Barn door closed.
Herd of horses has escaped, unfortunately.

Someday this war's gonna end...

AllenM --

And foxes will no longer be used to guard the henhouse.

Funny how many farming aphorisms apply at times like this, isn't it? Maybe Jefferson was right.

The Code becomes effective on January 1, 2009.

Pay no attention to that tearing sound. It was just my side splitting.

Good to know "appraiser coercion" is explicitly allowable for the the next 10 months.

New rules. OK... fine. However, the problem remains: appraisals based on comps during a bubble may be correctly done but will look wrong when the prices go back down.
Isn't this the same problem as somehow expecting rating agencies to give an absolute and reliable rating in spite of an uncertain future?

why not just make it 1/21/09...same difference....

Or we should wait to see what they come up with to stall the checks being issued....to say September.

Rob Dawg.....always has the most appropriate comments...

Ciao
MS

So does that mean the appraiser will have no knowledge of how much the loan will be?

Doubt it Sad

"...Second, this is a shared responsibility of industry, government and homeowners..."

"...all of those who participated in the circle jerk..."

"Home valuation code of conduct" will be writen by Tanta and will contain 83,567 pages.

Some quiet lament from brokers who are sorry to have cut their pets loose.

How soon will the random appraisal order deal go?

The agreements include a Home Valuation Code of Conduct that the Enterprises will apply to lenders selling mortgages to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

An awful lot of businesses and professions have codes of conduct, just like most countries have bills of rights. Will there be rewards for those who comply and punishments for those who violate? Even more important, will most people in this industry get the message that in the long run, responsible lending practices are good for THEM as well as their customers? Just asking.

Cliffs notes flow chart of Anta's process:

1:Appraise house

2:Is that what it's really worth?

YES: goto 3 NO: goto 1

3: Are you sure? You could go to jail otherwise.

YES: goto underwriters NO: goto 1

The "new" rules repeat a lot of existing requirements. Are the GSEs prohibited from cutting side deals with "alliance partners" in order to loosen the requirements. What about proprietary AVMs? Are correspondents sacrosanct? Given the long delay in implementation, we mightexpect to see modifications. Weren't in-house appraisers at banks/thrifts/CUs some of the best appriasers?

Well, I will concede to Tanta's argument that the appraiser should have a copy of the sales contract, so that buyer's incentives and seller's concessions can be taken into account.

My main problem with most of the appraisals I've seen over the last five years is that the appraiser searched for comparable sales prices, not comparable sold homes. The reason why is because the appaiser is hired by the lender to justify the loan, not provide an accurate fair market value of a house.

To be fair, there are good appraisers and bad appraisers, just as there are good and bad professionals in every profession. But in my mind the appraisal process has been corrupted to favor lenders and not buyers, or sellers for that matter.

Of the dozens of appraisals I've seen, I could count the number I thought were fair and accurate on one hand. Most overvalued the subject by at least $25,000.

Back in the day, Realtors could write appraisals. After the savings and loan debacle, Congress changed the law so that only licensed appraisers could write appraisals. The reason why the system is corrupt today is very simple really. A Realtor has to sell the house, whereas an appraiser does not.

There is a strong incentive for a Realtor to write an appraisal or a price opinion that values a house at fair market value. It's a complete waste of his or her time, money and gas to market, advertise and show a house that is overpriced, because it's not going to sell.

There is no such incentive for an appraiser. In fact, there is every incentive for him or her to overvalue a house so that the loan can be justified, because if it's not the appraiser won't be hired for the next appraisal required by the lender.

This corrupts the appraisal process because it leads sellers to believe that their houses are worth more than they really are and coerces buyers to pay more than they would otherwise have to pay. I see nothing in these proposed rules changes that will correct this fundamental flaw in the system.

This is funny. Two large compnanies get caught gaming the system. Solution: blame the brokers.

Note that no brokers were involved in the original complaint.

Re: aphorisms

A bank is a place where they lend you an umbrella in fair weather and ask for it back when it begins to rain.

Behind every great fortune, there is a crime. [

Corporation: An ingenious device for obtaining individual profit without individual responsibility.

It is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle if it is lightly greased.

You can run with the big dogs or sit on the porch and bark.

You've got to be very careful if you don't know where you're going, because you might not get there.

