That quote is classic. Apparently TXN is "still dancing".
Also, I still clearly recall watching Cramer state that homebuilder stocks were not cyclical anymore as they were now "land banks". Cramers quote came at the height of the boom.
Inventory buildup is bad in any industry. A company that has inventories reliably is a badly managed company, period.
Tech inventory is like sushi inventory. It's effectively perishable because it depreciates so rapidly; this makes it not only bad management but an almost automatic writeoff.
I predict the word of the year will be "challenge". Such a dull word; no sparkle or shine to it. Everything is a challenge. Instead of a miserable failure, or a total catastrophe or...or...
TV was invented in the 20s, but didn't become common until the late 40s between GD I and WW II. It's possible that tech innovation will slow down because no one will be able to afford it. Now that is, I know, another unthinkable thought from the lawyerliz unthinkable thought factory.
By the way, I am typing this on a computer which is 10 years old. My secys get the good ones. It has a crt and the keyboard recently died and was replaced from an extra computer which is merely 5 years old.
It still works. I'll keep using it until it starts smoking.
"Inventory build up in techs" is a euphemism for "we can't sell it to Americans, Japanese and Europeans as fast as we are asking the Chinese and Koreans to make it."
We have all the supply you need baby, just like JDSU had enough fiber optic cable to wrap around the moon a few times back in the good ol days of dotcom mania!
JDSU @ $10.99 7/21/08
JDSU @ $1040.00 03/13/2000
Yes, If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
I think the laptop segment is going to get beaten senseless by the new segment of cheap, ultralight machines from ASUS, Everex and the like. Much lower profit margins.
bruiser writes:
If I could get as much money out of the slot machine as quickly as I put into it as well, I'd be better off as well.
bruiser | 07.21.08 - 6:29 pm | #
Play the change machine. It's almost as fun and you'll always get as much money out.
Yeeesh! So Paulson's new slogan to the Beijing Mandarins is "Learn From Subprime" ?!
As recently as late spring 2006 I listened to an afternoon of analsysts and fed reps talking about the risks of China's banking sector and "non-performing loans"...now the shoe is on the other foot and yet we still lecture.
I was an "investor" in Burr Brown and I sold my TI when they bought my shares (for too much). I did my homework, moved on, been there, done that, TI sucks..
I got a trumpet from Texas Instruments once, but it only would do calculations, so I threw it away... Now that I think about it, it was a calculator. I threw a perfectly good calculator away! Damn it. No wonder I'm not good at math.
That's gonna hurt the appletards in the morning...
I told someone that anything over $175 should be considered a gift.....It sucks that someone's health is going to crater a stock however there was enough warning in June when he looked dead already.
The FDIC continued to run Superior Bank, an Illinois-based national subprime mortgage lender, for months as it looked for a buyer.
The Wall Street Journal reported on Monday that under FDIC oversight the U.S. government gave out high-interest, subprime mortgages. Beal Bank SSB bought a portfolio of Superior's loans, about half of which originated under the FDIC.
Superior funded more than 6,700 new subprime loans worth more than $550 million under FDIC supervision, according to federal mortgage data, the newspaper said.
An undated legal analysis prepared for the FDIC, and placed in the case record, described the FDIC's litigation prospects as "poor" and said the FDIC would likely be liable for about $56 million in damages, plus up to $14 million of litigation charges and interest.
I forgot the split, oops, that makes it a good deal, right?
Two things:
Moore's law describes an important trend in the history of computer hardware: that the number of transistors that can be inexpensively placed on an integrated circuit is increasing exponentially, doubling approximately every two years
If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
You can't get the same return on old shit man and when demand returns, this old stuff will be worth less than my post and in the meantime, you either eat the inventory or you flood the mkt and get into a price war -- which as they know, in a time of inflation is a double whammer!
Dude I'm gonna roll a blunt in a Benjamin if this shizzle keeps on. Considering the awareness of the people around me, I'll only be sharing it with the CR crowd.
"Dude I'm gonna roll a blunt in a Benjamin if this shizzle keeps on."
Yeah, and zig zags will be worth more.
"How can people still not see the train coming?"
I see it man, but you're making it hard for me to ignore it. It's tough enough sleeping between the tracks without people constantly whining about the approaching train.
A quote of the day I just heard on bubblevision: "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the worst of both worlds; the worst of government and the worst of private enterprise."
Misean: Sorry to bum you out, man. But we're at the top of the hill, the chain has stopped clinking and the gear has let loose....and you still don't have your hands in the air.
CSC, It's funny that the feds are shutting down cannabis clubs up here in nor cal still and not one wall street crook is in court...Peak stupidity is what I'm worried about..
This is the first I've heard this, but it's tight. I don't always light up though. When I worked at Taco Bell HQ in Irvine, I ate pot cookies every day so nobody could smell it on me. They just thought I looked tired 'cause I worked so hard. Ever wonder how many of your coworkers are munching ganjgoodies?
The Fed chairman's investments ranged from Canadian Treasury bonds to a retirement annuity, according to annual financial-disclosure filings released by the Fed today
I ate pot cookies every day so nobody could smell it on me.
It's also much nicer on the lungs.
