Are they showing today's HOR session on C span now?

this is so depressing

Mark-to-Myth
Mark-to-Market

And now, from Congress:

Mark-to-Hank!

That gives an awful lot of time to 'scuttle' - me thinks there might be some 'washing of hands'.

It's not over til it's over- Yogi Bera.

A Wednesday Senate vote is too late. The third quarter ends Tuesday.

Major Kong?

Kiss WA goodbye on Monday.

if they are going to vote it's a done deal.

They just want to see what the markets do early this week, then rush in and save the day.

Not sure what happens if this doesn't work.

It's like cleaning a septic tank, you just can't tell what you need to know by the smell alone.

Better hurry their asses up. I guess they figure to give the public a taste of what a crash will feel like for a few days.

Another day, Another chance for the pirates and corporate raiders to take another bank down. Clean Rinse Repeat

But Wednesday? Doesn't the quarter end Tuesday?

I don't think this is such a done deal.

Unless these idiots want two more bigtime down days to provide cover for their Yea vote?

No bailout, no piece!

godhatesfangs writes:
if they are going to vote it's a done deal.
godhatesfangs | 09.28.08 - 2:41 pm | #

That's what I would have thought - until that CSPAN show this afternoon. Nancy doesn't have her own herd in corral let alone the GOP.

Ain't no done deal yet.

The grand national experiment of 'it is worth what we say it is worth' begins.

Lots of great historical precedent, right?

I will admit that I am slowly warming up to the current version of the bill. While I realize that that is heresy to the pitchforks-and-torches crowd here, what is changing my opinion is the attention to the smaller banks. The smaller banks do much of the real, productive lending; lending to small, growing businesses, lending to tech startups, lending to farmers, miners, etc. Many of them have been badly crippled by this crisis through no fault of their own, but the most recent proposal has a lot of points in their favor, such as help in dealing with the FRE/FNM preferreds gone bad. Also, it should be noted that executive compensation limits will serve as a deterrent to the largest (and most badly behaved) banks, but will not be a deterrent to the smaller banks with more modestly compensated executives.

Hopefully, this will help the real banking industry, which does the critical lending to the real economy, get through the crisis while limiting losses to taxpayers (and limiting bailouts to overcompensated investment bankers.) I would not expect any bill to be "perfect", but this latest version may be getting close to "good enough".

The credit markets will loosen and equities will rally and the can is further down the road .

Unless these idiots want two more bigtime down days to provide cover for their Yea vote?
Brian in New Orleans | 09.28.08 - 2:43 pm | #

Ya - PPT IN REVERSE!!! LOL...

Congress to vote on Monday, Senate on Wednesday.

.... America in November.

I get it now. The Senate vote isn't in question, since only 1/3 of their Members are up in Nov. All the cards lie in the House so that vote gets decided tomorrow.

But I really wonder how this will effect the books for Q3.

Are there any anti-speculation rules regarding the Financials' use of the bailout funds, in order to avoid hyperinflation of oil, food & other commodity prices?.....if not, why not?

dryfly I guess where there's life there's hope.

Is the bill up on the intertubes yet?

Peripheral Visionary-

While the inclusion of smaller institutions is nice, it is Paulson who decides, not Congress.

Wachovia with give all the cover the politicans need to pass this bill. Sorry Wachovia, somebody had to be the most recent example of the sky is falling, please executives put the golden parachutes on and wait for the green jump light. For all other employees you are on your own.

Now Warren Buffett (cnn, 16 minutes ago) is saying if the bailout is not passed there will be total meltdown. Well duh, yes for him, who just invested in Goldman. This endless fear mongering is getting tiresome. If there is going to be a meltdown, let's see it for heaven sake, so we can move on.

Isn't there a policy against negotiating with terrorists?

Hey Peripheral, how do you know that the Primary Dealers won't hoover up the entire $700 billion before the little guys even get their hands out?

I'm normally a fan of Buffet, but it's quite ridiculous he's injected himself in these discussions when there's clear conflict of interest.

Besides, in the end, Buffet is still an investor, not an economist. Perhaps he has a great deal of economic know-how, but Congress should be discussing this with people who dedicate their lives to macroeconomics.

That's too late. I thought the world was supposed to come to an end on Monday.

1.
From what I just read the Fortis problem stems from their acquiring ARN just too late in the game.
2.
As far as them and others acquiring our dreck they wanted to beleve that somebody had dropped Foi gras on the street.. bad for them.
Like many here they bought into the Reagan dream of the economic perpetual-motion machine. I do not know how the economic concept of risk and the thermodynamic concept of entropy have been related ( as Shannon did with Uncertainty and Entropy)but it seems intuitively clear that at a deep level they are the same. So one cannot overcome risk any more then entropy. Overcoming entropy is at the heart of perpetual motion)

There aint no free lunch. What we have done since 2000 is to collectively acquire a huge bar bill.
We all were drinking and so now we must all pay.

Warren Buffet is one of those billionaire socialists. His only strength is stock-picking. He also owns a large stake in the discredited Moody's rating agency. The sight of him on TV is sickening.

Regardless of then they vote, and when it gets signed, does UST get to start handing out vouchers on Monday ?

If the banks don't get money by Tuesday, then their desperate balance sheets will get committed to ink on the 9/30 Call reports.

The Fat Lady done sang. Move along like good lads.

The rest is just theatre. Theatre of the absurd.

Does a "complete meltdown" cost the average US family $11,000 - like this bailout does? I kinda doubt it. People who took outsized risks get crushed, some big companies/institutions fail (happens all the time in various different sectors - steel, telecom, dot-coms, agriculture, S&Ls) and yet the US marches on. It stuggles perhaps - but it marches on.

Why does the economy always have to be growing, anyways?

Buffet jumped the shark ala Fonzi when he appeared on one my wife's soap's earlier this year.

"warren boofet"

Was how he was introduced....I immediately played taps (in my head) for all the shareholder's of BH.

Ciao
MS

PTDBD writes:
Isn't there a policy against negotiating with terrorists?
PTDBD | 09.28.08 - 2:49 pm | #

Sorry, but I'm stealing that line...

warren buffet is also a great vampire of businesses with family fights.

EXTORTION. Pure and simple.

I am not giving up. I will not allow a gun to be placed to my head and asked to decide. I could care less what party is next to their name, if they vote for this, I am voting for their opponent.

From the last thread. Dang these posts are happening fast! Smile

Max, are "We the People" considered to be an "event" in that scenario?

No doubt about it. That's why the delay: there is real opposition to this thing, and there's no upside for Congress. Boy Who Cried Wolf * 1,000,000.

Politically, the appearance of action is the best option. If they pass the bill and it fails, they're toast. If they pass the bill and it works, people will only see the enrichment of bankster types. If they vote it down and the market crashes, they get blamed.

However, if they "work real hard," and events overtake them, both parties can avoid blame by blaming Bush and Paulson for not giving them enough time. They'll also have political cover to take action once main street starts really feeling the pain.

A material event after quarter end must be taken into account so if the bill passes, securities will not be marked down as agressively by the accountants.

We need just ONE senator to filibuster this bill come Wednesday. Go ahead Sen. Shelby. The whole country is behind you.

Hey Peripheral, how do you know that the Primary Dealers won't hoover up the entire $700 billion before the little guys even get their hands out?

Exactly the question EVERYBODY should be asking! If the bailout is passed, why will it solve anything?

Putting it differently: Everybody now realizes that large swaths of the financial sector have crappy business models with incompetent management. Post-bailout, they will have crappy business models, incompetent management, and $700B less of a negative balance sheet.

How does this restore actual confidence?

I'm still wondering if we get a bank holiday on Monday before the bill to nudge the unwilling...

We need just ONE senator to filibuster this bill come Wednesday. Go ahead Sen. Shelby. The whole country is behind you.

Actually, 41.

Somebody in New Mexico won the Powerball last night.

That was 'Plan B'. Bailout deal makes sense now.

It's so exciting that we are going to get to own mark to myth, mark to made-it-up and mark to make-believe insecurities----now we are part of big time wallstreet!!!

What's good for GM err.. GS is good for America.

Silent Cal is spinning in his grave.

JP,

Not to mention housing prices continue to fall.

Not sure what happens if this doesn't work.
friardaddy | 09.28.08 - 2:41 pm | #

Americans have to
a) make more money per mo. ( few really can )
b) cut back on living beyond their means lifestyles
c) get a new dream and fast !

Now, let's all talk reasonably about this bailout.

What Hanky Panky wants to do is buy up at near full price all of the mortgages that Wall Street wrote and couldn't sell from the last five years.

Now, most of this festering pile of shite is wandering around trying to find a home off of the books, as it comprises a millstone of fantastic proportions. Now commercial real estate is funded without even fannie and freddie to backstop the sewage backing up.

So essentially we have a wall street leverage crisis. Too much leverage=bk financial institutions.

With falling economic activity levels, this bailout is destined to stall the inevitable.

Why bother?

Allow the crash, and then rebuild afterward. It will provide a lot of excuses to redo a lot of our economic landscape, and that redo is coming anyway.

