if you're going to loan money to an insolvent company, it only makes sense to do it as DIP; that way you're on top of the food chain and can charge usurious rates.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - CIT Group Inc is in talks with JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc about short-term financing as it looks for ways to avoid bankruptcy, a source close to the company said on Friday, sending the lender's shares and bonds up.
CIT -- a 101-year-old lender that services nearly one million small and mid-sized businesses -- is in search of $2 billion to $3 billion of financing, according to the source, who declined to be identified because the talks were private.
Can someone briefly explain the difference between DIP and short term financing? I realize DIP implies bankruptcy has occured, but are there other distinctions? Thx.
July 17 (Bloomberg) -- Urban Outfitters Inc., the clothing and housewares retailer, may consider providing short-term financing to some of its vendors should CIT Group Inc. collapse.
...
About 7 percent of Urban Outfitters’ vendor base gets short-term financing from CIT, according to the chain’s chief financial officer, John Kyees. The Philadelphia-based retailer has been in talks with Wells Fargo & Co. about taking over its short-term financing and also has the cash to pay vendors directly if needed, Kyees said yesterday in a telephone interview.
“We look at it as an opportunity because the money that we have invested today is in very secure paper that’s really getting not much of a return,” Kyees said. “If we took some of that and used it to factor some invoices, we could probably pick up some income.”
@ chainsaw: The other difference is where you stand in line for the assets in the event of liquidation. Might be others too (someone more knowledgeable should fill in here.)
@shortcourage: Hooray! The return of vendor financing! We're saved!
Does factoring and the consignment system really make sense anymore? Why shouldn't retail just pay straight out? In publishing, too-- being able to send back books that don't sell makes no sense to me.
[Urban Outfitters Inc., the clothing and housewares retailer, may consider providing short-term financing to some of its vendors should CIT Group Inc. collapse]
DIP financing is post-Chapter 11 and provides funds to the organization for its reorganization. because the DIP financier is loaning to an admittedly insolvent company, it gets first dibs to ALL revenues as they materialize (along with other necessary vendors and employees).
short-term financing just means loans of short duration.
JP, actually it seems like URBN is contemplating the opposite of vendor financing...
The derogatory term "Vendor financing" refers to somebody loaning money to somebody so that the borrower can purchase goods from the lender. Thereby they artificially provide a market for their goods, with the demand produced by their financing.
In this situation, URBN would essentially be paying its suppliers up front.
At least that's the way I'm reading it....could be wrong...somebody chime in here...
"lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:16 pm
My head is spinning. Urban O sells a pair of socks to me.
I can't afford them. So it gives me money to take them away,
in the hopes that I will sell them to someone else and then
I'll pay them.
Gee that sounds familiar. Flippers and banks and houses.
Why not just give the damn socks away?"
I thought the clip meant that they were going to finance their suppliers. They probably already have a credit card to finance their customers.
What is the likelihood that CIT passes on its increased borrowing expenses (junk ratings) to its clients in the form of higher interest rates? That could really put a dent in small to mid-sized businesses...
My head is spinning. Urban O sells a pair of socks to me.
I can't afford them. So it gives me money to take them away,
in the hopes that I will sell them to someone else and then
I'll pay them.
Gee that sounds familiar. Flippers and banks and houses.
Why not just give the damn socks away?
Just read a book about women's work in the Shetland Islands for the past 200 years. The main industry was wool & knit products, as far as women were concerned. They had to buy the raw wool from a sheep outfit, make it into a finished product, and hope the stores would buy it for resale elsewhere. If they couldn't afford to buy wool, the middlemen would front them wool, but never cash. And of course when it came time to sell the finished product, the market had a way of shorting the women.
They would often give the socks away, in hopes that the shopkeepers would renumerate them when there was more demand....usually didn't happen.
So they want to buy some wool to make the socks, and the sheep farmer can't afford
the sheep anymore, so they pay the sheep farmer. But they have to pay the sheep farmer
anyway. So they pay the sheep farmer sooner? Before the new lambs are born? Sooner
than the 90 days out they would have paid?
The death of CIT should push even more suppliers onto the internet. If they survive at all. Clothing is definitely going there anyway, along with books, housewares, and furniture. The malls are toast.
Actually, the Chinese clothing manufacturers might be able to get money from their gov't. It's the American clothing people, especially boots etc., they'll have more trouble.
" scone (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:26 pm
The death of CIT should push even more suppliers onto the internet. If they survive at all. Clothing is definitely going there anyway, along with books, housewares, and furniture. The malls are toast."
It's amazing what's on the internet. I was looking for raw hemp fiber to reinforce stucco, and you could place wholesale orders in China for the stuff. However, I didn't need THAT much hemp;)
Liz - many people like to shop in retail stores, but if they don't like it enough to pay the rent then the retail stores will go away and we will go back to buying from the modern equivalent of the Sears catalog.
Joanna, what you just read is the entire reason why most of our ancestors showed up in America. Nothing like shearing sheep, shafting the crofters, underpaying for piecework, enclosing the commons, and add a little disease to the mix.
It is one of the reasons when folks start talking about yeoman farmers being the absolute bedrock of a society I start laughing.
Small and undercapitalized is one harvest away from being a sharecropper.
Now, there is a reason why there are so many gentleman (and gentlewoman) farmers- usually called an independent paycheck supporting their agricultural enterprise.
I have zero nostalgia for turning dirt to make a profit, milking a cow, or doing a harvest.
It was brutal, stupid work, with the marginal players exploited because they were very marginal indeed.
There were a lot of rural poorhouses too, in early industrial England.
Urban Outfitters takes the first step to becoming the hippest bank holding company around. Free toaster to be usurped by free V-neck (ironic) tee and shutter sunglasses. Can you securitize skinny jeans?
I repeat that now I honestly, non-snarkedly think it would have been better to
fly the frigging helicopters over poorer areas all over the US and drop money.
Now, there is a reason why there are so many gentleman (and gentlewoman) farmers- usually called an independent paycheck supporting their agricultural enterprise.
Agreed. I'm not sure if there was ever a time when a small bit of land could really support anyone, without being beholden up & down the food chain.
I "farm", but I use 2 paychecks to subsidize my efforts. I like the skillset involved, the quality of food, but it's breakeven in terms of money.
