The Hope-To-Reality Gap | ZeroHedge

Hope Hopium -To-Reality Gap would be great campaign slam of Obama for Romney ( note: I cannot stand either candidate )

I can haz deflationary depression? Tongue Time to clean the pool and do some exercise. BBIAB.

poic wrote:

: are we there yet?

Zombie BUY. MOR. EUROZZZ...

So despite the fact that We are falling short on both our employment and price stability mandates, it's true that These purchases have proven effective in lowering borrowing costs and improving financial conditions.

Got it.

Edit: Eric was more eloquent on the point.

You'd think after years of helping the banks not going through to the economy they'd try Plan B.

JP wrote:

So despite the fact that We are falling short on both our employment and price stability mandates, it's true that These purchases have proven effective in lowering borrowing costs and improving financial conditions.

Got it.

Don't be a hater.

If some was good, more has to be better.

From the post:

"I expect that the unemployment rate will remain at or above 8 percent until the second half of 2013."

and 2014, 2015, 2016 etc...

Williams is among the doviest of the doves. I believe that the Fed is afraid of appearing to influence the election and that they will wait until the market tanks.

right. they take both sides of the mandate seriously, but they take the inflation mandate more seriously than the unemployment side.

the housing recovery has happened without the aid of the Fed (most are locked out of refis due to credit or neg equity) and despite fiscal policy. So the housing recovery in my mind is extremely durable, like a weed that survived a nuclear winter. It's unlikely to be knocked off by Eurogeddon.

Here's to more QE, because it might just be the push the economy needs to put us back to pre-2006 trend.

And if we got a nominal income target that would be a big fat bonus as well.

and improving financial conditions.

These people believe asset/securities prices are a surrogate for the economy. From that perspective QE has been a huge success.

Rob Dawg wrote:

years of helping the banks not going through to the economy

Feature, not bug

The concept that there not being enough inflation is a bad thing just boggles.

Rob Dawg wrote:

You'd think after years of helping the banks not going through to the economy they'd try Plan B.

I'm afraid that there is no "plan B".

Look, reading this old boy, he states he is unsure of everything..

..And let me make myself a little clearer...I am not against Keynes per se...It is probably a good idea for governments to spend in bad times and make it up in good times..My problem is that governments don't make it up in good times with payback of the overspending in bad times. If they did I would be pro-Keynes too...and people with doctorates tend to think that others with think and behave as they do (I know this firsthand)...but they don't...

I think ZIRP may have started out as an employment tool, but it has morphed into a result of too much debt that must now be serviced only by very low rates...the primary result of ZIRP is to allow servicing of massive government debt for a little longer and the secondary reason may be economic stimulus...of course this ends badly...

sm_landlord wrote:

I'm afraid that there is no "plan B".

ANOTHER ONE FOR THE FREEDOM FARMS!

Mhm, it would be awful if some sick person actually got any enjoyment from their treatment. Suffering is good.

The 4% annual rate on credit cards has been awesome. Thank you Fed!

Plan B consists of more austerity for the little people Wink

sm_landlord wrote:

I'm afraid that there is no "plan B".

Sure there is. Why don't you take a nice govt provided shower and when you've calmed down...

This is the ref for footnote 8. (Footnote 8 is offered as the proof of effectiveness for LSAPs.)

FRBSF Economic Letter: Unconventional Monetary Policy: Lessons from the Past Three Years (2011-31, 10/3/2011)

Bottom line: For $600B, you get a 0.15 to 0.20 pp drop in long-term rates. Errors in the chart seem to be in the plus/minus .1 range.

Except for a few outliers, the estimated effects on Treasury yields are remarkably close, especially when you consider the wide variety of sample periods and methods employed. Specifically, the estimated effects typically lie in the neighborhood of 0. 15 to 0.20 percentage point.

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

the primary result of ZIRP is to allow servicing of massive government debt for a little longer

massive government debt largely generated by the failures of private capitalism. the parasites of corporate america want you to blame government instead of the huge output gap caused by the collapse of serial bubbles blown by their avarice and sociopathy.

JP wrote:

So despite the fact that We are falling short on both our employment and price stability mandates, it's true that These purchases have proven effective in lowering borrowing costs and improving financial conditions.

Got it.

It is true: were there or were there not bonuses?
The purchases were effective.
Just not at increasing employment or price stability; merely at improving financial conditions and suppressing borrowing costs to the commercial banks to they could do some free carries.

The audience need to be more 'accommodative' with their clapping.

he states he is unsure of everything.

that would be a sign of wisdom, actually.

If you think you know something for sure, chances are you are an idiot.

the parasites of corporate america want you to blame government instead of the huge output gap caused by the collapse of serial bubbles blown by their avarice and sociopathy

eggsactly.

Corporate Profits After Tax (CP) - FRED - St. Louis Fed 

says it all really.

The audience need to be more 'accommodative' with their clapping.

YouTube - Randy Watson

"Europe’s distressed pattern of the past two years will continue, but that the situation won’t spin out of control. However, it is impossible to predict with any certainty how these circumstances will play out. Europe’s crisis could escalate much more than I expect."

Oxymoron - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"An oxymoron (plural oxymorons or oxymora) (from Greek ὀξύμωρον, "sharp dull") is a figure of speech that combines contradictory terms."

REBear wrote:

The audience need to be more 'accommodative' with their clapping.

'And remember, there is a big difference between kneeling down and bending over."

--Frank Zappa

I am awaiting the crap that comes out of the EU today.

and improving financial conditions.

These people believe asset/securities prices are a surrogate for the economy. From that perspective QE has been a huge success.

yes

and keeping the stock market elevated chokes off any further fiscal stimulus ... nothing will happen until 401Kers clamor "Do Something"

These people believe asset/securities prices are a surrogate for the economy. From that perspective QE has been a huge success.

May make the oldsters more likely to exit the work force - indirectly helping younger people in the work force.
Just need the hiring part - seeing attrition instead.

Japan announced that May machinery orders dropped 14.8%.

Japan's supply of 20-29yos is down 15% (from 2007), too.

Mebbe reality sunk in . . .

Ridership at a train station I was looking at about 20 minutes W of Tokyo proper has fallen 10% from the peak year (1995).

Shocking to me that even Tokyo is declining.

Like the rest of the country, it could use fewer people. 128 million people in a land area equivalent to a narrow 80-120 mile-wide strip of the US's pacific coast is insane.

BTW Haralambos-

Merekel says she'll give you 500 Euros for that Delphi place...

Haralambos wrote:

I am awaiting the crap that comes out of the EU today.

Zombie BUY. MOAR. EUROZZZ... BANKZ. AR. SAYF...

Eric wrote:

Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm
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Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm
Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm
Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm
Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm Facepalm

I'm not sure that 60 is quite enough....

May make the oldsters more likely to exit the work force

i'll take the opposite ... QE has driven down dividend/interest yield income ... unless you want to eat seed corn ... you work an extra few years.

Oman wrote:

May make the oldsters more likely to exit the work force - indirectly helping younger people in the work force.
Just need the hiring part - seeing attrition instead.

But the oldsters need to hide in cash, which no longer keeps up with inflation, let alone generate returns. You need those oldsters to spend some money, and drowning them in ZIRP is not going to work.

It would be interesting to see how much the composition of 401Ks for older people has changed lately.

Dealers Declining Bernanke Twist Invitation - Bloomberg 

"The world’s biggest bond dealers offered an average of $7.2 billion in Treasuries a day to the central bank in June, down 40.5 percent from a high of $12.1 billion in October, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The amount tendered has fallen even as the dealers almost doubled their holdings of the securities.

At the same time the Fed is trying to obtain Treasuries, the 21 primary dealers have boosted their holdings to $109.2 billion from a net short position as recently as September, according to the central bank. Stockpiles touched a record $136.4 billion on June 6.

As a result the central bank is paying more for less."

That would be accommodative, right?

Rob Dawg wrote:

You'd think after years of helping the banks not going through to the economy they'd try Plan B.

Plan B? Banksters get "prima nocta" with newlywed brides?

The move toward Global Debt forgiveness marches on...its coming folks guaranteed just try and hold out a little longer.

Maybe hold out isn't the exact word I am looking for maybe more along the line of Survive a little longer if you can....

Mark Gongloff: The One Possible Bank Defense In The Libor Scandal, And Why It's Bogus

07/09/2012

"Here's a free PR campaign idea for the banking sector: Big banks helped the economy, maybe saved your job, with some of their blatant Libor-market cheating. But like most bank PR campaigns, it's not even a decent half-truth: The full truth is, we risk ever-bigger economic blowups in the future, and utterly wrecking our trust in financial markets, if we let this sort of behavior continue.

