well I did what I thought was stupid and bought some AAPL to hold last Jan. I honestly thought I'd probably loose a stack of money but I was going to hold long like I had with amazon and ebay. It went up too fast so I finally sold it on Monday. I never have luck like that and will never see gains like again.
Plus I got a little feedback from 2 friends who had interviewed there in July. Both had worked there before and after talking with them, something smelled like a culture shift (can't give details). The more I think about it, the happier I am I took my money off the table.
The bad news is I can't think of any place to move the winnings besides a series of short term CDs.
Comrade Coinz, the key word is"relatively" - in relatively worse off. This has been true for hotels too (both leisure and business travel are off, but business more).
"Plus I got a little feedback from 2 friends who had interviewed there in July. Both had worked there before and after talking with them, something smelled like a culture shift (can't give details). The more I think about it, the happier I am I took my money off the table."
Co-worker's S.O. took a job there -- a big $70K for 80-hour weeks on a regular basis, plus "hope" of a bonus on hot projects that were finished ahead of schedule. From this standpoint, there's been a culture shift in that Apple used to pay for play. Now they don't see they have to, and they don't.
The relationship broke up, too, after a few months of this.
From previous thread:
" Yalt (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Tue, 7/21/2009 - 6:10 pm
You'll note that this only seems to work when used against cesspools. Try this against a decent company and you'll find buyers happy to step in to the stock.
Could we identify some "rumors" that weren't grounded in fact, at least to a comparable degree of grounding as is usual for all the positive book-talking that goes on? I'm not opposed to enforcing rules against deliberate spreading of misinfornation in an attempt to manipulate a market, as long as that enforcement has a single standard for shorts and longs alike.
Otherwise, it looks a little like blaming the collapse of the chain letter on the guy that wouldn't play along."
True enough; you'll also note that predators on the African plain rarely seek out the healthiest members of a herd to attack. Perhaps hedgies have taken on the mantle of creative destruction, and there's no longer a need for recessions to do that for us. On the other hand, we as tax payers seem to be the ones stuck with the bill for this, while George Soros, et al are doing just fine.
The sectors that buy AAPL products either aren't doing well, have to resort to inferior goods, or they are waiting for better technology before investing. This is the drumbeat I hear YMMV
OT-
wtf moment of today...guess that obama proposed changes to ratings agencies is stirring things back up..how can they do this with all the news CR has posted on CRE in last week...what bank pushed back, so they can get these in fed program...this is manipulation at its finest....
&P Restores Top-Ratings to Commercial Mortgages (Update1)
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By Sarah Mulholland
July 21 (Bloomberg) -- Standard & Poor’s raised the ratings on commercial mortgage-backed debt from three bonds sold in 2007, restoring the top-ranked status of the securities.
The debt had been cut as recently as last week, rendering the securities ineligible for the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset- Backed Securities Loan Facility to jumpstart lending.
S&P lowered the ratings on a class of a commercial mortgage-backed bond offering from AAA to BBB-, the lowest investment-grade ranking, on July 14. The New York-based rating company reversed the cut today, S&P said in a statement.
“It is a stunning reversal and certainly raises questions concerning the robustness of their revised model,” said Christopher Sullivan, chief investment officer at United Nations Federal Credit Union in New York. “It may engender further uncertainty with respect to ratings outlooks.”
Debt rated below AAA isn’t eligible for the Federal Reserve’s TALF. Investors sought $668.9 million in loans from the Fed to purchase so-called legacy commercial mortgage-backed bonds on July 16, the first monthly deadline to finance the purchase of the securities.
This is a pretty interesting "recession". I live in Sacramento (area) and work for a Zombie. Supposedly one of the "bad" parts of the economy. I personally don't know anybody who is unemployed. The people I work with don't appear to be cutting back very much. Still planning trips, buying useless crap, all on credit cards. Seems to me consumer spending could stabilize indefinately as long as the banks keep the credit cards open. I know there are supposed to be unemployed people around here, I just don't hear about them.
Bob,
That's similar to what I've been hearing. They want to hire the young and dumb who can take a beating. They are being run like a sweat shop. The hot projects are mainly maintainence driven.
My cousin in law just started at Apple's Sacramento facility fresh out of MBA school. Maybe that's the culture shift...MBA's (disclosure...I hold one of those sheepskins) I jokingly asked him if he got a free subscription to i-Tunes...no dice.
Hiring young and dumb is pretty smart. If I were King, I'd hire young and dumb engineers, keep the males and females in separate states and feed them all the pizza they wanted until they burnt out (or discovered sex).
Apple and Amazon are going to be my ruin. Damn my strong convictions that they could not prosper in this environment. I still don't understand it.
Unemployment greater than 11% in some of their biggest markets, plus housing wealth evaporating....and yet the Mac sales grow nicely.
Ramping unemployment, plus businesses increasingly going BK and cutting expenses.....and yet the iPhone grows like mad.
What can stop their revenues going up, if not the greatest consumer retrenchment since the depression?
As the high-end housing market suffers declines this year, and as continuing unemployment causes folks to cut back further on spending, I still think Apple will suffer declining revenues, like everybody else, at some point soon.
Short sellers are the immune system of the market.
If there's anything to the collective wisdom of the marketplace as an efficient means of determining prices, the marketplace needs to be able to register both positive and negative opinions. When the only negative opinions allowed are those held by disillusioned former longs, the market suffers.
As for the price tag, the bill you're stuck with is for propping up asset prices above their market value so that after years of asset inflation beyond actual economic growth the wealthy can now get out with their claims on future production intact. Hedge funds and shorts or no, sooner or later that bill was going to come due.
iPhones, iPods, computers... The new consumer "savings" rate is a myth too. Nobody is saving in the OLD definition of the word. Now the economists count reduced spending (reduced from the previous consumption on debt) as "savings". The peasants will (and are) spending EVERY dime they can find.
Analyst: so...let me see, DRAM, NAND, hards vs opticals, constraniation. Am i seeing this correctly. Can you elaborate.
AAPL: Yes, Bob. You see these items are silicon products. Pure and simple. Purely silicon and simply silicon.
Analyst: uhmmmmm. Let's drive to the point. Tell us about environmental and financial concerns and how they intersect.
AAPL: Bob you ignorant slut. Everyone knows these things are made from sand. That is the key. Environmentally the green bastards are trying to prevent us from getting all the sand we need, and the financial weenies have us in a TALF head vice. So this is the crux of the issue.
I was toying with my iPhone in the restaurant and the waitress asked about "your phone".
I wasn't sure what she was talking about.
Then I realized that I don't THINK of it as a phone.
iPhone cost $200 but I've probably displaced at least 30% of my $1000 laptop use onto it.
That's a cost benefit, especially since it shows no signs of aging like my Dell keyboard does.
Apple and Amazon are going to be my ruin. Damn my strong convictions that they could not prosper in this environment. I still don't understand it.
The joys of not (yet) being a monopoly--you can grow in an overall down market by increasing share. Microsoft, Dell, HP, Walmart all are worse off in this regard.
"But doesn't affordability become an issue, at some point, ever?? "
Not at the iPhone's price point. Remember, AT&T subsidizes the price to the consumer. When people can no longer afford to have a phone of any sort, them you'll see iPhone sales get killed. Meanwhile, people are disconnecting their land lines so that they can afford their cell bills.
I'm tempted to buy a iPhone every time my Crackberry crashes. But I really like having a keyboard.
On Apple
Well the Hardware guy (inventor of click wheel and developed the touch screen interface) from Apple left to Palm so we'll see if anything significant comes out as far as product this year. IMO this is just contra funds chasing performance.
The rumor was Jobs didn't want a keyboard so lo and behold a keypad on the Pre
C&C, I don't get it either. I bought because it was cheap. It feels like dow 13,800 out there now so you can buy my shares from etrade.
SC, I bought ebay and amzn cheap in the 90s and held because they were companies I used. I'm very old fashioned about what I buy which is why I'm surprised if I make anything.
KFP, one of the interviewees came back saying he felt like he had just applied for a first line tech job at m$. We all stared at him and I suggested we begin drinking.
"Bob,
That's similar to what I've been hearing. They want to hire the young and dumb who can take a beating. They are being run like a sweat shop. The hot projects are mainly maintainence driven."
Maintenance-driven? Yup, in this case.
I'm no Apple-hater -- Apples have been my main home machines for nearly 30 years. I still remember the satisfying RRRRRIP sound of yanking the velcro-attached hood off an Apple II. So I could clean the PC board contacts with a pencil eraser. Dosweredadays. When they rolled out the iMac at 12:00 am one Saturday back in '98 or '99 at computer stores, I was there. Steve Jobs is a sociopath and AAPL is a moneygrubbing company that screws its users regularly. But the point is that while IBM -- and HP and Compac and Dell -- kept trying to turn the PC into just another piece of office equipment, Jobs and company kept moving it out in different directions. Everybody else mostly followed. And for that, Apple deserved respect, and still does.
But... once upon a time Apple employees worked huge hours because they thought they were creating greatness; a little later they worked long hours because they thought they'd be rich. And now they work long hours because... that's the culture, dude, take it or leave it. You a wimp?
WestSac, you're right about the young and stupid. Apple feeds 'em dinner every night they stay over, and throws 'em some free goodies from time to time ("here, have a laptop") to keep them happy. But once upon a time that slave labor led somewhere -- to money, or at least to geek glory ("I was there on Project X!"). And now it leads nowhere.
And how does Joe "Fearful" Consumer continue to justify buying the expensive Apple computer?
I just don't understand why you would see folks downgrade from Nordstrom to Target, from Cheesecake Factory to KFC, but they buy the most expensive computer...
"I just don't understand why you would see folks downgrade from Nordstrom to Target, from Cheesecake Factory to KFC, but they buy the most expensive computer..."
A counter-trend to what you describe is that some people are tending to buy quality products in hopes that they will last longer than a year.
I'm a palm person from way back. Once verizon starts offering the iphone, I'll move over but only if the contract makes sense for the money and the phone is damn near free. I won't touch ATT even with Jas' hand.
Matt Trivisonno's tax withholding charts show about a 20% drop. That makes sence, 11% official unemplyment + a few more percent for those that don't matter anymore, plus the Furlow Friday effect that is happening all over (supposedly).
So, if people are earning 20% less(overall, based on taxes withheld) you'd think spending would be off more than 1%. Ain't that way tho. If the credit cards work, everybody will keep spending (I guess).
iPhone cost $200 but I've probably displaced at least 30% of my $1000 laptop use onto it.
That's the long-term reason one would be buying Apple stock.
