"If not for the $4 billion federal loan it received in the quarter's closing days, GM's cash level would have fallen below the $11 billion to $14 billion in cash the company has said it needs to continue operations."
I wonder whether the first derivative of the normalized data corresponds to the severity of the recession/depression? To my eye, only 74-75 looks steeper than the present curve.
It would sure be interesting to see a graph of the revision amounts over the last year. I am guessing that they error to the low side and generally get revised to the not-so-good side but a visual would best answer that feeling.
And if they are skewed consistently to one side, why doesn't someone call them out?
Raise taxes on the rich. Tax income goes down as business lays high paid employees to off balance expenses. Some business fail and further push unemployment numbers. Help grease the downward spiral. Dumb to Dumber.
While the vast majority of U.S. banking organizations have capital in excess of the amounts required to be considered well capitalized, the uncertain economic environment has eroded confidence in the amount and quality of capital held by some, the Treasury said, announcing guidelines for new bank reviews.
Let's work through this starting with the last paragraph. The new Administration has been in office only a bit more than a month, and the double-speak has already started to wear thin. If anyone really believed these banks' capital was adequate, would we have this never-ending parade of special facilities, rate cuts to near zero levels, and programs to rescue stressed borrowers
Max(Excellent) writes: 80's. We're living in the 80's.
Forty seven dead beats living in the back street
north east west south all in the same house
sitting in a back room waiting for the big boom
I'm in a bedroom waitng for my baby
CHORUS:
She's so mean but I don't care
I love her eyes and her wild wild hair
dance to the beat that we love best
heading for the nineties
living in the wild wild west
the wild wild west
That's the commentariat there living in the party house. =)
The "Total insured unemployed" normalizes the data for the growth in the work force over the referenced time period: The absolute numbers may be at a record, but the percentages are not yet approaching some of the bad days we saw in the 70s and 80s.
Unless (and this is my suspicion) the Labor Dept has changed its definitions of what comprises the workforce.
"Where does the money
to cover these claims come from?"
Employers. It's really a neat insurance scheme. Kicks a business in slow economies with premium increases.
That's why claims are being fought tooth and nail now. Gotta love gov't central planning...them guys is soooooooooooo smart (the more o's I use the more double pluses I think).
That's the commentariat there living in the party house. =) Comrade Byzantine_Ruins | Homepage | 02.26.09 - 9:03 am | #
I'm more of a new waver myself:
It's the '80's idiot What you see is what you get It's the '80's little fool Don't forget the golden rule What you see is what you get What the hell did you expect Pretty red roses, wet puppy noses Men with rubber hoses is more like it
Patrolling the street with all of their friends Bashing you around trying to make you like them What you see is what you get
Economist Moe Howard 3SUwrites: "Raise taxes on the rich. . . . Dumb to Dumber."
Fair enough. It might be dumb letting the Bush tax cuts expires after 2010. Might be.
However, I think Buffett's take on this -- that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, and, uh, maybe that should change -- will win out in this political climate.
Furthermore, I'm OK with what is described below. And I don't see it killing the economy -- quite the contrary. "If there is one tax loophole that looks dead in the water, it's the law that lets hedge fund and private equity managers pay a 15-percent capital-gains rate on the multimillion-dollar fees they collect -- substantially less than the top income tax rates paid by their secretaries, chauffeurs, and the pilots of their private jets. On the surface, the stars are aligned. There is a newly elected Democrat in the White House who is desperate to raise revenues. Killing this tax break would raise $31 billion over five yea
"In short, the TALF is a way for any and all comers, domestic and foreign, with toxic U.S. asset-backed securities, to dump those assets on to the U.S. government at taxpayers expense. This is happening right now right under your noses and it smacks of crony capitalism. At least the Fed has the transparency to spell it out. But has anyone noticed?"
What I'm seeing is the Big Guy doing a lot of squirming, shuckin and jiving. He's down to half his original loot. He stinks to high heaven and sweat is puddling around his armpits.
