At least the name is more realistic.

Citizens Nationalize Bank

classic.....

Morton's - salting our money away...

Illinois burning
Strategic and now Morton
Bair and Suze move fast

How are we doing relative to 2008? More green shoots?

Plus, is this not kind of late for a central time zone bank?

Liz, yeah - but three counting BKUNA (the Big Kahuna)

best to all

Grrrr, I was sure my bank would make it into the spotlight tonight....

Regarding my comment about the homeless dude this morning....I like him, I wasn't laughing at his plight of being homeless, It was a cynical laughter about the idea that he would rather be in jail getting three squares and some a/c. He is a likeable, very well educated guy (holds several degrees), an artist and homeless by choice. Vietnam messed him up pretty good and he chooses the life of an alcoholic homeless person...I'm sorry if anyone thought I was laughing at him being homeless. I am about as liberal as one can get and I know very well how the system chews people up and spits them out...Anyhow, I had to leave for work so couldn't clarify on that thread this morning...He was actually laughing about it when he said it...Sometimes things don't come across in print well...

"least costly" - kinda like TARP?

Slurp slurp slurp... Illinois is the sucking sound you hear this week (for now).

Also, any bank specialists out there, my courier friend said they still don't have the microfish machine fixed and they are still shipping checks with no documentation....Is that legal?

P.S. That haiku works only if "Suze" rhymes with "Cooze." I'm told the ditzy broad pronounces it as if it rhymes with "Floozy," even though she doesn't spell it that way.

Only $106 million? Jeez, I'm surprised they bothered with a press release.

I doubt it very much Kristina.

Some overseer might be interested in this, if they weren't already super busy. Wonder what else is breaking down elsewhere.

Lawyerliz
No Zions yet, dawg.

Are they really in that bad of shape?

Dunno, Dawg has Zion's on the brain, like I had BankUn. No more BankUn to kick
around any more!!

MS

Thanks for the race links been waiting a month for this.

Tobacco companies lost their appeal today. Their RICO and Fraud convictions stand. It is now an official and legal fact: they KNEW that smoking was harmful/deadly and covered that up so they could keep selling it. Almost everyone in America and most of the world is affected by this. How many of you have parents with COPD, cancer, etc?

I know that the tobacco companies got some kind of sweet deal with the government so they could stay in business, but now that the appeals are done, its time that tobacco execs and tobacco scientists face the consequences of their actions. Can they be sued personally? Can they be put in prison?

More bubble translations:

Citizen - the screwee
National - we hope there are a lot of them
Bank - the screwer

Probably about time to roll out the biblical and military financial marques.

C

Without clawback of bonuses, some citizens are more equal than others (to paraphrase Orwell).

Tobacco companies should learn from Detroit auto makers mistakes and move out of the US leaving more unemployed.

Tim-

I think the CEO of Toyota (or maybe the chairman-dunno) is entered under the pseudonym of "morita"...that's it just one name.

My favorite fake name of all-time is "Stingbrace".....was for some royal from Norway.

Enjoy

Ciao
MS

Bob_in_MA (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 4:54 pm
Lawyerliz
No Zions yet, dawg.
Are they really in that bad of shape?

Yes but they are both large and "special." They need to be closed but without a buyer they'll continue to stink up the joint.

Early next week the US public debt will tick over $7 trillion, just $631mn below it at today's end.

Maybe all these small Illinois banks are a ruse, and are really cover for an FDIC recon of a future, larger operation (cough CORUS cough).

I can't imagine it would be Liz.. We are talking about millions of dollars of checks. The courier was none too happy about it either, his point was, what if I were in a wreck and all those checks were strewn all over the highway? There is literally no record of them recorded..

FFDIC been heard from recently?

In the latest agent Prendergast book, the estimable Agent is quizzed about what a bad investment the purchase
of Manhattan Island was. Not so, he sez. 60 guilders at 5% compounded would be (I forget) X zillion dollars, more
than all of Manhattan is worth today by far.

What this sez is that the whole idea of compound interest doesn't work. In the loooong term, the medium term, and the shortish term. It may work in the extremely short term. That is, the whole idea of compound interest doesn't match up
with the way investments and the world works. People who think they are gonna make that much in compound
interest are just set up for disappointment. Perhaps some religions forbidding compound interest is a crude
recognition of this.

Cram downs might be a crude but effective response to compound interest getting out of hand. Not that that will
be happening any time soon.

Thanks for the race links been waiting a month for this.

I totally misinterpreted this sentence.

Hey ... isn't Corus in Chicago? Just saying if they want to go for an Illinois hat trick.

I think the courier should go on record with his employer.

Just in case.

I also think the courier company should demand payment up front.

Isn't there a machine they could rent or borrow?

Will there be copies when they get where they're going?

All this talk of Illinois reminds me that I need to watch this film again.

It would be interesting to see what rate of compound interest would produce the approximate
value of Manhattan today. If not 5%, 2 1/2? 1%? Even less?

nemo-

had the same thought a few minutes ago.....

Ciao
MS

I just heard on a local forum that four branches of my bank are closing? I'm trying to find out which ones....Hmmmm I knew they had to be about to go under,,..

How many total branches are there K?

Dunno LIz, it's People's First, they have branches all over including Tallahassee...

lawyerliz,
convert glass beads to gold in that era, and then price gold at today's levels

Peoples First closing 4 branches (see DOCUMENT) - UPDATE - The News Herald Here it is...just one here in PC is closing...They already have a cease and desist...Might be time to switch banks...YUK.

Just got notice today that Farmer's insurance is now my auto policy carrier, they took over 21st century which was originally AIG direct.

After BKUNA, I am sated. These banks are like the fortune cookies after a plate full of Orange Chicken. As with Chinese food, I'll be hungry for more banks soon.

