We hope to do to this industry what Wal-Mart did to theirs, Starbucks did to theirs, Costco did to theirs and Lowes-Home Depot did to their industry. And I think if weve done our job, five years from now youre not going to call us a bank.
I had chance to examine several thousand mortgage files for a regional lender about a year ago.
Not WaMu, but there were some VERY slim HELOC files in there post '96 or so -- basically an app from a tri-fold front-area display rack and the agreement. Appraisal with 3 comps in maybe 60% of cases. Serious documentation that I would expect from a mortgage (tax returns, interior appraisal) in less than 10%.
I'm becoming that guy that shows up late to the party and clogs the bottom of the thread with his posts after everyone else has left :-D But, hey, at least I'm reading all of the posts!
I'm starting to think this is an unhealthy addiction...
In 2005 I asked them to pre-quality me for a mortage (eventually I did not buy anything because thanks to CR and other blogs my eyes were opened to the reality)
They qualify me for $495K loan. A person whose annual income is $80K should never get qualified for this amount loan.
[The holiday results indicate possible consolidation and further bankruptcy filings, said Gilbert Harrison, chief executive officer of retail advisory firm Financo Inc.
Its been difficult, much more difficult than anyone expected, Harrison said in a Bloomberg Television interview from West Palm Beach, Florida. ]
And the bubbleheads were clinging to a 2nd half recovery until the end. We got a 20% SPX bump from the lows TOO! HOOOOOCOOODANODE ?
Reality strikes again -
'NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Motors Corp (GM.N) has filed a lawsuit against a bankrupt auto-parts supplier, saying it is holding necessary equipment "hostage" which could potentially interrupt the launch of its new Chevrolet Camaro car.
In a lawsuit filed on Wednesday in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Delaware, General Motors asked the court to allow it access to facilities of the supplier, Cadence Innovation, so it could obtain necessary tooling and parts for its plants.
Cadence, which makes door trim, instrument panels and air bag covers, filed for bankruptcy protection in August, but this month abandoned plans to sell itself and is now liquidating, according to court papers.
GM said it needed immediate access to the tooling, because it does not have enough parts on hand, and its vehicle assembly operations could be interrupted.
"Even one day's disruption in supply of certain Component Parts could cause a shutdown of GM assembly operations, disrupting not only GM's business, but the operations of countless suppliers, dealers, customers, and other stakeholders," GM said in the complaint.
GM said that such a shut down could cost millions of dollars per plant per day and it would need to have a successor supplier in place by January 12 for the launch of the new Chevrolet Camaro.
GM said it had an accommodation agreement with Cadence that requires the auto-parts supplier to continue to manufacture the parts and provide tooling and equipment.
This is what a post-industrial society looks like.
And notice the idea of finding a new supplier in 2 weeks - only financial engineers can so blithely assume that a supply chain works that way.
But this is worth highlighting -
'GM said it had an accommodation agreement with Cadence that requires the auto-parts supplier to continue to manufacture the parts and provide tooling and equipment.'
Cadence is dead - but GM still believes that the corpse can be brought back to life because it has a contract.
I'm sure that if we all work together, we can all come up with a reason why the UAW is to blame for this. Especially for why GM's management is still apparently relying on a bankrupt single source supplier for critical parts for a new vehicle.
Great chapter in Zinn's People's History of the US on that one.
Here's some other references for the Grange movement. Public domain, college library stuff. Or, by request from Library of Congress.
"American periodicals, especially in 1890-1892, are particularly informing on the growth of the movement; see F. M. Drew in Political Science Quarterly (1891), vi. p. 282; C. W. Pierson in Popular Science Monthly (1888), xxxii. pp. 199, 368; C. S. Walker and F. J. Foster in Annals of American Academy (1894), iv. p. 790; Senator W. A. Peffer in Cosmopolitan (1890), x. p. 694; and on agricultural discontent, Political Science Quarterly, iv. (1889), p. 433, by W. F. Mappin; v. (1890), p. 65, by J. P. Dunn; xi. (1896), pp. 433, 601, xii. (1897), p. 93, and xiv. (1899), p. 444, by C. F. Emerick;, Prof. E. W. Bemis in Journal of Political Economy (1893), i p. 193; A. H. Peters in Quarterly Journal of Economics (1890), iv. p. 18; C. W. Davis in Forum (1890), ix. pp. 231, 291, 348. "
A thin file IS a good file, IF the collateral exceeds the loan value AND the borrower has income sufficient for debt service AND the borrower has demonstrated credit worthiness. Our problem traces back to the fact that WAMU and many, many others created a market for loans based primarily on collateral value defined by appraisals of comparables of similar sales. After all, any object is worth what someone is willing to pay for it. The Wall Street market craved high yield bonds and the lenders quickly learned that creating high yield bonds from mortgages was not hard and letting business walk out the door to competitors is a stupid business practice. When the history of this bubble is written, justice should focus on the demand side.
A thin file is a VERY good file if you are worried about being prosecuted for fraud,but I do not recall why...The Grange movement was very interesting,there are still fragments of it left here in California,mostly old well built meeting halls in once rural towns.
I'm sure that if we all work together, we can all come up with a reason why the UAW is to blame for this. rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 1:25 am | #
Let me guess: Some of their workers are members of the UAW?
I am sure it had nothing to do with the company being run through the private equity grinder.
Cadence was formed in 2005 when Harbinger Capital Partners and Yucaipa Companies bought key assets from bankrupt Venture Holdings. The company changed its name to Cadence Innovation in late 2005. In 2008 its private equity owners decided to put Cadence up for sale in the face of diminished business from the Detroit Three and higher materials costs. Cadence then filed for Chapter 11 protection from creditors in August 2008.
In past crises, U.S. officials have tirelessly argued that foreign governments were at fault for keeping the values of their currencies unrealistically low in order to spur exports. This time, though, Nixon had already been contemplating a second dollar devaluation in order to strengthen the U.S. trade and payments balances; even in early January, German officials were picking up hints to that effect. When the flood of dollar-selling burst in Frankfurt and Tokyo, Nixon, Shultz and top White House aides realized that it would be simpler to devalue the dollar rather than try to work out a package of changes in other currencies. A float or upward revaluation of the mark, for instance, would have raised its price not only in dollars but also in francs, pounds and Dutch guilders, playing havoc with the Common Market's plan for monetary union.
I missed the discussion about the grange movement, but I remember an active one in my hometown on the Central Coast of CA. Even sponsored a Little League team. Not sure if much happens at the Grange Hall these days, though.
Cadence has simply taken Mellon's advice to heart, and in addition to liquidating labor, stocks, farmers, and real estate, has decided to liquidate themselves.
At least somebody has a bold vision of America's future as an industrial nation, and is stepping forward to help purge the rottenness out of the system.
After all, who needs instrument panels or airbag covers? - mere fripperies. Commonplaces to be found at the mere touch of a keyboard, taking advantage of the dynamic power of America's computer enhanced productivity miracle.
Want to bet that GM was stiffing Cadence for months before they filed for Chapter 11?
I blame the unions. Who, praise be to Mellon, are also likely to be liquidated.
Financially engineered post-industrialism - made in America by Americans, for Americans.
However, America's financially engineered post-industrialism will be blamed by Americans on others - whether it be foreigners, Keynesians, or even illegal immigrants sucking at the very lifeblood of the America we all grew up with - the one where white males were in beneficient authority, concerned only with the good of everyone, placing themselves selflessly at the service of others.
one where white males were in beneficient authority, concerned only with the good of everyone, placing themselves selflessly at the service of others. rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 2:03 am | #
Good thing I wasn't drinking anything when I read that!
Hey Rob Dawg, you still up? How about feeding that prev thread contribution and your aggregation wider? ie active viral? Wouldn't take too much to get FT Alphaville going on a slow news Sunday...
Jus sayin'
And I had fun putting that stuff together. Very slow Saturday. Kids all sick and home-bound.
we all read this, shake our heads and know that nothing will happen. The executives will keep there gazillion dollar bonuses, more tax money will be shoveled to support insolvent entities and our politicians will prostitute themselves to lobby groups. We are powerless, or born and bred dopes as Jas will say.
Hey Rob Dawg, you still up? How about feeding that prev thread contribution and your aggregation wider? ie active viral? Wouldn't take too much to get FT Alphaville going on a slow news Sunday... Counterpointer | 12.28.08 - 2:07 am | #
Yeah, jus gettin' outta the hot tub. Almos' too freakin' cold to have a soak. Brrrr. I didn't drive my motorcycle cross country just to have to put up with this weather. I'll seed your ciriculae around a bit tomorrow. I'll start collecting some class materials and lining up guest lecturers as well.
rent_to_own writes:
Reality strikes again -
'NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Motors Corp (GM.N) has filed a lawsuit against a bankrupt auto-parts supplier, saying it is holding necessary equipment "hostage" which could potentially interrupt the launch of its new Chevrolet Camaro car.
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time. Our recently acquired computational power has gone through an experimental testing period. Precise inventory control, robotic lights out manufacturing, just in time supply chains, financial derivative modeling and climate modeling prophecy all came about from our enhanced ability to program and crunch numbers.
We now face the results of our programmed gaming with the task being separation of the successes from the failures. This should be no surprise. Mastering great power requires trial and error practice.
The new Dodge Challenger and Chevy Camaro could be collectables. Only a few Challengers have dribbled off of the assembly line, and Chevy could probably cobble together a few Camaros. Through in a quick bankruptcy and you would have instant classics.
As long as there are young men who believe that young women like a guy with a fast car. Oh, and sad, old men trying to relieve their youths - they buy muscle cars, too.
As long as there are young men who believe that young women like a guy with a fast car. Oh, and sad, old men trying to relieve their youths - they buy muscle cars, too.
Anonymous | 12.28.08 - 2:32 am | #
The Camaro market is dead. It's been six years since the last one was made. Young guys moved on to Mustangs or Subarus(!) or Mitsus.
Older guys moved up to Corvettes. The price differential isn't that big, particularly with the deals you can get now.
Widespread political collapses of nations, as direct or indirect consequences of the global financial implosion.
Considering what's happening in Greece, Thailand, China, Ecuador, and Pakistan, as well as the precarious condition of the oil exporters (barring a quick escalation in oil prices, which is possible), a cascade of political collapses seems to be a no-brainer.
Even Canada and GB are showing cracks from the strains. And the US as well.