In the days since the Libor scandal broke big, one question keeps getting asked: Why aren't people more outraged? As Matt Taibbi put it, why aren't people freaking out about the fact that Libor, an interest rate that affects borrowing costs for homeowners and businesses the world over, was as fake as Bruce Jenner's face?

One obvious answer to that question is that it involves math, and math is hard for us!

After all, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and other central banks around the world are also manipulating interest rates. All the time. Except when they do it, it's called "monetary policy." When Barclays does it, it's cheating.

If they wanted to fight back, the banks could very well react to this scandal like Jack Nicholson's Colonel Jessup in "A Few Good Men." To paraphrase Aaron Sorkin:

"You want the truth about Libor? You can't handle the truth. We live in a world economy that has walls, and those walls have to be guarded by banks with interest rates. You weep for Libor, and you curse the banks. You have that luxury. You have the luxury of not knowing what the banks know. That Libor manipulation, while tragic, probably saved jobs. And the banks' existence, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, saves jobs.

That could be the banks' defense -- except it would be full of crap.

And banks will always have an incentive to cheat Libor higher or lower, depending on their position in derivatives markets. Libor affects some $350 trillion in notional credit derivatives. That's $350 trillion reasons to cheat."

Google Image Result for http://images.zap2it.com/images/celeb-159249/bruce-jenner-0.jpg

The Fed is simply expoliting the stronger dollar that results NOT from stronger US economic growth, but rather from chaos in Yerp....they will drag out Yerps crisis for as long as it's useful ...and use the IMF to bailout US bank interests. This policy is masking serious US inflation by driving commodity prices lower (artificial stronger dollar). The tell is negative interest rates and capital control policies. Inflating asset prices has been Bens only achievement other than maintaining his bankster kingdom. It's a coup.

Let's take a ton of money from main street and give it to Wall Street.

That will fix things.

poic wrote:

QE

TooooT, TooooT, TooooT
When does the (luxury) liner sail?

ac wrote:

Let's take a ton of money from main street and give it to Wall Street.

That will fix things.

and Wall Street will give some of it to Mittens ?

Don't blame Europe - MarketWatch

So what, Blame Canada?

FTA:

During July and August, Europe goes on vacation, and last year the old adage played out. “When the cat's away, the mice will play” brought the hammer down on European banks to the extent that the governments had to ban short-selling on financial institutions in Europe, so then the mice turned to sovereign nations. One after the other, weakness resounded in Europe during these vacation months last year, and that weakness has since been felt worldwide. The question is will this repeat itself again in 2012.

A surprising and welcome resolution came from the recent EU summit, something we all seemed to appreciate, but a decision that could have been induced by last summer's events, too. Last year we could feel the offensive response to the disrupted vacations of European leaders. Those leaders, their families and the world remember that they were forced to return from their holidays and face the troubles in the real world. Pulling them off the beach was worse than having teeth pulled, so it seemed.

Facepalm

"Let's take a ton of money from main street and give it to Wall Street."

I think that has already happened and continues.

But the oldsters need to hide in cash, which no longer keeps up with inflation,

Not sure, most of them I know don't beleive the market will end up like Japans has.
They just want to get someone to overpay for their house here; so, they can go buy cheap somewhere else.
I will guarentee they are more likely to retire with these classes elevated.
Agree?

Core machinery orders, which help to gauge the strength of capital spending, fell 14.8 percent in May, much more than the median forecast for a 3.3 percent decrease in a Reuters poll,

uh, something about 'there are misses ... and then there are misses ... "

In our hunt to buy a house i've noticed a new trend - After school care at the YMCA from 3:30 to 6PM.

Cost $500+ per week.

Did nova die?

Yes, he is prolly in heaven
Got Popcorn?

black dog wrote:

uh, something about 'there are misses ... and then there are misses ... "

...and then there are mises....

"ac wrote:
Let's take a ton of money from main street and give it to Wall Street.
That will fix things."
and Wall Street will give some of it to Mittens ?

They will pay off whoever is most likely to win.

That's how the scam works:

Finance the presidential campaign and get guaranteed carry trade returns from quantitative easing.

It's the ultimate financial con disguised as an "economic fix".

You have to admit these guys are geniuses.

Sandals on the Sidewalk Where Folks Are Slinging Free Food (9 Jul 2012)

I was in the center of the city near the port around midday for some bureaucratic issues. It was about 97F, and I saw many folks carrying boxes of produce. Most of them looked like immigrants and many were elderly. It turns out farmer from Crete had sent several tons of their produce here and several nearby suburbs for distribution to the needy.

American Freefall » Counterpunch: Tells the Facts, Names the Names

In June the Federal Reserve announced that it was going to continue its policy of driving nominal interest rates even lower, this time focusing on long-term Treasury bonds. The Fed said it would be purchasing $400 billion of the Treasury’s 30-year bonds. Driving interest rates down means driving bond prices up. With 5-year Treasury bonds paying only seven-tenths of one percent and 10-year Treasuries paying only 1.6%, below even the official rate of inflation, Americans desperate for yield move into 30-year bonds currently paying 2.7%. However, the the high bond prices mean that the risk of capital loss is very high.

The Fed’s debt monetization, or a drop in the exchange value of the dollar as other countries move away from its use to settle their balance of payments, could set off inflation that would take interest rates out of the Fed’s control. As interest rates rise, bond prices fall.
In other words, bonds are now the bubble that real estate, stocks, and derivatives were. When this bubble pops, Americans will take another big hit to their remaining wealth.

It makes no sense to invest in long-term bonds at negative interest rates when the federal government is piling up debt that the Federal Reserve is monetizing and when other countries are moving away from the flood of dollars. The potential for a rising rate of inflation is high from debt monetization and from a drop in the dollar’s exchange value. Yet, bond fund portfolio managers have to follow the herd into longer term maturities or see their performance relative to their peers drop to the bottom of the rankings.

"Let's take a ton of money from main street and give it to Wall Street."

I think that has already happened and continues.

It will continue until it brings down the system.

Everybody in power is either profiting from it, and they don't want to stop. Or they supported it without understanding it's true nature and now they cannot admit to themselves the damage their own good intentions have caused. They can't imagine that the world works that way so the lie to themselves and say that it doesn't.

The man covered in blood cannot look in the mirror.

Dawg gonna be all over these? Guess he's tickled-pink....

The bill authorizes the state to begin selling $4.5 billion in voter-approved bonds that includes $2.6 billion to build an initial 130-mile stretch of the high-speed rail line in the Central Valley.

Read more: California approves funding for high-speed rail line | Fox News

“THINGS ARE TERRIBLE…CAN’T YOU SEE WHAT I HAVE SUNK TO?”<BR><I>Comments from two Greek women</I> | BREAKING NEWS | Sky Valley Chronicle Washington State News

(ATHENS) -- “I have never lived through this before,” comments a weary looking young woman standing in line for free food in Athens, Greece on Wednesday.

Her comments and those of others in line are stark reminders of the dire times Greeks find themselves in; times they never imagined in their wildest dreams they would live though.

Hundreds of people lined up in a park in Athens for the free food boxes from Greece’s farmers who donated 27 tons of vegetables to those in need as a way of showing solidarity with their fellow citizens.

The BBC has a video report here

Greeks are stuck between the proverbial rock and hard spot...."

BBC News - Greeks handed out free food packages

ac wrote:

It will continue

Who is a free agent now?

Amazing all the talking heads talking down ALCOA big time, almost makes me want to try a side bet on " Better than expected "...I ponder.

Its only trading down .07 or $8.65

aleister perdurabo wrote:

American Freefall » Counterpunch: Tells the Facts, Names the Names

Another quote from that link:

Currently, the substitution-based rate of inflation is about 2%. However, when inflation is measured as the actual cost of living, the rate of inflation is 5%.

The Misery Index is the sum of the inflation and unemployment rates. The level of the current Misery Index depends on whether the new rigged measures are used, which understate the misery, or the former methodology that accurately measures it. Prior to the November 1980 election, the Misery Index hit 22%, which was one reason for Reagan’s victory over President Carter. Today if we use previous methodology, the Misery Index stands at 27%. But if we use the new rigged methodology, the Misery Index is 10%.

Got Misery?

i've linked this williams speech from may 2011 before ... never heard of buy the rumor sell the news, obviously ....

