Hot Potato

So, the insurers can back out of most of these mortgages? Ugly ugly ugly, look out below!

And tell me again what the borrowers are paying MI for, other than their inability to come up with 20% down?

Back in the olden days (early 90's) when I was an active RE agent, getting PMI was a big deal. Many-a-transaction fell apart because the PMI company wouldn't insure it. I wasn't aware that PMI companys were now offering "stated" MI insurance, that the broker could just state what's in the file, and seal the deal.

Hot potato could become potato-in-the-tailpipe if MI pushback takes off.

deb, it's not really "stated." It's delegated, and this has been offered for a long time. MGIC's old program was called "Simply Magic" or something like that.

The delegation agreement between the MI and the lender says that the lender eats it all if it breaks the rules. The rules are specified in the MI's Underwriting Guides, which the lenders are warranting that they are using. So it could be a full doc loan, a low doc loan, whatever.

Very frequently a big shop will hire a contract underwriter from the MI. This underwriter is actually on contract with the MI, so that person can sign off on policies right there in the lender's office.

It's quite possible that these were not flow policies (written at the loan level up front before closing). They could be "bulk" policies where the MIs wrote it based on some representations made by AHM, and now those reps don't look true.

The MI's have been saying on CC's they would apply guidelines the same as the past. If so, they have a very strong case and the lendors are out of luck. This is despite the fact that the volume of rejections will skyrocket with weaker underwriting standards and more foreclosures.
However, the MI's will still have lots of valid claims to deal with.

Does this mean that trade will freeze up while the courts decide?

Form 10-Q ETrade
(any news on depositor withdrawals today?)
E
Trade Financial Corporation
The resource cannot be found.

Hey Tanta-

I was wondering if you could lend your weight to this:

Deutsche Bank Foreclosures Tossed Out of Ohio Federal Court

The Court's amended General Order No. 2006-16 requires Plaintiff (Deutsche Bank) to submit an affidavit along with the complaint, which identifies Plaintiff as the original mortgage holder, or as an assignee, trustee or successor-interest.

Apparently Deutsche bank submitted several affidavits that claim that Deutsche was in fact the owner of the mortgage note, but none of these affidavits mention assignment or trust or successor interest.

Thus, the Judge ruled that in every instance, these submissions create a "conflict" and they "do not satisfy" the burden of demonstrating at the time of filing the complaint, that Deutsche Bank was in fact the "legal" note holder.

...

That means that the loans are clearly in default at the time of any eventual transfer of the ownership of the mortgage loans to the trusts. This means that the loans are being held by the originating lenders after the alleged "sale" to the trust despite what it says per the pooling and servicing agreements and despite what the securities laws require.

This also means that many securitized trusts don't really, legally own these bad loans.

In my cases, many of the trusts try to argue equitable assignment that predates the filing of the foreclosure, but a securitized trust cannot take an equitable assignment of a mortgage loan. It also means that the securitized trusts own nothing.

Is this a "sound and fury" issue, meaning that Deutsche just needs to get its act together and get some affidavits signed, or is it possible that the securitization agreements didn't include some kind of pass-through of the actual liens?

Somewhat off topic, but does anyone know what the present market problems may mean for Annuities? I have tried to find out if some major annuities have bought any of the cruddy paper out there, but I am not having any luck. Any ideas are greatly appreciated.

Der Spiegel, today

...."WestLB, another German state bank, is also involved in an extensive bailout effort. According to a spokesman, WestLB had to provide its €3.3 billion Kestrel fund with "a credit line to support liquidity."

The credit line, says the WestLB spokesman, "guarantees the full repayment of all debt securities." It has also saved the fund from being downgraded by ratings agency Moody's.

WestLB believes that the prices in the Kestrel portfolio will recover. This reflects the current focus on faith in a world normally dominated by hard numbers. The situation is also tense at Harrier Finance, another WestLB company with assets of $11 billion.

Is Harrier about to face a complete fire sale? This would be all too convenient for some financial jugglers. The first vultures hoping to turn a profit from the debacle are already circling.

One of them is market guru Bill Gross. For the last few days, Gross, who founded German insurance conglomerate Allianz's PIMCO pension fund, has been buying up the supposedly junk securities at bargain-basement prices.

Giants like Goldman Sachs and the Royal Bank of Scotland have been doing the same thing, investing their wealthy customers' money. If the market bounces back, these high stakes players could end up raking in huge profits in the global financial casino.

"If I had the money," says an envious chairman of a German state bank, "all I would do now is buy, buy, buy."

(end quote)

"Buy, buy, buy"...I'll have to remember to pass that on to Jim Cramer.

The resliance of the market is once again explained.

When will another downward "surprise" be announced? The market has gone up, up, up for so long that this is thought of as being the "bottom".

The Ohio/Deutsche Bank story is covered pretty thoroughly back in the Countrywide thread.

Max, I think we pretty much chewed that post on DB's FC filing problems to death in the thread below this one.

Short version: DB screwed up. As far as I can tell, they submitted an affidavit saying they were the noteholder when they are really the assignee of the noteholder. My guess is that some dipshit used a boilerplate affidavit form.

You can't give the judge a sworn statement that you are the noteholder and another document that says you're just the assignee of the mortgage on behalf of the noteholder. The judge rightly notes that this creates a "conflict." That's judge-speak for the paperwork submitted is contradictory. I see nothing here that says DB can't refile when it straightens its paperwork out.

Otherwise, that email being quoted is supposed to be from an attorney??? Did anyone read it? It sounds like the kind of thing you get on web forums from those weirdos who claim that income taxes are illegal, or that you can get out of your debts by tendering fake payment vouchers or something.

