Got to go. Must roll around in olives and convince my neighbors that the olives and my hairy body make me fit for my Neighborhood Union. Wish me luck. If it doesn't go well, I am going to have to live in a yurt in Ireland.
Can You Hear Me Now? 17th Weekly Fund Outflow As Equity Fund Redemptions Accelerate | zero hedge
...
In the meantime, ICI reports we have just recorded the 17th consecutive weekly outflow from domestic equity mutual funds, and what's worse for mutual funds' depleted liquidity ratios, it is now accelerating, hitting a total of $4.3 billion, a more than 50% increase from last week's $2.7 billion. YTD outflows have now hit $54 billion, as ever more capital is going into far safer fixed income instruments. As a reminder, here is what Rosenberg said on the issue yesterday: "As for liquidity ratios, equity funds portfolio manages have theirs at an all-time low of 3.4%, down from 3.8% in June.
Felix Salmon dealt with this a few days ago -
I went one further, and had a look at the ICI’s data on ETF flows. After all, to a first approximation, all ETFs are index funds rather than actively-managed.
Here’s how the numbers break down: total actively-managed mutual funds, both domestic and international, saw a net outflow of $37.7 billion in 2009, and of $24.1 billion in the first seven months of 2010. Meanwhile, passively-managed index funds saw a net inflow of $22.9 billion in 2009, and of $22.4 billion in 2010 so far. But get this: equity ETFs saw net inflows of $69.3 billion in 2009, and another $21.4 billion in 2010 to date.
Those numbers aren’t publicized by the ICI: I had to calculate them using their spreadsheet of monthly ETF data. But if you add it all together, there was a net inflow into equities of $60.5 billion in 2009, and another net inflow of $19.8 billion in the first seven months of 2010. People aren’t pulling their money out of the stock market, they’re just pulling their money out of actively-manged mutual funds in general, and actively-managed domestic mutual funds in particular.
So initially the policy response lowered the default probabilities across all time frames (from red to light blue), but now - after further analysis - the default probabilities have increased for longer time frames (green).
No German rescue CR? And I always assumed (Red ) was Defcon 4....
A new Treasury Department program to give people without bank accounts faster access to their tax refunds will help some avoid costly short-term loans. But careless consumers could end up racking up fees and padding bank profits.
Sounds more like an unlimited Credit card to me. Why am I thinking more fraud.
With growth nearly stalled, an unstable disequilibrium arises that is likely to tip the economy into a double-dip recession. The unemployment rate climbs, the budget deficit widens because of automatic stabilizers, home prices keep falling, bank losses are much larger and protectionist pressures come to a boil. Stock markets could sharply correct, and credit and interbank spreads could widen as risk aversion increases. A negative feedback loop between the real economy and the financial system could easily tip the economy into a formal double dip: The real economy reaches a near-stall speed and risky asset prices correct downward, leading to a negative wealth effect, a higher cost of capital and reduced business, consumer and investor confidence.
Actually, it looks to me as though we're getting a two-for-one sale on V-shaped recoveries....
A negative feedback loop between the real economy and the financial system could easily tip the economy into a formal double dip: The real economy reaches a near-stall speed and risky asset prices correct downward, leading to a negative wealth effect, a higher cost of capital and reduced business, consumer and investor confidence.
which is why dow 10K is being defended by the FedGov.
Under the current program, we estimate each Irish family of four will be liable for 200,000 euros in public debt by 2015. There are only 73,000 children born into the country each year, and these children will be paying off debts for decades to come – as well as needing to accept much greater austerity than has already been implemented. There is no doubt that social welfare systems, health care and education spending will decline sharply.
Watch for renewed emigration from a famously footloose population. If current policies continue, the calamity of the Irish banking system will lead to a much deeper recession and the consequences will be felt for decades. Watch also for further global financial disruption as this kind of deal starts to unravel.
This would have got
Conjure misread the "Breakfast with Dave (Rosenberg)" - he didn't say the ISM number was diddled. He said:
1.Most of the regional reports were very poor in August. Either they collectively all wrong or the ISM is.
I can't cut and paste out of the PDF of his musings well enough to paste all the relevant portions in here, but for sure, he's not saying its been fiddled - he just things its wrong in terms of where GDP is, right now - He makes the point that the ISM only covers 10% of the economy.
People can subscribe to his daily musings for free. Just google him and newsletter, breakfast etc..
Re: "The summer is not the time you want to be taking the temperature of the economy," he said. "Come September and October, if the data is still weak, I'll sing a different song.""
Somewhere else, I forget where I saw this, David says the American birth rate has gone down in the last 2 years. (Although whether that means net out-migration of younger peeps, or less makin' bacon overall, is not clear to me.) People had fewer babies during the GDI, IIRC. Not good.
Crowds of depositors gathered Thursday at the branches of Afghanistan's largest lender, trying to withdraw their cash amid concerns about Kabul Bank's soundness.
The panic erupted following news that the bank is deep in the red after issuing secret loans to its own management and to politically connected Afghans, and heavily investing in Dubai real estate.
While few Afghans own bank accounts, Kabul Bank—the country's largest by deposits—is critical to the nation's stability, in part because it is used to pay the salaries of Afghan National Army troops. Kabul Bank also holds the accounts for the majority of government ministries.
FTA: “Because there is a law such as gravity, the Universe can and will create itself from nothing. Spontaneous creation is the reason there is something rather than nothing, why the Universe exists, why we exist.” He added: “It is not necessary to invoke God to light the blue touch paper and set the Universe going.”
Number of stars within 12.5 light years: 33
Number of stars within 100 light years: 14,600
Number of stars within 250 light years: 260 000
Number of stars within 5000 light years: 600 million
Hah ! There's no point in having strikethrough if you can't edit a post ( guess its because its been replied to ) - what's kcoop gonna do about that ? ( do f a diff on the posts and if the strikethrough + replacement is the only change, allow it ? ).
Anyway, ok
EDIT: he didn't seem to suggest that the ISM number was diddled.
You know when ones reads all these links, it is truly amazing how much housing really had an impact on the global community as far as shoring up the sheets if you will. This will be a Global meltdown of epic proportions. And it is even funnier to watch the switch pullers beg for more worthless currency's.
And even the closest one (not ours of couse) is still just a point source with our finest tools of observation.
I'm quite confident no human will ever see a star other our sun as anything else.
The immediate cause of the depression’s end was, of course, a very large fiscal stimulus, also known as World War II.
That's the ticket. Haven't had one of those in so long, there's hardly anyone left who knows hot to fight one... just these whippersnapper push-button jockeys. Hope it doesn't cut into South Park reruns.
Summary:
Co-dependent reality based advertisers bring shrilling daily diatribes on the big blue and white screen with subtle self-selection reinforcing the "citizens" reality based views inside the virtual world
Critical View:
"Look, Shiney !!! " Chatroom Bullshitters Tweetdeck
"I said it once, and I'll say it again, again." Prop-Geezers Wheezing Whimper Weekly
So our sky daddy doesn't look like a stoner surfer?
scone wrote:
With pale skin, light brown hair, and blue eyes. Even as a child, I thought that was weird. I got into major trouble in Sunday school.
It's funny, we had 3 or 4 stoner surfers that looked just like him in high school...
The surfers and the beaners (what everybody called 'Meskins in HS) both wore the same trademark footgear, cheap shoes from K-mart, the only difference being that the former wore blue, while the latter wore black, same shoe otherwise.
The great de-coupling - Stock market vs real economy.
There is no de-coupling at all. The stock market is being supported because the real economy is deteriorating. Let's watch 10K get defended a few dozen more times in the coming months.
Note that one of the reasons for the higher long term concerns is the scheduled expiration of IMF and EU support. Of course, they might be extended, or Greece might turn them down, like Hungary.
“At this point, the taxpayer has paid enough,” said Brian Lucey, associate professor of finance at Trinity College Dublin. “It’s time to consider strongly if the senior bondholders should bear some pain. The only group that should be totally protected should be the depositors.”
If wars are really the stimulus people think they are, why didn't OEF/OIF stimulate us into perpetual boom? Methinks war as stimulus works about as well as stimulus in general does.
