There's Cramer again. I remember falling out of my chair when I saw that he hired Dykstra to give investment "advice" on thestreet.com. I think that's when I stopped going to the site. That's when Cramer officially jumped the shark.
Dykstra was described in Michael Lewis' book, "Moneyball" as being a good major league ballplayer precisely because he's an idiot and jughead who doesn't think too much. Anyone would have to be insane to take investment advice from this clown and would deserve to lose their money.
Heard a lot of the dykstra tapes on stern and personally dealt with chet lemon and lou whitaker of detroit tiger fame. They don't teach personal finance in the dugout
Q: How many AynRanders does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: Five.
One to blame the government for existing
One to blame the government to regulating the power company
One to blame the government for regulating the trucking industry
One to blame the government for the sales tax on the light bulb
And one to blame the government for preventing the creation of a lightbulb that never burns out.
broward (homepage, profile) wrote on Thu, 7/16/2009 - 10:09 pm
Q: How many AynRanders does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: Five.
What about the virtuous businessman who develops and markets a lightbulb specifically designed to last only two years, then burn out who eliminates the competitive threats that would otherwise better serve the public interest? That wasn't caused by a government. It always amuses me that there is no good Randian defense for deliberately-noncompetitive behavior among firms.
"Heard a lot of the dykstra tapes on stern and personally dealt with chet lemon and lou whitaker of detroit tiger fame. They don't teach personal finance in the dugout"
And where do the teach this exactly? Surely not on "Mad Money."
Here's his ghost writer describing his strategy. You can imagine how well this worked last autumn.
* My deep-in-the-money calls are normally at least four to six months away from the strike price. If the stock moves in the direction I expect it to, my in-the-money call will be in prime position for a win. If the stock moves against me, with the DITM call, I have more time to recover. (I will explain more about averaging down, an important part of my strategy to manage a pick that goes down, in a future column)
To sum it up, my strategy for in-the-money calls is to use them when a solid company is being beaten down on Wall Street for one "transgression" or another. My theory is that this overreaction will eventually correct itself as the value of the company reasserts itself over time; those who buy deep in-the-money-calls in advance of this correction will be rewarded.
All it takes is one or two bounces, or spikes, in the stock to make that profit.
Geez...you'd think the entire financial crisis was staged to separate Dykstra from his money. He goes on television, describes exactly how he's going to gamble with his millions, and the market behaves exactly as required to maximize his losses...and then, to twist the knife, turns around just after he's forced to file bk.
my strategy for in-the-money calls is to use them when a solid company is being beaten down on Wall Street for one "transgression" or another. My theory is that this overreaction will eventually correct itself as the value of the company reasserts itself over time; those who buy deep in-the-money-calls in advance of this correction will be rewarded.
Hey, that sounds a lot like George Soros' "reflection" strategy.
Do the ayn rand people really think things would not devolve into an adult version of lord of the flies?---even worse than the sad spectacle we have now ---which of course has come about because of canceled regulations and no enforcement of the weak laws still on the books not to mention the lack of new regulations to match the new financial "engineering"
The Department of State alerts U.S. citizens traveling to or residing in Argentina of the health risks associated with the World Health Organization (WHO)-declared 2009-H1N1 influenza pandemic, which has resulted in illness in numerous countries. 404 Not Found
Q: How many AynRanders does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: Five.
One to blame the government for existing
One to blame the government to regulating the power company
One to blame the government for regulating the trucking industry
One to blame the government for the sales tax on the light bulb
And one to blame the government for preventing the creation of a lightbulb that never burns out.
If the dog shits on the floor I blame the dog.
If the cat shits on the floor I blame the cat.
Of course, 911 was a conspiracy -- the hi-jackers practiced and consipired to take over and fly 4 different airlines with passengers on board into the world trade towers, the pentagon, and either white house or capital building.
Conspiracies happen all the time, and too often they are dismissed derisively, as in the linked comic.
The comic was deriding the hypothesis that people in the U.S. government, the Jews, or some other power was behind the conspirators that executed the attack. I do not subscribe to that view.
But, it does trouble me how easily people dismiss possible motives and explanations of events with a simple "oh, that is a just a conspiracy theory".
"If a Rander practiced personal responsibility, they'd blame themselves for getting a defective dog or cat! "
It's not their fault they were born into a system where the idiot next door who lives off government assistance gets a vote. In fact, they're trying very hard to escape from the system.
Ayn Randers don't compete, they bitch about the government....
Right on target. Every 'Roid I've know either works as a cog in some huge corporate machine, gov't machine or academia. They are the last ones to go 'Galt'. I know that is a terrible stereotype but I have yet to meet a Rand Roid who didn't fit that description. BTW I know plenty of 'Galt' types - not one has ever mentioned 'Atlas Shrugged' to me.
