Bailout by stealth -- via the IRS

Not If Citi Can do something about it.

Will the financials ever pay taxes again?

I thought that negative income was already non-taxable?

Citi can play nice, or no milk and cookies from the Feds.

I am opening a bank.

It's the only way to survive this mess.

Ackman had a 9% stake in WB after the Citi deal was announced -- probably old news here.

OK,

suspension of mark to market
short ban
changing after market rules
changing tax regs

missing anything?

I thought that the gov't had run out of ways to lower its revenues and increase its expenses. But Lo!

Look for more Treasury bond sales.

Good think Bush inherited a surplus.

No one's gonna be payin' no taxes - you can't iffin you don't got no in-cum.

Respect.

Sauce for Wells is sauce for Citi...

"I am opening a bank....It's the only way to survive this mess."

I just got off a conference call with a group that is opening a new bank. Big opportunities right now amid the turmoil.

Even if they did pay tax they would get it right back and then some via the TARP. So might as well just keep it.

Maybe the banks want to bankrupt the federal government?

Watchthetell, Lipservice, Rosey & FatKatz.

I think I play poker with these guys. They're good, oh yeh, reaaaaaaal good.

Citi will be thrown to the wolves ...

Because Goldman and I are calling the shots ...

Now watch the WB takeover turn into a bidding war - I call $98/share.

Thank you America!

Within a couple of years, banks will be buying back those toxic securities for pennies vs. what they got for them today.

Talk about a great deal!

Thanks for the coke and whore money suckerzzzz!

Haha... who needs all those pesky rules and laws anyhow.

We've got an economy that needs growing!

Goldman and I will buy Citi for peanuts , adding to our wamu coup ...

I don't understand why Sheila "Bear" is against this merger with Wells Fargo....

If it's done without the help of the FDIC, isn't that better for the tax payer???

After the bailout bill, WB is worth whatever Paulson thinks its worth.

Ditto for every other corporation with financial assets to offer to the TARP-master.

"All your economy are belong to...ME!"

At least until he runs out of money.

No sane investor will be playing this game.

Mentalic: I think it's because the Citigroup deal was supposed to be a "done deal" and WFC is simply swooping in and stealing it

Mentalic

the market needs a major blood letting to stop everybody in their tracks.

Citi will be sacrificed and then gobbled up by Goldman and myself for peanuts.

Sheila will be asked politely to STFU ...

SO does this bailout give the FDIC a little time-out before shutting down some of the larger financial institutions with mortgage & C&D loan exposure ? The time out will need to be a coupla months since it'll take that long before Hank can start fuiously buying up worthless paper.

The heck with Wachovia. What about that excise tax on children's arrows?

AP reports:

-Exempting wooden practice arrows used by children from an excise tax of 39 cents per arrow. Oregon's two senators and two Wisconsin representatives previously introduced legislation calling for the action, saying the tax was meant for more expensive archery arrows and is untenable for makers of toy arrows that may cost only about 30 cents apiece. The bill would affect about a half-dozen manufacturers nationwide, including one in Oregon; the Oregon senators said they didn't seek its addition to the bailout, however. Cost: $2 million.

The irony of the whole situation was that it was just weeks ago that Wachovia was to effectively bailout Morgan Stanley.

Market just feels like its coming unhinged.

Hmm... more tax cuts? Plus the $100B in tax cuts in the bailout bill.

There seems to be a lot happening today that will add to the Fed's liabilities while simultaneously reducing it's revenue.

Gee, um, doesn't the USG need those taxes to... um.. I dunno... pay down some debt?

well geez, my 10 puts on C and 5 puts on WFC are at war with each other.

It seems to me that this IRS rule change may also have the effect of making private capital inflows to WF more attractive, since that would be a way to participate in the reduced taxes on income. So this could be an intelligent move, and not just a gift.

Carry-forward losses are only useful if there are net earnings in the future, so this could be an incentive for strong banks to acquire weak ones.

It needn't be sinister.

Is the bail out money gone yet?

I think this is actually a decent move. Banks with stronger balance sheets will take over insolvent ones, write down the bad loans and sell the foreclosed assets at whatever the market will bear. The writedowns reduce future taxes, true but that is better than hosing $700 billion now. In addition, acquiring banks will have incentive to write down, rather than the current situation where stalling as long as possible on the writedown is the norm.

Once again, I think this is a good move.

Wow.

Paulson is absolutely pulling out every stop.

They've "Lucied" (hat tip to somebody, can't recall who) Citi and effectively taken some pressure off of the FDIC, who are no longer on the hook.

On one level, it's brilliant. On another level, what little trust that has continued to exist is continuing to be destroyed. The financial system is in a state akin to a 14th century village in a plague ridden territory, effectively walled up in their own little houses and refusing to lift a finger to help anybody else.

There has to be an entity that can play "honest broker" and the government has publicly stated to the nation that it will be that broker. And then they turn around and screw one of the remaining participants.

Amazing, in a morally bankrupt, fascist kind of way.

Cannibalistic Humanoid Underground Dwellers...the masters of the universe have gone C.H.U.D.!

Will the financials ever pay taxes again?

Mr. T. | 10.03.08 - 4:41 pm

No, but the bonuses are still in order.

But on a more lighthearted note, did anyone catch the revisions along with the -159K jobs number this morning?

Amazing, in a morally bankrupt, fascist kind of way.

Textbook.

energyecon,

Give us the down low on the revisions.

born dope: What revisions?

So all the gooey corporate tax giveaway goodness was already baked in to the $700 billion bail-out, yes?

NOT. Throw another $300 bil and let's call it an even Tril.

When this doesn't work, what next? Anybody have a crystal ball?

Filed under ho ho ho...

GM to close Ohio SUV factory Dec. 23
MORAINE, Ohio - General Motors Corp. says it will close its SUV plant in the Dayton, Ohio, suburb of Moraine on Dec. 23.
Yahoo! 404 - Page Not Found

I like the poker analogy...any sense that all public & private, and domestic & global players will coordinate on diffusing the debt unwind and credit contraction is pure rubbish.
Instead, it's unfolding the American Capitalists Way - Every Body With A Pulse Looking Out For # 1 !!

--
USG (IRS being part) and Fed are there to help Bankrupters and Fraudsters as much as they can.

USG's guiding principle:

What is good for Bankrupters and Fraudsters is good for America.

Let the Trickle Up Poverty begin!

Jas

Sorry , IIRC the current release also had the revisions from earlier in the year...anyone else got that or should I make a quick trip to Lefty's?

"But on a more lighthearted note, did anyone catch the revisions along with the -159K jobs number this morning?"

I heard they were minor, and upward. Was there more to it?

Kung Fu Panda,

This is a good move?

It's just another way to offload bank losses onto the taxpayer. How is this a good move, except for the priveledged few?

Need to load up on Citi puts then...if what Mr. Fluffit is saying is right...

GM to close Ohio SUV factory Dec. 23

MORAINE, Ohio - General Motors Corp. says it will close its SUV plant in the Dayton, Ohio, suburb of Moraine on Dec. 23.

Merry F'in Christms, fellas.

aw hell! some a-hole in a suit just picked my pocket! and my kids pockets too! cheeky f**kers

Globally coordinated cut is clearly the CNBC afternoon talking point.

Shoot me now.

The following 58 members of the House voted NAY on Monday but voted AYE today.

Abercrombie
Alexander
Baca
Barrett (SC)
Berkley
Biggert
Boustany
Braley (IA)
Buchanan
Carson
Cleaver
Coble
Conaway
Cuellar
Cummings
Dent
Edwards (MD)
Fallin
Frelinghuysen
Gerlach
Giffords
Green, Al
Hirono

Hoekstra
Jackson (IL)
Jackson-Lee (TX)
Kilpatrick
Knollenberg
Kuhl (NY)
Lee
Lewis (GA)
Mitchell
Myrick
Ortiz
Pascrell
Pastor
Ramstad
Ros-Lehtinen
Rush
Schiff
Schmidt
Scott (GA)
Shadegg
Shuster
Solis
Sullivan
Sutton
Terry
Thompson (CA)
Thornberry
Tiberi
Tierney
Wamp
Watson
Welch (VT)
Woolsey
Wu
Yarmuth

Weller of Illinois didn't vote on Monday. Today who voted AYE

Mentalic

NYC will still have the largest bank ... Goldman Citi Wamu Sachs ...

GM to close Ohio SUV factory Dec. 23

WHO DOES THIS TWO DAYS BEFORE CHRISTMAS???

