"These policymakers continue to watch the situation closely and do not rule out helping the state if its condition significantly deteriorates, a senior administration official said."
Replying to shill's post in the previous thread in regards to layoffs:
FedEx is going to lay the lumber to folks in its "Services" (IT, Software, etc) division at the end of this month or first of next month. Although everyone got a pay reduction across the board last fall, it hasn't stopped the bleeding.
Also if other areas of the country are like mine, there are many more cuts coming that have made it through the grapevine but haven't turned up on a press release or news article yet.
Not only were they responsible for World War 1, but they also get the blame for kicking off the Great Depression as well. Arnold looks like he'll be following suit.
Infllation in the things you need, deflation in the things you cannot afford.
Dawg, I got pigged. Again.
I used to hold that view. But it's not happening, at least in my life. Things I want are definitely going down. Way down in many instances. But the things I need such as food, energy, shelter, insurances are no longer increasing as quickly. In fact, many of my needs are decresing in cost.
Is this permanent? I don't know. But looking at the behaviour of those around me, I don't see people rushing to spend their money in order to beat price increases. Just the opposite. People are economizing in all area - needs and wants.
Demand is on the ropes imo. That's not inflationary against a backdrop of over-capacity.
The state could hold out a bit longer for . . . what? I believe Washington continues to anticipate a 2H09 recovery. It's like a talisman or an act of faith.
I note the WaPo coverage treats Cali's revenue problems but, like most, doesn't want to go into the budgetary morass.
creditcriminalsoverlap: "Milk is down 25% or more from last year...."
Not where I shop, BJ's wholesale...in a bad neighborhood
I keep track of various items from time to time (in a very unprofessional manor, I might add), but it has been much more reliable then CPI for the last eight years.
Up here in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) there would be heck to pay if Obama bailed out CA. WA and OR are in just as much trouble on a per capita basis, but have done what is necessary to balance their budgets. So the Feds should bail out CA because they are too irresponsible to manage their own affairs?
....LOL.......one more thing and I'll go feed & clean.......c'mon, lets hear it: ........."If we only legalized "pot" and taxed it, all our worries.........
Prop 13 is the only thing saving the State. Ventura County has seen property tax revenues rise every year for 30 years until 2009 when revenues declined 4.5% about the same as 2007. A stable growing revenue source that has essentially remained flat in the face of 40% declines in the underlying asset value. If everything were as well designed and implemented there'd be no budget crisis.
burnside (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:27 am
The state could hold out a bit longer for . . . what? I believe Washington continues to anticipate a 2H09 recovery. It's like a talisman or an act of faith.
It is like when you are in a 2:1 or 3:1 dogfight. You're theoretically dead but you just keep flying and fighting, you never know, the other guys could bingo and drop out or have a heart attack or something.
They are trying hard to postpone the day when 47 states line up at the gates of the White House and rattle their cups against the bars. There is no way the GSE/FHLB/GNM/PBGC crisis can be beaten. With 47 states at the tit, the only thing that will change is the MTF on the Federal budget tapdance will roll back toward the now a considerable distance. They are just trying to postpone it and hope for some sort of miracle.
I fully expect a last minute financial pardon of the governator by the powers that be. If they could shovel $50 billion into a corpse like GM, why stop there?
Many commenters here bash Obama no matter what he does. One would assume the right wingers here would cheer the CA message--one would be wrong. Hatred makes the mind fuzzy.
I dont think they are bashing BO on this one as much as laughing at the plight of CA and their lets do it if it feels good philosophy. Their legislature needs to look at some of their programs, salaries , services and make cuts before they come with hand out. IMHo
@Mel - I applaud the decision, though expect it to be reversed in a month or so. In addition, I'd call on the admin to extend the concept of balanced budgets for the States to the Fed. gov't too, starting with the current fiscal year. Shouldn't be a problem, right?
"If they could shovel $50 billion into a corpse like GM, why stop there? "
The difference is the Feds need a new income stream available through business profits as they can not tax much more as much needed to function in the future. It won't work but that is the idea. Cali government will never provide a revenue stream but a new dependence on the Fed.
I suspect a good many of the Obama bashers were silent as church mice from 2001 to 2009, back when they could made a difference by standing up to tyranny-but didn't.
While I am truly relieved that we aren't bailing out California (yet), I stand in amazement of the irony of Federal officials chastising Cali for being fiscally irresponsible.
/snip from the article
These policymakers continue to watch the situation closely and do not rule out helping the state if its condition significantly deteriorates, a senior administration official said. But in that case, federal help would carry conditions to protect taxpayers and make similar requests for aid unattractive to other states, the official said. The official did not detail those conditions.
/snip
Interesting: How will we protect taxpayers? What is a warrant on a State? How do you protect the 9 out of 10 other taxpayers from the 1 out of 10 benficiaries? This seems odd at best.
How do we make aid unattractive?
If you accept this aid, you must wear this dress and do a little dance,...now let me get my camera...
sportsfan (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:36 am reply Ignore user . . . federal officials are worried that a bailout of California would set off a cascade of demands from other states.
No kidding.
The Administration made the right decision
** of course they could force you to take it just like stimulus, then the "states" cant refuse the offer from Dom Obama..
Not only were they responsible for World War 1, but they also get the blame for kicking off the Great Depression as well. Arnold looks like he'll be following suit.
That just shows that Austrians are ahead of the curve, a leading indicator if you will. Watch for the final leg down into oblivion to be kicked off by a central European currency crisis taking down an Austrian bank.. I kid, I kid.
I think they just say no for a while, try to force the state to try something smarter than revenue anticipation crap. But they wont let them twist in the wind forever. Give it a month at most. Too risky. CA too big to fail. Bwahahahaha.
It's actually absurd to pretend that we are not going to bail them out. You know, they are a state of the union. And that goes for the other 49. Of course we'll bail them out.
Yeh, they will bail, perhaps, but it sets up a weird precedent. Bailing them to the tune of $25 bil is just the tab for THIS year. And then everyone else comes running with their cup out for a handout. NExt thing you know, youve already got yourself half way to stimulus package 2. And you cant just throw that kind of money around without congress getting into the act. So, this will take time to play out...and will linger at least until it is clear to the green shoots crowd that the shoots is dead and there aint no 2nd half recovery til 2010.
And now, for a Moment of Drive-By Partisanship, brought to you by your friendly Comrade:
Ok, c'mon now, where are all my bailout-nation-Obama-is-a-Socialist peeps now? C'mon...where is the shrieking about taking from the worthy to give to the unworthy? Hmm?
Puhleez...I love the smell of Sacred Cow Memes being sacrificed in the morning...this was kind of like the gun-grabbers voting to legalize them in the National Parks...
Next Up: Pot Head Amnesty and Prison Guard Layoffs...
It goes the other way. Fed refuses to bail-out CA, CA decides that the USG has abrogated its responsibilities to the states and begins process for recognition as a new country to the U.N. 11th largest world economy, distinct culture, oppressed by US. CA gets immediate recognition from Russia, Venezuela, and Cuba, with China to follow shortly.
Should be interesting. Or maybe we'll just bail them out, but Hollywood can make the movie (TM'd to blackhat).
TARP: Who in Cali ever thought that the 'big one' was going to be along de(credit)fault?
TARP, I have been noting and logging monthly California (and Florida) tax receipts for three years, now. If one believed that housing was in a bubble here on the Left Coast and that the bubble would pop, one could easily figure that big hits to tax receipts would result (from falling employment).
California tax receipts were last positive, year over year, in December '07.
I wonder what the IMF would prescribe for California government in exchange for a loan?
Depends on whether IMF considers Cali a first or third world country. If the former, probably a no-doc, zero percent down loan. If the latter, then Latvia, Argentina, etc.
"(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
What you say?
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
Woah Woman, oh woman, don't treat me so mean,
You're the meanest old woman that I've ever seen.
I guess if you say so
I have to pack ma things and go. (That's right)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
What you say?
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
well baby, listen baby, don't ya treat me this-a way
Cause I'll be back on my feet some day.
(Don't care if you do 'cause it's understood)
(you ain't got no money you just ain't no good.)
Well, I guess if you say so
I'd have to pack my things and go. (That's right)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
What you say?
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)"
Maybe California could issue a new currency and name it "New Jack"?
As an outsider, I would like to see CA default, and how the courts would react. We need a state bk law, and until we have one, the game is interesting if your seated far from the court.
Predictably, RD offers his mindless defense of Prop 13, ignoring as he always does the unintended consequences it has had for corporate landowners.
So California is about to run out of money. And the misery for all but the RD's of this state is about to kick up yet another notch.
My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County and they will be going out on strike come fall unless the district can find a way to give them a decent contract. Their union rejected with a 98% vote the last contract offer that would increase class sizes 30% and eliminate health care benefits -- a de facto pay cut of over 20%.
But hey, so long as Chevron can continue to pay pennies on the dollar on its tax obligations everything's a.o.k. with the libertarian fools who wouldn't know a fair tax system if it hit them square in the face.
As for prop 13, with the average house changing hands every 6 or 7 years(?) most homes catch up with more current tax valuations. As Rob points out, property tax revenue is more stable as the big downturns are not significant. The best part of prop 13 is that it does protect people who are planning for retirement and need some stability in their future liabilities. In effect they pay more during their productive years and less in retirement when they are actually using less services (think education, half of the CA budget). So some businesses get away with low property taxes...that may be the one incentive to operate a large business in CA. Better yet, it rewards long term businesses the most.
sorry no independent status for CA...We can not handle our finances as it stands...We are looking for someone to rewrite our state political system...Who? UN? Mexico?
By the way, CA residences have relatives throughout the US....
Man, this is not Texas, a providence of Mexico...This is a state in the US...
Bring it on!!!! I've been waiting for this to happen for YEARS!!!!! I'm going to laugh if I hear anyone say that Obama will bail-out Wall Street but not them! Let the Revolution begin!!!!
peterb (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:52 am
My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County and they will be going out on strike come fall unless the district can find a way to give them a decent contract. Their union rejected with a 98% vote the last contract offer that would increase class sizes 30% and eliminate health care benefits -- a de facto pay cut of over 20%.
The money, it is not there.
Do not blame today. Blame 20 years of yesterdays.
You are stupid if you try to dig your way out. The past was ready, willing and eager to bury you in its deferred payables. Confront the fact that the problem is not in the now, but in the past. Default on your impossible obligations and devise a rational budget that is within your current means.
Trying to raise revenue will just pin you into an impossible situation.
...My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County and they will be going out on strike come fall unless the district can find a way to give them a decent contract. Their union rejected with a 98% vote the last contract offer that would increase class sizes 30% and eliminate health care benefits -- a de facto pay cut of over 20%. "
Not to be too dense or inconsiderate, but how does those two lines jive?
Your state is going broke and cannot meet its existing obligations. From what I've read, most of CA's counties are in the same boat or worse like Oakland. Facing this situation, the teachers of your county want more blood from the CA stone.
Are they striking in wanting everyone involved with the local government to take 20% pay cuts or everyone but them take the 20% adjustment?
in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state--however this may also end-up enshrining political and commerical interests over the will of the people to create a more efficient corporatist state.
@Mel - revoke federalism - I was thinking if CA gets bailed out we're on the way to seeing the United STATE of America, under the consolidation act of 2012.
Economically, Cali is going to get the bailout, after they posture through making a few billion in 'less growth' cuts. Taking too many billions out of the borrowed economy would just require another federal stimulus package anyway.
If he's going to eventually bail out CA he shouldn't act like he isn't.
It strikes me of poor politics.
Luckily for him CA is democrat anyway so the state isn't going to do much to defend itself.
sportsfan, there are no 'corporate taxes'; such are all borne, ultimately, by individuals as higher prices, reduced dividend checks, or reduced capital gains.
When Chevron pays lower taxes, you as a shareholder get a bigger dividend check or a higher stock price, or you as a consumer get a lower price at the pump.
"I was thinking if CA gets bailed out we're on the way to seeing the United STATE of America, under the consolidation act of 2012."
And what's sad about that (if it actually happens) is that most Americans would not understand its significance. Most people aren't well educated in the matters of the State.
June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief economist Jim O’Neill said financial markets could weaken in coming weeks amid concern about governments’ intentions on rolling backing stimulus packages.
“I wouldn’t be surprised if what started yesterday is the beginning of a correction that goes on a few weeks,” O’Neill said in an interview today in Monaco. “The markets have had a lot of juice thrown at them. You take away a bit of the juice, at first it’s going to be a bit trickier.”
Global stocks dropped yesterday, cooling a rally that’s seen the MSCI World Index surge 33 percent over the past three months. Markets fell after officials from the Group of Eight nations started drawing up contingency plans over the weekend to withdraw more than $2 trillion in stimulus from their economies.
Policy makers including U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner conceded that they’ll have to tread a fine line as withdrawing aid too soon could choke off recovery. U.S. stock futures rose today, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may rebound from its biggest drop in a month, as housing starts topped economists’ estimates in May.
peterb, sorry about your families predicament. Maybe you can help answer these questions.
Why has education spending in CA continued to grow even as enrollments are dropping?
Why are they building new schools that are now sitting empty or being mothballed (at least here in Ventura and LA counties)?
Why are the teachers so upset about cutting the school year 6 or 7 days when my kids are watching movies and playing board games for the last two weeks of the year? I let them stay home the last week because they were doing absolutely nothing at school. This is at a school with API scores of 911 this year.
Is the problem really that the money does not work it's way down to the classroom from administration?
I say we take all of the convicts & all the people employed in watching over them in California, and create a devil's island sanctuary for them on say, Palmyra Island in the South Pacific.
Woah. Interesting error message from Hoocoodanode:
From Drupal:
"If you are the maintainer of this site, please check your database settings in the settings.php file and ensure that your hosting provider's database server is running. For more help, see the handbook, or contact your hosting provider.
The mysqli error was: User dev1 already has more than 'max_user_connections' active connections."
The best part of prop 13 is that it does protect people who are planning for retirement and need some stability in their future liabilities
That's the one and only thing it should do, but it doesn't. And it is long overdue for reform that preserves this essential benefit while remedying the inequalities that have had such disastrous consequences for the State.
in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state
As conceptualized and implemented by modern Americans! Whoopee! Let's skip the jawboning and get right to the civil war, cannibalism and burning cities.
It does appear that CA's constitution needs to be re cast...Who will do it? Californians will not budge until there is a total shutdown of the govt....My suggestion about the USG stepping in seems to be the only realistic solution, short of total collapse of CA govt...
in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state
Counterpointer ... in your previous post about the Fed when you linked to Ecstasy of of Gold I
thought here we go - famous fight scene in the desert at the end of the great silent movie 'Greed'
but alas, my hopes were dashed when it turned out to be a mere song by Metallica ...
a band that will not be remembered as long as Erich Von Stroheim ...
The state of virginia just posted it's monthly revenue letter. Last month the decline was 8.6% on revised annual forecast (made on april 8th).