“At this point, the taxpayer has paid enough,” said Brian Lucey, associate professor of finance at Trinity College Dublin. “It’s time to consider strongly if the senior bondholders should bear some pain. The only group that should be totally protected should be the depositors.”
If wars are really the stimulus people think they are, why didn't OEF/OIF stimulate us into perpetual boom? Methinks war as stimulus works about as well as stimulus in general does.
Because we didn't destroy the productive capacity of the entire world...
Edit: and infrastructure. Most people wanted something better after that instead of wallowing in all the destruction.
If wars are really the stimulus people think they are, why didn't OEF/OIF stimulate us into perpetual boom? Methinks war as stimulus works about as well as stimulus in general does.
it's not war so much as taking out the competition. not unlike in business, if a country takes out the productive means of its competitors, its economy will thrive.
There is no reason a "very large stimulus" has to be a war. We could do something (gasp) productive with the money.
I have an Idea, and it can be done at the flip of a switch. From here on in everyone's home is now worth $100 million ( for the ants that is )...Ok now go do your civic duty and refi that sucker and go buy a boat, and another home.
The wars do act as a stimulus, our best and brightest minds got Krupp'd by the last upper-middle class corporate jobs, and they did just fine, as did Halliburton and Blackwater. The army got to blow things up, so the MIC could make some more.
This series of profitable endeavors can't go on forever, however.
There is no reason a "very large stimulus" has to be a war. We could do something (gasp) productive with the money.
Indeed. It should be noted that Krugman was NOT advocating a war. Also, the main point in his post was not so much about the inflation sparked by wartime spending, but an analysis of why depression did not return at the end of the war, as so many expected.
The reason he proffers is that war-time inflation (and restored GDP) enabled the private sector to restore its balance sheet. Federal debt to GDP was at its all-time high, but private sector balance sheets were healed . . . and GDP rose over the next years, lowering the Federal debt/GDP ratio.
K also focused on a debate about whether the WWII era multiplier would apply in other eras, and his argument is no, it would not, because WWII rationing depressed demand in a way not present now (demand suppressed for other reasons, of course).
2009's Game of the Year was Fallout 3.
I thought it was quite interesting that the plot was post-apocalyptic (obvious), but the war was with China (not very PC).
But why didn’t the US slide back into depression when the war was over?
Is Krugman serious? Most of the industrialized countries in the world have their economies gutted and Krugman is wondering why the US economy did so well after WW2? Wow.
I think whoever wrote "was is good for business" A) never lived through one fought on their turf, and B) mistook "some select, limited, crony-capitalist businesses" for "business in general".
"A defense readiness condition (DEFCON) is an alert posture used by the United States armed forces.[1] The DEFCON system was developed by the Joint Chiefs of Staff and implemented in November 1959 to provide a uniform readiness posture in the various unified and specified combatant commands.[2] It prescribes five graduated levels of readiness (or statuses of alert) for the U.S. military, and increase in severity from DEFCON 5 (least severe) to DEFCON 1 (most severe) to match varying military situations.[1]"
People aren’t pulling their money out of the stock market, they’re just pulling their money out of actively-manged mutual funds in general, and actively-managed domestic mutual funds in particular.
Does that translate into "let the computer algos take care of our $$$$"?
We don't have the ability to wage war right now having wasted our military on much ado about nothing, except on a nuclear basis, like the rest of the world that's so armed.
Wars cost an amazing amount of money, and we've had twice as long to waste it as World War 1 lasted, already on battlefronts far far away.
There is no reason a "very large stimulus" has to be a war. We could do something (gasp) productive with the money
That stimulus Kruggles referred to happened to destroy most of the civilized world's productive capacity while boosting ours. I would hazard a guess THAT (being the sole remaining supplier) had more to do with ending the depression than the spending itself.
I guess they'll come for garlic next. And for chillies the writing is on the wall. Are they blaming the cuisine for the Pakistani spot-fixing scandal ? Too funny.
Wars cost an amazing amount of money, and we've had twice as long to waste it as World War 1 lasted, already on battlefronts far far away.
That is why we invite the rest of the world to fight the war here. Higher employment, less transportation costs, and destruction of economy-draining, oversupplied homes and buildings. What is not to like?
Wars cost an amazing amount of money, and we've had twice as long to waste it as World War 1 lasted, already on battlefronts far far away.
Elvis wrote:
That is why we invite the rest of the world to fight the war here. Higher employment, less transportation costs, and destruction of economy-draining, oversupplied homes and buildings. What is not to like?
That is why we invite the rest of the world to fight the war here. Higher employment, less transportation costs, and destruction of economy-draining, oversupplied homes and buildings. What is not to like?
Thank there are some brilliant thinkers here.
"Invade us, PLEASE!"
edit: If Palin's cohort revamped the meaning of Social Security and got some snappy black uniforms, maybe the rest of the world would get off their asses and put us out of our misery.
it's not war so much as taking out the competition. not unlike in business, if a country takes out the productive means of its competitors, its economy will thrive.
We don't have the ability to wage war right now having wasted our military on much ado about nothing, except on a nuclear basis, like the rest of the world that's so armed.
Wars are so last decade. If 'chemtrail' michael were still around he would posit that the string of hurricanes were the government's efforts to cause destruction that required stimulus .
Note that one of the reasons for the higher long term concerns is the scheduled expiration of IMF and EU support. Of course, they might be extended, or Greece might turn them down, like Hungary.
A key level of uncertainty is still the outstanding decision as to the legality of the €750 billion European Union rescue package. I know there is a lot of complacency now because the court refused to issue an injunction but I still believe that there is a good chance that the final decision may declare it illegal.
From jsmineset.com, a WN Post article excerpted, and I from that to you. Until watching the stupidity bubble up from Christina Romer during her tenure at Obamawanaland, I thought she was smart, as she did a fine job advising Clinton.
But she has failed to see the big picture. It was a capital crime committed by those who failed to boldly state that the economy was dead, back in 2007. Bernanke is a criminal. She is an incompetent.
And where now from here? She takes the cheapshot way out, "Hoocudanode. Wedunno." I'd beat the bejeezus out of that woman as she failed the society. And what's left? A directionless Obama, And gold at 1252 because of this incredible incompetence. The price of freedom is eternal vigilence. The dumbing down of the leadership is frightening for real.
"Romer serves dismal for lunch. Pepto-Bismol for dessert?
By Dana Milbank
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Lunch at the National Press Club on Wednesday caused some serious indigestion.
It wasn’t the food; it was the entertainment. Christina Romer, chairman of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, was giving what was billed as her "valedictory" before she returns to teach at Berkeley, and she used the swan song to establish four points, each more unnerving than the last:
She had no idea how bad the economic collapse would be. She still doesn’t understand exactly why it was so bad. The response to the collapse was inadequate. And she doesn’t have much of an idea about how to fix things.
What she did have was a binder full of scary descriptions and warnings, offered with a perma-smile and singsong delivery: "Terrible recession. . . . Incredibly searing. . . . Dramatically below trend. . . . Suffering terribly. . . . Risk of making high unemployment permanent. . . . Economic nightmare."
Anybody want dessert?
At week’s end, Romer will leave the council chairmanship after what surely has been the most dismal tenure anybody in that post has had: a loss of nearly 4 million jobs in a year and a half. That’s not Romer’s fault; the financial collapse occurred before she, and Obama, took office. But she was the president’s top economist during a time when the administration consistently underestimated the depth of the economy’s troubles – miscalculations that have caused Americans to lose faith in the president and the Democrats."
Gary, I think you must take into account how slowly the Marshall Plan was implemented. Our version of it, reflected in the wiki account, has been idealized considerably.
Some of the exceptionalism which colors our world view today was born of our 'last man standing' status post-WW2.
The US infrastructure was largely untouched by WW-II and that was largely responsible for our economic successes in ensuing decades.
My point is that this infrastructure is essentially useless without final demand. The demand seems to be provided by lending money to Europe by running deficits over here.
Thanks! OK, so that means that we lent them money to buy our stuff, by running deficits ourselves?
Yes, and keep in mind that the money for the Marshall Plan was provided while Federal debt/GDP ratios were still very high, and while fears that the depression would return were not yet expunged.
In addition to the impossible politics today, the national and global economic circumstances are different than in the 1940s. But there is still something to learn from that history.