Citizen Scotto (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 6:26 pm reply Ignore user Just got notice today that Farmer's insurance is now my auto policy carrier, they took over 21st century which was originally AIG direct.

````````````````````````````

Scotto, don't tell me that! I had AIG direct and was informed in Feb. that my insurance was now with 21st Century. I hate Farmers, I have had three claims with them (all their insureds' fault) and everyone of them was worst that dealing with a teenager!

Question. Mish is republishing Mauldin saying sp 500 pe is currently 31. What gives? People here are claiming it's 120-something? Help.

This is a sad day. My uncle, who died a few years ago, was the president of the Citizens National Bank until he retired in the mid-1980s. This never would have happened on his watch. Very conservative, old fashioned banker. Community oriented. He started at Citizens as a teller after serving in World War II and worked his way up to be the bank president. That sure couldn't happen these days. RIP Citizens National.

RockyR
Operating Earnings don't include one-time gains/losses
Reported Earnings do

Also depends if you do trailing 12 months, or annualize use the most recent quarter
Choose S&P 500 Earnings and Estimates

norma, that's not good news. I have no data on Farmer's but I'll be researching them now.
Thanks for the heads-up

Lucifer (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 7:24 pm

It is quite easy to understand women.. think of an insecure, amoral parasite with delusions of grandeur.

Lucifer, were you sexually abused by a female or are you just a repressed homosexual?

Either way, you need to get over it, or at least come to grips with the fact that certain behaviors advertise your weaknesses.

just catching up on the past week's worth of posts and comments. interesting last night that there was a discussion of "rule of law" and constitutionality regarding the Chrysler/GM BKs. I don't think that anyone mentioned that there is a constitutional dimension to BK: Article I, Section 8, clause 4 empowers Congress "to establish . . . uniform laws on the subject of bankruptcies throughout the United States." While perhaps a little unfair to the secured creditors, the GM/Chrysler BKs technically do adhere to the "rule of law," albeit with Rube Goldberg-esque machinations. But the lack of uniformity is troubling. How exactly are the new equity percentages determined? Blowback abroad is quickly escalating. Some of the people I spoke today are basically done investing in American securities, given the game of Calvinball being played. Perhaps, this is the "selling America" meme that's been simmering in the MSM the past couple of days.

Ehp. Thank you.

Are "operating earnings" synomous with EBITA, or with NOPLAT before extraordinary items in this case?

dn ʞɔɐq ʇǝƃ ʇ,uɐɔ puɐ uǝllɐɟ ǝʌɐɥ ı 'dlǝɥ

Lucifer, were you sexually abused by a female

I think they were white Ivy League-educated females.

The real question is - Can any of the larger banks ever really operate without government life support again?

The Government needs
Another failed bank like a
Fish needs a dirt-bike.

I agree with his assessment of whites and Ivy Leaguers. In both cases, reputation that far exceeds the mediocre reality.

Women, he just doesn't understand at all.

next trick to look for on the debt clock:

a new set of governmental accounts introduced that distinguish goverment investment expenditures from zero added value transfer payments

-question: Why is KKR positioning on the PPIP for infrastrucure?

dn ʞɔɐq ʇǝƃ ʇ,uɐɔ puɐ uǝllɐɟ ǝʌɐɥ ı 'dlǝɥ

Did you bring enough to share with the rest of the class?

RockyR,
Hadn't heard NOPLAT used before, but Operating Earnings = EBIT. To get Operating Earnings to NOPLAT you would also need to take out taxes, interest on debt. Operating earnings are good for determining the health of the business, like the cash flow before stupid mistakes, the kind of thing a post-bankruptcy vulture investor would be interested in. Whereas NOPLAT is more the kind of thing a current bondholder would look at, worrying if they would be paid.

Sorry to return to an earlier CR post; here's a point I wanted to make about the Gas Cashion:

CR wrote: This is a savings of about $16 billion per month compared to the first 8 months of 2008. That savings will definitely provide a cushion for consumers."

On an intuitive level, this assumption of a forecastable and quantifiable ‘savings’ via Post-Event-Causality has always sat poorly with me. I don’t question the mathematics; I question what we’re to be inferring from the terms savings, as well as consumption expenditures at both the high figure in 2008 and the lower figure in 2009.

Consumers were billed $440 billion in SAAR over an 8-month period in 2008, but consumers most likely did not experience a cash-flow outflow totaling $440 billion over that 8-month period.

The reduction in gasoline prices in 2009 will not equal a monthly ‘savings’ of $16 billion for 8 months that is available in a household account, above and beyond the savings of those households. It is a cost avoidance figure and a mathematical construct. I doubt it will significantly help the cash-budgeting of households.

As for the $440 Billion for the 8 months in 2008...I think its fate will be determined by the recoup rate of cents-on-a-dollar based on the rising 2009-10 default rates on household credit cards. What is real is the figure for 2008 (and 2009) cash flow from the credit card issuers to the gas retailer to the wholesalers and refiners.

I know it 's expected to always treat debt-financed consumer consumption as real-time cash consumption on both ends of the transaction because it’s assumed that households will honor all their debts. Do the events of 2007-09 signal permission to all of us to cease applying such assumptions indiscriminately in 2009 and beyond?

help ive fallen down and cant get back upside down.

BZ,

I just cannot fool myself to see the world as something it is not. My views on women arise from one simple question-

What can a woman offer me that can be measured and is real?

I can think of only one answer. I do not want anything else from women, and I do not want to play stupid games, haggle or give a damn

Lucifer (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 8:43 pm

The real question is - Can any of the larger banks ever really operate without government life support again?

Not a chance. Maybe if it was a sink or swim proposition but there will never be the political will to throw them into the deep end and see who makes it. The camel's nose is in the bailout tent and kicking it out and cutting the state's losses would involve "wasting" all those billions, while martingaling will be seen as protective of previous taxpayer investments. This is a national balance sheet issue.

"Lucifer, were you sexually abused by a female

I think they were white Ivy League-educated females."

Why does that make me think of this guy?

"In 1989, as fascination with Downey's TV show began to wane, he was involved in an incident in a San Francisco International Airport restroom in which he claimed to have been attacked by neo-Nazis who painted a swastika on his face and attempted to shave his head. Some inconsistencies in Downey's account (e.g., the swastika was painted in reverse, suggesting that Downey had drawn it himself in a mirror), and the failure of the police to find supportive evidence, led many to suspect that the incident was a hoax and a plea for attention."t

On the subject of tobacco...

"In 1996, Downey was diagnosed with lung cancer and had one of his lungs removed. He did a complete about-face on the issue of tobacco use, going from a one-time member of the National Smokers Alliance to a staunch anti-smoking activist. He continued to speak against smoking until his death from lung cancer in 2001.[22] After being diagnosed with lung cancer, he commented, "I had spawned a generation of kids to think it was cool to smoke a cigarette. Kids walked up to me until a matter of weeks ago, they'd have a cigarette in their hand and they'd say, 'Hey, Mort,' or, 'Hey, Mouth, autograph my cigarette.' And I'd do it."[3] He also blamed tobacco companies for lying to consumers about cigarettes."

The people who say they don't care about reputations, usually care the most.
The people who don't actually care about reputations are seldom even aware of reputations to begin with
just my 2¢ on that side-thread

"The camel's nose is in the bailout tent and kicking it out and cutting the state's losses would involve "wasting" all those billions, while martingaling will be seen as protective of previous taxpayer investments. This is a national balance sheet issue."

So if BK and nationalization are off the table, where will they exist? In that semi-gov, no man's land that was Fannie and Freddie? That did not end up so well.

Citizen Scotto, I haven't heard anything about 21st Century in California. I think they are OK here.

Avl Dao, the $16 billion per month (about $11 billion now) is what consumer can either spend on other items or save based on the change in gasoline prices. I used "savings" in the sense that consumer can buy the same quantity of a good, and spend less on that good (common usage).

best to all.

I see women as entities that leverage rapidly depreciating assets through false advertising and force usorious terms on asset holders.

Avi, if you were a quant your models just might work.

ʇsıxǝ ʇ,uop sןɐɹǝɯnu uʍop ǝpısdn

its a good thing i have a laptop,,,,,

Women are like toxic assets, the real money is in commissions and interest as long as the asset has any value. You do not want to be the final bagholder.