That brings us back to the question of why commodity prices have risen so much. Some commentators have suggested that the Fed itself has contributed to the run-up by keeping in place excessive monetary stimulus. According to this argument, the Fed’s policy of very low interest rates and sizable securities holdings are fueling speculation in commodities. Economic theory teaches us that lower interest rates will boost asset prices, including commodity prices, all else equal. But it is unlikely that this effect can explain more than a very small portion of the huge increase in commodity prices that we have witnessed.6 Economists at the San Francisco Fed recently looked at how commodity prices reacted when the Fed announced new policy actions to stimulate the economy. If Fed policies were responsible for the commodity price boom, then we should have seen those prices jump when the Fed announced more monetary stimulus. In fact, the researchers found that, if anything, commodity prices fell after new policy announcements and were not pushed higher by news about Fed policy.7 So, I don’t see any convincing evidence that monetary policy has played a significant role in the huge surge in commodity prices.

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; President's Speech: Maintaining Price Stability in a Global Economy (05/04/2011)

Oh. Gone to the great doomstead in the sky. Just went to his blog which hasn't been updated since April. Not that that's definitive, or I'd be dead for ages already. RIP nova.

OT:

When the rest of this scandal comes out, and it turns out that up to 15 more of the world's biggest banks (including Chase, Bank of America, and Citi) were doing the same thing as Barclays, our regulators better start "inflecting their eyebrows" pretty damn vigorously. Because if it comes out that these other banks were all involved with this scandal (and it will come out that way, almost for sure), and their CEOs and COOs get to keep their jobs, that'll be a sure sign that the fix is in. Let's hope Ben Bernanke, Eric Holder, and Tim Geithner are listening.

New York Times, Gretchen Morgenson Applaud British, Issue Challenge To American Regulators | Matt Taibbi | Rolling Stone

Simon Johnson: Banks' Living Wills Aren't Cure For Systemic Risk

07/09/2012 12:22 pm

"On July 3, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Federal Reserve made public portions of the “living wills” developed recently by major U.S. financial institutions. The documents are the first suggestions from those organizations of what they believe should happen when insolvency looms.

The living wills were prepared in compliance with the 2010 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and are a major step forward in terms of revealing how global megabanks are structured. Yet they are shockingly incomplete and flawed in one crucial aspect: They neglect to explain how cross- border assets and liabilities would be handled in different legal jurisdictions.

The plans should be rejected by officials and sent back to the banks to be revised. As these proposals now stand, they are a blueprint for further financial disaster, and additional taxpayer-backed bailouts. (Note: the published parts of these wills haven’t been edited or reviewed by the FDIC or the Fed.)"

Ultimately, all these living wills are likely to achieve is to illustrate further that that our largest financial institutions still constitute a time bomb, ticking quietly near the center of the global economy."

We buried MERS ... we can bury LIBOR ...

This seems noteworthy: David Kotok: LIBOR, the Fed and the TED | ZeroHedge

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York trades U.S. government and select other securities with designated primary dealers, which include banks and securities broker-dealers. Weekly transaction, market share data and primary dealer lists are updated periodically. Much of the information is submitted voluntarily. The Bank expects primary dealers to submit accurate data, but the Bank itself does not audit the data.”

Who needs auditors? They'll just rubber stamp whatever is submitted Snark

Living wills for large banks might be the dumbest concept so far regarding the TBTF institutions. Who the fuck thinks up of this shit?

Living wills for large banks might be the dumbest concept so far regarding the TBTF institutions. Who the fuck thinks up of this shit?

The TBTF's of course.

Living wills for large banks might be the dumbest concept so far regarding the TBTF institutions. Who the fuck thinks up of this shit?

Why Ivory School scholars of course...Oh you know...the smart people.

Is that possible? That's like $40 an hour?

Currently, the substitution-based rate of inflation is about 2%. However, when inflation is measured as the actual cost of living, the rate of inflation is 5%.

You can either make up numbers or rely on data:

US Daily Index » The Billion Prices Project @ MIT 

The "actual cost of living" is up less than 5%.

Who the fuck thinks up of this shit?

typo ... should be Living Well ...

Yes, and thanks Rickkk. I had not seen these reports, but I am pretty certain that there are similar situations in many Greek towns and cities.

They do know a thing or two about it, since they had personified it as being between Scylla and Charybdis, two mythical sea monsters. I think they also coined the phrase to be on the horns of a dilemma.

gab wrote:

That's like $40 an hour?

YMCA is supposed to be 'non-profit'
Summit Area YMCA - Programs and Schedules - Berkeley Heights - Childcare and Early Education

click on 'offsite after school in school care'

A strong push for QE3 from a key member of the FOMC.

will it be "shock and awe" or "eh" ... ?

American praised for getting Japan radiation data - AJW by The Asahi Shimbun

"Many Japanese were terrified about the health effects of radiation, especially for children, and worried whether their homes, schools and offices were safe. They were also frustrated by the lack of government or other official data on radiation."

"More than eight out of 10 people in the evacuation zone around the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant had no idea there was anything wrong on March 11, 2011, according to the Diet investigation into the accident."

Thanks. Actually I had seen some of the BBC reports from a couple of weeks ago. There are so many up and more daily. I have a hard time keeping track.

those prices are "per month," not "per week."

---CONJURE'S WORD OF THE DAY---

"Deflation"

Conjure Clock update pending.

gab wrote:

"per week."

sorry mistype.
But $500 for after care is bit of ripoff for a public school.

mp wrote:

"Deflation"

not far from "Deleveraging"

Rickkk wrote:

they never imagined in their wildest dreams they would live though.

They also looked the other way while their country invested shitloads of magic debt instruments (derivatives from Germany) into a bullshit Olympic festival that made Goldman wealthy ... I still can't imagine why the IMF hasn't brought those F'ing crooks to prison and electrocuted them... (and their family connected crook empire of mafia shitbags).

I still can't imagine why the IMF hasn't brought those F'ing crooks to prison and electrocuted them... (and their family connected crook empire of mafia shitbags).

Come on Doc....they own the IMF.

I had the good fortune of visiting Greece, and I loved the country. I'd retire to Crete, Paros or Santorini in a heartbeat. I love the people.

Having said that, Athens is kind of a dump. Didn't help that we were hit by pick-pocketers within 30 minutes of venturing out of our hotel.

Lacker: U.S. in 'good place' on inflation

Lacker downplays possible contagion from Europe

Fed's Lacker does not see recession ahead

"KarmaPolice wrote on Mon, 7/9/2012 - 9:08 am

From the post:

"I expect that the unemployment rate will remain at or above 8 percent until the second half of 2013."

and 2014, 2015, 2016 etc... "

Are you still forecasting 6% mortgage rates this year?

Sandals Strolling through the Commentary (9 Jul 2012)

I just watched a bit of the tv news here, and it looks like the EU folks have told Greece to "Stand and Deliver." Some of the comments up today in the Greek media argue that this is what the country needs to do.

A former colleague said his grandmother told him a proverb that went as follows: "rock fall on egg--broken egg; egg falls on rock--broken egg." This makes for a very unpalatable omlette.

This is up today here on the English-language version of Kathimerini. It is by Alexis Papachelas, a highly-respect journalist who has spent a good bit of time in the US: ekathimerini.com | A hands-on battle

‘If the government really wants to succeed it, will first have to change the public discourse. Raising the specter of the “troika bogeyman” simply will not cut it anymore.
‘The eurozone and the International Monetary Fund have done a very professional job in every crucial sector. Troika staff have, for example, surveyed Greece’s health sector and can provide detailed analysis of all the wasteful practices. They also possess enough data to explain why, although things like wages and rents are going down, consumer prices remain unchanged. They know exactly what rules and regulations discourage Greek businessmen from exporting their goods. And, finally, foreign inspectors have scrutinized our public administration and come up with concrete proposals regarding how to fix it.
‘The problem is that any measure or proposal which carries the stamp of the troika or the memorandum is viewed as going against the interests of the people and the nation. Talk of reform in the civil service is always interpreted as an attempt to slash wages, for example.’
This is from today’s Athens News: A lack of trust | Athens News
‘. . . for Greece it’s not just an issue of counterproductive policies. It’s also the fact that Greece is not considered trustworthy and that it has not honoured its obligations to its EU partners. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble says it’s up to Greece to regain the trust of its European partners by implementing the agreed measures.
‘Winning back this trust will be the government’s biggest challenge, if Greece stands any chance of brokering a deal that will soften the harsh terms of the memorandum.

‘After a meeting with EU-IMF auditors on July 5, new Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras said he was told to expect a “difficult Monday at the Eurogroup”, which meets on July 9. If his remarks are anything to go by, the prospects of softening the terms of the memorandum appear - for the time being at least - bleak.’

This is a link to the press watch from today: Press Watch, July 9 | Athens News

shill wrote:

Fed's Lacker

Richmond Fed's Lacker on the economic outlook - Central Banking (22 Dec 2006)

  • "In his speech, Lacker said he expected economic growth to start next year "on the low side," but should end the year at about 3 pct."

