No problem.

Just bail them out.

Just add them to the list. Take a number.

CNBC is asking people to come up with an acronym for the new debt recepticle. Wonder where they got that idea?

Downgrades, shmowngrades!!! We can print up an endless supply of money, right?

Free ponies for everyone!

Ugh....

Step one: government buys everything.
Step two: ban all shorts
Step three: Profit!

I don't see why we would need them to take numbers for individual bailouts. We'll just create a new fund for a few hundreds of billions of dollars that will underwrite ALL insurance companies.

Thouht: How much of this is being driven by China and Japan? Aren't they the defacto owners of all our (worthless) paper?

S - Super
H - Hot
I - Investment
T - Tank
T - To
E - End
R - Risk

This is a big nothingburger. Just write them a check. Who gives a f***?

The Asians are paying.

lol@Ministry of Truth

priceless

[Moody's waving hands franticly]... "What about me, don't forget about me!!! We're not irrelevant - please look at me!!!"

Moody's, come on, stop being a spoiler. It's all Milk and Honey now on Wall St

"Step one: government buys everything.
Step two: ban all shorts
Step three: Profit!"

We are all dot.commies now.

It's a damn good thing that taxpayers are a bottomless source of money, what with all the job growth and wage growth, and their skyrocketing home equity.

Oh, wait...

CNBC is asking people to come up with an acronym for the new debt recepticle. Wonder where they got that idea?

Commercial
Equity
Structured
Solution
Providing
Obscene
Outrageous
Liquidity

we're all comrades now

Next Move : SEC BANS Rating Agencies.

This site is full of irrelevant posts.

Don't you realize that all you have to do is just put them in this here new taxpayer fund.

Problem solved.

The amazing thing is this: the US government, with probably the scariest balance sheet in the world gets to borrow USD at the cheapest rates in the world. Does this bubble pop as a result of this crisis?

B end
O ver
H ere
I t
C omes
A gai

w we
a are
f fucked
b beyond
r recognitio

heres my proposal and if you agreee please call your representatives in DC too.

i got on the phone to the staff of my congressional representative and 2 senators.

i said that if this rescue package has the taxpayer just taking the toxic waste securities, and leaving the cream for the pigmen, then i would be voting 3rd party in the coming election.

when one staffer asked me what to do, i said take it all...

if an IB or any other institution is insolvent or so illiquid that it can not function then nationalize the entire institutio

Comrade Beach,

The U.S. has pulled off the biggest heist in world history. And we have the Wiis and TVs to prove it!

I'm wondering why a foreign exchange couldn't offer shorts against a US stock. They aren't regulated by the SEC.

Ministry of Truth LOL

F inancial
E xchange
L iquidity
C ushion
H elper

This is bad. The rating agencies usually drive by looking in their rear-view telescopes. Unless they've suddenly reformed, this indicates they've found Lehman et al. exposures will sink MBIA and AMBAC next week at the latest. The only reason they're ahead of the market is that they get to look at the books first.

Oh Anonymouse, please no.

rich
have you noticed that srs and sjh are at one-year lows?
Much rather be lucky than smart... on wed a blogger reminded me that cox was thinking about reinstating the short controls... worrying about a possible short squeeze I got out of skf/srs/scc mid day. This is no time to place your bets and then forget about it...
Just got back into srs/sjh
Interesting times... wonder if the latest plans will hold things steady until after the election... probably not.

The first rule of this has to be: for the owners, nothing. Except in many cases time in prison. If any of the pigmen escape penalty, you'll see mass turnover in the House in November.

Almost time for a nice sip of Victory Gi

John Bogle, who created the $106 billion Vanguard 500 Index Fund in 1976, said the U.S. government is ``punch drunk'' with proposals to rescue the financial system.

We're playing a game of casino capitalism, interfering with the way the market is working,'' Bogle, 79, said in a telephone interview today from Valley Forge, Pennsylvania.The government seems punch drunk. It doesn't seem systematic.''

John Bogle Says U.S. Government Seems `Punch Drunk' (Update3) - Bloomberg.com

Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the Capitalist System was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, Governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security, but at confidence in the equity (or fairness) of the existing distribution of wealth.

As the inflation proceeds and the real value of the currency fluctuates wildly from month to month, all permanent relations between debtors and creditors, which form the ultimate foundation of capitalism, become so utterly disordered as to be almost meaningless; and the process of wealth-getting degenerates into a gamble and a lottery.

Uh-Huh

P People's
O Oversight
O Obligation
R Recovery

Everyone participates.

time for rating agencies to downgrade everyone. clean the system, put it on the feds.

Time for their stocks to rally! Stocks only go up now. If they are downgraded, then it just doesn't go up as much. Double Plus Good!

A nother
N ew
A amount of
L iquidity

J ammed
O ntop of
B illions

mock turtle writes: i got on the phone to the staff of my congressional representative and 2 senators.

I got on the phone to my congressional reps, too.

First thing I heard was: Press 1 for Chinese, press 2 for Russian, If you require English will that be American Express or Visa?

Sorry Ben, we couldn't keep it.

What does all of this mean for Alex Rodriguez's 10-year contract with the Yankees?

Good deal: Average Goldman Sachs employee makes $622,000 - The Boston Globe 
Hill Staffers, average compensation at GoldmanSachs of 6ook all you have to know in crafting your bailout this weekend. Pizza anyone?

BB,

That's funny about banning the rating agencies, because one of the talking heads on television actually suggested that earlier.
Except they were being serious.

Fair Economist writes:
This is bad. ... Unless they've suddenly reformed, this indicates they've found Lehman et al. exposures will sink MBIA and AMBAC next week at the latest.

Fair Economist | 09.19.08 - 3:06 pm

By next week failure will not be an option - the Gang of Four will see to that over the weekend.

Pizza's too expensive. Try a half-serving of Ramen noodles.

So what if they blowup.

I can imagine investment banks starting a line of business to buy crap assets from the books of pension funds/hedge funds/etc. and reselling them for a profit to the fked-in-the-a US taxpayer via the TARP.

In fact, I should go pitch this very idea to Wall St. and collect a big fat bonus for doing it all year.

I'm a genius.

Way to go Moody's - you're really on top of things. I guess Ambac and MBIA only recently went bad - right?

Why are Moody's (and S&P's) ratings even published?

L ost
E quity
N ihilistically
I mbibed
N ationally

Did you see the shit-eating grin on Bill Gross's face when he said that PIMCO wanted to manage the government assets?

I'm wondering why a foreign exchange couldn't offer shorts against a US financial stock on the list of 799. Exchanges outside the US aren't regulated by the SEC.

I'm a genius.
Comrade Beach (aka Mr.) | 09.19.08 - 3:11 pm | #

Write your congressman - demand a commission on all transactions. Tell 'em it's right there in the constitution - they'd never check it.

Universal Program to Underwrite Revenue Streams

UPURS

If it smells like a fish is probably is a fish..

F failed
I institutions
S sold
H hurriedly

phew!

F Feds
U United

K.I.S.S.

Komrade Clyde writes:
Did you see the shit-eating grin on Bill Gross's face when he said that PIMCO wanted to manage the government assets?

Komrade Clyde | 09.19.08 - 3:13 pm | #

I wanted to totally sock him in the nose.

This just in.

Moody's & S&P thinking about downgrading Enron.

Whatever it's called, the solution will probably look something like this:

Redeem
Assets at
Public
Expense

Operate
Unaccountably
Regardless

Adopt
Stupid
Solutions
Enriching
Supporters

girlbear writes:
If it smells like a fish it probably is a fish...

Or one of Clinton's cigars?

