Also, it's the one year anniversary of <a href="http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2007/08/cramer-goes-crazy.html>Cramer Goes Crazy (not the Seinfeld one)
What's rather convenient is that Cerberus doesn't have to report just how FUGLY the Chrysler sales numbers are. If that were to be known, I suspect it would be much harder to find funding.
Really not an issue. Paulson is expected to announce at 6AM that the US Treasury is desperate for 50,000 Dodge Ram Quad Cab Dualies...
And low and behold they are paying cash!!!
In other news, Chrysler officials have been working overtime to negotiate a deal with Wal-Mart for 5,000 box fans. Apparently Chrysler has lots of "paper" with "wet ink" that requires some "drying" before they can run it over to their brand new account at Citibank!
Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?
No, because the problem is not just too many SUVs and pick-up trucks. It's too many vehicles, period.
For years, auto makers pumped more cars into the pipeline that people wanted, needed or really could afford. They did this with easy no-money-down credit, great leases, incentives, rebates, etc.
Just as there are too many houses relative to demand, there are too many cars. It will take years for all these excess cars to be absorbed. Just like housing, there's excess on both the new and existing sides of supply.
A lot of people are giving up 2nd, 34d and 4th cars -- downsizing the number of vehicles they own. And corporate fleets also are downsizing. That's the real reason leases are drying up. Auto finance companies are projecting out 3-4 years, when today's cars would come off lease, and they can't see the excess supply being worked off by then.
"Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?"
-Neil
There are a LOT of people out there that want to disown their current gas guzzlers. They are aware that the trade-in values of late have been heavily discounted. So, you've got a TON of people stuck with humongous vehicles that would like to get rid of them and the associated debt and get into something more nimble if possible. If there was a way to offer those potential trade-ins full bluebook wholesale guaranteed on their trade in, that might help a bunch. Then Chrysler could look for a way to clear that new inventory from the lots by selling to the oil exporting countries. Make some deals with the Russians, the Saudis.
The entire deal was suspect from the start. To my untrained eye, it looked like an attempt to drain the final bits of value from the remaining stakeholders, and let the shell stumble along for a few years before a pre-ordained collapse, with the delay only to help cover the trail.
Taxpayers will pick up the legacy costs. Rather than seen as a "failure", this is a roaring success: expect GM and Ford to be watching closely.
Barley, I have NO idea, honestly. I'm not talking about people who are trading in a Tahoe working feverishly to get a Prius. If they can find something that will offer 20mpg instead of 12 mpg and cost the same or a little less they might bite.
"Aug. 4 (Bloomberg) -- HSBC Holdings Plc will seek to negotiate a lower price for Korea Exchange Bank after financial stocks slumped in the 11 months since the $6 billion purchase was first announced, two people familiar with the matter said."
"The refinancing was critical; it amounted to nearly half of the $70 billion in working capital of the finance unit of Chrysler LLC and was used to help fund car leases, retail car loans and loans to dealers called floor-plan loans."
I also assume that they are going to have to get rid of some of their dealers that they currently floor vehicles for...the dominos here are falling fast.
Well maybe this all works out... If the SUVs and pickup trucks that are on the lots are worthless, well then they don't need as much debt to hold them...
I as sure that any "reported interest" in its assets are Cerberus rumors and nothing more than loose partnerships with its dealer network. Union interests, protectionism, and declining sales will turn away any potential foreign buyers.
Can't see Tata having any interest...guessing they've got hands full digesting/integrating Jaguar and Land Rover. If not for that, they MIGHT be interested in (a?) "Hummer".
crispy&cole writes:
Chyrsler will be bankrupt in 12 months...book it!
I wouldn't be surprised if they went out in Sept... with a whimper and a whine for a bailout from Congress. TBTF esp in an election year. Without leases and financing who would outright buy a Chrysler?
oldtrader writes:
"Can't see Tata having any interest..."
Yah, I wasn't being too serious. But, I could imagine one of the Chinese companies being interested. Instant dealership network. "Welcome, come on in and see our new Geely PT Cruiser!
now am suddenly stressed about frickin chrysler.
are you kidding me | 08.03.08 - 11:45 pm |
the only reason you should be stresed about chyrsler is if ernest gallo decides to turn his pinot field into a parking lot for excess ram1500 production.
Actually, I don't think they actually have a "brand" under that name....sorta like "General Motors". They're the firm that introduced the Nano at the Geneva Show this year. A high-tech micro car for $2500 (for emerging markets only, at that price).
Except Chrysler has too many dealers. Why would an upstart car company need 3000+ dealers? Chinese cars are still years away from US lots mainly because of emission and safety. If only Chrysler could stay on life support until chinese cars are ready...
Chrysler/Cerberus have a massive tax break heading their way, It was included in the "Save America Act" or whatever bullshit name is for the bailout just passed by congress and begrudginly signed by Georgie at 7 am. Chrysler was not specifically named but, the numbers for a US carmaker, their sales, units manuf., etc only applies to Chrysler.
Tim, I agree, but they could sell Chrysler branded cars while they get their own goodies ready. Hells fire, a Chinese company is building MGs in England as we sit.
There is also an array of items buried deep in the legislation, and the implications of some of them is not yet clear. There are provisions, for example, that grant or extend Section 8 federal housing subsidy eligibility to residents of specific properties in Malden, Mass., and San Francisco. And there is a provision tailored narrowly for Chrysler to ensure that it can benefit from a corporate tax incentive even though the company is now structured as a partnership not a corporation. The bill does not name Chrysler but rather describes an unnamed automobile manufacturer that will produce in excess of 675,000 automobiles between Jan. 1 and June 30, 2008.
oldtrader | 08.04.08 - 12:04 am | #
Actually, I don't think they actually have a "brand" under that name....sorta like "General Motors".
