
The team coming in to buy it are some of the original management team with additional PE money from a different firm that sat out the frenzy a half decade ago. Now they have cash & and are credit worthy and the prices are right...
A friend who is involved tell me the numbers will work - the reduction of overhead makes this company VERY competitive - even against Asia. I've known this guy for 20 years - he's been through it before. If he says the numbers work - they work.
And because of that even the banks want a piece of it. I got confirmation this afternoon - totally blew my mind. That was why I wasn't around for BFF - trying to get my chin up off the floor.
I think we will start hearing more of these - the prices are getting that low.
Priceless.
More generally:
The foundation of a society is reliable communication.
A society built on lies is doomed.
dryfly,
Great story. That's the upside of Schumpeter's creative destruction, a true (albeit tiny) green shoot. Unfortunately it'll take years and tens of thousands of those before we see real broad swaths of lush green.
dryfly: What industry?
that SNL skit NEVER gets old
I like this one better:
Dear Sister Shooting SNL Digital Short – Hilarious.net
Wow!
But so many layers and transactions in all that.....any chance of things ever simplifying, businesswise, or is that too Mayberry for the new world odor?
Thanks, dry. That's worth more than 100 Bloomberg news articles.
How about here?
1 currency now -yogi
Are you suggesting we're half brain dead?
I wasn't exactly, but probably you're right. Becuase the left brain does well here, but the right brain lacks pictures...for example...i was in the local bar today, and the waitress...well, that was a picture. We exchanged looks, and then some pedestian words on the way out. I can tell you, my brain was full engaged, but mostly through silent communication. Sorry if i digress...
Agree TJ - the cool part is I work with another company hungry to machine the 'stuff' these guys make - there is synergy. They then too grow & rebound. It can happen faster than people realize.
The key part of the whole thing though was the first PE realizing it was a lost cause [helped along by pressure from their #1 largest creditor]. Until they were forced to 'recognize' the loss we could have been in purgatory forever. It busted through this week. Hasn't closed but close.
Get more people willing to take a 80% loss and then we'll have a for real recovery, not a technical one
A society built on lies is doomed.
I used to think so, too. But now I think what's important is that the lies not be too outlandish and that most of the population believe the same core set of lies.
Until they were forced to 'recognize' the loss...
Sadly this is exactly the opposite of what TPTB are engaged, otherwise the country as a whole could escape purgatory quicker.
THAT is demented.
Lies are pain medicine for the soul. Watch fantasy gain in popularity as the dark days descend and linger.
dryfly: What industry?
I can't say - too small a circle - everyone knows everyone in that biz.
But it is a 'forming process' similar to foundry products or metal casting... but not exactly.
broward : I used to think so, too. But now I think what's important is that the lies not be too outlandish and that most of the population believe the same core set of lies.
How true and also profound. And i think we know they are lies, but there is a comfort threshold...and Kissinger to explain it all
I used to think so, too. But now I think what's important is that the lies not be too outlandish and that most of the population believe the same core set of lies.
Well, when I say lies, what I really mean is super-lies.
TJ - I agree. There is a time to hold & a time to fold. For those guys it was way passed fold. They should have sold their stake long ago... what was it Tanta would say? "Your first loss is your best loss". Was true here.
Thanks JP, that one finally worked. The proxies either strip out the Java script, or Hulu knows about them and wont send the stream.
For all the expats and ferriners out there, this link will get you the video:
SNL Skit: Don't Buy Stuff You Can't Afford - The Consumerist
Thanks all
By Chris Hedges, Nation Books
Media and Technology: A culture that cannot distinguish between reality and illusion dies. A visit to a Las Vegas porn convention reveals we are dying now.
The Rise of Gonzo Porn Is the Latest Sign of America's Cultural Apocalypse | Media and Technology | AlterNet
Hello Comrade Dazed & Amused - how are things in Monterrey? Been thinking about you lately... hope to chat again sometime. It is a very interesting time.
I really don't want to to hit that link or get further involved, but what on earth is "gonzo porn" (I'm asking about the "gonzo" bit...)
I have been in Las Vegas, at another industry convention, when there was a porn convention. They are the definitive of seedy. And I usually end up in the peeler bar anyway as a matter of course, as I don't gamble. But that crowd is something else.