Sorry Ben, we couldn't keep it.

They are now thinking of downgrading?

There is a kick ass cartoon just dying to be created here by somebody with talent.

I really, really want to see the terms of this piece of shit. Who gets their garbage paper bought, and at what price?

Comrade Bond Girl writes:
CNBC is asking people to come up with an acronym for the new debt recepticle. Wonder where they got that idea?

SHITCAN

Super Hedged Investments, Treasury Center Agency Notes

Bank Assets Recovery Fund.

SKF creeping up - is there going to be a rush to the exits in the markets in general to clear weekend positions?

To the person that asked earlier if they will extend the ban.

"Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Banning short sales will fail to halt the plunge in stocks or the ``exploitation of investors'' by hedge funds using borrowed money, said Tony Cilluffo, the head trader for Michael Steinhardt in the 1970s.

Leverage has brought instability to America,'' said Cilluffo, 65, who helped run Steinhardt Management Co. when it returned more than 30 percent a year, in a telephone interview.If they didn't have such huge leverage, the hedge funds could short all they want to, they couldn't succeed.''

Oh how I laughed when I read this:

"Democrats will not hold the Wall Street bailout hostage to the economic stimulus bill, which President George W. Bush so far has opposed, said a senior House Democratic aide. Lawmakers have pledged to work together to swiftly pass the bailout package."

Paulson sells nation's children into slavery.

SKF back to $100 - woops! Better instate death penalty to SKF holders

Who cares? We'll just bail them out.

Nothing matters at this point: the FED will just keep spending, borrowing, and printing until they quasi-own everything. A trillion here, a trillion there, and before you know, you're talking about hyperinflation.

Bailouts of
All
Sick
Tarnished
Assets
Resulting in
Damaged
Sanity

Insane
National
Spending
Allowed
No
Exceptions

The DOW might well end the day down. You've removed the floor on trades, so the weak will get taken out back and shot.

I thought Paulson, Bernanke, Cox, Bush, Schumer, and Cox outlawed downgrades of financials?

Jail the bums at Moody's and S&P for being late initially and out-of-line, now!

MS bleeding off hard.......LMAO

It's time to rename this blog. There is NO need for calculated risk. Cause there is No risk. Everytime you run into problems,tax payers bailout. problems solved.

C consolidated

H holding

ConHold

$1 trillion = $3500 for every US man, woman and child. Got debt?

You don't just give money to people who will waste it (like poor people), you give it to the people who need it (like Insurance companies and foreign governments). It's called dribble down economics.

I obviously can't leave the country to you people. My patriotism demands I stay and continue serving.

I called congress this morning as soon as the lines opened.

(202) 224-3121

We aren't going to jail them, we are going to persecute them. Does that mean burn them at the stake?

commisar giacutter:

Wrong!

Step 1 - Cut a whole in the box

Step 2 - Put your debt in the box

Step 3 - Make them open the box

Debt in a box!

Dow's stumbling. An hour to get out before The Big Weekend (tm)

F free
A and
S self-Regulating
C cancelled --
I interventionists
S supporting
M markets

And the market comes in...

All the fundies and long only's just dumped to the 'had to cover, margin call short crowd'.

Ah to be at Nobu tonight...

couple a fist fights for sure.

Rally fizzling.

Every time the Fed or Treasury tries to fix things, they screw something else up with UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES.

Look at what has happened in the last 28 hours.

Dollar has dropped against Euro.
Oil has gone up $7-8.
T bills have plummeted.

What is all these trends continue next week?

But the biggest unintended consequence may be in pissing off and screwing up the hedge funds. Remember, until recently the PPT and hedge funds have all been on the same side. They stabbed their buddies in the fricking back.

Financial
Underwriters
Liquidity
Drop
Birthing
All
Republicans

Smart people know to take their money and run today. Who knows what Sunday holds?

B: bailing
L: Large
I: investment banks
T: taxpayers
Z: zapped

seriously, maybe Bill Gross needs to be harmed physically... that'll take the grin of his face.

Note to mainstream media: remove SOAR from your headlines.

(Replace with SORE, as in nation)

The boner in the market is getting a little softer...

Bob Pisani is shiiling for an indefinite extension to the NO-SHORTING rules to further distort the banana republic market since this is an election year LOL!!!

So what? Just nationalize the suckers. Next....

Risk
Adjusted
Protected
Equity

Jeez! I really thought S.H.I.T.C.A.N. was far superior to all those others.

jkiss
on wed a blogger reminded me that cox was thinking about reinstating the short controls
same here. I got out midday yesterday after reading that post.

Hedge funds unite, throw off your chains

All the while the bubbleheads have been blabbering on TV, the silence from Congress seems to be deafening. Oh, Pelosi really loved this plan so much?

I don't see her, Obama, Hillary, Biden, Rangel or any other Dem of high influence on TV championing it. Hell, I don't even see John Edwards.

The calls and e-mails are pouring into Congress. These bubbleheads are just pissing a lot of people off.

You know why Conseco and Genworth got slammed before today?

It wasn't just short sellers. They're rotten at the core insurance companies.

They'll fail. Pretty soon and without short-sellers. Are they gonna bail out insurance companies, too?

US federal funds trade down under 1 pct, below 2 pct target rate

Comrade Beach (aka Mr.) writes:
The amazing thing is this: the US government, with probably the scariest balance sheet in the world gets to borrow USD at the cheapest rates in the world. Does this bubble pop as a result of this crisis?

the US govenment does not borrow us dollars - thats like saying the ny subway system borrows subway tokens.

Thouht: How much of this is being driven by China and Japan? Aren't they the defacto owners of all our (worthless) paper?

our worthless paper was bought with their worthless paper so it's a wash.

How about MLEC? I liked that one.

Someone needs to remake "My Debt."

My debt bigger than a bridge
Your debt look like a little kids
My debt rush like the chargers (the whole team)
Your debt look like you fourteen
YouTube - Dj Kris P. - My Dick - Mickey Avalon

Ministry of Truth writes:
US federal funds trade down under 1 pct, below 2 pct target rate

will we get breathless headlines about the fed draining 100bb like we did when they added. no because the pres doesnt understand fed operations. the fed can set the price of reserves or the quantity, not both.

Man, this is NOT good.
Look at the daily motion of just about any financial stock (I'm looking at WB) on a fine scale.
You see that it's very flat, followed by sharp moves up or down. Essentially, we are seeing individual sellers and buyers arrive in the marketplace.

In electronics, this behavior is noise from a poisson process. (An analogy is waiting for a bus.) Verrrrry interesting.


They'll fail. Pretty soon and without short-sellers. Are they gonna bail out insurance companies, too?

What's AIG, Alex?

TED spread update:

2.25

Still not below 2

Omnibus
Bailout of
All
Markets and
Assets

Uncle Billy -

Naomi Klein was just on KCRW "to the Point"

http://www.kcrw.com/news/programs/tp#today

Podcast available later. She just skewered wall street. Formerly editor of Economist on with host. Short, but interesting.

Cannabis 3:16 wins the contest.... Laughed so hard I started to choke.

Now if I can only unload my SRS...

tepid rally at best. lets see what they concoct over the weekend.

and TEDs are narrowing as tresuries sell off more than LIBOR going up so its not a constructive narrowing as money moves into risk - its just an unwinding of fed cut expectations.

C'mon Cliffo--this one belongs to Bush.

I just turned of CNBC and switched to the Ryder Cup.

Signing off.

so bloomberg reports they will revise options shorting to help out hedge funds

Ratings agencies stopped rating products when the downgrades were being made based solely on the company's share price and not the actual products.