Not that I do this stuff anymore, but I really recommend staying away from the smoke, unless of course you're excited by thoracic surgery recovery rooms with piles of tubes sticking out of you.
Having been there for someone else, it drove home the point that the body get quite unpleased about partially burned hydrocarbons.
The pretender to the cannabis crown left a clue as to their real virtual identity (meme)
Anyone notice how the substance of choice trends towards pot when Lefty's is closed?
Also, has anyone been watching the pbs show "ethics in america" lately? This was originally made in the late 80's. The last one featured Jimmy Goldsmith telling us what a bunch of hypocrites we were. This was just after he scored his $90M consolation prize for greenmailing Goodyear.
Corn and soybeans fell to the lowest in six weeks on speculation that warm, wet weather will hasten plant development and boost the yield potential of the two biggest U.S. crops.
Is there anyone in charge anywhere who isn't a complete idiot? Really.
let me refresh everyone's memory about how the >a href="http://www.hud.gov/news/speeches/presremarks.cfm">President thinks (I should note these came in his remarks on "homeownership")
I just want you to know that, when we talk about war, we're really talking about peace.
I was working in corporate america for a few years and slowly wearing off my naivete. I also was playing in a band. In one meeting I noticed a manager had a guitar pick he was playing with. After the meeting I asked him if he played. He did. He joined my band. I came to find he also smoked weed everyday. Most days he did it on the way to work. If he could pull this off at Nabisco, where we worked, I'd have to say eating brownies at Taco Bell is amateur hour.
But... how did no one notice the eyes, the demeanor,
or the odor?
There's a Nabisco in Northeast Philly. You can smell the Nilla Wafers from a mile away. So I can't imagine anyone noticing the smell of the noble weed.
And no one notices the eyes OR the demeanor. Believe me.
Misean: wuzn't me, but yes, I think it's a regular poster.
Isn't it funny that both of the guys above talking about their experiences in the hazy corporate world -- well one worked for a fast food company, and the other for a mfgr of salty snacks.
Read Infinite Jest. I like reading more than smoking weed. That book is a primer on how to hide your habit. It also is 1100 pages long so if you are the type who prefers to wake and bake it probably is beyond your ability.
Trust me, he and many others hide their habits. And in the manual labor market most people are drinking or on drugs. Ever wonder why the ass end of a paint can opener conveniently opens a bottle of beer?
Forget the salty snacks. Nabisco was owned by a cigarette company at the time. If you went to their headquarters in Winston Salem they had signs that said "Thank You for Smoking". My associates were just being polite.
The trick to smoking at work is to do it from your very first day. Then nobody notices. Just dont ever stop, because when you come in with a sober type-A personality, everyone thinks you're a cokehead.
Dealing in five derivatives, including Japanese government bond futures and TOPIX futures, was halted as of 0021 GMT on Tuesday due to system problems, the Tokyo Stock Exchange said on Tuesday.
It was unclear when trading would resume and how long it would take to fix the problems, a TSE official said.
The trick to smoking at work is to do it from your very first day. Then nobody notices. Just dont ever stop, because when you come in with a sober type-A personality, everyone thinks you're a cokehead.
This is the kind of advice I come to this blog for!
Anonymous,
Re: Steve Jobs
You just scared the hell out of me. I usually keep well hidden under my rock but weeks ago I crawled out to get the teeth scraped. As I was sitting there a guy came in who looked like a dead ringer for Jobs - same black tee, same close cropped hair and lean face. I ride the horse near his house in Woodside and I used to ride the bike by his place in Palo Alto.
I noted that he did not look well.
I don't own any Apple but if I did, I would be selling it and shorting Apple if this guy was Jobs.
his is the first I've heard this, but it's tight. I don't always light up though. When I worked at Taco Bell HQ in Irvine, I ate pot cookies every day so nobody could smell it on me. They just thought I looked tired 'cause I worked so hard. Ever wonder how many of your coworkers are munching ganjgoodies?
Think 'pesto' for lunch... and if that's not enough to carry you through the afternoon - throw in a few mushrooms.
Not making any recommendations or suggestions - we're all adults here (I hope) - just sayin'...
FUNNIEST post of the day! Thanks for the grins and practical advice...
The trick to smoking at work is to do it from your very first day. Then nobody notices. Just dont ever stop, because when you come in with a sober type-A personality, everyone thinks you're a cokehead.
Currently Smoking Cannabis | 07.21.08 - 9:23 pm |
Hopefully, in a few months, that will change, but for now...
I never liked getting high at work myself, but I have known plenty who did.
The irony is that I am in a lot of pain and can legally get all the narcotics I want - but if I smoke some weed, I'm likely to wind up in jail for a long, long time.
I am jealous, envious and amazingly pissed off at the fascists who created this insane state of affairs.
I just eat the pain for the most part, instead of the narcotics, BTW, but a nice fat joint sure would make it a lot easier to bear.
Good luck to all you heads out there. As a working class guy, I was a bit surprised to find so many heads on a biz blog. 'Bout time we get together and fix this stupid sh--.
ot, and behind paywall, but wtf haven't seen it here yet
HBOS was a sitting duck
Overnight, the extent of what may go down as one of the most disastrous share underwritings in history will be exposed when Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort reveal the size of the shortfall to the $8 billion HBOS rights issue.
