The foreclosure 'discount'

What are people thinking in April, 2008? $449,900? Ouch!!!!!

"What the heck were people thinking in Feb 2007?"

"Real estate always goes up. And it's not like I have to raise a down payment or anything, so -- why not?"

That place will be worth about 250k in about 2 years...could even be less.

$128/sq ft. on a tiny lot?

ARE PEOPLE INSANE??

That's some world class underwriting there.

On days like today when the market is taking away my paper wealth with its invisible hand, I'm comforted by the fact that I don't live in a little box that i paid $650,000 for.

Nah, the hold sold for $550000, but the seller went along with the buyer's plan to call it $640000 with a cash back. The 'buyer' then never made a payment after collecting the $90000.

Here's the best one I've found:

29075 Crest Dr.
Agoura Hills, CA 91301

12/06: $1,740,000
Currently listed REO: $999,000

OUCH!

hmmm, if they throw in that lawn chair...

What a joke! It is still grossly overvalued...and the scary thing is these are the inflated underlying assets of the paper that is getting stuffed on the Fed's balance sheet and on the GSE balance sheets. No bailouts, please sign our petition!

"What the heck were people thinking in Feb 2007? $640K? Ouch."

I'll tell you what they were thinking. "I'm a flipper. That is what I do. I buy houses and flip them for a bunch of money. It is so easy. I'm rich. I will keep doing this and make easy money until the day I die. People who actually work are suckers for The Man."

"What are people thinking in April, 2008? $449,900? Ouch!!!!!"

I agree. That little POS house is worth much less than that.

What are people thinking in April, 2008? $449,900? Ouch!!!!!"

I'd give'em a dollar fer it.

greenlander, yeah, but no fool has bought at the current price. I guess we could ask what the lender is thinking for asking so much!

Best to all.

That's a WWII era hovel. $449K? LOL! $100K is WAY too much.

$640K and $450K are both shocking for that little stucco box. Prices still have a long way to fall.

Oh come on guys, it's totally worth that much! I mean, look at the lot. It's totally surrounded by cement so you'll save on landscaping costs. It's maintenance-free, and look at the shade from the tree, A/C bills will be much lower.

What were LENDERS thinking back in 2007?

You have this and then former mortgage industry employees wonder why no one will hire them. It is called demonstrated bad judgement. "Yes, I participated in actions that made my former employers insolvent. Please hire me to help your business."

Very funny! @ $426 per sq/ft, what a deal..LOL

The original $607 per sq/ft must have taken into acct nearby shopping or some really cool nearby thing that aint at this shack...LOL

Obviously they were thinking much the way then as they are now. I wouldn't put Benji in that dump. $450,000+ for that?

Here's a plan, take your 450 large and buy a nice house with acreage and outbuildings, fenced, a stocked fish pond and clean air. Then put over 200 large (of what's left over from the transaction) into some guns, ammunition, silver, gold, salted snack foods, tequila and porn.

Next, live out your life in equanimity and bliss, away from the blithering idiots who think this salt box is worth anything. Raised foundation? Please--try pillar and post for more clarity.

Here's a good resource, its a listing of state bailout programs from the Nat'l Governor's Assoc.

NGA Center for Best Practices

$640 thousand???

Please tell me that's the gardener's bungalow. Please?

Oh.... WOAH!!! Pictures on the front page?

CR wrote: "no fool has bought at the current price." You're right, the fool was the person who lost it to foreclosure.

It hasn't sold because there is currently a fool shortage. Smile

Lets try to guess what this house will be worth in 5 years. I say $200,000 give or take 15,000. Keep in mind inflation is running away these days and will inflate the price of these shacks.

Read the comments at the LA Times.

In 2001 it sold for $129,000.

That is how big the bubble was in LA.

If you want to see a good collection of shockingly big price drops in the san diego area, follow this link:

http://www.sdlookup.com/Forums/General/tabid/57/forumid/270/tpage/1/view/topic/postid/17131/Default.aspx#17131

Lots of examples of 50%++ losses.

From the comments following the article:

"... And now the greatest spectacle of socialistic fraud on the face of the planet, as Congress forces all the responsible citizens ... by the full force and power of the law, to have their taxes, forced from them with threats of jail time, fines and confiscation of their property, be used to bail out the absolutely obscene decisions ... to lend and "pay" these absolutely unconscionable and decadent and totally out of line prices of hundreds of thousands of dollars for this 3 bedroom piece of junk in Los Angeles ... There are not words in the polite English language to describe this horrific situation ..."