Hell, I've been at respectable conventions in Vegas, and the place is still the definition of seedy.
Not that I'm complaining.
Bush Survivor (profile) wrote on Sat, 8/1/2009 - 1:13 am replyIgnore userI really don't want to to hit that link or get further involved, but what on earth is "gonzo porn" (I'm asking about the "gonzo" bit...)
In the film she has sex with 65 men who stand in two lines, their pants unzipped, on either side of her. She is smiling at the camera. Jollee has sleek dark hair with bangs, a tribal armband tattoo around one bicep, and wears jeans and a loose black tank top. She has rounded arms, full cheeks and a slightly heavy chin. Jollee started doing porn in 2003 when she was 20 in a film called Nasty Girls 30. She has done hundreds of films and is one of the industry's premier "gonzo" girls, purportedly enjoying extreme abuse.
Hey there dryfly. Monterrey is doing good. When are you coming back down again? I've got a bottle of tequila in the freezer. We can sit and do a few shots. Sounds like there are lots of interesting things going on up north.
JP, then porn conventions are the second derivative of seedy.
I am guessing we'll be back with in a month. And yes it is getting interesting.
Question - a 'hypothetical' question... how long would it take for a shipment of parts to get from Monterrey to Juarez? Is it an eight hour drive? More? They wouldn't have to go up to Texas then across & back down would they? I know the roads aren't great over the mountains but not so bad they'd have to go up into Texas - right?
KR - my wife works for a company that makes display booths - they've done booths for those shows... the clients come in to preview. It is quite the scene.
The book will never sell. Who's going to buy something that's free? And "one page long" ? Sheesh! Who's got time to read a tome like that?
We just set-up for Mrs.B's summer show (Buyers' Market of American Crafts) It's the smallest we've seen in fifteen years. Half the Convention Center is closed off, and we both got the impression that some of the aisles were wider. Not good.
DF- Really??? Do they put the display up in the main area where they stage everything? If it's the same place I was at earlier this month -it would be interesting.
DF- Really??? Do they put the display up in the main area where they stage everything? If it's the same place I was at earlier this month -it would be interesting.
Yes - it goes up in the main staging area - but the graphics stay down until 'after hours'... and any worker who finds it offensive can opt out of working on it. Few do - its a job.
To answer the question from earlier... Yes, it feels like a weak recovery. Things are getting less bad and in some cases improving.
We have a long way to go, on a volitle road, but the light at the end of the tunnel exists.
To answer the question from earlier... Yes, it feels like a weak recovery. Things are getting less bad and in some cases improving.
We have a long way to go, on a volitle road, but the light at the end of the tunnel exists.
To answer the question from earlier... Yes, it feels like a weak recovery. Things are getting less bad and in some cases improving.
We have a long way to go, on a volitle road, but the light at the end of the tunnel exists.
The unions have those convention centers locked down pretty tight, don't they? I once considered doing a show in Chicago for a business venture I had in the early 90''s; you can't even plug in a PC yourself.
I used to ship the other direction, Juarez to Saltillo. With team drivers, it was about a 20 hour run. Add another hour to Monterrey. The roads are pretty good, IF you make sure the drivers will go on the toll roads. I had a couple of shipments where the drivers pocketed the toll money and went on the free roads. The shipments were late and damaged.
As far as shipping via Texas, obviously the roads are better, but you will loose 2 to 4 hours at each border crossing. Also, the customs broker costs are higher because you do 2 exportations and 2 importations.
Sorry for the multiple post
TJ - some are worse than others. Javitz in NY, McCormick in Chicago, Vegas are some of the more difficult in that respect. It increases the cost some but mostly it is only a PITA.
there was a big stink about that here, TJ, but not as long as you don't need seperate electric, you're ok to do your own booth set-up. I'm not sure about The Gift Show up in NYC (which she's doing next week), but last time we were there (12 years ago) we couldn't even bring our cases upstairs ourselves. The Stevedores had to move the cases.
Dazed,
You can GPS the trucks and track'em these days, so it's not like they could get away with that now. Any bandits in the high country?
Thanks Comrade - kinda what I thought but didn't realize it took that long - we'll be talking some more. Take care.
Nytol...
Nytol would come in handy about now.