==> F'ing retard Fed mafia/ganster fraud, idiot ... he should be in prison for providing false and misleading data to the American public .. treason ... just hang the stooge

They know exactly what rules and regulations discourage Greek businessmen from exporting their goods.

The Smoot-Hawley phase of the crisis continues.

Sorry for your experience. It is a problem. This is up here today: ekathimerini.com | Leading Athens to recovery

'It’s a cliche, but that doesn’t make it any less true: We live on one of the most premium pieces of land, but we are unable to protect or develop it. Walking around the historic center these days, you’ll see tourists enjoying the city and our great legacy. Cafes, shops and hotels are full of life and thousands of our fellow citizens are happy to make a living out of tourism.

'That said, Athens has not yet fully recovered from the damage caused by riots, violence and crime. We must find a way to protect the city, the jobs and the businessmen without compromising the right to demonstrate or strike. One solution would be to impose a moratorium on strikes that affect tourism from May to September.

'Parties and unions could agree that no protest rallies should take place in the center during the summer. We must stop shooting ourselves in the foot and turn Greece into a normal country that respects its great legacy.'

Haralambos wrote:

‘The problem is that any measure or proposal which carries the stamp of the troika or the memorandum is viewed as going against the interests of the people and the nation. Talk of reform in the civil service is always interpreted as an attempt to slash wages, for example.’

New Greek Uniform Shirt

shill wrote:

Come on Doc....they own the IMF.

Yah, well, what we need are community colleges giving out degrees in executions and have a tsunami of F'ing justice to wipe all these crooks off the face of God's Green Earth:

YouTube - Sheryl Crow - "What i can do for you" Live Quick, fetch a pail!

mp wrote:

Conjure Clock update pending.

Time is like that: Its different this time

Doc, what's to stop somebody from doing the same to you? During a purge, nobody is safe, including the purgers. After 1937 it was many of the NKVD themselves who went to the cells.

Yah, well, what we need are community colleges giving out degrees in executions and have a tsunami of F'ing justice to wipe all these crooks off the face of God's Green Earth:

I have yet to see any arm chair commandos taking up the front. When I look for GO TIME I stand alone on my back deck.....You have not endured enough pain for an uprising any time soon. And if you are waiting for this generation to back you, you can for get it.

Key board, computer, computer screen and comfy chair, and noise lots and lots of noise.

poic wrote:

Are you still forecasting 6% mortgage rates this year?

Do you still have me on your "ignore" list?

Wink

Comrade Troyski wrote:

not if you're in the ownership class:

Apartment rents rise at highest rate since 2007: Reis
| Reuters

I'm under rent control, so no soup for me. No Soup For YOU!

Rents are only up 30% in downtown SF in the last two years.

last week Barclays Bob Diamond had the 'tie move' under intense interrogation as seen here:
YouTube - UK Parliament Questions Barclay's CEO Bob Diamond: Complicity or Incompetence? Which is it?
today BoE's Paul Tucker under similar interrogation showcased what I call the 'cup move' ...
video to follow Conjure Clock... Duke Point

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Doc, what's to stop somebody from doing the same to you?

I'm a pauper, and hope to blend in. Rose Colored Glasses

I also have this increasing thematic need for justice ... where there is none. Pitchforks and Torches

Key board, computer, computer screen and comfy chair, and noise lots and lots of noise.

and alcohol ... plenty of alcohol ...

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Apartment rents rise at highest rate since 2007: Reis

Gee, and I heard on HCN that everyone is broke.

Gloom, despair, and misery on me....

Big smile

"Key board, computer, computer screen and comfy chair, and noise lots and lots of noise.

and alcohol ... plenty of alcohol ... "

== PR0N

poic wrote:

Rents are only up 30% in downtown SF in the last two years.

How is your rent holding? Mr. Landlord jack it up yet?

Doc Holiday wrote:

I'm a pauper, and hope to blend in.

What makes you think paupers are immune? Anyone can denounce anyone - for a grudge, an apartment, for an imagined slight, or any rivalry.

In Russia an anonymous denunciation even had a name - anonymka.

The only hope is for law to prevail.

MaxedOutMama  makes sense:

"A second, worldwide financial crash is in the offing, and there is nothing anyone can do about it. The banking system is dependent on the ability to accumulate safe, stable reserves, which have in the modern era largely been stored in government bonds. The supply of safe, stable government bonds is running out now.

We seem to be doomed to deflation now. The banking system cannot expand lending if it cannot accumulate reserves against lending losses, so modern Keynesian economics just doesn't work in this situation. Forget the Krugmans and their ilk"

Reagan proved that rents don't matter when you move back in with your parents.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

The only hope is for law to prevail.

ciao.

poic wrote:

== PR0N

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sex-sells-and-sells-and-sells-2012-07-09

FTA:

Maybe the publisher should think of adding this subtitle to the next installment of the series: “Fifty Shades of Ka-ching.”

and alcohol ... plenty of alcohol ...

Oh and a Cabinet full of weaponry and 20,000 rounds of Ammo. I have seen and read it all....Yet I still read the same old whining and complaining since 07 and nothing has been done and we have been shit on 10x since 07. And what do I see and read daily ( not just here abroad )

" They have once more chance and if they ( huff and puff ) were gonna do it this time I swear "

Ya sure...go for it, again Ill take up the rear, dive in Hero's.

During a purge, nobody is safe, including the purgers. After 1937 it was many of the NKVD themselves who went to the cells."
...
same thing happened to key members of Khmer Rouge after a few years in power. current PM Hun Sen, a commander in the Eastern front, was to be liquidated but he got wind of it and escaped to Vietnam...
...
Soviets had Lubyinka and KR had S-21.

Simply awesome.....how history repeats itself.

Can Palestinian concentration camps be far off:

"This Water Is For Jews Only" - The Dish | By Andrew Sullivan - The Daily Beast

pavel.chichikov wrote:

The only hope is for law to prevail.

The process of hope can be ground down to a point where there is a common will to re-make the laws -- but I can see how the need for power and justice can be corrupted -- so yes, we need hope that good people will do good things.

The Fed can inject that QE right into the the 1 percenters fat ass.

Nobody cares because nobody is gonna pay back the $16 trillion anyway, with either taxes nor inflation, it's over.

Do we have more Dooooooooooooooom!!! then normal today? The HCN crew seems mighty peeved today.

I'm under rent control, so no soup for me.

My apartment in 90025 that I was renting for $700 in 1991 would have a rent of $1400 today had I remained a tenant.

Market rent is around $1700.

Same owners. Their tax expense is $40/mo on that unit. Wonderful system we got here.

If the FED said " Were mailing $100k checks to every citizen over 18 in the United States " all would be forgotten until broke again. Which for some would be fast, as most Dopes have no value of money anyway.

And then the whining would commence a month or two later.

Boeing pulls in $7.2 bln 737 order - MarketWatch

Quotable:

"Arkia Israel Airlines Ltd. is in final talks for Airbus A320-family single-aisle airliners, these people said.

An Airbus deal with Arkia would break a long-standing lock that Boeing has had on the Israeli passenger-jet market. Israel’s national airline, El Al Israel Airlines Ltd. several years ago placed an order with Airbus planes, but the contract was later annulled by the government. Arkia executives couldn’t be reached."

I wonder if Israel is using US aid to buy those aircraft?

MaxedOutMama makes sense:

Is she still around? Don't think I've seen her post in a while...

Morning, muppets.

Got some interesting snippets for you.

They're baaaaack!!!

Romney's assembling his neocon foreign policy team. Trip to visit old Bain friend, Bibi, in Israel, should be interesting. This story names names. Look 'em up to see what's in our future:

"...rifts have emerged in his team between hardline militarists and more traditional GOP realists. Although this has occasionally produced inconsistencies in the campaign’s statements and public disagreements between the candidate and some of his advisers, there remains the general impression that the campaign’s hawks have marginalized their more moderate colleagues — a trend that is also reflected in the candidate’s extremely militarist statements on the campaign trail."

Militarist Monitor: The Romney Foreign Policy Team: Waiting in the Wings - Right Web - Institute for Policy Studies

About 70% of the Neocons who ran the Iraq War are now among Mitt's foreign policy advisors:
Eliot Cohen, Robert Kagan, Robert Joseph, Dan Senor, Eric Edelman, Cofer Black, John Bolton, Michael Chertoff and other members of the now dissolved PNAC and the newly erected FPI.

Colin Powell sounds the warning:
YouTube - Colin Powell on Romney's NeoCon Advisors.mpg

Soviets had Lubyinka and KR had S-21.