Re: appraiser coercion and nepotism in efficient markets:

As booming world wheat prices show no signs of slowing, Russian exports may soon become competitive again. Moscow has already signalled its intention to extend the 40 percent export tariff until July 1 and traders do not rule out further limits.
"We're in a situation that has never happened before," Walenty Sielwiesiuk, head of overseas trade at major Russian grains company Nastyusha, said.
"Russian domestic prices are going up and, for the moment, we have no sign of any push down on the market."
Wheat, the world's most-exported grain, has hit record highs due to drought, rising food demand and increased use of grains for environmentally friendly biofuels. Russia and its ex-Soviet neighbours Ukraine and Kazakhstan have restricted exports to battle inflation fuelled by rocketing food prices.
Russia's Agriculture Ministry said last week it planned to extend a wheat export tariff of 40 percent, or no less than 105 euros ($159.5) per tonne, until July 1 to preserve domestic stocks. The tariff had been due to expire on May 1.

Combat Appraisal Fraud....

Is this going to replace American Gladiators on TV. Can we watch the fraudsters get beeaten down as they try to run obstacle courses.

First one to carry a fraudulent appraisal across the field of play gets prizes....

Does anyone have the language for how they are going to babysit appraisers?

Re: Faulty appraisals have been the focus of legislative and administrative interest in recent months. The House of Representatives approved a subprime mortgage lending bill that includes proposals to prohibit coercion of appraisers. The entire Senate has not acted. The Federal Reserve Board, meanwhile, proposed new rules in December to protect consumers against inflated appraisals and improve mortgage lending practices.

I think we need to look at this from different angles as well and ask what if, appraisers had been coerced to keep prices too low. I dont know how that may have helped anyone, but Id like to suggest that discretionary and capricious opinions rendered without fact are subjective and open to debate. Thus how do you define that the market value is not correct if the market agrees with your discretionary call?

There was a great deal of collusion in this subprime affair and Im not sure the ball should stop at the door of the appraisers, as that is just an excuse to take the light off the others that played the game as well!

The only real answer to undue influence is to use the VA model, and let the agencies assign the appraisers.

Just be ready for 60 day closes and lots of expiring rate locks when the market gets busy, since the appraiser has no reason or motivation to provide any decent level of service. Figure another 10%-25% or so added to the cost of an appraisal due to lack of price competition and higher overhead costs, too.

One other thing, relating in part to an earlier post. Since you usually can't send a subordination package in until you have an appraisal, most of these transactions will take far too long for any initial rate lock to remain effective. So goodbye locking your rate on application for many refis.

Re: Fed Speak:

In its discussion on the topic, the Board said, “Pressuring an appraiser to overstate, or understate, the value of a consumer’s dwelling distorts the lending process and harms consumers…. Inflated appraisals of homes concentrated in a neighborhood may affect other appraisals, since appraisers factor the value of comparable properties into their property valuation. For the same reason, understated appraisals may affect appraisals of neighboring properties. Thus, inflated or understated appraisals can harm consumers other than those who are party to the transaction with the inflated appraisal. Moreover, these consumers are not in a position to know of the practice or avoid it.”

The proposed regulation defines the term “appraiser” as a person who engages in the business of providing – or offering to provide – assessments of the value of dwellings.

..IMHO, The Fed is just looking as if they are busy, as this has no teeth and does nothing to address the fact they have been asleep at the wheel and part of this collusion and coercion!

This mess needs cleaned up from the top, not the bottom:

ed Nominees Pressed on Political Ties
Questions Raised Over Their Service in Administration, but Confirmation Is Likely
By Nell Henderson
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, February 15, 2006; Page D03

Fed Nominees Pressed on Political Ties - washingtonpost.com

President Bush's decision to elevate three former administration economic advisers to the Federal Reserve Board prompted questions yesterday about whether they would be able to steer the economy independently of the White House they have served.
"This is inevitably going to create the impression that the board is more political than in the past," Schlesinger said. "This creates more of a burden on Bernanke and company to prove they're not taking their cues from [White House Deputy Chief of Staff] Karl Rove."
Warsh, 35, who has served on Bush's National Economic Council for the past four years, is a special assistant to the president for economic policy.

Funny how many farming aphorisms apply at times like this, isn't it?

Let's not forget the old joke: Just keep farming until the money is all gone.

I was going to become an appraiser but it was made all too clear to me that this was a system of nepotism, where you had to be trained by someone that was willing to connect you to the market share he or she already had. There was no way to get into the business and become licensed unless someone took you under their wings and accepted the fact that you would be competing directly with them for future business. That game is crooked and if these people that were running the show made extra cash from being party to collusion, how will you stop that going forward? Just because they come back in 2 years from now and re-adjst the home value, what stops them from having a corner on the market?