In the process, the investment banks will help fuel the paranoia about the impact of short selling in the current environment, and harden the resolve of the UK and US regulators to introduce measures to deter the full-scale assaults hedge funds have been making on vulnerable financial stocks.
The HBOS experience has informed the UK authorities decision to force hedge funds to disclose their short positions in companies conducting rights issues. The Financial Services Authority has also indicated it may limit the ability of short sellers to borrow stock in such circumstances. Last week the US Securities and Exchange Commission rushed out a policy under which it banned naked short selling in 19 specified financial stocks.
When Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort reveal all tomorrow it is widely expected that they will disclose a shortfall to the issue of close to 90 per cent about £3.5 billion, or more than $A7 billion.
Thats despite the fact that the issue was originally made at a 45 per cent discount to the HBOS share price and, at 275p, represents a multiple of less than three times earnings and a discount of almost 50 per cent to book value.
When the issue was announced in late April HBOS shares were trading around £5. Until last Friday, when the shares traded just above the issue price of 275p, the banks shares had been trading at just over half that. While the volatile and fragile condition of credit markets and real economies might be a contributing factor to the implosion in the HBOS price, most of the credit is going to the short sellers.
From the moment HBOS unveiled the issue the hedge funds smelled blood. HBOS was an easy target in an environment when any bank seeking to raise capital is seen to be under pressure and vulnerable.
The gameplan was straightforward, cold-blooded and extremely effective. The hedge funds piled into the stock, shorting it aggressively. The more timid would have been buying the rights (the value of which was also being driven down by the selling) as cheap insurance in case the bear raid wasnt as effective as hoped while the more aggressive would be waiting for the underwriters to be forced to disgorge the expected shortfall.
It was game with little risk. Indeed at least one of the big European investment banks was inciting the hedge funds to join the assault, arguing that if there was sufficient selling pressure the underwriters would be forced to protect themselves against the prospect of a major shortfall by selling their clients stock short themselves.
As it happens, it would appear Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort didnt attack their own client they appear to have sold other bank stocks short instead to create a hedge against loss. Royal Bank of Scotland shares were down nearly 20 per cent at one stage last week.
The investment banks have passed some of the risk/losses onto sub-underwriters, although most in London appear to believe that only about 40 per cent of the issue was underwritten. If weekend reports are correct the underwriting panel now owns about £3.5 billion of HBOS stock, with Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort left with more than £2 billion in shares.
No investment bank wants to be a long-term holder of that kind exposure, which means that the shares will find their way into the market sooner rather than later. Apart from any losses their forced sale might create for the banks the over-hang should depress the HBOS share price for some time to come.
The HBOS experience underscores the near-helplessness of financial institutions to respond to an attack by the short sellers. In the UK the vulnerability has been exacerbated by the length of a right issue timetable, which is very protracted because of the need to obtain shareholder approval. In this case for example, the issue was announced back in April.
In this environment and with equity markets priced where they are no bank will want to raise equity unless they have to. The instant sources of equity sovereign wealth funds, private equity and Arab oil sheiks have been scared off by their initial and very costly forays into the post sub-prime environment. The only source of large-scale capital for a bank under pressure at the moment is its own shareholders.
After the HBOS experience, no sensible underwriter will go anywhere near a bank issue, regardless of the size of the discount to the pre-issue market or the underwriting fees. Without an underwriter to guarantee the capital will actually be raised, a hedge fund attack on a bank equity issue could bring a bank down. Not that that would concern the funds.
In this market, Westpac tried to go it alone with a non-underwritten rights issue in 1992 and was facing a catastrophe until Credit Suisse baled it out at the 11 hour. The issue closed with a shortfall of about 75 per cent. (The shortfall almost handed effective control of the bank to Kerry Packer ).
Whether or not the UK and US regulators have made the right responses to the dangers of allowing short selling of key financial stocks, they have come to the right conclusion. Whatever the merits of short-selling in normally functioning markets (and there are some) in the current circumstances it adds instability and combustibility to core components of the financial system.
Like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the US, HBOS is too big and important for the UK regulators to allow it to fail. It makes sense for legislators and regulators to discourage behaviour that might increase the likelihood that the taxpayer will be called on for support.
"We are hopeful that this issue appropriately abates soon."
If I could get as much money out of the slot machine as quickly as I put into it as well, I'd be better off as well.
If I was smarter, I'd be a gooder president...
"There is NO problem, and we are dealing with it"
If the Seahawks improve as quickly as they tanked last year, they are well positioned for the Super Bowl.
That quote is classic. Apparently TXN is "still dancing".
Also, I still clearly recall watching Cramer state that homebuilder stocks were not cyclical anymore as they were now "land banks". Cramers quote came at the height of the boom.
How does that dingbat still have an audience?
Inventory build up...in tech, thats bad
"If I stop falling before I hit the ground, I'll be OK."
Inventory build up...in tech, thats bad
Barley
It would be badder if it were sushi.
OMG,OMG,OMG...thats the spot.
sorry, I just had a shortgasm.
now, for Policy Afterglow...with a smoke.
Angry- they are land banks.
Unfortunately they are land banks!!!