No, those words sum it up pretty well, actually.

Sadly we are all going to pay the price for this insanity.....

Glendale, bad air quality, traffic and some pretty scary neighborhoods to go along with an overpriced hot box. Got window a/c?

I'm trying to find comps:

The page cannot be found

Here is nearby area, 1342 sq/ft @ $575K built 1973

What were they thinking? Not much because of all the LSD they had to have been on to pay $640k for that POS.

they had the same mentality as people who are buying stock now.
we are all people, you know.

GOOG UP 95 DOLLARS TODAY. That's gotta hust if you're short. Margin call hell. OMG!

Tell me no one here is on the wrong side of this space shuttle launch.

"It's maintenance-free, and look at the shade from the tree, A/C bills will be much lower."

I can see myself now, sitting in that little white chair out front. I'm sipping on a can of Milwaukee's Best, enjoying home ownership, while Conjure quietly gnaws the bark off the tree in the front rock pile, waiting for an opportunity to chew the balls off a passing dog (or neighbor).

You have this and then former mortgage industry employees wonder why no one will hire them. It is called demonstrated bad judgement. "Yes, I participated in actions that made my former employers insolvent. Please hire me to help your business.">>

You've just described the handbook for hiring bank executives.

Speaking of dropping prices, the townhouse I sold in Leesburg,VA in June 2005 for $612,500 is now going for $420K asking....I have been renting since then and have never been happier.

This blog helped me tremendously.

Very funny! @ $426 per sq/ft, what a deal..LOL

The original $607 per sq/ft must have taken into acct nearby shopping or some really cool nearby thing that aint at this shack...LOL
Anonymous

On a teardown like that you have to look at lot price, not interior.

$70K for the house and just buy the street up piecemeal to redevelop.

It hasn't sold because there is currently a fool shortage. Smile

Plenty of fools still around they just need a greater fool.

I know that area - sort of; its more La Crescenta than Glendale and its also right next to the 210 Freeway. The noise pollution will be terrible. $130,000 is more like it. I agree - there must have some large cash back scam that pushed the last sale price to $640K - its just not believable otherwise.

-K

The mother lode of price drops on California hovels and dumps is the "Real Homes of Genius" archive at the Dr. Housing Bubble blog. And don't miss his classic "10 Overpriced California Homes."

Note I am no big shot by any means, but my living room is the size of that shack....and I bought in 1993 for $110,000....serious joke out there in the Left cost.

The lender doesn't care 'cause they sold the paper to the Fed. Everybody wins. What a great country.

Hey man,

This is what these places go for ok, take a look:

Glendale, CA on LA Life

Glendale home cost per sq/ft @ $456

La Cañada Flintridge @$573

Pasadena @$488

Atwater Village @ $540

Eagle Rock @ $475

Glassell Park @$480

Los Feliz @ $598

Hey dudes, get in now before you get priced out!

Buy now or be priced out forever.

I can see myself now, sitting in that little white chair out front...

Ahhhh mp....now that's livin'! After 9 years of post-secondary education, working two or three jobs to pay off student loans, 60 hour weeks in industry, and scrimping and investing wisely, I hope to attain that level of ease when I retire early! Oh, except the whole ball-chomping part, no offense to conjure Smile

Oh come on guys, it's totally worth that much! I mean, look at the lot. It's totally surrounded by cement so you'll save on landscaping costs.

I totally agree. Just the fact that you'll never have to mow the lawn is worth at least $300k.

I think buyers were thinking: "...that if it appraises, if the bank will lend, (and those people know a lot more about real estate than the consumer - right?) then it must be right, after all isn't consumer real estate lending one of the most heavily regulated industry out there? (the average consumer thought) Why would the worlds largest financial institutions invest in this? Why would all the public pension plans invest in this?"

I find it really mind boggling that "we", those with advanced education, financial backgrounds, control over huge wads of money blame Joe six pack consumer for this huge financial blunder, while "we" cashed our bonuses, etc.

Did anyone notice this:

Median Price Per Sq. Foot went from:

$469 between Oct - Dec 2005

dropping "down" to: $456 Jul - Sep 2007

What's that, maybe a 3% (asking price) decline by the end of 2007?

it's all contained....

in your pension fund

What the heck were people thinking in Feb 2007?

Lets see, I can pay rent or buy a house w/ 0 down neg arm...guess what free rent for 12 or so months. God Bless this country where you can live free and die in debt!

