3-4 years ago I suggested that ultimately High Desert and Inland Empire communities would be best served by bulldozing every other house on every street. Doesn't sound as crazy now as it did then.
Unfortunately, the idea is to cram houses together as they're too spread out in the partly abandoned parts of Detroit etc. The inland empire model of high density housing surrounded by nothing is what they're striving to achieve.
Sorry from last thread:
I lifted this from streeteasy.com, which tracks sales in NYC. This is just for condos, not coops, townhouses etc. Hopefuly, it will stay formatted. Site is great for watching the inventory build-up, and the days an apt. is listed, then relisted by another brokerage. Seriously, compared to Cali, we have a long way to go.
Manhattan Condo Listings Snapshot
Size (ft²) $ per ft² Price
Studio 536 1,130 599,000
1 BR 791 1,105 870,000
2 BR 1,307 1,232 1,645,000
3 BR 2,000 1,470 3,030,000
4+ BR 3,089 1,699 5,500,000
Medians for listings from past 60 days from StreetEasy data. Excludes some extraordinary properties. No representation is made as to the accuracy of this data.
Here is the same chart from 8/6/08
Downtown Condo Listings Snapshot
Local politicians believe the city must contract by as much as 40 per cent, concentrating the dwindling population and local services into a more viable area.
Interesting concept, but I bet implementation will be a fiasco.
What do you tell someone who is perfectly happy living in their hovel on the outskirts of town? "We're bulldozing your entire neighborhood, but here is a vacant hovel closer to the center of the city." Just move your life.
June 13 (Bloomberg) -- Six Flags Inc., the owner of 20 theme parks, sought bankruptcy protection 3 1/2 years after Washington Redskins owner Daniel Snyder become chairman and hired new managers in an attempt to return it to profitability.
The Chapter 11 petition filed in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Wilmington, Delaware, listed assets of $3 billion and debt of $2.4 billion as of Dec. 31. Thirty-six affiliates also sought protection.
It seems at first glance to be a good idea, a small step in the right direction. It feels odd to hear about somebody's reality-based plan getting some traction. Usually, the public line MUST be that all setbacks are temporary in nature and growth and prosperity MUST return because, well, by gosh, we're AMERICANS, aren't we?
Bless anyone who tries to deal with the new reality we are entering. Maybe someone can deal with ghost town developments next. Or anything that doesn't assume a return to status quo ante bubble.
The alphabet parts in question are the "CPFF". It has indeed been purchasing CP from issuers (outstanding was $150 yards or so this spring). Do you know if your numbers include the CPFF? (edit: current $141 billion CPFF balance can be found here: FRB: H.4.1 Release--Factors Affecting Reserve Balances--December 3, 2009 )
Did the LA times budget balancing game, got the deficit under $2bn, even without shitcanning a huge chunk of the prison guards, which could get it to surplus.
Mostly by raising taxes:
Prop 13 goes away for CRE
^ gasoline taxes
^Cigs
^Rich people income
^oil pumpers
allow drilling off Santa Barbara
Winston,
Yes but something they don't understand is that density comes with costs. Detroit implicitly acknowledges this by claiming they can't provide city class services to partial neighborhoods. Dense urban neighborhoods are municipal empire building. One of the reasons we had the great suburban diaspora was to escape the costs and urban ills of high density. Sure we traded for a new set of problems but for near a half century now both expressed and revealed preferences show a desire for suburban problems.
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to grow the tax base, but now that the bill for the services is coming due, they are trying to shed the responsibility as fast as they can. County govs are going to take a hit if this catches on.
Yeah it doesn't smell right. For my entire life there's been a homeless problem in my city, and very rarely have rents decreased, as they are doing now.
Yes, I've met homeless people who said they were arrested for vagrancy in red state x, and given a choice of jail or a one way bus ticket to New York City.
Here are some tidbits from the Fed on the CPFF - short version is that yes, the year over year comparison is meaningful - if anything, it may be rosy due to the level of Fed support for that market...also pushing fees to the primary dealers.
The Federal Reserve created the Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) to provide a liquidity backstop to U.S. issuers of commercial paper. The CPFF is intended to improve liquidity in short-term funding markets and thereby contribute to greater availability of credit for businesses and households. Under the CPFF, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York will finance the purchase of highly rated unsecured and asset-backed commercial paper from eligible issuers via eligible primary dealers. FRB: Commercial Paper Funding Facility
Blackhalo (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:01 am
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to grow the tax base, but now that the bill for the services is coming due, they are trying to shed the responsibility as fast as they can. County govs are going to take a hit if this catches on.
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
As many here have heard, the so-called Inland Empire area of California had an explosion in population commensurate with the explosion in new houses being built.
Even though the High Desert is technically North of the Inland Empire (with a mountain range in between the two), Victorville gained some notoriety lately with youtube videos showing the destruction of partially completed houses in a new tract.
That, of course, was not the only impact of the cessation of build, baby, build. The time has come to get realistic:
I actually like this idea. It will be a real challenge to figure out what to do with the people who remain, but reclaiming some unproductive (for societal uses) land for nature is a definite "go" in my book. In my experience, these kinds of rationalizations make sense... At least they do in business. Just imagine what we could accomplish if we actrually bulldoze unprofitable, unproductive businesses in this country!
Pls don't mistake this to mean I support healthcare rationing, because I don't.
Now, for some snark:
Maybe we can create jobs for people to create parks and greenspaces out of the bulldozed land. We can just print some money to pay them and get free some parkland. Bonus!
The remaining Rent Stabilization and Rent Control system that we have in New York City, cursed by bankers and free market ideologues alike, kept our bubble down below what it might have been, although office rents must still collapse.
What do you tell someone who is perfectly happy living in their hovel on the outskirts of town? "We're bulldozing your entire neighborhood, but here is a vacant hovel closer to the center of the city." Just move your life...
"I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base..."
I tend to blame parent and teachers unions. If those people without kids can vote with their feet and move to a district that does schools on the cheap and passes the savings on to the property owner by moving 3 mi down the road, it puts an upper limit on taxes.
Govts were using eminent domain to kick people out of their houses so the land could be sold to a developer for condos and shopping, bulldozing hovels should be no problem - Speaking of eminent domain, whatever happened with Souter's house - SomeGuy was trying to get it for a b&b/restaurant through eminent domain...
Sportsman asks: What do you tell someone who is perfectly happy living in their hovel on the outskirts of town? "We're bulldozing your entire neighborhood, but here is a vacant hovel closer to the center of the city." Just move your life.
Yup, that's precisely what they'll tell them, or haven't you clued in yet that we are now living in a fascist state.
lost-confused, that would be eminent domain, but the Just Compensation Clause does require that persons having their property taken receive FMV for the property. Who can afford to pay for that?
The person planning the geographical downsizing is not thinking in those terms, but rather in terms of a swap of houses.
Any changes made by govt to taxes or spending gets reflected in the marketplace too, that's why it never works the way it was advertised.. CA tries to raise taxes or borrow more, unintended consequences...
Of course, some people always seem to get a sweetheart deal:
June 12 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the Wall Street firm that earned $2.3 billion last year, stands to get up to $321 million if the state and city fail to meet construction and security deadlines at the World Trade Center site.
Watch out
You might get what youre after
Cool babies
Strange but not a stranger
Im an ordinary guy
Burning down the house
Hold tight wait till the partys over
Hold tight were in for nasty weather
There has got to be a way
Burning down the house
Heres your ticket pack your bag: time for jumpin overboard
The transportation is here
Close enough but not too far, maybe you know where you are
Fightin fire with fire
All wet
Hey you might need a raincoat
Shakedown
Dreams walking in broad daylight
Three hun-dred six-ty five de-grees
Burning down the house
It was once upon a place sometimes I listen to myself
Gonna come in first place
People on their way to work baby what did you except
Gonna burst into flame
My house
Sout of the ordinary
Thats might
Dont want to hurt nobody
Some things sure can sweep me off my feet
Burning down the house
No visible means of support and you have not seen nuthin yet
Everythings stuck together
I dont know what you expect starring into the tv set
Fighting fire with fire
just pay a cheap price for their house due to the loss of value and the loss of city services and then turn around and sell them a different house within the new city services at a higher price. The city cuts costs in services rendered, REhores get business...
By the way, a story from 40 years ago...a business didn't want to pay city taxes so he built is building outside of the city limits of San Antonio, TX....Well, the building caught fire and the city fire department refused to cross the city limits to put out the fire...to make a short story long, the building burnt down and the insurance company refused to pay on the claim...
"persons having their property taken receive FMV for the property.'
Does not have to be a house for a house. They can use fire-sale prices when they're paying you. I assume they were talking about foreclosed and abandoned.
New Orleans is trying a variant of this in the lower 9th. They have drawn a line and said areas beyond will not receive City Services. Believe it or not there are developers building beyond the boundary!
lama (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:15 am
Rob,
Did you see this one? You're an old JP boy, aren't you? Jamaica Plain > Best City Life - Boston Best Readers Poll
10 years ago, a friend of mine opened a video store in the wrong part of JP. A year later he shut the door and ran for his life.
Heck, I'll be back there in just about 18 hours. I'll report on Boston and Montreal over the next week.
If a city can incorporate/annex more land, it would seem logical they could unincorporate areas too. But I'm sure there would be lawsuits. The whole process would be litigious I am sure, but then, what isn't?
"According to regulators, Evergreen Ultra Short Opportunities overstated its net asset value by as much as 17% due to improperly valuing some mortgage-backed securities in its portfolio."
These things ended up selling for pennies on the dollar. How many Municipalities have overvalued securities in their pension funds by 20%.
Building beyond the boundary, whether the Ninth Ward or City Limits, would seem like asking to be sued by people who buy the developed property and then expect to receive the services their little hearts desire.
The guy who built outside San Antonio is a different story, of course, because he probably lied on his insurance application and identified the city fire department or stated that he was inside the city.
Well, the building caught fire and the city fire department refused to cross the city limits.
That seems a little more radical than refusing to cross a picket line.
"We're seizing your house and paying 10 cents on the $ as the supreme court already says that's fine, now move along peasant".
Something like that I'd expect.
Rent Control IMO increases rents because it keeps supply off the market. Rent stabilization on the other hand makes rents cheaper but conditions very bad.
Bulldozing certain suburbs isn't a new idea... happened in places in Texas during the oil patch depression of the 1980s... James Kunstler (I know, I know) has been suggesting this will have to be done eventually to places like Phoenix.
Detroit and Flint are not suprises. Wait until they have to really bulldoze parts of the 'New West' ..... Inland Empire, vast sections of Arizona, etc. Should be interesting. We're still some ways from that, though.
And again, it has nothing to do with what me, or 'liberals' want... it has to do with allocating scarce resources. Wealthy people will always live wherever they want. The majority will have to 'make other plans'.
Dammit I don't want my 75 year-old mother with Parkinson's carrying around gold. Digital currency, indexed to the commodity basket.....
Not sure how hard money would reduce the paperwork. Nothing wrong with financing a building over the course of its useful life, just share the upside...
...involves razing entire districts and returning the land to nature.
In the 1970-80s I watched the last Bay area raw land being turned into warehouses. Early in the housing runup, 2002, a hedgefund friend was buying up and then tearing down warehouses in order to build - houses. It'll be dust to dust in CA too.
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just Powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.
Seems like these folks had some good ideas way back when.
Another con I heard from an Underwriting manager who was formerly an insurance auditor while in Houston, TX in the 70's....a home investor bought 4 homes in a row and insured two of them with different insurance companies (before the days of computer services for everyone)....If one of the uninsured had a property loss, he would call his agent and state that there was a typo, address of covered property was off by one number...This auditor caught the scam...
Tim waiting for 2012 (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:35 am
Evergreen turns to brown...
"According to regulators, Evergreen Ultra Short Opportunities overstated its net asset value by as much as 17% due to improperly valuing some mortgage-backed securities in its portfolio."
These things ended up selling for pennies on the dollar. How many Municipalities have overvalued securities in their pension funds by 20%.
That's assuming the pension funds bought only 1x exposure and didn't do what the big banks did with Advent last week. Odds? If the past is prologue I'm positive that many many pension funds doubled down on can't lose schemes like CDS in an attempt to get back recent losses. Municipal Enrons in the offing.
Some of the newer developments here in Ca will not need to be bulldozed.They are so badly built that they will fall apart on their own within a very few years.
22 years ago in Tempe they built a fancy strip mall down by the future town lake, main tenant?
Lazer Tag.
Went TU within 5 years, bulldozed in 10
Today, same location, they have a fancy strip mall backed up to a hotel/condo complex, only a handful of occupants, even with a campus of 60,000 across the "lake".
The difference? In 10 years there will be a lot more to bulldoze.
Folks, the view from over here in the Middle East is this: Oil could be at $80-90 by the end of this year. Tell me how exactly a city like Phoenix will be sustainable.
Wait until they have to really bulldoze parts of the 'New West'
Don't have to waste the time and energy. If they don't just fall apart, as Tom Stone suggested, then in my area the desert will reclaim the land in a few decades.
I saw today on CNN that at Amway and Avon sales are UP BIG over last year. We can simply shift from selling houses to each other over and over again to direct-selling personal hygene products. It's a bull market.
Already the metals markets are manipulated and concentrated. The size of the entire metals markets, (platinum, palladium, gold, silver) is so small, that parties will control; them to no good general benefit. Only when you close the paper contracts will normal return. Gold, always gold and silver works with it.
Before the Detroit riots in '67 the concept of bulldozing every 2nd house was in the air. As I recall, the automakers (some union locals even) were considering underwriting part of it.
After the riots the attitude was 'let it burn'. Detroit never came back.
The future of the Phoenix area real estate market:
The migration from the Snow Belt states to Metropolitan Phoenix has been unabated for 60 years.
A similar extended migration is now occurring from the Northwestern states and Western Canada.
The “installed base” of all those migrants brings a steady stream of extended family members.
Proposition 13 makes moving up difficult in California; many Golden State sellers buy in the Phoenix area.
Californians in pursuit of other objectives — e.g., a friendlier business climate — migrate to the Valley of the Sun.
Baby Boomers will retire in droves to warmer climes — the Atlantic coast, the Gulf states and the Southwest.
Among those locales, Phoenix is by far the least prone to natural disasters.
Because of this, people from disaster-afflicted regions have formed a new stream of in-migration.
There is a steady migration of new residents from Spanish- and Portuguese-speaking countries south of the border.
Phoenix is a destination of choice or the second-landing city for immigrants from all over the world.
While higher oil prices will put a strain on our far-flung suburbs, the greatest pain will be felt in Northern states where fuel oil or natural gas are used as heat sources; even people who don’t hate the winter will move to the Phoenix area to escape high heating bills.
The Phoenix Metropolitan area is a dynamic jobs creation machine, adding tens of thousand of new jobs every year.
People who have or hope to have children move here as soon as they can manage it.
Compared to the areas from which many of our in-migrants are drawn, our homes are still very affordable.
We build thousands more new homes every year.
The Greater Phoenix area has 60 years of sustained practice at managing extreme growth — this in contrast to thrashing cities like Las Vegas.
Snowbirds, politely known as Our Winter Visitors, eventually move here year-around.
Our first waves of massive migration occurred after WW II; mustered out soldiers who had been stationed here came back with their families; this pattern continues among people who are posted here temporarily for various reasons.
People who stay at our resorts often fall in love with the Valley of the Sun and return as soon as they are able.
A significant number of active and retired professional athletes maintain homes here, in no small part because the Phoenix/Scottsdale area has…
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal
except for the extremely wealthly and politically connected who are more equal than the peasants
that they are endowed by their Creator
except for atheists
with certain unalienable Rights
which courts and governments may override for their own reasons
that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness
if these rights do not conflict with the goals of local, regional, state and federal governments.
That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men
of the ruling elites
deriving their just Powers from the consent of the governed
members of the ruling elites, wealthy and corporate executives.
sportsfan, no equal protection claim since the homeowners aren't a suspect class. Just rational basis, and the city can of course clear that. It's not an eminent domain/takings issue either because the people would be free to keep the property, just without services. No idea what property or state constitution claims it could raise though.
A few hundred nukes on population centers in the middle east would convince them that oil is only 10$/B. At least those who are still alive in that region.
You must be visiting family if you're stopping in Boston on the way to Montreal. Montreal...well you know...I'm married anyway so what's the difference?