Nothing like a level III writedown on land!
Lehman bought a ton of it not tooo long ago- wonder what they are valuing it at today?
homebuilders still have financing, and still haven't had too many take their dirt naps!
Someday this war's gonna end....
Sorry CR, the Zen moment from this story beats that one hands down.
"Learn from us and you can avoid some of the mistakes." - Hank Paulso
Inventory buildup is bad in any industry. A company that has inventories reliably is a badly managed company, period.
Tech inventory is like sushi inventory. It's effectively perishable because it depreciates so rapidly; this makes it not only bad management but an almost automatic writeoff.
I predict the word of the year will be "challenge". Such a dull word; no sparkle or shine to it. Everything is a challenge. Instead of a miserable failure, or a total catastrophe or...or...
If we go up, we won't be going down anymore.
Sheesh.
heehee. Well, I bet he realized how silly that sounded the minute it left his mouth. But it is one for the book.
CR!!! but ...but but you can't live in a Texas Instrument!!!
"If not for all those losses...they would have been profitable"-
Actual MER analyst (I don't have the link but I KNOW I read it last week)
Ciao
MS
OT: The perfect gift for the holiday season
Gas Masks, Filters & Pouches Part #GASMASK-FIN
TV was invented in the 20s, but didn't become common until the late 40s between GD I and WW II. It's possible that tech innovation will slow down because no one will be able to afford it. Now that is, I know, another unthinkable thought from the lawyerliz unthinkable thought factory.
By the way, I am typing this on a computer which is 10 years old. My secys get the good ones. It has a crt and the keyboard recently died and was replaced from an extra computer which is merely 5 years old.
It still works. I'll keep using it until it starts smoking.
"Inventory build up in techs" is a euphemism for "we can't sell it to Americans, Japanese and Europeans as fast as we are asking the Chinese and Koreans to make it."
It would be badder if it were sushi.
Elvis
I think worser, too
We have all the supply you need baby, just like JDSU had enough fiber optic cable to wrap around the moon a few times back in the good ol days of dotcom mania!
JDSU @ $10.99 7/21/08
JDSU @ $1040.00 03/13/2000
Yes, If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
Freddie Mac May Slow Purchases of Mortgages, Bonds
``They were teed up to be saviors of the mortgage crisis, but now they've got their own capital issues.''
Freddie Mac May Slow Purchases of Mortgages, Bonds (Update4) - Bloomberg.com
LMAO, Uh Oh!
I think the laptop segment is going to get beaten senseless by the new segment of cheap, ultralight machines from ASUS, Everex and the like. Much lower profit margins.
"Profit margins. People still make profit margins?" -- The public homebuilders
bruiser writes:
If I could get as much money out of the slot machine as quickly as I put into it as well, I'd be better off as well.
bruiser | 07.21.08 - 6:29 pm | #
Play the change machine. It's almost as fun and you'll always get as much money out.
What John M said,
Yeeesh! So Paulson's new slogan to the Beijing Mandarins is "Learn From Subprime" ?!
As recently as late spring 2006 I listened to an afternoon of analsysts and fed reps talking about the risks of China's banking sector and "non-performing loans"...now the shoe is on the other foot and yet we still lecture.
I live in Dallas so this is heresy.
Someone said recently that if TI went into the funeral home business, no one would die!
I remember in the early 70's TI was going to capture the digital watch business. Engineers!
Wasn't there a reverse split on JDSU about a year ago??
Or am I thinking of something else...
Ciao
MS
You know, I think I had a TI watch... that played Scotland The Brave for the alarm. Sad day when it broke.
Or maybe it was a Honda.
Hey,
I was an "investor" in Burr Brown and I sold my TI when they bought my shares (for too much). I did my homework, moved on, been there, done that, TI sucks..
"IF" is such a powerful word.
JDSU had a 1:8 reverse split in '05 so that's not really the ACTUAL share price.
Had to look it up...
Kalkoven did VERY well but ended up pissing it away on the CART series that just recently was folded into the IRL.
Karma is a bitch..
Ciao
MS
I got a trumpet from Texas Instruments once, but it only would do calculations, so I threw it away... Now that I think about it, it was a calculator. I threw a perfectly good calculator away! Damn it. No wonder I'm not good at math.
Bye bye, Miss American Pie
Apple pie, I should think...
He probably was trying to say "If demand slows as quickly as it strengthens, we are well positioned to meet it".
@lawyerliz,
Haven't you heard?...smoking ain't healthy...(blows a nice ring)
"If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
And if I become as stiff as I used to be flaccid, then I won't need Viagra.
Speaking of "quote of the day"
"Steve Jobs' health is a private matter"
That's gonna hurt the appletards in the morning...
I told someone that anything over $175 should be considered a gift.....It sucks that someone's health is going to crater a stock however there was enough warning in June when he looked dead already.
Ciao
MS
If you were a Ford employee, and the company offered you $140k to retire, why in the - would you not take the money and run? Anyone?
If lands comes back under the Coyote that has run off the cliff, Wylie E. will be ready to meet it.
"Tech inventory is like sushi inventory"
Good one.
The FDIC continued to run Superior Bank, an Illinois-based national subprime mortgage lender, for months as it looked for a buyer.