Lucifer (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 8:50 pm

What can a woman offer me that can be measured and is real?

I can think of only one answer.

Honey, it's what they don't have that you resent.

Comrade Kristina..
Black and white in a blogger forum contains alot of gray, I saw it and didn't read into anything more than you stated above..

Happy Memorial Day to all! Rosemary chicken and corn a cooking...cheers were almost 1/2 way thru 09....enjoy the grub, family and friends..

why do I think EHP will lose the bet on oil prices with RockyR?

continued growth in the emerging markets as the decoupling paradigm is re-established.

that and clownbuck speculators.
and peak oil

Blackhalo (homepage, profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 8:57 pm

So if BK and nationalization are off the table, where will they exist? In that semi-gov, no man's land that was Fannie and Freddie? That did not end up so well.

Look at Japan. "Fixed" by things like, counting equity holdings as core capital and an overnight rate of what, 1% at the height of the late 00s bubble?

Don't think it'll get that far in the USA, tho. FNM, FRE, FHLB, PBGC and 46 or so bankrupt states will make sure they don't get the chance to really put down roots.

"Regarding my comment about the homeless dude this morning"

CK,
I thought what you posted was pretty clear...and I respect the man's cynical take on his chances...three hots and a cot might well beat the street.
As for your observation that you're seeing more prostitutes and crackheads...makes sense, desperation drives a lot of people into making bad choices.
I'm watching the homeless here on the westside...invisible for a while, now many are camped out in Riverside Park, or taking overnight shelter in the children's bathrooms adjacent to the playgrounds. Park workers must be sympathetic, they are leaving the playground gates unlocked.

love the comment system....best on the web.

nytol,
nostrovia.

good, this is going to be fun. harmless bets are only fun if you have a few people paying attention
This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section
keep in mind there is an extra 48.1mn barrels of oil in dryland storage in the US compared to the same point last year. there is lower daily demand, lower free speculative cash, and less plausibility behind a rally at this point compared to the same time last year. Markets are causal, they learn from what's already happened
the rally does have cheaper financing on its side, but that has no value to pushing the rally higher when storage tanks are full

BZ,

I simply cannot connect to women on any level other than a physical level, and I like that.

The best part of buying sex is they go away after an hour or two. I do not have to pretend to care about them.

Lucifer,

You are one twisted dude when it comes to the opposite sex, but if it works for you, and it works for them, I have no beef. Consenting adults and all that.

Thanks for the reply, CR. It’s not computing still...
To me it is as if we’d be saying that the dollar value of all the condos and SF homes not purchased in the 1st 8 months of 2009, based on how much lower mortgage closings are in 2009 versus 2008, somehow equates to massive savings in 2009 or equates to money in 2009 that can now be redirected elsewhere.
I like that analogy because it forces us to really think about the difference in spending as it occurs ‘in scale’....house purchases are not analyzed as consumer spending partially because of the scale of dollars involve, but not because it involves debt (mortgage). Yet, consumer spending in the 2000s is far different than in the 1950s and 60s; today the vast majority of consumption does involve debt. More strikingly, when you consider guesstimates that half of US cardholders carry perpetual balances, 21st century consumer spending may actually behave like a 30-year mortgage.
Yes, yes, I know from a govt stats and GAAP point-of-view, debt-enabled consumption is considered different than debt-enabled real estate purchases. Nonetheless, the money not spent on housing mortgages (the entire mortgage amount, not just the monthly pmts) in 2009 is never considered a cushion or savings or spending opportunity. Im inclined to treat PCE on gas similarly. When households are highly leveraged, credit lines are being cut, and PCE is still occurring via debt (credit cards), PCE benefits from being viewed differently than from the GAAP norms of the 1950 with regards to Cost Avoidance.

Thank Gawd, I am hardly a quant...my hands-on work in Cost Avoidance came from a prior career as an industrial engineer managing assorted Cost Avoidance projects.

Re homeless - at one time I knew someone who was involved in the Ryder rental truck biz in San Francisco.... They used to leave their trucks unlocked, because the homeless would come and sleep in them at night... If they locked the trucks then the windows would get broken, if they left them unlocked then they only had to clean up the mess the people left behind....

Avl Dao
It works out easier if you just add net private credit creation to incomes. You can measure income directly, and you can measure credit directly, you can't get a database of what purchases were made with how much credit over what period. It's not like the seller can tell the difference between cash from a loan and cash from income. Of course there are long term implications about sustainability, and that's what we're running up against now. I understand your aversion, but there's nothing wrong with doing it the 'CR way', you just have to be aware of what the results mean. Which you obviously do.
The reverse to this situation would be the stimulus checks. Something like 80% of them went towards "savings" which is to say they went to repaying existing debt or an actual savings/investment account, and 20% went towards consumption.

Lucifer, if that is all you want and need, then great, that is your prerogative. So long as everyone is a consenting adult and nobody is harmed, have a great time! You seemed to misconstrue my earlier comments, I hope I've cleared that up. I see nothing wrong with men buying sex if that is what they want to do. I think prostitution should be legal and I have no problems with the sex industry so long as children are not being exploited and everything is concensual...I would much prefer seeing someone such as yourself, who obviously is not looking for anything but sex, to be able to purchase it in a safe manner rather than playing with unsuspecting women's emotions. My personal opinion of sex is that it is just sex. Once upon a time I believed in the fairy tale fed to young females since birth that sex was "magical" and "special" and some white knight was going to show up and carry you off on his white horse. After 42 years on this earth, half of which I've spent in the bar industry and the first few years spent as a "dancer" (Missouri, no stripping) that illusion has been completely shattered. There was never such a liberating moment as the moment I realized all that jealousy, anger, etc was not neccessary, as sex is simply sex and if a man wants to sleep with someone else it means nothing other than he sees something he hasn't had and it makes him horny. I'm a study of psychology, I finally realized how much power there was in simply not giving a damn. My poor husband...He hasn't been the same since...in fact, he lost the war when I conceded that...Keep that in mind for the future dear Lucifer Wink

Lucifer, keep in mind I am a bartender at a local tavern, my comments on crackheads and prostitutes was merely anecdotal evidence of the state of the economy here. My standard line to hookers that come in and try to work my crowd is this "these are my tricks, hit the corner and find your own"...The patrons get a kick out of and the pros get the hint that our owners don't welcome their solicitation in their establishment. The asshole way to go would be to just call the cops on them, which I don't do, I simply don't want my customers leeched for drinks...

We might benefit from re-assessing how to view all consumer debt and expenditures given the critical role they play not just on the domestic economy, but the global one as well. David "Rosey" Rosenberg, the great private-sector economist, formerly of Merrill, is on Bloomberg video and I like how he keeps driving analytical emphasis away from other comforting & familiar measures, and towards the consumer and the dilemma of their balance sheets.

Bloomberg News

When we get quality data on household debt levels by household income (in deciles), I think the magnitude of this issue will become more clearer. Right now, we have Bill Gates' household debt averaged in with data from Joe 6-packs. The 'average' debt per household or per-capita data is about as useful as knowing the average temp on planet earth 24/7/365 is about 53-degrees (56?), a mathematically correct and virtually useles datum for the people living on this spinning rock who need to plan their day and travel.

eastbound, sorry to hear about your uncle, it sounds like he is exactly the type person we need more of...Ah for the days of boring bankers...condolences...

I'm simply puzzled by Luci.

Other than sex, why don't you just regard us as female men? Some of whom
you will like, and some you won't.

You seem to find me & K interesting to talk to; what if you didn't know what sex we are.

Prolly a lot of posters have handles that don't reveal what sex they are.

Sometimes I think Luci is snarking and the rest of the time I don't.

Maybe Luci is a girl and doesn't like it?

About the white knight part.. LOL