The danger to the computing status quo always comes from below - from smaller, simpler devices. IBM 360 replaced by less-capable DECs. DEC and Data Generals replaced by microcomputers. A few years of balkanization before the PC emerged dominant. 20 years of that paradigm.
Now the PC/laptop threatened by the smartphone.
The people who are in their teens now will view a desktop/laptop computer as an annoyance to be tolerated only if necessary.
I just don't understand why you would see folks downgrade from Nordstrom to Target, from Cheesecake Factory to KFC, but they buy the most expensive computer...
They spend more time on their computer than they spend eating or wearing clothes.
But, how much of Apple is mostly young people. I'd say about 75%. I don't see young people cutting back at all. They're completely hand-ta-mouth in spending patterns. So, if they delay buying that "cool Matrix" for a few months (on credit) you can buy (on credit) lots of cool iTools.
Perhaps the persons buying Apple products perceive better quality/durability or some such in their purchase. I can see buying "store brands" and KFC versus Cheescake Factory -- but if you need something to last such as a washing machine, surely many people will spring for the better quality.
Personally I feel Apple products are for idle wastrels, but what do I know? I's no name computers and Linux for those in the reserve army of the wondering-how-long-we'll-have a-job.
Could someone enlighten me as to what gives with another Apple product.: the Ipod. Is it true that when the battery on an Ipod wears out you can't replace the battery -- have to buy a new Ipod? Or am I really misinformed?
Even if you view a mobile phone/smartphone as a necessary evil, as I do, it's difficult not to agree that, if you must have one, this would be the one you want.
When they switched to a BSD Unix core (with a Mach kernel) in OS X, they finally started making real computers. I have 3 and ssh into my home Macbook while at work.
how about there are more middle class people in China than in the US?
Been noticing that "favorable" tax treatment has had a favorable effect on earnings. For example, from caterpillar's report:
The provision for income taxes in the second quarter reflects an actual (discrete period) effective
tax rate of 10 percent compared to an estimated annual tax rate of 31.3 percent for second quarter
2008 excluding discrete benefits of $47 million in the second quarter 2008. The decrease is primarily
attributable to a more favorable geographic mix of profits and losses from a tax perspective along
with a larger percentage benefit from U.S. permanent differences and credits including the research
and development tax credit.
"Personally I feel Apple products are for idle wastrels, but what do I know? I's no name computers and Linux for those in the reserve army of the wondering-how-long-we'll-have a-job."
I don't personally have an Apple laptop, but a lot of techies that I know buy them because they can get a bash prompt to do real work, use the GUI if they want to mess around watching YouTube, and they are reliable. They even prefer them to desktops.
Most people don't even try to run Linux on a laptop because of the driver problem.
a lot of techies that I know buy them because they can get a bash prompt to do real work, use the GUI if they want to mess around watching YouTube, and they are reliable. They even prefer them to desktops.
Yes. yes, and yes. And yes.
Wifey loves her iPhone. I refuse to use AT&T so I don't.
"I don't personally have an Apple laptop, but a lot of techies that I know buy them because they can get a bash prompt to do real work, use the GUI if they want to mess around watching YouTube, and they are reliable. They even prefer them to desktops."
Back in the dotcom boom, when people mistakenly paid me to code web pages, I would buy a $50 book if it gave me two good answers I needed. Because they'd be worth thousands to me. The convenience and versatility some pros get from an Apple laptop makes it worth the premium, for the same reason -- time is money. The coffee houses around here are full of freelance web developers tapping away on black iBooks -- and it's not just about the Kewl.
That said, when it's time to replace the old G4 desktop, which cost $2K back in 2000, the replacement will probably be a $500 (maybe used) Mac Mini and the flatscreen and keyboard from the old machine. Inferior goods, anyone?
You even get used to the keyboard.
It's a computer that makes phone calls too.
It's the only Apple product that I own
You just described me.
The keyboard was an issue but I like that it has no mechanical parts.
It may last for years (as opposed to Dell that needs replacement after 18 months).
I haven't tried it but the battery is supposed to be user-replaceable with a small screwdriver.
Assistant Chief Mitch Celaya will succeed Victoria Harrison on Aug. 1. He beat out Oakland Deputy Police Chief Dave Kozicki, who was a finalist for the position.
Celaya, 48, is a 25-year campus police veteran. He has helped to manage the SWAT team and serving as the department's spokesman.
He will receive an annual salary of $165,000.
A proposal to merge the UCSF and UC Berkeley police departments has been scrapped, as officials determined that a union would not save costs as originally envisioned, said campus spokeswoman Janet Gilmore. No. 2 cop named to chief's job at UC Berkeley
naw, i figured out what the effective tax rate based on "geographic mix" of profit and losses means.
Basically, it's just weighted average of the tax rate based on the tax rates of the country where the earnings were made. Given that the corporate tax rate in the US is 35% + state rate, what does that say about where Caterpillar's earnings came from, if they reported an effective rate of 10% v. 30% last year. These much smaller effective tax rates were cited in almost all the earnings reported by the MNCs. So the good news is that these companies made money. the bad news is that the money wasn't earned in the US, and probably won't be repatriated anytime soon. Probably explains why IBM and INTC have both announced new issuances of convertible debentures the past several days.
It's amazing how you can move those earnings around, if you want to.
It's also amazing how many tax giveaways were stuffed into the emergency legislation of the past 9 months.
As for Apple computers: clearly, the banksters are Mac users!
More seriously -- this is the same company with flawless disclosure of stock option issuance, flawless disclosure of the health of the CEO (who is a significant fraction of market cap based on stock-price impact of health rumors), and you're wondering whether to believe the quarterly reports???? Sheesh. /snark
Co-worker's S.O. took a job there -- a big $70K for 80-hour weeks on a regular basis, plus "hope" of a bonus on hot projects that were finished ahead of schedule. From this standpoint, there's been a culture shift in that Apple used to pay for play. Now they don't see they have to, and they don't.
The relationship broke up, too, after a few months of this.
yea when it comes to the bottom line, work/life balance and "best places to work" trophies just go out the window.
Amazon is good. They are going to kill publishing companies next.
A sample from my CR inspired serial novel...
"Because it is a supply and demand thing. Weapons are not a big deal to get now if you have the right trade goods. Decent pharmaceuticals are harder to find than weapons. Gold is the hardest of all to get because everyone thinks it is going to be worth a lot more, and soon at that."
"What do you think Max?"
"I think they are right. The government has a problem. One I hadn't really realized."
"And that is..."
He didn't answer my question. Night did it for him. "Because it is running on paper with nothing behind it. They have been running on BS and yesterdays habits for the past few years. We still accept it because we can't conceive of not accepting it. The rest of the world doesn't have that problem. We believe in it because to not believe in it is too freaking scary. It's all make believe and has been for awhile."
if you go on glassdoor.com apple pays below industry average.
far below in fact. I have no idea why people work there. i suppose it is like a cult.
I was down in santa clara 6-7 months ago eating at a restaurant with a friend , like 8pm saturday night. And I just was like, I would never work for apple, they pay shitty, and then point to this group of guys.
So there is this huge table of guys sitting there with apple badges on. 8pm saturday. If you are going to get paid crappy and be working at 8pm on saturda7 nights, you reallyr eally have to love working there.
i think the reason iphone still sells is that americans are idiots as long as its a monthly payment.
ATT raised data raites from iphone 1 to iphone 3g. but no one cared since now the startup cost to get an iphone is less. now the iphone is $99 so its a "value".
itsl ike the consumer is hurting but at their lower level of spending, they can buy this new "cheaper" iphone, even though the monthly data plan rates will kill them over the course of 2 years.
these are the same poeple who buy cars with 10% interest over a 6 year term because the monthly payment is low. apple learned from car salesmen when the firs thing they ask you is how much you can afford a month is that the debt ridden americans are idiots and that its all about the monthly payment. if it wasnt just about monthly payments we would not have phone bundling and exclusivity and suich and we'd be just like europe.
Ah, a trip down memory lane. Back in February, I said:
I would not short AAPL even into a Depression. They are just too good at design, and there are much easier targets, IMO. (Not saying I would buy them here, either... But I would take long AAPL + short SPY as a pair trade any day.)
Interesting that both stocks and bonds are higher today. Almost like people are starting to believe Bernanke when he says he is going to keep the overnight rate at zero for a real long time...
Former Apple executive Jon Rubinstein reportedly played a significant role in overhauling Palm's Pre project when he began working with the company, according to Fortune.
Rubinstein initially started "hanging out" with the Palm teams in June of 2007. Taking a first look, he was unimpressed with the Pre hardware and pushed to have the engineers step away from the resistive touchscreens utilized on the prototypes. The components were replaced with capacitive touchscreens used in devices such as the iPhone.
i think aapl if anything is a highly volatile stock once the tide turns.
they went from 200 to 80 and change.
i think a lot of what props their stock up honestly is that being a company with that kind of visible name you get al ot of retail investor idiots who will just buy it because its apple. same thing goes for google and such. you have to account for the lemming herd. it is just like people who kept GM stock above $0 even into the last few days. they don't do their research but think they are investing.
if people were rational google and apple would not be worth so much.
The engineer's relationship with the Apple executives dates back to 1990, after being invited to join Steve Jobs' NeXT venture. Later, while working at Apple, Rubinstein lead engineers to bring the first iMacs and iPods to the market in extremely short time-frames.
had to repost..bcse apple talk has me thinking of pies...like sh$t pies having their ratings raised a week after they were downgraded below fed purchase grade for talf program...why do I believe this is related to CIT rescue..you guys step up and we'll look at those downgrades again....It would be interesting to see who has these bonds...
July 21 (Bloomberg) -- Standard & Poor’s raised the ratings on commercial mortgage-backed debt from three bonds sold in 2007, restoring the top-ranked status of the securities.
The debt had been cut as recently as last week, rendering the securities ineligible for the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset- Backed Securities Loan Facility to jumpstart lending.
S&P lowered the ratings on a class of a commercial mortgage-backed bond offering from AAA to BBB-, the lowest investment-grade ranking, on July 14. The New York-based rating company reversed the cut today, S&P said in a statement.
“It is a stunning reversal and certainly raises questions concerning the robustness of their revised model,” said Christopher Sullivan, chief investment officer at United Nations Federal Credit Union in New York. “It may engender further uncertainty with respect to ratings outlooks.”