Two nights before Jonestown occurred, they spiked the Koolaid with acid, and everyone had a great time. So, two days later it was easy to get them to drink the Koolaid. That and the threats.
"A study by a German military think tank has analyzed how "peak oil" might change the global economy. The internal draft document -- leaked on the Internet -- shows for the first time how carefully the German government has considered a potential energy crisis.... This would result in a permanent supply crisis ...
The issue is so politically explosive that it's remarkable when an institution like the Bundeswehr, the German military, uses the term "peak oil" at all. But a military study currently circulating on the German blogosphere goes even further.
The study is a product of the Future Analysis department of the Bundeswehr Transformation Center,.... It warns of shifts in the global balance of power, ....(and) a "total collapse of the markets" and of serious political and economic crises.
The study, whose authenticity was confirmed to SPIEGEL ONLINE by sources in government circles, was not meant for publication...
The leak has parallels with recent reports from the UK. Only last week the Guardian newspaper reported that the British Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) is keeping documents secret which show the UK government is far more concerned about an impending supply crisis than it cares to admit.
According to the Guardian, the DECC, the Bank of England and the British Ministry of Defence are working alongside industry representatives to develop a crisis plan to deal with possible shortfalls in energy supply. Inquiries made by Britain's so-called peak oil workshops to energy experts have been seen by SPIEGEL ONLINE. A DECC spokeswoman sought to play down the process, telling the Guardian the enquiries were "routine" and had no political implications...."
the study goes on to predict a high potential for the collapse of democratic governments
i repeat
21st century apollo energy project...think of it as a national emergency, national defense... do or die
The overarching point is that real stimulus (not more bullshit tax cuts) works, and it doesn't have to be a war.
We can and must do better.
Then you should choose a period in time where we can see the effect of real stimulus. Perhaps avoid historical periods where vast swaths of the globe have their productive capacity destroyed which might also have had an effect on the world's economy.
It was RAMPED UP, along with our engineering capacity, logistics, supply chains - everything. All at just the right time, when everything else in the civilized world was in ruins.
Gary, I think you must take into account how slowly the Marshall Plan was implemented.
burnside, before we even get to Marshall: the tired old saw always dragged out is that World War II is what brought the US out of the depression.
It wasn't the war per se but the spending, employment and ancillary effects to the war. We could build things rather than blow shit up - or at least give it a try.
The US infrastructure was largely untouched by WW-II and that was largely responsible for our economic successes in ensuing decades.
And the lesson I draw from this is:
The US infrastructure has (unevenly) been allowed to rust and rot for nearly 50 years. To the extent that the US infrastructure of the 1930s and 1940s was state of the art - and much of it built and enhanced by New Deal projects - this is yet a further indicator of the dire need for a similarly massive national project.
And even the closest one (not ours of couse) is still just a point source with our finest tools of observation.
I'm quite confident no human will ever see a star other our sun as anything else.
not so - a number of stars are resolved with current techniques, and have been for some time
Just read that under current estimates of how much energy would be needed to create some kind of "Warp Bubble" or similar space folding technique (which assumes the existence of theorized other dimensions permeating space) is the equivalent of converting at least all of Jupiter into it's mass energy.
Did Reagan beat him out for governor that year? I always liked Bob, and I thought his acquistion of cheap farms around LA to be quite brilliant for a comedian.
We could build things rather than blow shit up - or at least give it a try.
Well. This point comes up frequently. And probably is preferable to destruction. Question remains: do we have enough 'stuff' already? Raw resources feeding into manufacturing are finite.
Just read that under current estimates of how much energy would be needed to create some kind of "Warp Bubble" or similar space folding technique (which assumes the existence of theorized other dimensions permeating space) is the equivalent of converting at least all of Jupiter into it's mass energy.
Good luck Vonbeck.
Last I read there was a (theoretical solution) requiring approximately 7 kg rest mass equivalent,
albeit with negative energy density - which fortunately appears to be prevalent.
Still don't know how to start, or stop one, just how to keep it going once it is there.
I would hazard a guess THAT (being the sole remaining supplier) had more to do with ending the depression than the spending itself.
so you are saying that right after world war II the rest of the world was importing huge amounts of american production
wrong
us supply and us demand were king...and for a long time
those on the extreme right are desperate to deny that whether the government builds the dam or private industry builds the dam or a consortium...the damn gets built, fields get irrigated, electricity is produced...workers get paid,. and they buy groceries and pay rent and take their families on vacations
And bearly lost $50 betting on McSame. Which one of us is the numbskull
If you bothered with either of the 2 you were a numbskull....that entire election was emotional based, on the fact that Bush was a lame duck and at the end ( and beginning for some ) they could not stand the man.
But boy did they love his flag wrapping and HELOC for everyone...then he was the crown jewel if you will.
Just read that under current estimates of how much energy would be needed to create some kind of "Warp Bubble" or similar space folding technique (which assumes the existence of theorized other dimensions permeating space) is the equivalent of converting at least all of Jupiter into it's mass energy.
Wouldn't you need to be quite a ways away from any planets like Earth, since the gravitational disturbance would probably tear us apart?
Alexander the Great didn't invade Persia, he provided stimulus for Macedonia!
An interesting case has been made that "freeing" the Persian treasury was a key QE measure for the golden age of the mediterranean, with Augustus's liberation of the Egyptian treasury few centuries later doing something similar for Rome.
Gold doesn't do much good locked in a storage room, gotta get some velocity on it.
Focussing on farm suicides as a share of total suicides in India misleads. That way, it’s “aha! the percentage is coming down.” That’s silly. For one thing, the total number of suicides (all groups, not just farmers) is increasing — in a growing population. Farm suicides are rising within a declining farm population. Two, an all-India picture disguises the intensity. The devastation lies in the Big 5 States (Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh). These account for two-thirds of all farm suicides during 2003-08. Take just the Big 5 — their percentage of all farm suicides has gone up. Worse, even their percentage of total all-India suicides (all categories) has risen. Poor States like Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are doing very badly for some years now.
Its defies belief, to me, that Bihar, Uttar Pradesh aren't tops - but what do I know - I'm just biased about Maharashtra perhaps.
If we write of those who voted for the corporate brands of "False Hope" or "Certain Disaster" there would not be many left to listen to. What about those who voted for "none of the above" or "Roll the Dice (Paul)." Do they get a say?
Question remains: do we have enough 'stuff' already?
I'd argue there's plenty of "stuff" we need to help conserve other stuff - high speed rail, alternative energy, sewer/water infrastructure, energy grid, broadband network, etc. I've written here at least 100 times before.
I'd argue there's plenty of "stuff" we need to help conserve other stuff - high speed rail, alternative energy, sewer/water infrastructure, energy grid, broadband network, etc. I've written here at least 100 times before
Republicans and Democrats have screwed this country royally.
But keep fighting amongst yourselves over Red Team Blue Team while TPTB continue to sell us down the river.
Oil sheen seen near Mariner Energy rig
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- An oil sheen 100 feet wide and 1 mile long has been seen near the Mariner Energy production platform
Both teams have lost the American public. Their greed has been out of control for a very long time. No wonder they both where afraid of the Mafia, Competition.
Wars cost an amazing amount of money, and we've had twice as long to waste it as World War 1 lasted, already on battlefronts far far away.
And the US only turned up at the end of that one....just look at the state of Britain, France or Germany at the end of WW1. There is zero appetite for war among the general population in the US unless something like Pearl Harbour happens.
bearly you and i agree on that ... from before the GD and after ww2 and every passing year, more and more, we powered huge swaths of the worlds economies
but we also provided for most of our domestic demand
so , while you and i agree we were a net exporter for many many years
that has long since, no longer been the case...we hemorrhage red ink...current account
keynesian economics works if the gov runs counter cyclically and when we deficit spend we are stimulating our own production...but since so much is produced by industries long since offf shored, wee are double flucked and the standard stimulus program will not work
thats why i advocate for a 21st century apollo energy transportation project, with an emphasis on domestic production
all the parts we can, should be built and assembled and we get energy independent with nuclear, solar, wind, tide and any renewable that will pencil out
O well, I'm off to watch Jimmy Cayne and his regular 28 board lunchtime bridge session on bridge base online. That guy has some stamina - plays 56 boards just about every weekday ( or more accurately, whenever I peek in at lunchtime and around 4 during weekdays, he's THERE ) -
is THAT why Karnataka had a (small) reduction in farmer suicides
An acre of farm land near the international airport costs between $200K to $600K! $200K because you have to wade through 5KM of dirt road. The few who died probably got crushed carrying tons of black money.