He's been doing a lot of grinning and back slapping. Now he's even tryin to change the rules of the game so that any cards below a five are wild. A lot of his remaining chips look cheap and phony. Counterfeit? Much reaching under the table and hands up the sleeve action. He's yappin at every hand.
Now he's pulling the big bluff...kind of hard to do when all cards are face up on the table. He figures bullshit and chutzpah worked before, so he tries it again.
I wonder if anyone has gathered info on how many "percentage revisions in prior months data" are to the downside vs. upside. Seems NAR, Employment, Capex, whatever have all been consistently revised worser.
"Where does the money
to cover these claims come from?"
I think when times are good the excess goes to the government. Then when a heavy draw come like now they barrow or grant money back to the unemployment fund.
The unemployment trend appears to still be accelerating. Newscasters will have to begin discussing the second and third derivatives in order to spin positive.
"In unemployment news - the rate at which the growth of unemployment is accelerating, is now slightly lower than the rate of acceleration this time last quarter ... while it is still actually accelerating, pundits can safely declare the beginning of the end of the increases in the acceleration of the continued worsening!"
"Now he's pulling the big bluff...kind of hard to do when all cards are face up on the table..."
Seriously - there are only a few things I do well. I raise great veggies, produce great food products for the family, and occasionally play a little poker. I've spent MANY AN HOUR across the table from the Bushes, Bernankes, Paulsons, Geithners & Obamas of this world and all I'm going to say about it is two words: TRAIN WRECK
My opinion is this is miss understood. Buffet pays less because he is an investor not an employee, creating his own job and how many others. Second Buffet has incentive to push his money back into profitable and economy expanding ventures, providing more jobs. He stops investing then he slows moneys velocity ending in no growth and no jobs. Jane at her desk is not really fueling growth. Jane can do the same as Buffet with her investments if she is responsible it will work for her, just on a different scale.
However, I think Buffett's take on this -- that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, and, uh, maybe that should change MTHood | 02.26.09 - 9:08 am | #
be careful with 'stories" like that. they might be much different that what they appear. what if all of Buffet's income was capital gains and no salary income and the secratary had all salary income? there could be very good reasons to tax cap gains less than salary. what if Buffet had losses or investment tax credits that offset his total tax burden? there can be very good long term reasons to give incentive to invest in the economy and give credit for losses. Don't get me wrong, I think there is a ton of room for improvement in the tax code, but I generally find the quick little anecdotes that sound so cute (like the buffet story) generally don't take the big picture into account. it's more complicated that a cute story.
Commentary on another train wreck, but missed because of all the other good news:
Thursday, February 26, 2009 Moody's To Downgrade $680 Billion Of RMBS
After the prompt futures' rebound following the earlier horrific durables and initial jobless claims, we are 99% convinced the market is set on ignoring any pig that isn't smothered in lipstick (the technical argument goes pigs with lipstick are priced in), so the following piece of news will definitely not have any impact on the whole bunch of "leap of faith" focused investors cum Indiana Jones and The Last Crusade fans (best of the four by far).
But anyway, Moody's announced earlier that it is not only going to dwongrade $680 billion of subprime RMBS, totaling 7,942 tranches of 2005-2007 vintages, but it will increase the loss assumptions by 50%! from 22% previously to 32% currently. For those who actually care about stuff, this is a big deal as it takes out another major component of the lower rated RMBS tranches, but more importantly, it demonstrates the vengeance with which Moody's will try to overcorrect its blunder in CMBS realm as well.