And I don't mean just brief upheavals or military coups. I mean nations going down the Somalia path.
As the tide goes out, we're discovering that EVERYONE has been swimming naked.
I'll never forget WAMU's bait and switch loan scheme, circa 2003. I tried to refi a house and they wouldn't honor the loan I locked in because they "lost my file", interest rates had gone against them. About 6 months later rates were back down and I was about 1/4 higher than the prevailing rate. Guess what, they found my file, 1 week before it expired. They are such thieves.
$12 Help writes:
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time.
I'm actually surprised that this huge factor is usually overlooked or understated. The silicon chip is essential to outsourcing and securitization, and just about every other recent innovation in thievery.
The burgeoning disparity in US incomes is clearly (IMO) a direct effect of computerization. It is, from my understanding of history, predictable that the profit-making efficiencies inherent in radically new technology are exploited most quickly by sociopathic predator types in society.
I've been chewing on this for a while and thought I'd share for anyone who might care. A while back I did a string of comments about cons and con artists, in an attempt to understand how much of this has been foisted on us. One thing that stuck with me is the notion that many great cons depend on that little spark of larceny in all our hearts. The next day after posting, Tanta did some musing herself on cons.
I found this recently:
"You do an important public service with this kind of popularizing scholarship--one too few academics are willing to engage in. -- Doris Dungey"
And since outsourcing and computers was mentioned, this line at the end of the article was most fascinating -
'(Reporting by Emily Chasan and Santosh Nadgir in Bangalore; Editing by Tim Dobbyn)'
Admittedly, Reuters is an international organization, but the fact that a business article about the American car industry seems to have been outsourced to a couple of Indian based writers says something much more disturbing than even the article.
To put it bluntly - even words about America's car industry aren't worth paying Americans to write.
America - number one in the post-industrial future.
wow, you've been watching Flipping Out? This perfectly describes Jeff Lewis' life. Al Gore | 12.28.08 - 3:18 am | #
What are the odds that the entire collapse of the American economy is a result of all that bad "Feng Shui" advice that's been handed out? If you want, I'll throw in a conspiracy theory that it was that dastardly villian, Fu Manchu, behind it all!
And in Germany -
'With battle lines sharpening, the German government appears determined to resist calls to spend an additional 40 billion to fight its way out of the recession, according to officials attending a meeting in the Chancellery in the past week.' http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/12/26/europe/germany.4-396757.php
The Germans remain hopelessly behind the curve of modern economic thinking - still not comprehending the secret of America's dynamic economic success is spending your way to wealth. Especially by going into debt, as debt is the surest sign or wealth. Equity is for losers, after all.
'The business community, leaders of German states and other European Union nations are calling for the additional spending, which would amount to $56 billion. Industry chiefs, meanwhile, are calling for tax cuts.
Merkel, facing federal elections in September, has said the focus of any spending measures must be preserving jobs. At the meeting two weeks ago, industry lobbyists promised to go along on that point, but now they have backed away even as they exert more pressure on her.'
This is the problem with electing an East German women Ph.D. physicist as chancellor - she just doesn't understand how the modern capitalist west works, which is with massive government intervention. And to think that Merkel probably believes that growing up in a socialist police state gives her some special insight into keeping today's German society functional in the face of such desperate need among the rich and powerful for more capital. You would almost think that she actually read some Marx as a student, instead of Ayn Rand.
'In addition to seeking more federal spending, the Federation of German Industry has repeatedly called on Merkel to cut taxes, especially employers' contributions to the social welfare system, to encourage more consumer spending.'
This bait and switch has been going on for a while here - notice that the business contributions to welfare taxes are to be cut, to encourage worker spending - do you think the companies are passing on the cuts? Even better was listening to Bundespresident Kohler talk about how workers need to be more involved in their companies, in part by buying into the companies' shares/capital. However, unlike in the U.S., most Germans at least realize this is a bait and switch, and it is not being done for their benefit.
'The European Union, while weakening its criticism of Merkel's cautious approach to dealing with the economic crisis, still wants the German government to do more because of its size: It has the largest economy in Europe.
Merkel, so far, has kept the lobbyists, the state leaders and the EU guessing about her final package.
After a meeting Tuesday in the Chancellery between representatives from the 16 federal states and Merkel's chief of staff, Thomas de Maizière, it appeared that the government wanted to limit spending in order to keep it well within the limits of the EU's Stability and Growth Pact, according to politicians present. The pact limits deficit spending to 3 percent of gross domestic product, so the limit in Germany's case amounts to about 80 billion.'
Sure sounds like the current German government doesn't care about the euro, ECB treaty obligations, or actually attempting to solve a crisis through self-restraint and discipline, does it?
This is one of my problems, to be honest - reading about the U.S., you tend to forget that not every society has decided to simply implode because that is where the profit is.
I have no idea whether Merkel will succeed, or if her choices will be correct. I do know that she is making them, and her framework is broadly supported by most Germans who aren't wealthy or powerful. And as for those, especially Americans, who think that Germany, and by extension the Bundesbank's successor in Frankfurt, are going to follow the Fed follies, don't bet on it.
sd: It is a hoax! A chinese lady told me that it's not even called Feng Shui, but rather Feng Hui. Uncle Billy Smiles | Homepage | 12.28.08 - 3:34 am | #
No, no! It works! But evil forces have corrupted the message so that instead of promoting harmony and prosperity, Americans have designed their living spaces to increase friction and poverty. Americans, it's time to turn your beds around and move that sofa one foot to the right.
cp: She had no idea what I was talking about when I said "Feng Shui" to her. After I explained, she said "Oh, Feng Hui." Could it be a dialect thing? The "h" kinda whistled.
Reminds me of when I ordered Sweet and Sour soup in an HK restaurant. The waitress started saying "Sow-a, sow-a" and laughing herself silly. She told me this meant "rotten teeth." Truthy or no?
You guys making comments on the new Camaro...must be kidding. My first car was a '76 Camaro, have never bought a new car, not concerned at all about impressing the ladies or recapturing my youth, but, a new Camaro...if there's an American car out there I'd buy, that would be it. In fact, if Chevorolet wants to save itself, it should either find a buy for the Camaro line, or better yet, shut everything else down and just make tha Camaro...might be the car that saves the company (and, don't compare it to that piece of crap that has been in production since the early 80's...that was not a Camaro!)
Good for Germans! They show discipline unlike screaming anglo monkeys. Anglos will spend even their own grandgrandkids money in order to support their precious shopping malls, McMansions and nail salons, built upon quick sand. So you anglo punks, where are the bananas now?!
File this one under intensely counterintuitive. A recent study has found that closing off certain streets can actually relieve traffic congestion.
Using Google Maps, a trio of scientists Hyejin Youn and Hawoong Jeong, of the Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, and Michael Gastner, of the Santa Fe Institute looked at traffic routes in Boston, New York, and London. Their paper, titled The Price of Anarchy in Transportation Networks: Efficiency and Optimality Control [PDF] and published in the journal Physical Letters, found that, when individual drivers seek the quickest route, they sometimes end up slowing things down for everybody.
It all hinges on something called Braesss Paradox (and yes, I appreciate the irony of a Wikipedia entry that challenges the wisdom of crowds), which states that adding capacity to a network in which all the moving entities rationally seek the most efficient route can sometimes reduce the networks overall efficiency.' Does closing roads cut delays? | csmonitor.com
Do read the whole article - including the links. Quite fascinating, and though not the conclusion, this was the crux in my eyes -
'The authors compared the Nash equilibrium time to the socially optimal travel time, and dubbed the ratio between the two the price of anarchy. In their study of the Boston area, which looked at travel times from Harvard Square to Boston Common, the price of anarchy at peak traffic times made for a journey that is 30 percent longer.
But the price of anarchy drops if you close a few roads, because individual drivers are less able to selfishly optimize their routes. In their analysis, the authors identified six streets in Boston and Cambridge: By closing those streets, they say, the optimal collective travel time would decrease between the two points.'
Notice that American society seems to feel that the price of anarchy is desirable, since it means that individual Americans can retain their illusion that their selfishness is what makes American society function in a way that fulfills their fantasies, without reference to reality. For example, in having everyone actually reach their destination in less time.
Basically, many Americans remain deeply wedded to the idea that the way they do things is best, that changing those ways is at best an affront, at worst a catastrophe, and refuse to even consider the idea that collective benefit is not the same as personal disadvantage.
But can anyone here imagine the yapping if it was suggested that closing roads would actually reduce travel times, fuel consumption, and emissions? At a minimum, it would contradict years of experience in places like California or DC, where more roads lead to longer travel times, thus necessitating more roads.
Who knows? Maybe someday, Americans will actually be able to recognize their own self-interest, without confusing it with grasping selfishness. Until then - more roads. As a certain poster here wrote - Obama=FAIL.
Transliteration from Chinese uses the Roman alphabet in counterintuitive ways even before you take the effects of different Chinese dialects (languages, really) into account.
Scientists plan to ignite tiny man-made star
It is sciences star experiment: an attempt to create an artificial sun on earth and provide an answer to the worlds impending energy shortage.
It might appeal to NASCAR fans? Are they big enough to be a profitable market? I work with a dedicated motor head who just has to have the latest muscle car from Detroit to impress his friends. He just paid 40 grand for Chrysler's latest offering, a 2008 Challenger. It makes sense for GM to want a piece of this market. It's tiny and most of the young motor heads have switched loyalties to Japanese iron.
They're not making anymore Challengers. Funny that Chrysler kept the name after the Space shuttle fiasco.
ZURICH (Reuters) - Credit Suisse clients may have lost up to 1 billion Swiss francs ($925.9 million) on investments connected to accused swindler Bernard Madoff, newspaper Sonntag reported on Sunday.
[A]nyone who says were in a recession, or heading into oneespecially the worst one since the Great Depressionis making up his own private definition of recession. Donald Luskin, The Washington Post, Sept. 14, 2008
In fact, if Chevorolet wants to save itself, it should either find a buy for the Camaro line, or better yet, shut everything else down and just make tha Camaro...might be the car that saves the company (and, don't compare it to that piece of crap that has been in production since the early 80's...that was not a Camaro!)
The Canary | 12.28.08 - 4:14 am | #
Your id is apt.
As for feng shui - it's pronounced fung shway (wind water).
so this Clark character lays $1 bil of highly polished turds at WAMU, and rather than being in jail, gets to presumably make even more bank at JPM. Wonder who he is defrauding now....