Second.
Greece defaulting...maybe Americans are more fearful of it than the Greeks themselves
This all musical chairs:
See: YouTube - Silversunpickups Channel
I still think "Greece takes Spartan measures" is my favorite headline ever.
Blast on gulf oil rig injures 1 worker
that was one expensive waste of ammunition!
The best thing about default is it is not your fault. It is De's.
Do you think the Germans go around a lot lately saying to themselves "it's all Greek to me"?
Who knew kicking the can increased risk!
suhweet. another oil rig exploded. that's bullish, right?
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
No, I'd think it'd be more like "Es ist alles für mich griechischen".
I hate those little lines on top of the columns. I'm not a baby, I can read a simple chart, for Pete's sake.
Karzai's brother calls for U.S. to shore up Kabul Bank as withdrawals accelerate
We have a bank-run going on folks.
CALL BEN!!!!!!
Got to go. Must roll around in olives and convince my neighbors that the olives and my hairy body make me fit for my Neighborhood Union. Wish me luck. If it doesn't go well, I am going to have to live in a yurt in Ireland.
shill wrote:
Good thing we have a bank holiday scheduled for Monday.
Greece needs a tsunami of Burger Kings to revive their economy:
YouTube - Jose Gonzales & The Knife - Heartbeats (Solarcube Bootleg)
I realize we foolishly took the unlimited-mileage with our rental Karzai and we're stuck with him, but couldn't we swap him for something more sporty?
Can You Hear Me Now? 17th Weekly Fund Outflow As Equity Fund Redemptions Accelerate | zero hedge
...
Felix Salmon dealt with this a few days ago -
Buying time and seeing how much the Greeks are willing to pay until eventual default
Greeks are being sandpaper IMFed with a German spanking
No German rescue CR? And I always assumed (Red ) was Defcon 4....
Treasury to Deliver Some Tax Refunds on Debit Cards
Vic wrote:
that just means there's more money on the sidelines waiting to hop back in.
Jobs recovery is stronger than past recessions - Yahoo! Finance
BUSTED: Rahm Emanuel Said "F#$K The UAW" During Auto Bailout Negotiations
Time to go out farther on Greek debt limb. Nice yields, strong USD. Only concern is GOP takeover in midterms causing massive USD rally v Euro.
Sounds more like an unlimited Credit card to me. Why am I thinking more fraud.
Regardless, it's all Greek to you, and your dilemna, spanky.
Eric wrote:
Yep, I have two dollars just begging to be put back in the market, or a scratch-off... haven't decided yet.
Yawn...Who knew Rahm would cuss and has no respect for the liberal wing of the party? I'm
Roubini:
V-Shaped Dreams Evaporate - Forbes.com
Actually, it looks to me as though we're getting a two-for-one sale on V-shaped recoveries....
He's earnest, Rahm.
glimmerman wrote:
Obviously they are unfamiliar with one of my favorite CR graphs: CRimages: Employment Recessions July 2010
Go with the scratchy....trust me. And you will helping out your city or town.
Cinco-X wrote:
which is why dow 10K is being defended by the FedGov.
Aint no difference, cept transaction costs.
Supermarket scratcher? Drive or walk, maybe 0-$2. Walking has time cost, but not if you are UE. Driving, not much.
Online trade? $9.99
Go with the scratcher. Good ruck!
Eric wrote:
That is the scariest graph of all. The king of
Vonbek777 wrote:
Leverage up on
, you retard.
Some would claim that Count Formaldehyde has lost a step or 2, as far as
goes, but he's still got it.
billy blog » Blog Archive » There is no credit risk for a sovereign government
For the wonks.
glimmerman wrote:
Yup; a lot of things hinge on the values of houses, stocks and MBS'. It'll be ugly if/when they go down for real.....
Of course the Greek loans are now in the American side Deutsche Bank and waiting for your bailout
or we dynamite the housing markets for good.
Yeah - I didn't get those little lines either ... but I like the chart. It really shows how investors now view the policy response.
best to all
California `Budget Kabuki' Increases Schwarzenegger Debt Costs - Bloomberg
Bloomberg said
Is there a Gyro King in Greece? Do they use pink slim?
Eric wrote:
Irish Worries For The Global Economy « The Baseline Scenario
Under the current program, we estimate each Irish family of four will be liable for 200,000 euros in public debt by 2015. There are only 73,000 children born into the country each year, and these children will be paying off debts for decades to come – as well as needing to accept much greater austerity than has already been implemented. There is no doubt that social welfare systems, health care and education spending will decline sharply.
Watch for renewed emigration from a famously footloose population. If current policies continue, the calamity of the Irish banking system will lead to a much deeper recession and the consequences will be felt for decades. Watch also for further global financial disruption as this kind of deal starts to unravel.
dilbert dogbert wrote:
Mr. Dogbert. Did you work at JPL?
Kind of coincides with your post CR
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-01/bank-deposits-drop-as-greeks-eat-into-their-savings-after-salaries-decline.html
Oh and thanks for the blog in your posting.
Eric wrote:
Content of the article agrees with the graph. Headline editor is a 'yahoo'.
Ugarte: Heh, you know, watching you just now with the Deutsche Bank, one would think you've been doing this all your life.
Three decades
Three years <---- You are here
Three months <---- Headed for here
Three days
Three seconds
This would have got
Conjure misread the "Breakfast with Dave (Rosenberg)" - he didn't say the ISM number was diddled. He said:
1.Most of the regional reports were very poor in August. Either they collectively all wrong or the ISM is.
I can't cut and paste out of the PDF of his musings well enough to paste all the relevant portions in here, but for sure, he's not saying its been fiddled - he just things its wrong in terms of where GDP is, right now - He makes the point that the ISM only covers 10% of the economy.
People can subscribe to his daily musings for free. Just google him and newsletter, breakfast etc..
YouTube - The Doors - People Are Strange - Symphonic version
The meat of the Rosenberg analysis is on ZH.
The great de-coupling - Stock market vs real economy.
When is UE finally going to be accepted as the leader indicator it is ? 10%? 12% ????
The Inflation Cure - NYTimes.com
From the Krugmeister..
Stephen Hawking: God was not needed to create the Universe - Telegraph
Glad that is cleared up. Though as an absent minded philosopher, I get the impression he is trying to put me out of a job.
glimmerman wrote:
Re: "The summer is not the time you want to be taking the temperature of the economy," he said. "Come September and October, if the data is still weak, I'll sing a different song.""
Retards!
Is he saying that our sky daddy isn't really?
Cinco-X wrote:
I don't think there is a person or organization that Rahm has met whom he has not told to go F itself.
Rosenberg: Baby Boom Stock Surge Coming to a Close? - Stocks To Watch Today - Barrons.com
Somewhere else, I forget where I saw this, David says the American birth rate has gone down in the last 2 years. (Although whether that means net out-migration of younger peeps, or less makin' bacon overall, is not clear to me.) People had fewer babies during the GDI, IIRC. Not good.
He's earnest, Rahm.
Ernest T.
"Ernest T. once lived in a cave for six months with a possum and what other animal?"
Early BFF ....... in Afghanistan.
Customers Crowd Troubled Kabul Bank to Withdraw Deposits - WSJ.com
Crowds of depositors gathered Thursday at the branches of Afghanistan's largest lender, trying to withdraw their cash amid concerns about Kabul Bank's soundness.
The panic erupted following news that the bank is deep in the red after issuing secret loans to its own management and to politically connected Afghans, and heavily investing in Dubai real estate.
While few Afghans own bank accounts, Kabul Bank—the country's largest by deposits—is critical to the nation's stability, in part because it is used to pay the salaries of Afghan National Army troops. Kabul Bank also holds the accounts for the majority of government ministries.
Trichet Says ECB to Extend Emergency Bank Lending - Bloomberg
I felt a lot safer financially when Romer was on the team leading by example.
longtimelurker wrote:
Yeah, his band is "Rahm and the F-Bombs."