"The weak economy continues to negatively affect general fund revenue collections. In May,
total general fund revenues fell 15.6 percent compared to May 2008. Most of the decline was
due to a drop in collections of sales tax, individual nonwithholding, and recordation taxes, along
with a continuing surge in individual refunds. Individual withholding also contributed to the
decline from last May, largely due to one less deposit day than last year.
On a year-to-date basis, total revenues fell 9.3 percent, trailing the revised annual forecast of a
7.3 percent decline. Most of the revenue sources with the exception of nonwithholding and
recordation taxes are lagging their forecasts, while individual refunds are up sharply from the
same period last year."
So the official Federal line is, "We have all the money it takes to send to private banks in need, but no money for our states."
No one is going to accept that.
There is no chance whatsoever that CA doesn't receive funds at the time they're needed.
Note: I don't agree with any bailouts, even California. But this is the moral hazard the Federal government has undertaken by giving institutions like BAC and C billions of dollars.
"in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state."
Imagine a country held hostage to late 18th century laws concerning guns?
I don't see how California can fix itself without dumping its outrageous retirement packages for state workers. The only way out is to declare bankruptcy, right? All this hemming and hawing is just delaying that necessary action. Same goes for New Jersey and other states in hock to their state workers.
Legislation to let polluters buy and sell carbon-dioxide emissions like pork bellies is the outgrowth of Richard L. Sandor, founder of the Chicago-based network of people trading pollution permits from Beijing to Brussels known as Climate Exchange. It doesn’t hurt that the six-year-old market got $1.1 million of seed money from the city’s Joyce Foundation, whose board included a little-known state senator named Barack Obama. Now the 44th president is determined to enact America’s first limits on greenhouse gases.
That the 67-year-old Sandor finds himself working with Henry Waxman, the California Democrat sponsoring the bill to cap emissions from refiners, utilities and manufacturers, is a belated recognition that Chicago-style pragmatism may prevail in the battle between business and environmentalists.
**who says it isnt about making a profit in the "private sector".
While it's true that corporate taxes are passed onto consumers, corporate tax cuts are usually redirected to salaries and shareholders, not returned to the consumer.
The theory with raising taxes is that government will better spend the revenue for social benefit then corporate executives. Why do tax-cut advocates assume that CEO's are more altruistic or beholden to good ethics then governments? They certainly aren't up for election by the general population.
It's just like the HealthCare canard: "No one want's a government bureaucrat between you and your doctor", which is belied by the current situation of an AIG like bureaucrat between you and your doctor.
Lay 'em off, and devolve to private schools at half the cost.
If you think private schools could take on all students in the public system, you don't know much about costs in public schools. I am not defending the tenure system, the teacher's union or retirement system. One of the biggest costs to public schools is state and federally mandated special education. Private schools refuse to take special ed kids because they cost to much and require very specialized teachers.
Here is a very little bit of waste that could be trimmed with a car allowance or use the mileage tax deduction. It would cut the BS use by family and friends.
"Can we get our local National Guard back from Iraq now? We may them here shortly."
I remember after the L.A. riots in the early 90's, the National Guard showed up, but it was a different National Guard back then...
They were just regular Joes and Janes, that played soldier a few days a month-not jaded participants in far-off wars. They were a different kettle of fish compared to now.
Isn't it amazing that somehow this whole carbon trading scam will end up earning the Federal government something like a TRILLION dollars over a decade and is being cast as the solution to our massive budget deficits. Sounds to me like a hidden tax and the final incentive for large businesses to relocate to Asia.
Are you aware that California ranks just above Mississippi at the bottom of the nation in per pupil spending?
No one is building schools in the Bay Area. They are closing and consolidating them to save money. And cutting programs that weren't already gone years ago.
Actually, school teachers would probably accept a shortened school year (or cutting a day per month over the school year) as a way of accepting their burden of the load. The problem is the school districts and, apparently people like you, believe they are to blame for the situation. However, you are aware that this would have a direct impact on the quality of education the children of CA receive, right? The school year in the U.S. is already the shortest among most nations with which the U.S. competes. Take a look at Sweden, for example. This is one reason why our kids score so poorly against children in Asia and Europe.
Yep, the old administrative overhead argument is well-worn and is always trotted out when it comes times to screw the teachers.
Iranian News is reporting on the massive demonstration in Sacramento. Tens of thousands of quiet demonstrators wearing gold necklaces are being harassed by Prop 13 militia
Sadly, they weren't silent: they were railing against Tom Daschle, the Dixie Chicks and the dirty hippies who opposed the war and Bush's imperial policies.
Did I mention it was all Clinton's fault?
Just don't expect any honesty, consistency or integrity out of the rightwing shills, and you won't be disapoointed.
Maybe the administration is going to wait until CA are on their knees then make them pilot their pet projects, like extending UE and welfare, authorizing, accepting and recognizing illegals with citizen rights and privaledges to education, health care.....and show that they are fiscally sou....... oh wait a minute, never mind...
OBR - you forget that pensions/unions now have legal precedence over secured bondholders. A Cali BK would just give the unions and pension funds majority ownership of the state.
Comrade-Dope jg (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 11:04 am
Yeah, yogi, you pay full price (i.e., cover the full cost) for that subway ride.
Nah, it is Chevron and us car drivers who pay a good part of your bill.
I think this is a specious argument, or at least one that will end with tail-chasing cries of moral superiority / victory from both sides.
The indirect costs of automobile usage could be toted up in any number of ways and "prove" they were more heavily subsidized.
This will quickly devolve into people waving spreadsheets and shouting about the comparative size and number of large flowing body of water crossings per hectare, and how each side is cheating on capacity and cost overrun figures. What a miserable exercise.
I for one would be much more comfortable if these choices were openly made on irrational or strategic grounds, because attempts to cloak them in figures to give them a patina of rationality isn't going to change the fact that everyone came to the table with the outcome in mind.
"Sadly, they weren't silent: they were railing against Tom Daschle, the Dixie Chicks and the dirty hippies who opposed the war and Bush's imperial policies."
I wish i'd had my camera with me, when I was working out at the gym in early April 2003, as pro-war demonstrators were on PCH with signs and bullhorns as the rain was falling down on them...
yogi is correct - in theory corporate income taxes are the perfect tax in basic economics classes, because they cannot be avoided while pursuing profit maximizing behavior.
Unfortunately, in the real world we have loopholes and offshore havens.
I lived in CA in '78 when then Gov Jerry Brown did not take Prop 13 as seriously as he should have,
at least from what I read in the papers he didn't seem to think it had much chance of passage and
did not get out on the hustings to defeat it....
that's what a Jesuitical education will do to you...
peterb, why so nasty? I asked valid questions and think you might have insight from the teachers side.
Those rankings on teacher/pupil spending can surely be manipulated by both sides to create soundbites so I refuse to believe them.
Teachers are not screwed. In Ventura County the average teachers earns almost exactly the average FAMILY income amount of $60,000 a year. On top of that they have incredible benefits that most of us only dream of.
Actually after the LA Riots, we sent the 5th Marine Regiment up from Camp Pendleton to help civil law enforcement. I was with the 1st Marine Division at the time, although I didn't "deploy" to LA.
There were some stories about police officers asking Marines to cover them while they approached a residence. In one case this resulted in the Marines laying down covering/suppressing fires on an apartment building when the police received fire from inside. Don't think the bad guys were expecting the 600 rounds per minute they were receiving from the SAWs.
I admit I haven't been reading much of the editorial pages as of late, but has anyone drawn the analogy between this disaster-in-the-making new financial "regulatory" regime and the Department of Homeland Security and its origins? Is this so obvious that nobody bothers writing about it?
Uh huh...and when that still doesn't close the gap, and the 1/3 of the kids who the private schools evict are just sitting around with their thumbs up their a**es, what will you do? Do you really want to live inside an armed compound? Seriously, move to Mexico already. Teachers and schools are much cheaper for warehousing than prisons.
Prop 13 will have to go as will the amendment function. Keep the budget agreement requirement at 2/3s - but equalize the requirement for new mandates to match the requirement for new revenues.
Well, do whatever you want, but if you turn California into a disaster zone with Libertarian fantasy policies, please don't come to Virginia when you have to flee California. We did have two idiot governors in a row, but they were preceeded by two sensible ones and followed by two sensible ones...and our legislature isn't so irresponsible. We don't need ideological flakes messing up our constituencies.
CC gave us this a link with this info: This is on topic, so I'll post the link again:
UCLA Forecast Says State Worker Layoffs Could Top 60,000
Carnage.
That's it?
Whom will lose their job? Of course they'll do scare tactics (Prisons, welfare, fire, police, roads, etc.) But can they really cut services to the middle class and keep a working population?
To say the least, interesting times ahead.
Oh, Prop 13 was a shot across the state's bow to control spending and not tax everyone to death. Remember how many people were being taxed out of their homes? This is a HIGH TAX state! High income, utility, corporate, and other taxes. The only tax you can moderate is property tax. Should Prop 13 be modified? Sure. But if this state raises taxes too much, you will see an exodus. Spending is out of control that delivers very few services to the middle class (compared to other states). Say otherwise? Where are the transportation improvements?
The state must brutally cut spending.
Of course, I'm waiting to see the consequences of the newest foreclosure moretorium. That is just stupid...
California has been paying more federal taxes than it gets in services for may a year----
I don't know if the number would cover the current deficit though. It is best to be a small red state, as you end up with a large welfare check from the larger states like California.
I thought Clinton deserved the term "slick Willie". But like so much else Obama has out done Bill Clinton , Everything he says needs to be read closely - there is always an out and the headline rarely matches the text. He combines the worst of lawyers and journalists with the charm of Ronald Reagan,
Talking of which how is what Krugman is suggesting (and Obama is following) any different to the voodoo economics of Reagan? If we spend more money we will balance the budget in the long term. As I recall Reagan offered tax cuts and increased defense spending as the way of getting to a balanced budget.
BTW I voted for campaigned for and donated to Obama.
So, when we inevitably bail out California, will we get an equity stake? Perhaps every US citizen could get a voucher good for one bit appearance in a Hollywood production, or a free bottle of wine?
Waste in Cali- relative works for owner who has a contract with state prison. Talks to guards often. They have 4 100K guards watching over 90 yr old convicts with tubes coming keeping them alive...They can't move out of thier bed let alone hurt someone. My daughter could guard them..or why do the the guards come into work when the hospital ward is closed. The doctors and nurses are off yet 6 guards come to bullsh%t for the day on our dime...
OT-Just made a trip to Lake Havasu from San Francisco and back- truck traffic light, cre space everywhere along 101, rail traffic across mojave was light, planes in storage in mojave were less than after 9/11 and I did see Jas at cherry stand coming out of tehachapi selling treasuries along with $4.00 basket..went with the cherries...
never did figure that out- why the Blue state liberals would be such fans of the Federal government. It seems to me that the winners of downsizing the Federal government and moving power and money back to the States helps the blue states and hurts the Red states.
So if CA were to announce that it was legalizing pot (with the aim of collecting taxes from the big underground economy) how long before the war on drugs czar would be making presentations to the administration on how we need to give CA the bailout to prevent them from opening the gates?
Sort of like North Korea testing a new missile to get attention. Once that works, time to announce....
June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Arvind Raghunathan, former head of Deutsche Bank AG’s global arbitrage business, will open his new hedge-fund firm next month with more than $1 billion, a sign that investors are trickling back after record losses last year.
Roc Capital Management LP’s assets will include $500 million in a separate account from Deutsche Bank, according to people familiar with the New York-based firm, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. It’s the largest hedge-fund startup this year, one of at least eight expected to raise more than $250 million each, according to brokers who provide credit and lend securities to managers.
Chainsaw (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 11:17 am In one case this resulted in the Marines laying down covering/suppressing fires on an apartment building when the police received fire from inside. Don't think the bad guys were expecting the 600 rounds per minute they were receiving from the SAWs.
Exercise for reader:
Speculate on the ethnic/social/political identity of the writer and the ethnic/social/political status writer projects on persons he assigns "bad guy" status.
Speculate on how the narrative would be written differently if the actors had different ethnic/social/political makeups.
As best as you're able, as yourself, how do your own perceived identity and your own projections of authorial and subject identity color your opinion?
Matter for consideration: When considering providing area suppressive fire into a potentially occupied structure in the United States, are there "bad guys" inside absent judicial action?
Parking cars at the port is the most expensive storage option available. Over time, the logistics staff at the OEM's would have made arrangements to move the cars somewhere else where the storage charges (per day) were lower. The initial backup was cause because the OEM's are not organized to store large amounts of cars. They're organized to sell large amounts of cars.
Based on my last flight into Ontario airport, I would guess a fair numbers of these cars are parked in the Inland Empire.
California has the added whammy of being in the midst of a 3 year drought and the powers that be aren't letting on how bad it's gonna be, because like matters financial, most Californians are so far removed from where the water comes from, that they have no idea what's really happening...
//Matter for consideration: When considering providing area suppressive fire into a potentially occupied structure in the United States, are there "bad guys" inside absent judicial action?//
We had a big spike of usage there that seems to be down now. I also found two bots that were probing the site, shut them off. Let me know via feedback if you see any more of these messages.
Environmentalism does not help them build new projects either.
//California has the added whammy of being in the midst of a 3 year drought and the powers that be aren't letting on how bad it's gonna be, because like matters financial, most Californians are so far removed from where the water comes from, that they have no idea what's really happening...//
The biggest problem with public schools is cronyism and incompetence among ADMINISTRATORS. They are the ones really overpaid. Usually (not always) they are inept teachers who became administrators through favoratism. They are highly paid for doing nothing to further education of the students, and they have this belief that they are Gods in schools, not really lording over the students, but the teachers. They make teaching miserable for the teachers.
Cut administrator pay, require higher standards to become an administrator (a nationally certified teacher should be a requirement, and people should only be administators at the end of their teaching careers).
If you have to cut teacher pay some, fine, but make sure administrator pay, and also county education board members pay are cut first and most. Those education board members are lowlifes too.
//Cut administrator pay, require higher standards to become an administrator (a nationally certified teacher should be a requirement, and people should only be administators at the end of their teaching careers).//
Environmentalism does not help them build new projects either.
//California has the added whammy of being in the midst of a 3 year drought and the powers that be aren't letting on how bad it's gonna be, because like matters financial, most Californians are so far removed from where the water comes from, that they have no idea what's really happening...//
Building new reservoirs for non-existent supplies of H20 wont help matters. The opening of a desalination plant near San Onofre has been stalled by a Surfrider group. They hardly qualify as environmentalists.
As desal uses a ton of electricity, it's imperative that it be hooked up to a nuke, and there's only a few nuke plants in California.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Technical analyst Robert Prechter on Monday said he sees the United States losing its top AAA credit rating by the end of 2010, as he stuck by a deeply bearish outlook on the U.S. economy and stock market.
Prechter, known for predicting the 1987 stock market crash, joins a growing coterie of market heavyweights in forecasting the United States will lose its top credit rating as the government issues trillions of dollars in debt to fund efforts to bail out the economy.
