It seems like a never ending story because we all know that if Ron Gettelfinger wants more time to avoid some concessions, he'll get it. This situation is being run by politicians, not economists.
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Why would anyone want stock instead of debt? Basically, you're giving up your position in case of a possible bankruptcy. Are they doing a bait and switch - convert to stock and then go bankrupt anyway??
Fired up the old color laser printer and pumped out several quadrillion "Dawgie Dollars." I used them to pay all my bills this month. What's that you say? Making up my own currency to pay obligations is not going to work?
We tried building cars in Mexico but they Mexican government is such a corrupt Mafi like organization it could never happen long term, you need to spend most of your time paying off criminals which take away the focus on business.
Probably applies to the Mexican state in general. The only succesfull Mexican businesses are run in a mafia like family struture.
Your can already see that type of corruption in Los Angeles, now making its way into Los Angeles politics as well.
Nothing is more dangerous to America then the destruction of individual liberty.
Stopping illegal immigration would provide the jobs to get Americans through, unemployement would go down overnight and citizen could make there mortgage payments and pay local taxes.
illegal black market Mexican economies are running rampant accross America and are destroying the fabric of social society.
We must round them all up and deport them. Nothing racist about it, Mexcio is a country NOT a race, I do not care if the illegal mexicans are black or white, they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site.
I hadn't posted on the German side with news last night, but Opel apparently has six bidders (plus German government loan guaranties), and Saab a number of 0 euro bidders - which means that if GM is nimble, it can get rid of its Saab liabilities quickly, and give a reasonable forecast for 'revenue' from selling Opel - in which a minority GM stake tends to be a part of GM's assumption, if quite possibly not a part of the final buyer's plans.
From German sources, the Opel buyers range from automotive players to 'Finanzinvestoren.'
It is a global flea market, at least when talking about the assets formerly known as American - whether overseas manufacturing capital or the entire panoply of financially engineered paper which was so popular just a few short years ago.
Maybe the problem isn't really Mexican, but American.
Brazil also comes to mind - VW and Mercedes both seem to do fine there, though in the case of Mercedes, its market is weighted heavily to buses and trucks.
For the past eight years, as I see a Japanese or Korean or German vehicle on the road, I have been counting the days to the collapse. I mean, com'on. Even the stupid could put two and two together, realizing that the US productive sector was being sacrificed to the Plantation Capitalist's.
Plantation capitalism is a term that I invented, in honor of Walmart and the turn by the Dixiectrats' haterade of A Lincoln to LBJ.
Even the retailers are starting to realize that JQP has run out of greenich. All you dumb bastards who are buying imported goods: Duh.
Why not post occasional articles on the social and psychological impact of the ongoing crisis on j6p. I am not suggesting that you abandon your focus on colorful graphs or economic reports, which has always been the focus of your website.
It is just that the social impacts of the ongoing crisis are only now being felt to an extent that cannot be ignored (inspite of the exortions of the MSM). Ultimately those impacts and responses to them will shape the future, economic and otherwise.
It is just that the social impacts of the ongoing crisis are only now being felt to an extent that cannot be ignored (inspite of the exortions of the MSM). Ultimately those impacts and responses to them will shape the future, economic and otherwise.
an unsecured creditor is way ahead of a stockholder. Were you being facetious?
If there is no money left to pay the unsecured, which may be the case given that the employee benefit plan has priority over the general unsecureds, then the general unsecureds would get wiped out completed in a Chap 11. at least with a trade, they would have equity. kind of bizarre, but that's the mechanics.
tulipi:
here's the general 507(a) priority list. because Chap 11 operates under the absolute priority rule, each class must get paid in full before a class below them gets a penny.
The third reich tried that, and got quite good at it too..
I would not recommend it though.
Why don't you direct your anger at the rich white assholes who led the country to it's present state? I mean why blame mexicans when the leaders you elected sold you out?
//'they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site'//
We must round them all up and deport them. Nothing racist about it, Mexcio is a country NOT a race, I do not care if the illegal mexicans are black or white, they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site. <i/>
As France must deal with her illegals; Nar so to Austraila; Importing humans for labor as in Dubia.
From one human to another - The ones that enslave others.
I think the UAW is getting to the point where current employees and retirees have divergent interests and cannot be represented by one party without conflicts. Retirees may not get much in a BK, but things have gotten to the point where they might decide its their best chance.
As many have said, CDS is the elephant in the room. Won't a stock-for-debt deal trigger them?
I think the only chance to bring CDS holders to the bargaining table is a credible announcement that the
treasury will let entities that have written a lot of GM CDS go BK, with CDS holders having to take their
chances in court.
They are trying to be the matrix.. but they suck at it.
//Who the hell does the main stream media think they are, taking it upon themselves to control the minds of individuals, trying to turn us it into a collective? We are individuals! We are not a collective and we cannot be controlled!//
I agree the rich white asshole sold out the country.
a) They allowed illegal Mexicans to run over the country and take many blue collar jobs.
b) They allowed H1-B Indian immirgrants to take white collar jobs and push down wages and benefits
c) They allowed manufactuing to be offshored to China.
So the solution is obvious, nothing angry about understanding the truth.
Deport all illegal Mexicans back to Mexico. These are foriegn nationals invading out country. Is that difficult to understand?
Stop all H1-B visa programs so the wage inflation can take hold.
Tax offshore manufacturing so that manufacuring skills return to the USA.
The US economy would return overnight.
I don't blame poor Mexicans from coming here but that does not make them legal in my country. My right under the laws of the Unitied State of America (used to be the greatest country on earth) is to deport thier ass back to Mexico. What part of the law and truth do you not understand?
I understand that Mexico is a complete cess pool and Mexicans have not clue how to run a democrated country and would try to escape myself if I was born there. Just like all the central Americans that sneak into Mexico, do you know what the Mexicans do? THe kill them, on the streets like dogs? If you've spent any time in Mexico you will understand how racist and backwards the country is. Perhaps when we deport all the illegals back they will have learned enough about civilized society and individual liberty in order to start something new in Mexico, who knows, its up to the Mexicans.
The plague ridden people in 14th century europe thought that killing jews, suspected witches and warlocks would work. Then they tried praying and flogging themselves. Nothing worked.
The US economy cannot 'return' because the assumptions underlying our current system are f**ked! Unless those are corrected it won't matter.
Once those assumptions are corrected immigrants won't reduce your living standard. They will increase it!
:: :: I think the UAW is getting to the point where current employees and retirees have divergent interests and cannot be represented by one party without conflicts. Retirees may not get much in a BK, but things have gotten to the point where they might decide its their best chance. - Rufus
:: ::
I've been expecting that for a long time - good call & very possible.
Quote from article: "Why would bondholders take this deal? Only if they feared that a worse deal would ensue in Chapter 11."
No the equity goes to pay the debt, secured then unsecured. If the debt is just about worthless, then you might as well try equity if the US is your partner.
I cant wait for the drug cartels to turn on the elected officials in a big way and exterminate all their government officials. It will be the US's fault of course for promoting the killings with our war on drugs campaign.
:: :: I think the only chance to bring CDS holders to the bargaining table is a credible announcement that the
treasury will let entities that have written a lot of GM CDS go BK, with CDS holders having to take their
chances in court.
:: ::
A game of counter-party chicken... see who takes the ditch first.
The layoffs are over -- at least for now. As a manager, you are left to pick up the pieces and deal with employees who could be feeling everything from anger to fear about what's next -- and even some relief at being spared. You'll need to do what you can to keep morale from plummeting. Here's how.
Find alternative incentives. At Greenough Communications in Boston, employees used to be rewarded monetarily on a monthly basis for exceptional work. But now managers have been forced to find alternative rewards, says Stacey Mann, vice president for talent development. "Now, instead of cash, we give time off. In January, we created 'Winter Fridays,' in which the award was for someone to leave at 3:00 p.m. on a Friday." The company plans to continue the incentive throughout the year -- or until the economy picks up again.
How true, here is nice video of Mexicans burning the American flag in Mexico city, yet they all want to come work here.
I would say it is called jelousy and hatred. Mexico would be much better off if the dropped thier latino culture and create a nation of laws with individual liberty.
Take Argentina for example, another poor county but without latino politics. Not many Argentinians want to move to the USA, Argentina is a fantastic place to live: poor or rich. Why? Because they value the individual, rule of law, and are a civilized society.
Truth Hurts. Sorry if you are a Mexican but your country sucks and has always sucked, if you don't like it then go change it?
I think the only chance to bring CDS holders to the bargaining table is a credible announcement that the
treasury will let entities that have written a lot of GM CDS go BK, with CDS holders having to take their
chances in court.
CDS holders have in general probably hedged counterparty exposure. It may make for a lopsided game of chicken.
"Global Waming" was changed to "Climate Change" because the right wing idiots are too uneducated to understand that with global warming not everywhere gets more hot and more dry.
Remember these are the same people that believe in literal bible stories, so that have a hard time with simple reasoning over words such as "warming".
But it says warming so how can some places actually get more rain and cold, I am so confused, .... LOL Retards.
"We are not a collective and we cannot be controlled! "
Mexico is a collective, all Catholic countries are a collective, in fact all religious countries are a collective. Hence the seperation of church and state.
Danger for America on all side and from within.
Religion creates a gap for people to step in a take control of populations. Religious freak talk with God and of course God does not talk back so you know have an opportunity to put on a nice suit become God's messanger.
That is how the right wingers stepped in and took control of the religious nutcases in America. Very scary indeed. Remember GW Bush talking with God? LOL.
I find south american women to be quite the thing though.. not too butch and not too childlike.. just right.. their mixed ancestry gives you quite the variety of features too.
A bit too dramatic.. yes, that stereotype is not untrue. But overall, not too bad- unless they see you as meal ticket.
...because the right wing idiots are too uneducated to understand...
Dkos and realclimate aren't here. We've got some smart people making important points about the consequences of GM bankruptcy. Listen and learn or join in the conversation.
Climate change is a misanthropic scam though.. They claim to predict the future based on heavily gamed computer models that cannot predict the past (even the last 50 years).
Climate scientists make wall street quants look good.
Argentina is the only place in "latin America" that has enough civivilized European secular thought that it is worth living. That is why everyone is shocked when they visit Argentina and realize how civilized it is. Can you imagine an article like this below being writen about Mexico? LOL.
"A recent survey showed that in order to live or visit, Argentina is one of the places that have in mind the Europeans. According to the newspaper El Pais of Spain, Argentina headed the ranking of nonEuropean destinies to go visit.The prestigious Irish magazine “International Living” included the land of the gaucho and the tango as a preferred destination to settle down. In its survey of Quality of Life 2007, Argentina appears tenth in the ranking, although the country is the only Latin American representative in the listing, headed by France. According to “International Living”, the gastronomy, the customs, the low cost of life, and the night life are the parameters that were taken into account to enter the top ten. The listing is headed by France and is followed by Australia, Holland, New Zealand and the United States."
No sunspots for the past 19 months means global cooling in a big way. Global temperatures are back to where they were 100 years ago according to NASA. I guess you will learn how effective CO2 is on climate change when they report crop failures due to freezing this summer in South America.
In case you are curious, climate models do not factor cloud cover or the effect of non-condensed water vapor on heat reflection or retention.
They also use continuously changing scaling factors to unsuccessfully fit models to actual data. And they add or subtract known parameters (like evaporation and precipitation) to push the model to get the desired answer.
No climate change scientists do NOT predict the future, go talk to some. The study was is going on in the present relative to the past and provide beyond any doubt with evidence that the earth is WARMING TODAY. Not a cycle, ect...
Then they do a range of projections into the future based on what is happening today and will be the first to tell you that these are projection and will discuss that factors with you on what would change these projections. It is actually very basic, simple science.
It is politicians that predict the future, not the scientists, you've been watching too much Fox News. Corporate America is desperate to stop carbon laws and so spending tons of money on Fox News.
The earth has warmed, it has been proved, you can claim that it is God that did it I guess, but that would make you retarded.
so what, the intended comparison is Argentina too Mexico not the USA. Compare Argentina to Mexico. Because of their secular European influence to even out some of the Latino mafi culture it beats Mexico hands down.
It is to help people like you understand what makes America so great and places like Mexico such cess pools, it is NOT God nor Luck. It is the society that the people choose to live in.
Mexico is a complete dump. Do you believe that statement is false? What would millions of Mexicans try to esacape and leave thier family behind it Mexico was not a complete cess pool?
It is simply the truth. If are too retarded to start with the truth will never get the answers.
All people have the potential to become as God is, You just have to qualify to get in the club. Club members know qualified candidates and approve entry when they encounter them. Others that don't make it in the club are either recycled or destroyed.
'They claim to predict the future based on heavily gamed computer models that cannot predict the past (even the last 50 years).'
And they do a horrible job with the future too - compared to actual observational data, all the models are far too optimistic in their predictions.
Just like the bank stress test, the reality of climate change as depicted by real time data is beyond the model's most pessimistic conclusions.
Some people get confused - the global effects of increasing atmospheric CO2 on a planetary atmosphere in terms of how solar energy is retained are the basis for empirical observations which are honestly difficult to dispute, even if the single cause is not CO2. It is quite possible to model, using simple assumptions but ever more refinable data, the effects of Arctic sea ice melting in terms of albedo, ocean water heat retention, sea ice formation, etc for example.
But the fundamental assumption isn't Arctic sea ice is melting, how can we blame it on our pet cause, the fundamental science concerns the effects of the observed data into the future, and the other mechanisms involved.
Our ignorance is quite large, but the results of the planet wide experiment will likely be observable for geologically significant amounts of time - after all, the amount of carbon which has been restored to the atmosphere is geologically significant, and took geological spans of time to bury. Our actions today will not change processes which have been now active for decades, involving effects that will take lifetimes to reliably measure.
Ooops - forgot the overview -
'
The first theory of global warming came in 1824 when French mathematician Jean Baptiste Joseph Fourier discovered that the Earth's temperature was slowly increasing. Fourier argued that the earth's atmosphere traps solar radiation and reflects it back toward the earth.
In the late 19th century Fourier's theory was labeled the "greenhouse effect" when Nobel Laureate Svante Arrhenius coined the term to explain how carbon dioxide traps heat in the Earth's atmosphere. Arrhenius believed that the greenhouse effect was responsible for the onset of the ice ages. By the 1960s, many scientists dismissed this theory in favor of the hypothesis of Serbian geophysicist, Milutin Milankovitch, relating climate change to the orbital changes of the earth.
In the 1950s, amateur scientist G.S. Callendar warned that the greenhouse effect was true and dramatically impacting the atmosphere of the Earth. Callendar's claims were termed the "Callendar effect," and led to increased research on global warming. Over the next few decades, scientists developed ways to measure the Earth's climate and devised mathematical models to better analyze global temperature. This led to a steady rise in the belief that human activity was dramatically effecting the environment. Scientific studies began to predict that increased carbon dioxide emissions, due to increased use of fossil fuels, would trigger an outbreak of global warming.' Global Warming History
(google cache)
whew, a late night post from CR... soon, if you keep this up you'll be in my time zone!
I think it was Byzantine Ruins who quoted extensively from Carol Reed's masterpiece 'The Third Man'... so
here is a clip - the Ferris wheel scene - Harry Lime's (Orson Welles) belief system seems to mesh well with out own times, no?
Lucifer been watching Fox News and/or reading right wing web sites. Try researching the truth. Google your statements about warming and you'll find how retarded you are in about 30 seconds. Then try and google intelligent design.
I have a feeling that your beliefs are based in your "secular religion" rather than reality. Argentina is not as bad as colombia (because of our war on drugs), but it is not much better than brazil.
Anyway...all you have to do is look up and see that there is cloud covers created from aerial chem spraying over populated areas so maybe that's the solution to global warming...chem cloud covers blocking the sun. it's obvious something is being done overhead. Just look up and see 'white lines' left by large jets and they aren't commercial jets. Maybe it's a UN program for weather modification and global warming prevention...
' But it is carbon dioxide.. my religion says so... it is due to human activity- the original sin
Only infidels believe that the sun has any effect on the earths climate.'
Um, leaving aside the simplistic reduction, you do realize that the greenhouse effect only works in the presence of solar radiation?
The C02 heat retention theory is not exactly controversial, though its extension to predict global climate is still exceedingly primitive. Much like any theories involving orbital variations, solar output cycles, etc.
It isn't a single cause universe, even if some people ascribe original sin to any human belief or action.
It is called science. You know the pesky little formulas that got use cars, airplanes, put people on the moon. Keep watching Fox News, they understand the truth about these pesky little formulas, formuals are evil, there are no scientific formulas in the bible!!
uno mundo,
cess pools are everywhere...been to LA, Miami, Phoenix? Like I asked...been to Mexico? You seem to come from the global warming Left while sounding like Lou Dobbs with the scaremongering...paid blogger?