That's a mistake anyone could make, and without going into bankruptcy to the tune of $32M. What he failed to do, and in the most extreme way possible, was to consider the possibility of revising his strategy when it wasn't working.
The Contractor shall conduct two, 3-hour, Humor in the Workplace programs that will discuss the power of humor in the workplace, the close relationship between humor and stress, and why humor is one of the most important ways that we communicate in business and office life. Participants shall experience demonstrations of cartoons being created on the spot. The contractor shall have the ability to create cartoons on the spot about BPD jobs. The presenter shall refrain from using any foul language during the presentation. This is a business environment and we need the presenter to address a business audience.
I went Galt a month ago. Quit my high paying California job in a startup, took all my money out of US accounts, left the dollar mostly, and plan to travel in Asia for a year or two. Now you know one
And I left out the best part, which was where he* advised using options instead of buying stock directly because it minimizes the risk:
I love in-the-money calls because of the leverage they provide. It allows you to have exposure to a stock with significantly less money at risk versus a cash or (certainly) margin purchase for that same stock. Your risk is limited to the cost of the in-the-money call, compared with buying the stock with cash or on margin, which is a very dangerous game that I strongly suggest you avoid playing.
*Obviously I don't mean that Dykstra himself made this recommendation--it can't be his own writing because (a) it uses big words like "leverage" and "significantly", and uses them correctly, and (b) there aren't any obscenities.
Really, I have to wonder if he came up with this strategy on his own, or if somebody set him up with it so he could be efficiently reamed.
"The sobering assessment from Congressional Budget Office Director Douglas Elmendorf came as House Democrats pushed to pass a partisan bill through committees, while in the Senate a small group of lawmakers continued to seek a deal that could win support from both political parties."
I went Galt a month ago. Quit my high paying California job in a startup, took all my money out of US accounts, left the dollar mostly, and plan to travel in Asia for a year or two. Now you know one
I've been self-employed for 25 years - through three official recession and at least one 'unofficial recession'... raised a family & saved a little money to boot. And I didn't travel Asia for a year or two... couldn't afford the time away from the salt mine.
Talk to us about 'Going Galt' after a couple decades of doing it without falling back into a cubicle.
BTW - just because you had a high paying job doesn't mean you were a 'producer'... plenty of 'eaters' in high paying jobs... gov't, academia or even start-ups. And I'm not trying to bust on you [maybe you were the only producer there, don't know]... but just showing a phat pay stub from a corporation proves nothing.
I seriously & genuinely wish you well in your pursuits.
Fair enough There are alot of useless startups out there that are being funded millions, so you got me there. I will tell you that I worked 80+ hours/week (and it wasn't my first startup), took on many hats (sometimes a janitor!), and when I saw where my labor was going, I didn't feel like playing the tax game with uncle sam anymore.
and when I saw where my labor was going, I didn't feel like playing the tax game with uncle sam anymore.
Whether you realize it or not Uncle Sam's take was probably the least of your problems... my guess is the VC folks were getting the first & best cuts [off the fatted calf] leaving scraps for everyone else [including gov't]. They usually do.
I know that supply/demand curve is meant to be a simple illustration, but it really fails to show some important factors. For one, the demand curve needs to move downward due to falling wages and job losses. And it moves downward further due to the fact that a competing good (rental housing) is falling in price too.
When the housing-bubble alarmists pointed at price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios back in '05, we talked about how far the prices had to drop to get back in line with those fundamental supports. Now it's a moving target.
I went Galt a month ago. Quit my high paying California job in a startup, took all my money out of US accounts, left the dollar mostly, and plan to travel in Asia for a year or two. Now you know one
must be all these damned temple structures here at Angkor Wat because my
throughput really blows....
lot of catching up to do... by that time you'll all be asleep...
... found out last night that a girl can do a highly effective karate leg kick off a high heel...
Three years ago, in July 2006, the stock price of Priceline (PCLN) was about 25. Are their earnings prospects 5 times greater in today's environment to warrant a stock price of 120?
How can this be? What is driving this stock to a PE ratio of 27, about the same as that of Apple and Google?
Hysterical clip. The 2008 Espn portion touts how Dykstra lived an extravagant lifestyle...well duh, he was a high profile major league baseball player for ten years, he probably grossed 30Mil during that 10 years. He's three years younger than me, but looks 10 years older than me, as rick james would say...Steroids are power drug!
Weren't we making cases for places like Priceline & Ebay back a few years at HBB? Both are representative of companies that would well -- at least better than average -- in an environment where people are desperately trying to save money.