Fears about the long-term vulnerability of the prized U.S. credit rating came to the fore after Standard & Poor's in May lowered its outlook on Britain, threatening the UK's top AAA rating. That move raised fears that the United States could face a similar risk, with the hefty amounts of government debt issued in both countries to pay for financial rescues causing budget deficits to swell.
I was working as a consultant to a Sr VP who directly reported to the president of the telesector resource group of NyNEX (about 28,000 employees) around the time
of the merger with Bell Atlantic. (I also got to attend meetings with said prez)
that said here's a good story about leverage...
a major NY hospital owed us about 2 million dollars for phone services... but they weren't paying because they had a dispute with about 50K of the total bill...
we said ok, just pay the rest of it and we can work out that 50... they said no way, until our bill is correct we will pay nothing...
so who do you think won?
after months of beating around the bush we informed them that all of their non essential phone services would be shut off in 48 hours....
next day we get a call from a major law firm in NYC...
I quote, "if one patient either dies or has complications due to a shutdown of services we will sue NYNEX for millions and millions of dollars!!"
But honestly, the socio-economic, racial, gender, religous, sexual preference or dietary preferences of the "bad guys" never entered my thoughts. They were supposedley firing on police officers, that makes them "bad guys" in my book.
And if getting a master's degree in education (is that average?) in order to earn 60K and good medical benefits (Kaiser good?) is such a great deal, how come so few people want to do it?
Sorry if you think I'm being nasty. Not my intention. I just have zero patience for those (not necessarily you) who assume that teaching is an easy profession or that it is particularly well paid, to say nothing of those who would try to use the problems of CA to argue for reducing the slim margin by which teachers currently live.
I was working as a consultant to a Sr VP who directly reported to the president of the telesector resource group of NyNEX (about 28,000 employees) around the time
of the merger with Bell Atlantic. (I also got to attend meetings with said prez)
that said here's a good story about leverage...
a major NY hospital owed us about 2 million dollars for phone services... but they weren't paying because they had a dispute with about 50K of the total bill...
we said ok, just pay the rest of it and we can work out that 50... they said no way, until our bill is correct we will pay nothing...
so who do you think won?
after months of beating around the bush we informed them that all of their non essential phone services would be shut off in 48 hours....
next day we get a call from a major law firm in NYC...
I quote, "if one patient either dies or has complications due to a shutdown of services we will sue NYNEX for millions and millions of dollars!!"
VA has its problems. Check out the pension funds also. I already see the state setting up its HOV roadblocks on I-66 for those 1st time offense $500 tickets.
I really don't see how the Feds can avoid bailing CA out. It's taking so long because they are trying to figure out how to do it so the other states don't want to be bailed out. CA's electoral votes are reliably democrat and will stay that way bailout or not. What scares Washington are the swing states in bad shape that will go republican if CA gets bailed out but nobody else does.
Talk of California as a country is absolutely laughable. Even if you pay more in Federal taxes than you get back (hey, so do 40% of the states), your benefit from being part of the USA more than makes up for any "savings" you'd get as an independent nation. By a huge margin.
Most teachers contract to work about 32 hours a week average over a full year. $60K and any benefits for a part time job is very good. Now let the mud fly!
Ken,there was a link to CR in an LA Times article that was linked to at "Raw Story" which might have prompted the spike.as far as California,CR noted that CA government is completely dysfunctional.His statement is not hyperbole and California is FUBAR.Politically this is one hot potato.I have heard more than one person say "$180 Billion for AIG,zip for California,what does that tell you?"....A nice bullet point for someone.The argument has progressed beyond whether or not we face systemic risk to a point where the question now is "Do we face a complete collapse of society?".
@peterb - My mother is a retired teacher with a Master's degree, and from what I know having grown up around teachers, there are a great many of them who definitely are just in it for the money, more time off a year than most other professions can even dream of, and for really great, indexed pensions.
Hopefully, your wife, like my mother, was in it for the kids, but I'd contend that is the exception, not the rule.
As long as you stay more than 100 miles from Detroit, Michigan in the summer is an amazing place and gives up nothing to any other location in the country. It's the winter that kills you.
Yes, you didn't know we average 1 million + legal immigrants a year?
Thats legal immigrants. Thats 100 million new people a century, not including their kids born here over that time. Thats a huge population increase, in an increasingly employment and environmentally challenged land.
Ah, I remember Michigan in the summer of my youth. The locals who strung cables across paths to catch the dirt bikers and other assorted low lifes who were not locals. Me and my cousins getting hammered. My cousin dying when a car full plowed into a tree drunk. My uncles talking about the Ni##ers. Grandma talking about setting a shotgun up with a trip wire at one her windows.
The biggest problem with public schools is cronyism and incompetence among ADMINISTRATORS.
Do you know any school administrators? Do you know what any of them do? As in any organization, more so any government organization, there is incompetence and dead wood, but many school administrative jobs are necessary given current legal requirements for reporting, NCLB compliance, etc. The cost of administration in most districts is very small compared to the cost of the teachers. Just sayin'.
I find it interesting there are jobs where it appears to be okay to be openly interested in grubbing for money but other jobs where the individuals are perceived in a negative light when looking after their salaries, sometimes in quite modest ways.
This moral condemnation of the concern about payment for work in some professions but not others is even more amusing given that most of our political and economic leadership have constructed a ideology/system, the foundation of which is that we are all a bunch of rational money grubbers.
The U.S. is not responsible for being the pressure relief valve for mexico's population problems. (Yes I know their TFR is 2.3, but its the momentum from the past thats still the problem)
Kilgore: If I say its safe to surf this beach Captain, then its safe to surf this beach. I mean I'm not afraid to surf this place, I'll surf this whole fucking place!
the state I grew up in, Indiana, was involved in the scheme to extend the Erie Canal all the way to St Louis, I believe,
so the state issued bonds and the project fell apart due to the advent of the railroad... (can still find the half finished canal
in parts of southern Indiana)... so who bailed Indiana out... as I remember our state went BK... and later passed a
new constitution that did not allow the state to deficit spend until that was amended in the early 90s under Gov Bayh... (I think)...
I got an "Um" then "Well we are responsible for naming schools"
How to tell how old a public school is:
Named after city or town - very old
Named after Washington, Lincoln, or Robert E Lee - almost as old
Named after WWII general - somewhat old
Named after Civil Rights leader etc... Newest
My mother is a retired teacher with a Master's degree, and from what I know having grown up around teachers, there are a great many of them who definitely are just in it for the money, more time off a year than most other professions can even dream of, and for really great, indexed pensions.
Honestly, I don't know how anyone could possibly be in that profession for the money. True enough, the summer off has always been a plus, particularly during the years we were raising our kids.
I'm not sure about your mother, but for my wife the school year involves long days and weekends. Grading papers and prepping lesson plans and conferencing with parents.
<sarcasm>Then of course, there is the appreciation from the public at large for the hard work she does. Which is reward in and of itself.</sarcasm>
Tom Stone (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 8:41 am
The argument has progressed beyond whether or not we face systemic risk to a point where the question now is "Do we face a complete collapse of society?".
Tom,
Having just moved to California (for health reasons) I'm surprised to learn we're going to have to shut down civilization due to a 1.8% accounting difference.
1.8% is the amount of money California needs to balance its budget right now, compared to its State Domestic Product (+/- 3db).
I suppose if we do have to shut down civilization over a 1.8% shortfall (or excess), then in the immortal words of Blade Runner, "first we're stupid, then we die!"
In a previous life I worked with quite a few school districts (at the board level) and almost every single one of them were worried about spending more than the previous year's budget so that they could get a bigger one next year. Replacing furniture at the district office seemed to be the big line item in almost all them. Total circle jerk mentality.....
"There were some stories about police officers asking Marines to cover them while they approached a residence. In one case this resulted in the Marines laying down covering/suppressing fires on an apartment building when the police received fire from inside. Don't think the bad guys were expecting the 600 rounds per minute they were receiving from the SAWs."
The marines fired 30 rounds, no? Then they stopped because the police told them to. Assuming the weapons were set at semi-automatic - 45 rpm - the rounds were probably fired by one or two men. Eh?
"The school year in the U.S. is already the shortest among most nations with which the U.S. competes. Take a look at Sweden, for example. This is one reason why our kids score so poorly against children in Asia and Europe."
........lets take an average 1960s report card & school district and rollback curriculum, teacher levels, schedules, ratios of administrators vs. classroom personnel and see what shakes out.
Get your Hep shots if you get in the water after a good rain.... sooooo gross.......
.............
BTW I dont know what everyone here is complaining about... I'm watching Bloomberg now and everything is pretty sweet.... except for the pesky North Ko-Ko-Reans....
Simple solution #2- No lawns period-commercial and residential....Issue Kaput! Anywhere in California....It's a desert....
There's nothing too remarkable about the current drought in California, it's similar to many other droughts the Golden State has endured since 1850, the difference being that there are over 40 million people using it now.
Sacramento holds the dubious honor of being the most wasteful city of it's size in our country, with each citizen using an average of 240 gallons of H20 a day. It's way beyond watering lawns...
@MS and M,
Both of those anecdotes go against my experience, but I would not be too surprised since there is a lot of quality variation among districts. For 3 years, I worked in a midsized school district and we managed the budget pretty conservatively. There were a few exceptions to prudent spending, but usually those cases had to do with grant money or funds that could only be spent on certain programs. Pain in the ass. I would just caution you against painting with such a broad brush and especially about comparing costs of private schools to public.
I remember when this happened in September...I sent out emails to about 400 "journalists" asking why the Fed was taking money from a system that supposedly needed it so badly. The only person to respond was Pimm Fox (B'Berg) and he ran a story on his show about it( I even got my name mentioned!)-that was good for a few phone calls!!!
It appears that it may happen again...it, at the very least, is looking likely.
Most teacher here get free time at work to do preparation and score tests. Semi paperless schools would be a smart cost savings and cut scoring tests time.
yea, the games are beginning. I've been in business 20 years and have NEVER been late with my monthly sales tax remittance. Well, last month they flagged me for being delinquent - 10% penalty + interest.
Hahaha I just went across the street to the store to get a drink and what not, the 19 teen year old or less handed me my change...get this
2 1947 walking liberty half's and a 1878 Morgan silver dollar...she actually asked me If i wanted them as change....I made money while spending hahahah!
Someone who was present during the Ironbound riots in Newark NJ during the 60s told me that National Guardsmen - kids really - brought machine gun fire to bear on a housing project. A colonel came running up, yelling at them to hold their fire, and then had all their ammo taken away from them. They had been firing at the echoes of the own shots.
China's holding of US bonds drops first time in 11 months
"Other emerging powers Russia and Brazil have also trimmed their US bond holdings, the US Treasury said in its monthly international capital data report.....On the whole, foreigners decreased holdings of Treasury bills by 44.5 billion dollars in April, the data showed.....On the whole, foreigners decreased holdings of Treasury bills by 44.5 billion dollars in April, the data showed."
What many people may not realize, notes Mr. Hayward, is that nearly 75 percent of residential water use in California goes to outdoor purposes, mostly landscaping.
@Lobbyist Ben Dover: Semi paperless schools would be a smart cost savings and cut scoring tests time.
I was thinking about this when I was talking with a true idealist who was co-author of a major medical text. He really wanted to be able to send CD-ROM copies of it to 3rd world countries. The notion that the textbook company might have a problem with this never really entered his mind.
But then I started thinking, why don't schools and such use things like Kindles for textbooks? Certainly easier to update the information and edit, but again you cut out the lucrative textbook sales and so I doubt that it would ever get going.
I must admit that I like having a book to be able to reference and turn pages over but perhaps that's antiquated for "kids these days."
The cost of administration in most districts is very small compared to the cost of the teachers. Just sayin'.
Sorry, Coinz, but I've gotta call you out on this.
Our school district (middle- to upper-middle-class township, but very high in the state performance rankings) has 655 total full-time staff with a combined salary budget of $37M. Of which 345 are listed as "certified staff" and 310 as "support staff".
Of which 199 are actual, full-time, honest-to-God, in-there-with the-kids-all-day teachers. One hundred ninety-nine.
For obvious reasons, our district doesn't break the 'salaries' line out further, but eyeballing the salary scale it seems the median for teachers is right around $57, maybe $58K. Which accounts for, what, $12M of the salary pot?
That's a third of the total.
I realize I'm oversimplifying this, but even taking a conservative definition of "administration", it seems likely we're paying between $1 and $1.50 to administrators for every $1 we're paying the actual teachers. Not what I'd define as "very small" by any stretch.
And our district is by no means the worst offender in this regard - locally or nationally. Not even close.
One last time...
The first recorded tax-break: Gen. 47:22,26
"Only the land of the priests bought he not, for the priests had a portion from Pharaoh, and did eat their portion which Pharaoh gave them; wherefore they sold not their land. "
"And Joseph made it a statute concerning the land of Egypt unto this day, that Pharaoh should have the fifth; only the land of the priests alone became not Pharaoh's. "
on Old Kingdom Egypt:
"Eventually, the priesthood became a tremendous bureaucracy numbering thousands of men....At the top of the hierarchy of priests was the high-priest, ...While normally such a man would have risen to his position through the ranks, it was the pharaoh's prerogative to place whomever he wanted in that office."
When they escaped from the ensuing slavery and set up their state, the Israelites made some radical reforms: priests could collect a10% tax, but could not own land.
Joshua 18:7
"For the Levites have no portion among you, for the priesthood of the LORD is their inheritance; "
It took a while, but the rabbis phased them out. Tax breaks should come with a heavy burden.
"There were some stories about police officers asking Marines to cover them while they approached a residence. "
A violation of US law, no? If the law has to be changed, put it through Congress. There has been some discussion in the Corps about the necessity of this, or of ignoring the law during an emergency. I believe that is a minority opinion within the Corps.
as of 2002 california spent approximately 300,000 per classroom K thru 12 and they spend more now. california teachers are the fourth highest paid in the nation. (in some places like LA that's ok with me). i used to play raquetball with a retired school administrator. he was in his late 50's and lived in a beautiful home in the hills overlooking the lights of sacramento. he knew he had a gotten a great deal from the state and shrugged his shoulders sheepishly when we discussed it. hey, if they're willing to pay it why shouldn't i take it type of attitude. i can't blame him.
however, lets get real; there is no, (and i mean nada) correlation between academic funding and educational achievement. in that regard, educational funding is like gun laws; simply feel good legislation with absolutely no measurable effect. on the other hand, there is a huge correlation between academic achievement and parental attitudes about education. and that in a nutshell is the problem with california. it's the culture stupid! california is full of people which are simply not good citizens. compare the bathroom stalls at LAX with those at Minneapolis Saint Paul. which airport has higher maintenance costs and why? repeat this for every aspect of life in california where government expenditures are required.
let me say it again so those who are having problems with the concept. CALIFORNIA IS THE HIGHEST TAXED STATE IN THE NATION. and what do we for the highest taxes? the best roads? hell no. the best schools? yes if you count the phsical plant but no if you count the students. the best health care? give me a break, last summer i was in the emergency room in la habra with my 12 year old with a broken arm. eight hours to get it set. what the f**K? this is what i get for my taxes? low crime? the indian take away two blocks from my home shut down after shooting. the starbucks a block away; armed robbery. our car, stolen out of our driveway. my kids having to watch other kids shake down the employees at taco bell for free food. a half dozen home invasion robberies within walking distance. and can i carry concealed for my own protection. noooooo! that would be dangerous. f' em all.
and some of you say the solution is to raise my taxes. we already have the highest taxes. i repeat, we do not have a revenue problem!!
