At wunderground and stormpulse I always look at the screens that show the tracks of all the models. It's a useful reminder of the uncertainty inherent in trying to predict a storm's path and, IMO, more useful than the NHC's single composite path.
Stormpulse's maps are downright beautiful. If you mouseover a city, you get the distance from the storm's current location to that city.
Hurricane and Flood & Wind Damage: The Fed will now pay for losses that insurers suffer as a result of natural weather events. However the payments do not extend to taxpayers because of expected budget constraints. Mr. Greedy, the President of the National Council of Insurers, is delighted that the USG will backstop all it's members policies and went on to explain that these contributions are welcome in a tightening credit market.
No (or very few) sunspots for long enough and you get global cooling. Maunder Minimum II. So maybe our global warming will be cancelled out by global cooling.
Back in the day when insurance costs were low and coastal RE prices went up like crazy, there was nothing better than having property on the coast ie - a "calculated risk" . I have relatives living on the Gulf coast FL ( SW FL, FL Panhandle ,and NOLA ). I wonder who'll will be coming to visit me in Atlanta next .
Hmmm, looks like Ike may have Houston in its cross hairs.
Not good. Houston is the nation's 4th largest city, 2nd largest port, and home to roughly 20% of the oil refining capacity in the US.
A direct hit would be serious blow to the US's weakened economy. The tally for damage would far eclipse that for New Orleans.
Due to the "just in time" nature of gasoline inventories and deliveries. If the refineries are damaged (or even taken off line) for any length of time. It will not be a matter of how much a gallon of gas costs ... it is whether you could locate a gallon of gas to buy.
The failed social experiment of New Orleans gets all the press. But Houston is the nation's achilles heel during hurricane season.
...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS MORE
TOWARD THE REMAINING DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF
THE MODEL CONSENSUS. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHICH
AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM.
Looking more like the Bayou City, Rita redux (appeared to be gunning for Houston for several days before veering off).
The electrical grid in LA is still hammered, with reduced refinery runs and both crude and product pipeline flows. If Ike comes in romping and stomping, localized product shortages would be a given.
"Rob Dawg writes:
I recommend a great blogger on climate change who's realworld job is weather:"
forgive me but why would i read a "former television" weatherboy on climate change and not listen to a real scientist on the matter. this is so damn typical of people putting their hands over their ears it's sad.
Because he links some topical and useful maps. Oh and because his efforts at surfacestations.org has absolutely undermined the concenus on AGW and force retractions, corrections and concealments from the most ardent warmists.
That you denigrate Anthony by calling him a former weatherboy is proof positive that a ground up examination of the scam that is AGW is working. Care to point to your favorite site survey to show how AGW is not being masked by UHI or microclimate? Mayhaps you have a list of stations that were incorrectly classed lower than their official rating.
My lousy unprofessional forecasting ability tells me Ike will get ripped apart over Cuba and have a difficult time getting together over the Gulf very much like Gustav... It will reorg some and still be a storm & a local problem somewhere but I would be real surprised if it makes Gulf landfall >Cat 2.
Plus it isn't that large of a storm... it has been sheered like crazy on its trek across the Atlantic.
But at the 'point of attack' it sure seems to have some punch right now. Looks like its gonna suck to be Cuba.
A new flavor of walk-aways. Hurricane policy deductibles are now in the range of $6000 and 10% of total damage afterwards.
How many folks are gonna say.."Ahh f&*k it!"
Now let that soak in and apply it to places that are seeing serious carnage already like...oh say FLORIDA! who some might say has slight risk of being hit by a nasty CAT 3-4.
Firsterosity?
Ike would have to veer sharply right and take out Saudia Arabia to have an affect on oil prices, seeing what happened with Gustav.
We can also discuss about Hurricane Sarah.
Ike beat Tina senseless. He has a history.
I recommend a great blogger on climate change who's realworld job is weather:
Page not found « Watts Up With That?
"Ike beat Tina senseless. He has a history.
Elvis"
lol
Note to self: Make sure mouth is not full of coffee before reading Elvis posts!