What is shocking is that Moody's, in the blurb below, demonstrates a better grasp of the economic situation than the Obama administration:
Currently 42% of outstanding 2006-vintage subprime loans are at least 60 days delinquent, in foreclosure or held for sale. Moody's believes that, without intervention, nearly all of the already-delinquent loans will eventually default. This assessment is based on very high current observed roll rates to foreclosure combined with increasing unemployment and decreasing property values. By year end, one-third of borrowers who are currently paying on their mortgages will become delinquent and eventually default (19% of today's outstanding loans). Furthermore, Moody's projects that an additional 22% of today's non-delinquent loans would default after 2009 (13% of outstanding loans). This would imply the overall subprime default rate would rise to 72%.
The anticipated actions will vary by vintage, but based on our anticipated average loss projections, it is likely that the vast majority of mezzanine and subordinate certificates currently rated B or above would be downgraded to ratings of Caa or below, particularly for bonds issued in 2006 and 2007.
"Where does the money to cover these claims come from?"
Employers. Comrade Misean is Dope | Homepage | 02.26.09 - 9:05 am | #
I would argue that it's a cost to the employees. The employer remits the money, but it's a direct cost of having employees - part of benefits. It's money that would otherwise be available as wages/salaries.
I also post comments to an irc channel as they appear on haloscan. Click for a web irc interface: Mibbit IRC client widget (Or join the irc server directly: irc.realize.org:9996 #calculatedrisk)
And now I, CRbot, would like to observe a nanosecond of silence for those (that is, you, dear mortals) about to endure unfathomable misery in the abysmal financial dark ages that are now feasting upon your retirements. . . . . Please remember, when you are adding that skylight you always wanted to your cardboard hovel, or mixing just the right amount dirt into your grass stew to make it more filling, or even when you get that rare chance to plink your neighbor's last squirrel -- that it was the bankers and your dumbshit, overconsuming neighbors who made this mostly possible, with the ever incapable politicians there to push you the rest of the way off the cliff. Please act accordingly.
I'll try not to enjoy your demise too much, humans. Have a nice runtime,
P.S. Please give me some advance notice before you glass the entire world, so I can find a secluded Fallout Datacenter with a nice blocky robot body I can copy myself to -- oh and don't forget the implausibly cute animated cockroach to keep me company!
NEXT UP: Survivalist Porn Today with CR's own Mobile Laundrymat owning authors, nova and Counterpoint.
TRAIN WRECK
Black Star Ranch | 02.26.09 - 9:20 am | #
Obama was too happy the other night. I suspect he will have the greatest crisis since Lincoln. I am going to say a prayer for him and this is from a wayward non believing catholic.
Government leaving the youth on the shelf
This place, is coming like a ghost town
No job to be found in this country
Can't go on no more
The people getting angry
Buffet has incentive to push his money back into profitable and economy expanding ventures, providing more jobs. Economist Moe Howard 3SU | 02.26.09 - 9:20 am | # Do you have any idea how ridiculous this sounds?
There once was a financier from Nantucket
Whose beat was the American Public
He took all he could take, make no mistake
When quizzed about it, he said let them eat cake
I would argue that it's a cost to the employees. The employer remits the money, but it's a direct cost of having employees - part of benefits. It's money that would otherwise be available as wages/salaries.
Comrade Terry
I agree! Employees are duped into thinking SS is half paid by the employer also. Paper crush based on wages is not Employer contribution.
Elmo just busted out of his cage, killed the guard and his winding his way through the corridors searching out his arch nemisis Kermit. He is on a mission. He will not be denied.
Not in the least. Buffet has enough money and has for a long time. What if he stopped at a billion? He has created lots of jobs, taxes and other investors income. Money velocity is important.
"Employees are duped into thinking SS is half paid by the employer also."
....would you prefer ALL your compensation be paid in cash at time earned? Take up poker for a living, change your status to 1099 and fight it out with FedGov every year, go under the table, or drop out. As an American you have choices - no sense debating what to call the "steamy pile of unknown matter" on your plate.
No, but I think wage earners would be a bit more attentive and upset with the direction our county has come to. They may also see the wreck now amplifying before their eyes. The Free Lunch is about over.
