I love their ability to slap the various Administrations silly while all the time sounding erudite. Ubiquicerpt:
Welcome to an era of diminished expectations and continuing dangers; a world where policymakers must steer between the imminent threat of deflation while countering investors’ (reasonable) fears that swelling public debts and massive monetary easing could eventually lead to high inflation; an uncharted world where government borrowing reaches a scale not seen since the second world war, when capital controls ensured that savings stayed at home.
How to cope with these dangers? Certainly not by clutching at scraps of better news. That risks leading to less action right now. Warding off deflation, for instance, will demand more unconventional steps from more central banks for longer than many now seem to foresee. Laggards, such as the European Central Bank, do themselves and the world no favours by holding back. Nor should governments immediately seek to take back the fiscal stimulus. Prolonged economic weakness does far greater damage to public finances than temporary fiscal activism. Remember how Japan snuffed out its recovery in the 1990s by rushing to raise taxes.
Imagine some Administration so stupid as to raise taxes in times like these. Why the Economist even raises the issue escapes me.
A repeat from an earlier thread, a quote from Bill Moyer's interview with Simon Johnson and Michael Perino
In the memoir he published in 1939, Ferdinand Pecora himself wrote that as soon as business recovered, and I'm quoting, "The titans of finance developed, once again, an arrogant self-confidence and a dogmatic assurance that any attempt to restrain their own activities must inevitably mean the ruin of the country." Are we doomed never to learn?
This is what the glimmers of hope are for - to create the feeling of recovery and with that to enable that "arrogant self-confidence"
I used to really like The Economist, but sometime in the last year I realized that their correspondants' adherence to economic liberalism was one-sided. For example, they advocate tough-love capitalism for automakers and more generally, those on the losing side of globalization. I tend to agree with those arguments. On the other hand, they completely abandon such principles when their readership (e.g. bankers) is threatened. All of a sudden they offer nuanced arguments about 'why finance is different'. I've also come to believe many of the criticisms offered below as well: The Economist - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Anyone else come to a similar conclusion?
Anyway, I'm still likely to buy one before a long flight and generally do find their analysis insightful.
Between 1929 and 1932, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared by more than 20% four times, only to fall back below its previous lows. Today’s crisis has seen five separate rallies in which share prices rose more than 10% only to subside again....
They also threw their libertarian ethos out the window when it was time to get in line and beat the war drum back in '02. Of course, this is right around the time that Congressional Democrats were downright enthusiastic about universal wiretaps, torture, and permanent suspension of habeus corpus.
Is that like the G7-backed IMF prescriptions of austerity to debt-ridden third world countries vs. unbridled monetization for first-world countries? Do as we say, not as we do.
I'm getting really disgusted with the outright neglect of the fact a large part of the "economy" is a zero sum game. Not all, but we live in a world of scarce resources, as they teach you in day one of Economics class.
We can keep taxes low, but someone must pay the money that is owed. Trickle down is piss.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses.
It is hard for anyone to accept bad news if their salary depends on good news.
When everyone stops clinging to a business as usual world that no longer exists, we can start making real changes.
......there is no difference between the two parties other than a few social issues. The arguments with those few issues will dominate the news while the world still smokes.
Lucifer, my point is that if a banker lives the high life accumulating surplus capital, that cheese doesn't get multiplied. He gets fat on others' misery.
Not 100%, because I do believe that humans can create an infinite supply of differentiation from existing resources. But not raising capital gains taxes now is idiotic.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
Agree that there is little difference between the parties, but the Democrats are much more dangerous as exhibited by their wanton tossing of money into the fray.... Too bad that the electorate is so poorly educated that they can be swayed by the promise of largess from the public treasury, the demise of the republic being the result.
And that is why we have to periodically kill banksters or create money by ways other than through credit.
Stored money is worthless and is an impediment to development and innovation.
//Lucifer, my point is that if a banker lives the high life accumulating surplus capital, that cheese doesn't get multiplied. He gets fat on others' misery.//
In a country where 2/3 are 'owners', housing is genereally seen as a proxy for savings, and, most importantly, the FIRE sector is the leading part of the economy, sure.
In a country where people saw houses as places to live, the currency was based on something other than faith and 'velocity', and design and manufacture of actual goods and supply of tangible services was central to the economy, not at all. In fact, a lower cost of living should be an absolute positive on multiple levels.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
No not on "the economy", on those institutions. The "economy" includes the price of tea in China. Or rice.
I just discovered something interesting while going through the internal files of a bailout recipient company, and I'm going to try to figure out how to share it without violating confidentiality.
tupuli writes: I used to really like The Economist, but sometime in the last year I realized that their correspondants' adherence to economic liberalism was one-sided. For example, they advocate tough-love capitalism for automakers and more generally, those on the losing side of globalization. I tend to agree with those arguments. On the other hand, they completely abandon such principles when their readership (e.g. bankers) is threatened. All of a sudden they offer nuanced arguments about 'why finance is different'.
I completely agree, Tupuli. I have been a long time subscriber to the Economist, and sometime around 2000 they lost their way. Indeed I recall an earlier incarnation of "Buttonwood" describing the US debt/financial policies as those of a "banana republic". But while they used to write prescient and insightful articles,they suddenly seemed to be falling over themselves to excuse obvious folly as sensible "innovation". This was especially evident in their writing about CDOs, but they also treated the stupidity of the Bush administration with kid gloves until very late in the debacle. This is why I started searching the blogs for something better, and am so happy to have found the likes of "Calculated Risk", "Follow the Money", "Naked Capitailism, and "Baseline Scenerio", not to mention the insights of energyecon, dryfly, evilhenrypaulson, mp, and others. But I was pleased by this latest issue of The Economist, and I hope they've got their mojo back.
When some of you talk about the "banksters and elitists" who exactly are you referring to? I mean these are not just some abstract people. They have First and Last names and exist in the real world. Do you fret about George Bush and Barack Obama, or their real masters.
Lets see who you may have in mind but be afraid to say:
Rothschilds
Kuhns
Loebs
Kahns
Greenspan
Zoellick
Bernanke
Dassault (Bloch)
Barney Frank (US Senator)
Axelrod (Obama's election advisor/puppeteer's agent)
Summers
Geitner
Goldman Sachs's CEO Blankfein
AIG Former CEO Greenberg that created the mess but safely retreated in shadows right before the crisis
Same can be said about the CITI's CEO Weil
Madoff the money launderer
and the list goes on and on. You get the picture. Now we can see who the banksters and elitists are.
Are you so afraid to name them by name? These are publicly known, yet there are many of them who are not known yet they are present in the halls of power in almost every major government and country.
Where dfoes this 2/3 peak 68% ownership figure come from? Can some one suggest a reliable source? It's relevant to a paper I am currently writing about Marxism and the middle class.
I think you're indulging in some sophistry and semantics there. The value of commodities is based on utility and rarity. The value of a fiat dollar is based on absolutely nothing.
To spell it out for those who don't follow: if we print $ to save the leveraged financial institutions, and the Chinese who hold trillions of $ suffer inflation, many of them may starve to death.
What I thought I had found -- and bear in mind that further investigation found this theory to be disproven -- was a bailout recipient company purchasing large quantities of bullion right around the time of the crash, without a legitimate (or even a conceivable) business purpose for doing so. I figured out what they were up to though, and it's kosher. But man, that would have been cool. I would've totally marched into my boss'es office and said, "Frank, it looks like they're tunneling assets, in GOLD BARS!"
Obama May Have Swine Flu
During Mr. Obama's recent trip to Mexico he was greeted by a man who may have subsequently died from the Swine Flu epidemic that is sweeping across Mexico.
At least 20 deaths in Mexico from the disease are confirmed, Health Minister Jose Cordova said yesterday. The strain is a variant of H1N1 swine influenza that has also sickened at least eight people in California and Texas. As many as 68 deaths may be attributed to the virus in Mexico, and about 1,000 people in the Mexico City area are showing symptoms of the illness, Cordoba said.
The first case was seen in Mexico on April 13. The outbreak coincided with the President Barack Obama's trip to Mexico City on April 16. Obama was received at Mexico's anthropology museum in Mexico City by Felipe Solis, a distinguished archeologist who died the following day from symptoms similar to flu, Reforma newspaper reported. The newspaper didn't confirm if Solis had swine flu or not.
The Mexican government is distributing breathing masks to curtail the disease's spread. There is no vaccine against the new strain of swine flu, health authorities said.
I hope Mr. Obama comes through this with minimal or no difficulties. I want to see him impeached. Besides. There is Joe Biden to think about.
Again, anybody have a reliable source for that 2/3 home ownership figure? Its been discussed on this site many times, but the articles I'm finding are relitter propaganda . thanks.
Civ. Pro. had no meaning for me in school. I thought it was really dry. Then when I started working in the court system I saw how important it is to the average person. Usually the answer is ethically reasonable.
What I thought I had found -- and bear in mind that further investigation found this theory to be disproven -- was a bailout recipient company purchasing large quantities of bullion right around the time of the crash
Keep digging Hoop, I want to know where the bodies and/or bullion is buried.
I got a C+ on my Fed. Civ Pro. exam. First final of law school. Tx Civ. Pro. will be my last final of law school. I refuse to get less than a B+, just for good measure.
I'm neither ethical nor reasonable. So I got that going for me, which is nice.
Thanks HollywoodHack
I noticed most articles referred to 2005 figures. I"ve also seen it in graph form, either posted by CR or in one of the links. I've been following this site for about 2 years but I usually don't post. the thrust of my paper is that Marxism failed to gain traction in the U.S. , preventing world wide revolution; a middle class "Have-some" mentality was a significant aspect of this process. The destruction of the middle class is a stupid move on the part of the elites. I'm not a leftist mysself, My views are far more nuanced.
the Economist behavior is explained by older Chomsky material. Readers know the magazine, magazine knows readership, a reflective, self-reinforcing loop develops. Reflective Schramm model, I'd post my link if I had cut'n'paste on this thing.
Why does CR attract so many lawyers (or aspiring lawyers)?
My wife is a 1L with an interest in international transactional work. We'll likely end up either in TX or perhaps the SF bay area. Any advice? E.g. how much emphasis should she place on fluency in a foreign language, are there specific industries that she should learn about, etc.
Tj and the Bear
Ok I checked the search bar by Tanta's picture. Exactly what I wqs looking for. By the way Ive been sporting my mortgage pig wear all winter, and getting a lot of questions, educating Pittsburgh one dope at a time.
Beserker- I Googled HUD 68 homeownership and Bush and got a White House Press release referring to the 2002 Census. You can take it from here. President Hosts Conference on Minority Homeownership October 15,2002
Berserker, sounds interesting, though I would be more inclined to look at the establishment of the FHA, the GI bill, FDR's various attempts at building federal housing, than recent events, though maybe that is exactly what you're planning.
I'd also recommend using the term "Marxian" in the actual paper. It just sounds more academic. A narrow focus is also good - you could easily create something as long-winded as "Das Kapital" itself if you let it sprawl.
If you're not attending a top 20 school, and are not in the top third of that school, with the exception of harvard, stanford and yale, based on your first year grades, drop out now unless you like the idea of working on bankruptcy and/or tax.
Otherwise, focus on tax and bankruptcy (in that order), and start thinking now about which bankruptcy judge you would be comfortable clerking for in terms of locale.