Debt rated below AAA isn’t eligible for the Federal Reserve’s TALF. Investors sought $668.9 million in loans from the Fed to purchase so-called legacy commercial mortgage-backed bonds on July 16, the first monthly deadline to finance the purchase of the securities.
i do not get why we have economists that analyze the economy as if people actually were rational. the disconnect there, is that everyone knows the apple and google and the stock market and housing in general are not as rational as say a game theory decision tree, but economists still analyze them as if they were.
if people were rational i think we wouldnt have religion either. it would be a pretty unexciting world haha.
True. Also I'd like to think if we replaced Ben Bernanke with Al Roker tomorrow, Americans wouldn't be able to tell the difference, and the economy might be in better shape
i'm not really worried about BRIC collapsing. I'm more concerned when an "American" company is more accurately an American subsidiary of a multi-national company, basically when more earnings are derived abroad than domestically.
All this negativity towards appl and the stock keeps going up....
This is nothing compared to the legion of folks on this board who were insisting on shorting AAPL at $80 a few months back. It's like they were trying to prove that bear markets don't end until the last bear is carried out in a body bag.
The time to look at AAPL as a longer term short is now, not when it's trading at 3x cash. But if you're going to do it, don't do it in an "uncontained" way, because when momos run there's no telling where they'll stop.
"I know it's heresy but I think Bernanke's done more good than Paulson or Geithner."
I'll agree with you, in that Bernanke couldn't have done worse than Paulson/Geithner. They all would've implemented massive printing, but at least Bernanke doesn't attract the stench of close ties with bankers.
the layoffs are staggered and coordinated so that the company will not have to make government filings monitored by the media. The employees signed agreements not to share any information about their job, compensation, or layoffs, limiting what they can do about losing their positions
"the layoffs are staggered and coordinated so that the company will not have to make government filings monitored by the media. The employees signed agreements not to share any information about their job, compensation, or layoffs, limiting what they can do about losing their positions"
do companies really believe this shiiit is going to stay private in this day and age? especially google. are they that naive?
I'd join a class action suit over this subterfuge. Tuition for in state students is prohibited by the Constitution. These recent "fee" increases are tuition by any other name.
Medtronic was a stock always awarded a 30 mulitple: best in field, cutting edge, demographics, etc. Now murks along with a PE of 10. Apple deserves a high PE more than GOOG, but I don't see it growing revenues 25% a year. BTW, the iphone is canabalizing the ipod in a pretty big way.
And when he had opened the fourth seal, I heard the fourth beast say, Come and see. And I beheld, and lo a pale horse; and he that sat on him was called Death, and Hades followed with him. And power was given to them over a fourth of the earth, and that they (the four horsemen) should kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth
Even MSFT I can understand, they have monopoly pricing power and an install base that is hard to replace (not impossible, but hard).
but AAPL, RIMM, etc are only as good as their product set. that product set gets replaced by the next technology, and they are dead. they have to continually make themselves obsolete. how hard will it be to replace the iPhone? how hard was it to replace the original Palm Pilots? not hard, as long as there is a cool new gadget.
given that the stocks don't pay any dividends, the bet is that they continue to innovate successfully, and some greater fool will continue to pay more for the shares you just bought.
A stocks value is the equal the the total dividends that they will pay over time. people buy with the expectation that someday cash will be returned to shareholders. Imagine how disappointed the techies were.
"AAPL, another tech stock that doesn't pay a dividend. the stock only exists to enrich employees, not shareholders."
Well, traders can make money playing the volatility. One trader I know doesn't even know the names of companies he trades, only the stock symbols. But Tech stocks are not investments, they are speculations. It's the nature of the hit-driven product markets that companies like Apple sell into, and the constant need to reinvent their products.
If utility companies had to do R&D, they probably wouldn't pay divvies either.
Most tech companies probably spend five or ten percent of gross income on R&D, if not more. Doesn't leave much room for regular dividends. They could declare special dividends when they have a hit, but it's a little like the movie business - you are never sure where your next hit is coming from. So retaining earnings for the bad times is pretty important.
One of the side effects of my first attempt at fixing this is that anonymous users are no longer counted in the database, which renders the guest count useless.
"If utility companies had to do R&D, they probably wouldn't pay divvies either. "
Utilities have to spend a lot of money on infrastructure, which tech companies do not. Building and maintaining plants, etc.
You throw out all the standard excuses tech companies use for not returning money to shareholders, but the fact remains that most tech companies have enriched no one but employees over the years.
GOOG is another example. Eventually someone will devise a better search engine, and they will be gone.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
.......well, I had one of them mobile phones........you had to mount the big box thing under the front seat........the coiled cord was never long enough though - you could only talk bent over the steering wheel, and never longer than a few blocks before it would cut out.....real spendy too......it looks like they've gotten smaller........
They rewrote their main product from scratch. When their customers didn't ask for it. And the rewrite took forever, so that killed them when Microsoft bundled IE with Windows.
Japanese cell phone makers do the same kind of bonehead move...they write alot of the software on each cell phone from scratch, for each new cell phone.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
That's the problem with software you could develop in your garage. then you wake up poof your business model has changed.
I'm looking now at the logs, and it appears we have some rather insatiable users. One IP address grabbed more than 4 Gb of data last month, another 3.5. This might explain the problem. I'll dig a little more.
P.S. We have some people using the Wii and the Sony Playstation to browse here. Hoocoodanode?
I decided today to simplify my viewpoint of central banks.
Central banks are the coordinated warning system developed for capital holders to know when to get out of financial markets and buy real assets. i.e. gold, real estate, commodities.
The second purpose through controlling currency is to recover any losses by manipulating monetary policy.
The final purpose is to use downturns to solidify positions of the larger capital holders in certain markets(countries) through using strong currencies to buy weak currencies.(hot money flows)
The part that gets me in this viewpoint is how little the central banks care about labor but will do anything necessary to protect capital. Always remember capital has no nationality unless it is beneficial at the time.
We are all sheep in a sense and seen as a commodity. Life is good for the sheep when the grass is long and the weather is nice. Not so good when it is time to be shorn or slaughtered.
LOL! Yeah, the AAPL devotees would probably love to have me hung.
I went to school in silly valley, with a lot of these tech types, and I have seen outrageous fortunes made (and spent) by just screwing individual investors time and time again.
I love the tricks they pull to enrich themselves. Stock options underwater? Reprice. Can't reprice? Just offer a slug of new ones. Congress tries to mandate expensing of stock options? Pretend the world will end if it happens. It happens and world doesn't end? Convince analysts to ignore the number. Give yourself crazy benefits like gold-plated healthcare plans, free massages, free meals, free dry cleaning, employee annual meetings on Pier 28 with ferris wheels and Sheryl Crow playing, etc.
But of course they can't afford to return money to shareholders, gotta spend that on R&D of course.
What about Googles new operating system? Maybe they realize everything that has been said.
Amazon is positioning itself to be a major publishing house. Why have warehouses of paper with POD. I would not be suprised to see someone like Steven King switch to Amazon.
"The phone and internet service will enable people in England to get anti-flu drugs without going to their GPs.
It comes after 55,000 new cases have emerged in the past week alone, with every region but Yorkshire and the Humber starting to report "exceptional" demands on services."
Probably NSA. They're coming for us! Good thing I don't live in the US!
If they want you bad enough it won't matter.
We had a client who was snatched in SA by the State Dept spooks and flown on a Lear to the US. One of his attorneys told him he was probably going to do serious time.
His reply? When they fly you to america wearing a hood on a Lear - you know you are never going home again.
"Utilities have to spend a lot of money on infrastructure, which tech companies do not. Building and maintaining plants, etc."
Utilities have monopolies and predictable revenue streams, so they can raise money in the bond market and still pay dividends. Tech companies have a harder time going back to the well.
GOOG is an advertising broker with a tech company bolted on the side. It would take more than a better search engine to do them in. Sure, they're vulnerable, but they're going to hard to beat.
On Netscape, you can't compete with free if you business model is not oriented that way. Their code base was a complete mess, and they could not fix it and switch business models fast enough. Browsers are all freeware today (with the minor exception of Opera). And it turns out that their product was not that easy to copy and replace, it took MSFT many years to catch up with Netscape. And MSFT's product is still inferior to the competition, fifteen years later. But because they can bundle it with their OS, it's the default browser for Windows users.
"Most people don't even try to run Linux on a laptop because of the driver problem. "
Try Ubuntu! I put it on my x61 Thinkpad and I didn't have to do anything to configure it. It used my wireless card and my broadband wireless card right out of the box. This was much less work than getting Windows set up. I was amazed after years of messing around trying to get wireless to work on various versions of Thinkpads and various incarnations of Redhat/Fedora.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
Netscape was killed by Microsoft monopoly power, pure and simple.
Microsoft forced every Windows user to have IE installed, sitting on their desktop with its tendrils wound deep inside the OS. While Netscape was probably a better browser until IE5, most users did not want to bother with downloading and installing Netscape when IE was good enough.
There were also games played with APIs, RFC support, JavaScript compatibility, and end runs like activex. Not that Netscape didn't play API and RFC games. In the end, the default IE icon and the cash horde of Microsoft squeezed Netscape to death.
When Netscape died, so did Microsoft browser research and development.
Chinese Employee Loses iPhone Prototype, Kills Self on Tuesday July 21, @03:44PM
Posted by kdawson on Tuesday July 21, @03:44PM
from the taking-the-job-way-too-seriously dept.
cellphones
tlhIngan writes "Physical intimidation of a Foxconn employee, 25 year-old Sun Danyong, and a possibly-illegal search of his house may have led to suicide after an iPhone prototype in his possession was lost. Foxconn is Apple's long-time manufacturing partner for the iPhone. Entrusted with 16 iPhone prototypes, Danyong discovered that one was missing and searched the factory for it. When it didn't turn up, he reported the incident to his boss, who ordered his apartment searched. There are reports of physical intimidation by Foxconn security personnel. This ended tragically on Thursday at 3 AM, when Danyong jumped from his apartment building to his death." VentureBeat notes that "Apple exerts immense pressure on its business partners [to] help it maintain secrecy." An Apple spokesperson said this to CNet: "We are saddened by the tragic loss of this young employee, and we are awaiting results of the investigations into his death. We require our suppliers to treat all workers with dignity and respect."
The Kindle is just a tip of a tentacle. I don't think Amazon cares what you read it on as long as they control the content, distribution, and eventually the creative talent.
Tim Waiting for 2012
yeah, about being short on AAPL, 6 months ago I thought this was a sure thing
premised on Jobs not really coming back ...
....
guess there are some luxury items one can't do without..
when I lived in LA in '80-81 everyone it seems drove a Mercedes
even if they lived in a shack...