All their cars/trucks are tata this and that. Tata Benz (Collaboration) are big (for the last 20 years or more) in West & South Asia and Africa.
Cars are new, specially for the Non indian market.
anybody drive by flint michigan or dearborn or detroit recently
met an old timer (my age) in lowes home improvement store (place had more employees than customers), we were buying 1/2 inch plywood now that the price on the west coast has dropped from 22 to 12 dollars per sheet!!! (in the last year)
he raced cars, had worked as an automotive engineer for GM and was back east with son to attend a function.
said many places he knew looked bombed out
but more to the point, he said he and his son drove back thru canada and saw, and toured, a number of gleaming, new automotive plants that stood in stark contrast to the rotting hulk of deserted us factories they saw earlier in the trip
What would you do if I sang out of tune,
Would you stand up and walk out on me?
Lend me your ears and I'll sing you a song
And I'll try not to sing out of key.
Tropical Storm Edouard churned west in the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday night and was expected to strengthen to a near-hurricane before making landfall somewhere in Texas on Tuesday.
The National Hurricane Center issued a hurricane watch for the coasts of western Louisiana and eastern Texas late Sunday, meaning hurricane conditions were possible the next 24 hours from Intracoastal City to Port O'Connor, Texas.
The cease-and-desist orders issued in June said the four banks needed to raise more capital, expand their loss allowances and better oversee and diversify their loan portfolios.
Why would the FDIC publicly release these letters, basically guaranteeing a bank run? Apparently, the FDIC is trying to cut out middleman Schumer...
There are more ten million homeowners, most of them with prime mortgages, who now owe more than the value of their home. Many of these people are struggling to meet mortgage payments on a home purchased at a bubble-inflated price.
Private equity firms say they are ready to invest huge amounts in ailing banks provided the Fed eases up on the regulations that would otherwise apply to such large investments. The firms desire to jump in makes perfect sense. Bank shares are cheap now, but for the most part, are likely to rebound when the economy improves. The firms push for easier rules, however, is a dangerous power grab, and should be rejected.
Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?
building something we can afford to buy and to drive would help. recognizing the previous sales levels pumped up by insane HELOC and REFI activity was unsustainable and reduce company to realistic size.
Traders speculated that the latest capital raise was a sign that the worst was over for financials, but Meredith Whitney, analyst of Oppenheimer & Co and godmother of financials, had no illusions and said in an interview that 25 institutions would have to bolster their balance sheets within the next two months.
Offering some reprieve to the financial sector, the Fed, together with the European Central Bank and the Swiss National bank, announced that emergency lending facilities to bolster the money markets would stay in force until January 30. The facilities were implemented to improve liquidity arising from the credit market turmoil.
A bit of additional detail on the "Section 8" provisions in the "Housing Bailout Bill"...
The legislation directs the Department of Housing and Urban Development to provide enhanced rental housing vouchers to the residents of Heritage Apartments. Such vouchers are needed to ensure that residents can continue to afford rent payments if the property is sold. Until now HUD has resisted awarding the vouchers, thereby putting at risk the affordability of the units if the property is sold. The legislation will ensure that the property continues to provide affordable housing to its tenants...
...Rep. Markey said, "Protecting affordable housing and preventing foreclosures in our local communities is critical. I have been frustrated by HUD's refusal to move forward with this deal which will allow much-needed improvements to Heritage Apartments while ensuring that these at-risk tenants are not displaced. The provision in this bill will put an end to the hemming and hawing and ensure that everyone will benefit, including the Heritage Apartments facility, the tenants and Malden at large."
As for Heritage Apartments (Affordable Housing for Low-Income Seniors) in Malden in Malden, well it sounds to me that the developer uses Low-Income Housing Tax Credits to subsidize the project. More details here
U.S. bondholders raised yields for financial companies to the highest relative to Treasury notes in at least a decade as bank losses and writedowns on debt securities reached $480 billion worldwide since the collapse of subprime mortgages last year. Yields on bank bonds in dollars are 269 basis points higher than the benchmark mid-swap rate, or 7.1 percent, whereas in Europe the spread is 202 basis points, or 6.4 percent, according to Merrill Lynch & Co.'s Financial Corporate indexes and Bloomberg data.
Confidence among investors in banks and brokers has been more eroded by the credit crisis in the U.S. than in Europe and that has pushed up the cost of borrowing there,'' said Nathalie Deliens, a bank analyst at Societe Generale SA in London.In Europe, demand for bank paper has remained strong.'
Currency traders are beginning to realize that for all its riches in oil, copper and lumber, Canada's economy may not be so different than the U.S. after all.
While Canadians celebrated last year as the country's dollar reached parity with its U.S. counterpart for the first time since 1976, traders now predict the currency will fall as much as 17 percent through 2009.
After soaring 17 percent in 2007, the loonie, as the currency is known because of the aquatic bird on the one-dollar coin, is down 2.8 percent in 2008 amid a shrinking economy and an 13 percent drop in oil prices the past month. It's one of five of the 16 most-widely traded currencies to drop against the U.S. greenback, joining the New Zealand dollar, South Korean won, South African rand and British pound.
NEW YORK, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Chrysler LLC's finance arm said on Sunday it had renewed its credit facilities, but had reduced the amount to $24 billion from $30 billion due to tough credit markets and changes in its retail strategy.
Chrysler Financial said 90 percent of all banks that were part of the original financing participated.
Citigroup , JPMorgan Chase and Royal Bank of Scotland , led the syndication of the loan facilities.
