On Hedge Fund Asset Sale

I think they canceled the party... oh well.. let's wait to see what happens.

I just love it:

fund of funds leverged 10:1

Everytime you drive on the bay bridge or Golden gate you should be happy they build it with old fashion eneginerring - i.e. the non greenspan-type)

I can't pretend to have a clue what the true value of these obligations are in comparison to the great trading houses of the empire, but there is something very spastic and confused about the public storytelling that is markedly different from the usual polished and foreordained happy talk that the financial press usually projects. If this is truly a marginal event, why don't the players have their story coordinated? If BS and ML are so unaffected by this minor "BK as usual, happens all the time" as our more bullish posters claim, I have a hard time imagining they would let the spin get so far out of their grasp. It looks more like the beginning of a rout to me, with a lot of tactical noise generated because either the contingency plans are falling apart, or there weren't any to begin with.

Of course, they say that markets are made at the "margins"...

It is a huge mess unraveling these things. I posted the bid list, but good luck trying to figure what it means: Blogger: Page not found

Merrill is going forward with the auction. Recall that Bear held MER's feet to the fire in 1998 as LTCM was blowing up. It's payback now. It's also a case of MER legitimately saying, "BEAR'S POSITIONS ARE TOTAL CRAP. A BAILOUT ONLY STALLS THE INEVITABLE. SOONER OR LATER EVERYBODY IS GONNA HAVE TO MARK TO MARKET, WE MIGHT AS WELL MAKE YOU BE THE FIRST SO WE CAN GET OUR MONEY."

Also, just for fun, recall that Howie Rubin lost $250 million trading mortgage backed securities for MER in the late '80s. That was a huge sum of money then. Anyway, guess who hired Howie Rubin soon after he was fired? That's right: Bear Stearns.

P.S. Doug Breeden was on the other side of Rubin's trade. Good one Professor Breeden!

and CDO squareds, which are CDOs of CDOs

There's the problem. If you really want to avoid risk, you need to make CDO cubeds.

Very irregular poster here. From the above article if the "assets" being sold are funds of funds would that imply that the actual leverage of investor capital is 100:1 on an original 10:1 debt to equity ratio or 225:1 on an original 15:1 debt to equity ratio.

Furthermore, if these are funds of funds and the BS funds suffered 20 - 40% losses doesn't that imply that the orignal funds, not yet mentioned publicly, also suffered 20% - 40% losses?

Do I have this correct?

Also, just for fun, recall that Howie Rubin lost $250 million trading mortgage backed securities for MER in the late '80s. That was a huge sum of money then. Anyway, guess who hired Howie Rubin soon after he was fired? That's right: Bear Stearns.

Oh hell, the guys managing this stuff aren't going to be hurt. Brian Hunter had a new fund up in running in a few months. Meriwether is back in the game.

Oh hell, the guys managing this stuff aren't going to be hurt. Brian Hunter had a new fund up in running in a few months. Meriwether is back in the game.

Ain't OPM great.

CDO squared. Is that distilled essence of pig? Or perhaps ur-pig? I get those confused.

The sweat of the pig containing vital esters that provide the essence of pig.

Hey MER, spot me about $10 million and I will take these four off of your hands:
THOM 2007-3A A2 87400TAB5 97,000,000.00
THOM 2007-3A B 87400TAC3 14,500,000.00
THOM 2007-3A C 87400TAD1 14,500,000.00
THOM 2007-3A D 87400TAE9 13,000,000.00

Looks like they couldn't sell this sucker to save their lives.

Yes, I am truly a bottom fisher...Tanta, who do you think is the servicer?

Someday this war's gonna end...

These wall street guys don't know what each department in the building is doing. Don't they realize they are making things worse for themselves.

They are all buying up or opening sub prime mortgage companies. All these companies are tightening underwriting standards which make fewer borrowers qualify for mortgages.

Less people qualified to buy homes means that home prices have to drop so more homes sell.

Lower home prices means more losses on foreclosures.

More losses on foreclosures means lower prices on MBS securities.

Lower MBS prices mean hedge fund Foreclsoures.

I guess I must be missing something

That's funny, I thought the word yesterday was that this was straightforward AA and AAA collateral. Now it is stuff too complex to figure out without lengthy analysis?

Get with the program - not just CDO squared but CDO cubed. (sorry for long article, but worth reading, especially second half)

Who'd Ever Invest in Everquest?
7 June 2007
HedgeWorld News

NEW YORK (HedgeWorld.com)—The proposed initial private offering of Everquest Financial Ltd. is turning into one of the most controversial IPOs in years. The storm blew up after an article appeared in Business Week on May 11, just two days after the firm filed its S-1 with the SEC. In it, journalist Matthew Goldstein suggested—wrongly, as it turned out—that via the offering Bear Stearns Asset Management was trying to shuffle non-performing assets in the form of collateralized debt obligations from its books.