And the US had the Sedition Act

"The Adams administration did not wait for the passage of the Sedition Act but arrested Bache on common law libel charges on June 27, 1798, two weeks before the Act was signed by the President. Bache died of yellow fever in 1798 while awaiting trial."

Sandals on the Sidewalk—Protected Professions in Greece (9Jul 2012)

This will be a quick one on so-called protected professions in Greece. The Troika want Greece to open these up. There are many and they have their own peculiarities. From what I know of taxis and pharmacies, the owners usually have to buy their licenses to operate. Think NYC taxi medallions. For both taxis and pharmacies, the cost can be 250,000 euros. The Troika want anyone with the full qualifications to be able to open for a much reduced fee. The current license holders are understandably resisting, since their sunk costs will evaporate. In many cases this is what they rely on for their retirement to top up meager state pensions.

I am sorry to those who think I have jacked this thread—it was and is not my intention.

Rick Perry joins Republican governors who won’t implement Obamacare | The Ticket - Yahoo! News

Just how stupid is Rickgay Perry?

Rick Perry Announces Texas Won't Implement The Affordable Care Act

Quotable:

"Perry’s announcement is an especially harmful move because Texas will benefit more from the Affordable Care Act than any other state. Texas was recently ranked worst in the country for health care delivery by the federal Agency for Health Care Research and Quality, scoring “weak” or “very weak” in nine of 12 categories."

Big smile

Texas...Please secede already™

About 70% of the Neocons who ran the Iraq War are now among Mitt's foreign policy advisors:

Kind of reminds you of Obama's first Cabinet...Oh you know all the former Clinton Tax dodgers.

Strait up I am voting for Neither Romney ( Dope, I know first hand he was my Governor) or the present Liar in charge.

Is she still around? Don't think I've seen her post in a while...

i used to visit her site ... but after the april (or may?) 2010 NFP report she more or less declared "war's over" ... uh, whatever ...

Strait up I am voting for Neither Romney ( Dope, I know first hand he was my Governor) or the present Liar in charge.

♫ if you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice

Paradigm Lost wrote:

About 70% of the Neocons who ran the Iraq War are now among Mitt's foreign policy advisors:
Eliot Cohen, Robert Kagan, Robert Joseph, Dan Senor, Eric Edelman, Cofer Black, John Bolton, Michael Chertoff and other members of the now dissolved PNAC and the newly erected FPI.

Let's not forget his co-chair for finance. Mr. Multi-level marketing himself Frank Vandersloot.

Former Idealist wrote:

This policy is masking serious US inflation by driving commodity prices lower (artificial stronger dollar).

The much-discussed side effect of QE was, until last year, the resulting rise in commodity prices, especially energy and foodstuffs. With the current and foreseeable problems in Europe, and the reasonable expectation of failures in China and India, I'd say the problem has been finessed, that Bernanke is playing hardball and bidding for last man standing.

You may not much admire Machiavelli, but you're living in his world.

if you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice

Ya its call my own free will.

Ya its call my own free will.

President Romney thanks you, should you live in FL, OH, PA, VA, or WI. Otherwise, carry on.

Having trouble picking a MOB BOSS?

Former Idealist wrote:

The Fed can inject that QE right into the the 1 percenters fat ass.

I'd approve that as long as the injection is applied a nickle at a time...

Lacker: Economy now close to maximum employment

Stare

Now that is a blatant out right lie for sure.

shill wrote:

Strait up I am voting for Neither Romney ( Dope, I know first hand he was my Governor)

Speaking of liar:

Mitt Romney Campaign Disavows Pro-Gay Rights Flyer From 2002

President Romney thanks you, should you live in FL, OH, PA, VA, or WI. Otherwise, carry on.

No I live in Mass, my ass has already been thanked many times over from Romney...the gift that keeps on giving.

God damn it. Just get back from a crappy vacation, we all caught stomach virus from hell, and now I find out Nova checked out early. Shaping up to be a piss poor Monday. Crying Told Nova to take care of himself with that heart attack scare a few weeks ago...fuck. Excuse me while I go throw up some more.

shill wrote:

Lacker: Economy now close to maximum employment

Told ja!

Wink

KarmaPolice wrote:

Texas...Please secede already™

The states who wish to</> should be able to set up their own sovereign nation, apart from the USA. (Rollback on the Civil War/War Between States).

I kinda like the sound of "Confederate States of America", so that's my suggestion. Only rule: all the Confed. states must be geographically adjacent. No checkerboards. If SD wants in, they will have to convince NE and KS if they haven't already joined (assuming OK and TX are already charter members.

Actually, Shill, the return of the Rubinites was a big tell on how the economic disaster would be dealt with. I said it at the time.

If you want to know someone's performance in the future, check out their track record.

Spain given extra time to cut deficit - FT.com

Spain will be given some relief on Tuesday from its austerity woes when its EU partners grant it extra time to meet its steep budget deficit targets which otherwise risk deepening its recession.

However, in return Mariano Rajoy, prime minister, will commit to a fresh round of tax increases, likely to be announced this week, to shore up revenues and help tackle the country’s structural or underlying deficit.

RealClearMarkets - Friday's Unemployment Report Shouldn't Disappoint Obama
While this guy makes a few valid points, he offers nothing worthwhile as an alternative. Same ol', same ol'...

JimPortlandOR wrote:

The states who wish to</> should be able to set up their own sovereign nation, apart from the USA. (Rollback on the Civil War/War Between States).

I would be willing to do something like this:

Jesusland map - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

shill wrote:

Strait up I am voting for Neither Romney ( Dope, I know first hand he was my Governor) or the present Liar in charge.

What do you know about Gary Johnson ( Libratarian I believe) ? Not sure it is Gary.

If you want to know someone's performance in the future, check out their track record

Rubinites no truer word spoken.

My fondest and entirely vain hope is that republicans will mostly vote Romney and democrats will file a ballot, but many abstain from voting either presidential candidate. Under that scenario, Romney gets less than a majority of ballots, and Obama receives less than forty percent.

It would force a return to opposition politics, not that I anticipate the electorate has the insight to do it.

In any event, Shill's with that program and his critic is not.

Vonbek777 wrote:

...now I find out Nova checked out early.

We may envy him soon enough...

Aww, that sucks, Vonbek777. And yeah, nova passing was a shock and very sad.

Vonbek777 wrote:

Excuse me while I go throw up some more.

Sorry you got the flew Vonbek.

Nova is the loss of a Friend.

Paradigm Lost wrote:

  • Institute for Policy Studies

In days gone by this was so left wing a think tank that it practically touched the ground on the left side.

Voting is not going to fix this. The time for that has long since passed. Ticking time bomb

Economy now close to maximum employment

I agree with him. Hell, remove the $1.5T/yr deficit spending and we'd see an even more realistic picture of what our economy is like, as it is presently structured.

Now, it doesn't have to be this way, but millions of rich mofos are going to have to part with a significant chunk of their income streams to fix anything around here.

Chances of that happening: 0.0% this decade.

Then again, the 2006 change certainly caught me by surprise. Maybe 2016 will be a wave change too . . .

This "job creator" bullshit would be funny if it weren't for the ongoing human tragedy.

IMF in april predicted greece's GDP would drop 4.7% in 2012

In any event, Shill's with that program and his critic is not.

I miss something what program is that?

CK at least gets it...voting means shit....Voting is for the 97% not the 3% that reside here.

Another Monday, another QE rumor.

Why do they even bother?

Does it make the ponzi anymore believable to anyone at this point?

Nobody but the Fed bought the dow up,

And they ain't selling.

Three Questions After the June Jobs Report - NYTimes.com

By NATE SILVER

Political but economically oriented, and with an objective viewpoint...

Here's a nice rant on the ramifications of LIE-bor from across the pond:

Barclays Libor scandal: how can we change banking culture? | Business | The Guardian

"There ought to be a verb for this kind of involuntary donation. For true accuracy, it should only come in the passive voice. We could call it: to be bankered. 'What happened to the British in the early 21st century?', a future historian will ask. 'Poor sods,' her colleague might reply. 'I'm afraid they got totally bankered'. ...

So in a sequence of events reminiscent of the Wall Street crash of 1929, the same industry that brought you a financial crisis, a double-dip recession and the greatest economic misery in decades is now vomiting up scandal after scandal.

Shot through these iniquities is a high-handed sense of being above the law. It's obvious in the blatancy with which Barclays went about rigging interest rates even at the height of the crisis while taxpayers were bailing it out with subsidies and guarantees."

Yessireee, we been "bankered", muppets.