//Once upon a time I believed in the fairy tale fed to young females since birth that sex was "magical" and "special" and some white knight was going to show up and carry you off on his white horse.//

Except that most prostitutes were abused children, who are repeating the abuse.

Luci's mom didn't love him maybe?

lawyerliz ,

I cannot accept BS.. never could. The problem with women is their "rational" self disappears when you are dealing with them in a non-professional environment. Heck... it is not often not there in a professional environment.

EHP, once again you make my point.
The effect of the consumer stimulus checks on the larger economy was not accurately anticipated partially because too many people mixed apples-n-oranges, e.g. they mixed the layman definition of savings with the Govt datatician's warped definition of savings.

We have a choice; we can eschew that.
I belive most professionals doing proprietary data-collecting and analysis (like Rosey) do just that...they're not obligated to use distorted govt data or definitions or concepts...simply for the sake of not bucking the crowd.

lawyerliz ,

Most escorts are quite balanced.. streetwalkers are probably abused and all.

Lucifer,

Just curious. Have you tried men? You might even save money.

I don't think the glass/gold bead thing actually works, because people actually are productive and
creative. On the other hand, the increases of productivity and creativity don't compute with compound
interest which is a mathematical concept which is useful, except when it isn't.

As in the value of Manhattan.

CR and all: The sale of 21st century insurance (formerly AIG ) to Farmer's Group is a done deal.

Here is a copy of the notice on their website: https://www.21st.com/cg/media/message.pdf

I received a copy of that letter in the mail today.

You think they would tell you? That would mean an emotional connection, no matter how
short.

credit criminal and fried, thanks for getting it. It wasn't meant to be inflammatory,,,Like I said, I like the guy, he's about the most well read person I've met in this podunk town. He was staying at another patrons house for awhile (desperate, 50 something southern belle with rich parents), she is quite possibly the most annoying person I've ever met (bless her heart she doesn't mean to be or even realize she is) he finally moved out proclaiming he'd rather be homeless again...That's been the joke for awhile about her, even a homeless dude would rather be homeless than listen to her 24/7....She thought she was really sacrificing by letting the maid go...ironically enough, her parents made their fortune in real estate. That was her "job" until the bottom fell out...

nova,

That would have made my life much more easier.. but only women turn me on.

//Just curious. Have you tried men? You might even save money.//

"You might even save money."

Or make some...

lawyerliz,

I don't think you get it... I just do not care about what others think.

It is all about me.

"The sale of 21st century insurance (formerly AIG ) to Farmer's Group is a done deal."

Well I am sure that GS will appreciate the proceeds. Must be far easier than going back to congress for more.

You think flirting a little is irrational? I don't. Maybe Luci is one of those people
that don't recognize normal social cues and therefore always gets burned and doesn't know
why.

And of course no reason to expect anyone to like all women. Heck I don't like most women or
men, they are just too uninteresting.

So, why did this bank fail? Macomb is a college town (Western Illinois University), with a population of 18,000. I doubt if there was any mad real estate speculation here--here's a site giving a median price of $155,000
Macomb, IL Real Estate on Yahoo! Real Estate - Houses for Sale & more

Then why are you responding to us, Luci?

I persist in thinking that the me you are concerned with is missing a whole lot.

Lucifer, I always wondered why some men didn't just get breast implants and stay home and admire themselves? It seems like it would be win/win. (that is joking) Conversely, when asked whether my breasts were "real" or "fake" I offered this "Tits are like tomatoes, you can buy real pretty ones at the store but nothing tastes like homegrown"...take it for what it's worth, I'm in a whimsical mood. I find it hard to believe that you've never found a woman that was interesting and pleasant to talk to. If that is the case, you need to hand around more interesting women. My husband and I are best friends, we enjoy similiar hobbies and I'm comfortable enough in my own attractiveness/body to even enjoy going to strip clubs with him. Interestingly enough, as a bartender I enjoy going to strip clubs because men DON'T bother me while I'm there. They have naked women to bother...Again win/win...for me! Besides most of them are bi/les and pay more attention to me than they do the men.

I too thought college towns were doing the best so far Pasttense

God Liz, I think you might be my soul sister. People so bore me...so incurious...

Is Lucifer also known as Larry Summers?

Make up you mind.. Geithner!


Geithner Calls for ‘Very Substantial’ Change in Wall Street Pay
Geithner Calls for ‘Very Substantial’ Change in Wall Street Pay - Bloomberg.com

By Rich Miller

May 22 (Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner called for an overhaul of compensation practices at financial companies and said the Obama administration’s plan to help realign pay with performance will be rolled out by mid-June.

“I don’t think we can go back to the way it was,” Geithner said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt,” to be aired tonight and over the weekend. “We’re going to need to see very, very substantial change.”

Geithner Says Government Shouldn’t Set Caps on Pay (Update2)
Geithner Says Government Shouldn’t Set Caps on Pay (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

By Rebecca Christie and Timothy R. Homan

May 18 (Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner ruled out setting specific limits for compensation as the Obama administration considers proposals to better align executives’ pay with companies’ long-term performance.

“I don’t think our government should set caps on compensation,” he said in answering questions at an event at the National Press Club today in Washington. “What I think we need to do is make sure we put in place some broad constraints on the incentives compensation systems create.”

"So, why did this bank fail?"

bank? what bank? I thought this was a site dedicated to psychoanalysis of the misogynistic.

/snark

/wink

liz and pasttense, college towns and military towns. PC would have been under minus Tyndall and Naval Coastal Systems,. They are freaking out now about the loss of the F15 program...

LOL Scotto, touche. Although as a Psychology major, you can't blame me for finding Lucifer interesting in a case study/thesis type of way...

Why should I care?

//You think flirting a little is irrational? I don't. Maybe Luci is one of those people
that don't recognize normal social cues and therefore always gets burned and doesn't know
why.//

My son when in the army was dragged into strip clubs. It was fun the first time for him, and
after that, boring.

He'd go along and chat with the bartender who was female and fully clothed and I presume
more interesing to talk to tho I doubt the strippers were talking anyhow. At least that's his
story. . .

Avl Dao,
Savings is an account within GDP. It doesn't matter if you perfectly hedge an outstanding debt with a new investment, or if you pay off that outstanding debt. They are both investments. If you don't know where the terms come from, sure they can be misleading. They exist for a purpose though.

One problem with debt : income/net worth/or other measures of serviceability, is that neoclassical economics dominates through nepotism and it does not allow for debts not to be repaid and the topic as such receives less attention. I'm sure there are some data series that break down the household debt better. Census will probably have something. FRB (?) does it by age/marriage status/race/region and some others I think which you could infer debt to incomes from. They probably do have debt by income quintile, I just can't look for the link right now.

IT doesn't matter at this point though, it's too widespread

CK - I enjoy all of your posts so please keep on posting.

I never thought about it but psychology is probably the perfect educational background for a bartender.

Cheers!

I like variety..

//Lucifer, I always wondered why some men didn't just get breast implants and stay home and admire themselves?//

Am I the only one who sees that Lucifer is acting like a jerk and as a result is getting all the attention from the ladies.

Ladies, is that the type of behavior that you want to reward with attention?

You are playing right into his hands!

Why do men hit on a 42 year old woman bartender.. are they that desperate.

//Conversely, when asked whether my breasts were "real" or "fake" I offered this "Tits are like tomatoes, you can buy real pretty ones at the store but nothing tastes like homegrown"...take it for what it's worth, I'm in a whimsical mood.//

I prefer to remain free..

//I find it hard to believe that you've never found a woman that was interesting and pleasant to talk to. If that is the case, you need to hand around more interesting women.//

At least that's his
story. . .


yes, and he only reads playboy for the articles. That's the standard story for mom.

Complementing Rosey Rosenberg's emphasis that the realities and dynamics of the households’ balance sheet is going to take greater primacy over other economic datum, is John Mauldin's recent post on, to paraphrase, why the new economic "Physics" on a Deleveraging Planet (ours) has transformed Unemployment from its traditional role as a Lagging Indicator (as it is on non-deleveraging planets) to a Leading Indicator.