Someday this war's gonna end...

No criticzing Warren allowed or the market is not going to have it's Bueffet ex machina every time it is in trouble

I heard on ABC this morning- I think Reich or Newt said- that they can only divy out like 50 billion a month under this plan? What good is that?

How bad must this plan be when everyone from Newt to Reich are opposed to it? Newt wants Paulson fired. Nobody believes a word he says.

This is tragic.

Do not give up.

Vote this down.

Will the real patriots please stand up, please stand up.

"No criticzing Warren allowed or the market is not going to have it's Bueffet ex machina every time it is in trouble"

Buffet = JP Morgan lite?

Read Section 6 of Herr Paulson's bailout proposal carefully. It's not a $700B cap; that's just the amount that can be on the balance sheet at one time

but but but buffet likes the bill!!! OK we dopes must be wrong then.

Not worth a Continental.

And it only took a quarter of a millennium round trip.

Maybe all Americans just sit at home on their collective asses until we find out how it is going to go one way or another. I wonder what they would think about that. Hummmmmmmmmmm

This is a 5 trillion bailout . We have opened pandora's box.

KRISHNAN writes:
We need just ONE senator to filibuster this bill come Wednesday. Go ahead Sen. Shelby. The whole country is behind you.
KRISHNAN | 09.28.08 - 2:59 pm | #

Filibusters get shut down by cloture votes ... you need active 40 holdouts, not just one.

I'm still wondering if we get a bank holiday on Monday before the bill to nudge the unwilling...

No way this happens. This is not 1929: freezing ATM terminals and credit card machines would absolutely kill the economy. Most people don't carry a lot of cash anymore; some people would literally go hungry.

Limits on withdrawals, I can see. A bank holiday? No way in hell.

So where the heck is the miserable bill? Are they afraid to put it on-line as promised?

Does Judd Gregg sound like he's going to cry?

The trouble is the money won't even end up in the right place-- Roubini should be in charge of doling it out.He's world's better than a pack of bankster mafiosi.

I know things will be back to normal in this country when;

1) when a teenage kid with a beat up lawnmower wants to cut my lawn instead of a illegal immigrant.

Funny, all you people think you know enough about Warren Buffett, but you don't even spell his last name right.

masaccio writes:
So where the heck is the miserable bill? Are they afraid to put it on-line as promised?

They are waiting on the Pizza's Pelosi ordered. Meeting again at 4pm.

http://www.daypitney.com/news/docs/dp_2307.pdf

oThe maximum amount of authorized purchases outstanding at any one
time is $700 billion. However, this authority is subject to the following
limitations:
􏰀 The authority of the Secretary to purchase Troubled Assets
shall be initially limited to $250 billion outstanding at any one
time. [38]
􏰀 If at any time the President submits to the Congress written
notification that the Secretary is exercising the authority,
effective upon such submission, the limitation shall increase to
$350 billion outstanding at any one time. [38]
􏰀 If at any time the President submits to the Congress a written
report detailing the plan of the Secretary to exercise the
authority under this paragraph, unless there is enacted within
15 calendar days of such submission, a joint resolution,
effective upon the expiration of such 15 day period, the
authority increases to $700 billion outstanding at any one time

It's buffet because he eats everyone' lunch.

Nancy better get the freakin' bill released or her hope of 24 hours of inspection before voting will be shot...

Or is she heaping the rants on the Senate, those esteemed millionaires?

At least she can tell if the Repubs are going to try to make an issue of it with the extra 2 days. If they do, then the Dems can partially reverse course.

We can vote this thing down and turn around the economy really fast if everone just buys a torch and pitchfork.

Comrade Peripheral Visionary,

People don't listen when they are angry. It's fight of flight. Unless Congress wants to face the wrath of a mob of angry voters, it should table the issue, hold hearings, and get the public on board. People are still basking in the strong fundamentals of our economy.

Thanks for educating me on senate procedures. Who is Gregg on the take from ?

Ou est le Bill ?

We are all Belgians now.

-K

Here's a valuation data point: Go to markit.com and look at what has happened to the market prices for the mortgage derivs since Hank entered. Now that folks realize there is a dumb buyer, who will value these at their fictional cash flows, prices have skyrocketed.

So even if you said that hank was going to buy @ market rather than some made-up valuation

  1. The ABX are now inflated with the prospect of a buyer who is not fully discounting upcoming foreclosures,
  2. The warrants for the company's stock will be issued with market prices that do not allow shorting.

I may have to call it a day, I'm going to burst a blood vessel.

That draft appears to be from the 25th. It's waste paper at this point -- I hope.

These bloodsuckers are doing the ultimate bust-out and pawning it off as "saving the world".

Can you imagine CNBC the next two days w/ this thing on the floor of the HOR Monday & Senate Wednesday?

Uffda!

Unless there is an act of God this bailout looks to be a done deal but the fight must go on on several fronts ...

~A new plan such as the Brad De Long / Stiglitz Plan a la the Scandinavian Plan must be readied for implementation by the Democrats.

Why ? Because the Bush-Paulson-Pelosi Bailout does NOT address the problem we have now, the freezing of the credit markets! The credit markets can still freeze up and will probably do so down the line as the bailout does nothing to address insolvent banks.

~Preparations should be made to nationalize the Federal Reserve.

It has been obvious that Bernanke and the Federal Reserve ignored this catastrophe until too late and then instead of implementing a Scandinavian type plan began trading treasuries for worthless junk from the banks. The Federal Reserve, a private corporation, put their stock holders, the member banks, before the health of the economy and the financial security of the Nation.

If we are lucky the banking system will limp along until Jan 20. I'm skeptical that will be the case. As said before, this bailout plan does little to resolve the trust issue in the credit markets caused by insolvent banks and nothing to stop a crashing economy.

AFTER FIVE YEARS???? Vote this down.

WASHINGTON, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives are pushing for a new Wall Street tax that would cover the potential costs of a $700 billion bailout being negotiated by Congress and the Bush administration.

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, speaking to reporters after a meeting with fellow Democrats, said the fee could be assessed after five years if the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office determined taxpayers had lost money in the bailout.

"If after five years ... the CBO decides that the American taxpayer has lost money in this, then there would be a fee on financial institutions," Pelosi said, adding that she hoped the provision could be part of a final bailout deal.

Pelosi said that the Secretary of the Treasury could determine how to assess the fee.'

Buffett is such a stupid investor; he should have followed the model of acquisition of Merrill--and paid a 70% premium of GS. Getting special considerations, convertible provisions, and high dividend guarantees smacks of hard-nosed capitalism. It's making crony capitalism lose face. How can we move forward with shameless ripoffs and manipulation if shrewd businessmen keep insisting on profit? Oh, that's right, political intrigue is all that is moving markets and determining value now.

This is all about grabbing as much cash for their tribes before the big goodnight.

Can you imagine CNBC the next two days w/ this thing on the floor of the HOR Monday & Senate Wednesday?

They should just attach Gasperino's cellphone directly to Dow. Every time it rings, we'll get a 50 point jump.

How do I make money from the stupidity and/or corruption of this system?

That draft appears to be from the 25th. It's waste paper at this point -- I hope.

They wont share the Plan with The Taxpayers!!!!!!

You guys would be sad if you weren't so funny. The fact that calls and EMails to Congress are 100:1 against doesn't reflect the general public. Polls show the public split about evenly. And if Congress did nothing and the Dow dropped 2,000 points, you would see about 90% demanding immediate action. Despite the hoopla, very few, if any, Congress types will lose their seat over this that weren't going to lose already.

Try and live in the real world guys. I know it don't thrill you, I hope it don't kill you.

Conjure Bag has one final comment today.

Conjure says, "The US economy has been screwed. Get used to it."

"Have a nice day."

All the goodies have been divided up---now it's just time for the rubberstamp. Where's that rogue nuke when you need it!

I don't understand the whole dilution issue.

The biggest problem by far with the Paulson plan is a lack of dilution via new share issuance. Yet, the media is not focusing on this as much as it should. They are focusing on homeowner assistance and government oversight.

Here's another idea, and I don't know if I'm right, but the website that lists the transactions will reveal who are the weaker institutions, thus allowing the market to keep doing business with some of the other ones, to an extent, and shun the weak ones, to an extent. Possibly this plan will exacerbate the pain/insolvency of the weak ones. Or not?

ox-Pitt said about $79.4 billion of Citigroup’s (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) troubled assets may be eligible for sale under the government’s proposed bail out plan, adding the company need not raise capital to remain “well-capitalized.”

Analyst David Trone noted Citi may however raise capital just to appease market concerns about its risk and soundness.

The brokerage estimates that of the $79.4 billion worth assets, $22.4 billion will be in sub-prime and $21.5 billion in residential loans.

The analyst said Citi may have to take a pre-tax charge of $21 billion if assets were to be transferred to Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) at market prices.

“However, if assets are transferred at near held-to-maturity price levels, this charge could be significantly lower or possibly, result in a gain,” Fox-Pitt said in a note to clients.