Al Gore (if you happen to check in): Yeah, happened to see part of that house flipper segment on TV & it stuck with me.
More from the Dept. of Silly Jobs:
Earth acupuncturist
Pet food taster
Gross stunt producer
A list of silly products might be fun too, like in the vein of pet rocks. I always thought flavored water might fall into that category. Awful stuff, IMHO. But someone must buy it (my apologies to those who do.)
A side note: While I might think house blessing is a silly job, at least the way Americans do it, I understand blessing one's business or new home is common in Japan.
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time.
I'm actually surprised that this huge factor is usually overlooked or understated. The silicon chip is essential to outsourcing and securitization, and just about every other recent innovation in thievery.
The burgeoning disparity in US incomes is clearly (IMO) a direct effect of computerization. It is, from my understanding of history, predictable that the profit-making efficiencies inherent in radically new technology are exploited most quickly by sociopathic predator types in society.
>
Just In Time inventory control is based upon the premise you can get the part and it arrives just before you need it.
When JIT was first used in the early 90s many remember disruptions GM had across many plants when a single plant making axles had a wildcat strike. Looks like GM forgot that lesson.
Bottom line of inventory is that quick turns relies upon TRUST between supplier and seller. That has vaporized through the entire business world. And the fact GM and others have offshored/outsourced their logistic chains means they have much less control of their mfg process. Heck, what are they going to do when contract law expands outside the US?
This is just opening salvo. Going to get a whole lot worse when JIT & computer MRP hits reality. Just keep stiffing your suppliers for some extra days of float and see your key components disappear to bankrupcy. You will learn. Oh how you will learn.
As I noted a few months back, there is considerable evidence that removing all traffic controls – lights, signs, road markings, and even the distinction between streets and sidewalks – can actually make traffic move more smoothly, as well as cut down on the number of accidents and increase the area’s economic vitality. CS Monitor
As a result of poor enforcement of traffic laws (other than parking) and local attitudes, Boston has served as a natural laboratory for testing this hypothesis for decades. The general consensus I think would be that the theory is hogwash.
Sounds like a nice place to take a walk, actually.
Well, maybe. As local humor would have it, there are two kinds of pedestrian in Boston -- the quick and the dead.
Think of it this way. If you're coming from the burbs into town and you have 2 lanes merging into 1, vs. 6 lanes merging into 1. Yes, more roads (more lanes) will lead to more congestion.
With only 2 lanes, the ones who left home first are merging into the single lane first.
With more lanes (or roads) you end up with many cars leaving the house at different times all trying to merge at the same time.
If the number of lanes serving the destination point is not increased, no amount of roads is going to fix the congestion problem.
I've decided that all official bottom feeder gigs must be directly service related (the first to go in the food chain) and must show up on a google search as being an actual job.
Transliteration from Chinese uses the Roman alphabet in counterintuitive ways even before you take the effects of different Chinese dialects (languages, really) into account.
Of course there are those who believe that Wade-Giles provides a more precise translitteration than Pinyin, at least if you use the accents.
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time. Our recently acquired computational power has gone through an experimental testing period. Precise inventory control, robotic lights out manufacturing, just in time supply chains, financial derivative modeling and climate modeling prophecy all came about from our enhanced ability to program and crunch numbers.-$12 Help
Well, if we are so darn good with precise inventory control, this graph here (from EV) should scare the crap out of people:
It's the most authoritative source I could find and it is quite unambiguous: "In Deutschland bleibt es dabei: Wer beim Standesamt seinen Kirchenaustritt erklärt, wird von der Kirche exkommuniziert."
If you need any help to translate, please ask. I would be glad to help.
And please, do not take that as an attack against the Roman Catholic Church, or religion in general. Even if you disagree with them, you may still respect them well!
rent_to_own writes :
...However, at least in Germany, unlike the U.S. ...
rent_to_own, maybe you would like to educate your american fellows a little bit about the typical german driving style ? |
(and I can fully sympathize with the naked horror any american must feel the first time being on german roads!)
maybe you would like to educate your american fellows a little bit about the typical german driving style Werner | 12.28.08 - 10:50 am | #
Wha? In my experience Germans are some of the best drivers I have ever seen. Never in the U.S.A have I seen, "keep left except to pass," in practice. But when tooling down the bahn at 160 KpH Germans get out of the way.
The executives at these companies (yes, you Killinger and you Mozillo) should be sitting in prison right now but instead are celebrated as "heroes" and "geniuses" in our thoroughly rotten, bankrupt culture.
I tell you I think they are just driving crazy (agressive! and risky). Werner | 12.28.08 - 11:00 am | #
#1 Lithuania: 26.1329 deaths per 1 million peo #2 Latvia: 22.7074 deaths per 1 million peo #3 Spain: 17.5752 deaths per 1 million peo #4 Iceland: 16.8499 deaths per 1 million peo #5 Estonia: 16.5041 deaths per 1 million peo #6 Norway: 13.9342 deaths per 1 million peo #7 Egypt: 12.9409 deaths per 1 million peo #8 Slovenia: 8.95077 deaths per 1 million peo #9 United States: 8.83226 deaths per 1 million peo #10 Luxembourg: 8.53659 deaths per 1 million peo #11 Hungary: 8.29419 deaths per 1 million peo #12 Cuba: 8.10787 deaths per 1 million peo #13 Sweden: 7.88714 deaths per 1 million peo #14 Finland: 7.65843 deaths per 1 million peo #15 Costa Rica: 7.22112 deaths per 1 million peo #16 Bahamas, The: 6.62712 deaths per 1 million peo #17 Australia: 6.62021 deaths per 1 million peo #18 New Zealand: 6.19579 deaths per 1 million peo #19 Venezuela: 5.47783 deaths per 1 million peo #20 Thailand: 5.4529 deaths per 1 million peo #21 Croatia: 4.89324 deaths per 1 million peo #22 Canada: 4.75537 deaths per 1 million peo #23 Netherlands: 4.75407 deaths per 1 million peo #24 Japan: 4.66186 deaths per 1 million peo #25 Panama: 4.4586 deaths per 1 million peo #26 Denmark: 3.86598 deaths per 1 million peo #27 Mexico: 3.74754 deaths per 1 million peo #28 Slovakia: 3.49844 deaths per 1 million peo #29 Brazil: 3.40653 deaths per 1 million peo #30 Argentina: 3.33856 deaths per 1 million peo #31 Austria: 3.29872 deaths per 1 million peo #32 Paraguay: 3.1506 deaths per 1 million peo #33 Germany: 2.85087 deaths per 1 million peo #34 Malta: 2.5092 deaths per 1 million peo #35 Uruguay: 2.34192 deaths per 1 million peo #36 Moldova: 2.24467 deaths per 1 million peo #37 Romania: 2.06001 deaths per 1 million peo #38 Puerto Rico: 2.04551 deaths per 1 million peo #39 Colombia: 1.79262 deaths per 1 million peo #40 Poland: 1.60797 deaths per 1 million peo #41 Kyrgyzstan: 1.16595 deaths per 1 million peo #42 Czech Republic: 1.07411 deaths per 1 million peo #43 Georgia: 0.641437 deaths per 1 million peo #44 Ecuador: 0.523795 deaths per 1 million peo #45 Kuwait: 0.428082 deaths per 1 million peo #46 United Kingdom: 0.264721 deaths per 1 million peo #47 Chile: 0.187723 deaths per 1 million peo #48 Nicaragua: 0.182983 deaths per 1 million peo #49 Korea, South: 0.143912 deaths per 1 million peo #50 Peru: 0.0358089 deaths per 1 million peo
Blackhalo writes :
...#33 Germany: 2.85087 deaths per 1 million peo...
I know, wunder myselfs why there are that few accidents. But still, they are very agressive, they call it "sporty".
My former boss and I lived both for a couple of years in the US : he in Vermont, I in Florida. When we came (americanized) back to Germany, he remarked that everytime you ride a car (here in Germany), you are not sure whether you survive it. So, ...
But you are right, the numbers speak differently.
P.S. In the southern german town I live, we are litterally surounded by american military,so there are plenty americans driving around. One little glimpse into the rear view mirror definitely tells you whether the car following you is driven by an American or German : If it is not sitting 2 meters behind you rear bumper (or less), it's definitely not an American.
One little glimpse into the rear view mirror definitely tells you whether the car following you is driven by an American or German Werner | 12.28.08 - 11:29 am | #
If you are looking in your rear view, you are surely not American. Here, that is apparently just a vanity mirror for applying make-up while driving. In Germany, if you flash your high-beams, dirvers pull aside. In the U.S.A. no one would notice except oncoming traffic, thinking you were signaling a speed trap behind you.
I would challenge you to drive the I-35 corridor between Dallas and San Antonio for the most insane driving I have ever seen. Austin is the worst with all of the Chinese and Indian, first time drivers attending U.T. But nobody matches the soccer mom in the S.U.V. for awful driving. People die.
What astounds me in the list is the absence of the French and Irish. Those guys are scare me.
Werner-
in my perspective, Germans are 'precise' drivers - they don't really make much tolerance for other vehicles, and to an extent, over-estimate themselves in bad conditions - especially those driving the more expensive cars. But American style aggressive? I don't think road rage (for example, shooting another driver) is common here.
Another major difference is that many Germans don't drive, while apart from a few places like New York City or New Orleans, just about all Americans, from the age of 16 till death, do drive. Especially as they generally have little alternative - basically, no doctors, pharmacies, food stores, jobs, schools etc. are in walking distance. And generally, mass transit is non-existent to a bad joke in the U.S. Unlike Germany, America practices a much more advanced form of urban planning - just ask about the exurban nation concept from one of its self-acknowledged experts here.
In other words, an awful lot of people that should never be driving are behind the wheel of a car in America, while in Germany, a good number of people don't drive at all. This may explain the more than 3 times greater rate of vehicle death someone posted, though of course, Germans drive on average only half as much as Americans.
In other words, an awful lot of people that should never be driving are behind the wheel of a car in America, while in Germany, a good number of people don't drive at all. rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 11:50 am | #
True, that. A functioning public transportation system, would be a good thing for many reasons. Still waiting for Vegas to connect the tram from the airport to the strip. Cabbies are not big fans...
Perhaps Barry-O will figure out that it is a good way to spend some money.