I posted the updated mid-month foreclosure / trustee sales counts for 4 counties in California for those who are interested. I post these at the end of every month and halfway through the business days of the month every month now.
Yeah TJ, but I think that people trying desparately to save money will simply fly a lot less.
Again, maybe Priceline gets a bigger piece of the overall pie (maybe), but those market share gains will be overwhelmed by the shrinking market size, increasingly cut-throat pricing by competitors, etc...
What's scary is that Google is one of our poster-child high-growth companies, and they just reported revenue growth of 3%... But I guess that's better than IBM's -13% or Harley Davidson's or Nokia's -25%....
I'm very curious to see how Apple and Amazon do next Thursday.
TJ and The Bear (profile) wrote on Thu, 7/16/2009 - 9:42 pm
Weren't we making cases for places like Priceline & Ebay back a few years at HBB? Both are representative of companies that would well -- at least better than average -- in an environment where people are desperately trying to save money.
Not me. Remember my saying they were subject to predation should they ever define a profitable niche?
I'm not saying those cases were ironclad, but the multiples don't surprise me when we're still in the high ground of a vicious bear market rally. Nothing justifies where equities are these days -- nothing.
"One of the angry souls is Dr. Festus Dada, a Nigerian-born gastric bypass specialist, who filed a fraud/breach of contract suit and alleges Dykstra kept a $500,000 deposit after a deal fell apart to purchase a Southern California car wash and retail center then owned by Dykstra. Dada walked away from the transaction, claiming in the suit that Dykstra had made significant changes to the final escrow agreement, including the insertion of a five-year contract for Dykstra's old Phillies teammate, Pete Incaviglia, to serve as general manager under the new ownership.
"We had a closing date, but the good doctor thought there were no rules in this country," says Dykstra, pointing out that Dada himself has been a defendant in dozens of civil suits since 2000. "You'll see a laundry list [of suits], dude. OK, so much for Dr. Dada's credibility, huh?"
Dada's side of the story, not surprisingly, is different. He suggests the ex-ballplayer set out to rip him off, saying he believes Dykstra was desperate for cash and rushed to close on the $27.5 million deal within 30 days. Dada's attorneys say the property was so encumbered by liens that it was impossible to close so quickly.
"He thought he could keep my $500,000 and nobody would have the resources to go after him," Dada says. "But in this case, I am going after him. General surgeons are not intimidated by professional athletes.
"Like I told him, if I can cut somebody from the neck all the way down to the pubis with a scalpel, then I cannot be intimidated."
Much more in the article. A good time in the credit casino.
E.D., and for the two big counties East of those four, I could summarize the real estate data simply by saying 90% of the sales were REOs and prices were low.
But real estate isn't the whole story or even a big part of the story. It's all about jobs, as in . . . where are they?
According to John Husing, the well-known economic prognosticator for Riverside and San Bernardino Counties (because he's been the only one following that godforsaken area for the past 30 years), job losses this year are expected to increase by about 70% over 2008.
Lemme say that again: There will be 70% more jobs lost in the Inland Empire in 2009 than were lost in 2008, which itself was a year totally enveloped within a recession.
Mr. Husing counted 48,650 jobs lost in 2008
He says there will be 82,600 more jobs lost in 2009.
"Wachovia reported blowout results Monday, including a 32% year-over-year gain in earnings and a 19% increase in revenue to $6.7 billion.
As reported by TheStreet.com, Wachovia revenue growth was fueled by strong performance in its consumer and corporate banking businesses: Service charges rose 11% to $555 million, while banking fees rose 23% to $385 million. In addition, investment banking fees rose 24% to $294 million.
In addition, its CEO said there are no signs of credit deterioration on the horizon, and the company reported an incredibly low level of chargeoffs in its loan portfolio of one-tenth of 1 percent. That's how good these people are.
Despite all that, the stock initially fell in reaction, trading as low as $47.28 intraday before recovering to close up 0.6% at $48.12. As did other traders, I saw that selloff as a gift to buy this great American banking franchise. The opportunity was all the more enticing given Wachovia's stock is trading near its 52-week low, sports a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2, and offers a dividend yield of 4.3%.
As the stock was selling off Monday I bought the January 40 calls for $7.90. Once again, you must use all of your weapons when playing for big dollars, and options give you the opportunity to leverage your bet. I am now in control of 1,000 shares of Wachovia until the third Friday in January for $7,900 -- as opposed to spending over $47,000 to buy the common stock. "
Bruce Norris is heavy in Riverside and San berdu, as I understand it he is buying all he can.