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:44 am
Folks, the view from over here in the Middle East is this: Oil could be at $80-90 by the end of this year. Tell me how exactly a city like Phoenix will be sustainable.
Phoenix proper? Sustainable.
Anthem, Goodyear, Estrella, Buckeye, Maricopa? Non sustainable, much like the NYCers who commute from E. Stroudgsburg or Angelinos commuting from Moreno Valley.
Wind guys need to be near the power grid and, well, the wind. We could turn the entire city of Beaumont, California back into a wind farm. It would be more worthwhile that way.
There's wind everywhere, but turbines have a low-end cut off speed. Your choice wind locations: Aleutian Islands, North Shore in Oahu, most of the midwest/Texas between interstates 29/35 and the Rockies, and a bit of Appalachia. And here and there in California.
sanityclause, no heightened level of scrutiny for homeowners, no doubt about that. Still, If I buy a house within the city limits, I don't see how the city can subsequently eliminate city services in my area, but not in the city as a whole.
What Norlins is doing can probably be justified under emergency powers and common good principles, but to do that just for economic purposes, e.g., budget balancing, wouldn't fly very far IMO.
Edit: also, I don't think they would be free to keep the property. The idea being proposed, as I understand it, is to clear cut parts of the city.
Cities meet thy unmaker - nice wrap-up from wall st meltdown to main street breakdown:
"What characterizes contemporary politics is the unstable mixture of speed information and slow movements. Like the slow implosion of the manufacturing economy, the slow rise of evangelical visions of catastrophe, the slow ascent -- the slow ubiquity -- of the speed of technology, the slow descent of culture into the cold state of surveillance under the sign of bio-governance. You can see it everywhere. In the world economy, the speed of mortgage backed securities, credit swap debt offerings, and complex derivatives always seeks to move at the speed of light. Iceland is the world's first country actually liquidated by hyperreality with debts amassed at light-speeds now constituting 10 times its national wealth.
Like Michel Serres' the perfect parasite, the Wall Street financial elite has worked a perfect number on the host of the world economies -- implanting unknown levels of toxic debt everywhere in the circulatory system of finance capital, from China and Japan to the European community. Waking up to the danger of hot debt moving at light-speed when it is definitely too late, Japanese bankers suddenly declaim that "It is beyond panic." Wall Street types say it is "panic with a capital P." Harvard economists, standing on the sidelines like a chorus of lament, wisely add that we are now between "capitulation and panic" and "debt is good." That in a world of over-extended economies, sudden loss of financial credibility, and a seizing up of credit mechanisms everywhere, the only thing to do, financially speaking, is wait for the capitulation point -- that fatal moment when despair is so deep, pessimism so locked down tight in the investor's heart, that everything just stops for an instant. No investments, no hope, no circulation. And for the always hopeful financial analysts, this is precisely the point to begin anew, to reinvest, to seize financial redemption from despair.
Definitely then, not a speed economy, but a politics and economy of complex recursive loops, trapped in cycles of feedback which no one seems to understand, but with very real, very slow consequences: like vanishing jobs, abandoned health care and trashed communities."
Looks like my whole grand scheme for a new megalopolis called "California City" in the middle of the southern half of the state may not be working out... Bummer, laid out all the streets, locale for a nice park, etc....
Yeah that is the problem with PHX....everyone living in Sunrise and commuting to downtown or Tempe is becoming like living in Scranton and commuting to Manhattan. The urban core, and the 5 people who live there, are fine. Love the empty light rail.
ma (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:52 am
You must be visiting family if you're stopping in Boston on the way to Montreal. Montreal...well you know...I'm married anyway so what's the difference?
Palm had it first, it was part of the 1999 Java One conference.
Ate breakfast with a cousin I haven't seen in 25 years, she has five kids aged 6 to 16.
I'm shocked that all of them know how to shoot and she seems to have morphed into a States righter.
Wow.
Still kind of shocked.
I didn't start shooting until I was eleven.
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:57 am
Alexei M-
Yeah that is the problem with PHX....everyone living in Sunrise and commuting to downtown or Tempe is becoming like living in Scranton and commuting to Manhattan. The urban core, and the 5 people who live there, are fine. Love the empty light rail.
I was on the light rail yesterday at 3pm and it was packed westbound by the time we got to 44th street. Students, people headed to the ball game early, people coming from the airport, people knocking off of work early. Ridership numbers are blowing out (absurdly low due to gaming the federal grant system) predictions by 4x.
RobDawg - stop in Caffe Graffitti in the North End and and tell my old buddies Luigi and sister Antonella that Kentucky said hello. He just may remember after I stole his position on the local mafia soccer team!
Big Deal
I think that it is harder in NYC, especially Manhattan (South of 96th Street that is)
to find "typical" RE as it varies so quickly from street to street. The Condo market is also limited in scope because of the large number of co-op buildings (In a Condo you own your own space. In a coop you own shares of stock in the whole building and have a right to live and sell a particular unit. Coop board if directors controls who can buy in and other stuff. Coops usually have more established owners)
Condo crowd more transient. If you cant afford to live in Manhattan then these folks head for the boroughs. But as Manhattan Condo prices soften, they is a large and ready market waiting to leave the boroughs.
Real problem is the markets in the boroughs which got overbuilt.
Case-Schiller is less useful for NYC then most other places since the single -family home data misses most of the large core area.
Well, you'd have a equal protection claim, it's just you'd never win. If they want to bulldoze (instead of just cutting off your services) there'd be a taking. Perhaps no water and power is enough for no possible economic use, but I'm not sure.
Blackhalo, by protection against discrimination, do you mean due process? I'm sure there'll be plenty of notice and chance to be heard. They wouldn't be that stupid. Substantive due process would not cover this.
Lothar the Rottweiler (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:04 pm
RobDawg - stop in Caffe Graffitti in the North End and and tell my old buddies Luigi and sister Antonella that Kentucky said hello. He just may remember after I stole his position on the local mafia soccer team!
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
And now they want the services they were promised... how dare they! I'm sure if they are 'spun off' it will be with their 'fair share' of the debt. Grrr...
As to the Antelope valley . Funny sign off the 14: "Antelope Valley, because accidents happen." It was supposed to be part of a multi-billboard advertisement, but instead it stands alone. I wonder what lawyer failed to pay his ad bill...
I agree with plowing down 1/2 the homes there. Just do it in a way to create open space. Notice I didn't say 'Green space.'
With Detroit... I'm wondering if it can be saved or if it should be walled off.
Tim I'm referring to specific laws in NYC. "Control" and "Stabilization" are different versions of the same thing, from different years. Of course rent control limits the upside for someone looking to build a new skyscrpaper. Most localities control their density with zoning laws and other regulations; there is no real free market.
If you don't like like rent control, you're free to build elsewhere. NYC has historically had a relatively transient population, but there are limits to the benefits from that. Rent control follows from electricity, water, gas price controls. Part monopoly-busting, part fixed-rate mortgage -- no money down, no equity ever gained.
Still, If I buy a house within the city limits, I don't see how the city can subsequently eliminate city services in my area, but not in the city as a whole.
IMO, there's no EPC violation because technically there's no application of the law if the city decides to dis-incorporate an area. It's not like the city is saying "we won't provide X service because you belong to a suspect class, but we'll provide X service to a non-suspect class person." The city is simply saying "we won't provide service because we don't have jurisdiction over you."
Iran’s main mobile telephone network stopped working in Tehran on June 13 before Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made his victory speech, Agence France-Presse reported."
Closures of 3 of 4 car dealships, Circuit City, 3 Sizzlers, numerous shops and realty services, and reduced truck and car traffic on local CA desert auto row: I'm trying to see it as Route 66 coming back. Guess nostalgia isn't what it used to be.
NYC Rent control and rent stabilization folk in fact have almost no effect on the rest of the RE market as no body leaves these mostly way below market rent units. They have perpetually renewable leases with limited raises.
Since they can be passed on to those names on the lease it becomes a game getting your name on the lease. A current favorite is to say you are gay ( a gay but not straight lover has the rights of a spouse to get on the lease). Bring in a lease buyer, both sort of share the space for a while, then when buyer gets on lease, you move taking huge amt of "key money"
"And now they want the services they were promised... how dare they! I'm sure if they are 'spun off' it will be with their 'fair share' of the debt. Grrr..."
I doubt they will want to spin off the revenue positive areas that were annexed and instead look to shed areas that are revenue negative. Whatever those might be. Like the patch of once empty land that was between the metro and the annex target that some developer has in the interim overbuilt with substandard housing. Likely after a generous donation to some councilman's campaign fund. Or a nice six figure job for a brother-in-law.
Using SA as an example, I bet there is a lot of "city" between 410 and 1604 that SA would love to shed.
In California all I could find on the subject of changing a city's limits involved either annexation or consolidation (along with disincorporation), but nothing on diminishing a city's limits while keeping the city as a city.
By the time you get to the point of wanting to bulldoze a neighborhood and move the residents somewhere else, 95% of the landowners are slumlords who love nothing more than collecting money but not paying it out. Beat them at their own game. Have the tax assessor give them all ridiculous tax bills and all but invite them to appeal. At the hearings, say that it's challenging to properly assess value in such a run-down neighborhood and ask the slumlord owner what he thinks a proper assessment valuation is. Hem and haw a little but ultimately agree.
A few months later, take the property and pay 10 cents on the dollar. When the owners complain, produce the transcripts of the tax appeals, shrug, and say we are simply paying you exactly what you told us the property is worth.
HollywoodHack (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:19 pm
b...b...but... the 14 is going to be where the bullet train crosses the mountain!
Palmdale - city of the future in more ways than you can imagine...
There's an interesting political dynamic evolving around CAHSR. It's almost as if nothing south of Fresno exists. The SF pols are quietly hijacking the train for SF Area service first and foremost. i suspect that when the plan starts to unravel the money will go towards regional commuter rail for just them.
Mr Kildee said he will concentrate on 50 cities, identified in a recent study by the Brookings Institution, an influential Washington think-tank, as potentially needing to shrink substantially to cope with their declining fortunes.
Yes just bulldoze deteriorating infrastructure without addressing the plethora of economic problems like job growth etc
Hadn't heard that one fooly. Of course that key money if discovered voids the lease. The tenants would have the burden of proof. Wonder to what lengths people will go...
How about setting up a community education program to teach trades by rehabilitating the homes and then selling them to recoup the cost of the program. Make the sale price 2.5 times income of the applicant or better yet, use sweat equity like Habitat for Humanity.
How about making it into subsidized housing?
Give it hugely discounted to vets?
Homeless shelters?
Mark it as being recyclable with a one year cut off date. Watch a new cottage industry spring up.
Half way houses for the prisoners we can no longer afford to imprison.
Use the empty yards as community gardens or greenhouses using the empty house for materials.
One night of big bonfires celebrating the implementation of fedghettos.
OR
Create a federal program to buy these empty, foreclosed homes at full price from the banks that own them. Knock 'em down and start the whole process all over again. Repeat in 20 years.
"Let's bulldoze 'thinktanks' because they operate in an alternate universe and they're a waste of $$$ ."
As an entity that provides cover for the advances of contributors underlying political agenda, I bet they are worth every penny. Plus, how else would one keep the PhD's with not practical application or real world experience, employed?
sportsfan: i've got this state court decision: State ex rel. City of Peerless Park v. Young. Can't look up the state court decision, as my westlaw account went into graduated mode.
Finding the statutory requirements were met, St. Louis County Council disincorporated the city. Soon after, the former city and two former city officials challenged the disincorporation in Missouri court on grounds that it was an impermissible boundary change and violated federal due process law. The Circuit Court of St. Louis upheld the council's decision to disincorporate Peerless Park, and the decision was affirmed on appeal. State ex rel. City of Peerless Park v. Young, 988 S.W.2d 142, 142 (Mo.Ct.App. 1999).
@ Externalized Costs (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:36 pm
much more practical and productive ideas because
a) you don;t work for a thinktank that is
b) funded by corporate oligarchs
More pork sausages please
Basel, here's the full Wiki entry on Peerless Park:
"Peerless Park, Missouri is a former, disincorporated town located at the junction of Interstate 44 and Route 141 in St. Louis County. It was incorporated in 1935, and by the 1980s, the majority of the town was businesses and its population did not exceed 50. At the request of its citizens, the town was disincorporated in 1999."
It looks like a complete disincorporation.
That does raise an interesting alternative, though. Suppose we get together and disincorporate our whole town, then, once that's final, petition to reincorporate only the good parts.
Seems like a perfectly normal contemporary American solution -- destructive, easily gamed by the corrupt, spectacularly wasteful of public funds, and with a shallowness of approach that is best described as infantile.
It's a good thing we're going to come to a crash stop due to money crisis long before any of this lunatic stupidity goes far.
"My City Was Gone
Tuesday, June 2, 2009 at 11:30am
"Mr. Knox, a bankruptcy consultant to Vallejo, said shifting oversight of a city's services to a county or state during the current economic environment would be a tall order. In California and many other states, the county or state must approve such a move, he said. Most counties are ailing as badly as cities, and are unlikely to readily approve a disincorporation, he said."
50 cities, identified in a recent study by the Brookings Institution, an influential Washington think-tank, as potentially needing to shrink substantially to cope with their declining fortunes.
And another new multi-billion $ per year federal agency to help save the locals with even more top-down expertise and efficiency.
Going back to Missouri again, a 1989 AG opinion says it can be done.
It is the opinion of this office that a constitutional charter city has the power to alter its boundaries so as to exclude territory from its corporate limits and such city is empowered to develop its own procedures to accomplish this.
"Territory so excluded from the village shall not be relieved from bearing its proportionate share of any liability or indebtedness' incurred by such village while such territory was a part thereof, and until such liability is discharged, or such indebtedness paid, the proportionate share to which such territory would be liable if it had not been excluded shall be levied upon, assessed and collected from such territory by the proper officers of such village, in the same manner as if such territory had not been excluded therefrom...."
President Barack Obama said the government can save $313 billion over the next 10 years by forcing greater efficiency in Medicare, demanding better prices from drugmakers and cutting the number of uninsured Americans.
You figure that the upside for Rx prices is now limited and there is more downside to big pharma than upside.
Because of my work, I hear rumors about municipal bankruptcies, especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay.
It's like the airlines, but for cities and counties.
The rumor is that Oakland CA has already hired BK consultants...
Anyone think that China doesn't just go into N korea and overthrow their gov't. I mean no one would stop them or be angry and the people are starving right (?) so they might not be too upset.
YSLP the procedure varies depending on who, what and where, but the entity whose property is taken always has some sort of judicial review available as it is a Constitutional right.
Tim waiting for 2012 (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 1:03 pm
President Barack Obama said the government can save $313 billion over the next 10 years by forcing greater efficiency in Medicare, demanding better prices from drugmakers and cutting the number of uninsured Americans.
You figure that the upside for Rx prices is now limited and there is more downside to big pharma than upside.
"Nearly 700,000 calls were received by a federal hot line this week from people confused about the nationwide switch from analog to digital TV broadcasts that occurred Friday."
One hopes they all run out to RSH to buy a tuner and a beefier antenna.
Nearly 700,000 calls were received by a federal hot line this week from people confused about the nationwide switch from analog to digital TV broadcasts that occurred Friday."
One hopes they all run out to RSH to buy a tuner and a beefier antenna.
One would think a resident of an area paying taxes to a city would have a theoretical right to a share of the assets of that city, so that a disincorporation could be a taking under certain facts.
some investor guy (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 2:03 pm reply Ignore user Because of my work, I hear rumors about municipal bankruptcies, especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay.
It's like the airlines, but for cities and counties.
Investor guy: It's different here in Idaho, our state controller, Donna Jones, is saying everything's fine. FYI, Donna Jones has a GED and was realtor before she was voted in (yet, the people below her have to have a CPA to get a job working for her, think about that.) ...
There was some talk a few years back about the San Fernando Valley of the City of LA separating from the remainder....It was the politicos of each area unsatisfied with such things as the school districts (it all comes down to money...) The talk died off, someone must have been bought off...
With bulldozing as the new urban downsizing, how are the burgeoning green spaces going to supply funding for already-committed municipal employee retirement benefits? Detroit, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, etc.
Stable or declining tax revenues, continuing oversized outlays. It don't add up.