Notice Italy is not on that list? It's not by accident....cough cough, uh, sorry.
Anyway, you can be moving along at a nice 110kph clip there and a little Fiat Cinquecento will come up behind you with its left blinker on (which is how they let you know to move - to be followed by a high beam if you dont "get it") then blow by you as if they were driving a Ferrari. I tried to keep up with one in my rented p.o.s. Peugot, and was unable, out of sheer terror of flying off the A1 into oblivion.
Id put my money on the everyday Italian driver against the everyday German every time..they are controlled maniacs.
$12 Help Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time. Our recently acquired computational power has gone through an experimental testing period. Precise inventory control, robotic âlights outâ manufacturing, just in time supply chains, financial derivative modeling and climate modeling prophecy all came about from our enhanced ability to program and crunch numbers.
$12 Help | 12.28.08 - 2:25 am | #
Aw, come on. People knew how to write bad loans and sell snake oil before computers arrived on the horizon. I think what's behind our problems is the will to believe nonsense. The nonsense could be dressed up by computer runs, by feathers and paint, by religious vestments, by end-of-the-world doctrines, by fake testimonials, by celebrity endorsements.... Those are just the trappings.
Laetrile and nerve tonics composed of equal parts alcohol and codeine were popularized long before the first silicon chip. Read about Orgone boxes - the combinations of genuine scholarship with mania and fakery isn't new. Computers are just a new tool to assemble masses of questionable data. One wonders what Gall (phrenology) could have done with them.
"OT -- looking for a social / organizational history of the Grange movement.
Recommendation of up to 3 good texts on the subject would be greatly appreciated."
The Grange movement was part of a larger populist movement, and some have argued that it was actually a co-optation of that movement to neuter the possibility of deeper reforms. The working texts for this that i have encountered were written by Lawrence Goodwyn. "The Populist Moment: A Short History of the Agrarian Revolt in America" was a shorter version of a much larger and more comprehensive work ("Democratic Promise: The Populist Movement in America")--Google should yield solid results. I will post a copy of this to the next thread in case this one is dead.
my point on Italian drivers (maniacs) and the cinquecento, is not so much to say that the Peugot was a crapper. It was. This was about five years ago, and not knowing much about either car, I just assumed from looking at both, and from driving the Peugot for a few hundred miles already, that it should easily be able to best the 500.
So, leisurely cruising at 65 mph, or so, and seeing this piece of crap come screaming up on you from behind, is a bit disconcerting. First you think, wtf, and then you think, how the F&*k? So you get on it a bit, to see just how this could be happening. And then you get on it some more and more, and more still. And on the straightaways you start to make up some of the gap, but only after you realize you are hurtling down the road at closer to 160kph. But once you finally catch up to the bugger, you next get to experience the pure terror of realizing that this person will not slow even slightly in serious curves. It's as if they arent there. And you cannot possibly believe that the 500 does not become airborne and fly right off the curve. And there is no way you are going to test the limits of your p.o.s. rental car to keep up.
And of course, not all cinquecentos are creating equal. Some of the older ones couldnt break 100mph, although I doubt that stopped determined Italians from modifying them to up the performance.
I don't see how it is very useful to have the U.S. on that list. California drivers are completely different from Boston drivers, and both are completely different from midwest drivers.
It's as if they arent there. And you cannot possibly believe that the 500 does not become airborne and fly right off the curve. And there is no way you are going to test the limits of your p.o.s. rental car to keep up.
It was a humbling moment. Geoff | 12.28.08 - 1:52 pm | #
I understand especially if you aren't used to these cars and roads. The Autostrada is not always smooth and features some sharp curves that at 100mph+ that can easily give you some heart stopping moments....
It's the most authoritative source I could find and it is quite unambiguous: "In Deutschland bleibt es dabei: Wer beim Standesamt seinen Kirchenaustritt erklärt, wird von der Kirche exkommuniziert."
If you need any help to translate, please ask.
Werner, please see my response in the open thread above, 2:22 pm.
Glen writes:
The best part about the entire article? Yes, WaMu loan officers WERE snorting methamphetamines. You can't make this stuff up.
I'm surprised you were the first to point this out. Some priceless quotes in this gem of a story:
"...The borrower was claiming a six-figure income and an unusual profession: mariachi singer.
Parsons could not verify the singer's income, so he had him photographed in front of his home dressed in his mariachi outfit. The photo went into a WaMu file. Approved."
"I'd lie if I said every piece of documentation was properly signed and dated," said Parsons, speaking through wire-reinforced glass at a California prison near here, where he is serving 16 months for theft after his fourth arrest -- all involving drugs.
While Parsons, whose incarceration is not related to his work for WaMu, oversaw a team screening mortgage applications, he was snorting methamphetamine daily, he said.
"In our world, it was tolerated," said Sherri Zaback, who worked for Parsons and recalls seeing drug paraphernalia on his desk. "Everybody said, 'He gets the job done."'
wawawa wrote: "They qualify me for $495K loan. A person whose annual income is $80K should never get qualified for this amount loan."
Yes, and now that the banks can't easily "securitize" these loans and get them off their own books, they are returning to the lending standards of yesteryear. The only pity is that they deviated from those standards in the first place.
Of course, the resumption of historical standards for lending can be expected to drive house prices down to historical price/income ratios.
Ken writes:
wawawa wrote: "They qualify me for $495K loan. A person whose annual income is $80K should never get qualified for this amount loan."
In 2004, I made 93k, and I only qualified for a 400k interest-only 5/1 ARM 100% financing (80/20) with credit scores ranging from 800-850. If your numbers are correct, things haven't gotten any better.
First?
Third?
My wife has a similar saying; although now that I think about it, it's completely different.
From the article:
We hope to do to this industry what Wal-Mart did to theirs, Starbucks did to theirs, Costco did to theirs and Lowes-Home Depot did to their industry. And I think if weve done our job, five years from now youre not going to call us a bank.
CEO - Wamu - freaking prophet.
I had chance to examine several thousand mortgage files for a regional lender about a year ago.
Not WaMu, but there were some VERY slim HELOC files in there post '96 or so -- basically an app from a tri-fold front-area display rack and the agreement. Appraisal with 3 comps in maybe 60% of cases. Serious documentation that I would expect from a mortgage (tax returns, interior appraisal) in less than 10%.
CR, I sure hope you aren't in SoCal. It's colder than a mortgage lenders heart here this week.
Adventure pictures to come!
You mean like Captain Blood (1935), with Errol Flynn and Olivia deHavilland?
I'm becoming that guy that shows up late to the party and clogs the bottom of the thread with his posts after everyone else has left :-D But, hey, at least I'm reading all of the posts!
I'm starting to think this is an unhealthy addiction...
OT -- looking for a social / organizational history of the Grange movement.
Recommendation of up to 3 good texts on the subject would be greatly appreciated.
That does not surprise me.
In 2005 I asked them to pre-quality me for a mortage (eventually I did not buy anything because thanks to CR and other blogs my eyes were opened to the reality)
They qualify me for $495K loan. A person whose annual income is $80K should never get qualified for this amount loan.
A file can never be too thin or too rich.
So.. What does this mean for JPM? Are they going the way of Citibank?
[The holiday results indicate possible consolidation and further bankruptcy filings, said Gilbert Harrison, chief executive officer of retail advisory firm Financo Inc.
Its been difficult, much more difficult than anyone expected, Harrison said in a Bloomberg Television interview from West Palm Beach, Florida. ]
And the bubbleheads were clinging to a 2nd half recovery until the end. We got a 20% SPX bump from the lows TOO! HOOOOOCOOODANODE ?
Post-Christmas Sales May Not Help Retailers Salvage Holidays - Bloomberg.com
BZ: Here is a Google public domain book from 1874. It is a history by
http://preview.tinyurl.com/9rv9aa
"...hope you aren't in SoCal. It's colder than a mortgage lenders heart here this week."
One man's floor is another man's ceiling. I am going to SoCal next week. It will be a nice break from the snow and ice here in the Northeast.
Thin to win.
.
Reality strikes again -
'NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Motors Corp (GM.N) has filed a lawsuit against a bankrupt auto-parts supplier, saying it is holding necessary equipment "hostage" which could potentially interrupt the launch of its new Chevrolet Camaro car.
In a lawsuit filed on Wednesday in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Delaware, General Motors asked the court to allow it access to facilities of the supplier, Cadence Innovation, so it could obtain necessary tooling and parts for its plants.
Cadence, which makes door trim, instrument panels and air bag covers, filed for bankruptcy protection in August, but this month abandoned plans to sell itself and is now liquidating, according to court papers.
GM said it needed immediate access to the tooling, because it does not have enough parts on hand, and its vehicle assembly operations could be interrupted.
"Even one day's disruption in supply of certain Component Parts could cause a shutdown of GM assembly operations, disrupting not only GM's business, but the operations of countless suppliers, dealers, customers, and other stakeholders," GM said in the complaint.
GM said that such a shut down could cost millions of dollars per plant per day and it would need to have a successor supplier in place by January 12 for the launch of the new Chevrolet Camaro.
GM said it had an accommodation agreement with Cadence that requires the auto-parts supplier to continue to manufacture the parts and provide tooling and equipment.
A Cadence lawyer and spokesman were not immediately available.'
GM sues bankrupt supplier Cadence over parts
| Reuters
This is what a post-industrial society looks like.
And notice the idea of finding a new supplier in 2 weeks - only financial engineers can so blithely assume that a supply chain works that way.
But this is worth highlighting -
'GM said it had an accommodation agreement with Cadence that requires the auto-parts supplier to continue to manufacture the parts and provide tooling and equipment.'
Cadence is dead - but GM still believes that the corpse can be brought back to life because it has a contract.
I'm sure that if we all work together, we can all come up with a reason why the UAW is to blame for this. Especially for why GM's management is still apparently relying on a bankrupt single source supplier for critical parts for a new vehicle.
"It's never been a better time to be thin file!!" Buy : it's a screamin buy! Buy now or be priced out forever...
C
o one home...
Cadence is dead - but GM still believes that the corpse can be brought back to life because it has a contract.
rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 1:25 am | #
It worked for the TARP'ed banks. The zombies are lending like crazy. Right?
Go zombies!
BZ:
There's interesting information in your local college or university library, too.. check periodicals.. Depends on how much footwork you want to do.