On a 5000 sq. ft. lot you could squeeze in a McMansion and still not have to worry about a lawn. There's an idea for ya. . .

Dennis Kneale sporting monster wood today. Can't wait to see Maria's hr long orgasm.

Fear vanished in 1 day.

Los Feliz @ $598?

Jeez. I'd have to find a place that had sleep-standing accommodations.

I'll tell you what I was thinking in 2005 when my fiance and I paid $400k for a similar-sized house in Seattle: "I'm going to lose a bunch of money on this." But...there are other reasons to buy a house.

This shack is up for @ $426 per sq/ft, which is a steal if the average price was $456 in Dec 2007, I mean these nice people dropped the price almost 6% and if yah twist their ARMS maybe they go 9%?

please, no one pay any attention to $116 Oil.

I remember watching CNBC about two months ago or so and a guy comes on saying he is shorting Goldman Sachs. At the time it was around $210 or $220. Maria just giggled and said something to the effect that you are an idiot if you go against Goldman Sachs. Now the stock price is much lower, yet she still giggles. What is under that desk?

that the "value" of that got through underwriting is the real crime here...

Appraisal fraud doesn't begin to do it justice...
Ciao
MS

Check out this bank owned gem in Thousand Oaks, CA that recently sold, from zillow:

Sale History
11/21/2007: $826,148 *
11/03/2006: $975,000
07/13/2004: $789,000

1553 Live Oak Rd, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320 - Zillow

Saw it on realtor.com 2 weeks ago listed at 665K. It's not on there anymore, so must have been sold or something.

If it sold @ 665K, that's 310K down from 975K on 11/06, ~32%. Or down 15% in '07, and another 15% in the last 6 months (~). That would be considerably below it's July '04 level.

Assuming of course that it sold at 665K - I'd assume it's quite possible that this one got bid up considering the discount. I even thought about buying it (for 2 seconds)!

That house is worth 30K but the garage puts it up to 35K.

It must be the camera. Camera adds 10 pounds. In this case, it might reduce the size of the house.

Ok suckers,

I can get you in this for:

MORTGAGE RATES IN LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA
5/1 ARM (IO) 0 Points

Quicken Loans\t

04/18/08\t5.875 (rate)

Fees @ $5,570

Monthly(Cash @ $1,958

Find Mortgage,Home Equity,Auto and Savings Rates on Yahoo! Personal Finance

Hurry, we have callers on hold and there is a long wait list and we are now taking back up offers.......LoL bawhahahaaahahaha

Heard a rumor Warren Buffett is interested in this house.

Maybe they need to throw in a colection of Beanie Babies.

A theory: In most places the water is in the pot. In Cali, the pot is in the water. Dream on beautiful dreamers.

Ok, one last item, how is you credit?

Job ID\tEG SanMarGlendal ELM
Company Name\tChuck E. Cheese's
Job Category\tRestaurant/Food Service; Hospitality/Travel
Location\tSanta Maria, CA • Glendale, CA
Position Type\tFull-Time, Employee
Experience\t1-2 Years Experience
Date Posted\tMarch 7, 2008 (Reposted Apr 17)

If Buffet doesn't buy today, The Fed will work a deal Sunday!

Don't worry someone will get an FHA loan on that no prob.

And in eighteen months it will be a HUD repo.

That price made me laugh, and I'm used to the astronomical house prices here in CA. That really deserved a Real Homes of Genius nomination (and I second El Cliffo's recommendation of Dr. Housing if you want some good laughs.)

sdtfs writes:
Heard a rumor Warren Buffett is interested in this house.

That's the problem with rumors, sdtfs, they get distorted so quickly.

It's Jimmy Buffett! And he's renting it to write his new song - Cheeseburger Flipper in Paradise.

Wink

Hey, that kind of looks like my house.

Thank you for visualising the mess every once in a while. Looking at these offers gives one a grasp of just how big the problem is. In this case the price asked for in 2008 is still way to high. How much will the homeprices fall eventually? 40-50%?

Re: " In 2001 it sold for $129,000."

Low adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) rates are also available on our jumbo loans which help you finance loans that are higher than the conforming loan limit (currently $417,000).

This is very funny!

Can someone please tell me where a nice cheap place to live is? Yah know, the flip side of this coin, where you have a nice place under $200K

Re: Glendale home cost per sq/ft @ $456

@ $2000 per month, one would need a double income at a min net of $4000 to survive...

