Unbelievable. Someone on a previous thread asked why they need to 'finance' a 'merger' - my guess is the three headed dog wants an exit strategy & GM stock doesn't count as an 'exit'.
What a mess.
Either that or the M&A folks demand their commish in cash upfront.
I'd love it if some 'insider' to deals like this could tell me why the financing was holding it up (if it is as previous reports say 'a merger').
at 10B you could by GM 2x given the market cap. What a bunch of whoopi-poop. Can we haz your money 'cauze we sucked at our jobs. Darwin must be turning in his grave.
Cerberus is friggn broke as a coke dealer -- this is retarded and they should just call this a Fed bailout, because, as God is my witness, these pirates have a bunch of synthetic playmoney backed a printing press connected to worthless paper. Now these fools suggest that worthless cars have future value and hence, if yah have a few bucks, maybe this a a hot deal that will make yah a bucket of dough -- BULLSHIT!
See also: Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here
Like gold, U.S. dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services. We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.
Nice to see that the street-side gets their insider information at least 45 minutes early still
Going from 8% of S&P500 earnings up to 46% in 20 yrs is really indicative of the rough competition, the stronger banks clearly need to top up their bonus pools because performance has been so bad that they have to increase incentives...
Wonder who led the bargaining on behalf of the private congress retirement plan team to arrange the financing. I can tell you now that it will not be 'giveaways' but 'interest free loans for a period of no less than 10 years'. The public argument for the bailout will be to safeguard workers pensions, when they could have bought everyone out for a similar price -- but those are pesky facts.
What's the next critical sector to the economy? Steel has already consolidated and has a better credit rating than the government, home builders are owned indirectly through banks avoiding loan write downs, the tech sector does its own nebulous thing, weapons manufacturing is already completely protected, ...
Must save retail? It's the biggest employer I can think of, and the last ?$350bn really didn't do enough for them
With all the profits we the people are going to make with our shares in the banks, the auto dealers, the hedge funds, the insurance companies and all the other concerns we are going to buy, we should be able to reduce taxes to practically nothing.
Quit your bitching. Informed ones knew of the relationship b'tween Cerberus and this admin. Also you knew that it would be cheaper for the taxpayers for a bailout than a BK. Right or wrong, smart or stupid don't mean a damn thing. Play the trade and make money
CalculatedRisk,
Roubini might have been quoting some of my work he read re: S&P500 earnings that he got a few days before his latest round of interviews and went on CNBC to scare them.
$60 operating EPS over 2009 is a bare minimum starting point, it also implies ~$40 annualized EPS by Q4
I would stipulate that forecasting a further 30% drop is playing it on the safe/near term side of things.
I live in Georgetown, Ky. home of a Toyota plant - workers there are NOT unionized. Don't know about the bennie package, but they employ around 7000 I think and provide a LARGE proportion of the local community revenue.
Elvis writes:
I think they should go BK and restructure all the labor contracts. A unions purpose shouldn't be to make an industry completely uncompetitive.
If they file for BK, then the tax payer is on the hook to bail out the PBGC for the pensions... so we might as well just throw the money at the companies to keep some folks employed now, and maybe (unlikely, but hey...) end up with a competitive car company down the road.
On the edge,
Your opinion assumes that the American taxpayer and the GE/GMAC/Cerberus/Chrysler Financial bond holders are one and the same w.r.t. a bankruptcy.
I definitely saw this coming, and not even because of Cerberus. However it is an argument weaker than wet toilet paper to say that this represents the cheapest/best-value deal for the American citizen. It's merely the most convenient one
Quit your bitching. Informed ones say that the taxpayer could make money on this deal. You gotta love the big brassies on the guys who are asking for this loan.
"The Kyodo news report said Toyota was expected to consider quick fixes for the cash-strapped GM, including buying up its assets and helping it secure sufficient business funds.
The executives of the world's two biggest automakers may also discuss an expanded business partnership, including Toyota making fuel-efficient compact cars for GM and providing hybrid-car technologies to the U.S. carmaker, Kyodo said, citing sources."
EvilHenryPaulson writes:
On the edge,
Your opinion assumes that the American taxpayer and the GE/GMAC/Cerberus/Chrysler Financial bond holders are one and the same w.r.t. a bankruptcy.
I definitely saw this coming, and not even because of Cerberus. However it is an argument weaker than wet toilet paper to say that this represents the cheapest/best-value deal for the American citizen. It's merely the most convenient one
GM/Chrysler file BK? Taxpayer funds their pensions. Tier suppliers go belly up. Stock/Bond holders zeroed out. I don't have the capability to crunch all these numbers,(evidently you do), but the argument is not weak.