My paretns come from farm stock, and were more than happy to leave it all behind. It's no fun when you have no choice.
Philadelphia Suspends Payments to Vendors The government of the nation's sixth largest city by population has stopped paying its vendors and suppliers, citing a cash crisis.
Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter on Friday blamed the drastic move on the failure of the Pennsylvania legislature to act on his request for authorization to raise the city sales tax and change the formula for the city's contribution to its employee pension plan. Mr. Nutter said these items are necessary to help close a projected city budget deficit of $1.4 billion over the next five years.
I have zero nostalgia for turning dirt to make a profit, milking a cow, or doing a harvest.
Everyone running their own small farm is the antithesis of division of labor.
It's a major step backward in efficiency and the fact that it's even discussed is a strong indicator of the dysfunction of the finance system.
Retail interests me because that's where the rubber meets the road in terms of consumer confidence and market sentiment. Everything I have read indicates a lot of retail stores are going to die. Others will have only one or two anchors per large market, so you can see the goods if you want. But all the successful retailers have a big internet presence, and give incentives for internet shopping because it's cheaper for them, not just in therms of rent, but employees, liability, etc. It's not going to come back.
Everyone running their own small farm is the antithesis of division of labor.
It's a major step backward in efficiency and the fact that it's even discussed is a strong indicator of the dysfunction of the finance system.
Many small farm communities in England would share a plow team and town bull. Teams of workers would go from farm to farm to harvest and make hay. The US model is that everyone needs a John Deere, even for a pocket farm, because you can't count on help from the neighbors.
" El Lurko (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:31 pm
Urban Outfitters takes the first step to becoming the hippest bank holding company around. Free toaster to be usurped by free V-neck (ironic) tee and shutter sunglasses. Can you securitize skinny jeans?"
DIP financing of a financial structure? Is this a way to get into a new venue of lending with usurious rates by using CIT as a sock puppet / passthrough? I.e., are Morgan and Goldman just using this to do small commercial lending at DIP rates? Because I don't otherwise see how DIP of a financial structure is going to hold up. CIT seems way too far down in the death spiral to be saved, without some kind of secret "Obama holds Lloyd Blankfein's children hostage" or "Let's rob America AGAIN" angle, DIP will just be avenue for financing the bankruptcy litigation.
"
lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:35 pm
I repeat that now I honestly, non-snarkedly think it would have been better to
fly the frigging helicopters over poorer areas all over the US and drop money.
It's pretty much when yeomen became a class...small landowner/farmers. And also when richer people got used to paying cash for labor, because the former serfs could hold out for better terms and weren't bound to a landholder anymore.
I repeat that now I honestly, non-snarkedly think it would have been better to
fly the frigging helicopters over poorer areas all over the US and drop money.
Beats the current situation where Helicopter Ben drops money over Wall Street.
We were in Poland 2 years ago. They still farm small strips of land by the house. They all were using horses for tilling also. The water was hand crank wells. It was like visiting America in 1880. Some of the houses had the livestock barn built right on to the house.
Citizen AllenM (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:31 pm
Joanna, what you just read is the entire reason why most of our ancestors showed up in America. Nothing like shearing sheep, shafting the crofters, underpaying for piecework, enclosing the commons, and add a little disease to the mix.
It is one of the reasons when folks start talking about yeoman farmers being the absolute bedrock of a society I start laughing.
Yeoman farmers are the bedrock of a society. The societies you're talking about were dysfunctional. Their systems of rule collapsed wholesale shortly subsequent to the period you're talking about.
Sorta like that state government you work for.
Edit: Tell me more about how the velvet fist of government is going to save us by spending more money to keep from going bankrupt.
I'm with Byz on this....certainly sounds like DIP rates for all...except the very few who control
Very simply put a fire breaks out and you are now dousing it more fire....not gasoline but the same 'friggin thing?
Yeoman farmers are the bedrock of a society. The societies you're talking about were dysfunctional. Their systems of rule collapsed wholesale shortly subsequent to the period you're talking about.
Sorta like that state government you work for.
I htink the difference comes between farming to feed a family, with some spare to sell to the community...and farming (or any agricultural pursuit) for profit. Profit-making is strip mining most of the time. No concern for sustainability on all levels.
The AIG swaps to European banks allowing the banks to have less of other forms of capital is IMO the single biggest fraud of the CDS era. European banking regulations allowed the banks there to achieve more leverage by claiming AIG's CDS as part of their capital. These banks are insolvent, but the AIG deal made them appear as if they had capital. Now, the US taxpayer could be on the hook for the reckless lending by European banks. The Fed swap lines extended to Euro central banks a couple of years ago was to allow the ECB's to organize to take over the problems from AIG. What's happening now is Euro banks cancel their CDS and their central bank injects capital to keep them afloat. What needs to happen is the rest of these CDS's need to be cancelled and the losses absorbed by the Eurozone central banks rather than the US.
You know, if the macro parasites who styled themselves noble, didn't feast on the farmers, and
make war in the fields, and take the best beast, it might have been ok.
There were too many people pre plague and there are too many people
now to support. Non intelligent design. Power laws.
the problem, in part, is the fantasy-land of low rates by decree.
wasn't C debt paying over 40% at the depths in March? the riskier entities on the credit spectrum have no hope in hell of supporting rates at even a fraction of what their risk merits.
this is just the natural extension of our command economy driven by arbitrary creation of money with imaginary value.
The local poster child here is a soon-to-be-formerly upscale shopping plaza that I now refer to as "Dead Rose Commons".
Several large box stores with no small stores.
Among those present:
Circuit City (deceased)
Old Navy (ill?)
Sports Authority (big box sporting goods)
Home Depot (ill)
Linens & Things (Deceased)
Party City
Office Max
Old Country Buffet (Buffet, Inc.- in bankruptcy)
Pep Boys (regional automotive)
Barnes & Nobel
Ofc Max and Sports Authority are questionable business models anymore.
Also at local mall this week (GGP owned).
Numerous retail establishments were no longer in stores per se but were now in larger kiosks. Also noted the number of establishments - typically cellphone related - that have both a store location and then a kiosk (ATT/Verizon).