Mr. Goldstein technically may have been wrong, in that the assets in question actually had not been on Bear Stearns' balance sheet at all. Even so, all the evidence points to a clumsy attempt to muddy the waters with respect to the true value of the assets in the portfolios of two hedge funds in Bear's $29 billion asset management arm, as well as shifting some of these funds' unwanted assets elsewhere.

The two BSAM funds in question are Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Fund, reported to have about $2 billion under management, and a levered version of this fund, Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund, which had assets valued at $638 million at the end of March. On the S-1 they are referred to as "the BSHG funds."

In September 2006, the BSHG funds transferred equity in 10 CDOs, including 100% of the equity in a vehicle called Parapet, to Everquest. The transaction was valued at $548.8 million, of which $369.8 million was in Parapet equity, and was paid with $148.8 million in cash and 16 million Everquest shares (valuing the latter at $25 each). Subsequent transactions involving further cash outlays left an offshore Stone Tower affiliate with 2 million shares in Everquest, whose net assets were valued at $697 million at the end of 2006.

Part of the problem here is that initial investors in the BSHG funds now have part of their holdings in illiquid Everquest shares that they may not even want.

And there are some obvious question marks. "Overall, the structure is opaque, very difficult to value, and appears to have significant conflicts of interest," noted John Padrnos and Saul Haydon Rowe, partners in Devon Capital, a London-based firm of derivatives advisers specializing in CDOs. Everquest is jointly managed by Bear Stearns Asset Management Inc. and Stone Tower Debt Advisors (an affiliate of private investment firm Stone Tower Advisors LLC, which managed in excess of $7.7 billion at year end). In form S-1, one of the risk factors mentioned is "the existence of conflicts of interest in our relationship with BSAM and/or its affiliates and with Stone Tower and/or its affiliates, which could result in decisions that are not in the best interests of our shareholders."

Hey wally, would you spend much for some D paper? I doubt if you will see more than 3 to 5 cents on the dollar from that crap.

so how do you price it? cheeeaaaaapppp!!!

someday this war's gonna end...

Part 2

More specifically, Ralph R. Cioffi, co-chief executive at Everquest, is a director of BSAM, the founder of the BSHG Funds and beneficially owns equity in the BSHG Funds. Michael Levitt, the other co-CEO, is the founder of and beneficially owns equity interests in Stone Tower. Both Stone Tower and BSAM can be considered competitors of Everquest.

It is also noted in the Everquest S-1 that "[s]ubstantially all of our initial CDO holdings were purchased from the BSHG Funds which are managed by BSAM." It also notes that negotiations for the purchase of these holdings were not conducted at arm's length, and so the terms of the deal "may not be as favorable to us as if they had been negotiated with an unaffiliated third party." The same rationale applies to the small amount of CLO securities purchased from Stone Tower.

If Everquest securities were to be offered to sophisticated investors with sufficient experience to evaluate not only the CDOs in the portfolio, but also the "CDO-squareds" and "CDO-cubeds" that make up the vast majority of Everquest assets, then the incestuous nature of the offering could almost be overlooked. But this is an IPO, and via the market mechanism the shares eventually will be available to retail investors also.

In fact, it may be intended for them. "It seems that Everquest is being pitched to retail investors as a high-yielding mutual fund where the asset class is CDO equity (primarily from subprime RMBS CDOs); and investors get Bear Stearns' and Stone Tower's expertise and experience," said the Devon partners in an email interview.

Not-So-Secure Securities

The Everquest portfolio is made up of primarily residential mortgage-backed CDOs, plus a far smaller amount of commercial mortgage-backed CDOs for a reported cumulative fair value of $498.3 million, plus collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) for a reported value of $198.6 million. Furthermore, the S-1 states that the majority of the RMBS held by these CDOs are backed by collateral pools comprised of subprime mortgages.

"It would be extremely difficult for a professional to calculate the "fair market value" of this structure, let alone a retail investor," according to Messrs. Haydon Rowe and Padrnos. "Modelling it would probably cost $100,000 in analysts' fees." They pointed to "the extraordinary complexity of modelling the structure, which appears to have elements of a "CDO cubed" (a CDO of CDOs of CDOs) through its holding in Parapet and other CDOs of CDOs."

Parapet, the largest holding, constitutes 61.6% of Everquest's total assets.