Downgrades should have come year's ago.

This is too little too late.

Ciao
MS

CR:
In an earlier post on TARP, you say that "it appears the current shareholders face massive dilution". If so shouldn't the stock price of banks go down? Why is it going up?

godhatesfangs ,
What does that mean?

There aren't enough savings in the world for us to borrow. TARP will have to absorb trillions, not a mere "hundreds of billions."

Wall Street funded ten to twenty trillion in mortgages in the past eight years, did they not? And that's disregarding all the other shakey loans.

But the US is already borrowing close to 2/3 of global savings, when it is borrowing two billion a day.

It's mathematically impossible to borrow more than 100% of what other countries have to loan.

So, either other countries lower their standard of living so as to loan us what we need, or the US must monetize its new debt.

Which do you think will occur?

Just a reminder that this is a great time to buy or sell a home.

M assive
I njection of
L iquid
F unds

he he

xlf +8.9%
xkf -12% should be -18%

People are going to write pricing theory books about this. I am completely fascinated.

commisar giacutter writes:
Just a reminder that this is a great time to buy or sell a home.


Shaddup Freddie.

commisar giacutter writes:
Just a reminder that this is a great time to buy or sell a home.
commisar giacutter | 09.19.08 - 3:41 pm | #

Good. Please visit http://www.3902meredith.com and purchase this fine home. Thank you.

They'll fail. Pretty soon and without short-sellers. Are they gonna bail out insurance companies, too?

Yes. Yes they, and by they I mean we, are.

unirealist writes:
There aren't enough savings in the world for us to borrow. TARP will have to absorb trillions, not a mere "hundreds of billions."

the federal govenment DOES NOT BORROW usd. they issue dollars and sell treasuries to drain the reserves added by theior spending. we are not on the gold stanadard. we have a fiat currency!!

From the "Dear Christ, What Took So Long???" Department:


Colleges Teaching Students About Dangers of Credit Card Debt 
By MEGAN A. CONLAN Ž
Capital News Service Ž

\tANNAPOLIS - Much of what University of Maryland sophomore Samantha Link, 19, knows about the risks of getting into credit card debt she learned by watching “The Oprah Winfrey Show.”
\t“I wish I could be more knowledgeable about it,” said Link, who has a debit card and two credit cards, one of which she shares with her father, who manages their accounts.
\tAs the level of debt among college students rises, even Congress is paying more attention to the credit card companies that market to this demographic, introducing legislation that would both make it harder for the companies to access students and for the students to qualify for credit.
\tIn an attempt to reduce the financial dangers of acquiring too much plastic, some Maryland universities are taking a more active role in teaching students how to manage their credit before it becomes an issue. Optional or mandatory classes on financial literacy are being incorporated into their curricula and orientations.
\tThe University of Maryland, College Park has recently added an instructional session on finances to its introductory college course for freshmen and transfer students.
\t“We are embarking this semester on a plan to begin talking to students about that whole financial responsibility,” said Dr. Gerry Strumpf, the director of orientation at Maryland. “They need to think about saving - even if they don’t make a lot of money.”
\tAlthough most colleges at the university do not require their students to take the course, many freshmen opt to enroll in the class anyway.
\t“It’s a very well-utilized course at the university,” said Strumpf. “We’ve geared it to where students are developmentally right now.”
\tThe financial literacy portions of the class discuss credit scores and student budgets.
\t“The purpose is for them to know where to go should they get into financial trouble, or just to plan ahead,” said Sarah Bauder, the university’s director of financial aid. Bauder is one of the speakers leading the discussions on finances in the course.
\tSome students from past semesters experienced a taste of the financial literacy portion of the class during its development.
\t“We talked about how you can look up your name and see what your credit looks like,” said Maryland sophomore Jessica Seaman, 18, who does not have a credit card yet but plans on acquiring one to pay for gas. “Then we just talked about the consequences of being in debt and the positives of staying out of debt.”
\tCredit card companies find creative tactics to lure students into signing up for cards, such as contests and free T-shirt giveaways.
\tThe University of Maryland restricts companies from soliciting students on its campus, except at sporting events. Frostburg State University and Towson University have banned companies from marketing on campus entirely.
\tAt least one large credit card company said marketing on campus is not an issue.
\t“We restrict our marketing activity to students off campus and online,” said Samuel Wang, a Citi spokesman. “We maintain no direct affinity relationships with the universities, either.”
\tIn 2004, more than 70 percent of students used a credit card to pay for textbooks, general school supplies, and food, said a 2005 study published by Nellie Mae, a student loan company. Clothing was another frequently charged expense.
\t“You know, it’s just easier than carrying cash around,” said Maryland junior Jeremy Messersmith, 19, who has two credit cards to pay for school supplies and other necessities.
\tNellie Mae reported that in 2004, the average number of credit cards held by students was 4.09, with 43 percent of students having four or more cards to their name. That same year, the average student credit card debt was $2,169, up from $1,879 in 1998, said Nellie Mae.
\t“They leave with this incredible debt that they don’t think about,” said Strumpf, who believes that more education can help reduce these figures.
\tOther area schools offer programs similar to the one at Maryland.
\tSalisbury University requires freshmen to take a six-week course that discusses financial responsibility with regard to credit cards and student loans. Loyola College of Maryland also includes some financial education sessions in its orientation.
\tTowson University does not include any instructional sessions on managing credit during its orientation classes, but does host a fall program series which includes an educational event on building and managing student wealth and working on a budget.
\t“There’s so much that students need to know,” said Strumpf. “We have begun that process and it’s very important.”

Ok, I'll play:

Systemic
Comprehensive
Adjustment
Mechanism

Beginning Monday there will be a $2.00 surcharge on all blog comments.

Who's gonna stop me?

rebear -- not sure

unirealist writes:
There aren't enough savings in the world for us to borrow. TARP will have to absorb trillions, not a mere "hundreds of billions."

I wonder if they played with the idea of naming it TRAP?

Systemic Corporate Anemia Management

Beginning Monday there will be a $2.00 surcharge on all blog comments.

Who's gonna stop me?
Comrade Paulson | 09.19.08 - 3:47 pm

Just deduct it from my next stimulus check there, Herr Caesar.

It's mathematically impossible to borrow more than 100% of what other countries have to loan.

No it's not. Just call your friendly investment bank and LEVER UP BABY!!

here in Washington DC, something big must be going down. I have never seen so many helicopters in my life.

They appear to be taking off from the US Treasury, and carrying bails of green paper.

Can I pay in advance and get a discount? Six blog entries for $10?

I always suspected that Moody's was a part of the terrorist plot to undermine America's financial well being.

maria bubblehead - "UST buying the illiquid paper" Well, maybe, but my sense is there's not a liquidity issue, but a pricing issue.

I want to sell my car for $1,000,000.00 USD, but no one is stepping up to buy it so it's a liquidity issue. Morons.

Loaded up on $20k of SKF for over the weekend.

They are done.

There in nothing else Hank and Ben can do.

I always suspected that Moody's was a part of the terrorist plot to undermine America's financial well being.

Venezuela's Debt Rating May Be Increased by Moody's

Hank,
You can't do that. I've already set the price at $3.00 per comment. The IRS is on board.

Seize it or Freeze it.

Leveraged Equity Exit Capital Hedgefund

Anyone short ETF favorites around here besides SKF and SRS?

There's no volume to this ending Dow rally is there?

I wonder what Moody's grade would be for itself?

@Ah to be at Nobu tonight...

couple a fist fights for sure.

LAMO.

Interesting Times writes:
Loaded up on $20k of SKF for over the weekend.

They are done.

There in nothing else Hank and Ben can do.