Uncle Sam to the rescue, I guess. Sort of like "Stagecoach" where the U.S. Cavalry comes a ridin'.
I have no doubt she's underqualified, but there are sound historical reasons why elected officials should not have as much qualification to hold office as civil servants.
Because of my work, I hear rumors about municipal bankruptcies, especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay.
All eyes await the Vallejo appeal.
Suppose we get together and disincorporate our whole town, then, once that's final, petition to reincorporate only the good parts.
Worked for Chrysler and GM, why not a city. From what i'm hearing from my BK friends, more and more corporate clients are demanding the Chrysler treatment. I think the Six Flags filing today is going to press the issue even more.
It was a fakeout of demographic shift where the economy in the valley was booming and LA was kinda blah in comparison and they wanted more control over their tax revenues. The housing bust put an end to that talk. All IMO of course
I still dont understand how an unsecured creditor can be placed ahead of a secured creditor in a bk... Seems like if you hold a bond that is secured by real property, you should have the right to go take that property if the borrower defaults... and the unsecured creditors would have no rights to it... So where am I going wrong here?
speaking of studying for the bar... anyone want to know how ridiculous higher education is?
I have a friend that spent $150K on four years of undergraduate school. Another $120K for 3 years of law school. Yet, she has to pay $4K for bar review classes, because aside from her first year of law school, the other 6 did nothing to prepare her for the bar...
Unfortunately I think you are right. At the height of the boom less than 8% of taxes were going to infrastructure. What do you think that 8% will look like with tax revenues down 15-25%.
Chinese Financial Crisis: The global downturn has helped expose the fragility of the Chinese economic miracle, and worse might be coming.
A collapse of profits in China could very well spark a banking crisis, much like the collapse of real estate prices did to US financial institutions. Very little attention has been paid to the fragility of the Chinese financial system, which is dominated by large, slow, non-transparent, often corrupt state-run banks and centralized decision making. Slowing exports could be the tide that goes out and reveals which Chinese banks have been swimming naked. And the Chinese financial system, which has almost no effective securitization and therefore high concentrations of financial risk, is much less prepared to deal bank failures than the US was.
I still dont understand how an unsecured creditor can be placed ahead of a secured creditor in a bk
Technically, the UAW isn't. This is the how the Chrysler BK unfolded:
UAW drops its unsecured claim against OLD Chrysler.
UAW agrees to a totally unrelated labor agreement with NEW Chrysler, whose only involvement with OLD Chrysler is that it purchased old Chrysler's good assets.
Secured creditors gets paid its claim in the resolution of OLD Chrysler
Ha - too much to riff on...for starters, this reminds me more of another Talking Heads song - flowers - but burning down the house is a good alternative. I've been back on a kick of listening to the heads for the first time in 15 years, largely because someone posted flowers here a couple of months ago...got to see Byrne live last week here in my little town!
Broward - be happy she's in Phoenix and you're not - mine is next door! Yikes!
Edit: oh, and something on topic - I was listening to a panel discussion with these guys last night - and they are pursuing an interesting model. They're only bulldozing houses that are up for tax auctions and which are already too far gone to be viable. The idea is to make a bunch of greenspaces - convert old "urban" (not terribly high density) neighborhoods into the kind of suburbs Dawg suggests we prefer. I get the impression it's to consolidate the remaining inhabited areas into smaller centers, which are more liveable and to eliminate the blight that can become infested and rotten. It's an appealing idea, and it sounds like the city is not trying to micro-plan/manage, but to get a handle on the rot. It was particularly funny listening to the dogmatic ideologue from Cato get bitch slapped by reality in the conversation. His knee was jerking too fast and got ahead of him.
I've given up looking for any authority for cities to de-annex, diminish boundaries or otherwise take actions that cut off services to certain parts of town. I don't think it exists outside of special situations involving no residents, residents who want out, land being re-annexed by a different city, or accepted by the county, usually for development, and so on.
If a city wants to diminish the services it provides, it would appear to have to do so across the board, i.e., in a non-discriminatory fashion. The idea that a city can simply stop picking up the trash in a certain part of town looks DOA.
ruh-roh Can you even imagine if your wife did this?
"One of the most senior members of Saudi Arabia's royal family, Princess Maha al-Sudairi, is claiming diplomatic immunity in France after running up unpaid shopping bills of more than £15 million including £60,000 on designer lingerie."
That's solid right there. Thanks Yogi!
Multi state is ridiculous. Good thing it only takes like 65% to pass that part.
I'm going to be cutting it close.
We did Secured Transactions today in Bar-Bri. I'm so working it into my essay that everything is subject to a union agreement.
Surprised no one has mentioned that there are whole countries with this kind of problem. Japan, Russia, Ukraine, and Italy have large population declines in their not too distant future.
norma: that's happened to a lot of my classmates, some by straight unpaid deferment. the shocker this week was that Cravath did it for 2009 and 2010 associates. the weirdness is that i'm probably going to earn more as a car wash owner than most of my BigLaw associate friends.
If a city wants to diminish the services it provides, it would appear to have to do so across the board, i.e., in a non-discriminatory fashion.
well duh!
"Surprised no one has mentioned that there are whole countries with this kind of problem. Japan, Russia, Ukraine, and Italy have large population declines in their not too distant future."
~~~~
Exactly why we need , and they need, debt free money ...
Fractional Reserve Banking can only work with geometrically increasing debt ...
Governments need to take back their right to produce their own money debt free
and use the profits and prerogatives of currency and credit creation to benefit the populace
Take as many old tests as are published. Try my technique. Retake every q you get wrong in the week before the test, and go over why the right answer is correct even if you remember the letter.
During good times landlords would pay solid five figures to a controlled tenant who would move.
Friend of ours lives in the apt she was born in. Money she saved on rent went toward getting a small Hamptons house
Landlords can also be aggressive about the situation. Not saying they throw little old ladies down the stairs much anymore, but they may claim that house is her primary residence, and the burden is on her to show otherwise.
I'm with you on taxing consumption, especially luxuries, but printing money to pay back a debt is fraud. It's not just the Chinese wage slave that gets screwed.
Downsizing works only after the debt burden is extinguished.
Downsizing also works rather well to cut future expenses. From the article I liked 200+ comments ago:
VICTORVILLE • City Manager Jim Cox is proposing to layoff between 120 and 140 employees, slash all salaries by nearly 8 percent and cut a slew of other benefits in order to close a $13 million gap in Victorville’s budget.
The layoffs could mean losing 24 percent of the city’s full-time staff and more than 16 percent of its part-time staff.
The bankers had Lincoln’s government over a barrel, just as Wall Street has Congress in its vice-like grip today. The North needed money to fund a war, and the bankers were willing to lend it only under circumstances that amounted to extortion, involving staggering interest rates of 24 to 36 percent. Lincoln saw that this would bankrupt the North and asked a trusted colleague to research the matter and find a solution. In what may be the best piece of advice ever given to a sitting President, Colonel Dick Taylor of Illinois reported back that the Union had the power under the Constitution to solve its financing problem by printing its money as a sovereign government. Taylor said:
“Just get Congress to pass a bill authorizing the printing of full legal tender treasury notes . . . and pay your soldiers with them and go ahead and win your war with them also. If you make them full legal tender . . . they will have the full sanction of the government and be just as good as any money; as Congress is given that express right by the Constitution.”
The Greenbacks actually were just as good as the bankers’ banknotes. Both were created on a printing press, but the banknotes had the veneer of legitimacy because they were “backed” by gold. The catch was that this backing was based on “fractional reserves,” meaning the bankers held only a small fraction of the gold necessary to support all the loans represented by their banknotes. The “fractional reserve” ruse is still used today to create the impression that bankers are lending something other than mere debt created with accounting entries on their books.1
Lincoln took Col. Taylor’s advice and funded the war by printing paper notes backed by the credit of the government. These legal-tender U.S. Notes or “Greenbacks” represented receipts for labor and goods delivered to the United States. They were paid to soldiers and suppliers and were tradeable for goods and services of a value equivalent to their service to the community. The Greenbacks aided the Union not only in winning the war but in funding a period of unprecedented economic expansion. Lincoln’s government created the greatest industrial giant the world had yet seen. The steel industry was launched, a continental railroad system was created, a new era of farm machinery and cheap tools was promoted, free higher education was established, government support was provided to all branches of science, the Bureau of Mines was organized, and labor productivity was increased by 50 to 75 percent. The Greenback was not the only currency used to fund these achievements; but they could not have been accomplished without it, and they could not have been accomplished on money borrowed at the usurious rates the bankers were attempting to extort from the North.
Lincoln succeeded in restoring the government’s power to issue the national currency, but his revolutionary monetary policy was opposed by powerful forces. The threat to established interests was captured in an editorial of unknown authorship, said to have been published in The London Times in 1865:
“If that mischievous financial policy which had its origin in the North American Republic during the late war in that country, should become indurated down to a fixture, then that Government will furnish its own money without cost. It will pay off its debts and be without debt. It will become prosperous beyond precedent in the history of the civilized governments of the world. The brains and wealth of all countries will go to North America. That government must be destroyed or it will destroy every monarchy on the globe.”
Lincoln was assassinated in 1865. According to historian W. Cleon Skousen:
“Right after the Civil War there was considerable talk about reviving Lincoln’s brief experiment with the Constitutional monetary system. Had not the European money-trust intervened, it would have no doubt become an established institution.”
are you saying back it with gold? then, okay, I could support this or something like this, we'll just have to do it like we did it last century and demand gold from where ever it has ended up
I'm with you on taxing consumption, especially luxuries, but printing money to pay back a debt is fraud. It's not just the Chinese wage slave that gets screwed."
Basically the printed money is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States ... through taxes ...
That we should have to borrow from private bankers our own money is absurd ...
Lincoln did not invent government-issued paper money. Rather, he restored a brilliant innovation of the American colonists. According to Benjamin Franklin, it was the colonists’ home-grown paper “scrip” that was responsible for the remarkable abundance in the colonies at a time when England was suffering from the ravages of the Industrial Revolution. Like with Lincoln’s Greenbacks, this prosperity posed a threat to the control of the British Crown and the emerging network of private British banks, prompting the King to ban the colonists’ paper money and require the payment of taxes in gold. According to Franklin and several other historians of the period, it was these onerous demands by the Crown, and the corresponding collapse of the colonists’ paper money supply, that actually sparked the Revolutionary War.2
"are you saying back it with gold? then, okay, I could support this or something like this, we'll just have to do it like we did it last century and demand gold from where ever it has ended up"
~~~~
Gold is no impediment to printing too much money ...
This is never going to end.
It's going to become more complex and convoluted, year after year.
Nobody will be able to figure out the rules for anything, it will be a staggered mess of continuously grandfathered legislation and spending programs layered over with new ones as industries slowly collapse. You'll need to know who you, where you are, where you were, when it happened, all the associations of the time, how they've changed, what new changes have changed....
Hundreds of years of history confirm the correlation of the credit cycle / collapse and fractional lending.
But thousands of years of history confirm that governments always debase currency.
"I was waiting for that response.
Hundreds of years of history confirm the correlation of the credit cycle / collapse and fractional lending.
But thousands of years of history confirm that governments always debase currency."
~~~~
LOL ... and the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve has not debased our currency?
And the private bankers around the world using fractional reserve banking have not debased their currencies ?
The question is: Cui Bono ? ... Who benefits from the creation of currency and credit? The people or the private banks?
I don't mind some deficit spending for growth. But pay for it by taxing or borrowing at honest terms, not printing. Under your system, Timmy could still print trillions, overpay for whatever "services" Haliburton pretends to offer, and under-count inflation to screw workers and savers.
A few months ago there was an article in the NYT and an NPR piece about a similar project (could've been this one, not sure); homeowners were given the option to move house so that the inhabited houses would be closer together, but the move was to a similar era/style home in a more or less the same geographic area/neighborhood (that had been fixed up).
I recall an older homeowner being sad to leave her house, but willing to do this, as the vandalism and theft in the vacant properties was scary. One of the NPR interviewees said that parts of his home were stripped for scrap while he was at work.
I think that this idea is probably fine, with sufficient support from the community, when it is not shoving people into too tiny, high rise 'redevelopment' spaces.
I also think that folks should be encouraged to garden, whether it is in their own backyard or in an apt complex's community area. Helps make sure that people can at least feed themselves a bit, and have stuff to trade with their fellow community members.
And, in an ideal world, even if they are in an apt, have a space to work with materials (think shop class kinda stuff).
And both are productive things to do with one's (unemployed) time...
Rather than just wholesale bulldozing, the municipalities might want to keep/sell for re-sale/re-furbishment all the decent (older homes) wood, windows, doors, appliances (older and newer).
When the dollar does finally hit its low, and the US STILL doesn't make anything, refurb is going to help us out quite a bit.
Still looking for a shop class to take. Taught myself to garden, but power tools kind scare me.
Good movie, btw, from Iran, with moral hazard of money as one of the themes (includes some refurb scenes : - ): The Song of the Sparrow. Saw it with the kid, we both loved it.
If they make the Fed the bad bank and just print Treasury Notes to reset that's an extension of the Ponzi, doesn't matter if you hang a few bankers and make it look populist.
I don't mind some deficit spending for growth. But pay for it by taxing or borrowing at honest terms, not printing. Under your system, Timmy could still print trillions, overpay for whatever "services" Haliburton pretends to offer, and under-count inflation to screw workers and savers."
~~~~
Currency and credit creation under a Greenback approach would be set by a monetary board ... not one man ...
Colonial Script ... wiki
"Colonial scrip was not backed by gold or silver and therefore the colonies could control its purchasing power. This was similar to the "tally stick" system used by the British Empire for over 700 years. It was different from the conventional European mercantilist system of money which required governments to borrow from banks and pay interest for those loans, as gold and silver were the only regarded forms of money. Colonial scrip, were "bills of credit" created by the government, based on the credit of that government, and this meant that there was no interest to pay for the introduction of money. This went a considerable way towards defraying the expense of the Colonial governments and in maintaining prosperity. The Governments charged low interest when it loaned out this paper money to its citizens, with land as collateral, and this interest income lowered the tax burden on the people, contributing to prosperity.
The currency was born when a lack of gold and silver in the Colonies made trade hard to conduct, and a barter system prevailed. One by one, the Colonies began to issue their own paper money to serve as a medium of exchange to make trade vibrant. The Governments could then retire excess notes out of circulation by taxing the people, helping some colonies generally avoid inflation. Each colony had its own currency and some were better managed than others. It was banned by English Parliament in the Currency Act after Benjamin Franklin had explained the benefits of this currency to the British Board of Trade. Outlawing the circulating medium caused a depression in the colonies, and Franklin and many others believed it to be the true cause of the American Revolution."
Instead of backing the currency with land it would be backed by the taxing power of the Federal Government ... just as fractional reserve banking is now ... but without debt and without banks being able to create 10X the money out of thin air ...
The guy who owns Amway bought some property from a friend of mine on the Intercoastal (Ponte Vedra). When my friend asked: "So, what do you do for a living?" The buyer (Amway owner) said..."I help people achieve their dreams."
"If they make the Fed the bad bank and just print Treasury Notes to reset that's an extension of the Ponzi, doesn't matter if you hang a few bankers and make it look populist."
~~~~
That's why you eliminate fractional reserve banking ... fractional reserve banking is what dilutes or cheapens our hard earned money ...
"Governments charged low interest when it loaned out this paper money to its citizens, with land as collateral, ..."
It still does, under FNM, FRE, FHA, etc., all created because market rates were too high. I'm all for eliminating the Fed, but that won't solve our debt problems.
The more I watch this fiatsco, the more I see "measurement" as a Schrödinger's cat.
Choose carefully what you want to measure because it changes the thing you measure.
Issuing credit created the need to have grades of credit.
Grades of credit relied on measurements.
Those measurements led to widespread gaming of measurements by credit users.
The gaming of measurements created false confidence that the measurements were working.
Then The Thing Collapses because the measurements don't accurately reflect reality.
It's an interesting problem.
I've seen it several times in different forms.
pavel - from memory you're near Ft Reno. You could also take the high ground there early and claim to be part of the vanguard and targeteering. Y'know, advance poesy expedition force. I'm sure there's a catchy moniker in there somewhere.