The biggest player in the green house effect on earth is water vapour.
Water, in its gaseous forms, is the most important greenhouse gas. Open a good chemistry book- look the absorption and emission spectra of various green house gases and calculate their contribution to the greenhouse effect... you can find the average concentrations of those gases in any decent handbook.
'We've got some smart people making important points about the consequences of GM bankruptcy. Listen and learn or join in the conversation.'
Well, some of us post news about Opel and Saab, and still respond to people who continue to espouse global cooling and predict growing Arctic sea ice cover - which didn't come to pass, by the way. Data is like that - it doesn't care about anyone's opinions.
I don't see how swaping debt for equity... even if it wipes our existing shareholders... fixes any of GM's problems.
What about having too dealers? too many brands? Entenched and ineffective management? This seems like a lost oppertunity by kicking the can down the road untill the next GM bankrupcry.
April 18 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury and financial regulators are clashing with each other over how to disclose results from the stress tests of 19 U.S. banks, with some officials concerned at potential damage to weaker institutions.
With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said. While the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and other regulators want few details about the assessments to be publicized, the Treasury is pushing for broader disclosure.
The disarray highlights what threatens to be a lose-lose situation for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: If all the banks pass, the tests’ credibility will be questioned, and if some banks get failing grades and are forced to accept more government capital and oversight, they may be punished by investors and customers.
I posted a shit load of youtube videos on the subject yesterday. Irrefutable evidence it is. Where are all the environmental wackos on this subject? You would think the spraying of cancer causing chemicals on our heads would get a rise out of them.
April 18 (Bloomberg) -- Jamie Dimon outlined yesterday gave the U.S. recession and tattered financial landscape facing owners of the National Basketball Association’s 30 franchises.
The chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second-largest U.S. bank by assets, spoke with NBA owners at the St. Regis Hotel in New York for more than an hour. NBA Commissioner David Stern called it a “far-ranging discussion with a person of enormous knowledge about every aspect of the economy.”
anonymus,
If you are worried about global warming, how warm will things get with nuke fallout from dumb wars for profit?
I think global warming and illegals will be the big sideshow to the fleecing of the world's citizens by the deal makers...notice the big media push on these topics of late...I mean there's a global Crash to get through that could happen within months...the global warming is a slow process if it's happening right now...by the way illegals are returning to Mexico because jobs are drying up in the Homeland...that's why I think these topics are distractions to the bankruptcy of America's car makers...
seems the only thing I have to contribute here is my film knowledge... the rest of it - mainly financed based - has gone the
way where the information crammed for say taking a series 7 or 21 exam goes, something worse I think than the proverbial toilet...
But why try and predict the demise of GM? GM went bankrupt many, many years ago.
It is simply a political discussion, trying to guess what deals will get done in Washington.
Republicans want UAW to go under but GM management to survive. Democrates want the UAW to survive and GM management to go under - labor vs. capital. I believe both deserve to go under but won't happen, a deal will be made.
Been educating you retards on this all long, read about Mexico, learn about America, if you are smart you'd understand.
Labor vs. capital , illegal slave labor vs. labor , capital vs. America , religion vs. America , retards vs. America
Mother America getting hit from all sites. Blame Bush, Clinton, Bush. I you whities were not such cowards you have done away with them. Why do you right wing American whities buy so many guns, you will never use them, bunch of cowards.
"The U.S. Treasury and financial regulators are clashing with each other over how to disclose results from the stress tests of 19 U.S. banks, with some officials concerned at potential damage to weaker institutions.
With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said. While the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and other regulators want few details about the assessments to be publicized, the Treasury is pushing for broader disclosure.
The disarray highlights what threatens to be a lose-lose situation for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: If all the banks pass, the tests’ credibility will be questioned, and if some banks get failing grades and are forced to accept more government capital and oversight, they may be punished by investors and customers."
..."Geithner has said he crafted the stress test program in an effort to provide more transparency about the health of banks’ balance sheets. He and Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke have also noted that most of the 19 banks are currently well capitalized and that not all of them would need new capital."
Or you might say some big banks are undercapitalized and most would need new capital. Treasury "pushing for broader disclosure"? You're protesting too much, Timmy. We might believe you when you release ALL the data about All the banks. Period.
"With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said."
And methane plays a major role, though the methane escape rates from mines and wells has remained fairly static over decades, apparently. Lots of real time data here, by the way - ESRL Global Monitoring Division
And before a bunch of people jump in, at least read a bit about them here - ESRL Global Monitoring Division - Research Areas Seems like pretty much what you would expect from a data gathering group, though it does tend to work on an international scale involving the Internet and other advances in how real time and presumably reliable observational data is collected, stored, and evaluated.
It is a complex, multi-variable world out there, and even the entire landmass, which by no stretch of the imagination has been accurately measured for longer stretches of time, is just a fraction of the surface area of the globe.
Which is why it is so sad to see people reduce such discussions to simplicities, either their own, or those ascribed to others.
The CO2 rise is data, its effects will also be observable. For example, ocean acidity levels. The world is larger than us; we will never completely grasp it, being only a part of the whole, and the only certain truth I hold about the future is that everyone born will die, most definitely including myself.
The pirate story was a huge distraction to take your attention away from the 2,300 Taxday tea party protests held around the country. Who is brainwashing you?
"With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said."
that stress test "disclosure" is a clusterfk. methinks axelrod and emmanuel tried to navigate political winds, but any disclosure will be pointless, because there are just way too many gaps for the tests to make sense.
With all due respect to the mental capacity of true believers in any religion (traditional or secular).
carbon dioxide levels were above 1000 ppm for majority of the last 500 million. Heck there were periods where they came close to 3%.. and those were ages when there was a lot more life on earth.
Where do you think all of that coal and oil came from.. old super forests, big bogs, huge marshes and colossal plankton beds..
Taxday teaparty is a right wing corporate lobby funded anti-Obama scam. The idea was stolen from Ron Paul's tea party during the election.
Nothing would be more retarded than an American attending one of these fake tea parties on behalf of corporate Republican scum. I can't think of anything more disgusting and unAmerican.
Constantly amazing me how retarded people are, is that hard to follow the money and figure out the truth? It takes all of about 3 brain cells and 15 minutes.
There is a big Obama vs. Corporate America + Repbulican corporate cocksuckers + Demcratic corporate cocksuckers going on right now.
Rather then a tax tea party you should have a close the federal reserve and dump it into the Hudson party.
I offer this with kindness. If you spend more then a few hours daily deluging your thoughts with the miasma of economic bad news you are really throwing off your mental equilibrium. Get away from your computer, go for a walk, talk to a real person.
Many comments here are endless variants with the same essential message.
uno mundo, you missed my educational posts: How do you think America will be next? Who will the cheap labor be for? That is completely retarded, have you graduated from high school yet?
Mexico = blue collar service jobs
India = white collar back office jobs
China = offshore manufacturing.
That is the destruction and selling out of America in a nutshell. It is the truth.
The solution is:
Mexico = deport them all, now. Shoot to kill at the border.
India = end all H1-B visa programs.
China = tax the hell out of manufacturing.
That is the solution, no holding my breath, so America will continue her decline until enough Americans wake up from thier slumber.
anony,
People are protesting giving taxpayer money to banks that have failed from gambling and looting, pump & dumping and ponzification...what's the diff between a fleeced Repub, Dem, or indep. taxpayer...between an athiest or Catholic taxpayer...between a gay or straight taxpayer...it's all borrowedc govt. debt 'mone'y' into the unbalanced sheet and bonus pool...of the big bad banks...do you 'see' now?
a,
Why would anyone want to work with a 'divider'...a namecaller...you putting people in boxes...playing one off the other...go play with your armymen...
I have to say these Fox News "teabaggers" must be the most retarded people in America. The same crew that voted for Bush twice in a row.
"Teabaggers are having a hard time coming to terms with the fact that "grassroots" demonstrations aren't orchestrated by corporate lobbyists. Understandable -- if you didn't have any experience organizing a demonstration that didn't have millions in free PR from Fox News and well-funded GOP fat cats providing a national infrastructure, you wouldn't know the difference. "
The truth hurts. America has been run by corporate interests for 8 years, this includes Mexican slave labor, Indian labor, and Chinese slave lablor at the expense of the American middle class.
GM is currently the lastest battleground, Mexicans will build cars of $5 per hour and no health care and no taxes, he makes sense, that is the kind of society I want to live in...
I put little faith in these deadlines. GM was supposed to dissolve or sell Hummer by March 31. As I write this, it is April 17. They have done neither.
illegal Mexicans that must be deported. I don't care what race they are - white or black
Retarded Americans that watch Fox News and then attend corporate lobby anti-Obama paid tax teaparties - because Obama want to remove tax loopholes for the rich and corporates.
Patriotic Americans that are not cowards, nor afraid of the truth and undestand how this country was build.
AQ if you knew anything about the Media, you'd know they(Fox) covered the tax protest with THEIR spin and as always things are more complex than propaganda incl. your propaganda approach...do you think there's more than you 'know'...
"no more GM or Chrysler will help reduce production of CO2"
...........what a dumb ass!.............GM and Chrysler BK will eliminate all cars from the road?.............this will help foreign car makers.......Japanese car makers' , even Korean Kia stocks surged after the possibility of GM BK..........
From Wikipedia on Why Mexican Toilets stink - "Code there doesn't always require a 'P' trap to hold water and thus block sewer gases from backing into the house. "
Ha Ha, supports my theory.
If a culture cannot organize politically enought to install "P" traps so that their toilets do not stink... well God help them. LOL.
GM is going bankrupt because of 'globalization'...the race to the bottom for wages...and also the credit contraction where not many people or businesses can get loans...the global credit crunch has accelerated the demise brought on by globalization. We now are entering the Twilight Zone of Globalization and the global derivatives 'credit crunch'...or massive credit contraction...plus stock market hanky panky...and bailouts for financialization losses...etc.
I've been around in northern Mexico away from the border and I like the country and the people just fine. I've been in a few restrooms in California that aren't exactly advertisements for sanitation.
The solution seems to be to give the illegal immigrants a teabag, and an ice cube, and twenty shares of GM,...solve all the problems mentioned above in one shot.
Of course, at some point that prohibition becomes cultural rather than simply practical, and even in houses with perfectly-functioning modern toilets that can take anything you throw at them, you will still see the TP bins.
And, oddly, in just about any semi-public venue frequented by recent Central American immigrants. The Home Depot in Falls Church, VA, has trash cans next to the toilets (men's room!), I suppose because otherwise the poopy TP would end up on the floor. I've been to Guatemala and El Salvador, and have been on the other side of the equation--it was virtually impossible for me to remember to not drop my toilet paper in the toilet. Old habits die hard, I suppose.
A,
U R right bout the pea traps but the builders will put em in if you ask...hey if a billion people starve to death because of the Global Deflation and credit freeze...can we change the subject?
'carbon dioxide levels were above 1000 ppm for majority of the last 500 million.'
Any interest in posting global average temperatures during the majority of that period, even allowing the extent to which such data is extrapolated and inferred? The answer might simply be that averages temperatures were higher with higher carbon cycle gases in the atmosphere, but you are welcome to demonstrate, with data, how that is an incorrect summation of that time period.
Since that observed correlation is considered to be due to causation. A causation which can be measured in isolation, though it should be apparent to everyone that a single element in a complex system cannot be so easily reduced to follow its effects with deceptive simplicity. Cloud formation, for example, is a major variable, both for cooling and warming - but the greenhouse effect is not in dispute, especially when viewed over the 500 million year time span you cite.
More on how Mexicans rather then organize into social groups they live with smelly toilets.
The truth so hurts. Mexica (Catholic Latino in the bigger sense) cultures are so family based they cannot even organize basic social structures like buidling codes to deal with smelly toilets. DO NOT invest in any latino culture until the culture changes and they start believing in indiviuals above the family mafi unit.
Mexico Smells Like Sh!t
I just got a whiff of sewer gas, it came in the windows. Normally I don’t smell sewer from my home. But for some reason a few minutes ago I smelled sewer. Thankfully that’s over now. I hope it doesn’t come back. But the stink inspired me to finally write a post I’ve been thinking about for a long time.
Mexico often smells like shit. In Cancun I sometimes smell shit when I’m in the hotel zone, near the posh houses and big hotels. And sometimes you smell it when you are in the nice parts of downtown. And it goes without saying that you smell it when you go to the poorest neighborhoods.
It makes sense that in a 3rd world country there will be problems with the public sewer system. They don’t have the money here to keep the roads properly repaired and they don’t have the money to pick up the garbage that’s strewn around the city, so why should the sewer system work perfectly? It shouldn’t. But actually that’s not why I’m writing this post.
I’m writing because in Mexico it’s common for the inside of people’s houses to smell like shit. This is because it’s very common here for drains to be put in without water traps. A water trap is a device that works by keeping an amount of water between the room and the sewer, so the sewer gas can’t escape. A water trap for a floor drain or a sink costs less than $50 MXP (under $5 USD). There is no reason on earth not to put one in every drain in the house.
And yet I have wealthy friends in Cancun whose answer to having a stinky sewer gas filled bathroom is to keep the door shut. Instead of solving the shit smell problem with a $5 USD part they opt to keep the door shut? Does this make sense? Not to me it doesn’t. I don’t know how people can justify not fixing this, unless they secretly LIKE the smell. Ick!
There was little north or south pole ice cover during most of the last 500 million years. The south pole only started to resemble today version in the last 20 million years. The north pole was even more fickle.. it has never been continuously frozen for over for more than a few thousand years at any time.. even less since the last ice age ended.. sediments.. plankton..
Uhh.. the green house effect is what makes the earth inhabitable! without it the whole planet would be a frozen iceball.. except maybe at the equator... and that has happened at least once during the last billion years.
//but the greenhouse effect is not in dispute, especially when viewed over the 500 million year time span you cite.//
Hmmm, can't say if I remember a P-trap under a sink, but I think I would have noticed if it weren't there. I'd guess (purely a guess) that they don't have the vents to our code. Without proper venting, the gas pressure from the sewer will back up through the traps. And when building a structure, those damn vents are hard to site unobtrusively.
Mexicans can solve their problems if they kill every mexican with a majority white spanish heritage. It is those douchebags who have gamed and f**ked the system with their zero-sum game mentality and racist attitudes.
"they may be punished by investors and customers."
yes, a real run on the deposit base of BAC is not the confidence-building exercise that timmy and O were hoping for... but that's the only rational outcome of any 'stress test' with even the slightest bit of credibility.
its a shame the above shitheads ruin the reputation of the tin-foil brigade by association, when the nature of fractional reserve banking really needs to be discussed and the paulites are in the small minority that attempts to bring it into focus.
First there was the dreaded 'smog', then the dreaded 'hole in the ozone layer. Remember if you used hairspray you were opening the ozone hole. Now it's the dreaded 'global warming' that causing the seas to rise and turning frigid zones into tropical heat zones. It is a fact the Uranus is getting hotter along with Mars and Venus and the other planets. I mean we don't want to make the 'scientific research' of global warming into a religion. If you are the same A who doesn't like religion, why would you wanna make globalwarming a religion? How is the ozone layer and smog doing? Any better?
I have always said that environmentalists should be put in the incinerators along with Banksters, MBAs and certain types of lawyers (especially corporate lawyers).
It's not central banking per se. It's the particular central bankers in question. It's not banking per se that's the problem. It's particular bankers in question. It's not politics per say in question...it's certain politicians who are in question. It's not capitalism per se...it's those who claim to be Capitalists and who are not that are in question...
Bubblisimo, no Welles did not direct The Third Man but his influence over Carol Reed permeates the movie. Stanley Kramer had the same effect on The Caine Mutiny as Producer or any other movie where he produced and did not direct. When Harry Lime is first revealed by that light from the window Welles had been using such a technique on stage as far back as '35. (you see a great example of this in the visit to the Thatcher Memorial Library in Kane)...
our current 'great' filmmakers couldn't shine Orson's shoes
'and that has happened at least once during the last billion years.'
Let's read a bit about that -
'The End Ordovician extinctions occurred approximately 447 to 444 million years ago and mark the boundary between the Ordovician period and the following Silurian period. During this extinction event, there were several marked changes in the isotopic ratios of the biologically responsive elements carbon and oxygen. These changes in the isotopic ratios may indicate distinct events or particular phases within one event. At that time, all complex multicellular organisms lived in the sea, and of them, about 100 marine families covering about 49 percent of genera (a more reliable estimate than species) of fauna became extinct (Rohde 2005). The bi-valve brachiopods and the tiny, colonial bryozoans were decimated, along with many of the families of trilobites, conodonts, and graptolites (small, marine colonial animals).