Glendale is a city in Los Angeles County, California, United States. It lies at the eastern end of the San Fernando Valley, is bisected by the Verdugo Mountains, and is an important suburb in the Greater Los Angeles Area.

Glendale, California - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia 

The median income for a household in the city was $41,805, and the median income for a family was $47,633. Males had a median income of $39,709 versus $33,815 for females. The per capita income for the city was $22,227. About 13.6% of families and 15.5% of the population were below the poverty line, including 20.7% of those under age 18 and 11.9% of those age 65 or over.

There were 71,805 households out of which 32.9% had children under the age of 18 living with them, 52.3% were married couples living together, 11.8% had a female householder with no husband present, and 30.9% were non-families. 25.7% of all households were made up of individuals and 8.7% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older.

Am I the only one that knows this is a tool shed?

Here is the last owner info -- maybe someone can give him a call and ask him what the hell he was thinking about?

Robert is a Glendale, California Real Estate Agent who is licensed in the State of California and works out of the Regency Real Estate Services Office in Glendale, CA. Currently Robert has not left a welcome message or submitted a photo, so please feel free to leave a review of Robert or email Robert Minassian to ask them to sign up and update their profile.

Name: \tRobert Minassian
Office: \tRegency Real Estate Services
Address: \t2915 Graceland Way
City, State & Zip: \tGlendale, CA 91206-1332
Phone: \t818-240-0777

What the heck were people thinking in Feb 2007?

They were after their rightful share of the 'American Dream'. An American family that we should have helped stay in their home. Or so I hear.

please, no one pay any attention to $116 Oil."

That nice man Mr. Bernanie is blowing a new bubble don't tell anyone.

Location Location Location...

Check out the google maps of this house:

A freeway right behind...not in glendale either but La Cresenta

3732 Mayfield Ave - Google Maps

To maintain the same standard of living, your salary of $41,805 in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, California could decrease to $20,764 in Arkadelphia, Arkansas
Stated another way, it's 50.3% cheaper to live in Arkadelphia, Arkansas than Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, California

Cost of Living Comparison: compare Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, California to Arkadelphia, Arkansas

"Can someone please tell me where a nice cheap place to live is?"

Almost anywhere in flyover, except in the large cities.

"Then put over 200 large (of what's left over from the transaction) into some guns, ammunition, silver, gold, salted snack foods, tequila and porn."

Is there a mutual fund out there that will package this all together for me? I need someplace to park my IRA and I'm too busy to make the effort to buy individually....

My main question would be, "how cool are the people in Arkadelphia, Arkansas -- versus those that live around LA"?

The population density of Arkadelphia, Arkansas was 1,486.2 people per square mile (574.0/km²).

The population density of Glendale was 2,456.1/km² (6,362.2/mi²).

The population density of Arkadelphia, Arkansas was 1,486.2 people per square mile (574.0/km²).

FYI: The U.S. headquarters of International House of Pancakes are located in Glendale.

Recent advertisement campaigns have featured slogans such as "Just For the Fun of It", "Why not eat breakfast for dinner tonight?", and most recently "Come hungry. Leave happy."

That house is still over valued.

It is not worth $150K.

looking at that tree from an arborist point of view, you better plan on taking it down. Compromised roots from all the concrete, no supplemental irrigation (who is stupid enough to water gravel?), decay in the main trunk. Without the tree, it looks like the garage of the $11,000 house my parents bought in 1964 in SoCal.

I agree with the notion that prices are still insane.

People went from having limited buying power to unlimited buying power with no down payment (Stated).

Demand isn't effective unless it is backed up by purchasing power. Anyone willing to commit financial suicide had unlimited purchasing power.

Now we are slowly getting back to limited purchasing power based on AMORTIZATION and documented income. It is a huge shift and people haven't made the adjustments yet.

It is insane to me how many people are still willing to buy at these prices. The SFV might get positive YoY numbers this next april (due to an easy comparison and a jump in pendings). People are funny in how they think of prices. They see 20% off of a number that bore no relation to reality and they think they are getting a deal. I know a very smart scientist that just bought a CONDO for investment in So Cal. That floored me.. he got such a great deal at the time.. now 6 months later that deal is last years overpriced sale.

People are going to get destroyed by thinking they can call a bottom on this thing.

"It hasn't sold because there is currently a fool shortage. Smile
MiTurn"

I'm not sure about that, have you seen the stock market?

But it's in the warm California sun...

