if they're gonna get rid of OTS, might as well close down FFED before they go.

re: Cuomo v. CHA. Never thought I'd see a 5-4 decision with Scalia joined by Stevens, Ginsburg, Breyer, and Souter.

"FirstFed readily admits it made the mistake of dropping its own standards in a misguided attempt to remain competitive '

But they were well intentioned and looking out for the ordinary people. Leave them alone, they're beyond reproach

That was one of my big winners, two rounds of puts. But it was a painful road.

One thing I will say about the management of FirstFed, while the stock was getting dumped, the CEO, I can't remember her name, actually bought shares.

I guess that just means they were genuinely deluded, not much of a defense for a bank.

It'll be interesting to see how much (extra and unecessary) damage is caused by letting this and other large institutions continue to operate, long after they should have been shut down.

Delay tactics can look brilliant in the short run. Let's examine this brilliant strategy in a year or two.

In January, regulators placed the thrift under a cease-and-desist order over concerns that its capital supply was rapidly depleting. Even its auditor expressed doubt about its ability to survive.

Yet the institution is still around ...

Hope springs eternally......

Bank Failure Tuesday? Hoocoodanode.

[ last of the Option ARM lenders (Wachovia, Countrywide, WaMu, IndyMac are all gone]

What about DSL ? Don't they deserve an honorable mention too ?

I have been pointing this out for some time now, and openly wondering why First Federal is still in business.

It would be a shame to see the last Option ARM lender go away, as is there are some valid cases for using that type of loan.
To their credit, they did see the cliff coming and started backpedaling early.
But watching them try to put on the brakes was like watching a Road Runner cartoon - you just know that Wile E. Coyote is going to go off that cliff no matter what he does.

I'm noticing today that the Big Stimulus Impact is really starting now for oil prices and overpriced assets more generally.

ac,

Nice snark. Made me smile.

ac,

Nice snark. Made me smile.

It was funny to me in 2007. Not so much now in 2009. =(

This market is teasing me, bringing down Put option prices to just above my bid price! I demand bargains!

Looked like 4 computers trading with each other all day. Silly low volume. Low VIX, put/call fell below 85% this afternoon.

Speaking of the OTS regulating FED - Who regulates the Fed ?

"FirstFed is a candidate for BFF"

Not this week, I'll bet. FDIC probably did five banks last week so they could justify taking off the weekend of the 4th. That's my reading of the civil service mind.

I'd like to put in a request for a 'retail sales and inventory' type of thread. We haven't surveyed the carnage in that sector for some time.

This market is teasing me, bringing down Put option prices to just above my bid price! I demand bargains!

Being long volatility is starting to look nicer and nicer. Unless you really believe hard times are all behind us.

Bob Dobbs said, "Not this week, I'll bet. FDIC probably did five banks last week so they could justify taking off the weekend of the 4th. That's my reading of the civil service mind. "

You could never be an economist -- too much common sense.

On the other hand, in the spirit of hiding bad news from the public, announcing a big bad bank failure after 5pm on a long holiday weekend would be the way to go...

"But the thrift was also one of the first to pull back. By late 2005 and into 2006, managers made the decision to stop underwriting the riskiest loans and begin requiring proof of income. Within two weeks, their business dropped in half.

“We really cut back,” Heimbuch said. “We took a lot of grief for that. People were saying, ‘Why aren’t you lending? Everyone else is lending. What’s the matter with you?’ ”

In 2007, FirstFed originated just $300 million in single-family loans for its own portfolio – a move management said has helped it survive while its competitors could not.

Still, Giraldin pointed out, just a year of unwise lending has pushed the company to the brink of failure.

“Most of our pain and suffering comes from that ’05 production,” he said."

Gee, they saw the trainwreck coming and jumped ship just before it hit.

I wonder if they have a dead peasant strategy in place for cds?

Offshore fund writes 20x CDS exposure for their bonds- buys up the bonds on the open market- does a gift style refi in return for equity and blows the shorts out of the water.

I imagine this will be the new way to recapitalize- steal the money out of the short sellers' pockets.

Someday this war's gonna end...

The CEO of Corus was buying shares late in the game too. So what?

Since Fri Jul 3rd is a holiday that leaves two possibilities. Corus is a furball that needs three days to unravel or the FDIC is out of money to pay holiday premiums.

Ya know, I further note they have a large proportion of their impaired (underwater) portfolio performing due to mods.

Looks like a success to me!

citibank should be paying attention!!!

Someday this war's gonna end...

"Keep the FED fine, but the trade off is ..."

Talk about talking my book. And a real shill, too.

The crisis IS the lack of regulation.

Bank XYZ is just some trademark with a tarp on it. You whack the main mole and two new mole rats emerge with the letters rearranged. They inbreed by design, all with allegiance to a select few mother-fuckers.

Don't get fooled again by too big to fail: in 3-card calvinball you have "red is the new black, in our significant judgment." No use letting all the banks fail if the bankers keep the Fed system running.

In regard to the last pigged thread, it's presumptuous of CR or anyone else on this board to judge Bernanke now. You don't know enough about what's really going on behind the scenes. I'm betting what you can't see is nasty.

History will judge Bernanke soon enough. In less time than it took to judge Greenspan.

After Greenspan, the rose-colored glasses that traditionally went to a Fed chairman are permanently gone. Everybody knows he has no clothes.

I'm noticing today that the Big Stimulus Impact is really starting now for oil prices and overpriced assets more generally.

Oil was up 3.5% today! As you can imagine, I can hardly wait till the "serious oomph" kicks in.

It's comforting to know that all the debt our gov't is racking up is being put to good use.

1CYogi,

I have no idea what you mean by, "I am still an interested party."

"""" 1 currency now -yogi (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 12:41 pm

Code dollarbudget I cited you this morning, I hope you don't mind.

I am still an interested party and hate to talk my book, even though I worship books.

Comment by 1 currency now -yogi from thread 'Freddie Mac June Investor Presentation'

1 currency now -yogi (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 7:22 am

That's why code Otis and I would say we should excommunicate a certain cabal of players that appear to be colluding. Don't sit at their table. Warn the tourists. Expose their chicanery:

The Institutional Risk Analyst: AIG: Before Credit Default Swaps, There Was Reinsurance 

Then there is always clawback.""""

What I say is would you play poker with the devil knowing he sees your cards?
You can't be conned unless you want to be conned.

FirstFed might be a victim of Greater Fart Theory if we have State Failure Wednesday (SFW).

As someone who was short FirstFed for most of 2007 and 2008, the overriding lesson I learned was the absolute craziness of Wall St analysts on this company. Some of the big analysts had this as a strong buy, feeling FirstFed was well capitalized, that the rate of defaults would slow, etc... There was a huge disconnect between what was published on FirstFed and the sad reality. If you think the last 4 months of stock market mania was crazy ... well, this is FirstFed writ large.

Even though you know your funds are within insured limits, why leave your savings in an institution that is obviously insolvent? If depositors moved their money it would force the FDIC to take action, would it not?

@Basel - I've not had time to read the opinion yet, but yeah, sometimes Scalia isn't quite as radical as his federalist "textualist/orginialist/strict-constructionist" claims and rhetoric come off sounding. Every now and again it has unpleasant policy implications he's not crazy about - see Raich and Wickard, post Lopez and Morrison. Clarence may be a radical whackjob, but he's a bit more consistent.