"The mad rush for federal handouts is officially on, and the latest twist involves mega-lender GMAC LLC, co-owned by General Motors Corp. (GM: 6.93 +10.88%) and Cerberus Capital Management LP media reports Wednesday morning suggested the financial giant is mulling a commercial bank charter in order to access some of the $700 billion funds approved by Congress under the Treasurys Troubled Asset Resolution Program, or TARP."
In The Carter Era, The Democrats held Chrysler accountable to loan terms, e.g, conditions, restrictions which linked taxpayer revenues to future terms of re-payment. That deal made taxpayers a few million, but the deal was based on tossing all the bums that ran Chrysler, out of the boardrooms and putting auditor-based accounting into the deal to hold the crooks responsible for their future performance -- to force positive engineering cahnges.
In The Bush Coup Republican Regime, we have socialism to simply bailout the pirates and to reward the boards and to engineer hidden agendas where no loan will be left behind -- and o loan will have terms or accountability, save for the fact that taxpayers will have to pay whatever cost it takes to bail out these corrupt fuckers!
I tend to like the old fashioned concept of accountability more so than The Bush method, where Treasury has unlimited funds for non-accountability! This is all Bullshit!
"Based on Ford's Tuesday closing price of $2.15, the remaining stock Kerkorian owns is also worth $526 million less than what he paid for it.
By going below 5%, Kerkorian will no longer have to file reports with regulators if he sells additional stock.
Kerkorian, 91, began amassing his stake in Ford in the spring, when Ford CEO Alan Mulally was enjoying national media buzz about the success of his turnaround. After $15.3 billion in losses over the previous two years, Ford posted a small profit of $100 million in the first quarter."
"GMAC, the finance unit of General Motors Corp. (GM), said Tuesday it had been granted access by the Fed to tap the commercial paper facility.
The need for cash is fueled by a combination of losses at the once-lucrative financing units and their efforts to shore up capital amid the current funding drought.
Ford Credit had a pretax loss of $334 million in the second quarter, compared with a profit of $105 million a year earlier. Its parent, Ford, has struggled this year amid high gas prices, a slumping housing market and most recently, a crisis in the financial system.
The auto maker saw monthly sales drop by 34% in September and is in the midst of a restructuring that has included moves to close a dozen manufacturing plants and shed more than 40,000 workers. Auto sales are on track to hit their slowest pace in 15 years, and sales of profitable pickup trucks and sport-utility vehicles have tanked amid economic uncertainty and rising fuel prices."
mulling a commercial bank charter in order to access some of the $700 billion funds
I hope wal-mart becomes a bank, and then we can all just use Yuan's and screw the Continentals.
Also see Blue Backs: The Seventh Issue was the last but an Eighth Issue for $80,000,000 to pay the Arm was authorized by Congress at its last meeting on March 18, 1865. It was vetoed by President Davis who felt the 1864 issue was to replace older notes and reduce circulation and to authorize another issue would be accepted as a proof that there is no limit to the issue of Treasury notes.
Even without this issue, upwards of two billion dollars in Confederate currency of all issues was produced. The destruction of Columbia, S.C., Confederate printing headquarters, in February 1865, did not entirely stop the deluge. Some equipment was saved and transferred to Anderson, S.C. and Richmond. But by that time it was hardly worth the cost of printing.
Although there were attempts to make them so, Confederate Blue Backs were never legal tender. Worth 95 cents on the dollar in gold when first issued, Confederate currency dropped to 33 cents by 1863, and 1.6 cents by Appomatox (April 9, 1865). May 1, 1865 was the last active trading in Confederate notes at 1,200 for 1. It is of the highest order of patriotism when we observe that except for speculators, most Southerners continued to accept this money to the last. By way of comparison, the lowest point o the legal tender Greenbacks of the North was 39 cents on the dollar in gold, July 11, 1864.
How much would it cost to buy out a GM in a BK auction, and add on the cost to make good to all suppliers and employee pensions.
The answer is a lot less because you only have to pay off the outstanding debt at pennies on the dollar. Heck you could simply add on the pensions and suppliers payables on to the newly incorporated company's balance sheet as debt.
The problem with that is that it would screw the creditors who made a bad investment.
The dwindling apparel retail business in the US has started casting its shadow over India's garment manufacturing industry. Data released by the Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA), US Department of Commerce, shows that total apparel imports from India dropped 4.8% in value terms for the year ending August 2008.