When Michael Huffington spent around $30 Million of his money on a failed senate seat bid about 15 years ago, I wondered how he was planning to make up the difference between a senator's salary and the cost of doing business?
With regard to water usage is Sac, CA, my mother lives there....
She stated that previously, there were no individual water meters on homes (I can only assume that this also applied to businesses.)...I suspect that this was as a result of unending water supply from (IIRC the American River through town)...It appears, from my mother's comments that there is and has been a plan to install individual meters on individual homes...
California's highest marginal income tax rate is 10.55%. The sales tax in many areas (like San Francisco's 9.5%) are among the highest in the US. The state tax on Corporations is about 9%. With tax rates already high, this is a spending problem.
We're way OT here but you asked why I qualified with "supposedley". I heard this through the USMC grapevine 18 years ago. I don't remember seeing it in the press. Probably an urban legend which I shouldn't have even raised.
I'm not sure what authority was referenced to order the Marines in to LA to support civil law enforcement, but that definitely did happen.
Male chauvinism. Most people think teachers are overpaid because it is a "woman's" job--and only a supplement to a family's income. This is the 21st century--the education requirements are greater than those needed to be a cpa. Teachers are not overpaid.
I think Brad Setser at CFR has kept a pretty detailed running narrative on this, including some good detail. If I came away with the correct understanding, the shrinking trade balances will be reflected in a reduction in foreign Treasury holdings.
"California's highest marginal income tax rate is 10.55%. The sales tax in many areas (like San Francisco's 9.5%) are among the highest in the US. The state tax on Corporations is about 9%. With tax rates already high, this is a spending problem."
not true, it's a shrinking tax base issue. where the old get a great deal on property taxes and the young and productive get taxed a lot on income taxes. everybody should be taxed the same on property taxes. if people cannot pay, then downsize and move to a cheaper place. that simple.
"You think he believes in state ownership of the means of production and distribution? In the US?"
Proof is in the pudding. Let's see how long it takes for GM, Chrysler, AIG, FNM, FRE, and others (government-subsidized banks) to be truly privatized once again. Or, let's watch what happens with health care.
In a lot of things the last few percent are the costliest or hardest. Lat 10 yards in football, climbing to the top of Everest from last camp, the last few percent in sports car handling,
educating the most disabled, keeping people alive in hospital the last week.
IThe last two are the biggies in education and health care. And interestingly, at least in part they result from decisions made not by the state by by individuals who then have a claim on the public purse.
I am happy that say Gov. Palin chose to have her Downs baby. But she is more then happy to insist that the public support her child in special ed. A person going into hospital is the one who decides DNR. If they choose to accept heroic means, then the Medical Staff is forced to apply whatever expensive procedures they can to buy a couple of weeks of comotose life. Supported again by you and me
The problem with our legal system is that it goes to the limit of reasonable and then beyond to absurd. And it is almost impossible to prevent. A decision on the edge of reasonableness becomes the law and the law then becomes recented at this point. The penumbria of this case sets a new edge of reasonableness etc.
Can you see even this SCOTUS deciding that a community can put a cap on special ed spending or end-of- life medical care???
We're way OT here but you asked why I qualified with "supposedley". I heard this through the USMC grapevine 18 years ago. I don't remember seeing it in the press. Probably an urban legend which I shouldn't have even raised.
I'm not sure what authority was referenced to order the Marines in to LA to support civil law enforcement, but that definitely did happen.
Chainsaw,
I'm interested in this story because some posters here regularly invoke the possibility of future urban unrest because of the economic crisis. I know there has been some discussion in the past in Marine Corps publications of applying small war doctrine to internal US situations. I don't believe that there is more than minority interest in that possibility, though my info is also way out of date.
I believe that there was some fire in the incident. Sometimes, in the heat of the moment, things happen which are not strictly speaking legal.
In the last year she spent a lot of time in the hospital--cause she was mugged.
Heart problems, predating but aggravated by being tossed down the stairs.
Pacemaker installed.
Then she got a hernia where the mugger--a woman--had kicked her. More money.
Ok, I can see a slippery slope in front of me. Mom is happy and enjoys life and
drives & is living with us, and is sound of mind, if forgetful. Nobody hits you on
the head with a brick and says ok, right here is the bright line for going over the
slippery slope. Of course, sometimes the interventions are clearly foolish and
expensive. But you get walked into them bit by bit.
I saw tanks in the late 80s on the Baltimore Washington Parkway headed for DC. 14th Street was
burning at the time.
It never occured to me that this was illegal.
We were close enought to hear the shouting in the Balto riots then, and for a whle there were
soldiers on the corners. Young kids armed to the teeth. They made me nerviouser than the
rioters, but there were no incidents that I ever knew of.
Just looking at some historical data on Cali budgets. Is this correct - state expenditures jumped from $80B in '04 to $105B in '07? That is an enormous rate of increase - what were they spending it on?
Not clear to me this isn't a bit of a....manufactured...crisis.
first. if only i can get to work this early...
UhOh...........Where is that Mommy Czar?
Maybe California should become a bank.
What's the worst thing that could happen having an arty ex-pat Austrian strongman as your leader?
(piggy-backed from last thread)
Somebody mentioned yesterday that they saw empty spots in San Pedro, where there used to be football fields of new cars going nowhere fast previously.
Where'd they go?
O's Cali Plan
No
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
ABSOLUTLEY NOT
ok Here's 150 billion
JD,
Answer: Lot's of activity groups, like the boy scouts. Like.
--bh
"These policymakers continue to watch the situation closely and do not rule out helping the state if its condition significantly deteriorates, a senior administration official said."
........there's the "out".
Why doesn't California become a bank holding company?
Re Austrian ex-pat Governator: a toothbrush moustache does not a revolution make.
"What's the worst thing that could happen having an arty ex-pat Austrian strongman as your leader?"
......having a Democratically controlled State House & Senate
O.k. So, the administration feels CA can hold out longer...how long? 2 or 4 weeks before mob rule?
--bh
This is to funny! Pot meet kettle! The feds are so good good at financial discipline!
FED to Cali : "Sorry we're TARPed out"
Got pig(ged)?
Replying to shill's post in the previous thread in regards to layoffs:
FedEx is going to lay the lumber to folks in its "Services" (IT, Software, etc) division at the end of this month or first of next month. Although everyone got a pay reduction across the board last fall, it hasn't stopped the bleeding.
Also if other areas of the country are like mine, there are many more cuts coming that have made it through the grapevine but haven't turned up on a press release or news article yet.
I'd like to take this time to bag on Austrians...
Not only were they responsible for World War 1, but they also get the blame for kicking off the Great Depression as well. Arnold looks like he'll be following suit.
....c'mon.........someone say it.........."It's because of Prop-13 that we're in this predicament......"
TII,R?
Looking like another Summer of Love in Cali.
Infllation in the things you need, deflation in the things you cannot afford.
Dawg, I got pigged. Again.
I used to hold that view. But it's not happening, at least in my life. Things I want are definitely going down. Way down in many instances. But the things I need such as food, energy, shelter, insurances are no longer increasing as quickly. In fact, many of my needs are decresing in cost.
Is this permanent? I don't know. But looking at the behaviour of those around me, I don't see people rushing to spend their money in order to beat price increases. Just the opposite. People are economizing in all area - needs and wants.
Demand is on the ropes imo. That's not inflationary against a backdrop of over-capacity.
....c'mon.........someone say it.........."It's because of Prop-13 that we're in this predicament......"
Can I say "It's because of Prop-13 that you're in this predicament!"?
Grant California the authority to print its own currency. Great as a canary for the rest of the nation that already does.
Barack Oburgundy: And I'm the President. Go f--k yourself, California!
The state could hold out a bit longer for . . . what? I believe Washington continues to anticipate a 2H09 recovery. It's like a talisman or an act of faith.
I note the WaPo coverage treats Cali's revenue problems but, like most, doesn't want to go into the budgetary morass.
From previous thread
creditcriminalsoverlap: "Milk is down 25% or more from last year...."
Not where I shop, BJ's wholesale...in a bad neighborhood
I keep track of various items from time to time (in a very unprofessional manor, I might add), but it has been much more reliable then CPI for the last eight years.
I know, I shouldn't believe my lying eyes.
Up here in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) there would be heck to pay if Obama bailed out CA. WA and OR are in just as much trouble on a per capita basis, but have done what is necessary to balance their budgets. So the Feds should bail out CA because they are too irresponsible to manage their own affairs?
Bailout banks but not states....Osama (not Obama) says yes, keep up the good work!
....LOL.......one more thing and I'll go feed & clean.......c'mon, lets hear it: ........."If we only legalized "pot" and taxed it, all our worries.........
snark/off
.............later
California should apply to become a bank. Problem solved
Prop 13 is the only thing saving the State. Ventura County has seen property tax revenues rise every year for 30 years until 2009 when revenues declined 4.5% about the same as 2007. A stable growing revenue source that has essentially remained flat in the face of 40% declines in the underlying asset value. If everything were as well designed and implemented there'd be no budget crisis.
burnside (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:27 am
The state could hold out a bit longer for . . . what? I believe Washington continues to anticipate a 2H09 recovery. It's like a talisman or an act of faith.
It is like when you are in a 2:1 or 3:1 dogfight. You're theoretically dead but you just keep flying and fighting, you never know, the other guys could bingo and drop out or have a heart attack or something.
They are trying hard to postpone the day when 47 states line up at the gates of the White House and rattle their cups against the bars. There is no way the GSE/FHLB/GNM/PBGC crisis can be beaten. With 47 states at the tit, the only thing that will change is the MTF on the Federal budget tapdance will roll back toward the now a considerable distance. They are just trying to postpone it and hope for some sort of miracle.
I fully expect a last minute financial pardon of the governator by the powers that be. If they could shovel $50 billion into a corpse like GM, why stop there?
Many commenters here bash Obama no matter what he does. One would assume the right wingers here would cheer the CA message--one would be wrong. Hatred makes the mind fuzzy.
Could we cue up Bohemian Rhapsody by Queen
Would the Washington Post borrow a page from CR's book and adopt the "hoocoodanode" tag? They'd wear it out in a month.
Dawg: +1 Wish I'd said it, but knew you would, and better.
. . . federal officials are worried that a bailout of California would set off a cascade of demands from other states.
No kidding.
The Administration made the right decision
Mel,
I dont think they are bashing BO on this one as much as laughing at the plight of CA and their lets do it if it feels good philosophy. Their legislature needs to look at some of their programs, salaries , services and make cuts before they come with hand out. IMHo
@Mel - I applaud the decision, though expect it to be reversed in a month or so. In addition, I'd call on the admin to extend the concept of balanced budgets for the States to the Fed. gov't too, starting with the current fiscal year. Shouldn't be a problem, right?
Yes, we can!
I'm not convinced that prop 13 is a good idea, but rob dawg is right, it should make the state revenue LESS vulnerable to swings in RE prices.
"If they could shovel $50 billion into a corpse like GM, why stop there? "
The difference is the Feds need a new income stream available through business profits as they can not tax much more as much needed to function in the future. It won't work but that is the idea. Cali government will never provide a revenue stream but a new dependence on the Fed.
I suspect a good many of the Obama bashers were silent as church mice from 2001 to 2009, back when they could made a difference by standing up to tyranny-but didn't.
If they could shovel $50 billion into a corpse like GM, why stop there?
GM doesn't have any electoral college votes.
From Cali,
O Sh*t, we is screwed...
@Ben - unless the gov't is planning on taxing losses, they're not going to get squat out of GM or Chrysler for the foreseeable future.
While I am truly relieved that we aren't bailing out California (yet), I stand in amazement of the irony of Federal officials chastising Cali for being fiscally irresponsible.
It's cute the way the Feds and the other 49 are pretending they have a choice whether to bail out California.
Obama is right so far but will he cave in like everything else with a bail out?
/snip from the article
These policymakers continue to watch the situation closely and do not rule out helping the state if its condition significantly deteriorates, a senior administration official said. But in that case, federal help would carry conditions to protect taxpayers and make similar requests for aid unattractive to other states, the official said. The official did not detail those conditions.
/snip
Interesting: How will we protect taxpayers? What is a warrant on a State? How do you protect the 9 out of 10 other taxpayers from the 1 out of 10 benficiaries? This seems odd at best.
How do we make aid unattractive?
If you accept this aid, you must wear this dress and do a little dance,...now let me get my camera...
???
-bh
sportsfan (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:36 am reply Ignore user . . . federal officials are worried that a bailout of California would set off a cascade of demands from other states.
No kidding.
The Administration made the right decision
** of course they could force you to take it just like stimulus, then the "states" cant refuse the offer from Dom Obama..
How will we protect taxpayers?
Nationalize the California prison system.
I'd like to take this time to bag on Austrians...
Not only were they responsible for World War 1, but they also get the blame for kicking off the Great Depression as well. Arnold looks like he'll be following suit.
That just shows that Austrians are ahead of the curve, a leading indicator if you will. Watch for the final leg down into oblivion to be kicked off by a central European currency crisis taking down an Austrian bank.. I kid, I kid.
Hooray for O-! Stick to your guns, man!
Yes, 'Summer of Love' it may be, with welfare cut off in July.
Good thing my son and I took our 'Defensive Shotgun' class on Sunday.
We are ready for the unrest here in La Jolla, now. I sense some growing unease in the penny loafer crowd, here.
In Cali, I guess that time has arrived...
Head to your bunkers with spam, guns and ammo...
This situation is really bad...however MSM says we have turned the corner...Ya, right...
Who in Cali ever thought that the 'big one' was going to be along de(credit)fault?
. . . of course they could force you to take it just like stimulus, . . . .
Actually, the net result will be the same when D.C. finds far fewer funds coming in from California.
How many hours before they reverse the decision?
rally monkey beat me to it.
I think they just say no for a while, try to force the state to try something smarter than revenue anticipation crap. But they wont let them twist in the wind forever. Give it a month at most. Too risky. CA too big to fail. Bwahahahaha.
TARP,
Agreed. that's why I said.
"It won't work but that is the idea."
Rob Dawg,
Exactly.
It's actually absurd to pretend that we are not going to bail them out. You know, they are a state of the union. And that goes for the other 49. Of course we'll bail them out.
--bh
How is the muni market reacting?
I am at this stage, that the USG revokes Cali's statehood...