The destruction of the middle class is a stupid move on the part of the elites.
"Empire of Debt" has a passage about how TPTB must be careful in the extension of credit to the masses. Too little and they can't have the things necessary to be happily enslaved to their work. Too much and they gorge themselves to their ultimate downfall.
HollywoodHack, there are plenty of traditional jobs that are not biglaw for sub top 20, like county counsel or whatever. Don't go into debt to get a degree from these places though, only go with a nice scholarship or other benny, because you'll be making 55-60k your first year. But you'll be doing real law. Not the shit I'm doing.
If I recall arightly from analysis of Ownership stats on this blog, a return to trendlinline ownership levels means that 4% of homeowners would bescrewed (decline from 68% to 64%. Is that 12 million plus people????
She goes to a top 10 school (in the state with the highest rate of UE in the nation) and has a B+ average after 1 semester. I think that puts her slightly above average in her class.
Tupuli, if this were 2007 I'd say she is golden. In the current market, I have NO FUCKING IDEA. The biglaw shops she'd market to at a T-10 median are all cutting people left and right.
Homeownership statistics are great indicators of the bubble and it's downside. We peaked somewhere around 69% but the "normal" rate is closer to 64%. Greenspan himself stated that the additional 5% was "at risk", and Meredith Whitney pointed out that the rate has already fallen to 2002 levels so prices must follow.
OT: Has anyone noticed the irony of the US and Britain cracking down on offshore bank accounts when they are possible targets of capital flight, but there comparative silence during the preceding decades when they were receiving flight capital for Latin America and the Middle East?
Sounds like Michigan. Good school. I'd still recommend a focus on Tax and/or BK law, a clerkship with a federal BK judge shouldn't be hard with that school and grade.
Forget about intl transactional work. A very good friend coming out of a great school as EIC of law review, speaks five languages well including Hindi, Mandarin and Korean, summered at Skadden last year in hopes of working on Asian business stuff. Now, they're deferring her, along with everyone else, and probably won't offer her a job next year. That should answer any questions about that particular niche in this economy.
Hollywood Hack
Actually there are specific sources we are supposed to be engaging. And yes, the distinctions between Marx and Marxism. Marrx once said he wasn't a "Marxist" A good deal of my focus is on Mentalities-one of our required texts is The Great Cat Massacre by Robert Darnton. Interesting read. But I think it would be smart to bring in some recent stats. LoL my original thesis would have produced an 800 page tome.
HollywoodHack, I came to this site about '06. It was very coherent back then about laying everything out. It was surreal being a 1L and being the only one seeing what was coming. I haven't taken school too seriously. I spend more time on this site, frankly.
I have no reason why so many lawyers are here--they seem to infest every message board I read though.
Lots of time on their hands I guess. A narcissistic bunch.
My wife is a 1L with an interest in international transactional work. We'll likely end up either in TX or perhaps the SF bay area. Any advice? E.g. how much emphasis should she place on fluency in a foreign language, are there specific industries that she should learn about, etc.
Make certain that she can speak and write in the foreign language. The scariest thing I ever saw was a Chinese American lawyer negotiate a contract in China, when he could speak, but not read, Mandarin. Who knows what the contract actually said?
Hoop, given the economic climate, would you suggest looking more seriously at TX firms than SF bay? The former is probably our default, but the later would put me closer to my employer's mothership.
"Has anyone noticed the irony of the US and Britain cracking down on offshore bank accounts when they are possible targets of capital flight, but there comparative silence during the preceding decades when they were receiving flight capital for Latin America and the Middle East"
No way, dude! Americans are the most ethical and moral people on this earth! Real stand up people!...They could not possible do that....sorry, I have to go now across the corner to LAUGH IT OUT LOUD. BRB!
Tx Big Firms putting everyone off too. Most everyone everywhere is. You can't beat our cost of living though...But I'm tired of all you hippies moving in. So, I'm going to recommend you stay in SF! (kidding, sorta)
Competition will be fiercer in SF Bay, because everyone wants to live here. SOL will be higher in TX, salaries being equal. TX economy is propped up by lots of fed dollars, which might dry up if the fedgov has serious problems.
I'd say the TX job would be easier to land, but I would look seriously at both, because even though TX is easier to get a job at, shopping in both SF AND TX is even easier. If she wants to go the non-biglaw route I'd go with TX, because there are a lot of lawyers prowling around here willing to shovel shit at a DA's office for the privilege of "living" in the BA.
Only the insecure ones, which are, of course, most. Legal academics can indeed by incredibly narcissistic.
The only thing I'm certain about in regards to these things is that all law schools outside of the top 50 should be shut down yesterday out of a basic sense of decency towards the students, and that a biglaw M&A attorney has about the same future career prospects as a Cricket star forced for whatever reason to only play in the US. That world is gone.
Also, forgot to mention, that Skadden deferee also has a Stanford undergrad degree and is a great interview who is quite attractive, just to help complete the picture.
I am left, and what little I've read made me think he was too 'determinist', like Marx. But I've also read (Pinker) that his linguistics work was revolutionary.
Should Tuelpi consider where he wants to hang out by himself while his associate wife is working 100 hours per week to prove herself at the firm? Texas or San Francisco?
All of those burnt out 3d years didn't know how good they had it. And no one lucky enough to be making 200K+ without risking their own capital at any point should whine, especially now that nice real estate can be had soon for under a half-mil even in pricey coastal markets.
The 200k biglaw jobs (180k now, I guess, now that our bonuses are getting chopped) do indeed exist, but I think you've got to be a lot more impressive to successfully secure them these days.
I'll be there in 6 months (i'm a closet hippie). Even more reason for me to yell stay away, you people are killing Austin home prices! But if you do mosey down I'll buy you a cold beer, nevertheless.
HollywoodHack
I am happy with my 4tier education and have no regrets. But I'm one of the few that knew what I was getting into. I agree with you in part, I probably shouldn't have had the opportunity as my academic prowess is nowhere near Top Tier, but I think even 4tiers can find niches. Public service and lots of small claims.
I wasn't sure if things had changed that much. I only know lawyer work hours indirectly, by hiring them. The associates still seem to email me stuff at the weirdest hours.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
No not on "the economy", on those institutions. The "economy" includes the price of tea in China. Or rice.
It reduces available credit. Drastically. That affects peoples ability to purchase goods.
Yes, impressive as in Lebron James impressive. They just don't want fresh 1st years. At all of those firms that mushroomed from 200 or 300 partners/associates in a few offices to one or two thousand in a dozen or more (and don't forget the trophy office in China, or two) over the past decade or two know that that total headcount needs to drop by as much as 50% if they want their "PPP" to be a number greater than zero, let alone over one million. That means that they'll be quite happy to not hire another fresh kid out of law school for the next few years, while keeping around the 3rd years and up who actually know what they're doing and are correctly frightened about the fact that there is no 'of counsel' gig waiting for them in corporate America.
JD2B - 4tiers can definetely make it. I was talking to the GC and 5 lawyers in VSP, Inc., a huge corporation, and I think one wasn't even from an accredited law school, tier 4, unranked trash diplomas, doing just fine. It's all about how you work it if you're low tier. In some ways, I think you have a better career being a badass with a crap degree.
It reduces available credit. Drastically. That affects peoples ability to purchase goods.
Not if they live within their means and save, as apparently the Chinese do. And credit does not depend on Bank of America or the FED. Anyone reliable can issue credit, which is easily overextended.
It reduces available credit. Drastically. That affects peoples ability to purchase goods.
Disagree slightly. What has reduced available credit is the collapse of securitization (i.e., the shadow banking system), which was caused by "those institutions" stuffing their securitization sausage machines with material from the floor of the feedlot instead of prime beef.
All this really goes to whether there is an "education bubble". I wish CR would make some Student loan graphs for Sallie Mae.
And GradPlus loans for the next few years. There's lots of kids with 100K in debt who they can't foreclose even a crap house on.
That adds up to a lot of crap houses somewhere down the line.
Given that the worst crimes, genocides and other assorted evils in human history were done by non-jewish people, what is the logical basis behind anti-semitism?
Don't listen to the old fogies. We can afford to take a paper loss in student loans. Over-educated or over-qualified is better than under, just as too many houses is better than too few.
JD2B, the education bubble definitely exists and got punctured the day mom and pop's 401k took a haircut.
Non-dischargeable student loans are a modern form of servitude IMO. Ironically, the same people are expected to pay for the boomers' entitlement programs.
It is an interesting divide. There is some truth to the stereotype older fellows see it as "boy, don't need no schoolin' he needs a wrench!"
Guess it's a Gen. X thing. I just worry more of it as a straw that broke the camel's back.
What could go wrong with that assumption.. oh ya.. availability of jobs and ability to collect taxes.
//Non-dischargeable student loans are a modern form of servitude IMO. Ironically, the same people are expected to pay for the boomers' entitlement programs.//
Jews are so diverse in culture, country, language, belief, and religious view that there can be no real logical basis for anti-semitism. By my observation, as a group, "the Jews," meaning the various diaspora spread all over the globe, are incapable of any kind of collective action or even agreement about the fundamentals of their religion, let alone a conspiracy. The Jewish tradition of arguing and questioning and cajoling god instead of abject worship makes for a group of people with incredibly disparate beliefs, habits, and plans of action.
Every person I know who has gone into public service (working for the state) has been massively incompetent and has sought such a position out because of the allure of steady hours and not being fired for their incompetence.
Indeed, the way our society grapples with issues surrounding hyperinflated tuition and the assumptions behind mushrooming student debt will be interesting in the next few years.
I think an unaddressed part of the issue is the fact that any and all 'higher education' involving finance, economics, marketing or general 'business' is a complete and total fraud with almost no bearing on actual science or relevant job skills. A good liberal arts education is a great thing for any civilized person to enjoy, languages are the key to the world's cultures, studying fine arts is a true luxury, and the hard sciences can make for a great, socially useful career. Those things really are great investments in one's quality of life if done right. Everything else is, more or less, a scam, which isn't just damaging to intellectual culture, but potentially catastrophic when this smug, brainless culture results in things like the trillion-dollar CDO wipeout we've witnessed.
Every person I know who has gone into public service (working for the state) has been massively incompetent and has sought such a position out because of the allure of steady hours and not being fired for their incompetence.
I think JD2B was referring to something like Americorps combined with a GI bill sort of scheme.
Everyone requires a good scapegoat..For a long time the christian west (and the muslim midlle-east) blamed anyone who was jewish for everything from plague, droughts, cold weather, usury, heresy,childhood illnesses and thinking differently.. I suspect the last accusation had some truth to it
//I think an unaddressed part of the issue is the fact that any and all 'higher education' involving finance, economics, marketing or general 'business' is a complete and total fraud with almost no bearing on actual science or relevant job skills. //
The tradition of questioning means we can never accept things on faith, even what our own leaders tell us, so there is no agreement, as you say.
The questioners, from Marx to Kasparov to Lenny Bruce, will never accept what the political power dictates, which is a logical basis for fomenting antisemitism.
Lucifer, your comments have been really good and insightful tonight. What gives? Why is your tone of authorship so different from how it's been these last few days?
I was. But hoops point is valid. Lots of floundering students will pick up these jobs for a release of debt over say 10yrs of service. Will this be an "improvement" in quality for govt. service, hard to say.