And naturally, a bunch of competing same-product stores.
i read an article last year about the slow food craze in San Fran, and how all these folks were growing food in their backyards. the author profiles a couple who are ooh-ing and aah-ing about how healthy the food is, how much they enjoy watching the food grow. how much the enjoy not buying from the big box grocers. then the couple talks about their slow food farmer for hire.
Growing food & animals for fun is not the same as growing them to save money.
I've had to take a step down from my yeomanry dreams. A milk cow is a luxury item. A flock of chickens is cheap and easy protein. No mo' moo, and a bigger flock for me this year.
We still raise beef, becuase we have cheap hay & easy grass, but htat will change as times get tougher.
"the author profiles a couple who are ooh-ing and aah-ing about how healthy the food is, how much they enjoy watching the food grow. how much the enjoy not buying from the big box grocers. then the couple talks about their slow food farmer for hire."
" Kung.Fu.Panda (homepage, profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:47 pm
The AIG swaps to European banks allowing the banks to have less of other forms of capital is IMO the single biggest fraud of the CDS era. European banking regulations allowed the banks there to achieve more leverage by claiming AIG's CDS as part of their capital. These banks are insolvent, but the AIG deal made them appear as if they had capital. Now, the US taxpayer could be on the hook for the reckless lending by European banks. The Fed swap lines extended to Euro central banks a couple of years ago was to allow the ECB's to organize to take over the problems from AIG. What's happening now is Euro banks cancel their CDS and their central bank injects capital to keep them afloat. What needs to happen is the rest of these CDS's need to be cancelled and the losses absorbed by the Eurozone central banks rather than the US."
oh well, I have been working on fresh doom while I have been reading here.
We pulled into the diner parking lot. It was busy, it was also the only decent place to buy a meal for 6 miles now. I stretched and took a look at the vehicles. Nothing unusual. A couple of trucks, a Toyota Camry that had been hit a couple years ago in the passenger side door. I guessed a couple of years because of the rust that was bleeding through. One bicycle, and a SUV. Nothing weird in the vibe so I followed Max in. Taped to the door was a hand lettered sign.
No Barter Unless Arranged First!
No Checks.
Weapons to Remain Holstered at ALL TIMES.
We can and Will Refuse Service to Who Ever We WANT!
wow. the amount of misdirection and outright lying taking place in the media these days.
It's easier if you define that big ball of behavior as a separate entity, sort of like the Krell in Forbidden Planet.
The System works to preserve itself in creepy ways.
Joanna (homepage, profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:47 pm
I think the difference comes between farming to feed a family, with some spare to sell to the community...and farming (or any agricultural pursuit) for profit. Profit-making is strip mining most of the time. No concern for sustainability on all levels.
You need a shared capital model and a system that's made to facilitate it. Once you have a vertical system where capital can mass up at the higher levels of the economy, you'll see people game economic inequality until the yeomen are serfs. If you want to be a successful smallholding farmer, found a grange. The key to the persistence and success of smallholding Icelandic farmers was their economic / political independence due to their ability to pick their chieftans due to the inability of the gothorth to mainbtain bodies of troops.
You're really going to have to make sure any model you set up absolutely breaks the fingers of anyone trying to accumulate large amounts of capital and monopolize lending in order to pursue an indebt-and-enslave or merge-and-grow strategy.
Anyone who wants to play this game really needs to read up about the Icelandic Commonwealth and the dynamics of the gthorthcies before they start.
"Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, Banco Santander SA, Danske Bank A/S, Rabobank Group NV and Credit Agricole SA’s Calyon are also among banks which purchased the swaps, AIG said in a presentation in February pleading for its latest bailout. The banks could be forced to raise $10 billion in capital if AIG were allowed to fail, according to the document."
Force them to raise it or fail! Those banks are the responsibility of their respective national financial authorities. IIRC RBS is now essentially owned by the UK government.
The European banking system is yet another massive fail being held off by government obfuscation.
I agree Byz, but I don't think we have time to get such a system going before things get to where we need it. I'm imagining some kind of warlord/feudal thing for farmers....
Chickens are disease sources when they are raised in diseased surroundings, aside from normal barnyard cooties that is.
Why byz, ease up on the cynicism- I may be on my way out of government for a while should next's weeks interview pay out. After all, money is still flowing and working right now, isn't it? The market still opens at 3, doesn't it? Metals are still mostly (well, viz jesse not really) freely traded and available? Gee, and when I get a new job, will you still look on with that bitter tinge? State Government is not going anywhere fast, just very slowly. As a lot of stuff is federalized, there just will be less scope for it. But that doesn't mean going away, not by any stretch of the imagination. Sorry folks, last fall most likely was the TEOTWAKI moment of my lifetime. Now it is simply watching a new economy begin to assemble after more or less damage from this point forward. The King is dead- All hail the King!
Every bit of employment is simply taking some time and trading it for resources.
One of the problems with the yeoman was being squeezed by the local gentry until they collapsed into sales to the local gentry.
The serfs were done in England fairly early on compared to the rest of Europe, but that forced agribusiness into being a business, with "scientific management (17th and 18th century style;-}. And businesses reward efficiency- and the gentry assured through taxation and small wages that the returns to small farming just were not there.
"The European banking system is yet another massive fail being held off by government obfuscation. "
And think of the power the US Treasury and FED has right now.
Most European and Asian countries are being propped up with FX swap lines via the FED.
Most European banking systems are being propped up via Treasury keeping AIG afloat.
HollywoodHack (homepage, profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:58 pm
I'm sure it applies well to homogeneous cultures of a few hundred thousand separated by hundreds of miles of water from the nearest neighbor.
I'm sure you'll find a way to be a smartass with plenty of criticism and no useful contributions right up until someone knocks your head in with a rifle stock. The point is?
lawyerliz,
That was Heinlein's worst novel, just about.
Have to disagree with you on that one liz, Troopers is my favorite after Friday. The Moon is a Harsh Mistress is a close third. Wait, forgot Glory Road...crap...Citizen of the Galaxy, Door into Summer, Starman Jones....okay I can't pick a favorite, but I do like Starship Troopers. I don't read any new science fiction anymore, but I still have a soft spot for Heinlein and Asimov.