Aren't you an L3 or something?

1c, If your book is short ICE, watch out.

"Even though you know your funds are within insured limits, why leave your savings in an institution that is obviously insolvent?"

First Federal is still paying 1.9% on money market accounts.

It would be funny to get a look at the subscriber list for "Fraud" magazine, eh? Nice link, codeotis.

That was not my link. it was a yogi quote.

From the last thread:

@CR:

"RockyR, well - since this is what I believe (I agree with Hamilton), I think I should step up and say it. I know others disagree - and that is why I can't stay silent."

Right on, man. Good for you.

Nice to say Marc Faber saying exactly what I've been yelling about for a while now:

Inflation Will Shift Wealth from Workers to Rich People

The devious thing about inflation, if we define it as money and credit growth, is that it touches different asset prices at different times with different intensity. You can have for one year a huge increase in the price of gold and then the next year you could have a huge increase in the price of real estate and the next you could have an increase in silver or agricultural commodities, and the next year in wages or stock prices.

You just don't know exactly which one will do the best. It's a very tricky environment, and it favors large speculators and the people who are close to the government. It shifts wealth from the middle class and workers to rich people, as has happened over the last 25 years.

I wish more people understood this.

Scalia can surprise. Check out Melendez on lab tests.

Kunstler came to my law school and told us how each of the 9 would vote on the flag-burning case he was about to argue, with Scalia the swing for the First Amendment.

9 for 9.

We will create a new "Making Work Pay" tax credit of up to $500 per person, or $1,000 per working ... - Barrack Obama

Making work pay more for oil and other necessities. Serious oomph!

rich (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 1:12 pm

In regard to the last pigged thread, it's presumptuous of CR or anyone else on this board to judge Bernanke now. You don't know enough about what's really going on behind the scenes. I'm betting what you can't see is nasty.

Excuse me. You talkin' ta me? You talkin' ta me? Presumption? Of all the gall. There were just posted references going back 4 plus years expressing concern. Since then the biggest bubble bust of at least the last century. That Bernanke had a hand in getting us to where we are now is more than enough regardless of where we end up.

COMPLETELY OT: But, under what authority do we make these kinds of claims?

Obama says Honduran ouster was 'not legal'
Obama says Honduran ouster was 'not legal'

"It's a very tricky environment"

of course, the opposite is true, which is why the very wealthy had a truly horrible 2008 (much like their 1929). deflation isn't kind to the owners of the world.

the problem with that scenario is that when asset-appreciation wheels turn backwards, it doesn't necessarily help the working man with cash savings - it more often costs him his job. and that's the real crime, not so much the confiscation-through-inflation, but the way average people suffer due to the volatility.

@ac,

The Fed now supports a 2% inflation rate target. Meaning, it only wants to transfer 2% of the middle/lower class wealth to rich people per year. Seems to be a reasonable rate to keep the frogs in the boiling pot, no?

The subscriber list for "fraud" magazine, an advisory newsletter with a $100 million a year per subscription charge, is the same as the BODs of the 15 largest meganational financial CONglomerates.

Otis I have made a large call of what I see as GS's bluff, and I'm prepared to call more.

I also believe consumer action can effect tremendous change. I believe in regulating publicly guaranteed banks like public utilities. But I must disclose the bets I have before telling everyone why I say they're bluffing.

Noise alert:

"Mission Accomplished"
BAGHDAD (Reuters) - U.S. troops pulled out of Baghdad on Monday, triggering jubilation among Iraqis hopeful that foreign military occupation is ending six years after the invasion to depose Saddam Hussein.

Iraqi soldiers paraded through the streets in their American-made vehicles draped with Iraqi flags and flowers, chanting, dancing and calling the pullout a "victory."

the interesting thing about the Cuomo v. CHA is that the court applied Chevron and found the OCC's interpretation to be unreasonable. Usually, the agency only has to get past step 1, for almost anything is "reasonable."

"to keep the frogs in the boiling pot, no?"

the real problem in the past 5 years was a bit like mickey with the dancing mops - the middle class got a taste of wild asset inflation via real estate, and couldn't resist the urge to supplement stagnant wages with it. this is why some feel that capital gains should be confined to their social betters...

FirstFed has modified some 2,000 loans, which constitute $2.8 billion of its option ARM portfolio

Each modified loan then averages out to 1.4 Million. WTF?

Or is it FTM? (Fog the mirror)

That's like 2x the modified FHA jumbo, isn't it?

I still have around $400 with them & I hate 'em. They bought out the bank I used and failed my three requests to forward me a new ATM/Debt card. One would think banks are supposed to do it automatically. I guess they didn't need deposits at that time.
Will a bank like that survive in a long run. : ) Is anyone that lucky?

"Mission Accomplished"

Hmmm... this isn't good. Unavoidable I suppose.

That Bernanke had a hand in getting us to where we are now is more than enough regardless of where we end up.

As they said in Monty Python And The Holy Grail....

Burn him anyway!!!

"That's like 2x the modified FHA jumbo, isn't it? "

par for the course in santa monica, at least the part of it not within 1/4 mile of the 10 freeway.

ICE Trust may become the bad bank when the Ponzi implodes, it has guaranteed, since receiving its NY Fed charter in March, hundreds of billions in CDS.

But we must end too big too fail, they all keep saying.

"this is why some feel that capital gains should be confined to their social betters... "

I don't know about "social" betters, but with the opportunity for capital gains comes the opportunity for capital losses. People that do not understand that probably should not be speculating with other people's money, or their own for that matter.

The fact that the banksters gave J6P access to leverage that most investors only could dream about is pretty amazing. Once Wile E. straps on the rocket belt, it's likely that he will hit something solid at high speed - the only questions are: what, and when?

Hong Kong Banks ‘Killing Themselves’ in Mortgage War (Update1)
By Kelvin Wong

June 29 (Bloomberg) -- Hong Kong high school teacher Chris Poon’s dream of buying his first apartment was dashed in December when banks refused to fund more than 50 percent of the HK$3.5 million ($450,000) purchase.

Poon, 33, tried again in May and got a loan covering 70 percent of the price for the 700-square-foot (65-square-meter) apartment in Hong Kong’s Sai Wan Ho district from BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Ltd. The mortgage rate was 2.25 percent, down from the 3.5 percent that Poon was discussing with lenders last year.

Mortgage rates in the city are the lowest in at least 19 years, as far back as records are available, to offset slower demand for other types of credit during Hong Kong’s worst recession in a decade. Among developed economies, only Japan offers similarly cheap loans, as its central bank has kept interest rates below 1 percent for the past 14 years, said Leland Sun, founder of Pan Asian Mortgage Co.

“Hong Kong banks are killing themselves with the low rates,” said Sun, whose Hong Kong-based firm advises homebuyers.
Hong Kong Banks ‘Killing Themselves’ in Mortgage War (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

from a previous thread:

1st 100 days - There are 2.9 million more people unemployed in May than there were unemployed in January. The unemployment rate went from 7.6% to 9.4%. Since May 2008, we have lost 5.5 million jobs. The biggest losers were: Manufacturing 1.5 million lost Finance & Prof Serv 1.5 million lost Construction 1.1 million lost Retail & Leisure 1.3 million lost

rochtest - to understand this, you need to understand the concept of momentum. These additional losses since Jan. 20 were "baked in the cake" from before, long before. Any implications that they are Obama's "fault" are simply false. It pre-supposes that an economy as large as our's, (the largest in the world), can be turned on a dime, ( and give you nine cents change).