I'm not the smartest person in the world, but someone's gonna make a lotta money on this. I think we will be longing for $500.00 dollar toilet seats when this thing is distributed.

Polls show the public split about evenly.

Link? FYI: Click on my homepage for 70/30 split.

That's right, Mericanians are moribund beasts who sell their liberty for a warm bellyful of...whatever. Highmindedness is out the door at the first grumble of hunger pains. We should start swapping paper where devestors incrementally sell away shares of their inheritance of liberty...for payment in beans, rice, and beef.

To all free-marketers and laissez-faire "libertarians" out there:

Your dream is dead with the passage of this bill.

No meltdown will be prevented, nothing will be saved. Even if they printed up $1T and loaded into boxcars headed straight for Wall Street tomorrow, it would barely come close to a downpayment on the costs to prevent what is now inevitable.

What this bill will almost certainly accomplish is the cementing of a psychology of entitlement across the country. Everyone will want (and arguably should want) a bailout now. En masse, people will stop paying their bills and the harder it becomes to make a living wagem the higher the waves of insolvency that will begin washing ashore.

Coming soon, to an American city near you: a massive welfare state, confiscatory taxes and an increasingly authoritarian civil rule.

The fact that TARP pretended no oversight can only be described as ATTEMPTING A FINANCIAL COUP D'ETAT within the United Socialist States of America.
Support HR 2755 Abolish this Federal Reserve private banking enterprise. Nationalize the Central Bank.

CR, do you think this plan will ultimately result in more write-offs and dilutive capital raises by the weaker banks?

Ricky,
The Yahoo boards are paging you...

This sucker's going down.

Maquiavelli writes:

How do I make money from the stupidity and/or corruption of this system?

Follow Buffett and Gross. They are where they are not by being wrong often.

"We believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will be limited and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system," - Bernanke, May 17, 2007.

There is good reason for mistrust in Bernanke and Paulson (let alone Congress). How is it that Bernanke isn't fired? He could have read this blog and figured things out in 2006. He could have addressed the emerging crisis back then. Now with his credibility in tatters he asks for a leap of faith? Forget it.

BANG BANG BANG drum roll..this mother of all budgets is the SAME as the annual defence budget, DUMYa (pun intended) will sign a 600 billion defense spending budget..if this is the mother, then the pentagon must be the umm what..give me an analogy someone..600 billion per annum..oh and by the way..theres half of the 25 billion going to car companies, so they never will pay tax (does GM really still have -US$50 billion of shareholders equity?, check thebalance sheet filings!) who thefookis going to be paying taxes in themotor carindustry and the banking industry..they are parasites and need to be made to pay taxes, like everyone else..and BANK BANG BANG that drum, there is 6 billion of pork in tomorrows pentagon spending bill passed by these screwups in the senate. making 632 billion. Mother of all budgets? what a joke..its a one off injection straight into thehands of chinese, japanese and arab investors with the balance into the hands of bankers..be very afraid..the incompetence on display and lack of big picture thinking is staggering..these guys should not be in power..thats what is broken..not finance..itsthe pentagon bleeding the nation dry..if you dont hear from me ..its because the CIA has hired a wet squad to terminate by drum beating!

My warlord is bigger than your warlord. Schism into a billion pieces of war and fiefdoms. Devolution. E Unum pluribus. Will become slave and beast of burden for food...or gruel...or piece of paper that says I may have gruel in a few weeks.

Sorry, 2:1 against, 25% don't know.

Reuters saying Senator Greg thinks the government will make money on this plan...!

Video - Breaking News Videos from CNN.com

H.R. 2755: Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act
To abolish the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal reserve banks, to repeal the Federal Reserve Act, and for other purposes.

H.R. 2755 [110th]: Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (GovTrack.us)

6/15/2007--Introduced.
Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act - Abolishes the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and each Federal reserve bank.
Repeals the Federal Reserve Act.

bernanke has always been a puppet ---he and paulson have always had that nervous stutter because they knew what was coming and knew they were going to pull off this heist.

someone has pocket ace's(derivatives bet) One ace is on the table,(market meltdown) and the river(deal failure) is next.
who has it... and how much is the pot

Clusterstock:

Update (3:04 p.m.): An exhausted Republican Senator Judd Gregg justice spoke to reporters. His nose was running so badly he had to wipe it with a tissue. He stumbled over his words, and seemed at pains to maintain his train of thought as he explained the bailout plain and the logic behind buying troubled mortgage backed securities.

"If we do not pass this, we shouldn't be a Congress," he said.

Meanwhile, conservative Republican House members seem to be organizing against the bailout. They've organized a meeting immediately following the briefing by party leaders.

Indiana's Mike Pence has written a letter to his House colleagues explaining why he opposes the bailout.

It's still unclear how broad Republican opposition might be. Keep in mind, however, that Democrats control the House and can pass the bailout over any level of Republican opposition. The main reason Republican House members are playing such a pivotal role in this process is that the Democrats want the Republicans to provide political cover for passage of this deeply unpopular Wall Street bailout. They are insisting on a bipartisan vote for the bailout. Would the Democrats prefer to protect partisan interests even if it meant not passing the bailout bill? That seems highly unlikely. But once again it looks like we're in a game of chicken, with both sides waiting for the other to backdown.

Yes follow a Gross Buffett with a long nap, intellectual dishonesty, and self delusion. Abdicate your own decision making following pied pipers to a slaughter.

Whether this bailout goes ahead or not, we are in for tought times guys.

This is not money printing. This bond printing.... recurring cost in the form of interest payment; also pulling the money from private to public to private in the shot run and private to public in the long run.

If this goes ahead then the private capitalistic market in us is dead.

The borrowing of gov is going to crush and close doors of all private borrowing.

They have to sell bonds which means they have to take away the cash which is sitting now on the side-line to recapitalze the banks which supposedly be healed after this.

I do have doubts that there are lots of cash sitting on the side-line. Either this will be proven wrong or if there is then that will be removed from side-line to recapitalize the banks.

When this supposedly existing side-line money is pulled to recapitalize the banks, the hedge fund and all equity investors will realize that there is going to be 700B less demand for their equities. (i.e.) equity price will come down hard and evaporating lots of hedge funds which have levered themselves from bank and pension funds. This will generate the next wave of realization of facts that there isn't enough more any longer.

Everything is happening in the right order. That is blowing away one bs after another bs assumptions and bringing people on their realization that the current pyramid is collapsing and it can't be reparied.

No way this happens. This is not 1929: freezing ATM terminals and credit card machines would absolutely kill the economy. Most people don't carry a lot of cash anymore; some people would literally go hungry.

Limits on withdrawals, I can see. A bank holiday? No way in hell.

Think of all the checks, ACH items and wire transfers that would be stuck in limbo Wink

he and paulson have always had that nervous stutter because they knew what was coming and knew they were going to pull off this heist.

As did the entire House and Senate. The bankruptcy reform act was the biggest bi-partisan piece of legislation passed since 9/11

AIG and ron Paul Bailout videos:

Ron Paul Tells It Like It Is....

YouTube -

JP writes:
Polls show the public split about evenly.

Link? FYI: Click on my homepage for 70/30 split.


While the Rasmussen Consumer Index shows both consumer and investor confidence hovering around record lows, two-thirds of Americans (66%) still think buying a home is the best investment most families can make.

The public sometimes is not very bright or right, look who's been the prez. i mean haha.

You forgot Bill Gross' insider trading with Christopher Cox and the federal reserve. How much does PIMPCO pay greenspan.

Call House Republicans and tell them to stand strong. I just spoke to McCotter, R. MI., his aide.

Tell them they (the 149 House Repubs. who voted against the Fannie/freddie bailout) need to keep it up.

Force the Dems to pass it on their own, just like they passed F/F bailout on their own.

McCotter, R. MI.
Garrett, R. NJ
DeMint, R. SC
Bachman, R. Minn.
Hensarling, R. TX.
Bacchus, R. Alabama
Feeney, R. FLA.

These are just a few of the 149 Repubs. who voted against the Fan/Fred bailout.

Pull up the roll call for HR 3221 to get a complete list of Repubs who voted against Fan/Fred bailout.

Call them! They care about you!

Forget about calling the 229 Dems and 45 Repubs. who voted for Fan/Fred bailout.

Toll free Cap. Hill switchboard (some aides working Sunday):

1-877-851-6437
1-866-338-1015

Tell the Aide to go to http://www.FedUpUSA.org for ideas for true solutions to the credit mess.

Thanks, Max. More from the highly-regarded Rasmussen polling firm:

"Opposition to the bailout plan has grown even after federal regulators seized Washington Mutual late Thursday."

Every time I watch a Ron Paul video, I feel like there is some common sense and hope.

I love how CNN reporters are spinning this as a "plan to buy up all the troubled mortgages", so J6P thinks it'll help him get abovewater, so he'll support it. The reporters are not saying "to buy up troubled mortgage backed assets".

JP6 doesn't know the dif, so the polls are shifting to reflect increased public support of this thing. Those polls will then be used as cover for both parties as they vote this week.

This is both pinch-me terrifying and fascinating to watch...