Also, don't forget an earlier farmer's revolt, 'Shay's Rebellion' .. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shays'_Rebellion
Great chapter in Zinn's People's History of the US on that one.
Here's some other references for the Grange movement. Public domain, college library stuff. Or, by request from Library of Congress.
"American periodicals, especially in 1890-1892, are particularly informing on the growth of the movement; see F. M. Drew in Political Science Quarterly (1891), vi. p. 282; C. W. Pierson in Popular Science Monthly (1888), xxxii. pp. 199, 368; C. S. Walker and F. J. Foster in Annals of American Academy (1894), iv. p. 790; Senator W. A. Peffer in Cosmopolitan (1890), x. p. 694; and on agricultural discontent, Political Science Quarterly, iv. (1889), p. 433, by W. F. Mappin; v. (1890), p. 65, by J. P. Dunn; xi. (1896), pp. 433, 601, xii. (1897), p. 93, and xiv. (1899), p. 444, by C. F. Emerick;, Prof. E. W. Bemis in Journal of Political Economy (1893), i p. 193; A. H. Peters in Quarterly Journal of Economics (1890), iv. p. 18; C. W. Davis in Forum (1890), ix. pp. 231, 291, 348. "
A thin file IS a good file, IF the collateral exceeds the loan value AND the borrower has income sufficient for debt service AND the borrower has demonstrated credit worthiness. Our problem traces back to the fact that WAMU and many, many others created a market for loans based primarily on collateral value defined by appraisals of comparables of similar sales. After all, any object is worth what someone is willing to pay for it. The Wall Street market craved high yield bonds and the lenders quickly learned that creating high yield bonds from mortgages was not hard and letting business walk out the door to competitors is a stupid business practice. When the history of this bubble is written, justice should focus on the demand side.
A thin file is a VERY good file if you are worried about being prosecuted for fraud,but I do not recall why...The Grange movement was very interesting,there are still fragments of it left here in California,mostly old well built meeting halls in once rural towns.
I remember going to country dances at the San Luis Obispo Grange hall in the 1990s ... seemed like that was what it was mainly used for...
I'm sure that if we all work together, we can all come up with a reason why the UAW is to blame for this.
rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 1:25 am | #
Let me guess: Some of their workers are members of the UAW?
I am sure it had nothing to do with the company being run through the private equity grinder.
Cadence was formed in 2005 when Harbinger Capital Partners and Yucaipa Companies bought key assets from bankrupt Venture Holdings. The company changed its name to Cadence Innovation in late 2005. In 2008 its private equity owners decided to put Cadence up for sale in the face of diminished business from the Detroit Three and higher materials costs. Cadence then filed for Chapter 11 protection from creditors in August 2008.
From prior thread:
Google was not too helpful with those terms. Is this what you refer to?
Blackhalo | 12.27.08 - 9:21 pm | #
No, this is what he was talking about (in case no answer was given):
The Winners and Losers from Devaluation
Monday, Feb. 26, 1973
In past crises, U.S. officials have tirelessly argued that foreign governments were at fault for keeping the values of their currencies unrealistically low in order to spur exports. This time, though, Nixon had already been contemplating a second dollar devaluation in order to strengthen the U.S. trade and payments balances; even in early January, German officials were picking up hints to that effect. When the flood of dollar-selling burst in Frankfurt and Tokyo, Nixon, Shultz and top White House aides realized that it would be simpler to devalue the dollar rather than try to work out a package of changes in other currencies. A float or upward revaluation of the mark, for instance, would have raised its price not only in dollars but also in francs, pounds and Dutch guilders, playing havoc with the Common Market's plan for monetary union.
I missed the discussion about the grange movement, but I remember an active one in my hometown on the Central Coast of CA. Even sponsored a Little League team. Not sure if much happens at the Grange Hall these days, though.
Cadence has simply taken Mellon's advice to heart, and in addition to liquidating labor, stocks, farmers, and real estate, has decided to liquidate themselves.
At least somebody has a bold vision of America's future as an industrial nation, and is stepping forward to help purge the rottenness out of the system.
After all, who needs instrument panels or airbag covers? - mere fripperies. Commonplaces to be found at the mere touch of a keyboard, taking advantage of the dynamic power of America's computer enhanced productivity miracle.
Want to bet that GM was stiffing Cadence for months before they filed for Chapter 11?
I blame the unions. Who, praise be to Mellon, are also likely to be liquidated.
Financially engineered post-industrialism - made in America by Americans, for Americans.
However, America's financially engineered post-industrialism will be blamed by Americans on others - whether it be foreigners, Keynesians, or even illegal immigrants sucking at the very lifeblood of the America we all grew up with - the one where white males were in beneficient authority, concerned only with the good of everyone, placing themselves selflessly at the service of others.
one where white males were in beneficient authority, concerned only with the good of everyone, placing themselves selflessly at the service of others.
rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 2:03 am | #
Good thing I wasn't drinking anything when I read that!
Hey Rob Dawg, you still up? How about feeding that prev thread contribution and your aggregation wider? ie active viral? Wouldn't take too much to get FT Alphaville going on a slow news Sunday...
Jus sayin'
And I had fun putting that stuff together. Very slow Saturday. Kids all sick and home-bound.
C
we all read this, shake our heads and know that nothing will happen. The executives will keep there gazillion dollar bonuses, more tax money will be shoveled to support insolvent entities and our politicians will prostitute themselves to lobby groups. We are powerless, or born and bred dopes as Jas will say.
we all read this, shake our heads and know that nothing will happen.
sartre | 12.28.08 - 2:07 am | #
Yes and no. Sometimes karma has a way of rearing it's head in unusual and unexpected ways.
Hey Rob Dawg, you still up? How about feeding that prev thread contribution and your aggregation wider? ie active viral? Wouldn't take too much to get FT Alphaville going on a slow news Sunday...
Counterpointer | 12.28.08 - 2:07 am | #
Yeah, jus gettin' outta the hot tub. Almos' too freakin' cold to have a soak. Brrrr. I didn't drive my motorcycle cross country just to have to put up with this weather. I'll seed your ciriculae around a bit tomorrow. I'll start collecting some class materials and lining up guest lecturers as well.
rent_to_own writes:
Reality strikes again -
'NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Motors Corp (GM.N) has filed a lawsuit against a bankrupt auto-parts supplier, saying it is holding necessary equipment "hostage" which could potentially interrupt the launch of its new Chevrolet Camaro car.
Is there still a Camaro market ... I mean really.
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time. Our recently acquired computational power has gone through an experimental testing period. Precise inventory control, robotic lights out manufacturing, just in time supply chains, financial derivative modeling and climate modeling prophecy all came about from our enhanced ability to program and crunch numbers.
We now face the results of our programmed gaming with the task being separation of the successes from the failures. This should be no surprise. Mastering great power requires trial and error practice.
Dawg - excellent. You must be in some shtbag cold area. It's positively balmy in Maryland.
We'll get snow next week or so, but it's crazy mild for now.
Actually, we could have more fun with this with fake papers from the Institute...
C
The new Dodge Challenger and Chevy Camaro could be collectables. Only a few Challengers have dribbled off of the assembly line, and Chevy could probably cobble together a few Camaros. Through in a quick bankruptcy and you would have instant classics.
counter-
What did you put together?
Is there still a Camaro market ... I mean really.
As long as there are young men who believe that young women like a guy with a fast car. Oh, and sad, old men trying to relieve their youths - they buy muscle cars, too.
As long as there are young men who believe that young women like a guy with a fast car. Oh, and sad, old men trying to relieve their youths - they buy muscle cars, too.
Anonymous | 12.28.08 - 2:32 am | #
The Camaro market is dead. It's been six years since the last one was made. Young guys moved on to Mustangs or Subarus(!) or Mitsus.
Older guys moved up to Corvettes. The price differential isn't that big, particularly with the deals you can get now.
Here's my prediction for 2009-10:
Widespread political collapses of nations, as direct or indirect consequences of the global financial implosion.
Considering what's happening in Greece, Thailand, China, Ecuador, and Pakistan, as well as the precarious condition of the oil exporters (barring a quick escalation in oil prices, which is possible), a cascade of political collapses seems to be a no-brainer.
Even Canada and GB are showing cracks from the strains. And the US as well.
And I don't mean just brief upheavals or military coups. I mean nations going down the Somalia path.
As the tide goes out, we're discovering that EVERYONE has been swimming naked.
I'll never forget WAMU's bait and switch loan scheme, circa 2003. I tried to refi a house and they wouldn't honor the loan I locked in because they "lost my file", interest rates had gone against them. About 6 months later rates were back down and I was about 1/4 higher than the prevailing rate. Guess what, they found my file, 1 week before it expired. They are such thieves.
Not that anyone cares, but I just hate WAMU.
Don't worry Hank, I hate you too.
It's been updated to "When the tide goes out, you get to see who's been pissing in the ocean."
What did you put together?
\t
hong konger | 12.28.08 - 2:28 am | #
Click on my "homepage" below for the course schedule Rob Dawg's Post Apocoleptic Reeducation Camps as written by Counterpointer.
$12 Help writes:
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time.
I'm actually surprised that this huge factor is usually overlooked or understated. The silicon chip is essential to outsourcing and securitization, and just about every other recent innovation in thievery.
The burgeoning disparity in US incomes is clearly (IMO) a direct effect of computerization. It is, from my understanding of history, predictable that the profit-making efficiencies inherent in radically new technology are exploited most quickly by sociopathic predator types in society.
hong konger
Ok, Dawg's in ahead o me. We had some fun with a putative re-education camp and its curriculum.
C
I've been chewing on this for a while and thought I'd share for anyone who might care. A while back I did a string of comments about cons and con artists, in an attempt to understand how much of this has been foisted on us. One thing that stuck with me is the notion that many great cons depend on that little spark of larceny in all our hearts. The next day after posting, Tanta did some musing herself on cons.
I found this recently:
"You do an important public service with this kind of popularizing scholarship--one too few academics are willing to engage in. -- Doris Dungey"
The Skeptic's Dictionary - Skepdic.com
There seems to be only one other Doris Dungey that shows up on the web, an elderly Canadian lady. The Doris above sounds like our Tanta.
If it is, it certainly supports that she was a good friend of truth and mortal enemy of obfuscation, beyond the world of mortgages.
RD, CP: ...and how 'bout Post Apoplectic Reeducation Camps.