  • in addition, as someone said earlier (my apologies, praha-something?) the stimulus money doesn't kick in , for the most part, until July 1st, due to the nature and timing of state budgets, if I understood that point correctly.

"Oil was up 3.5% today! As you can imagine, I can hardly wait till the "serious oomph" kicks in."

There was a point this morning at which Bloomberg ran a headline crediting rising oil prices and their benefit to oil companies for gains in the equity indices.

Oil getting run up - but natural gas down almost 4% is more of a tell IMNSHO (bottom right on Bloomberg home page):
Bloomberg.com 

Check out the leaders for Selling on Strength, particularly the block trades
Money Flows: Selling on Strength - Markets Data Center - WSJ.com

"His actions over the past two years have been guided by one and only one motive, that being to minimize the harm caused to ordinary people by the financial turmoil."

With the unemployment where it is and the loss of savings/investment assets, he has not succeeded helping the ordinary people. Nor has he and the Summer's gang able to straighten out the crooked ways of the Financial world. So its failure on both counts, in-spite of all good intentions? He is of course very very good printing $ .

and then the next year you could have a huge increase in the price of real estate

inflation pressure is not so random in its effects.

Real estate prices are driven by "affordability", which is a mixture of interest rates, area employment, loan programs (down payment, de-facto income ratios, qualifying on teaser rates, etc). Real estate isn't a commodity product, it is the source and sink of all wealth, the "mother of all monopolies" to quote Churchill from his LP days.

Commodity inflation in the absence of wage growth will put DOWNWARD pressure on rents and real estate, ceteris paribus.

energyecon (homepage, profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 4:43 pm
Hong Kong Banks ‘Killing Themselves’ in Mortgage War (Update1)


energyecon,

Once H1N1 hits in force there won't be much to be made in the mortgage business Wink.

"Otis I have made a large call of what I see as GS's bluff, and I'm prepared to call more."

Good luck shorting GS. As the government's broker, they will always have free money and better info.

Anyone shorting GS in this environment, where the government is completely captured by bankers, is implicitly shorting the US government.

Once H1N1 hits in force there won't be much to be made in the mortgage business .

  • but the mortuary business should be going gangbusters!Wink Go long caskets and headstones.

Here's an Eye Opener ... from Naked Capitalism

Chinese Banks: "An Accident Waiting to Happen"

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is even more dour, thanks to the reading a less than cheery reports from Fitch:
China's banks are veering out of control. The half-reformed economy of the People's Republic cannot absorb the $1,000bn (£600bn) blitz of new lending issued since December.

Chinese Banks: "An Accident Waiting to Happen" « naked capitalism

"ICE Trust may become the bad bank when the Ponzi implodes, it has guaranteed, since receiving its NY Fed charter in March, hundreds of billions in CDS."

ICE is a central clearing house, sponsored by the usual Gov-O-Banker suspects, that backs settlement of derivatives trades, including CDS. They operate an exchange. I am not aware of them actually backing any CDS.

I thought we were all supposed to die of SARS, or was it AIDS?
Fear 24/7/365.

Fear 24/7/365.

  • the new growth industry.
Clinton stopped short of saying the Obama administration would demand the return to power of the deposed president, who was forcibly removed from the country on Sunday morning by the Honduran military.

What did I tell ya? The goal is to prevent creeping socialism in Honduras as a back door to Mexico.

Next move, Chavez. And it will involve troops or planes.

Chavez hasn't forgotten how the U.S. helped to steal a Presidential election from the Socialists in Mexico.

Fear 24/7/365.

Diversion from the real issues ...

The Looting of America by Banksters, the MIC and Health Care Inc ...

With the help of their many friends on Capitol Hill and in the White House ...

"Fear 24/7/365.
- the new growth industry"

Nothing new about it -- goes back to the beginning. But thanks to modern media, any 12 year old can now tell you 12-14 ways the world -- or a large part of it -- can end. Kind of distorts the discussion.

Rich,

CARACAS (Reuters) - Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez on Sunday put troops on alert after a coup in Honduras and said he would respond militarily if his envoy to the Central American country was kidnapped or killed.
Chavez said on state television if his ambassador to Venezuela was killed, or if troops entered the Venezuelan Embassy, "that military junta would be entering a de facto state of war. We would have to act militarily ... I have put the armed forces of Venezuela on alert."

"Chinese Banks: "An Accident Waiting to Happen""

So, the Great Panic all over again? The world economy brought down by a new economic giant that doesn't know how to handle its new leadership role?

GM to pull out of joint venture with Toyota at California plant
General Motors says it and Toyota can't agree on what vehicle to build at the NUMMI plant in Fremont. The move jeopardizes the future of the last vehicle assembly plant in California.
By Ken Bensinger
1:12 PM PDT, June 29, 2009

The plant, New United Motor Manufacturing Inc., or NUMMI, is based in Fremont and has been run as a joint venture with Toyota since 1984. Currently, Toyota makes the Corolla compact sedan and the Tacoma pickup at the Fremont plant, and GM makes the Pontiac Vibe hatchback.

NUMMI has 5,400 employees, the great majority of whom are United Auto Workers members. That singles it out as the only facility among all Toyota's plants in the U.S. and Canada as the only unionized facility, making it the most expensive plant to operate in North America.

GM to pull out of joint venture with Toyota at California plant - Los Angeles Times

"His actions over the past two years have been guided by one and only one motive, that being to minimize the harm caused to ordinary people by the financial turmoil."

I do agree with Rob and debtfree. That has to be one of the worst sentences CR ever agreed to. It's like an ad or something.

SYDNEY (Reuters) Mon Jun 29, 2009 5:57am EDT
Scientists kill cancer cells with "trojan horse"

"However," Prof. Odysseus cautions, "the tough part is getting that darn contraption inside a cell."

Ok, folks:

  1. The foreclosure judge in Palm Beach County has, right now 40,000 cases.
    More to come.!
  2. There is another foreclosure judge, don't know how many she has.

3 Crist's big increase in filing fees is going to the court system, the judge said, but
she and all the other judges got a 2% pay cut. No court employees did. Of course
some of them got laid off, and no judges got laid off.

The one judge has summary judgments 3 days a week; the other one, 2 days per
week.

hummm, 150 days, 40k foreclosures, roughly 267 per day. And that's if
no other foreclosure filings happen.

It can't be done.

Do all you deficiency judgt freaks see why there aren't gonna be any deficiencies?

"I thought we were all supposed to die of SARS, or was it AIDS?"

swine flu, bird flu, swine/bird flu, west nile, hantavirus, flesh eating bacteria, smallpox, anthrax, mad cow...

I know I am missing some and yet, we survived all these.

"That singles it out as the only facility among all Toyota's plants in the U.S. and Canada as the only unionized facility, making it the most expensive plant to operate in North America."