Obviously we are not grown up enough to handle our finances....Time for the USG to step in and rewrite our state constitution...
sportsfan,
No problems, no worries, we'll just print more...as long as we have checks in the checkbook.....
It is gonna be a close race: Snake Plissken, escape from LA or New York? Which one will happen first?
The only question is where will Barack hang his 'Mervyn King' award.
Yeh, they will bail, perhaps, but it sets up a weird precedent. Bailing them to the tune of $25 bil is just the tab for THIS year. And then everyone else comes running with their cup out for a handout. NExt thing you know, youve already got yourself half way to stimulus package 2. And you cant just throw that kind of money around without congress getting into the act. So, this will take time to play out...and will linger at least until it is clear to the green shoots crowd that the shoots is dead and there aint no 2nd half recovery til 2010.
"Grant California the authority to print its own currency."
Ojai, CA might create it's own local currency. Kind of silly, but who knows.
Group in Ojai looks into local currency» Ventura County Star
I wonder what the IMF would prescribe for California government in exchange for a loan?
Independent Californians coined their own money from 1849 to 1854, so there is precedence...
And now, for a Moment of Drive-By Partisanship, brought to you by your friendly Comrade:
Ok, c'mon now, where are all my bailout-nation-Obama-is-a-Socialist peeps now? C'mon...where is the shrieking about taking from the worthy to give to the unworthy? Hmm?
Puhleez...I love the smell of Sacred Cow Memes being sacrificed in the morning...this was kind of like the gun-grabbers voting to legalize them in the National Parks...
Next Up: Pot Head Amnesty and Prison Guard Layoffs...
lost-confused,
It goes the other way. Fed refuses to bail-out CA, CA decides that the USG has abrogated its responsibilities to the states and begins process for recognition as a new country to the U.N. 11th largest world economy, distinct culture, oppressed by US. CA gets immediate recognition from Russia, Venezuela, and Cuba, with China to follow shortly.
Should be interesting. Or maybe we'll just bail them out, but Hollywood can make the movie (TM'd to blackhat).
--bh
If CA gets bailed out, we should go ahead and eliminate federalism--it's archaic.
Suckers. We have all the cards. If we miss one bond payment, the house of cards collapses.
And we never, ever, call it "Cali".
California issued its own gold coins within the last couple of decades. Don't think they are still doing it now, though.
TARP: Who in Cali ever thought that the 'big one' was going to be along de(credit)fault?
TARP, I have been noting and logging monthly California (and Florida) tax receipts for three years, now. If one believed that housing was in a bubble here on the Left Coast and that the bubble would pop, one could easily figure that big hits to tax receipts would result (from falling employment).
California tax receipts were last positive, year over year, in December '07.
Burn, baby, burn!
Sow the seeds for the Libertarian revolution!
Next Up: Pot Head Amnesty and Prison Guard Layoffs...
It's about time.
California needs a Californiathon, is Jerry Lewis available?
I wonder what the IMF would prescribe for California government in exchange for a loan?
Depends on whether IMF considers Cali a first or third world country. If the former, probably a no-doc, zero percent down loan. If the latter, then Latvia, Argentina, etc.
Bankers are our friends. People... not so much.
Obama to California:
"(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
What you say?
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
Woah Woman, oh woman, don't treat me so mean,
You're the meanest old woman that I've ever seen.
I guess if you say so
I have to pack ma things and go. (That's right)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
What you say?
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
well baby, listen baby, don't ya treat me this-a way
Cause I'll be back on my feet some day.
(Don't care if you do 'cause it's understood)
(you ain't got no money you just ain't no good.)
Well, I guess if you say so
I'd have to pack my things and go. (That's right)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)
What you say?
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more, no more, no more, no more.)
(Hit the road Jack and don't you come back no more.)"
Maybe California could issue a new currency and name it "New Jack"?
As an outsider, I would like to see CA default, and how the courts would react. We need a state bk law, and until we have one, the game is interesting if your seated far from the court.
Predictably, RD offers his mindless defense of Prop 13, ignoring as he always does the unintended consequences it has had for corporate landowners.
So California is about to run out of money. And the misery for all but the RD's of this state is about to kick up yet another notch.
My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County and they will be going out on strike come fall unless the district can find a way to give them a decent contract. Their union rejected with a 98% vote the last contract offer that would increase class sizes 30% and eliminate health care benefits -- a de facto pay cut of over 20%.
But hey, so long as Chevron can continue to pay pennies on the dollar on its tax obligations everything's a.o.k. with the libertarian fools who wouldn't know a fair tax system if it hit them square in the face.
As for prop 13, with the average house changing hands every 6 or 7 years(?) most homes catch up with more current tax valuations. As Rob points out, property tax revenue is more stable as the big downturns are not significant. The best part of prop 13 is that it does protect people who are planning for retirement and need some stability in their future liabilities. In effect they pay more during their productive years and less in retirement when they are actually using less services (think education, half of the CA budget). So some businesses get away with low property taxes...that may be the one incentive to operate a large business in CA. Better yet, it rewards long term businesses the most.
Mel (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:49 am
If CA gets bailed out, we should go ahead and eliminate federalism--it's archaic.
Oh don't do that, you'll just need to reinvent it momentarily when the central state loses steerage.
Blackhat,
sorry no independent status for CA...We can not handle our finances as it stands...We are looking for someone to rewrite our state political system...Who? UN? Mexico?
By the way, CA residences have relatives throughout the US....
Man, this is not Texas, a providence of Mexico...This is a state in the US...
Bring it on!!!! I've been waiting for this to happen for YEARS!!!!! I'm going to laugh if I hear anyone say that Obama will bail-out Wall Street but not them! Let the Revolution begin!!!!
We are all Contra Costa Feedom Fighters now...
"Man, this is not Texas, a providence of Mexico...This is a state in the US..."
Si, Senor. Viva las Tejas!
Predictably, RD offers his mindless defense of Prop 13, ignoring as he always does the unintended consequences it has had for corporate landowners.
peterb, that was the INTENDED consequence of Proposition 13.
The whole point was to get the dumb suckers to vote in favor of the biggest corporate tax relief in history.
I campaigned against it. People refused to understand the significance, but liked Howard Jarvis.
peterb (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 10:52 am
My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County and they will be going out on strike come fall unless the district can find a way to give them a decent contract. Their union rejected with a 98% vote the last contract offer that would increase class sizes 30% and eliminate health care benefits -- a de facto pay cut of over 20%.
The money, it is not there.
Do not blame today. Blame 20 years of yesterdays.
You are stupid if you try to dig your way out. The past was ready, willing and eager to bury you in its deferred payables. Confront the fact that the problem is not in the now, but in the past. Default on your impossible obligations and devise a rational budget that is within your current means.
Trying to raise revenue will just pin you into an impossible situation.
This is on topic, so I'll post the link again:
UCLA Forecast Says State Worker Layoffs Could Top 60,000
Carnage.
Come on, anyone can teach those kids. The Kindergarten Governor proved that.
Byz Ruins would say volunteers can rotate...
How come RD hasn't reminded us, correctly, that Cali has a SPENDING problem, not a .. O never mind..
-K
"So California is about to run out of money...
...My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County and they will be going out on strike come fall unless the district can find a way to give them a decent contract. Their union rejected with a 98% vote the last contract offer that would increase class sizes 30% and eliminate health care benefits -- a de facto pay cut of over 20%. "
Not to be too dense or inconsiderate, but how does those two lines jive?
Your state is going broke and cannot meet its existing obligations. From what I've read, most of CA's counties are in the same boat or worse like Oakland. Facing this situation, the teachers of your county want more blood from the CA stone.
Are they striking in wanting everyone involved with the local government to take 20% pay cuts or everyone but them take the 20% adjustment?
Here's what one of the PimpCo funds thinks... started cliff-diving about a week ago:
PCQ: Basic Chart for PIMCO CAL MUN INC FD - Yahoo! Finance
lost-confused,
in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state--however this may also end-up enshrining political and commerical interests over the will of the people to create a more efficient corporatist state.
/sorry, left the colander on my head
--bh
@Mel - revoke federalism - I was thinking if CA gets bailed out we're on the way to seeing the United STATE of America, under the consolidation act of 2012.
Economically, Cali is going to get the bailout, after they posture through making a few billion in 'less growth' cuts. Taking too many billions out of the borrowed economy would just require another federal stimulus package anyway.
If he's going to eventually bail out CA he shouldn't act like he isn't.
It strikes me of poor politics.
Luckily for him CA is democrat anyway so the state isn't going to do much to defend itself.
sportsfan, there are no 'corporate taxes'; such are all borne, ultimately, by individuals as higher prices, reduced dividend checks, or reduced capital gains.
When Chevron pays lower taxes, you as a shareholder get a bigger dividend check or a higher stock price, or you as a consumer get a lower price at the pump.
"My wife is a teacher in West Contra Costa County"
She doesn't teach business, accounting or math does she?
"I was thinking if CA gets bailed out we're on the way to seeing the United STATE of America, under the consolidation act of 2012."
And what's sad about that (if it actually happens) is that most Americans would not understand its significance. Most people aren't well educated in the matters of the State.
June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief economist Jim O’Neill said financial markets could weaken in coming weeks amid concern about governments’ intentions on rolling backing stimulus packages.
“I wouldn’t be surprised if what started yesterday is the beginning of a correction that goes on a few weeks,” O’Neill said in an interview today in Monaco. “The markets have had a lot of juice thrown at them. You take away a bit of the juice, at first it’s going to be a bit trickier.”
Global stocks dropped yesterday, cooling a rally that’s seen the MSCI World Index surge 33 percent over the past three months. Markets fell after officials from the Group of Eight nations started drawing up contingency plans over the weekend to withdraw more than $2 trillion in stimulus from their economies.
Policy makers including U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner conceded that they’ll have to tread a fine line as withdrawing aid too soon could choke off recovery. U.S. stock futures rose today, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may rebound from its biggest drop in a month, as housing starts topped economists’ estimates in May.
peterb, sorry about your families predicament. Maybe you can help answer these questions.
Why has education spending in CA continued to grow even as enrollments are dropping?
Why are they building new schools that are now sitting empty or being mothballed (at least here in Ventura and LA counties)?
Why are the teachers so upset about cutting the school year 6 or 7 days when my kids are watching movies and playing board games for the last two weeks of the year? I let them stay home the last week because they were doing absolutely nothing at school. This is at a school with API scores of 911 this year.
Is the problem really that the money does not work it's way down to the classroom from administration?
I say we take all of the convicts & all the people employed in watching over them in California, and create a devil's island sanctuary for them on say, Palmyra Island in the South Pacific.
Woah. Interesting error message from Hoocoodanode:
From Drupal:
"If you are the maintainer of this site, please check your database settings in the settings.php file and ensure that your hosting provider's database server is running. For more help, see the handbook, or contact your hosting provider.
The mysqli error was: User dev1 already has more than 'max_user_connections' active connections."
The best part of prop 13 is that it does protect people who are planning for retirement and need some stability in their future liabilities
That's the one and only thing it should do, but it doesn't. And it is long overdue for reform that preserves this essential benefit while remedying the inequalities that have had such disastrous consequences for the State.
Bullshit. I ride a bike and the subway. If Chevron pays lower taxes I pay more.
Man, that would be a sight, 60K teachers laid off.
Lay 'em off, and devolve to private schools at half the cost.
'Tenure' for teachers; what a joke.
Burn, baby, burn!
solohedger:
And we never, ever, call it "Cali".
Term of endearment. I like the place, and I like the people.
in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state
As conceptualized and implemented by modern Americans! Whoopee! Let's skip the jawboning and get right to the civil war, cannibalism and burning cities.
If Chevron raises the price at the pump because of higher taxes, consumption will go down, and so will their profits.
Yeah, yogi, you pay full price (i.e., cover the full cost) for that subway ride.
Nah, it is Chevron and us car drivers who pay a good part of your bill.
Blackhat,
It does appear that CA's constitution needs to be re cast...Who will do it? Californians will not budge until there is a total shutdown of the govt....My suggestion about the USG stepping in seems to be the only realistic solution, short of total collapse of CA govt...
jmho...
in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state
Sort of like an economic 9/11.
Counterpointer ... in your previous post about the Fed when you linked to Ecstasy of of Gold I
thought here we go - famous fight scene in the desert at the end of the great silent movie 'Greed'
but alas, my hopes were dashed when it turned out to be a mere song by Metallica ...
a band that will not be remembered as long as Erich Von Stroheim ...
The state of virginia just posted it's monthly revenue letter. Last month the decline was 8.6% on revised annual forecast (made on april 8th).
"The weak economy continues to negatively affect general fund revenue collections. In May,
total general fund revenues fell 15.6 percent compared to May 2008. Most of the decline was
due to a drop in collections of sales tax, individual nonwithholding, and recordation taxes, along
with a continuing surge in individual refunds. Individual withholding also contributed to the
decline from last May, largely due to one less deposit day than last year.
On a year-to-date basis, total revenues fell 9.3 percent, trailing the revised annual forecast of a
7.3 percent decline. Most of the revenue sources with the exception of nonwithholding and
recordation taxes are lagging their forecasts, while individual refunds are up sharply from the
same period last year."
http://www.finance.virginia.gov/KeyDocuments/RevenueReports/FY2008-2009/revenueLetter-5-09.pdf
So the official Federal line is, "We have all the money it takes to send to private banks in need, but no money for our states."
No one is going to accept that.
There is no chance whatsoever that CA doesn't receive funds at the time they're needed.
Note: I don't agree with any bailouts, even California. But this is the moral hazard the Federal government has undertaken by giving institutions like BAC and C billions of dollars.
And I pay for your stupid highways.
Well I have to admit the economy in my area is quite busy, especially in the Guns and Ammo sector.
"in all seriousness, this may be the teacable moment the administration has been waiting for in the middle of this crisis, that is to re-write the constitution and create a more governable state."
Imagine a country held hostage to late 18th century laws concerning guns?
Attempted to post, finally came thru, however, has anyone heard of Drupal...web page that stated that this webpage was not accepting any comments.
just curious...
Ooh, that's an ugly hit to the PimPco Cal. Muni. fund.
I hope Robyn got her money out in time.
I don't see how California can fix itself without dumping its outrageous retirement packages for state workers. The only way out is to declare bankruptcy, right? All this hemming and hawing is just delaying that necessary action. Same goes for New Jersey and other states in hock to their state workers.
Can we get our local National Guard back from Iraq now? We may need them here shortly.
Legislation to let polluters buy and sell carbon-dioxide emissions like pork bellies is the outgrowth of Richard L. Sandor, founder of the Chicago-based network of people trading pollution permits from Beijing to Brussels known as Climate Exchange. It doesn’t hurt that the six-year-old market got $1.1 million of seed money from the city’s Joyce Foundation, whose board included a little-known state senator named Barack Obama. Now the 44th president is determined to enact America’s first limits on greenhouse gases.
That the 67-year-old Sandor finds himself working with Henry Waxman, the California Democrat sponsoring the bill to cap emissions from refiners, utilities and manufacturers, is a belated recognition that Chicago-style pragmatism may prevail in the battle between business and environmentalists.