The system is corrupt and rotten to the core. We get to vote what new window dressing we'd like in the rotted out, dilapidated house that we call a system. Woohoo!

This is a case of a picture is worth a thousand words or numbers. Thanks for the data.

Noahpinion: How Zero Hedge makes your money vanish

It has been known for quite some time that individual investors - this means you, sitting at your computer clicking away on e*Trade - almost all underperform the market. In other words, you suck at investing. In 1999, Odean found that a lot of this poor performance comes from the fact that individual investors trade too much. In other words, one reason you suck at investing is because you have an itchy trigger finger. And this 2001 Barber and Odean paper found that men have itchier trigger fingers than women.

Which brings me to the website Zero Hedge.

Zero Hedge is a financial news website. The writers all write under the pseudonym of "Tyler Durden", Brad Pitt's character from Fight Club. Each post comes with a little black and white icon of Brad Pitt's head. On Zero Hedge you can read news, rumors, facts, figures, off-the-cuff analysis, and political screeds (usually anti-Obama, anti-government, and pro-hard money). On the sidebars, you can click on ads for online brokerages, gold collectibles, and The Economist.

The site is a big fat hoax. And if you read it for anything other than amusement, you're almost certainly a big fat sucker.

Price Data Suggest Specter of Deflation in China - NY Times

HONG KONG — Prices are tumbling across the Chinese economy, according to government data released Monday, as a flood of goods pouring out of the country’s factories and farms exceeds anemic demand from Chinese households and businesses.
The downward trend makes it much harder for businesses to sell enough goods to repay loans that they took out, usually on the expectation of rising prices. Falling prices also discourage investment, which had slowed sharply this spring, and gave consumers an incentive to delay purchases until prices could fall further.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

President Romney thanks you, should you live in FL, OH, PA, VA, or WI. Otherwise, carry on.

Ain't it the truth?

As a CA resident we're a big fund-raising state for both parties, but the money goes to buy ads on TV channels in those states. I guess that's one reason to be glad I don't live in any of them.

I'll be in PA later this week and DC (i.e. urban VA) the next so might get a taste of how my contribution is being spent.

I'm looking forward to commenters from those states giving us a play-by-play as October heats up.

Should have fixed this before letting China into world trade re: The Auditors » Blog Archive » What The SEC And PCAOB Fail To Acknowledge About Chinese Fraud

Horse gone long ago, barn door wide open still...

Comrade Kristina wrote:

The system is corrupt and rotten to the core.

History is replete with what comes after. If you (rightly) despised the Shah, how do you feel about the Ayatollah?

---CONJURE BAG'S GLOBAL DEPRESSION COUNTDOWN CLOCK---

The clock was last updated on July 2, 2012 at 8:13 PM when it was advanced 10 seconds to 11:57:55.1.

The time is now:

11:58:05.1

China's PPI down 2.1% in June|Economy|chinadaily.com.cn

Conjure's quote of the day via David Rosenberg:

"We are being much more careful on hiring and investment around the world, because this is not a time to be out front with your commitments. We are well-prepared for another global recession, if we get one. ---Dave Cote, Honeywell CEO

Conjure says, "Embrace the mediocrity. Celebrate the awesomeness."

Actually, Shill, the return of the Rubinites was a big tell on how the economic disaster would be dealt with. I said it at the time.

If I were Obama, wet behind the ears and fresh from my course through Occidental, Columbia, Harvard Law, and U of C lecturing, "do what Clinton did 1992-1996" would not have struck me as bad advice in 2008 .

Disaster was baked into the cake 2000-2007:

Graph: Household Sector: Liabilities: Household Credit Market Debt Outstanding (CMDEBT)/Compensation of Employees: Wages & Salary Accruals (WASCUR) - FRED - St. Louis Fed

I think Obama understands the immense amount of bullshit that is our national polity today.

Had he gone after Wall Street, he'd be painted as the radical bombthrower trying to destroy America.

Couldn't even get the compromise of extending the Bush cuts for the lower brackets through Congress.

Obama wasn't even a teenager when Baucus entered politics.

Honesty is not something that has any currency today.

We can't handle the truth, as the man said in that movie.

Oh, I get that, I really do. But at some point just stopping the pretense is liberating and worth what comes after. Hell, at this point I don't particularly care if I survive what comes after if at least we try something besides this slow, grinding death by a thousand cuts.

as a flood of goods pouring out of the country’s factories and farms exceeds anemic demand from Chinese households and businesses.

around the time of our ARRA (early 2009) china launched its own fiscal stimulus package (close to $600 billion, iirc) geared mainly toward commodity hoarding, building infrastructure/capacity ... wondered when it would come back to haunt them (us) ...

The electoral college will be the final downfall of us. Why should KS, NE, SD, ND, MT, ID, WY, etc get more power than Los Angeles? Hell, these 7 states don't have the population of Orange Co CA! Somebody show me a biggger welfare whore than a corn farmer-- rice farmer and cotton farmers don't count-- and ill be a monkeys uncle.

That is true as well. I thought he might at least put up a bit more of a struggle, though.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

at this point I don't particularly care if I survive what comes after

But it's not just you and what you care about or don't.

Paradigm Lost wrote:

'I'm afraid they got totally bankered'

Wouldn't "Banked" or "Banksterd be more poetic.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Hell, at this point I don't particularly care if I survive what comes after if at least we try something besides this slow, grinding death by a thousand cuts.

Dooooooooooooooom!!!

here: Currently Smoking Cannibis

And I guess that is what will be the deciding factor as to when it kicks off. When enough people simply don't care if they survive they simply can't stand living the way their living anymore. Not sure when that might be but we're getting much closer.

RealClearMarkets - Why U.S. Economic Policy Is Paralyzed

Some interesting thoughts, many with which I agree, but unfortunately no solutions...of course, there may not be any in the long run...

Dickeylee wrote:

Hell, these 7 states don't have the population of Orange Co CA!

When it comes to electoral votes, Orange Co CA has zero.

OTOH, Orange Co FL has a bunch.

I'm looking forward to commenters from those states giving us a play-by-play as October heats up.

i'm in central virginia ... currently, O has a definite edge in cable ads

Dickeylee wrote:

show me a biggger welfare whore than a corn farmer

How about any of the DoD welfare that goes on in these same states. But if it is political representation, susidy and influence you seek, you could always move to one of these locales.

black dog wrote:

currently, O has a definite edge in cable ads

Romney has so much money now he can probably hire someone to stand outside your window with a mandolin.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

We can't handle the truth, as the man said in that movie.

What we can't handle is the corrupt, Bi-Polar anti- America Politics.

OT:
I had lunch with parents during the weekend and they were thinking about taking a trip
to Europe. They were talking about Greece, Israel, and Turkey.

Me: WTFH? Are you serious? We will never find your bodies. How about Syria, too?
Them: Well, we will be in a group (so, there are other insane people). We should be ok.
Me: (calming down a bit). Ok, why now?
Them: We are old and we are not going to be able to travel much anymore.
Besides, we want to see this area before the war with Iran starts

F*ck. Sometimes, my parents even surprise me....

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Romney has so much money now he can probably hire someone to stand outside your window with a mandolin.

Well, it IS about US jobs, isn't it?

black dog wrote:

i'm in central virginia ... currently, O has a definite edge in cable ads

Does that mean that Romney has an edge in votes or in momentum with voters?

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Hell, at this point I don't particularly care if I survive what comes after if at least we try something besides this slow, grinding death by a thousand cuts.

You have to tip the headsman, to get a clean cut.

We can't handle the truth, as the man said in that movie.

Who is this " We " ...certainly not this group. " We " post and talk of the truth daily.

Romney may have money but O has your tax dollars to campaign with.

Seven Samurai wrote:

Besides, we want to see this area before the war with Iran starts

They know when it might start?!

Voting is not going to fix this. The time for that has long since passed.

the larger point is the day after the revolution, we're still going to have the same idiots running around.

the true enemy isn't the politicians, it's the idiocy of the people putting these politicians in office.

we could have stopped the Iraq invasion. First by not electing Bush in 2000, and second demonstrating like mad in the 2002-2003 timeframe.

I was in Santa Cruz at the time, seeing the 20-30 people on Ocean street.

20 occasional demonstrators in Santa Cruz wasn't enough.

"For example, an ABC news poll reported than only 10% of Americans favored giving the inspectors less than a few weeks; 41% favored giving them a few weeks, 33% a few months, and 13% more than that."

This is the mix of the country still today. 10% insane. 40% coalitioning with them. 30% muddled middle. 10% reality-based, 10% too clueless to ever pick a side.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Well, yeah! He's a job cremator

Fixed It For Ya

Well, CK, I genuinely hope it doesn't come to that. Look at the train of events in St. Petersburg 1917 and especially the following Winter.