"
lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:57 pm
Not particularly the chickens you grow yourselves.
The industrial chicken farms are beyond horrible, and they
are drowning in chickenshit."
Which is in turn, poisoning Chesapeake Bay and other water features around the country. They produce so much they can't do anything with it, whereas a small farmer can use it for fertilizer once it's "seasoned" a bit.
"The Fed can inject money into the economy in still other ways. For example, the Fed has the authority to buy foreign government debt, as well as domestic government debt. Potentially, this class of assets offers huge scope for Fed operations, as the quantity of foreign assets eligible for purchase by the Fed is several times the stock of U.S. government debt."
BB's 2002 'deflation' speech
Don't you get it? Bailing out Europe is just another fun project in BB's "101 fun economics experiments" chemistry set.
Who are we to get in the way of the good times? Enemies of science!
Cinco-X, don't get me started on the chicken farms. I mentioned this before, grandparents owned 150 acres...50 acres set aside for me. Tyson bought up all the surrounding land, put in chicken farms, and then the stench moved in. When they finally sold out, the property price had gone to pot. Wonderful land, turned to shit.
Exactly...which is why condescending blather from Merkel and other Eurozone leaders about how the US is mishandling the economic situation is extremely annoying.
There will be another sovereign default in Europe...the timing is the only variable.
Sorry folks, last fall most likely was the TEOTWAKI moment of my lifetime. Now it is simply watching a new economy begin to assemble after more or less damage from this point forward.
Stop thinking about the end of the world as you know it. That happens every day, 'cause change is constant. If you think this crisis is over, you're really missing the fact that this isn't an economic crisis, it's a social / political one, and your state, meaning in this case the US government, is still on a totally unsustainable budgetary trajectory. Nothing has happened to change that and everything has happened to accelerate it. The fun hasn't even started yet; wake me up to tell me about the velvet fist when the sovereign defaults and the capital controls come into place.
This must be why the stock is "exploding higher".
buzzards circling the kill they arranged.
if you're going to loan money to an insolvent company, it only makes sense to do it as DIP; that way you're on top of the food chain and can charge usurious rates.
Repost:
NEW YORK (Reuters) - CIT Group Inc is in talks with JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc about short-term financing as it looks for ways to avoid bankruptcy, a source close to the company said on Friday, sending the lender's shares and bonds up.
CIT -- a 101-year-old lender that services nearly one million small and mid-sized businesses -- is in search of $2 billion to $3 billion of financing, according to the source, who declined to be identified because the talks were private.
Happy News on Sunday........
Ciao
MS
Nemo, there was a false report earlier that JPMorgan and Goldman were definitely going to bailout CIT.
HomeGnome, short-term financing is possible too. But DIP financing seems more likely ...
best wishes
I agree CR.
Just giving the MSM spin on it...
Is it to early for thread music?
Chumbawamba - Tubthumping
It covers both bases, drinking and the economy (pissing the night away) Go green shoots!
Can someone briefly explain the difference between DIP and short term financing? I realize DIP implies bankruptcy has occured, but are there other distinctions? Thx.
CR-
In any case it should cause the stock to remain above .00 (where it really should be) forever. Look at GM...need I say more.
Ciao
MS
I'll drink to that.
I posted this link in the last thread, but it is on-topic here:
Urban Outfitters Says It Would Consider Lending to Its Vendors
Urban Outfitters Says It May Mull Lending to Vendors (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
Snippet:
July 17 (Bloomberg) -- Urban Outfitters Inc., the clothing and housewares retailer, may consider providing short-term financing to some of its vendors should CIT Group Inc. collapse.
...
About 7 percent of Urban Outfitters’ vendor base gets short-term financing from CIT, according to the chain’s chief financial officer, John Kyees. The Philadelphia-based retailer has been in talks with Wells Fargo & Co. about taking over its short-term financing and also has the cash to pay vendors directly if needed, Kyees said yesterday in a telephone interview.
“We look at it as an opportunity because the money that we have invested today is in very secure paper that’s really getting not much of a return,” Kyees said. “If we took some of that and used it to factor some invoices, we could probably pick up some income.”
Good article:
Fact And Comment - Forbes.com
Drowning is also a "fluid situation"
@ chainsaw: The other difference is where you stand in line for the assets in the event of liquidation. Might be others too (someone more knowledgeable should fill in here.)
@shortcourage: Hooray! The return of vendor financing! We're saved!
we could probably pick up some income.
we're all lenders of last resort now....
“If we took some of that and used it to factor some invoices, we could probably pick up some income.”
At what? 20% interest?
My head is spinning. Urban O sells a pair of socks to me.
I can't afford them. So it gives me money to take them away,
in the hopes that I will sell them to someone else and then
I'll pay them.
Gee that sounds familiar. Flippers and banks and houses.
Why not just give the damn socks away?
Does factoring and the consignment system really make sense anymore? Why shouldn't retail just pay straight out? In publishing, too-- being able to send back books that don't sell makes no sense to me.
Edit:"shouldn't" my typking sux today
[Urban Outfitters Inc., the clothing and housewares retailer, may consider providing short-term financing to some of its vendors should CIT Group Inc. collapse]
21st century sharecropping.
DIP financing is post-Chapter 11 and provides funds to the organization for its reorganization. because the DIP financier is loaning to an admittedly insolvent company, it gets first dibs to ALL revenues as they materialize (along with other necessary vendors and employees).
short-term financing just means loans of short duration.
scratch that...
"21st century sharecropping"
Without the pesky middle step of farmland. Spend money to get debt to make money to buy more debt...
Wait. Which way are they providing financing: To their suppliers or to their resellers.
"if you're going to loan money to an insolvent company, it only makes sense to do it as DIP; that way you're on top of the food chain"
Depending on Calvinball rules... If GS or labor unions are in the food chain, I'm pretty sure they trump DIP.
JP, actually it seems like URBN is contemplating the opposite of vendor financing...
The derogatory term "Vendor financing" refers to somebody loaning money to somebody so that the borrower can purchase goods from the lender. Thereby they artificially provide a market for their goods, with the demand produced by their financing.
In this situation, URBN would essentially be paying its suppliers up front.