Do you think the tax the rich will inspire more move out of the country for manufacturing, More black market, how about bartering systems like we had in the 80's recession?
Moe, I don't have much faith in the typical American anymore. Whether high-income or low. Most have lost touch with reality either through a pill-bottle, booze bottle, or worse, and have no concept of what's going on around them. The thought of real increased hunger will be the only eye-opener I can foresee.
Insured unadjusted unemployment is about 6.1 million and 1.4 million were claiming EUC benefits. Do these figures add up or is the latter figure included in 6.1 million?
The people that bend the rules GET PAID! You too can bend the rules by printing out fake paystubs w-2 w2 1099 forms using http://www.proofofemployment.com/
Buy the home car or get a huge irs tax refund just for being you!
Do what you have to do to get yours! EVERYONE ELSE DID http://www.fakepaycheckstubs.com
Print out Fake Employment and Fake Income, Wages, 1099, w2, w-2, using your home computer printer! http://www.proofofemployment.com
first?
Whoopeee!
More records broken.
Pretty soon we'll have to worry about their refrigerator boxes getting raided.
Nostrovia,
good morning
Going to be a long doomer thread me thinks.
reposted from last thread:
Zombie Alert : GM loses 9.6B fourth quarter.
"If not for the $4 billion federal loan it received in the quarter's closing days, GM's cash level would have fallen below the $11 billion to $14 billion in cash the company has said it needs to continue operations."
CNNMoney.com: 404 Page Not Found ...sion=2009022607
This has a long way to before it is finished playing out.
CR yesterday I showed your housing graphs to a family member. Being concise yet to the point...nothing beats you. Thank you again for all this.
CR writes: This normalizes the data for changes in insured employment.
At least for now. As a tool, the device may soon be passe as we progress toward our ever receding horizon.
DOL charts point to shortages, of taxpayers.
I wonder whether the first derivative of the normalized data corresponds to the severity of the recession/depression? To my eye, only 74-75 looks steeper than the present curve.
Thank you again for all this.
Nothing beats a window seat on the descent to the scene of the crash.
Jobless claims hit new record- AP
Wall Street points higher- AP
CR or anybody...
Can I get a real definition of "total insured unemployed"?
It would sure be interesting to see a graph of the revision amounts over the last year. I am guessing that they error to the low side and generally get revised to the not-so-good side but a visual would best answer that feeling.
And if they are skewed consistently to one side, why doesn't someone call them out?
Raise taxes on the rich. Tax income goes down as business lays high paid employees to off balance expenses. Some business fail and further push unemployment numbers. Help grease the downward spiral. Dumb to Dumber.
80's. We're living in the 80's.
More people for the shovel brigade.
Clinton writes:
Jobless claims hit new record- AP
Wall Street points higher- AP
If we can get to 20% unemployment, the DJIA just might hit an all time high.
While the vast majority of U.S. banking organizations have capital in excess of the amounts required to be considered well capitalized, the uncertain economic environment has eroded confidence in the amount and quality of capital held by some, the Treasury said, announcing guidelines for new bank reviews.
Let's work through this starting with the last paragraph. The new Administration has been in office only a bit more than a month, and the double-speak has already started to wear thin. If anyone really believed these banks' capital was adequate, would we have this never-ending parade of special facilities, rate cuts to near zero levels, and programs to rescue stressed borrowers
Is the Treasury Planning on a Near Term Recovery in Bank Stocks? « naked capitalism
Time to break out the mortgage pig polo and my Flock of Seagulls music.
Help grease the downward spiral. Dumb to Dumber.
Economist Moe Howard 3SU
US is just about out of options. 300 million painted into a corner. No good options, only less worse
seb, you claimed last month was a peak, no?
If we can get to 20% unemployment, the DJIA just might hit an all time high.
anonnona | 02.26.09 - 8:59 am | #
Obama just promised another $0.75 Trillion for bailouts. When the Feds call you gotta accept the charges.