The Wall Street Journal reported on Monday that under FDIC oversight the U.S. government gave out high-interest, subprime mortgages. Beal Bank SSB bought a portfolio of Superior's loans, about half of which originated under the FDIC.
Superior funded more than 6,700 new subprime loans worth more than $550 million under FDIC supervision, according to federal mortgage data, the newspaper said.
An undated legal analysis prepared for the FDIC, and placed in the case record, described the FDIC's litigation prospects as "poor" and said the FDIC would likely be liable for about $56 million in damages, plus up to $14 million of litigation charges and interest.
UPDATE 1-US FDIC in court dispute over subprime loans
| Reuters
Just can't make this shit up. Safe and sound.
If you were a Ford employee, and the company offered you $140k to retire, why in the - would you not take the money and run? Anyone?
Kung Fu Panda
Maybe they ar offering it in quarters and it is too heavy to run with?
You like building cars that no one wants?
Retirement is for bitches?
"Maybe they ar offering it in quarters and it is too heavy to run with?"
At least the quarters have the value of the metal content.
"If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
They need to hire JPM's lobbyists. The Petagram could then go on a TI buying spree.
If the next beer goes down as quickly as the last one, I am well positioned to face plant on my desk.
Cheers,
My mother had a saying:
If wishes were horses, then beggars would ride.
A modern version would be:
If wishes were cars, panhandlers would be driving
Or
If wishes were gas, then SUV owners would be driving.
If TI's chips were edible, they could put them in used pringle cans and sell them at Lefty's.
Cheers,
I forgot the split, oops, that makes it a good deal, right?
Two things:
If the next beer goes down as quickly as the last one, I am well positioned to face plant on my desk.
Cheers,
Misean
Classic!!!
Very funny all.
I'm going home, where I have no computer.
Will tomorrow be black Tuesday?
If my job becomes as enjoyable as my bong, I'll get a second job.
And HAPPY 4:20!
csc,
I bet you would be fun to burn a fatty with..or some mortgage paperwork..
"If TI's chips were edible, they could put them in used pringle cans and sell them at Lefty's."
Hmmm... A semi-edible semiconductor. There's a product just begging to be marketed.
Dude I'm gonna roll a blunt in a Benjamin if this shizzle keeps on. Considering the awareness of the people around me, I'll only be sharing it with the CR crowd.
How can people still not see the train coming?
Ray Charles can see the train coming and he is blind and dead.
CSC,
"Dude I'm gonna roll a blunt in a Benjamin if this shizzle keeps on."
Yeah, and zig zags will be worth more.
"How can people still not see the train coming?"
I see it man, but you're making it hard for me to ignore it. It's tough enough sleeping between the tracks without people constantly whining about the approaching train.
Sheesh!.
Cheers,
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard had a gnarly one today.
The global economy is at the point of maximum danger - Telegraph
I confess, I used to think he was overly-pessimistic.
DOW futures down 112... nice day tommorow
A quote of the day I just heard on bubblevision: "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the worst of both worlds; the worst of government and the worst of private enterprise."
Misean: Sorry to bum you out, man. But we're at the top of the hill, the chain has stopped clinking and the gear has let loose....and you still don't have your hands in the air.
We're gonna do a loop-dee-loo!
CSC,
"I confess, I used to think he was overly-pessimistic."
AEP is a rose coloured glasses wearing optimist.
Cheers,
Currently Smoking Cannabis I've been meaning to ask you do you listen to Light Up Or Leave Me Alone
YouTube -
CSC, It's funny that the feds are shutting down cannabis clubs up here in nor cal still and not one wall street crook is in court...Peak stupidity is what I'm worried about..
How can people still not see the train coming?
They see it come but they are like deer in the headlights right before the semi turns them into a blood spot on the highway.
This is the first I've heard this, but it's tight. I don't always light up though. When I worked at Taco Bell HQ in Irvine, I ate pot cookies every day so nobody could smell it on me. They just thought I looked tired 'cause I worked so hard. Ever wonder how many of your coworkers are munching ganjgoodies?
road kill the other white meat!
No confessions today!
Come back on FRIDAY!!!
That is when we bury the really devasting news.
After all, it will be forgotten with Sunday afternoon's bailout!!!!
Someday this war's gonna end...
Anonymous | 07.21.08 - 7:44 pm |,
"They see it come but they are like deer in the headlights right before the semi turns them into a blood spot on the highway."
You mean there's a Goddam semi coming too! This train wreck just keeps getting worse.
Cheers,
The semi is the rescue effort.
"Oh sweet... thats not a train afterall....it's....ARGH!"
Bye Liz. Sure... black tuesday, black wednesday, black 2009, 2010, 2011.
I never really got to know the old New York in it's heyday...
I got to know it it during the heyday of the black market....
Today Anton Karas is playing in my head- time to find some Gruner Veltliner, and some Weinerschnitzel!
Dum, da dum, da dum, dum, da dum.
We used to have someone using the moniker harry lime on CR...
Craigslist will be soon outfitted with various codewords to signify what goods are available...
Zither musik will make a comeback.
Now if I can only teach the local cafe owner to make mine mit Schlag and make a reasonably good Sachertorte.
Someday this war's gonna end...