Nite dry
As you said it's a job and right now I am just happy both me & the hubs have one. I've received about 4-5 times the calls this year to exhibit at different conferences. Have not had that in the 6 years I've been stuck with this part of the job. Funny though- the CO I work for has a yearly conference that historically has had attendance from1500-2000 and have almost all of my booths booked, as well as high interest in advertising. Not to mention what the decorators(Freeman, etc.) have thrown at us this year.
TJ, not all of the carriers have GPS in Mexico, especially the cheaper ones.
Bandits....well lets say cargo theft is a distinct possibility. It pays to have high quality cargo insurance. I often hear stories about trucks loaded with consumer goods getting stolen.
Dry, there are guys that will overnight a load in 14 hours if you pay extra, plus a give them some cash in case they get stopped.
TJ- Would completely agree with Dryfly. Definitely depends on the location. Out in RI, I wasn't able to bring a small box (kinko's copies) into the hall without severe harassment from the union guys (seriously thought they were going to beat down a gal in 2" heels). Down in Ft. Lauderdale, I sat for 4 hours waiting for the guys to bring my stuff the 10 ft from the dock to my booth. Just a general rule, the further west of the Mississippi I go the more relaxed the staff, with the exception being McCormick
Dazed,
Wasn't suggesting the carriers have it. All you have to do is pack a portable in with the freight and let the driver know it's in there (somewhere).
In case anyone missed this on GDP today and PCE related non-durable consumption shit, here is some poop:
GDP: Uuuuggghhhh (Denninger says Q2 GDP Numbers Suck)
GDP: Uuuuggghhhh (Denninger says Q2 GDP Numbers Suck)
Those "green shoots" were either marijuana plants (and were being smoked by the media) or worse, they have been running around with cans of green spray paint, "colorizing" the dead brown weeds, then pointing at them and screaming "green shoots!"
Goodnight
If the units are cheap enough to consider expendible, it would work.
Buenas noches a todos
This is interesting (from the gonzo porn article ref'd above):
And porn is very lucrative to some of the nation's largest corporations. General Motors, for example, owns DirectTV, which distributes over forty million streams of porn into American homes every month. AT&T Broadband and Comcast Cable are the currently biggest American companies accommodating porn users with The Hot Network, Adult Pay-Per-View and similarly themed services. AT&T and GM rake in approximately 80 percent of all porn dollars spent by consumers.
via wikipedia: In December 2003, GM's interests in the remainder of the company, DirecTV, DirecTV Latin America, PanAmSat and Hughes Network Systems were sold to Rupert Murdoch's News Corporation. This group was renamed the DirecTV Group. News Corp. actually owned only 39% of DirecTV, however it was the largest single shareholder, and several DirecTV executives had strong links to News Corp.
Guess that's an old article. Also, I think the porn business model is hit worst than the music business model by the Internet... also... I'd imagine young people are way beyond porn... why watch cows making milk when everyone is making their own milk.
See here
Perhaps it's always been like this... (guess I wasn't one of the cool kids in school)
Rob Dawg :
Yeah, it's all fun and games until they do a skit about blog addiction
Wore my Mortgage Pig shirt the other day, then realized: What the hell!? You guys will all be here.
A society built on lies is doomed.
I don't see any immortal society, so I guess a society built on truth hasn't been invented.
Dry, there are guys that will overnight a load in 14 hours
It's been almost ten years since I've been in Mexico (I don't count trips down the coast to TJ and Ensenada), but I have a vivid memory of every steep grade having a trailer rig or bus over the side at the bottom.
The view down there is beautiful...
When they say PELIGROSO, they mean it. Hairpin turns like bobbypins, complete with little wiggles after the main loop. If you're heading down one at a sensible speed, odds are you'll get passed by a bus rocketing down as if it had no brakes. Little crosses set up along the side allow you to assess the mortality rate.
Don't remember clearly the highway down to Monterrey, we drove round the clock in shifts out to Cuatro Cienagas and back, maybe it's straight?
"Still July here in Cali! Don't rush the summer, dude."
Agreed. Don't harsh my mellow.
Funny, but also stupid.
When you're talking about goods that represent years of human labor, like homes, it's simply impossible for everybody to save that much money. Not unless they've continually deposited their savings at a bank, which has lent their money out to ..... homeowners that have borrowed to buy a home. As a matter of fact, any savings you have IS somebody else's debt in our monetary system; It's one for one.