First, this deal is all about Rick Wagoner's ego and nothing else. There is no logical business case for GM and Chrysler to merge. Chrysler alone is destined to fail. Chrysler combined with GM is destined to fail. GM on its own has a fighting chance. But Wagoner knows he isn't the man to lead GM through this tough time, so he comes up with this merger to buy time, so the eventual failure comes on his successor's watch.
Second, it reminds me of the whole securitization fiasco; the idea that you can combine two pieces of crap and end up with something that isn't so crappy.
EHP,
If GM goes BK, won't we get another Lehman-style CDS mushroom cloud? That is the only even semi-legitimate reason for the Treasury backing this that I can think of.
The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 1 percent.
The pace of economic activity appears to have slowed markedly, owing importantly to a decline in consumer expenditures. Business equipment spending and industrial production have weakened in recent months, and slowing economic activity in many foreign economies is damping the prospects for U.S. exports. Moreover, the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of households and businesses to obtain credit.
In light of the declines in the prices of energy and other commodities and the weaker prospects for economic activity, the Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters to levels consistent with price stability.
Recent policy actions, including todays rate reduction, coordinated interest rate cuts by central banks, extraordinary liquidity measures, and official steps to strengthen financial systems, should help over time to improve credit conditions and promote a return to moderate economic growth. Nevertheless, downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will monitor economic and financial developments carefully and will act as needed to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Sandra Pianalto; Charles I. Plosser; Gary H. Stern; and Kevin M. Warsh.
In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 50-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 1-1/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Cleveland, and San Francisco.
Screw Cerberus - and the Board and Snow and everyone with even 10 cents equity at stake. I'm getting REAL tired of sending my taxes to the pockets of Friends of Hanks's. These FoH's had better watch their backs. Bullseyes have a nasty habit of growing on such people.
Looking back on its short historical evolution, this is not the first time the CDS market has been routed There was already a big meltdown of the CDS market in May 2005. At that time, General Motors (GM) and Ford were downgraded by the rating agencies from investment grade to junk grade, which triggered a violent crisis.
The 2005 crisis was a premonitory event. The GM and Ford downgrades had a large impact on the market due to the huge size of the two leading multinational firms. At that time, the CDS premia of both firms posted a sharp rise and the whole of the CDS market was affected, as well as the bond market. Acharya et al. (2007) have highlighted the liquidity shock that this crisis brought about on the market.
If GM goes BK, won't we get another Lehman-style CDS mushroom cloud? That is the only even semi-legitimate reason for the Treasury backing this that I can think of.
Even that isn't a legitimate reason. The merged entity takes on 10B in debt to add Chrysler, which probably has negative worth. This increases the chance of a GM mushroom cloud.
If they wanted to bailout GM, they should give them a large low-interest loan. Maybe 25 billion. Oh, wait...
Builder Bob writes:
The best investment right now would probably be in a technical institute that trains printing press technicians around DC.
Builder Bob | 10.29.08 - 2:21 pm | #
We've probably outsourced all our printing presses to China.
Thanks All Fall for putting up Snow's name here as one of the most exemplary of those civil servants...doin us...even more spectacularly than Greenspan.
There is one toyota plant in the US that does have a union. I also know that the Ontario Canada plant is also unionized. The one plant in the US is in California and is a joint venture between GM and Toyota, formed over 20 years ago. They produce the Pontiac Vibe and the Toyota Corrolla on the same line the Vibe is GM in name only, its also the same thing as the Matrix but about 2-3k cheaper....I was at the georgetown plant about 6 months ago, true they are NOT unionized. But thier benefits and pay are very competitive and more often than not the wages exceed the local levels by about 10-20% (higher end if you include bonuses)... Toyota, it appears, prefers the right to work states for obvious reasons. The manufacturing facilities also are established in smaller more rural towns with interstate and rail access, giving them the advantage of monopolizing the labor in an area. But this is not to say that the workers get screwed. Most of them love thier job, work hard and get paid well. Hell the geogetown plant just recently finished an on site medical clinic for employees and thier families.....
Having worked for a startup which was bought and sold by the three headed dog back in the M&A heyday I have to say I have immense satisfaction in watching them spiraling into the deleverage black hole.
Couldn't have happened to a nicer bunch of people.
don't know why Palin is worrying about socialism under an Obama administration. As far as the free market in the US is concerned the Republican party certainly has proven to be the "anti-christ"
before we are through with this expect to see a number of state and local governments file for bankruptcy as a way of getting past their civil service union deals with regard to health care and pensions. I think we are on the verge of a taxpayer revolt- no more property taxes to pay off union pensions. Most of their pension plans were underfunded to start with and the big decline is not going to make that any easier. Stay away from GO and stick with good quality Revenue bonds even if they have an AMT bite
Having said that I am not anti union. I think unions play a useful role in countering corporate power if they act responsibly but not if all they are interested in cutting fancy deals for themselves at the expense of the future.