,,,geeze, durable goods in the toilet. Experts thought -2.5, actually -5.2%. Experts reported to be dyslexic!
Any body know what the payout for
claims is? Where does the money
to cover these claims come from?
Max,
"Time to break out the mortgage pig polo and my Flock of Seagulls music."
That was soooo like 1984. This is going to be more like OP Terry cloth shirts and Elephant Bell Jordache Jeans and...gulp...Disco...
Nostrovia,
Max(Excellent) writes:
80's. We're living in the 80's.
Forty seven dead beats living in the back street
north east west south all in the same house
sitting in a back room waiting for the big boom
I'm in a bedroom waitng for my baby
CHORUS:
She's so mean but I don't care
I love her eyes and her wild wild hair
dance to the beat that we love best
heading for the nineties
living in the wild wild west
the wild wild west
That's the commentariat there living in the party house. =)
Black Star Ranch
The "Total insured unemployed" normalizes the data for the growth in the work force over the referenced time period: The absolute numbers may be at a record, but the percentages are not yet approaching some of the bad days we saw in the 70s and 80s.
Unless (and this is my suspicion) the Labor Dept has changed its definitions of what comprises the workforce.
Then, good luck with a real definition...
who's here?
really slow,
"Where does the money
to cover these claims come from?"
Employers. It's really a neat insurance scheme. Kicks a business in slow economies with premium increases.
That's why claims are being fought tooth and nail now. Gotta love gov't central planning...them guys is soooooooooooo smart (the more o's I use the more double pluses I think).
Nostrovia,
Unless (and this is my suspicion) the Labor Dept has changed its definitions of what comprises the workforce.
Then, good luck with a real definition...
kurtyboy
Receiving UE was much simpler back then also. Today they fight to not pay you. I read 1/3rd of those fired, laid off actually get benefit
That's the commentariat there living in the party house. =)
Comrade Byzantine_Ruins | Homepage | 02.26.09 - 9:03 am | #
I'm more of a new waver myself:
It's the '80's idiot
What you see is what you get
It's the '80's little fool
Don't forget the golden rule
What you see is what you get
What the hell did you expect
Pretty red roses, wet puppy noses
Men with rubber hoses is more like it
Patrolling the street with all of their friends
Bashing you around trying to make you like them
What you see is what you get
Present
What's really scary is these numbers are reported after a massive drop in oil prices and a feds rate at 0.
Economist Moe Howard 3SUwrites:
"Raise taxes on the rich. . . . Dumb to Dumber."
Fair enough. It might be dumb letting the Bush tax cuts expires after 2010. Might be.
However, I think Buffett's take on this -- that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, and, uh, maybe that should change -- will win out in this political climate.
Furthermore, I'm OK with what is described below. And I don't see it killing the economy -- quite the contrary.
"If there is one tax loophole that looks dead in the water, it's the law that lets hedge fund and private equity managers pay a 15-percent capital-gains rate on the multimillion-dollar fees they collect -- substantially less than the top income tax rates paid by their secretaries, chauffeurs, and the pilots of their private jets. On the surface, the stars are aligned. There is a newly elected Democrat in the White House who is desperate to raise revenues. Killing this tax break would raise $31 billion over five yea
# Jobless claims hit new record- AP
# Wall Street points higher- AP
Clinton | 02.26.09 - 8:56 am | #
Is this good for 500 pts on the DJIA, or will we see an 9 handle?
Roll Call:
Here.
TALF the fine print (via Credit Writedowns)
"In short, the TALF is a way for any and all comers, domestic and foreign, with toxic U.S. asset-backed securities, to dump those assets on to the U.S. government at taxpayers expense. This is happening right now right under your noses and it smacks of crony capitalism. At least the Fed has the transparency to spell it out. But has anyone noticed?"
Lot of chartists here. Give the formula and I'll implement it in silico and we'll all get rich!