I find the Amazon web site distracting, but they have a handful of back office technologies that are really cool.
They have the simple storage system, elastic cloud, and the mechanical turk. Turk lets you delegate tasks from a program to a human, whom you pay a small transaction fee, then your program can resume with input form the turk. Turks are anonymous humans anywhere in the world. Truly sick.
July 22 (Bloomberg) -- Global investors give Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke top marks for combating the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression and overwhelmingly favor his reappointment amid optimism that the world economy is on the mend.
Sixty-one percent of investors surveyed in the first Quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll say the world economy is stable or improving and almost 75 percent take a favorable view of the 55-year-old chairman. By almost a three-to-one margin, they say Bernanke has earned another four-year term when his current one expires in January.
nova
as a writer I have thought long and hard about the Kindle and if it will destroy
publishing... me thinks not unless they invent one whose battery never dies...
and plus, the tactile feel of pages... it's one of the greatest interfaces ever invented
along with the pencil
One trader I know doesn't even know the names of companies he trades, only the stock symbols.
At the height of the tech bubble, a friend of ours was in her neighborhood stock tip trading club. At one meeting, a neighbor thanked her for the tip to buy Amalgamated Widgets.com. "No, no, I said Associated Gadgets.com." "Oh, well," replied the neighbor, "it scarcely matters, I've sold it for a 100% profit anyway."
The three HFT horsemen are C, BAC and CIT. These three stocks traded 860 million shares today which is 10% of all US Equity volume. Think about that: 3 stocks in a universe of over 5000 U.S. stocks represented 10% of the volume. How could this be? Look at the intraday chart of all three of these stocks and you will see a something in common: an early morning move followed by a flatline with a very tight range (around .05). Meanwhile, while these stocks were flatlining the market was heading higher. The S&P 500 gained around 10 points in the afternoon (or 1%) but these 3 stocks did not move. There was a constant bid to these stocks yet anytime they wanted to lift there seemed to be a constant offer just a few pennies higher. This is what HFT looks like. The HFT’s made a killing in these 3 names today – in addition to the .01-.02 spread, they collected about .005/share in liquidity rebates. Not a bad day for a supercomputer
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
Bundling a browser with an OS with a 90% market share and a populace that doesn't care what browser they use as long as an icon appears on their screen also had something to do with it.
Add in a few exclusive agreements with hardware suppliers and you get a bug advantage.
sm_landlord writes:
but it's a little like the movie business - you are never sure where your next hit is coming from. So retaining earnings for the bad times is pretty important. "
for a studio when those bad times come you need a back catalog of movies to provide a cash stream
[I always thought Dreamworks was a over hyped company from the get go.. btw]
Apple has taken control of you! All you do is stare at that dumb phone and think about your mac. You might just as well have an Apple Chip in your skin so you can just text and communicate with your imagination. The plan was to manipulate peoples brains into thinking this is what the world is about. Sad days have arrived as people are too busy worrying about their next text instead of enjoying the true meaning of life. Good for Steve Jobs and Wall St. but a disaster for our society and children. I think it's time we slow down a bit and get back to reality!
Old Fashion Nemo!
....................
Once again consumer spending is relatively better off than business spending. ~CR
I bet that has a lot to do with peoples undying love for Apple... Heck I have no job and I bought a lappie....
Businesses are more rational... Kinda like the difference between defaulting on a house and a piece of commercial real estate...
well I did what I thought was stupid and bought some AAPL to hold last Jan. I honestly thought I'd probably loose a stack of money but I was going to hold long like I had with amazon and ebay. It went up too fast so I finally sold it on Monday. I never have luck like that and will never see gains like again.
Plus I got a little feedback from 2 friends who had interviewed there in July. Both had worked there before and after talking with them, something smelled like a culture shift (can't give details). The more I think about it, the happier I am I took my money off the table.
The bad news is I can't think of any place to move the winnings besides a series of short term CDs.
Consumers are in better shape than businesses? Interesting data point, though I wonder if businesses are just being more defensive.
Comrade Coinz, the key word is"relatively" - in relatively worse off. This has been true for hotels too (both leisure and business travel are off, but business more).
best wishes
Apple is undergoing the end of the Jobs era. Interpret the consequences of that as you will.
The U.S.A. is undergoing the end of the "Jobs" era. Interpret the consequences of that as you will.
"Plus I got a little feedback from 2 friends who had interviewed there in July. Both had worked there before and after talking with them, something smelled like a culture shift (can't give details). The more I think about it, the happier I am I took my money off the table."
Co-worker's S.O. took a job there -- a big $70K for 80-hour weeks on a regular basis, plus "hope" of a bonus on hot projects that were finished ahead of schedule. From this standpoint, there's been a culture shift in that Apple used to pay for play. Now they don't see they have to, and they don't.
The relationship broke up, too, after a few months of this.
From previous thread:
" Yalt (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Tue, 7/21/2009 - 6:10 pm
You'll note that this only seems to work when used against cesspools. Try this against a decent company and you'll find buyers happy to step in to the stock.
Could we identify some "rumors" that weren't grounded in fact, at least to a comparable degree of grounding as is usual for all the positive book-talking that goes on? I'm not opposed to enforcing rules against deliberate spreading of misinfornation in an attempt to manipulate a market, as long as that enforcement has a single standard for shorts and longs alike.
Otherwise, it looks a little like blaming the collapse of the chain letter on the guy that wouldn't play along."
True enough; you'll also note that predators on the African plain rarely seek out the healthiest members of a herd to attack. Perhaps hedgies have taken on the mantle of creative destruction, and there's no longer a need for recessions to do that for us. On the other hand, we as tax payers seem to be the ones stuck with the bill for this, while George Soros, et al are doing just fine.
The sectors that buy AAPL products either aren't doing well, have to resort to inferior goods, or they are waiting for better technology before investing. This is the drumbeat I hear YMMV
'hipsters are always broke.... that's why they only have 1 gear on their bike and no brakes....
OT-
wtf moment of today...guess that obama proposed changes to ratings agencies is stirring things back up..how can they do this with all the news CR has posted on CRE in last week...what bank pushed back, so they can get these in fed program...this is manipulation at its finest....
&P Restores Top-Ratings to Commercial Mortgages (Update1)
Share | Email | Print | A A A
By Sarah Mulholland
July 21 (Bloomberg) -- Standard & Poor’s raised the ratings on commercial mortgage-backed debt from three bonds sold in 2007, restoring the top-ranked status of the securities.
The debt had been cut as recently as last week, rendering the securities ineligible for the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset- Backed Securities Loan Facility to jumpstart lending.
S&P lowered the ratings on a class of a commercial mortgage-backed bond offering from AAA to BBB-, the lowest investment-grade ranking, on July 14. The New York-based rating company reversed the cut today, S&P said in a statement.
“It is a stunning reversal and certainly raises questions concerning the robustness of their revised model,” said Christopher Sullivan, chief investment officer at United Nations Federal Credit Union in New York. “It may engender further uncertainty with respect to ratings outlooks.”
Debt rated below AAA isn’t eligible for the Federal Reserve’s TALF. Investors sought $668.9 million in loans from the Fed to purchase so-called legacy commercial mortgage-backed bonds on July 16, the first monthly deadline to finance the purchase of the securities.
All this negativity towards appl and the stock keeps going up....
This is a pretty interesting "recession". I live in Sacramento (area) and work for a Zombie. Supposedly one of the "bad" parts of the economy. I personally don't know anybody who is unemployed. The people I work with don't appear to be cutting back very much. Still planning trips, buying useless crap, all on credit cards. Seems to me consumer spending could stabilize indefinately as long as the banks keep the credit cards open. I know there are supposed to be unemployed people around here, I just don't hear about them.
Bob,
That's similar to what I've been hearing. They want to hire the young and dumb who can take a beating. They are being run like a sweat shop. The hot projects are mainly maintainence driven.
My cousin in law just started at Apple's Sacramento facility fresh out of MBA school. Maybe that's the culture shift...MBA's
(disclosure...I hold one of those sheepskins) I jokingly asked him if he got a free subscription to i-Tunes...no dice.
Hiring young and dumb is pretty smart. If I were King, I'd hire young and dumb engineers, keep the males and females in separate states and feed them all the pizza they wanted until they burnt out (or discovered sex).
Apple and Amazon are going to be my ruin. Damn my strong convictions that they could not prosper in this environment. I still don't understand it.
Unemployment greater than 11% in some of their biggest markets, plus housing wealth evaporating....and yet the Mac sales grow nicely.
Ramping unemployment, plus businesses increasingly going BK and cutting expenses.....and yet the iPhone grows like mad.
What can stop their revenues going up, if not the greatest consumer retrenchment since the depression?
As the high-end housing market suffers declines this year, and as continuing unemployment causes folks to cut back further on spending, I still think Apple will suffer declining revenues, like everybody else, at some point soon.
Short sellers are the immune system of the market.
If there's anything to the collective wisdom of the marketplace as an efficient means of determining prices, the marketplace needs to be able to register both positive and negative opinions. When the only negative opinions allowed are those held by disillusioned former longs, the market suffers.
As for the price tag, the bill you're stuck with is for propping up asset prices above their market value so that after years of asset inflation beyond actual economic growth the wealthy can now get out with their claims on future production intact. Hedge funds and shorts or no, sooner or later that bill was going to come due.
I avoided Apple for years because of the price versus return ratio.
Twice the price of an IBM PC for questionable gains.
But I have to say, the iPhone is awesome.
I've had a year and I still get a kick out of it.
Love my Iphone also, we have three in our household.
iPhones, iPods, computers... The new consumer "savings" rate is a myth too. Nobody is saving in the OLD definition of the word. Now the economists count reduced spending (reduced from the previous consumption on debt) as "savings". The peasants will (and are) spending EVERY dime they can find.
I understand that they make great products.
But doesn't affordability become an issue, at some point, ever??
Analyst: so...let me see, DRAM, NAND, hards vs opticals, constraniation. Am i seeing this correctly. Can you elaborate.
AAPL: Yes, Bob. You see these items are silicon products. Pure and simple. Purely silicon and simply silicon.
Analyst: uhmmmmm. Let's drive to the point. Tell us about environmental and financial concerns and how they intersect.
AAPL: Bob you ignorant slut. Everyone knows these things are made from sand. That is the key. Environmentally the green bastards are trying to prevent us from getting all the sand we need, and the financial weenies have us in a TALF head vice. So this is the crux of the issue.
Analyst: okay, let's get to the poo-poo platter.
I was toying with my iPhone in the restaurant and the waitress asked about "your phone".