"If we do not pass this, we shouldn't be a Congress," he said.

Really? You can spend all night in multiple hand wringing sessions on this Wall Street bailout, but pass a 600 billion dollar budget in one day as an omnibus bill that is laden with pork?

Frikkin HYPOCRITE.

I agree- GO HOME.

. Polls show the public split about evenly

THE gallop poll was taken friday afternoon at the waldorf bull & bear club

The republican party is in collapse less than 60 days away from an election.

Democrat voters like big government and spending programs, they aren't going to lose any voters from their base.

What happened to the $400b in insurance for money market funds?

That seems pretty critical to me, especially if WB is about to fold.

“It is a cruel thought, that, when we feel ourselves standing on the firmest ground in every respect, the cursed arts of our secret enemies, combining with other causes, should effect, by depreciating our money, what the open arms of a powerful enemy could not.” ~Letter to Richard Henry Lee, 1779 by Thomas Jefferson

“Our public credit is good, but the abundance of paper has produced a spirit of gambling in the funds, which has laid up our ships at the wharves as too slow instruments of profit, and has even disarmed the hand of the tailor of his needle and thimble. They say the evil will cure itself. I wish it may; but I have rarely seen a gamester cured, even by the disasters of his vocation.” by Thomas Jefferso

The republican party is in collapse less than 60 days away from an election.

The House republicans are smart. Liars and hypocrites but smart liars and hypocrites

Democrat voters like big government and spending programs, they aren't going to lose any voters from their base.


Oh i don't know, my pet pig sure likes that Shelby guy, doesn't look like he's into pork on this one.

Ron Paul: we are expanding dollars

RP: dollar problem gets worse

Investors say market will be emotional. Life boat not big enough for everyone

onlineaces-----nice!

Ugh, can we talk economics and not politics? Thanks!

The guy at Pelosi's office says the bill will be posted here: House Financial Services Committee but he doesn't know when.

...freezing ATM terminals and credit card machines would absolutely kill the economy. Most people don't carry a lot of cash anymore; some people would literally go hungry.

And exactly how does that outcome prevent the event from happening?

It's like saying that my heart can't stop pumping because if it does my body will die.

Do you also aspire to immortality by such logic?

Comrade,
Politics and economics are all wrapped up on this one.

..all because a bunch of greedy assholes brainwashed you into exchanging billions of dollars in public assistance and thousands of pages in well-intended regulation for a few thousand in saved income taxes.

Sure looks like a great deal now, doesn't it.

Ugh, can we talk economics and not politics?

Only if our elected officials promise the same

All that sideline cash will be exhausted plugging holes in gaps of private debt. Until it is exhausted and the creditors foreclose anyway. As the banks, so go the overleveraged consumers. Sideline cash will evaporflate from credit service, taxes, maintenance. Any remainder will be claimed by imprudent friends and family attempting their own self bailouts. Today's national distress is foreshadowing every tribal group and individual in near future.

Max:

10% will never decide. Freedom unfortunately also means the freedom to be ignorant.

repubs fighting repubs . . . mcCain vs Bush vs Cantor vs Shelby vs gregg . . .

I love the smell of napalm in the morning

The bill should be posted right after shrub signs it.

There is no reason to hoard cash. I suspect they're shifting the printing of $1 bills to $100s to prepare for any hoarding. You want paper, will give you paper.

People relax about the $700 Billion, it's just the first step and once they pass this, the ball will keep rolling out of control, with no oversight!

sue writes:
I know things will be back to normal in this country when;

1) when a teenage kid with a beat up lawnmower wants to cut my lawn instead of a illegal immigrant.
sue | 09.28.08 - 3:09 pm |


The only problem is the teenage kid will not complete the job or worse mow over your flower bed while the illegal immigrant will do a great job including weeding the flower bed and take half what it's worth.

At the rate this collapse is going, a LOT can happen before the vote on Wednesday.

Another wrinkle from Clusterstock. Looks like the Senate wants a piece of the decision-making pie. And all you trilateralists will love the holiday part. Now where did I leave my tinfoil hat...?

Update (3:20 p.m.): Uh-oh. While the House is likely to vote on the bailout tomorrow, the Senate may not vote until Wednesday, Reuters is reporting. At issue is the requirement that spending bills originate in the House, and the coming Jewish holiday, which begins at sundown on Monday and ends at sundown on Tuesday.

Also, we're hearing that the initial tranche of bailout bucks for the Treasury will only be $250 billion, not the $350 billion that has been widely reported.

Paulson commandeers ship loaded with banks off coast of Manhattan, demands ransom.

US destroyer stands by, salutes.

Ricky Ricardo

problem is this plan does not deal with the credit crunch directly ...

the insolvent banks must be addressed, until then the credit system is in jeopardy and probably will crash once the monies appropriated are spent, spent for naught.

Bush back to drinking and snorting coke yet?

My wild guess is the vote will be taken sooner because of either the markets, bank runs or both...

10% will never decide. Freedom unfortunately also means the freedom to be ignorant.

Another reason why this country is great.

How come the bill doesn't have any late fees, electronic transfer fees, overdraft protection fees etc.

Bush back to drinking and snorting coke yet?
back to? how about 'still'?

Bush has been busy with architects designing his palaces in paraguay

sterlingerl writes:
"Now Warren Buffett (cnn, 16 minutes ago) is saying if the bailout is not passed there will be total meltdown. Well duh, yes for him, who just invested in Goldman. This endless fear mongering is getting tiresome. If there is going to be a meltdown, let's see it for heaven sake, so we can move on."

QFT! Give that man a stack of gold coins!

Text of H.R. 2755: Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act
House Resolution 2755

SEC. 2. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD ABOLISHED.
(a) In General- Effective at the end of the 1-year period beginning on the date of the enactment of this Act, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and each Federal reserve bank are hereby abolished.
(b) Repeal of Federal Reserve Act- Effective at the end of the 1-year period beginning on the date of the enactment of this Act, the Federal Reserve Act is hereby repealed.
(c) Disposition of Affairs-
(1) MANAGEMENT DURING DISSOLUTION PERIOD- During the 1-year period referred to in subsection (a), the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System--
(A) shall, for the sole purpose of winding up the affairs of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal reserve banks--

"It puts the $700 billion in the basket and it rubs the lotion on its skin."

mp - Conjure Bag's comments are always appreciated. Would like to know what would CB have liked to have seen done in our current situation?

This bill will not make bad loans good, or bad government better.

It's extortion. The only reason it is being considered is out of fear tactics, not out of common sense.

Gosh, what a mess. I guess we can keep the pressure on congress till they vote and then hold them responsible in November.

Now would be good time for someone to make an independent run for the presidency assuming it's not too late to get on the ballot. Right now I miss someone like Paul Wellstone in the senate.

This is not 1929: freezing ATM terminals and credit card machines would absolutely kill the economy. Most people don't carry a lot of cash anymore; some people would literally go hungry.

The average American male today is probably 40 pounds heavier than in 1929. One third of the population in obese. Body fat is the only thing we have saved up for this crisis.

Paulson is flying a nuclear bomb into wall street. Why is he any different from a terrorist in a plane with a bomb?

too bad wellstone had an 'accident'

New futures market: banker's bellies!

It boils down to this:

The Federal Reserve's sole function is to sell freshly printed government spending money to finance whatever budget deficit the U.S. Congress wishes to run. They call this a loan, with both fees and interest due. The new currency issue dilutes the total currency pool, devaluing previously existing currency a precisely corresponding amount.

The people pay for the new currency issue via a hidden tax on everything, known as inflation.

The Fed accrues interest and fees on the new currency.

Congress is allowed access to any amount of additional funds it wants to spend without overtly raising taxes.
H.R. 2755 [110th]: Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (GovTrack.us)

SDMisfit---yeah extra fat is better than high personal savings, and a low national debt circa 1929

Come on everyone,
Freedom isn't free,
Yeah, there's a heavy fuckin' fee.
(Freedom costs 700 billion [high not}dollars, yeah...)

Cue up Danger Zone. From Clusterstock:

Update (3:30 p.m.): Apparently the bill under consideration will grant the Federal Reserve new powers to fix interest rates.

"The draft bill gives Fed authority as of Oct. 1 to pay interest on reserves held at the central bank by financial institutions, according to a copy obtained by Bloomberg News. That would encourage banks to deposit excess funds with the Fed rather than dumping them into the money markets and distorting its overnight federal funds rate," Bloomberg says.

Some guy on FOX yesterday said that if the markets are so bad the short sellers would be selling. Didn't they ban short selling until Thursday?

some people would literally go hungry.

The average American male today is probably 40 pounds heavier than in 1929. One third of the population in obese. Body fat is the only thing we have saved up for this crisis.

I fully believe that there will be immense hardship if the bill is defeated. The problem is that I believe that there will also be immense hardship if the bill is passed. And the amount of resource to lessen the hardship will be $700B less.

*[high note]

Kucinich says not enough votes for bailout

News Archive - TheHill.com

A prominent liberal Democratic lawmaker said Sunday there are not enough votes to pass the bailout package as it stands now.