People dis debt, but it's one of the greatest inventions of humanity. Unfortunately it's also dangerous and easy to abuse.
When they say PELIGROSO, they mean it
Yep! there's only 2 roadsigns in Mexico that I pay any attention to: "Curva Peligrosa" (dangerous curve) and the picture of a cow (cattle in roadway)!! When they put those 2 road signs up, they really mean it!
I also look for school zone signs, because the "mordidas" are a lot higher if you get caught speeding there. All of the rest of the road signs can be treated as suggestions.
As a matter of fact, any savings you have IS somebody else's debt in our monetary system...
--marksf
Not true if your savings are in precious metals.
Karl Denninger of MarketTicker has become the spearhead of the Harsh Truth Troops. He's getting CNBC time, and Bernanke fielded one of his questions in a town meeting a few days ago.
Personally, I'd love to see him as Secretary of Treasury.
He's frigging relentless and always stays on point. He has the makings of a Huey Long.
Sooner or later, TPTB are going to have to either co-opt him, blackmail him into shutting up, or kill him.
Otherwise he'll be running for President in four years. And he'll win.
I was looking through CBO cost estimates and they estimate that raising the FDIC insurance level will only have a net impact of like $8B over 2009-2014. From the CBO estimate We assume that the FDIC will reduce certain special assessments on the financial industry that otherwise would take effect within the next 12 months, resolve certain cases more quickly, and
reduce its reliance on loss-sharing methods to resolve failed institution in some situations.
Wait; so by giving the FDIC a bigger loan ceiling they won't impose special assessments on the financial industry? Even though these assessments are deemed needed? So instead of these assessments, which we should be getting they just will rely on the bigger loan authority for FDIC?
Another nice little nugget in this CBO estimate, this is regarding the expansion of Hope for Homeowners:
To determine this subsidy cost, CBO estimated the volume of loans that will be refinanced under this voluntary
program and the likelihood that borrowers will default on their refinanced mortgages.
Based on participation in the current Hope for Homeowners program, the FHASecure
program, and information from mortgage industry participants, CBO estimates that as
many as 25,000 additional loans will be refinanced as a result of the amendments to the
program, representing a loan volume of about $5 billion over the next four years. (As of
June 2008, only one loan has been guaranteed under the Hope for Homeowners program.
In addition, about 4,000 delinquent borrowers refinanced their loans under FHASecure
over the 16-month lifetime of the program.)
CBO estimates that the program, as modified by the bill, will have a subsidy rate of
14 percent of the loan value. This estimated subsidy rate assumes that the cumulative
default rate for the program will be about 40 percent and that recoveries on defaulted
mortgages will be about 60 percent of the outstanding loan amount. Those rates reflect
CBO’s view that mortgage holders will have an incentive to direct their highest-risk loans
to the program and are based on the expectation that the underwriting standards
established for the new program will be less restrictive than those currently in place for
FHA’s single-family loan-guarantee program, thereby allowing FHA to insure loans with
a greater risk of default.
I was just reading about how they estimate the cost of $100B added to FHA. The subsidy cost is something like 2%? Since the estimates on loan losses is apparently low.
Now, the question is are the losses through FHA about to go through the roof if all of the Fannie/Freddie "junk" gets funneled there?
Ahhhh hell wtf is the point in posting this on an over-night Friday thread?
wtf is the point in posting this on an over-night Friday thread?
You can earn "I told you so" talking points without fear of debate.
"Not true if your savings are in precious metals. "
... or oil baseball cards or whatever hard asset. Even under the gold standard, the amount of gold-denominated savings/debt was vastly over the amount of actual gold.
Denninger....I'd rather see him head up the SEC, or a financial fraud unit of the FBI.
We need a Cash for Banksters program. Fill their mouths with sand and crush them...
More taxes in North Carolina:
BUDGET REVIVAL?
One week after a state budget deal fell apart following voiced opposition from Governor Beverly Perdue, a revised budget deal is close to fruition – providing hope that a balanced budget for the 2009-11 biennium will be in place by the time teachers and students return to class. According to our conversations with House and Senate leadership, budget negotiators have struck a revised agreement to raise nearly $990 million in new revenues.