Chrysler Financial will use the credit facility as a source of funding to make loans to Chrysler dealers financing inventories of unsold vehicles in showrooms and to make loans to consumers financing vehicle purchases.
Those loans are then typically bundled up and sold to investors in the asset-backed securities market.
Last month, Chrysler, which is majority-owned by private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management [CBS.UL], said the financing arm would stop offering vehicle leases.
On Friday, the auto maker said the decision to suspend lease financing, a risky form of vehicle financing that has saddled Chrysler's U.S. rivals with large losses, had been a positive move in negotiations with its bank syndicate.
Chrysler did not specify the interest rate it was paying on the financing.
But the Wall Street Journal reported that the company would pay interest rates of 1.1 percentage points to 2.25 percentage points over Libor on different parts of the funding, compared to 0.3 percentage point to 0.5 percentage point over Libor on the facilities raised a year ago.
Chrysler Chief Financial Officer Ron Kolka said on Friday the financing cost would be higher because of the tighter credit markets.
Chrysler Financial spokesman Bill Porter said $24 billion raised in the refinancing was sufficient because of the company's decision to abandon lease financing.
In lease financing deals, automakers and affiliated finance companies essentially rent cars and trucks to consumers, typically for terms of about three years.
The setup allows consumers to buy bigger and more expensive vehicles than they would otherwise because it keeps monthly payments low, sometimes at rates subsidized by the automakers.
But the sharp decline in the popularity of SUVs and trucks in recent months has exposed the risk of lease financing for automakers, who have been forced to sell vehicles coming off lease for as much as 25 percent less than they had forecast.
The result in recent months has been losses of thousands of dollars for every SUV and truck sold on a lease contract.
Chrysler, which is only liable for the leases it wrote in the year since it was purchased from Daimler AG by Cerberus, was the first major automaker to pull away from vehicle financing.
Like its larger competitors General Motors Corp and Ford Motor Co , Chrysler has faced scrutiny over its ability to ride out a downturn in U.S. auto sales that many analysts expect to stretch through 2009.
GM has said it expects to cut its lease financing by about half, to near 9 percent of sales. Ford has said it will take steps to limit its risks from lease financing through steps that will make the option more expensive for consumers.
All three U.S. automakers have been hit hard by the sharp decline in sales of pickup trucks, SUVs and vans that followed the rise in gas prices this year.
Chrysler sales are down 23 percent through the first seven months of the year.
The company, which has released limited financial data since going private a year ago, said last week it ended June with $11.7 billion in cash and had earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization of $1.1 billion in the first half of the year.
Chrysler officials said those figures were a sign of strength given the pressure on the U.S. auto industry, now in its third year of declining sales.
To the poster above who said there are way to many vehicles out there now... you win the prize.
That is one of the things the OEs watch (number & age distribution of the 'rolling stock') and the current situation isn't bullish for new vehicle sales in ANY category and probably won't be bullish for 3-5 years... buyers are underwater & the cars are fairly new yet (well at least they run & at $4/gal gas - they won't pile up miles near as fast).
The OEs (all of them - not just Chrysler/Cerberus) consumed tomorrows demand yesterday and did it with cash back zero down zero percent rates on seven year financing packages and at marginally profitable pricing meanwhile pushing growing future liabilities into that slack demand future... suicidal. Absolutely suicidal.
With that I'll go to bed & wait for 'Happy Monday'...
but more to the point, he said he and his son drove back thru canada and saw, and toured, a number of gleaming, new automotive plants that stood in stark contrast to the rotting hulk of deserted us factories they saw earlier in the trip
just a story...no proof no stats.
mock turtle | 08.04.08 - 12:17 am | #
Been there - along the 401 from Windsor to Toronto - those big new shiny plants are dying as fast or faster than Detroit... they feed parts into Detroit (dead) PLUS they are now priced in a far more expensive currency (double dead)... the CAN$ was something like 65 cents USD when those plants were planned or built... CAN$ is now at parity. Those plants are burnt toast.
Plus they are too specialized to change over to make say 'mining equipment' for metals or tar sands. Think sensors & stuff like that (high volume repeat mfg not flexible at all).
but more to the point, he said he and his son drove back thru canada and saw, and toured, a number of gleaming, new automotive plants that stood in stark contrast to the rotting hulk of deserted us factories they saw earlier in the trip
just a story...no proof no stats.
mock turtle | 08.04.08 - 12:17 am | #
well I'll see you that and raise you.......
Between April, 2006, to April, 2008, Ontario lost 130,000 manufacturing jobs, compared with 64,000 in Quebec, 18,000 in British Columbia and a zero net loss in the rest of the country. Since 2002, the province has lost 215,000 manufacturing jobs.
this.
I don't know what was in that fellow's pipe but for your information Ontario's economy is sucking the hind tit right now. I haven't heard of any shiny new auto plants there for a long time. Quite the opposite actually.
CR,
I know you won't read this because it is too late, but wasn't there some suspicious funding for Chrysler in the 300 billion dollar taxpayer boondogle.
Looked like a Batmobile style with sharp angles all over the place and the interior was a certifiable POS design.
both times I've rented a new Dodge from Enterprise the sharp, hard edge of the dash nearly cut into my kneecap after an hour or two of resting against it.
Had to wedge my jacket into the gap to get some padding there. After 108 years of making cars you'd think that Dodge would have this figured out by now.
Yesterday, the National Australia Bank stated it will write down 90% of the "value" of its US housing-related paper. If pension funds in the US and around the globe would follow the NABs example, trillions of dollars in assumed value would vanish overnight. Still, whether they recognize it publicly or not, the paper is worthless, and theres no realistic prospect for it to regain -any of- its value.