"Currency and credit creation under a Greenback approach would be set by a monetary board ... not one man ..."
Why not by every producer of value in the world?
FRN's have serial numbers. In theory, they are thus traceable. A more reliable currency would really be traceable. Every transaction recorded to a shared open database. Privacy built back in.
We're about fifteen minutes by car from Fort Reno. Nothing much left there of the old fortification. But we do hike almost every day right past Fort Derussy. It's in my forthcoming book, Animal Kingdom:
TO COVER THE WOUNDS
Within the old fort, in the woods overgrown
Near the mound where they buried the magazine
To store their cruel iron a thicket grows -
A young doe naps in the afternoon
Behind the green leaves her rough bed hides
And winding wands secure her in shadow,
The air is grayish and cool inside,
Sun on the ramparts splashes yellow
A song bird’s whistle, she does not wake
Or stir at the warning until I draw near,
But then she unfolds her legs and takes
Umbrage at me though there’s nothing to fear
Then she could never have slept nearby
When the trees had been cleared for a field of flame,
And officers shouted and men would lie
In the rifle pits to take their aim
The long guns lofted their hundred pounds
And crashing, not song notes, came out of their mouths -
Better it is that the men are gone
And the fort in green leaf to cover the wounds
"Currency and credit creation under a Greenback approach would be set by a monetary board ... not one man ..."
Why not by every producer of value in the world?
FRN's have serial numbers. In theory, they are thus traceable. A more reliable currency would really be traceable. Every transaction recorded to a shared open database. Privacy built back in.
C in Marin, I heard that program too. It was about Akron, Ohio. But the model came from some of the Rhineland/Saxon industrial cities in Germany. It was quite interesting. I think some such population movement would be inevitable in Detroit as infrastructure fails and police and other services shrink and are concentrated elsewhere. I am interested in ancient and medieval history, and I always had trouble picturing the large Roman cities half abandoned. Increasingly, current events are giving my imagination an assist!
hong konger (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 2:18 pm
Rob Dawg writes: "I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
There fixed that for you." - RD
I find it amusing that owners of adjacent properties to every township and muni were requesting annexation in order to get access to sewer.
There. Now it's really fixed.
...
Uh, adjacent undeveloped properties. Now ,it's ultra fixed.
Actually the only reason the exurbs were clamoring to get on sewers was because they were being held hostage to a deliberately incorrect clean water policy that essentially mandated joining existing large waste treatment systems. That policy was orchestrated by the big core cities as yet another way to force annexation. Don't get me wrong, the clean water part was a desirable goal but the implementation was positively Machiavellian.
On Friday night, before official results emerged, Mousavi had claimed to be the "definite winner." He said many people had been unable to vote and ballot papers were lacking.
He also accused authorities of blocking text messaging, with which his campaign tried to reach young, urban voters.
On Saturday, Iran's students' news agency ISNA quoted Tehran's Deputy Prosecutor General Mahmoud Salarkia as saying 10 people had been detained for "agitating public opinion through websites and blogs by propagating untruthful reports."
Ahmadinejad draws most of his support from rural areas and poorer big city neighborhoods. Mousavi enjoys strong backing in wealthier urban centers, especially among women and the young.
Two other candidates attracted only minimal support.
Analysts expressed disbelief over the election result.
"I'm surprised at the regime's audacity in declaring such a large margin for Ahmadinejad, given that in the run-up, the momentum seemed to be in the other direction," said Fitzpatrick.
"The election results are incredible," said Ali Ansari at the Institute for Iranian Studies at St. Andrews University in Scotland. "If it was a genuine election landslide, surely people should be out on the streets in euphoria..."
Reuters
Mousavi was reported to have been prevented from seei ng the Ayatollah.
Unconfirmed reports out of Iran say former president Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani has resigned as chairman of the powerful Expediency Council, which arbitrates disputes between the religious leadership (Council of Guardians) and the Majlis or parliament.
Rafsanjani also chairs the Assembly of Experts, and it's not clear if he will retain that position. That is the group that elects (and conceivably can remove) the religious Supreme Leader -- currently Ali Khamenei. If he keeps that post, it could set up an interesting dynamic.
Rafsanjani had solidly backed defeated presidential candidate Mir Hosein Mousavi, and was personally attacked for that by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. There are two possible interpretations of his (alleged) resignation: either it's a protest against Khamenei's acceptance of the disputed election result, or it's Khamenei and Ahmadinejad forcing him out to nip any protests in the bud. Or a little of both
TPM
Counterpointer, I think events can happen VERY rapidly. Take the revolutions of 1989 in Eastern Europe and Russia. I think absolutely NO expert predicted communism would collapse so suddenly. But the power brokers lived on. That's what usually, but not always (post World Wars I & II Europe, for example) happens. War, the Bringer of Change.
First? Nemo?
And then the cities can sell the land back to developers to start the cycle all over again.
A rather peculiar solution.
In the case of Detroit it may make sense to not stop with the abandoned buildings.
Baltimore may not have my mother any more, but it still seems to be full of people.
3-4 years ago I suggested that ultimately High Desert and Inland Empire communities would be best served by bulldozing every other house on every street. Doesn't sound as crazy now as it did then.
What a incredible, massive waste of resources this credit/ housing bubble was/ is...
A damn shame really.
We are off. . .
Dawg:
Unfortunately, the idea is to cram houses together as they're too spread out in the partly abandoned parts of Detroit etc. The inland empire model of high density housing surrounded by nothing is what they're striving to achieve.
Sorry from last thread:
I lifted this from streeteasy.com, which tracks sales in NYC. This is just for condos, not coops, townhouses etc. Hopefuly, it will stay formatted. Site is great for watching the inventory build-up, and the days an apt. is listed, then relisted by another brokerage. Seriously, compared to Cali, we have a long way to go.
Manhattan Condo Listings Snapshot
Size (ft²) $ per ft² Price
Studio 536 1,130 599,000
1 BR 791 1,105 870,000
2 BR 1,307 1,232 1,645,000
3 BR 2,000 1,470 3,030,000
4+ BR 3,089 1,699 5,500,000
Medians for listings from past 60 days from StreetEasy data. Excludes some extraordinary properties. No representation is made as to the accuracy of this data.
Here is the same chart from 8/6/08
Downtown Condo Listings Snapshot
Size (ft²) $ per ft² Price
Studio 662 1,351 850,000
1 BR 834 1,303 1,170,000
2 BR 1,427 1,444 2,150,000
3 BR 2,248 1,624 3,775,000
4+ BR 3,374 1,979 8,200,000
Local politicians believe the city must contract by as much as 40 per cent, concentrating the dwindling population and local services into a more viable area.
Interesting concept, but I bet implementation will be a fiasco.
What do you tell someone who is perfectly happy living in their hovel on the outskirts of town? "We're bulldozing your entire neighborhood, but here is a vacant hovel closer to the center of the city." Just move your life.
Whee!!!
Six Flags Seeks Bankruptcy to Cut Debt $1.8 Billion (Update1)
Six Flags Seeks Bankruptcy to Cut Debt $1.8 Billion (Update1) - Bloomberg.com
By Dawn McCarty and Steven Church
June 13 (Bloomberg) -- Six Flags Inc., the owner of 20 theme parks, sought bankruptcy protection 3 1/2 years after Washington Redskins owner Daniel Snyder become chairman and hired new managers in an attempt to return it to profitability.
The Chapter 11 petition filed in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Wilmington, Delaware, listed assets of $3 billion and debt of $2.4 billion as of Dec. 31. Thirty-six affiliates also sought protection.
It seems at first glance to be a good idea, a small step in the right direction. It feels odd to hear about somebody's reality-based plan getting some traction. Usually, the public line MUST be that all setbacks are temporary in nature and growth and prosperity MUST return because, well, by gosh, we're AMERICANS, aren't we?
Bless anyone who tries to deal with the new reality we are entering. Maybe someone can deal with ghost town developments next. Or anything that doesn't assume a return to status quo ante bubble.
Green shoots, indeed!
@ energyecon
The alphabet parts in question are the "CPFF". It has indeed been purchasing CP from issuers (outstanding was $150 yards or so this spring). Do you know if your numbers include the CPFF? (edit: current $141 billion CPFF balance can be found here: FRB: H.4.1 Release--Factors Affecting Reserve Balances--December 3, 2009
)
Those green shoots grow into tumbleweeds.
C
Did the LA times budget balancing game, got the deficit under $2bn, even without shitcanning a huge chunk of the prison guards, which could get it to surplus.
Mostly by raising taxes:
Prop 13 goes away for CRE
^ gasoline taxes
^Cigs
^Rich people income
^oil pumpers
allow drilling off Santa Barbara
Winston,
Yes but something they don't understand is that density comes with costs. Detroit implicitly acknowledges this by claiming they can't provide city class services to partial neighborhoods. Dense urban neighborhoods are municipal empire building. One of the reasons we had the great suburban diaspora was to escape the costs and urban ills of high density. Sure we traded for a new set of problems but for near a half century now both expressed and revealed preferences show a desire for suburban problems.
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to grow the tax base, but now that the bill for the services is coming due, they are trying to shed the responsibility as fast as they can. County govs are going to take a hit if this catches on.
Yeah it doesn't smell right. For my entire life there's been a homeless problem in my city, and very rarely have rents decreased, as they are doing now.
Yes, I've met homeless people who said they were arrested for vagrancy in red state x, and given a choice of jail or a one way bus ticket to New York City.
MLM,
Here are some tidbits from the Fed on the CPFF - short version is that yes, the year over year comparison is meaningful - if anything, it may be rosy due to the level of Fed support for that market...also pushing fees to the primary dealers.
The Federal Reserve created the Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) to provide a liquidity backstop to U.S. issuers of commercial paper. The CPFF is intended to improve liquidity in short-term funding markets and thereby contribute to greater availability of credit for businesses and households. Under the CPFF, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York will finance the purchase of highly rated unsecured and asset-backed commercial paper from eligible issuers via eligible primary dealers.
FRB: Commercial Paper Funding Facility
FAQs
CPFF FAQ
Blackhalo (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:01 am
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to grow the tax base, but now that the bill for the services is coming due, they are trying to shed the responsibility as fast as they can. County govs are going to take a hit if this catches on.
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
There fixed that for you.
As many here have heard, the so-called Inland Empire area of California had an explosion in population commensurate with the explosion in new houses being built.
Even though the High Desert is technically North of the Inland Empire (with a mountain range in between the two), Victorville gained some notoriety lately with youtube videos showing the destruction of partially completed houses in a new tract.
That, of course, was not the only impact of the cessation of build, baby, build. The time has come to get realistic:
Victorville eyes layoffs
It's not just 19th Century rustbelt cities that need to downsize.
I should have been more specific:
Green shoots (of grass), indeed!
I actually like this idea. It will be a real challenge to figure out what to do with the people who remain, but reclaiming some unproductive (for societal uses) land for nature is a definite "go" in my book. In my experience, these kinds of rationalizations make sense... At least they do in business. Just imagine what we could accomplish if we actrually bulldoze unprofitable, unproductive businesses in this country!
Pls don't mistake this to mean I support healthcare rationing, because I don't.
Now, for some snark:
Maybe we can create jobs for people to create parks and greenspaces out of the bulldozed land. We can just print some money to pay them and get free some parkland. Bonus!
/snark off
The remaining Rent Stabilization and Rent Control system that we have in New York City, cursed by bankers and free market ideologues alike, kept our bubble down below what it might have been, although office rents must still collapse.
What do you tell someone who is perfectly happy living in their hovel on the outskirts of town? "We're bulldozing your entire neighborhood, but here is a vacant hovel closer to the center of the city." Just move your life...
Not a lawyer, however, immanent domain?
RockyR - don't forget the employment opportunities from human chains passing water from the Colorado to the new parks.
OF course some genius would suggest taking it from the Pacific on proximity grounds.
C
"I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base..."
I tend to blame parent and teachers unions. If those people without kids can vote with their feet and move to a district that does schools on the cheap and passes the savings on to the property owner by moving 3 mi down the road, it puts an upper limit on taxes.
Govts were using eminent domain to kick people out of their houses so the land could be sold to a developer for condos and shopping, bulldozing hovels should be no problem - Speaking of eminent domain, whatever happened with Souter's house - SomeGuy was trying to get it for a b&b/restaurant through eminent domain...
Rob,
Did you see this one? You're an old JP boy, aren't you?
Jamaica Plain > Best City Life - Boston Best Readers Poll
10 years ago, a friend of mine opened a video store in the wrong part of JP. A year later he shut the door and ran for his life.
Sportsman asks: What do you tell someone who is perfectly happy living in their hovel on the outskirts of town? "We're bulldozing your entire neighborhood, but here is a vacant hovel closer to the center of the city." Just move your life.
Yup, that's precisely what they'll tell them, or haven't you clued in yet that we are now living in a fascist state.
lost-confused, that would be eminent domain, but the Just Compensation Clause does require that persons having their property taken receive FMV for the property. Who can afford to pay for that?
The person planning the geographical downsizing is not thinking in those terms, but rather in terms of a swap of houses.
Six Flags -- more flags, more funds
is learnt and learned interchangeable?
I have a hard time recalling seeing "learnt" in writing outside of some older books that were liberally peppered with "reckon" and the like.
Any changes made by govt to taxes or spending gets reflected in the marketplace too, that's why it never works the way it was advertised.. CA tries to raise taxes or borrow more, unintended consequences...
Of course, some people always seem to get a sweetheart deal:
June 12 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the Wall Street firm that earned $2.3 billion last year, stands to get up to $321 million if the state and city fail to meet construction and security deadlines at the World Trade Center site.
Goldman May Get $321 Million on Missed Trade Center Deadlines - Bloomberg.com
Well done Pataki. I take it they rewarded you sufficiently.
is learnt and learned interchangeable?
I have a hard time recalling seeing "learnt" in writing outside of some older books that were liberally peppered with "reckon" and the like.
Burning Down The House:
Watch out
You might get what youre after
Cool babies
Strange but not a stranger
Im an ordinary guy
Burning down the house
Hold tight wait till the partys over
Hold tight were in for nasty weather
There has got to be a way
Burning down the house
Heres your ticket pack your bag: time for jumpin overboard
The transportation is here
Close enough but not too far, maybe you know where you are
Fightin fire with fire
All wet
Hey you might need a raincoat
Shakedown
Dreams walking in broad daylight
Three hun-dred six-ty five de-grees
Burning down the house
It was once upon a place sometimes I listen to myself
Gonna come in first place
People on their way to work baby what did you except
Gonna burst into flame
My house
Sout of the ordinary
Thats might
Dont want to hurt nobody
Some things sure can sweep me off my feet
Burning down the house
No visible means of support and you have not seen nuthin yet
Everythings stuck together
I dont know what you expect starring into the tv set
Fighting fire with fire
is learnt and learned interchangeable?
I have a hard time recalling seeing "learnt" in writing outside of some older books that were liberally peppered with "reckon" and the like.
Nice. Maybe they can use the Berlin model and make nice hills for sking in Detroit from the rubble.
Sorry about the double post - on a mobile device.
Detroit needs a lot of cleaning up one way or another...
The remaining Rent Stabilization and Rent Control system that we have in New York City...kept our bubble down below what it might have been
Yeah but gold could have done the same thing and at a macro level and no paperwork.
sportsfan,
just pay a cheap price for their house due to the loss of value and the loss of city services and then turn around and sell them a different house within the new city services at a higher price. The city cuts costs in services rendered, REhores get business...
By the way, a story from 40 years ago...a business didn't want to pay city taxes so he built is building outside of the city limits of San Antonio, TX....Well, the building caught fire and the city fire department refused to cross the city limits to put out the fire...to make a short story long, the building burnt down and the insurance company refused to pay on the claim...
Unintended consequences...
Any changes made by govt to taxes or spending gets reflected in the marketplace too
Likewise, oligopic suppression of wages gets reflected back into taxes & spending.
"Yeah but gold could have done the same thing and at a macro level and no paperwork."
Being tied to a single commodity seems like an opportunity for speculative abuse. A basket of commodities or PM's seems smarter.
"persons having their property taken receive FMV for the property.'
Does not have to be a house for a house. They can use fire-sale prices when they're paying you. I assume they were talking about foreclosed and abandoned.