At least that's the way I'm reading it....could be wrong...somebody chime in here...
I had a client do some factoring once.
Then I learned people who do factoring are one step away from
the end.
"lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:16 pm
My head is spinning. Urban O sells a pair of socks to me.
I can't afford them. So it gives me money to take them away,
in the hopes that I will sell them to someone else and then
I'll pay them.
Gee that sounds familiar. Flippers and banks and houses.
Why not just give the damn socks away?"
I thought the clip meant that they were going to finance their suppliers. They probably already have a credit card to finance their customers.
AIG all over again
Government -> Goldman Sachs -> CIT
What is the likelihood that CIT passes on its increased borrowing expenses (junk ratings) to its clients in the form of higher interest rates? That could really put a dent in small to mid-sized businesses...
"In this situation, URBN would essentially be paying its suppliers up front.
At least that's the way I'm reading it....could be wrong...somebody chime in here... "
When do we start paying China, up front?
B2 and JP, thx
My head is spinning. Urban O sells a pair of socks to me.
I can't afford them. So it gives me money to take them away,
in the hopes that I will sell them to someone else and then
I'll pay them.
Gee that sounds familiar. Flippers and banks and houses.
Why not just give the damn socks away?
Just read a book about women's work in the Shetland Islands for the past 200 years. The main industry was wool & knit products, as far as women were concerned. They had to buy the raw wool from a sheep outfit, make it into a finished product, and hope the stores would buy it for resale elsewhere. If they couldn't afford to buy wool, the middlemen would front them wool, but never cash. And of course when it came time to sell the finished product, the market had a way of shorting the women.
They would often give the socks away, in hopes that the shopkeepers would renumerate them when there was more demand....usually didn't happen.
sort of a weird company store.
So they want to buy some wool to make the socks, and the sheep farmer can't afford
the sheep anymore, so they pay the sheep farmer. But they have to pay the sheep farmer
anyway. So they pay the sheep farmer sooner? Before the new lambs are born? Sooner
than the 90 days out they would have paid?
I don't understand.
what shortcourage said.
@ShortCourage: That will teach me to read the article first. I think you're right. I saw "vendor" and "financing" and had the knee jerk reaction.
I don't understand.
Looks like somebody pulled the wool over Liz's ayes.
cit=lehman ge=aig
Broward. Hahahahahahah.
Urban O sells a pair of socks to me.
I can't afford them. So it gives me money to take them away,
in the hopes that I will sell them to someone else and then
I'll pay them.
Gee that sounds familiar. Flippers and banks and houses.
Sounds more like any credit card transaction.
I could see Urban O doing this in exchange for equity in said vendors.
My head is spinning
Better your head than my wheel.
Oy vey
Or someone is getting fleeced!
The death of CIT should push even more suppliers onto the internet. If they survive at all. Clothing is definitely going there anyway, along with books, housewares, and furniture. The malls are toast.
AIG’s European Derivatives May Take Decades to Expire
AIG’s European Derivatives May Take Decades to Expire (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
Bend over American taxpayer, however many of you are left.....
Or someone is getting fleeced!
Joanna is hanging by a thread here.
Nope scone.
I love bookstores. I love to wander around them.
I like to try on clothes.
People like to go to mkts.
I want to see the furniture I'm buying. Tomorrow the curtain lady
is coming with samples.
Actually, the Chinese clothing manufacturers might be able to get money from their gov't. It's the American clothing people, especially boots etc., they'll have more trouble.
" scone (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:26 pm
The death of CIT should push even more suppliers onto the internet. If they survive at all. Clothing is definitely going there anyway, along with books, housewares, and furniture. The malls are toast."
It's amazing what's on the internet. I was looking for raw hemp fiber to reinforce stucco, and you could place wholesale orders in China for the stuff. However, I didn't need THAT much hemp;)
OMG.
Puns.
Reminds me of refineries & pipelines. If they stop or go dry, isn't it a huge pain to restart them?
Maybe URBN is afraid the suppliers will go under without any kind of grease in the pipeline.
People like to go to mkts. - LL
I'd like to agree, but the numbers say malls are dying. CR has some posts on this. In fact retail CRE at all levels is in big trouble.
"The malls are toast."
For goods, sure. But after the reset in CRE values, I can see them being more service based.
Liz - many people like to shop in retail stores, but if they don't like it enough to pay the rent then the retail stores will go away and we will go back to buying from the modern equivalent of the Sears catalog.
Do you breathe deeply when you stucco?
" lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:30 pm
OMG.
Puns."
Hittin' the bottle early, huh !?
Joanna, what you just read is the entire reason why most of our ancestors showed up in America. Nothing like shearing sheep, shafting the crofters, underpaying for piecework, enclosing the commons, and add a little disease to the mix.
It is one of the reasons when folks start talking about yeoman farmers being the absolute bedrock of a society I start laughing.
Small and undercapitalized is one harvest away from being a sharecropper.
Now, there is a reason why there are so many gentleman (and gentlewoman) farmers- usually called an independent paycheck supporting their agricultural enterprise.
I have zero nostalgia for turning dirt to make a profit, milking a cow, or doing a harvest.
It was brutal, stupid work, with the marginal players exploited because they were very marginal indeed.
There were a lot of rural poorhouses too, in early industrial England.
Someday this war's gonna end...
Urban Outfitters takes the first step to becoming the hippest bank holding company around. Free toaster to be usurped by free V-neck (ironic) tee and shutter sunglasses. Can you securitize skinny jeans?
Did CNBC provide a source for this information? Was it another Roubini presentation?
That's because they built too many and nobody has any money.
I repeat that now I honestly, non-snarkedly think it would have been better to
fly the frigging helicopters over poorer areas all over the US and drop money.
It couldn't be worse than what they did.
Now, there is a reason why there are so many gentleman (and gentlewoman) farmers- usually called an independent paycheck supporting their agricultural enterprise.
Agreed. I'm not sure if there was ever a time when a small bit of land could really support anyone, without being beholden up & down the food chain.
I "farm", but I use 2 paychecks to subsidize my efforts. I like the skillset involved, the quality of food, but it's breakeven in terms of money.