The US Department of Homeland Security is already importing Chinese vehicles under the Tiger nameplate. They are not safe for our roads, so can only be used on bases. If you are lass than 3 foot tall and 50 lbs they are very comfortable. Welcome to the downsizing of American expectations.
and the current situation isn't bullish for new vehicle sales in ANY category and probably won't be bullish for 3-5 years...
Yep. Hence why I think the current sales rate is the new sales rate. How many people many people do you know with 1 to 3 spare vehicles? One of my employees is buying his 5th vehicle! Ok, the modified Subaru is a race track terror and I want one too... but 5?!?
I also expect oil to persist above $80/bbl. So mass transit will become more and more fashionable. I hope so at least. I'm a bit tired of seeing the HUGE fraction of LA land dedicated to the automobile. Its far too much land paved over. Oh, the roads won't disappear. But I could see less land at the amusement parks being parking lot!
That bit on the National bank of Australia scares the crap out of me.
They refuse to conform to Japanese manufacturing standards...so boo hoo. They could have 50% of the market share in 5 years if they built electric-only plugins. The battery technology exists and has been suppressed by big oil for decades.
firstest?
CR,
You were posting about Chrysler's problems a year ago, even before the acknowledgement of a credit crunch officially began. Kudos.
Also, it's the one year anniversary of <a href="http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2007/08/cramer-goes-crazy.html>Cramer Goes Crazy (not the Seinfeld one)
Am I the only one, who instead of seeing Chrysler issues or GMAC issues... want's to see Cerberus' name pointed out?
Oh, kudos to CR for pointing this out well ahead of the curve.
At least they could just HELOC for a vehicle... ummm... ok, well maybe just work an extra weekend selling homes... oh...
Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?
Got Popcorn?
Neil
What's rather convenient is that Cerberus doesn't have to report just how FUGLY the Chrysler sales numbers are. If that were to be known, I suspect it would be much harder to find funding.
Really not an issue. Paulson is expected to announce at 6AM that the US Treasury is desperate for 50,000 Dodge Ram Quad Cab Dualies...
And low and behold they are paying cash!!!
In other news, Chrysler officials have been working overtime to negotiate a deal with Wal-Mart for 5,000 box fans. Apparently Chrysler has lots of "paper" with "wet ink" that requires some "drying" before they can run it over to their brand new account at Citibank!
OT
"One Day In The Life Of Ivan Denisovich"
Alexandre Solzhenitsyn dead at 89.
Although I never met him, he was my friend.
Da svedanya, Sasha Y paka.
No, because the problem is not just too many SUVs and pick-up trucks. It's too many vehicles, period.
For years, auto makers pumped more cars into the pipeline that people wanted, needed or really could afford. They did this with easy no-money-down credit, great leases, incentives, rebates, etc.
Just as there are too many houses relative to demand, there are too many cars. It will take years for all these excess cars to be absorbed. Just like housing, there's excess on both the new and existing sides of supply.
A lot of people are giving up 2nd, 34d and 4th cars -- downsizing the number of vehicles they own. And corporate fleets also are downsizing. That's the real reason leases are drying up. Auto finance companies are projecting out 3-4 years, when today's cars would come off lease, and they can't see the excess supply being worked off by then.
"Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?"
-Neil
There are a LOT of people out there that want to disown their current gas guzzlers. They are aware that the trade-in values of late have been heavily discounted. So, you've got a TON of people stuck with humongous vehicles that would like to get rid of them and the associated debt and get into something more nimble if possible. If there was a way to offer those potential trade-ins full bluebook wholesale guaranteed on their trade in, that might help a bunch. Then Chrysler could look for a way to clear that new inventory from the lots by selling to the oil exporting countries. Make some deals with the Russians, the Saudis.
just what I posted in the last comments thread.
banks and others hording cash....classic credit crunch and each tries to hand on.
The entire deal was suspect from the start. To my untrained eye, it looked like an attempt to drain the final bits of value from the remaining stakeholders, and let the shell stumble along for a few years before a pre-ordained collapse, with the delay only to help cover the trail.
Taxpayers will pick up the legacy costs. Rather than seen as a "failure", this is a roaring success: expect GM and Ford to be watching closely.
Doc at the Radar Station - lets play "Name that Car"...It was the K car in the lst go around, now it is what ??
Yeah rich, but, excess supply relative to demand means inflation because, ya know... gold is money... er someting
No wonder Chrysler stopped leasing...screwed on the back end, via low residual value...and screwed on the front end, via higher funding costs.
old trader
And these interest rates are based on Chrysler barely burning any cash at all.. Roughly $300M a month..
GMAC might want to look into a card from Capital One...
so if the banks are hoarding cash, shouldn't we... (the old fashioned way)
mock turtle - nope spend till your legs cant take it anymore...It would be un-American to not spend.
ame that car
the bernanke (pronounced edsel
Un- American
is that a good thing?
kinda like the Un-cola?
Barley, I have NO idea, honestly. I'm not talking about people who are trading in a Tahoe working feverishly to get a Prius. If they can find something that will offer 20mpg instead of 12 mpg and cost the same or a little less they might bite.
Correction on my last post... I don't believe that $300M # is right..
Here is the link with some useful info:
freep.com | | Detroit Free Press
I'm betting they released this knowing that the debt rollover wasn't going well.
ice sunset tonight...anyone else watching?
So ahhh.. What about the $6 billion that didn't roll over?
They put that on a credit card or sumtin?
According to NY Times[?], didn't the Housing bailout bill give Chrysler a tax break?
Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?
bring back the consumer credit interest tax deductio
How to buy in a deflating economy:
"Aug. 4 (Bloomberg) -- HSBC Holdings Plc will seek to negotiate a lower price for Korea Exchange Bank after financial stocks slumped in the 11 months since the $6 billion purchase was first announced, two people familiar with the matter said."
So does Cerberus, er.. Chrysler have $6 billion in cash to pay off the unrenewd portion of this st debt? If not who did they just stiff?
"The refinancing was critical; it amounted to nearly half of the $70 billion in working capital of the finance unit of Chrysler LLC and was used to help fund car leases, retail car loans and loans to dealers called floor-plan loans."
I also assume that they are going to have to get rid of some of their dealers that they currently floor vehicles for...the dominos here are falling fast.
ice sunset tonight...anyone else watching?
always, lots of glass facing west
hmmm. same comment posted twice...wasn't me
Only luck can save America's economy
InfoViewer: Only luck can save America's economy
you've got to ask yourself one question: Do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk?
Well maybe this all works out... If the SUVs and pickup trucks that are on the lots are worthless, well then they don't need as much debt to hold them...
DOH!
Luck? We have nukes... Lots of em'...
spent the day at the beach with the kids...sat on deck, glass of wine
in hand, watched sun set over the ocean.
now am suddenly stressed about frickin chrysler.
Slow-motion, meet trainwreck.
Dryfly, how many manufacturers are headed down this route?
Chrysler should have been allowed to fail back in 1980. Intervention never works.
PS- get me Iaccoca on the phone! And dig up Carter. Stat!
Magnolia writes:
Chrysler should have been allowed to fail back in 1980. Intervention never works.
Well, this time it won't. Think Tata wants 'em?
I as sure that any "reported interest" in its assets are Cerberus rumors and nothing more than loose partnerships with its dealer network. Union interests, protectionism, and declining sales will turn away any potential foreign buyers.
Chyrsler will be bankrupt in 12 months...book it!
The last task of Heracles was to subdue Ceberus.
I guess Heracles has slanty eyes and a yen for wrestling three headed hounds.
Their styling and emphasis on semi-hemis doomed them.
Good riddence, says I.
Lee, they needed ya and you let em down!
Can't see Tata having any interest...guessing they've got hands full digesting/integrating Jaguar and Land Rover. If not for that, they MIGHT be interested in (a?) "Hummer".
im sorry
just cant accept it, that big fat ugly box is called a hummer
and yes everybody wants one....a hummer that is, not a big fat ugly box
crispy&cole writes:
Chyrsler will be bankrupt in 12 months...book it!
I wouldn't be surprised if they went out in Sept... with a whimper and a whine for a bailout from Congress. TBTF esp in an election year. Without leases and financing who would outright buy a Chrysler?
oldtrader writes:
"Can't see Tata having any interest..."
Yah, I wasn't being too serious. But, I could imagine one of the Chinese companies being interested. Instant dealership network. "Welcome, come on in and see our new Geely PT Cruiser!
and as for the TATA
what the hell kind of a name is that for a car???
by by...ta ta
Get ready for a new model:
"Happy Cat on Wet Linoleum"
Predicted here last year and coming soon to a "Chrysler" dealer near you.
now am suddenly stressed about frickin chrysler.
are you kidding me | 08.03.08 - 11:45 pm |
the only reason you should be stresed about chyrsler is if ernest gallo decides to turn his pinot field into a parking lot for excess ram1500 production.
My BIL rented a new Chrysler minivan when he came north for a family funeral.
Looked like a Batmobile style with sharp angles all over the place and the interior was a certifiable POS design.
Cramped and smelled like plastic. Not even good plastic.
They are toast.
In a few years a Hummer will be one of CSC's names for working girls in Laos.
when chryler gets bailed out i still think their come-back car ought to be called the bernanke
all aluminum body and engine, two cylinders three wheels, no radio no heater, wipers optional...one color yellow
mock turtle,
Actually, I don't think they actually have a "brand" under that name....sorta like "General Motors". They're the firm that introduced the Nano at the Geneva Show this year. A high-tech micro car for $2500 (for emerging markets only, at that price).
MiTurn
Except Chrysler has too many dealers. Why would an upstart car company need 3000+ dealers? Chinese cars are still years away from US lots mainly because of emission and safety. If only Chrysler could stay on life support until chinese cars are ready...
Mock:
But think of the advertising possibilities for the new Chrysler/Tata.
Now, a classic American Name with svelte Indian curves...The Tata!
It's Bodacious!
oldtrader
yep, just tryin to be punny
speaking straight, i think their concept is awesome, and i might well buy a nano
mock turtle writes:
"when chryler gets bailed out i still think their come-back car ought to be called the bernanke
all aluminum body and engine, two cylinders three wheels, no radio no heater, wipers optional...one color yellow"
Except for the color, you just described the original Morgans! What goes around, comes around.
Chrysler/Cerberus have a massive tax break heading their way, It was included in the "Save America Act" or whatever bullshit name is for the bailout just passed by congress and begrudginly signed by Georgie at 7 am. Chrysler was not specifically named but, the numbers for a US carmaker, their sales, units manuf., etc only applies to Chrysler.
when chryler gets bailed out i still think their come-back car ought to be called the bernanke
Bernanker put...putt-putt.
But if we start buying all of the Indian automobiles, how long until I can get a local job at the Tata call center and call myself Sanjay?
homedad43
hey youre right
and, with a price tag of 2500 bucks we could market it as the worlds first truly disposable car
I don't think there will be a Chrysler bailout. Not this time.
Tim, I agree, but they could sell Chrysler branded cars while they get their own goodies ready. Hells fire, a Chinese company is building MGs in England as we sit.
