I really wish they had named it the Home Equity Mortgage Program.

This isn't golf, the higher the number the better.

Making the vig:

Insurance companies -- in addition to holding onto the money of survivors, paying them uncompetitive interest rates and giving them misleading guarantees -- may be violating a federal bank law. A 1933 statute makes it a felony for any company to accept deposits without state or federal authorization.

Fallen Soldiers’ Families Denied Cash Payout as Insurers Profit - Bloomberg.com

Got a loan mod offer in the mail for the second on the investment property. Tossed it. Don't care to bother with positions that are economically dead. They offered 4% on 67 cents on the dollar. Um, no. Try 10 cents fools- I don't want or need any more credit, and quite frankly don't give a damn about my credit rating anymore. Now the first has to try and come up with something, meanwhile I sit and do nothing- after all I don't even live there, and quite frankly don't care as long as property values keep falling.

So, what is the purpose of HAMPing when they can't even do a writedown correctly and come up with a decent deal- do they really think I am that stupid? Of course they do.

Treat me like a moron, and I will reciprocate.

Both ASC and SLS fall into that category- BTW, Uncle Warren, you should sell your Wells Fargo stock- they is acting mighty dumb.

Someday this war's gonna end...

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

addition to holding onto the money of survivors, paying them uncompetitive interest rates

populism without education has to stop.

Nemo wrote:

I really wish they had named it the Home Equity Mortgage Program.

I like 'Homes Underwater Mortgage Protection' personally

I like the warm fuzzy feeling I get from PRE-revision reporting... propaganda

The true danger of HAMP to the FIRE is the potential to accidentally educate the participants.

That means only banks or credit unions can accept deposits, says Arthur Wilmarth, a professor at George Washington University Law School in Washington who has testified before Congress about banking regulations.

If a prosecutor pressed an insurance company, retained- asset accounts could be outlawed because insurers say they deposit money into these accounts and don’t have bank charters or banking regulation, Wilmarth says. MetLife also offers its own version of certificates of deposit.

“If it swims, quacks and flies like a duck, the court could decide that it is indeed a duck,” he says. “You then potentially could have a criminal violation.”

...

“There’s more than $25 billion out there in these accounts,” Baxter says. “A run could be triggered immediately by one insurance company not being able to honor its payout.

Warren will dump Wells Fargo, but in a stealthy maneuver. Smile

aren't these plans simply the equivalent of really crappy MM accounts? If the accounts aren't "demand," then the federal law doesn't apply.

The pig is so confused today...

Outsider wrote:

The pig is so confused today...

Maybe the pig is depressed?

[a Fitch analyst's forecast that 75 percent will re-default]

More evidence that the taxpayer is getting systematically fleeced. When can the taxpayer say ENOUGH?

Need to shutdown or severely curtail FNM, FRE, FHA, HUD & Obama.

Rob Dawg wrote:

The true danger of HAMP to the FIRE is the potential to accidentally educate the participants.

First Rule of HAMP Club is to not talk about HAMP club.
Second Rule of HAMP Club is you don't matter, only banks.
Third Rule of HAMP Club is if it is your first time here, you have to get in the modification ring.

With DTI's like that, the 'good' outcome for those people is defaulting. Pull out the thorn in the paw, one quick yank.

Maybe the pig is depressed?

Obviously been reading too many of our posts.

The pig needs a vacation.

That just screams "re-default".

CR, we luvs your understatements. "Screams" is for the rabble in the commentariat.

steelhead wrote:

Warren will dump Wells Fargo, but in a stealthy maneuver. Smile

Of course. WFC is dead bank walking and I've long said it would be the TBTF 19 that would be thrown under the bus if necessary. California exposure, large seconds, lack of political cover = sacrificial lamb.

Ah memories...HAMP was so much fun for me. I broke the first rule and talked though...

Outsider wrote:

The pig needs a vacation.

Nice trip to Hawaii, little Luau.

In Connecticut, where 106 insurance companies are based, state insurance department manager for market conduct Kurt Swan also says that retained-asset accounts are kept in banks, with FDIC coverage.

“I think they’re just trying to offer some flexibility to the beneficiary,” he says. Swan and his colleague, William Arfanis, the department’s principal financial examiner, both say the insurers don’t profit from the retained-asset accounts. That too is wrong. The companies do earn investment gains on death benefits.

Can you say capture? Although why the insurance industry would want to capture a "regulator" dumb enough to get quoted with a stupid lie in Bloomberg is beyond me. Oh, those hundreds of millions in criminal enterprise gains...

An error of this magnitude in the old days would have resulted in high level government employees being fired or transferred to some outpost in the middle of nowhere. This time they probably will be promoted.

WF is taking over the Wachovias here right now.