CSC,
Well as long as this doesn't happen afterwards:
YouTube -
Cheers,
If frogs had wings...
My TI99-4/A from 1982 still works like a champ! Parsec rules! And though I'll never be able to retire, at least I can Hunt the Wumpus 'till I die!
Also why did I take off my shorts last week?!? Damn C and WFC for making me think a rally was brewing!
No matter how crazy it gets out there, we must all keep the water clean....for Tanta.
http://img233.imageshack.us/my.php?image=crandcleanwateriw7.jpg
"If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
If I lost weight as easily as I can gain weight, I would be a supermodel.
Currently Smoking Cannabis | 07.21.08 - 8:06 pm
sweet.....
Dude, I picked the wrong year to start smoking ganja.
Bernanke Reports as Much as $2.5 Million in Financial Assets
Bernanke Reports as Much as $2.5 Million in Financial Assets - Bloomberg.com
The Fed chairman's investments ranged from Canadian Treasury bonds to a retirement annuity, according to annual financial-disclosure filings released by the Fed today
"If I lost weight as easily as I can gain weight, I would be a supermodel"
Cat food == the new Jenny Craig
Economy weight loss program.
That last guy was a faker...not me.
Whats up with that dude?
CSC,
Glass? If so sweet. I prefer double chamber. Water lasts longer.
Cheers,
you have someone posting under your name? that is not cool
CSC,
Hmmm...not only not cool...but pitchfork time.
That's the REAL problem round these parts.
Ciao
MS
I ate pot cookies every day so nobody could smell it on me.
It's also much nicer on the lungs.
Not that I do this stuff anymore, but I really recommend staying away from the smoke, unless of course you're excited by thoracic surgery recovery rooms with piles of tubes sticking out of you.
Having been there for someone else, it drove home the point that the body get quite unpleased about partially burned hydrocarbons.
Stick to cookies, I say.
The pretender to the cannabis crown left a clue as to their real virtual identity (meme)
Anyone notice how the substance of choice trends towards pot when Lefty's is closed?
Also, has anyone been watching the pbs show "ethics in america" lately? This was originally made in the late 80's. The last one featured Jimmy Goldsmith telling us what a bunch of hypocrites we were. This was just after he scored his $90M consolation prize for greenmailing Goodyear.
When you are well-positioned to meet a greater capacity, don't they call that EXCESS capacity???
Corn and soybeans fell to the lowest in six weeks on speculation that warm, wet weather will hasten plant development and boost the yield potential of the two biggest U.S. crops.
Corn, Soybeans Decline as Warm, Wet Weather Boosts U.S. Crops - Bloomberg.com
They are cornholioed, They will be assimilated!
Is there anyone in charge anywhere who isn't a complete idiot? Really.
let me refresh everyone's memory about how the >a href="http://www.hud.gov/news/speeches/presremarks.cfm">President thinks (I should note these came in his remarks on "homeownership")
I just want you to know that, when we talk about war, we're really talking about peace.
the actual link
Remarks by the President on Homeownership - HUD
I was working in corporate america for a few years and slowly wearing off my naivete. I also was playing in a band. In one meeting I noticed a manager had a guitar pick he was playing with. After the meeting I asked him if he played. He did. He joined my band. I came to find he also smoked weed everyday. Most days he did it on the way to work. If he could pull this off at Nabisco, where we worked, I'd have to say eating brownies at Taco Bell is amateur hour.
Nice post about how the LA Times was taken for a ride by a pair of flipper-RE "gurus" --
http://bubbletracking.blogspot.com/2008/07/we-all-seen-latest-dataquick-sales.html
"If demand strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well-positioned to meet it."
If the train wreck strengthens as quickly as it slowed, we are well positioned to meet the unfinished end of the tunnel.
Yo! Currently Smoking Whatever Burns, that was like deja vu all over again.
Uncle Billy Loves Naomi Klein,
"The pretender to the cannabis crown left a clue as to their real virtual identity (meme)"
A regular poster. Hmmm.
Cheers
If he could pull this off at Nabisco, where we worked, I'd have to say eating brownies at Taco Bell is amateur hour.
But... how did no one notice the eyes, the demeanor, or the odor?
Fond memories of Nabisco, though. Great risk arb play a few years ago!
JP: Ive been considering this actually. Plus you can get way higher by eating it. Its hard to oversmoke...not hard to overeat.
But... how did no one notice the eyes, the demeanor,
or the odor?
There's a Nabisco in Northeast Philly. You can smell the Nilla Wafers from a mile away. So I can't imagine anyone noticing the smell of the noble weed.
And no one notices the eyes OR the demeanor. Believe me.
Misean: wuzn't me, but yes, I think it's a regular poster.
Isn't it funny that both of the guys above talking about their experiences in the hazy corporate world -- well one worked for a fast food company, and the other for a mfgr of salty snacks.
My high school principal at a sports awards banquet:
"Without these athletes, we wouldn't have teams!"
So, Bernanke owns Canadian Treasury Bonds, eh? Not U.S. Treasury Bonds?
Fire that bald, pasty-faced SOB now!
Read Infinite Jest. I like reading more than smoking weed. That book is a primer on how to hide your habit. It also is 1100 pages long so if you are the type who prefers to wake and bake it probably is beyond your ability.