Don't be bagging on La Crescenta I grew up there. Wink

I lived at the top of Rosemont and could bike downhill for 7 miles to the Rose Bowl on Sunday morning. That was like a free 45 minute roller coaster for a 10 year old kid. It was a bitch getting back home though lol.

"looking at that tree from an arborist point of view"

Looking at the tree from a practical point of view, you could easily construct a treehouse in it nicer and bigger than the one featured in the picture and live in that, while collecting 1/2 the note in rent on the primary hovel, and probably pirate wireless broadband off the tenants. Get a little exercise climbing up & down to boot!

Glad I don't libe in CA. What a mess, and a lot of capital destruction to come...

FYI the Southland Regional Association of Realtors posts there stats monthly.

They just posted the new stats for March, the interesting portion is the pendings, expirations and BOM:

http://www.srar.com/members/stats/summaries/2008/march/SFV.pdf

A lot of stuff is getting to escrow but it isnt pulling through to the other side yet.

Their updated graphs:
http://www.srar.com/members/stats/charts/2008/march/SFVGraphs.pdf

sold in 2001 for $129,000.

Selling @ $400,000 in 2008!

A 300% profit in 7 years....this bubble has never come close to popping and with The Fed running up the stock market into the next bubble, oil headed to $125 and inflation out of control with an insane President....does it matter if these people have a clue? They just wanna be in the casino and cash in on retardation -- can you blame them?

That much for some "thing" that is sure to be constructed as well as a portable toilet? And even looks like one!
anyone who buys this is bound to have lost any sense of value (s)
I would rather go live where nature is still reasonably intact and land cheaper, and hire an architect to built something small but sound, elegant. and durable. But my perspective is probably biased by the fact that I was born in a house that was 200 years old and will be standing for a very long time in the future.

It seems to me it is the same behavior as buying cheap crap that does not last at Walmart; and people don't even realize they spend a lot more in the long run.

Actually, there may be something to gain in studying which are the least durable-lower quality import items that get purchased again and again, and perhaps a US firm would have a competitive advantage in producing similar but good quality goods with a solid warranty.

True story: a friend is filing for Chapter 7 - owns three houses, including the one his family resides in fell behind in payments - do they have to give them all up?

"A 300% profit in 7 years"

Uhhh... they had Options on the house @ $129k. Gains were probably 30000%. Nice gig if you can get it!

This is exactly the kind of nonsense that gets me SOOOO angry.

Presently, fiscal & monetary policy are aimed at maintaining the ridculus purchase prices for houses similar to the one in CR's picture. 640K? WTF!

Where is the wisdom in any of this?

DH@TH :

MORTGAGE RATES IN LOS ANGELES,CALIFORNIA
5/1 ARM (IO) 0 Points
Quicken Loans
04/18/08 5.875 (rate)

Someone is still writing Interest-Only?!?! What down-payment is necessary? What DTI?

While the middle class strugggles, the market for Estates is very hot!

PALM BEACH — In another sign of just how hot the mansion market is, the oceanfront estate built by billionaire businessman and philanthropist Sidney Kimmel has sold for $81.5 million, a record for the island.

John L. Thornton, 54, a former Goldman Sachs partner and chairman of the Brookings Institution, is the buyer, people familiar with the transaction said

Local News: West Palm Beach, Palm Beach County, Martin & St. Lucie Counties | The Palm Beach Post

sold in 2001 for $129,000.
Selling @ $400,000 in 2008!
A 300% profit in 7 years

... a good trader can go much better than that on the market, why would you want to live in a mobile home look-alike, or even bother with renting it + maintaining-paying taxes on it??

Anonymous writes:
"I'm not sure about that, have you seen the stock market?:

Touche.

For those of you not in SoCal, you just have no idea how intense the madness really got. I had co-workers stop me at the coffee machine and launch into 15 minute tirades about what was I thinking by not buying a home, this minute, now! Real estate only goes up! UP!! and I was going to lose FOREVER!! the opportunity to own a home in a nice neighborhood.

And that wasn't even a sales pitch from a real estate agent. Just one of the guys in my office. He wasn't the only one who gave me the same spin over and over again.

The peer pressure here to buy was absolutely enormous and it was every where. The thing is, on paper, the logic to buy made no sense. It was cheaper to rent than to buy. So I'm still renting.

While the middle class struggles, the market for Estates is very hot!

...yes some people live for displaying that can afford more then others = another empty pursuit, I actually feel sorry for them.

Money should help you be free, instead they are slaves, just like those who buy "stuff" because everybody else has them, they buy stuff because no one else (they hope) can have them.