California has a large pool of renters, it appears that some are choosing to buying. Probably mostly FHA and investors, either betting on the governments dime or selling to people betting on the governments dime.
I personally think it will last as long as the rates keep so low and the banks are restricted from bringing inventory on market.
Is the future nothing but black?
Kramer vs Cramer.
I'd trust Kramer of Kramerica and "the Bro" for financial advice before Cramer.
I'd trust Colbert before network news.
I kneel before the truth of Dennis "Goebbels" Kneale!
Q: What's the difference between an AynRander and World of Warcraft players?!
A: The WOW players can distinguish between fantasy and reality!
Ho!
broward (homepage, profile) wrote on Thu, 7/16/2009 - 9:57 pm
Q: What's the difference between an AynRander and World of Warcraft players?!
A: The WOW players can distinguish between fantasy and reality!
All social programs need to be mortal. Most of the problems of socialism stem from lack of a useful period of service followed by termination.
How much more evidence do we need? All hail King Clown Cramer.
funny how the people who cannot compete in an ayn rand world end up playing WORLD OF WARCRAFT----Ho!
a lot of people are morons, but don't sound like it.
Dykstra, on the other hand...
This is what happens when you don't "purge the rottenness".
There's Cramer again. I remember falling out of my chair when I saw that he hired Dykstra to give investment "advice" on thestreet.com. I think that's when I stopped going to the site. That's when Cramer officially jumped the shark.
Dykstra was described in Michael Lewis' book, "Moneyball" as being a good major league ballplayer precisely because he's an idiot and jughead who doesn't think too much. Anyone would have to be insane to take investment advice from this clown and would deserve to lose their money.
that reminds me...is Ben Stein still giving out financial advice?
ac (profile) wrote on Thu, 7/16/2009 - 10:04 pm
This is what happens when you don't "purge the rottenness".
If we're fertilizing the weeds, it should come as little surprise that crop growth contracts.
Heard a lot of the dykstra tapes on stern and personally dealt with chet lemon and lou whitaker of detroit tiger fame. They don't teach personal finance in the dugout
Q: How many AynRanders does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: Five.
One to blame the government for existing
One to blame the government to regulating the power company
One to blame the government for regulating the trucking industry
One to blame the government for the sales tax on the light bulb
And one to blame the government for preventing the creation of a lightbulb that never burns out.
OMFG. They would have seen him coming a mile off. Never had a hope. Let the rich stupid mark win a couple of hands and then it's gut and fillet time.
And Cramer is complicit.
C
Ben Stein is a sick joke. Buelller?
"I don't read books, because it makes you think." best quote ever ...
"funny how the people who cannot compete in an ayn rand world end up playing WORLD OF WARCRAFT----Ho! "
The TBTF 19, AIG, Fannie, Freddie GM and Chrysler are all playing WOW?
broward (homepage, profile) wrote on Thu, 7/16/2009 - 10:09 pm
Q: How many AynRanders does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: Five.
What about the virtuous businessman who develops and markets a lightbulb specifically designed to last only two years, then burn out who eliminates the competitive threats that would otherwise better serve the public interest? That wasn't caused by a government. It always amuses me that there is no good Randian defense for deliberately-noncompetitive behavior among firms.
broward--- lightbulb thingy is awesome-- never saw it before--whining lords of production----string them up!!!!!!!
the people who cannot compete in an ayn rand world
Ayn Randers don't compete, they bitch about the government so as to avoid work and moral judgements.
Steve Young and Joe Montanna getting in the game here too.
Joe knows affordable housing projects that are really gov't funded CRE projects.
I hear trannys are much better stock pickers than dykstras
CalPERS is the largest investor in Young's PE firm...
"Heard a lot of the dykstra tapes on stern and personally dealt with chet lemon and lou whitaker of detroit tiger fame. They don't teach personal finance in the dugout"
And where do the teach this exactly? Surely not on "Mad Money."
government should exist to strengthen the strong . As Jesus said to him who has much , more is given. Parable of the Talents.
CIT said in the statement it’s continuing to serve customers. CIT spokesman Curt Ritter didn’t respond to a message.
"At least for the next 12 hours. "
Basel I know.
Calpers is in stay away.
Re: "If video doesn't load"
Google (Youtube) spends $4 million a day to give away bandwidth, so that we can see this. Viva la Google ...so forgive them if it loads slow!
'Ayn Randers don't compete, they bitch about the government"
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Thanks, now I know why I was charged in Idaho with a felony for (bitching) blogging about a "public official."
I take issue with those supply and demand charts. If a cassette player is 4 dollars does not mean that it will outsell an iPod at 100 dollars.
They only work to a point.
by the way. I'm playing devils advocate--- ayn rand makes me retch.