Vonbek777 wrote:
Saw that this morning too...
It would interest me to know just what Hawkins has in his mind when he thinks of the idea of god.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
FTA: “Because there is a law such as gravity, the Universe can and will create itself from nothing. Spontaneous creation is the reason there is something rather than nothing, why the Universe exists, why we exist.” He added: “It is not necessary to invoke God to light the blue touch paper and set the Universe going.”
What is the proper prayer to Gravity?
skk wrote:
I didn't say that. I said "he seems to suggest."
There's a difference.
I was thinking more along the lines of Maybach RFD, if you know what I mean and I think you do.
Cinco-X wrote:
We promise, just this one time! we won't do it again!! we promise...
Vonbek777 wrote:
Where did the Law of Gravity come from?
Vonbek777 wrote:
No prayers needed as none will be answered. Your only requirement is obedience, I challenge you to defy it.
Vonbek777 wrote:
The laws are the laws, everything is perfect.
If you believe in gravity, or thermodynamics .... er ahhhh, in for a penny in for a pound?
So our sky daddy doesn't look like a stoner surfer?
Mr. Newton had a close encounter with a rogue apple. It was theorized this was just a mass shift after pressing the panic button.
longtimelurker wrote:
But rarely one so deserving.
UAWComrade Janošik wrote:
In my mind's eye...I do it every day. Imagination defies entropy, for a while at least, until the brain's cognitive functions start to destabilize.
Though, I think if one can fully understand and control gravity, that pretty much makes you god.
"http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Jobs-recovery-is-stronger-cnnm-4235276415.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=4&asset=&ccode"
glimmerman
that's about the 5th time you've posted this link
At some point your gonna have to choose between the fundamentals you imply above or PPT defending Dow 10k
Earl undergoes change, strong winds extend farther - Yahoo! News
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
With pale skin, light brown hair, and blue eyes. Even as a child, I thought that was weird. I got into major trouble in Sunday school.
YouTube - The Doors - People Are Strange - Symphonic version
Number of stars within 12.5 light years: 33
Number of stars within 100 light years: 14,600
Number of stars within 250 light years: 260 000
Number of stars within 5000 light years: 600 million
Maybe our sky daddy is just too BUSY!
Hah ! There's no point in having strikethrough if you can't edit a post ( guess its because its been replied to ) - what's kcoop gonna do about that ? ( do f a diff on the posts and if the strikethrough + replacement is the only change, allow it ? ).
Anyway, ok
EDIT: he didn't seem to suggest that the ISM number was diddled.
Irish Ask How Much Is Too Much as Bank Rescue Trumps Austerity - Bloomberg
You know when ones reads all these links, it is truly amazing how much housing really had an impact on the global community as far as shoring up the sheets if you will. This will be a Global meltdown of epic proportions. And it is even funnier to watch the switch pullers beg for more worthless currency's.
Eric wrote:
Yogi to the white courtesy phone, Yogi to the white courtesy phone.
Vonbek777 wrote:
I say a small thanks before wolfing down my mashed potatoes and gravity.
Really sucks when you cannot print and drop buckets of money
for obligations you cannot otherwise cover
Rob Dawg wrote:
Didn't you read the quote: Spontaneous creation.... you know like Zeus' children spontaneously leaping from his mind...
LoserBeachBum wrote:
And even the closest one (not ours of couse) is still just a point source with our finest tools of observation.
I'm quite confident no human will ever see a star other our sun as anything else.
Now, if only Wall*St could figure out how to get illegals to buy overpriced stocks on leverage instead of houses the recession would be over.
Cinco-X quoted:
That's the ticket. Haven't had one of those in so long, there's hardly anyone left who knows hot to fight one... just these whippersnapper push-button jockeys. Hope it doesn't cut into South Park reruns.
Vonbek777 wrote:
It's more of a ritual. You watch things fall to the ground. Football is a good American example.
Bored Citizens of the HCN (DSL)
Summary:
Co-dependent reality based advertisers bring shrilling daily diatribes on the big blue and white screen with subtle self-selection reinforcing the "citizens" reality based views inside the virtual world
Critical View:
"Look, Shiney !!! " Chatroom Bullshitters Tweetdeck
"I said it once, and I'll say it again, again." Prop-Geezers Wheezing Whimper Weekly
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
There is no reason a "very large stimulus" has to be a war. We could do something (gasp) productive with the money.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
scone wrote:
It's funny, we had 3 or 4 stoner surfers that looked just like him in high school...
The surfers and the beaners (what everybody called 'Meskins in HS) both wore the same trademark footgear, cheap shoes from K-mart, the only difference being that the former wore blue, while the latter wore black, same shoe otherwise.
bearly wrote:
There is no de-coupling at all. The stock market is being supported because the real economy is deteriorating. Let's watch 10K get defended a few dozen more times in the coming months.
longtimelurker wrote:
Rahm is the Demon behind the throne whispering into His Lordship's ear.
Note that one of the reasons for the higher long term concerns is the scheduled expiration of IMF and EU support. Of course, they might be extended, or Greece might turn them down, like Hungary.
Just a matter of spacetime twisting
There is always a way...just have to find it.
From shill's link, above:
“At this point, the taxpayer has paid enough,” said Brian Lucey, associate professor of finance at Trinity College Dublin. “It’s time to consider strongly if the senior bondholders should bear some pain. The only group that should be totally protected should be the depositors.”
Well?
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Rahm is Grima Wormtongue.
There is no "Zeus"
Only Zuul.
YouTube - i want to talk to dana
Have a great day.
skk wrote:
Huh? Who use it for actual edits. It's just a
generator.
If wars are really the stimulus people think they are, why didn't OEF/OIF stimulate us into perpetual boom? Methinks war as stimulus works about as well as stimulus in general does.
RockyR wrote:
Nope-- North Korean sub with Venezuelan Ninjas trained at Lord Hugo's personal camp did it.
Queen of England put up the cash.
burnside wrote:
Yes, I was going to clip and post that, too.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
I'm so prehistoric. In my school it was greasers, hoods, junkies, and dweebs. I was a dweeb, obviously.
Gary wrote:
Transferred from Edoras to Gondor....Chicago to D.C. And we're all waiting on that hope of a return of a King/President of merit and worth.
chapel_of_words wrote:
Because we didn't destroy the productive capacity of the entire world...
Edit: and infrastructure. Most people wanted something better after that instead of wallowing in all the destruction.
LoserBeachBum wrote:
Sci-fi optimism. I've studied enough stellar astronomy to convince me otherwise...
Theories are fine, but our human limits are finite. Popping off A-bombs, and swirling around dust in the CERN is about as close as we're gonna get.
Nope, heard it was Ragnar Danneskjöld's men again.
adornosghost wrote:
That's good, really good! Sad thing is I will be reading it tonight in the
forums, and it won't be snark.
chapel_of_words wrote:
it's not war so much as taking out the competition. not unlike in business, if a country takes out the productive means of its competitors, its economy will thrive.
which means we need to attack China.
Is Romer Dangy Taggert then?
f a country takes out the productive means of its competitors, its economy will thrive.
Sure one could argue that approach, but I think it would be a stretch to keep it within the term "stimulus".
Alexander the Great didn't invade Persia, he provided stimulus for Macedonia!
I have an Idea, and it can be done at the flip of a switch. From here on in everyone's home is now worth $100 million ( for the ants that is )...Ok now go do your civic duty and refi that sucker and go buy a boat, and another home.
Gary wrote:
That would require intelligence, imagination and courage. Last I heard, they're all stored in the same cabinet as the unobtanium.
The wars do act as a stimulus, our best and brightest minds got Krupp'd by the last upper-middle class corporate jobs, and they did just fine, as did Halliburton and Blackwater. The army got to blow things up, so the MIC could make some more.
This series of profitable endeavors can't go on forever, however.
Gary wrote:
Indeed. It should be noted that Krugman was NOT advocating a war. Also, the main point in his post was not so much about the inflation sparked by wartime spending, but an analysis of why depression did not return at the end of the war, as so many expected.
The reason he proffers is that war-time inflation (and restored GDP) enabled the private sector to restore its balance sheet. Federal debt to GDP was at its all-time high, but private sector balance sheets were healed . . . and GDP rose over the next years, lowering the Federal debt/GDP ratio.