Was this photo modified or something. Because the house looks more like 400 Square feet than 1,000.

Dny

Beautiful remodeled house on zero traffic tree lined street.

That zero traffic thing (in LA) really makes me suspicious. Was the street shut down due to sinkholes or something?

Anonymous writes:
"I'm not sure about that, have you seen the stock market?:

Touche.
MiTurn

....well the up/down volumes sugests that there may be a fool shortage and that it may soon become pretty clear

People are going to get destroyed by thinking they can call a bottom on this thing.
Cal | Homepage | 04.18.08 - 2:09 pm | #

Cal,
As a FYI,rents have fallen in Cape Coral,Fl to 1997/98 levels. We have filled all our units at that price. Now for all the other rental properties bought since 2001/02,have fun! If prices overcorrect to the downside,I could see SFR falling to that point. It's a big waiting game...

Chris

". . .Can someone please tell me where a nice cheap place to live is?"

The New York Times says that Bush is now promoting real estate development and home ownership in the beautiful, sunny West Bank:

". . .The plan, which establishes a $500 million mortgage company, aims to build 10 new neighborhoods over the next five years and, in the process, create thousands of jobs in construction and real estate."

"The new company’s name, Affordable Mortgage and Loan Company, yields the acronym AMAL, an Arabic word meaning hope."

skeptictank,
Sat photos show the house is on a cul de sac...right next to a freeway.

Genevieve -

I sure as heck hope you are right...because the market is one heck of a gravity defying magic carpet ride right now.

I am stunned by CAT's earnings news this AM. I got out of CAT about 6 months ago thinking it had been a very nice run (and it was), but that de-coupling was horse-hockey and that their earnings would pull back substantially on the world wide slowdown.

I'm hoping these 1st QTR earnings - not just for CAT - are just a lag effect, or I went short at the really wrong time.

Right now it looks like insanity.

That house in the post looks better than you get in Vancouver. this house costs C$558K. No mortgage interest or property tax deduction, either.

See full post at here.

from the pic, it looks like a sharecropper shack, wouldnt make it into the five figures in Dayton.

.
MiTurn says:
CR wrote: "no fool has bought at the current price." You're right, the fool was the person who lost it to foreclosure.

No the bigger fool was the one who lended to the person who lost it to foreclosure.
.

Cobradriver - Can you give us an idea of the rates. Good location/neighborhood, 2b, view?

thx

VHB - Vancouver East is a druggie, crime area, yes?

CR, thank you for the comedy.

The real estate section of your newspapers out there must resemble the comics pages.

As a FYI,rents have fallen in Cape Coral,Fl to 1997/98 levels.

Florida is becoming more affodable than N.H. at this point. We had an article in our paper the other day, I linked it here but don't know if you saw it, where our rental prices are soaring. Add that to the Denver article and the SW Conn. article, and it could be that you'll see your prices move upwards too.

Can someone please tell me where a nice cheap place to live is? Yah know, the flip side of this coin, where you have a nice place under $200K
Anonymous | 04.18.08 - 1:40 pm | #

Just about anywhere in Ohio or Michigan.

When the broad house price index declines by X %, you will find a small area in which prices are declining by 2X %. And, you will find some individual houses that experience 2.5 to 3X % declines.

Ok so we have seen the picture of the outhouse...

now can we see the actual house?

Scott "I went short at the really wrong time"

I have been neutral long/short in my acct for the past 2 months. Too tough to win. Just pick the losers and go short and pick up the unfairly clobbered longs after a severe beating. Playing the indexes, it's just best to day trade... and not carry position overnight. Specially if you're stubborn.

". . .The plan, which establishes a $500 million mortgage company, aims to build 10 new neighborhoods over the next five years and, in the process, create thousands of jobs in construction and real estate."

"The new company’s name, Affordable Mortgage and Loan Company, yields the acronym AMAL, an Arabic word meaning hope."
El Cliffo | 04.18.08 - 2:46 pm | #

Bet that all the people that move into them are Jewish settlers. Just more stupid illegal settlements. Make sure that we never see any peace in the region. Nice using an arabic acronym that includes mortgage and loan, when islamic law prohibits interest.

OIL $117....$4.00 here we come.