New Orleans is trying a variant of this in the lower 9th. They have drawn a line and said areas beyond will not receive City Services. Believe it or not there are developers building beyond the boundary!
lama (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:15 am
Rob,
Did you see this one? You're an old JP boy, aren't you?
Jamaica Plain > Best City Life - Boston Best Readers Poll
10 years ago, a friend of mine opened a video store in the wrong part of JP. A year later he shut the door and ran for his life.
Heck, I'll be back there in just about 18 hours. I'll report on Boston and Montreal over the next week.
I believe learnt is the Queen's English.
A basket of commodities or PM's seems smarter.
I'm okay with that.
But I think it's now gigantically obvious that paper ain't working so good.
Can a city just cut off city services to a designated part of the city? Wouldn't that raise some Equal Protection claims?
Certainly a city can eliminate some city services to the whole city, but to do it only to certain neighborhoods?
How about a giant 3 mile drag strip between Flint and Detroit?
Motor City
sportsfan,
If a city can incorporate/annex more land, it would seem logical they could unincorporate areas too. But I'm sure there would be lawsuits. The whole process would be litigious I am sure, but then, what isn't?
Evergreen turns to brown...
"According to regulators, Evergreen Ultra Short Opportunities overstated its net asset value by as much as 17% due to improperly valuing some mortgage-backed securities in its portfolio."
These things ended up selling for pennies on the dollar. How many Municipalities have overvalued securities in their pension funds by 20%.
Building beyond the boundary, whether the Ninth Ward or City Limits, would seem like asking to be sued by people who buy the developed property and then expect to receive the services their little hearts desire.
The guy who built outside San Antonio is a different story, of course, because he probably lied on his insurance application and identified the city fire department or stated that he was inside the city.
Well, the building caught fire and the city fire department refused to cross the city limits.
That seems a little more radical than refusing to cross a picket line.
"We're seizing your house and paying 10 cents on the $ as the supreme court already says that's fine, now move along peasant".
Something like that I'd expect.
-splat
Rent Control IMO increases rents because it keeps supply off the market. Rent stabilization on the other hand makes rents cheaper but conditions very bad.
Bulldozing certain suburbs isn't a new idea... happened in places in Texas during the oil patch depression of the 1980s... James Kunstler (I know, I know) has been suggesting this will have to be done eventually to places like Phoenix.
Detroit and Flint are not suprises. Wait until they have to really bulldoze parts of the 'New West' ..... Inland Empire, vast sections of Arizona, etc. Should be interesting. We're still some ways from that, though.
And again, it has nothing to do with what me, or 'liberals' want... it has to do with allocating scarce resources. Wealthy people will always live wherever they want. The majority will have to 'make other plans'.
I was thinking we could try this Flint, Michigan approach with the entire state of Texas. And Orange County, California.
Why not do Texas twice just to make sure we bulldoze the entire state flat?
This idea from Flint seems to have a lot of applications.
Dammit I don't want my 75 year-old mother with Parkinson's carrying around gold. Digital currency, indexed to the commodity basket.....
Not sure how hard money would reduce the paperwork. Nothing wrong with financing a building over the course of its useful life, just share the upside...
James Kunstler (I know, I know) has been suggesting this will have to be done eventually to places like Phoenix
The entire city?
That would awesome but a nuke would be easier.
Lucifer
Interesting timining of that six flags BK. Must not see a great summer...
If a city can incorporate/annex more land, it would seem logical they could unincorporate areas too.
I was thinking about that also, but I'm not so sure it would easy to jettison an area once incorporated.
Unless the next higher political subdivision, e.g., the county, was willing to accept the area, how could it be done?
I've heard of entire cities dissolving their charter so that the city no longer exists.
...involves razing entire districts and returning the land to nature.
In the 1970-80s I watched the last Bay area raw land being turned into warehouses. Early in the housing runup, 2002, a hedgefund friend was buying up and then tearing down warehouses in order to build - houses. It'll be dust to dust in CA too.
A little food for thought:
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just Powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.
Seems like these folks had some good ideas way back when.

Elephants and Asses
Trampling the Masses
Another con I heard from an Underwriting manager who was formerly an insurance auditor while in Houston, TX in the 70's....a home investor bought 4 homes in a row and insured two of them with different insurance companies (before the days of computer services for everyone)....If one of the uninsured had a property loss, he would call his agent and state that there was a typo, address of covered property was off by one number...This auditor caught the scam...
Tim waiting for 2012 (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:35 am
Evergreen turns to brown...
"According to regulators, Evergreen Ultra Short Opportunities overstated its net asset value by as much as 17% due to improperly valuing some mortgage-backed securities in its portfolio."
These things ended up selling for pennies on the dollar. How many Municipalities have overvalued securities in their pension funds by 20%.
That's assuming the pension funds bought only 1x exposure and didn't do what the big banks did with Advent last week. Odds? If the past is prologue I'm positive that many many pension funds doubled down on can't lose schemes like CDS in an attempt to get back recent losses. Municipal Enrons in the offing.
Not sure how hard money would reduce the paperwork
No legislature needed to pass legislation?
I'm not worried about your grandmother, she'll always have you to tote the gold around.
I'm waiting for Mmknl to chime in that "paper isn't the problem, it's fractional lending".
Some of the newer developments here in Ca will not need to be bulldozed.They are so badly built that they will fall apart on their own within a very few years.
22 years ago in Tempe they built a fancy strip mall down by the future town lake, main tenant?
Lazer Tag.
Went TU within 5 years, bulldozed in 10
Today, same location, they have a fancy strip mall backed up to a hotel/condo complex, only a handful of occupants, even with a campus of 60,000 across the "lake".
The difference? In 10 years there will be a lot more to bulldoze.
Tim 2012,
Think of jobs that will be lost in the six flags bankruptcy.
Folks, the view from over here in the Middle East is this: Oil could be at $80-90 by the end of this year. Tell me how exactly a city like Phoenix will be sustainable.
How much did the buggy whip manufacturers get in the latest bailout package?
Think of the jobs that could be lost.
Adapt or Die!
RD
Good point I missed that one. Barley found the evergreen news. Thanks
Lucifer,
You're right I wonder how much operating cash they have
Wait until they have to really bulldoze parts of the 'New West'
Don't have to waste the time and energy. If they don't just fall apart, as Tom Stone suggested, then in my area the desert will reclaim the land in a few decades.
Baaahh.
I saw today on CNN that at Amway and Avon sales are UP BIG over last year. We can simply shift from selling houses to each other over and over again to direct-selling personal hygene products. It's a bull market.
Sportsfan-
I'm actually thinking the alternative energy guys can buy it up. All of their money isfrom the government at this time anyways.
"A basket of commodities or PM's seems smarter."
Already the metals markets are manipulated and concentrated. The size of the entire metals markets, (platinum, palladium, gold, silver) is so small, that parties will control; them to no good general benefit. Only when you close the paper contracts will normal return. Gold, always gold and silver works with it.
You people I swear.
Before the Detroit riots in '67 the concept of bulldozing every 2nd house was in the air. As I recall, the automakers (some union locals even) were considering underwriting part of it.
After the riots the attitude was 'let it burn'. Detroit never came back.
I don't know why everyone busts on Phoenix. I have it on good authority that Phoenix is the new Paradise:
http://www.bloodhoundrealty.com/BloodhoundBlog/?p=114
The future of the Phoenix area real estate market:
The migration from the Snow Belt states to Metropolitan Phoenix has been unabated for 60 years.
A similar extended migration is now occurring from the Northwestern states and Western Canada.
The “installed base” of all those migrants brings a steady stream of extended family members.
Proposition 13 makes moving up difficult in California; many Golden State sellers buy in the Phoenix area.
Californians in pursuit of other objectives — e.g., a friendlier business climate — migrate to the Valley of the Sun.
Baby Boomers will retire in droves to warmer climes — the Atlantic coast, the Gulf states and the Southwest.
Among those locales, Phoenix is by far the least prone to natural disasters.
Because of this, people from disaster-afflicted regions have formed a new stream of in-migration.
There is a steady migration of new residents from Spanish- and Portuguese-speaking countries south of the border.
Phoenix is a destination of choice or the second-landing city for immigrants from all over the world.
While higher oil prices will put a strain on our far-flung suburbs, the greatest pain will be felt in Northern states where fuel oil or natural gas are used as heat sources; even people who don’t hate the winter will move to the Phoenix area to escape high heating bills.
The Phoenix Metropolitan area is a dynamic jobs creation machine, adding tens of thousand of new jobs every year.
People who have or hope to have children move here as soon as they can manage it.
Compared to the areas from which many of our in-migrants are drawn, our homes are still very affordable.
We build thousands more new homes every year.
The Greater Phoenix area has 60 years of sustained practice at managing extreme growth — this in contrast to thrashing cities like Las Vegas.
Snowbirds, politely known as Our Winter Visitors, eventually move here year-around.
Our first waves of massive migration occurred after WW II; mustered out soldiers who had been stationed here came back with their families; this pattern continues among people who are posted here temporarily for various reasons.
People who stay at our resorts often fall in love with the Valley of the Sun and return as soon as they are able.
A significant number of active and retired professional athletes maintain homes here, in no small part because the Phoenix/Scottsdale area has…
Year-around golf.
Oh, did I mention this was written in 2006?
"We can simply shift from selling houses to each other over and over again to direct-selling personal hygene products. "
At least we'll smell better.
Amway and Avon sales are UP BIG over last year
I told you so.
Go long Starbucks, MLM meeting place of choice.
I've made a few real-world additions....
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal
except for the extremely wealthly and politically connected who are more equal than the peasants
that they are endowed by their Creator
except for atheists
with certain unalienable Rights
which courts and governments may override for their own reasons
that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness
if these rights do not conflict with the goals of local, regional, state and federal governments.
That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men
of the ruling elites
deriving their just Powers from the consent of the governed
members of the ruling elites, wealthy and corporate executives.
sportsfan, no equal protection claim since the homeowners aren't a suspect class. Just rational basis, and the city can of course clear that. It's not an eminent domain/takings issue either because the people would be free to keep the property, just without services. No idea what property or state constitution claims it could raise though.
I'm actually thinking the alternative energy guys can buy it up.
The alternative energy guys, at least the sunpower crowd, loves the desert, but prefers flat land for focusing their arrays.
The windpower crowd hasn't been as interested. Apparently, there's wind everywhere, so no relative advantage.
@ Splat
Thank you sir, may I have another?
Bankers or terrorists,
A few hundred nukes on population centers in the middle east would convince them that oil is only 10$/B. At least those who are still alive in that region.
You must be visiting family if you're stopping in Boston on the way to Montreal. Montreal...well you know...I'm married anyway so what's the difference?
I don't know why everyone busts on Phoenix.
Ex-wife lives there.
Good enuf reason?
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:44 am
Folks, the view from over here in the Middle East is this: Oil could be at $80-90 by the end of this year. Tell me how exactly a city like Phoenix will be sustainable.
Phoenix proper? Sustainable.
Anthem, Goodyear, Estrella, Buckeye, Maricopa? Non sustainable, much like the NYCers who commute from E. Stroudgsburg or Angelinos commuting from Moreno Valley.
broward,
My "business meetings" these days consist of bumping iPhones and emailing PDFs.
Doesn't the US need high oil prices to finance the deficit through petrol dollar- treasury purchases recycling?
Or are we just gonna print?
@ Broward
Here buddy:
Sportsfan-
Wind guys need to be near the power grid and, well, the wind. We could turn the entire city of Beaumont, California back into a wind farm. It would be more worthwhile that way.
There's wind everywhere, but turbines have a low-end cut off speed. Your choice wind locations: Aleutian Islands, North Shore in Oahu, most of the midwest/Texas between interstates 29/35 and the Rockies, and a bit of Appalachia. And here and there in California.
HomeGnome....yes we are printing.
sanityclause, no heightened level of scrutiny for homeowners, no doubt about that. Still, If I buy a house within the city limits, I don't see how the city can subsequently eliminate city services in my area, but not in the city as a whole.
What Norlins is doing can probably be justified under emergency powers and common good principles, but to do that just for economic purposes, e.g., budget balancing, wouldn't fly very far IMO.
Edit: also, I don't think they would be free to keep the property. The idea being proposed, as I understand it, is to clear cut parts of the city.
Cities meet thy unmaker - nice wrap-up from wall st meltdown to main street breakdown:
"What characterizes contemporary politics is the unstable mixture of speed information and slow movements. Like the slow implosion of the manufacturing economy, the slow rise of evangelical visions of catastrophe, the slow ascent -- the slow ubiquity -- of the speed of technology, the slow descent of culture into the cold state of surveillance under the sign of bio-governance. You can see it everywhere. In the world economy, the speed of mortgage backed securities, credit swap debt offerings, and complex derivatives always seeks to move at the speed of light. Iceland is the world's first country actually liquidated by hyperreality with debts amassed at light-speeds now constituting 10 times its national wealth.
Like Michel Serres' the perfect parasite, the Wall Street financial elite has worked a perfect number on the host of the world economies -- implanting unknown levels of toxic debt everywhere in the circulatory system of finance capital, from China and Japan to the European community. Waking up to the danger of hot debt moving at light-speed when it is definitely too late, Japanese bankers suddenly declaim that "It is beyond panic." Wall Street types say it is "panic with a capital P." Harvard economists, standing on the sidelines like a chorus of lament, wisely add that we are now between "capitulation and panic" and "debt is good." That in a world of over-extended economies, sudden loss of financial credibility, and a seizing up of credit mechanisms everywhere, the only thing to do, financially speaking, is wait for the capitulation point -- that fatal moment when despair is so deep, pessimism so locked down tight in the investor's heart, that everything just stops for an instant. No investments, no hope, no circulation. And for the always hopeful financial analysts, this is precisely the point to begin anew, to reinvest, to seize financial redemption from despair.
Definitely then, not a speed economy, but a politics and economy of complex recursive loops, trapped in cycles of feedback which no one seems to understand, but with very real, very slow consequences: like vanishing jobs, abandoned health care and trashed communities."
Longer commentary on CTheory.net
/edit - first run Oct 30, 2008
C
Looks like my whole grand scheme for a new megalopolis called "California City" in the middle of the southern half of the state may not be working out... Bummer, laid out all the streets, locale for a nice park, etc....
"interesting timing of that six flags BK. Must not see a great summer... "
I suspect it has as much to do with debt load and irrational CRE costs... Perhaps their insurer was AIG?
"no equal protection claim since the homeowners aren't a suspect class."
I am pretty sure equal protection and protection from discrimination are entirely separate rights.
@ which
Yes, I'm well aware of that fact.
Beer me!
Alexei M-
Yeah that is the problem with PHX....everyone living in Sunrise and commuting to downtown or Tempe is becoming like living in Scranton and commuting to Manhattan. The urban core, and the 5 people who live there, are fine. Love the empty light rail.
ma (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:52 am
You must be visiting family if you're stopping in Boston on the way to Montreal. Montreal...well you know...I'm married anyway so what's the difference?
Yup, that and medical.
Broward,
Your ex-wife has found the right city to live in. It is filled with people like her.
bumping iPhones
Palm had it first, it was part of the 1999 Java One conference.
Ate breakfast with a cousin I haven't seen in 25 years, she has five kids aged 6 to 16.
I'm shocked that all of them know how to shoot and she seems to have morphed into a States righter.
Wow.
Still kind of shocked.
I didn't start shooting until I was eleven.
-- How about a giant 3 mile drag strip between Flint and Detroit? --
That was Telegraph Rd. by EJ Korvetts.
And Hamtramck, which is an island surrounded by Detroit. The race was Detroit to Detroit along Hamtramck Drive.
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 11:57 am
Alexei M-
Yeah that is the problem with PHX....everyone living in Sunrise and commuting to downtown or Tempe is becoming like living in Scranton and commuting to Manhattan. The urban core, and the 5 people who live there, are fine. Love the empty light rail.
I was on the light rail yesterday at 3pm and it was packed westbound by the time we got to 44th street. Students, people headed to the ball game early, people coming from the airport, people knocking off of work early. Ridership numbers are blowing out (absurdly low due to gaming the federal grant system) predictions by 4x.
RobDawg - stop in Caffe Graffitti in the North End and and tell my old buddies Luigi and sister Antonella that Kentucky said hello. He just may remember after I stole his position on the local mafia soccer team!