Reads like the LA Times has fired its copy editors. I expect that from the local medianews rag, but c'mon guys.

Whatever Bomber Ben's motivations; the guy has screwed up royally.
Or not, depending on where one sits; financially.

Thanks for rounding out the list of DeathDoom, CodeMan?

Bob Dodds ( any relation to Fred C.?) - of course, you're correct. I should have said, "The only growth industry" Wink

"hummm, 150 days, 40k foreclosures, roughly 267 per day. And that's if
no other foreclosure filings happen. It can't be done.

Do all you deficiency judgt freaks see why there aren't gonna be any deficiencies? "

After the Great Fire of London back in 1666, special Fire Courts were created to speed rebuilding; usually the building owner didn't own the land, and there were endless legal arguments over whom was responsible for what. It was decided that the most important thing was for the city to be rebuilt, so special courts with streamlined procedures were instituted to get the suits settled and rebuilding under weigh ASAP.

If there were the will, something like this could be done in this case. But there isn't, apparently.

Bob - pretty sure the monarchy had something to do with it. No need to build consensus when there's an executioner on standby.

No money, court funding was actually cut.

I think they used cheaper appointed masters after the Fla land boom of '26 and during
GDI.

Judge said that 4 month service of process thing discussed before doesn't apply to Palm
Beach County. Maybe. . .

econ- ug99
Wheat/ Barley Stem Rust?

Don't forget these guys. They will definitely be the last one standing.

https://www.gmacrescap.com/newsarchive/REL-06-15a-2005.asp

--- - .. ... .... . .-. - --.. (homepage, profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 5:11 pm
"I thought we were all supposed to die of SARS, or was it AIDS?"
swine flu, bird flu, swine/bird flu, west nile, hantavirus, flesh eating bacteria, smallpox, anthrax, mad cow...
I know I am missing some and yet, we survived all these.



Sorry Otis, we're all going to die from acetaminophen poisoning:

Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble and other makers of acetaminophen products said on Monday cough and cold medicines containing the pain reliever should remain on the market despite concerns from U.S. health regulators.

It's now impossible to turn back the clock and have a fair election in Honduras, just as it is in Iran.

In Honduras, the big-business and pro-capitalist (e.g., U.S.) forces will get their man, just as the mullahs did in Iran.

You see, it's not really about democracy at all.

it's about which side of democracy you're on.

There's one fly in the U.S. ointment, and it's the relatively central and moderate South American states that don't like the precedent of successful military coups in this era. There hasn't been one in this hemisphere in more than a decade.

There's no doubt both the CIA and U.S. military are active in Honduras and saw things hitting a snapping point, so they blessed a coup. But Honduras is literally surrounded on all sides (except north) by socialist states. Venezuela can rightfully say that Honduras is in its sphere of influence, as much as the U.S. can. Dueling Monroe doctrines.

liz, Too many foreclosures for judges to consider individually?

Reality is piling up. Something is gonna blow.

They will get lumped into batches, which is one step closer to statewide action and then national action.

Oh, and I'm sure it's worser in Miami-Dade, it's just that it's spread out to all the
civil judges except probate and family lae.

An extra 4-5k cases per judge, plus all their car accidents and other stuff.

As I said, it can't be done.

This is the fear-o-matic top of the line flu story:

Will two flus mix in Indonesia? Experts worry
Mon Jun 29, 2009 4:14pm EDT Email | Print | Share| Reprints | Single Page[-] Text [+]
* H5N1 circulates freely in Indonesia

  • Flu viruses cause more deaths in poorer countries

By Olivia Rondonuwu

JAKARTA (Reuters) - Indonesia's first cases of the new H1N1 flu have raised concerns that if the virus spreads it could combine with the entrenched and deadly H5N1 avian influenza to create a more lethal strain of flu.

Even if this worst-case scenario did not occur, experts say populous, developing countries such as Indonesia, India or Egypt, where healthcare systems can be rudimentary, will suffer more deaths from the new virus.

Indonesian Health Minister Siti Fadillah Supari, who confirmed six new H1N1 cases on Sunday, said she was concerned about H1N1, widely known as swine flu, "marrying" with H5N1 avian flu.

Influenza viruses not only mutate quickly and unpredictably, but they can swap genes, especially if a person or animal becomes infected with two strains at once. The new H1N1 strain is itself a mixture of various strains, genetic tests show.

H5N1 bird flu has been circulating in Asia for years and has hit Indonesia harder than any other country. Although it only rarely infects people, it has killed 262 out of 433 infected globally since 2003, with 141 of those cases in Indonesia.

"We are scared because we are the warehouse of the world's most virulent H5N1," Supari said.

"I am worried if the viruses encounter each other in the field," C.A. Nidom, the head of the Avian Influenza lab at Airlangga University in Surabaya, said.

The World Health Organization declared a pandemic of H1N1 swine flu earlier this month and said the virus causes a moderately severe flu, spreading very easily from person to person. H5N1 spreads mostly from a bird to a person and stops there, but is far deadlier.

The mortality rate for H1N1 is 0.2 percent, according to a study in the New England Journal of Medicine, while for H5N1 it is just over 60 percent.
Will two flus mix in Indonesia? Experts worry
| Reuters

Continuing what energycon's article said:

The decline in Hong Kong mortgage rates has spurred a recovery in the housing market, with home sales rising 42 percent by volume in May, the biggest increase since February 2008 , data compiled by the government’s Land Registry show.

Prices for so-called mass-market homes, or those smaller than 1,000 square feet, increased about 10.5 percent in the two months through May 31, after falling almost 25 percent during the second half of 2008, according to Hong Kong-based Centaline Property Agency Ltd.

Falling money market rates have underpinned the mortgage price battle. The three-month Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate fell as low as 0.33 percent on May 21, the lowest since January 2005, as the city’s central bank cut borrowing costs sold the local currency to keep it from appreciating against the dollar, boosting the supply of money in the banking system.

At 0.36 percent, the Hibor is 84 basis points lower than the equivalent London Interbank Offered Rate. The spread was 60 points on April 22, just before the Hibor began to plunge.

“Last year the banks sounded like they didn’t really want to lend me any money,” said Poon, whose mortgage plan from BOC Hong Kong was 2.75 percent below the bank’s prime rate. “This time it felt like they’ve got a price war going. Every bank I went to tried to tell me they could offer better deals than the others.”


$450,000 for a 700 sq ft place; and now they're increasing by 10.5 percent in 2 months.

This jives with other anecdotal evidence I'm hearing from my Asian contacts.

Now that's refreshing info!

This is one way to balance USA's massively overpriced housing -- by forcing excessive savings to shift to other countries, so that every country ends up having a bigger, more overpriced housing bubble than USA.

When the rest of the world bubbles up, USA houses will be cheap in comparison and we can start the whole party again.

Before you guys continue to complain about US govt/Fed's recklessness and moral decay, etc -- see this news clearly. This is in Asia.

I've said it before and I will say it again, The root of all credit-oriented excesses starts with a simple peg, which creates excess savings, and excessive and wrong investment / inflation in the wrong industries.

The need for the Pontiac Vibe is on the way out anyway. Pontiac going away and the Obama can car coming, it is kind of obvious. The real laugh is Tata Motors Nano car is slated to come to America. How will the Obama can car compete? UAW going to work for peanuts?