I bought $16k of SKF at market open for $89 Smile Now sitting pretty on my $2k gain and also holding over the weekend, risky, but worth it...

Sparhawk - lucky bastard.

I waited until it did a reversal. $95

I bought $16k of SKF at market open for $89 Smile Now sitting pretty on my $2k gain and also holding over the weekend, risky, but worth it...
Sparhawk | 09.19.08 - 3:55 pm | #

Don't wait too long. Reality will strike the market soon, and it can be a bitch.

Comrade Canadaman writes:
MS bleeding off hard.......LMAO

09/17/2008 15:01:02 Bought 3300 MS @ 20.14 -66,471.99 ---
09/18/2008 10:44:24 Sold 200 MS @ 20.28 4,045.98 ---
09/18/2008 10:44:24 Sold 2100 MS @ 20.2701 42,566.97 ---
09/18/2008 11:21:43 Bought 300 MS @ 17.1199 -5,145.96 ---
09/18/2008 13:09:38 Bought 3000 MS @ 14.98 -44,949.99 ---
09/18/2008 13:11:58 Sold 50 MS @ 15.8 780.00 ---
09/19/2008 10:55:55 Sold 4250 MS @ 28.39 120,646.83 ---

Current holdings on MS: 0
Profit on MS: $51,471.84

The casino is open! We have the loosest slots in town!

Oh, for crying out loud, Sean. Read and consider my point.

We borrow the the rest of the world's savings. We can't borrow more than they have to lend. Period.

I am seething over this mess and bailout. No help until all assets of those responsible are confisicated and the parasites prosecuted. If any of the commentors on this site know of any organized protest march or organization that is planning protest, please share the information. ( From a previous comment:We have sold our children into slavery.) Amen brother.

CNN, 8 days ago: The Treasury Department reported Thursday that the deficit through the first 11 months of this budget year totaled $483.4 billion, up 76.2% from the same period a year ago. While that set an all-time high for a budget deficit through the first 11 months of a budget year, analysts say a surplus in September will push the deficit slightly below the current record-holder for an entire year, a $413 billion deficit set in 2004.

Business, financial, personal finance news - CNNMoney.com

Good thing the government won't be spending any money in September, eh?

jd writes:
tepid rally at best. lets see what they concoct over the weekend."

very low volumes across the board (XLF-UYG, SPY)
however money flow OUT of financial highest in days-weeks (yes I take notes)
Money Flows: Selling on Strength - Markets Data Center - WSJ.com 

Interesting Times writes:
Sparhawk - lucky bastard.

I waited until it did a reversal. $95

I can't say I wasn't freaked when two minutes after I bought, it stopped trading. I was worried it had blown up due to short prohibition / counterparty risk. Did I just lose $16k, $4k of which on margin? Sad

But it's ok now Smile

TBG...at the same time colleges keep raising prices and tell kids they'll be failures in life if they don't get that sheepskin. The educational cartel is one that needs a beat-down.

I earned a BA and MBA from selective nationally known universities; and I'm thinking about taking a welding class at my local community college. I have a good job at the moment, but having a diverse range of skills is a good buffer against job market shifts.

Anyone get a response from a Senate Aide as to whether they are going to support a bailout?

PapaSloth - wow.

I knew there would there would be quick cash to make !

Congrats !

Enema, is used to release/get-ride of shit.

That is what gov. is trying to do.

So our one trillion has bought us a lousy 350 pt rally?

Comrade Interesting Times, how can you be so sure they are done and have nothing left? I imagine they have a huuuge list of ideas, and they're starting with some of the less stupid ones first. As it drags on, they'll have to employ the stupider ones.

There aren't enough savings in the world for us to borrow. TARP will have to absorb trillions, not a mere "hundreds of billions."
...
It's mathematically impossible to borrow more than 100% of what other countries have to loan.

It's worse than that. Foreigners must first have dollars; China/Jap/P. Gulf have no dollars at all... they have treasuries they bought with dollars earned in the past. To buy more treasuries they must first earn more dollars, and the trade deficit is falling just as our fiscal deficit is exploding. We will have to buy some of these treasuries ourselves... for the first time in decades this means interest rates must rise sufficient to attract all US savings (small, but growing) in addition to foreign savings. Of course, gov can cut other spending, or (fate worse than death) raise taxes.

There is no danger foreigners will lose patience and stop funding our deficit with every dollar earned - there is nothing else they can do with them - the problem is that they aren't earning enough to fund our growing gov.

last one:

B bonuses
O ostentatiously
N netted
E embarrassingly
D duplicitlously

Comrade Food

Secondary and Tertiary effects will kick in the weekend.

These guys are VERY short sighted.

That's how I know.

Breaking on cnbc:

SEC Staff Wants to Alter Short-Sale Curbs to Allow Hedging by Market Makers (Story Developing)

dk writes:

Step 1 - Cut a whole in the box

Step 2 - Put your debt in the box

Step 3 - Make them open the box

Debt in a box!

GENIUS!!!!

This is a lame-ass rally.

I'll play.

Financial
Assessment and
Reallocation
Team

Hank: "F.A.R.T must be big enough and effective enough to clear the waste out of the financial system and get things moving again."

Pimco's Pigman wants in on financial rescue package:

"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Bill Gross, chief investment officer of Pimco, said he is interested in managing a pool of assets acquired by the government through recent financial rescue plans.

"We have interest in managing this giant pool of assets, and we expect to be called," Gross said on CNBC television in response to a question on whether Pimco had been consulted by the government about doing so."

Expired

"TBG...at the same time colleges keep raising prices .."

Just as easy loans and easy monetary policy led to housing bubble , easy student loan from sallie etc led to tuition bubble. College found it easy to raise tuition as students could get large chunk of loans.

Moody's isn't downgrading everyone:
Venezuela
Are you guys joking with that "Comrade" thing?

SEC Staff Wants to Alter Short-Sale Curbs to Allow Hedging by Market Makers (Story Developing)

When shorting is outlawed, only outlaws should be able to short.

Interesting Times writes:
Congrats !

TYVM. Some days you're the bug, some days you're the windshield.

@SEC Staff Wants to Alter Short-Sale Curbs to Allow Hedging by Market Makers (Story Developing)

link?

Capitalisms
Ugly
New
Turds
Socialised

For a laugh, check out the misguided home page of DRUDGE REPORT 2010®

DOW ENDS WEEK DOWN 50 POINTS!

DOW UP 35 POINTS IN PAST MONTH... UP 17% PAST 5 YEARS... UP 43% PAST 10 YEARS...

" I imagine they have a huuuge list of ideas, "

Let's see, why not freeze redemptions on all 40k plans until January? That will protect workers from any turbulence in the market, and provide stability while the bankers loot what's left of their accounts.

Comrade Interesting Times, how can you be so sure they are done and have nothing left?

Here a stupid idea as a for-instance: Gov't buys financial equities on the open market to support prices.

Now, I personally think that my suggestion is too stupid to consider. But I also would have considered no-shorting as an idea too stupid to consider. So I need to lower my stupidity bar. Again.

Food for thought: we have just had the biggest two day rally since 1929.

The Big Picture

Foreigners have plenty of dollars. While our trade deficit is down (a bit), it is still huge.

Furthermore, foreigners will get even more dollars in the future because the Fed balance sheet will expand and more dollars will be printed.

They will give us their stuff, and we will give them a terrible real return.

LEHMQ.PK +342%.

Who knew that a bazooka could become a financial weapon of mass destruction?

Why@ ZIRP asked: "Are you guys joking with that "Comrade" thing?"

No.

What made you think we might be, comrade?