Big Deal
I think that it is harder in NYC, especially Manhattan (South of 96th Street that is)
to find "typical" RE as it varies so quickly from street to street. The Condo market is also limited in scope because of the large number of co-op buildings (In a Condo you own your own space. In a coop you own shares of stock in the whole building and have a right to live and sell a particular unit. Coop board if directors controls who can buy in and other stuff. Coops usually have more established owners)
Condo crowd more transient. If you cant afford to live in Manhattan then these folks head for the boroughs. But as Manhattan Condo prices soften, they is a large and ready market waiting to leave the boroughs.
Real problem is the markets in the boroughs which got overbuilt.
Case-Schiller is less useful for NYC then most other places since the single -family home data misses most of the large core area.
Alexei M-
That's cool about the light rail. I'm a U of A grad....good LRT is nice to see.
Well, you'd have a equal protection claim, it's just you'd never win. If they want to bulldoze (instead of just cutting off your services) there'd be a taking. Perhaps no water and power is enough for no possible economic use, but I'm not sure.
Blackhalo, by protection against discrimination, do you mean due process? I'm sure there'll be plenty of notice and chance to be heard. They wouldn't be that stupid. Substantive due process would not cover this.
Lothar the Rottweiler (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:04 pm
RobDawg - stop in Caffe Graffitti in the North End and and tell my old buddies Luigi and sister Antonella that Kentucky said hello. He just may remember after I stole his position on the local mafia soccer team!
Ahh, near the Neapolitan.
This reminds me of old lithographs depicting goats grazing in the ruins of the Roman Forum.
For what's worth, I read some time ago it takes 2 to 3 years just to demolish 1 house in Detroit due to red tape, gov regs, etc.
These projects would take decades under Gov. supervision.
Stimulus forever!
The Storm Is Coming, a reading:
pavel.libsyn.com
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
And now they want the services they were promised... how dare they! I'm sure if they are 'spun off' it will be with their 'fair share' of the debt. Grrr...
As to the Antelope valley . Funny sign off the 14: "Antelope Valley, because accidents happen." It was supposed to be part of a multi-billboard advertisement, but instead it stands alone. I wonder what lawyer failed to pay his ad bill...
I agree with plowing down 1/2 the homes there. Just do it in a way to create open space. Notice I didn't say 'Green space.'
With Detroit... I'm wondering if it can be saved or if it should be walled off.
Got Popcorn?
Neil
Tim I'm referring to specific laws in NYC. "Control" and "Stabilization" are different versions of the same thing, from different years. Of course rent control limits the upside for someone looking to build a new skyscrpaper. Most localities control their density with zoning laws and other regulations; there is no real free market.
If you don't like like rent control, you're free to build elsewhere. NYC has historically had a relatively transient population, but there are limits to the benefits from that. Rent control follows from electricity, water, gas price controls. Part monopoly-busting, part fixed-rate mortgage -- no money down, no equity ever gained.
@ Neil
Are you Neil from HBB?
If you are, They were asking about you the other day.
That popcorn is going to make you thirsty.
Still, If I buy a house within the city limits, I don't see how the city can subsequently eliminate city services in my area, but not in the city as a whole.
IMO, there's no EPC violation because technically there's no application of the law if the city decides to dis-incorporate an area. It's not like the city is saying "we won't provide X service because you belong to a suspect class, but we'll provide X service to a non-suspect class person." The city is simply saying "we won't provide service because we don't have jurisdiction over you."
b...b...but... the 14 is going to be where the bullet train crosses the mountain!
Palmdale - city of the future in more ways than you can imagine...
Song about this very thing: YouTube - David Byrne- Nothing but Flowers
OT but creepy:
" June 13, 2009
Iran’s main mobile telephone network stopped working in Tehran on June 13 before Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made his victory speech, Agence France-Presse reported."
kinda sucks without Johnny Marr... but, then, so does the entire discography of Morrissey
Closures of 3 of 4 car dealships, Circuit City, 3 Sizzlers, numerous shops and realty services, and reduced truck and car traffic on local CA desert auto row: I'm trying to see it as Route 66 coming back. Guess nostalgia isn't what it used to be.
NYC Rent control and rent stabilization folk in fact have almost no effect on the rest of the RE market as no body leaves these mostly way below market rent units. They have perpetually renewable leases with limited raises.
Since they can be passed on to those names on the lease it becomes a game getting your name on the lease. A current favorite is to say you are gay ( a gay but not straight lover has the rights of a spouse to get on the lease). Bring in a lease buyer, both sort of share the space for a while, then when buyer gets on lease, you move taking huge amt of "key money"
"And now they want the services they were promised... how dare they! I'm sure if they are 'spun off' it will be with their 'fair share' of the debt. Grrr..."
I doubt they will want to spin off the revenue positive areas that were annexed and instead look to shed areas that are revenue negative. Whatever those might be. Like the patch of once empty land that was between the metro and the annex target that some developer has in the interim overbuilt with substandard housing. Likely after a generous donation to some councilman's campaign fund. Or a nice six figure job for a brother-in-law.
Using SA as an example, I bet there is a lot of "city" between 410 and 1604 that SA would love to shed.
Apparently, disincorporation is being considered by a few cities:
Towns Rethink Self-Reliance as Finances Worsen
The only thing I could find on diminishing a city's limits only applies in a pretty rural setting:
Missouri Revised Statutes
In California all I could find on the subject of changing a city's limits involved either annexation or consolidation (along with disincorporation), but nothing on diminishing a city's limits while keeping the city as a city.
By the time you get to the point of wanting to bulldoze a neighborhood and move the residents somewhere else, 95% of the landowners are slumlords who love nothing more than collecting money but not paying it out. Beat them at their own game. Have the tax assessor give them all ridiculous tax bills and all but invite them to appeal. At the hearings, say that it's challenging to properly assess value in such a run-down neighborhood and ask the slumlord owner what he thinks a proper assessment valuation is. Hem and haw a little but ultimately agree.
A few months later, take the property and pay 10 cents on the dollar. When the owners complain, produce the transcripts of the tax appeals, shrug, and say we are simply paying you exactly what you told us the property is worth.
HollywoodHack (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:19 pm
b...b...but... the 14 is going to be where the bullet train crosses the mountain!
Palmdale - city of the future in more ways than you can imagine...
There's an interesting political dynamic evolving around CAHSR. It's almost as if nothing south of Fresno exists. The SF pols are quietly hijacking the train for SF Area service first and foremost. i suspect that when the plan starts to unravel the money will go towards regional commuter rail for just them.
. . . if the city decides to dis-incorporate an area. . . .
That's the whole point. I can't find any authority for a city to disincorporate part of the city, i.e, to diminish its city limits.
maybe they should focus their energies on getting the bart from fremont to downtown san jose... which the voters approved overwhelmingly a decade ago
I can't find any authority for a city to disincorporate part of the city,
I'm sure it's part of TARP.
Yes just bulldoze deteriorating infrastructure without addressing the plethora of economic problems like job growth etc
Another jackass employed at lala land thinktank
Hadn't heard that one fooly. Of course that key money if discovered voids the lease. The tenants would have the burden of proof. Wonder to what lengths people will go...
I suppose this is the ten-cents on the dollar discussion; but how does the government repay those who get their structures bulldozed?
(If I were to answer that I would quote "Forrest Gump"... 'In the buttocks, sir!')
The question still standsin a serious manner...
Let's bulldoze 'thinktanks' because they operate in an alternate universe and they're a waste of $$$ .
Interesting question. Would the procedure be self-governed by the city'scorporate charter or pursuant to state law? I'll check.
Empty housing bulldozed. Genius.
How about setting up a community education program to teach trades by rehabilitating the homes and then selling them to recoup the cost of the program. Make the sale price 2.5 times income of the applicant or better yet, use sweat equity like Habitat for Humanity.
How about making it into subsidized housing?
Give it hugely discounted to vets?
Homeless shelters?
Mark it as being recyclable with a one year cut off date. Watch a new cottage industry spring up.
Half way houses for the prisoners we can no longer afford to imprison.
Use the empty yards as community gardens or greenhouses using the empty house for materials.
One night of big bonfires celebrating the implementation of fedghettos.
OR
Create a federal program to buy these empty, foreclosed homes at full price from the banks that own them. Knock 'em down and start the whole process all over again. Repeat in 20 years.
"Let's bulldoze 'thinktanks' because they operate in an alternate universe and they're a waste of $$$ ."
As an entity that provides cover for the advances of contributors underlying political agenda, I bet they are worth every penny. Plus, how else would one keep the PhD's with not practical application or real world experience, employed?
sportsfan: i've got this state court decision: State ex rel. City of Peerless Park v. Young. Can't look up the state court decision, as my westlaw account went into graduated mode.
Finding the statutory requirements were met, St. Louis County Council disincorporated the city. Soon after, the former city and two former city officials challenged the disincorporation in Missouri court on grounds that it was an impermissible boundary change and violated federal due process law. The Circuit Court of St. Louis upheld the council's decision to disincorporate Peerless Park, and the decision was affirmed on appeal. State ex rel. City of Peerless Park v. Young, 988 S.W.2d 142, 142 (Mo.Ct.App. 1999).
305 F3d 834 Niere v. St Louis County Missouri | Open Jurist
@ Externalized Costs (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:36 pm
much more practical and productive ideas because
a) you don;t work for a thinktank that is
b) funded by corporate oligarchs
More pork sausages please
Blackhalo, that sounds just a wee bit cynical.
@ Blackhalo (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 12:38 pm
Bingo - see my comment right above
Option B) Knock 'em down and start the whole process all over again
Option B sounds a lot easier, man.
Option A is a lot of work.
Basel, here's the full Wiki entry on Peerless Park:
"Peerless Park, Missouri is a former, disincorporated town located at the junction of Interstate 44 and Route 141 in St. Louis County. It was incorporated in 1935, and by the 1980s, the majority of the town was businesses and its population did not exceed 50. At the request of its citizens, the town was disincorporated in 1999."
It looks like a complete disincorporation.
That does raise an interesting alternative, though. Suppose we get together and disincorporate our whole town, then, once that's final, petition to reincorporate only the good parts.
Do you think the pols would see that one coming!
Seems like a perfectly normal contemporary American solution -- destructive, easily gamed by the corrupt, spectacularly wasteful of public funds, and with a shallowness of approach that is best described as infantile.
It's a good thing we're going to come to a crash stop due to money crisis long before any of this lunatic stupidity goes far.
One opinion:
"My City Was Gone
Tuesday, June 2, 2009 at 11:30am
"Mr. Knox, a bankruptcy consultant to Vallejo, said shifting oversight of a city's services to a county or state during the current economic environment would be a tall order. In California and many other states, the county or state must approve such a move, he said. Most counties are ailing as badly as cities, and are unlikely to readily approve a disincorporation, he said."
Elizabeth Warren vs Treasury
Elizabeth Warren: Riding Herd On a Bailout - TIME
Elizabeth Warren should run for President.
Hi fellow bloggers. I ordered some mortgage pig wear a few weeks ago. Does anyone know how long it takes to receive it? TIA
Congratulations, Basel Too.
Studying for the Bar?
A complete disincorporation.
How appropriate for 2009.
.
.
we're going to come to a crash stop due to money crisis long before any of this lunatic stupidity goes far.
We can only hope.
I knew it would crash but I didn't think it would get so kooky and last so long.
It looks like a village in New York may diminish its boundaries under certain specific circumstances:
Consolidated laws of New York annotated - Google Books
Section 349
My post was Ruin'd:
50 cities, identified in a recent study by the Brookings Institution, an influential Washington think-tank, as potentially needing to shrink substantially to cope with their declining fortunes.
And another new multi-billion $ per year federal agency to help save the locals with even more top-down expertise and efficiency.
And another new multi-billion $ per year federal agency to help save the locals with even more top-down expertise and efficiency.
We will then have the FHA, and FHDA (Federal Housing Destruction Agency). The possibilities seem endless.
Going back to Missouri again, a 1989 AG opinion says it can be done.
It is the opinion of this office that a constitutional charter city has the power to alter its boundaries so as to exclude territory from its corporate limits and such city is empowered to develop its own procedures to accomplish this.
Attorney General's Opinion No. 102-89
There were wise to some cheaters...
From 1909 NYS Village Law cited above:
"Territory so excluded from the village shall not be relieved from bearing its proportionate share of any liability or indebtedness' incurred by such village while such territory was a part thereof, and until such liability is discharged, or such indebtedness paid, the proportionate share to which such territory would be liable if it had not been excluded shall be levied upon, assessed and collected from such territory by the proper officers of such village, in the same manner as if such territory had not been excluded therefrom...."
Department of Homeland Sizability
"Peter Schiff believes Americans should return to a basic economy that grows based on savings, not consumer credit."
Someone did not get the roast beef.
Video: Peter Schiff | The Daily Show | Comedy Central
President Barack Obama said the government can save $313 billion over the next 10 years by forcing greater efficiency in Medicare, demanding better prices from drugmakers and cutting the number of uninsured Americans.
You figure that the upside for Rx prices is now limited and there is more downside to big pharma than upside.
Because of my work, I hear rumors about municipal bankruptcies, especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay.
It's like the airlines, but for cities and counties.
"We can only hope.
I knew it would crash but I didn't think it would get so kooky and last so long."
Starting to seem like pre-TARP Bush/Paulson levels of desperation. Desperate times call for desperate measures?
Shrinkage is sustainable, right? In an asymptotic sort of way?
Some investor guy
The rumor is that Oakland CA has already hired BK consultants...
Anyone think that China doesn't just go into N korea and overthrow their gov't. I mean no one would stop them or be angry and the people are starving right (?) so they might not be too upset.
YSLP the procedure varies depending on who, what and where, but the entity whose property is taken always has some sort of judicial review available as it is a Constitutional right.
there is more downside to big pharma than upside.
Merck is the new GM?
Tim waiting for 2012 (homepage, profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 1:03 pm
President Barack Obama said the government can save $313 billion over the next 10 years by forcing greater efficiency in Medicare, demanding better prices from drugmakers and cutting the number of uninsured Americans.
You figure that the upside for Rx prices is now limited and there is more downside to big pharma than upside.
0.05 TARPs per year. Feh, why even bother?
"especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay."
Don't forget the bondholding suckers.
Which is why Ginsburg, Stevens and Breyer may team up with the Reagan/Bush Justices and not let Chrysler play fast and loose with BK.
The City of Post Oak Bend, TX, managed to de-annex some land from it's boundary in 2003:
ORDINANCE NO. 15
You gotta love a place named Post Oak Bend where they used to post the price of oil on the local oak tree.
I wonder if that is Ordinance No. 15 for the year 2003 or Ordinance No. 15 for the City.
A "Post Oak Bluff" is Doyle Brunson's term for betting such a small amount that it looks like you're very strong.
OT - anyone remember a poster named postoke from the Yahoo CHK board many years ago?
"Nearly 700,000 calls were received by a federal hot line this week from people confused about the nationwide switch from analog to digital TV broadcasts that occurred Friday."
One hopes they all run out to RSH to buy a tuner and a beefier antenna.
Nearly 700,000 calls were received by a federal hot line this week from people confused about the nationwide switch from analog to digital TV broadcasts that occurred Friday."
One hopes they all run out to RSH to buy a tuner and a beefier antenna.
And then they voted....
One would think a resident of an area paying taxes to a city would have a theoretical right to a share of the assets of that city, so that a disincorporation could be a taking under certain facts.
some investor guy (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 2:03 pm reply Ignore user Because of my work, I hear rumors about municipal bankruptcies, especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay.
It's like the airlines, but for cities and counties.
Investor guy: It's different here in Idaho, our state controller, Donna Jones, is saying everything's fine. FYI, Donna Jones has a GED and was realtor before she was voted in (yet, the people below her have to have a CPA to get a job working for her, think about that.) ...
Ten Things That Could Still Go Wrong with the Economy
Ten Things That Could Still Go Wrong with the Economy: Tech Ticker, Yahoo! Finance
Good summary I could only think of 5
I have some equity put options going to options heaven worthless next week. Time to party.
Not sure if that would cover the case where we built this city on rock and roll.
Donna Jones has a GED (yet, the people below her have to have a CPA to get a job working for her, think about that.) ...