I think Code Otis, that any such attempts would be regarded as a lack
of due process. And how would you lump them? Different Plaintiffs, remember,
at least dozens, and maybe hundreds.

NUMMI closing ?

Just what Cali needs ... more layoffs ...

rich - the only thing we want to know here is, how can we make a buck off this? Any ideas?

Acetaminophen,

Helps with headaches and PMS, destroys your liver.

HomeGnome,

Nice handle BTW - yes, it is black stem rust first seen in Uganda in 1999 - it has been slowly working its way towards the Eurasian breadbasket, where it is knocking on the door...it has been found in Iran, current drought conditions have slowed the spread.

Only real solution is breeding up a resistant strain(s ) of wheat and distributing the seed. Bad news is, takes a good five years, good news is, they have already started (google Borlaug and ug99). It's a race when cereal stocks globally are at very low levels...

OT : from the Ben Bernanke school of delusional economics - Our motto : We see what we want to see.

(This on the Florida economy, etc.)

Report: Sunbelt states may outpace recovery - Tampa Bay Business Journal:

How will the Obama can car compete?

  • different demographic markets?

even in med school, they tell you Acetominaphen is basically poison. very easy to overdose. And it takes about three days before your liver is toast. And of course, the acetomenophen doesnt tell you on the label that you should NEVER mix it with aspiring. Glod knows how many people find this out the hard way.

Evil product.

My son in Tampa sez it's dead.

Perhaps he shouldn't believe his lying eyes.

Florida is like a nice piece of rye bread, that was left in the toaster oven for 30 minute by a stoner.

Florida is a penal colony. Every house an island media bunker where the only escape is in a four wheeled jail cell to a segregated shopping experience controlled by corporate colonists.

Boy howdy I had thought I lost my chance to comment on that last thread.
<Insert pithy comment equating Bernanke to Hermann Goering or other figure working for evil bureaucracy; Pot Pol; Stalin; Jefferson Davis; King George III; Genghis Khan>.

I think any attacks on Bernanke are attacks on the current banker-politician-corporation axis of greevil in America. He's just the poor fellow who gets to go infront of the cameras and get shot; maybe one can argue the fact that he is a little shaky implies in his body language that he knows there's something unkempt about him and his brethren and their ilk, and the like. As another poster pointed out and I'll extend; think if Summers was in the position; would be happy?

Of course the problem is it seems our country is in a similar state to Michael Jackson (according to some of the alleged autopsy reports I've read). Emaciated, full of pulls; nanny had to pump his stomach; bald wearing a wig... makes me envision some modern day Darth Vader, he's probably near as controversial as Jacko. Just hope the rest of the world doesn't pile on like many I've heard regarding the King of Pop (is this only an American phenomena?) when our day in the sun is over.

Speaking of layoffs. Went in to a local car rental to pick up my business rental for yet another trip away from the family (howcanIbitchabouthavingwork?). Heard the owner talking to employee... "we only have 2 rental's for tomorrow... I'm starting to cut back...". That doesn't sound good... he also mentioned corporate breathing down their neck a number of times before. It seems like all the people under 30 I've talked to are aware the economy sucks; shitty jobs; going back to school... don't know what it means that our elders think otherwise (or so we are led to believe if w listen to politico's, or GE-funded-pump-monkey-talkers).

barfly (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 5:23 pm
rrich - the only thing we want to know here is, how can we make a buck off this? Any ideas?
.--- - .. ... .... . .-. - --.. (homepage, profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 5:24 pm replyIgnore userAcetaminophen,
Helps with headaches and PMS, destroys your liver.


I was going to suggest trafficking in human livers, but then I realized you're talking about Honduras ....

"What I say is would you play poker with the devil knowing he sees your cards?"

I play poker for fun. With the devil I would only play chess or backgammon . The dice may be loaded, and he may put some new pieces on the chessboard and tell me where to go. Even if I win he may pay me with funny money. I can't control it. Trading paper adds so little value to the world. I'm not buying a growth stock unless it really might cure cancer or put the cost of renewable energy into a deflationary spiral.

The logic of creative destruction works particularly well for Ponzi finance. Don't worry about me, I've never bought a lotto ticket, pulled a slot machine, or played craps in my life. I calculate risk. Numbers don't lie, but economic forecasting is art not science. Politics has always been intertwined with economics and always will be. You try to factor it.

"Dueling Monroe doctrines. "

Monroe's second term was at the same time as Bolivar's service as President of Gran Colombia.

Nothing quite like the smug, self-satisfied superiority of a self-made man.

samdog, Honduran livers!

"Bob - pretty sure the monarchy had something to do with it. No need to build consensus when there's an executioner on standby. "

Yeah, didn't say so because I didn't remember the details. But it was more of moral authority thing in a responsibility vacuum. The fire got out of control because the lord mayor of London feared he would be personally liable if he tore down any of the surrounding houses as a firebreak; he was just a businessman,being mayor was like being head of the Chamber of Commerce. So he went home and let the free market take care of itself.

The royals gained a lot of standing when the king at the time (can't remember which) dispatched his courtiers and a brother or two to take personal command of the firefighting.

When the only alternative to royalty is a spineles bunch of merchants who disavow any responsibility to anything, royalty's going to win every time. When spineless irresponsible merchants control your society... expect fire. Possibly a monarchy after. Certainly a populist.

"- different demographic markets?"

Americans don't want can cars, especially at 3-4 times the price.

1currencyyogi:
I don't know why you complain about this 1 world currency. With online brokerages everyone can choose to store their wealth in their own "basket of currency" through the use of ETFs, futures, or other types of "financial instruments". Can you explain further? This is also why I don't see a very quick collapse of the dollar; as long as someone is buying our short-term Ts the dollar should be safe; no? It's that time when we have to roll over a large amount of T-bonds that we will take the hit... no? Isn't the use of the dollar as currency already "priced in"? Or do you simply object to currency manipulation or something? I'm confused...

Honduras ?

USAID at work ... millions were spent in Venezuela and Bolivia to overthrow regimes there ...

And then we wonder why they don't like us ...

Bad stuff still coming in Florida.

But the state govt is not about to implode like Cali.
Maybe if it stays really bad for the next 2-3 years.

No steps to defer or fix implosion again today?

Ben Dover, just wait 'till the Tata's hit the racing circuit.

"I am not aware of them actually backing any CDS. "

Otis ICE trust is a too big to fail bank, the latest. A clearinghouse, like a stock exchange, makes good on your deal even when the counterparty implodes. When the clearinghouse implodes, either you cover it with a tarp or all bets are off.

"No steps to defer or fix implosion again today? "

Nope, the pols seem to be just sitting in Sacramento watching the fuse burn down.
Occasional squawking noises are heard, but It is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

What killed me was saying the consumer economy in FL will recover. Ridiculous. Granted the no state income tax thing has helped a bit, but the property tax problem looms Id think. Have people there been able to get reassessments? Seems from this its wacky there!

Florida's Property Taxes Go Wacky in Housing Slump - TIME

"Just weeks after President Obama signed into law new rules clamping down on runaway credit card fees, banks are accelerating their push for plastic profits by making an end run around the restrictions -- that is, jacking up fees related to debit cards."