Sarah Palin will fix everything.

jkiss writes

It's worse than that. Foreigners must first have dollars; China/Jap/P. Gulf have no dollars at all... they have treasuries they bought with dollars earned in the past. To buy more treasuries they must first earn more dollars, and the trade deficit is falling just as our fiscal deficit is exploding. We will have to buy some of these treasuries ourselves... for the first time in decades this means interest rates must rise sufficient to attract all US savings (small, but growing) in addition to foreign savings. Of course, gov can cut other spending, or (fate worse than death) raise taxes.

youre missing the point as well. the treasury spends by debiting its account at the fed abd crediting a members account. they do not spend by issuing bonds and collecting the money from bond issuance, nor do they need taxes to spend. all savings comes from govenment spending - not the other way around. in order to hvae private sector savings you have to have a public sector deficit. think of the deficit as an increase in private sector savings. there is never a funding problem for the federal government.

Comrade JPsan

Yes. A Risk I am Willing To Take.

"TYVM. Some days you're the bug, some days you're the windshield."
But when posting (after the fact) the results of your brilliantly timed trades, you can always be the windshield.

Gareth G writes:
Food for thought: we have just had the biggest two day rally since 1929.

http://bigpicture.typepad.com/co...trials- big.html
Gareth G | 09.19.08 - 4:07 pm | #

Woooo Hoooo Time to get out the top hat & tails and head out for the speakeasy...

Comrades,

Arrrrr!

S omeone
H opes
I t
T osses
B ilge
U nto
R otten
G overnment
E nding
R epublic

Arrrr!

Nostrovia,

After a week like this, I'm going to sleep hard. I think I got about 5 hours a sleep per night.

Appears CR and the regulars here probably got less.

Poor, poor Ambac didn't have any shorts to catch it as it fell today.

Pity. It would kind of make you think, unless you worked for CNBC.

Gareth G writes:
Food for thought: we have just had the biggest two day rally since 1929.


And what, precisely, did it come on the heels of in the previous month?

To buy more treasuries they must first earn more dollars,

This is not true. They can print their currency and exchange THAT for dollars. This will of course drive their currency down, which is what they want anyway.

Japan Inc is much happier at Y150 than Y105, or at least it was in the 90s, dunno about now, what with the higher price of oil and their expanding trade with China.

And what, precisely, did it come on the heels of in the previous month?

Thats Ballgame Comrades | 09.19.08 - 4:11 pm

The World Series?

Food for thought: we have just had the biggest two day rally since 1929.

Exactly why SKF is my play for the weekend.

Appears CR and the regulars here probably got less.

I thought I was going to lose $3000 today. Got out with a $300 haircut.

Heliben writes:
"TYVM. Some days you're the bug, some days you're the windshield."
But when posting (after the fact) the results of your brilliantly timed trades, you can always be the windshield.

Too true. Here's a recent trade where I was the bug:

03/14/2008 15:44:14 Bought 40 BSC @ 30.2594 -1,220.37 ---
03/18/2008 15:51:21 Sold 40 BSC @ 6.11 234.40 ---

Current holdings on BSC: 0
Loss on BSC: -985.97

Ouch!

i've done some preliminary calculations, and if some of the larger banks are able to shuffle their obligations to the supa-mlec tarp then

BAC 2009 eps

should be roughly $352,145,791/share

C about 301,623,004/share

so, buy fin's!

Exactly why SKF is my play for the weekend.

Me and my 30 shares will be there!

CNBC chyron "Largest two day gain in YEARS"

I guess they don't won't to tell anyone that it's the best two day rally since 1929.

Link...Market Makers to be exempt from short-selling..proposal.

Still thinking this one through, I guess. Is it because they saw lighter liquidity today or something else?

A writes:
Sarah Palin will fix everything.
A | 09.19.08 - 4:09 pm | #

She will skin and field dress all the MBS! And don't even talk abut the CDS, they've got another thing coming!

I liquidated the last of my long positions today for a small profit. It's all short ETFs and gold from here.

Ban short selling, bail out the nation's idiot financiers and this is all you get.

Man, are we in trouble.

09/18/2008 15:21:29\t\tSold 5 BACAA @ 7
09/18/2008 15:41:08\t\tBought 50 SDS @ 72.055

um yeah, don't do what I do. $1500+ left on the table and a $300 loss.

another breaking squib on cnbc. hahaha:

Greenspan Tells CNBC Ban on Short Sales Is a "Terrible Idea." (Story Developing)

manmoth-no stories on this yet just breaking headlines

Still thinking this one through, I guess. Is it because they saw lighter liquidity today or something else?

It's my understanding that you can't write puts or do swaps without shorting stuff.

Alan Greenspan is speaking against the ban on short selling, calling it a "terrible idea". Who thinks it won't survive the weekend?

KS,

I posted this on an earlier thread but this may be what CR is getting at:

The “bailout” may be less of a bailout than anyone thinks.

Remember the terms of the AIG “bailout”? Here they are:

"The purpose of this liquidity facility is to assist AIG in meeting its obligations as they come due. This loan will facilitate a process under which AIG will sell certain of its businesses in an orderly manner, with the least possible disruption to the overall economy.

The AIG facility has a 24-month term. Interest will accrue on the outstanding balance at a rate of three-month Libor plus 850 basis points. AIG will be permitted to draw up to $85 billion under the facility.

The interests of taxpayers are protected by key terms of the loan. The loan is collateralized by all the assets of AIG, and of its primary non-regulated subsidiaries. These assets include the stock of substantially all of the regulated subsidiaries. The loan is expected to be repaid from the proceeds of the sale of the firm’s assets. The U.S. government will receive a 79.9 percent equity interest in AIG and has the right to veto the payment of dividends to common and preferred shareholders."

Those are the terms of a business wrapping up (ie, bankruptcy without the bankruptcy court), not being bailed out. Remember FNM and FRE? Common and Preferred went to (effectively) zero value. LEH is gone. AIG is effectively gone.

Despite all of our carping here, the shareholders (common and preferred) of every firm that has been “bailed out” has been, for all intents and purposes, wiped out.

What do we know as of today?

No short selling of a huge number of financial companies AND
A new government entity to purchase the distressed assets (mortgage obligations, in all their varieties). The financial companies can’t liquidate these at book/face value and are unwilling to write down to a FMV, whatever that may be.

So maybe, just maybe, Hank and Ben are going to do a forced liquidation of the obligations with a substantial haircut. Maybe 50%. Maybe 70%. And the new government entity is the buyer and holder.

The banks (not I-banks) are instantly recapitalized (albeit as MUCH smaller entities), lending resumes and life goes on. But the value of the firms is substantially reduced (requiring the temporary ban on short sales). IOW, the common and preferred gets creamed. Like a neutron bomb -- companies remain but the owners are wiped out.

And, since most of the management's wealth is in shares/options, they're wiped out too.

If they do this, well, it's F'ing brilliant. Hank and Ben have been playing hardball all along.

Heh...I had a 69 limit on SDS going into today for 120 shares and woke up to find it got filled at $64.01. Crazy.

This is how insane this has gotten:
Chris Cox’s Terrible Idea - CNBC
Even LARRY FREAK'N KUDLOW knows the short-selling ban is awful.

Greenspan is speaking against the ban on short selling, calling it a "terrible idea". Who thinks it won't survive the weekend?

Which one--the ban or Greenspan?

Troy-

I expected far worse too. Paper loss of about 14k.

Took profit all week....it would have been over 50K had I not.

Can't wait to see what 'news' we get on Sunday at about 2pm PST.