I know that banks want to get rid of them, but you still need inspections to verify condition. I think the appraisers do have too much control over discretionary valuation, but they do play a needed role in verification. Perhaps appraisers should be regulated to not give expert valuation opinions, but perhaps use a grading system like the fools at the ratings agencies, to give a house a grade versus a value, then let the bank do the rest?

One last note however. Interestingly enough, when I wanted to have my home re-appraised, I called my insurance agency to get an estimate of the valuation for loan mods, and the insurance company over the phone, sight unseen hit the appraisers number on the dot!

Therefore, smoke that in your pipes, how can a home insurance company know your value as well as the guy getting paid $500?

This makes me question the need for appraisers!

Another point about how this rule can hurt consumers, from one of those "pissant" mortgage brokers.

Right now, one appraisal can be used for multiple lenders. We may not know when we order the appraisal which lender offers the best value for a particular borrower, or additional information we develop during the course of the loan (including issues arising from the appraisal itself) may cause us to change our plans. So will we now have to order a NEW appraisal form lender "B" if for some reason lender "A" is no longer appropriate?

From what I can see, this program offers many advantages to lenders, who can use their effective ownership and control of an appraisal as leverage to force borrowers to accept loans on terms worse than would otherwise be available to them.

Why shouldn't the investors have control over the appraisal process, including choosing their own appraiser? It is their money.

Of course, you could apply this to the rest of the mortgage process, and then mortgage brokers go the way of travel agents.

Wish they would spend their efforts on their own due diligence instead of portraying the problem as complicit appraisers.

Guess it is too much to expect Fannie Mae's leadership to have the courage to hold themselves accountable for their greedy, lazy [in]actions.

Fannie Mae knew damn well thousands upon thousands of loans they were buying were overpriced crap. Fannie Mae was just as greedy and too lazy to look under the hood to see if the car actually came with an engine. Obviously easier to blame someone else than clean up the mess in their own back yard.

Mike S.

Tom O,

I'll suggest a fair system. See if you agree.

The investors - Fannie, Freddie, some yet to be formed pool - set up a website that includes the name and location of every licensed appraiser. You, the honest mortgage broker, login to this website, specify the address, and push the magic button that says, "Send this address to a random appraiser", who will post his report to the site where everyone - you and every lender - can see it.

One address. One random appraiser. No do overs. If the appraisal doesn't make your bogey, wait three months and try again. No pet poodle appraisers. No fitting the appraisal to the loan amount or some seller's wishing price. Any reasonable client looking for any reasonable loan can be shopped among the lenders.

Does that work for you?

Isn't this the old:

Slam the barn door, set the barn on fire, bulldoze the smoldering remnants of the barn into the ocean, vaporize the ocean with the direct hit of a meteor.

However, the horse remains in the pasture.

Punch My...

I'll go further. Let the lender, not the broker, order the appraisal from a third party group, who will be responsible for choosing the actual appraiser. As long as the appraisal is fungible, I don't really care who orders it.

Reading the proposed guidelines, it actually looks like that might be a possible way to go. In practice, I'll bet you we brokers will still be ordering it anyway, just like we order credit reports through a lenders AU interface. Just another box to check when we are submitting the loan.

The horses have left the barn, plummeted over a cliff and out to sea. The barn has been set fire, burned to the ground and the ashes spread over the Pacific.

NOW they want to fix this?!?

I don't believe all present licensed or certified appraisers are going to make the cut to be on a national or regional or state approved list for a wholesale lender (or entity to be named) who will actually order the appraisal. Somebody is going to ask for current resumes and current state
complaint files and 3 references and actually take a look at experience and past disciplinary actions if any.

Wall Street is dictating this procedure. Because they can't sell the mortgages being generated now because potential mortgage secutity buyers do not know and can't find out easily if the price or value is realistic. AVM's as a cross check?
SWAG in many locations. Zillow? what a laugh. BPO's? Gotta pay the broker something and if there is no listing to be had it is illegal in many states for a R.E. broker to offer a BPO for hire for a refi property.

This Code of Conduct is not so much to blame appraisers as to actually provide sanctions for the people or companies attempting to influence appraisers. Much of what is mentioned has been illegal for appraisers to agree to since USPAP was a pup in 1991.
And don't think the honest appraisers haven't lost very much business to the broker's "pet poodles" who would write any number on command.