I like how more folks are not accepting all the dismal definitions and precepts of that dismal science, economics, and instead are challenging and substituting more rigorous and dynamic and tested concepts and analysis, from other fields, to address the new economic “physics” of Debt Unwind and Deleveraging.

Sorry EHP, it (the distribution of debt across HHs) does matter and debt is not too widespread to be tacitly accepted as avaeraged data rather than median data across key deciles.

Ha, Scotto, we are merely underpaid psychiatrists. I can proudly say I am the only student that ever got a 105 on the Honors Psychology 101 final exam. It was a hundred question exam with a five point bonus question (which was a trick question no less)...Not only did I ace it, I finished early....I wish I could go back to school....

Lucifer,

I don't know about anyone else but you are becoming a bit of an arse at this point.

I have to depart....enjoy ur Friday, folks.

I doubt if there was any mad real estate speculation here--here's a site giving a median price of $155,000

The price of corn only goes up.

Avl Dao,

Let me know when people decide to burn the false prophets of our era.

//I like how more folks are not accepting all the dismal definitions and precepts of that dismal science, economics, and instead are challenging and substituting more rigorous and dynamic and tested concepts and analysis, from other fields, to address the new economic “physics” of Debt Unwind and Deleveraging.//

Lucifer (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 9:14 pm reply Ignore user Why do men hit on a 42 year old woman bartender.. are they that desperate
No, I'm just really that freaking hot...and intelligent and unavailable...Seriously, you have to know that not being available is an aphrodesiac?

I have seen the wedding pictures.. and that is all I will say on that.

//No, I'm just really that freaking hot//

Oil:

What drove the bubble in 2007 and 2008? Demand? Ha!

With money running away from the dollar, treasuries, and us equities all at the same time... A flight to safety? To commodities ye shall run. Maybe sprinkle a little in Euros (gag) to depress the dollar in relative terms and, voila: $70 oil.

Smile

Liz, some men truly don't find strip clubs entertaining. One of my ex fiances was such a case. He truly found them to be objectionable and unsettling. When I worked at one (even as a bartender) he wouldn't come in for any reason....I think it was his religious upbringing, although he was truly just an all around good guy. I probably should have married him but we would have bored each other to death eventually at that time.

You are right Scotto.

Say something outrageous so we have some fresh meat to chew on!!!

Trust me, I have to be a pseudo shrink a lot too.

Do you really love this house enough to enslave yourself to it . . . Or, do you
wanna walk?

Houses are much more expensive than wimmen.

Hey Luci, are you underwater on your house?

Lucifer,

I'm not saying I agree with him, but those approaches aren't mutually exclusive. I'm sure he's just saying that we should not put limits on the compensation for executives managing companies that are legitimately performing well. Not exactly sure how he is going to align compensation with "long-term performance," however. Maybe a portion of their earnings can be tied up, but people usually want to get paid in something they can use.

I think the Onion should do a story on how Geithner has blown all the remaining TARP money on face cream.

lawyerliz,

I never bought a house.. the math never added up. As I said.. I cannot fool myself..

Luci LOOKED at the wedding pics. . .

Knowing ahead of time they were wedding pics.

hahahahahahahahahahah.

Bond Girl,

Name one financial institution that has over 10 billion of deposits that has not disgraced itself.

lawyerliz,

I enjoy watching others screw themselves (not in that way though).

Lucifer, you seriously need to find a sense of humor. Nobody, at least not me or liz is attacking you...My comments about my "hotness" are tongue in cheek...Men have found me attractive forever, I frankly never got that. Which is possibly another reason they find me attractive, I don't act like stuck up bitch...I can discuss politics, finance, football, basketball, billiards, car racing, psychology, history etc as well...I'm not trying to latch onto anyone as I'm happily married to a guy that after eight years I still find sexy (a record for me, I usually get bored with them after four)

Actually my son tells me stuff I would never have told my mother.

when he was a teen he asked me about Playboys and I said to make sure
he hid them under the mattress like a good boy.

Avl Dao (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 7:16 pm
...John Mauldin's recent post on, to paraphrase, why the new economic "Physics" on a Deleveraging Planet (ours) has transformed Unemployment from its traditional role as a Lagging Indicator (as it is on non-deleveraging planets) to a Leading Indicator.

Well said. Capitulation Summer is going to be because of unemployment reducing the cash flow to small businesses with no commensurate reduction in their costs. It will be real interesting to see how many of those small businesses we floated on personal credit cards in the final months.

Why pay a stripper to strip and be "friendly" when you can pay the same to screw an escort?

ok here is something outrageous:

I have never been to a strip club. (not sure my wife believes me, but it's true)

Also I have never smoked weed. (again true)

proceed with psychoanalysis Wink

Like I said, I'm not agreeing with him. I also do not think it should count if your company is performing well just because the government happens to be manipulating the markets to your advantage...

"I don't know about anyone else but you are becoming a bit of an arse at this point. "

Just now?!? Where have you been for the last 6 months nova?

You are 42, you are white and you live in an area where the light must be a doing a number on your skin.

//I'm not trying to latch onto anyone as I'm happily married to a guy that after eight years I still find sexy (a record for me, I usually get bored with them after four)//

The small businesses which were hanging on are now beginning to question how
long they can continue to do so. The weak (I was gonna say sisters) are long gone by
now.

I know several who are paying for their business out of savings.

I doubt if there was any mad real estate speculation here--here's a site giving a median price of $155,000

The price of corn only goes up.

Farm land hasn't blown up yet but it will - in a couple years. It will be Farm_Crisis_v2.0.

No no you have to tell us what you HAVE done.

I personally have never seen cocaine, except on tv.

And I didn't know what bong water was until Tanta mentioned it.

I would smoke weed occasionally if it were legal.

Ha liz, lawyers are shrinks too. I originally wanted to be lawyer, was taking an honors general transfer degree from an accredited community college (payed my way via the bar). Carried a 4.0 GPA, was invited to join Mensa and Phi Theta Kappa and also recieved an offer for a full ride to Washington University....Ah, memories...I would have been a great lawyer....Dad (military in Panama) decided to try and commit suicide, I had to fly down, help Mom move back stateside and take care of Dad and well...College was no longer feasible...At any rate, I'm happy with the career I chose. It affords me the free time to study and subject I wish. I've always craved one thing, knowledge.

but they still believe in the "american dream" of reaching the top 1% to piss on the other 99%.

//I know several who are paying for their business out of savings.//

I think they are partly doing it out of, you know (no you don't), love.

Dryfly,

Seeing more heavy equipment at the online auctions. Also saw an entire publishing plant. Some cool stuff out there

hey CK - well you did pass the bar, just not in the way originally envisioned

Your iq is much higher than mine. I'm the dumb one in the family.

But I remember things, and like putting the pieces together in the wrong way.

Scotto, DAYUM. See, told you liz, some guys don't go in for that stuff. It's ok, I smoke enough for all of us...grrrr I wish CSC were still around...

"Farm land hasn't blown up yet but it will - in a couple years. It will be Farm_Crisis_v2.0. "

Return of Farm Aid concert telethons is coming back.

Wow its Friday night and we are talking about Lucifer's dating habits again. Luci is too intelligent to be completely truthful with what he is selling. He does have some empathy, it is in his posts, so I can't reconcile the extremes here. I will say freedom is an illusion, and the kind of freedom you are suggesting, is one of the worst kinds of prisons. Marriage isn't for everyone, but you can have relationships with women that aren't as painful as you make them out to be. Your attitude is a logical extension of what America sets by example however. I meant to post this earlier in the battle of the sexes discussions, but decided to enjoy the weather outside for awhile...for better or worse man's attitude of superiority is conditioned by family, society, and religion. Good ole self esteem for women is an uphill battle from the beginning, and then the temptation to use sex for power overcomes most. But not all. There are worthwhile people out there, but you have to look for them, and they don't hang out at strip clubs (in general, there are actually some very intelligent strippers but I still would want to talk to them outside of the club). And I can back up the point about some men not wanting to go to clubs.......I am one, never went, but I don't drink either, so I am a dull boy according to most. I hate the whole battle of the sexes in general. People are individuals...you need to see them that way, otherwise you miss a lot.