Does this mean that they have to pay taxes on any gains that they make by selling some of the troubled assets to me/Treasury? Once they write it down, they would have to pay tax on the sales difference, no?

Wells Farchovia?

Yal, if thats correct, then my rep still voted no

sparky writes:
Wells Farchovia?

Wells Downey Indy Farchovia ... once those prices are right ...

Does the IRS get to change code with an okay from congress? Isn't this akin to a revenue bill? Won't this mean substantial less tac revenue? We need all new agency heads in DC--these crooks have become too arrogant.

Wow. That memo is most likely privileged legal advice from Wachtell to WF; it's publication probably waives the privilege for all kinds of documents related to the same subject. Where's my subpoena form?

Paging Tanta...

GM to close Ohio SUV factory Dec. 23

Look for a lot of closures to happen in the next few weeks since large layoffs require 60 days advance notice:
Fact Sheet - The Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification Act

I'm trying to understand this. Consumers are tired. Government spending is way up. Companies pay less tax.

uh, ya think the deficit will increase or maybe the debt level?

CR - I'm gong out on a limb and going to forecast 15T by the end of 2009.

Mel,

I think that the IRS may have a certain degree of latitude or discretion in how it interprets the tax statutes. In fact, the prior rule may not even have been part of a law, but simply the previous state of IRS opinion on how to apply the law.

Buffett moving from Insurance to Banks.

The middle class has been in a depression for quite sometime.

Income

Does $64K a year really put you in the top 25%. I don't know if that's individual or household, but if that's household there ain't many people that can afford any decent house in any metro area of the United States.

Buffett moving from Insurance to Banks.

Indeed, Insurance is dead money ...

Banks print money ...

I like money ...

From the BLS Employment Situation Report released today, the preliminary estimate of revisions with final in February of next year:

Preliminary Estimates of Benchmark Revisions to the Establishment Survey
Each year, the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey employment estimates are benchmarked to comprehensive counts of employment for the month of March derived from state unemployment insurance tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. For national CES employment series, the annual benchmark revisions over the last 10 years have averaged plus or minus two-tenths of one percent at the total nonfarm level. The preliminary estimate of the benchmark revision shows that there was an accumulated overstatement of CES employment between March 2007 and March 2008 of 21,000 (0.02 percent of total nonfarm employment in March 2008).

Convenient, no how those estimated revisions worked out? It will be interesting to compare the final to the preliminary estimate...

We, the unhappy, have computers when we really need muskets, powder, and BALLS.

Yal, do you have a D/R breakdown? Curious to know about the armtwisting...

GM to close Ohio SUV factory Dec. 23

Dayton is the next Detroit.

Sad.

OT

threat of martial law if bailout bill not passed

on youtube congressman brad sherman calif 27th from the well of the house says

that congressman were threatened with martial law as a result of americans rioting if this bailout bill was not passed.

YouTube - Rep. Brad Sherman Martial Law 

Every bank that the FDIC doesn't have to close down is one less bank where depositors lose their cash over the insurance limit and where the FDIC has to make good on deposit insurance and spend resources managing the transition. That saves the US govt cash up front. Accelerating the writedowns and eliminating insolvent banks quickly is better than Japan-style zombification.

aw hell! some a-hole in a suit just picked my pocket! and my kids pockets too! cheeky f**kers

That's better than getting mr burger king putting $1 in my pocket...that guy is f*ing creepy!

So that is another -21,000 jobs lost, though in the prelim estimate table they added 56K construction jobs, 85K trade/transport jobs and government jobs 60K (three largest additions). Net of all adds/losses was -21K.

So the private sector lost another 81K jobs in the preliminary estimate.

There is still plenty of time to pardon Skilling and to pardon my dear friend Ken Lay and get that money back from those God damn Enron lawsuits. That was disgrace for America to put Ken through all that shit! Accounting laws like this tax change should be pushed hard and we need to help wall street get back a proper foothold so they can help grow America and get this housing bubble pumped back up! WTF is going on and WTF is taking so long! These tax changes are a step in the right direction and we need to have curfews and put more people in prison for foreclosure fraud! WTF is going and why all this foot dragging with regulations>

born dope: That's astonishing. I hear the real unemployment rate is already well in to the 10% range

mock turtle:

That's really disgusting to see people being coerced/forced to vote for the bill by this kind of fear mongering....

Even the mafia doesn't do this kind of stuff..

This plan did not succeed be course there is still one vital part missing from this picture: new tax cuts to the rich. LOL

Wall Street Black Monday 1500 Point Crash Prevented by "Specialists"

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article6605.html

There are no markets only interventions.

Look. We all know it's gonna be rough, but I'm with Homedad: let's not be scarin' the kids. OK?

BAILOUT: NO IMMEDIATE RELIEF FOR THE MARKETS

From http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aczLjF35rxQM&refer=home :

"Officials cautioned it will take at least four weeks to set up the first of the long-sought asset purchases. These purchases will start slowly with a series of pilot programs."

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself ...

now bend over ... I need more money!

Well we know what happens to Rosen & katz by the end of the play >; )

Oh and the birth/death adjustment added 42K jobs to the -159K number (-201K before that adjustment)...

This had to have been in place by the time JPMC bought WaMu. JPMC paid 1.9bn and immediately wrote down 31bn.

Unemployment will rise, as will discontent. There will be a price to pay.

@mykillk: Yes, U6 is now 11% as of today's report.

U6, the broad measure of unemployment that includes people who'd like jobs but gave up looking for them, and people who are stuck with part-time work when they really want a full-time job, is a lot more accurate (IMHO) than U3 which is the headline number.

U6 is up from 8.4% a year ago to 11% today (and rising...)

Bloomberg on oil:

"Crude-oil prices may fall as low as $50 a barrel next year, about half current levels, in the ``unlikely'' event of a global recession, weighing on shares of petroleum producers, Merrill Lynch & Co. said.

Such a scenario, where global growth in Gross Domestic Product falls to 1.5 percent, isn't the base-case forecast, the bank said today in a report. Merrill cut its 2009 average price estimate for West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark oil grade, by 16 percent to $90, citing falling demand and the start of new fields in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.... U.S. oil use is declining faster than expected, while European consumption is falling rapidly,'' and OPEC production capacity isjust about to soar,'' Merrill said.

Combined, these factors represent significant short-term headwinds for both upstream and downstream companies alike,'' Merrill analysts Mark Hume and Alexis Clark said in the report.Notionally it is conceivable that in a worst-case scenario global oil demand actually contracts in the near-term as it did back in the 1980s post the Iranian Revolution.''

$50 a barrel!! OPEC capacity is going up...we reduce the amount of money we're sending over there and they will reduce the amount of Treasuries they buy. Hmmm...

I wouldn't do business with this den of snakes no mater how well they are capitalized. Screw'em

Note for clarity - the initial numbers discussed above were for the preliminary revision over the last year - so the -81K private sector job loss was over the period March 2007 to March 2008.

The 42K birth/death adjustment to the job number was JUST for the month of September, 2008.

Ok, roughly $1.5T was spent in the last week or so.

Who will be first to step up to the plate and announce the next stimulus package. Any takers? Let's start with a nice round number, say . . . $100B?

MPinCO: I'd say it'll be larger than the first -- $300 B

wisdom seeker: Wow...11%...that's very high for offical numbers. John William oh Shadow Stats has his unemployment figure at 15% Inflation, Money Supply, GDP, Unemployment and the Dollar - Alternate Data Series 

born dope energyecon

Creative destruction is just part of the wonderful world of crony capitalism we live in ...

These unemployed people should buy banks like I am ...

So how are my minions doing?

MImplode had a link to a WSJ article saying that the exclusivity agreement between Wachovia and Citi would force Wells to pass. It's a good read. Haven't posted links on HaloScan, but may want to go to WSJ.com or MImplode and read up...

Satan: Just admiring your work in Congress

So the Dow ended 150+ points down today? Even after the bill went through? I guess it's less a bailout and more a FAILout...

..you see what I did there?

"exclusivity agreement between Wachovia and Citi would force Wells to pass. "

Take me to court ... Citi will toast before they can file ...

On July 29,2008, Wachovia Corp. hired Treasury Undersecretary Robert K. Steel as chief executive,

Late last week FDIC negotiated a deal between Citi and Wachovia,

But according to CNBC on about Tuesday the IRS made a regulation change that increased the value of Wacovia $20 Billion.

Then Wells Fargo steps in to buy Wadchovia.

Helped having a former Treasury man and a Treasury divison, the IRS on one’s side.