Chuck writes:
DH@TH :

MORTGAGE RATES IN LOS ANGELES,CALIFORNIA
5/1 ARM (IO) 0 Points
Quicken Loans
04/18/08 5.875 (rate)

Someone is still writing Interest-Only?!?! What down-payment is necessary? What DTI?
Chuck | 04.18.08 - 2:30 pm | #

Why not? The fresh fundings come from the FED courtesy of swapping junk MBS for cash and treasury as IPOD has claimed to be absolutely OK. The game is to collect fee as long as there is the ultimate fool (the FED on behalf of taxpayers) at the end of the line.

East Side, West Side, homes hit 1.6M avg.
BY OWEN MORITZ
DAILY NEWS STAFF WRITER

Friday, April 18th 2008, 4:00 AM

Manhattan home prices zoomed to a record average of $1.6 million in the first three months of 2008, the Real Estate Board of New York reported Thursday.

The board said the prices of co-ops, condos and townhouses were up a staggering 41% over the $1.1million in the first quarter of 2007.

Trendy SoHo and Tribeca led the pack. The average apartment there went for $2.3 million and $2.2 million, respectively.

Thinking of buying something on the posh upper West Side? Think again.

The average apartment price on the upper West Side soared 96% to $2.1 million, followed by Murray Hill, where the average price rose 92% to $1.1 million.

In releasing his agency's quarterly report, REBNY President Steven Spinola said it "shows that Manhattan's luxury market for high-end properties continues to remain untouched by the slowing national economy."

Citywide, the average sale price of a New York City house, condo or co-op rose to $853,000, a 28% increase over the $669,000 reported in the first quarter of 2007.

The outer boroughs are beginning to show signs of softening. In Queens, the average price of homes was down 5%, to $458,000, and in Brooklyn average home prices fell 3%, to $582,000. In contrast, apartment prices in both boroughs increased 10% and 13%, respectively.

The REBNY report tracks the sale of residential property, including one- to three-family homes, condominiums and cooperatives.

omoritz@nydailynews.com

East Side, West Side, homes hit 1.6M avg.

From the map, it appears to back up to a freeway?
Cape Coral gets my vote for the best priced houses... waterfront, like new, 3/2/2 for 125K!!

I think that listing has the wrong photo.

The house in the photo looks like Glassel Park...but the address is on the other side of Glendale.

The address in Google Maps shows a bigger place than the house in the photo.

Either way, the deal is bad.

Impossible!

Here in Maryland, the land of "everyone is rich because we live near DC and money just falls from the sky." we have excellent deals for knife-catchers. You can get a basement condo throw together by really cheap labor for about $250K. Yes, it has all the feelings of apartment living: people stomping around above you, lots of laudromats nearby, and there's even an adult movie store in the area to allow for quality entertainment. Now, if you want a place even more special, we can sell you the same pile of drek, just in a "community" that might be a bit higher quality... maybe... but for more money.

Surely, real estate only goes up and all those foreclosures out there are just products of "bitter renters" and "negative media attention."

Right...

Oh, as one who knows such things, I'd be willing to bet that tree won't be around too much longer. It looks reasonably healthy now, but it's probably suffered WAY too much root-zone damage over the years. There's a reason those little boxes that trees are planted in by the street curbs are called "tree coffins."

So, imagine this little hovel without the tree in front, but just an ugly stump. I guess that would let one finish paving over everything in the front yard... Argh - what were people thinking?!?!

"private yard."

Aren't all SFH yards private? Isn't a 'public' yard, called, um, a 'park'?

Did anyone notice that the front door of that house is not even usable ?
Someone would have to PAY me $449,900 for me to live there.

The worst I have seen was $900 a sq ft for a 650 Sq Ft shack on a TINY lot in a part of oakland that is dangerous to drive through on a sunny day with your windows rolled up and doors locked.Fill it to the rafters with cocaine if you want to justify that price...

Barley writes:
Cobradriver - Can you give us an idea of the rates. Good location/neighborhood, 2b, view?

thx
Barley | 04.18.08 - 3:00 pm | #

The last unit to go went for 600/mo.
2br/1ba. Run of the mill apartments. Well kept/updated somewhat. Just a good solid place to keep the rain off ya. When dad bought in 94 the rents were 475-525. I could possibly see rents even collapsing to that point.

The guy who rented moved from 6 places down from us. He was paying 950/mo and the landlord was going to raise the rent May 1 to 1050. Brand new place. Even if he got 1050 it probably still cash flows negative. We haven't even started the whole larger rental property fallouts yet. There are way more people upside down on larger units than people realise. I can take you by 4,50+ unit complexes all bought by a guy with 3% down...