I wasn't sure what she was talking about.
Then I realized that I don't THINK of it as a phone.
iPhone cost $200 but I've probably displaced at least 30% of my $1000 laptop use onto it.
That's a cost benefit, especially since it shows no signs of aging like my Dell keyboard does.
Apple and Amazon are going to be my ruin. Damn my strong convictions that they could not prosper in this environment. I still don't understand it.
The joys of not (yet) being a monopoly--you can grow in an overall down market by increasing share. Microsoft, Dell, HP, Walmart all are worse off in this regard.
Not if money doesn't matter.
How long will it take for the corporate infighting to drive out the Jobs magic and turn Apple's products into same old same old corporate blandness?
Unemployment greater than 11% in some of their biggest markets, plus housing wealth evaporating....and yet the Mac sales grow nicely.
Maybe the people losing jobs are the ones wearing "I'm a PC" t-shirts?
"But doesn't affordability become an issue, at some point, ever?? "
Not at the iPhone's price point. Remember, AT&T subsidizes the price to the consumer. When people can no longer afford to have a phone of any sort, them you'll see iPhone sales get killed. Meanwhile, people are disconnecting their land lines so that they can afford their cell bills.
I'm tempted to buy a iPhone every time my Crackberry crashes. But I really like having a keyboard.
On Apple
Well the Hardware guy (inventor of click wheel and developed the touch screen interface) from Apple left to Palm so we'll see if anything significant comes out as far as product this year. IMO this is just contra funds chasing performance.
The rumor was Jobs didn't want a keyboard so lo and behold a keypad on the Pre
"How long will it take for the corporate infighting to drive out the Jobs magic and turn Apple's products into same old same old corporate blandness?"
How fast can they hire more MBAs?
Really it depends on how long it takes for Apple to put another soda salesman into the CEO post after Jobs retires.
So the markets need a lot more DRAM and NAND and a lot less Rand?
C&C, I don't get it either. I bought because it was cheap. It feels like dow 13,800 out there now so you can buy my shares from etrade.
SC, I bought ebay and amzn cheap in the 90s and held because they were companies I used. I'm very old fashioned about what I buy which is why I'm surprised if I make anything.
KFP, one of the interviewees came back saying he felt like he had just applied for a first line tech job at m$. We all stared at him and I suggested we begin drinking.
There is probably a number of RIMM users switching over when their contract expires. BTW I have been short aapl since may and I am getting killed.
"Bob,
That's similar to what I've been hearing. They want to hire the young and dumb who can take a beating. They are being run like a sweat shop. The hot projects are mainly maintainence driven."
Maintenance-driven? Yup, in this case.
I'm no Apple-hater -- Apples have been my main home machines for nearly 30 years. I still remember the satisfying RRRRRIP sound of yanking the velcro-attached hood off an Apple II. So I could clean the PC board contacts with a pencil eraser. Dosweredadays. When they rolled out the iMac at 12:00 am one Saturday back in '98 or '99 at computer stores, I was there. Steve Jobs is a sociopath and AAPL is a moneygrubbing company that screws its users regularly. But the point is that while IBM -- and HP and Compac and Dell -- kept trying to turn the PC into just another piece of office equipment, Jobs and company kept moving it out in different directions. Everybody else mostly followed. And for that, Apple deserved respect, and still does.
But... once upon a time Apple employees worked huge hours because they thought they were creating greatness; a little later they worked long hours because they thought they'd be rich. And now they work long hours because... that's the culture, dude, take it or leave it. You a wimp?
WestSac, you're right about the young and stupid. Apple feeds 'em dinner every night they stay over, and throws 'em some free goodies from time to time ("here, have a laptop") to keep them happy. But once upon a time that slave labor led somewhere -- to money, or at least to geek glory ("I was there on Project X!"). And now it leads nowhere.
Went into a restaurant and ordered a California Roll - waiter came back with an IOU.
OK, so the iPhone is great, and folks are disconnecting their land-line phones to be able to afford their iPhone service...
Which utilities will they shut off so that they can afford a $400 Kindle??
Which utilities will they shut off so that they can afford a $400 Kindle??
All of them, and move back in with their parents.
Which utilities will they shut off so that they can afford a $400 Kindle??
People still read?
Re: nd now it leads nowhere.
Na, not if you're a young male. Young males create their own greatness. Don't forget the 5 F's of male life:
Food, Fear, Fighting, Sex, and Fantasy. The last one is the most important one.
"Which utilities will they shut off so that they can afford a $400 Kindle?? "
People who buy Kindles are likely to be literate, so they probably can afford $400. Think about it.
On the other hand, Amazon may have shot themselves in the foot with the Orwell move.
I don't have a third hand, so I must not be an economist.
And how does Joe "Fearful" Consumer continue to justify buying the expensive Apple computer?
I just don't understand why you would see folks downgrade from Nordstrom to Target, from Cheesecake Factory to KFC, but they buy the most expensive computer...
"I just don't understand why you would see folks downgrade from Nordstrom to Target, from Cheesecake Factory to KFC, but they buy the most expensive computer..."
A counter-trend to what you describe is that some people are tending to buy quality products in hopes that they will last longer than a year.
I'm a palm person from way back. Once verizon starts offering the iphone, I'll move over but only if the contract makes sense for the money and the phone is damn near free. I won't touch ATT even with Jas' hand.
What I can't figure out is this:
Matt Trivisonno's tax withholding charts show about a 20% drop. That makes sence, 11% official unemplyment + a few more percent for those that don't matter anymore, plus the Furlow Friday effect that is happening all over (supposedly).
So, if people are earning 20% less(overall, based on taxes withheld) you'd think spending would be off more than 1%. Ain't that way tho. If the credit cards work, everybody will keep spending (I guess).
iPhone cost $200 but I've probably displaced at least 30% of my $1000 laptop use onto it.
That's the long-term reason one would be buying Apple stock.
The danger to the computing status quo always comes from below - from smaller, simpler devices. IBM 360 replaced by less-capable DECs. DEC and Data Generals replaced by microcomputers. A few years of balkanization before the PC emerged dominant. 20 years of that paradigm.
Now the PC/laptop threatened by the smartphone.
The people who are in their teens now will view a desktop/laptop computer as an annoyance to be tolerated only if necessary.
I just don't understand why you would see folks downgrade from Nordstrom to Target, from Cheesecake Factory to KFC, but they buy the most expensive computer...
They spend more time on their computer than they spend eating or wearing clothes.
But, how much of Apple is mostly young people. I'd say about 75%. I don't see young people cutting back at all. They're completely hand-ta-mouth in spending patterns. So, if they delay buying that "cool Matrix" for a few months (on credit) you can buy (on credit) lots of cool iTools.
@sm_landlord
Perhaps the persons buying Apple products perceive better quality/durability or some such in their purchase. I can see buying "store brands" and KFC versus Cheescake Factory -- but if you need something to last such as a washing machine, surely many people will spring for the better quality.
Personally I feel Apple products are for idle wastrels, but what do I know? I's no name computers and Linux for those in the reserve army of the wondering-how-long-we'll-have a-job.
yalt, just like video killed the radio star; massive interactive games killed dinner and a movie night.
I saved, bit the bullet, and bought a 3GS 32 GB Iphone....best money I've spent in a while. This thing has apps for damn near anything.
You even get used to the keyboard.
It's a computer that makes phone calls too.
I get a hefty discount on the voice and data plans through my employer.
It's the only Apple product that I own. That probably won't change.
Could someone enlighten me as to what gives with another Apple product.: the Ipod. Is it true that when the battery on an Ipod wears out you can't replace the battery -- have to buy a new Ipod? Or am I really misinformed?
Even if you view a mobile phone/smartphone as a necessary evil, as I do, it's difficult not to agree that, if you must have one, this would be the one you want.
I don't believe that the batteries are removable. If it's still under warranty they will replace it. Otherwise, you are SOL.
When they switched to a BSD Unix core (with a Mach kernel) in OS X, they finally started making real computers. I have 3 and ssh into my home Macbook while at work.
W/ att&t you have a simm card, so you can transfer to a new phone if you are out of warranty...
Iphone replaced home phone for me. So the savings and the fact that I no longer receive any sales calls during dinner has made it worth the price
how about there are more middle class people in China than in the US?
Been noticing that "favorable" tax treatment has had a favorable effect on earnings. For example, from caterpillar's report:
The provision for income taxes in the second quarter reflects an actual (discrete period) effective
tax rate of 10 percent compared to an estimated annual tax rate of 31.3 percent for second quarter
2008 excluding discrete benefits of $47 million in the second quarter 2008. The decrease is primarily
attributable to a more favorable geographic mix of profits and losses from a tax perspective along
with a larger percentage benefit from U.S. permanent differences and credits including the research
and development tax credit.
Anyone have a clue to wtf this means?
"Personally I feel Apple products are for idle wastrels, but what do I know? I's no name computers and Linux for those in the reserve army of the wondering-how-long-we'll-have a-job."
I don't personally have an Apple laptop, but a lot of techies that I know buy them because they can get a bash prompt to do real work, use the GUI if they want to mess around watching YouTube, and they are reliable. They even prefer them to desktops.
Most people don't even try to run Linux on a laptop because of the driver problem.
iPhone 3GS plus plus cydia gives you a full fledged unix workstation.
But the keyboard does suck.
a lot of techies that I know buy them because they can get a bash prompt to do real work, use the GUI if they want to mess around watching YouTube, and they are reliable. They even prefer them to desktops.
Yes. yes, and yes. And yes.
Wifey loves her iPhone. I refuse to use AT&T so I don't.
Mac vs. PC
We've certainly jumped the shark
C'ya tomorrow
I just love having SSH in my pocket and being able to leave the laptop home.
Phone + Ipod + Mini *Nix-based computer for 300 ameros ain't bad.
it's possible to replace the battery on ipods - you can buy kits to do this - not very hard.
But I still have a Gen I ipod mini and the battery is still fine despite being 5? years old
"I don't personally have an Apple laptop, but a lot of techies that I know buy them because they can get a bash prompt to do real work, use the GUI if they want to mess around watching YouTube, and they are reliable. They even prefer them to desktops."
Back in the dotcom boom, when people mistakenly paid me to code web pages, I would buy a $50 book if it gave me two good answers I needed. Because they'd be worth thousands to me. The convenience and versatility some pros get from an Apple laptop makes it worth the premium, for the same reason -- time is money. The coffee houses around here are full of freelance web developers tapping away on black iBooks -- and it's not just about the Kewl.