In other news - "In a letter sent today to U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson, United Steelworkers (USW) President Leo W. Gerard raised questions about the prudence of Treasury investments of $125 billion of taxpayers' money into nine financial institutions, including the firm which Paulson recently headed, Goldman Sachs."
pushing on a string
"This deal will make GM the number one auto maker again."
Well, not exactly. GM's cars will still suck ass.
second
Thats not going to solve anything.
CSC,
Somebody has to be first at that too, you know.
.
Currently Smoking Cannabis writes:
"This deal will make GM the number one auto maker again."
Well, not exactly. GM's cars will still suck ass.
My God, that is funny.
Ah the tired and true "quick get too big to fail before we go BK" strategy.
the whole idea is to make general badmotors and chrystink to big to fail
tried* or maybe it is getting a little tired.
Unbelievable. Someone on a previous thread asked why they need to 'finance' a 'merger' - my guess is the three headed dog wants an exit strategy & GM stock doesn't count as an 'exit'.
What a mess.
Either that or the M&A folks demand their commish in cash upfront.
I'd love it if some 'insider' to deals like this could tell me why the financing was holding it up (if it is as previous reports say 'a merger').
Bride of Frankenstein!
So does to big to fail apply to the auto industry now? If so we have a winner.
when is the helicopter drop scheduled? I thought those were usually 115pm est?
Check out Roubini in the video of the day (bottom of posts). He thinks the S&P500 may decline another 30% from here.
Best to all.
Prol Geoff, 2:15ET for Fed.
Best Wishes
Surely one humongous pile of crap is better than two very large piles.
Can't you see it? There were market inefficiencies that each individual companies could not solve due to their small size but now, watch out! Success!
dinosaurs mating--
A failed survival view.
The three-head dog is tired of chasing cars.
"market inefficiencies that each individual companies could not solve"
yeah, they simply dont get to print money to pay retirees.
Dan Quayle whole heartedly approves! Go cerberus, it's your birthday!
I think they should go BK and restructure all the labor contracts. A unions purpose shouldn't be to make an industry completely uncompetitive.
"Cerberus is in its own set of intense discussions with banks to refinance $9 billion of Chrysler debt"
ah those toggle bonds!!
Better have my 2006 PT Cruiser get its 24,000 mile checkup before CarMax gets closed!
Remember Ambac and MBIA?
Oh, those were such carefree-credit days...
Elvis,
Since you seem to be up on these things, are Toyota workers unionized? Do they have benefits and pensions?
mjc 2006 PT Cruiser, fuck me.
GM should merge with Porsche !
merge with Chrysler, then close all their dealerships and half their factories.
Better have my 2006 PT Cruiser get its 24,000 mile checkup before CarMax gets closed!
You own a PT Cruiser? Dude.
Yay for internet anonymity, I guess.
Well, not exactly. GM's cars will still suck ass.
Currently Smoking Cannabis | Homepage | 10.29.08 - 1:29 pm | #
GM might be able to work this into a slogan if they can turn things around - GM: We don't suck ass anymore!
at 10B you could by GM 2x given the market cap. What a bunch of whoopi-poop. Can we haz your money 'cauze we sucked at our jobs. Darwin must be turning in his grave.
Barley,
Not Darwin, Willian Graham Sumner (social darwinism).
GM: We don't suck ass anymore!
Lionel
No the turn around slogan will be "We used to suck now we blow"
2010 will mark the triumphant return of the Cimmaron and the K car.
This time, they will run on ethanol.
Cerberus is friggn broke as a coke dealer -- this is retarded and they should just call this a Fed bailout, because, as God is my witness, these pirates have a bunch of synthetic playmoney backed a printing press connected to worthless paper. Now these fools suggest that worthless cars have future value and hence, if yah have a few bucks, maybe this a a hot deal that will make yah a bucket of dough -- BULLSHIT!
See also: Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here
http://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/2002/20021121/default.htm
Like gold, U.S. dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services. We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.
Nice to see that the street-side gets their insider information at least 45 minutes early still
Going from 8% of S&P500 earnings up to 46% in 20 yrs is really indicative of the rough competition, the stronger banks clearly need to top up their bonus pools because performance has been so bad that they have to increase incentives...