I have beautiful nieces and nephews and they have little ones of their own.

Who is this " We " ...certainly not this group. " We " post and talk of the truth daily.

if you've got the free time to bullshit on the internet all day, you're not the general public trying to keep your ahead above the waves.

i'm in central virginia ... currently, O has a definite edge in cable ads

So glad I ditched Tv...as I can read I am missing Zero. Funny thing is I don't even notice its gone lol.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

the true enemy isn't the politicians, it's the idiocy of the people putting these politicians in office.

End-stage democracy?

Comrade Troyski wrote:

we could have stopped the Iraq invasion. First by not electing Bush in 2000, and second demonstrating like mad in the 2002-2003 timeframe.

You think Gore wouldn't have done the same thing? And more? Why?

Foreign Policy Initiative - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"The Foreign Policy Initiative (FPI) is a conservative, non-profit, tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. FPI seeks to promote an active U.S. foreign policy committed to robust support for democratic allies, human rights, a strong American military equipped to meet the challenges of the 21st century, and strengthening America's global economic competitiveness. The organization was founded in 2009 and is led by Executive Director Jamie Fly. FPI’s Board of Directors consists of Eric Edelman, Robert Kagan, William Kristol, and Dan Senor."

PNAC:

Project for the New American Century - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia 

if you've got the free time to bullshit on the internet all day, you're not the general public trying to keep your ahead above the waves.

Never mind what I do...I make money doing what I do. The " Bull shit :" as you state is a mere percentage.

Well, CK, I genuinely hope it doesn't come to that. Look at the train of events in St. Petersburg 1917 and especially the following Winter.

I have beautiful nieces and nephews and they have little ones of their own.

There will be life without crooked central bankers, and it will be better.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

if you've got the free time to bullshit on the internet all day, you're not the general public trying to keep your ahead above the waves.

How much TV does the "general public" watch a week? Might not kill them to change the channel to something more challenging and informative.

What about all the kids out there that will be the future generation of down trodden, homeless bums being crushed by the same set of Oligarchs and their spawn? Things are not going to get better as time goes on, it will get worse. Eventually, someone will strike the flint that causes the spark that ignites this powder keg.

Hmmm, I certainly am. I spend my free time here but I'm certainly not in the top 1% or 5% or even 20%.
I have no health insurance and between my husband and I we make less than 50K combined. I would say we are the general public.

I get the idea lots of people on here are wage earners on the clock. Laughing out loud

Does that mean that Romney has an edge in votes or in momentum with voters?

i don't know ... really haven't followed closely ... i think both are campaigning in virginia this week

It absolutely stuns me how strong that 'things will be right after the revolution' fixation is. It's like crabgrass.

RealClearMarkets - The Lean Forward Campaign: A Recipe for Economic Stagnation

  • October 4, 1927 - Keystone, South Dakota, Rev. Al Sharpton: "You know what! I'll tell you what. This Gutzon Borglum character, the Mormon sculptor with polygamist parents who wants to carve a bunch of dead president's faces onto a mountain in South Dakota. Well, MSNBC has it from authoritative sources that he's a former member of the Klan. That's right, the Ku Klux Klan! Can you believe government money is being spent to promote racist artwork? I'm calling for a boycott of all products coming from South Dakota until this injustice is corrected."

Well, it is more a symptom of the problems we are facing than anything else. When things are so bad that revolution is even an option we might want to take a look at why people feel this way. Or, we can continue to ignore the ever deepening resentment the "little" people are harboring for their betters.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I have no health insurance and between my husband and I we make less than 50K combined. I would say we are the general public.

Local trucking company in my wife's home area is not finding all the driver trainees it needs - though the job pays about 40k. Young people don't seem interested in being truckers. Long hours, seven day weeks, away from home a lot, blue collar, non-exportable.

I get the idea lots of people on here are wage earners on the clock.

Guilty as charged, now if you could push this " Earned wage " Two Harbors Investment Corp., TWO Stock Quote - (NYSE) TWO, Two Harbors Investment Corp. Stock Price up to $11 I will call it a day Smile

sm_landlord wrote:

substitution-based rate of inflation

As Bill the Cat would say.....Gaaaaaccckkkkk (and sppppfttttt)

The juxtaposition of US income statistics with a tax policy debate orbiting around a quarter of a million dollars does give one pause....

Revolution is born of desperation and despair. Feelings of hopelessness and depression are what feed revolutions. Perhaps we should check into alleviating some of these things in a large portion of our society to see to it that we don't have revolution? Just a thought.

burnside wrote:

It absolutely stuns me how strong that 'things will be right after the revolution' fixation is. It's like crabgrass.

+1

Revolution is born of desperation and despair. Feelings of hopelessness and depression are what feed revolutions. Perhaps we should check into alleviating some of these things in a large portion of our society to see to it that we don't have revolution? Just a thought.

Spot on and this is why it will not happen anytime soon...the checks are still arriving...We don't know what pain is.

Silver and gold pretending to believe the QE bs today.

I'm lazy and I'm not going to take it anymore! Revolt! Laughing out loud

I see Marc Faber's been tossing the "D" word about. I thought he was an "I" man.

Deflation! It's what's for dinner...or maybe not.

"I'm looking forward to commenters from those states giving us a play-by-play as October heats up. "

I live in a battleground state. Nuthin' here yet.

burnside wrote:

It absolutely stuns me how strong that 'things will be right after the revolution' fixation is.

It's ignorance. They don't know what it means. But I don't see any possibility of a revolution here. People don't want one. Who would lead one? With what? They have pictures in their minds of people marching down a street and taking over. How? It's a fantasy.

Then they turn on the ball game.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

I get the idea lots of people on here are wage earners on the clock

Honestly, when I worked for the big ass tech company, I maybe worked 20% of the time.
60% was meetings (like 5-6 meetings a day). 20% was getting coffee and shooting the shit.
I figured that I went to like 10,000 meetings just at this company.
Professional ass grove in the chair maker. Hell yeah!

shill wrote:

...the checks are still arriving...

As long as this continues, Food Stamps espectally, we will be OK (!)

Stop the Fed Checks and collapes of Social Order.

Most of the working class people I know that are struggling to keep food on the table are far from lazy. Many work more than one job and still can't afford basic things like health care, reliable transportation etc. We are a third world country with a first world attitude...for now. As the realization sets in maybe some of the bravado will die down Wink

As long as this continues, Food Stamps espectally, we will be OK (!)

Stop the Fed Checks and collapes of Social Order.

This is not your Grand ma's mothers depression so yes its true.

I'm lazy and I'm not going to take it anymore! Revolt!

I am down but first let me finish this fresh Avocado salad...yum...but don't wait, Ill bring up the rear.

Maybe because they watched it live on the internet in Libya, Egypt, Tunisia etc. And what happens when they don't have cable anymore? More and more people can't afford even that. As the Oligarchs talk about depressing wages even further. You can only squeeze so much blood from a turnip.

Former Idealist wrote:

France Debt Deal Not Near

If you want to see a revolt watch the European northern tier refuse to take on the South's debts.

/You can only squeeze so much blood from a turnip. /

Lesson: Don't be a turnip.

--bh

Econbrowser: Current economic conditions 

...let me start with a bit of good news. Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong, called the bottom to the decline in both house construction and prices last February, and sees considerable confirmation of that prediction since then:

  • housing starts are increasing
  • residential construction spending is up 17% from its low
  • new home sales are up 17% so far this year relative to the previous 18 months
  • Case-Shiller and Core Logic house price measures may have started to rise modestly. Moreover, a broader perception by home owners and buyers that prices have stopped falling would itself be a significant positive.

Yes, but in order to not be a turnip one must be devoid of all morals and values. I am leaning towards losing my morals and turning into a lying, thieving douche-bag like my betters.

I am leaning towards losing my morals and turning into a lying, thieving douche-bag like my betters.

Welcome Home CK, you have finally arrived.

If further action is called for, the most effective tool would be additional purchases of longer-maturity securities, including agency mortgage-backed securities. These purchases have proven effective in lowering borrowing costs and improving financial conditions.

I think the most effective tool is when the president sends me a check personally. I haven't written my thank you card to Bush yet for that $1800 or whatever it was that he sent me one time.

I've finally decided who I'm voting for. It's the candidate who writes me the biggest check.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I have no health insurance and between my husband and I we make less than 50K combined. I would say we are the general public.

That would put you in the 53% percentile for US household income.

Can't get much more middle class than that.

Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong,

well, i can cross econbrowser off the list of places to visit ...