Felix Salmon says that the employment of Ben Stein as a financial advice columnist is not just stupid but evil--and ugly:
New York Stein Crashed-and-Burned Watch (Financial News Edition) - J. Bradford DeLong's Grasping Reality with All Eight Tentacles
Britain prepares for 65,000 deaths from swine flu
Britain prepares for 65,000 deaths from swine flu - Times Online
oh BTW Porsche as a independent company is history.
Take a name... WTH? 65k?
ayn rand: sounds like a region you never want to visit
Cramer hits another one out of the park!
Here's his ghost writer describing his strategy. You can imagine how well this worked last autumn.
* My deep-in-the-money calls are normally at least four to six months away from the strike price. If the stock moves in the direction I expect it to, my in-the-money call will be in prime position for a win. If the stock moves against me, with the DITM call, I have more time to recover. (I will explain more about averaging down, an important part of my strategy to manage a pick that goes down, in a future column)
To sum it up, my strategy for in-the-money calls is to use them when a solid company is being beaten down on Wall Street for one "transgression" or another. My theory is that this overreaction will eventually correct itself as the value of the company reasserts itself over time; those who buy deep in-the-money-calls in advance of this correction will be rewarded.
All it takes is one or two bounces, or spikes, in the stock to make that profit.
Remember: Life is a journey, enjoy the ride!
Dykstra: Deep-in-the-Money Calls 101 | Page 2 of 2 | Financial Advisor Update | Financial Articles & Investing News | TheStreet.com
Geez...you'd think the entire financial crisis was staged to separate Dykstra from his money. He goes on television, describes exactly how he's going to gamble with his millions, and the market behaves exactly as required to maximize his losses...and then, to twist the knife, turns around just after he's forced to file bk.
and there were going to be 3M people living in the Stone Age with the DTV conversion...
Cramer: CIT is a generational BUY, BUY,BUY!!!!!! BOOYAH!!!
dykstra: forgot to plunge the fingers into the holes
and there were going to be 3M people living in the Stone Age with the DTV conversion...
i've noticed a lot more stone chips and arrowheads around lately on the mall
my grandmother is happy she has lost her televison---reminds her of her youth----Green shoots!!!!!!
OMG Yalt, that was the funniest thing Ive read in months. Bravo!
California swine flu deaths reach 55, up by 23 in the last week
California swine flu deaths reach 55, up by 23 in the last week - San Jose Mercury News
Q: What's the defnition of insanity?
A: Bitching about the government over and over again and expecting anything to change.
Billy Beck usually makes me chuckle when he goes off on a RandRant.
I'm surprised he has any time left to earn a living and pay some taxes.
He's always good for a laugh if I'm feeling down.
my strategy for in-the-money calls is to use them when a solid company is being beaten down on Wall Street for one "transgression" or another. My theory is that this overreaction will eventually correct itself as the value of the company reasserts itself over time; those who buy deep in-the-money-calls in advance of this correction will be rewarded.
Hey, that sounds a lot like George Soros' "reflection" strategy.
Dykstra's just bad at picking the right company.
Do the ayn rand people really think things would not devolve into an adult version of lord of the flies?---even worse than the sad spectacle we have now ---which of course has come about because of canceled regulations and no enforcement of the weak laws still on the books not to mention the lack of new regulations to match the new financial "engineering"
Re: California swine flu deaths reach 55, up by 23 in the last week
Swine Flu is going parabolic, but no big deal -- let people figure it out after schools open.
I laughed and then I recognized why...for "lighten up Francis" moments it is a great site.
xkcd - A webcomic of romance, sarcasm, math, and language - By Randall Munroe
So maybe if both libertarianism and modern liberalism are a failure, then the solution is something else?
Just sayin'
July 14, 2009
The Department of State alerts U.S. citizens traveling to or residing in Argentina of the health risks associated with the World Health Organization (WHO)-declared 2009-H1N1 influenza pandemic, which has resulted in illness in numerous countries.
404 Not Found
taxing weed in cali____proposition foshizzle======T.Show
Q: How many AynRanders does it take to change a lightbulb?
A: Five.
One to blame the government for existing
One to blame the government to regulating the power company
One to blame the government for regulating the trucking industry
One to blame the government for the sales tax on the light bulb
And one to blame the government for preventing the creation of a lightbulb that never burns out.
If the dog shits on the floor I blame the dog.
If the cat shits on the floor I blame the cat.
funny how the people who cannot compete in an ayn rand world end up playing WORLD OF WARCRAFT----Ho!
AR's world was fiction - how is that different than WOW?
Whoever bought CROX at 72 should walk shoeless through the world forever.