The most commonly accepted theory is that they were triggered by the onset of a long ice age, perhaps the most severe glacial age of the Phanerozoic eon, which ended the long, stable greenhouse conditions typical of the Ordovician period. The event was preceded by a fall in atmospheric CO2, which selectively affected the shallow seas where most organisms lived. As the southern supercontinent Gondwana drifted over the South Pole, ice caps formed on it. Evidence of these has been detected in late Ordovician rock strata of North Africa and then-adjacent northeastern South America, which were south-polar locations at the time. Glaciation locks up water from the oceans, and the interglacials free it, causing sea levels repeatedly to drop and rise. During the glaciation, the vast shallow intra-continental Ordovician seas withdrew, which eliminated many ecological niches, then returned carrying diminished founder populations lacking many whole families of organisms, then withdrew again with the next pulse of glaciation, eliminating biological diversity at each change (Emiliani 1992).
The shifting in and out of glaciation stages incurred a shift in the location of bottom water formation—from low latitudes, characteristic of greenhouse conditions, to high latitudes, characteristic of icehouse conditions, which was accompanied by increased deep-ocean currents and oxygenation of the bottom water. An opportunistic fauna briefly thrived there, before anoxic conditions returned. The breakdown in the oceanic circulation patterns brought up nutrients from the abyssal waters. Surviving species were those that coped with the changed conditions and filled the ecological niches left by the extinctions.
The end of the second event occurred when melting glaciers caused the sea level to rise and stabilize once more.
Scientists from the University of Kansas and NASA have suggested that the initial extinctions could have been caused by a gamma ray burst originating from an exploding star within 6,000 light years of Earth (within a nearby arm of the Milky Way Galaxy). A ten-second burst would have stripped the Earth's atmosphere of half of its ozone almost immediately, causing surface-dwelling organisms, including those responsible for planetary photosynthesis, to be exposed to high levels of ultraviolet radiation. This would have killed many species and caused a drop in temperatures. While plausible, there is no unambiguous evidence that such a nearby gamma ray burst has ever actually occurred.' Mass extinction - New World Encyclopedia
Fascinating stuff, even if the gamma ray is currently nothing more than speculation. And notice that unlike some, at least the researchers from the University of Kansas and NASA seem quite convinced that ozone plays a major role in the various balances that sustain life on this planet.
Ascribing motives to people describing facts, or creating theories to explain facts, is generally a sign of something more than simply attempting to describe the world around us.
What is fascinating to see is how many people simply decide that their point is correct, and then collect whatever facts support it, while using any attacks that seem reasonable to discredit anyone not holfing that belief.
As if the contrasting effects of solar radiation on the observed areas of sea ice and sea water are a matter of belief.
As noted by the historical record, change in the climate is routine, and something that must be dealt with for any species interested in long term survival.
Or societies, for that matter - the Dutch do not have the luxury of debating beliefs as compared to preparing for the results of a continuing, measurable, rise in sea levels. Preparation that will take decades, be very expensive, and may possibly be less useful than assumed. A fact that goes either way - the rise may slow or even reverse, or it may increase so quickly that Dutch preparations will be overwhelmed.
Why Americans keep debating these points is quite related to GM's seemingly inevitable formal bankruptcy - GM simply refused to change its deeply help beliefs concerning any number of facts about the world it participated in, and it is paying the normal price for being provably wrong.
Like it or not, GM is a bankrupt enterprise. An unacceptable result has become an unavoidable truth. This describes much of today's America, doesn't it?
being originally from Indiana I remember back in the early 70s' how guys at 18 or 19 could get a job at GM or at Delco and it was easy living... they sneered at us college bound types, telling us we'd never recover the lost income...
but sadly, with that gravy train, came abuses - ghost employees, high as a kite workers, etc...
knew this one guy in Indy that would punch in and out a couple dozen workers a day... no wonder their quality went off a cliff...
so, I wonder how the auto supply chain is going to whipsaw my former home... hmm
on a side note: watched the first half of The Dark Knight last night... at first I thought they gave Keith Ledger the Oscar out of
pity, in a way... that role that he created as the Joker was something to behold (Nicholson's portrayal was over-rated and he just as
always played Jack!) ... to get where he had to go as an actor is very scary indeed! is it possible for an actor to suffer a kind of post
traumatic stress disorder? in his case, yeah... his agent failed him miserably IMO!
when Coppola filmed Apocalypse the central problem is how do you show pure evil? Conrad's Marlowe distinctly said he had no words to
describe the embodiment of evil in Kurtz ( and we're Joseph Conrad here) ... what we got instead was a bumbling, self pitying grossly over weight
Brando who ruined the film... Ledger is pretty damn close, no?
What if we just bomb the f-ing japs again with a massive clean energy carbon import car jesus tax and give GM all the Honda plants run by the non-union blacks down south, those we have not yet locked up. Perhaps you underestimate America's ability to re-invent the unaviodable truth when it come to the unaviodable truth.
Detroit is also a cess pool but the toilets don't stink as far as I can tell. In Detriot you can buy a house for $1,000 cash and they have a P-trap and they do not smell like shit.
More than that, Opel is able to build cars that meet stringent standards for fuel efficiency for markets where such is demanded - and yet, they remain incapable of even bringing such profitably built models to the U.S.
And if German news reports are to be believed, GM will be selling that capability in the near term future for short term liquidity. Entirely typical for GM.
What % of the total CO2 and other greenhouse gases are produced by humans?
Hint... it's an insignificant proportion of the total. About the same as the percentage of humans that give a rats ass about global warming.
Why wouldn't global warming, no matter what causes it, be a net good thing?
Most of the clowns against it have never lived in the Arctic, Canada, or even Minnesota.
If you love cold so much... go live in the Arctic, Canada, or Minnesota... your problems will be solved.
I'm looking forward to a very warm beach and a giant SUV to get me there.
"...it's an insignificant proportion of the total."
It's a significant effect.
This is atmospheric physics and chemistry we're talking about, and you won't get a doctorate in either subject by looking out the window at the weather. Weather and climate are different things.
"Why wouldn't global warming, no matter what causes it, be a net good thing?"
If you read something about the subject you might know why.
The world has seen more CO2.. and life did not cease to exist. If anything, it flourished.
Nature 406, 695-699 (17 August 2000) | doi:10.1038/35021000; Received 2 November 1999; Accepted 22 June 2000
Knowledge of the evolution of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations throughout the Earth's history is important for a reconstruction of the links between climate and radiative forcing of the Earth's surface temperatures. Although atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations in the early Cenozoic era (about 60 Myr ago) are widely believed to have been higher than at present, there is disagreement regarding the exact carbon dioxide levels, the timing of the decline and the mechanisms that are most important for the control of CO2 concentrations over geological timescales. Here we use the boron-isotope ratios of ancient planktonic foraminifer shells to estimate the pH of surface-layer sea water throughout the past 60 million years, which can be used to reconstruct atmospheric CO2 concentrations. We estimate CO2 concentrations of more than 2,000 p.p.m. for the late Palaeocene and earliest Eocene periods (from about 60 to 52 Myr ago) , and find an erratic decline between 55 and 40 Myr ago that may have been caused by reduced CO2 outgassing from ocean ridges, volcanoes and metamorphic belts and increased carbon burial. Since the early Miocene (about 24 Myr ago), atmospheric CO2 concentrations appear to have remained below 500 p.p.m. and were more stable than before, although transient intervals of CO2 reduction may have occurred during periods of rapid cooling approximately 15 and 3 Myr ago.
Geophys Res Lett. 1991 Jun;18(6):987-90
-dioxide releases associated with a mid-Cretaceous super plume and the emplacement of the Ontong-Java Plateau have been suggested as a principal cause of the mid-Cretaceous global warming. We developed a carbonate-silicate cycle model to quantify the possible climatic effects of these CO2 releases, utilizing four different formulations for the rate of silicate-rock weathering as a function of atmospheric CO2. We find that CO2 emissions resulting from super-plume tectonics could have produced atmospheric CO2 levels from 3.7 to 14.7 times the modern pre-industrial value of 285 ppm. Based on the temperature sensitivity to CO2 increases used in the weathering-rate formulations, this would cause a global warming of from 2.8 to 7.7 degrees C over today's global mean temperature. Altered continental positions and higher sea level may have been contributed about 4.8 degrees C to mid-Cretaceous warming. Thus, the combined effects of paleogeographic changes and super-plume related CO2 emissions could be in the range of 7.6 to 12.5 degrees C, within the 6 to 14 degrees C range previously estimated for mid-Cretaceous warming. CO2 releases from oceanic plateaus alone are unlikely to have been directly responsible for more than 20% of the mid-Cretaceous increase in atmospheric CO2.
The global temperatures in the Early Carboniferous Period were hot- approximately 20° C (68° F). However, cooling during the Middle Carboniferous reduced average global temperatures to about 12° C (54° F). As shown on the chart below, this is comparable to the average global temperature on Earth today!
Similarly, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the Early Carboniferous Period were approximately 1500 ppm (parts per million), but by the Middle Carboniferous had declined to about 350 ppm -- comparable to average CO2 concentrations today!
There have many periods of millions of years when the earth's atmosphere had more than 1 % CO2... Funny thing.. most of the plants, algae, forests, swamps, bogs that got converted into coal and oil also come from those high atmospheric CO2 eras!
And apart from volcanism that accompanied these CO2 increases, there was no negative effect on overall biomass or species.. quite the opposite.. these ages had more species than other eras!
GEOCARB III: A REVISED MODEL OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 OVER PHANEROZOIC TIME
ROBERT A. BERNER and ZAVARETH KOTHAVALA
Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University
[American Journal of Science, Vol. 301, February, 2001, P. 182–204]
ABSTRACT. Revision of the GEOCARB model (Berner, 1991, 1994) for paleolevels
of atmospheric CO2, has been made with emphasis on factors affecting CO2 uptake by
continental weathering. This includes: (1) new GCM (general circulation model)
results for the dependence of global mean surface temperature and runoff on CO2,
for both glaciated and non-glaciated periods, coupled with new results for the
temperature response to changes in solar radiation; (2) demonstration that values for
the weathering-uplift factor fR(t) based on Sr isotopes as was done in GEOCARB II are
in general agreement with independent values calculated from the abundance of
terrigenous sediments as a measure of global physical erosion rate over Phanerozoic
time; (3) more accurate estimates of the timing and the quantitative effects on Ca-Mg
silicate weathering of the rise of large vascular plants on the continents during the
Devonian; (4) inclusion of the effects of changes in paleogeography alone (constant
CO2 and solar radiation) on global mean land surface temperature as it affects the rate
of weathering; (5) consideration of the effects of volcanic weathering, both in
subduction zones and on the seafloor; (6) use of new data on the d13C values for
Phanerozoic limestones and organic matter; (7) consideration of the relative weathering
enhancement by gymnosperms versus angiosperms; ( 8 ) revision of paleo land area
based on more recent data and use of this data, along with GCM-based paleo-runoff
results, to calculate global water discharge from the continents over time.
Results show a similar overall pattern to those for GEOCARB II: very high CO2
values during the early Paleozoic, a large drop during the Devonian and Carboniferous,
high values during the early Mesozoic, and a gradual decrease from about 170 Ma
to low values during the Cenozoic. However, the new results exhibit considerably
higher CO2 values during the Mesozoic, and their downward trend with time agrees
with the independent estimates of Ekart and others (1999). Sensitivity analysis shows
that results for paleo-CO2 are especially sensitive to: the effects of CO2 fertilization
and temperature on the acceleration of plant-mediated chemical weathering; the
quantitative effects of plants on mineral dissolution rate for constant temperature and
CO2; the relative roles of angiosperms and gymnosperms in accelerating rock weathering;
and the response of paleo-temperature to the global climate model used. This
emphasizes the need for further study of the role of plants in chemical weathering and
the application of GCMs to study of paleo-CO2 and the long term carbon cycle.
I was hoping to elicit a response from someone closer to the auto industry than myself, as several here demonstrably are.
It's my understanding that General Motors' engineering, design and R&D sectors are broadly admired within the industry - that, should they choose to do so, the company is capable of prodigies of durability, efficiency, power, safety and comfort. So, my puzzle is not that Opel's European offerings are so suitable but, instead, that the company so frequently elects to send into the marketplace such sad examples of their work.
As my favorite quotable, Berenson, used to say late in life, when asked how he was, "Parts of me are excellent."
Fear of a mega-bank failures in Switzerland
Philippe Gumy
Over 50% of respondents by their Genevese High School of Management believe that the bankruptcy of a large institution is likely.
The political penalty Swiss clearly convinced that it never let down bankrupt one of the major banks in the country. Despite the rescue of UBS by the Confederation and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), 53% of the approximately 550 people surveyed by the Haute Ecole de gestion (HEG) in Geneva in the first quarter 2009 estimate "likely" that a major bank bankruptcy. This proportion was only 37% last June.
Albert Einstein used to receive numerous letters, many from self-educated laymen, explaining how the Theory of Relativity must be wrong. These letters went on to straighten out Dr. Einstein by setting forth other theories derived from the writers' 'self-evident reasoning.' Relativity still stands, stronger than ever.
Anyone who wishes to contradict currently accepted Atmospheric Physics and Chemistry as applied to climate science should contact the authorities in the field and explain to them why they have wandered into a mis-understanding of current climate theory and research. If you have any standing in the field, or you sound as if you do, you will most probably receive a hearing.
With all due respect, the opinions of any scientists and their theories have less worth than toilet paper. Nobody who understands science gives a f**k about opinions, reputations, pedigrees and models.
The only questions that any scientist really cares about is-
1] Does the theory explain existing data.
2] Can the theory make predictions that can be tested.
As long as conditions 1] and 2] are met it is acceptable. If 1] and 2] are not met, it is speculation.
The effects of relativity and most of quantum mechanics can be measured. You can also design experiments to test their predictions.
Einstein's theory could be verified and can make testable predictions. So can quantum mechanics.. newtonian mechanics.
Climate models cannot do 1] or 2]. They are essentially speculation. Do you remember that word? Speculation!
Scientists reputations are meaningless.
Kelvin and many other famous scientists said heavier than aircrafts were impossible.
Most scientists considered considered controlled nuclear fission an absurd idea till 1938.
So called "experts" made fun of the idea of liquid fueled rockets.
You know what.. almost all famous scientists tend to be dead wrong about the future and anything other than what made them famous.
There are no authorities in science as the universe does not give a fk about your tenure, perdigree. committees, department reputations. and any other human cp.
Either you can demonstrate your theory holds without cheating (fraud, data manipulation, selective data use etc) or it is wrong.
Climate modelers make financial quants look saintly. At least the quants massaged existing data to get what their masters wanted. Climate modelers commit outright fraud, data manipulation and extensive use of very selective data to push their virtual model in any direction they want.
Eugenics has a better claim to honesty than climate modeling.
I'm running off to the tip jar and will sit quietly encased in tin-foil until you implement
blocking. Nothing worse than half-literate climate zombie refugees pissing into the punch.
What a night. At this rate we'll see someone suggesting putting social security funds
into the stock market for better returns.
Lucifer, at this point the discussion is where it belongs - attempting to use whatever data, or reasonable inferences from it, to understand dynamic processes that take place on a planetary scale.
And though there is currently no research I'm aware of which details paleo cometary water replenishment (hell, the fact that it is happening today, as revealed through satellite observation, is about as accepted as plate tectonics in the 1940s), I tend to be very skeptical of most data which purports to use isotopes or element propotionality to support various claims when extending far into the past. Not dismissive, as your cite shows just how easily just a couple of assumptions can change entire chains of reasoning.
But I still don't understand the reasoning here -
'There have many periods of millions of years when the earth's atmosphere had more than 1 % CO2... Funny thing.. most of the plants, algae, forests, swamps, bogs that got converted into coal and oil also come from those high atmospheric CO2 eras!'
Why would it be a funny thing that times of high CO2 concentration were also times were high amounts of carbon were captured and then over geological time frames removed from the atmosphere/biosphere? It would seem a necessary precondition, and not an anomaly, though the reverse would be counter-intuitive.
'And apart from volcanism that accompanied these CO2 increases, there was no negative effect on overall biomass or species.. quite the opposite.. these ages had more species than other eras!'
Possibly - the fossil record is not exactly well written for later readers.
An example -
'The Permian-Triassic (P-T or PT) extinction event, sometimes informally called the Great Dying, was an extinction event that occurred approximately 251 million years ago, defining the boundary between the Permian and Triassic periods. It was the Earth's most severe extinction event, with about 90 percent of all marine species and 70 percent of terrestrial vertebrate species going extinct.