Uncle Billy - not bad, not bad. Like it. Love yr muse post from last night too.
Except WE'RE STILL APOPLECTIC NOW....
/pants a bit, lager sheila darling, puhleeze.
C
More frivolous bottom-feeder occupations set to go the way of the dodo bird:
House Blessers
Pet psychologists, massuers, acupuncture
Life coaches
Personal shoppers
Botox house parties
Home managers
Butlers, valets
wow, you've been watching Flipping Out? This perfectly describes Jeff Lewis' life.
And since outsourcing and computers was mentioned, this line at the end of the article was most fascinating -
'(Reporting by Emily Chasan and Santosh Nadgir in Bangalore; Editing by Tim Dobbyn)'
Admittedly, Reuters is an international organization, but the fact that a business article about the American car industry seems to have been outsourced to a couple of Indian based writers says something much more disturbing than even the article.
To put it bluntly - even words about America's car industry aren't worth paying Americans to write.
America - number one in the post-industrial future.
a thin file is a good file
I have a sudden post-Christmas wish that this had surfaced while Tanta was still around to do it full justice.
wow, you've been watching Flipping Out? This perfectly describes Jeff Lewis' life.
Al Gore | 12.28.08 - 3:18 am | #
What are the odds that the entire collapse of the American economy is a result of all that bad "Feng Shui" advice that's been handed out? If you want, I'll throw in a conspiracy theory that it was that dastardly villian, Fu Manchu, behind it all!
sd: It is a hoax! A chinese lady told me that it's not even called Feng Shui, but rather Feng Hui.
cp: my Muse post? You mean that we need to move beyond Bjork?
And in Germany -
'With battle lines sharpening, the German government appears determined to resist calls to spend an additional 40 billion to fight its way out of the recession, according to officials attending a meeting in the Chancellery in the past week.'
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/12/26/europe/germany.4-396757.php
The Germans remain hopelessly behind the curve of modern economic thinking - still not comprehending the secret of America's dynamic economic success is spending your way to wealth. Especially by going into debt, as debt is the surest sign or wealth. Equity is for losers, after all.
'The business community, leaders of German states and other European Union nations are calling for the additional spending, which would amount to $56 billion. Industry chiefs, meanwhile, are calling for tax cuts.
Merkel, facing federal elections in September, has said the focus of any spending measures must be preserving jobs. At the meeting two weeks ago, industry lobbyists promised to go along on that point, but now they have backed away even as they exert more pressure on her.'
This is the problem with electing an East German women Ph.D. physicist as chancellor - she just doesn't understand how the modern capitalist west works, which is with massive government intervention. And to think that Merkel probably believes that growing up in a socialist police state gives her some special insight into keeping today's German society functional in the face of such desperate need among the rich and powerful for more capital. You would almost think that she actually read some Marx as a student, instead of Ayn Rand.
'In addition to seeking more federal spending, the Federation of German Industry has repeatedly called on Merkel to cut taxes, especially employers' contributions to the social welfare system, to encourage more consumer spending.'
This bait and switch has been going on for a while here - notice that the business contributions to welfare taxes are to be cut, to encourage worker spending - do you think the companies are passing on the cuts? Even better was listening to Bundespresident Kohler talk about how workers need to be more involved in their companies, in part by buying into the companies' shares/capital. However, unlike in the U.S., most Germans at least realize this is a bait and switch, and it is not being done for their benefit.
'The European Union, while weakening its criticism of Merkel's cautious approach to dealing with the economic crisis, still wants the German government to do more because of its size: It has the largest economy in Europe.
Merkel, so far, has kept the lobbyists, the state leaders and the EU guessing about her final package.
After a meeting Tuesday in the Chancellery between representatives from the 16 federal states and Merkel's chief of staff, Thomas de Maizière, it appeared that the government wanted to limit spending in order to keep it well within the limits of the EU's Stability and Growth Pact, according to politicians present. The pact limits deficit spending to 3 percent of gross domestic product, so the limit in Germany's case amounts to about 80 billion.'
Sure sounds like the current German government doesn't care about the euro, ECB treaty obligations, or actually attempting to solve a crisis through self-restraint and discipline, does it?
This is one of my problems, to be honest - reading about the U.S., you tend to forget that not every society has decided to simply implode because that is where the profit is.
I have no idea whether Merkel will succeed, or if her choices will be correct. I do know that she is making them, and her framework is broadly supported by most Germans who aren't wealthy or powerful. And as for those, especially Americans, who think that Germany, and by extension the Bundesbank's successor in Frankfurt, are going to follow the Fed follies, don't bet on it.
UB - it's Feng Shui.
It's gonna be a long depression, so get with the pacing:
YouTube - The Amps - "Pacer"
C
sd: It is a hoax! A chinese lady told me that it's not even called Feng Shui, but rather Feng Hui.
Uncle Billy Smiles | Homepage | 12.28.08 - 3:34 am | #
No, no! It works! But evil forces have corrupted the message so that instead of promoting harmony and prosperity, Americans have designed their living spaces to increase friction and poverty. Americans, it's time to turn your beds around and move that sofa one foot to the right.
sdtfs- it's the furriners wot done it.
C
cp: She had no idea what I was talking about when I said "Feng Shui" to her. After I explained, she said "Oh, Feng Hui." Could it be a dialect thing? The "h" kinda whistled.
Reminds me of when I ordered Sweet and Sour soup in an HK restaurant. The waitress started saying "Sow-a, sow-a" and laughing herself silly. She told me this meant "rotten teeth." Truthy or no?
USA is toast, fubar, another useless multicultigumbayaa third world plutocracy nation.
You guys making comments on the new Camaro...must be kidding. My first car was a '76 Camaro, have never bought a new car, not concerned at all about impressing the ladies or recapturing my youth, but, a new Camaro...if there's an American car out there I'd buy, that would be it. In fact, if Chevorolet wants to save itself, it should either find a buy for the Camaro line, or better yet, shut everything else down and just make tha Camaro...might be the car that saves the company (and, don't compare it to that piece of crap that has been in production since the early 80's...that was not a Camaro!)
Good for Germans! They show discipline unlike screaming anglo monkeys. Anglos will spend even their own grandgrandkids money in order to support their precious shopping malls, McMansions and nail salons, built upon quick sand. So you anglo punks, where are the bananas now?!
So the bank robber (GM) is standing over the dead horse (Cadence), kicking it, screaming "get up you sorry SOS I gotta get out of town".
Interesting article - 'Does closing roads cut delays?
File this one under intensely counterintuitive. A recent study has found that closing off certain streets can actually relieve traffic congestion.
Using Google Maps, a trio of scientists Hyejin Youn and Hawoong Jeong, of the Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, and Michael Gastner, of the Santa Fe Institute looked at traffic routes in Boston, New York, and London. Their paper, titled The Price of Anarchy in Transportation Networks: Efficiency and Optimality Control [PDF] and published in the journal Physical Letters, found that, when individual drivers seek the quickest route, they sometimes end up slowing things down for everybody.
It all hinges on something called Braesss Paradox (and yes, I appreciate the irony of a Wikipedia entry that challenges the wisdom of crowds), which states that adding capacity to a network in which all the moving entities rationally seek the most efficient route can sometimes reduce the networks overall efficiency.'
Does closing roads cut delays? | csmonitor.com
Do read the whole article - including the links. Quite fascinating, and though not the conclusion, this was the crux in my eyes -
'The authors compared the Nash equilibrium time to the socially optimal travel time, and dubbed the ratio between the two the price of anarchy. In their study of the Boston area, which looked at travel times from Harvard Square to Boston Common, the price of anarchy at peak traffic times made for a journey that is 30 percent longer.
But the price of anarchy drops if you close a few roads, because individual drivers are less able to selfishly optimize their routes. In their analysis, the authors identified six streets in Boston and Cambridge: By closing those streets, they say, the optimal collective travel time would decrease between the two points.'
Notice that American society seems to feel that the price of anarchy is desirable, since it means that individual Americans can retain their illusion that their selfishness is what makes American society function in a way that fulfills their fantasies, without reference to reality. For example, in having everyone actually reach their destination in less time.
Basically, many Americans remain deeply wedded to the idea that the way they do things is best, that changing those ways is at best an affront, at worst a catastrophe, and refuse to even consider the idea that collective benefit is not the same as personal disadvantage.
But can anyone here imagine the yapping if it was suggested that closing roads would actually reduce travel times, fuel consumption, and emissions? At a minimum, it would contradict years of experience in places like California or DC, where more roads lead to longer travel times, thus necessitating more roads.
Who knows? Maybe someday, Americans will actually be able to recognize their own self-interest, without confusing it with grasping selfishness. Until then - more roads. As a certain poster here wrote - Obama=FAIL.
UncleBilly,
Transliteration from Chinese uses the Roman alphabet in counterintuitive ways even before you take the effects of different Chinese dialects (languages, really) into account.
I hope they teach things like manners, driving courteously, and household finance at the re-ed camps.
Oh! And don't forget to stash some antibiotics in the bunker.
This is Hank's policy, too.
Aren't all his 8 trillion dollars of gifts and loans essentially low or no doc?
It's a good thing that the exalted macro level Hank plays in works by such a different set of rules than the micro level of bank loan officers.
Thank God I was already broke and didn't have any more money to lose when this all started.
The next bubble :
Scientists plan to ignite tiny man-made star
It is sciences star experiment: an attempt to create an artificial sun on earth and provide an answer to the worlds impending energy shortage.
Scientists plan to ignite tiny man-made star - Telegraph
Is there still a Camaro market ... I mean really.
It might appeal to NASCAR fans? Are they big enough to be a profitable market? I work with a dedicated motor head who just has to have the latest muscle car from Detroit to impress his friends. He just paid 40 grand for Chrysler's latest offering, a 2008 Challenger. It makes sense for GM to want a piece of this market. It's tiny and most of the young motor heads have switched loyalties to Japanese iron.
They're not making anymore Challengers. Funny that Chrysler kept the name after the Space shuttle fiasco.
>A thin file is a VERY good file if you are worried about being prosecuted for fraud,but I do not recall why..
To break out of jail.
ZURICH (Reuters) - Credit Suisse clients may have lost up to 1 billion Swiss francs ($925.9 million) on investments connected to accused swindler Bernard Madoff, newspaper Sonntag reported on Sunday.