K also focused on a debate about whether the WWII era multiplier would apply in other eras, and his argument is no, it would not, because WWII rationing depressed demand in a way not present now (demand suppressed for other reasons, of course).
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
The Fresno version:
Lock ‘n’ Load Jesus Mouse Pad | Admit One / mental gymnasium
chapel_of_words wrote:
Oh, he certainly did.
chapel_of_words wrote:
It was retaliation don't you know. Persia blinked first. They had it coming.
I'd like to get a look at the Rearden bracelet she's sporting?
glimmerman wrote:
2009's Game of the Year was Fallout 3.
I thought it was quite interesting that the plot was post-apocalyptic (obvious), but the war was with China (not very PC).
Is Krugman serious? Most of the industrialized countries in the world have their economies gutted and Krugman is wondering why the US economy did so well after WW2? Wow.
you forgot the jocks...
chapel_of_words wrote:
Two Dagnys, maybe.
It was retaliation don't you know. Persia blinked first. They had it coming.
Did you see the way Darius was dressed, he had it coming!
This is what comes to mind when someone mentions Romer's name to me:
YouTube - Jabba's Laugh
I think whoever wrote "was is good for business" A) never lived through one fought on their turf, and B) mistook "some select, limited, crony-capitalist businesses" for "business in general".
Oh, and the surfers were all pretty much like Spicoli from Fast Times, amazingly so.
longtimelurker wrote:
I know that. But Xinco likes to play dumb on that score, along with the rest of his wingnut pals.
It's Xinco swim with the near right.
energyecon wrote:
In my school, hoods = jocks = greasers. We weren't exactly Ivy League.
Gary still playing the wingnut violin, its like listing to a 33" vinyl that keeps skipping all day.
Comrade Janošik wrote:
"Not only is the universe stranger than we imagine, it is stranger than we can imagine."
~ Sir Arthur Eddington, English astronomer (1882 - 1944)
I hold out hope for spindizzies and nul-inertia fields and n-dimensional folding.
Incidentally, DEFCON - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Defcon 4 is green.
"A defense readiness condition (DEFCON) is an alert posture used by the United States armed forces.[1] The DEFCON system was developed by the Joint Chiefs of Staff and implemented in November 1959 to provide a uniform readiness posture in the various unified and specified combatant commands.[2] It prescribes five graduated levels of readiness (or statuses of alert) for the U.S. military, and increase in severity from DEFCON 5 (least severe) to DEFCON 1 (most severe) to match varying military situations.[1]"
I think we're past that.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Moongates between worlds!
shill wrote:
As opposed to someone continually posting links to news that's hours and days old?
Oxtail wrote:
This would be proven by looking at the trade deficit pre and post WW II, if the theory that exports helped us out is correct.
On the other hand, if the other economies were gutted then how did they have the money to import our stuff?
Foregone conclusion...
YouTube - Mohamed Ali for d-Con Four Gone commercial
timely ZH: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/RahmDesktop.jpg
"Americans in Paris", by Charles Glass
Something for all of you in there. The closet racists, the gold bugs, the writers.....all of you.
*On the other hand, if the other economies were gutted then how did they have the money to import our stuff? *
We are Marshall!
Vic wrote:
Marshall Plan - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Vic wrote:
We were China.
Gary wrote:
Not without disturbing existing social relations.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Me too, but I think our organic construction wouldn't fare too well with n-dimensional anything.
War! War! What is it good for? Lowrider.
Vic wrote:
Does that translate into "let the computer algos take care of our $$$$"?
longtimelurker wrote:
Rahm's always been a corporatist. the surprise was that the entire administration was also in bed...
The one the fat lady sings?
Yalt wrote:
Elaborate and I'll opine on whether that's a good or bad thing
Comrade Janošik wrote:
Flatlander?
longtimelurker wrote:
I'm sure the reverse is true as well.
Gary wrote:
You'd think it was a good thing. That's why you don't get to make the decision.
Comrade Janošik wrote:
That's what the clones and the androids are for.
We don't have the ability to wage war right now having wasted our military on much ado about nothing, except on a nuclear basis, like the rest of the world that's so armed.
Wars cost an amazing amount of money, and we've had twice as long to waste it as World War 1 lasted, already on battlefronts far far away.
justaskin wrote:
Does that translate into "let the computer algos take our $$$$"?
Exactly, Gary is trying to portray society as all equal's ....( Waves finger ) we won't have any of that.
Gary wrote:
That stimulus Kruggles referred to happened to destroy most of the civilized world's productive capacity while boosting ours. I would hazard a guess THAT (being the sole remaining supplier) had more to do with ending the depression than the spending itself.
Onions ruled out of Ashes tour -
Cricket, Sport - The Independent
I guess they'll come for garlic next. And for chillies the writing is on the wall. Are they blaming the cuisine for the Pakistani spot-fixing scandal ? Too funny.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Or 'Merican Idle....
bearly wrote:
That is because you are a simpleton, and an ideologue.
Gary wrote:
There's no crying in cricket...
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Ya mean like the Romans?
Cinco-X wrote:
Are you suggesting they did something productive with the money?
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Are we sure we're talking about vegetables?
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
That is why we invite the rest of the world to fight the war here. Higher employment, less transportation costs, and destruction of economy-draining, oversupplied homes and buildings. What is not to like?
Elvis wrote:
Hairy men rolling around in olives?
Gary wrote:
I find the conclusion both cleverly derived and absent bias.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Elvis wrote:
There's no D9'ing your plan has merit.
Elvis wrote:
Thank
there are some brilliant thinkers here.
"Invade us, PLEASE!"
edit: If Palin's cohort revamped the meaning of Social Security and got some snappy black uniforms, maybe the rest of the world would get off their asses and put us out of our misery.
What we could do is fly a couple of jumbo jets into some skyscrapers....that will get the eCONomy going...
....oh wait.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Thanks! OK, so that means that we lent them money to buy our stuff, by running deficits ourselves?
Vonbek777 wrote:
I get to stay in my Neighborhood Union. The German neighbors decided I needed to stay after I showed them my Luger and acted crazy.
1010 ad: Vikings
2010 ad: Pikings
glimmerman wrote:
I think they beat us to the punch....
We don't have the ability to wage war right now having wasted our military on much ado about nothing, except on a nuclear basis, like the rest of the world that's so armed.
Wars are so last decade. If 'chemtrail' michael were still around he would posit that the string of hurricanes were the government's efforts to cause destruction that required stimulus
.
Elvis wrote:
Yeah the Germans don't mind the body hair...now further south, the olive rolling is fine, you just have to shave your back.
Vonbek777 wrote:
A long story that has yet to find its end....
Rob Dawg wrote:
That's because you are both disingenuous and an ideologue. You're not simple like
Lennybearly.See Vic's points re: the Marshall Plan.
Rob Dawg wrote:
For gods' sake man, which conclusion. What, you're now the Oracle @ Delphi?!?
some investor guy wrote:
A key level of uncertainty is still the outstanding decision as to the legality of the €750 billion European Union rescue package. I know there is a lot of complacency now because the court refused to issue an injunction but I still believe that there is a good chance that the final decision may declare it illegal.
Gary wrote:
I prefer Penny Marshall's Plan. Act in a bad Midwest based comedy, movie to California, and, then become a director.
Gary wrote:
The one where he didn't know how we financed our own export economy post WW-II?
chapel_of_words wrote:
Alex knew that the Persians were -this- close to building the bomb, had to attack.
OK, so that means that we lent them money to buy our stuff
China....
From jsmineset.com, a WN Post article excerpted, and I from that to you. Until watching the stupidity bubble up from Christina Romer during her tenure at Obamawanaland, I thought she was smart, as she did a fine job advising Clinton.
But she has failed to see the big picture. It was a capital crime committed by those who failed to boldly state that the economy was dead, back in 2007. Bernanke is a criminal. She is an incompetent.
And where now from here? She takes the cheapshot way out, "Hoocudanode. Wedunno." I'd beat the bejeezus out of that woman as she failed the society. And what's left? A directionless Obama, And gold at 1252 because of this incredible incompetence. The price of freedom is eternal vigilence. The dumbing down of the leadership is frightening for real.