**who says it isnt about making a profit in the "private sector".
While it's true that corporate taxes are passed onto consumers, corporate tax cuts are usually redirected to salaries and shareholders, not returned to the consumer.
The theory with raising taxes is that government will better spend the revenue for social benefit then corporate executives. Why do tax-cut advocates assume that CEO's are more altruistic or beholden to good ethics then governments? They certainly aren't up for election by the general population.
It's just like the HealthCare canard: "No one want's a government bureaucrat between you and your doctor", which is belied by the current situation of an AIG like bureaucrat between you and your doctor.
Sometime bad is better then worse.
Have a good morning, folks!
Lay 'em off, and devolve to private schools at half the cost.
If you think private schools could take on all students in the public system, you don't know much about costs in public schools. I am not defending the tenure system, the teacher's union or retirement system. One of the biggest costs to public schools is state and federally mandated special education. Private schools refuse to take special ed kids because they cost to much and require very specialized teachers.
Here is a very little bit of waste that could be trimmed with a car allowance or use the mileage tax deduction. It would cut the BS use by family and friends.
Legislators' cars cost taxpayers $3.2 million in three years - Los Angeles Times
Comrade Coinz, don't you know most tax-cut proponents can't handle the truth...
"Can we get our local National Guard back from Iraq now? We may them here shortly."
I remember after the L.A. riots in the early 90's, the National Guard showed up, but it was a different National Guard back then...
They were just regular Joes and Janes, that played soldier a few days a month-not jaded participants in far-off wars. They were a different kettle of fish compared to now.
Fiduciary Doodie,
Isn't it amazing that somehow this whole carbon trading scam will end up earning the Federal government something like a TRILLION dollars over a decade and is being cast as the solution to our massive budget deficits. Sounds to me like a hidden tax and the final incentive for large businesses to relocate to Asia.
w,
Are you aware that California ranks just above Mississippi at the bottom of the nation in per pupil spending?
No one is building schools in the Bay Area. They are closing and consolidating them to save money. And cutting programs that weren't already gone years ago.
Actually, school teachers would probably accept a shortened school year (or cutting a day per month over the school year) as a way of accepting their burden of the load. The problem is the school districts and, apparently people like you, believe they are to blame for the situation. However, you are aware that this would have a direct impact on the quality of education the children of CA receive, right? The school year in the U.S. is already the shortest among most nations with which the U.S. competes. Take a look at Sweden, for example. This is one reason why our kids score so poorly against children in Asia and Europe.
Yep, the old administrative overhead argument is well-worn and is always trotted out when it comes times to screw the teachers.
Iranian News is reporting on the massive demonstration in Sacramento. Tens of thousands of quiet demonstrators wearing gold necklaces are being harassed by Prop 13 militia
Sadly, they weren't silent: they were railing against Tom Daschle, the Dixie Chicks and the dirty hippies who opposed the war and Bush's imperial policies.
Did I mention it was all Clinton's fault?
Just don't expect any honesty, consistency or integrity out of the rightwing shills, and you won't be disapoointed.
Maybe the administration is going to wait until CA are on their knees then make them pilot their pet projects, like extending UE and welfare, authorizing, accepting and recognizing illegals with citizen rights and privaledges to education, health care.....and show that they are fiscally sou....... oh wait a minute, never mind...
Private schools refuse to take special ed kids because they cost to much and require very specialized teachers.
The special ed kids will just have to stay home with their unemployed parents.
It's the aged, blind and disabled who will die first . . . quietly . . . in their homes . . . . when no one comes.
OBR - you forget that pensions/unions now have legal precedence over secured bondholders. A Cali BK would just give the unions and pension funds majority ownership of the state.
60,000 out of 250,000 is a good start.
"While it's true that corporate taxes are passed onto consumers,"
Except that it isn't, unless there is an illegal trust. 100% of the tax can not be passed to consumers, because any rise in price reduces demand.
Comrade-Dope jg (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 11:04 am
Yeah, yogi, you pay full price (i.e., cover the full cost) for that subway ride.
Nah, it is Chevron and us car drivers who pay a good part of your bill.
I think this is a specious argument, or at least one that will end with tail-chasing cries of moral superiority / victory from both sides.
The indirect costs of automobile usage could be toted up in any number of ways and "prove" they were more heavily subsidized.
This will quickly devolve into people waving spreadsheets and shouting about the comparative size and number of large flowing body of water crossings per hectare, and how each side is cheating on capacity and cost overrun figures. What a miserable exercise.
I for one would be much more comfortable if these choices were openly made on irrational or strategic grounds, because attempts to cloak them in figures to give them a patina of rationality isn't going to change the fact that everyone came to the table with the outcome in mind.
School vouchers would solve the education problem, even if they paid less then public schools would get. Watch the mass exodus from public schools!
"Sadly, they weren't silent: they were railing against Tom Daschle, the Dixie Chicks and the dirty hippies who opposed the war and Bush's imperial policies."
I wish i'd had my camera with me, when I was working out at the gym in early April 2003, as pro-war demonstrators were on PCH with signs and bullhorns as the rain was falling down on them...
yogi is correct - in theory corporate income taxes are the perfect tax in basic economics classes, because they cannot be avoided while pursuing profit maximizing behavior.
Unfortunately, in the real world we have loopholes and offshore havens.
I lived in CA in '78 when then Gov Jerry Brown did not take Prop 13 as seriously as he should have,
at least from what I read in the papers he didn't seem to think it had much chance of passage and
did not get out on the hustings to defeat it....
that's what a Jesuitical education will do to you...
Treasury-Altered Reality Plan
+5
peterb, why so nasty? I asked valid questions and think you might have insight from the teachers side.
Those rankings on teacher/pupil spending can surely be manipulated by both sides to create soundbites so I refuse to believe them.
Teachers are not screwed. In Ventura County the average teachers earns almost exactly the average FAMILY income amount of $60,000 a year. On top of that they have incredible benefits that most of us only dream of.
Camera? I wish you had a balloon filled with pee.
So, if CA has one of the lowest states in per pupil spending does it follow that they are one of the lowest paying states for teacher wages ?
JD,
Actually after the LA Riots, we sent the 5th Marine Regiment up from Camp Pendleton to help civil law enforcement. I was with the 1st Marine Division at the time, although I didn't "deploy" to LA.
There were some stories about police officers asking Marines to cover them while they approached a residence. In one case this resulted in the Marines laying down covering/suppressing fires on an apartment building when the police received fire from inside. Don't think the bad guys were expecting the 600 rounds per minute they were receiving from the SAWs.
"Unfortunately, in the real world we have loopholes and offshore havens. "
Not to mention oligopolies.
@Basel Too: Sort of like an economic 9/11.
I admit I haven't been reading much of the editorial pages as of late, but has anyone drawn the analogy between this disaster-in-the-making new financial "regulatory" regime and the Department of Homeland Security and its origins? Is this so obvious that nobody bothers writing about it?
You tell me now?
//"Those revenue projections turned out to be wildly optimistic, but nobody was predicting the October collapse of the financial markets,"//
@ Comrade-Dope jg
Man, that would be a sight, 60K teachers laid off
Uh huh...and when that still doesn't close the gap, and the 1/3 of the kids who the private schools evict are just sitting around with their thumbs up their a**es, what will you do? Do you really want to live inside an armed compound? Seriously, move to Mexico already. Teachers and schools are much cheaper for warehousing than prisons.
Prop 13 will have to go as will the amendment function. Keep the budget agreement requirement at 2/3s - but equalize the requirement for new mandates to match the requirement for new revenues.
Well, do whatever you want, but if you turn California into a disaster zone with Libertarian fantasy policies, please don't come to Virginia when you have to flee California. We did have two idiot governors in a row, but they were preceeded by two sensible ones and followed by two sensible ones...and our legislature isn't so irresponsible. We don't need ideological flakes messing up our constituencies.
CC gave us this a link with this info:
This is on topic, so I'll post the link again:
UCLA Forecast Says State Worker Layoffs Could Top 60,000
Carnage.
That's it?
Whom will lose their job? Of course they'll do scare tactics (Prisons, welfare, fire, police, roads, etc.) But can they really cut services to the middle class and keep a working population?
To say the least, interesting times ahead.
Oh, Prop 13 was a shot across the state's bow to control spending and not tax everyone to death. Remember how many people were being taxed out of their homes? This is a HIGH TAX state! High income, utility, corporate, and other taxes. The only tax you can moderate is property tax. Should Prop 13 be modified? Sure. But if this state raises taxes too much, you will see an exodus. Spending is out of control that delivers very few services to the middle class (compared to other states). Say otherwise? Where are the transportation improvements?
The state must brutally cut spending.
Of course, I'm waiting to see the consequences of the newest foreclosure moretorium. That is just stupid...
Got Popcorn?
Neil
California has been paying more federal taxes than it gets in services for may a year----
I don't know if the number would cover the current deficit though. It is best to be a small red state, as you end up with a large welfare check from the larger states like California.
I thought Clinton deserved the term "slick Willie". But like so much else Obama has out done Bill Clinton , Everything he says needs to be read closely - there is always an out and the headline rarely matches the text. He combines the worst of lawyers and journalists with the charm of Ronald Reagan,
Talking of which how is what Krugman is suggesting (and Obama is following) any different to the voodoo economics of Reagan? If we spend more money we will balance the budget in the long term. As I recall Reagan offered tax cuts and increased defense spending as the way of getting to a balanced budget.
BTW I voted for campaigned for and donated to Obama.
An expat austrian leading a proud but bankrupt government.. where have we seen this before?
So, when we inevitably bail out California, will we get an equity stake? Perhaps every US citizen could get a voucher good for one bit appearance in a Hollywood production, or a free bottle of wine?
Waste in Cali- relative works for owner who has a contract with state prison. Talks to guards often. They have 4 100K guards watching over 90 yr old convicts with tubes coming keeping them alive...They can't move out of thier bed let alone hurt someone. My daughter could guard them..or why do the the guards come into work when the hospital ward is closed. The doctors and nurses are off yet 6 guards come to bullsh%t for the day on our dime...
OT-Just made a trip to Lake Havasu from San Francisco and back- truck traffic light, cre space everywhere along 101, rail traffic across mojave was light, planes in storage in mojave were less than after 9/11 and I did see Jas at cherry stand coming out of tehachapi selling treasuries along with $4.00 basket..went with the cherries...
never did figure that out- why the Blue state liberals would be such fans of the Federal government. It seems to me that the winners of downsizing the Federal government and moving power and money back to the States helps the blue states and hurts the Red states.
So if CA were to announce that it was legalizing pot (with the aim of collecting taxes from the big underground economy) how long before the war on drugs czar would be making presentations to the administration on how we need to give CA the bailout to prevent them from opening the gates?
Sort of like North Korea testing a new missile to get attention. Once that works, time to announce....
Attitudes and beliefs die hard.
Hedge-Fund Startups Sprout as Roc Gathers $1 Billion (Update2)
Hedge-Fund Startups Sprout as Roc Gathers $1 Billion (Update2) - Bloomberg.com
By Saijel Kishan and Katherine Burton
June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Arvind Raghunathan, former head of Deutsche Bank AG’s global arbitrage business, will open his new hedge-fund firm next month with more than $1 billion, a sign that investors are trickling back after record losses last year.
Roc Capital Management LP’s assets will include $500 million in a separate account from Deutsche Bank, according to people familiar with the New York-based firm, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. It’s the largest hedge-fund startup this year, one of at least eight expected to raise more than $250 million each, according to brokers who provide credit and lend securities to managers.
The ventures are being set up by
Chainsaw (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 11:17 am
In one case this resulted in the Marines laying down covering/suppressing fires on an apartment building when the police received fire from inside. Don't think the bad guys were expecting the 600 rounds per minute they were receiving from the SAWs.
Exercise for reader:
Speculate on the ethnic/social/political identity of the writer and the ethnic/social/political status writer projects on persons he assigns "bad guy" status.
Speculate on how the narrative would be written differently if the actors had different ethnic/social/political makeups.
As best as you're able, as yourself, how do your own perceived identity and your own projections of authorial and subject identity color your opinion?
Matter for consideration: When considering providing area suppressive fire into a potentially occupied structure in the United States, are there "bad guys" inside absent judicial action?
Juvenile Delinquent,
Parking cars at the port is the most expensive storage option available. Over time, the logistics staff at the OEM's would have made arrangements to move the cars somewhere else where the storage charges (per day) were lower. The initial backup was cause because the OEM's are not organized to store large amounts of cars. They're organized to sell large amounts of cars.
Based on my last flight into Ontario airport, I would guess a fair numbers of these cars are parked in the Inland Empire.
California has the added whammy of being in the midst of a 3 year drought and the powers that be aren't letting on how bad it's gonna be, because like matters financial, most Californians are so far removed from where the water comes from, that they have no idea what's really happening...
But I know that them bad guys are bad and stupid.
//Matter for consideration: When considering providing area suppressive fire into a potentially occupied structure in the United States, are there "bad guys" inside absent judicial action?//
good to see Jas landed on his feet
Thanks for the report, RockyR.
We had a big spike of usage there that seems to be down now. I also found two bots that were probing the site, shut them off. Let me know via feedback if you see any more of these messages.
Environmentalism does not help them build new projects either.
//California has the added whammy of being in the midst of a 3 year drought and the powers that be aren't letting on how bad it's gonna be, because like matters financial, most Californians are so far removed from where the water comes from, that they have no idea what's really happening...//
Is it possible, that all the new cars are headed to the only viable marketplace for chariots currently?
China.
The biggest problem with public schools is cronyism and incompetence among ADMINISTRATORS. They are the ones really overpaid. Usually (not always) they are inept teachers who became administrators through favoratism. They are highly paid for doing nothing to further education of the students, and they have this belief that they are Gods in schools, not really lording over the students, but the teachers. They make teaching miserable for the teachers.
Cut administrator pay, require higher standards to become an administrator (a nationally certified teacher should be a requirement, and people should only be administators at the end of their teaching careers).
If you have to cut teacher pay some, fine, but make sure administrator pay, and also county education board members pay are cut first and most. Those education board members are lowlifes too.
lost-confused, yes, having a surge of usage that I'm trying to track down. The error messages are somewhat cryptic, sorry.
How do we make aid unattractive?
We could provide the aid on the condition that California repeals Proposition 13 and the requirement for 2/3 approval of tax increases.
Will they willingly take a pay and influence cut?
//Cut administrator pay, require higher standards to become an administrator (a nationally certified teacher should be a requirement, and people should only be administators at the end of their teaching careers).//
Lucifer (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 11:27 am
But I know that them bad guys are bad and stupid.
My personal favorite neologos is the infamous "bigtime badguy"
Environmentalism does not help them build new projects either.