“I will tell you right now I don’t know if they have votes,” said Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio). “If the votes were there, this would be on the floor. The votes aren’t there.”

Kucinich was about to enter a Capitol building meeting room with fellow House Democrats who have been critical of the $700 billion relief measure for the Wall Street crisis.

The meeting was organized by Rep. Brad Sherman (D-Calif.) and has been termed the “Skeptics Caucus.” Lawmakers were meeting with well-known economists, such as James Galbraith, economics professor at the University of Texas, and William Isaac, former chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Commission.

Speaking before the meeting, Sherman equated the Treasury Department proposal to a power-grab by the Bush administration as well as a gift to failing financial services firms.

“This is greatest shift of power to the imperial presidency and the greatest shift of wealth to a still wealthy Wall Street that anyone could imagine,” said Sherman. In addition, the California Democrat also began distributing Sunday a “Dear Colleague” letter highly critical of the relief package.

Kucinich called for more hearings on the bailout despite Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaking about the proposal before lawmakers last week.

“None of this has been subject to a critical analysis. We haven’t had access to the books to the people who are claiming they are going broke,” said Kucinich. He also drew the parallel between the administration’s intense urgency on the Wall Street relief package and its drive towards the conflict in Iraq.

“They rushed this Congress into the Iraq resolution and look what happened. Catastrophe for this nation as well as for the people of Iraq,” said Kucinich.

House Republicans have been credited with slowing the bailout that led to the contentious White House summit involving both presidential candidates, Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Barack Obama (D-Ill.), on Thursday.

Kucinich alluded to his colleagues across the aisle that have also become a source of opposition to the bill.

“There is an attempt to create a fake partisan dichotomy here. This is not about Democrat versus Republican. This is about Main Street or Wall Street,” said Kucinich.

All you little blogsters are wasting your time. The 250 billion will be ours within days and we will further squeeze the credit markets to railroad public opinion for even more money through our minions on Capitol Hill.

sincerely,

The Bankster Clearing House LLC

im not very religious person,

but i do on occasion pray for simple great things, my childrens health and safety,you get the idea..

so please allow me one proverb...

He that troubles his own house shall inherit the wind: and the fool shall be servant to the wise of heart


it sunny in the great Pacific NW

im stepping out the back porch to cut firewood for the winter

great ROI

Exactly JP---just think what these borrowed funds could do! Insted of saving the bankster mafia

Nude, BusinessTime et al., the executive compensation limits and equity options will limit the extent to which big institutions tap this. You think Goldman executives are going to take a steep pay cut and hand out options for Goldman stock to John Q. Public just to get a few securities off their books?

You may recall Hank Paulson stridently opposing the executive compensation caps earlier this week because it would keep companies from making use of it. Actually, it won't keep companies from making use of it; it will only keep big companies with overcompensated management from making use of it, who just happen to be friends of his. That, however, is perfectly fine by me.

On the assumption that there actually is a crisis,

Should a Financial Institution not wish to take part because of the requirement for equity participation by the Government (on behalf of the Taxpayer), then so be it. They are on their own. They can sink or swim.

Should a Financial Institution not wish to take part because of the requirement for restrictions on executive compensation, then so be it. They are on their own. They can sink or swim.

Should a Financial Institution not wish to take part because of the requirement for independent oversight and transparency, then so be it. They are on their own. They can sink or swim.

So if large Banks, Wall Street or otherwise, find the terms less than palatable that leaves more for small regional banks. And if a prolonged recession (depression) occurs the money will be better placed there rather than Wall Street.

I like the idea (ok it may not happen) of “requiring posting of transactions online”. I hope they mean within a short space of time following the transaction. If this is the case the market will have information it can use to discover price.

However, even if there is a crisis, and presuming that these measures stave off that crisis, the USA still needs to way up to the fact that as a Nation and as Individuals the game is over. Too much debt at a National and Individual level.

These measures may or may not stop imminent Armageddon.

But one thing is for sure they do nothing to stop the inevitable deep recession.

The funny money is gone and it’s not coming back any time soon.

Of course if Hank actually needed $700 right now to pay off his gambling debts it won’t work.

The debt collector will give him two days and promise to break his legs after that.

“There is an attempt to create a fake partisan dichotomy here. This is not about Democrat versus Republican. This is about Main Street or Wall Street,” said Kucinich.

Outright mutiny, folks. This bill is dying on the vine.

max

Pollster.com: What the Bailout Polls Really Tell Us

Pew shows 2:1 for; LA Times /Bloomberg 2:1 against

WaPo ande CBS/NYT are about 50:50.

I suspect it depends on the exact phrasing of the ?

CNNMoney.com posted the 106 pg doc discussion draft for those who have not yet read it...

CNNMoney.com

Perfect timing - as hedgies unwind and markets get caught in the down draft the sense of fear will may it happen.

FFDIC writes:
CNNMoney.com posted the 106 pg doc discussion draft for those who have not yet read it...

CNNMoney.com: 404 Page Not Found index.htm


Is this the finalized bill or are they still a tinkering with it? Pig and I are curious.

How come I can't find info on this legislation? Is America a democracy?

Search Results - THOMAS (Library of Congress)

CNNMoney.com posted the 106 pg doc discussion draft for those who have not yet read it...

Thanks...is this the latest?

I suspect it depends on the exact phrasing of the ?

Of course it does. But 99% of those contacting their reps are opposed. And these guys care about "likely voters," right?

Re: Mark-to-Hank!

What about Hank-to-Goldma

Everything is happening in the right order. That is blowing away one bs after another bs assumptions and bringing people on their realization that the current pyramid is collapsing and it can't be reparied.

A wise person wrote this.

Rob Dawg writes:
"It puts the $700 billion in the basket and it rubs the lotion on its skin."

LOL. Warped creative mind.

Sorry for the OT (only kinda, sadly)

Does anybody here have any recommendations for shotguns? I'm looking for some insurance against financial armageddon.

Also, even if we aren't facing economic doomsday, I'd like to be able to use it for Trap shooting.

Does anyone have a favorite model?

With all this mess - where are the market vigilantes? (Both bond and equity)

And don't you think that PPT might now be tasked with helping a plunge to force the bailout bill?

How dire must the situation really be, that these congressmen are willing to vote against the publics wish of no bailout even if it means their job come November.

It must be that bad.

Well folks keep calling your reps ... there may be a glimmer ...

any rep who votes against this will probably have their arm in a sling for quite a while ...

rep by zip ...

C-SPAN | Capitol Hill, The White House and National Politics

Max People who contact their reps are mostly ideological whackos of the left or right and not representative of the average joe. Also what if someone calls their rep and says I'm against it unless it has A, B and C. Suppose A and B are now in it. How do you count that call?

(b) AUCTIONPURCHASES.—Where the Secretary determines that the purposes of this Act are best met through auction purchases of troubled assets, and only where such purchases in the aggregate exceed
$300,000,000, the Secretary shall prohibit any golden parachute for any employee hired after the successful participation in such an auction who also qualifies as a covered executive under section 162(m)(5)(D) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986. The Secretary shall issue guidance to carry out this paragraph not later than 2 months after the date of enactment of this Act, and such guidance shall be effective upon issuance.

Well,,i dont know,,was expecting something to happen today and finish up on monday,, i bet the asian markets open lower..

I have to head out but it's not totally thoughtless.

The Treasury Secretary has to define guidelines for purchase within 45 days. No assets after March 14, 2008 eligable, no purchase for prices higher than paid by the selling institution.

On the other hand, if you do business in the US and your not a FCB you're good to go.

And I do too...

Comrade Gavshire Hathaway writes:
Sorry for the OT (only kinda, sadly)

Does anybody here have any recommendations for shotguns? I'm looking for some insurance against financial armageddon.

Also, even if we aren't facing economic doomsday, I'd like to be able to use it for Trap shooting.

Does anyone have a favorite model?

I hear Biden's favorite is a Baretta. LOL, but that's another story.

Ricky Ricardo

still with the slime balls program eh ?

whatcha getting paid ?

covered executive

This is like The DOL exemption for prohibited action in The PPA

Long article on Politio:

The bailout: Will the center hold? 

Proofreading and some heavy-duty political marketing are the next big steps for Treasury’s $700 billion rescue plan as House and Senate leaders take their agreement back to their restless caucuses — split on the left and right.

House Republicans are the biggest test, with conservatives still rebellious. But Democrats have their own problems and moved quickly to emphasize Wall Street reforms, new protections for homeowners and an elaborate financing scheme that would allow a future Congress to cut off the funding after the first $350 billion commitment.

“If we don’t pass it, we shouldn’t be in Congress,” snapped Sen. Judd Gregg (R., N.H.), the lead negotiator for Senate Republicans. But from the moment House Speaker Nancy Pelosi brought down the gavel Sunday, a parade of conservatives and liberals were on their feet bashing the deal. And the political center may be defined by the two major presidential candidates, John McCain and Barack Obama, who both signaled support for the package.

...