Look, if a bunch of security issuers didn't in fact get their legal docs in a row on the individual loans, then the issuers will have to buy the loans back from the security. That is not a good thing, so the threat of it will motivate them all to go find the documents or correct them or whatever.

It's something like having lost your receipt: that does not mean that you did not buy something; it means you're having a hard time proving that you bought it. But it doesn't mean that you never owned it, and it doesn't mean that eventually you cannot prove that you own it.

New Wall Street word, in case you get tired of "bounced back": rebounded. That's what it did today. The market "rebounded."

Tanta, so what you're saying is that AHM was paying no more attention to the fine print than the FBs that they were selling payment option loans to.

Max, I think we pretty much chewed that post on DB's FC filing problems to death in the thread below this one.

Dang, I can't keep up with you guys! Thanks for indulging me anyway. What you wrote makes sense; it's not like these guys got their houses for free. Maybe just a few more rent-free weeks until the "conflicts" are resolved.

Just another headache for the originators/servicers/CDO-MBS holders to sort through.

Question: what and where is the residual value left after this mess is finished? The banks have lost money, and other financial institutions. They lent money to buyers who could not pay it back, but the buyers have kept nothing since the house has been taken from them. So...is that the residual value? Millions (?) of houses that are worth far less than was paid for them owned by institutions that cannot sell them? Would their value be less than it cost to build them?

Question: what and where is the residual value left after this mess is finished...
James

Answer:Elementary, Paraguay   And and Dubai.

Another mystery solved!

Tanta, so what you're saying is that AHM was paying no more attention to the fine print than the FBs that they were selling payment option loans to

I'm not actually saying one thing or the other, since I don't have access to the loan files in question.

However, what this sounds like to me is that AHM had loans that were fraudulent or ineligible, or that it should have known were fraudulent or ineligible if it had exercised even minimal due diligence, but that it tried to pass off onto Triad for an MI cert.

That isn't a matter of not reading fine print. That would be a matter of "let's slip a bunch of trash into the Triad pile and hope they never notice." If it's true, AHM is SOL.

My oh my... is someone going to 'bust the buck' sooner or later?

Bank of America, Legg Mason Prop Up Money Funds

Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp., Legg Mason Inc. and at least two other companies are propping up their money-market funds to cushion them against possible losses on debt issued by structured investment vehicles.

[snip]

there is only one post with trackback YIKES....
this field is clearly misunderrepresented

Another Buffett rumor takes the whole market higher. He is going to solve the mortgage crisis just like he was going to buy out HOV in Aug.

What a joke.

Actually, stargazer, there were a bunch of posts with the Yikes label, and then somehow it disappeared. My theory is that one of the two bloggers who run this site accidentally deleted that label. My further theory is that it probably wasn't CR. That means that mistakes were made.

Anyway, I think I recreated the label Yikes but the old posts lost their labels. But since I only partially understand how Blogger works on an average day, that's just a theory.

OT:

Look at how the stock indicies are "rolling" upwards like the side of a hill. To me that looks like typical short squeeze action.

Also it shouldn't suprise anyone at this point to see stocks surging upward as the air comes whooshing out of oil and other commodities.

A multi-trillion dollar ponzi-complex requires an ever expanding base of collateral to borrow against to pay off the interest on it's margin debt.

Overall a commendable recovery from a genuinely terrifying afternoon yesterday.

Whew.

Any fears of recession ended abruptly this morning. The stockmarket is like an altzheimer's patient with every day starting off as if the previous day never happened.

there is only one post with trackback YIKES....
i believe the rating agency is in the process of re-rating what used to be the AAA "YIKES" tranche. The business model used to consider $1B a significant sum, and perhaps in terms of profit it still is, however, recent events have shown negative $10B is expected and perhaps already priced into our market.

Barely-

Severe cognitive impairment truely sucks, but there is a small upside. You can open the same present again and again - and each time it's like a new gift.

BTW- Someone told me there's a 50bps interest rate coming down the pike!

BTW- Someone told me there's a 50bps interest rate coming down the pike!

Sad thing is, I'm not sure you're joking.

Dave-

Sorry, don't remember.

[ Ken Houghton]"And tell me again what the borrowers are paying MI for[?]"

Another inquiring mind would also like to know.

[ Ken Houghton]"And tell me again what the borrowers are paying MI for[?]"

Well, if in fact the loans are fraudulent, my sympathy for borrowers who obtained an insured mortgage fraudulently is limited.

If the loans are just simply ineligible for insurance, Triad will probably just rescind the policy. That means the borrower will get premiums back, if the premiums are borrower-paid. (If it's one of those high-rate loans that is insured after the fact by the lender, then you're screwed, but then you're no longer making mortgage payments, because you're in foreclosure, which is how Triad discovered the problem.)

MI does not insure borrowers. It insures lenders. So no, you are not paying it for any other reason than that your down payment was less than 20%.

There is certainly a good discussion to be had about the wisdom of delegating UW authority. I will only note that it results in those low closing costs that consumers love. If you bought into how it's always in the consumer's best interests to pay less for faster mortgage loans, then things like this may burst your bubble.

I've been arguing for some time that consumers ultimately do better when mortgage transaction costs and speed more accurately reflect the risks involved.

So what we're saying is that BB should tell the stock market "Hey, I just cut the rate 50 bps to 4.50%!" after their NEXT meeting. And every meeting thereafter.

I've been arguing for some time that consumers ultimately do better when mortgage transaction costs and speed more accurately reflect the risks involved.

But we like free lunch... well at least until we get food posioning.

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