Wonder who led the bargaining on behalf of the private congress retirement plan team to arrange the financing. I can tell you now that it will not be 'giveaways' but 'interest free loans for a period of no less than 10 years'. The public argument for the bailout will be to safeguard workers pensions, when they could have bought everyone out for a similar price -- but those are pesky facts.
What's the next critical sector to the economy? Steel has already consolidated and has a better credit rating than the government, home builders are owned indirectly through banks avoiding loan write downs, the tech sector does its own nebulous thing, weapons manufacturing is already completely protected, ...
Must save retail? It's the biggest employer I can think of, and the last ?$350bn really didn't do enough for them
With all the profits we the people are going to make with our shares in the banks, the auto dealers, the hedge funds, the insurance companies and all the other concerns we are going to buy, we should be able to reduce taxes to practically nothing.
Quit your bitching. Informed ones knew of the relationship b'tween Cerberus and this admin. Also you knew that it would be cheaper for the taxpayers for a bailout than a BK. Right or wrong, smart or stupid don't mean a damn thing. Play the trade and make money
aClem writes:
Barley,
Not Darwin, Willian Graham Sumner (social darwinism).
Neither.
Herbert Spencer.
We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.
Tell that to Japan.
GM and Chrysler, a great way to lose money twice as fast.
Stupid Fed Gov. Gramley: these loans will all be paid back.
CalculatedRisk,
Roubini might have been quoting some of my work he read re: S&P500 earnings that he got a few days before his latest round of interviews and went on CNBC to scare them.
$60 operating EPS over 2009 is a bare minimum starting point, it also implies ~$40 annualized EPS by Q4
I would stipulate that forecasting a further 30% drop is playing it on the safe/near term side of things.
I live in Georgetown, Ky. home of a Toyota plant - workers there are NOT unionized. Don't know about the bennie package, but they employ around 7000 I think and provide a LARGE proportion of the local community revenue.
thank you for you blog
هيمة القلوب ,
منتديات هيمة القلوب,
Cerberus is toast.
No way government money will bail them out.
If they file for BK, then the tax payer is on the hook to bail out the PBGC for the pensions... so we might as well just throw the money at the companies to keep some folks employed now, and maybe (unlikely, but hey...) end up with a competitive car company down the road.
Either way, we are on the hook.
Damn Goverment Welfare for The Rich and Famous..Giving them GOLDEN BALLS knowing they will still go belly up.
KW, I have had this argument before and it goes nowhere. So... in the spirit of this forum, shall we beat it to death together?
On the edge,
Your opinion assumes that the American taxpayer and the GE/GMAC/Cerberus/Chrysler Financial bond holders are one and the same w.r.t. a bankruptcy.
I definitely saw this coming, and not even because of Cerberus. However it is an argument weaker than wet toilet paper to say that this represents the cheapest/best-value deal for the American citizen. It's merely the most convenient one
Quit your bitching. Informed ones say that the taxpayer could make money on this deal. You gotta love the big brassies on the guys who are asking for this loan.
Anonymous writes:
Cerberus is toast.
No way government money will bail them out.
Pshaw! They will own 100% of GMAC become a bank get cheap money and TARPed on GMAC crap loans. They'll make a fortune
Jane,
Thank you. Do you know if they have health care or pensions?
"The Kyodo news report said Toyota was expected to consider quick fixes for the cash-strapped GM, including buying up its assets and helping it secure sufficient business funds.
The executives of the world's two biggest automakers may also discuss an expanded business partnership, including Toyota making fuel-efficient compact cars for GM and providing hybrid-car technologies to the U.S. carmaker, Kyodo said, citing sources."
GM expected to ask Toyota for help-Kyodo report
| Reuters
Sorry Jane, you already said you didn't know...
Pshaw! They will own 100% of GMAC become a bank
Yup. No way a democratic administration allows an automaker too fail, even if a private equity firm is hiding behind it.
"Also you knew that it would be cheaper for the taxpayers for a bailout than a BK." -On the Edge
Says you. I'm not convinced.
Good riddance to both GM AND Chrysler.
Who will buy Ford?
EvilHenryPaulson writes:
On the edge,
Your opinion assumes that the American taxpayer and the GE/GMAC/Cerberus/Chrysler Financial bond holders are one and the same w.r.t. a bankruptcy.
I definitely saw this coming, and not even because of Cerberus. However it is an argument weaker than wet toilet paper to say that this represents the cheapest/best-value deal for the American citizen. It's merely the most convenient one
GM/Chrysler file BK? Taxpayer funds their pensions. Tier suppliers go belly up. Stock/Bond holders zeroed out. I don't have the capability to crunch all these numbers,(evidently you do), but the argument is not weak.