Following marathon negotiations that ran past midnight, the agreement now is taking shape in the form of an estimated 106-page bill that the leadership hopes to finalize and post on the House Web site Sunday afternoon.

Treasury would like to see prompt Senate action as well, but given the Jewish holiday of Rosh Hashanah beginning at sundown Monday, a final vote could very well wait until Wednesday or Thursday.

...

One thing I will guarantee is if the bill goes down and the market crashes anyone who voted No is toast. If you vote Yes and the market goes down in 3 or 6 months you can easily say, you tried your best.


I suspect it depends on the exact phrasing of the ?

The questions weren't even close.

Pew asked: The gov't is thinking of investing billions. Is this the right or wrong thing to do?

Wapo was on "the recent steps taken by the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department", ie aig/fnm/fre

LAtimes: "Do you think the government should use taxpayers' dollars to rescue ailing private financial firms whose collapse could have adverse effects on the economy and market, or is it not the government's responsibility to bail out private companies with taxpayers' dollars?"

Not one of them talks about $700B. See Rasmussen latest for more relevant numbers.

Nobody writes: Kucinich was about to enter a Capitol building meeting room with fellow House Democrats who have been critical of the $700 billion relief measure for the Wall Street crisis. The meeting was organized by Rep. Brad Sherman (D-Calif.) and has been termed the “Skeptics Caucus.”

This is GREAT news... I was hoping against hope that the left wing of the Democratic party would split off like the right wing of the Republican party has. (Sherman has given some excellent interviews on this issue.)

Deal ain't done.

‘‘(D) COVERED EXECUTIVE.—For pur-
poses of this paragraph

IN GENERAL.—The term ‘covered executive’ means, with respect to any applicable taxable year, any employee who, at any time during the portion of the taxable year during
which the authorities under section

101(a) of the Economic Recovery and
Corporate Accountability Act of 2008 are in effect (determined under section 119 thereof), is the chief executive officer of the applicable employer or the chief financial officer of the applicable employer, or an individual acting in either such capacity, or who is described in clause

Wonder who'll survive the end of the month financial reporting. We need to delay the bill past then at least, don't let them use phony marks, or we'll never get rid of this cancer.

addendum: the next LAtimes question was whether GM should receive a bailout. Answer was 64/25 against.

No one has even noticed their bailout passed in all the noise about the WS bailout.

Ricky Ricardo writes:
One thing I will guarantee is if the bill goes down and the market crashes anyone who voted No is toast.
~~~~~~

Wrong ... if we have a real plan like the Scandinavian Plan ... a plan that would address the real problems ...

mmcknl: You couldn't pay me enough to deal with an idiot like you

Which appears to be what the Senate is doing. They won't vote until October.

Does anybody here have any recommendations for shotguns? I'm looking for some insurance against financial armageddon.

Also, even if we aren't facing economic doomsday, I'd like to be able to use it for Trap shooting.

Does anyone have a favorite model?

Mossberg model 500. Get an 18" shrouded barrel imp. cyl. when you buy it, and you can get longer barrels with normal screw-in chokes very easily and cheaply.

I do not know how the economic concept of risk and the thermodynamic concept of entropy have been related (as Shannon did with Uncertainty and Entropy) but it seems intuitively clear that at a deep level they are the same. So one cannot overcome risk any more then entropy. Overcoming entropy is at the heart of perpetual motion)

Think of it this way. In thermodynamics, you extract energy from a system by exploiting its imbalances. Over time, the imbalances disappear (indicated by increases in entropy), and there is less and less energy for extraction.

Markets are based on the same principles, but with energy replaced by money. An imbalance in the markets represents an opportunity to extract money: probabilistic reward larger than risk (probabilistic loss). Once everyone crowds into one trade (houses/stocks only go up!!) the imbalances disappear, or wrose, become imbalanced in the other direction, and there would be no more money to be made in the same trade. The PPT stick saves, which tries to maintain an imbalance, requires pumping energy into the system, and that had to come from imbalances elsewhere. In the end they cannot win: imbalances in all markets overall decrease over time.

And this is why markets are a weighing machine in the long run.

Ricky Ricardo I think you have been singularly unperceptive, perhaps another recipient elsewhere needs your contributions at this time.

Anonymous writes:
Bush back to drinking and snorting coke yet?

I don't know if he is, but I'm having beer for breakfast, and lunch. I'm usually a Riesleng kinda gal but with the budget and all...

OT (please help)- I have 100% of my money now in a treasury money market with Vanguard. All of the assets within the fund are invested in US treasuries. I thought it was a safe bet. But if the system collapses as they say it could, how do I get my money out? Vanguard will have to write me a check and checks wouldn't be cashed in an all-out financial disaster.

What are people doing with their money now? Curious, because I'm confused as hell.

mmckinl: Scandinavian Plan is a great idea. It's not on the table, though. And do you thing the House GOP wants to substitute that?

SEC. 115. GRADUATED AUTHORIZATION TO PURCHASE.
9
(a) AUTHORITY.—The authority of the Secretary to
10
purchase troubled assets under this Act shall be limited
11
as follows:
12
(1) Effective upon the date of enactment of this
13
Act, such authority shall be limited to
14
$250,000,000,000 outstanding at any one time.
15
(2) If at any time, the President submits to the
16
Congress a written certification that the Secretary is
17
exercising the authority under this paragraph, effec-
18
tive upon such submission, such authority shall be
19
limited to $350,000,000,000 outstanding at any one
20
time.
21

Interesting stuff about entropy based pricing: a series of papers by Foellmer and Schweitzer. (oe is the German o-umlaut, but the papers are in English.)

Basically this material was made less rigorous and plagiarized by some guy at U. Wisconsin in a later paper in J. Finance that doesn't even mention them.

Thats why i wish they would vote down the bill,,just to see how many banks have been cheating..

Ricky, what are you doing?

(3) If at any time after obligations of amounts
described in paragraphs (1) and (2) have been made, the President transmits to the Congress a written report detailing the plan of the Secretary to exercise the authority under this paragraph, unless there is enacted, within 15 calendar days of such submission, a joint resolution described in subsection (c), effective upon the expiration of such 15-day period, such authority shall be limited to $700,000,000,000 outstanding at any one time.

So, this can go on, and on....

Max People who contact their reps are mostly ideological whackos of the left or right and not representative of the average joe. Also what if someone calls their rep and says I'm against it unless it has A, B and C. Suppose A and B are now in it. How do you count that call?

OK, RR might be adding more heat than light, but for those who are curious about the above Q:

There is a scorecard, staffers assume each communication is representative of
5 votes for an email
50 votes for a phone call.

When the AB/ABC comm happens, a portion is put into each column. It's inexact, but these folks are never working with exact info.

“If the votes were there, this would be on the floor. The votes aren’t there.”

What are people doing with their money now? Curious, because I'm confused as hell.


Overseas markets look good, especially commodities and beaten down stocks for the longer run.

Comrade Hathaway, you should check out Benelli shotguns before purchasing. I use the Super Sport Comfortech with carbon fiber stock.
Benelli USA | 404 Error - Page not found

Max writes:
I suspect it depends on the exact phrasing of the ?

Of course it does. But 99% of those contacting their reps are opposed. And these guys care about "likely voters," right?
Max | Homepage | 09.28.08 - 3:53 pm | #

Ya but a lot of those calls are from someone in Oregon calling a rep from Indiana - not EXACTLY a 'likely voter' for them. In that case accurate polling data is often time more motivational.

We should have some good leaks from the caucus meetings. The discussions should be heated, to say the least. The rank and file are not happy about this at all, and House party leadership is now in doubt. If the bailout survives this process, it'll then have to go through the Senate. My new prediction: no bailout bill this week.

Deal "still not final"

The tentative agreement is "still not final," according to Antonia Ferrier, the communications director for House Republican Whip Roy Blunt (Mo.).

"Democrats and Republicans worked in good faith to come up with a proposal that is promising in principle, but that is still not final," Ferrier said on Sunday afternoon.

"Bipartisan staff from the House and Senate continue to review and draft the legislation," she said. "We hope to have a final product by later this afternoon."

Leaders on both sides of the aisle are gearing up for their respective caucus meetings this afternoon. Opponents in both parties are expected to express their complaints in an effort to sway undecided colleagues.

Ricky Ricardo writes:
mmckinl: Scandinavian Plan is a great idea. It's not on the table, though. And do you thing the House GOP wants to substitute that?
~~~

The Dems pass it and send it to Bush ...

all money goes through the FDIC to re-capitalize solvent banks while insolvent banks are stripped and the business merged with good banks.

such authority shall be limited to $700,000,000,000 outstanding at any one time.

any one time....

Cumulative total of bonus money paid by Wall Street firms 2000-2007:

$192 billion.

citizen energyecon writes:
“If the votes were there, this would be on the floor. The votes aren’t there.”
citizen energyecon | Homepage | 09.28.08 - 4:08 pm | #

If the votes were there this would have been signed already. Asia opens when?

i can tell ya,,,my bank has 'no' safety deposit boxes avail... a condition that has never been...