Crocs, Inc. Share Price Chart | CROX - Yahoo! Finance
if the dog shits on the floor I blame the dog.
If the cat shits on the floor I blame the cat.
Exactly!
If a Rander practiced personal responsibility, they'd blame themselves for getting a defective dog or cat!
Whoever bought CROX at 72 should walk shoeless through the world forever.
I covered my CFC shorts at 38. =/
"So maybe if both libertarianism and modern liberalism are a failure, then the solution is something else?"
Unfeeling, infallible Robots as rulers, judges, and executioners.
Billionaire's massive yacht docked in Sausalito causes a stir - San Jose Mercury News
better than you, mate
Re: the conspiracy theory comic
Of course, 911 was a conspiracy -- the hi-jackers practiced and consipired to take over and fly 4 different airlines with passengers on board into the world trade towers, the pentagon, and either white house or capital building.
Conspiracies happen all the time, and too often they are dismissed derisively, as in the linked comic.
The comic was deriding the hypothesis that people in the U.S. government, the Jews, or some other power was behind the conspirators that executed the attack. I do not subscribe to that view.
But, it does trouble me how easily people dismiss possible motives and explanations of events with a simple "oh, that is a just a conspiracy theory".
"If a Rander practiced personal responsibility, they'd blame themselves for getting a defective dog or cat! "
It's not their fault they were born into a system where the idiot next door who lives off government assistance gets a vote. In fact, they're trying very hard to escape from the system.
Ayn Randers don't compete, they bitch about the government....
Right on target. Every 'Roid I've know either works as a cog in some huge corporate machine, gov't machine or academia. They are the last ones to go 'Galt'. I know that is a terrible stereotype but I have yet to meet a Rand Roid who didn't fit that description. BTW I know plenty of 'Galt' types - not one has ever mentioned 'Atlas Shrugged' to me.
Bond Buyer, California Property Taxes Are On a Very Bad Roll
California Property Taxes Are On a Very Bad Roll - Bond Buyer Article
Dykstra's just bad at picking the right company.
That's a mistake anyone could make, and without going into bankruptcy to the tune of $32M. What he failed to do, and in the most extreme way possible, was to consider the possibility of revising his strategy when it wasn't working.
Timmy wants to hire a comedian
The Contractor shall conduct two, 3-hour, Humor in the Workplace programs that will discuss the power of humor in the workplace, the close relationship between humor and stress, and why humor is one of the most important ways that we communicate in business and office life. Participants shall experience demonstrations of cartoons being created on the spot. The contractor shall have the ability to create cartoons on the spot about BPD jobs. The presenter shall refrain from using any foul language during the presentation. This is a business environment and we need the presenter to address a business audience.
Paging Ben Dover To Provide Taxpayer Funded Workplace Humor | zero hedge
ugly, poor, annoying
vs
goodlooking, rich enough for a great lawyer, charming
oh yeah a judge and /or jury is gonna be impartial
I think an unfeeling robot-judge is just what we need
How many software engineers does it take to plug in a lightbulb?
Answer: can't be done, it's a hardware problem
A bit of geek humor for you.
@dryfly
I went Galt a month ago. Quit my high paying California job in a startup, took all my money out of US accounts, left the dollar mostly, and plan to travel in Asia for a year or two. Now you know one
bond girl, i see jefferson county runs out of cash next month...
Can the Economy Recover?
There is no economy left to recover.
And I left out the best part, which was where he* advised using options instead of buying stock directly because it minimizes the risk:
I love in-the-money calls because of the leverage they provide. It allows you to have exposure to a stock with significantly less money at risk versus a cash or (certainly) margin purchase for that same stock. Your risk is limited to the cost of the in-the-money call, compared with buying the stock with cash or on margin, which is a very dangerous game that I strongly suggest you avoid playing.
*Obviously I don't mean that Dykstra himself made this recommendation--it can't be his own writing because (a) it uses big words like "leverage" and "significantly", and uses them correctly, and (b) there aren't any obscenities.
Really, I have to wonder if he came up with this strategy on his own, or if somebody set him up with it so he could be efficiently reamed.
Unfeeling, infallible Robots as rulers, judges, and executioners.
Purely logical entities are by definition fallible.
Any system of logic is either a) Incomplete or b) Inconsistent:
Incompleteness Theorem
We will have to look elsewhere for our new invincible overlords.
CBO - Health care bills would raise costs
"The sobering assessment from Congressional Budget Office Director Douglas Elmendorf came as House Democrats pushed to pass a partisan bill through committees, while in the Senate a small group of lawmakers continued to seek a deal that could win support from both political parties."