@ MiTurn,
Damn, just had a flashback, and I don't even DO acid! Only a "Morgan" if it has a wooden frame, G.
There is also an array of items buried deep in the legislation, and the implications of some of them is not yet clear. There are provisions, for example, that grant or extend Section 8 federal housing subsidy eligibility to residents of specific properties in Malden, Mass., and San Francisco. And there is a provision tailored narrowly for Chrysler to ensure that it can benefit from a corporate tax incentive even though the company is now structured as a partnership not a corporation. The bill does not name Chrysler but rather describes an unnamed automobile manufacturer that will produce in excess of 675,000 automobiles between Jan. 1 and June 30, 2008.
Hey Oldtrader, ash wood at that!
Chrysler/Cerberus have a massive tax break heading their way
That just means they keep losses off their books doesn't make them cash flow positive.
SEC is looking at extending their protective blanket over the entire market after Aug 12...
<a href="http://img.thesun.co.uk/multimedia/archive/00153/flintstone_153207a.jpg>Here's an artist's rendering of the Nano, for those interested
OT but curious:
Is Malden, MA in or near Barney Frank's District?
San Fran is pretty clear...
oldtrader | 08.04.08 - 12:04 am | #
Actually, I don't think they actually have a "brand" under that name....sorta like "General Motors".
All their cars/trucks are tata this and that. Tata Benz (Collaboration) are big (for the last 20 years or more) in West & South Asia and Africa.
Cars are new, specially for the Non indian market.
see toward the bottom of the Page .
Tata
I was unaware they have been doing tata benzs since the 50s !!
all joking aside
anybody drive by flint michigan or dearborn or detroit recently
met an old timer (my age) in lowes home improvement store (place had more employees than customers), we were buying 1/2 inch plywood now that the price on the west coast has dropped from 22 to 12 dollars per sheet!!! (in the last year)
he raced cars, had worked as an automotive engineer for GM and was back east with son to attend a function.
said many places he knew looked bombed out
but more to the point, he said he and his son drove back thru canada and saw, and toured, a number of gleaming, new automotive plants that stood in stark contrast to the rotting hulk of deserted us factories they saw earlier in the trip
just a story...no proof no stats.
Ed Markey is the Rep for Maiden, Ma. I wonder who owns the "specific properties"
MiTurn,
Was GOING to say "ash"..it was rattling around in the memory banks, but wasn't a 100% certain. Recycled cricket bats, maybe?....G.
Anonymouse writes:
Here's an artist's rendering of the Nano, for those interested
sweet, i want one
What would you do if I sang out of tune,
Would you stand up and walk out on me?
Lend me your ears and I'll sing you a song
And I'll try not to sing out of key.
Tropical Storm EDOUARD
Tropical Depression HENRI
Anonymouse writes:
Here's an artist's rendering of the Nano, for those interested"
sweet, I want one!
sbarrkum,
Thanks for the correction. (If only the stock hadn't..."corrected", that is)
Only a "Morgan" if it has a wooden frame, G.
oldtrader
Those weren't frame rails. Those were shipping brackets that cleverly disintegrated driving off the lot.
[fab'd flloorboards from aircraft plywood for my dad's 1940/1 American Bantam Hollywood Convertible]
mock turtle
you have been mocked
neener neener neener
nano nano nano
Have you ever had knackwurst? Damn, that's a fine hot dog.
Tropical Storm Edouard churned west in the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday night and was expected to strengthen to a near-hurricane before making landfall somewhere in Texas on Tuesday.
The National Hurricane Center issued a hurricane watch for the coasts of western Louisiana and eastern Texas late Sunday, meaning hurricane conditions were possible the next 24 hours from Intracoastal City to Port O'Connor, Texas.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f52c86b4-6018-11dd-805e-000077b07658.html
OT, but coming Fridays could be a two-fer or a three-fer
- NY Times
Edouard, huh?
Guess I'll run right out and fill up the tank.
The cease-and-desist orders issued in June said the four banks needed to raise more capital, expand their loss allowances and better oversee and diversify their loan portfolios.
Why would the FDIC publicly release these letters, basically guaranteeing a bank run? Apparently, the FDIC is trying to cut out middleman Schumer...
oldtrader | 08.04.08 - 12:23 am | # Thanks for the correction. (If only the stock hadn't..."corrected", that is)
I didnt get that (filckr, flickr).
Anyways more on the Tata guys.
Didnt realize they this busy.
Bought over daewoo, Korea.
Sell some of the most popular truck in Korea.
Listed on NYSE: NYSE:TTM (Lost over 50% last years).
Tata Wiki
are you kidding me writes:
nice sunset tonight...anyone else watching?
are you kidding me | 08.03.08 - 11:18 pm |
Yup --- I caught that sunset from Crystal Cove Beach Park tonight. Amazing!!!!
are you kidding me | 08.03.08 - 11:18 pm |
nice sunset tonight...anyone else watching?
Pretty cool from Long Beach, NY too.
Low dark clouds, with great reds in between.
Delinquencies on Prime Mortgages Are Rising: Is This Really a Surprise?
Beat the Press Archive | The American Prospect
There are more ten million homeowners, most of them with prime mortgages, who now owe more than the value of their home. Many of these people are struggling to meet mortgage payments on a home purchased at a bubble-inflated price.
The Banks and Private Equity
Dollars & Sense blog: The Banks and Private Equity | Dollars & Sense
Private equity firms say they are ready to invest huge amounts in ailing banks provided the Fed eases up on the regulations that would otherwise apply to such large investments. The firms desire to jump in makes perfect sense. Bank shares are cheap now, but for the most part, are likely to rebound when the economy improves. The firms push for easier rules, however, is a dangerous power grab, and should be rejected.