It absolutely stuns me how strong that 'things will be right after the revolution' fixation is.

I've promised myself, after what happend to Nova, to try not to become overly fixated on the someday/year impending Dooooooooooooooom!!! .

After all, this may be the best times we'll ever see. Would hate to have ruined worrying about some impending disaster that may never occur.
Being bitter can become a way of life....
Still fun to conjecture though!

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Local trucking company in my wife's home area is not finding all the driver trainees it needs - though the job pays about 40k.

This does not accord with what I know of truck driving. So I have to wonder why they are desperate to hire trainees, rather than licensed truck drivers.

black dog wrote:

Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong,

well, i can cross econbrowser off the list of places to visit ...

I like CR, but his fanboi's sometimes go overboard....

I think the most effective tool is when the president sends me a check personally

Your current 2% FICA cut was what the Obama team was able to get through Congress.

That was the last Democratic Congress, it should be said.

Cinco-X wrote:

Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong,

Are we talking about the same Calculated Risk ??????? Laughing out loud

I expect Bill is getting a chuckle.

sdtfs wrote:

This does not accord with what I know of truck driving. So I have to wonder why they are desperate to hire trainees, rather than licensed truck drivers.

I think trucking might be part of the "microwave burrito" economy that dryfly talks about.

I know truckers that are suffering in a lot of places, but back in my home town the natural gas and construction industries are hiring truckers left and right.

CK,

Just be the caring thoughtful human being you are. The outrage will take care of itself, and when it does, you take care of your self.

--bh

"I like CR, but his fanboi's sometimes go overboard.... "

They post from an IPad?

Rickkk wrote:

After all, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and other central banks around the world are also manipulating interest rates. All the time. Except when they do it, it's called "monetary policy." When Barclays does it, it's cheating.

OK, so getting warmer, but the pundits are still not quite getting this. The BofE and the Fed relied on the Libor as an indicator of liquidity. Once the banks figured this out, they ran the Libor up and extorted the central banks and central governments for free money by threatening a panic. My suspicion is that nothing could drive a wedge between the interests of "the big banks" and those of "the Federal Reserve," because they are really the same people, but while the Bank of England is chummy with the big banks, they are not the same entity. And the BofE is pissed off at being played like that. Got Popcorn?

I've finally decided who I'm voting for. It's the candidate who writes me the biggest check.

finally, someone talking sense

sdtfs wrote:

So I have to wonder why they are desperate to hire trainees

They train them first.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

what happens when they don't have cable anymore? More and more people can't afford even that.

The alternatives, like Hulu, NetFlix and grey market, offer a far better value, and less time wasted on commercial interruptions.

/natural gas and construction industries are hiring truckers left and right. /

mining truck drivers as well. Cannot hire enough of them. Good pay, usually in low low cost areas (WV for example).

--bh

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

Cinco-X wrote:
Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong,

Must have missed the post where CR says he's 2 for 5 on the last polls.

I'm guessing it's a school and they are going to charge you for that training Wink

Re wet-behind-the-ears Obama. All presidents are wet behind the ears.

Nonetheless, I agree, Troyski. We must consider that he's a Univ. of Chicago Alum. So who would his associates likely be. I'm not sure what choices he actually had for his econ team. But when I saw Summers and Geithner, I knew what we were in for. No doubt he was dealt a shitty hand day one.

Romney's an ex-gov. Govs traditionally are shaky on foreign policy and better on domestic. It's natural his campaign would be stuffed with the Bush neocons. But I'm most concerned about his longtime friendship with Israel's present leader.

Anyway, one candidate had his wings clipped...the other is awaiting shearing.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

towards losing my morals and
You may be already late to the game CK, peasants learn scams easily when taught by their Leader in Chiefs.

sdtfs wrote:

This does not accord with what I know of truck driving. So I have to wonder why they are desperate to hire trainees, rather than licensed truck drivers.

5 years entry level with no accidents,clean background check and get a hazmat endorsement...

You'll never be out of work.

Chris

"The BofE and the Fed relied on the Libor as an indicator of liquidity. Once the banks figured this out, they ran the Libor up and extorted the central banks and central governments for free money by threatening a panic."

By this logic the banks only figured out that the Fed relied on Libor in 2009. And yet they've been relying on it for decades. So why didn't they run it up earlier?

My parents must have instilled them too deeply, it's hard to just flip to the dark side seamlessly.

Truckers are just another adjustment to the new low wages. New cheaper ones replacing the higher cost experienced ones.

Just got a High CPU Usage warning, and all I have open is CR. Pearl's computer has been shutting down on her here too. What's up with that?

Had the same thought, Blackhalo. Cutting people loose from cable offerings would be, to me, the outright visible sign of an intellectual renaissance in America.

"Just got a High CPU Usage warning, and all I have open is CR. Pearl's computer has been shutting down on her here too. What's up with that? "

I get that occasionally when running Firefox with Adblocker. Just kill your browser sessions and start again.

"Dilemma, right? "

Not for me. I'll vote for the least dirty shirt and express my franchise. It was hard won.

Never mind what I do...I make money doing what I do. The " Bull shit :" as you state is a mere percentage.

whatever you do, bullshit -- nonpositive net wealth creation -- is clearly the dominant element of your day.

The people actually creating the wealth this nation requires to survive aren't on the internet at 2-3PM EDT.

Sadly, this includes me all too often. Nytol

My parents must have instilled them too deeply, it's hard to just flip to the dark side seamlessly.

Forget it CK - we'd be miserable as villains. We'd be better suited as Robin Hoods. Those are fun.

Just put a bandana on and black shades. You'd look like a serious, bad ass, penguin villain.

And from the looks of your icon you've got one dilated pupil and that wandering eye issue. You're gonna have to get those issues dealt with before you can become a serious villain.

Cinco-X wrote:
Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong,

CR said over and over again back in 2006-2007 that the coming recession would be mild while many of his commenters were saying it would be very severe.

He said that the decline in home prices would be very slow on the order of 2%-5% a year.

Commenters on his site on the other hand forecast a harrowing 35% decline in just over 3 years or so.

I always figured CR might have been more pessimistic than he lead on to be but in the end you can only judge somebody by who you know about them from the outside...

poic wrote:

I get that occasionally when running Firefox with Adblocker. Just kill your browser sessions and start again.

Yeah, seems like Firefox is kind of a turd now. I've been having a lot of problems with Flash now too.

poic wrote:

They post from an IPad [sic]?

Anyone in particular in mind?

Cutting people loose from cable offerings would be, to me, the outright visible sign of an intellectual renaissance in America.

When I hear "cable" I think "internet" - so hmmm.

$3.27 in Provo Utah. 43.9 cents taxes.

/Truckers are just another adjustment to the new low wages. New cheaper ones replacing the higher cost experienced ones/

That and this is one of those professions on the automation docket. Some of the big mines use automated rigs onsite, either drone like technology, one driver to 10 trucks, or fully automated.

--bh

I wonder if Israel is using US aid to buy those aircraft?" KP
...
good. maybe my bro' can go fly for the Israelis. Wink
...
as for the Conjure Clock ...
I know y'all like to be dramatic but adding 1/10 seconds to the Clock
kills the tension...
imagine what High Noon would be like if they did the same...? Duke Point

tacticaldefault wrote:

The BofE and the Fed relied on the Libor as an indicator of liquidity. Once the banks figured this out, they ran the Libor up and extorted the central banks and central governments for free money by threatening a panic.

No offense but this is crazytalk. No one needed to threaten a panic because there absolutely WAS a panic. The GSEs and Lehman scared the shit out of everyone.

Probably picking on me, Cinco. I've been known to used the dread tablet.

sdtfs wrote:

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

Cinco-X wrote:
Calculated Risk, who to my knowledge has never been wrong,

Must have missed the post where CR says he's 2 for 5 on the last polls.

Okay...that was a quote, not my writing...I just got a kick out of it...

And from the looks of your icon you've got one dilated pupil and that wandering eye issue. You're gonna have to get those issues dealt with before you can become a serious villain.

Okay poic. Which would you recommend?

http://comps.canstockphoto.com/can-stock-photo_csp5091011.jpg

whatever you do, bullshit -- nonpositive net wealth creation -- is clearly the dominant element of your day.

Troyski I don't exactly know ( or care ) what your fucking problem is with me but I am productive...I own and run a family business for Christ sakes and I employ 5 people!...WTF do you do?

.Oh I know because I am nailing the market after suffering years of losses following the likes of Gold and silver assholes and the end of the world morons I am a piece of shit now because I have finally made back what I lost...Ok I get it....Out of shear curiosity for your next comment I have not ignored you...Yet!

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