Given that the worst crimes, genocides and other assorted evil in human history were done by non-jewish people, what is the logical basis behind anti-semitism?
My dear Lucifer; perhaps you ought to consult with Satan--he being the current incarnation of evil. IIRC you were deposed in a palace coup. The purpose of antisemitism is to expose evildoers. And Lord knows--as Satan does--we have plenty of those. Antisemitism is the no-pest strip that seals their fate.
As for the current topic, "Glimmers of Hope", hope is the opiate of the masses. That was Marx, I believe, Karl, not Groucho, though at this point I think I'd prefer the latter.
This is the New Economy! American scientists and engineers DO NOT lower themselves down to actually advancing the science or building something tangible. Hell no, going to Wall Street and building nice ponzi scheme models is the new way! Or screwing the next generation of wanna-be-scientists and engineers with big tuition fees.
People usually don't acknowledge that part of what motivates the Kissingers, Bernankes, or Blankfeins is a misguided attempt to inculcate themselves to the power elite just to survive. They rationalize with Machiavellian logic.
Everything else is, more or less, a scam, which isn't just damaging to intellectual culture, but potentially catastrophic when this smug, brainless culture results in things like the trillion-dollar CDO wipeout we've witnessed.
I'm amused by all the $30k salary positions that absolutely require a masters degree in a specific field. Are they really anything more than informal guilds with a $50k entry fee?
I think the emphasis on 2 and 4 year degrees is similar. I believe the same parties that screen on that basis alone (as opposed to where you went or what you know) would just as soon accept certification that the applicant had set $50k of hard currency on fire. In either case, you filter out an undesirable segment of the population.
Really, what does a 2 year associates degree from a BS school certify other than "I'm less likely to steal from you than the other guy"?
It certifies that the person is together enough to engage in two years of study and pass classes during that two years of study. I've hung out with some real scatterbrained losers, and that is beyond them.
American scientists and engineers DO NOT lower themselves down to actually advancing the science or building something tangible. Hell no, going to Wall Street and building nice ponzi scheme models is the new way! Or screwing the next generation of wanna-be-scientists and engineers with big tuition fees.
Meh, there really aren't that many quants out there.
It certifies that the person is together enough to engage in two years of study and pass classes during that two years of study. I've hung out with some real scatterbrained losers, and that is beyond them.
Well, could they summon $50k worth of hard currency to burn?
I'm only arguing that the education part is subordinate to the "look, I buy in to the system" part. I'm too lazy to look, but I suspect some rogue economist has examined this phenomenon.
I don't take that rhetoric as representative of 'true' Islam.
The "Golden Age" of Jewish culture in the Diaspora is considered to be in Spain, under Muslim rule. When the Christians took over (El Cid) many of the elite Jews fled to Muslim countries (Maimonides, e.g.). The ones who stayed eventually faced the Spanish Inquisition. Many fled to Holland, where they thrived until the Nazis took over. Some went with Columbus. Some were burned at the stake. The weakest-willed just became Christians. Others, called "Marranos" (Swine) practiced Jewish rituals in secret, right up to the 20th Century.
The ones who were burned didn't leave their genetic code, but they inspire us.
The fact that he engages in a secret act of rebellion means that he respects tradition handed down for thousands of years, even if he doesn't understand it. The respect has value; the ritual is secondary.
...we live in a world of scarce resources, as they teach you in day one of Economics class.
Another way of looking at it is that we live in a world of infinite human ingenuity. That ingenuity can turn abundant, worthless commodities like sand into the most useful resource on earth. Unfortunately we also live in a world where envious parasites can construct infinite ways to stifle that ingenuity.
the glimmer may well be those few flickers of intermittent energy emitted just before it goes completely dark
Turbo Timmy even used the darkness metaphor at his 'news' conference Friday. How poetic.
Folk, we're wasting our time. Start grubbing a patch for growing some comestibles. Heck, look at the videos of Michelle using first a rake then a shovel as she wreaked her screed on the White House grounds. Is it just me, or does it seem they are trying to tell us something?
And when it comes to that most feared all stop position, I know what I'd say if I was in charge: "We done told you to plant your own damn food, now shoo."
Start grubbing a patch for growing some comestibles.
Doesn't that take us back in human societal evolution to a time before the division of labor? Wouldn't most people be better off working a few hours of overtime, or taking a second job, even minimum wage, and buying food with the proceeds?
bobn (homepage, profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 2:25 am
Why do the anti-semites keep crawling out of the muck? Is there a shortage of rocks to cover them?
There's something about the idea that really gains traction in the human mind.
There is an international Jewish conspiracy, it's called the way the State of Israel exploits the diaspora community's special feelings toward the state that has managed to wrap itself up in their religious identity. Criticize the state of Israel, eat some flak from the ADL. Make no mistake, they destroyed careers and made enemies. Part of what you are hearing is the hissing from people who thought that was bad sport or got personally affected and are just trying to get the boot in on someone they dislike in a silly way.
I saw a really great aphorism from moorish Spain once, that those damn Christians and Jews were just alike, always getting ahead with the doctor's bag or the banker's moneybag. That made it very clear to me that it's about discrimination. Guys that are gonna get punched in the head get very entertaining. Guys that are going to starve to death while you watch impassively get very good at finding indispensable professions like banker and doctor. People in a religion that's pissed on get very tied in to their community since they have no other opportunity.
It really saddens me that so many people miss the universal character of the human experience and are so willing to project weird alien conspiracies onto any discernible group, even if that group publishes many English-language newspapers and conducts most of its business in the light of day. It's like people are so eager for a scapegoat they won't even take the trouble to do the most superficial research, because it would spoil their fun.
kidbuck (profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 6:48 am
Doesn't that take us back in human societal evolution to a time before the division of labor? Wouldn't most people be better off working a few hours of overtime, or taking a second job, even minimum wage, and buying food with the proceeds?
Same argument made for rule by technician and confining violence technology to trained servants of the state. The counterargument, as you know well, is that the mechanism is not just critical for life and exposed to breakdown, but actually prone to breakdown. If you want to have a Republic where everyone is a universal citizen, you're going to have to make economic and social choices that make that social independence real.
"It's like people are so eager for a scapegoat they won't even take the trouble to do the most superficial research, because it would spoil their fun."
the whole "degree" thing is in fact a guild in many workplaces.
I work in software. I do have an undergrad degree from a very good public school. However I really don't think it should be the basis of entry into the field. The most guilty of the "guild" type hiring is the bigger places. Places like google ( a place where they screen applicants out who have worked in the industry for a decade what their collge GPA was) . Its like corporate snobbery and it even happens at tech companies. I know a lot of people who have the same software degree from the same school and cannot code themselves out of a paper bag (sadly, I know a few like this who are actaully halfway through an MBA program RIGHT NOW to get the big bucks. haha). Some of them gave up on the field and became teachers, project mangaers etc.
On the other hand I work at a small company and we are not as strict in our hiring as the big guys. We hire some guys with say a music degree or no degree at all to write unix scripts. They do a fantastic job. I mean half the time now a 4 year degree is just a piece of paper that says "he's likely to be better than one without it" because HR people are completely lazy and have no idea what they are doing anyway. Case in point my brother. English degree, from a cal state, but its practically required to get any job now to have a degree since everyone has to get an "education" no matter how worthless it is so we can keep funneling money to pay for professors, etc. He works at subway in manufacturing as he calls it. I like to think he is more productive than a banker though, as he actually assembles a product.
The idea of going to law school to get a job is strange. There have always been some corporate and government jobs, but traditionally most have practiced on their own or in a small group.
Boronco Papa wrote: Obama May Have Swine Flu
During Mr. Obama's recent trip to Mexico he was greeted by a man who may have subsequently died from the Swine Flu epidemic that is sweeping across Mexico....
The AP is reporting Solis died from Pneumonia and did not have swine flu.
On the other hand I work at a small company and we are not as strict in our hiring as the big guys. We hire some guys with say a music degree or no degree at all to write unix scripts. They do a fantastic job.
Stick to it. It's a good policy. "Human Resources" is a critical organizational error that exists due to centralizing philosophy.
Case in point my brother. English degree, from a cal state, but its practically required to get any job now to have a degree since everyone has to get an "education" no matter how worthless it is so we can keep funneling money to pay for professors, etc. He works at subway in manufacturing as he calls it. I like to think he is more productive than a banker though, as he actually assembles a product.
Don't confuse the fact that your society decided to strip managers of hire / fire power by centralizing it and professionalizing it with the value of education. Would you want your brother to be ignorant just because his job doesn't require a "smart unit"? What about his own psyche? What about his role in a society that expects everyone to be intelligent and educated Citizens? Are you really commending him to the idiocracy because he couldn't find a better job? "Those who can, learn, those who cannot, labor" is a great idea if you fancy yourself a mandarin but it implies the rest of society will be a bunch of putty-faced ruffians who can't read and write, and are encouraged in their ignorance by their educated betters.
If you are articulating Confucianism or more generally elistist technocracy, make sure you're aware of it. If nothing else, you can see what other people made of it.
My feeling is that education leads to civilization. You want to know how to prevent people from turning into trailer park chavs? Make them into college students. Who cares if they're self-important, at least they don't light things on fire or break glass for fun. Complex thinking, nuanced awareness, critical to complex societies.
There's a reason for the eudaemonian idal, which is you have a lot of surplus, highly skilled labor. Societies with educational patterns based on European track-oriented models are less flexible in terms of labor factor reallocation. We just need to stop bowing to the pressure to turn college into an advanced technical school and get rid of all the troublesome "general education" and "rounding". We need classical education, not modern technician-generating training programs.
Don't agree with me? Look around. Your society needs to take a couple anthropology courses and maybe some intro econ and intro poli sci. A couple rocks for jocks classes wouldn't hurt with the whole Biblical literalism either.
I think my point with my brother really is the only reason he went to college was because of this "you have to have a degree" to do anything myth. My brother is not going to be some rocket scientist and he'll freely admit it. But why does society force it on him to go get a degree for something that is almost useless. I mean he majored in english because it was easy apparently, so it was just to get a degree which everyone says you need.
I think in principle having everyone be educated is a good thing. Unfortunately my brother really is no better off having gone to college than when he went in. I mean on top of going for the sake of everyone says so, half the colleges do not even teach anything and a good portion of the people have no business wanting to llearn anyway.
It is sort of the point I was making about my coworkers. my coworkers didn't go to college and they are educated. I mean shouldnt we just encourage people to care about politics or economics, and not just shove them into schools even though they dont care because we automatically equate a degree or diploma with being "educated". There are plenty of people out there who arent educated who have degrees, and plenty who dont have degrees who are very educated.
I know its really just a discussion that is all hypothetical. Our society is totally screwed up to begin with. It is why the kids who are interested in say politics or subjects that are more intellectual can get called nerds while the kids watching american idol and obsessing about it are normal. Shouldnt we just encourage people to learn more? As it stands now we try to send everyone to college because they get a piece of paper that says they are educated regardless of if they actually are, and now everyone has to get one because that piece of paper is expected. I suppose its a bad solution to the problem when in reality a good solution would be making sure people knew that caring about politics, or economics, etc, is a good thing and somehow convinced people to actually care. Maybe the college as a guild thing is the best realistic solution, i don't know. I have no idea how to convince people to not care about reality shows etc.