Consider this: a tax break means less taxes paid, means less for the “taxpayer” as a whole, more for the recipient.

Is Congress off for holiday now or are they planning to stick around and dole out a few more checks for the proletariat? Time's a wastin' if they want to give us our Christmas allowance.

--
Let the Blame Game Begin!

German Finance Minister Steinbruck: US to Blame For Crisis (CNBC-World)

Only those blind to the reality could have failed to see that the US economy and financial system were being controlled by Bankrupters and Fraudsters of New York City (BFNYC) which has a culture of fraud in which BFNYC are raised, or bred (like swine), for the past dozen years (minimum).

These blind people are paying the price and will continue to pay the price for playing BFNYC’s game. Doesn’t matter what country those who trusted BFNYC are from. BFNYC are equal opportunity fleecier.

Jas

What HP, BB and the senators don't get is that people aren't going to be buying things no matter what the credit availability is. Consumers lost confidence when the work outs began.

We had to throw Citi to the wolves ... they were trying to do the right thing and set a bad example.

Here's a thought; the FDIC doesn't know what the hell it's doing.

The C/WB deal they engineered was impossible to execute as structured in the timeline available. It's one thing to leave a holding corp behind to liquidate, it's quite another to leave one behind to operate one of the largest brokerage and mutual fund operations in the world, while it's simultaneously being stripped of it's capacity to operate the assets acquired.

Neither C nor the FDIC did their homework on this, WFC obviously did.

Kung Fu Panda,

I agree with you, we need to shut down insolvent banks, rather than allowing "zombification". But there are other ways to close out the failing institutions, other than transfering their losses to the taxpayer (via stealth payments in the form of forgiven Wells Fargo taxes).

WSJ on the Citi-WB agreement:

"But in looking for clues this morning, we came across this National Law Journal story entitled, “Crisis mantra for sleep-deprived M&A attorneys: don’t sweat the small stuff.”

Discussing the feverish pace of three recent billion-dollar bank mergers, the NLJ quoted Cohen in explaining how to put such deals together so quickly: “We all understood, you can’t sweat the small stuff.”

Thing is, exclusivity agreements just might be considered so much “small stuff” by a Delaware court. The M&A lawyer tells us that courts are generally reluctant to negate mergers that promise big gains to stockholders. This one does: Wachovia shareholders would get a 79% premium. "

The gist of the blog is that the exclusivity agreement was in there by accident of WB's lawyers, because they had to throw the document together so quickly(and they hadn't slept in days so their minds weren't exactly clear).

Would you like your surgeon to be performing heart surgery on 4 hrs sleep in the last three days?

WachoFargo. An indy label.

From the House Oversight Committee:

In light of the dramatic events that have occurred in global financial markets, the Oversight Committee will hold five hearings in October to examine the regulatory mistakes and financial excesses that led to the market breakdowns on Wall Street. In announcing the hearings, Chairman Waxman stated: “This financial crisis has shaken the global economy. Congress cannot wait until a new administration arrives in January to examine what went wrong and who should be held accountable.”

In addition to the previously announced hearings on the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers (October 6) and the $85 billion bailout of AIG (October 7), the Committee will hold the following hearings in October:

October 16, 2008: The Regulation of Hedge Funds
Five fund managers who earned over $1 billion last year have been invited to testify about the role of hedge funds in the financial markets and their regulatory and tax status. The five witnesses are John Alfred Paulson, President, Paulson & Co., Inc.; George Soros, Chairman, Soros Fund Management LLC; Philip A. Falcone; Senior Managing Director, Harbinger Capital Partners; James Simons, Director, Renaissance Technologies LLC; and Kenneth C. Griffin, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Citadel Investment Group.

October 17, 2008: The Breakdown of Credit Rating Agencies
The CEOs of the nation’s three largest credit rating agencies have been invited to testify about the role of the credit rating agencies in the financial excesses on Wall Street. The three witnesses are Deven Sharma, President, Standard & Poor’s; Raymond W. McDaniel, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Moody’s Corporation; and Stephen Joynt, President and Chief Executive Officer, Fitch Ratings.

October 23, 2008: The Role of Federal Regulators
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, former Treasury Secretary John Snow, and current SEC Chairman Christopher Cox have been invited to testify about the role and responsibility of federal regulators in the Wall Street financial crisis.

Documents and Links:

Letter to John Paulson (125 KB)
Letter to George Soros (98 KB)
Letter to Philip Falcone (98 KB)
Letter to James Simons (94 KB)
Letter to Kenneth Griffin (99 KB)
Letter to Deven Sharma (107 KB)
Letter to Raymond McDaniel (105 KB)
Letter to Stephen Joynt (102 KB)
Letter to Alan Greenspan (58 KB)
Letter to John Snow (57 KB)

http://speaker.house.gov/blog/?p=1531

Dear Hank,
Can you please hire me to manage part of the $700B bridge loan?

rest of you stand in line behind me!

As Congress met on this unusual October session, Jack sipped a cup of coffee in a cafe across the river in Alexandria. That's when he got the message on his Blackberry...

Don't you love the politesse? "Invited"? Why not "Ordered"?

REBear

Sorry already spent the money ... and tell Arrrrrnooooold to stop calling ...

If they hadn't slept in days, then the contract might not be considered valid.

So what other regulatory and legal instruments can be altered to "fix" the credit problem?

Brainstorming on this could give the non-insider equivalent of insider information, no?

What does the gov't have left to tinker with?

We've seen FDIC insurance upped, now tax code loopholed, and gov't buying bad assets w/T-bill funds.

All seem to agree that the entire goal of US policy right now is to get credit markets moving again via money to the banks.

Here's the question: What barriers still exist to banks lending? What control does the gov't have over changing/removing those barriers?

An interesting thought exercise.

Karl, he never lets you know what he really thinks... Wink

Bair Says Don't Assume FDIC Opposes Wells, Wachovia (Update1) ...
~

That's my girl ... Now put Citi into receivership for Goldman ...

.

Nah.. that was easy.. the real fun begins when everyone loses faith in the system. Then you will see my true handiwork.


mykillk writes:
Satan: Just admiring your work in Congress
mykillk | Homepage | 10.03.08 - 5:42 pm | #

Yal,
Karl Denninger stole my idea!

HaloScan.com - Comments

Can i use some of the laid off Citi attroneys to sue Karl?

Kung Fu Panda:

Welcome to internal workings of the legal industry. you don't think the first year attorney making $160k a year before bonses can be allowed to sleep when he/she must earn his keep and draft all the details of such a low level deal do you?

Talk about easy work, Congress must be a real buyer's market for you S!

...the Oversight Committee will hold five hearings in October to examine the regulatory mistakes and financial excesses that led to the market breakdowns on Wall Street.

Since they've only invited the biggest Kool-Aid dealers to testify, they clearly don't intend to hear the truth.

Mentalic wrote

even the mafia doesnt coerce people like this..

(regarding congressman being threatened with martial law as an outcome if they didnt vote for the bailout bill)


mocks answer

i'm 1/2 Sicilian, my fathers side, and oh yes they do

but the mafia does it smarter and better

Is it just me, or does the fact that Bush has just established an "Office of Financial Stability" to manage the $700B give you the willies, too?

Is the office of financial stability registered in Paraguay?

I still blame this on Nancy refusing to look into impeachment. Bush saw lying to get into a war was easy, and it was good. Why not try again before he has to leave office? Oh, subpoenas are not a problem either--and that too is good.

Sorry Vikram but Citi has been voted out of The Bankster Clearing House LLC ...

Report to Goldman Monday ...

very said but telling article about how the sec and others failed to regulate the IBs

im no fan of Mccain...but looks like he was right about demanding the resignation of chairman cris cox

stunning article

Agency's '04 Rule Let Banks Pile Up New Debt, and Risk - NY Times

McCain said he'd fire Cox--which is not a presidential power.

What are you talking about ? Cox was the perfect dumb Goy for the job.

Of course McCain's instinct was right about firing Cox. Problem is, he didn't know he couldn't do it

does all this excitement mean that bank closing friday is cancelled?

i already bought the tequila....

Firing Cox is a great idea now that we have looted the system ... He'll make a perfect scape goat ...

Threatening martial law unless you get the political outcome you want is almost like terrorism.

The only difference is_________ uh ______ mmmm....

Comrade Bagholders,

So FDIC is in favor of creating Shitallchovia, and the IRS is in favor of creating Welch-ovia.

I'm confused. I need a drink. Tini time coming up!