[A]nyone who says were in a recession, or heading into oneespecially the worst one since the Great Depressionis making up his own private definition of recession. Donald Luskin, The Washington Post, Sept. 14, 2008
In fact, if Chevorolet wants to save itself, it should either find a buy for the Camaro line, or better yet, shut everything else down and just make tha Camaro...might be the car that saves the company (and, don't compare it to that piece of crap that has been in production since the early 80's...that was not a Camaro!)
The Canary | 12.28.08 - 4:14 am | #
Your id is apt.
As for feng shui - it's pronounced fung shway (wind water).
so this Clark character lays $1 bil of highly polished turds at WAMU, and rather than being in jail, gets to presumably make even more bank at JPM. Wonder who he is defrauding now....
Al Gore (if you happen to check in): Yeah, happened to see part of that house flipper segment on TV & it stuck with me.
More from the Dept. of Silly Jobs:
Earth acupuncturist
Pet food taster
Gross stunt producer
A list of silly products might be fun too, like in the vein of pet rocks. I always thought flavored water might fall into that category. Awful stuff, IMHO. But someone must buy it (my apologies to those who do.)
Bad Breath smeller
The Grange movement? Still alive. It took a while to find the website, but they are at The National Grange
A side note: While I might think house blessing is a silly job, at least the way Americans do it, I understand blessing one's business or new home is common in Japan.
unirealist writes:
The burgeoning disparity in US incomes is clearly (IMO) a direct effect of computerization. It is, from my understanding of history, predictable that the profit-making efficiencies inherent in radically new technology are exploited most quickly by sociopathic predator types in society.
>
Just In Time inventory control is based upon the premise you can get the part and it arrives just before you need it.
When JIT was first used in the early 90s many remember disruptions GM had across many plants when a single plant making axles had a wildcat strike. Looks like GM forgot that lesson.
Bottom line of inventory is that quick turns relies upon TRUST between supplier and seller. That has vaporized through the entire business world. And the fact GM and others have offshored/outsourced their logistic chains means they have much less control of their mfg process. Heck, what are they going to do when contract law expands outside the US?
This is just opening salvo. Going to get a whole lot worse when JIT & computer MRP hits reality. Just keep stiffing your suppliers for some extra days of float and see your key components disappear to bankrupcy. You will learn. Oh how you will learn.
gomer
As I noted a few months back, there is considerable evidence that removing all traffic controls – lights, signs, road markings, and even the distinction between streets and sidewalks – can actually make traffic move more smoothly, as well as cut down on the number of accidents and increase the area’s economic vitality. CS Monitor
As a result of poor enforcement of traffic laws (other than parking) and local attitudes, Boston has served as a natural laboratory for testing this hypothesis for decades. The general consensus I think would be that the theory is hogwash.
Sounds like a nice place to take a walk, actually.
Well, maybe. As local humor would have it, there are two kinds of pedestrian in Boston -- the quick and the dead.
Interesting article - 'Does closing roads cut delays?
Think of it this way. If you're coming from the burbs into town and you have 2 lanes merging into 1, vs. 6 lanes merging into 1. Yes, more roads (more lanes) will lead to more congestion.
With only 2 lanes, the ones who left home first are merging into the single lane first.
With more lanes (or roads) you end up with many cars leaving the house at different times all trying to merge at the same time.
If the number of lanes serving the destination point is not increased, no amount of roads is going to fix the congestion problem.
Uncle Billy - on the rotten teeth / HK front, sorry, don't speak no steenkin niaoyu. Ahem, sorry don't speak Cantonese.
C
I've started a 'Bottom Feeder List' here.
It's a start.
I've decided that all official bottom feeder gigs must be directly service related (the first to go in the food chain) and must show up on a google search as being an actual job.
Have fun.
Gomer: On the topic of TRUST, my husband heard a good one in Saudi Arabia during the 1st gulf war:
Trust in Allah, but tie up your camel.
The Arab version of Reagan's trust but verify.
Hey, General! You got all my good ones. Will go hunting...
Gotta go watch the Sunday gasbags bloviate.
...tried to refi a house and they wouldn't honor the loan I locked in because they "lost my file"...
Well it was so thin that it slipped behind the filing cabinet.
Transliteration from Chinese uses the Roman alphabet in counterintuitive ways even before you take the effects of different Chinese dialects (languages, really) into account.
Of course there are those who believe that Wade-Giles provides a more precise translitteration than Pinyin, at least if you use the accents.
Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time. Our recently acquired computational power has gone through an experimental testing period. Precise inventory control, robotic lights out manufacturing, just in time supply chains, financial derivative modeling and climate modeling prophecy all came about from our enhanced ability to program and crunch numbers.-$12 Help
Well, if we are so darn good with precise inventory control, this graph here (from EV) should scare the crap out of people:
Economist's View: Are Workers Unwilling to Work?
Hi, Pavel,
as to "...which bishop excommunicated anyone for not paying the tax, and for that alone?..."
Found this (it's from Radio Vatikan, unfortuanately only in German) :
Deutschland: Exkommunikation wegen Kirchensteuer?
It's the most authoritative source I could find and it is quite unambiguous: "In Deutschland bleibt es dabei: Wer beim Standesamt seinen Kirchenaustritt erklärt, wird von der Kirche exkommuniziert."
If you need any help to translate, please ask. I would be glad to help.
And please, do not take that as an attack against the Roman Catholic Church, or religion in general. Even if you disagree with them, you may still respect them well!
Yehya Ayman, 12, ran around in shock and resisted his father's attempts to pull him away from the bodies of his uncle and brother.
"I want to see them. I am not afraid," Yehya said.
The boy then turned to a militant fighter and pleaded, "You have to shell [the Israelis] and take revenge for us."
In the name of religion and race, it's starting again.
Wonder how pakistan and india are holding up now.
War is coming whether you would have it or not! - LOTR
The 'empire' that WaMu built on shaky loans pales compared to what was built on the next step of the pyramid.
It's gonna be a long depression, so get with the pacing:
Counterpointer | 12.28.08 - 3:41 am | #
The death throes of the doomed are wicke evil to watch. They are just making one last splash.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7AsId-qVIb4&feature=related
Zephyr writes:
A file can never be too thin or too rich.
Zephyr is old enough to remember when we had ciggie ads on TeeVee. But what was the brand?
rent_to_own writes :
...However, at least in Germany, unlike the U.S. ...
rent_to_own, maybe you would like to educate your american fellows a little bit about the typical german driving style ? |
(and I can fully sympathize with the naked horror any american must feel the first time being on german roads!)
maybe you would like to educate your american fellows a little bit about the typical german driving style
Werner | 12.28.08 - 10:50 am | #
Wha? In my experience Germans are some of the best drivers I have ever seen. Never in the U.S.A have I seen, "keep left except to pass," in practice. But when tooling down the bahn at 160 KpH Germans get out of the way.
The executives at these companies (yes, you Killinger and you Mozillo) should be sitting in prison right now but instead are celebrated as "heroes" and "geniuses" in our thoroughly rotten, bankrupt culture.
Blackhalo writes:
...In my experience Germans are some of the best drivers I have ever seen...
Thanks for the flowers, but as a German I tell you I think they are just driving crazy (agressive! and risky).
I tell you I think they are just driving crazy (agressive! and risky).
Werner | 12.28.08 - 11:00 am | #
#1 Lithuania: 26.1329 deaths per 1 million peo
#2 Latvia: 22.7074 deaths per 1 million peo
#3 Spain: 17.5752 deaths per 1 million peo
#4 Iceland: 16.8499 deaths per 1 million peo
#5 Estonia: 16.5041 deaths per 1 million peo
#6 Norway: 13.9342 deaths per 1 million peo
#7 Egypt: 12.9409 deaths per 1 million peo
#8 Slovenia: 8.95077 deaths per 1 million peo
#9 United States: 8.83226 deaths per 1 million peo
#10 Luxembourg: 8.53659 deaths per 1 million peo
#11 Hungary: 8.29419 deaths per 1 million peo
#12 Cuba: 8.10787 deaths per 1 million peo
#13 Sweden: 7.88714 deaths per 1 million peo
#14 Finland: 7.65843 deaths per 1 million peo
#15 Costa Rica: 7.22112 deaths per 1 million peo
#16 Bahamas, The: 6.62712 deaths per 1 million peo
#17 Australia: 6.62021 deaths per 1 million peo
#18 New Zealand: 6.19579 deaths per 1 million peo
#19 Venezuela: 5.47783 deaths per 1 million peo
#20 Thailand: 5.4529 deaths per 1 million peo
#21 Croatia: 4.89324 deaths per 1 million peo
#22 Canada: 4.75537 deaths per 1 million peo
#23 Netherlands: 4.75407 deaths per 1 million peo
#24 Japan: 4.66186 deaths per 1 million peo
#25 Panama: 4.4586 deaths per 1 million peo
#26 Denmark: 3.86598 deaths per 1 million peo
#27 Mexico: 3.74754 deaths per 1 million peo
#28 Slovakia: 3.49844 deaths per 1 million peo
#29 Brazil: 3.40653 deaths per 1 million peo
#30 Argentina: 3.33856 deaths per 1 million peo
#31 Austria: 3.29872 deaths per 1 million peo
#32 Paraguay: 3.1506 deaths per 1 million peo
#33 Germany: 2.85087 deaths per 1 million peo
#34 Malta: 2.5092 deaths per 1 million peo
#35 Uruguay: 2.34192 deaths per 1 million peo
#36 Moldova: 2.24467 deaths per 1 million peo
#37 Romania: 2.06001 deaths per 1 million peo
#38 Puerto Rico: 2.04551 deaths per 1 million peo
#39 Colombia: 1.79262 deaths per 1 million peo
#40 Poland: 1.60797 deaths per 1 million peo
#41 Kyrgyzstan: 1.16595 deaths per 1 million peo
#42 Czech Republic: 1.07411 deaths per 1 million peo
#43 Georgia: 0.641437 deaths per 1 million peo
#44 Ecuador: 0.523795 deaths per 1 million peo
#45 Kuwait: 0.428082 deaths per 1 million peo
#46 United Kingdom: 0.264721 deaths per 1 million peo
#47 Chile: 0.187723 deaths per 1 million peo
#48 Nicaragua: 0.182983 deaths per 1 million peo
#49 Korea, South: 0.143912 deaths per 1 million peo
#50 Peru: 0.0358089 deaths per 1 million peo
Interesting that most of the top 10 countries on that list experience snow and ice during the winter.