Good morning Liz, I have the same problem with my apple trees. The furry little thieves pick the not-quite-ripe fruit, eat half and throw the rest on the lawn for the groundhog to clean up. At least that keeps the groundhog out of the veggie garden.
You are seeing the beginnings of The Last Bubble. Government finance will become the inflating mechanism for the next 3-4 years, but when the Boomers start trying to retire en masse, this final bubble collapses- the debts we have built up are unsupportable, and the government can only extend this debt bubble for a few years more. There is no way of preventing this outcome now. We had our last chance this past fall, and we chose the "free lunch" option, and Obama is doubling down on this option.
Boronco Papa wrote:
Obama May Have Swine Flu
During Mr. Obama's recent trip to Mexico he was greeted by a man who may have subsequently died from the Swine Flu epidemic that is sweeping across Mexico....
The AP is reporting Solis died from Pneumonia and did not have swine flu.
The MSM frames all, you are looking through a picture frame. Pneumonia is what happens after the flu compromises your immune system. Poor Don. He wants to believe. Of course Obama is fine. Hale and hearty, rearing to go after Credit Card companies, every last dollar of AIG bonus money, and other critical matters. Of course, he and the admin are fresh out of ideas and would certainly appreciate a few suggestions.
kidbuck (profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 5:48 am
* reply
Start grubbing a patch for growing some comestibles.
Doesn't that take us back in human societal evolution to a time before the division of labor? Wouldn't most people be better off working a few hours of overtime, or taking a second job, even minimum wage, and buying food with the proceeds?
Wow. We (or at least kidbuck) are so screwed. kidbuck opines about a societal devolution as if it matters, and as if kidbuck understands the problem.
Division of labor? Better off working overtime or taking a second job to buy food?
Glimmers, green shoots, and mustard seeds. I say we charge $0.50 for their use on this blog. Anyone read John Mauldins' Frontline Weekly newletter these last two weeks. He is never pessimistic, until now.
Hey. Growing stuff on a big scale is not easy. You have to know stuff. You have
to be willing to get some excercise.
Bugs and squirrels like the same food we do. Deer are the bane of the friend that aspires to be Black Star Ranch. I'd be shooting them en masse, but she is too softhearted. I would hate to have to rely on what I grow to eat. On the other hand it is better than nothing.
She also has moles and stuff underground. So do I, but they just seem to tear up the lawn.
I step on their tunnels.
Bottom line, farming is hard and most people weren't all that good at it, even when every other person was a farmer.
A Court of Appeals for the Washington, D.C. Circuit ruled Friday that detainees at the U.S. military prison at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, are not "persons" according to it's interpretation of a statute involving religious freedom.
The ruling sprang from an appeal of Rasul v. Rumsfeld, which was thrown out in Jan. 2008. "The court affirmed the district court's dismissal of the constitutional and international law claims, and reversed the district court's decision that the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA) applied to Guantanamo detainees, dismissing those claims as well," the Center for Constitutional Rights said.
...
"In its first filing on detention and torture under the Obama administration, the Department of Justice filed briefs in March urging the Court of Appeals to reject any constitutional or statutory rights for detainees," says a release. "The Obama Justice Department further argued that even if such rights were recognized, the Court should rule that the previous administration’s officials who ordered and approved torture and abuse of the plaintiffs should be immune from liability for their actions."
Keeping the wisteria in check I must tell you, it never did
it was unchecked
branches leaves,
green and moist, cascading one over the other,
a wild mountain,
a come closer here and loose yourself aahhhhhhhhh just what the doctor ordered: mystical encounter
With wisteria the task at hand, and now, no wisteria
The disappointment was palpable
A real downer. The attending band hummered Ring of Fire, not at all appropriate at this moment. But it’s good to let that go. There are places the reader will not remember having been and others he can’t forget but wishes to. He’s send to unreading camp for a week. After that, good as gold or rain. You might be more a rainmaker. Did I mention there are some fields that need plowing, set thy bronzeshimmering muscularextenstions of thy body to the task of plowing. Stay strong through this. You may find yourself in a field of much advantage. The Russian’s strong, heavy hair, cleavage that leaves noone out. Until right to the end she wished she could see his face like I could. I held his face in my hand and then nothing happens for a long time. The Russian wants you. I want you. And the people that constantly walk up and down here want you too. I hope you don’t get conceited. A conceit would be superfluous on this bus.
Or are we at sea already--
Let’s just imagine we’re there. We can save gas and other money and a flatscreen. I sure hoped my life would end differently than stretched long in a pose of abject ennui -- sure there are drowning kids in NO or that place down south where they don’t hear our language—it’s tough to get good servants these days.
Optimism is one thing, but hubris that the world economy is returning to normal could hinder recovery and block policies to protect against a further plunge into the depths.
Geithner’s banking plan would prolong the state of denial. It involves government guarantees of the bad assets, keeping current management in place and attempting to attract new private capital. (Conversion of preferred shares to equity, which may happen with Citigroup, conveys no powers that the government, as regulator, does not already have.) The idea is that one can fix the banks from the top down, by reestablishing markets for their bad securities. If the idea seems familiar, it is: Henry Paulson also pressed for this, to the point of winning congressional approval. But then he abandoned the idea. Why? He learned it could not work.
The oddest thing about the Geithner program is its failure to act as though the financial crisis is a true crisis—an integrated, long-term economic threat—rather than merely a couple of related but temporary problems, one in banking and the other in jobs. In banking, the dominant metaphor is of plumbing: there is a blockage to be cleared. Take a plunger to the toxic assets, it is said, and credit conditions will return to normal. This, then, will make the recession essentially normal, validating the stimulus package. Solve these two problems, and the crisis will end. That’s the thinking.
The jaws of Larry Summers
first.
That picture describes my thoughts so well.
I love their ability to slap the various Administrations silly while all the time sounding erudite. Ubiquicerpt:
Welcome to an era of diminished expectations and continuing dangers; a world where policymakers must steer between the imminent threat of deflation while countering investors’ (reasonable) fears that swelling public debts and massive monetary easing could eventually lead to high inflation; an uncharted world where government borrowing reaches a scale not seen since the second world war, when capital controls ensured that savings stayed at home.
How to cope with these dangers? Certainly not by clutching at scraps of better news. That risks leading to less action right now. Warding off deflation, for instance, will demand more unconventional steps from more central banks for longer than many now seem to foresee. Laggards, such as the European Central Bank, do themselves and the world no favours by holding back. Nor should governments immediately seek to take back the fiscal stimulus. Prolonged economic weakness does far greater damage to public finances than temporary fiscal activism. Remember how Japan snuffed out its recovery in the 1990s by rushing to raise taxes.
Imagine some Administration so stupid as to raise taxes in times like these. Why the Economist even raises the issue escapes me.
A repeat from an earlier thread, a quote from Bill Moyer's interview with Simon Johnson and Michael Perino
In the memoir he published in 1939, Ferdinand Pecora himself wrote that as soon as business recovered, and I'm quoting, "The titans of finance developed, once again, an arrogant self-confidence and a dogmatic assurance that any attempt to restrain their own activities must inevitably mean the ruin of the country." Are we doomed never to learn?
This is what the glimmers of hope are for - to create the feeling of recovery and with that to enable that "arrogant self-confidence"
Warding off deflation, for instance, will demand more unconventional steps from more central banks for longer than many now seem to foresee.
IOW, let's paper the world with fiat.
Does this mean we won't get those ultra-optimistic cute little bar charts going 5 years out in their holiday yearbook edition this winter?
I used to really like The Economist, but sometime in the last year I realized that their correspondants' adherence to economic liberalism was one-sided. For example, they advocate tough-love capitalism for automakers and more generally, those on the losing side of globalization. I tend to agree with those arguments. On the other hand, they completely abandon such principles when their readership (e.g. bankers) is threatened. All of a sudden they offer nuanced arguments about 'why finance is different'. I've also come to believe many of the criticisms offered below as well:
The Economist - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Anyone else come to a similar conclusion?
Anyway, I'm still likely to buy one before a long flight and generally do find their analysis insightful.
Tupuli,
I came to that conclusion years ago! They tell people what they want to hear and backtrack on their old positions if they become unpopular.
//Anyone else come to a similar conclusion?//
Have we solved any of the underlying issues? Anybody? Buehler?
Between 1929 and 1932, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared by more than 20% four times, only to fall back below its previous lows. Today’s crisis has seen five separate rallies in which share prices rose more than 10% only to subside again....
They also threw their libertarian ethos out the window when it was time to get in line and beat the war drum back in '02. Of course, this is right around the time that Congressional Democrats were downright enthusiastic about universal wiretaps, torture, and permanent suspension of habeus corpus.
What do you read now Lucifer?
Tupuli,
Is that like the G7-backed IMF prescriptions of austerity to debt-ridden third world countries vs. unbridled monetization for first-world countries? Do as we say, not as we do.
I'm getting really disgusted with the outright neglect of the fact a large part of the "economy" is a zero sum game. Not all, but we live in a world of scarce resources, as they teach you in day one of Economics class.
We can keep taxes low, but someone must pay the money that is owed. Trickle down is piss.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses.
I read the MSM for amusement, not for information.
//What do you read now Lucifer?//
It is hard for anyone to accept bad news if their salary depends on good news.
When everyone stops clinging to a business as usual world that no longer exists, we can start making real changes.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses
Isn't that a few people win and a lot of people lose?
1 currency now -yogi,
Your belief in the zero sum game is charming in the same way as a 6 year olds belief in santa.
......there is no difference between the two parties other than a few social issues. The arguments with those few issues will dominate the news while the world still smokes.
Oh, I also find it amusing how The Economist has a stereotypical European attitude towards ownership of firearms.
They might as well just write: "yes, we still think you are all barbarians, kthxbye"
...."we still think you are all barbarians..."
I B 1
The cover is most excellent.
I B 1 2
Lucifer, my point is that if a banker lives the high life accumulating surplus capital, that cheese doesn't get multiplied. He gets fat on others' misery.
Not 100%, because I do believe that humans can create an infinite supply of differentiation from existing resources. But not raising capital gains taxes now is idiotic.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
When house prices go down, someone wins, someone loses.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
Banksters and elitists have always feared widespread ownership of firearms.
//The Economist has a stereotypical European attitude towards ownership of firearms.//
I read the MSM for amusement, not for information.
Yes, I understand, but where do you get your information (other than CR)?
Agree that there is little difference between the parties, but the Democrats are much more dangerous as exhibited by their wanton tossing of money into the fray.... Too bad that the electorate is so poorly educated that they can be swayed by the promise of largess from the public treasury, the demise of the republic being the result.
On the flu thing
Coast to Coast tonight is a riot with the calls! If you need a good laugh tune in, the flu theories flying around are great!
Lucifer, do you believe Main Street needs a profitable Wall Street to recover?
And that is why we have to periodically kill banksters or create money by ways other than through credit.
Stored money is worthless and is an impediment to development and innovation.
//Lucifer, my point is that if a banker lives the high life accumulating surplus capital, that cheese doesn't get multiplied. He gets fat on others' misery.//
I read a variety of MSM sources but with a very skeptical eye.
//Yes, I understand, but where do you get your information (other than CR)?//
In a country where 2/3 are 'owners', housing is genereally seen as a proxy for savings, and, most importantly, the FIRE sector is the leading part of the economy, sure.