Nostrovia,

Will the financials ever pay taxes again?
i saw something somewhere (sorry...i'm just too tired to look for it) that someone (is that vague enough for you?) estimated that london wouldn't see taxes from the financial industry for another 60 years.

Cox, Paulson, Bernanke:
Bush appointees, all.

The GOP is entirely hollowed out by corruption.

The Dems have metastatic corruption as well, but with serious chemo could go into remission.

Vote the bums out, but I hope no one has fallen for the false religion of the Hensarlings and Pence's of the world.

"Threatening martial law unless you get the political outcome you want is almost like terrorism."

like that idea, it was mine ... well cheney helped ...

Anybody remember it's Friday?

In all the excitement, could a bank or two go down?

Black swan warning(from NYT article linked above):

"A lone voice of dissent in the 2004 proceeding came from a software consultant from Valparaiso, Ind., who said the computer models run by the firms — which the regulators would be relying on — could not anticipate moments of severe market turbulence.

“With the stroke of a pen, capital requirements are removed!” the consultant, Leonard D. Bole, wrote to the commission on Jan. 22, 2004. “Has the trading environment changed sufficiently since 1997, when the current requirements were enacted, that the commission is confident that current requirements in examples such as these can be disregarded?”

He said that similar computer standards had failed to protect Long-Term Capital Management, the hedge fund that collapsed in 1998, and could not protect companies from the market plunge of October 1987.

Mr. Bole, who earned a master’s degree in business administration at the University of Chicago, helps write computer programs that financial institutions use to meet capital requirements.

He said in a recent interview that he was never called by anyone from the commission.

Cox, Paulson, Bernanke:
Bush appointees, all.

The GOP is entirely hollowed out by corruption.

The Dems have metastatic corruption as well, but with serious chemo could go into remission.

Vote the bums out, but I hope no one has fallen for the false religion of the Hensarlings and Pence's of the world.

The only problems with voting the bums out is that you have to vote new bums in. Catch 22.

s_puttnick writes:
"So what other regulatory and legal instruments can be altered to "fix" the credit problem?
...
Here's the question: What barriers still exist to banks lending? What control does the gov't have over changing/removing those barriers?"

It's pretty simple: you need to ensure that all the banks in the interbank are adequately capitalized and liquid.

But wait, there's a hitch - the interbank market is global. And in fact, a big source of problems in the interbank market is the demand for USD by european-based banks.

So you have to ensure that all the European (possibly some Asian banks) are all well capitalized.

Hmm. This is starting to sound expensive, and who's gonna pick up the tab?

Tulsa World: Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself during eviction

Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself during eviction

By Staff Reports
10/3/2008 4:33 PM
Last Modified: 10/3/2008 4:44 PM

Fannie Mae said it will set aside the loan of a woman who shot herself as sheriff's deputies tried to evict her from her foreclosed home, according to CNN.

Addie Polk of Akron, Ohio, became a symbol of the nation's home mortgage crisis when she was hospitalized after shooting herself at least twice in the upper body Wednesday afternoon.

On Friday, Fannie Mae spokesman Brian Faith said the mortgage association had decided to halt action against Polk and sign the property "outright" to her.

energyecon,

Thanks very much.

Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself during eviction

Is there an over/under on the number of copycat cases we see over the next few months?

Anonymous writes:

Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself during eviction
~

the house will be sold for medical bills .. yuk, yuk

Now I know how to advise my clients who are in foreclosure. Just shoot yourself!!!

But verrrrry carefully, hitting nothing vital, so you actually live.
And say you are 90, whether you are or not.

Sounds like we're getting back to the $64T CDS market

what's the over/under some people will start eating their homes this winter?

Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself during eviction

Way to set an example!!!

Where would you take a bullet for loan forgivness?

I can now empathize with Cicero. Those with the power to change the system are the ones who stand the most to lose by changing it.

This is clearly a spiral that does not end well.

Sounds like Warren Buffett is a fucker.

What's the over/under some people will start to use their home for fireplace fuel?

Louie Sez writes:
what's the over/under some people will start eating their homes this winter?
~

The experts tell me doors, cabinets and framing all burn very well. smirk smirk ...

there aint no reason in hell, there should be in homeless this year.....hell just pick a house and squat.

I still don't see how more credit helps.....people don't need more credit - they need to be able to service thier existing debt!

With 4 weeks before implementation, I predict that the unintended comsequences will start manifesting themselves long before the first purchase is made.

So maybe it's not over yet. Reality will set in. These guys have no idea
how fast things can move.

Election comments;

Military guy sez to hub, that he'd never vote for McC, because he couldn't stand the idea of Pailin as Commander in Chief.

Lots of people said they thought Biden won the debate. I thought Palin did a lot better that i expected. Thought she would be squirmingly embarrassing, but wasn't at least as long as I could force myself to stay awake.

Lots of other people (all middle class white in space coast Fla) told him they are now, surprisingly for themselves, for O.

"I still don't see how more credit helps.....people don't need more credit - they need to be able to service thier existing debt!"

There's always a new generation to put into our virtual debtors prison. The genius is they never even know it ...

lawyerliz, wasn't this rescue plan one big "ex parte"?

or at the least the tyranny of the minority

damn government was handling more side bars than "Ito"

Vote the bums out, ....
Gary | 10.03.08 - 6:21 pm

Amen to that. I will vote against every incumbent I see on the ballot. In Massachusetts where many of our legislators are ex-convicts and all are bums, that's a no brainer.
Even if my vote doesn't count for much, it's therapy.

We're gonna be living with the consequences of this Administration and the KKKonservative agenda until I don't know whe

OT

We have much to learn from the people of Argentina:

YouTube - Argentina's Economic Collapse - Part 1 of 12 

I'm in favor of adding and additional government department - called the department of slap, and every time one of these a-holes says, or does something stupid, they are assessed a number of big public slaps.

Taken from another post...

So what can we do personally? Now that the ‘‘Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008’’ is law, and banks no longer need to have reserves or have cash on hand. Also, now that mark to market is a thing of the past, and all banks have become like huge institutional "stated income, Alt-a liar loans, what can be done to generate money, protect it, and be able to access it?

That Argentina video series is SO worth watching.

Even just watch the 1st "episode" - it will open your eyes.

Got cash?

bond guy,

The problem is a shortage of money in the interbank then, and forgive me for ignorance if apparent. I usually try to squirrel it away.

Where, then, does the money "come from"? If the Bank prints it, won't that devalue the USD, thereby increasing the amount of USD needed for adequate capitalization?

Sounds like a diminishing returns scenario.

At what amount and value of USD is the asymptote, and could figuring that out let us know when to stop printing and when USD bottoms?

But then...deflation...would make those dollars worth more...and assets worth( )less.

This is becoming quite the balancing act and seems like it could take us straight to zero. E.g. if inflation and deflation cancel out, and banks are never capitalized because of it, they fail regardless of what we do.

I'm beginning to empathize a bit more with a reactionary Fed.

Proactive wasn't a word until 1930 anyway...

[Gary writes:
Cox, Paulson, Bernanke:
Bush appointees, all.

The GOP is entirely hollowed out by corruption]

Better go check the roll call for today's vote. It appears the sheep DEMs threw the taxpayer under the bus and the GOP were net NAYs.

I've been on vacation the last two weeks, anything much happen?

Here's a bit of fun anecdotal bailout news. I work at a law firm and just so happen to sit near the office admin. At least two of the partners (mid size firm 7 partners total) have been trying to get their 401k's moved around today! (probably into as near as cash as possible)....its not every day that the partners pull their heads out of their as....er.....uh........cases to pay attention to these things.

I think an exodus from the market is likely, either voluntarily - pulling 401ks out to money markets or involuntarily - cashing out. I was waiting for the bump today that never came. I'm all out on Monday.

What's left of the economy rests on the ability of those who still have credit to sustain it. The rest of us will just have to get by the best we can. It'll be kind of like the '70's again, and lemme tell ya, it wasn't all that bad. Except we now have twice the number of people.

KO...when they fininshed, they realized, "wait a dog gone minute!" why did I not get a call from my advisor (small pockets) or....better yet from the mutual fund itself (bigger pockets)....damn, I small a class action suit....hey, if I play it right, I can even cover my losses. yeah, thats it

What happens now? George Ure speculates:

"Remember that we have a Fannie and Freddie settlement coming up next week, and my understanding is that the way many credit default swaps work, there could be a lot of players who think they have a good solid book next week who could get calls saying something like "The first party defaulted but could only pay us x, and the second party then defaulted but could only pay us z--so now you're on the hook for z many dollars. The raising of z many dollars should begin any time now, although likely late Monday if my sense of things is right."