I went Galt a month ago. Quit my high paying California job in a startup, took all my money out of US accounts, left the dollar mostly, and plan to travel in Asia for a year or two. Now you know one
I've been self-employed for 25 years - through three official recession and at least one 'unofficial recession'... raised a family & saved a little money to boot. And I didn't travel Asia for a year or two... couldn't afford the time away from the salt mine.
Talk to us about 'Going Galt' after a couple decades of doing it without falling back into a cubicle.
BTW - just because you had a high paying job doesn't mean you were a 'producer'... plenty of 'eaters' in high paying jobs... gov't, academia or even start-ups. And I'm not trying to bust on you [maybe you were the only producer there, don't know]... but just showing a phat pay stub from a corporation proves nothing.
I seriously & genuinely wish you well in your pursuits.
@dryfly
Fair enough
There are alot of useless startups out there that are being funded millions, so you got me there. I will tell you that I worked 80+ hours/week (and it wasn't my first startup), took on many hats (sometimes a janitor!), and when I saw where my labor was going, I didn't feel like playing the tax game with uncle sam anymore.
and when I saw where my labor was going, I didn't feel like playing the tax game with uncle sam anymore.
Whether you realize it or not Uncle Sam's take was probably the least of your problems... my guess is the VC folks were getting the first & best cuts [off the fatted calf] leaving scraps for everyone else [including gov't]. They usually do.
Anyway - good luck. Gotta snoooze... zzzzzzzzzzz.
Re: the last post on sticky house prices:
I know that supply/demand curve is meant to be a simple illustration, but it really fails to show some important factors. For one, the demand curve needs to move downward due to falling wages and job losses. And it moves downward further due to the fact that a competing good (rental housing) is falling in price too.
When the housing-bubble alarmists pointed at price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios back in '05, we talked about how far the prices had to drop to get back in line with those fundamental supports. Now it's a moving target.
but then the demand curve shifts back to the right because THEY DON'T MAKE ANYMORE REAL ESTATE
I went Galt a month ago. Quit my high paying California job in a startup, took all my money out of US accounts, left the dollar mostly, and plan to travel in Asia for a year or two. Now you know one
Another Galter here.
Basel They build on top of the RE they already have.
must be all these damned temple structures here at Angkor Wat because my
throughput really blows....
lot of catching up to do... by that time you'll all be asleep...
... found out last night that a girl can do a highly effective karate leg kick off a high heel...
Way OT, but this is bugging me:
Three years ago, in July 2006, the stock price of Priceline (PCLN) was about 25. Are their earnings prospects 5 times greater in today's environment to warrant a stock price of 120?
How can this be? What is driving this stock to a PE ratio of 27, about the same as that of Apple and Google?
Maybe Cramer is pumping this stock...
Hysterical clip. The 2008 Espn portion touts how Dykstra lived an extravagant lifestyle...well duh, he was a high profile major league baseball player for ten years, he probably grossed 30Mil during that 10 years. He's three years younger than me, but looks 10 years older than me, as rick james would say...Steroids are power drug!
ShortCourage,
Weren't we making cases for places like Priceline & Ebay back a few years at HBB? Both are representative of companies that would well -- at least better than average -- in an environment where people are desperately trying to save money.
Short courage
Google probably doesn't deserve that 30 P/E either. Both get 30-40% haircuts IMO by the fall.
I posted the updated mid-month foreclosure / trustee sales counts for 4 counties in California for those who are interested. I post these at the end of every month and halfway through the business days of the month every month now.
Orange County:
Effective Demand: Mid-July Foreclosure update for Orange County
Ventura County:
Effective Demand: Mid-July Foreclosure update for Ventura County
San Diego:
Effective Demand: Mid-July Foreclosure update for Ventura County
Los Angeles:
Effective Demand: Mid-July Foreclosure update for Los Angeles County
Yeah TJ, but I think that people trying desparately to save money will simply fly a lot less.
Again, maybe Priceline gets a bigger piece of the overall pie (maybe), but those market share gains will be overwhelmed by the shrinking market size, increasingly cut-throat pricing by competitors, etc...
ED
Gracias.
To all Appreciate all the links. One stop shop here most of the time.
Tim waiting for 2012,
What's scary is that Google is one of our poster-child high-growth companies, and they just reported revenue growth of 3%... But I guess that's better than IBM's -13% or Harley Davidson's or Nokia's -25%....
I'm very curious to see how Apple and Amazon do next Thursday.
TJ and The Bear (profile) wrote on Thu, 7/16/2009 - 9:42 pm
Weren't we making cases for places like Priceline & Ebay back a few years at HBB? Both are representative of companies that would well -- at least better than average -- in an environment where people are desperately trying to save money.