"The mad rush for federal handouts is officially on, and the latest twist involves mega-lender GMAC LLC, co-owned by General Motors Corp. (GM: 6.93 +10.88%) and Cerberus Capital Management LP media reports Wednesday morning suggested the financial giant is mulling a commercial bank charter in order to access some of the $700 billion funds approved by Congress under the Treasurys Troubled Asset Resolution Program, or TARP."
GMAC Looks to Become Commercial Bank, Gain TARP Access : HousingWire || financial news for the mortgage market
?? What just happened ??
?? What just happened ??
Just applying a little lube before the announcement.
Two comments:
What is the public benefit of bailing out a PE firm?
How does tying two anchors together make them float?
In The Carter Era, The Democrats held Chrysler accountable to loan terms, e.g, conditions, restrictions which linked taxpayer revenues to future terms of re-payment. That deal made taxpayers a few million, but the deal was based on tossing all the bums that ran Chrysler, out of the boardrooms and putting auditor-based accounting into the deal to hold the crooks responsible for their future performance -- to force positive engineering cahnges.
In The Bush Coup Republican Regime, we have socialism to simply bailout the pirates and to reward the boards and to engineer hidden agendas where no loan will be left behind -- and o loan will have terms or accountability, save for the fact that taxpayers will have to pay whatever cost it takes to bail out these corrupt fuckers!
I tend to like the old fashioned concept of accountability more so than The Bush method, where Treasury has unlimited funds for non-accountability! This is all Bullshit!
are we in the sell the news moment yet? Still dont know when the announcement is supposed to be from the Fed. Dont they usually do 1115am pst?
Toyota also building in County near me. And we are below The Mason Dixon Line where Paulson has not/will not put any money.
Could Cerberus be on one side or the other of credit default swaps on GM? Correct me if I am wrong, but by taking in GM, they "win" either way.
"Based on Ford's Tuesday closing price of $2.15, the remaining stock Kerkorian owns is also worth $526 million less than what he paid for it.
By going below 5%, Kerkorian will no longer have to file reports with regulators if he sells additional stock.
Kerkorian, 91, began amassing his stake in Ford in the spring, when Ford CEO Alan Mulally was enjoying national media buzz about the success of his turnaround. After $15.3 billion in losses over the previous two years, Ford posted a small profit of $100 million in the first quarter."
freep.com | | Detroit Free Press
500 up or 500 down just waiting on Be
Both sides have agreed that GM Chief Executive Rick Wagoner would lead the combined automaker, the sources said.
More rewarding failure. Yargh.
"GMAC, the finance unit of General Motors Corp. (GM), said Tuesday it had been granted access by the Fed to tap the commercial paper facility.
The need for cash is fueled by a combination of losses at the once-lucrative financing units and their efforts to shore up capital amid the current funding drought.
Ford Credit had a pretax loss of $334 million in the second quarter, compared with a profit of $105 million a year earlier. Its parent, Ford, has struggled this year amid high gas prices, a slumping housing market and most recently, a crisis in the financial system.
The auto maker saw monthly sales drop by 34% in September and is in the midst of a restructuring that has included moves to close a dozen manufacturing plants and shed more than 40,000 workers. Auto sales are on track to hit their slowest pace in 15 years, and sales of profitable pickup trucks and sport-utility vehicles have tanked amid economic uncertainty and rising fuel prices."
CNNMoney.com: 404 Page Not Found
WTF?
mulling a commercial bank charter in order to access some of the $700 billion funds
I hope wal-mart becomes a bank, and then we can all just use Yuan's and screw the Continentals.
Also see Blue Backs: The Seventh Issue was the last but an Eighth Issue for $80,000,000 to pay the Arm was authorized by Congress at its last meeting on March 18, 1865. It was vetoed by President Davis who felt the 1864 issue was to replace older notes and reduce circulation and to authorize another issue would be accepted as a proof that there is no limit to the issue of Treasury notes.
Even without this issue, upwards of two billion dollars in Confederate currency of all issues was produced. The destruction of Columbia, S.C., Confederate printing headquarters, in February 1865, did not entirely stop the deluge. Some equipment was saved and transferred to Anderson, S.C. and Richmond. But by that time it was hardly worth the cost of printing.
Although there were attempts to make them so, Confederate Blue Backs were never legal tender. Worth 95 cents on the dollar in gold when first issued, Confederate currency dropped to 33 cents by 1863, and 1.6 cents by Appomatox (April 9, 1865). May 1, 1865 was the last active trading in Confederate notes at 1,200 for 1. It is of the highest order of patriotism when we observe that except for speculators, most Southerners continued to accept this money to the last. By way of comparison, the lowest point o the legal tender Greenbacks of the North was 39 cents on the dollar in gold, July 11, 1864.