That said, when it's time to replace the old G4 desktop, which cost $2K back in 2000, the replacement will probably be a $500 (maybe used) Mac Mini and the flatscreen and keyboard from the old machine. Inferior goods, anyone?
Jobs is the one that puts magnesium on the back of the ibook
The guy that invented the iPod and iPhone is at Palm now.
You even get used to the keyboard.
It's a computer that makes phone calls too.
It's the only Apple product that I own
You just described me.
The keyboard was an issue but I like that it has no mechanical parts.
It may last for years (as opposed to Dell that needs replacement after 18 months).
I haven't tried it but the battery is supposed to be user-replaceable with a small screwdriver.
Basel
On page 861 on the US stimulus bill is probably a provision which gave CAT some tax breaks.
BURN
You must have a magic iPod mini or don't use it everyday my battery lasted 18-24 months before now it craps out after about 45 minutes
my battery lasted 18-24 months before now it craps out after about 45 minutes
So buy a new one
AAPL had a real window when Vista was released with a thud to make a serious move into the business world.
Alas, they were not positioned for it and still seem to have little interest in it.
I have worked with a few of their business consultants, and they make an effort but they are way understaffed to take on the business world.
Nemo no thanks
all that talk of naked shorting made me think of CA IOU's being backed by nubile blonds - time for a cold shower
No. 2 cop named to chief's job at UC Berkeley
Henry K. Lee, Chronicle Staff Writer
Assistant Chief Mitch Celaya will succeed Victoria Harrison on Aug. 1. He beat out Oakland Deputy Police Chief Dave Kozicki, who was a finalist for the position.
Celaya, 48, is a 25-year campus police veteran. He has helped to manage the SWAT team and serving as the department's spokesman.
He will receive an annual salary of $165,000.
A proposal to merge the UCSF and UC Berkeley police departments has been scrapped, as officials determined that a union would not save costs as originally envisioned, said campus spokeswoman Janet Gilmore.
No. 2 cop named to chief's job at UC Berkeley
Joe6Figure
naw, i figured out what the effective tax rate based on "geographic mix" of profit and losses means.
Basically, it's just weighted average of the tax rate based on the tax rates of the country where the earnings were made. Given that the corporate tax rate in the US is 35% + state rate, what does that say about where Caterpillar's earnings came from, if they reported an effective rate of 10% v. 30% last year. These much smaller effective tax rates were cited in almost all the earnings reported by the MNCs. So the good news is that these companies made money. the bad news is that the money wasn't earned in the US, and probably won't be repatriated anytime soon. Probably explains why IBM and INTC have both announced new issuances of convertible debentures the past several days.
It's amazing how you can move those earnings around, if you want to.
It's also amazing how many tax giveaways were stuffed into the emergency legislation of the past 9 months.
As for Apple computers: clearly, the banksters are Mac users!
More seriously -- this is the same company with flawless disclosure of stock option issuance, flawless disclosure of the health of the CEO (who is a significant fraction of market cap based on stock-price impact of health rumors), and you're wondering whether to believe the quarterly reports???? Sheesh. /snark
Co-worker's S.O. took a job there -- a big $70K for 80-hour weeks on a regular basis, plus "hope" of a bonus on hot projects that were finished ahead of schedule. From this standpoint, there's been a culture shift in that Apple used to pay for play. Now they don't see they have to, and they don't.
The relationship broke up, too, after a few months of this.
yea when it comes to the bottom line, work/life balance and "best places to work" trophies just go out the window.
Amazon is good. They are going to kill publishing companies next.
A sample from my CR inspired serial novel...
"Because it is a supply and demand thing. Weapons are not a big deal to get now if you have the right trade goods. Decent pharmaceuticals are harder to find than weapons. Gold is the hardest of all to get because everyone thinks it is going to be worth a lot more, and soon at that."
"What do you think Max?"
"I think they are right. The government has a problem. One I hadn't really realized."
"And that is..."
He didn't answer my question. Night did it for him. "Because it is running on paper with nothing behind it. They have been running on BS and yesterdays habits for the past few years. We still accept it because we can't conceive of not accepting it. The rest of the world doesn't have that problem. We believe in it because to not believe in it is too freaking scary. It's all make believe and has been for awhile."
American Apocalypse
Great work nova. Keep it up.
Thank you.
Basel
Would be interesting to see what happens if their BRIC investments flop
Wisdom
about 200-300 billion of the stimulus was for tax breaks
Nova
did you see this "Amazon Erases Orwell Books From Kindle"
Amazon Erases Two Classics From Kindle. (One Is '1984.') - NY Times
if you go on glassdoor.com apple pays below industry average.
far below in fact. I have no idea why people work there. i suppose it is like a cult.
I was down in santa clara 6-7 months ago eating at a restaurant with a friend , like 8pm saturday night. And I just was like, I would never work for apple, they pay shitty, and then point to this group of guys.
So there is this huge table of guys sitting there with apple badges on. 8pm saturday. If you are going to get paid crappy and be working at 8pm on saturda7 nights, you reallyr eally have to love working there.
Hans
I think they take advantage of a lot of E European engineers. That might be why they lost their hardware guy to Palm.
The guy at Palm developed a lot of the hardware in the iPhone and I think that is how they avoided the lawsuits that the iCon threatened them with.
Apple vs. Palm: the in-depth analysis -- Engadget
i think the reason iphone still sells is that americans are idiots as long as its a monthly payment.
ATT raised data raites from iphone 1 to iphone 3g. but no one cared since now the startup cost to get an iphone is less. now the iphone is $99 so its a "value".
itsl ike the consumer is hurting but at their lower level of spending, they can buy this new "cheaper" iphone, even though the monthly data plan rates will kill them over the course of 2 years.
these are the same poeple who buy cars with 10% interest over a 6 year term because the monthly payment is low. apple learned from car salesmen when the firs thing they ask you is how much you can afford a month is that the debt ridden americans are idiots and that its all about the monthly payment. if it wasnt just about monthly payments we would not have phone bundling and exclusivity and suich and we'd be just like europe.
Ah, a trip down memory lane. Back in February, I said:
I would not short AAPL even into a Depression. They are just too good at design, and there are much easier targets, IMO. (Not saying I would buy them here, either... But I would take long AAPL + short SPY as a pair trade any day.)
Too bad I did not put my money where my mouth is.
And then one week ago, I asked:
So, does the S&P break 1000 this week, or next?
I do not have any money on that one, either.
Interesting that both stocks and bonds are higher today. Almost like people are starting to believe Bernanke when he says he is going to keep the overnight rate at zero for a real long time...
Jon Rubinstein that is his name
Former Apple executive Jon Rubinstein reportedly played a significant role in overhauling Palm's Pre project when he began working with the company, according to Fortune.
Rubinstein initially started "hanging out" with the Palm teams in June of 2007. Taking a first look, he was unimpressed with the Pre hardware and pushed to have the engineers step away from the resistive touchscreens utilized on the prototypes. The components were replaced with capacitive touchscreens used in devices such as the iPhone.
i think aapl if anything is a highly volatile stock once the tide turns.
they went from 200 to 80 and change.
i think a lot of what props their stock up honestly is that being a company with that kind of visible name you get al ot of retail investor idiots who will just buy it because its apple. same thing goes for google and such. you have to account for the lemming herd. it is just like people who kept GM stock above $0 even into the last few days. they don't do their research but think they are investing.
if people were rational google and apple would not be worth so much.
The engineer's relationship with the Apple executives dates back to 1990, after being invited to join Steve Jobs' NeXT venture. Later, while working at Apple, Rubinstein lead engineers to bring the first iMacs and iPods to the market in extremely short time-frames.
Report: Ex-Apple exec overhauled Palm Pre design | Electronista
This guy has been instrumental for Apple and the iCon gave him the shaft then threatened him with a lawsuit. What a winner.
Today's bumpersticker -
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/images/TheCrash/FixItPhilosophy.jpg
if people were rational google and apple would not be worth so much.
If people were rational, US gov't debt would be worth zero.
broward
Saw one today
"Jesus is coming... look busy."
Those who are religious I apologize.
had to repost..bcse apple talk has me thinking of pies...like sh$t pies having their ratings raised a week after they were downgraded below fed purchase grade for talf program...why do I believe this is related to CIT rescue..you guys step up and we'll look at those downgrades again....It would be interesting to see who has these bonds...
July 21 (Bloomberg) -- Standard & Poor’s raised the ratings on commercial mortgage-backed debt from three bonds sold in 2007, restoring the top-ranked status of the securities.
The debt had been cut as recently as last week, rendering the securities ineligible for the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset- Backed Securities Loan Facility to jumpstart lending.
S&P lowered the ratings on a class of a commercial mortgage-backed bond offering from AAA to BBB-, the lowest investment-grade ranking, on July 14. The New York-based rating company reversed the cut today, S&P said in a statement.
“It is a stunning reversal and certainly raises questions concerning the robustness of their revised model,” said Christopher Sullivan, chief investment officer at United Nations Federal Credit Union in New York. “It may engender further uncertainty with respect to ratings outlooks.”
Debt rated below AAA isn’t eligible for the Federal Reserve’s TALF. Investors sought $668.9 million in loans from the Fed to purchase so-called legacy commercial mortgage-backed bonds on July 16, the first monthly deadline to finance the purchase of the securities.
yeah, true that.
i do not get why we have economists that analyze the economy as if people actually were rational. the disconnect there, is that everyone knows the apple and google and the stock market and housing in general are not as rational as say a game theory decision tree, but economists still analyze them as if they were.
if people were rational i think we wouldnt have religion either. it would be a pretty unexciting world haha.
"i do not get why we have economists"
The same reason we have meterologists. Because Ben Bernanke's stammering is great television?
The same reason we have meterologists.
A little bit of knowledge is better than none?
abcnews tonight-lead story is stock market rally...green shoots everywhere...
@broward
True. Also I'd like to think if we replaced Ben Bernanke with Al Roker tomorrow, Americans wouldn't be able to tell the difference, and the economy might be in better shape
i'm not really worried about BRIC collapsing. I'm more concerned when an "American" company is more accurately an American subsidiary of a multi-national company, basically when more earnings are derived abroad than domestically.
Two companies come in to mind. GM and Budweiser.
Apple looks great on a resume. Plenty of people will work there for 1-2 years for that alone.
Americans wouldn't be able to tell the difference
Agree.
.
.
and the economy might be in better shape
Disagree but not strongly.
I know it's heresy but I think Bernanke's done more good than Paulson or Geithner.
hans (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Tue, 7/21/2009 - 5:28 pm
yeah, true that.
i do not get why we have economists
We don't have economists. What we have now are to economists what astrologers are to astronomy.