Welcome to USSA government
There was some talk a few years back about the San Fernando Valley of the City of LA separating from the remainder....It was the politicos of each area unsatisfied with such things as the school districts (it all comes down to money...) The talk died off, someone must have been bought off...
With bulldozing as the new urban downsizing, how are the burgeoning green spaces going to supply funding for already-committed municipal employee retirement benefits? Detroit, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, etc.
Stable or declining tax revenues, continuing oversized outlays. It don't add up.
Uncle Sam to the rescue, I guess. Sort of like "Stagecoach" where the U.S. Cavalry comes a ridin'.
I have no doubt she's underqualified, but there are sound historical reasons why elected officials should not have as much qualification to hold office as civil servants.
Because of my work, I hear rumors about municipal bankruptcies, especially in order to change union agreements or work rules. To shed jobs, benefits, and lower pay.
All eyes await the Vallejo appeal.
Suppose we get together and disincorporate our whole town, then, once that's final, petition to reincorporate only the good parts.
Worked for Chrysler and GM, why not a city. From what i'm hearing from my BK friends, more and more corporate clients are demanding the Chrysler treatment. I think the Six Flags filing today is going to press the issue even more.
yogi; sort of studying...
lost-confused
It was a fakeout of demographic shift where the economy in the valley was booming and LA was kinda blah in comparison and they wanted more control over their tax revenues. The housing bust put an end to that talk. All IMO of course
"Cities Downsize to Survive"
The new urban renewal plan ...
yogi writes: "Which is why Ginsburg, Stevens and Breyer may team up with the Reagan/Bush Justices and not let Chrysler play fast and loose with BK."
I bow to your superior wisdom. No prediction from volker. volker dumbass.
"Cities Downsize to Survive"
Just the beginning folks ...
We won't have the money going forward for the upkeep
of services and infrastructure .... all across America ...
Gravel streets and septic systems will be making a comeback ...
yogi, it;s kind of like putting Larry Craig in charge of bathroom security!
I still dont understand how an unsecured creditor can be placed ahead of a secured creditor in a bk... Seems like if you hold a bond that is secured by real property, you should have the right to go take that property if the borrower defaults... and the unsecured creditors would have no rights to it... So where am I going wrong here?
speaking of studying for the bar... anyone want to know how ridiculous higher education is?
I have a friend that spent $150K on four years of undergraduate school. Another $120K for 3 years of law school. Yet, she has to pay $4K for bar review classes, because aside from her first year of law school, the other 6 did nothing to prepare her for the bar...
volker the viking (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 1:34 pm
...I bow to your superior wisdom. No prediction from volker. volker dumbass.
Careful now, we'll have to report you for abusing ... yourself!
mmckinl
Unfortunately I think you are right. At the height of the boom less than 8% of taxes were going to infrastructure. What do you think that 8% will look like with tax revenues down 15-25%.
mmckinl writes: "Gravel streets and septic systems will be making a comeback ..."
The gravel will make for great drain fields. And, can't resist, please forgive me. All our houses will become shit holes.
Well that's admittedly speculation. I am not well-read on BK law, but we all will be soon.
Basel want a Multi- tip?
ShadowInventory (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 1:36 pm
I still dont understand how an unsecured creditor can be placed ahead of a secured creditor in a bk...
Calvinlaw.
Mass bankruptcies are the only workable path going forward ...
Without relief of debt the whole enchilada blows up ...
$50 trillion of aggregate debt is not serviceable ...
The talk died off, someone must have been bought off...
No, the problem with the San Fernando Valley was the same problem Mojave County, California experienced 20 years ago.
Not only is a majority vote required within the area seceding, a majority vote is required in the remaining area.
The remaining area never lets folks leave.
i want a Multi tip!!!
nervous rex writes: "Careful now, we'll have to report you for abusing ... yourself!"
It's a way of life with the volker.
imaginary scenario...
Chinese Financial Crisis: The global downturn has helped expose the fragility of the Chinese economic miracle, and worse might be coming.
A collapse of profits in China could very well spark a banking crisis, much like the collapse of real estate prices did to US financial institutions. Very little attention has been paid to the fragility of the Chinese financial system, which is dominated by large, slow, non-transparent, often corrupt state-run banks and centralized decision making. Slowing exports could be the tide that goes out and reveals which Chinese banks have been swimming naked. And the Chinese financial system, which has almost no effective securitization and therefore high concentrations of financial risk, is much less prepared to deal bank failures than the US was.
Basel, did you hear that some law firms are offering first year associates 80k to not start (although they were offered a job) and interns 40-60K not to start (for the same reason). it's posted as Law.com - Legal News, Legal Technology, In-House Counsel, Small Firms
mmckinl: that is why jubilee is my prediction, of course, I could be wrong.
1 currency now -yogi (profile) wrote on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 1:37 pm
Basel want a Multi- tip?
Do you mean a "Leeloo Dallas multi-pass?"
YouTube - Fifth Element - Leeloo Dallas Multipass
(edit: add Leeloo)
. . . speaking of studying for the bar..
I spent that summer on the beach in Santa Monica.
I figured it was Pass/Fail and, if I didn't already know enough to pass, I deserved to fail.
Tim waiting for 2012
Not only are tax receipts plummeting ... 15-25% ...
The great wave of social promises is about to hit ...
Everyone is going to get a haircut ...
Why bond holders think they are so special escapes me ...
Even if bond holders get their way they will inherit a smoking ruins ...
I still dont understand how an unsecured creditor can be placed ahead of a secured creditor in a bk
I don't think "secured" means what you thought it did (anymore).
I still dont understand how an unsecured creditor can be placed ahead of a secured creditor in a bk
Technically, the UAW isn't. This is the how the Chrysler BK unfolded:
Yes because A
Yes because B
No because C
No because D
You're pretty confident on yes or no, must guess on which of the two.
Pick the one you think is wrong,. Yes, they're trying to trick you.
My practice scores shot up as soon as I realized it. I did quite well.
Ha - too much to riff on...for starters, this reminds me more of another Talking Heads song - flowers - but burning down the house is a good alternative. I've been back on a kick of listening to the heads for the first time in 15 years, largely because someone posted flowers here a couple of months ago...got to see Byrne live last week here in my little town!
Broward - be happy she's in Phoenix and you're not - mine is next door! Yikes!
Edit: oh, and something on topic - I was listening to a panel discussion with these guys last night - and they are pursuing an interesting model. They're only bulldozing houses that are up for tax auctions and which are already too far gone to be viable. The idea is to make a bunch of greenspaces - convert old "urban" (not terribly high density) neighborhoods into the kind of suburbs Dawg suggests we prefer. I get the impression it's to consolidate the remaining inhabited areas into smaller centers, which are more liveable and to eliminate the blight that can become infested and rotten. It's an appealing idea, and it sounds like the city is not trying to micro-plan/manage, but to get a handle on the rot. It was particularly funny listening to the dogmatic ideologue from Cato get bitch slapped by reality in the conversation. His knee was jerking too fast and got ahead of him.
I've given up looking for any authority for cities to de-annex, diminish boundaries or otherwise take actions that cut off services to certain parts of town. I don't think it exists outside of special situations involving no residents, residents who want out, land being re-annexed by a different city, or accepted by the county, usually for development, and so on.
If a city wants to diminish the services it provides, it would appear to have to do so across the board, i.e., in a non-discriminatory fashion. The idea that a city can simply stop picking up the trash in a certain part of town looks DOA.
ruh-roh Can you even imagine if your wife did this?
"One of the most senior members of Saudi Arabia's royal family, Princess Maha al-Sudairi, is claiming diplomatic immunity in France after running up unpaid shopping bills of more than £15 million including £60,000 on designer lingerie."
Saudi princess runs up £15 million shopping bill - Telegraph
volker the viking
mmckinl: that is why jubilee is my prediction, of course, I could be wrong.
~~~~
The Jubilee will come in the form of inflation, then a new US currency ...
Will not happen IMO ...
There will either be an orderly conversion of debt to equity or haircut ...
Or a disorderly economic meltdown ...
That's solid right there. Thanks Yogi!
Multi state is ridiculous. Good thing it only takes like 65% to pass that part.
I'm going to be cutting it close.
We did Secured Transactions today in Bar-Bri. I'm so working it into my essay that everything is subject to a union agreement.
Surprised no one has mentioned that there are whole countries with this kind of problem. Japan, Russia, Ukraine, and Italy have large population declines in their not too distant future.
norma: that's happened to a lot of my classmates, some by straight unpaid deferment. the shocker this week was that Cravath did it for 2009 and 2010 associates. the weirdness is that i'm probably going to earn more as a car wash owner than most of my BigLaw associate friends.
If a city wants to diminish the services it provides, it would appear to have to do so across the board, i.e., in a non-discriminatory fashion.
well duh!
mmckinl: machts nict, either way it goes down, the net effect is the same
I am not confident they can engineer an orderly unwind.
For you who may be studying for the bar. Look at the first time bar pass rate for your gender and institution.
Add in your class rank. Then look at the bar pass rate for previous graduates who had your rank.
Then relax.
well duh!
The original context was cutting off areas, a la CR's blog post.
some investor guy
"Surprised no one has mentioned that there are whole countries with this kind of problem. Japan, Russia, Ukraine, and Italy have large population declines in their not too distant future."
~~~~
Exactly why we need , and they need, debt free money ...
Fractional Reserve Banking can only work with geometrically increasing debt ...
Governments need to take back their right to produce their own money debt free
and use the profits and prerogatives of currency and credit creation to benefit the populace
through lower taxes and better benefits ...
Take as many old tests as are published. Try my technique. Retake every q you get wrong in the week before the test, and go over why the right answer is correct even if you remember the letter.
During good times landlords would pay solid five figures to a controlled tenant who would move.
Friend of ours lives in the apt she was born in. Money she saved on rent went toward getting a small Hamptons house
Downsizing works only after the debt burden is extinguished. CA is already past stall speed - needs growth to service the existing debt...
volker the viking
"mmckinl: machts nict, either way it goes down, the net effect is the same
I am not confident they can engineer an orderly unwind."
~~~~
I very pessimistic about an orderly unwind ... Obama is letting Congress dictate legislation ...
Without leadership this crisis only gets much worse ...
But let's face it ... there will be an unwind ... $50 trillion is not serviceable ...
With a disorderly unwind the carnage escalates ... geometrically ...
mmckinl writes: "Without leadership this crisis only gets much worse ..."
The difference between the Boy Scouts and Congress is the Boy Scouts have adult leadership.
bearly
"Downsizing works only after the debt burden is extinguished. CA is already past stall speed - needs growth to service the existing debt..."
~~~
lol ... just where is that growth to come from in Cali ?
The whole nation is in the same fix ...
We need "Greenbacks" , debt free money, underwritten by higher taxes ....
More debt is not an option, the way we create money now is just more debt ...
mmckinl writes: "Governments need to take back their right to produce their own money debt free
and use the profits and prerogatives of currency and credit creation to benefit the populace
through lower taxes and better benefits ... "
Wah? I'm part of the 98% I'm not Mensa, I'm a densa. Maybe you could explain this.
Landlords can also be aggressive about the situation. Not saying they throw little old ladies down the stairs much anymore, but they may claim that house is her primary residence, and the burden is on her to show otherwise.
OT but Iran seems to be having a coup.
Guess it will effect oil prices.
There are anti-Ayatollah Shia in Iraq who just might join with a resistance movement
Major Irani pipelines near Iraqi border.
mmckinl we've been through this debate:
I'm with you on taxing consumption, especially luxuries, but printing money to pay back a debt is fraud. It's not just the Chinese wage slave that gets screwed.
Downsizing works only after the debt burden is extinguished.
Downsizing also works rather well to cut future expenses. From the article I liked 200+ comments ago:
VICTORVILLE • City Manager Jim Cox is proposing to layoff between 120 and 140 employees, slash all salaries by nearly 8 percent and cut a slew of other benefits in order to close a $13 million gap in Victorville’s budget.
The layoffs could mean losing 24 percent of the city’s full-time staff and more than 16 percent of its part-time staff.
I'd call that downsizing in a big way.
link?
volker the viking
Lincoln’s Monetary Breakthrough
The bankers had Lincoln’s government over a barrel, just as Wall Street has Congress in its vice-like grip today. The North needed money to fund a war, and the bankers were willing to lend it only under circumstances that amounted to extortion, involving staggering interest rates of 24 to 36 percent. Lincoln saw that this would bankrupt the North and asked a trusted colleague to research the matter and find a solution. In what may be the best piece of advice ever given to a sitting President, Colonel Dick Taylor of Illinois reported back that the Union had the power under the Constitution to solve its financing problem by printing its money as a sovereign government. Taylor said:
“Just get Congress to pass a bill authorizing the printing of full legal tender treasury notes . . . and pay your soldiers with them and go ahead and win your war with them also. If you make them full legal tender . . . they will have the full sanction of the government and be just as good as any money; as Congress is given that express right by the Constitution.”
The Greenbacks actually were just as good as the bankers’ banknotes. Both were created on a printing press, but the banknotes had the veneer of legitimacy because they were “backed” by gold. The catch was that this backing was based on “fractional reserves,” meaning the bankers held only a small fraction of the gold necessary to support all the loans represented by their banknotes. The “fractional reserve” ruse is still used today to create the impression that bankers are lending something other than mere debt created with accounting entries on their books.1
Lincoln took Col. Taylor’s advice and funded the war by printing paper notes backed by the credit of the government. These legal-tender U.S. Notes or “Greenbacks” represented receipts for labor and goods delivered to the United States. They were paid to soldiers and suppliers and were tradeable for goods and services of a value equivalent to their service to the community. The Greenbacks aided the Union not only in winning the war but in funding a period of unprecedented economic expansion. Lincoln’s government created the greatest industrial giant the world had yet seen. The steel industry was launched, a continental railroad system was created, a new era of farm machinery and cheap tools was promoted, free higher education was established, government support was provided to all branches of science, the Bureau of Mines was organized, and labor productivity was increased by 50 to 75 percent. The Greenback was not the only currency used to fund these achievements; but they could not have been accomplished without it, and they could not have been accomplished on money borrowed at the usurious rates the bankers were attempting to extort from the North.
Lincoln succeeded in restoring the government’s power to issue the national currency, but his revolutionary monetary policy was opposed by powerful forces. The threat to established interests was captured in an editorial of unknown authorship, said to have been published in The London Times in 1865:
“If that mischievous financial policy which had its origin in the North American Republic during the late war in that country, should become indurated down to a fixture, then that Government will furnish its own money without cost. It will pay off its debts and be without debt. It will become prosperous beyond precedent in the history of the civilized governments of the world. The brains and wealth of all countries will go to North America. That government must be destroyed or it will destroy every monarchy on the globe.”
Lincoln was assassinated in 1865. According to historian W. Cleon Skousen:
“Right after the Civil War there was considerable talk about reviving Lincoln’s brief experiment with the Constitutional monetary system. Had not the European money-trust intervened, it would have no doubt become an established institution.”
Web of Debt - REVIVE LINCOLN’S MONETARY POLICY: AN OPEN LETTER TO PRESIDENT OBAMA
knew that, just have a difficult time coming to terms with the workability of same
Uh, I do not volunteer to help count ballots as I did in Minnesota.
are you saying back it with gold? then, okay, I could support this or something like this, we'll just have to do it like we did it last century and demand gold from where ever it has ended up
1 currency now -yogi
"mmckinl we've been through this debate:
I'm with you on taxing consumption, especially luxuries, but printing money to pay back a debt is fraud. It's not just the Chinese wage slave that gets screwed."
~~~~
Read "Lincoln's Monetary Breakthrough"
Web of Debt - REVIVE LINCOLN’S MONETARY POLICY: AN OPEN LETTER TO PRESIDENT OBAMA
Basically the printed money is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States ... through taxes ...
That we should have to borrow from private bankers our own money is absurd ...
Lincoln did not invent government-issued paper money. Rather, he restored a brilliant innovation of the American colonists. According to Benjamin Franklin, it was the colonists’ home-grown paper “scrip” that was responsible for the remarkable abundance in the colonies at a time when England was suffering from the ravages of the Industrial Revolution. Like with Lincoln’s Greenbacks, this prosperity posed a threat to the control of the British Crown and the emerging network of private British banks, prompting the King to ban the colonists’ paper money and require the payment of taxes in gold. According to Franklin and several other historians of the period, it was these onerous demands by the Crown, and the corresponding collapse of the colonists’ paper money supply, that actually sparked the Revolutionary War.2
Rob Dawg writes:
I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
There fixed that for you.