dryfly (profile) wrote (in reply to...) on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 7:29 pm

Farm land hasn't blown up yet but it will - in a couple years. It will be Farm_Crisis_v2.0.

Why will it take a couple years? Are the cash crop farmers still able to get credit sufficient to keep going that long?

That is why restaurants in london and new york could charge 1,000 dollars for a dinner.


Bear Stearns to Algebra I Means Lost Dollars in Trickle-Down
Bear Stearns to Algebra I Means Lost Dollars in Trickle-Down - Bloomberg.com

By Peter Robison

May 22 (Bloomberg) -- After former Bear Stearns Cos. trader Guy Irace lost his job on the bond desk a year ago, he moved back to Long Island to teach high school math and dropped 40 pounds. Jack Yang’s deli in Manhattan cut three employees.

Cavonberry’s, Yang’s 46th Street shop near the headquarters of the New York firm taken over by JPMorgan Chase & Co., once bustled with finance workers jostling to buy a barbeque chicken chopped salad and bottled water for $12. “They used to be turning them away at the door,” Irace said.

LOL Liz, you are the curious one though. I doubt my IQ is higher as well, at least applied practically. I'm somewhere around 150 last I tested but that is heavily weighted in reading comp/spelling/grammar. I fall off in math. Math just annoys me even though if I apply myself it is easy, I simply don't wish to do it...

Seeing more heavy equipment at the online auctions. Also saw an entire publishing plant. Some cool stuff out there

Ya maybe a microbrewery will go t/u and sell for nothing - put that in the basement. Neighborhood BBQ's would never be the same...

Have we had a case in which bank X on the failure list is merged/taken-over by bank Y, which later itself becomes an entry on the list? If so, how short has been the gap between X and Y? B of A, we're all waiting Smile

Too much shrinkery gets me down, what with all the sad stories and all.

In real estate I could invest a little bit of emotion and get a big bang out of pulling
together a difficult closings and banging some stubborn heads together for their
ultimate good. But this. . . I've never ever seen anything like it.

People who bought in 04 to 07 are so screwed whether or not they were honest,
whether or not they put a lot down. And really was nobody supposed to buy a house for
3 or 4 or 5 years?

People are territorial animals and they want their own territory.

Oh, no, I'm nowhere near that.

Rob Dawg,

Some farmers are having trouble now. The New Frontier bank in Greely CO has left some hanging and have had meetings with their congress people. Other banks will not pick up some of these farm loans and the FDIC gave them a very short time to find new banks.

@Kristina - I have no religious hang-ups about strip clubs. Moral ones, either. But, I don't like them. It's all tease for nothing. The women are usually unappealing. They stink (the clubs, not the women. Although, depending on the club, the women can stink as well. I digress).

Of course, I am happily married. Thoroughly commited... In the asylum sense of the word.

Comrade Kristina,
150 is nice, may I ask what test?

Vonbeck, great post, although I don't see it as a "battle of the sexes", just a playful back and forth on a Bank Failure Friday. I agee, Lucifer has some serious problems with females for whatever reason. I tend to enjoy more male than female company but that is probably due to my not having kids and my love for mostly male sports/pasttimes....

My issues with women have always been quite straightforward.

If a woman

-has a checklist of what she wants..
-likes to tell me how lucky I am..
-tries to manipulate me..

I do not care and all women I have met, without exception, have displayed at least one of the three characteristics.

Now put racism on top of that and i will go far beyond not caring.

With money running away from the dollar, treasuries, and us equities all at the same time... A flight to safety? To commodities ye shall run.

I honestly think that part of the problem ... as it exists right now, at this moment in time ... is that the traders and hedgies are stuck. They don't know where they can blow another bubble to feast upon. Even though there's ALL THIS LIQUIDITY sloshing around the system - compliments of Ben and Timmy (in reality you, me, and the American taxpaying public) - it's a case of being all dressed up with no place to go.

Stocks have had a nice little run up since March, but the steam is all outta that engine.
Bonds? Climbed to the summit, planted the flag, and are on their way back down to base camp.
And currencies have got to be radioactive right now, what with all the central bank intervention across the developed world.
That leaves commodities, I guess ... but IMO there just isn't the demand-side story there was 18 months ago to make Commodity Bubble II a reality.

So where do the piranhas turn? Real estate? (Ha, I crack myself up.)

I don't think they can figure it out. So I have no confidence that a detached onlooker like me can. Which is why I'm not long, not short ... still just sitting in cash.

Just an internet test Vonbeck and I got bored and didn't finish. The last official test was whatever they gave me in the fourth grade or so that was in the 140's. A music teacher spilled the beans to me after becoming frustrated by my unwillingness to practice. (Dad made me play the trombone ACK!) I've always been able to learn just about anything with a minimum of effort, I realize it is a gift which is why I spend so much time here on CR and other financial blogs trying to learn.

Liz, some men truly don't find strip clubs entertaining

Waste of time and money.

Current GF is great, most are a waste of time, I put no effort into them anymore.
She kicked me out because we were getting "too familiar" so I suppose I'll wander back to Boise for a month or two.

Me too mook.

And that money is misting away to meaninglessness.

Jeebus, not another Farm Aid. Maybe Melloncamp will be on oxygen and Willi's bus will breakdown.

Should have a Mart-Aid for all the people in the sticks who have to work at one

Out of living with her or out of the relationship?

BR,

Don't tell me you started breaking wind in bed?

Lucifer, are you black? I always assumed you were but have never asked. Your mention of racism is why I asked. Not all women are looking for someone to complete a checklist. I married my husband because he was one of the few people I've ever met that could make me laugh, he was broke and jobless when I met him. I left a millionaire to be with him, because I recognized he was who I was supposed to be with. I downgraded my life considerably to be with a man that I saw good in, found to be intelligent and who could make me laugh. Your stereotyping of women is an "ism" as well...People in glass houses and all..

Obviously, IndyMac and FreddieMac were not enough..


PennyMac, Led by Kurland, Files $750 Million Initial Offering
PennyMac, Led by Kurland, Files $750 Million Initial Offering - Bloomberg.com

By Rick Green

May 22 (Bloomberg) -- PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, the investment firm led by former Countrywide Financial Corp. President Stanford Kurland, filed to raise $750 million from an initial public stock sale.

PennyMac plans to invest “in residential mortgage loans and mortgage-related assets,” many of them with borrowers who have fallen behind on payments, according to a prospectus filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission today. The firm aims to profit by modifying loans so borrowers can meet the new terms and stay in their homes, the filing said.

IQ tests do not typically measure your grasp of specific subject matters, correct? That is more of an aptitude versus intelligence thing.

I always tipped with joints in strip joints...way back in the day

I always wanted to go to a male strip club. Just once would do.

When I was 40, my boss got me a stripper. I laughed so hard my throat hurt the next day.

He was in a suit, with velcro fastenings. I found him hilarious, not sexy, but a couple of the girls
I though were gonna have their way with him on the conference table.

Did the renters' foreclosure protection get covered on this blog? I may have missed it. Renters are now protected thru their leases and for an additional 90 days following that.

Maybe it's old news.

I never thought of Luci as being any particular color, except perhaps, demon red.

Well, Lucifer you are seeing trophy wife syndrome at the highest level......I don't get any of that with my wife. But I spent a year writing letters back and forth explaining who I was, what I wanted out of life, and she did the same. Neither of us have egos with each other, we just feel lucky we found each other, and made it out of our respective hells in one piece. Manipulation is a big no no for me. It is for her too. We both insisted on honesty from day one, even when it was painful. Now I am not saying we haven't had our share of white lies, but on the big issues, truth has always come first. Our children are a blessing too. We waited till we had been married 8 years, before kids. Most of the families we socialize with didn't. It made a big difference for us. Children haven't drawn us apart.

No, I am not black.


Lucifer, are you black? I always assumed you were but have never asked.