In a country where people saw houses as places to live, the currency was based on something other than faith and 'velocity', and design and manufacture of actual goods and supply of tangible services was central to the economy, not at all. In fact, a lower cost of living should be an absolute positive on multiple levels.
No! wall street requires a healthy main street to survive. Parasites require hosts more than hosts require parasites.
//Lucifer, do you believe Main Street needs a profitable Wall Street to recover?//
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
No not on "the economy", on those institutions. The "economy" includes the price of tea in China. Or rice.
So true. We'd never see a GOP president double the national debt and go 6 years without a single spending veto... Oh, wait.
In fact, a lower cost of living should be an absolute positive on multiple levels.
Damn straight.
Interesting CRE article on Zero Hedge:
Zero Hedge: The One Trillion Commercial Real Estate Time Bomb
The zero sum game means Wall Street and Main Street are fighting for a lot of the same pie.
All currencies are based on faith. Even if backed by gold, you need faith that the gold can be fairly exchanged, and not confiscated.
I just discovered something interesting while going through the internal files of a bailout recipient company, and I'm going to try to figure out how to share it without violating confidentiality.
tupuli writes: I used to really like The Economist, but sometime in the last year I realized that their correspondants' adherence to economic liberalism was one-sided. For example, they advocate tough-love capitalism for automakers and more generally, those on the losing side of globalization. I tend to agree with those arguments. On the other hand, they completely abandon such principles when their readership (e.g. bankers) is threatened. All of a sudden they offer nuanced arguments about 'why finance is different'.
I completely agree, Tupuli. I have been a long time subscriber to the Economist, and sometime around 2000 they lost their way. Indeed I recall an earlier incarnation of "Buttonwood" describing the US debt/financial policies as those of a "banana republic". But while they used to write prescient and insightful articles,they suddenly seemed to be falling over themselves to excuse obvious folly as sensible "innovation". This was especially evident in their writing about CDOs, but they also treated the stupidity of the Bush administration with kid gloves until very late in the debacle. This is why I started searching the blogs for something better, and am so happy to have found the likes of "Calculated Risk", "Follow the Money", "Naked Capitailism, and "Baseline Scenerio", not to mention the insights of energyecon, dryfly, evilhenrypaulson, mp, and others. But I was pleased by this latest issue of The Economist, and I hope they've got their mojo back.
I would recommend anonymous to the New York Times and several other papers. Be careful, please.
When some of you talk about the "banksters and elitists" who exactly are you referring to? I mean these are not just some abstract people. They have First and Last names and exist in the real world. Do you fret about George Bush and Barack Obama, or their real masters.
Lets see who you may have in mind but be afraid to say:
Rothschilds
Kuhns
Loebs
Kahns
Greenspan
Zoellick
Bernanke
Dassault (Bloch)
Barney Frank (US Senator)
Axelrod (Obama's election advisor/puppeteer's agent)
Summers
Geitner
Goldman Sachs's CEO Blankfein
AIG Former CEO Greenberg that created the mess but safely retreated in shadows right before the crisis
Same can be said about the CITI's CEO Weil
Madoff the money launderer
and the list goes on and on. You get the picture. Now we can see who the banksters and elitists are.
Are you so afraid to name them by name? These are publicly known, yet there are many of them who are not known yet they are present in the halls of power in almost every major government and country.
Where dfoes this 2/3 peak 68% ownership figure come from? Can some one suggest a reliable source? It's relevant to a paper I am currently writing about Marxism and the middle class.
I think you're indulging in some sophistry and semantics there. The value of commodities is based on utility and rarity. The value of a fiat dollar is based on absolutely nothing.
Tupuli,
That zerohedge post is fantastic as usual. That guy REALLY gets it; no wonder his stature's been skyrocketing.
Love this quote (particularly because it echoes something I've been saying since 2005):
In this light, anything that the government can try to do, absent continuing to print massive amounts of dollars, is irrelevant.
I know, I know... confirmation bias, but this guy backs up all the things we already suspected with hard friggin' data.
how to share it without violating confidentiality
The personal stakes for you are too high,...don't do it.
Damn, never mind, I thought I was on to something hot, but upon further investigation, it is in fact a transaction that has a legitimate business use.
I'm here all night doing work in case it wasn't apparent.
To spell it out for those who don't follow: if we print $ to save the leveraged financial institutions, and the Chinese who hold trillions of $ suffer inflation, many of them may starve to death.
Golly, you forgot names like Koch, Walton, Buffet, Gates, Slim Helu - any particular reason for that?
JUSA,
Nobody here is afraid to name names. Did it ever occur to you that the B&E label is simply convenient shorthand?
The value of the fiat dollar is based on the need to pay taxes in it.
I B 1 Also.
"The right of self-defense is the first law of nature." - St. George Tucker - Early American constitutional scholar.
berserker,
Housing Vacancies and Homeownership - Annual 2005: table 12
first link from the wiki article on homeownership
Hey idiot:
It's Geithner, and you ought to know he has a foreskin.
What I thought I had found -- and bear in mind that further investigation found this theory to be disproven -- was a bailout recipient company purchasing large quantities of bullion right around the time of the crash, without a legitimate (or even a conceivable) business purpose for doing so. I figured out what they were up to though, and it's kosher. But man, that would have been cool. I would've totally marched into my boss'es office and said, "Frank, it looks like they're tunneling assets, in GOLD BARS!"
Fuck it's late.
Obama May Have Swine Flu
During Mr. Obama's recent trip to Mexico he was greeted by a man who may have subsequently died from the Swine Flu epidemic that is sweeping across Mexico.
At least 20 deaths in Mexico from the disease are confirmed, Health Minister Jose Cordova said yesterday. The strain is a variant of H1N1 swine influenza that has also sickened at least eight people in California and Texas. As many as 68 deaths may be attributed to the virus in Mexico, and about 1,000 people in the Mexico City area are showing symptoms of the illness, Cordoba said.
The first case was seen in Mexico on April 13. The outbreak coincided with the President Barack Obama's trip to Mexico City on April 16. Obama was received at Mexico's anthropology museum in Mexico City by Felipe Solis, a distinguished archeologist who died the following day from symptoms similar to flu, Reforma newspaper reported. The newspaper didn't confirm if Solis had swine flu or not.
The Mexican government is distributing breathing masks to curtail the disease's spread. There is no vaccine against the new strain of swine flu, health authorities said.
I hope Mr. Obama comes through this with minimal or no difficulties. I want to see him impeached. Besides. There is Joe Biden to think about.
.............dont laugh , it's serious matter.............
Again, anybody have a reliable source for that 2/3 home ownership figure? Its been discussed on this site many times, but the articles I'm finding are relitter propaganda . thanks.
OK
Pandit, Lewis, Dimon, Stanford, Paulson, oh forget it it's a foolish exercise, and Michael was distracted for a moment.
I like the new Apocalyptic Saturday Nights...now if we could just get back our Morning Rock-blogging.
I'm here all night cramming for Tx. Civil Procedure Final...if it wasn't apparent.
Krugman, Stiglitz, Brad Sherman, Jon Stewart, Russ Feingold, Bernie Sanders, Al Franken, oy.
I like the new Apocalyptic Saturday Nights...
Will you be shooting squirrels for food... OR BECAUSE THEY'RE A VECTOR?!?!?
Calculated Risk of Pandemic
Jon Liebowitz, you mean.
Berserker,
CR's done numerous posts (with his typically excellent chart porn). Look'em up.
Krugman, Stiglitz, Brad Sherman, Jon Stewart, Russ Feingold, Bernie Sanders, Al Franken, oy.
Don't forget me. I'm a J-person and I bought a house in Nov 2005, so obviously it's all my fault
Civ. Pro. had no meaning for me in school. I thought it was really dry. Then when I started working in the court system I saw how important it is to the average person. Usually the answer is ethically reasonable.
Why do the anti-semites keep crawling out of the muck? Is there a shortage of rocks to cover them?
What I thought I had found -- and bear in mind that further investigation found this theory to be disproven -- was a bailout recipient company purchasing large quantities of bullion right around the time of the crash
Keep digging Hoop, I want to know where the bodies and/or bullion is buried.
I got a C+ on my Fed. Civ Pro. exam. First final of law school. Tx Civ. Pro. will be my last final of law school. I refuse to get less than a B+, just for good measure.
I'm neither ethical nor reasonable. So I got that going for me, which is nice.
I used to really like The Economist...Anyone else come to a similar conclusion?
Several years ago, they hired an American editor, who turned it into crap.
Fortunately for them, the New Yorker hired a British editor, so you now have to read Vanity Fair, a fashion magazine, for in depth articles.
Thanks HollywoodHack
I noticed most articles referred to 2005 figures. I"ve also seen it in graph form, either posted by CR or in one of the links. I've been following this site for about 2 years but I usually don't post. the thrust of my paper is that Marxism failed to gain traction in the U.S. , preventing world wide revolution; a middle class "Have-some" mentality was a significant aspect of this process. The destruction of the middle class is a stupid move on the part of the elites. I'm not a leftist mysself, My views are far more nuanced.
oh and we have lots of pigs for food, hoops!
You are wrong.
This ends the debate. That is what you need the A word for. No further discussion of crimes, just of rocks.
the Economist behavior is explained by older Chomsky material. Readers know the magazine, magazine knows readership, a reflective, self-reinforcing loop develops. Reflective Schramm model, I'd post my link if I had cut'n'paste on this thing.
Civ Pro was my favorite course in law school!
What am I doing now? Transactional work, pure transactional. Unhappy? Why do you ask?
You are.
Why does CR attract so many lawyers (or aspiring lawyers)?
My wife is a 1L with an interest in international transactional work. We'll likely end up either in TX or perhaps the SF bay area. Any advice? E.g. how much emphasis should she place on fluency in a foreign language, are there specific industries that she should learn about, etc.
Tj and the Bear
Ok I checked the search bar by Tanta's picture. Exactly what I wqs looking for. By the way Ive been sporting my mortgage pig wear all winter, and getting a lot of questions, educating Pittsburgh one dope at a time.
Beserker- I Googled HUD 68 homeownership and Bush and got a White House Press release referring to the 2002 Census. You can take it from here. President Hosts Conference on Minority Homeownership October 15,2002
Geithner's Foreskin, a new hit movie.
You go itall CR
Berserker, sounds interesting, though I would be more inclined to look at the establishment of the FHA, the GI bill, FDR's various attempts at building federal housing, than recent events, though maybe that is exactly what you're planning.
I'd also recommend using the term "Marxian" in the actual paper. It just sounds more academic. A narrow focus is also good - you could easily create something as long-winded as "Das Kapital" itself if you let it sprawl.
Tupuli, what is the ranking of your wife's school, and how is her class standing (or what's her feeling about it)
Do you recommend that Chomsky stuff? Talk about self-referential... You need a dictionary, a thesaurus, and a digest.
"Geithner's Death Cunt Foreskin VII"
Mel Gibson plays Timmay.
Tupuli, I do have some advice.
If you're not attending a top 20 school, and are not in the top third of that school, with the exception of harvard, stanford and yale, based on your first year grades, drop out now unless you like the idea of working on bankruptcy and/or tax.
Otherwise, focus on tax and bankruptcy (in that order), and start thinking now about which bankruptcy judge you would be comfortable clerking for in terms of locale.
The destruction of the middle class is a stupid move on the part of the elites.