I agree with CR's recommended hurricane tracking sites, and Jeff Masters' blog at wunderground is excellent. I would add one more:
Stormpulse / Hurricanes, severe weather, tracking, mapping
At wunderground and stormpulse I always look at the screens that show the tracks of all the models. It's a useful reminder of the uncertainty inherent in trying to predict a storm's path and, IMO, more useful than the NHC's single composite path.
Stormpulse's maps are downright beautiful. If you mouseover a city, you get the distance from the storm's current location to that city.
NEWS!!
Hurricane and Flood & Wind Damage: The Fed will now pay for losses that insurers suffer as a result of natural weather events. However the payments do not extend to taxpayers because of expected budget constraints. Mr. Greedy, the President of the National Council of Insurers, is delighted that the USG will backstop all it's members policies and went on to explain that these contributions are welcome in a tightening credit market.
As to no sunspot comment from previous thread--
No (or very few) sunspots for long enough and you get global cooling. Maunder Minimum II. So maybe our global warming will be cancelled out by global cooling.
Generally there are updates every 3 hours.
Back in the day when insurance costs were low and coastal RE prices went up like crazy, there was nothing better than having property on the coast ie - a "calculated risk" . I have relatives living on the Gulf coast FL ( SW FL, FL Panhandle ,and NOLA ). I wonder who'll will be coming to visit me in Atlanta next .
Hmmm, looks like Ike may have Houston in its cross hairs.
Not good. Houston is the nation's 4th largest city, 2nd largest port, and home to roughly 20% of the oil refining capacity in the US.
A direct hit would be serious blow to the US's weakened economy. The tally for damage would far eclipse that for New Orleans.
Due to the "just in time" nature of gasoline inventories and deliveries. If the refineries are damaged (or even taken off line) for any length of time. It will not be a matter of how much a gallon of gas costs ... it is whether you could locate a gallon of gas to buy.
The failed social experiment of New Orleans gets all the press. But Houston is the nation's achilles heel during hurricane season.
From the 11:00 am EST forecast discussion:
...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS MORE
TOWARD THE REMAINING DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF
THE MODEL CONSENSUS. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHICH
AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM.
Looking more like the Bayou City, Rita redux (appeared to be gunning for Houston for several days before veering off).
Pedro,
The electrical grid in LA is still hammered, with reduced refinery runs and both crude and product pipeline flows. If Ike comes in romping and stomping, localized product shortages would be a given.
"Rob Dawg writes:
I recommend a great blogger on climate change who's realworld job is weather:"
forgive me but why would i read a "former television" weatherboy on climate change and not listen to a real scientist on the matter. this is so damn typical of people putting their hands over their ears it's sad.
Hank on CSPAN now
Because he links some topical and useful maps. Oh and because his efforts at surfacestations.org has absolutely undermined the concenus on AGW and force retractions, corrections and concealments from the most ardent warmists.
That you denigrate Anthony by calling him a former weatherboy is proof positive that a ground up examination of the scam that is AGW is working. Care to point to your favorite site survey to show how AGW is not being masked by UHI or microclimate? Mayhaps you have a list of stations that were incorrectly classed lower than their official rating.
Sorry, I'll listen to Dr. James Hansen instead. He's got a good track record, unlike a certain former weatherboy.
My lousy unprofessional forecasting ability tells me Ike will get ripped apart over Cuba and have a difficult time getting together over the Gulf very much like Gustav... It will reorg some and still be a storm & a local problem somewhere but I would be real surprised if it makes Gulf landfall >Cat 2.
Plus it isn't that large of a storm... it has been sheered like crazy on its trek across the Atlantic.
But at the 'point of attack' it sure seems to have some punch right now. Looks like its gonna suck to be Cuba.
The best site:
Central Florida Hurricane Center 2009
...
that I'm aware of.
We have been helping the Gulf Coast for 3 years. Thanks for sharing your insight.
Katrina's Angels - An agency coordinating jobs, homes, and resources for the survivors of Hurricane Katrina
A new flavor of walk-aways. Hurricane policy deductibles are now in the range of $6000 and 10% of total damage afterwards.
How many folks are gonna say.."Ahh f&*k it!"
Now let that soak in and apply it to places that are seeing serious carnage already like...oh say FLORIDA! who some might say has slight risk of being hit by a nasty CAT 3-4.