BANKS AVOID NEW CREDIT CARD REGULATIONS BY INCREASING DEBIT CARD FEES - NYPOST.com

Meanwhile, back at the ranch...

Judge Orders All State Senators to Attend Session

An Albany State Supreme Court judge ruled today that all 62 New York State senators must attend a session together tomorrow in the Senate chamber in an attempt by the governor to end the political stalemate which has crippled Albany for the past three weeks.

However, the ruling does not say that anything needs to be accomplished in the session.
http://www.ny1.com/content/top_stories/101498/judge-orders-all-state-senators-to-attend-session/Default.aspx

GDD9000 (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 5:26 pm replyIgnore usereven in med school, they tell you Acetominaphen is basically poison. very easy to overdose. And it takes about three days before your liver is toast. And of course, the acetomenophen doesnt tell you on the label that you should NEVER mix it with aspiring. Glod knows how many people find this out the hard way.

Evil product.


Amen!

Brother (sister?) GDD9000!

I've been trying to tell this to people--quite literally, for decades. If this product were developed today, it would never be approved for human use.

What is your guess on the current estimated cost of TARP? The CBO knows!

Would you believe $159 billion?

Here's a NPR story on the latest CBO estimate

(Most of the cost is auto industry bailouts, they say.)

Cali is toast ...

Everybody is going to allow the chips to fall where they may ...

Many chips will roll off the table ...

i hear ya ...Im really surprised it is still on the market. Well, wait, Im not really surprised. (brother gdd9000)

Yeah, acetaminophen goes from therapeutic to overdose real fast, but there's nothing wrong with mixing it with Aspirin. Excedrin is aspirin, acetaminophen, and caffeine in one pill. Works pretty good for headaches if you don't mind the caffeine.

"What is your guess on the current estimated cost of TARP? The CBO knows!"

I thought the taxpayer was going to make money on TARP. That is what I was told, anyway.

Here's an update on the nothingburger happening in Sacramento, for the morbidly curious:

Governator vows veto, demands an end to the 'kabuki'

brendan - thx. Its something else I was thinking of , not aspirin. I wasnt IN med school, just going through with a GF who was. Lucky i didnt have patients. haha.

"Everybody is going to allow the chips to fall where they may ..."

Yeah, a case of millenial, end-of-the-world thinking. "We'll let the world end... then everybody will see that I was RIGHT ALL ALONG. And boy will they be sorry, and they'll rebuild MY way...."

Unfortunately, ending the world hurts a lot of people. And has a lot of unintended side effects. And hardly ever turns out the way you want. But when you're a true believer, you don't care about any of that.

barfly (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 5:35 pm replyIgnore userNothing quite like the smug, self-satisfied superiority of a self-made man.

samdog, Honduran livers!

___

Sorry, barfly--already a major export, right behind bananas.

I really think CA is holding out for a govt handout. Too bad it aint coming (yet)

"I thought the taxpayer was going to make money on TARP. That is what I was told, anyway. "

~~~

exigent circumstances ...

IOW s

bald face lies that are already forgotten by the public ...

thanks to a compliant MSM propaganda machine ...

ANNNNND...... I'm out.

Closing finished around 3pm today.

Yay for selling a leveraged depreciating asset during a deflationary depression!!!

The hoocoodanode crowd saw through that BS on day 1. And since day 1, the news has just gone from fantasy, to trickle down reality, as the losses accumulate, and any imaginary profits we'd make evaporated like an oasis in the desert. (were never there)

Which gets (once again) at the issue of BB integrity. Did he really believe this, or just say it? Again, incompetence or lacking integrity? funny how we keep coming back to that.

"Unfortunately, ending the world hurts a lot of people. And has a lot of unintended side effects. But when you're a true believer, you don't care about any of that."

Pretty much everything that is politically possible has been tried. It's not just the true believers who are about to throw up their hands.

Sorry, barfly--already a major export, right behind bananas.

Damn! Always a day late, and a dollar short.

Bob Dobbs

Problem is the whole United States needs restructuring ...

Finance, tax law, health care, military, industrial policy, ag policy ....

All are broken with entrenched special interests blocking any reform ...

Cali gets bailed out to much Union and political fall out. Obama can't risk loosing the votes.

"...were never there..."


wherever there is

I read that Time article and it is about what you'd expect.

There are some accuracies.

Taxes are due on Jan 1 of a given year. . .but nobody knows what they are
until about late October of that given year. So property is assessed as of
January which is nice if it's going up, but not so nice if it's going down.

The county will reduce on its own occasionally, a lawyer with a place in
Aventura, a nice area, said his assessment was reduced by 100k.

When I went to the tax hearing, it was clear that the hearing officer wasn't
gonna reduce anybody's assessment unless you kicked him in the kneecaps--or had
feethy pictures.

The millage thing is no biggie for the homesteaded, and causes the pain
to be shared by commercial and rental property.

Taxes will continue to go up 3% a year on the homesteaded because many
of the homesteaded--including me--have an house value for tax purposes at maybe
50% less than it "should" be, even including the tremendous drop in
values.

Yep, houses are wildly different in taxes for that reason.

Foreclosured properties should pay too much for just the present year. Then
the county should reduce them, or the new owners should appeal.

Is it too late for Cali to be declared a bank holding company, thus eligible for an unlimited backdoor handout via the Treasury-Fed-Goldman Sachs extra-constitutional money-laundering disbursement mechanism?

JAKARTA (Reuters) - Indonesia's first cases of the new H1N1 flu have raised concerns that if the virus spreads it could combine with the entrenched and deadly H5N1 avian influenza to create a more lethal strain of flu.

Tamiflu resistance?:

Yahoo! 404 - Page Not Found

Lobbyist Ben Dover

Cali gets bailed out to much Union and political fall out. Obama can't risk loosing the votes.

~~~~

It will have to be a back door bailout like cash for cops ...

Obama won't bail out Cali in full view ...

Is it too late for Cali to be declared a bank holding company, thus eligible for an unlimited backdoor handout via the Treasury-Fed-Goldman Sachs extra-constitutional money-laundering disbursement mechanisn?

  • with no strings attached? I doubt it.

GDD9000, I think you're referring to anti-cholesterol drugs. Acetaminophen + anti-cholesterol drugs = damaged liver.

California will take it in the back door. Sounds about right.

I sent a well-informed friend the article on Tamiflu resistance, linked above. Her reply:

"Well.....that's bad news. Thanks for the article. "

If I wanted to be morbid I would advise investors here to think about being bullish in ventilators, body bags and ice making machines.

Cali is done ... kaput ...

Like watching a car go over a cliff ...

Just a question of how many times it rolls and how many bounces it takes ...

Seems like you succeeded in being morbid, without really trying.

reposted for lliz:

Ug99 - it is black stem rust first seen in Uganda in 1999 - it has been slowly working its way towards the Eurasian breadbasket, where it is knocking on the door...it has been found in Iran, current drought conditions have slowed the spread.

Only real solution is breeding up a resistant strain(s ) of wheat and distributing the seed. Bad news is, takes a good five years, good news is, they have already started (google Borlaug and ug99). It's a race when cereal stocks globally are at very low levels...

barfly (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 6:01 pm
"Is it too late for Cali to be declared a bank holding company"

  • with no strings attached? I doubt it.