"Empire of Debt" has a passage about how TPTB must be careful in the extension of credit to the masses. Too little and they can't have the things necessary to be happily enslaved to their work. Too much and they gorge themselves to their ultimate downfall.
HollywoodHack, there are plenty of traditional jobs that are not biglaw for sub top 20, like county counsel or whatever. Don't go into debt to get a degree from these places though, only go with a nice scholarship or other benny, because you'll be making 55-60k your first year. But you'll be doing real law. Not the shit I'm doing.
If I recall arightly from analysis of Ownership stats on this blog, a return to trendlinline ownership levels means that 4% of homeowners would bescrewed (decline from 68% to 64%. Is that 12 million plus people????
She goes to a top 10 school (in the state with the highest rate of UE in the nation) and has a B+ average after 1 semester. I think that puts her slightly above average in her class.
B+ is about dead middle of a T-10 class.
Tupuli, if this were 2007 I'd say she is golden. In the current market, I have NO FUCKING IDEA. The biglaw shops she'd market to at a T-10 median are all cutting people left and right.
Berserker,
Homeownership statistics are great indicators of the bubble and it's downside. We peaked somewhere around 69% but the "normal" rate is closer to 64%. Greenspan himself stated that the additional 5% was "at risk", and Meredith Whitney pointed out that the rate has already fallen to 2002 levels so prices must follow.
OT: Has anyone noticed the irony of the US and Britain cracking down on offshore bank accounts when they are possible targets of capital flight, but there comparative silence during the preceding decades when they were receiving flight capital for Latin America and the Middle East?
Someone pieced together a pandemic flu map from various media reports.
Pretty neat.
World Human Novel H1N1 Cases & Suspect Cases - Google Maps
Sounds like Michigan. Good school. I'd still recommend a focus on Tax and/or BK law, a clerkship with a federal BK judge shouldn't be hard with that school and grade.
Forget about intl transactional work. A very good friend coming out of a great school as EIC of law review, speaks five languages well including Hindi, Mandarin and Korean, summered at Skadden last year in hopes of working on Asian business stuff. Now, they're deferring her, along with everyone else, and probably won't offer her a job next year. That should answer any questions about that particular niche in this economy.
Hollywood Hack
Actually there are specific sources we are supposed to be engaging. And yes, the distinctions between Marx and Marxism. Marrx once said he wasn't a "Marxist" A good deal of my focus is on Mentalities-one of our required texts is The Great Cat Massacre by Robert Darnton. Interesting read. But I think it would be smart to bring in some recent stats. LoL my original thesis would have produced an 800 page tome.
HollywoodHack, I came to this site about '06. It was very coherent back then about laying everything out. It was surreal being a 1L and being the only one seeing what was coming. I haven't taken school too seriously. I spend more time on this site, frankly.
I have no reason why so many lawyers are here--they seem to infest every message board I read though.
Lots of time on their hands I guess. A narcissistic bunch.
Sorry for the cliche, but go for an education in something interesting and valuable, don't fret about the $. $60k can be a good life, which is short.
My wife is a 1L with an interest in international transactional work. We'll likely end up either in TX or perhaps the SF bay area. Any advice? E.g. how much emphasis should she place on fluency in a foreign language, are there specific industries that she should learn about, etc.
Make certain that she can speak and write in the foreign language. The scariest thing I ever saw was a Chinese American lawyer negotiate a contract in China, when he could speak, but not read, Mandarin. Who knows what the contract actually said?
Hoop, given the economic climate, would you suggest looking more seriously at TX firms than SF bay? The former is probably our default, but the later would put me closer to my employer's mothership.
"Has anyone noticed the irony of the US and Britain cracking down on offshore bank accounts when they are possible targets of capital flight, but there comparative silence during the preceding decades when they were receiving flight capital for Latin America and the Middle East"
No way, dude! Americans are the most ethical and moral people on this earth! Real stand up people!...They could not possible do that....sorry, I have to go now across the corner to LAUGH IT OUT LOUD.
BRB!
*should have been directed at Tupuli
Chomsky has interesting empirical evidence for his theories. I am not Left but his analysis of Viet Nam bias made me a fan.
I have no reason why so many lawyers are here
You'd still be hard-pressed to outnumber us geeks.
Tx Big Firms putting everyone off too. Most everyone everywhere is. You can't beat our cost of living though...But I'm tired of all you hippies moving in. So, I'm going to recommend you stay in SF! (kidding, sorta)
Competition will be fiercer in SF Bay, because everyone wants to live here. SOL will be higher in TX, salaries being equal. TX economy is propped up by lots of fed dollars, which might dry up if the fedgov has serious problems.
I'd say the TX job would be easier to land, but I would look seriously at both, because even though TX is easier to get a job at, shopping in both SF AND TX is even easier. If she wants to go the non-biglaw route I'd go with TX, because there are a lot of lawyers prowling around here willing to shovel shit at a DA's office for the privilege of "living" in the BA.
"A narcissistic bunch."
Only the insecure ones, which are, of course, most. Legal academics can indeed by incredibly narcissistic.
The only thing I'm certain about in regards to these things is that all law schools outside of the top 50 should be shut down yesterday out of a basic sense of decency towards the students, and that a biglaw M&A attorney has about the same future career prospects as a Cricket star forced for whatever reason to only play in the US. That world is gone.
Also, forgot to mention, that Skadden deferee also has a Stanford undergrad degree and is a great interview who is quite attractive, just to help complete the picture.
^-------- HoopaSCREWED
a biglaw M&A attorney has about the same future career prospects as a Cricket star forced for whatever reason to only play in the US
If it's any consolation JD2B, she seriously considered going to Austin
Definitely agree on the cost of living. SF area would be neat, but I'd rather not pay 2x for housing.
Happily, like the 401k collapse, I am so young in both my investment and career that switching to something real is incredibly painless at this point.
Viet nam war news bias, that is, semantic analysis.
My pool sucks tonight, guess I'll to home and wait on The Doc
Tupuli, the SF bay area sounds nice until you live here. It's full of the most insufferable prats known to man.
I like the youtube video of Ali G. interviewing Noam Chomsky-he plays the straight man almost to the very end-its hilarious.
I am left, and what little I've read made me think he was too 'determinist', like Marx. But I've also read (Pinker) that his linguistics work was revolutionary.
Hoops:
Should Tuelpi consider where he wants to hang out by himself while his associate wife is working 100 hours per week to prove herself at the firm? Texas or San Francisco?
"insufferable prats known to man" and don't forget about being smug about it.
Norka, I think you're missing something... those... jobs... don't... exist.... anymore...
All of those burnt out 3d years didn't know how good they had it. And no one lucky enough to be making 200K+ without risking their own capital at any point should whine, especially now that nice real estate can be had soon for under a half-mil even in pricey coastal markets.
The 200k biglaw jobs (180k now, I guess, now that our bonuses are getting chopped) do indeed exist, but I think you've got to be a lot more impressive to successfully secure them these days.
I love Ali G., but I wince when he takes advantage of the "generation gap". Not that the old are sacred cows, but just easy targets.
I'll be there in 6 months (i'm a closet hippie). Even more reason for me to yell stay away, you people are killing Austin home prices! But if you do mosey down I'll buy you a cold beer, nevertheless.
HollywoodHack
I am happy with my 4tier education and have no regrets. But I'm one of the few that knew what I was getting into. I agree with you in part, I probably shouldn't have had the opportunity as my academic prowess is nowhere near Top Tier, but I think even 4tiers can find niches. Public service and lots of small claims.
Tupuli, the SF bay area sounds nice until you live here. It's full of the most insufferable prats known to man.
AMEN!
God I can't wait till I get out of this place.......
I think you're missing something
I wasn't sure if things had changed that much. I only know lawyer work hours indirectly, by hiring them. The associates still seem to email me stuff at the weirdest hours.
The problem is the losses are directly transmited into the highly leveraged financial institutions. That is why the housing/credit bubble has a much greater effect on the economy than a stock bubble or tulip bubble.
No not on "the economy", on those institutions. The "economy" includes the price of tea in China. Or rice.
It reduces available credit. Drastically. That affects peoples ability to purchase goods.
Yes, impressive as in Lebron James impressive. They just don't want fresh 1st years. At all of those firms that mushroomed from 200 or 300 partners/associates in a few offices to one or two thousand in a dozen or more (and don't forget the trophy office in China, or two) over the past decade or two know that that total headcount needs to drop by as much as 50% if they want their "PPP" to be a number greater than zero, let alone over one million. That means that they'll be quite happy to not hire another fresh kid out of law school for the next few years, while keeping around the 3rd years and up who actually know what they're doing and are correctly frightened about the fact that there is no 'of counsel' gig waiting for them in corporate America.
JD2B - 4tiers can definetely make it. I was talking to the GC and 5 lawyers in VSP, Inc., a huge corporation, and I think one wasn't even from an accredited law school, tier 4, unranked trash diplomas, doing just fine. It's all about how you work it if you're low tier. In some ways, I think you have a better career being a badass with a crap degree.
It reduces available credit. Drastically. That affects peoples ability to purchase goods.
Not if they live within their means and save, as apparently the Chinese do. And credit does not depend on Bank of America or the FED. Anyone reliable can issue credit, which is easily overextended.
Thanks for the input everyone.
It reduces available credit. Drastically. That affects peoples ability to purchase goods.
Disagree slightly. What has reduced available credit is the collapse of securitization (i.e., the shadow banking system), which was caused by "those institutions" stuffing their securitization sausage machines with material from the floor of the feedlot instead of prime beef.
All this really goes to whether there is an "education bubble". I wish CR would make some Student loan graphs for Sallie Mae.
And GradPlus loans for the next few years. There's lots of kids with 100K in debt who they can't foreclose even a crap house on.
That adds up to a lot of crap houses somewhere down the line.
Ok here is one question..
Given that the worst crimes, genocides and other assorted evils in human history were done by non-jewish people, what is the logical basis behind anti-semitism?
Don't listen to the old fogies. We can afford to take a paper loss in student loans. Over-educated or over-qualified is better than under, just as too many houses is better than too few.
JD2B, the education bubble definitely exists and got punctured the day mom and pop's 401k took a haircut.
Non-dischargeable student loans are a modern form of servitude IMO. Ironically, the same people are expected to pay for the boomers' entitlement programs.
It is an interesting divide. There is some truth to the stereotype older fellows see it as "boy, don't need no schoolin' he needs a wrench!"
Guess it's a Gen. X thing. I just worry more of it as a straw that broke the camel's back.
What could go wrong with that assumption.. oh ya.. availability of jobs and ability to collect taxes.
//Non-dischargeable student loans are a modern form of servitude IMO. Ironically, the same people are expected to pay for the boomers' entitlement programs.//
Jews are so diverse in culture, country, language, belief, and religious view that there can be no real logical basis for anti-semitism. By my observation, as a group, "the Jews," meaning the various diaspora spread all over the globe, are incapable of any kind of collective action or even agreement about the fundamentals of their religion, let alone a conspiracy. The Jewish tradition of arguing and questioning and cajoling god instead of abject worship makes for a group of people with incredibly disparate beliefs, habits, and plans of action.
I don't get anti-semitism.
I like the public service for an education idea Obama preaches. Maybe black magic, but I like the altruistic motives.
Every person I know who has gone into public service (working for the state) has been massively incompetent and has sought such a position out because of the allure of steady hours and not being fired for their incompetence.