Ciao
MS

Treasury expected to send debt rescue plan to Congress within 24 hours

  1. Greenspan Tells CNBC Ban on Short Sales Is a "Terrible Idea." (Story Developing)
  2. Even LARRY FREAK'N KUDLOW knows the short-selling ban is awful.

Oh christ, I agree with greenspan and larry kudlow.
This has been a helluva week.

If they do this, well, it's F'ing brilliant. Hank and Ben have been playing hardball all along.

Yeah? And then they launch something else to bail out all the bad homebuilder and construction loans banks have made?

Comrade Interesting Times, can you please elaborate on what you mean by secondary and tertiary effects?

Btw I'm following this discussion because I did something emotional and bought a few (as in, several) SKF shares solely because I was pissed. If the SEC doesn't want people betting against the financials, I'm sure as hell going to try to find ways to bet against the financials.

I wrote the following email to senators Murray, Cantwell and Congressman Adam Smith, 9th district Washington State

Dear Honorable ______

the financial crisis is not just the result of the failure of subprime loans

excessive leverage, speculation, the marketing of exotic investments, especialy credit default swaps and derivatives further multiplied the severity of the crisis.

the proposal by secretary Paulson that the government (taxpayer) buy the toxic paper of failing institutions is nothing more than sticking the taxpayers with the loses, and rewarding the speculators with the profits.

heres my suggestion. if an investment bank or any other institution is insolvent or so illiquid that it can not function, then the government should TAKE IT ALL...the good securities and contracts with the bad.

Please, dont let wall street stick the government with all the toxic investments while letting them keep the cream.

this solution will ensure that we dont promote more recklessness AND that the taxpayer receives assets that have real value along with the garbage the government is being asked to liquidate.

failure on the part of the US Congress to ensure the interests of the middle class as we navigate through this financial crisis would be a mistake.

please punish the those who were piggy and speculated wildly instead of the taxpayer.

To buy more treasuries they must first earn more dollars,...

"This is not true. They can print their currency and exchange THAT for dollars. This will of course drive their currency down, which is what they want anyway."

Those that sell the japanese dollars will themselves not have dollars to buy our treasuries... total dollars available = the trade deficit, that's it. If our fiscal deficit is greater than the trade deficit foreigners cannot fund the fiscal deficit, we will have to fund the balance from our own savings.

OT--Any volunteers to send Fuld a jar of the Vaseline that gets mentioned so often here?
"Lehman Creditors May Be Able to Recover Fuld's Pay, Lawyers Say"
Lehman Creditors Can Try to Recover Fuld's Pay (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

Oh look, oil is up almost $7. I'm happy!

Gareth G writes:
Pimco's Pigman wants in on financial rescue package:

Revised Transcript:

"We have interest in managing this giant pool of assets, and we expect to be called," Gross said on CNBC television as he calmly wiped large globs of an unidentified milky substance from his chin and mouth. Meanwhile Paulson and Bernanke responded, "no comment," as they were spotted hastily zipping up their trousers and escaped through the rear door.

Oil back over $100, treasuries spiked up (that will be the one to watch) - this will help the consumer economy, yep...

What's been consistent about this market for two years is that it overreacts to good rumors and news.

Today was the mother of all overreactions.

By now, these things are orchestrated like Broadway shows. There's all the huffing and puffing on CBNC, the PPT pump, the trotting out of "analyst" who tell you the bottom is in so start buying. It still works amazingly well.

Then, reality hits.

Next week, it will be the taxpayers turn. And maybe the Democrats and Republicans alike will change their tune, too, when the details and costs start to get discussed.

I love the way they talk all day on CNBC about this bailout as if it were a done deal, when it hasn't even been drafted yet. I'll guarantee you Pelosi and Rangel have been drafting their wish list all day long. Man, are they in the driver's seat.

Remember that they are both PAYGO champions, as is Obama. If Paulson gets what he wants, it rips PAYGO to shreds.

From NYT:

"As Senator Christopher J. Dodd, Democrat of Connecticut and chairman of the Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, put it Friday morning on the ABC program “Good Morning America,” the congressional leaders were told “that we’re literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications here at home and globally.”

Global Systemic Financial Meltdown...where have we heard that before.

Due to the above new SEC regulation on short sales, certain options positions on these underlying securities expiring September 20, 2008 (long uncovered puts and short uncovered calls) that were entered into after September 18, 2008 may be subject to being closedat or before expiration. We may also take action to close the assigned/exercised underlying security in the event that the options are assigned or exercised. Please note that options positions entered into prior to September 19, 2008 are not subject to this action.

To avoid the above action, you may wish to close the above mentioned options positions prior to option expiration dates in the event that the long option holders exercise the options prior to expiration.

Again, please note that the above circumstances are a direct result of the above described SEC regulation on short sales.

ohhh boy

Bubblevision has a poll running regarding the ban on short sales:
POLL: Is Banning Short-Selling a Good Idea? - CNBC
They wisely divided the anti-ban vote in two.

Russian rally sends stocks 30% higher

Epic swing prompts another temporary suspension of trading

Global Systemic Financial Meltdown...where have we heard that before.

It used to be: invoke terrorism, get anything you wanted from congress.

Now: invoke systemic meltdown, get anything you wanted from congress.

Comrade mock tutle,

Arrrrrrrrrrrr!

"Dear Honorable________"

Should be

Dear Horrible Asshat___________

Just sayin'

Arrrrrrrr!

Nostrovia

"So maybe, just maybe, Hank and Ben are going to do a forced liquidation of the obligations with a substantial haircut. Maybe 50%. Maybe 70%. And the new government entity is the buyer and holder."

Hank is not about to wipe himself out of GS. Save GS Save the world.

"Global Systemic Financial Meltdown" is mentioned a lot. It does sound cool, but nobody has yet told me what it implies in real life.

Pimco's Gross looks to manage government's rescued assets

Pimco's Gross looks to manage government's rescued assets
| Reuters

The thieves are lining up at the gate to screw the public. Screw you Bill, Hank wants that job

No inflation here folks.... move along.

BTW, can we haz ur gold?

short ban rescinded effective 9/22

just to F**** the market on options expiration

@TradingStats:

Where was that from?

youre missing the point as well. the treasury spends by debiting its account at the fed abd crediting a members account. they do not spend by issuing bonds and collecting the money from bond issuance, nor do they need taxes to spend. all savings comes from govenment spending - not the other way around. in order to hvae private sector savings you have to have a public sector deficit. think of the deficit as an increase in private sector savings. there is never a funding problem for the federal government.
sean | 09.19.08 - 4:09 pm | #

So in other words, why dont we cut taxes to zero for everybody and spend like drunken sailors on everyting in site. Your logic is seriously deranged

etrade website

Due to the above new SEC regulation on short sales, certain options positions on these underlying securities expiring September 20, 2008 (long uncovered puts and short uncovered calls) that were entered into after September 18, 2008 may be subject to being closedat or before expiration. We may also take action to close the assigned/exercised underlying security in the event that the options are assigned or exercised. Please note that options positions entered into prior to September 19, 2008 are not subject to this action.

To avoid the above action, you may wish to close the above mentioned options positions prior to option expiration dates in the event that the long option holders exercise the options prior to expiration.

Again, please note that the above circumstances are a direct result of the above described SEC regulation on short sales.

Please tell me this is a joke.

Rich,

Maybe I wasn't clear. What I mean is that if the "bailout" is for the owners and management of the company to be wiped out (a la AIG), and the taxpayer gets stuck at $0.30 on the $1.00 (rather than at $0.80 or par), then I think it's as good an outcome as we peons can hope for.

But from a shareholder perspective, the actions aren't bailouts.