So any restrictions on exec pay only kick in to any employee hired AFTER his co's participation in the first auction? It doesn't apply to current CEO's?

and it will only apply if his co. is dumping more than $300,000,000 in aggregate into the auction??

did I read that part right?

Good to know, I will call today and in the AM tomorrow .

"There is a scorecard, staffers assume each communication is representative of
5 votes for an email
50 votes for a phone call.

When the AB/ABC comm happens, a portion is put into each column. It's inexact, but these folks are never working with exact info.?

Ok, WTF is this??

Subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United
States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limitation contained in such subsection and inserting $11,315,000,000,000’’. 12

hmmmm

SEC. 122. INCREASE IN STATUTORY LIMIT ON THE PUBLIC
7
DEBT.
8
Subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United
9
States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limita-
10
tion contained in such subsection and inserting
11
‘‘$11,315,000,000,000’’.
12

Confused as hell writes:
OT (please help)- I have 100% of my money now in a treasury money market with Vanguard. All of the assets within the fund are invested in US treasuries. I thought it was a safe bet. But if the system collapses as they say it could, how do I get my money out? Vanguard will have to write me a check and checks wouldn't be cashed in an all-out financial disaster.

A lot of people would love to trade places with you right now. There is no place to hide from the turmoil, but a Treasury MM Fund sounds as good as any.

Ok, WTF is this??

Subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United
States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limitation contained in such subsection and inserting $11,315,000,000,000’’. 12

Raising the debt ceiling.

Main Street (us) says, Hey, we don't need no more credit available for another stinkin' McDonalds. We've got plenty. If Sally/Timmy want to attend college, they'll have to work their way through, or attend a less expensive state college, if they can't get a loan. Our jobs have been outsourced already, so don't talk to me about losing my job!

Life will go on. Be brave.

Sec. 10. Increase in Statutory Limit on the Public Debt.

Subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limitation contained in such subsection and inserting in lieu thereof $11,315,000,000,000.

- NY Times

Ia even one bonus recipient offering to give even a dollar back?

Is the WaMu president who was only in office a few weeks really gonna keep that entire golden parachute? Now, you can't blame him for WaMu's failure, and I suppose he should get a little bit to tide him over. . . nope, not unless the fired employees get a silver or lead parachute,

The Dems pass it and send it to Bush ...

all money goes through the FDIC to re-capitalize solvent banks while insolvent banks are stripped and the business merged with good banks.
mmckinl | 09.28.08 - 4:09 pm | #

That assumes the Repubs don't filibuster it in the Senate. It just ain't going to happen right now. Maybe in Jan with a new Congress and Pres.

Well,,looks like anyone elected to office is screwed,,with the war and the on going bailout costs,,,they will be broke for next four years..

“[The] Bank of the United States… is one of the most deadly hostility existing, against the principles and form of our Constitution… An institution like this, penetrating by its branches every part of the Union, acting by command and in phalanx, may, in a critical moment, upset the government. I deem no government safe which is under the vassalage of any self-constituted authorities, or any other authority than that of the nation, or its regular functionaries.” ~Letter to Albert Gallatin, 1803

Me no get:

. In this rule the term ''statutory limit on the public debt'' means the maximum face amount of obligations issued under authority of chapter 31 of title 31, United States Code, and obligations guaranteed as to principal and interest by the United States (except such guaranteed obligations as may be held by the Secretary of the Treasury), as determined under section 3101(b) of such title after the application of section 3101(a) of such title, that may be outstanding at any one time.

Office of the Clerk Rules of the House

From the Crypt:

Gregg pleads for Monday vote

Sen. Judd Gregg urged his fellow lawmakers to bring proposed bailout legislation to the Senate floor for a vote on Monday, arguing that it is “absolutely critical” to send a message to the market that congressional action is imminent.

With the House expected to vote on the bill sometime on Monday, Gregg called for swift action on the bill Sunday afternoon. The Senate is scheduled to adjourn from sundown on Monday night until Thursday morning for the Jewish holiday Rosh Hashana.

Gregg, who has been leading negotiations for Senate Republicans, warned of dire consequences for Wall Street if talks on the bailout bill collapsed.

“The people I talked to said that this was worse than anything they had ever seen,” he said.

Gregg said the various financial experts he spoke with outlined “specific and graphic” scenarios that would ensue if Congress failed to act.

However, Gregg praised the latest compromise, arguing that in the end it will benefit taxpayers.

“My gut tells me we are going to make money on this,” he said.

Clyburn: "I feel good" about bailout count

From John Bresnahan: Majority Whip Jim Clyburn is pleased with discussions among a handful of Dem caucuses -- and the the South Carolina Democrat predicts he's already got a majority for the bailout compromise.

"I have not started counting anything but I feel good," Clyburn said after the meeting with conservative Blue Dog Dems.

Clyburn indicated that he thought a majority of the Democratic Caucus supported the $700 billion package.

"I think it's improved enormously," Rep. Jane Harman (D-Calif.) said of the new bill. Harman, who attended two separate meetings with party leaders, said she was "leaning 'yes'" on the legislation.

Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) remains part of a hard-core band of Democrats who oppose the package.

DeFazio criticized Democratic leaders for essentially agreeing to the original proposal offered by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson more than a week ago.

DeFazio said Paulson, formed head of Goldman Sachs, "created this weapon of mass destruction, and now he's there saying he's the only one who can dismantle it."

Dryfly:

They are still negotiating regarding who will be allowed to vote no.

If they lose re-election next month, many will be in the soup lines with the rest of us.

mmckinl - this is pretty much the last bailout of this magnitude. If this passes, there will be no more. We're placing all of our hope and cashing in all of our political will on this plan. If it is implemented and fails in its purpose, then that's pretty much it.

HELLO:

This is worth reading IMHO:

RULE XXVII: STATUTORY LIMIT ON PUBLIC DEBT

  1. Upon adoption by Congress of a concurrent resolution on the budget under section 301 or 304 of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 that sets forth, as the appropriate level of the public debt for the period to which the concurrent resolution relates, an amount that is different from the amount of the statutory limit on the public debt that otherwise would be in effect for that period, the Clerk shall prepare an engrossment of a joint resolution increasing or decreasing, as the case may be, the statutory limit on the public debt in the form prescribed in clause 2. Upon engrossment of the joint resolution, the vote by which the concurrent resolution on the budget was finally agreed to in the House shall also be considered as a vote on passage of the joint resolution in the House, and the joint resolution shall be considered as passed by the House and duly certified and examined. The engrossed copy shall be signed by the Clerk and transmitted to the Senate for further legislative action.
  2. The matter after the resolving clause in a joint resolution described in clause 1 shall be as follows: ''That subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limitation contained in such subsection and inserting in lieu thereof '$_________'.'', with the blank being filled with a dollar limitation equal to the appropriate level of the public debt set forth pursuant to section 301(a)(5) of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 in the relevant concurrent resolution described in clause 1. If an adopted concurrent resolution under clause 1 sets forth different appropriate levels of the public debt for separate periods, only one engrossed joint resolution shall be prepared under clause 1; and the blank referred to in the preceding sentence shall be filled with the limitation that is to apply for each period.
  3. (a) The report of the Committee on the Budget on a concurrent resolution described in clause 1 and the joint explanatory statement of the managers on a conference report to accompany such a concurrent resolution each shall contain a clear statement of the effect the eventual enactment of a joint resolution engrossed under this rule would have on the statutory limit on the public debt. (b) It shall not be in order for the House to consider a concurrent resolution described in clause 1, or a conference report thereon, unless the report of the Committee on the Budget or the joint explanatory statement of the managers complies with paragraph (a).
  4. Nothing in this rule shall be construed as limiting or otherwise affecting- (a) the power of the House or the Senate to consider and pass bills or joint resolutions, without regard to the procedures under clause 1, that would change the statutory limit on the public debt; or (b) the rights of Members, Delegates, the Resident Commissioner, or committees with respect to the introduction, consideration, and reporting of such bills or joint resolutions.
  5. In this rule the term ''statutory limit on the public debt'' means the maximum face amount of obligations issued under authority of chapter 31 of title 31, United States Code, and obligations guaranteed as to principal and interest by the United States (except such guaranteed obligations as may be held by the Secretary of the Treasury), as determined under section 3101(b) of such title after the application of section 3101(a) of such title, that may be outstanding at any one time.

Office of the Clerk Rules of the House

And, nobody, it will fail. There is not enough money in the world to save us.

I feel comfortable ...
I feel good ...
I feel confident ...

Those are Wall Street weasel words to say whatever you want to say. They commit you to nothing and are utterly meaningless. I remember how my old WS boss used them.

some1,

Pure jawboning - the fallback position of a deal on the ropes...

And, nobody, it will fail. There is not enough money in the world to save us.

I agree that the plan will do very little.