My paretns come from farm stock, and were more than happy to leave it all behind. It's no fun when you have no choice.
speaking of no money... no bear chits, either
Philadelphia Suspends Payments to Vendors
The government of the nation's sixth largest city by population has stopped paying its vendors and suppliers, citing a cash crisis.
Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter on Friday blamed the drastic move on the failure of the Pennsylvania legislature to act on his request for authorization to raise the city sales tax and change the formula for the city's contribution to its employee pension plan. Mr. Nutter said these items are necessary to help close a projected city budget deficit of $1.4 billion over the next five years.
I have zero nostalgia for turning dirt to make a profit, milking a cow, or doing a harvest.
Everyone running their own small farm is the antithesis of division of labor.
It's a major step backward in efficiency and the fact that it's even discussed is a strong indicator of the dysfunction of the finance system.
After the black plague the yeomen did pretty darn well until they
overpopulated again.
Retail interests me because that's where the rubber meets the road in terms of consumer confidence and market sentiment. Everything I have read indicates a lot of retail stores are going to die. Others will have only one or two anchors per large market, so you can see the goods if you want. But all the successful retailers have a big internet presence, and give incentives for internet shopping because it's cheaper for them, not just in therms of rent, but employees, liability, etc. It's not going to come back.
" lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:31 pm
Do you breathe deeply when you stucco?
"
The real question is do I inhale
Ummm, just exhaling is not very useful, Cinco.
Everyone running their own small farm is the antithesis of division of labor.
It's a major step backward in efficiency and the fact that it's even discussed is a strong indicator of the dysfunction of the finance system.
Many small farm communities in England would share a plow team and town bull. Teams of workers would go from farm to farm to harvest and make hay. The US model is that everyone needs a John Deere, even for a pocket farm, because you can't count on help from the neighbors.
" El Lurko (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:31 pm
Urban Outfitters takes the first step to becoming the hippest bank holding company around. Free toaster to be usurped by free V-neck (ironic) tee and shutter sunglasses. Can you securitize skinny jeans?"
Followed by the obligatory government bailout
DIP financing of a financial structure? Is this a way to get into a new venue of lending with usurious rates by using CIT as a sock puppet / passthrough? I.e., are Morgan and Goldman just using this to do small commercial lending at DIP rates? Because I don't otherwise see how DIP of a financial structure is going to hold up. CIT seems way too far down in the death spiral to be saved, without some kind of secret "Obama holds Lloyd Blankfein's children hostage" or "Let's rob America AGAIN" angle, DIP will just be avenue for financing the bankruptcy litigation.
"
lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:35 pm
I repeat that now I honestly, non-snarkedly think it would have been better to
fly the frigging helicopters over poorer areas all over the US and drop money.
It couldn't be worse than what they did."
It would have been worse for Goldman Sachs
CONJURE'S READING LIST
"The Family," by Jeff Sharlet, Harper Collins, 2008.
Some people like me just like growing stuff. I would hate
to do it to eat. Nothing more satisfying than getting all dirty and
then seeing roses.
It's pretty much when yeomen became a class...small landowner/farmers. And also when richer people got used to paying cash for labor, because the former serfs could hold out for better terms and weren't bound to a landholder anymore.
What's bad for GoldmanSachs is good for America!!
I repeat that now I honestly, non-snarkedly think it would have been better to
fly the frigging helicopters over poorer areas all over the US and drop money.
Beats the current situation where Helicopter Ben drops money over Wall Street.
Byz - yes.
This is going to turn into a new conduit for Goldman.
Of course, everything that is not currently a conduit for Goldman is going to turn into a new conduit for Goldman.
We were in Poland 2 years ago. They still farm small strips of land by the house. They all were using horses for tilling also. The water was hand crank wells. It was like visiting America in 1880. Some of the houses had the livestock barn built right on to the house.
Skyin' 'em
CIT should keep on spending money to keep from going bankrupt.
I'm a yeoman....now Youmans
At some point Goldman is gonna start eating itself.
Ourumbourous? (sp?)
Citizen AllenM (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:31 pm
Joanna, what you just read is the entire reason why most of our ancestors showed up in America. Nothing like shearing sheep, shafting the crofters, underpaying for piecework, enclosing the commons, and add a little disease to the mix.
It is one of the reasons when folks start talking about yeoman farmers being the absolute bedrock of a society I start laughing.
Yeoman farmers are the bedrock of a society. The societies you're talking about were dysfunctional. Their systems of rule collapsed wholesale shortly subsequent to the period you're talking about.
Sorta like that state government you work for.
Edit: Tell me more about how the velvet fist of government is going to save us by spending more money to keep from going bankrupt.
Thank you mp!!
Heard an interview with that guy and spaced looking for the book until you reminded me. I'm on hte hold list at my local library now
Nothing more satisfying than getting all dirty and
then seeing roses.
Farming = poor
Gardening = rich
Garden-farmer! That's me.
the yeomen did pretty darn well
Don't make me punish you.
Growing food & animals for fun is not the same as growing them to save money.
wow. the amount of misdirection and outright lying taking place in the media these days.
at any rate, is liquidation an option with this one? please tell me liquidation is an option. we have to re institute failure in this country.
I'm with Byz on this....certainly sounds like DIP rates for all...except the very few who control
Very simply put a fire breaks out and you are now dousing it more fire....not gasoline but the same 'friggin thing?
Anyone?
Ciao
MS
Yeoman farmers are the bedrock of a society. The societies you're talking about were dysfunctional. Their systems of rule collapsed wholesale shortly subsequent to the period you're talking about.
Sorta like that state government you work for.
I htink the difference comes between farming to feed a family, with some spare to sell to the community...and farming (or any agricultural pursuit) for profit. Profit-making is strip mining most of the time. No concern for sustainability on all levels.
The AIG swaps to European banks allowing the banks to have less of other forms of capital is IMO the single biggest fraud of the CDS era. European banking regulations allowed the banks there to achieve more leverage by claiming AIG's CDS as part of their capital. These banks are insolvent, but the AIG deal made them appear as if they had capital. Now, the US taxpayer could be on the hook for the reckless lending by European banks. The Fed swap lines extended to Euro central banks a couple of years ago was to allow the ECB's to organize to take over the problems from AIG. What's happening now is Euro banks cancel their CDS and their central bank injects capital to keep them afloat. What needs to happen is the rest of these CDS's need to be cancelled and the losses absorbed by the Eurozone central banks rather than the US.