@TradingStats: TNX. Public or client side of the site?

BenB'sBailoutBonanza ,
Where did you see that?

long uncovered puts and short uncovered calls)

it's kinda a nothingburger, posted cause it's amusing..

not many people Bot puts today, that's for sure

If our fiscal deficit is greater than the trade deficit foreigners cannot fund the fiscal deficit, we will have to fund the balance from our own savings.

Or issue some more treasuries to the Fed. USGOV then spends it into the economy where it gets multiplied by a factor of 11 or so via fractional lending.

The key here though is that the lenders have to find able borrowers for this new money.

re: short ban rescinded effective 9/22

man, don't tease like that. You're a meanie.

not many people Bot puts today, that's for sure

Umm, yeah lot's of folks bought puts today.

So this is what it takes to downgrade these dogs. Should have happened at least 6 months ago.

in order to hvae private sector savings you have to have a public sector deficit.

Not necessarily - you can have net accumulation of accounts. The assumption is that all net savings get borrowed to another party so that savings equal debts. It is possible to hoard - think tomato can in the back yard - not everyone has to hoard but just enough to have a net accumulation of cash.

And it isn't just nuts like us - nothing stopping a FCB from holding an actual cash account either in electronic form OR actual cash money. Just unlikely they would hold a lot of it as real cash. Better to park in T Bills or something equally fungible.

In healthy times sum of all hoarding is near zero - we might not be heading into healthy times so who knows.

Secondly this assumption of savings = debt only works in the largest of aggregates (over a lot of saver/borrower pairs over a large universe). It is quite possible to have net debt load explode in one area (say here in NAFTA Zone) - offset by net saving somewhere else (say Asia). In aggregate it is still a near net zero over all (is exactly zero if no hoarding) but that doesn't mean the region doing the lending will continue to support the borrowers in the profligate region forever... it is possible the borrower might prefer to hoard before lending to the perceived bad risk. Once all such lenders gets worried - the borrower will find his pool of savings diminished if not cut off entirely.

Are our Asian savers-lenders getting worried about our spending-borrowing yet?

Now that still by itself doesn't kill the potential creation of dollars. In a fiat system there is nothing stopping the UST from printing money from those accounts you mentioned to spend (fiscal source creation) EXCEPT the social blow back from the economic community caused by the inflationary pressures from a flood of new money. Print enough new money & the blow back gets hurricane strength.

Practical result is there is a finite ability for the US Gov to borrow putting an upper bound on the amount our treasury can print to get us out of this mess before the inflationary pressures severely constrain it.

A short paraphrasing of all that might be... 'there isn't enough money in the world to borrow our way out'. I'd agree with that general assertion given the explanation above.

Comrades,

Arrrr!

So, now we wait for the Friday afternoon FDIC action

Word is Sheila is hanging out in Newport Beach.

I'm in the O.C. and there is a certain unusual foulness on the wind today.

Arrrrr!

Nostrovia,

The SEC is deciding who makes the money now

SEC Considers Revising Shorting Ban in Options Market

SEC Considers Revising Shorting Ban in Options Market (Update2) - Bloomberg.com
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission may revise a rule barring short sales of financial companies to exempt options market makers.

Lost in the shuffle, Moody's announced last night...
Why? Did something happen last night?

So is today BFF (Downey, my prediction) or is it a BBFF as WaMu careens in the abyss? Not that it would matter to the idjits that bought today:
DOWNEY FINANCIAL CP Share Price Chart | DSL - Yahoo! Finance

smoke cleared and surveying the wreckage in my trading acct. Ouch. SRS my worst performer, just obliterated...

Comrade Ed,

Re AIG...

It does "sound like" a company wrapping up, but as each day passes, and AIG continues to breathe, the opportunity to lobby for a change in terms, or restructure a buyout increases. I'm betting they come out of this. As irrational as it might seem now, it is a possibility that gets incrementally bigger each day.

Where there's life, there's hope my grandmother would always say.

Comrade dd

F: Federal
U: Universal
B: Bailout
A: Asset
R: Reserve

So in other words, why dont we cut taxes to zero for everybody and spend like drunken sailors on everyting in site. Your logic is seriously deranged
Dirk van Dijk | 09.19.08 - 4:35 pm | #

That would be another way of putting it. LOL.

Sheila is one fast babe. She opened the NYSE ringing the bell this morning. Maybe it is time to resurrect the V.P. GHW Bush myth of SR-71 hostage negotiations.

If they do this, well, it's F'ing brilliant. Hank and Ben have been playing hardball all along.
Comrade Ed S. | 09.19.08 - 4:18 pm | #

I hope you are right Comrade. I have been generally supportive of the FNM/FRE and AIG bailouts for exactly the reasons you mention, although pissed that it was allowed to get to that point in the first place. The smell of this new RTC thing seems much different. If indeed they are going to pay what the assets are currently selling for, i.s. along the lines of what MER sold its pile of crap for (apx.$0.22 on the $, not counting the seller financed aspect of it) I am not real sure what it accomplishes, the banks and I banks have just recognized their losses and have no capital left. Anything the govt pays over that level is a bailout pure and simple.

Umm, yeah lot's of folks bought puts today.
El Scorcho

sorry, sep puts that is,--you did'nt , did you?

Ministry of Truth writes:
The SEC is deciding who makes the money now

As it should be or rather as it was MEANT to be...

It's BFF! Where's my bank failure(s)? Have those been outlawed too?

SRS my worst performer, just obliterated

IME, what SRS giveth SRS taketh away

Stupidity galore!

Back to the old days with mile wide bid and ask on options today.

What the hell is gonna happen when they lift the ban on short sales?

What the hell is gonna happen when the market maker/specialist gets blown out by this spasmodic market?

A couple of times this morning, I was the fricking options market in a couple of positions.

Only one position ended up trading, but it was disconcerting to see my ask as the only thing showing up on the bid/ask.

Stuff was blowing up right and left.

I did get a pretty good price on doubling up a homebuilder put position- simply amazing how the dead are rising on this bushwa market.

I have a really bad feeling about this- I think this market is going to blow up again in the next month.

Or maybe we get an orderly decline.

Someday this war's gonna end...

@TradingStats: Were they referring to the financials list, or to positions in general? And the quote seems to apply only to Sep's. What's the etrade position on clients' writing of in general today. Any changes?

did they really rescind the ban or is this just another capitalist pig rumor?

Sorry, "writing of options in general"

SEC Considers Revising Shorting Ban in Options Market

Cant... stop... laughing...

Cox clearly doesn't understand the operation of the market (why else would you ban shorting?),
so they're taking advantage of him by telling him that options are not shorting. And the idiot is buying it!

ROTFLMAO

What the hell is gonna happen when they lift the ban on short sales?

Sound of one hand clapping?

sorry, sep puts that is,--you did'nt , did you?

Ok, on the same page with you now. No, don't have any Sep. expiration puts. I'm just a little freaked about the next shoe to drop - like them outright banning buying puts and other options strategies altogether.

"Companies try to scramble aboard SEC lifeboat
GE, CIT ask to be on list of stocks that can't be shorted, Amex may ask too"

Companies try to scramble aboard SEC short selling lifeboat - MarketWatch

Ponies for everyone!

bearly, I have SRS too. Are you going to stick with it?

Secondary and Tertiary effects

  • Money Markets cannot function
  • Large hedge funds blow up
  • Countries exit from a fixed market
  • Liquidity collapses

I could go on...

You don't get froth in the trough of a wave, you get froth as the peak is dissolving. We got yer froth right here baaabeee.