...and soon to be massive student debt!
Indeed, the way our society grapples with issues surrounding hyperinflated tuition and the assumptions behind mushrooming student debt will be interesting in the next few years.
I think an unaddressed part of the issue is the fact that any and all 'higher education' involving finance, economics, marketing or general 'business' is a complete and total fraud with almost no bearing on actual science or relevant job skills. A good liberal arts education is a great thing for any civilized person to enjoy, languages are the key to the world's cultures, studying fine arts is a true luxury, and the hard sciences can make for a great, socially useful career. Those things really are great investments in one's quality of life if done right. Everything else is, more or less, a scam, which isn't just damaging to intellectual culture, but potentially catastrophic when this smug, brainless culture results in things like the trillion-dollar CDO wipeout we've witnessed.
Every person I know who has gone into public service (working for the state) has been massively incompetent and has sought such a position out because of the allure of steady hours and not being fired for their incompetence.
I think JD2B was referring to something like Americorps combined with a GI bill sort of scheme.
Hoopajoops LTD,
Everyone requires a good scapegoat..For a long time the christian west (and the muslim midlle-east) blamed anyone who was jewish for everything from plague, droughts, cold weather, usury, heresy,childhood illnesses and thinking differently.. I suspect the last accusation had some truth to it
Minor but inconvenient detail.
//I think an unaddressed part of the issue is the fact that any and all 'higher education' involving finance, economics, marketing or general 'business' is a complete and total fraud with almost no bearing on actual science or relevant job skills. //
The tradition of questioning means we can never accept things on faith, even what our own leaders tell us, so there is no agreement, as you say.
The questioners, from Marx to Kasparov to Lenny Bruce, will never accept what the political power dictates, which is a logical basis for fomenting antisemitism.
I think that is the one big difference between judaism and the other two abrahamic religions.
//The tradition of questioning means we can never accept things on faith, even what our own leaders tell us, so there is no agreement, as you say.//
don't forget Jesus!
Lucifer, your comments have been really good and insightful tonight. What gives? Why is your tone of authorship so different from how it's been these last few days?
I was. But hoops point is valid. Lots of floundering students will pick up these jobs for a release of debt over say 10yrs of service. Will this be an "improvement" in quality for govt. service, hard to say.
Given that the worst crimes, genocides and other assorted evil in human history were done by non-jewish people, what is the logical basis behind anti-semitism?
My dear Lucifer; perhaps you ought to consult with Satan--he being the current incarnation of evil. IIRC you were deposed in a palace coup. The purpose of antisemitism is to expose evildoers. And Lord knows--as Satan does--we have plenty of those. Antisemitism is the no-pest strip that seals their fate.
As for the current topic, "Glimmers of Hope", hope is the opiate of the masses. That was Marx, I believe, Karl, not Groucho, though at this point I think I'd prefer the latter.
This is the New Economy! American scientists and engineers DO NOT lower themselves down to actually advancing the science or building something tangible. Hell no, going to Wall Street and building nice ponzi scheme models is the new way! Or screwing the next generation of wanna-be-scientists and engineers with big tuition fees.
Oh, and I went into public service, of a sort.
I did not want to be in the position of covering for some gold-hoarding bailout-ee.
Hoopajoops LTD,
It has been a day without a lot of outrageous news.
Lucifer freaks me out. I'm going to bed.
Sleep tight, don't let the pig flu bite.
I seem to get enraged when any bankster or their economist handmaidens open their mouths..
Stay detached and lucid, then, because you're on a fucking roll. Especially w/r/t bankers disliking gun ownership.
People usually don't acknowledge that part of what motivates the Kissingers, Bernankes, or Blankfeins is a misguided attempt to inculcate themselves to the power elite just to survive. They rationalize with Machiavellian logic.
I am suspicious of anyone who wants me more safe.. out of the 'kindness of their hearts'.
//Especially w/r/t bankers disliking gun ownership.//
Everything else is, more or less, a scam, which isn't just damaging to intellectual culture, but potentially catastrophic when this smug, brainless culture results in things like the trillion-dollar CDO wipeout we've witnessed.
I'm amused by all the $30k salary positions that absolutely require a masters degree in a specific field. Are they really anything more than informal guilds with a $50k entry fee?
I think the emphasis on 2 and 4 year degrees is similar. I believe the same parties that screen on that basis alone (as opposed to where you went or what you know) would just as soon accept certification that the applicant had set $50k of hard currency on fire. In either case, you filter out an undesirable segment of the population.
Really, what does a 2 year associates degree from a BS school certify other than "I'm less likely to steal from you than the other guy"?
Somehow that way does not work too well over any significant length of time.. it usually seems to end with screaming and killing..
"They rationalize with Machiavellian logic."
It certifies that the person is together enough to engage in two years of study and pass classes during that two years of study. I've hung out with some real scatterbrained losers, and that is beyond them.
Tupuli,
Education was once meant to improve the human mind... now it is used to justify elitism and discrimination disguised as meritocracy.
Education teaches you to jump through man-made hoops and do other tricks for treats.. not unlike a showdog.
Hey at least its a good way to show employers which dogs will jump if you dangle treats. A valuable distinction.
Yeah well either way there might be screaming and killing. Most Jews I know, even in my own family, abhor anything relating to organized religion.
But they would probably draw the line at being forced to worship Jesus or Allah.
American scientists and engineers DO NOT lower themselves down to actually advancing the science or building something tangible. Hell no, going to Wall Street and building nice ponzi scheme models is the new way! Or screwing the next generation of wanna-be-scientists and engineers with big tuition fees.
Meh, there really aren't that many quants out there.
But what about the only true god and his son or the last prophet... must kill heretics and infidels
"But they would probably draw the line at being forced to worship Jesus or Allah."
Be careful what you say, hoops, you might wind up in public service and have to justify your raise.
Hoopajoops LTD,
It usually comes down to who can best pretend to jump the hoops.. not actually jump the hoops.
It certifies that the person is together enough to engage in two years of study and pass classes during that two years of study. I've hung out with some real scatterbrained losers, and that is beyond them.
Well, could they summon $50k worth of hard currency to burn?
I'm only arguing that the education part is subordinate to the "look, I buy in to the system" part. I'm too lazy to look, but I suspect some rogue economist has examined this phenomenon.
Tupuli- read C. Northcote Parkinson. The point is to reduce the number of applicants to a short(er) list. It's just the easiest, laziest way to do it.
I don't take that rhetoric as representative of 'true' Islam.
The "Golden Age" of Jewish culture in the Diaspora is considered to be in Spain, under Muslim rule. When the Christians took over (El Cid) many of the elite Jews fled to Muslim countries (Maimonides, e.g.). The ones who stayed eventually faced the Spanish Inquisition. Many fled to Holland, where they thrived until the Nazis took over. Some went with Columbus. Some were burned at the stake. The weakest-willed just became Christians. Others, called "Marranos" (Swine) practiced Jewish rituals in secret, right up to the 20th Century.
The ones who were burned didn't leave their genetic code, but they inspire us.
yogi, is that why my crazy uncle who thinks he's a christian insists on lighting a candle in the closet every friday evening for "good luck"
Probably. Does his lineage go back to 14th Century Spain?
Yep. Everyone but him realizes why he does it.
The fact that he engages in a secret act of rebellion means that he respects tradition handed down for thousands of years, even if he doesn't understand it. The respect has value; the ritual is secondary.
Not unlike all those Christians who observe the winter solstice.
Oh yeah, Hoopajoops is the only one online. comment thread all to myself.
...we live in a world of scarce resources, as they teach you in day one of Economics class.
Another way of looking at it is that we live in a world of infinite human ingenuity. That ingenuity can turn abundant, worthless commodities like sand into the most useful resource on earth. Unfortunately we also live in a world where envious parasites can construct infinite ways to stifle that ingenuity.
the glimmer may well be those few flickers of intermittent energy emitted just before it goes completely dark
Turbo Timmy even used the darkness metaphor at his 'news' conference Friday. How poetic.
Folk, we're wasting our time. Start grubbing a patch for growing some comestibles. Heck, look at the videos of Michelle using first a rake then a shovel as she wreaked her screed on the White House grounds. Is it just me, or does it seem they are trying to tell us something?
And when it comes to that most feared all stop position, I know what I'd say if I was in charge: "We done told you to plant your own damn food, now shoo."
Start grubbing a patch for growing some comestibles.
Doesn't that take us back in human societal evolution to a time before the division of labor? Wouldn't most people be better off working a few hours of overtime, or taking a second job, even minimum wage, and buying food with the proceeds?
bobn (homepage, profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 2:25 am
Why do the anti-semites keep crawling out of the muck? Is there a shortage of rocks to cover them?
There's something about the idea that really gains traction in the human mind.
There is an international Jewish conspiracy, it's called the way the State of Israel exploits the diaspora community's special feelings toward the state that has managed to wrap itself up in their religious identity. Criticize the state of Israel, eat some flak from the ADL. Make no mistake, they destroyed careers and made enemies. Part of what you are hearing is the hissing from people who thought that was bad sport or got personally affected and are just trying to get the boot in on someone they dislike in a silly way.
I saw a really great aphorism from moorish Spain once, that those damn Christians and Jews were just alike, always getting ahead with the doctor's bag or the banker's moneybag. That made it very clear to me that it's about discrimination. Guys that are gonna get punched in the head get very entertaining. Guys that are going to starve to death while you watch impassively get very good at finding indispensable professions like banker and doctor. People in a religion that's pissed on get very tied in to their community since they have no other opportunity.
It really saddens me that so many people miss the universal character of the human experience and are so willing to project weird alien conspiracies onto any discernible group, even if that group publishes many English-language newspapers and conducts most of its business in the light of day. It's like people are so eager for a scapegoat they won't even take the trouble to do the most superficial research, because it would spoil their fun.
"Unfortunately we also live in a world where envious parasites can construct infinite ways to stifle that ingenuity."
'When a true genius appears in this world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him.'
Jonathan Swift, Thoughts on Various Subjects
"Not unlike all those Christians who observe the winter solstice."
C'mon, this is just bile, and you know it.
kidbuck (profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 6:48 am
Doesn't that take us back in human societal evolution to a time before the division of labor? Wouldn't most people be better off working a few hours of overtime, or taking a second job, even minimum wage, and buying food with the proceeds?
Same argument made for rule by technician and confining violence technology to trained servants of the state. The counterargument, as you know well, is that the mechanism is not just critical for life and exposed to breakdown, but actually prone to breakdown. If you want to have a Republic where everyone is a universal citizen, you're going to have to make economic and social choices that make that social independence real.
"It's like people are so eager for a scapegoat they won't even take the trouble to do the most superficial research, because it would spoil their fun."
It's more than fun, it's displacement.
the whole "degree" thing is in fact a guild in many workplaces.
I work in software. I do have an undergrad degree from a very good public school. However I really don't think it should be the basis of entry into the field. The most guilty of the "guild" type hiring is the bigger places. Places like google ( a place where they screen applicants out who have worked in the industry for a decade what their collge GPA was) . Its like corporate snobbery and it even happens at tech companies. I know a lot of people who have the same software degree from the same school and cannot code themselves out of a paper bag (sadly, I know a few like this who are actaully halfway through an MBA program RIGHT NOW to get the big bucks. haha). Some of them gave up on the field and became teachers, project mangaers etc.