Sorry baby, this is important:

THIS was then: ..engrossment of a joint resolution increasing or decreasing, as the case may be, the statutory limit on the public debt in the form prescribed in clause 2

  1. The matter after the resolving clause in a joint resolution described in clause 1 shall be as follows: ''That subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limitation contained in such subsection and inserting in lieu thereof '$_________'.'', with the blank being filled with a dollar limitation equal to the appropriate level of the public debt set forth pursuant to section 301(a)(5) of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 in the relevant concurrent resolution described in clause 1. If an adopted concurrent resolution under clause 1 sets forth different appropriate levels of the public debt for separate periods, only one engrossed joint resolution shall be prepared under clause 1; and the blank referred to in the preceding sentence shall be filled with the limitation that is to apply for each period.

THIIS IS NOW**

SEC. 122. INCREASE IN STATUTORY LIMIT ON THE PUBLIC DEBT.
Subsection (b) of section 3101 of title 31, United
States Code, is amended by striking out the dollar limitation contained in such subsection and inserting
‘$11,315,000,000,000’’.

Kona writes:
HELLO:

This is worth reading IMHO:

Does this mean they can break their own self imposed ceiling?

Nobody: perhaps. Didn't we say that once or twice already?

If it fails the people will be further weakened and unable to resist then as well as we can resist now. Some here are talking about strikes. If things get worse, nobody will dare even think of that.

This is only 'one' of the challanges facing the country,, if this bailout fixes all the problems,,,i would quit message boards...lol

"Does anybody here have any.

Don't buy a big old 12-gauge. You'll never be able to maneuver that thing indoors and you will likely smack yourself in the face with it before you can aim. I've read that the Russian Saiga .410 is really the best thing going for home defense.

PS- .410's won't pierce body armor so just aim for the face =)

That assumes the Repubs don't filibuster it in the Senate. It just ain't going to happen right now. Maybe in Jan with a new Congress and Pres.
Ricky Ricardo | 09.28.08 - 4:14 pm | #

I can wait - by then we'll have a lot better idea of the real damage - less hype.

That assumes the Repubs don't filibuster it in the Senate. It just ain't going to happen right now. Maybe in Jan with a new Congress and Pres.
Ricky Ricardo

~~~~~~~~~

Let 'em filibuster ... it will be the end of the Republican Party ...

Kona so they are overriding their budget ceiling process, throwing it in the dump.

Now there would be no process, only the number in this bill.

Right?

Nobody writes:
mmckinl - this is pretty much the last bailout of this magnitude.
~~~~~~~~

Until the credit markets crash and another bailout is on the table ...

Hot off the press?

LEGISLATIVE PROPOSAL FOR TREASURY AUTHORITY
TO PURCHASE TROUBLED ASSETS

http://downloads.newsok.com/documents/s28bailout.pdf

(2) entering into contracts, including contracts for services
authorized by section 3109 of title 5, United States Code, without
regard to any other provision of law regarding public contracts;
Q

******>>>>>>>>>>>!!!!!!

Sec. 8. Review.

Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are
non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be
reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

Fuck you Paulson, you fucking crook!

Sec. 8. Review.

Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are
non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be
reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.
Kona | 09.28.08 - 4:22 pm | #

Any fucking rep that allows that shit, should be hung for Treason!

Re: Sec. 8. Review.

Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are
non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be
reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

That assumes the Repubs don't filibuster it [a Scandinavian-style plan] in the Senate. It just ain't going to happen right now. Maybe in Jan with a new Congress and Pres.

Holy cow, the Repubs wouldn't dare filibuster an honest bailout right now. An honest bailout would have support from most economists and probably a majority of the population. To filibuster, to block consideration, would bring electoral disaster on them and they know it. The electoral climate and balance of seats up for grabs has them at substantial risk of disaster already.

The best self-defense is community. Anything else is an invitation to a tragedy.

dryfly-I respect your position. But this plan will calm the markets somewhat and very little actual money will be spent by Jan, so I lean to doing it and then taking it all up then and putting something much better in place.

Best wishes to all.

Kona-- thank you for texts-- so they snuck the "no judicial/administrative review of the SecTreasury's actions back IN?

How can anyone back this type of mafia/fascist extortion? This is America, where are the people?

Re: Sec. 8. Review.

Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are
non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be
reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.
Kona | 09.28.08 - 4:25 pm | #

Where are the people????

Re: so they snuck the "no judicial/administrative review of the SecTreasury's actions back IN?

That is almost funny, ok, I did laugh, but this is a talking point when you call your reps, or when they come to your town begging for a vote. They all should be hung tonight and then be burned at the base of The Lincoln Monument!

I can wait - by then we'll have a lot better idea of the real damage - less hype.

I suppose, but Paulson guaranteed that the markets will panic if something (regardless of what) isn't done as a signal that the US is willing to intervene more directly and explicitly.

Congress doesn't adjourn without doing something.

Paulson/Bush/Republicans have forced something to happen. If that something is nothing, then they have moved up a total rout of the economy to the month before the elections.

No one wants to see greed bailed out..... most people would be quite pleased with a proactive "rescue" of their own employers, 401k, etc. Simply a matter of framing.

Ok, maybe I fucked up (I doubt it):

The version I'm reacting to above may be the older version.

I went back and looked at the latest publication and found this:

(1) STANDARD.—Actions by the Secretary pur-
18
suant to the authority of this Act shall be subject to
19
chapter 7 of title 5, United States Code, including
20
that such actions shall be held unlawful and set
21
aside if found to be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse
22
of discretion, or not in accordance with law.
23

KILL THE BILL!!!!!!

Ziggurat writes: They are still negotiating regarding who will be allowed to vote no.

Too many short straws, not enough safe seats unless the far-left and far-right wings (where most of the safest seats are) come back onto the reservation.

The thing here is, they have so much going on, so fast and so much legislation connecting crap, that there is confusion, chaos and a lack of democracy!

This Bailout Plan is a lot like a synthetic derivative, in that we have very little idea as to what connects this bill to the last bill and so on and so on....

I have no idea yet, if Section 8 (LEGISLATIVE PROPOSAL FOR TREASURY AUTHORITY
TO PURCHASE TROUBLED ASSETS ) connects to The ‘Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008:

Sec. 8. Review.

Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are
non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be
reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

I hope our Reps are less confused and I hope they have time to NOT panic and look at every detail and then take time to use common sense -- versus being retards!

Kona-- wasn't being funny-- heard some TV talkhead reminding people of the big tobacco settlement when an "unknown & untraceable anonymous somebody" on the Hill inserted a rider into the fine print of the final bill that actually gave the tobacco companies bamillions.

They knew that in the rush to vote, nobody'd read the whole bill.

zuzu,

Yah, I agree, The Pension Protection Act was 1000 pages and few people even knew it was written -- besides SIFMA -- who wrote it!

I guess they just changed the language a bit here:

(2) LIMITATIONS ON EQUITABLE RELIEF.

(3) LIMITATIONONACTIONSBYPARTICIPATING
4
COMPANIES.—No action or claims may be brought against the Secretary by any person that divests its assets with respect to its participation in a program under this Act, except as provided in paragraph other than as expressly provided in a written contract with the Secretary.

Only A Divine Intervention From God, Could Stop This Proposal From Passing.

Presenting, Rosh Hashana.

Kona writes:

I have no idea yet, if Section 8 (LEGISLATIVE PROPOSAL FOR TREASURY AUTHORITY
TO PURCHASE TROUBLED ASSETS ) connects to The ‘Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008:

Kona,

I'm not sure I follow you here.

The disgusting S8 was Herr Paulsons proposal.

It will not become law.

(2) entering into contracts, including contracts for services
authorized by section 3109 of title 5, United States Code, without
regard to any other provision of law regarding public contracts;

There seems nothing particularly wrong with this.

Its covered by existing United States Code

Oh, this is nice:

TROUBLED ASSETS.—The term ‘‘troubled
assets’’ means—

..any other financial instrument that the Secretary, after consultation with the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System, determines the purchase of which is necessary to promote financial market stability,

blah, blah.... Secretary of the Treasury
has taken or plans to take using any authority provided in the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, including an estimate of the current value of all assets purchased and sold under the authority provided in the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 using methodology required by
the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990 and section of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008..

Hmmm, methodology required by
the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990

Re: The trend for the subsidy reestimates has been for the magnitude to increase,but in May 2001, CBO stated that it lacked any methodology to forecast the direction or size of future reestimates. 27

27 U.S. Congressional Budget Office, An Analysis of the President’s Budgetary Proposalsfor Fiscal Year 2002 (Washington: May 2002), p. 4

http://digital.library.unt.edu/govdocs/crs//data/2003/upl-meta-crs-7706/RL30346_2003Jun23.pdf

Federal Credit Reform: Implementation
Of the Changed Budgetary Treatment of
Direct Loans and Loan Guarantees

Scooby yur n ijit. 12, cut stock, cut barrel, slug or high shoot steel. GR* stuff. Not legal, contact your attorney and local authorities for review. 9" double blade high carbon steel knife with sling or machete also effective back up. I holster and sling mine fer church.

Not only are we out of money, we are running out of synonyms.

Bailout -> rescue.

Now it's: "It's a buy-in so we can turn our economy around" (Pelosi).

Well, hell's bells, in that case...can I get two for one?

AND my pony?

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