You know, if the macro parasites who styled themselves noble, didn't feast on the farmers, and
make war in the fields, and take the best beast, it might have been ok.
There were too many people pre plague and there are too many people
now to support. Non intelligent design. Power laws.
the problem, in part, is the fantasy-land of low rates by decree.
wasn't C debt paying over 40% at the depths in March? the riskier entities on the credit spectrum have no hope in hell of supporting rates at even a fraction of what their risk merits.
this is just the natural extension of our command economy driven by arbitrary creation of money with imaginary value.
Norman Chan, Replaces Yan, Vows to Maintain Yuan
Bloomberg poetry
Tell me more about how the velvet fist of government is going to save us by spending more money to keep from going bankrupt.
Happening even as we type.
Service Guarantees Citizenship.
Do you want to know more?
YouTube - Starship Troopers - I'm Doing My Part
nova, they were just off the grid...ahead of USA doomsteaders by a decade or so
The local poster child here is a soon-to-be-formerly upscale shopping plaza that I now refer to as "Dead Rose Commons".
Several large box stores with no small stores.
Among those present:
Circuit City (deceased)
Old Navy (ill?)
Sports Authority (big box sporting goods)
Home Depot (ill)
Linens & Things (Deceased)
Party City
Office Max
Old Country Buffet (Buffet, Inc.- in bankruptcy)
Pep Boys (regional automotive)
Barnes & Nobel
Ofc Max and Sports Authority are questionable business models anymore.
Also at local mall this week (GGP owned).
Numerous retail establishments were no longer in stores per se but were now in larger kiosks. Also noted the number of establishments - typically cellphone related - that have both a store location and then a kiosk (ATT/Verizon).
And naturally, a bunch of competing same-product stores.
I don't see how this survives.
i read an article last year about the slow food craze in San Fran, and how all these folks were growing food in their backyards. the author profiles a couple who are ooh-ing and aah-ing about how healthy the food is, how much they enjoy watching the food grow. how much the enjoy not buying from the big box grocers. then the couple talks about their slow food farmer for hire.
got to love san fran.
That was Heinlein's worst novel, just about.
Growing food & animals for fun is not the same as growing them to save money.
I've had to take a step down from my yeomanry dreams. A milk cow is a luxury item. A flock of chickens is cheap and easy protein. No mo' moo, and a bigger flock for me this year.
We still raise beef, becuase we have cheap hay & easy grass, but htat will change as times get tougher.
Peasant life, here i come!
"wasn't C debt paying over 40% at the depths in March?"
Yes. Despite owning a lot of allegedly distressed bonds, I didn't buy a penny of C. I even bought AIG and MGM, but C seemed too risky at its price.
"the author profiles a couple who are ooh-ing and aah-ing about how healthy the food is, how much they enjoy watching the food grow. how much the enjoy not buying from the big box grocers. then the couple talks about their slow food farmer for hire."
Ah yes the vaunted SF limousine liberal.
Yeah, I think they could handle a depression just fine. Especially as their economy crashed 65 years ago.
" Kung.Fu.Panda (homepage, profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:47 pm
The AIG swaps to European banks allowing the banks to have less of other forms of capital is IMO the single biggest fraud of the CDS era. European banking regulations allowed the banks there to achieve more leverage by claiming AIG's CDS as part of their capital. These banks are insolvent, but the AIG deal made them appear as if they had capital. Now, the US taxpayer could be on the hook for the reckless lending by European banks. The Fed swap lines extended to Euro central banks a couple of years ago was to allow the ECB's to organize to take over the problems from AIG. What's happening now is Euro banks cancel their CDS and their central bank injects capital to keep them afloat. What needs to happen is the rest of these CDS's need to be cancelled and the losses absorbed by the Eurozone central banks rather than the US."
I presume you're referring to this:
AIG’s European Derivatives May Take Decades to Expire (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
Kinda' sucks, huh?
Growth industries in the PNW - teaching people to garden, and/or contract gardening for a share of the harvest.
Silly.
Nice ramp in the market right after TNX closes.
oh well, I have been working on fresh doom while I have been reading here.
We pulled into the diner parking lot. It was busy, it was also the only decent place to buy a meal for 6 miles now. I stretched and took a look at the vehicles. Nothing unusual. A couple of trucks, a Toyota Camry that had been hit a couple years ago in the passenger side door. I guessed a couple of years because of the rust that was bleeding through. One bicycle, and a SUV. Nothing weird in the vibe so I followed Max in. Taped to the door was a hand lettered sign.
No Barter Unless Arranged First!
No Checks.
Weapons to Remain Holstered at ALL TIMES.
We can and Will Refuse Service to Who Ever We WANT!
American Apocalypse
wow. the amount of misdirection and outright lying taking place in the media these days.
It's easier if you define that big ball of behavior as a separate entity, sort of like the Krell in Forbidden Planet.
The System works to preserve itself in creepy ways.
WWII Propaganda Posters | Grow Your Own, Can Your Own
Joanna (homepage, profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:47 pm
I think the difference comes between farming to feed a family, with some spare to sell to the community...and farming (or any agricultural pursuit) for profit. Profit-making is strip mining most of the time. No concern for sustainability on all levels.
You need a shared capital model and a system that's made to facilitate it. Once you have a vertical system where capital can mass up at the higher levels of the economy, you'll see people game economic inequality until the yeomen are serfs. If you want to be a successful smallholding farmer, found a grange. The key to the persistence and success of smallholding Icelandic farmers was their economic / political independence due to their ability to pick their chieftans due to the inability of the gothorth to mainbtain bodies of troops.
You're really going to have to make sure any model you set up absolutely breaks the fingers of anyone trying to accumulate large amounts of capital and monopolize lending in order to pursue an indebt-and-enslave or merge-and-grow strategy.
Anyone who wants to play this game really needs to read up about the Icelandic Commonwealth and the dynamics of the gthorthcies before they start.
Was not there an article in the times recently that sort of said that most food borne illnesses have their source in Chickens?
Joanna,
Have you ever reared any ducks?