//California has the added whammy of being in the midst of a 3 year drought and the powers that be aren't letting on how bad it's gonna be, because like matters financial, most Californians are so far removed from where the water comes from, that they have no idea what's really happening...//
Building new reservoirs for non-existent supplies of H20 wont help matters. The opening of a desalination plant near San Onofre has been stalled by a Surfrider group. They hardly qualify as environmentalists.
As desal uses a ton of electricity, it's imperative that it be hooked up to a nuke, and there's only a few nuke plants in California.
@section321 - that was the expressway, not a parking lot. Hard to tell the diff sometimes.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Technical analyst Robert Prechter on Monday said he sees the United States losing its top AAA credit rating by the end of 2010, as he stuck by a deeply bearish outlook on the U.S. economy and stock market.
Prechter, known for predicting the 1987 stock market crash, joins a growing coterie of market heavyweights in forecasting the United States will lose its top credit rating as the government issues trillions of dollars in debt to fund efforts to bail out the economy.
Fears about the long-term vulnerability of the prized U.S. credit rating came to the fore after Standard & Poor's in May lowered its outlook on Britain, threatening the UK's top AAA rating. That move raised fears that the United States could face a similar risk, with the hefty amounts of government debt issued in both countries to pay for financial rescues causing budget deficits to swell.
solohedger...
I was working as a consultant to a Sr VP who directly reported to the president of the telesector resource group of NyNEX (about 28,000 employees) around the time
of the merger with Bell Atlantic. (I also got to attend meetings with said prez)
that said here's a good story about leverage...
a major NY hospital owed us about 2 million dollars for phone services... but they weren't paying because they had a dispute with about 50K of the total bill...
we said ok, just pay the rest of it and we can work out that 50... they said no way, until our bill is correct we will pay nothing...
so who do you think won?
after months of beating around the bush we informed them that all of their non essential phone services would be shut off in 48 hours....
next day we get a call from a major law firm in NYC...
I quote, "if one patient either dies or has complications due to a shutdown of services we will sue NYNEX for millions and millions of dollars!!"
you probably can guess what we did...
BR,
Speculate to your heart's content.
But honestly, the socio-economic, racial, gender, religous, sexual preference or dietary preferences of the "bad guys" never entered my thoughts. They were supposedley firing on police officers, that makes them "bad guys" in my book.
No offense intended. Dropping subject now.
w, what's that saying about someone being entitled to their own opinion but not their own facts?
Interactive: Per Pupil Spending - CaliforniaConnected.org
And if getting a master's degree in education (is that average?) in order to earn 60K and good medical benefits (Kaiser good?) is such a great deal, how come so few people want to do it?
Sorry if you think I'm being nasty. Not my intention. I just have zero patience for those (not necessarily you) who assume that teaching is an easy profession or that it is particularly well paid, to say nothing of those who would try to use the problems of CA to argue for reducing the slim margin by which teachers currently live.
Byzantine_Ruins,
A lot of people ignore the obvious problem- If you treat an identifiable group of people poorly, they may not play your game.
solohedger...
I was working as a consultant to a Sr VP who directly reported to the president of the telesector resource group of NyNEX (about 28,000 employees) around the time
of the merger with Bell Atlantic. (I also got to attend meetings with said prez)
that said here's a good story about leverage...
a major NY hospital owed us about 2 million dollars for phone services... but they weren't paying because they had a dispute with about 50K of the total bill...
we said ok, just pay the rest of it and we can work out that 50... they said no way, until our bill is correct we will pay nothing...
so who do you think won?
after months of beating around the bush we informed them that all of their non essential phone services would be shut off in 48 hours....
next day we get a call from a major law firm in NYC...
I quote, "if one patient either dies or has complications due to a shutdown of services we will sue NYNEX for millions and millions of dollars!!"
you probably can guess what we did...
black dog,
VA has its problems. Check out the pension funds also. I already see the state setting up its HOV roadblocks on I-66 for those 1st time offense $500 tickets.
It is over. Just the slide into squalor.
That and not tapping the water in northern California and Oregon.
//As desal uses a ton of electricity, it's imperative that it be hooked up to a nuke, and there's only a few nuke plants in California.//
Finally, a benefit to living in Michigan!
The refugee masses from California won't want to live here, either.
mm
I really don't see how the Feds can avoid bailing CA out. It's taking so long because they are trying to figure out how to do it so the other states don't want to be bailed out. CA's electoral votes are reliably democrat and will stay that way bailout or not. What scares Washington are the swing states in bad shape that will go republican if CA gets bailed out but nobody else does.
Talk of California as a country is absolutely laughable. Even if you pay more in Federal taxes than you get back (hey, so do 40% of the states), your benefit from being part of the USA more than makes up for any "savings" you'd get as an independent nation. By a huge margin.
JD-Surfrider is a little more aware of the ocean ecosystem than you I believe....
I thought that hunting small animals for foods was the biggest benefit of living in Michigan.
//Finally, a benefit to living in Michigan!//
Re: CA water shortages, unemployment.
Why do we not tie our immigration numbers (legal immigration!) to the environment and to unemployment levels?
Right now we are still bringing in about 100,000 legal immigrants a month though unemployment is skyrocketing.
Right now we bring in over a million legal immigrants a year, a large portion go to california where there is a water crisis brewing.
How exactly is this massive legal immigration that is blind to environmental impact and unemployment fair to U.S. citizens and the immigrants?
Or is legal immigration not supposed to be fair to U.S. citizens?
I sense some growing unease in the penny loafer crowd, here. ~jg
ROTFLOL! ! ! !
It is time for California-Aid!
A concert for California. It's all about the Children!
Most teachers contract to work about 32 hours a week average over a full year. $60K and any benefits for a part time job is very good. Now let the mud fly!
Ken,there was a link to CR in an LA Times article that was linked to at "Raw Story" which might have prompted the spike.as far as California,CR noted that CA government is completely dysfunctional.His statement is not hyperbole and California is FUBAR.Politically this is one hot potato.I have heard more than one person say "$180 Billion for AIG,zip for California,what does that tell you?"....A nice bullet point for someone.The argument has progressed beyond whether or not we face systemic risk to a point where the question now is "Do we face a complete collapse of society?".
Are you so sure?
//Right now we are still bringing in about 100,000 legal immigrants a month though unemployment is skyrocketing.//
@peterb - My mother is a retired teacher with a Master's degree, and from what I know having grown up around teachers, there are a great many of them who definitely are just in it for the money, more time off a year than most other professions can even dream of, and for really great, indexed pensions.
Hopefully, your wife, like my mother, was in it for the kids, but I'd contend that is the exception, not the rule.
As long as you stay more than 100 miles from Detroit, Michigan in the summer is an amazing place and gives up nothing to any other location in the country. It's the winter that kills you.
Thanks again, KCoop, for keeping one of the best blogs up and running!
It will be either legal and on your terms or you will get an exodus from a failing mexican state.. your choice!
//How exactly is this massive legal immigration that is blind to environmental impact and unemployment fair to U.S. citizens and the immigrants?//
Lucifer,
Yes, you didn't know we average 1 million + legal immigrants a year?
Thats legal immigrants. Thats 100 million new people a century, not including their kids born here over that time. Thats a huge population increase, in an increasingly employment and environmentally challenged land.
Raccoons are in vogue at the moment.
"I thought that hunting small animals for foods was the biggest benefit of living in Michigan."
JD-Surfrider is a little more aware of the ocean ecosystem than you I believe....
Kilgore: You either surf or you fight.
I am sure that native indian tribes had similar issues.
// Thats 100 million new people a century, not including their kids born here over that time.//
"Raccoons are in vogue at the moment.
"I thought that hunting small animals for foods was the biggest benefit of living in Michigan.""
/runs, hides!
Yep, they appear to be banking on the horse learning to sing...
Ah, I remember Michigan in the summer of my youth. The locals who strung cables across paths to catch the dirt bikers and other assorted low lifes who were not locals. Me and my cousins getting hammered. My cousin dying when a car full plowed into a tree drunk. My uncles talking about the Ni##ers. Grandma talking about setting a shotgun up with a trip wire at one her windows.
Lucifer,
Are you responsible for what happened to the indians? I know I am not. Half my ancestors wern't here then.
Why cant we make an immigration policy decision based on today's facts rather than yesterday's mistakes?
cancel the drought..it's raining in So cal. today....
Ciao
MS
There is no law against optimism.
//Yep, they appear to be banking on the horse learning to sing...//
M wrote:
The biggest problem with public schools is cronyism and incompetence among ADMINISTRATORS.
Do you know any school administrators? Do you know what any of them do? As in any organization, more so any government organization, there is incompetence and dead wood, but many school administrative jobs are necessary given current legal requirements for reporting, NCLB compliance, etc. The cost of administration in most districts is very small compared to the cost of the teachers. Just sayin'.
What will the homeless in SF do, I had kinda, sorta planned on retiring as a homeless person there.
The best kept people without homes in the USA.
"Facts" can be altered and manipulated by "experts".
//Why cant we make an immigration policy decision based on today's facts rather than yesterday's mistakes?//
OBAMA TO CAL: "DROP DEAD!"
(This only makes sense if you're old enough to remember "FORD TO NYC: "DROP DEAD!")
I find it interesting there are jobs where it appears to be okay to be openly interested in grubbing for money but other jobs where the individuals are perceived in a negative light when looking after their salaries, sometimes in quite modest ways.
This moral condemnation of the concern about payment for work in some professions but not others is even more amusing given that most of our political and economic leadership have constructed a ideology/system, the foundation of which is that we are all a bunch of rational money grubbers.
remember the story on COF (the delinquency rate and how they basically undereported them) ......well FBR just upgraded them.
Gotta Love that..
Ciao
MS
illegals in Cali state prison..
Lawmaker to Feds: Reimburse California for Illegal Immigrants |
NBC Los Angeles
Easy solution- Pay Mexico 10K per year to house an illegal prisoner in their system, if they are released no 10K..revenue for them, savings for us....
Coinz,
I've met several. The ones I disliked most were the county board.
Big bucks to name schools. Seriously, I asked one straight up (I was a HS student at the time), "What exactly do you do?"
I got an "Um" then "Well we are responsible for naming schools"
c'mon...we've thrown the banksters a few trillion. Whats' another 150 billion or so among friends?
North Carolina is worse off than California. We need 4.5 billion on a 22 billion budget. Ex governor maybe going to jail!
"...the foundation of which is that we are all a bunch of IRrational money grubbers. "
fixed that for you.
The U.S. is not responsible for being the pressure relief valve for mexico's population problems. (Yes I know their TFR is 2.3, but its the momentum from the past thats still the problem)
Kilgore: If I say its safe to surf this beach Captain, then its safe to surf this beach. I mean I'm not afraid to surf this place, I'll surf this whole fucking place!
Change I can believe in..
//Ex governor maybe going to jail!//
the state I grew up in, Indiana, was involved in the scheme to extend the Erie Canal all the way to St Louis, I believe,
so the state issued bonds and the project fell apart due to the advent of the railroad... (can still find the half finished canal
in parts of southern Indiana)... so who bailed Indiana out... as I remember our state went BK... and later passed a
new constitution that did not allow the state to deficit spend until that was amended in the early 90s under Gov Bayh... (I think)...
I got an "Um" then "Well we are responsible for naming schools"
How to tell how old a public school is:
Named after city or town - very old
Named after Washington, Lincoln, or Robert E Lee - almost as old
Named after WWII general - somewhat old
Named after Civil Rights leader etc... Newest
My mother is a retired teacher with a Master's degree, and from what I know having grown up around teachers, there are a great many of them who definitely are just in it for the money, more time off a year than most other professions can even dream of, and for really great, indexed pensions.
Honestly, I don't know how anyone could possibly be in that profession for the money. True enough, the summer off has always been a plus, particularly during the years we were raising our kids.
I'm not sure about your mother, but for my wife the school year involves long days and weekends. Grading papers and prepping lesson plans and conferencing with parents.
<sarcasm>Then of course, there is the appreciation from the public at large for the hard work she does. Which is reward in and of itself.</sarcasm>
Tom Stone (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 8:41 am
The argument has progressed beyond whether or not we face systemic risk to a point where the question now is "Do we face a complete collapse of society?".
Tom,
Having just moved to California (for health reasons) I'm surprised to learn we're going to have to shut down civilization due to a 1.8% accounting difference.
1.8% is the amount of money California needs to balance its budget right now, compared to its State Domestic Product (+/- 3db).
I suppose if we do have to shut down civilization over a 1.8% shortfall (or excess), then in the immortal words of Blade Runner, "first we're stupid, then we die!"
p.s., (edit: We) like the weather.
Coinz-
In a previous life I worked with quite a few school districts (at the board level) and almost every single one of them were worried about spending more than the previous year's budget so that they could get a bigger one next year. Replacing furniture at the district office seemed to be the big line item in almost all them. Total circle jerk mentality.....
Ciao
MS
Ex governor maybe going to jail!
Didn't the ex-governor's wife just get fired from her cushy higher-ed administrator's job? Or is that a different ex-governor?
Consider the lack of private schools how can anyone know it the public school system has any balance? They generally consume lots of tax money.
JD- Drought issue-Water use in Cali...
Simple solution #2- No lawns period-commercial and residential....Issue Kaput! Anywhere in California....It's a desert....
Kilgore is wrong it's not safe to surf....especially after a good rain....
"There were some stories about police officers asking Marines to cover them while they approached a residence. In one case this resulted in the Marines laying down covering/suppressing fires on an apartment building when the police received fire from inside. Don't think the bad guys were expecting the 600 rounds per minute they were receiving from the SAWs."
The marines fired 30 rounds, no? Then they stopped because the police told them to. Assuming the weapons were set at semi-automatic - 45 rpm - the rounds were probably fired by one or two men. Eh?
@Comrade Scott:
I'll bite. Obama is a socialist. You actually want to take the other side of that argument?
"The school year in the U.S. is already the shortest among most nations with which the U.S. competes. Take a look at Sweden, for example. This is one reason why our kids score so poorly against children in Asia and Europe."
........lets take an average 1960s report card & school district and rollback curriculum, teacher levels, schedules, ratios of administrators vs. classroom personnel and see what shakes out.
Shouldn't we be constructing giant rock heads or something?
peterb,
One attitude...
The Movie, "Summer School", with Mark Harmon in BH high school...IIRC
lol, great flick...
Get your Hep shots if you get in the water after a good rain.... sooooo gross.......
.............
BTW I dont know what everyone here is complaining about... I'm watching Bloomberg now and everything is pretty sweet.... except for the pesky North Ko-Ko-Reans....
Chainsaw (profile) wrote on Tue, 6/16/2009 - 11:34 am
Speculate to your heart's content.
That's my job.
They were supposedley firing on police officers, that makes them "bad guys" in my book.
And thus, delivering area suppressive fire on a structure in a built-up area was okay?
Highlights some problems with the gendarmification of both the police and the military, don't you think?
JD- Drought issue-Water use in Cali...
Simple solution #2- No lawns period-commercial and residential....Issue Kaput! Anywhere in California....It's a desert....