Like last week’s deal that was opposed by Governor Perdue, this deal also reportedly increases the state sales tax by 1 cent, boosts taxes on cigarettes and alcohol, and requires sales taxes be paid at the time of purchase on digital downloads and online purchases. Unlike the previous deal, which would have imposed a 2 percent state income tax surcharge for everyone, married couples earning more than $250,000 annually would pay a 3 percent surcharge, while those with incomes between $100,000 and $250,000 would pay 2 percent. The state would hold back two-thirds of county and city beer and wine revenues – roughly $7 million for counties – to help boost the state’s bottom line in the first year of the biennium.
With the latest version of a continuing resolution set to expire Friday, the General Assembly on Thursday passed a third continuing resolution (CR) that would again restrict state expenditures to 84 percent of 2008-09 fiscal year levels. H102 also directs the Director of the Budget to implement the budget reductions set forth in the Senate and the House budget versions that are not in controversy, such as the loss of county corporate tax school construction moneys (the ADM Fund). While the CR references the county Medicaid relief swap – not to worry. Section 4. (a) excludes the additional federal Medicaid funding via the stimulus bill from the Medicaid hold harmless calculation, leaving the Medicaid relief swap intact per normal federal/state Medicaid spending proportions. Unlike previous CRs, H102 does not have an expiration date.
Speaker Hackney did caution his House that committee schedules may be up in the air next week, pending a potential budget vote.
Good Morning All!
Congrats to the BFF winnners!
Don't forget to hit the tip jar for $10.
Now, off to clean the GnomeStead...
"Karl Denninger of MarketTicker has become the spearhead of the Harsh Truth Troops. He's getting CNBC time, and Bernanke fielded one of his questions in a town meeting a few days ago."
Wow. Just why he keeps coming back to get pwned over and over by that moron Spiky Hair Boy is beyond my ken.
/////////////////////////////////////
"Sooner or later, TPTB are going to have to either co-opt him....
Otherwise he'll be running for President in four years. And he'll win."
You're demonstrating a remarkable vacuity for presidential politics. While recent administrations have been lefties (the hand they write with), there has not been a single candidate, let alone nominee from any party that had his head festooned by a hair piece.
....dribs and drabs, mini-blow-ups, upcoming "events", kicking just 'small cans' down the road, stashing large ones in committees, legislative posturing with increasing secretive cover, board resignations ala AS, brain drains thru-out, a TBTF pandemic with competing vaccines, deficit spending growing its own living-breathing-head, ..............experts agree, it's too late. Signs weren't clear of system's grave condition.
Good morning..........
BSR: ahhhh! yer in yer usual cheerful spirit once again
well, not to worry, it's early, things will get worse
LOL.....morning, volker........how's the humidity?
Gang bang porn flicks (and live events) are nothing new. They've been around for at least 10 years if not more. The Alternet writer apparently just heard of them, however. I recall reading an article in Slate (I think) years ago about some "event" that involved one woman shooting for a goal of 500 in one day, although their definitiion of a sexual act was rather loose.
And the author's content about "separating fantasy from reality" being somehow the building block of culture, is dead wrong. We don't have culture today; we simply repackage culture that evolved back in the days of "fantasy." We repackage this culture and sell it to each other. A "cultural scene" basically means that there are a lot of outlets for one to consume culture created by other, more so-called "primitive" and "fantasy-based" societies around the world. In that sense, the idea of say, New York City being a "cultural hub" just means that it's a good place to go and consume re-packaged bits of other people's cultural heritages. Culture develops from societies that are struggling for subsistence. A wealthy and well-fed society generally stops developing its own culture and starts consuming (cannibalizing?) the culture of others.
KR (profile) wrote on Sat, 8/1/2009 - 12:17 am
btw, its now aug. Does it feel like a recovery to anyone?
See for yourself:
Stock Market News, Business News, Financial, Earnings, World Market News and Information - CNBC.com
/snark
new world odor? Do you live in New Jersey by any chance?
IIRC, At Javits, you're required to get union labor if a ladder is involved. When I was doing that stuff, 1-2 hours of labor was actually kinda' nice. Get them to help with the heavy stuff and send them on their way.
Karl,
Go to sleep-
good articles 4 slow news day; Interesting Finance & Economic articles
The economy will turn around but these times will not be forgotten