"Romer serves dismal for lunch. Pepto-Bismol for dessert?
By Dana Milbank
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Lunch at the National Press Club on Wednesday caused some serious indigestion.
It wasn’t the food; it was the entertainment. Christina Romer, chairman of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, was giving what was billed as her "valedictory" before she returns to teach at Berkeley, and she used the swan song to establish four points, each more unnerving than the last:
She had no idea how bad the economic collapse would be. She still doesn’t understand exactly why it was so bad. The response to the collapse was inadequate. And she doesn’t have much of an idea about how to fix things.
What she did have was a binder full of scary descriptions and warnings, offered with a perma-smile and singsong delivery: "Terrible recession. . . . Incredibly searing. . . . Dramatically below trend. . . . Suffering terribly. . . . Risk of making high unemployment permanent. . . . Economic nightmare."
Anybody want dessert?
At week’s end, Romer will leave the council chairmanship after what surely has been the most dismal tenure anybody in that post has had: a loss of nearly 4 million jobs in a year and a half. That’s not Romer’s fault; the financial collapse occurred before she, and Obama, took office. But she was the president’s top economist during a time when the administration consistently underestimated the depth of the economy’s troubles – miscalculations that have caused Americans to lose faith in the president and the Democrats."
So how bout that Dow...dead flat 0.00 for a microsecond anyway.
Rob Dawg wrote:
I am willing to be enlightened.
justaskin wrote:
The US infrastructure was largely untouched by WW-II and that was largely responsible for our economic successes in ensuing decades.
Rob Dawg wrote:
I must have missed that one.
Eric wrote:
Dow Jonestown cocktail:
10,000 imaginary shots, on the rocks.
Gary wrote:
How does that help the banks?
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Had practice, sort of preempted the throne to. I often wonder if Artemis regretted helping bring him into the world, instead of saving her temple.
Gary, I think you must take into account how slowly the Marshall Plan was implemented. Our version of it, reflected in the wiki account, has been idealized considerably.
Some of the exceptionalism which colors our world view today was born of our 'last man standing' status post-WW2.
The overarching point is that real stimulus (not more bullshit tax cuts) works, and it doesn't have to be a war.
We can and must do better.
Anonymous Bosch wrote:
Stimulus...
Rob Dawg wrote:
My point is that this infrastructure is essentially useless without final demand. The demand seems to be provided by lending money to Europe by running deficits over here.
Cinco you have to talk in baby talk when addressing Gary, he don't speak wingnut.
Vic wrote:
Yes, and keep in mind that the money for the Marshall Plan was provided while Federal debt/GDP ratios were still very high, and while fears that the depression would return were not yet expunged.
In addition to the impossible politics today, the national and global economic circumstances are different than in the 1940s. But there is still something to learn from that history.
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Two nights before Jonestown occurred, they spiked the Koolaid with acid, and everyone had a great time. So, two days later it was easy to get them to drink the Koolaid. That and the threats.
Vic wrote:
Do we have a Cigar icon??
Gary wrote:
I'm suggesting that "they" wouldn't know how to something constructive with the money...
Rob Dawg wrote:
And it certainly doesn't beg the question....
i argue with anyone that will listen
that we shouldnt drill (yet) in anwr
not cause im an 'environmentalist" (what ever that is) and i am sortta
but because as oil gets more and more scare 9we will never run out, it will just cost $1000 a barrel some day
so save anwr and lets use their oil up first!
so this article from speigel shout bring it into focus...uh and also
does anyone still doubt why we invaded iraq
'Peak Oil' and the German Government: Military Study Warns of a Potentially Drastic Oil Crisis - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International
"A study by a German military think tank has analyzed how "peak oil" might change the global economy. The internal draft document -- leaked on the Internet -- shows for the first time how carefully the German government has considered a potential energy crisis.... This would result in a permanent supply crisis ...
The issue is so politically explosive that it's remarkable when an institution like the Bundeswehr, the German military, uses the term "peak oil" at all. But a military study currently circulating on the German blogosphere goes even further.
The study is a product of the Future Analysis department of the Bundeswehr Transformation Center,.... It warns of shifts in the global balance of power, ....(and) a "total collapse of the markets" and of serious political and economic crises.
The study, whose authenticity was confirmed to SPIEGEL ONLINE by sources in government circles, was not meant for publication...
The leak has parallels with recent reports from the UK. Only last week the Guardian newspaper reported that the British Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) is keeping documents secret which show the UK government is far more concerned about an impending supply crisis than it cares to admit.
According to the Guardian, the DECC, the Bank of England and the British Ministry of Defence are working alongside industry representatives to develop a crisis plan to deal with possible shortfalls in energy supply. Inquiries made by Britain's so-called peak oil workshops to energy experts have been seen by SPIEGEL ONLINE. A DECC spokeswoman sought to play down the process, telling the Guardian the enquiries were "routine" and had no political implications...."
the study goes on to predict a high potential for the collapse of democratic governments
i repeat
21st century apollo energy project...think of it as a national emergency, national defense... do or die
shill wrote:
Thus showing that baby talk is slightly more advanced than wingnut.
The Gary Marshall Plan was to marry Penny and become a director in Hollywood. Turns out his plan worked. Those Marshalls really get it.
I hope it wasn't flavored with nutrasweet, that stuff ain't right.
Gary wrote:
Then you should choose a period in time where we can see the effect of real stimulus. Perhaps avoid historical periods where vast swaths of the globe have their productive capacity destroyed which might also have had an effect on the world's economy.
Rob Dawg wrote:
It was RAMPED UP, along with our engineering capacity, logistics, supply chains - everything. All at just the right time, when everything else in the civilized world was in ruins.
Well Duh!, 17% increases in Wall Street bonuses...you silly.
Bangalore, India where every farmer is a millionaire.
Relive the nostalgia of the roaring 20s.
burnside wrote:
burnside, before we even get to Marshall: the tired old saw always dragged out is that World War II is what brought the US out of the depression.
It wasn't the war per se but the spending, employment and ancillary effects to the war. We could build things rather than blow shit up - or at least give it a try.
Rob Dawg wrote:
And the lesson I draw from this is:
The US infrastructure has (unevenly) been allowed to rust and rot for nearly 50 years. To the extent that the US infrastructure of the 1930s and 1940s was state of the art - and much of it built and enhanced by New Deal projects - this is yet a further indicator of the dire need for a similarly massive national project.
Don't pay any attention to Gary. He's a numbskull. He voted for Hope.
All I need is forty acres and a mule and cable.
BREAKING
Gold closes 0.4% higher, at $1,253.40 an ounce
And the Dow is roaring...+6.
Plus (Nazi) German scientists boosting
Germany was the place to be for all kinds of scientists from 1880-1930.
I wonder if we get the Martian Plan?
YouTube - Jeff Wayne Forever Autumn
Comrade Janošik wrote:
not so - a number of stars are resolved with current techniques, and have been for some time
cf Betelgeuse Resolved
in case you doubt...
Just read that under current estimates of how much energy would be needed to create some kind of "Warp Bubble" or similar space folding technique (which assumes the existence of theorized other dimensions permeating space) is the equivalent of converting at least all of Jupiter into it's mass energy.
Good luck Vonbeck.
Elvis wrote:
That's why I have all this free time to post at HCN.
shill wrote:
I took him off for awhile, but had to send him back....oh well-
Hahaha that is blatantly obvious. Gary wants equality Stalinist style.
bearly wrote:
Did Reagan beat him out for governor that year? I always liked Bob, and I thought his acquistion of cheap farms around LA to be quite brilliant for a comedian.
Poor Bob,
They must have had him dead like 3 times before the fact.
bearly wrote:
And bearly lost $50 betting on McSame. Which one of us is the numbskull
Gary wrote:
You're so cute, I just want to pinch your cheeks.
Even though I agree wholeheartedly.
Gary wrote:
Well. This point comes up frequently. And probably is preferable to destruction. Question remains: do we have enough 'stuff' already? Raw resources feeding into manufacturing are finite.
The funny thing about a comedian dying is the punchline. Especially if he gets killed in a bar fight.
Comrade Janošik wrote:
Last I read there was a (theoretical solution) requiring approximately 7 kg rest mass equivalent,
albeit with negative energy density - which fortunately appears to be prevalent.