There's nothing too remarkable about the current drought in California, it's similar to many other droughts the Golden State has endured since 1850, the difference being that there are over 40 million people using it now.
Sacramento holds the dubious honor of being the most wasteful city of it's size in our country, with each citizen using an average of 240 gallons of H20 a day. It's way beyond watering lawns...
Highlights some problems with the gendarmification of both the police and the military, don't you think?
About the time when cops began to look like paramilitary troopers was when I realized the world had changed.
"I'll bite. Obama is a socialist. You actually want to take the other side of that argument?"
You think he believes in state ownership of the means of production and distribution? In the US?
@MS and M,
Both of those anecdotes go against my experience, but I would not be too surprised since there is a lot of quality variation among districts. For 3 years, I worked in a midsized school district and we managed the budget pretty conservatively. There were a few exceptions to prudent spending, but usually those cases had to do with grant money or funds that could only be spent on certain programs. Pain in the ass. I would just caution you against painting with such a broad brush and especially about comparing costs of private schools to public.
@perterb - the teachers who are in it for the money aren't putting that time in, any more than the slackers in any other business would.
"`E.T.-Like' Salamander Species Uncovered During Ecuador Forest Expedition"
This previously unknown species is seen riding through the sky on a new Schwinn Stingray banana seat..........
....later.
"They were supposedley firing on police officers..."
They were firing on the police officers? Are you sure? Why 'supposedly'?
Republicans block any meaningful budget action due to the 2/3 rule.
simply get rid of the ballot, prop 13 and slash public pensions starting NOW. make illegal any scheme that contributes to shrink the tax base.
also sell assets owned by CA and some of the land held by the FEDs (and pay something to CA in terms of transfer taxes...).
THURSDAY: Watch Bernanke - The Market Ticker
I remember when this happened in September...I sent out emails to about 400 "journalists" asking why the Fed was taking money from a system that supposedly needed it so badly. The only person to respond was Pimm Fox (B'Berg) and he ran a story on his show about it( I even got my name mentioned!)-that was good for a few phone calls!!!
It appears that it may happen again...it, at the very least, is looking likely.
Ciao
MS
Has San Quentin gone into escrow yet?
Most teacher here get free time at work to do preparation and score tests. Semi paperless schools would be a smart cost savings and cut scoring tests time.
I thought we had a monopoly on ex-governors going to jail!
@nova
yea, the games are beginning. I've been in business 20 years and have NEVER been late with my monthly sales tax remittance. Well, last month they flagged me for being delinquent - 10% penalty + interest.
Hahaha I just went across the street to the store to get a drink and what not, the 19 teen year old or less handed me my change...get this
2 1947 walking liberty half's and a 1878 Morgan silver dollar...she actually asked me If i wanted them as change....I made money while spending hahahah!
Thank you dopes...keep up the good work.
Someone who was present during the Ironbound riots in Newark NJ during the 60s told me that National Guardsmen - kids really - brought machine gun fire to bear on a housing project. A colonel came running up, yelling at them to hold their fire, and then had all their ammo taken away from them. They had been firing at the echoes of the own shots.
Careful - I hear stories about stuff like that coming out of china.
OT:
China's holding of US bonds drops first time in 11 months
"Other emerging powers Russia and Brazil have also trimmed their US bond holdings, the US Treasury said in its monthly international capital data report.....On the whole, foreigners decreased holdings of Treasury bills by 44.5 billion dollars in April, the data showed.....On the whole, foreigners decreased holdings of Treasury bills by 44.5 billion dollars in April, the data showed."
AFP: China's holding of US bonds drops first time in 11 months
JD-I believe that figure is with Lawn and other outdoor watering...
A wake-up call on water use | csmonitor.com
What many people may not realize, notes Mr. Hayward, is that nearly 75 percent of residential water use in California goes to outdoor purposes, mostly landscaping.
@shill
I know someone who works at the local heating oil/gas company and he commented the same. Said people are digging deep to find money to pay their bill.
Shill, go back for seconds.
@Lobbyist Ben Dover: Semi paperless schools would be a smart cost savings and cut scoring tests time.
I was thinking about this when I was talking with a true idealist who was co-author of a major medical text. He really wanted to be able to send CD-ROM copies of it to 3rd world countries. The notion that the textbook company might have a problem with this never really entered his mind.
But then I started thinking, why don't schools and such use things like Kindles for textbooks? Certainly easier to update the information and edit, but again you cut out the lucrative textbook sales and so I doubt that it would ever get going.
I must admit that I like having a book to be able to reference and turn pages over but perhaps that's antiquated for "kids these days."
shill wrote:
2 1947 walking liberty half's and a 1878 Morgan silver dollar...she actually asked me If i wanted them as change....I made money while spending
Score!
California is the pretty white girl who gets abducted. All media - all the time. Meanwhile NJ, Ohio, and others will get buried in paupers graves...
The cost of administration in most districts is very small compared to the cost of the teachers. Just sayin'.
Sorry, Coinz, but I've gotta call you out on this.
Our school district (middle- to upper-middle-class township, but very high in the state performance rankings) has 655 total full-time staff with a combined salary budget of $37M. Of which 345 are listed as "certified staff" and 310 as "support staff".
Of which 199 are actual, full-time, honest-to-God, in-there-with the-kids-all-day teachers. One hundred ninety-nine.
For obvious reasons, our district doesn't break the 'salaries' line out further, but eyeballing the salary scale it seems the median for teachers is right around $57, maybe $58K. Which accounts for, what, $12M of the salary pot?
That's a third of the total.
I realize I'm oversimplifying this, but even taking a conservative definition of "administration", it seems likely we're paying between $1 and $1.50 to administrators for every $1 we're paying the actual teachers. Not what I'd define as "very small" by any stretch.
And our district is by no means the worst offender in this regard - locally or nationally. Not even close.
One last time...
The first recorded tax-break: Gen. 47:22,26
"Only the land of the priests bought he not, for the priests had a portion from Pharaoh, and did eat their portion which Pharaoh gave them; wherefore they sold not their land. "
"And Joseph made it a statute concerning the land of Egypt unto this day, that Pharaoh should have the fifth; only the land of the priests alone became not Pharaoh's. "
on Old Kingdom Egypt:
"Eventually, the priesthood became a tremendous bureaucracy numbering thousands of men....At the top of the hierarchy of priests was the high-priest, ...While normally such a man would have risen to his position through the ranks, it was the pharaoh's prerogative to place whomever he wanted in that office."
When they escaped from the ensuing slavery and set up their state, the Israelites made some radical reforms: priests could collect a10% tax, but could not own land.
Joshua 18:7
"For the Levites have no portion among you, for the priesthood of the LORD is their inheritance; "
It took a while, but the rabbis phased them out. Tax breaks should come with a heavy burden.
"There were some stories about police officers asking Marines to cover them while they approached a residence. "
A violation of US law, no? If the law has to be changed, put it through Congress. There has been some discussion in the Corps about the necessity of this, or of ignoring the law during an emergency. I believe that is a minority opinion within the Corps.
as of 2002 california spent approximately 300,000 per classroom K thru 12 and they spend more now. california teachers are the fourth highest paid in the nation. (in some places like LA that's ok with me). i used to play raquetball with a retired school administrator. he was in his late 50's and lived in a beautiful home in the hills overlooking the lights of sacramento. he knew he had a gotten a great deal from the state and shrugged his shoulders sheepishly when we discussed it. hey, if they're willing to pay it why shouldn't i take it type of attitude. i can't blame him.
however, lets get real; there is no, (and i mean nada) correlation between academic funding and educational achievement. in that regard, educational funding is like gun laws; simply feel good legislation with absolutely no measurable effect. on the other hand, there is a huge correlation between academic achievement and parental attitudes about education. and that in a nutshell is the problem with california. it's the culture stupid! california is full of people which are simply not good citizens. compare the bathroom stalls at LAX with those at Minneapolis Saint Paul. which airport has higher maintenance costs and why? repeat this for every aspect of life in california where government expenditures are required.
let me say it again so those who are having problems with the concept. CALIFORNIA IS THE HIGHEST TAXED STATE IN THE NATION. and what do we for the highest taxes? the best roads? hell no. the best schools? yes if you count the phsical plant but no if you count the students. the best health care? give me a break, last summer i was in the emergency room in la habra with my 12 year old with a broken arm. eight hours to get it set. what the f**K? this is what i get for my taxes? low crime? the indian take away two blocks from my home shut down after shooting. the starbucks a block away; armed robbery. our car, stolen out of our driveway. my kids having to watch other kids shake down the employees at taco bell for free food. a half dozen home invasion robberies within walking distance. and can i carry concealed for my own protection. noooooo! that would be dangerous. f' em all.
and some of you say the solution is to raise my taxes. we already have the highest taxes. i repeat, we do not have a revenue problem!!
When Michael Huffington spent around $30 Million of his money on a failed senate seat bid about 15 years ago, I wondered how he was planning to make up the difference between a senator's salary and the cost of doing business?
That was my political wake-up call...
figured you'd like that one.... LOL....
Juvenal Delinquent,
With regard to water usage is Sac, CA, my mother lives there....
She stated that previously, there were no individual water meters on homes (I can only assume that this also applied to businesses.)...I suspect that this was as a result of unending water supply from (IIRC the American River through town)...It appears, from my mother's comments that there is and has been a plan to install individual meters on individual homes...
shill wrote:
2 1947 walking liberty half's and a 1878 Morgan silver dollar...she actually asked me If i wanted them as change....I made money while spending
The fruit of a teenage B&E
California's highest marginal income tax rate is 10.55%. The sales tax in many areas (like San Francisco's 9.5%) are among the highest in the US. The state tax on Corporations is about 9%. With tax rates already high, this is a spending problem.
Pavel,
We're way OT here but you asked why I qualified with "supposedley". I heard this through the USMC grapevine 18 years ago. I don't remember seeing it in the press. Probably an urban legend which I shouldn't have even raised.
I'm not sure what authority was referenced to order the Marines in to LA to support civil law enforcement, but that definitely did happen.
nova: I remember Michigan in the summer of my youth.
sounds like the summers of my youth in Indiana
Male chauvinism. Most people think teachers are overpaid because it is a "woman's" job--and only a supplement to a family's income. This is the 21st century--the education requirements are greater than those needed to be a cpa. Teachers are not overpaid.
El Cliffo, I thought our sales tax was high. Seattle and Chicago are both 10%+.... Shocked me....
With tax rates already high, this is a spending problem.
It's more a problem of regressive taxation. And the sales tax in Alameda County is actually 9.75%.
Scrooge:
I think Brad Setser at CFR has kept a pretty detailed running narrative on this, including some good detail. If I came away with the correct understanding, the shrinking trade balances will be reflected in a reduction in foreign Treasury holdings.
"California's highest marginal income tax rate is 10.55%. The sales tax in many areas (like San Francisco's 9.5%) are among the highest in the US. The state tax on Corporations is about 9%. With tax rates already high, this is a spending problem."
not true, it's a shrinking tax base issue. where the old get a great deal on property taxes and the young and productive get taxed a lot on income taxes. everybody should be taxed the same on property taxes. if people cannot pay, then downsize and move to a cheaper place. that simple.
Nervous Rex: Shouldn't we be constructing giant rock heads or something?
Indeed!
"You think he believes in state ownership of the means of production and distribution? In the US?"
Proof is in the pudding. Let's see how long it takes for GM, Chrysler, AIG, FNM, FRE, and others (government-subsidized banks) to be truly privatized once again. Or, let's watch what happens with health care.
Fla counties are saying they are gonna raise taxes on homestead properties by raising millage.
I guess this makes sense. Homestead affects value, not millage. Some are saying over my dead body.
250 same pink slips went out for teachers in Broward County--just north of Miami-Dade.
In a lot of things the last few percent are the costliest or hardest. Lat 10 yards in football, climbing to the top of Everest from last camp, the last few percent in sports car handling,
educating the most disabled, keeping people alive in hospital the last week.
IThe last two are the biggies in education and health care. And interestingly, at least in part they result from decisions made not by the state by by individuals who then have a claim on the public purse.
I am happy that say Gov. Palin chose to have her Downs baby. But she is more then happy to insist that the public support her child in special ed. A person going into hospital is the one who decides DNR. If they choose to accept heroic means, then the Medical Staff is forced to apply whatever expensive procedures they can to buy a couple of weeks of comotose life. Supported again by you and me
The problem with our legal system is that it goes to the limit of reasonable and then beyond to absurd. And it is almost impossible to prevent. A decision on the edge of reasonableness becomes the law and the law then becomes recented at this point. The penumbria of this case sets a new edge of reasonableness etc.
Can you see even this SCOTUS deciding that a community can put a cap on special ed spending or end-of- life medical care???
Pavel,
We're way OT here but you asked why I qualified with "supposedley". I heard this through the USMC grapevine 18 years ago. I don't remember seeing it in the press. Probably an urban legend which I shouldn't have even raised.
I'm not sure what authority was referenced to order the Marines in to LA to support civil law enforcement, but that definitely did happen.
Chainsaw,
I'm interested in this story because some posters here regularly invoke the possibility of future urban unrest because of the economic crisis. I know there has been some discussion in the past in Marine Corps publications of applying small war doctrine to internal US situations. I don't believe that there is more than minority interest in that possibility, though my info is also way out of date.
I believe that there was some fire in the incident. Sometimes, in the heat of the moment, things happen which are not strictly speaking legal.
I have an 85 year old mom--tough as nails.
In the last year she spent a lot of time in the hospital--cause she was mugged.
Heart problems, predating but aggravated by being tossed down the stairs.
Pacemaker installed.
Then she got a hernia where the mugger--a woman--had kicked her. More money.
Ok, I can see a slippery slope in front of me. Mom is happy and enjoys life and
drives & is living with us, and is sound of mind, if forgetful. Nobody hits you on
the head with a brick and says ok, right here is the bright line for going over the
slippery slope. Of course, sometimes the interventions are clearly foolish and
expensive. But you get walked into them bit by bit.
Just sayin'.
I saw tanks in the late 80s on the Baltimore Washington Parkway headed for DC. 14th Street was
burning at the time.
It never occured to me that this was illegal.
We were close enought to hear the shouting in the Balto riots then, and for a whle there were
soldiers on the corners. Young kids armed to the teeth. They made me nerviouser than the
rioters, but there were no incidents that I ever knew of.
I think Posse Comitatus does not apply to D.C.
Just looking at some historical data on Cali budgets. Is this correct - state expenditures jumped from $80B in '04 to $105B in '07? That is an enormous rate of increase - what were they spending it on?
Not clear to me this isn't a bit of a....manufactured...crisis.
OT:
I'll ask again:
How many years does Madoff get on June 29th?
25 years.
Next!
So this new SDR basket is going to be comprised of a bunch of export heavy countries. Who are they going to sell their products to again?
Doesn't help much that CA spending has DOUBLED in ten years since 1999, far outstripping GDP growth.
Oh, and 1999 was a BOOM year. (.com bubble)
Which is worse: bankers, or terrorists, or California?