Just now though, someone in Congress finally made the connection between commission based appraisal order makers and repeat business based appraiser order takers. And decided
that quid pro quo was not conducive to honest value reporting.

And I could not agree more about Fannie/Freddie NOT doing the due dilly dance they were touting to Wall Street they were doing all along. The GSE's had much company in that regard otherwise there would not be trillions in toxic waste out there now.

And Tom O, I would bet you will be ordering the appraisal based on LTV and other criteria but who the appraiser is will not be known to you
until underwriting reports back. That should keep the process fungible should it not?
Hence my comment that not every appraiser is going to make the cut in this process, a number of the people who are licensed or certified do not have the skills or the brainpower to actually work at honest appraising.
Refer to

Appraisers Forum - Real Estate Appraisal Forums

free registration

for an additional earful. Thanks

We should insulate appraisers from all potential sources of undue influence. I advocate a system like the VA uses (or used to use). The VA assigned the appraiser. Fannie and Freddie could do the same. As a mtg broker I don't give a crap about how the appraisal comes in as long as I don't have to pay the fee for the unhappy customer or realtor or seller who thinks his house is worth more that it really is. I say let the borrowers order the appraisal that is assigned by Fannie/Freddie w/ an application tracking ID# and deal with paying for it. Then the borrowers could shop for mtg services more easily as the value of the property would be already determined by an appraiser assigned by one of the GSE's.

It would make my job as an originator easier. It would level the playing field and cut down on fraud.

While I am it, I should address the problem of real estate agents referring clients to mtg people. I would make that a RESPA violation that would be vigorously enforced by HUD. If enacted it should have the affect of forcing the borrowers into choosing their own originator who can offer truly independent advice as most originators seek referrals from real estate agents creating a conflict of interest.

We need to make changes that will remove the potential for pressure being put on appraisers and other service providers involved in a real estate transactio

Yo Tom O,

Consumers were in the drivers seat but in my opinion the general public does not take their mortgages seriously enough. I really don't care if the consumer loses their rate lock due to a sub agreement and snail like appraisers who don't give a rat's ass about service. The consumer has been dictating terms for way too long. They need to get with the new program which is to take it all seriously and not treat it all like some birthright to get a loan at 0% interest for no closing costs. As brokers we need to stop coddling these idiots and put 'em in their place.

I will not take an application and order an appraisal if they don't put up the appraisal fee. I see if they qualify first but I won't go out on a limb like before w/ clients appraisal fees outstanding to be collected at closing.

It will be tough going for a while but when it gets better, hopefully people will take a home loan seriously.

As for all of this costing the consumer in expired rate locks and other costs? It is ultimately for their protection that it becomes like that. 90 day locks and other interest rate hedging products exist. They are costly but who cares. So are 2 million foreclosures. You can't win with John Q. Public. He'll squeal about something no matter what.

Let's bring some order and sense back to this business. This means telling people NO.

Zarley,

Was having a weekend walk on the beach with a loan officer friend of mine, we've been in various positions in real estate bi since 1977 or so, and he said

"Underwriting standards back to 1978"

Gotta get my DeLorean out of the shop, it's spring here.

Mack

ps "appraisers who don't give an RA" will not make the cut either

So when did an appraiser scmuck know more about an appraising a property than a lender does? What's next, farming out the credit and income analysis to the credit bureau?

And the biggie, New York State AG forming national lending policy?

RE Banker,

That's funny, thanks for the laugh, take a guess why NY AG is involved in this at all

Probably not because the appraiser was making commission loan fees plus back door YSP's.

Maybe credit and income scoring will get even more shopped out to India or Malaysia.

It is probably only a matter of time before mortgages are processed in red box kiosks like DVD's at McDonalds and live appraisers are replaced by robots with built in camera's, Disto measuring devices, satellite up and downlinks, and absolutely no bias.

That should solve the problem of human greed in the lending industry.

NOT

1978 was a very good year... Got any coke hidden in the DeLorean? Don't forget your disco vest and gold chains now...

Home loans involve serious sums of money and should be taken seriously.

Don't worry about underwriting standards 'cause underwriting starts w/ the originator. If it is not justified as far as standards go, I will make it go away. If it is justified, I stand by it and tell the client to go away. Nicely of course. I'll even spend some time with them on how to solve the problem and meet the u/w standards.

This is what we are supposed to do. Somehow along the way, it all became about getting as many fees as possible and tripping over ourselves to accommodate this historic folly.

It is a brave new lending world and the new mantra is different than yesterday. 1978. History, they say, does repeat itself.

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