Why will it take a couple years? Are the cash crop farmers still able to get credit sufficient to keep going that long?

It will take time to grind down the equity - they don't need a lot of credit, just seasonal operating capital.

Last time the big run up in land prices was 1978-1982... yet farm crisis hit hardest in 1985-1986. Land prices were falling after 1983 but like in the high end residential real estate market now - nothing was selling UNTIL the economic conditions & lack of equity forced foreclosures. In the 80s it was when corn prices collapsed to less than a dollar at the elevator and the cash drain rolled a lot of them up. But it took years...

Before we see it blow up again we will need to see a couple years of serious cash burn to eat up the equity,,, corn is still over $4... that won't burn cash fast at all [farmers with little debt will still make money - farmers with a lot of debt will lose money but slowly]. Corn will have to go below $3 for it to happen faster than 'years'.

EDIT: Beans on a tear too:

US Cash Grain Outlook: Soybean Prices Hit 8-Month High

Yah, Mook. I think you're right. But, I think the inflation trade is coming in vogue now. Who wants to play chicken with the USG?

That said, and in the interest of full disclosure, I'm playing the stock market casino right now. I'm up, I'm down, all around... Right now, who cares? It's fun. I'm learning. I'm also net short right now. Closed the longs on Wed. Small money, the stuff that matters is "under the mattress".

"Out of living with her or out of the relationship?"

Out of living with her.
For the moment.
She's a typical woman in some ways.

She can't commit. Smile

Exhibit A = Ben Bernanke

//IQ tests do not typically measure your grasp of specific subject matters, correct? That is more of an aptitude versus intelligence thing.//

No.. these were very average or sub-average women (in all respects), and I am being somewhat nice when I say average. They had NOTHING going for them, not even their looks.

//Well, Lucifer you are seeing trophy wife syndrome at the highest level//

She wants to grow old with cats.

//She's a typical woman in some ways.//

"Not all women are looking for someone to complete a checklist."

Not all but most.
If you don't understand that, it's a source of frustration.
It sure was for me until I figured it out.

Lucifer's problem is the what he believes to be true is, in fact, true, but he doesn't believe it.
Most women are focused on nesting & security (sometimes expressed as money or attitude) in their 20s, 30s, often into their 40s.

I'm not Black either. Just in case anyone was wondering.

Thanks, Outsider.

Now all the foreclosees will say they are renters and produce leases for several years at low prices.

Or, people in foreclosure can lease out the property and collect the money for longer maybe. I assume
the intent is for the bank to get paid, but they can hardly do the foreclosures, how can they do the evictions?

No no I am not John Smith I am Juan Rodriguez and here is my lease. . .

dryfly (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 7:50 pm
corn is still over $4... that won't burn cash fast at all [farmers with little debt will still make money - farmers with a lot of debt will lose money but slowly]. Corn will have to go below $3 for it to happen faster than 'years'.

I'm not a charitst but tell me this doesn't look like the mother of all head and shoulders foundations.
Corn (C, CBOT): Monthly Price Chart

I'm also thinking today's farmers are more dependent on credit.

She wants to grow old with cats.

That's the kind of woman I want to grow old with... actually THAT is the kind of woman I am growing old with.

I know it is true (for years) and that is why I buy sex. I do not deserve that crap in my life.. let them parasitize some other guy.

//Lucifer's problem is the what he believes to be true is, in fact, true, but he doesn't believe it//

Comrade K and LL, I agree with you both. Boring people are the worst. How do you teach people to be curious? I always say in order to be interesting one must be interested. I find most women just not that curious and interesting. You seem to be rare birds and kudos to you. Knowledge and constant learning is one of the best traits. Comrade K, glad you love knowledge and continual learning as it keeps the mind full. CK, are you in panhandle? I grew up in nawlins and always went to redneck riviera. Condos are getting crushed there from what I hear. What say you?

Aren't online IQ tests total bunk? According to the ones I took, I should be studying particle physics. According to the real one I took as a kid, I should be a mid-level IS manager. Wait a minute...

Bondgirl, yes, they have questions that quiz your ability in math, vocabulary etc. You can score very highly on parts, like I said, math (at least the complex variety) annoys me so I skipped that part. It will include basic algebra question, spacial questions, problem solving questions etc. The problem with them is they are keyed toward one way of learning. I can honestly see why Black people dismiss the test after being with my huband for almost a decade. His way of communicating and problem solving is completly different than mine, although no less effective. It merely gives an idea of a persons ability to learn in our "schooling" enviornment really. I will say though, anyone I've met that has an extremely high IQ has been very gifted in one area or another. The human brain is an amazing tool...

I wasn't wondering, nova. But, I am wondering if you have seen anything interesting lately.

The ultimate female delusion.

//Most women are focused on nesting & security (sometimes expressed as money or attitude) in their 20s, 30s, often into their 40s.//

Dad made me play the trombone


aaahhhhhh, see I knew you were one of US!!! (recovering trombone players)

ll - what a great idea!

Now all the foreclosees will say they are renters and produce leases for several years at low prices.


When your house starts foreclosure process, you get a relative and a lease and it gives you an extra year.

It takes a lawyer to think of the loopholes. Wink

Rob Dawg,
are you still here...been trying to catch you all day. What is happening in Cali...bloomberg had story that cuts in children's health care, state parks, education were on the table.
Is it quiet over the weekend, or is there news? Geithner said no to TARP money, and Gibbs says the Obama admin doesn't want to bail out states...think that will hold or will they have to back the muni market in Cali bonds?
NY is working on following Cali down this road...with tax revenues reported to be cut in half in April, any real spending cuts are still not on the table here.

We are growing old with cats, except the hub is getting really mad at the catz.

My mother loves 'em and is spoiling them rotten.

I wasn't wondering, nova. But, I am wondering if you have seen anything interesting lately.

Just some nice low cut blouses at work

Comrade Kristina,
Thanks. I am not suggesting your IQ isn't as high as 150, you come across as very intelligent, but most internet IQ tests aren't exactly as advertised. You would need multiple tests anyway based on your math comment. I am the same way. I have a gift for estimation, answers pop in to my head, but I hate doing the proofs and work. I also despise statistics. Fortunately most IQ tests deal with how you think, specifically perceive information, and don't deal with complex math. And like my father always likes to remind me, IQ is useless unless you have drive or ambition. A man slower on the uptake but driven to success will always do more than a happily well rounded high IQ suit.

Let them try..

//bloomberg had story that cuts in children's health care, state parks, education were on the table.//

fried (profile) wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 7:59 pm
Rob Dawg,
are you still here...been trying to catch you all day. What is happening in Cali...bloomberg had story that cuts in children's health care, state parks, education were on the table.

You just caught me out the door. I'll be at the mountain bunker so I'll put a post up in a few hours.

I am growing old, but not with cats. Husband is allergic, my cat days are over. I got a dog with a mean bark, tho, and the news says there is a significant uptick in break-ins in the entire area lately - sometimes credit cards are taken and used at grocery stores, maybe the drug thieves are being elbowed out by the hungry thieves.

Many people think I am Black. I am not. I do like Al Green still.

Life is the ultimate test.

There are hypoallegenic catz.

But they are prolly really expensive.

There are different kinds of tests based on different theories of intelligence.
I think the idea of testing intelligence is BS, personally.

Fried - I asked Rob that same question this morning. Doesn't seem to be a specific answer yet, except that there's an eery silence.

pigpen, yes, Panama City and they are getting CRUSHED. UE at almost 10% but it dropped back into the 8's now as we are getting stimulus and we had the huge airport project that had already been funded and ready to start before TSHTF...I've always wanted to visit NOLA, my parents went once years ago and loved it, I also have a GF that has gone to Mardi Gras every year forever. I'm most interested in seeing the older architecture and I love jazz and blues (that trombone stint for 9 years I suppose). Hubby was laid offf for five months but has since found a decent paying (14 bucks an hour) job as an apprentice at the new airport project. It is so bad here the Union doesn't even care that he's working for a non union contractor and they are all working on the same site...