Another Stock Market bubble in the offing; the BOGaS (Bernanke, Obama, Geithner and Summers) bubble. Can't pin it on Greenspan and Bush this time.
All this negativity towards appl and the stock keeps going up....
This is nothing compared to the legion of folks on this board who were insisting on shorting AAPL at $80 a few months back. It's like they were trying to prove that bear markets don't end until the last bear is carried out in a body bag.
The time to look at AAPL as a longer term short is now, not when it's trading at 3x cash. But if you're going to do it, don't do it in an "uncontained" way, because when momos run there's no telling where they'll stop.
"I know it's heresy but I think Bernanke's done more good than Paulson or Geithner."
I'll agree with you, in that Bernanke couldn't have done worse than Paulson/Geithner. They all would've implemented massive printing, but at least Bernanke doesn't attract the stench of close ties with bankers.
prices up, wages down, can you say "stagflation"?
CSU approves 20 percent fee hike - San Jose Mercury News
CSU approves 20 percent fee hike
Weeping Willow
give it a P/E of 18 and Apple is a 90 -100 dollar stock in a year.
OT but fyi:
BBC NEWS | Health | NHS 'facing huge flu challenge'
'facing huge flu challenge'
Do Know Evil - the new Google credo -
Google Axes Seattle Employees, Report Says | Xconomy
the layoffs are staggered and coordinated so that the company will not have to make government filings monitored by the media. The employees signed agreements not to share any information about their job, compensation, or layoffs, limiting what they can do about losing their positions
AAPL, another tech stock that doesn't pay a dividend. the stock only exists to enrich employees, not shareholders.
lots of devotees buying CSCO back in 2000, at $80, stock still has yet to return a dime to shareholders.
great company, lousy stock. same could be said of many tech companies.
broward
You knew it was just a matter of time until reality would set in
"CSU approves 20 percent fee hike "
And buried near the end of the article, it appears that tenured faculty will actually have to teach!
What is the world coming to?
"the layoffs are staggered and coordinated so that the company will not have to make government filings monitored by the media. The employees signed agreements not to share any information about their job, compensation, or layoffs, limiting what they can do about losing their positions"
do companies really believe this shiiit is going to stay private in this day and age? especially google. are they that naive?
ghostfaceinvestah (profile) wrote on Tue, 7/21/2009 - 5:56 pm
prices up, wages down, can you say "stagflation"?
CSU approves 20 percent fee hike - San Jose Mercury News
CSU approves 20 percent fee hike
I'd join a class action suit over this subterfuge. Tuition for in state students is prohibited by the Constitution. These recent "fee" increases are tuition by any other name.
Medtronic was a stock always awarded a 30 mulitple: best in field, cutting edge, demographics, etc. Now murks along with a PE of 10. Apple deserves a high PE more than GOOG, but I don't see it growing revenues 25% a year. BTW, the iphone is canabalizing the ipod in a pretty big way.
ghostface
Smartphones will reach a certain saturation point and then stagnate like cell phones. Aapl is a cell phone company now.
Well, lets put things in perspective.
BB. just a seal on an envelope
The Treasury lads - a Netflix envelope seal
The Flu, the 4th seal...
And when he had opened the fourth seal, I heard the fourth beast say, Come and see. And I beheld, and lo a pale horse; and he that sat on him was called Death, and Hades followed with him. And power was given to them over a fourth of the earth, and that they (the four horsemen) should kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth
We just had another major spike on the site. I'm trying to track down the issue - it clearly had nothing to do with serving up anonymous pages.
I've restarted the web server, which has cleared the spike.
I appreciate your patience.
"Bernanke doesn't attract the stench of close ties with bankers."
So the head of the central bank is not considered a banker? Kind of like Keven Bacon having no close ties to Kevin Bacon.
It was the arrival of Pavel.
There is a limit as to what people will pay for monthly service. Either rates come down or smart phone sales stagnate
i remember back in the tech bubble NOK was the handheld darling. stock got up to almost 60. now at 12 or something.
consumer product stocks are dangerous games, gotta keep rolling out the next hot thing or they crash and burn. so far AAPL has done well.
well, since the iPod they have done well - they have had near-death experiences before.
kcoop
CIA just looking around.
@blackhalo
You got me there
perhaps I should say 'other heads of bank with real influences.'
ghostface agree
MSFT was 60 now in the 20's
Its only when people say "this thing will never go down" is a top reached. Mark this day my friend.
"Jefferson County, Alabama, to Put One-Third of Workers on Leave"
Bloomberg
Funny thing is services will only fall 10% (j/k)
user to guest is usually high.
hmm.m.
edit: fixed it.
"U.S. Senate Votes to End Production of F-22 Fighter"
All that juicy pork. This can't be good news for California and Washington.
Even MSFT I can understand, they have monopoly pricing power and an install base that is hard to replace (not impossible, but hard).
but AAPL, RIMM, etc are only as good as their product set. that product set gets replaced by the next technology, and they are dead. they have to continually make themselves obsolete. how hard will it be to replace the iPhone? how hard was it to replace the original Palm Pilots? not hard, as long as there is a cool new gadget.
given that the stocks don't pay any dividends, the bet is that they continue to innovate successfully, and some greater fool will continue to pay more for the shares you just bought.
Ghostface
A stocks value is the equal the the total dividends that they will pay over time. people buy with the expectation that someday cash will be returned to shareholders. Imagine how disappointed the techies were.
Its only when people say "this thing will never go down"
Ken must have said that about the server.
Palm is another great example. At one time they had the hot new device, and their stock traded accordingly. Now, they are struggling for relevancy.
Can AAPL continue to pull the rabbit out of the hat? Or will the next cool handheld device come from a company we haven't even heard of yet?
Risky bet.
Broward it was increased traffic dammit!
( 
Ghost
Palm has it is the Pre and the next one that will come out later this year.
"AAPL, another tech stock that doesn't pay a dividend. the stock only exists to enrich employees, not shareholders."
Well, traders can make money playing the volatility. One trader I know doesn't even know the names of companies he trades, only the stock symbols. But Tech stocks are not investments, they are speculations. It's the nature of the hit-driven product markets that companies like Apple sell into, and the constant need to reinvent their products.
If utility companies had to do R&D, they probably wouldn't pay divvies either.
Most tech companies probably spend five or ten percent of gross income on R&D, if not more. Doesn't leave much room for regular dividends. They could declare special dividends when they have a hit, but it's a little like the movie business - you are never sure where your next hit is coming from. So retaining earnings for the bad times is pretty important.
Remember how cool it was to own a Motorola RAZR a few years ago? That cool clamshell look?
The appetite for consumer gadgets changes fast.
user to guest is usually high
One of the side effects of my first attempt at fixing this is that anonymous users are no longer counted in the database, which renders the guest count useless.
I still think it's worth keeping though.
"Most tech companies probably spend five or ten percent of gross income on R&D, if not more. Doesn't leave much room for regular dividends. "
But they always have tons of money to buy back the shares that they dilute through issuing stock options, don't they?
I just read that aaple has 1% of the phone market but 20% of the profits.
I just got a hand me down Razar. I can see the numbers and it reads them to me. Does this say I am old?
"But they always have tons of money to buy back the shares that they dilute through issuing stock options, don't they? "
That spend is compensation costs. They know it, you know it, we all know it. They just can't call it that.
ghostfaceinvestah == heretic.
Execute him.
"which renders the guest count useless."
Perhaps you can keep it randomized between 950 - 1000, just so we feel that our online ranting makes a difference?
our own green shoots, if you will.
"If utility companies had to do R&D, they probably wouldn't pay divvies either. "
Utilities have to spend a lot of money on infrastructure, which tech companies do not. Building and maintaining plants, etc.
You throw out all the standard excuses tech companies use for not returning money to shareholders, but the fact remains that most tech companies have enriched no one but employees over the years.
GOOG is another example. Eventually someone will devise a better search engine, and they will be gone.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
.......well, I had one of them mobile phones........you had to mount the big box thing under the front seat........the coiled cord was never long enough though - you could only talk bent over the steering wheel, and never longer than a few blocks before it would cut out.....real spendy too......it looks like they've gotten smaller........
Ken must have said that about the server.
I think I can safely dispel that notion.
I'd have been the guy on the Titanic design team glaring at the sales people, knocking frequently and loudly on wood.
BSR,
No CB lingo please the young ones will kill us.
"What ever happened to Netscape, anyway?"
They rewrote their main product from scratch. When their customers didn't ask for it. And the rewrite took forever, so that killed them when Microsoft bundled IE with Windows.
Japanese cell phone makers do the same kind of bonehead move...they write alot of the software on each cell phone from scratch, for each new cell phone.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
That's the problem with software you could develop in your garage. then you wake up poof your business model has changed.
I'm looking now at the logs, and it appears we have some rather insatiable users. One IP address grabbed more than 4 Gb of data last month, another 3.5. This might explain the problem. I'll dig a little more.
P.S. We have some people using the Wii and the Sony Playstation to browse here. Hoocoodanode?
I decided today to simplify my viewpoint of central banks.
Central banks are the coordinated warning system developed for capital holders to know when to get out of financial markets and buy real assets. i.e. gold, real estate, commodities.
The second purpose through controlling currency is to recover any losses by manipulating monetary policy.
The final purpose is to use downturns to solidify positions of the larger capital holders in certain markets(countries) through using strong currencies to buy weak currencies.(hot money flows)
The part that gets me in this viewpoint is how little the central banks care about labor but will do anything necessary to protect capital. Always remember capital has no nationality unless it is beneficial at the time.
We are all sheep in a sense and seen as a commodity. Life is good for the sheep when the grass is long and the weather is nice. Not so good when it is time to be shorn or slaughtered.
"ghostfaceinvestah == heretic.
Execute him."
LOL! Yeah, the AAPL devotees would probably love to have me hung.
I went to school in silly valley, with a lot of these tech types, and I have seen outrageous fortunes made (and spent) by just screwing individual investors time and time again.
I love the tricks they pull to enrich themselves. Stock options underwater? Reprice. Can't reprice? Just offer a slug of new ones. Congress tries to mandate expensing of stock options? Pretend the world will end if it happens. It happens and world doesn't end? Convince analysts to ignore the number. Give yourself crazy benefits like gold-plated healthcare plans, free massages, free meals, free dry cleaning, employee annual meetings on Pier 28 with ferris wheels and Sheryl Crow playing, etc.