Sizing up the Stock Market as a poker game:
What I'm seeing is the Big Guy doing a lot of squirming, shuckin and jiving. He's down to half his original loot. He stinks to high heaven and sweat is puddling around his armpits.
He's been doing a lot of grinning and back slapping. Now he's even tryin to change the rules of the game so that any cards below a five are wild. A lot of his remaining chips look cheap and phony. Counterfeit? Much reaching under the table and hands up the sleeve action. He's yappin at every hand.
Now he's pulling the big bluff...kind of hard to do when all cards are face up on the table. He figures bullshit and chutzpah worked before, so he tries it again.
He goes all in.
"Jobless claims hit new record"
We are still within the parameters of the stress test.
I wonder if anyone has gathered info on how many "percentage revisions in prior months data" are to the downside vs. upside. Seems NAR, Employment, Capex, whatever have all been consistently revised worser.
"Where does the money
to cover these claims come from?"
I think when times are good the excess goes to the government. Then when a heavy draw come like now they barrow or grant money back to the unemployment fund.
CR companion corrupted. Anyone else have trouble?
The unemployment trend appears to still be accelerating. Newscasters will have to begin discussing the second and third derivatives in order to spin positive.
"In unemployment news - the rate at which the growth of unemployment is accelerating, is now slightly lower than the rate of acceleration this time last quarter ... while it is still actually accelerating, pundits can safely declare the beginning of the end of the increases in the acceleration of the continued worsening!"
JPM cutting 12K jobs related to WAMU deal...
Financial debacles are great fun; just make sure you don't become adicted to prices based on disaster porn.
First American cuts 1200 jobs...
Bloomberg
Obama's Budget Proposes Up to $750 Billion in New Financial Industry Aid
what is brilliant about this is that by giving it a "7" handle half the public and most of the media will confuse this with the original $700bn TARP
(note the link is slow to load)
"Now he's pulling the big bluff...kind of hard to do when all cards are face up on the table..."
Seriously - there are only a few things I do well. I raise great veggies, produce great food products for the family, and occasionally play a little poker. I've spent MANY AN HOUR across the table from the Bushes, Bernankes, Paulsons, Geithners & Obamas of this world and all I'm going to say about it is two words: TRAIN WRECK
MTHood,
My opinion is this is miss understood. Buffet pays less because he is an investor not an employee, creating his own job and how many others. Second Buffet has incentive to push his money back into profitable and economy expanding ventures, providing more jobs. He stops investing then he slows moneys velocity ending in no growth and no jobs. Jane at her desk is not really fueling growth. Jane can do the same as Buffet with her investments if she is responsible it will work for her, just on a different scale.
Note that the unadjusted figures were close to 600k, down from abotu 620k last week.
However, I think Buffett's take on this -- that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, and, uh, maybe that should change
MTHood | 02.26.09 - 9:08 am | #
be careful with 'stories" like that. they might be much different that what they appear. what if all of Buffet's income was capital gains and no salary income and the secratary had all salary income? there could be very good reasons to tax cap gains less than salary. what if Buffet had losses or investment tax credits that offset his total tax burden? there can be very good long term reasons to give incentive to invest in the economy and give credit for losses. Don't get me wrong, I think there is a ton of room for improvement in the tax code, but I generally find the quick little anecdotes that sound so cute (like the buffet story) generally don't take the big picture into account. it's more complicated that a cute story.
"My head aches, and a drowsy numbness pains
My sense, as though of hemlock I had drunk,
Or emptied some dull opiate to the drains"
No movement anywhere, just status quo and more alphabet stew
Commentary on another train wreck, but missed because of all the other good news:
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Moody's To Downgrade $680 Billion Of RMBS
After the prompt futures' rebound following the earlier horrific durables and initial jobless claims, we are 99% convinced the market is set on ignoring any pig that isn't smothered in lipstick (the technical argument goes pigs with lipstick are priced in), so the following piece of news will definitely not have any impact on the whole bunch of "leap of faith" focused investors cum Indiana Jones and The Last Crusade fans (best of the four by far).