Pigpen, also keep in mind that most men are incurious as well, the fact is those of that are "seekers" are by far in the minority...

"Am I the only one who sees that Lucifer is acting like a jerk and as a result is getting all the attention from the ladies."

No. Feeding trolls is a bad idea. It only encourages them.

"I got a dog with a mean bark, tho, and the news says there is a significant uptick in break-ins in the entire area lately - sometimes credit cards are taken and used at grocery stores, maybe the drug thieves are being elbowed out by the hungry thieves."

Idle hands do the Devil's work. The unemployment numbers scare me in more than one way.

The thing is, Luci isn't quite a troll.

Vonbeck, I agree absolutely. It is simply a measure of your aptitude for learning and problem solving. What you do with it is entirely up to you. If you ever looked at Mensa membership that would be apparent. They come from all walks of life and are in all different trades, cops, bartender, rocket scientists etc....

Outsider,
I enjoy BFF as much as anybody, but the state failures are what really matter at this point, imho. It's hard to even get a fix on the deficit number in Cali...I've seen 21b up to 25 b mentioned. Patterson, the NY gov. tried to offer a budget with some modest cuts, but got blasted by the unions...he then threw it open and asked the unions for suggestions on where to cut...he got not a singe suggestion, he claims.
You're in New Hampshire, aren't you? What kind of shape is your state in?

Yah, Mook. I think you're right. But, I think the inflation trade is coming in vogue now. Who wants to play chicken with the USG?

Oh, Wall Street does. You can be sure of that. These are, after all, the same people who live and work in America and yet are cheerfully buying up CDS's on the US government. We're talking a level of amorality that would render Richard Nixon speechless with awe.

The problem I see with that trade is that, if it comes down to brass tacks, the Fed and Treasury will throw every last one of those banks overboard to save their own skins. If it's between putting all of Wall Street out of business and being unable to finance the national debt, I have to believe that even a group as beholden to those idiots as our government seems to be will find the stones to opt for the former and hope for the best.

And that level of credit destruction would mean instant deflationary depression. Which is why I'm not sold on the inflation trade, at least in the near term. But at the same time, I can't have all that much confidence that (a) Ben, Timmy, and Obama will swallow that pill if it comes to that and (b) it would ultimately work. It didn't for Great Britain in '92. So maybe the inflationistas are on the right track.

Bottom line ... if I were trading for a living in this market, I'd probably make Jeff Macke look like the Dalai Lama.

On the math tip Vonbeck, it isn't that I can't, it's that I don't want to. I had a math major that worked for me at a bar once, he thought he would get cute with me one night (he was navy, going to school to work on something nuclear). He gave me an algebra problem and thought he had me stumped. I scribbled a few lines on an order book and gave him the answer. Couldn't explain how I did it, but the answer was correct. That's why it annoys me, I have my own way of doing it and it's not the "book" way.

Idle hands do the Devil's work. The unemployment numbers scare me in more than one way.

Very true.

I did math up to differential equations. I found all of it pretty hard.

don't remember any of it except trig. I loved trig.

Somebody should study you and figure out how you are doing it.

New methods of solving problems are more interesting and important than learning
something that somebody else had figured out.

You're in New Hampshire, aren't you? What kind of shape is your state in?

We're having budget problems too, but fortunately we've always been on the fiscally conservative side AND we have an excellent governor (democrat).

But today there was an article in the paper listing county salaries, and they're ridiculously high.

We also have no sales or income tax, so revenue pretty much depends on tourism and PROPERTY TAX. Ugh, but you have to get it somewhere.

Edit: I believe the deficit for this year is $300M, but I'll have to check on that.

Mook,
many thanks for your posts tonight. Let me throw this question at you...Geithner said no to Cali re TARP, and Gibbs is saying the admin will not bail out the states...are they getting nervous about financing the national debt? Ya think?

Re: women and cats.

I met the love of my life last year (both of us 45), and my friend who introduced us said the caveat was that she really loved her cat. She's a pilates instuctor, so I said, who cares. Seeing how she takes care of her cat, I'll be happy in 30 years whn I have Alzheimers and a colostomy.

I'm also thinking today's farmers are more dependent on credit.

:: ::

Some are - younger farmers mostly... that is all they know. Older farmers not so much if at all - they only borrow for 'working capital' - seeds, chems - not land or heavy machinery. Their buddies who drank the credit koolaid were wiped out in the 80s - saw it happen. If they dodged that bullet then and learned those lessons - it won't be soon forgotten.

BTW I do NOT believe long term charts when it comes to consumable commodities like corn, bean, wheat, etc. Market psychology does NOT play as big a role as fundamental supply/demand. Before we see corn go to $3 or below we will need three events (1) bankruptcy of a lot of ethanol operations - in progress (2) worldwide bumper crops and (3) year over year hold over - crop inventory world wide is still very low.

But increasingly the farms are being turned over to the young and many are starting off too big, too much leverage. There will be tears - that I believe.

It will take years for all three & subsequent cash flow drain to attack equity before we see a repeat of 'Farm Aid'...

Also over shorter time periods [less than a season market cycle] charts probably work real well. I always here the wonks at on Iowa State public radio talking about bean & corn technicals... but it is usually over week or month time frames.

"I got a dog with a mean bark, tho, and the news says there is a significant uptick in break-ins in the entire area lately

Besides cats we have English Setters. Gerbils make better guard dogs.

EvilHenryPaulsen: Debt by quintile? Do you trust the FTC?

http://www.ftc.gov/bcp/workshops/debtcollection/presentations/hampel.pdf 

The graphs don't talk about their scale, but it seems that the top quintile has the most debt, both in terms of leverage (debt to income) and in terms of absolute amount.

Besides cats we have English Setters. Gerbils make better guard dogs.

Actually, I hear our soon-coming guineas (birds, not pigs) are supposed to be excellent yard guards. I don't know about at night tho. Maybe they just sleep at night.

I don't have a reason to distrust the FTC =)
thanks for the link but I found what I wanted at Link here

Odysseus wrote on Fri, 5/22/2009 - 11:37 pm
Debt by quintile? Do you trust the FTC?
http://www.ftc.gov/bcp/workshops/debtcollection/presentations/hampel.pdf

Odysseus thanks for the link. I just went thru it page-by-page but like a good engineer-turned-lender, I will give it and its sources better due diligence shortly. The sources seem to lean towards the Fed's 5 year-old 2004 Survey of Consumer Finances (pages 10-13). Hmmm.

The Deleveraging of household debt began in earnest in 2 phases arguably described as: 1) unwind of subprime rez mortgages by working class' borrowers in Rustbelt cities in 2006; and 2) the closure of middle-upper income HH's HELOCs and reductions in credit card lines in 1st half of 2008 along with the emergence of their inability to sale their homes in late 2007. Those years make me a bit guarded about 2004 data.

The analytical methodology suggests the next step is to closer examine the median HH debt loads for the 2nd, 3rd & 4th quintiles; they are the bulk of swing voters, MOR voters, and constitute the huge middle majority whose spending supports our nation's vast payroll headcount in retailing, as well as the payrolls in hospitality, autos, leisure travel, residential properties held by REITs, etc. They also represent the bulk of credit card balance carriers, and their college-age kids constitute the bulk of student loan debtors.

The economic and political future of the US for the next 5 and perhaps 10+ years rests with how these three middle quintiles fare economically.

They are the big fat squirming mega-morsel caught firmly between the crunching jaws of Recession/Unemployment on the bottom and Asset Deflation and Debt Unwind on the top. Their (in)ability to liquidate assets to service debts (a tool of the Top Quintile) should be monitored. Their (in)ability to carry much of Main Street via spending will likely render moot most of Geithner/Summer/Obama’s slight hopes for a job-laden recovery B4 the 2010 midterms and larger hopes for one by the 2012 election too.
These 3 quintiles will also be center stage in wage give-backs and furloughs.

The ABA looks at HH debt in 8 categories and tracks delinquencies and defaults, but NOT by quintile or decile. Stll D&D are decent Leading Indicators of the fate of these 3 quintiles and of the political destinies of Team Obama & the GOP, and of "business as usual".

They had a shady bank president in charge for awhile. This bank probably has a lot of personal accounts over the $500,000 as it does the majority of its business with farmers...

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