Ok, I cannot come up with a scenario to jump start auto sales up another 35% back to the previous sales rates. Anyone?
building something we can afford to buy and to drive would help. recognizing the previous sales levels pumped up by insane HELOC and REFI activity was unsustainable and reduce company to realistic size.
As Financials Go, So Go Stock Markets
As Financials Go, So Go Stock Markets -- Seeking Alpha
Traders speculated that the latest capital raise was a sign that the worst was over for financials, but Meredith Whitney, analyst of Oppenheimer & Co and godmother of financials, had no illusions and said in an interview that 25 institutions would have to bolster their balance sheets within the next two months.
Offering some reprieve to the financial sector, the Fed, together with the European Central Bank and the Swiss National bank, announced that emergency lending facilities to bolster the money markets would stay in force until January 30. The facilities were implemented to improve liquidity arising from the credit market turmoil.
A bit of additional detail on the "Section 8" provisions in the "Housing Bailout Bill"...
The legislation directs the Department of Housing and Urban Development to provide enhanced rental housing vouchers to the residents of Heritage Apartments. Such vouchers are needed to ensure that residents can continue to afford rent payments if the property is sold. Until now HUD has resisted awarding the vouchers, thereby putting at risk the affordability of the units if the property is sold. The legislation will ensure that the property continues to provide affordable housing to its tenants...
...Rep. Markey said, "Protecting affordable housing and preventing foreclosures in our local communities is critical. I have been frustrated by HUD's refusal to move forward with this deal which will allow much-needed improvements to Heritage Apartments while ensuring that these at-risk tenants are not displaced. The provision in this bill will put an end to the hemming and hawing and ensure that everyone will benefit, including the Heritage Apartments facility, the tenants and Malden at large."
As for Heritage Apartments (Affordable Housing for Low-Income Seniors) in Malden in Malden, well it sounds to me that the developer uses Low-Income Housing Tax Credits to subsidize the project. More details here
Goldman, JPMorgan Sell Bonds in Europe as U.S. Yields Soar Goldman, JPMorgan Sell Bonds in Europe as U.S. Yields Soar - Bloomberg.com
U.S. bondholders raised yields for financial companies to the highest relative to Treasury notes in at least a decade as bank losses and writedowns on debt securities reached $480 billion worldwide since the collapse of subprime mortgages last year. Yields on bank bonds in dollars are 269 basis points higher than the benchmark mid-swap rate, or 7.1 percent, whereas in Europe the spread is 202 basis points, or 6.4 percent, according to Merrill Lynch & Co.'s Financial Corporate indexes and Bloomberg data.
Confidence among investors in banks and brokers has been more eroded by the credit crisis in the U.S. than in Europe and that has pushed up the cost of borrowing there,'' said Nathalie Deliens, a bank analyst at Societe Generale SA in London.In Europe, demand for bank paper has remained strong.'
Loonie Loses Currency Wings as Canada Hurt by U.S.
Loonie Loses Currency Wings as Canada Hurt by U.S. (Update2) - Bloomberg.com
Currency traders are beginning to realize that for all its riches in oil, copper and lumber, Canada's economy may not be so different than the U.S. after all.
While Canadians celebrated last year as the country's dollar reached parity with its U.S. counterpart for the first time since 1976, traders now predict the currency will fall as much as 17 percent through 2009.
After soaring 17 percent in 2007, the loonie, as the currency is known because of the aquatic bird on the one-dollar coin, is down 2.8 percent in 2008 amid a shrinking economy and an 13 percent drop in oil prices the past month. It's one of five of the 16 most-widely traded currencies to drop against the U.S. greenback, joining the New Zealand dollar, South Korean won, South African rand and British pound.
The US is a short across the board. Enough said.
Hmm.."shorts across the board" = a "woody"?
NEW YORK, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Chrysler LLC's finance arm said on Sunday it had renewed its credit facilities, but had reduced the amount to $24 billion from $30 billion due to tough credit markets and changes in its retail strategy.
Chrysler Financial said 90 percent of all banks that were part of the original financing participated.
Citigroup , JPMorgan Chase and Royal Bank of Scotland , led the syndication of the loan facilities.
Chrysler Financial will use the credit facility as a source of funding to make loans to Chrysler dealers financing inventories of unsold vehicles in showrooms and to make loans to consumers financing vehicle purchases.
Those loans are then typically bundled up and sold to investors in the asset-backed securities market.
Last month, Chrysler, which is majority-owned by private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management [CBS.UL], said the financing arm would stop offering vehicle leases.
On Friday, the auto maker said the decision to suspend lease financing, a risky form of vehicle financing that has saddled Chrysler's U.S. rivals with large losses, had been a positive move in negotiations with its bank syndicate.
Chrysler did not specify the interest rate it was paying on the financing.
But the Wall Street Journal reported that the company would pay interest rates of 1.1 percentage points to 2.25 percentage points over Libor on different parts of the funding, compared to 0.3 percentage point to 0.5 percentage point over Libor on the facilities raised a year ago.
Chrysler Chief Financial Officer Ron Kolka said on Friday the financing cost would be higher because of the tighter credit markets.
Chrysler Financial spokesman Bill Porter said $24 billion raised in the refinancing was sufficient because of the company's decision to abandon lease financing.
In lease financing deals, automakers and affiliated finance companies essentially rent cars and trucks to consumers, typically for terms of about three years.
The setup allows consumers to buy bigger and more expensive vehicles than they would otherwise because it keeps monthly payments low, sometimes at rates subsidized by the automakers.
But the sharp decline in the popularity of SUVs and trucks in recent months has exposed the risk of lease financing for automakers, who have been forced to sell vehicles coming off lease for as much as 25 percent less than they had forecast.