Still don't know how to start, or stop one, just how to keep it going once it is there.
But that is just engineering
Ah, the Alcubierre drive.
bearly wrote:
so you are saying that right after world war II the rest of the world was importing huge amounts of american production
wrong
us supply and us demand were king...and for a long time
those on the extreme right are desperate to deny that whether the government builds the dam or private industry builds the dam or a consortium...the damn gets built, fields get irrigated, electricity is produced...workers get paid,. and they buy groceries and pay rent and take their families on vacations
edited spelling
Elvis wrote:
Squiggy is one our most underrated national treasures.
Oxtail wrote:
which means that their ability to consume was destroyed as well. You have not addressed the demand side of the equation.
burnside wrote:
Listen to the lady with the Jazz Age bottom for an avatar.
If you bothered with either of the 2 you were a numbskull....that entire election was emotional based, on the fact that Bush was a lame duck and at the end ( and beginning for some ) they could not stand the man.
But boy did they love his flag wrapping and HELOC for everyone...then he was the crown jewel if you will.
Obama has given you what? may I ask.
Comrade Janošik wrote:
Wouldn't you need to be quite a ways away from any planets like Earth, since the gravitational disturbance would probably tear us apart?
steinly wrote:
Well that's news to me, still, it's a supergiant and only 640 light years away.
You're light. Easily 2 1/2 or 3.
Beware the Pig! Has anyone checked what Ben said? It's ALMOST like a light is going on. almost.
mock,
Just checked on TOD, they have this writeup about the German military report being leaked:
The Oil Drum | German Military Study Warns of Potential Energy Crisis
Cruel, Byz. But funny.
Vic wrote:
I'm very demanding in the bedroom.
chapel_of_words wrote:
An interesting case has been made that "freeing" the Persian treasury was a key QE measure for the golden age of the mediterranean, with Augustus's liberation of the Egyptian treasury few centuries later doing something similar for Rome.
Gold doesn't do much good locked in a storage room, gotta get some velocity on it.
...and the German Military knows a thing or 2 about running out of oil (see Battle of the Bulge)
Gary wrote:
Both of you if you think that the Elephants and Asses give one shit about you.
REBear wrote:
Ahhhh, is THAT why Karnataka had a (small) reduction in farmer suicides. Not that I believe the numbers -
The Hindu : Columns / Sainath : Farm suicides: a 12-year saga
Its defies belief, to me, that Bihar, Uttar Pradesh aren't tops - but what do I know - I'm just biased about Maharashtra perhaps.
bearly wrote:
If we write of those who voted for the corporate brands of "False Hope" or "Certain Disaster" there would not be many left to listen to. What about those who voted for "none of the above" or "Roll the Dice (Paul)." Do they get a say?
noob goldberg wrote:
Get a room!
Gayest Foreclosure Ever
burnside wrote:
I'd argue there's plenty of "stuff" we need to help conserve other stuff - high speed rail, alternative energy, sewer/water infrastructure, energy grid, broadband network, etc. I've written here at least 100 times before.
Elvis wrote:
That probably stimulates your partner.
mock turtle wrote:
Absolutely. We build power plants, refineries, oil production, dams, you name it.
ALl over the world. And sold a lot of shit. Look at the trade surpluses.
DING!...gee HG how many Cupi dolls is that for you this week?
Hope all is well friend.
bearly wrote:
Those damn Muslims again!
energycon
thanx, will jump to the oil drum and check it out
aClem wrote:
If a light really did go one, then he most assuredly has a look of shear terror on his face...
us supply and us demand were king...and for a long time
demographics played a significant role.
repeating the 1940s with the current population pyramid? good luck,
Vic wrote:
Partners. Although I like to use the term constituency.
shill wrote:
HAY GUYZ, I LIEK TO AGREE WITH PEOPLE WHO AGREE WITH ME IN PUBLIC.
ANYONE ELSE HERE SPANK IT TO THE THOUGHT OF KILLING LIEBERALS?
WHICH WAY TO THE HIGH ROAD FORUMZ? I HAZ A NEW DEMOTIVATOR WITH OBAMA SALUTING THE FLAG LEFT HANDED.
THAT'S HOW MUZLIMS DO IT.
HAW HAW.
shill wrote:
Everything is going fine here, shill.
Just enjoying my new yak.
Agent 6.2 - Dagger Kayaks
Why would anybody want taxes cut if you either don't pay any or receive benefits from the system? Moochers.
You could join the Muslin's gauze...
Gary wrote:
You nail the SPEND BAYYYYBEEE SPEND part.
Where's the REVENUE BAYYYBEEE REVENUE part?
No wonder the Dems can't run anything.
It's funny how tweedledee and tweedledumb are the smartest righty-tightys out there, here.
Comrade Janošik wrote:
We're a few years and few $G from building space based intererometers with long baselines.
A lot of distant things will be resolved.
Republicans and Democrats have screwed this country royally.
But keep fighting amongst yourselves over Red Team Blue Team while TPTB continue to sell us down the river.
Comrade Janošik wrote:
Any time, huh? Wouldn't that be problematic for us? It might have already gone, and we're just waitin' for the gamma rays to hit....
Bearly,are you upset because the Dems stole the Republican idea of borrow and spend rather than sticking to tax and spend?
mock turtle wrote:
I am with you, mock. That would be a stimulus I could support.
The best thing about high speed rail is the crashes. Just like NASCAR.
--CONJURE'S FUN FACTS--
St. Louis Fed: FRED Graph
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
No, there are smart folks on the right here, too. They just don't act like that. Good golly what a lot of back-patting.
At least it gives Cinco a little friend to play with between posting links.
BZ I think from the script above you may want a cab ride to the detox center....to many
pills there m8.
Elvis wrote:
+10
My 5 minute CR fix is over. Enjoy the gloom, doomerati!
2:06pm
Oil sheen seen near Mariner Energy rig
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- An oil sheen 100 feet wide and 1 mile long has been seen near the Mariner Energy production platform
HomeGnome wrote:
And what exactly would you do? You're long on this "pox on both their houses" bullshit and short on any constructive thoughts.
Though I will grant you the BFF poll, which I enjoy. But the Nihilism gets old.
Like New Manhattan Project? The biggest criminals are in MANHATTAN and you want a new one?
Both teams have lost the American public. Their greed has been out of control for a very long time. No wonder they both where afraid of the Mafia, Competition.
mp wrote:
Noisy data. It looks normal for the productivity to drop sharply a short time after a recession.
Gnome's a de-nihilst.
Snap analysis: Russia signals much longer grain export freeze
| Reuters
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
Juvenal Delinquent wrote:
And the US only turned up at the end of that one....just look at the state of Britain, France or Germany at the end of WW1. There is zero appetite for war among the general population in the US unless something like Pearl Harbour happens.
bearly wrote:
bearly you and i agree on that ... from before the GD and after ww2 and every passing year, more and more, we powered huge swaths of the worlds economies
but we also provided for most of our domestic demand
so , while you and i agree we were a net exporter for many many years
that has long since, no longer been the case...we hemorrhage red ink...current account
keynesian economics works if the gov runs counter cyclically and when we deficit spend we are stimulating our own production...but since so much is produced by industries long since offf shored, wee are double flucked and the standard stimulus program will not work
thats why i advocate for a 21st century apollo energy transportation project, with an emphasis on domestic production
all the parts we can, should be built and assembled and we get energy independent with nuclear, solar, wind, tide and any renewable that will pencil out
bearly wrote:
Yes, we know, you voted for Kodos.
Drill Baby Drill! Stupid mother
O well, I'm off to watch Jimmy Cayne and his regular 28 board lunchtime bridge session on bridge base online. That guy has some stamina - plays 56 boards just about every weekday ( or more accurately, whenever I peek in at lunchtime and around 4 during weekdays, he's THERE ) -
The commentariat there is witty enough too.
skk wrote:
An acre of farm land near the international airport costs between $200K to $600K! $200K because you have to wade through 5KM of dirt road. The few who died probably got crushed carrying tons of black money.
mp wrote:
Declining productivity seems to be prevalent in the aftermath of most recessions. Are you sayin' it's over now, and we can all go back to our lives?