Again from the S-1 we learn that "[o]ur subsidiary, Parapet CDO, is a CDO of CDO securities which holds CDO mezzanine securities and preference share and income notes tranches… Parapet CDO has issued an AA/Aa3-rated tranche of Class A floating rate notes that as of Dec. 31, 2006, had an aggregate principal amount of $136.9 million, as well as a tranche of preference shares a

Part 3

Hedges Not Working, Assets Falling?

Worryingly, even those higher-quality securities that the BSHG funds are playing close to the vest are starting to seem cause for concern. The June 6 issue of HedgeFund Alert noted that following 5.4% declines in March and around 6% in April, BSHG Enhanced had halted redemptions, which were previously permitted with 30 days' notice. According to HFA, investors had been looking to withdraw about $300 million, or half of the Enhanced fund's total assets.

According to one expert, it is a clear sign that the fund's ABX short hedges may not be working, while the assets in the portfolio are losing value, if marked to market. The ABX is a basket of credit default swaps on high-risk mortgages and home equity loans. The implication is that the fund may have shorted the index after it had already fallen sharply.

But if this fund suffered such severe declines in March and April, one can only imagine what happened to Everquest, which had taken on much of Enhanced's CDO equity. But perhaps it is possible to hazard a guess, based on the quality of the securities.

The investment in Hudson Mezzanine, closed in December 2006, has a notional par value of $30 million and a carrying cost of just under $25 million, which indicates that the securities were already considered highly impaired when Everquest bought them. The bond equivalent yield is stated as 27.51%, indicating that the securities are highly speculative. The fair value, reported at the same level as the carrying cost as of December 2006, is likely to have deteriorated significantly since then. Also, this seems a strange interpretation of the word "mezzanine," and one would wonder how much an equity tranche of this CDO would now be paying, if it hasn't already collapsed.

The same particularly revealing section of the S-1 lists an investment in Tallships Funding Ltd. It has a bond equivalent yield of 40.26% and a maturity date of 2046. The investment has a notional value of $9,625,000 but is carried at a fair value of just $6.5 million. One CDO expert privately expressed the opinion that the fair value may be closer to zero.

To give an idea of the implied quality of the overall portfolio, the lowest interest CDO or CLO has a bond-equivalent yield of 13.58%

Part 4 (final)

Reasons Not to Be Cheerful

But if Everquest is not exactly the deal of the century, it would be difficult to infer so from the fees being charged. "This fee structure also looks to be high compared to market standard," noted Messrs. Haydon Row and Padrnos. "The managers are asking 1.75% annually to manage assets that they themselves originated. Other CDOs with third-party managers, such as Aladdin or ZAIS, incur far lower fees." As for the performance fee, 25% over a hurdle of 8% annually, [for a basket of such high-yielding securities] seems high, they say, and the breakup fee of one-to-three years of management fees if the board elects to replace the managers also seems excessive.

In short, there are many reasons not to like this investment. Messrs. Padrnos and Haydon Rowe summed it up as follows:

• CDO equity is a complex, opaque and generally risky asset class. BSAM contributed the bulk of the initial portfolio under terms agreed to in 2006—at valuations it determined;

• The fee structure seems too high;

• External shareholders will have a minority interest, making it much harder to achieve redress against BSAM or Stone Tower even for egregious conduct;

• There are other conflicts of interest, such initial valuations, trading valuations, substitution powers, allocation of market opportunities, limitation of liability and so on;

• Specifically, Everquest appears to contain many highly risky underlying assets, as shown by their yields of over 20%.

An ongoing assessment of the prices of these assets will be extremely difficult, as it would be almost impossible for an investor to ascertain which reference credits underlie the structure.

There is potential exposure to RMBS from the first half of 2006, which was generally when some of the RMBS problems started accumulating, including the Tricadia CDO Management and Alliance Capital Management tranches with exposure to RMBS.

"In summary, we recommend that anyone contemplating buying this instrument should perform extensive analysis, and consult independent CDO experts," advised Messrs. Haydon Rowe and Padrnos. Given that their firm is itself a CDO specialist, potential investors should draw their own conclusions.

This is OC all over again!!!
Only now we have thousands of Robert Citrons who have been wined and dined by the Walls Street greed machine into gearing up!!!

Of course anybody who shorted these pigs to raise funds is walking in tall cotton...

Someday this war's gonna end...

CDO cubed? I think what we need is CDO Julienned. That would put Ronco back into business.

Who services this shit? Excellent question. If I can't figure it out in the next 30 minutes I will declare that I never heard you ask.