For some time after the event, fungal species were the dominant form of terrestrial life. Though they only made up approximately 10 percent of remains found before and just after the extinction horizon, fungal species subsequently grew rapidly to make up nearly 100 percent of the available fossil record (Eshet et al. 1995). However, some researchers argue that fungal species did not dominate terrestrial life, as their remains have only been found in shallow marine deposits (Wignall 1996). Alternatively, others argue that fungal hypha (long, branching filament) are simply better suited for preservation and survival in the environment, creating an inaccurate representation of certain species in the fossil record (Erwin 1993).' Mass extinction - New World Encyclopedia
The past is still being created in the present - or at least, what we consider to be the past. This is what good science entails - using data to refine our understanding. A generally flawed understanding, which should always be part of the general background of such discussions.
Where weather ends and climate starts is a basic problem in this discussion, along with so much else. It is worrying how many people point to weather to say that the climate is changing in one direction or the other, without recognizing how extremely limited our data truly is in terms of its coverage, both spatial and temporal.
As a side note - the mini-Ice Age seems to be have been on a considerably smaller scale than the entire globe. It is simply that the Europeans were effected, and recorded it. For someone concerned with euro-centric biases, be aware that the mini-Ice Age is also euro-centric, at least according to current thinking. There seems to be little to no evidence of it occurring on other continents such as South America. One reason that this may not be so widely known is that it tends to go against both major climate change camps - the Maunder Minimum happened at the same time, but the global changes of that time remain elusive, outside of that region. The same is also true of this period -
'The Year Without a Summer (also known as the Poverty Year, Eighteen Hundred and Froze to Death, and the Year There Was No Summer) was 1816, in which severe summer climate abnormalities destroyed crops in Northern Europe, the American Northeast and eastern Canada.[1][2] Historian John D. Post has called this "the last great subsistence crisis in the Western world".[3] It appears to have been caused by a volcanic winter.' Year Without a Summer - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The planet is much, much larger than our fairly shallow historical records even begin to suggest.
And the complexities? Again, from the article -
'It is now generally thought that the aberrations occurred because of the 5 April – 15 April, 1815 volcanic eruptions of Mount Tambora[8][9] on the island of Sumbawa, Indonesia (then part of the Dutch East Indies), the world's largest eruption in about 1,600 years with a Volcanic Explosivity Index ranking of 7, a colossal event that ejected immense amounts of volcanic dust into the upper atmosphere. (Lake Taupo's Hatepe eruption of c. 180 AD was probably of similar size, see Supervolcano.) The fact that the 1815 eruptions occurred during the middle of the Dalton Minimum (a period of unusually low solar activity) is also significant.
Other large volcanic eruptions (with VEI at least 4) during the same time frame are:
* 1812, La Soufrière on Saint Vincent in the Caribbean
* 1812, Awu on Sangihe Islands, Indonesia
* 1813, Suwanose-Jima on Ryukyu Islands, Japan
* 1814, Mayon in the Philippines
These other eruptions had already built up a substantial amount of atmospheric dust. As is common following a massive volcanic eruption, temperatures fell worldwide because less sunlight passed through the atmosphere.'
Again, it just isn't either/or in terms of climate. Notice the Dalton Minimum in terms of sunspots combined with volcanic eruptions, including the truly massive one of Tambora.
Be wary of anyone reducing complex systems to simple precepts. Unfortunately, in the public square, simplistic slogans tend to win out over explanations which attempt to depict a complicated reality.
'Climate modelers make financial quants look saintly.'
or
'Eugenics has a better claim to honesty than climate modeling.'
Makes me regret thinking you are actually making something resembling a good faith effort to explore a complex area of a science that didn't even exist fifty years ago.
By your standards, I will assume you never use any medical treatments either, since they too are as rife with 'fraud, data manipulation and extensive use of very selective data' as any other area of human understanding.
Or do you still believe that ulcers are caused by stress?
If the world had been 5 degrees cooler for the last 500 years or so, and was warming to current temps it would be just as big a potential disaster as the current warming trends are (even if temporarrily masked by the low popint on the solar sunspot cycle, because it is just that a cycle). It is not that life can not exist at 5 degrees warmer, or that people can't live in those temps, heck people live fine in both Maimi and Montreal. However, if we had always been 5 degrees cooler, NY would not be where it is but about 30 miles further out to sea, ditto for most costal cities. Population densities aroud the world would be in different locations.
There are lots of positive feedback loops (vicious cycles) that have the potential to kick in, the 2 most significant are the albino effect and the melting of the perma frost. Both are being seen in spades right now. As the artic melts, more sunlight is absorbed rather than reflected, further warming the water and shrinking the ice. As the permafrost melts, methane is released (to bed it is too difuse to capture, since it would be a great energy source). Molicule for molicule methane is more than 25x more powerful in greenhouse effect as CO2 is.
Alpine glaciers are melting and shrinking in Nepal, Switzerland, Chile, Tanzania and Alaska, which hardly makes it seem like a local weather proplem.
I can't resist -
'Climate models cannot do 1] or 2]. They are essentially speculation. Do you remember that word? Speculation!'
Well, better not use the speculative science of astronomy to support any of your arguments, then.
Or attempt to unravel the fossil record - after all, experimentation is simply not possible on what already exists.
'Kelvin and many other famous scientists said heavier than aircrafts were impossible.'
Finding examples of false prediction is as easy as looking at predictions. I still believe that today's geologists, with their belief that the Earth's water is exclusively volcanic in origin, are going to look as stupid as Kelvin in a generation or two - Spaceflight Now | Breaking News | Did comets water Earth?
That is an example of good science, not speculation. Though unfortunately, it may not fit your own definition - it is descriptive, after all, and the only testable point is already a given - the world's oceans exist, after all, as do the now basically indisputable ice comets hitting the atmosphere.
I think you have a fairly limited (I'm being charitable) view of what science means in the physical realm - though if you wish to dismiss chemists as scientists, feel free.
What, you believe the Bible accurately depicts the last 6,000 years of Creation, like a majority of Americans? How charmingly quaint.
Maybe when you can write that statement in say 20 of the few thousand languages which are still spoken, I'll pay more attention to the idea that humans aren't limited in their knowledge, even of how other humans communicate with each other daily.
Great, a layer of crap on my breakfast table. I'd find theories attempting to debunk climate change more palatable if you didn't scratch them and get petroleum consultants and petroleum geologists just below their porous surface (Jack Schmitt, etc.)
It always makes me laugh how easily "objectivists" in libertarian/cato ideology have been co-opted by the oil lobby to fight what is now a worldwide scientific consensus based on, um, objective data. One thing they have established is true, though. If you pay people enough, they will tell you they don't believe their own lying eyes:
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"We tried building cars in Mexico but they Mexican government is such a corrupt Mafi like organization it could never happen long term, you need to spend most of your time paying off criminals which take away the focus on business."
I get a kick out of those who post about subjects they obviously know nothing about. I am American-Mexican (dual citizenship in that order) and working for a tier-one automotive supplier in Mexico. I also worked in this business for a number of years in the US, and can make fair comparison between the two. The assembly plants for the big three and VW are normally near the top of the list in terms of productivity and quality when compared to their counterparts in the US and Canada, or Europe in the case of VW. The big three all have relatively new state-of-the-art plants (Ford-Hmo, Chrysler-Saltillo, and GM-SLP) that have higher productivity than most other North American plants (as measured in production vs hours worked, nothing to do with cheaper labor cost). While corruption certainly exist in Mexico, it is generally more prevalent in the transportation business (not that much directly with the government), quite similar to what happens in the US. VW has their issues with corruption, but they have that problem worldwide and it seems to be something they brought with them to Mexico.
I couldn't agree more with your comments regarding the danger of destruction of individual liberty. The US is the main culprit of that particular sin in the Western Hemisphere. You should turn off Fox News, get a passport, and travel.
It's a good thing you aren't racist. Your descendants will live in a country that includes the area currently made up of Canada, Mexico, and the US, and will be increasingly coffee colored and speaking Spanglish (this is a good thing. the more we mix, the more beautiful the women). Nationalism is almost as silly as racism. You aren't better than anyone else (or deserve a higher standard of living) because you had the good fortune of having been born on the "right" side of the border.
we had an interesting evening.........all ATMs, credit card terminals, internet connections, cell-phones, and long-distance was out yesterday afternoon thru last night here. Wal-Mart only took cash, the casinos were in a tizzy, people were scurrying looking for cash, people were trying to be fed using worthless plastic, quite a scene. The town emptied out - everyone disappeared.
The most interesting scene was the clean-cut young couple with two small boys checking out of Wal-Mart thru the sporting goods department. They had food, a couple movies for the boys, carpet-cleaner, kitty-litter, and they needed shotgun and 2-boxes of 30-6 ammo. Bill came to $151., they were advised CC or debit cards didn't work and they could only scrape up a little over $100. They had no money at home (she reminded the hubby). I joked that the network might be down until Monday, it could be the dreaded "bank holiday", and to think about needing cash thru the weekend. Long story short, they axed the kitty-litter, one movie, carpet-cleaner, all but one box of 30-6 ammo, and kept $4.00 in cash. Those were the young family's priorities - to hell with cash needs after last night.
".what a dumb ass!.............GM and Chrysler BK will eliminate all cars from the road?.............this will help foreign car makers.......Japanese car makers' , even Korean Kia stocks surged after the possibility of GM BK.......... "
You'd lose the CO2 produced by manufacturing the cars, at the expense of the jobs in that industry. That scenario would be a classic case of offshoring pollution.
The knock on employment effects of GM or Chrysler going belly up would be horrific to manufacturing in this country. I'm sure those jobs could be
replaced with new 'green jobs', which I assume is a code word for working for the government ?
I don't know if anyone shares my sentiment but I would just like to have Lucifer shut up about climate change, this is an economics blog - and I am sick of him saying he works with science and HE knows that climate change isn't anything to worry about because hundreds of millions of years ago the earth was warmer (which is a bogus argument, we have adapted our infrastructure to the way the climate is now not 100MY ago) - I am particle physicist I work with equations and system modeling every day, but I have not studied the climate models in detail so I don't personally know if they are right or wrong but neither does he, presumably we pay scientists to develop these models to give us accurate answers and BTW lots of models work pretty dammed well - so could he just shut up and talk about GM
"I do not think it matters now." Lucifer replies to the question "//Can someone explain the precedence between union and creditors? Are these unsecured debts?// "
What a silly, pointless, confused comment. It's the converse, it matters now MORE THAN IT EVER HAS IN THE 107 YEAR HISTORY OF THE COMPANY.
Where is your god now Nemo!
Cue Jeopardy theme.
Watching too much South Park?
//Cue Jeopardy theme.//
Let us make bets on when GM will really give up the ghost.. I say before May 16.
It seems like a never ending story because we all know that if Ron Gettelfinger wants more time to avoid some concessions, he'll get it. This situation is being run by politicians, not economists.
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Why would anyone want stock instead of debt? Basically, you're giving up your position in case of a possible bankruptcy. Are they doing a bait and switch - convert to stock and then go bankrupt anyway??
A GM bankruptcy is inflationary, right?
I hate to be depressing but I really miss Tanta.
Why would anyone want stock instead of debt?
cuz an unsecured creditor can actually be wiped out in BK; everyone that has priority must be paid in full before the unsecureds get a penny.
Fired up the old color laser printer and pumped out several quadrillion "Dawgie Dollars." I used them to pay all my bills this month. What's that you say? Making up my own currency to pay obligations is not going to work?
We tried building cars in Mexico but they Mexican government is such a corrupt Mafi like organization it could never happen long term, you need to spend most of your time paying off criminals which take away the focus on business.
Probably applies to the Mexican state in general. The only succesfull Mexican businesses are run in a mafia like family struture.
Your can already see that type of corruption in Los Angeles, now making its way into Los Angeles politics as well.
Nothing is more dangerous to America then the destruction of individual liberty.
Stopping illegal immigration would provide the jobs to get Americans through, unemployement would go down overnight and citizen could make there mortgage payments and pay local taxes.
illegal black market Mexican economies are running rampant accross America and are destroying the fabric of social society.
We must round them all up and deport them. Nothing racist about it, Mexcio is a country NOT a race, I do not care if the illegal mexicans are black or white, they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site.
I hadn't posted on the German side with news last night, but Opel apparently has six bidders (plus German government loan guaranties), and Saab a number of 0 euro bidders - which means that if GM is nimble, it can get rid of its Saab liabilities quickly, and give a reasonable forecast for 'revenue' from selling Opel - in which a minority GM stake tends to be a part of GM's assumption, if quite possibly not a part of the final buyer's plans.
From German sources, the Opel buyers range from automotive players to 'Finanzinvestoren.'
It is a global flea market, at least when talking about the assets formerly known as American - whether overseas manufacturing capital or the entire panoply of financially engineered paper which was so popular just a few short years ago.
so who benefits from this new bailout? the bondholders? the equity holders? the union pension funds? everybody? nobody?
Why would Treasury want dividend-paying preferred stock in Citi when they can get no-dividend common at twice the market rate?
Can someone explain the precedence between union and creditors? Are these unsecured debts?
I do not think it matters now.
//Can someone explain the precedence between union and creditors? Are these unsecured debts?//
I do not think it matters now.
Doesn't it? Don't the creditors always have the right to force a BK? If so, what's the precedence in a BK?
'We tried building cars in Mexico'
'Tried' - VW doesn't try, it does, at a profit.
Maybe the problem isn't really Mexican, but American.
Brazil also comes to mind - VW and Mercedes both seem to do fine there, though in the case of Mercedes, its market is weighted heavily to buses and trucks.
Preview for what is coming up for China/other idiots who hold US bonds - Neu Dollar - Neu Dollar will be 1/5th of the old dollar.
A brilliant plan.. Convert everyone to stock and THEN declare bankruptcy wiping out the shareholders.. A win-win!
'they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site'
You, sir, are someone that needs a good teabagging.
Basel an unsecured creditor is way ahead of a stockholder. Were you being facetious?
Dawg just back those bucks with the printer and I'll run with it over FRN's.
There you have it.
For the past eight years, as I see a Japanese or Korean or German vehicle on the road, I have been counting the days to the collapse. I mean, com'on. Even the stupid could put two and two together, realizing that the US productive sector was being sacrificed to the Plantation Capitalist's.
Plantation capitalism is a term that I invented, in honor of Walmart and the turn by the Dixiectrats' haterade of A Lincoln to LBJ.
Even the retailers are starting to realize that JQP has run out of greenich. All you dumb bastards who are buying imported goods: Duh.
CR,
Why not post occasional articles on the social and psychological impact of the ongoing crisis on j6p. I am not suggesting that you abandon your focus on colorful graphs or economic reports, which has always been the focus of your website.
It is just that the social impacts of the ongoing crisis are only now being felt to an extent that cannot be ignored (inspite of the exortions of the MSM). Ultimately those impacts and responses to them will shape the future, economic and otherwise.
What money? What shares? What value?
//Doesn't it? Don't the creditors always have the right to force a BK? If so, what's the precedence in a BK?//
It is just that the social impacts of the ongoing crisis are only now being felt to an extent that cannot be ignored (inspite of the exortions of the MSM). Ultimately those impacts and responses to them will shape the future, economic and otherwise.
+1
I want to know when to go long riot gear.
an unsecured creditor is way ahead of a stockholder. Were you being facetious?
If there is no money left to pay the unsecured, which may be the case given that the employee benefit plan has priority over the general unsecureds, then the general unsecureds would get wiped out completed in a Chap 11. at least with a trade, they would have equity. kind of bizarre, but that's the mechanics.
tulipi:
here's the general 507(a) priority list. because Chap 11 operates under the absolute priority rule, each class must get paid in full before a class below them gets a penny.
summarized: Bankruptcy payment priority claims under section 507
code: US CODE: Title 11,507. Priorities
The third reich tried that, and got quite good at it too..
I would not recommend it though.
Why don't you direct your anger at the rich white assholes who led the country to it's present state? I mean why blame mexicans when the leaders you elected sold you out?
//'they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site'//
What money? What shares? What value?
Are you saying that liquidation would yield nothing?
/I guess we're using the Socratic method today
I think guillotines and incinerators are the more likely end result. I wish it was not so.. but I have a feeling that we will end up there.
I do not think j6p is going to like being unplugged from the matrix.
//I want to know when to go long riot gear.//
Simmer. Down.
We must round them all up and deport them. Nothing racist about it, Mexcio is a country NOT a race, I do not care if the illegal mexicans are black or white, they are illegal and should be deported and or shot on site. <i/>
As France must deal with her illegals; Nar so to Austraila; Importing humans for labor as in Dubia.
From one human to another - The ones that enslave others.
I too would like to think outside the box.
How can you extract money from a corporation with negative worth and a rapidly declining amount of customers for its goods?
I want to know? Especially GM and Chrysler with their pension plans and health care plans.