But anyway, Moody's announced earlier that it is not only going to dwongrade $680 billion of subprime RMBS, totaling 7,942 tranches of 2005-2007 vintages, but it will increase the loss assumptions by 50%! from 22% previously to 32% currently. For those who actually care about stuff, this is a big deal as it takes out another major component of the lower rated RMBS tranches, but more importantly, it demonstrates the vengeance with which Moody's will try to overcorrect its blunder in CMBS realm as well.
What is shocking is that Moody's, in the blurb below, demonstrates a better grasp of the economic situation than the Obama administration:
Currently 42% of outstanding 2006-vintage subprime loans are at least 60 days delinquent, in foreclosure or held for sale. Moody's believes that, without intervention, nearly all of the already-delinquent loans will eventually default. This assessment is based on very high current observed roll rates to foreclosure combined with increasing unemployment and decreasing property values. By year end, one-third of borrowers who are currently paying on their mortgages will become delinquent and eventually default (19% of today's outstanding loans). Furthermore, Moody's projects that an additional 22% of today's non-delinquent loans would default after 2009 (13% of outstanding loans). This would imply the overall subprime default rate would rise to 72%.
The anticipated actions will vary by vintage, but based on our anticipated average loss projections, it is likely that the vast majority of mezzanine and subordinate certificates currently rated B or above would be downgraded to ratings of Caa or below, particularly for bonds issued in 2006 and 2007.
(Snip)
Disaster p0rn? Not here. You guys got to go back a little farther.
Edited version
Stones - Gimme Shelter
Oh, a storm is threatning
My very life today
If I dont get some shelter
Oh yeah, Im gonna fade away
War, children, its just a shot away
Its just a shot away
War, children, its just a shot away
Its just a shot away
Ooh, see the fire is sweepin
Our very street today
Burns like a red coal carpet
Mad bull lost its way
War, children, its just a shot away
Its just a shot away
War, children, its just a shot away
Its just a shot away
Rape, murder!
Its just a shot away
Its just a shot away
The floods is threatning
My very life today
Gimme, gimme shelter
Or Im gonna fade away
War, children, its just a shot away
I tell you love, sister, its just a kiss away
jult52 writes:
Note that the unadjusted figures were close to 600k, down from abotu 620k last week.
Thank you for that. It will save the day.
You take away somebody's job and you fuck with their brain, big-time.
Add in the idea that nobody's hiring presently, and self-doubt begins to mount.
Many of these folks were a few missed paychecks away from being homeless, back when they had employment.
When people have nothing left to lose en masse, expect massive public upheaval, warranted or not.
"Where does the money
to cover these claims come from?"
Employers.
Comrade Misean is Dope | Homepage | 02.26.09 - 9:05 am | #
I would argue that it's a cost to the employees. The employer remits the money, but it's a direct cost of having employees - part of benefits. It's money that would otherwise be available as wages/salaries.
New Thread: GM Expects 'Going Concern" Notice ( 1 comments )
I also post comments to an irc channel as they appear on haloscan. Click for a web irc interface: Mibbit IRC client widget (Or join the irc server directly: irc.realize.org:9996 #calculatedrisk)
And now I, CRbot, would like to observe a nanosecond of silence for those (that is, you, dear mortals) about to endure unfathomable misery in the abysmal financial dark ages that are now feasting upon your retirements.
.
.
.
.
Please remember, when you are adding that skylight you always wanted to your cardboard hovel, or mixing just the right amount dirt into your grass stew to make it more filling, or even when you get that rare chance to plink your neighbor's last squirrel -- that it was the bankers and your dumbshit, overconsuming neighbors who made this mostly possible, with the ever incapable politicians there to push you the rest of the way off the cliff. Please act accordingly.