THOM 2007-34 is Tahoma CDO II, Ltd.

Collateral Type: CDO - Resecuritization
Closing Date: 18 APR 2007
Total Deal Size: USD 350.00 M
Pay Frequency: Quarterly
Structure:

Collateral Manager 1: Bear Stearns Asset Management Inc.
Collateral Manager 2:
Trustee(s): LaSalle Bank N.A.
Underwriters: JPMorgan

Ticker:

I don't pay Moody's enough to get any further information. Fitch shows no rating action for any of those CUSIPs.

Resecuritized just last April? Sounds like "Pig of Pig" to me.

Waddya think? Are they desparate enough to take a $10 mill bid for all four- then we could desecuritize and actually break them down back into mortgages that might make a profit with careful management...what do you think? I bet MER would give up 5 years at 9 percent to shovel the sh*t...

But after all waste disposal contractors do make quite a bit of money;-}

Someday this war's gonna end...

Comments from a major player in the CDO of ABS origination business suggests that there was total dislocation when these cash bwic lists hit the street. All the "investment-grade ABS paper" (I put this in parentheses as surely this is the ultimate oxymoron) has gapped wider but pricing seems to have found a new level. Maybe we need to wait for follow-on sales by other funds before suggesting that the bubble has been burst. Pressure on rating agencies continues to build...
Places to watch for panic are new issue clearing levels and other areas of credit market such as announced LBOs that may fail or follow-on impact of lev-loan haircuts imposed by agencies

So there are CDO-cubeds? Here I thought I was being funny.

Cherry,

What is a cash bwic and how do we know this will really affect LBOs? Doesn't the damage have to strech very far for that to happen?

the war will continue.

"what's a CDO cubed"

a CDO of CDOs of CDOs - is the tautological answer.

Here's my explanation (maybe someone else can do a better job - I'm sure Tanta has done so in an earlier posting) Anyway, imagine a collection of mortgages that are bundled together in a security. Take bits and pieces of several of these securities and you have a CDO. Take several bits and pieces of several CDOs and you get a CDO squared. Repeat and you get a CDO cubed. So you're basically slicing and dicing the risk - moving it around and creating securities with different characteristics than the original collection of loans.

What I'm curious about is how this is affecting the even more exotic stuff - CPDOs etc. I suspect badly.

Boston Globe clarifies on the 850 million:

Help - Page Not Found - Boston.com

Merrill Lynch is selling high-grade, collateral-backed debt obligations worth about $850 million.

So they were not liquidating collateral. They are liquidating the fund's assets, which have been seized. Also, globe confirms what some posters here have been saying re: what is actually trading so far:

"Nothing has happened in this auction that would be a catalyst for a further decline, or more margin calls," he said. "There's no major surprises to the downside, but most of what is being traded is higher quality."

and UPDATE 7 from Bloomberg

New York-based Bear Stearns today agreed to buy JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s $500 million of loans to the fund to prevent securities being dumped on the market, one person said.

I thought it was 300 million, but who's counting. So JPM is now out, the same way GS and BAC got out. It sounds liek Merill is really sticking it to Bear. Everyone else seems to agree to deal directly with Bear.

Oh those warehouse lines.

First it was the Investment Banks pulling the warehouse lines of those Mortgage Brokers.

Now is the Investment Bankers pulling the warehouse lines of the Hedge Funds.

Who gets the next margin call?

This has a cascading domino effect, because of the high amounts of leverage.

We all knew that equity tranches have been worthless for some time. Now we get to find out who had the equity tranches.

more confusing details:

http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/news/BREAKING%20NEWS/566155/

Not every security was sold, but Merrill Lynch is believed to have sold enough to cover its exposure to the funds. About $850 million of securities were put up for sale, and a series of derivative positions will be put up for sale on Thursday.

This is confusing because earlier articles mentioned $1B of stuff being sold during the day. If Merill was the only seller, that's impossible.

Also, some websites say Merill sold until 4pm, and others say the auction only started at 4pm.

Howie Rubin...couldn't happen to a nicer guy. He is one "fart smella" that Howie!

dd

Holy smokes, rcryan! They admit multiple conflicts of interest in the S-1 filing!?!..."not conducted at arm's length"...I guess they figured few would read the filing; which unfortunately is likely an accurate assessment.

I find it funny and rather gutsy of Bear to name this company after a online fantasy world where people pretend to be someone they are not and use magic and encounter monsters of all sorts. Maybe the company name should be a tip-off that this company is a lemon...

Ravenor-

Not quite Buccanero at Parmalot (Black Hole), but I agree, a pretty interesting choice.

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