Trust me, he and many others hide their habits. And in the manual labor market most people are drinking or on drugs. Ever wonder why the ass end of a paint can opener conveniently opens a bottle of beer?
Uncle Billy,
"well one worked for a fast food company, and the other for a mfgr of salty snacks."
Hey you do what you know best. Nothing wrong with that.
Cheers,
CSC: Good. I await your change of moniker to Currently Eating Cannabis.
And I hope my post didn't come across as preachy. I just happen to have a deep-seated hatred of doctors playing with my (or anyone else's) innards.
Forget the salty snacks. Nabisco was owned by a cigarette company at the time. If you went to their headquarters in Winston Salem they had signs that said "Thank You for Smoking". My associates were just being polite.
"How can people still not see the train coming?"
A bright light comes into view in the distance with the sound, "choo-choo chugga-chugga choo-chooo"
Wall street says, "Look! The sun's rising!"
Hope runs eternal.
Dude, that other guy smoked all my weed, too!
So... Is the rally over & back to steady declines ?
CSC: dude, you need to change out the water.
And Taco Bell, is that not the perfect job!
Nikkei up 1%? Are they trading with a 1 day time delay? Wish I could short it RIGHT NOW.
Looks like CR is now Cannabis Repartee. OK by me. What I'd like to know is why we STILL have all these insane pot laws on the books?
Because the intervention is a 40B part of the Criminal Justice Industry.
http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008/07/amex-super-prime-problems.html
Crop report south of KC. Hot and dry.
N & E Texas, the corn burned up. Beans OK for now and the milo is bushed out. Forget the cotton.
Lots of silage and dried mini corn cobs. Cheap MacCarther pipes for you know who.
See what Bosch said.
Because the laws enable big biz.
JP: not preachy at all. thanks.
The trick to smoking at work is to do it from your very first day. Then nobody notices. Just dont ever stop, because when you come in with a sober type-A personality, everyone thinks you're a cokehead.
Dealing in five derivatives, including Japanese government bond futures and TOPIX futures, was halted as of 0021 GMT on Tuesday due to system problems, the Tokyo Stock Exchange said on Tuesday.
It was unclear when trading would resume and how long it would take to fix the problems, a TSE official said.
System trouble halts derivatives dealing in Tokyo
| Reuters
Butt Crack!
By the way, 12th, that figure is a couple of years old. It could well (probably) be way more by now. Homeland yadda yadda.
DEA is only a small part of it. States and Locals all suck at the more-bux-against-drugs tit. There's the entire Criminal Justice infrastructure.
If wishes were mortgages ... Oh, wait! Wishes were mortgages, weren't they?
The trick to smoking at work is to do it from your very first day. Then nobody notices. Just dont ever stop, because when you come in with a sober type-A personality, everyone thinks you're a cokehead.
This is the kind of advice I come to this blog for!
(Seriously lol)
"computer which is 10 years old"
Lawerliz, can you please write a little spec of the computer (CPU/Diskdrive/Memory/OS etc.,)? Kind of historical curiosity.
Anonymous,
Re: Steve Jobs
You just scared the hell out of me. I usually keep well hidden under my rock but weeks ago I crawled out to get the teeth scraped. As I was sitting there a guy came in who looked like a dead ringer for Jobs - same black tee, same close cropped hair and lean face. I ride the horse near his house in Woodside and I used to ride the bike by his place in Palo Alto.
I noted that he did not look well.
I don't own any Apple but if I did, I would be selling it and shorting Apple if this guy was Jobs.
Rob Dawg writes:
"There is NO problem, and we are dealing with it"
mock turtle writes
there is Still no problem and we are STILL dealing with it.
his is the first I've heard this, but it's tight. I don't always light up though. When I worked at Taco Bell HQ in Irvine, I ate pot cookies every day so nobody could smell it on me. They just thought I looked tired 'cause I worked so hard. Ever wonder how many of your coworkers are munching ganjgoodies?
Think 'pesto' for lunch... and if that's not enough to carry you through the afternoon - throw in a few mushrooms.
Not making any recommendations or suggestions - we're all adults here (I hope) - just sayin'...
FUNNIEST post of the day! Thanks for the grins and practical advice...
The trick to smoking at work is to do it from your very first day. Then nobody notices. Just dont ever stop, because when you come in with a sober type-A personality, everyone thinks you're a cokehead.
Currently Smoking Cannabis | 07.21.08 - 9:23 pm |
Makes me want to cry when I see your tag.
It has been a couple of years for me.
Hopefully, in a few months, that will change, but for now...
I never liked getting high at work myself, but I have known plenty who did.
The irony is that I am in a lot of pain and can legally get all the narcotics I want - but if I smoke some weed, I'm likely to wind up in jail for a long, long time.
I am jealous, envious and amazingly pissed off at the fascists who created this insane state of affairs.
I just eat the pain for the most part, instead of the narcotics, BTW, but a nice fat joint sure would make it a lot easier to bear.
Good luck to all you heads out there. As a working class guy, I was a bit surprised to find so many heads on a biz blog. 'Bout time we get together and fix this stupid sh--.