//Are you saying that liquidation would yield nothing?//
I think the UAW is getting to the point where current employees and retirees have divergent interests and cannot be represented by one party without conflicts. Retirees may not get much in a BK, but things have gotten to the point where they might decide its their best chance.
<i/> oops
Who will buy the bad parts of GM and Chrysler? except the taxpayer.
<i/>
Since everything has bee said already, let me just leave you wit this;
We no longer have "Global Warming" any more, now we have "Climate Change", better known as, "The 4 Seasons".
They do have the right to vote in various elections. They are more than 2 million strong and have lots of time.
//Retirees may not get much in a BK, but things have gotten to the point where they might decide its their best chance.//
As many have said, CDS is the elephant in the room. Won't a stock-for-debt deal trigger them?
I think the only chance to bring CDS holders to the bargaining table is a credible announcement that the
treasury will let entities that have written a lot of GM CDS go BK, with CDS holders having to take their
chances in court.
They are trying to be the matrix.. but they suck at it.
//Who the hell does the main stream media think they are, taking it upon themselves to control the minds of individuals, trying to turn us it into a collective? We are individuals! We are not a collective and we cannot be controlled!//
I think the UAW is getting to the point where current employees and retirees have divergent interests
I'm waiting for the public servant unions to come to the same realization.
I agree the rich white asshole sold out the country.
a) They allowed illegal Mexicans to run over the country and take many blue collar jobs.
b) They allowed H1-B Indian immirgrants to take white collar jobs and push down wages and benefits
c) They allowed manufactuing to be offshored to China.
So the solution is obvious, nothing angry about understanding the truth.
The US economy would return overnight.
I don't blame poor Mexicans from coming here but that does not make them legal in my country. My right under the laws of the Unitied State of America (used to be the greatest country on earth) is to deport thier ass back to Mexico. What part of the law and truth do you not understand?
I understand that Mexico is a complete cess pool and Mexicans have not clue how to run a democrated country and would try to escape myself if I was born there. Just like all the central Americans that sneak into Mexico, do you know what the Mexicans do? THe kill them, on the streets like dogs? If you've spent any time in Mexico you will understand how racist and backwards the country is. Perhaps when we deport all the illegals back they will have learned enough about civilized society and individual liberty in order to start something new in Mexico, who knows, its up to the Mexicans.
You are scaring the sheeple! There are many who read this blog but do not post on it.
//As many have said, CDS is the elephant in the room. Won't a stock-for-debt deal trigger them?//
Pension plans have priority? Give 'em Hummers and Escalades at MSRP. None of this mark to market stuff, full MSRP.
Why are we counting?
They ain't gonna let it happen. Too many unknowns.
Y'all get ready to grab those ankles one more time.
Tanta is in a better place. I would hate to have her here to experience what we are going to have to go through.
The plague ridden people in 14th century europe thought that killing jews, suspected witches and warlocks would work. Then they tried praying and flogging themselves. Nothing worked.
The US economy cannot 'return' because the assumptions underlying our current system are f**ked! Unless those are corrected it won't matter.
Once those assumptions are corrected immigrants won't reduce your living standard. They will increase it!
//The US economy would return overnight.//
:: ::
I think the UAW is getting to the point where current employees and retirees have divergent interests and cannot be represented by one party without conflicts. Retirees may not get much in a BK, but things have gotten to the point where they might decide its their best chance. - Rufus
:: ::
I've been expecting that for a long time - good call & very possible.
Quote from article: "Why would bondholders take this deal? Only if they feared that a worse deal would ensue in Chapter 11."
No the equity goes to pay the debt, secured then unsecured. If the debt is just about worthless, then you might as well try equity if the US is your partner.
I cant wait for the drug cartels to turn on the elected officials in a big way and exterminate all their government officials. It will be the US's fault of course for promoting the killings with our war on drugs campaign.
:: ::
I think the only chance to bring CDS holders to the bargaining table is a credible announcement that the
treasury will let entities that have written a lot of GM CDS go BK, with CDS holders having to take their
chances in court.
:: ::
A game of counter-party chicken... see who takes the ditch first.
Arbeit Macht Frei
Boost the Troops' Morale After a Round of Layoffs (Boost the Troops' Morale After a Round of Layoffs - WSJ.com
By ELIZABETH GARONE
The layoffs are over -- at least for now. As a manager, you are left to pick up the pieces and deal with employees who could be feeling everything from anger to fear about what's next -- and even some relief at being spared. You'll need to do what you can to keep morale from plummeting. Here's how.
Find alternative incentives. At Greenough Communications in Boston, employees used to be rewarded monetarily on a monthly basis for exceptional work. But now managers have been forced to find alternative rewards, says Stacey Mann, vice president for talent development. "Now, instead of cash, we give time off. In January, we created 'Winter Fridays,' in which the award was for someone to leave at 3:00 p.m. on a Friday." The company plans to continue the incentive throughout the year -- or until the economy picks up again.
How true, here is nice video of Mexicans burning the American flag in Mexico city, yet they all want to come work here.
I would say it is called jelousy and hatred. Mexico would be much better off if the dropped thier latino culture and create a nation of laws with individual liberty.
YouTube - Burning Flag at the US Embassy in MEXICO CITY, MEXICO
Take Argentina for example, another poor county but without latino politics. Not many Argentinians want to move to the USA, Argentina is a fantastic place to live: poor or rich. Why? Because they value the individual, rule of law, and are a civilized society.
Truth Hurts. Sorry if you are a Mexican but your country sucks and has always sucked, if you don't like it then go change it?
Heck, it isn't just the employees and retirees at odds. The UAW has risen to be at odds with both. Black Lake Golf anyone?
"I want to know when to go long riot gear"
Try this for your protection.
Thor Shield Anti-Taser/Anti-Microwave
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y__ZmYhtbzo
I think the only chance to bring CDS holders to the bargaining table is a credible announcement that the
treasury will let entities that have written a lot of GM CDS go BK, with CDS holders having to take their
chances in court.
CDS holders have in general probably hedged counterparty exposure. It may make for a lopsided game of chicken.
"Global Waming" was changed to "Climate Change" because the right wing idiots are too uneducated to understand that with global warming not everywhere gets more hot and more dry.
Remember these are the same people that believe in literal bible stories, so that have a hard time with simple reasoning over words such as "warming".
But it says warming so how can some places actually get more rain and cold, I am so confused, .... LOL Retards.
I have not met a single argentinian who said that.. and I have known many.
They only claim that it is better than colombia and maybe a bit better than brazil. The women are hot though..
//Argentina is a fantastic place to live//
@anonymous
Who is hiring the illegals?
Where is the rule of law being questioned?
"We are not a collective and we cannot be controlled! "
Mexico is a collective, all Catholic countries are a collective, in fact all religious countries are a collective. Hence the seperation of church and state.
Danger for America on all side and from within.
Religion creates a gap for people to step in a take control of populations. Religious freak talk with God and of course God does not talk back so you know have an opportunity to put on a nice suit become God's messanger.
That is how the right wingers stepped in and took control of the religious nutcases in America. Very scary indeed. Remember GW Bush talking with God? LOL.
I find south american women to be quite the thing though.. not too butch and not too childlike.. just right.. their mixed ancestry gives you quite the variety of features too.
A bit too dramatic.. yes, that stereotype is not untrue. But overall, not too bad- unless they see you as meal ticket.
...because the right wing idiots are too uneducated to understand...
Dkos and realclimate aren't here. We've got some smart people making important points about the consequences of GM bankruptcy. Listen and learn or join in the conversation.
White farmers and professionals..oops
//Who is hiring the illegals?//
@anonymous
Anyone talking the two party stuff is...missing what's happening?
Climate change is a misanthropic scam though.. They claim to predict the future based on heavily gamed computer models that cannot predict the past (even the last 50 years).
Climate scientists make wall street quants look good.
anonymous,
So it's about religion...ever been to Mexico?
Argentina is the only place in "latin America" that has enough civivilized European secular thought that it is worth living. That is why everyone is shocked when they visit Argentina and realize how civilized it is. Can you imagine an article like this below being writen about Mexico? LOL.
"A recent survey showed that in order to live or visit, Argentina is one of the places that have in mind the Europeans. According to the newspaper El Pais of Spain, Argentina headed the ranking of nonEuropean destinies to go visit.The prestigious Irish magazine “International Living” included the land of the gaucho and the tango as a preferred destination to settle down. In its survey of Quality of Life 2007, Argentina appears tenth in the ranking, although the country is the only Latin American representative in the listing, headed by France. According to “International Living”, the gastronomy, the customs, the low cost of life, and the night life are the parameters that were taken into account to enter the top ten. The listing is headed by France and is followed by Australia, Holland, New Zealand and the United States."
As for GM...no credit...no caro...no GM
No sunspots for the past 19 months means global cooling in a big way. Global temperatures are back to where they were 100 years ago according to NASA. I guess you will learn how effective CO2 is on climate change when they report crop failures due to freezing this summer in South America.
Lowest sunspot activity since 1913.
SpaceWeather.com: Spotless Days: The Sun Plunges into the Deepest Solar Minimum in a Century
In case you are curious, climate models do not factor cloud cover or the effect of non-condensed water vapor on heat reflection or retention.
They also use continuously changing scaling factors to unsuccessfully fit models to actual data. And they add or subtract known parameters (like evaporation and precipitation) to push the model to get the desired answer.
anonymous,
Citizens are wearing bullet proof vests in Buenos Aires...
hope Ken gets the ignore/ip block feature up and running ...
No climate change scientists do NOT predict the future, go talk to some. The study was is going on in the present relative to the past and provide beyond any doubt with evidence that the earth is WARMING TODAY. Not a cycle, ect...
Then they do a range of projections into the future based on what is happening today and will be the first to tell you that these are projection and will discuss that factors with you on what would change these projections. It is actually very basic, simple science.
It is politicians that predict the future, not the scientists, you've been watching too much Fox News. Corporate America is desperate to stop carbon laws and so spending tons of money on Fox News.
The earth has warmed, it has been proved, you can claim that it is God that did it I guess, but that would make you retarded.
But it is carbon dioxide.. my religion says so... it is due to human activity- the original sin
Only infidels believe that the sun has any effect on the earths climate.
//Lowest sunspot activity since 1913//
Even if there's something to global warming, a global deflation will reduce emissions especially when it really kicks in...
Religion, global warming, and marriage arrangements will distract us from survivalism...
It has been since the late 1980s.. just like it did in the 1930s.. just like it did in the 8th century.. and between 5000 BC and 2000BC.
It will also cool down one day just like the 1960s and 1970s. and the late 1300s.. and 1000 BC and the 6th century AD
//earth is WARMING TODAY.//
I had forgotten this from long ago
Large Detroit Car Company from Elephant Parts.
YouTube - Large Detroit Car Company
Early eighties jokes about poverty and corporate greed are strangely topical again - hoocoodanode?
uno mundo,
so what, the intended comparison is Argentina too Mexico not the USA. Compare Argentina to Mexico. Because of their secular European influence to even out some of the Latino mafi culture it beats Mexico hands down.
It is to help people like you understand what makes America so great and places like Mexico such cess pools, it is NOT God nor Luck. It is the society that the people choose to live in.
Mexico is a complete dump. Do you believe that statement is false? What would millions of Mexicans try to esacape and leave thier family behind it Mexico was not a complete cess pool?
It is simply the truth. If are too retarded to start with the truth will never get the answers.
Once and for all, here is what God is all about;
All people have the potential to become as God is, You just have to qualify to get in the club. Club members know qualified candidates and approve entry when they encounter them. Others that don't make it in the club are either recycled or destroyed.
'They claim to predict the future based on heavily gamed computer models that cannot predict the past (even the last 50 years).'
And they do a horrible job with the future too - compared to actual observational data, all the models are far too optimistic in their predictions.
Just like the bank stress test, the reality of climate change as depicted by real time data is beyond the model's most pessimistic conclusions.
Some people get confused - the global effects of increasing atmospheric CO2 on a planetary atmosphere in terms of how solar energy is retained are the basis for empirical observations which are honestly difficult to dispute, even if the single cause is not CO2. It is quite possible to model, using simple assumptions but ever more refinable data, the effects of Arctic sea ice melting in terms of albedo, ocean water heat retention, sea ice formation, etc for example.
But the fundamental assumption isn't Arctic sea ice is melting, how can we blame it on our pet cause, the fundamental science concerns the effects of the observed data into the future, and the other mechanisms involved.
Our ignorance is quite large, but the results of the planet wide experiment will likely be observable for geologically significant amounts of time - after all, the amount of carbon which has been restored to the atmosphere is geologically significant, and took geological spans of time to bury. Our actions today will not change processes which have been now active for decades, involving effects that will take lifetimes to reliably measure.
Our belief is not required.
Ooops - forgot the overview -
'
The first theory of global warming came in 1824 when French mathematician Jean Baptiste Joseph Fourier discovered that the Earth's temperature was slowly increasing. Fourier argued that the earth's atmosphere traps solar radiation and reflects it back toward the earth.
In the late 19th century Fourier's theory was labeled the "greenhouse effect" when Nobel Laureate Svante Arrhenius coined the term to explain how carbon dioxide traps heat in the Earth's atmosphere. Arrhenius believed that the greenhouse effect was responsible for the onset of the ice ages. By the 1960s, many scientists dismissed this theory in favor of the hypothesis of Serbian geophysicist, Milutin Milankovitch, relating climate change to the orbital changes of the earth.
In the 1950s, amateur scientist G.S. Callendar warned that the greenhouse effect was true and dramatically impacting the atmosphere of the Earth. Callendar's claims were termed the "Callendar effect," and led to increased research on global warming. Over the next few decades, scientists developed ways to measure the Earth's climate and devised mathematical models to better analyze global temperature. This led to a steady rise in the belief that human activity was dramatically effecting the environment. Scientific studies began to predict that increased carbon dioxide emissions, due to increased use of fossil fuels, would trigger an outbreak of global warming.'
Global Warming History
(google cache)
whew, a late night post from CR... soon, if you keep this up you'll be in my time zone!
I think it was Byzantine Ruins who quoted extensively from Carol Reed's masterpiece 'The Third Man'... so
here is a clip - the Ferris wheel scene - Harry Lime's (Orson Welles) belief system seems to mesh well with out own times, no?
YouTube - Lloyd Blankfein @ Goldman Sachs "We Do God's Work" & Orson Welles explains Hubris & Greed
Lucifer been watching Fox News and/or reading right wing web sites. Try researching the truth. Google your statements about warming and you'll find how retarded you are in about 30 seconds. Then try and google intelligent design.
I have a feeling that your beliefs are based in your "secular religion" rather than reality. Argentina is not as bad as colombia (because of our war on drugs), but it is not much better than brazil.
//Compare Argentina to Mexico.//
Anyway...all you have to do is look up and see that there is cloud covers created from aerial chem spraying over populated areas so maybe that's the solution to global warming...chem cloud covers blocking the sun. it's obvious something is being done overhead. Just look up and see 'white lines' left by large jets and they aren't commercial jets. Maybe it's a UN program for weather modification and global warming prevention...
I have a much better idea of computer simulations than you.. especially those involving physical systems.
//Lucifer been watching Fox News and/or reading right wing web sites. //
' But it is carbon dioxide.. my religion says so... it is due to human activity- the original sin
Only infidels believe that the sun has any effect on the earths climate.'
Um, leaving aside the simplistic reduction, you do realize that the greenhouse effect only works in the presence of solar radiation?
The C02 heat retention theory is not exactly controversial, though its extension to predict global climate is still exceedingly primitive. Much like any theories involving orbital variations, solar output cycles, etc.
It isn't a single cause universe, even if some people ascribe original sin to any human belief or action.
P = seAT4
It is called science. You know the pesky little formulas that got use cars, airplanes, put people on the moon. Keep watching Fox News, they understand the truth about these pesky little formulas, formuals are evil, there are no scientific formulas in the bible!!
uno mundo,
cess pools are everywhere...been to LA, Miami, Phoenix? Like I asked...been to Mexico? You seem to come from the global warming Left while sounding like Lou Dobbs with the scaremongering...paid blogger?
that was to anonymouse
The biggest player in the green house effect on earth is water vapour.
Water, in its gaseous forms, is the most important greenhouse gas. Open a good chemistry book- look the absorption and emission spectra of various green house gases and calculate their contribution to the greenhouse effect... you can find the average concentrations of those gases in any decent handbook.
'We've got some smart people making important points about the consequences of GM bankruptcy. Listen and learn or join in the conversation.'
Well, some of us post news about Opel and Saab, and still respond to people who continue to espouse global cooling and predict growing Arctic sea ice cover - which didn't come to pass, by the way. Data is like that - it doesn't care about anyone's opinions.
Lucifer, I think you will relate to this anti-climate change Fox News watching brother of yours. Amazing how retarded people can be.