I find it amusing that owners of adjacent properties to every township and muni were requesting annexation in order to get access to sewer.
There. Now it's really fixed.
volker the viking
"knew that, just have a difficult time coming to terms with the workability of same"
~~~~
Simple ...
.... the money is printed then taxed back so that too much money doesn't get into circulation ...
Why should we let bankers print 10x the deposits they hold ... that is what causes depreciation of our money
more and more money in circulation
... until the crisis hits and the bankers cut off credit and the whole Ponzi Scheme crashes ...
Uh, adjacent undeveloped properties.
Now ,it's ultra<i/> fixed.
so do away with fractional reserve banking?
volker the viking
"are you saying back it with gold? then, okay, I could support this or something like this, we'll just have to do it like we did it last century and demand gold from where ever it has ended up"
~~~~
Gold is no impediment to printing too much money ...
They simply lower the reserve requirement ...
This is never going to end.
It's going to become more complex and convoluted, year after year.
Nobody will be able to figure out the rules for anything, it will be a staggered mess of continuously grandfathered legislation and spending programs layered over with new ones as industries slowly collapse. You'll need to know who you, where you are, where you were, when it happened, all the associations of the time, how they've changed, what new changes have changed....
It will be like GM's parts department times 1000.
Maybe you made a mistake, Hoopdajoop.
volker the viking
" so do away with fractional reserve banking?"
~~~~
Exactly !
Fiat money is NOT the problem ...
Fractional Reserve Banking is the problem !
Fiat money is NOT the problem ...
Fractional Reserve Banking is the problem !
I was waiting for that response.
Hundreds of years of history confirm the correlation of the credit cycle / collapse and fractional lending.
But thousands of years of history confirm that governments always debase currency.
are you Mish?
broward: I was leading the witness.
are you Mish?
I am A Mish but not The Mish.
@ Broward
Yep.
Financial Terrorism
Trillions of FRN suicide bombers.
@ Broward
Yep.
Financial Terrorism
Trillions of FRN suicide bombers.
Go long Starbucks, MLM meeting place of choice<i/>
Glod, Broward. That's funny.
broward
"I was waiting for that response.
Hundreds of years of history confirm the correlation of the credit cycle / collapse and fractional lending.
But thousands of years of history confirm that governments always debase currency."
~~~~
LOL ... and the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve has not debased our currency?
And the private bankers around the world using fractional reserve banking have not debased their currencies ?
The question is: Cui Bono ? ... Who benefits from the creation of currency and credit? The people or the private banks?
I don't mind some deficit spending for growth. But pay for it by taxing or borrowing at honest terms, not printing. Under your system, Timmy could still print trillions, overpay for whatever "services" Haliburton pretends to offer, and under-count inflation to screw workers and savers.
Re: Bulldozing Blight
A few months ago there was an article in the NYT and an NPR piece about a similar project (could've been this one, not sure); homeowners were given the option to move house so that the inhabited houses would be closer together, but the move was to a similar era/style home in a more or less the same geographic area/neighborhood (that had been fixed up).
I recall an older homeowner being sad to leave her house, but willing to do this, as the vandalism and theft in the vacant properties was scary. One of the NPR interviewees said that parts of his home were stripped for scrap while he was at work.
I think that this idea is probably fine, with sufficient support from the community, when it is not shoving people into too tiny, high rise 'redevelopment' spaces.
I also think that folks should be encouraged to garden, whether it is in their own backyard or in an apt complex's community area. Helps make sure that people can at least feed themselves a bit, and have stuff to trade with their fellow community members.
And, in an ideal world, even if they are in an apt, have a space to work with materials (think shop class kinda stuff).
And both are productive things to do with one's (unemployed) time...
Rather than just wholesale bulldozing, the municipalities might want to keep/sell for re-sale/re-furbishment all the decent (older homes) wood, windows, doors, appliances (older and newer).
When the dollar does finally hit its low, and the US STILL doesn't make anything, refurb is going to help us out quite a bit.
Still looking for a shop class to take. Taught myself to garden, but power tools kind scare me.
Good movie, btw, from Iran, with moral hazard of money as one of the themes (includes some refurb scenes : - ): The Song of the Sparrow. Saw it with the kid, we both loved it.
starbucks is going to be acquired by amway, lots and lots of synergy there
How are you going to impose transparency on the Treasury any more than on the Fed?
Go long Starbucks, MLM meeting place of choice
Not this MLM. Their coffee sucks.
yogi: We the people will impose some fricking transparency before it's over. Or, we're freaking doomed.
Donovan - Universal Soldier
If they make the Fed the bad bank and just print Treasury Notes to reset that's an extension of the Ponzi, doesn't matter if you hang a few bankers and make it look populist.
1 currency now -yogi "
I don't mind some deficit spending for growth. But pay for it by taxing or borrowing at honest terms, not printing. Under your system, Timmy could still print trillions, overpay for whatever "services" Haliburton pretends to offer, and under-count inflation to screw workers and savers."
~~~~
Currency and credit creation under a Greenback approach would be set by a monetary board ... not one man ...
Colonial Script ... wiki
"Colonial scrip was not backed by gold or silver and therefore the colonies could control its purchasing power. This was similar to the "tally stick" system used by the British Empire for over 700 years. It was different from the conventional European mercantilist system of money which required governments to borrow from banks and pay interest for those loans, as gold and silver were the only regarded forms of money. Colonial scrip, were "bills of credit" created by the government, based on the credit of that government, and this meant that there was no interest to pay for the introduction of money. This went a considerable way towards defraying the expense of the Colonial governments and in maintaining prosperity. The Governments charged low interest when it loaned out this paper money to its citizens, with land as collateral, and this interest income lowered the tax burden on the people, contributing to prosperity.
The currency was born when a lack of gold and silver in the Colonies made trade hard to conduct, and a barter system prevailed. One by one, the Colonies began to issue their own paper money to serve as a medium of exchange to make trade vibrant. The Governments could then retire excess notes out of circulation by taxing the people, helping some colonies generally avoid inflation. Each colony had its own currency and some were better managed than others. It was banned by English Parliament in the Currency Act after Benjamin Franklin had explained the benefits of this currency to the British Board of Trade. Outlawing the circulating medium caused a depression in the colonies, and Franklin and many others believed it to be the true cause of the American Revolution."
Instead of backing the currency with land it would be backed by the taxing power of the Federal Government ... just as fractional reserve banking is now ... but without debt and without banks being able to create 10X the money out of thin air ...
VtV-
The guy who owns Amway bought some property from a friend of mine on the Intercoastal (Ponte Vedra). When my friend asked: "So, what do you do for a living?" The buyer (Amway owner) said..."I help people achieve their dreams."
we'll need to hang more than a few
starbucks is a dream of sorts
and the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve has not debased our currency?
Of course they've devalued our currency.
It's....
paper.
1 currency now -yogi
"How are you going to impose transparency on the Treasury any more than on the Fed?"
~~~~
The Treasury already has more transparency than the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve ....
Ask yourself ...
Why did the House of Representatives just pass a bill to audit the Feds ?
The Treasury is audited all the time ...
"...with land as collateral..."
Which will suddenly become available after we bulldoze a bunch of cities.
The city that needs to be razed for us to survive is the one on the Potomac between Marylannd and Virginia.
IF the Federal Reserve has not been audited, then how does the IRS know they've fulfilled their tax obligations?
Yeah.
1 currency now -yogi
"If they make the Fed the bad bank and just print Treasury Notes to reset that's an extension of the Ponzi, doesn't matter if you hang a few bankers and make it look populist."
~~~~
That's why you eliminate fractional reserve banking ... fractional reserve banking is what dilutes or cheapens our hard earned money ...
Hey, has anyone "seen" Ross lately? Wonder how those heifers are doin?
broward
and the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve has not debased our currency?
"Of course they've devalued our currency.
It's.... paper."
~~~~
It's devalued because they can print or create credit at 10x what they have on hand ...
You deposit $1 ...they create $10 ...
More money and credit in circulation means dilution of the value of the dollar ....
"Governments charged low interest when it loaned out this paper money to its citizens, with land as collateral, ..."
It still does, under FNM, FRE, FHA, etc., all created because market rates were too high. I'm all for eliminating the Fed, but that won't solve our debt problems.
"The city that needs to be razed for us to survive is the one on the Potomac between Marylannd and Virginia."
Hey, I live here. So do half a million other people.
Guess that would be Mary-Nam, and Virgini-YEEHAA!
Some very good bridges to cope with the approaching columns of citizens.
C
pavel: you may have to move 8)
The more I watch this fiatsco, the more I see "measurement" as a Schrödinger's cat.
Choose carefully what you want to measure because it changes the thing you measure.
Issuing credit created the need to have grades of credit.
Grades of credit relied on measurements.
Those measurements led to widespread gaming of measurements by credit users.
The gaming of measurements created false confidence that the measurements were working.
Then The Thing Collapses because the measurements don't accurately reflect reality.
It's an interesting problem.
I've seen it several times in different forms.
How do we know that the federal reserve isn't functioning as a tax haven?
HomeGnome
"IF the Federal Reserve has not been audited, then how does the IRS know they've fulfilled their tax obligations?
Yeah."
~~~~
The Federal Reserve acts like a holding company for the 12 Federal Reserve banks ...
Member Banks get a 6% dividend on their stock ...
Past that we don't know because they have never truly been audited ...
Hence the House Bill by Ron Paul to audit them !
"OT but Iran seems to be having a coup."
Doubt it.
broward: Is it a conundrum?
if you dance with the devil the devil don"t change, the devil changes you
Man.
This is really true.
When you try to measure the Devil, the Devil don't change, the measurements change you.
I need some pills.
I voted for Ron Paul
But all I got was change.
pavel - from memory you're near Ft Reno. You could also take the high ground there early and claim to be part of the vanguard and targeteering. Y'know, advance poesy expedition force. I'm sure there's a catchy moniker in there somewhere.
C
"pavel: you may have to move "
To confuse the Federal government with the city of Washington is to commit a solecism. We don't even have congressional voting representation.
"I'm all for eliminating the Fed, but that won't solve our debt problems."
~~~~
And our debt problems won't be solved by taking on more debt ...
Which how we create the money we need to pay off the debt !
In other words, a vicious circle of indebtedness for money and the need for more
money to pay for the indebtedness ...
If we paid off all loans money would cease to exist under our system ...
"Currency and credit creation under a Greenback approach would be set by a monetary board ... not one man ..."
Why not by every producer of value in the world?
FRN's have serial numbers. In theory, they are thus traceable. A more reliable currency would really be traceable. Every transaction recorded to a shared open database. Privacy built back in.
Hoopajoops LTD
"How do we know that the federal reserve isn't functioning as a tax haven?"
~~~~
That's why we need an audit of the privately owned and operated Federal Reserve ...
And the 12 Federal Reserve Banks that are neither Federal nor have any reserves ...
A more reliable currency would really be traceable.
By definition a traceable currency has no privacy
"If we paid off all loans money would cease to exist under our system ..."
genau! And that is what must happen.
"pavel - from memory you're near Ft Reno."
We're about fifteen minutes by car from Fort Reno. Nothing much left there of the old fortification. But we do hike almost every day right past Fort Derussy. It's in my forthcoming book, Animal Kingdom:
TO COVER THE WOUNDS
Within the old fort, in the woods overgrown
Near the mound where they buried the magazine
To store their cruel iron a thicket grows -
A young doe naps in the afternoon
Behind the green leaves her rough bed hides
And winding wands secure her in shadow,
The air is grayish and cool inside,
Sun on the ramparts splashes yellow
A song bird’s whistle, she does not wake
Or stir at the warning until I draw near,
But then she unfolds her legs and takes
Umbrage at me though there’s nothing to fear
Then she could never have slept nearby
When the trees had been cleared for a field of flame,
And officers shouted and men would lie
In the rifle pits to take their aim
The long guns lofted their hundred pounds
And crashing, not song notes, came out of their mouths -
Better it is that the men are gone
And the fort in green leaf to cover the wounds
And that is what must happen.
Ben's working on it, give him a few more months.
currency now -yogi
"Currency and credit creation under a Greenback approach would be set by a monetary board ... not one man ..."
Why not by every producer of value in the world?
FRN's have serial numbers. In theory, they are thus traceable. A more reliable currency would really be traceable. Every transaction recorded to a shared open database. Privacy built back in.
~~~~
Could you expound on this ?
I'm not quite sure what you mean ...
ya think?
I'll have to give that some thought.
C in Marin, I heard that program too. It was about Akron, Ohio. But the model came from some of the Rhineland/Saxon industrial cities in Germany. It was quite interesting. I think some such population movement would be inevitable in Detroit as infrastructure fails and police and other services shrink and are concentrated elsewhere. I am interested in ancient and medieval history, and I always had trouble picturing the large Roman cities half abandoned. Increasingly, current events are giving my imagination an assist!
hong konger (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Sat, 6/13/2009 - 2:18 pm
Rob Dawg writes: "I find it amusing that metros over the past 20 years were annexing every township and muni within reach to recapture the fleeing tax base...
There fixed that for you." - RD
I find it amusing that owners of adjacent properties to every township and muni were requesting annexation in order to get access to sewer.
There. Now it's really fixed.
...
Uh, adjacent undeveloped properties. Now ,it's ultra fixed.
Actually the only reason the exurbs were clamoring to get on sewers was because they were being held hostage to a deliberately incorrect clean water policy that essentially mandated joining existing large waste treatment systems. That policy was orchestrated by the big core cities as yet another way to force annexation. Don't get me wrong, the clean water part was a desirable goal but the implementation was positively Machiavellian.
On Friday night, before official results emerged, Mousavi had claimed to be the "definite winner." He said many people had been unable to vote and ballot papers were lacking.
He also accused authorities of blocking text messaging, with which his campaign tried to reach young, urban voters.
On Saturday, Iran's students' news agency ISNA quoted Tehran's Deputy Prosecutor General Mahmoud Salarkia as saying 10 people had been detained for "agitating public opinion through websites and blogs by propagating untruthful reports."
Ahmadinejad draws most of his support from rural areas and poorer big city neighborhoods. Mousavi enjoys strong backing in wealthier urban centers, especially among women and the young.
Two other candidates attracted only minimal support.
Analysts expressed disbelief over the election result.
"I'm surprised at the regime's audacity in declaring such a large margin for Ahmadinejad, given that in the run-up, the momentum seemed to be in the other direction," said Fitzpatrick.
"The election results are incredible," said Ali Ansari at the Institute for Iranian Studies at St. Andrews University in Scotland. "If it was a genuine election landslide, surely people should be out on the streets in euphoria..."
Reuters
Mousavi was reported to have been prevented from seei ng the Ayatollah.
Unconfirmed reports out of Iran say former president Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani has resigned as chairman of the powerful Expediency Council, which arbitrates disputes between the religious leadership (Council of Guardians) and the Majlis or parliament.
Rafsanjani also chairs the Assembly of Experts, and it's not clear if he will retain that position. That is the group that elects (and conceivably can remove) the religious Supreme Leader -- currently Ali Khamenei. If he keeps that post, it could set up an interesting dynamic.
Rafsanjani had solidly backed defeated presidential candidate Mir Hosein Mousavi, and was personally attacked for that by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. There are two possible interpretations of his (alleged) resignation: either it's a protest against Khamenei's acceptance of the disputed election result, or it's Khamenei and Ahmadinejad forcing him out to nip any protests in the bud. Or a little of both
TPM
Counterpointer, I think events can happen VERY rapidly. Take the revolutions of 1989 in Eastern Europe and Russia. I think absolutely NO expert predicted communism would collapse so suddenly. But the power brokers lived on. That's what usually, but not always (post World Wars I & II Europe, for example) happens. War, the Bringer of Change.
"During the Revolutionary War, 80 percent of all firearms and 90 percent of the needed powder had to be imported from France and Holland."
Books: Alexander DeConde’s Gun Violence in America: The Struggle for Control
We never existed in isolation, and I doubt we ever would really want to.
I'll get to it mmckinl
print baby print!
Pellice - I don't disagree...
C
Bulldoze? Wow, now people are really starting to think.