BTW, Currently - I wasn't the one who stole your handle - kind of a gutless thing to do.
How does that dingbat still have an audience?
Don't get me started on Cramer. The man is bi-polar, and he needs professional help.
He's changed his positions on the builders more often than an adult film star.
Lawl, I need caffeine if I read comments this early. Was trying to figure out why film stars would have positions on builders.
ot, and behind paywall, but wtf haven't seen it here yet
HBOS was a sitting duck
Overnight, the extent of what may go down as one of the most disastrous share underwritings in history will be exposed when Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort reveal the size of the shortfall to the $8 billion HBOS rights issue.
In the process, the investment banks will help fuel the paranoia about the impact of short selling in the current environment, and harden the resolve of the UK and US regulators to introduce measures to deter the full-scale assaults hedge funds have been making on vulnerable financial stocks.
The HBOS experience has informed the UK authorities decision to force hedge funds to disclose their short positions in companies conducting rights issues. The Financial Services Authority has also indicated it may limit the ability of short sellers to borrow stock in such circumstances. Last week the US Securities and Exchange Commission rushed out a policy under which it banned naked short selling in 19 specified financial stocks.
When Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort reveal all tomorrow it is widely expected that they will disclose a shortfall to the issue of close to 90 per cent about £3.5 billion, or more than $A7 billion.
Thats despite the fact that the issue was originally made at a 45 per cent discount to the HBOS share price and, at 275p, represents a multiple of less than three times earnings and a discount of almost 50 per cent to book value.
When the issue was announced in late April HBOS shares were trading around £5. Until last Friday, when the shares traded just above the issue price of 275p, the banks shares had been trading at just over half that. While the volatile and fragile condition of credit markets and real economies might be a contributing factor to the implosion in the HBOS price, most of the credit is going to the short sellers.
From the moment HBOS unveiled the issue the hedge funds smelled blood. HBOS was an easy target in an environment when any bank seeking to raise capital is seen to be under pressure and vulnerable.
The gameplan was straightforward, cold-blooded and extremely effective. The hedge funds piled into the stock, shorting it aggressively. The more timid would have been buying the rights (the value of which was also being driven down by the selling) as cheap insurance in case the bear raid wasnt as effective as hoped while the more aggressive would be waiting for the underwriters to be forced to disgorge the expected shortfall.
It was game with little risk. Indeed at least one of the big European investment banks was inciting the hedge funds to join the assault, arguing that if there was sufficient selling pressure the underwriters would be forced to protect themselves against the prospect of a major shortfall by selling their clients stock short themselves.
As it happens, it would appear Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort didnt attack their own client they appear to have sold other bank stocks short instead to create a hedge against loss. Royal Bank of Scotland shares were down nearly 20 per cent at one stage last week.
The investment banks have passed some of the risk/losses onto sub-underwriters, although most in London appear to believe that only about 40 per cent of the issue was underwritten. If weekend reports are correct the underwriting panel now owns about £3.5 billion of HBOS stock, with Morgan Stanley and Dresdner Kleinwort left with more than £2 billion in shares.
No investment bank wants to be a long-term holder of that kind exposure, which means that the shares will find their way into the market sooner rather than later. Apart from any losses their forced sale might create for the banks the over-hang should depress the HBOS share price for some time to come.
The HBOS experience underscores the near-helplessness of financial institutions to respond to an attack by the short sellers. In the UK the vulnerability has been exacerbated by the length of a right issue timetable, which is very protracted because of the need to obtain shareholder approval. In this case for example, the issue was announced back in April.
In this environment and with equity markets priced where they are no bank will want to raise equity unless they have to. The instant sources of equity sovereign wealth funds, private equity and Arab oil sheiks have been scared off by their initial and very costly forays into the post sub-prime environment. The only source of large-scale capital for a bank under pressure at the moment is its own shareholders.
After the HBOS experience, no sensible underwriter will go anywhere near a bank issue, regardless of the size of the discount to the pre-issue market or the underwriting fees. Without an underwriter to guarantee the capital will actually be raised, a hedge fund attack on a bank equity issue could bring a bank down. Not that that would concern the funds.
In this market, Westpac tried to go it alone with a non-underwritten rights issue in 1992 and was facing a catastrophe until Credit Suisse baled it out at the 11 hour. The issue closed with a shortfall of about 75 per cent. (The shortfall almost handed effective control of the bank to Kerry Packer ).
Whether or not the UK and US regulators have made the right responses to the dangers of allowing short selling of key financial stocks, they have come to the right conclusion. Whatever the merits of short-selling in normally functioning markets (and there are some) in the current circumstances it adds instability and combustibility to core components of the financial system.
Like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the US, HBOS is too big and important for the UK regulators to allow it to fail. It makes sense for legislators and regulators to discourage behaviour that might increase the likelihood that the taxpayer will be called on for support.
there is Still no problem and we are STILL dealing with it.
mock turtle | 07.21.08 - 10:08 pm
I think the quote you're looking for is: There is still no problem, and we've already dealt with it.
And the next time we have a problem that's not a problem, we'll be well-positioned to deal with that, too.
What's a homebuilder?
We're all now flipping burgers!
"That is to say, our idle factories are standing by for any sign of recovery."