The result in recent months has been losses of thousands of dollars for every SUV and truck sold on a lease contract.
Chrysler, which is only liable for the leases it wrote in the year since it was purchased from Daimler AG by Cerberus, was the first major automaker to pull away from vehicle financing.
Like its larger competitors General Motors Corp and Ford Motor Co , Chrysler has faced scrutiny over its ability to ride out a downturn in U.S. auto sales that many analysts expect to stretch through 2009.
GM has said it expects to cut its lease financing by about half, to near 9 percent of sales. Ford has said it will take steps to limit its risks from lease financing through steps that will make the option more expensive for consumers.
All three U.S. automakers have been hit hard by the sharp decline in sales of pickup trucks, SUVs and vans that followed the rise in gas prices this year.
Chrysler sales are down 23 percent through the first seven months of the year.
The company, which has released limited financial data since going private a year ago, said last week it ended June with $11.7 billion in cash and had earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization of $1.1 billion in the first half of the year.
Chrysler officials said those figures were a sign of strength given the pressure on the U.S. auto industry, now in its third year of declining sales.
To the poster above who said there are way to many vehicles out there now... you win the prize.
That is one of the things the OEs watch (number & age distribution of the 'rolling stock') and the current situation isn't bullish for new vehicle sales in ANY category and probably won't be bullish for 3-5 years... buyers are underwater & the cars are fairly new yet (well at least they run & at $4/gal gas - they won't pile up miles near as fast).
The OEs (all of them - not just Chrysler/Cerberus) consumed tomorrows demand yesterday and did it with cash back zero down zero percent rates on seven year financing packages and at marginally profitable pricing meanwhile pushing growing future liabilities into that slack demand future... suicidal. Absolutely suicidal.
With that I'll go to bed & wait for 'Happy Monday'...
69 Visitors Online
but more to the point, he said he and his son drove back thru canada and saw, and toured, a number of gleaming, new automotive plants that stood in stark contrast to the rotting hulk of deserted us factories they saw earlier in the trip
just a story...no proof no stats.
mock turtle | 08.04.08 - 12:17 am | #
Been there - along the 401 from Windsor to Toronto - those big new shiny plants are dying as fast or faster than Detroit... they feed parts into Detroit (dead) PLUS they are now priced in a far more expensive currency (double dead)... the CAN$ was something like 65 cents USD when those plants were planned or built... CAN$ is now at parity. Those plants are burnt toast.
Plus they are too specialized to change over to make say 'mining equipment' for metals or tar sands. Think sensors & stuff like that (high volume repeat mfg not flexible at all).
Toast.
but more to the point, he said he and his son drove back thru canada and saw, and toured, a number of gleaming, new automotive plants that stood in stark contrast to the rotting hulk of deserted us factories they saw earlier in the trip
just a story...no proof no stats.
mock turtle | 08.04.08 - 12:17 am | #
well I'll see you that and raise you.......
Between April, 2006, to April, 2008, Ontario lost 130,000 manufacturing jobs, compared with 64,000 in Quebec, 18,000 in British Columbia and a zero net loss in the rest of the country. Since 2002, the province has lost 215,000 manufacturing jobs.
this.
I don't know what was in that fellow's pipe but for your information Ontario's economy is sucking the hind tit right now. I haven't heard of any shiny new auto plants there for a long time. Quite the opposite actually.
Financial Post Story
and when they say manufacturing and Ontario in the same sentence, they mean auto plants.
CR,
I know you won't read this because it is too late, but wasn't there some suspicious funding for Chrysler in the 300 billion dollar taxpayer boondogle.
Looked like a Batmobile style with sharp angles all over the place and the interior was a certifiable POS design.
both times I've rented a new Dodge from Enterprise the sharp, hard edge of the dash nearly cut into my kneecap after an hour or two of resting against it.
Had to wedge my jacket into the gap to get some padding there. After 108 years of making cars you'd think that Dodge would have this figured out by now.
Trickle Down and Sink In
http://top.czm.cn/index.php/article/machinery/2008-08-04/171.html
Yesterday, the National Australia Bank stated it will write down 90% of the "value" of its US housing-related paper. If pension funds in the US and around the globe would follow the NABs example, trillions of dollars in assumed value would vanish overnight. Still, whether they recognize it publicly or not, the paper is worthless, and theres no realistic prospect for it to regain -any of- its value.
So there goes your pension.
When will the Fed the discount window for Chyrsler?
The US Department of Homeland Security is already importing Chinese vehicles under the Tiger nameplate. They are not safe for our roads, so can only be used on bases. If you are lass than 3 foot tall and 50 lbs they are very comfortable. Welcome to the downsizing of American expectations.
and the current situation isn't bullish for new vehicle sales in ANY category and probably won't be bullish for 3-5 years...
Yep. Hence why I think the current sales rate is the new sales rate. How many people many people do you know with 1 to 3 spare vehicles? One of my employees is buying his 5th vehicle! Ok, the modified Subaru is a race track terror and I want one too... but 5?!?
I also expect oil to persist above $80/bbl. So mass transit will become more and more fashionable. I hope so at least. I'm a bit tired of seeing the HUGE fraction of LA land dedicated to the automobile. Its far too much land paved over. Oh, the roads won't disappear. But I could see less land at the amusement parks being parking lot!
That bit on the National bank of Australia scares the crap out of me.
Got Popcorn?
Neil
They refuse to conform to Japanese manufacturing standards...so boo hoo. They could have 50% of the market share in 5 years if they built electric-only plugins. The battery technology exists and has been suppressed by big oil for decades.