Not me. Remember my saying they were subject to predation should they ever define a profitable niche?
I'm not saying those cases were ironclad, but the multiples don't surprise me when we're still in the high ground of a vicious bear market rally. Nothing justifies where equities are these days -- nothing.
Short
Google has stolen the pie from print and now has no growth engine anymore
my prediction is Apple beats on revenues but margins will underwhelm.
Amazon will disappoint generally on sales but hit the profit marks.
"All social programs need to be mortal."
That is an interesting idea. Kind of like limited time specials. Very Roman. I like it.
And for the rest of the story:
"One of the angry souls is Dr. Festus Dada, a Nigerian-born gastric bypass specialist, who filed a fraud/breach of contract suit and alleges Dykstra kept a $500,000 deposit after a deal fell apart to purchase a Southern California car wash and retail center then owned by Dykstra. Dada walked away from the transaction, claiming in the suit that Dykstra had made significant changes to the final escrow agreement, including the insertion of a five-year contract for Dykstra's old Phillies teammate, Pete Incaviglia, to serve as general manager under the new ownership.
"We had a closing date, but the good doctor thought there were no rules in this country," says Dykstra, pointing out that Dada himself has been a defendant in dozens of civil suits since 2000. "You'll see a laundry list [of suits], dude. OK, so much for Dr. Dada's credibility, huh?"
Dada's side of the story, not surprisingly, is different. He suggests the ex-ballplayer set out to rip him off, saying he believes Dykstra was desperate for cash and rushed to close on the $27.5 million deal within 30 days. Dada's attorneys say the property was so encumbered by liens that it was impossible to close so quickly.
"He thought he could keep my $500,000 and nobody would have the resources to go after him," Dada says. "But in this case, I am going after him. General surgeons are not intimidated by professional athletes.
"Like I told him, if I can cut somebody from the neck all the way down to the pubis with a scalpel, then I cannot be intimidated."
Much more in the article. A good time in the credit casino.
Mike Fish: Lenny Dykstra's dream of high life and finance takes faith tough as 'Nails' - ESPN
E.D., and for the two big counties East of those four, I could summarize the real estate data simply by saying 90% of the sales were REOs and prices were low.
But real estate isn't the whole story or even a big part of the story. It's all about jobs, as in . . . where are they?
According to John Husing, the well-known economic prognosticator for Riverside and San Bernardino Counties (because he's been the only one following that godforsaken area for the past 30 years), job losses this year are expected to increase by about 70% over 2008.
Lemme say that again: There will be 70% more jobs lost in the Inland Empire in 2009 than were lost in 2008, which itself was a year totally enveloped within a recession.
Mr. Husing counted 48,650 jobs lost in 2008
He says there will be 82,600 more jobs lost in 2009.
Inland Empire Quarterly Economic Report
They aren't making any more real estate these days, but we aren't losing any of it that we already have. Jobs, on the other hand, . . . .
Previous advice from Lenny:
Dykstra: The Pinnacle and the Dream | Nails on the Numbers | Financial Articles & Investing News | TheStreet.com
"Wachovia reported blowout results Monday, including a 32% year-over-year gain in earnings and a 19% increase in revenue to $6.7 billion.
As reported by TheStreet.com, Wachovia revenue growth was fueled by strong performance in its consumer and corporate banking businesses: Service charges rose 11% to $555 million, while banking fees rose 23% to $385 million. In addition, investment banking fees rose 24% to $294 million.
In addition, its CEO said there are no signs of credit deterioration on the horizon, and the company reported an incredibly low level of chargeoffs in its loan portfolio of one-tenth of 1 percent. That's how good these people are.
Despite all that, the stock initially fell in reaction, trading as low as $47.28 intraday before recovering to close up 0.6% at $48.12. As did other traders, I saw that selloff as a gift to buy this great American banking franchise. The opportunity was all the more enticing given Wachovia's stock is trading near its 52-week low, sports a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2, and offers a dividend yield of 4.3%.
As the stock was selling off Monday I bought the January 40 calls for $7.90. Once again, you must use all of your weapons when playing for big dollars, and options give you the opportunity to leverage your bet. I am now in control of 1,000 shares of Wachovia until the third Friday in January for $7,900 -- as opposed to spending over $47,000 to buy the common stock. "
Bruce Norris is heavy in Riverside and San berdu, as I understand it he is buying all he can.
California has a large pool of renters, it appears that some are choosing to buying. Probably mostly FHA and investors, either betting on the governments dime or selling to people betting on the governments dime.
I personally think it will last as long as the rates keep so low and the banks are restricted from bringing inventory on market.