YouTube - Iraqi TV Debate: Is the Earth Flat?
I don't see how swaping debt for equity... even if it wipes our existing shareholders... fixes any of GM's problems.
What about having too dealers? too many brands? Entenched and ineffective management? This seems like a lost oppertunity by kicking the can down the road untill the next GM bankrupcry.
and please don't try to teach me about physical and chemical equations ... I use them for a living. I am guessing that you do not.
Comedy Alert!
Bank Regulators Clash Over Endgame of U.S. Bank Stress Tests
(Bank Regulators Clash Over U.S. Stress-Tests Endgame (Update1) - Bloomberg
By Robert Schmidt
April 18 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury and financial regulators are clashing with each other over how to disclose results from the stress tests of 19 U.S. banks, with some officials concerned at potential damage to weaker institutions.
With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said. While the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and other regulators want few details about the assessments to be publicized, the Treasury is pushing for broader disclosure.
The disarray highlights what threatens to be a lose-lose situation for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: If all the banks pass, the tests’ credibility will be questioned, and if some banks get failing grades and are forced to accept more government capital and oversight, they may be punished by investors and customers.
I posted a shit load of youtube videos on the subject yesterday. Irrefutable evidence it is. Where are all the environmental wackos on this subject? You would think the spraying of cancer causing chemicals on our heads would get a rise out of them.
Another Comedy Alert!
JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon Diagrams Fragile Economy for NBA Owners
(JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon Diagrams Fragile Economy for NBA Owners - Bloomberg
By Vince Golle and Scott Soshnick
April 18 (Bloomberg) -- Jamie Dimon outlined yesterday gave the U.S. recession and tattered financial landscape facing owners of the National Basketball Association’s 30 franchises.
The chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second-largest U.S. bank by assets, spoke with NBA owners at the St. Regis Hotel in New York for more than an hour. NBA Commissioner David Stern called it a “far-ranging discussion with a person of enormous knowledge about every aspect of the economy.”
anonymus,
If you are worried about global warming, how warm will things get with nuke fallout from dumb wars for profit?
I think global warming and illegals will be the big sideshow to the fleecing of the world's citizens by the deal makers...notice the big media push on these topics of late...I mean there's a global Crash to get through that could happen within months...the global warming is a slow process if it's happening right now...by the way illegals are returning to Mexico because jobs are drying up in the Homeland...that's why I think these topics are distractions to the bankruptcy of America's car makers...
seems the only thing I have to contribute here is my film knowledge... the rest of it - mainly financed based - has gone the
way where the information crammed for say taking a series 7 or 21 exam goes, something worse I think than the proverbial toilet...
one more rip-0ff, err... I mean homage to Carol Reed - Harry Lime's famous cuckoo clock speech YouTube - The Third Man - Orson Welles' Great Cuckoo Clock Speech against Democracy, Peace & Brotherly Love
But why try and predict the demise of GM? GM went bankrupt many, many years ago.
It is simply a political discussion, trying to guess what deals will get done in Washington.
Republicans want UAW to go under but GM management to survive. Democrates want the UAW to survive and GM management to go under - labor vs. capital. I believe both deserve to go under but won't happen, a deal will be made.
Been educating you retards on this all long, read about Mexico, learn about America, if you are smart you'd understand.
Labor vs. capital , illegal slave labor vs. labor , capital vs. America , religion vs. America , retards vs. America
Mother America getting hit from all sites. Blame Bush, Clinton, Bush. I you whities were not such cowards you have done away with them. Why do you right wing American whities buy so many guns, you will never use them, bunch of cowards.
Bloomberg:
"The U.S. Treasury and financial regulators are clashing with each other over how to disclose results from the stress tests of 19 U.S. banks, with some officials concerned at potential damage to weaker institutions.
With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said. While the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and other regulators want few details about the assessments to be publicized, the Treasury is pushing for broader disclosure.
The disarray highlights what threatens to be a lose-lose situation for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: If all the banks pass, the tests’ credibility will be questioned, and if some banks get failing grades and are forced to accept more government capital and oversight, they may be punished by investors and customers."
..."Geithner has said he crafted the stress test program in an effort to provide more transparency about the health of banks’ balance sheets. He and Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke have also noted that most of the 19 banks are currently well capitalized and that not all of them would need new capital."
Or you might say some big banks are undercapitalized and most would need new capital. Treasury "pushing for broader disclosure"? You're protesting too much, Timmy. We might believe you when you release ALL the data about All the banks. Period.
uno mundo,
You nailed it! These are just distractions, not unlike reagan's 'cadillac driving welfare recipients'.
1 currency now -yogi,
That is why I labelled the same article as 'comedy alert'.
This line was the best one though..
"With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said."
'green house effect on earth is water vapour'
And methane plays a major role, though the methane escape rates from mines and wells has remained fairly static over decades, apparently. Lots of real time data here, by the way - ESRL Global Monitoring Division
And before a bunch of people jump in, at least read a bit about them here - ESRL Global Monitoring Division - Research Areas Seems like pretty much what you would expect from a data gathering group, though it does tend to work on an international scale involving the Internet and other advances in how real time and presumably reliable observational data is collected, stored, and evaluated.
It is a complex, multi-variable world out there, and even the entire landmass, which by no stretch of the imagination has been accurately measured for longer stretches of time, is just a fraction of the surface area of the globe.
Which is why it is so sad to see people reduce such discussions to simplicities, either their own, or those ascribed to others.
The CO2 rise is data, its effects will also be observable. For example, ocean acidity levels. The world is larger than us; we will never completely grasp it, being only a part of the whole, and the only certain truth I hold about the future is that everyone born will die, most definitely including myself.
The pirate story was a huge distraction to take your attention away from the 2,300 Taxday tea party protests held around the country. Who is brainwashing you?
CR,
What do you think of this whopper-
"With a May 4 deadline approaching, there is no set plan for how much information to release, how to categorize the results or who should make the announcements, people familiar with the matter said."
Where did I see that UN story about global cooling in 2008? Look it up Anonymous.
Jinx. You really are the Devil.
that stress test "disclosure" is a clusterfk. methinks axelrod and emmanuel tried to navigate political winds, but any disclosure will be pointless, because there are just way too many gaps for the tests to make sense.
someone shot an airball.
anony,
Mexico is one of many nations with a cheap labor force that is used for profits...there's China, India, and pretty soon the USA...
With all due respect to the mental capacity of true believers in any religion (traditional or secular).
carbon dioxide levels were above 1000 ppm for majority of the last 500 million. Heck there were periods where they came close to 3%.. and those were ages when there was a lot more life on earth.
Where do you think all of that coal and oil came from.. old super forests, big bogs, huge marshes and colossal plankton beds..
There needs to be currency stress tests...that'll be next.
I thought Orson Welles directed The Third Man ... learn something new everyday.
Taxday teaparty is a right wing corporate lobby funded anti-Obama scam. The idea was stolen from Ron Paul's tea party during the election.
Nothing would be more retarded than an American attending one of these fake tea parties on behalf of corporate Republican scum. I can't think of anything more disgusting and unAmerican.
Constantly amazing me how retarded people are, is that hard to follow the money and figure out the truth? It takes all of about 3 brain cells and 15 minutes.
There is a big Obama vs. Corporate America + Repbulican corporate cocksuckers + Demcratic corporate cocksuckers going on right now.
Rather then a tax tea party you should have a close the federal reserve and dump it into the Hudson party.
I offer this with kindness. If you spend more then a few hours daily deluging your thoughts with the miasma of economic bad news you are really throwing off your mental equilibrium. Get away from your computer, go for a walk, talk to a real person.
Many comments here are endless variants with the same essential message.
uno mundo, you missed my educational posts: How do you think America will be next? Who will the cheap labor be for? That is completely retarded, have you graduated from high school yet?
Mexico = blue collar service jobs
India = white collar back office jobs
China = offshore manufacturing.
That is the destruction and selling out of America in a nutshell. It is the truth.
The solution is:
Mexico = deport them all, now. Shoot to kill at the border.
India = end all H1-B visa programs.
China = tax the hell out of manufacturing.
That is the solution, no holding my breath, so America will continue her decline until enough Americans wake up from thier slumber.
No, he always 'played down his role'. But his influence was undeniable.
........GM Said to Target UAW Health Accord Shortly After Chrysler Deal .......
GM Said to Target UAW Health Accord Shortly After Chrysler Deal - Bloomberg.com
........do you smell something?.........
anony,
People are protesting giving taxpayer money to banks that have failed from gambling and looting, pump & dumping and ponzification...what's the diff between a fleeced Repub, Dem, or indep. taxpayer...between an athiest or Catholic taxpayer...between a gay or straight taxpayer...it's all borrowedc govt. debt 'mone'y' into the unbalanced sheet and bonus pool...of the big bad banks...do you 'see' now?
He does not want to..
//do you 'see' now?//
a,
Why would anyone want to work with a 'divider'...a namecaller...you putting people in boxes...playing one off the other...go play with your armymen...
I have to say these Fox News "teabaggers" must be the most retarded people in America. The same crew that voted for Bush twice in a row.
"Teabaggers are having a hard time coming to terms with the fact that "grassroots" demonstrations aren't orchestrated by corporate lobbyists. Understandable -- if you didn't have any experience organizing a demonstration that didn't have millions in free PR from Fox News and well-funded GOP fat cats providing a national infrastructure, you wouldn't know the difference. "
Firedoglake » Corporate Lobbyists Raising Money For Tea Parties
The truth hurts. America has been run by corporate interests for 8 years, this includes Mexican slave labor, Indian labor, and Chinese slave lablor at the expense of the American middle class.
GM is currently the lastest battleground, Mexicans will build cars of $5 per hour and no health care and no taxes, he makes sense, that is the kind of society I want to live in...
uno mundo,
I think he has escaped from "the democratic underground".. he is a white supremacist leftist.
//go play with your armymen//
Even IF I AGREED with you A, you'd call me a name andSAY I WAS WRONG...
I put little faith in these deadlines. GM was supposed to dissolve or sell Hummer by March 31. As I write this, it is April 17. They have done neither.
"you putting people in boxes'
Yes, I am putting people into 3 boxes -
AQ if you knew anything about the Media, you'd know they(Fox) covered the tax protest with THEIR spin and as always things are more complex than propaganda incl. your propaganda approach...do you think there's more than you 'know'...
GM's future is in the control of Washington politics.
It's kinda funny AO...you knock Fox and the teabaggers but you sound like Fox.
GM Bankruptcy would be a positive, washington lets a big firm go under. Now only if they would let Citi and Bank of America go under.
With both GM management and the UAW out of the way perhaps some innovation in the auto industry could take place in America.
GM workers will be fine, they can buy houses for about $1,000 a pop in Flint Michigan, then great city that they destroyed.
............Boao Forum for Asia (BFA) Annual Conference 2009 ............
Premier: China's stimulus package plan paying off_English_Xinhua
........... China's economic stimulus package plan is already paying off, and positive changes have taken place in the economy.........
Look on the bright side, no more GM or Chrysler will help reduce production of CO2, so that's a win for the administration.
A loss for everyone else, but this is about dogma not jobs !
The one good thing about Mexico is that it is such a cess pool already that global delfation will not hurt it as much.
How can a culture in the 21st century not be able to figure out basic plumbing? Please explain that too me?
Ancient cultures with not technology had plumbing systems that did not smell like Mexico's toilets.
It is realy is difficult to comprehend?
If I was the poorest person in Mexico I could still figure out how to make a shit house smell nice, it is not that difficult.
'GM is currently the lastest battleground' Huh?
Hey anondiddy,
Du U know Mexico has com-puters...and cell phones...and teevees...you oughta smell the middle class toylets...not too bad...
"no more GM or Chrysler will help reduce production of CO2"
...........what a dumb ass!.............GM and Chrysler BK will eliminate all cars from the road?.............this will help foreign car makers.......Japanese car makers' , even Korean Kia stocks surged after the possibility of GM BK..........
From Wikipedia on Why Mexican Toilets stink - "Code there doesn't always require a 'P' trap to hold water and thus block sewer gases from backing into the house. "
Ha Ha, supports my theory.
If a culture cannot organize politically enought to install "P" traps so that their toilets do not stink... well God help them. LOL.
GM is going bankrupt because of 'globalization'...the race to the bottom for wages...and also the credit contraction where not many people or businesses can get loans...the global credit crunch has accelerated the demise brought on by globalization. We now are entering the Twilight Zone of Globalization and the global derivatives 'credit crunch'...or massive credit contraction...plus stock market hanky panky...and bailouts for financialization losses...etc.
I've been around in northern Mexico away from the border and I like the country and the people just fine. I've been in a few restrooms in California that aren't exactly advertisements for sanitation.
The solution seems to be to give the illegal immigrants a teabag, and an ice cube, and twenty shares of GM,...solve all the problems mentioned above in one shot.
Ha Ha, smelly toilets have become cultural,
Of course, at some point that prohibition becomes cultural rather than simply practical, and even in houses with perfectly-functioning modern toilets that can take anything you throw at them, you will still see the TP bins.
And, oddly, in just about any semi-public venue frequented by recent Central American immigrants. The Home Depot in Falls Church, VA, has trash cans next to the toilets (men's room!), I suppose because otherwise the poopy TP would end up on the floor. I've been to Guatemala and El Salvador, and have been on the other side of the equation--it was virtually impossible for me to remember to not drop my toilet paper in the toilet. Old habits die hard, I suppose.
A,
U R right bout the pea traps but the builders will put em in if you ask...hey if a billion people starve to death because of the Global Deflation and credit freeze...can we change the subject?
'carbon dioxide levels were above 1000 ppm for majority of the last 500 million.'
Any interest in posting global average temperatures during the majority of that period, even allowing the extent to which such data is extrapolated and inferred? The answer might simply be that averages temperatures were higher with higher carbon cycle gases in the atmosphere, but you are welcome to demonstrate, with data, how that is an incorrect summation of that time period.
Since that observed correlation is considered to be due to causation. A causation which can be measured in isolation, though it should be apparent to everyone that a single element in a complex system cannot be so easily reduced to follow its effects with deceptive simplicity. Cloud formation, for example, is a major variable, both for cooling and warming - but the greenhouse effect is not in dispute, especially when viewed over the 500 million year time span you cite.
This might seem like a never ending story, but Chrysler only has 12 more days, and just 42 days left for GM
Over at The Truth About Cars they've had the GM Deathwatch series of editorials for over 2.5 years, IIRC.
More on how Mexicans rather then organize into social groups they live with smelly toilets.
The truth so hurts. Mexica (Catholic Latino in the bigger sense) cultures are so family based they cannot even organize basic social structures like buidling codes to deal with smelly toilets. DO NOT invest in any latino culture until the culture changes and they start believing in indiviuals above the family mafi unit.
Mexico Smells Like Sh!t
I just got a whiff of sewer gas, it came in the windows. Normally I don’t smell sewer from my home. But for some reason a few minutes ago I smelled sewer. Thankfully that’s over now. I hope it doesn’t come back. But the stink inspired me to finally write a post I’ve been thinking about for a long time.
Mexico often smells like shit. In Cancun I sometimes smell shit when I’m in the hotel zone, near the posh houses and big hotels. And sometimes you smell it when you are in the nice parts of downtown. And it goes without saying that you smell it when you go to the poorest neighborhoods.
It makes sense that in a 3rd world country there will be problems with the public sewer system. They don’t have the money here to keep the roads properly repaired and they don’t have the money to pick up the garbage that’s strewn around the city, so why should the sewer system work perfectly? It shouldn’t. But actually that’s not why I’m writing this post.
I’m writing because in Mexico it’s common for the inside of people’s houses to smell like shit. This is because it’s very common here for drains to be put in without water traps. A water trap is a device that works by keeping an amount of water between the room and the sewer, so the sewer gas can’t escape. A water trap for a floor drain or a sink costs less than $50 MXP (under $5 USD). There is no reason on earth not to put one in every drain in the house.
And yet I have wealthy friends in Cancun whose answer to having a stinky sewer gas filled bathroom is to keep the door shut. Instead of solving the shit smell problem with a $5 USD part they opt to keep the door shut? Does this make sense? Not to me it doesn’t. I don’t know how people can justify not fixing this, unless they secretly LIKE the smell. Ick!
BTW- the toilet design is a P-trap, take a look at the S curve between the bowl and the flange,...not sure what the problem you're describing is.
There was little north or south pole ice cover during most of the last 500 million years. The south pole only started to resemble today version in the last 20 million years. The north pole was even more fickle.. it has never been continuously frozen for over for more than a few thousand years at any time.. even less since the last ice age ended.. sediments.. plankton..
What's worse...the stink or the obsession of the stink?
How does it smell in New York City?