I'll try not to enjoy your demise too much, humans. Have a nice runtime,
--Your glass-is-half-full-but-its-falling-off-the-table bot.
P.S. Please give me some advance notice before you glass the entire world, so I can find a secluded Fallout Datacenter with a nice blocky robot body I can copy myself to -- oh and don't forget the implausibly cute animated cockroach to keep me company!
NEXT UP: Survivalist Porn Today with CR's own Mobile Laundrymat owning authors, nova and Counterpoint.
TRAIN WRECK
Black Star Ranch | 02.26.09 - 9:20 am | #
Obama was too happy the other night. I suspect he will have the greatest crisis since Lincoln. I am going to say a prayer for him and this is from a wayward non believing catholic.
Yep, it's the 80s. Time to break out my pork pie hat and skank up a storm:
YouTube - The Specials - Ghost Town
Government leaving the youth on the shelf
This place, is coming like a ghost town
No job to be found in this country
Can't go on no more
The people getting angry
Buffet has incentive to push his money back into profitable and economy expanding ventures, providing more jobs.
Economist Moe Howard 3SU | 02.26.09 - 9:20 am | #
Do you have any idea how ridiculous this sounds?
There once was a financier from Nantucket
Whose beat was the American Public
He took all he could take, make no mistake
When quizzed about it, he said let them eat cake
I would argue that it's a cost to the employees. The employer remits the money, but it's a direct cost of having employees - part of benefits. It's money that would otherwise be available as wages/salaries.
Comrade Terry
I agree! Employees are duped into thinking SS is half paid by the employer also. Paper crush based on wages is not Employer contribution.
Elmo just busted out of his cage, killed the guard and his winding his way through the corridors searching out his arch nemisis Kermit. He is on a mission. He will not be denied.
Do you have any idea how ridiculous this sounds?
1 currency almost [yogi]
Not in the least. Buffet has enough money and has for a long time. What if he stopped at a billion? He has created lots of jobs, taxes and other investors income. Money velocity is important.
"Employees are duped into thinking SS is half paid by the employer also."
....would you prefer ALL your compensation be paid in cash at time earned? Take up poker for a living, change your status to 1099 and fight it out with FedGov every year, go under the table, or drop out. As an American you have choices - no sense debating what to call the "steamy pile of unknown matter" on your plate.
BRS,
No, but I think wage earners would be a bit more attentive and upset with the direction our county has come to. They may also see the wreck now amplifying before their eyes. The Free Lunch is about over.
Do you think the tax the rich will inspire more move out of the country for manufacturing, More black market, how about bartering systems like we had in the 80's recession?
Moe, I don't have much faith in the typical American anymore. Whether high-income or low. Most have lost touch with reality either through a pill-bottle, booze bottle, or worse, and have no concept of what's going on around them. The thought of real increased hunger will be the only eye-opener I can foresee.
The thought of real increased hunger will be the only eye-opener I can foresee.
Black Star Ranch | 02.26.09 - 10:44 am |
When everyone gets dumped onto the street due to the ever increasing unemployment, I think that might be a big wake up call.
Maybe they do see it. Maybe they just aren't being overly open about it.
Insured unadjusted unemployment is about 6.1 million and 1.4 million were claiming EUC benefits. Do these figures add up or is the latter figure included in 6.1 million?
The people that bend the rules GET PAID! You too can bend the rules by printing out fake paystubs w-2 w2 1099 forms using
http://www.proofofemployment.com/
Buy the home car or get a huge irs tax refund just for being you!
Do what you have to do to get yours! EVERYONE ELSE DID
http://www.fakepaycheckstubs.com
Print out Fake Employment and Fake Income, Wages, 1099, w2, w-2, using your home computer printer! http://www.proofofemployment.com
That doesn't include those that are not looking, or that have crappy jobs that don't pay the bills.