__

No, of course they'll restrict excutive pay severely---

(this could put a big hurting on Arnold's $1 per year salary ...)

If I wanted to be morbid I would advise investors here to think about being bullish in ventilators, body bags and ice making machines.

  • now yer talkin', pavel- Wink

Acetaminophen,

Helps with headaches and PMS, destroys your liver.

Resulting liver 'damage' is manageable for most UNLESS we have too many 5 Star BFF's like last week... Beer

Who makes body bags?? Nevermind, they are prolly made in China.

Must go eat something.

Want to fix California? Easy, transfer all assets and liabilities of extant State and municipal retirement agreements to the PBGC and use their rules.

Patrick signs state budget
By Matt Viser
Globe Staff

Governor Deval Patrick today signed a budget for next year that cuts aid to cities and towns, pares back programs throughout state government, and imposes $1 billion in additional taxes on Massachusetts residents, shoppers, and visitors.

In signing the $27 billion budget, which is $400 million less than the proposal approved this month by House and Senate lawmakers, Patrick issued vetoes that cut funding in a number of areas. The budget takes effect Wednesday, the first day of the next fiscal year.

“This is without question an austere – and in some respects, painful – budget,” Patrick told reporters. “It contains many unavoidable spending cuts, and many of them will have a painful impact.”

He said the budget “reflects the stark economic realities of the time.”
Patrick signs state budget - Local News Updates - The Boston Globe

Time to plant some buckwheat.

It may turn out that our most disastrous mistake was not lack of banking and finance oversight, but neglect of the public health system. It seems to be an ingrained instinct of human beings not to worry about the future if the future isn't worrying us, and to count on something turning up to save us. I think it's in the program.

Thanks, energy, I think.

By the way the archaic grain of kamut is much more tasty than wheat, the whole
grain version doesn't have a strong taste, and it is more digestible. Spelt is pretty
good too, but kamut is better.

Hmmm, chinese buffet?

Oh, and there was a tractor trailer accident on the other side of I-95, so I got to
get a good look at the stopped traffic and there were a LOT of trucks heading
north.

i think it is warfarin....or some blood thinner that rhymes with asparin. hahaha. Well, funny until you screw up and mix them.

It's a race when cereal stocks globally are at very low levels...

Man cannot live by bread alone.

Oh no, man ...

Who rattled the other do[aw]g's cage with union talk?

rich (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 2:19 pm

It's now impossible to turn back the clock and have a fair election in Honduras, just as it is in Iran.

There's one fly in the U.S. ointment, and it's the relatively central and moderate South American states that don't like the precedent of successful military coups in this era. There hasn't been one in this hemisphere in more than a decade.

There's no doubt both the CIA and U.S. military are active in Honduras and saw things hitting a snapping point, so they blessed a coup. But Honduras is literally surrounded on all sides (except north) by socialist states. Venezuela can rightfully say that Honduras is in its sphere of influence, as much as the U.S. can. Dueling Monroe doctrines.

So let me get this right: The executive branch decided to go forward with an act that the Judicial branch and legislative branch(and a majority of his own party) declared illegal and the military backed the rule of law and somehow that's a bad thing.

Gee, if only the Vermarcht had a pair like that back when.

@lawyerliz,

Re the Fla foreclosure backlog, how do you see that being resolved? And how do you think that compares to levels in other bubble states?

Edit: there was an earlier link to Yahoo showing the huge backlog in lender processing. It looks like the there are multiple bottlenecks in the system.

Only real solution is breeding up a resistant strain(s ) of wheat and distributing the seed. Bad news is, takes a good five years, good news is, they have already started (google Borlaug and ug99). It's a race when cereal stocks globally are at very low levels...

Getting harder and harder to do as the genome pool gets narrower & narrower... recomb technology works fast but if the pool is narrow it's like a really fast card shuffling machine with only one hand's worth of cards. Reshuffling the same cards over and over. That analogy was offered up to me by a friend who owns a boutique seed corn company. Its a real threat and NOBODY is talking about it. One of these decades a real humdinger [if not ug99] is going to nail a major food source and we will have a 'potato famine' on a global scale... kill 2-3 billion people or something like that.

Or let them eat soylentgreenshoots.

"Man cannot live by bread alone."

The preacher told the congregation: Jim isn't dead, he's gone to a higher reward.

A voice called out from the back of the church:

I got a hundred dollars says he's dead.

"He said the budget “reflects the stark economic realities of the time.”"

It's a good thing our gangsters are still getting their state checks

Blue Mass. Group:: SJC decides Billy Bulger pension case

Short term, I don't see it being resolved.

The funding of the Courts would have to go up drastically, and
it's not gonna happen.

mmckinl (profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 6:05 pm
Cali is done ... kaput ...
Like watching a car go over a cliff ...
Just a question of how many times it rolls and how many bounces it takes ...

__

don't forget the obligatory explasion ...

(since we're talking about the land of Hollywood fantasies ....)

It looks like the there are multiple bottlenecks in the system.

Hoocouldanode? I love that phrase.

So that means the foreclosures are dragged out for years -- or don't ever get done? And loan mods are dragged out for years -- or don't ever get done?

"Its a real threat and NOBODY is talking about it."


Buy heritage seeds, share with your neighbors. Be ready. It's real.

Sure he can - it is living without bread that is manifestly impossible...

dryfly (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 3:14 pm

Only real solution is breeding up a resistant strain(s ) of wheat and distributing the seed. Bad news is, takes a good five years, good news is, they have already started (google Borlaug and ug99). It's a race when cereal stocks globally are at very low levels...
Getting harder and harder to do as the genome pool gets narrower & narrower...

Slight modification. The genetic diversity of the grain pool is getting narrower only in practice. This is because of some truly insane patent policies. The variety and characteristics of available plants is extremely diverse but because there isn't a patentable provenace with which to extort a profit they aren't released.

wheat is a latecomer to the human diet, plenty of alternatives available if you're prepared

energyecon -

OT, but thought you'd be interested in this quote from Dave Rosenberg's research piece this morning:

Companies may well be tapping debt markets (to raise cash, not capex) and often with the help of government guarantees (like Citibank’s $5 billion two-year deal), but other forms of credit are still shrinking (especially in the asset-backed segment of the market). The U.S. commercial paper market, as an example, contracted $27.7 billion last week and now stands at $1.155 trillion, the lowest since the data began in 2001 and half the $2.2 trillion peak at the height of the credit bubble in July 2007.

Yep - monoculture - we are all sitting on a table with only one leg...

Imagine the social justice screams when country club memberships become food coop shares as golf courses are planted in crops.

"wheat is a latecomer to the human diet, plenty of alternatives available if you're prepared"

Prepared? Us?

Well, it usta be about 6-7 months and virtually no foreclosures were contested.

Now it's up to about a year, and there are lots contested. A couple of mine that
are contested are up to about 2 years since payment stopped.

So, yeah, if funding isn't increased, I can easily see that it would take 2-3-even 4 years to get one done. If we just stopped the bank zombiefication, there would be a lot of pressure for
short sales, short re-fis, short mods. My impression is that a mod takes 3-6 months, if it's
gonna happen. There appears to be a lot of variation here.