Uhh.. the green house effect is what makes the earth inhabitable! without it the whole planet would be a frozen iceball.. except maybe at the equator... and that has happened at least once during the last billion years.
//but the greenhouse effect is not in dispute, especially when viewed over the 500 million year time span you cite.//
Hmmm, can't say if I remember a P-trap under a sink, but I think I would have noticed if it weren't there. I'd guess (purely a guess) that they don't have the vents to our code. Without proper venting, the gas pressure from the sewer will back up through the traps. And when building a structure, those damn vents are hard to site unobtrusively.
Mexicans can solve their problems if they kill every mexican with a majority white spanish heritage. It is those douchebags who have gamed and f**ked the system with their zero-sum game mentality and racist attitudes.
"they may be punished by investors and customers."
yes, a real run on the deposit base of BAC is not the confidence-building exercise that timmy and O were hoping for... but that's the only rational outcome of any 'stress test' with even the slightest bit of credibility.
its a shame the above shitheads ruin the reputation of the tin-foil brigade by association, when the nature of fractional reserve banking really needs to be discussed and the paulites are in the small minority that attempts to bring it into focus.
First there was the dreaded 'smog', then the dreaded 'hole in the ozone layer. Remember if you used hairspray you were opening the ozone hole. Now it's the dreaded 'global warming' that causing the seas to rise and turning frigid zones into tropical heat zones. It is a fact the Uranus is getting hotter along with Mars and Venus and the other planets. I mean we don't want to make the 'scientific research' of global warming into a religion. If you are the same A who doesn't like religion, why would you wanna make globalwarming a religion? How is the ozone layer and smog doing? Any better?
I have always said that environmentalists should be put in the incinerators along with Banksters, MBAs and certain types of lawyers (especially corporate lawyers).
"How does it smell in New York City? "
............yeah , whole city is one big public toilet...........
Wow. Toilet design and ethno-stinkiness. Ken will need to crate an "ignore Friday night" button if this keeps up. Way to elevate the discussion.
It's not central banking per se. It's the particular central bankers in question. It's not banking per se that's the problem. It's particular bankers in question. It's not politics per say in question...it's certain politicians who are in question. It's not capitalism per se...it's those who claim to be Capitalists and who are not that are in question...
Clearly, if Mexicans used P-Traps we'd have a huge reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.
..........COx emission is good opportunity to make mney as investors.....
..........carbon credit exchange market will boom in the near future .........
@sd
yeah you need a pea trap in a sink if you are on septic...
'tin-foil brigade'=profiling, generalization, prejudgement
'teabaggers'=same as above
Wow. Toilet design and ethno-stinkiness. . . . Way to elevate the discussion.
Sorry. I just thought you'd like to know how I deal with my "legacy assets".
Shithead=profiling of someone without a pea trap
@sdtfs
Just mark them to model, rather than market (i.e. "my shit don't stink").
uno mundo, if it makes you feel any better, it is my impression that you are a shithead on a totally personal, individual level
"You putting people in boxes"
Speaking of putting people in boxes....
My girlfriend can't find any .357 ammunition for sale.
Bubblisimo, no Welles did not direct The Third Man but his influence over Carol Reed permeates the movie. Stanley Kramer had the same effect on The Caine Mutiny as Producer or any other movie where he produced and did not direct. When Harry Lime is first revealed by that light from the window Welles had been using such a technique on stage as far back as '35. (you see a great example of this in the visit to the Thatcher Memorial Library in Kane)...
our current 'great' filmmakers couldn't shine Orson's shoes
'and that has happened at least once during the last billion years.'
Let's read a bit about that -
'The End Ordovician extinctions occurred approximately 447 to 444 million years ago and mark the boundary between the Ordovician period and the following Silurian period. During this extinction event, there were several marked changes in the isotopic ratios of the biologically responsive elements carbon and oxygen. These changes in the isotopic ratios may indicate distinct events or particular phases within one event. At that time, all complex multicellular organisms lived in the sea, and of them, about 100 marine families covering about 49 percent of genera (a more reliable estimate than species) of fauna became extinct (Rohde 2005). The bi-valve brachiopods and the tiny, colonial bryozoans were decimated, along with many of the families of trilobites, conodonts, and graptolites (small, marine colonial animals).
The most commonly accepted theory is that they were triggered by the onset of a long ice age, perhaps the most severe glacial age of the Phanerozoic eon, which ended the long, stable greenhouse conditions typical of the Ordovician period. The event was preceded by a fall in atmospheric CO2, which selectively affected the shallow seas where most organisms lived. As the southern supercontinent Gondwana drifted over the South Pole, ice caps formed on it. Evidence of these has been detected in late Ordovician rock strata of North Africa and then-adjacent northeastern South America, which were south-polar locations at the time. Glaciation locks up water from the oceans, and the interglacials free it, causing sea levels repeatedly to drop and rise. During the glaciation, the vast shallow intra-continental Ordovician seas withdrew, which eliminated many ecological niches, then returned carrying diminished founder populations lacking many whole families of organisms, then withdrew again with the next pulse of glaciation, eliminating biological diversity at each change (Emiliani 1992).
The shifting in and out of glaciation stages incurred a shift in the location of bottom water formation—from low latitudes, characteristic of greenhouse conditions, to high latitudes, characteristic of icehouse conditions, which was accompanied by increased deep-ocean currents and oxygenation of the bottom water. An opportunistic fauna briefly thrived there, before anoxic conditions returned. The breakdown in the oceanic circulation patterns brought up nutrients from the abyssal waters. Surviving species were those that coped with the changed conditions and filled the ecological niches left by the extinctions.
The end of the second event occurred when melting glaciers caused the sea level to rise and stabilize once more.
Scientists from the University of Kansas and NASA have suggested that the initial extinctions could have been caused by a gamma ray burst originating from an exploding star within 6,000 light years of Earth (within a nearby arm of the Milky Way Galaxy). A ten-second burst would have stripped the Earth's atmosphere of half of its ozone almost immediately, causing surface-dwelling organisms, including those responsible for planetary photosynthesis, to be exposed to high levels of ultraviolet radiation. This would have killed many species and caused a drop in temperatures. While plausible, there is no unambiguous evidence that such a nearby gamma ray burst has ever actually occurred.'
Mass extinction - New World Encyclopedia
Fascinating stuff, even if the gamma ray is currently nothing more than speculation. And notice that unlike some, at least the researchers from the University of Kansas and NASA seem quite convinced that ozone plays a major role in the various balances that sustain life on this planet.
Ascribing motives to people describing facts, or creating theories to explain facts, is generally a sign of something more than simply attempting to describe the world around us.
What is fascinating to see is how many people simply decide that their point is correct, and then collect whatever facts support it, while using any attacks that seem reasonable to discredit anyone not holfing that belief.
As if the contrasting effects of solar radiation on the observed areas of sea ice and sea water are a matter of belief.
As noted by the historical record, change in the climate is routine, and something that must be dealt with for any species interested in long term survival.
Or societies, for that matter - the Dutch do not have the luxury of debating beliefs as compared to preparing for the results of a continuing, measurable, rise in sea levels. Preparation that will take decades, be very expensive, and may possibly be less useful than assumed. A fact that goes either way - the rise may slow or even reverse, or it may increase so quickly that Dutch preparations will be overwhelmed.
Why Americans keep debating these points is quite related to GM's seemingly inevitable formal bankruptcy - GM simply refused to change its deeply help beliefs concerning any number of facts about the world it participated in, and it is paying the normal price for being provably wrong.
Like it or not, GM is a bankrupt enterprise. An unacceptable result has become an unavoidable truth. This describes much of today's America, doesn't it?
"a huge distraction to take your attention away from the 2,300 Taxday tea party protests"
Twinkle, twinkle, little Mike
A new government is what you'd like!
All about the rebellion you cheer
Like our own agent provocateur!
being originally from Indiana I remember back in the early 70s' how guys at 18 or 19 could get a job at GM or at Delco and it was easy living... they sneered at us college bound types, telling us we'd never recover the lost income...
but sadly, with that gravy train, came abuses - ghost employees, high as a kite workers, etc...
knew this one guy in Indy that would punch in and out a couple dozen workers a day... no wonder their quality went off a cliff...
so, I wonder how the auto supply chain is going to whipsaw my former home... hmm
on a side note: watched the first half of The Dark Knight last night... at first I thought they gave Keith Ledger the Oscar out of
pity, in a way... that role that he created as the Joker was something to behold (Nicholson's portrayal was over-rated and he just as
always played Jack!) ... to get where he had to go as an actor is very scary indeed! is it possible for an actor to suffer a kind of post
traumatic stress disorder? in his case, yeah... his agent failed him miserably IMO!
when Coppola filmed Apocalypse the central problem is how do you show pure evil? Conrad's Marlowe distinctly said he had no words to
describe the embodiment of evil in Kurtz ( and we're Joseph Conrad here) ... what we got instead was a bumbling, self pitying grossly over weight
Brando who ruined the film... Ledger is pretty damn close, no?
What if we just bomb the f-ing japs again with a massive clean energy carbon import car jesus tax and give GM all the Honda plants run by the non-union blacks down south, those we have not yet locked up. Perhaps you underestimate America's ability to re-invent the unaviodable truth when it come to the unaviodable truth.
Detroit is also a cess pool but the toilets don't stink as far as I can tell. In Detriot you can buy a house for $1,000 cash and they have a P-trap and they do not smell like shit.
'Perhaps you underestimate America's ability to re-invent the unaviodable truth when it come to the unaviodable truth.'
Or at least re-invent spelling when describing fantasies.
........More plant closings, job cuts due at GM.........
More plant closings, job cuts due at GM - Apr. 17, 2009
........as expected .....time goes by like arrows , Fritz..........
On an altogether personal note, I've never been able to understand a company which sired the Cadillac XLR and, at the same time, the Pontiac Aztec.
Al the cross-platform redundancies and bizarro corporate culture aside, that GM makes both of these vehicles tells me they're deeply conflicted.
'that GM makes both of these vehicles'
More than that, Opel is able to build cars that meet stringent standards for fuel efficiency for markets where such is demanded - and yet, they remain incapable of even bringing such profitably built models to the U.S.
And if German news reports are to be believed, GM will be selling that capability in the near term future for short term liquidity. Entirely typical for GM.
Re: global warming.
Hint... it's an insignificant proportion of the total. About the same as the percentage of humans that give a rats ass about global warming.
Most of the clowns against it have never lived in the Arctic, Canada, or even Minnesota.
I'm looking forward to a very warm beach and a giant SUV to get me there.
"...it's an insignificant proportion of the total."
It's a significant effect.
This is atmospheric physics and chemistry we're talking about, and you won't get a doctorate in either subject by looking out the window at the weather. Weather and climate are different things.
"Why wouldn't global warming, no matter what causes it, be a net good thing?"
If you read something about the subject you might know why.
"First there was the dreaded 'smog', then the dreaded 'hole in the ozone layer."
And rightly dreaded. See the Montreal Protocol of 1987.
BTW, stratospheric ozone and tropospheric (low level) ozone are entirely different phenomena.
The world has seen more CO2.. and life did not cease to exist. If anything, it flourished.
Nature 406, 695-699 (17 August 2000) | doi:10.1038/35021000; Received 2 November 1999; Accepted 22 June 2000
Knowledge of the evolution of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations throughout the Earth's history is important for a reconstruction of the links between climate and radiative forcing of the Earth's surface temperatures. Although atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations in the early Cenozoic era (about 60 Myr ago) are widely believed to have been higher than at present, there is disagreement regarding the exact carbon dioxide levels, the timing of the decline and the mechanisms that are most important for the control of CO2 concentrations over geological timescales. Here we use the boron-isotope ratios of ancient planktonic foraminifer shells to estimate the pH of surface-layer sea water throughout the past 60 million years, which can be used to reconstruct atmospheric CO2 concentrations. We estimate CO2 concentrations of more than 2,000 p.p.m. for the late Palaeocene and earliest Eocene periods (from about 60 to 52 Myr ago) , and find an erratic decline between 55 and 40 Myr ago that may have been caused by reduced CO2 outgassing from ocean ridges, volcanoes and metamorphic belts and increased carbon burial. Since the early Miocene (about 24 Myr ago), atmospheric CO2 concentrations appear to have remained below 500 p.p.m. and were more stable than before, although transient intervals of CO2 reduction may have occurred during periods of rapid cooling approximately 15 and 3 Myr ago.
Geophys Res Lett. 1991 Jun;18(6):987-90
-dioxide releases associated with a mid-Cretaceous super plume and the emplacement of the Ontong-Java Plateau have been suggested as a principal cause of the mid-Cretaceous global warming. We developed a carbonate-silicate cycle model to quantify the possible climatic effects of these CO2 releases, utilizing four different formulations for the rate of silicate-rock weathering as a function of atmospheric CO2. We find that CO2 emissions resulting from super-plume tectonics could have produced atmospheric CO2 levels from 3.7 to 14.7 times the modern pre-industrial value of 285 ppm. Based on the temperature sensitivity to CO2 increases used in the weathering-rate formulations, this would cause a global warming of from 2.8 to 7.7 degrees C over today's global mean temperature. Altered continental positions and higher sea level may have been contributed about 4.8 degrees C to mid-Cretaceous warming. Thus, the combined effects of paleogeographic changes and super-plume related CO2 emissions could be in the range of 7.6 to 12.5 degrees C, within the 6 to 14 degrees C range previously estimated for mid-Cretaceous warming. CO2 releases from oceanic plateaus alone are unlikely to have been directly responsible for more than 20% of the mid-Cretaceous increase in atmospheric CO2.
Climate during the Carboniferous Period
The global temperatures in the Early Carboniferous Period were hot- approximately 20° C (68° F). However, cooling during the Middle Carboniferous reduced average global temperatures to about 12° C (54° F). As shown on the chart below, this is comparable to the average global temperature on Earth today!
Similarly, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the Early Carboniferous Period were approximately 1500 ppm (parts per million), but by the Middle Carboniferous had declined to about 350 ppm -- comparable to average CO2 concentrations today!
"I'm looking forward to a very warm beach and a giant SUV to get me there."
I can understand the warm beach, but why the giant SUV?
There have many periods of millions of years when the earth's atmosphere had more than 1 % CO2... Funny thing.. most of the plants, algae, forests, swamps, bogs that got converted into coal and oil also come from those high atmospheric CO2 eras!
And apart from volcanism that accompanied these CO2 increases, there was no negative effect on overall biomass or species.. quite the opposite.. these ages had more species than other eras!
Climate History
GEOCARB III: A REVISED MODEL OF ATMOSPHERIC CO2 OVER PHANEROZOIC TIME
ROBERT A. BERNER and ZAVARETH KOTHAVALA
Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University
[American Journal of Science, Vol. 301, February, 2001, P. 182–204]
ABSTRACT. Revision of the GEOCARB model (Berner, 1991, 1994) for paleolevels
of atmospheric CO2, has been made with emphasis on factors affecting CO2 uptake by
continental weathering. This includes: (1) new GCM (general circulation model)
results for the dependence of global mean surface temperature and runoff on CO2,
for both glaciated and non-glaciated periods, coupled with new results for the
temperature response to changes in solar radiation; (2) demonstration that values for
the weathering-uplift factor fR(t) based on Sr isotopes as was done in GEOCARB II are
in general agreement with independent values calculated from the abundance of
terrigenous sediments as a measure of global physical erosion rate over Phanerozoic
time; (3) more accurate estimates of the timing and the quantitative effects on Ca-Mg
silicate weathering of the rise of large vascular plants on the continents during the
Devonian; (4) inclusion of the effects of changes in paleogeography alone (constant
CO2 and solar radiation) on global mean land surface temperature as it affects the rate
of weathering; (5) consideration of the effects of volcanic weathering, both in
subduction zones and on the seafloor; (6) use of new data on the d13C values for
Phanerozoic limestones and organic matter; (7) consideration of the relative weathering
enhancement by gymnosperms versus angiosperms; ( 8 ) revision of paleo land area
based on more recent data and use of this data, along with GCM-based paleo-runoff
results, to calculate global water discharge from the continents over time.
Results show a similar overall pattern to those for GEOCARB II: very high CO2
values during the early Paleozoic, a large drop during the Devonian and Carboniferous,
high values during the early Mesozoic, and a gradual decrease from about 170 Ma
to low values during the Cenozoic. However, the new results exhibit considerably
higher CO2 values during the Mesozoic, and their downward trend with time agrees
with the independent estimates of Ekart and others (1999). Sensitivity analysis shows
that results for paleo-CO2 are especially sensitive to: the effects of CO2 fertilization
and temperature on the acceleration of plant-mediated chemical weathering; the
quantitative effects of plants on mineral dissolution rate for constant temperature and
CO2; the relative roles of angiosperms and gymnosperms in accelerating rock weathering;
and the response of paleo-temperature to the global climate model used. This
emphasizes the need for further study of the role of plants in chemical weathering and
the application of GCMs to study of paleo-CO2 and the long term carbon cycle.