And then what happens? (I'm not sure I want to know.)

bearly writes:
[Gary writes:
Cox, Paulson, Bernanke:
Bush appointees, all.

The GOP is entirely hollowed out by corruption]

Better go check the roll call for today's vote. It appears the sheep DEMs threw the taxpayer under the bus and the GOP were net NAYs.

Yup, in the what they do versus what they say category, the Dems did indeed throw the taxpayer under the bus. They did it for a program that did not address the fundamental problems - witness TED and VIX after the vote, not to mention the slide in all of the indices.

I'm voting for Obama because I simply cannot countenance Palin as Commander in Chief in these troubled times. I would not have her go nose to nose with Putin.

Congress is another matter - I will be voting against the Democratic incumbents for House (Bono Mack and Lewis) and, when they come round for election, against Feinstein and Boxer.

Holy crap only 188

We have given up

haven't we?

"what can be done to generate money, protect it, and be able to access it?"
Me in Mass

Got a mattress?

Fail out = "Fresh fruit for rotting vegetables"

"Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself

(CNN) -- Fannie Mae said it will set aside the loan of a woman who shot herself as sheriff's deputies tried to evict her from her foreclosed home."

Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself - CNN.com

How long till this gets copy cats?

I'm getting tired of blogging and having my phone calls ignored by congressmen...isn't there any other form of protest we can do, maybe with where we place our money or whatever?

GOLDMAN IS MORE BEARISH THAN CR:

-- The U.S. recession will be "significantly deeper" than they previously thought, Goldman Sachs economists predicted Friday in a research note. The economy will probably show no growth at all between the middle of 2008 and the middle of 2009, with gross domestic product falling 2% this quarter and 1% next, they said. Two other quarters will show 0% GDP growth. The unemployment rate will likely rise to 8% by the end of next year from 6.1% currently. "We now also see at least another 100 basis points of monetary easing from the Federal Reserve, aggressive measures to stabilize the money markets, and a possible further easing of fiscal policy under a new administration," wrote Jan Hatzius and his team of economists.

More severe recession now forecast by Goldman Sachs - MarketWatch

(CNN) -- Fannie Mae said it will set aside the loan of a woman who shot herself as sheriff's deputies tried to evict her from her foreclosed home."

Two homes on her street recently sold for $2k and $15k.

Anonymous writes:
I'm getting tired of blogging and having my phone calls ignored by congressmen...isn't there any other form of protest we can do, maybe with where we place our money or whatever?
Anonymous | 10.03.08 - 7:15 pm | #

defeat or recall your elected representatives?

My representatives will never be defeated, nor my senators, because of gerrymandering in CA, and 90% of voters here are left wing idiots and/or stupid.

I would love to vote out Feinstein and Pelosi. Boxer voted against the war so I will give her a pass.

Hi gentlemen!

Join an exciting new Gentlemen's service in beautiful Paraguay. We're looking for a few good looking, professional men who want to make big bucks! Do you have experience pleasing clients? Do you keep fit and have impeccable hygiene? Love to party?

Discretion a must. Please be willing to relocate as of January 2009.

I'm protesting by not buying a house... or much of anything else.

Now a partyboy... that I might splurge on.

I would love to vote out Feinstein and Pelosi. Boxer voted against the war so I will give her a pass.
Anonymous | 10.03.08 - 7:19 pm | #

Do you remember how Boxer won her first Senatorial election?

isn't there any other form of protest we can do, maybe with where we place our money or whatever?

Banks need deposits to lend. Do you have bank deposits? Pulling your money out of the financial system is definite a vote of "no confidence".

Does Argentina have gun control laws?--the US would be much more confrontational--and bloody.

Do you remember how Boxer won her first Senatorial election?

No. Do tell.

Anoddamoose writes:
Congress is another matter - I will be voting against the Democratic incumbents for House (Bono Mack and Lewis) and, when they come round for election, against Feinstein and Boxer.

Bono Mack and Lewis are Republicans.

I think we are dangerously close to the time when retail investors and 401k equities participants realize the stock market is a rigged game where money goes in and doesn't come out. The 10yr chart od the SPX shows that we are below July 1998 levels - NOMINAL. Take inflation for 10 yrs and the money was cut in 1/2. Much worse for those that dollar cost averaged in for that period.

I expect capitulation any day now.

Amazing that people vow to vote against the fools that voted for this when their choice is the party that caused the problem in the first place. Americans can be very dumb--jas is so correct on that.

Amazing that people vow to vote against the fools that voted for this when their choice is the party that caused the problem in the first place. Americans can be very dumb--jas is so correct on that.

Do you remember how Boxer won her first Senatorial election?

No. Do tell.
Anonymous | 10.03.08 - 7:25 pm | #

wikipedia -

"Senator Boxer's predecessor, Democrat Alan Cranston, retired in 1992. She won the open seat contest in the US Senate elections that year. She defeated Bruce Herschensohn, a conservative television commentator, by 3 percentage points after a last-minute revelation that Herschensohn had attended a strip club [the Seventh Veil 7180 Sunset Blvd. Hollywood, CA]."

sorry, sorry haloscan is run by Diebold?

Mel: That's only true if you only vote for Democrats and Republicans. There are other options.

wikipedia bio -

Bruce S. Herschensohn (born ca. 1932) is an American conservative political commentator and senior fellow at the Pepperdine School of Public Policy near Malibu, California.
Previously, Herschensohn has been a Distinguished Fellow at the Claremont Institute and a fellow at the Institute of Politics at Harvard's John F. Kennedy School of Government in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Ilargi: If you’d ask around, nearly everyone would say that it’s impossible for a country to go bankrupt. Yet, hard as it may be to imagine, we soon could see a few exceptions to this immovable truth.

After Ireland, under a threat of bank runs, guaranteed all deposits in its banks, which have liabilities that are 300% of the country’s GDP, more events in Europe follow at the speed of light. Greece also gave a 100% guarantee. These are empty promises; if all banks would fail, governments would be incapable of living up to them. These are made to prevent bank failures. But that leaves the cause for those failures unattended. And there lies the rub. The Netherlands, only days after it bought 49% of Fortis with the Belgians for $16 billion, just fully nationalized the bank’s Dutch branches. Price tag: $24 billion.

Iceland is the prime princess of them all. Its banks have liabilities at 800% of GDP. The country bought one of the banks, and the rest are falling. Iceland has been turned into a casino in the past decade, and now the house is broke. It’s just a waiting game by now.

Still, at least Iceland has a central bank. The countries in the European Monetary Union, the ones that use the Euro, do not. And that may have dire consequences. Greece’s example will probably soon be followed by Portugal. That can be managed. But if right afterwards, larger nations like Italy and Spain join the hand-out choir, the ECB will no longer be able to help.

It will be up to the governments, directly, to buy banks left and right, for there is no doubt they will be falling like an avalanche of boulders. To have any chance of success, that will require control over currency and interest rates. Which they no longer have. So now the question is: Will the EU survive till Christmas? Will its member nations start defauling on their debt before then? Can they make a smooth transition back to true nationhood in time?

Along the same line: the US government won’t go broke soon (though we can argue that in theory it already is), but the separate states can. They have no central bank either. California needs $7 billion within days, just to pay state employees’ salaries. Other states have cancelled road building projects, and who knows what else. And we haven’t even started the crisis. Neither will the $700 billion alleviate their problems.

Governments at state, county and town levels face a multifold whammy. They can’t get access to credit, since the bond market died. They have lost billions through faulty investments. Their tax revenues are starting to plummet. And their budgets are all based on insanely positive economic expectations. And this is where we all will first see the crisis turn from a somewhat detached far-away one into a force that hits us smack upside our heads.

We will very soon see widespread cancellations of services, multi-million lay-offs, defaults of pension funds, crumbling roads and even serious challenges to essential provisions such as water treatment. There is no way the federal government can bail out every lower level of government that needs money. It is simply not going to happen. The only remaining option is sharp increases in taxes, but that is a dead end: citizens are already broke, their home values are sinking, they are losing their jobs, and the last thing they’ll accept is rising taxes across the board.

Meanwhile, in dreamland, the Dow is rising, and there are actually people out there who think the Paulson bail-out will restore confidence in the markets. But next week, the next bail-out will be needed. We are in a state of permanent emergency, and there is nothing in sight that can stop the bleeding. We do what we always do, because we are so darn good at it. We make everything worse. Hey, it’s a talent.