Sigma events are not evenly nor randomly distributed. Expect more frequent extreme events. Now that the market is addicted to infusions the withdrawal symptoms are going to be even worse than the medicine or original illness.

Anything the govt pays over that level is a bailout pure and simple.
Dirk van Dijk | 09.19.08 - 4:41 pm | #

I think that is the fine print they didn't explain to the cleavage on CNBC.

@TradingStats: Were they referring to the financials list, or to positions in general? And the quote seems to apply only to Sep's. What's the etrade position on clients' writing of in general today. Any changes?

fin list only.
y, only sep's, expiring today.

it really is a nothingburger.
if you bought fin puts today for sep20 expiration, you'll probably get a cash settlement. as you can't be short the name(guess)

but who bout sep puts in the fins for today's expiration?

anyone, ???

What's the etrade position on clients' writing of in general today. Any changes?

did'nt understand this ?,sorry

comrades,

everything is fine

No. Ambac and MBIA have already had their 15 minutes of fame. They need to go away and stay away.

Comrade Bro Manziere writes:
OT--Any volunteers to send Fuld a jar of the Vaseline that gets mentioned so often here?

Nope, let him take it dry, and I hope 1) he bleeds and 2) whoever is doing it is HIV+

Taking CR's idea of a NO Layoffs as a measure, why not send a few grand to all suffering americans every month and put that on another GSE. A bailout of this kind would be more democratic

Listening to that To The Point webcast.

GREAT slip around 5:31 from Warren Olney: "at some point this week, people were buying treasury secretaries for a loss."

LOL!

SEC Considers Revising Shorting Ban in Options

Without the change, the $1.6 trillion U.S. options market may be ``dead in the water

@TradingStats:
Thanks for the clarification. I imagine it was just etrade laywers in CYA mode because the options were expiring in t+0 but the hedges, if any, would live in t+3.

I have SRS and am sticking with it, even thinking of adding to it. Even this likely massive bailout changes none of the fundamentals in the economy- stagnant wages, fewer jobs, higher costs of essentials, overbuilt strip malls, etc. The bailout will not return Wall Street to business as usual, and the valuations are still tied to past results.

Global Systemic Financial Meltdown...where have we heard that before.
Kung Fu Panda | Homepage | 09.19.08 - 4:28 pm | #

I recall hearing that it was all contained?

y the mid 1700's Britain was at its height of power, but was also heavily in debt.

Since the creation of the Bank of England, they had suffered four costly wars and the total debt now stood at £140,000,000, (which in those days was a lot of money).

In order to make their interest payments to the bank, the British government set about a programme to try to raise revenues from their American colonies, largely through an extensive programme of taxation.

There was a shortage of material for minting coins in the colonies, so they began to print their own paper money, which they called Colonial Script. This provided a very successful means of exchange and also gave the colonies a sense of identity. Colonial Script was money provided to help the exchange of goods. It was debt free paper money not backed by gold or silver.

During a visit to Britain in 1763, The Bank of England asked Benjamin Franklin how he would account for the new found prosperity in the colonies. Franklin replied.

"That is simple. In the colonies we issue our own money. It is called Colonial Script. We issue it in proper proportion to the demands of trade and industry to make the products pass easily from the producers to the consumers.

In this manner, creating for ourselves our own paper money, we control its purchasing power, and we have no interest to pay to no one."
Benjamin Franklin ....

Troubled
Underwriting
Rehabilitation
Department

TURD

or alternatively,
Troubled
Asset
Rehabilitation
Department

TARD

"buying treasury secretaries for a loss."

Yeah, Harvard sure did when they hired Larry Summers and then he opened his mouth about women's math skills. PC HURRICANE!!!

yep...
had to look closely at the language, as i was short BAC puts for sep and oct expiration.
big nothingburger.

the next best trade right now is a ten day spontaneous vacation.

Comrade REBear,

Arrr!

"Without the change, the $1.6 trillion U.S. options market may be ``dead in the water'"

This is a good thing I take it.

Arrr!

Nostrovia,

Websites like this don't exist in Europe.

Adults are still not impressed..

"However, the money markets were cautious as term money market and commercial paper rates rose further. Traders said lending between banks remained frozen, with money market funds and other institutions still pulling away from funding banks in the government repurchase or repo market as trust between counterparties has evaporated."

FT.com / In depth - Global markets roar in approval

"bearly, I have SRS too. Are you going to stick with it?"

I added to it today. I sold 1/3 off yesterday @$98 but maintain a position selling some high & adding some lower. Unfortunately adding lower was not low enough. Do I expect it to go higher than my basis - YES. That's why I own it...

Dryfly,

In national income accounting:

Saving = Investment.

Like all accounting, it has its flaws. For instance, some economic activity is not measured - growing your own food for instance.

CME group should take a qtrlry rev hit if the ban stay's in effect.

look for it to be rescinded.

if they make it legal for them , they have to make it legal for us(bababhahahhaaa... i really don't believe that)

Pilgrim writes:
I have SRS and am sticking with it, even thinking of adding to it. Even this likely massive bailout changes none of the fundamentals in the economy- stagnant wages, fewer jobs, higher costs of essentials, overbuilt strip malls, etc. The bailout will not return Wall Street to business as usual, and the valuations are still tied to past results.
Pilgrim | 09.19.08 - 4:54 pm | #

I am with you Pilgrim. I think this will be a good trade...unless, of course, there is a commercial real estate bailout announced over the weekend. Wouldn't surprise me at this point.

Dryfly,

That's the point. I think (and I may be talking my book as a proud owner of SKF, TWM, QID and a couple of fin shorts that have gotten creamed) that the "tell" is the no shorting on the financial stocks.

Generally, the share price means zero to the ongoing operation of the business -- it's why Buffett is happy to let people short BRK. But if you're plan was to reveal the true value of the financial sector via purchase of the toxic crap at $0.22 on the dollar, you'd like limit the velocity of the decline the stock price. In some cases, you'd be cutting the value of the firm by 80%. Better a controlled crash than an auger in. Thus the temporary no-short rule

I'm guessing that Hank and Ben will buy, but not a price that makes the firms smile. And it may be a one-time only offer as well.

We'll know more on Monday. But if Hank and Ben run true to form, it's going to be a tough deal.

And I concur that GS will be OK.

Did those SRS holders notice the "bad tick" on IYR - similar to the "bad tick" on IWM; I can't confirm that those are bad ticks - someone may have bought those funds for twice their current price

Socialism for the rich = Fascism

...in case you didn't know.

@TradingStats: Yeah, everybody is so nervous right now it's very easy to do the wrong thing either by accident or on purpose.

There was an old movie where a US destroyer was sitting over a Russian nuke sub, and they were on alert. The end goes like this:
US captain, answering question if he is really considering an attack on the sub.
Captain: If he fires one, I'll fire one.
Weapons Comm: Fire one, sir!
Sonar Comm: Sub has missle launch, sir!

End of movie.

the congressional leaders were told “that we’re literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications here at home and globally.

OK, either they're trying to put one over on Congress or there are more massive, and imminent, bankruptcies out there. The only imminent publicly visible threat to the financial system is the spreads (TED, A2/P2, and the like). That is NOT addressed by the RTC proposal (and is more a depression indicator than a meltdown indicator anyway). RTC allows them to bail out bankrupt companies, basically. So for RTC to be what's needed to prevent imminent meltdown, there have to be more imminent major BKs. MBIA and AMBAC spring to mind. Any other candidates?

This is not to disparage the idea that they're trying to use the crisis to fleece the taxpayer of a trillion or 2 that could be saved or at least spent more wisely.

Login or register to post comments
Syndicate content