Forecasting the Trade Deficit: Part I

While you're preparing you post on China, you might like to take a look at my recent post on our trade deficit with China.

Er, CR - I think you mean $ Billion, not Million. (Unless of course you mean Millions of Thousands.)

Otherwise, I follow the figures - but I do wonder about the SPR - didn't they stop buying recently? (i.e, it's full)

The real brain surgery will come in the other posts - goods figures by country are not as reliable as energy - thanks for the try and good luck!

fatbear, Thanks! Oops.

"Simple" is the key word for this model (I only have a couple of weeks and limited spare time).

This is just a fun exercise for me.

Best Regards!

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