Corrupted corruptors corrupt everything. The thieves are doing a trashout on the us economy right now. Enjoy all, its going to get much much worse.

steelhead writes:
Anoddamoose writes:
Congress is another matter - I will be voting against the Democratic incumbents for House (Bono Mack and Lewis) and, when they come round for election, against Feinstein and Boxer.

Bono Mack and Lewis are Republicans.

You are right that Lewis is, that slipped my mind. Bono Mack is a Democrat. I'm going to vote against both of them.

Mr. Mortgage’s Guide to the TRUTH! » Wells Fargo Absolutely Did Subprime, Stated, Interest Only, No Ratio Etc

The CEO of Wells was just on CNBC in a lengthy interview with Maria Bartaromo and he said “we never did stated income, low document, no document, interest only or subprime loans.” That is not accurate. I have covered Wells to death but here are a couple of documents I think the CEO might like to see. I don’t want to sound like I am coming down on Wells, but it is this type of deception that has turned a crisis of confidence into a full-blown global financial system meltdown.

briwerk writes:
Mel: That's only true if you only vote for Democrats and Republicans. There are other options.
briwerk | Homepage | 10.03.08 - 7:29 pm | #

No--as long as one or the other wins, you have to make your vote count--and then work at the committee level to improve things.

Do you still trust your bank to handle your money?

Not To Worry,

State, county and local governments will be looted of their public works at fire sale prices. Expect pay toilets in your homes soon ...

If martial law isn't declared by Bush, it was used as a threat to get Congress to vote yes on the first vote, Obama will be a one termer and viable third party candidates for Congress will emerge.

No--as long as one or the other wins, you have to make your vote count--and then work at the committee level to improve things.
Mel | 10.03.08 - 7:30 pm | #

As long as we all keep believing this, the two-color single party system will never change.

Although maybe it is a little like being in prison. Join your race gang or be killed. That's a hopeful view of America.

o new tax cuts to the rich. LOL
Comrade Drake

No, but there were tax cuts for the upper middle class. I got my pony today? Did you? (Alternative Minimum Tax)

Subcommander Doom

pretty good!

As long as we all keep believing this, the two-color single party system will never change

Dems are not anywhere nearly as malevolent--Bush republicans are in a class by themselves. A good thumping and more moderate Republicans will reappear. Reaganomics was a failure--he wasn't a saint.

Mel,
Not as malevolent, but just as corrupt as the high levels. The top of both parties serve as faithful representative, but they don't represent us...neither of them.

There are good men kept at bay in both parties. If Paul and Kucinich can't be taken seriously because they buck their leadership, they should leave their parties.

That would send a message. If they don't have to listen to us within the party, then make both parties listen to us mass in another.

Liberals and Conservatives feel that the gov has overstepped its role and stomped our liberties. That sounds like the good basis for a new movement.

I fear it would be snuffed within the current party regimes.

But now is now--the blood is in the streets and the kings of malevolence must lose next month. 4 years from now, I'm probably with you.

Comrade Born and Bred Bagholders,

Sheila's on Bloom tv, if anyone is interested...not me.

In other news, the gov't stiched wings on a pig and through it out of the top of the Washington Monument. Results weren't pretty.

An attempt by the gov't to legislate "psychics" turn back the tides in the Atlantic showed poor results.

A piece of legislation signed by Shrubboy to repeal the law of gravity hasn't convinced the planet to comply. A spokedhole for Shrubboy was quoted as saying "Enforcement appears to be troublesome. But we're are going to issue the maximum fine and penalties to Mother Nature, if she doesn't show up in court on Monday. We know she did comercial spots in the '70's and 80's so we will get to the bottom of this lawless behavior.

And a final note, a gov't research group, with a $2B grant says they have discovered how to make dehydrated water. A scientist aat the panel demonstrated this by pouring a very difficult to see powder into a glass and adding water. "Eureka!" he exclaimed after taking a sip. "We're planning on developing instant hot and cold water, if we get more funding." the lead scientist was quoted as saying. Sources say that Congress is key to appropriate funding for this effort.

Nostrovia,

Sub Commander Doom..

you'be just proven yourself.
A battlefield promotion is in order.

Full 4 star Admiral Doom , Chief od Doomster.

you'be lol, how bout you've

Mel, I think we're on the same page. But I will be doing it by individual without regard to party. Of course, that won't work for Pres. And I doubt any functioning biped wants Palin holding the nukular football. Wink

Tuesday is probably the most meaningful data day. The Fed will release the minutes of the last FOMC meeting and Bernanke speaks in Washington DC regarding the economy and the markets. That will certainly be germane to our business.
[hat tip] 

Anyone who believes that it is impossible for a country to go bankrupt is seriously misinformed and should be disabused of that idea in strong terms. There are dozens of examples. Argentina is one that comes to mind.

homedad43,

Hat tip to Comrade Baron Von Helmut III?

HaloScan.com - Comments

Anonymous writes:
http://mrmortgage.ml-implode.com...d-no-ratio-etc/

The CEO of Wells was just on CNBC in a lengthy interview with Maria Bartaromo and he said “we never did stated income, low document, no document, interest only or subprime loans.” That is not accurate. I have covered Wells to death but here are a couple of documents I think the CEO might like to see. I don’t want to sound like I am coming down on Wells, but it is this type of deception that has turned a crisis of confidence into a full-blown global financial system meltdown.
Anonymous | 10.03.08 - 7:30 pm | #

What he meant to say was they never did them and kept them.

Patton was a visionary.

“Take calculated risks.
That is quite different from being rash.”
- George S. Patton

Indeed.

"(regarding congressman being threatened with martial law as an outcome if they didnt vote for the bailout bill)"

Is that real?

I saw paratroopers on the streets of Moscow in the summer of 1991. They were the sort of people you'd cross the street to avoid if they were coming your way - just by the way they looked.

I saw a couple of them demanding the documents of a street peddler in the entranceway of a Metro station. Eye contact obviously inadvisable.

"Anyone who believes that it is impossible for a country to go bankrupt is seriously misinformed and should be disabused of that idea in strong terms. There are dozens of examples. Argentina is one that comes to mind."

Don't forget, we're special here in the US.

We've got a financial system that's the envy of the world, the reserve currency, 6000 nukes and political leaders that just gosh darn care about us ...

Sorry, I just re-read what I wrote and I'm feeling a bit queasy and gaseous.

Comrade Born and Bred Bagholder Love Lesser Evil ,

"If Paul and Kucinich can't be taken seriously because they buck their leadership, they should leave their parties."

Paul has done so on several ocassions and runas Libertarian.

Nostrovia,

As I understand it, Merril Lynch was actually funding Wells loans, Wells just got the servicing rights.

So that is where the disconnect is. Wells was just fronting for Merril.

"I saw paratroopers on the streets of Moscow in the summer of 1991. They were the sort of people you'd cross the street to avoid if they were coming your way - just by the way they looked"

I worked in downtown Seattle during the WTO riots in 1999. That was enough for me, thank you. National Guard and riot police all over the place!

Mr. Chichikov,

Yes, martial law was threatened to certain memebers of Congress (according to the floor testimony of one Congressman). Troops were deployed beginning October 1 in a special-response type team. It's a combat brigade, which I believe is about 4000 men. Not certain of the size.

But it's probably nothing.

Help, I'm a little old lady and I don't understand this bailout, can anyone tell me why this Fed Funds rate dropped today?

INO - FED FUNDS 30 DAY (CBOT:FF) Price Chart and Quote

So, anyone else grateful for Octoberfest beers?

Comrade Born and Bred Bagholder looking for a bunker,

"
So, anyone else grateful for Octoberfest beers?"

That's a rhetorical question, right?

Nostrovia,

"Yes, martial law was threatened to certain memebers of Congress (according to the floor testimony of one Congressman). Troops were deployed beginning October 1 in a special-response type team. It's a combat brigade, which I believe is about 4000 men. Not certain of the size.

But it's probably nothing."

I certainly hope so.

Do you have a link to the member's reference to martial law?

anyone out there & possibly sober who can tell me what's the penalty for withdrawing my entire IRA?

Anyone seen Currently Smoking Cannabis?

Kicked the CR habit? Bagged by Homeland Security? More brown acid? Looking frantically for the Bankerdome?

Come back, CSC. I need a hit of your smoky humor.