Interesting that most of the top 10 countries on that list experience snow and ice during the winter.
mal | 12.28.08 - 11:20 am | #
Yeah, but the Canadians, Poles, Brits, Koreans get that too. Looks like the Baltics, excepting Germans and Poles, are suicidal.
Blackhalo writes :
...#33 Germany: 2.85087 deaths per 1 million peo...
I know, wunder myselfs why there are that few accidents. But still, they are very agressive, they call it "sporty".
My former boss and I lived both for a couple of years in the US : he in Vermont, I in Florida. When we came (americanized) back to Germany, he remarked that everytime you ride a car (here in Germany), you are not sure whether you survive it. So, ...
But you are right, the numbers speak differently.
P.S. In the southern german town I live, we are litterally surounded by american military,so there are plenty americans driving around. One little glimpse into the rear view mirror definitely tells you whether the car following you is driven by an American or German : If it is not sitting 2 meters behind you rear bumper (or less), it's definitely not an American.
One little glimpse into the rear view mirror definitely tells you whether the car following you is driven by an American or German
Werner | 12.28.08 - 11:29 am | #
If you are looking in your rear view, you are surely not American. Here, that is apparently just a vanity mirror for applying make-up while driving. In Germany, if you flash your high-beams, dirvers pull aside. In the U.S.A. no one would notice except oncoming traffic, thinking you were signaling a speed trap behind you.
I would challenge you to drive the I-35 corridor between Dallas and San Antonio for the most insane driving I have ever seen. Austin is the worst with all of the Chinese and Indian, first time drivers attending U.T. But nobody matches the soccer mom in the S.U.V. for awful driving. People die.
What astounds me in the list is the absence of the French and Irish. Those guys are scare me.
Werner-
in my perspective, Germans are 'precise' drivers - they don't really make much tolerance for other vehicles, and to an extent, over-estimate themselves in bad conditions - especially those driving the more expensive cars. But American style aggressive? I don't think road rage (for example, shooting another driver) is common here.
Another major difference is that many Germans don't drive, while apart from a few places like New York City or New Orleans, just about all Americans, from the age of 16 till death, do drive. Especially as they generally have little alternative - basically, no doctors, pharmacies, food stores, jobs, schools etc. are in walking distance. And generally, mass transit is non-existent to a bad joke in the U.S. Unlike Germany, America practices a much more advanced form of urban planning - just ask about the exurban nation concept from one of its self-acknowledged experts here.
In other words, an awful lot of people that should never be driving are behind the wheel of a car in America, while in Germany, a good number of people don't drive at all. This may explain the more than 3 times greater rate of vehicle death someone posted, though of course, Germans drive on average only half as much as Americans.
In other words, an awful lot of people that should never be driving are behind the wheel of a car in America, while in Germany, a good number of people don't drive at all.
rent_to_own | 12.28.08 - 11:50 am | #
True, that. A functioning public transportation system, would be a good thing for many reasons. Still waiting for Vegas to connect the tram from the airport to the strip. Cabbies are not big fans...
Perhaps Barry-O will figure out that it is a good way to spend some money.
Notice Italy is not on that list? It's not by accident....cough cough, uh, sorry.
Anyway, you can be moving along at a nice 110kph clip there and a little Fiat Cinquecento will come up behind you with its left blinker on (which is how they let you know to move - to be followed by a high beam if you dont "get it") then blow by you as if they were driving a Ferrari. I tried to keep up with one in my rented p.o.s. Peugot, and was unable, out of sheer terror of flying off the A1 into oblivion.
Id put my money on the everyday Italian driver against the everyday German every time..they are controlled maniacs.
Anyway, you can be moving along at a nice 110kph
Geoff | 12.28.08 - 11:58 am | #
I can't drive 55.
Fiat Cinquecento
Geoff | 12.28.08 - 11:58 am | #
Oh, my god! I had no idea. Puegots, must REALLY suck.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiat_Cinquecento
$12 Help Computers are behind many of the excesses of our time. Our recently acquired computational power has gone through an experimental testing period. Precise inventory control, robotic âlights outâ manufacturing, just in time supply chains, financial derivative modeling and climate modeling prophecy all came about from our enhanced ability to program and crunch numbers.
$12 Help | 12.28.08 - 2:25 am | #
Aw, come on. People knew how to write bad loans and sell snake oil before computers arrived on the horizon. I think what's behind our problems is the will to believe nonsense. The nonsense could be dressed up by computer runs, by feathers and paint, by religious vestments, by end-of-the-world doctrines, by fake testimonials, by celebrity endorsements.... Those are just the trappings.
Laetrile and nerve tonics composed of equal parts alcohol and codeine were popularized long before the first silicon chip. Read about Orgone boxes - the combinations of genuine scholarship with mania and fakery isn't new. Computers are just a new tool to assemble masses of questionable data. One wonders what Gall (phrenology) could have done with them.
"OT -- looking for a social / organizational history of the Grange movement.
Recommendation of up to 3 good texts on the subject would be greatly appreciated."
The Grange movement was part of a larger populist movement, and some have argued that it was actually a co-optation of that movement to neuter the possibility of deeper reforms. The working texts for this that i have encountered were written by Lawrence Goodwyn. "The Populist Moment: A Short History of the Agrarian Revolt in America" was a shorter version of a much larger and more comprehensive work ("Democratic Promise: The Populist Movement in America")--Google should yield solid results. I will post a copy of this to the next thread in case this one is dead.
Fiat Cinquecento
Geoff | 12.28.08 - 11:58 am | #
Oh, my god! I had no idea. Puegots, must REALLY suck.
Blackhalo | 12.28.08 - 12:08 pm | #
Not so much. Anybody who remembers the Fiat Abarths from the 60s and 70s has a new one to admire:
http://www.autoblog.com/2008/02/27/160hp-fiat-500-abarth-ss-to-follow-in-november/
I have no doubt that this baby moves with 160HP!
I have no doubt that this baby moves with 160HP!
RE | 12.28.08 - 1:47 pm | #
Just looked at the specs. It DOES move:
7 secs to 60
top speed 131 mph.
Could be a challenge for quite a few cars.
my point on Italian drivers (maniacs) and the cinquecento, is not so much to say that the Peugot was a crapper. It was. This was about five years ago, and not knowing much about either car, I just assumed from looking at both, and from driving the Peugot for a few hundred miles already, that it should easily be able to best the 500.
So, leisurely cruising at 65 mph, or so, and seeing this piece of crap come screaming up on you from behind, is a bit disconcerting. First you think, wtf, and then you think, how the F&*k? So you get on it a bit, to see just how this could be happening. And then you get on it some more and more, and more still. And on the straightaways you start to make up some of the gap, but only after you realize you are hurtling down the road at closer to 160kph. But once you finally catch up to the bugger, you next get to experience the pure terror of realizing that this person will not slow even slightly in serious curves. It's as if they arent there. And you cannot possibly believe that the 500 does not become airborne and fly right off the curve. And there is no way you are going to test the limits of your p.o.s. rental car to keep up.
It was a humbling moment.
And of course, not all cinquecentos are creating equal. Some of the older ones couldnt break 100mph, although I doubt that stopped determined Italians from modifying them to up the performance.
I don't see how it is very useful to have the U.S. on that list. California drivers are completely different from Boston drivers, and both are completely different from midwest drivers.
General CKG - you don't have psychics or people who do horoscopes on your list.
It's as if they arent there. And you cannot possibly believe that the 500 does not become airborne and fly right off the curve. And there is no way you are going to test the limits of your p.o.s. rental car to keep up.
It was a humbling moment.
Geoff | 12.28.08 - 1:52 pm | #
I understand especially if you aren't used to these cars and roads. The Autostrada is not always smooth and features some sharp curves that at 100mph+ that can easily give you some heart stopping moments....
Werner writes:
Hi, Pavel,
as to "...which bishop excommunicated anyone for not paying the tax, and for that alone?..."
Found this (it's from Radio Vatikan, unfortuanately only in German) :
The page cannot be found? c=82631
It's the most authoritative source I could find and it is quite unambiguous: "In Deutschland bleibt es dabei: Wer beim Standesamt seinen Kirchenaustritt erklärt, wird von der Kirche exkommuniziert."
If you need any help to translate, please ask.
Werner, please see my response in the open thread above, 2:22 pm.
A bit of nostalgia at the bitter end of a thread.
Classic racing Abarths in action:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUoHL2_Kl0k&NR=1
The best part about the entire article? Yes, WaMu loan officers WERE snorting methamphetamines. You can't make this stuff up.
Glen writes:
The best part about the entire article? Yes, WaMu loan officers WERE snorting methamphetamines. You can't make this stuff up.
I'm surprised you were the first to point this out. Some priceless quotes in this gem of a story:
"...The borrower was claiming a six-figure income and an unusual profession: mariachi singer.
Parsons could not verify the singer's income, so he had him photographed in front of his home dressed in his mariachi outfit. The photo went into a WaMu file. Approved."
"I'd lie if I said every piece of documentation was properly signed and dated," said Parsons, speaking through wire-reinforced glass at a California prison near here, where he is serving 16 months for theft after his fourth arrest -- all involving drugs.
While Parsons, whose incarceration is not related to his work for WaMu, oversaw a team screening mortgage applications, he was snorting methamphetamine daily, he said.
"In our world, it was tolerated," said Sherri Zaback, who worked for Parsons and recalls seeing drug paraphernalia on his desk. "Everybody said, 'He gets the job done."'
wawawa wrote: "They qualify me for $495K loan. A person whose annual income is $80K should never get qualified for this amount loan."
Yes, and now that the banks can't easily "securitize" these loans and get them off their own books, they are returning to the lending standards of yesteryear. The only pity is that they deviated from those standards in the first place.
Of course, the resumption of historical standards for lending can be expected to drive house prices down to historical price/income ratios.
By "lax lending", do they mean lending to illegal aliens with no credit history and no SS numbers?
Ken writes:
wawawa wrote: "They qualify me for $495K loan. A person whose annual income is $80K should never get qualified for this amount loan."
In 2004, I made 93k, and I only qualified for a 400k interest-only 5/1 ARM 100% financing (80/20) with credit scores ranging from 800-850. If your numbers are correct, things haven't gotten any better.