Low or high volume today?
FOMC day is always (usually) low volume until 2:15EST
bubblevision makes me laugh.
BubbleTalk Progression: goldilocks > r-word > depression.
changing my descriptor... ManicVisio
Reminds me of a Venture Brothers clip:
Argos?
On the edge,
Simple thought exercise for you.
How much would it cost to buy out a GM in a BK auction, and add on the cost to make good to all suppliers and employee pensions.
The answer is a lot less because you only have to pay off the outstanding debt at pennies on the dollar. Heck you could simply add on the pensions and suppliers payables on to the newly incorporated company's balance sheet as debt.
The problem with that is that it would screw the creditors who made a bad investment.
What is up with MTH?
Got some dxd at 73.5 OK everyone likes a little gamble.
We need a bailout here too:
US Slowdown Affects Indian Apparel Manufacturers
http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/news/Stock%20News/1956597/
The dwindling apparel retail business in the US has started casting its shadow over India's garment manufacturing industry. Data released by the Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA), US Department of Commerce, shows that total apparel imports from India dropped 4.8% in value terms for the year ending August 2008.
"$10 billion in U.S. government aid to support the deal."
WTF! No no no. This is a huge huge waste of taxpayer money.
Who are we really bailing out with this deal? Certainly not GM or Chrysler. When this merger goes through they are both toast.
And what kind of security against the $$$ is the taxpayer getting? Crappy cars that run on petroleum? This is just preposterous!
So all part of the rush to the exits and lining the pockets of a few friends on the way.
Uber Crony Capitalism is going to bankrupt this nation. Exploding Unregulated Complex Leveraged Debt Instruments will make us a 3rd world country.
JFD
FRB: Press Release--FOMC statement--October 29, 2008
EvilHenryPaulson writes:
On the edge,
Simple thought exercise for you.
OK. I see your point but, that's my story and I'm sticking to it.
Two thoughts.
First, this deal is all about Rick Wagoner's ego and nothing else. There is no logical business case for GM and Chrysler to merge. Chrysler alone is destined to fail. Chrysler combined with GM is destined to fail. GM on its own has a fighting chance. But Wagoner knows he isn't the man to lead GM through this tough time, so he comes up with this merger to buy time, so the eventual failure comes on his successor's watch.
Second, it reminds me of the whole securitization fiasco; the idea that you can combine two pieces of crap and end up with something that isn't so crappy.
The best investment right now would probably be in a technical institute that trains printing press technicians around DC.
EHP,
If GM goes BK, won't we get another Lehman-style CDS mushroom cloud? That is the only even semi-legitimate reason for the Treasury backing this that I can think of.
Two CNBC headlines:
Fed Rate Cut May Not Have A Major Impact on Stocks
Dow Jumps 100 Points Ahead of Fed Decisio
50 it is
half point
50 Basis Point cut
ew thread
hmm. shall I sell my dxd
The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 1 percent.
The pace of economic activity appears to have slowed markedly, owing importantly to a decline in consumer expenditures. Business equipment spending and industrial production have weakened in recent months, and slowing economic activity in many foreign economies is damping the prospects for U.S. exports. Moreover, the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of households and businesses to obtain credit.
In light of the declines in the prices of energy and other commodities and the weaker prospects for economic activity, the Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters to levels consistent with price stability.
Recent policy actions, including todays rate reduction, coordinated interest rate cuts by central banks, extraordinary liquidity measures, and official steps to strengthen financial systems, should help over time to improve credit conditions and promote a return to moderate economic growth. Nevertheless, downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will monitor economic and financial developments carefully and will act as needed to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Sandra Pianalto; Charles I. Plosser; Gary H. Stern; and Kevin M. Warsh.
In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 50-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 1-1/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Cleveland, and San Francisco.
Going up???
Screw Cerberus - and the Board and Snow and everyone with even 10 cents equity at stake. I'm getting REAL tired of sending my taxes to the pockets of Friends of Hanks's. These FoH's had better watch their backs. Bullseyes have a nasty habit of growing on such people.
FYI: If the target rate is enforced this represents a 33bp increase from yesterday, a 8bp increase from 2 days ago, and 5bp increase from 3 days ago
*business days of course
How much would it cost to buy out a GM in a BK auction
How much business would GM lose forever (at least a generation) if it declared BK? That is a very real issue.