Like pigs to the trough. LOL
Regarding the ISDA settlement auctions:

"A record 409 firms had already registered for the Fannie and Freddie auction yesterday, with 300 having signed up in the previous 24 hours and hundreds more in the pipeline. The value of derivatives contracts covering the two US mortgage finance agencies, which were effectively nationalised last month, is estimated at between $400bn and $600bn."

Come back, CSC. I need a hit of your smoky humor.
The Escapist

Some folks were unkind in their remarks the other night and I haven't seen him since. Maybe he went on vacation? We miss you CSC...come back!

Midwest Product writes:
Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself during eviction

Is there an over/under on the number of copycat cases we see over the next few months?

If I shoot my wife during an eviction, can I get a free house? Two for one, as it were..

Trader Paulson presses through with fear
Trader Paulson presses through with fear

We are indeed in a mess and we indeed are at a point where a real rally could develop but the muck we are in is so deep that it is likely to be a fast pass higher then a retreat ... much like we saw today. I guess now we will start discounting the coordinated Fed cuts around the world on Monday that have been rumored today. Folks, at some points you gotta run out of bullets and we may be fast approaching that time.

We made a little hay early when the markets allowed it but I'm in the Missouri mode now ... prove it! If they can hurdle some key intraday areas I'll see about a run for the roses with some tight stops but my pessimism is thick today.

The Dow closed the day at the lows of the session after dropping 475 points from the day's highs. The index is holding beneath key support, which doesn't bode well for the market Monday morning. Watch 10,400 for early directional bias Monday.
SignalWatch LIVE!

Subcommander Doom,
great post. To add some local color, Paterson, governor of NY today predicted the state faces "an economic bloodbath"...
And a question, what happened to Iceland?

The Escapist writes:
Anyone seen Currently Smoking Cannabis?

Found him hanging here:
YouTube -

Currently Smoking Cannabis said something about a family reunion thingy?

I'd like to offer this as a tribute to CSC:

YouTube -

Maybe he can't find his mouse?

Pavel:

YouTube
- Rep. Burgess: Congress under Martial Law to pass banker bailout bill

It's a rhetorical martial law.

The troops the other poster refers to are about an motor rifle regiment in size with tank and other combined arms elements, to try to translate into the Soviet idiom. Kinda skimpy for occupying America.

They are probably of little concern.
Gendarme detachments akin to MVD units but of smaller size (platoon or smaller) and without significant heavy equipment are the primary threat to American liberty. These are drawn from American police forces and are much more likely to be assigned to and carry out missions of oppression.

Corey 8:10 pm
If I shoot my wife...

Corey, You ain't right.

Article in my local paper (north shore, boston) stated although we are finacially doing well, "(we) will not be on the market for borrowing money until the end of the year, at the earliest, said Town Manager _______"

Thats reassuring!

Still, at least Iceland has a central bank. The countries in the European Monetary Union, the ones that use the Euro, do not.

What a clueless post. Get your facts straight before you try to BS people.

Here are a few Central Banks within the EU:

De Nederlandsche Bank - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Deutsche Bundesbank - Homepage 

Banque de France - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banca_d'Italia

Ah yes, the smell of tear gas in the morning.
What are we going to do about it comrades?
I have only been gassed in 2 countries (France and the USA), and while unpleasant (CS gas is the worse!), if this was the Ukraine, there would be 60 million people in the streets.
Genuine action is absent from our cowering and docile populace.

Comrade Misean is a dope-
Actually, it was a serious inquiry. Rhetorical would be asking if the Fed could create hyperinflation.

Wink

"I think we are dangerously close to the time when retail investors and 401k equities participants realize the stock market is a rigged game..."

I have a sister who put money into a 'college fund' 17 years ago when her first kid was a baby. Today it is worth less than what she deposited.

Also for Pavel, carried forward from the last thread:

Thanks, Byzantine. I write in English. I'm an American.

I thought you were a naturalized Warsaw Pact survivor though. Was just curious, your text has an interesting diction.

Ah yes, the smell of tear gas in the morning.

should we go buy some onions?

Byzantine_Ruins @ 8:15 pm

This is refreshing, although I still wouldn't want to be in any crowd the Army was called in to "control."

I don't mean to suggest that the entire US would be put under martial law. It does seem likely in smaller areas though.

Genuine action is absent from our cowering and docile populace.

Too big and too rooted in the traditions of civil society.

It's really not a bad thing that people don't break for the firearms and firebombs whenever things don't go their way politically.

The US state will collapse suddenly due to loss of the Mandate of Heaven, probably due to unanticipated failure to provide political goods due to some logistical crisis. There won't be general action by the populace prior to that.

Bailout bill seems to be having its intended affect.

John Jansen reports some signs that money markets are unfreezing, slightly.

Across the Curve » Blog Archive » Closing Comments October 3 2008

New FDIC Limits Protect Customers, May Not Add Yields
Bloomberg.com

Consumers may not see higher interest rates on accounts or certificates of deposit, however. Increasing the limit to $250,000 may lower interest-rate expectations as bank accounts are perceived as safer, said Tom Orecchio, chairman of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisers and principal of Greenbaum & Orecchio, an investment advisory firm in Old Tappan, New Jersey.

``Banks shoulder the premiums for FDIC insurance, so with increased cost for the banks we are likely to see lower savings interest rates,'' Orecchio said.

CR better push his blog IPO before it gets banned.

This is refreshing, although I still wouldn't want to be in any crowd the Army was called in to "control."

You have much more to fear from the paramilitarized cops. They are far more likely to shoot masses of Americans down, intern you in a prison camp or otherwise carry out illegal orders.

Bailout Will Help, but Pitfalls Remain
Bailout Will Help, but Pitfalls Remain - Rick Newman (usnews.com)

Job cuts in September—159,000—were the most in five years. Most economists are betting that additional jobs are going to be cut in coming months as companies hunker down. Worried consumers are likely to cut spending, deepening the dismal cycle.

There's already a recession in the auto industry, for example, which accounts for a big chunk of Americans' economic activity. Sales in September plunged to the lowest levels in 15 years. Deep worries—and profit-crunching discounts—are spreading to other sectors of the retail economy, too.

The bailout might help contain the damage. Theoretically, the feds' shock therapy will lessen the risk that a lot of companies will go bankrupt, which should motivate nervous bankers to start lending once again, with less fear that their money will vanish. If that actually happens, it will help big and small businesses alike continue to meet their payrolls.

Only on Calculated Risk can one discover that his fear is unfounded and come away more frightened.

Thank you, Mr. Ruins.

My money market source has actually spoken some optimistic thoughts today... he did state that the tenor of the conversation with big money clients shifted today and rather than the clouds they are seeing the gentle rays of the sun.

Across the Curve » Blog Archive » Money Market Turning (Imperceptibly)

Many Banks and Thrifts Overly
Reliant on “Hot Money” Deposits: http://www.weissgroupinc.com/FDICReport/FDICReport.pdf

October 3, 2008

Among 7,689 reporting banks, total deposits are $6.09 trillion. Of these, $1.06
trillion, or 17.43%, are deposits in accounts exceeding $100,000, considered “hot
money.”

Interesting???

What a clueless post. Get your facts straight before you try to BS people.

Take your own advice, RE. Only the European Central Bank is a central bank, because it's the only one that issues currency, which is called The Euro. Ever hear of it? The other central banks you cite (Banque de France, Bundesbank,De Nederlandsche Bank, Banca di Italia) do not issue currency.

I have a sister who put money into a 'college fund' 17 years ago when her first kid was a baby. Today it is worth less than what she deposited.
wally

is it there enough to take a class in pole dancing?

Re: is it there enough to take a class in pole dancing?

Yes, that was in bad taste! Please say you are sorry!

Gaypapa:

I read the link you posted repeatedly and I would say you kinda oversell his opinion.

Patrick Bateman:

No problem. Thank decades of Americans being so afraid of blacks and "loopholes in the law" aka "civil rights" for the current situation. If you ever supported a "get tough on crime" platform, you have only yourself to blame.

FWIW, they have already let the contracts for the internment camps "if needed".

KBR - KBR Awarded U.S. Department of Homeland Security Contingency Support Project for Emergency Support Services

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={62C8724D-AE8A-4B5C-94C7-70171315C0A0}&dateid=38741.5136277662-858254656

There are the state prepaid funds for instate colleges. We bought that for our son and it worked just fine. Too late for the other college fund.

Sorry about that for the kid.

Take your own advice, RE. Only the European Central Bank is a central bank, because it's the only one that issues currency, which is called The Euro.

I am not surprised that you don’t quite understand. To define a Central Banks function purely as being able to issue currency is rather naïve.