(Save the jokes people. Reared is the correct term).
Concur with MS/Byz re DIP on CIT.
shame on you for your cynicism.
As to Heinlein, Starship Troopers was ground-breaking in its time. A real hero who wasn't American. It turned some things on head.
Not particularly the chickens you grow yourselves.
The industrial chicken farms are beyond horrible, and they
are drowning in chickenshit.
Yes.
Here's a quote from the Bloomberg piece:
"Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, Banco Santander SA, Danske Bank A/S, Rabobank Group NV and Credit Agricole SA’s Calyon are also among banks which purchased the swaps, AIG said in a presentation in February pleading for its latest bailout. The banks could be forced to raise $10 billion in capital if AIG were allowed to fail, according to the document."
Force them to raise it or fail! Those banks are the responsibility of their respective national financial authorities. IIRC RBS is now essentially owned by the UK government.
The European banking system is yet another massive fail being held off by government obfuscation.
That was Heinlein's worst novel, just about.
Haha.
Content or execution?
The Isle Of The Dead
Isle of the Dead (novel) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
"Anyone who wants to play this game really needs to read up about the Icelandic Commonwealth and the dynamics of the gthorthcies before they start."
I'm sure it applies well to homogeneous cultures of a few hundred thousand separated by hundreds of miles of water from the nearest neighbor.
I agree Byz, but I don't think we have time to get such a system going before things get to where we need it. I'm imagining some kind of warlord/feudal thing for farmers....
Chickens are disease sources when they are raised in diseased surroundings, aside from normal barnyard cooties that is.
Why byz, ease up on the cynicism- I may be on my way out of government for a while should next's weeks interview pay out. After all, money is still flowing and working right now, isn't it? The market still opens at 3, doesn't it? Metals are still mostly (well, viz jesse not really) freely traded and available? Gee, and when I get a new job, will you still look on with that bitter tinge? State Government is not going anywhere fast, just very slowly. As a lot of stuff is federalized, there just will be less scope for it. But that doesn't mean going away, not by any stretch of the imagination. Sorry folks, last fall most likely was the TEOTWAKI moment of my lifetime. Now it is simply watching a new economy begin to assemble after more or less damage from this point forward. The King is dead- All hail the King!
Every bit of employment is simply taking some time and trading it for resources.
One of the problems with the yeoman was being squeezed by the local gentry until they collapsed into sales to the local gentry.
The serfs were done in England fairly early on compared to the rest of Europe, but that forced agribusiness into being a business, with "scientific management (17th and 18th century style;-}. And businesses reward efficiency- and the gentry assured through taxation and small wages that the returns to small farming just were not there.
Someday this war's gonna end...
"The European banking system is yet another massive fail being held off by government obfuscation. "
And think of the power the US Treasury and FED has right now.
Most European and Asian countries are being propped up with FX swap lines via the FED.
Most European banking systems are being propped up via Treasury keeping AIG afloat.
HollywoodHack (homepage, profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:58 pm
I'm sure it applies well to homogeneous cultures of a few hundred thousand separated by hundreds of miles of water from the nearest neighbor.
I'm sure you'll find a way to be a smartass with plenty of criticism and no useful contributions right up until someone knocks your head in with a rifle stock. The point is?
"wow. the amount of misdirection and outright lying taking place in the media these days."
The media seems to be in the business of reporting rumors not facts nowadays. According to the MSM, over the last few days:
California budget deal has been reached
Roubini says recession over by end of year
CIT will avoid bankruptcy
None of which are true. Whatever it takes to prop up the markets...
My carriage awaits.
Pun as always, Liz.
later.
lawyerliz,
That was Heinlein's worst novel, just about.
Have to disagree with you on that one liz, Troopers is my favorite after Friday. The Moon is a Harsh Mistress is a close third. Wait, forgot Glory Road...crap...Citizen of the Galaxy, Door into Summer, Starman Jones....okay I can't pick a favorite, but I do like Starship Troopers. I don't read any new science fiction anymore, but I still have a soft spot for Heinlein and Asimov.
"
lawyerliz (profile) wrote on Fri, 7/17/2009 - 3:57 pm
Not particularly the chickens you grow yourselves.
The industrial chicken farms are beyond horrible, and they
are drowning in chickenshit."
Which is in turn, poisoning Chesapeake Bay and other water features around the country. They produce so much they can't do anything with it, whereas a small farmer can use it for fertilizer once it's "seasoned" a bit.
"The Fed can inject money into the economy in still other ways. For example, the Fed has the authority to buy foreign government debt, as well as domestic government debt. Potentially, this class of assets offers huge scope for Fed operations, as the quantity of foreign assets eligible for purchase by the Fed is several times the stock of U.S. government debt."
Don't you get it? Bailing out Europe is just another fun project in BB's "101 fun economics experiments" chemistry set.
Who are we to get in the way of the good times? Enemies of science!
Metallica works for the Treasury now.
Cinco-X, don't get me started on the chicken farms. I mentioned this before, grandparents owned 150 acres...50 acres set aside for me. Tyson bought up all the surrounding land, put in chicken farms, and then the stench moved in. When they finally sold out, the property price had gone to pot. Wonderful land, turned to shit.
Exactly...which is why condescending blather from Merkel and other Eurozone leaders about how the US is mishandling the economic situation is extremely annoying.
There will be another sovereign default in Europe...the timing is the only variable.
Yep, Chicken shit is "hot" and needs to be composted before use as fertilizer.
Unless, of course, you are looking to "nitrogen burn" your plants.
AlanM
Sorry folks, last fall most likely was the TEOTWAKI moment of my lifetime. Now it is simply watching a new economy begin to assemble after more or less damage from this point forward.
Stop thinking about the end of the world as you know it. That happens every day, 'cause change is constant. If you think this crisis is over, you're really missing the fact that this isn't an economic crisis, it's a social / political one, and your state, meaning in this case the US government, is still on a totally unsustainable budgetary trajectory. Nothing has happened to change that and everything has happened to accelerate it. The fun hasn't even started yet; wake me up to tell me about the velvet fist when the sovereign defaults and the capital controls come into place.
the US government, is still on a totally unsustainable budgetary trajectory
Well, I'll agree with you on that, Byz.