I was hoping to elicit a response from someone closer to the auto industry than myself, as several here demonstrably are.
It's my understanding that General Motors' engineering, design and R&D sectors are broadly admired within the industry - that, should they choose to do so, the company is capable of prodigies of durability, efficiency, power, safety and comfort. So, my puzzle is not that Opel's European offerings are so suitable but, instead, that the company so frequently elects to send into the marketplace such sad examples of their work.
As my favorite quotable, Berenson, used to say late in life, when asked how he was, "Parts of me are excellent."
UBS or Credit-Suisse or both?
(Google Translate
Friday 17 April 2009
Fear of a mega-bank failures in Switzerland
Philippe Gumy
Over 50% of respondents by their Genevese High School of Management believe that the bankruptcy of a large institution is likely.
The political penalty Swiss clearly convinced that it never let down bankrupt one of the major banks in the country. Despite the rescue of UBS by the Confederation and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), 53% of the approximately 550 people surveyed by the Haute Ecole de gestion (HEG) in Geneva in the first quarter 2009 estimate "likely" that a major bank bankruptcy. This proportion was only 37% last June.
Albert Einstein used to receive numerous letters, many from self-educated laymen, explaining how the Theory of Relativity must be wrong. These letters went on to straighten out Dr. Einstein by setting forth other theories derived from the writers' 'self-evident reasoning.' Relativity still stands, stronger than ever.
Anyone who wishes to contradict currently accepted Atmospheric Physics and Chemistry as applied to climate science should contact the authorities in the field and explain to them why they have wandered into a mis-understanding of current climate theory and research. If you have any standing in the field, or you sound as if you do, you will most probably receive a hearing.
Pavel,
With all due respect, the opinions of any scientists and their theories have less worth than toilet paper. Nobody who understands science gives a f**k about opinions, reputations, pedigrees and models.
The only questions that any scientist really cares about is-
1] Does the theory explain existing data.
2] Can the theory make predictions that can be tested.
As long as conditions 1] and 2] are met it is acceptable. If 1] and 2] are not met, it is speculation.
The effects of relativity and most of quantum mechanics can be measured. You can also design experiments to test their predictions.
Einstein's theory could be verified and can make testable predictions. So can quantum mechanics.. newtonian mechanics.
Climate models cannot do 1] or 2]. They are essentially speculation. Do you remember that word? Speculation!
Scientists reputations are meaningless.
Kelvin and many other famous scientists said heavier than aircrafts were impossible.
Most scientists considered considered controlled nuclear fission an absurd idea till 1938.
So called "experts" made fun of the idea of liquid fueled rockets.
You know what.. almost all famous scientists tend to be dead wrong about the future and anything other than what made them famous.
Pavel,
There are no authorities in science as the universe does not give a fk about your tenure, perdigree. committees, department reputations. and any other human cp.
Either you can demonstrate your theory holds without cheating (fraud, data manipulation, selective data use etc) or it is wrong.
Climate modelers make financial quants look saintly. At least the quants massaged existing data to get what their masters wanted. Climate modelers commit outright fraud, data manipulation and extensive use of very selective data to push their virtual model in any direction they want.
Eugenics has a better claim to honesty than climate modeling.
testing
Does USA have any common shares in GM?
They gave the bailout money and what position they took in the company?
Ken,
I'm running off to the tip jar and will sit quietly encased in tin-foil until you implement
blocking. Nothing worse than half-literate climate zombie refugees pissing into the punch.
What a night. At this rate we'll see someone suggesting putting social security funds
into the stock market for better returns.
Lucifer, at this point the discussion is where it belongs - attempting to use whatever data, or reasonable inferences from it, to understand dynamic processes that take place on a planetary scale.
And though there is currently no research I'm aware of which details paleo cometary water replenishment (hell, the fact that it is happening today, as revealed through satellite observation, is about as accepted as plate tectonics in the 1940s), I tend to be very skeptical of most data which purports to use isotopes or element propotionality to support various claims when extending far into the past. Not dismissive, as your cite shows just how easily just a couple of assumptions can change entire chains of reasoning.
But I still don't understand the reasoning here -
'There have many periods of millions of years when the earth's atmosphere had more than 1 % CO2... Funny thing.. most of the plants, algae, forests, swamps, bogs that got converted into coal and oil also come from those high atmospheric CO2 eras!'
Why would it be a funny thing that times of high CO2 concentration were also times were high amounts of carbon were captured and then over geological time frames removed from the atmosphere/biosphere? It would seem a necessary precondition, and not an anomaly, though the reverse would be counter-intuitive.
'And apart from volcanism that accompanied these CO2 increases, there was no negative effect on overall biomass or species.. quite the opposite.. these ages had more species than other eras!'
Possibly - the fossil record is not exactly well written for later readers.
An example -
'The Permian-Triassic (P-T or PT) extinction event, sometimes informally called the Great Dying, was an extinction event that occurred approximately 251 million years ago, defining the boundary between the Permian and Triassic periods. It was the Earth's most severe extinction event, with about 90 percent of all marine species and 70 percent of terrestrial vertebrate species going extinct.
For some time after the event, fungal species were the dominant form of terrestrial life. Though they only made up approximately 10 percent of remains found before and just after the extinction horizon, fungal species subsequently grew rapidly to make up nearly 100 percent of the available fossil record (Eshet et al. 1995). However, some researchers argue that fungal species did not dominate terrestrial life, as their remains have only been found in shallow marine deposits (Wignall 1996). Alternatively, others argue that fungal hypha (long, branching filament) are simply better suited for preservation and survival in the environment, creating an inaccurate representation of certain species in the fossil record (Erwin 1993).'
Mass extinction - New World Encyclopedia
The past is still being created in the present - or at least, what we consider to be the past. This is what good science entails - using data to refine our understanding. A generally flawed understanding, which should always be part of the general background of such discussions.
Where weather ends and climate starts is a basic problem in this discussion, along with so much else. It is worrying how many people point to weather to say that the climate is changing in one direction or the other, without recognizing how extremely limited our data truly is in terms of its coverage, both spatial and temporal.
As a side note - the mini-Ice Age seems to be have been on a considerably smaller scale than the entire globe. It is simply that the Europeans were effected, and recorded it. For someone concerned with euro-centric biases, be aware that the mini-Ice Age is also euro-centric, at least according to current thinking. There seems to be little to no evidence of it occurring on other continents such as South America. One reason that this may not be so widely known is that it tends to go against both major climate change camps - the Maunder Minimum happened at the same time, but the global changes of that time remain elusive, outside of that region. The same is also true of this period -
'The Year Without a Summer (also known as the Poverty Year, Eighteen Hundred and Froze to Death, and the Year There Was No Summer) was 1816, in which severe summer climate abnormalities destroyed crops in Northern Europe, the American Northeast and eastern Canada.[1][2] Historian John D. Post has called this "the last great subsistence crisis in the Western world".[3] It appears to have been caused by a volcanic winter.'
Year Without a Summer - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The planet is much, much larger than our fairly shallow historical records even begin to suggest.
And the complexities? Again, from the article -
'It is now generally thought that the aberrations occurred because of the 5 April – 15 April, 1815 volcanic eruptions of Mount Tambora[8][9] on the island of Sumbawa, Indonesia (then part of the Dutch East Indies), the world's largest eruption in about 1,600 years with a Volcanic Explosivity Index ranking of 7, a colossal event that ejected immense amounts of volcanic dust into the upper atmosphere. (Lake Taupo's Hatepe eruption of c. 180 AD was probably of similar size, see Supervolcano.) The fact that the 1815 eruptions occurred during the middle of the Dalton Minimum (a period of unusually low solar activity) is also significant.
Other large volcanic eruptions (with VEI at least 4) during the same time frame are:
* 1812, La Soufrière on Saint Vincent in the Caribbean
* 1812, Awu on Sangihe Islands, Indonesia
* 1813, Suwanose-Jima on Ryukyu Islands, Japan
* 1814, Mayon in the Philippines
These other eruptions had already built up a substantial amount of atmospheric dust. As is common following a massive volcanic eruption, temperatures fell worldwide because less sunlight passed through the atmosphere.'
Again, it just isn't either/or in terms of climate. Notice the Dalton Minimum in terms of sunspots combined with volcanic eruptions, including the truly massive one of Tambora.
Be wary of anyone reducing complex systems to simple precepts. Unfortunately, in the public square, simplistic slogans tend to win out over explanations which attempt to depict a complicated reality.
Lucifer:
Relatively light reading on climate, if you like. For an idle moment. (pdf alert)
http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles%202008/Patterson_Interview.pdf
'Climate modelers make financial quants look saintly.'
or
'Eugenics has a better claim to honesty than climate modeling.'
Makes me regret thinking you are actually making something resembling a good faith effort to explore a complex area of a science that didn't even exist fifty years ago.
By your standards, I will assume you never use any medical treatments either, since they too are as rife with 'fraud, data manipulation and extensive use of very selective data' as any other area of human understanding.
Or do you still believe that ulcers are caused by stress?
If the world had been 5 degrees cooler for the last 500 years or so, and was warming to current temps it would be just as big a potential disaster as the current warming trends are (even if temporarrily masked by the low popint on the solar sunspot cycle, because it is just that a cycle). It is not that life can not exist at 5 degrees warmer, or that people can't live in those temps, heck people live fine in both Maimi and Montreal. However, if we had always been 5 degrees cooler, NY would not be where it is but about 30 miles further out to sea, ditto for most costal cities. Population densities aroud the world would be in different locations.
There are lots of positive feedback loops (vicious cycles) that have the potential to kick in, the 2 most significant are the albino effect and the melting of the perma frost. Both are being seen in spades right now. As the artic melts, more sunlight is absorbed rather than reflected, further warming the water and shrinking the ice. As the permafrost melts, methane is released (to bed it is too difuse to capture, since it would be a great energy source). Molicule for molicule methane is more than 25x more powerful in greenhouse effect as CO2 is.
Alpine glaciers are melting and shrinking in Nepal, Switzerland, Chile, Tanzania and Alaska, which hardly makes it seem like a local weather proplem.
Ken, please do help. Perhaps for Safari too this time?
C and BAC's balance sheet issues would be resolved, too, if they did a debt-for-equity swap.
I can't resist -
'Climate models cannot do 1] or 2]. They are essentially speculation. Do you remember that word? Speculation!'
Well, better not use the speculative science of astronomy to support any of your arguments, then.
Or attempt to unravel the fossil record - after all, experimentation is simply not possible on what already exists.
'Kelvin and many other famous scientists said heavier than aircrafts were impossible.'
Finding examples of false prediction is as easy as looking at predictions. I still believe that today's geologists, with their belief that the Earth's water is exclusively volcanic in origin, are going to look as stupid as Kelvin in a generation or two - Spaceflight Now | Breaking News | Did comets water Earth?
That is an example of good science, not speculation. Though unfortunately, it may not fit your own definition - it is descriptive, after all, and the only testable point is already a given - the world's oceans exist, after all, as do the now basically indisputable ice comets hitting the atmosphere.
I think you have a fairly limited (I'm being charitable) view of what science means in the physical realm - though if you wish to dismiss chemists as scientists, feel free.
'you are the unblogger to me now.'
What, you believe the Bible accurately depicts the last 6,000 years of Creation, like a majority of Americans? How charmingly quaint.
Maybe when you can write that statement in say 20 of the few thousand languages which are still spoken, I'll pay more attention to the idea that humans aren't limited in their knowledge, even of how other humans communicate with each other daily.
Great, a layer of crap on my breakfast table. I'd find theories attempting to debunk climate change more palatable if you didn't scratch them and get petroleum consultants and petroleum geologists just below their porous surface (Jack Schmitt, etc.)
How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic: Responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming | A Grist Special Series | Grist
It always makes me laugh how easily "objectivists" in libertarian/cato ideology have been co-opted by the oil lobby to fight what is now a worldwide scientific consensus based on, um, objective data. One thing they have established is true, though. If you pay people enough, they will tell you they don't believe their own lying eyes:
Context of 'July 2006: Exxon-Funded Organization Offers to Pay Scientists to Critique 2007 IPCC Report'
Hey, what's the going rate for shutting my lying eys on stuff like this?
Glacier Photograph Collection
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Alo, thank heaven. A sane voice of skepticism. It was getting chilly and ad hominem in here.
We're not in agreement on the matter of warming/cooling, you and I, but I respect the citations and the evidence of paid opinion.
"We tried building cars in Mexico but they Mexican government is such a corrupt Mafi like organization it could never happen long term, you need to spend most of your time paying off criminals which take away the focus on business."
I get a kick out of those who post about subjects they obviously know nothing about. I am American-Mexican (dual citizenship in that order) and working for a tier-one automotive supplier in Mexico. I also worked in this business for a number of years in the US, and can make fair comparison between the two. The assembly plants for the big three and VW are normally near the top of the list in terms of productivity and quality when compared to their counterparts in the US and Canada, or Europe in the case of VW. The big three all have relatively new state-of-the-art plants (Ford-Hmo, Chrysler-Saltillo, and GM-SLP) that have higher productivity than most other North American plants (as measured in production vs hours worked, nothing to do with cheaper labor cost). While corruption certainly exist in Mexico, it is generally more prevalent in the transportation business (not that much directly with the government), quite similar to what happens in the US. VW has their issues with corruption, but they have that problem worldwide and it seems to be something they brought with them to Mexico.
I couldn't agree more with your comments regarding the danger of destruction of individual liberty. The US is the main culprit of that particular sin in the Western Hemisphere. You should turn off Fox News, get a passport, and travel.
It's a good thing you aren't racist. Your descendants will live in a country that includes the area currently made up of Canada, Mexico, and the US, and will be increasingly coffee colored and speaking Spanglish (this is a good thing. the more we mix, the more beautiful the women). Nationalism is almost as silly as racism. You aren't better than anyone else (or deserve a higher standard of living) because you had the good fortune of having been born on the "right" side of the border.
we had an interesting evening.........all ATMs, credit card terminals, internet connections, cell-phones, and long-distance was out yesterday afternoon thru last night here. Wal-Mart only took cash, the casinos were in a tizzy, people were scurrying looking for cash, people were trying to be fed using worthless plastic, quite a scene. The town emptied out - everyone disappeared.
The most interesting scene was the clean-cut young couple with two small boys checking out of Wal-Mart thru the sporting goods department. They had food, a couple movies for the boys, carpet-cleaner, kitty-litter, and they needed shotgun and 2-boxes of 30-6 ammo. Bill came to $151., they were advised CC or debit cards didn't work and they could only scrape up a little over $100. They had no money at home (she reminded the hubby). I joked that the network might be down until Monday, it could be the dreaded "bank holiday", and to think about needing cash thru the weekend. Long story short, they axed the kitty-litter, one movie, carpet-cleaner, all but one box of 30-6 ammo, and kept $4.00 in cash. Those were the young family's priorities - to hell with cash needs after last night.
BSR - That was quite a story. Does make you think.
Jay D.. wrote:
".what a dumb ass!.............GM and Chrysler BK will eliminate all cars from the road?.............this will help foreign car makers.......Japanese car makers' , even Korean Kia stocks surged after the possibility of GM BK.......... "
You'd lose the CO2 produced by manufacturing the cars, at the expense of the jobs in that industry. That scenario would be a classic case of offshoring pollution.
The knock on employment effects of GM or Chrysler going belly up would be horrific to manufacturing in this country. I'm sure those jobs could be
replaced with new 'green jobs', which I assume is a code word for working for the government ?
Jay D.. wrote:
"carbon credit exchange market will boom in the near future"
AGGGHHHHHHHHHHHH !!! Not again !!! I can just picture the headline
"Banks lose billions in carbon credit swaps"
I don't know if anyone shares my sentiment but I would just like to have Lucifer shut up about climate change, this is an economics blog - and I am sick of him saying he works with science and HE knows that climate change isn't anything to worry about because hundreds of millions of years ago the earth was warmer (which is a bogus argument, we have adapted our infrastructure to the way the climate is now not 100MY ago) - I am particle physicist I work with equations and system modeling every day, but I have not studied the climate models in detail so I don't personally know if they are right or wrong but neither does he, presumably we pay scientists to develop these models to give us accurate answers and BTW lots of models work pretty dammed well - so could he just shut up and talk about GM
"I do not think it matters now." Lucifer replies to the question "//Can someone explain the precedence between union and creditors? Are these unsecured debts?// "
What a silly, pointless, confused comment. It's the converse, it matters now MORE THAN IT EVER HAS IN THE 107 YEAR HISTORY OF THE COMPANY.