Looking back on its short historical evolution, this is not the first time the CDS market has been routed There was already a big meltdown of the CDS market in May 2005. At that time, General Motors (GM) and Ford were downgraded by the rating agencies from investment grade to junk grade, which triggered a violent crisis.
The 2005 crisis was a premonitory event. The GM and Ford downgrades had a large impact on the market due to the huge size of the two leading multinational firms. At that time, the CDS premia of both firms posted a sharp rise and the whole of the CDS market was affected, as well as the bond market. Acharya et al. (2007) have highlighted the liquidity shock that this crisis brought about on the market.
RGE - Stormy Weather in the Credit Default Swap Market
If GM goes BK, won't we get another Lehman-style CDS mushroom cloud? That is the only even semi-legitimate reason for the Treasury backing this that I can think of.
Even that isn't a legitimate reason. The merged entity takes on 10B in debt to add Chrysler, which probably has negative worth. This increases the chance of a GM mushroom cloud.
If they wanted to bailout GM, they should give them a large low-interest loan. Maybe 25 billion. Oh, wait...
Titanic and Brittanic...
Both at the bottom of the ocean.
Ciao
MS
Builder Bob writes:
The best investment right now would probably be in a technical institute that trains printing press technicians around DC.
Builder Bob | 10.29.08 - 2:21 pm | #
We've probably outsourced all our printing presses to China.
Thanks All Fall for putting up Snow's name here as one of the most exemplary of those civil servants...doin us...even more spectacularly than Greenspan.
Re: the ship analogy:
Like the Titanic lashing itself to the Andrea Doria
Just wondering EHP: Are you in Europe and do you have a day job?
yogi,
During the day time I am a student, in Canada.
I keep reading the "too big to fail" rationale (pro and con) being used to explain recent government economic "solutions."
Any possibility that after all of this is done, we are going to start seeing Ma Bell type breakups?
Are you smarter than all your teachers? Be honest.
aclem, elvis, jane......
There is one toyota plant in the US that does have a union. I also know that the Ontario Canada plant is also unionized. The one plant in the US is in California and is a joint venture between GM and Toyota, formed over 20 years ago. They produce the Pontiac Vibe and the Toyota Corrolla on the same line the Vibe is GM in name only, its also the same thing as the Matrix but about 2-3k cheaper....I was at the georgetown plant about 6 months ago, true they are NOT unionized. But thier benefits and pay are very competitive and more often than not the wages exceed the local levels by about 10-20% (higher end if you include bonuses)... Toyota, it appears, prefers the right to work states for obvious reasons. The manufacturing facilities also are established in smaller more rural towns with interstate and rail access, giving them the advantage of monopolizing the labor in an area. But this is not to say that the workers get screwed. Most of them love thier job, work hard and get paid well. Hell the geogetown plant just recently finished an on site medical clinic for employees and thier families.....
I think it is wonderful for these guys that they don't have to evaluate this 'merger' on the basis of sound underlying business principles.
What could go wrong with the concept of having government throw billions at an idea that wouldn't even stand on its own two feet?
Having worked for a startup which was bought and sold by the three headed dog back in the M&A heyday I have to say I have immense satisfaction in watching them spiraling into the deleverage black hole.
Couldn't have happened to a nicer bunch of people.
just smoke and mirrors. p/s and p/e still apply. good chance for you all to short it.
this is all based on the theory that if you tie two stones together they float!
don't know why Palin is worrying about socialism under an Obama administration. As far as the free market in the US is concerned the Republican party certainly has proven to be the "anti-christ"
before we are through with this expect to see a number of state and local governments file for bankruptcy as a way of getting past their civil service union deals with regard to health care and pensions. I think we are on the verge of a taxpayer revolt- no more property taxes to pay off union pensions. Most of their pension plans were underfunded to start with and the big decline is not going to make that any easier. Stay away from GO and stick with good quality Revenue bonds even if they have an AMT bite
Having said that I am not anti union. I think unions play a useful role in countering corporate power if they act responsibly but not if all they are interested in cutting fancy deals for themselves at the expense of the future.
In other news - "In a letter sent today to U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson, United Steelworkers (USW) President Leo W. Gerard raised questions about the prudence of Treasury investments of $125 billion of taxpayers' money into nine financial institutions, including the firm which Paulson recently headed, Goldman Sachs."
MarketWatch.com
(Link to the letter and analysis comparing the Buffet deal is imbedded.)
You all are just whining because you don't have Harvard MBAs and therefore don't understand all the synergies that will emerge.
Either that or you've been networking with all the wrong kinds of people.
You may kiss my sacred Harvard ring.