But of course they can't afford to return money to shareholders, gotta spend that on R&D of course.
What about Googles new operating system? Maybe they realize everything that has been said.
Amazon is positioning itself to be a major publishing house. Why have warehouses of paper with POD. I would not be suprised to see someone like Steven King switch to Amazon.
dupe
"The phone and internet service will enable people in England to get anti-flu drugs without going to their GPs.
It comes after 55,000 new cases have emerged in the past week alone, with every region but Yorkshire and the Humber starting to report "exceptional" demands on services."
50k new cases in a week !?!
One IP address grabbed more than 4 Gb of data last month, another 3.5.
Probably NSA. They're coming for us! Good thing I don't live in the US!
OT / just read the entry for CR on Wikipedia
all this time I thought he was a real estate exec
not a technology analyst...
One IP address grabbed more than 4 Gb of data last month
Oh, crap, I hope that's not me!
Gotta lot of free time, though.
50k new cases in a week !?!
Pavel is hopefully not going to be right about this.
"Not so good when it is time to be shorn or slaughtered."
It depends on how much trouble you give to the man holding the scissors and blade.
"Probably NSA. They're coming for us! "
Or maybe they are sick of this crap too and need to choose one of us to lead the Revolution?
Make sure those posts are snappy!
Probably NSA. They're coming for us! Good thing I don't live in the US!
If they want you bad enough it won't matter.
We had a client who was snatched in SA by the State Dept spooks and flown on a Lear to the US. One of his attorneys told him he was probably going to do serious time.
His reply? When they fly you to america wearing a hood on a Lear - you know you are never going home again.
"Utilities have to spend a lot of money on infrastructure, which tech companies do not. Building and maintaining plants, etc."
Utilities have monopolies and predictable revenue streams, so they can raise money in the bond market and still pay dividends. Tech companies have a harder time going back to the well.
GOOG is an advertising broker with a tech company bolted on the side. It would take more than a better search engine to do them in. Sure, they're vulnerable, but they're going to hard to beat.
On Netscape, you can't compete with free if you business model is not oriented that way. Their code base was a complete mess, and they could not fix it and switch business models fast enough. Browsers are all freeware today (with the minor exception of Opera). And it turns out that their product was not that easy to copy and replace, it took MSFT many years to catch up with Netscape. And MSFT's product is still inferior to the competition, fifteen years later. But because they can bundle it with their OS, it's the default browser for Windows users.
ghostfaceinvestah (profile) wrote on Tue, 7/21/2009 - 6:36 pm
"Probably NSA. They're coming for us! "
Or maybe they are sick of this crap too and need to choose one of us to lead the Revolution?
They already tried but we couldn't come to terms over stock options.
"Most people don't even try to run Linux on a laptop because of the driver problem. "
Try Ubuntu! I put it on my x61 Thinkpad and I didn't have to do anything to configure it. It used my wireless card and my broadband wireless card right out of the box. This was much less work than getting Windows set up. I was amazed after years of messing around trying to get wireless to work on various versions of Thinkpads and various incarnations of Redhat/Fedora.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
Netscape was killed by Microsoft monopoly power, pure and simple.
Microsoft forced every Windows user to have IE installed, sitting on their desktop with its tendrils wound deep inside the OS. While Netscape was probably a better browser until IE5, most users did not want to bother with downloading and installing Netscape when IE was good enough.
There were also games played with APIs, RFC support, JavaScript compatibility, and end runs like activex. Not that Netscape didn't play API and RFC games. In the end, the default IE icon and the cash horde of Microsoft squeezed Netscape to death.
When Netscape died, so did Microsoft browser research and development.
But from the ashes of Netscape, we got Firefox.
Amazon is way overrated. More so than Apple. If the kindle is still around in 5 years I will eat one.
"What ever happened to Netscape, anyway"
Oh, and there's another reason. CEO of Netscape famously said publicly that they will "reduce windows to a set of poorly debugged device drivers."
Never taunt a pack of wolves with large brains.
One IP address grabbed more than 4 Gb of data last month, another 3.5. This
I would finger point @ nemo and his monkey, but that would imply 2 nemo monkeys.
Hmmm. I just got FIOS last month. Did I mention the speed rocks?
Uh oh,
Chinese Employee Loses iPhone Prototype, Kills Self on Tuesday July 21, @03:44PM
Posted by kdawson on Tuesday July 21, @03:44PM
from the taking-the-job-way-too-seriously dept.
cellphones
tlhIngan writes "Physical intimidation of a Foxconn employee, 25 year-old Sun Danyong, and a possibly-illegal search of his house may have led to suicide after an iPhone prototype in his possession was lost. Foxconn is Apple's long-time manufacturing partner for the iPhone. Entrusted with 16 iPhone prototypes, Danyong discovered that one was missing and searched the factory for it. When it didn't turn up, he reported the incident to his boss, who ordered his apartment searched. There are reports of physical intimidation by Foxconn security personnel. This ended tragically on Thursday at 3 AM, when Danyong jumped from his apartment building to his death." VentureBeat notes that "Apple exerts immense pressure on its business partners [to] help it maintain secrecy." An Apple spokesperson said this to CNet: "We are saddened by the tragic loss of this young employee, and we are awaiting results of the investigations into his death. We require our suppliers to treat all workers with dignity and respect."
The Kindle is just a tip of a tentacle. I don't think Amazon cares what you read it on as long as they control the content, distribution, and eventually the creative talent.
at 3 AM, when Danyong jumped from his apartment building to his death
Jumped? Or thrown?
Tim Waiting for 2012
yeah, about being short on AAPL, 6 months ago I thought this was a sure thing
premised on Jobs not really coming back ...
....
guess there are some luxury items one can't do without..
when I lived in LA in '80-81 everyone it seems drove a Mercedes
even if they lived in a shack...
I find the Amazon web site distracting, but they have a handful of back office technologies that are really cool.
They have the simple storage system, elastic cloud, and the mechanical turk. Turk lets you delegate tasks from a program to a human, whom you pay a small transaction fee, then your program can resume with input form the turk. Turks are anonymous humans anywhere in the world. Truly sick.
"when I lived in LA in '80-81 everyone it seems drove a Mercedes even if they lived in a shack... "
Some of our local panhandlers drive Mercedes. I'm not sure if they live in them or not.
Ya'll need to quit drinking the hater-aide
July 22 (Bloomberg) -- Global investors give Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke top marks for combating the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression and overwhelmingly favor his reappointment amid optimism that the world economy is on the mend.
Sixty-one percent of investors surveyed in the first Quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll say the world economy is stable or improving and almost 75 percent take a favorable view of the 55-year-old chairman. By almost a three-to-one margin, they say Bernanke has earned another four-year term when his current one expires in January.
dupe
Jumped? Or thrown?
No kidding.
"Execute him" was a joke, man.
BTW, I worked out a BASH interface to the Amazon S3 storage system that works from Macs
in the first Quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll say ...
And they decided they needed this poll because?
Pump monkeys support Bernanke. What a surprise
"Sixty-one percent of investors surveyed in the first Quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll say the world economy is stable"
In other words, Goldman Sach's automated trading system approves Ben Bernanke
nova
as a writer I have thought long and hard about the Kindle and if it will destroy
publishing... me thinks not unless they invent one whose battery never dies...
and plus, the tactile feel of pages... it's one of the greatest interfaces ever invented
along with the pencil
I'm experiencing FIOS envy.
BTW, Nemo's monkey would be more interested in calculatedriskblog.com than hoocoodanode.org. At least, until he wanted to post.
One trader I know doesn't even know the names of companies he trades, only the stock symbols.
At the height of the tech bubble, a friend of ours was in her neighborhood stock tip trading club. At one meeting, a neighbor thanked her for the tip to buy Amalgamated Widgets.com. "No, no, I said Associated Gadgets.com." "Oh, well," replied the neighbor, "it scarcely matters, I've sold it for a 100% profit anyway."
broward,
I don't think some of those contract terms are enforceable by Google... only the CIA can enforce
a contract denying you 1st amendment rights
The three HFT horsemen are C, BAC and CIT. These three stocks traded 860 million shares today which is 10% of all US Equity volume. Think about that: 3 stocks in a universe of over 5000 U.S. stocks represented 10% of the volume. How could this be? Look at the intraday chart of all three of these stocks and you will see a something in common: an early morning move followed by a flatline with a very tight range (around .05). Meanwhile, while these stocks were flatlining the market was heading higher. The S&P 500 gained around 10 points in the afternoon (or 1%) but these 3 stocks did not move. There was a constant bid to these stocks yet anytime they wanted to lift there seemed to be a constant offer just a few pennies higher. This is what HFT looks like. The HFT’s made a killing in these 3 names today – in addition to the .01-.02 spread, they collected about .005/share in liquidity rebates. Not a bad day for a supercomputer
zh
epicaricacy meets
hits 4 jesus.
*SWAK
Duke there lots of those cars in SF valley I hear.
What ever happened to Netscape, anyway? Was it really the evil MSFT who put them under, or was their product just easy to copy and replace, with very few barriers to entry?
Bundling a browser with an OS with a 90% market share and a populace that doesn't care what browser they use as long as an icon appears on their screen also had something to do with it.
Add in a few exclusive agreements with hardware suppliers and you get a bug advantage.
Then add in some screwups by Netscape.
sm_landlord writes:
but it's a little like the movie business - you are never sure where your next hit is coming from. So retaining earnings for the bad times is pretty important. "
for a studio when those bad times come you need a back catalog of movies to provide a cash stream
[I always thought Dreamworks was a over hyped company from the get go.. btw]
I have this bad feeling that nothing is ever going to make sense again.
Things will get more convoluted and nonsensical until nobody can talk sense to anyone else.
They spend more time on their computer than they spend eating or wearing clothes.
quote: Matt Trivisonno's tax withholding charts show about a 20% drop. So, if people are earning 20% less(overall, based on taxes withheld)
If people drop to a lower tax bracket 20% less is tax is more than 20% less in income.
If fixed expenses stay the same (mortgage, rent) spending will be by far more than 20%
so what gives ? only credit card ?
Consumer revolving credit is down 10% or more
What is the refi effect ?
Apple has taken control of you! All you do is stare at that dumb phone and think about your mac. You might just as well have an Apple Chip in your skin so you can just text and communicate with your imagination. The plan was to manipulate peoples brains into thinking this is what the world is about. Sad days have arrived as people are too busy worrying about their next text instead of enjoying the true meaning of life. Good for Steve Jobs and Wall St. but a disaster for our society and children. I think it's time we slow down a bit and get back to reality!