On the other hand I work at a small company and we are not as strict in our hiring as the big guys. We hire some guys with say a music degree or no degree at all to write unix scripts. They do a fantastic job. I mean half the time now a 4 year degree is just a piece of paper that says "he's likely to be better than one without it" because HR people are completely lazy and have no idea what they are doing anyway. Case in point my brother. English degree, from a cal state, but its practically required to get any job now to have a degree since everyone has to get an "education" no matter how worthless it is so we can keep funneling money to pay for professors, etc. He works at subway in manufacturing as he calls it. I like to think he is more productive than a banker though, as he actually assembles a product.
The idea of going to law school to get a job is strange. There have always been some corporate and government jobs, but traditionally most have practiced on their own or in a small group.
Boronco Papa wrote:
Obama May Have Swine Flu
During Mr. Obama's recent trip to Mexico he was greeted by a man who may have subsequently died from the Swine Flu epidemic that is sweeping across Mexico....
The AP is reporting Solis died from Pneumonia and did not have swine flu.
On the other hand I work at a small company and we are not as strict in our hiring as the big guys. We hire some guys with say a music degree or no degree at all to write unix scripts. They do a fantastic job.
Stick to it. It's a good policy. "Human Resources" is a critical organizational error that exists due to centralizing philosophy.
Case in point my brother. English degree, from a cal state, but its practically required to get any job now to have a degree since everyone has to get an "education" no matter how worthless it is so we can keep funneling money to pay for professors, etc. He works at subway in manufacturing as he calls it. I like to think he is more productive than a banker though, as he actually assembles a product.
Don't confuse the fact that your society decided to strip managers of hire / fire power by centralizing it and professionalizing it with the value of education. Would you want your brother to be ignorant just because his job doesn't require a "smart unit"? What about his own psyche? What about his role in a society that expects everyone to be intelligent and educated Citizens? Are you really commending him to the idiocracy because he couldn't find a better job? "Those who can, learn, those who cannot, labor" is a great idea if you fancy yourself a mandarin but it implies the rest of society will be a bunch of putty-faced ruffians who can't read and write, and are encouraged in their ignorance by their educated betters.
If you are articulating Confucianism or more generally elistist technocracy, make sure you're aware of it. If nothing else, you can see what other people made of it.
My feeling is that education leads to civilization. You want to know how to prevent people from turning into trailer park chavs? Make them into college students. Who cares if they're self-important, at least they don't light things on fire or break glass for fun. Complex thinking, nuanced awareness, critical to complex societies.
There's a reason for the eudaemonian idal, which is you have a lot of surplus, highly skilled labor. Societies with educational patterns based on European track-oriented models are less flexible in terms of labor factor reallocation. We just need to stop bowing to the pressure to turn college into an advanced technical school and get rid of all the troublesome "general education" and "rounding". We need classical education, not modern technician-generating training programs.
Don't agree with me? Look around. Your society needs to take a couple anthropology courses and maybe some intro econ and intro poli sci. A couple rocks for jocks classes wouldn't hurt with the whole Biblical literalism either.
I will be shooting squirrels 'cause they eat my peaches!
I think my point with my brother really is the only reason he went to college was because of this "you have to have a degree" to do anything myth. My brother is not going to be some rocket scientist and he'll freely admit it. But why does society force it on him to go get a degree for something that is almost useless. I mean he majored in english because it was easy apparently, so it was just to get a degree which everyone says you need.
I think in principle having everyone be educated is a good thing. Unfortunately my brother really is no better off having gone to college than when he went in. I mean on top of going for the sake of everyone says so, half the colleges do not even teach anything and a good portion of the people have no business wanting to llearn anyway.
It is sort of the point I was making about my coworkers. my coworkers didn't go to college and they are educated. I mean shouldnt we just encourage people to care about politics or economics, and not just shove them into schools even though they dont care because we automatically equate a degree or diploma with being "educated". There are plenty of people out there who arent educated who have degrees, and plenty who dont have degrees who are very educated.
I know its really just a discussion that is all hypothetical. Our society is totally screwed up to begin with. It is why the kids who are interested in say politics or subjects that are more intellectual can get called nerds while the kids watching american idol and obsessing about it are normal. Shouldnt we just encourage people to learn more? As it stands now we try to send everyone to college because they get a piece of paper that says they are educated regardless of if they actually are, and now everyone has to get one because that piece of paper is expected. I suppose its a bad solution to the problem when in reality a good solution would be making sure people knew that caring about politics, or economics, etc, is a good thing and somehow convinced people to actually care. Maybe the college as a guild thing is the best realistic solution, i don't know. I have no idea how to convince people to not care about reality shows etc.
Good morning Liz, I have the same problem with my apple trees. The furry little thieves pick the not-quite-ripe fruit, eat half and throw the rest on the lawn for the groundhog to clean up. At least that keeps the groundhog out of the veggie garden.
You are seeing the beginnings of The Last Bubble. Government finance will become the inflating mechanism for the next 3-4 years, but when the Boomers start trying to retire en masse, this final bubble collapses- the debts we have built up are unsupportable, and the government can only extend this debt bubble for a few years more. There is no way of preventing this outcome now. We had our last chance this past fall, and we chose the "free lunch" option, and Obama is doubling down on this option.
Government finance will become the inflating mechanism for the next 3-4 years,
Optimist.
Don (profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 7:01 am
* reply
Boronco Papa wrote:
Obama May Have Swine Flu
During Mr. Obama's recent trip to Mexico he was greeted by a man who may have subsequently died from the Swine Flu epidemic that is sweeping across Mexico....
The AP is reporting Solis died from Pneumonia and did not have swine flu.
The MSM frames all, you are looking through a picture frame. Pneumonia is what happens after the flu compromises your immune system. Poor Don. He wants to believe. Of course Obama is fine. Hale and hearty, rearing to go after Credit Card companies, every last dollar of AIG bonus money, and other critical matters. Of course, he and the admin are fresh out of ideas and would certainly appreciate a few suggestions.
Oh, boy, grassy knoll anyone?
He's not dead yet.
kidbuck (profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 5:48 am
* reply
Start grubbing a patch for growing some comestibles.
Doesn't that take us back in human societal evolution to a time before the division of labor? Wouldn't most people be better off working a few hours of overtime, or taking a second job, even minimum wage, and buying food with the proceeds?
Wow. We (or at least kidbuck) are so screwed. kidbuck opines about a societal devolution as if it matters, and as if kidbuck understands the problem.
Division of labor? Better off working overtime or taking a second job to buy food?
Quit now, while you're not so far behind.
Glimmers, green shoots, and mustard seeds. I say we charge $0.50 for their use on this blog. Anyone read John Mauldins' Frontline Weekly newletter these last two weeks. He is never pessimistic, until now.
Hey. Growing stuff on a big scale is not easy. You have to know stuff. You have
to be willing to get some excercise.
Bugs and squirrels like the same food we do. Deer are the bane of the friend that aspires to be Black Star Ranch. I'd be shooting them en masse, but she is too softhearted. I would hate to have to rely on what I grow to eat. On the other hand it is better than nothing.
She also has moles and stuff underground. So do I, but they just seem to tear up the lawn.
I step on their tunnels.
Bottom line, farming is hard and most people weren't all that good at it, even when every other person was a farmer.
Another example of why "Looking Forward" instead of broad soul searching and targeted prosecutions is very damaging:
(linked from nakedcapitalism)
Appeals court rules Gitmo detainees are not 'persons'
A Court of Appeals for the Washington, D.C. Circuit ruled Friday that detainees at the U.S. military prison at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, are not "persons" according to it's interpretation of a statute involving religious freedom.
The ruling sprang from an appeal of Rasul v. Rumsfeld, which was thrown out in Jan. 2008. "The court affirmed the district court's dismissal of the constitutional and international law claims, and reversed the district court's decision that the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA) applied to Guantanamo detainees, dismissing those claims as well," the Center for Constitutional Rights said.
...
"In its first filing on detention and torture under the Obama administration, the Department of Justice filed briefs in March urging the Court of Appeals to reject any constitutional or statutory rights for detainees," says a release. "The Obama Justice Department further argued that even if such rights were recognized, the Court should rule that the previous administration’s officials who ordered and approved torture and abuse of the plaintiffs should be immune from liability for their actions."
New boss, same as old boss
She also has moles and stuff
underground
I step on their tunnels
Liz, looks like you're on a Haiku roll.
A bucolic poem might be in order...
Keeping the Fires Lit
Keeping the updates upped and dated
Keeping the wisteria in check I must tell you, it never did
it was unchecked
branches leaves,
green and moist, cascading one over the other,
a wild mountain,
a come closer here and loose yourself aahhhhhhhhh just what the doctor ordered: mystical encounter
With wisteria the task at hand, and now, no wisteria
The disappointment was palpable
A real downer. The attending band hummered Ring of Fire, not at all appropriate at this moment. But it’s good to let that go. There are places the reader will not remember having been and others he can’t forget but wishes to. He’s send to unreading camp for a week. After that, good as gold or rain. You might be more a rainmaker. Did I mention there are some fields that need plowing, set thy bronzeshimmering muscularextenstions of thy body to the task of plowing. Stay strong through this. You may find yourself in a field of much advantage. The Russian’s strong, heavy hair, cleavage that leaves noone out. Until right to the end she wished she could see his face like I could. I held his face in my hand and then nothing happens for a long time. The Russian wants you. I want you. And the people that constantly walk up and down here want you too. I hope you don’t get conceited. A conceit would be superfluous on this bus.
Or are we at sea already--
Let’s just imagine we’re there. We can save gas and other money and a flatscreen. I sure hoped my life would end differently than stretched long in a pose of abject ennui -- sure there are drowning kids in NO or that place down south where they don’t hear our language—it’s tough to get good servants these days.
Gee, I just naturally write in Haiku and don't even know it.
Off to plant a couple plants.
No Return to Normal - James K. Galbraith
No Return to Normal - James K. Galbraith
Geithner’s banking plan would prolong the state of denial. It involves government guarantees of the bad assets, keeping current management in place and attempting to attract new private capital. (Conversion of preferred shares to equity, which may happen with Citigroup, conveys no powers that the government, as regulator, does not already have.) The idea is that one can fix the banks from the top down, by reestablishing markets for their bad securities. If the idea seems familiar, it is: Henry Paulson also pressed for this, to the point of winning congressional approval. But then he abandoned the idea. Why? He learned it could not work.
The oddest thing about the Geithner program is its failure to act as though the financial crisis is a true crisis—an integrated, long-term economic threat—rather than merely a couple of related but temporary problems, one in banking and the other in jobs. In banking, the dominant metaphor is of plumbing: there is a blockage to be cleared. Take a plunger to the toxic assets, it is said, and credit conditions will return to normal. This, then, will make the recession essentially normal, validating the stimulus package. Solve these two problems, and the crisis will end. That’s the thinking.
Good morning guys; 4 hours of sleep and I'm shaking at the knees but ready to load on up and get back to work. 3 a.m. to 7 a.m. sleep is all I need.
Today is going to suck.
Today is going to be a great day.
I'm just a contrary kind of guy.
MrM (profile) wrote on Sun, 4/26/2009 - 9:56 am
Another example of why "Looking Forward" instead of broad soul searching and targeted prosecutions is very damaging
Quoted for truth.