Chris

Cape Coral gets my vote for the best priced houses... waterfront, like new, 3/2/2 for 125K!!
Average Citizen | 04.18.08 - 3:58 pm | #

AC,

Look at Rotunda,Englewood,North Port,Port Charlotte. Basically anywhere in Charlotte County. Water lots that sold for 10-15k 6 years ago...150-250k now. It's going to take a while but prices will fall back.

Chris

To answer the question about where are the reasonable, affordable homes?...Dallas-Fort Worth. The Metroplex has some pockets of foolishness and the winds are getting stiffer, but there are plenty of old and new suburbs with 1500-2000 sq. ft for $140-200K, 3-2-2, nice yard, near highways for commute. Not too badly built either.

I grew up in LA in the East Valley, so I know about Glendale. Despite fond memories and the luscious weather, geography, and babes, the basic fact is that none of it justifies these prices. None of it! Several commenters here over the years have noted that these home prices are essentially unaffordable when taking into account family incomes, median, average, whatever. People simply cannot afford to pay for this real estate no matter how the loan is rigged. Until home prices come into line with incomes, rationally, we will be dealing with this crisis.

I don't pity the idiots involved in this debacle, I just feel sad. The criminals in this need to go to jail, rules need to rewritten or simply enforced, the fools need to be redirected into less dangerous pursuits. Meanwhile, the adults in the room get their pockets picked...again. I am my brother's keeper, but baby it's getting hard.

Half a million bucks for such dump! Prices still have onl one way to go: Down hard!

The property backs right up to the foothill 210 freeway. The last sale was probably overvalued by the appraiser. There were sale comps in the area ranging in the 450k to 480k range. 640k comps are located miles away and in much nicer neighborhoods. Today’s list price is no deal. Try 350k and maybe I’ll be interested.

To quote Steve Martin: "I'd like to thank each and every one of you- thank you thank you thank you thank you thank you............

Apropos of this stupid house highlighted in CR's post, here's a link to an article decrying current efforts by the British government to keep squeezing citizens into W_A_Y overpriced homes and, making sure that the rest of us continue bailing these bozo buyers and lending institutions out:

Scandal of luring first-time buyers | Alice Miles - Times Online

It also fits the US situation perfectly. And it's nice to see the whole problem finally confronted directly in the MSM.

Is that a real house? It looks like a children's playhouse.

Just looked at the neighborhood in Google. Houses that are far too large for the plot they sit on, with a six-lane elevated freeway 100 meters away.

Man, you would have to pay me to live there. What are people on that the asking price is USD 450000?

I'd say Anonymous at 12:30pm got it right. These most extreme cases are typically flat-out for-profit mortgage fraud. If BrainLessREInvestor is right that the buyer was a real estate agent himself, I doubt he even moved into the home, and it was probably a first payment default.

Mortgage fraud or not mortgage fraud, it's still the result of terrible lending, but the mortgage fraud cases are just the worst of the worst.

Where is the front door?

$640K!!!! Yeah, that's the number that bit my nose off. This is a one bathroom, Levittown, post-war bungalow which by itself shouldn't even touch $300K, 'renovation' notwithstanding (look at that crappy porch on the driveway, not even cement or painted, gonna look like hell in five years), except maybe for the fact that it is in Glendale after all and on a fair-size lot. The idea that this property could in any sense be worth that sales price is Exhibit A for Tulip Mania-type thinking.

That doesn't look like a Rapture-Ready (TM) roof to me.

Today's post-McMansion downsizer may be sucking in his gut, but he still wants upgrades.

sk writes:
I know that area - sort of; its more La Crescenta than Glendale and its also right next to the 210 Freeway. The noise pollution will be terrible. $130,000 is more like it. I agree - there must have some large cash back scam that pushed the last sale price to $640K - its just not believable otherwise.

Isn't that a 2-lane exit onto a trunk road? Jake brakes anyone?
YouTube - jake brake

Folks, the Bay Area still has this beat.

Marble bathrooms... and a coin-operated washer. $600/ft, in East Palo Alto (NOT the same as Palo Alto):
2212 Dumbarton Ave, East Palo Alto, CA 94303

And check out the sales history on this one:
2241 ADDISON Ave, East Palo Alto, CA 94303 | MLS# 80727850

Meanwhile, across the freeway, you can still find LOTS of $1100/sq. ft unimproved Eichlers...
762 Allen Court, Palo Alto CA - Trulia

No real price drops in Palo Alto yet -- lots of buyers with plenty of cash.

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