Here are the functions of the Bundesbank as defined by its CURRENT charter. Sounds like the functions of a central bank to me and hopefully to you.

This is from Google translate because I am too lazy to fully translate as this is obvious enough:

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As a central bank, the Bundesbank historically evolved a series of functions. It is the central bank. Bank of the banks. Bank of the State and manager of foreign exchange reserves.

1st Federal Reserve

The supply of the population and the economy with cash involves the issuance of banknotes, the regular rejection no longer umlauffähiger notes, the counterfeit checks, the replacement for damaged notes and - although rare call for confiscation of notes, for example, notes with GM Appearance come into circulation.

2nd The Bank of Banks

The special position of the Bundesbank as a bank for central banks based on the fact that credit institutions to maintain their ability to pay on deposits at the Bundesbank depend. You need to their customers and pay cash for the Bundesbank - as mentioned - deposits, so-called minimum reserves, maintained. Cash and bank balances can the banking system but only through transactions with procure the Bundesbank. The Bundesbank is part of the ESCB, hence the "last" refinancing source of the banking system. Moreover, the banks banking services for the handling of non-cash payments, and is also still in the supervision of banks and financial institutions turned on.

3rd The Bank of the State

The Bundesbank is also the house of the federal government and also restricted the country. It leads to public budgets accounts, Concerned payments and supports the federal government and the countries in borrowing on the capital. She brings coins in circulation, the federal government may issue only after the extent of the issue by the European Central Bank (ECB) has been approved. However, the Bundesbank state authorities fail to grant loans.

4th Manager of foreign exchange reserves

As administrator of the currency reserves of the Bundesbank holds the official foreign reserves of the Federal Republic of Germany and submit them to be profitable. These are mainly assets, in U.S. dollars at banks or banks abroad are kept. Added to gold stocks and reserve positions and claims against the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the ECB.

Byzantine Ruins:

Thinking earlier about your comment at 724 (734?).

How to protest?

  1. Raise kids to question and challenge (and this from a conservative) the status quo.
  2. Refuse to invest with those firms that I believe are crooked/borderline fascist. They do exist.
  3. Get off my duff and get more involved in the political process than I was previously. Just voting and calling reps is no longer enough.

No offense, but I don't think that hitting the streets to assault the governing authority is the way to go. This society has endured revolution, civil war, pestilence and multiple depressions. I do believe that the average person will try other things and have to have their back to the wall utterly to rebell.

No, RE, you got it wrong. Saying that a Central Bank must issue currency is not naive, as you lamely maintain, but textbook. There are no more Deutschmarks, Lira, or French Francs issued any more. The European Central Bank is the central bank. That's why they call it the European Central Bank, n'est-ce pas?

But you do know how to cut and paste irrelevant information!

"This new rule apparently allows Wells Fargo to accelerate the use of Wachovia's huge write-downs as an offset to their own income."

Oh sure. Well's own income, that is, with their 40 BIL$ plus heloc and other losses safely moved off to the taxpayer's sagging balance sheet?

The European Central Bank is the central bank. That's why they call it the European Central Bank, n'est-ce pas?

It looks like you can't read pasted material. Did you notice this little but very crucial element:

The Bundesbank is part of the ESCB, hence the "last" refinancing source of the banking system.

It is you that doesn't seem to get it. This means that it is the Central Bank of last resort for Germany.

Thanks, Subcommander Doom at 7:29, I appreciate your analysis of the financial pickle unfolding in Europe and at U.S. State and local government level.
Any suggestions of particular Euro banks to short?

I second that, Subcommander Doom. Fine analysis.

Bang the pots and pans!
Thanks, United Loan Sharks of America, for the Argentinia video.

Thanks mock turtle at 6:12 for the article link to the 2004 lighting of the fuse by the SEC at the request of Hank Pualson's Goldman Sachs and other investment banks.

Hank Paulson is the biggest Wall Street fox ever allowed in the biggest henhouse (U.S. Treasury). Outrageous!
Whatever role Mr. Paulson and his firm Goldman Sachs may have had in the subprime CDO fraud, Ponzi schemes, fleecing of pension funds, and other financial crimes remains to be seen...preferably by a state and federal investigations of Goldman Sachs and other investment banks. Hank "the mole" Paulson is a person of interest. Can Treasury Secretary Paulson be expected to investigate and prosecute Goldman Sachs CEO Paulson? Hank "the mole" Paulson has a screaming conflict of interest.

Now that the TARP is law, Paulson can hire his Wall Street cronies (lawyers, accountants, bankers) to plan the looting of the U.S. Treasury. Under TARP, Paulson can even issue no bid contracts to his Wall Street cronies. In recent months Paulson has increased his staff of Wall Street "advisers" & "consultants". Now with TARP, Paulson will hire a small army of Wall Street scam artists, swindlers, fraudsters, bust out conmen to design the looting of the U.S. Treasury. I don't know what is the previous record, but Hank Paulson, the Ringleader and Grand Master of the Universe, is now free to commit the largest bank robbery in U.S. history.

Subcommander Doom writes:

Genuine action is absent from our cowering and docile populace.

More is the pity, and more the danger, too.

Autocratic government is a fait accompli for a public of pushovers. The state knows how weak are those it rules, how easy they are to zap with Tasers, how they tremble when it snarls, how they jump when the sirens sound.

OK, we haven't been a republic in more than name for a long time, anyway. Nobody should be surprised to see the US government don leather boots and put funny little patches on its arm sleeves.

The greater danger now is that the rusty bits keeping together our civil society will crumble.

Food, sugar, caffeine, booze, drugs, TV, Nintendo: these are all that keep your neighbors from robbing the mini-market or, say, cooking you.

And unfortunately, they've been trained by thirty years of cultural programming to believe you don't count. I Got Mine, baby. And you got nuthin!

So now we enter the endgame of Reaganism, its bared-teeth apotheosis. I won't be surprised if there are marvels and wonders ahead.

This is another way to help recapitalize the banking system.

But in that case, taxpayers get nothing in return.

Hank Paulson and the Treasury Department are engaging in the most massive tax fraud in the history of the United States by devising a “sham” acquisition structure for Fannie and Freddie which will arguably allow these failed entities to take approximately $80 Billion in tax deductions per year. This tax fraud dwarfs any scheme in history. Why did the acquisition of Fannie involve warrants for exactly 79.9% of the common stock at a price of .00001 dollars per share (essentially zero though by the time Bernanke and Paulson get done debasing the dollar in a manner which would make Stalin and Mao proud, it may be less than zero)? Well, Section 163(Crazy(6) provides that if a related exempt organization (the Treasury Department) controls a corporation (in this case Fannie) and the exempt organization guarantees the debt of such corporation, the interest expense on such guaranteed debt is nondeductible (or subject to severe limitations) for tax purposes. Treasury has clearly guaranteed the debt of Fannie as defined under section 163(Crazy(6)(D)(iii). Related person is defined under section 267(b) which provides the corporation must be controlled by Treasury. Control is generally defined by the IRS as owning 80% of the corporation. Thus, Hank and Treasury hope to evade taxes on $80 Billion of income per year based on acquiring only 79.9% of Fannie and thus, defeat their own tax law notwithstanding Treasury effectively owns 100% of Fannie. Interestingly, the Treasury actively throws commoners in jail for life for interpreting the tax law literally as the Treasury argues the non tax paying miscreants violated the spirit of the law under the so called economic substance doctrine (an undefined vague legal concept universally interpreted differently by most courts). In fact, a literal interpretation of 163(Crazy via its underlying regulations specifically requires that the transaction be analyzed based on the substance of the acquisition under the 1.957-2 regulations which is a catch all provision for any legal machinations to avoid the tax law. Most of the dudes Treasury puts in jail for life for interpreting the tax law literally are using tax laws which have no literal corollary to 163(Crazy (i.e., no legal requirement to look at the substance of the transaction). Hank Paulson may be the biggest tax fraudster in history: not only did he avoid taxes on $100 million of his Goldman stock through the use of 100% controlled private foundations; illegally change the law under Section 382 to provide tax benefits in the realm of $750 Billion to his friends on Wall Street (which under Section 7201 is likely tax evasion (the intentional violation of tax law to avoid taxes)); but now he is engaging in further tax fraud to the tune of $80 Billion of tax deductions per year (for interpretations of the tax law Treasury sends people to prison for life over) yet again for the benefit of his buddies on Wall Street. If Hank was judged by the same standards he judges others, Hank would have to go to jail for life (notwithstanding all of the securities fraud he has engaged in).

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