An atty bud of my told me that it is now taking the sheriff 6 weeks to get out there
to evict someone. Normally 1-2 weeks, with an extra week at Christmas. So
if you must evict a stubborn former owner, add another 6 weeks.

"Tiger's in the rough and well he may be thankful it's May and not July, the corn where his ball lies is not nearly as tall as it will be later in the season. He's lucky it landed in between rows and not behind a stalk of growing corn. Otherwise he'd have to chip out to the fairway and hope for a better day. Although, the beans on the second hole are doing much better than expected."

Something like this?

Thanks MLM - yes, nice to see that has been on his radar screen - and note if you look at the updated outstandings, the commercial paper market contracted by another $47.5 billion the following (last) week.
Commercial Paper Outstanding

Imagine the social justice screams when country club memberships become food coop shares as golf courses are planted in crops.

  • The irrigation systems are already in place. What could be more natural?

Slight modification. The genetic diversity of the grain pool is getting narrower only in practice. This is because of some truly insane patent policies. The variety and characteristics of available plants is extremely diverse but because there isn't a patentable provenace with which to extort a profit they aren't released.

Actually according to my buddy a lot of the gene pool is getting lost - completely and forever. They used to go into the 'bush' and hunt out primitive relatives of the crops they were breeding, corn mostly... say go down into Mexico & find 'native' varieties that were centuries old and sift through them for genetic variation missing in commercial gene pools... but those farmers are now planting narrow 'Monsanto' lines too [real or bootlegged]. He says the diversity really is drying up and he works in the biz. I've known the guy for 25 years and he isn't the type to go all hyperbole on something like this. My guess is it is really happening.

And so much fertilizer has been dumped on the grass, they'd prolly not
have to fertilize for a year or 2.

yogi says, "A clearinghouse, like a stock exchange, makes good on your deal even when the counterparty implodes. "

A clearinghouse makes good on the TRADE, not the various multitudes of instruments traded on its exchange. I don't see where they get hurt by fluctuating values, whatever the cause and I don't get your bad bank analogy.

like dryfly said, if this thing gets rolling soon in the world's breadbasket countries, the die off will be in the millions - though I think the conlficts that would engender will do more damage...

On that Malthusian note, I think I go eat something.

Doesn't look good to let a bank with "fed" in its name to go down.

Chinese Banks: "An Accident Waiting to Happen"

China needs more regulation and government intervention to stop the government from pouring endless amounts of market into the Chinese real estate market.

Sure he can - it is living without bread that is manifestly impossible...

I took a history class once & the prof said 'bread' was the one critical ingredient that made the industrial revolution possible. Long story how that happened but in effect it was the 'cornerstone' making skill specialization & subsequent 'economy of scale' possible. Take it a way and we have a planet full of 6 billion hunter gathers without enough to hunt or gather.

dryfly (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 3:27 pm

Slight modification. The genetic diversity of the grain pool is getting narrower only in practice. This is because of some truly insane patent policies. The variety and characteristics of available plants is extremely diverse but because there isn't a patentable provenace with which to extort a profit they aren't released.
Actually according to my buddy a lot of the gene pool is getting lost - completely and forever. They used to go into the 'bush' and hunt out primitive relatives of the crops they were breeding, corn mostly... say go down into Mexico & find 'native' varieties that were centuries old and sift through them for genetic variation missing in commercial gene pools... but those farmers are now planting narrow 'Monsanto' lines too [real or bootlegged]. He says the diversity really is drying up and he works in the biz. I've known the guy for 25 years and he isn't the type to go all hyperbole on something like this. My guess is it is really happening.,/i>

We aren't in conflict. What you say is true about high yielding/specialized crops becoming the dominate farmed varieties. At the same time every Ag interest on the planet is establishing lab and experimental and reference samples of every strain they can pick out of the pants cuffs of Shackelton's buried crew.

Rob Dawg (homepage, profile) wrote on Mon, 6/29/2009 - 6:20 pm
Slight modification. The genetic diversity of the grain pool is getting narrower only in practice.


Which only makes me think how it's a little too late to scream about 'genetic engineering, since we've already been at it for
10,00 years, give or take ....

Big difference, Samdog, between breeding crops and moving genes between different species...

"1. The foreclosure judge in Palm Beach County has, right now 40,000 cases.
More to come.!"

New York City still has significant rent control. Nonetheless, there are usually about 400,000 housing court petitions (not actions) filed every year, since the 60's, mostly eviction attempts, with expedited procedure as time is money. They are mainly handled by appointed housing "judges", who only do housing, but any order with teeth must be signed by an elected judge. The number of judges is set per capita by the State Constitution. His salary does not keep up with Ponzi inflation, and he does not get paid per eviction.

Otis, I worked for a guy who everyone considered a "landlord's judge" because he would hold unrepresented tenants to the same letter of the law whether they could read it or not. But in fact his immigrant father had been in a painter's union, and they helped the judge through Harvard Law School. Liz is right, there is no bundling.

He read every word of every order he signed.

No one could tell him to go faster, or skim, or take someone's word on a rule he didn't know without verifying it himself (my job).
Not the Supervising Judge, who could give him a crappy rotation. (and me)
Not the $400/ hour lawyer handling this "little"case pro bono, with an important paying client waiting.
Not the uniformed court officer, raising his voice and hitching his gun belt, saying court is closed unless the judge wants to pay his overtime.
No one.

Every judge was rotated through the eviction-signing part for a week at a time. One per county. The landlords demanded more. But if you don't arraign, indict, and try an alleged spouse abuser speedily, the judge must set reasonable bail, and he may go straight from jail to kill his girlfriend and himself, leaving no one for the DA, Mayor, and Governor to blame but the no good liberal judge (see Lorin Duckman). Then there are the credit card, consumer loan, and ordinary commercial cases that have to be heard someday, in addition to all the tort cases, eased by the No-Fault Law. Don't forget commercial landlord-tenant, which a housing judge can't touch.

People contest mental competence, child custody, and even elections, which somehow seem more urgent than the landlord's right to a month's rent. Self help is a bloody mess in these cases too.

My guy (Brooklyn) could sign maybe 50 evictions a day, and stay (on the tenant's unopposed affidavit for emergency "order to show cause") about 300 more. In his rigid framework, a sworn statement that "I didn't get the papers; I don't owe the money" justifies a stay until he hears opposing evidence.

I had a long, nasty debate with Byzantine Ruins in which I tried to explain the need for professionals to run the court system and their First Amendment right to collective bargaining. And for those Randian types who don't see a rationale for rent control, if the clerks, officers, reporters, janitors are all foreclosed and evicted, sure a guy like my old boss will still show up at the Court and order evictions, with strict due process.

In that case he could handle one each month.

LL: Couldn't the judges handle the overload by simply "working-to-rule"? The judges could require all foreclosures include a specified list of documentation:

1) true copy of original note;
2) copies of assignments, etc.
3) Board resolutions and powers of attorney authorizing the lawyer or paralegal to do the foreclosure.

If anyone tried to do a foreclosure without all their paperwork in order, hit them with a $10,000 contempt of court fine for each foreclosure with skrood paperwork. After 5 or 6 such fines, use the proceeds to hire another clerk or paralegal to vet paperwork. Turn failed foreclosures into a profit center for the court.

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