Rob Dawg wrote:

WFC is dead bank

They have nice looking tellers and the interiors of their banks are really fancy. Isn't that worth anything?

CR: Last month, the reported median back end DTI1 was 63.7% AFTER modification. That just screams "re-default".

I don't know. If you strain your ears, you hear echoes of "filing bankruptcy" in there.

DTI of 63%.... What are these people going to eat? A side benefit might be shrinking waste lines and less trips to the doctor?

But this adds to GDP and saves jobs per Zandi the magnificent. Taxpayers eating losses instead of our esteemed financial institutions

If we want to have some real fun, we can get actual loan level data (minus any personal info). Then, we could independently check the data, and slice and dice it. For example, we could show default rates by debt to income ratio, or current loan to value ratio.

Outsider wrote:

The pig needs a vacation.

The pig needs to be makin' bacon, otherwise we really, really slow down.

PIMCO - Gross Privates Eye August

Outsider wrote:

If you strain your ears, you hear echoes of "filing bankruptcy" in there.

Borrowers? Lenders? Servicers?

I want to see bk rates of post-HAMPers. That would be interesting (in determining if there is a strategy at work here). But I have to admit, it doesn't seem to fit in with the re-defaulting rate.

Re-default or bankruptcy ... either way it sure can't be fun with little discretionary money.

This time they probably will be promoted.

I remember the government actuary who determined that medicare part D would cost more than $100 billion than first reported was told to sit on it by higher ups till after the '04 election.

zomfg

We know, based on economic experience, theory, and logic, how to create another economic boom that will last 25 years, or a generation into the future. We achieved that in America from the end of 1982 to the end of 2007, with only two, short, shallow recessions that barely interrupted sustained, robust, economic growth. But that was not the only instance of success. Several times in the last 100 years, whenever the nation's economic policies adhered to the timeless principles of economic growth and prosperity, our economy has boomed. When it has departed from those policies, it has fallen into stagnation, or worse.

Moreover, as we will discuss next week, such booming economic growth is much more beneficial for working people and the poor than counterproductive, socialist redistribution to achieve equality of results. A booming market economy produces a much higher standard of living for working people and the poor. This is especially so when policies are structured to channel the flows of booming economic growth through working people and the poor, as we will explain. Economic experience, theory, and logic shows that outdated, throwback, socialist redistribution, by contrast, inevitably leads to lower standards of living, stagnation and decline.

hooboy, I'll have what they're smoking...

63.7%!!! How bad was the DTI BEFORE modification? Why would anybody be under the illusion that the FBs had the capacity to service these kind of debt levels?

traderwalt wrote:

An error of this magnitude in the old days would have resulted in high level government employees being fired

The system has failed. We are the USSR of 20 years ago. Lies, bullshit, data manipulations, looting, tunneling in order to delay the inevitable

If I listen closely I hear the echos of 'not my problem' kicking around the system from the days of yore.... Oddly enough it is now my problem....

some investor guy wrote:

Borrowers? Lenders? Servicers?

Yes-

I really appreciate their thorough interpretation of the Sushi Kabuki Theater Sushi script - the baldfaced lying about statistics is a key component.

付けが回ってくる

Re-default or bankruptcy ... either way it sure can't be fun with little discretionary money.

What's the average time between default and foreclosure these days? 14 months or so? Seems like there would be some opportunity to build up a cash stash with money that would otherwise go to mortgage payments.

So trickle down was a huge success? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

energyecon wrote:

hooboy, I'll have what they're smoking...

I know! You'd think that both the Supply Siders AND the Keynesians would realize that their theories (belief systems?) were bogus, but noooooooooo........

aren't these plans simply the equivalent of really crappy MM accounts?

Yes, and

The SEC requires fund companies to warn investors that money market funds don’t have FDIC insurance. It also mandates that fund managers provide a prospectus, that they invest in specific types of safe debt and that they post a detailed schedule of their investments monthly on their websites.

Insurers’ retained-asset accounts have none of those regulatory protections.

Citi has done an analysis which I was working on, but had not completed.

"July 26 (Bloomberg) -- Twenty-four of Europe’s biggest banks would fail the region’s stress tests and show a combined capital shortfall of 15 billion euros ($19.4 billion) if the exams included losses on sovereign bonds held on lenders’ banking books, according to Citigroup Inc." Twenty-Four Fail Banking-Book Test, Citigroup Says - BusinessWeek

This doesn't even include any actual sovereign defaults. It only includes marking the banks' investments in sovereign bonds to market as they are downgraded and spreads rise.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

So trickle down was a huge success? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

It always is... for the tricklers. For those trickled upon... not so much.

CalculatedRisk wrote:

Re-default or bankruptcy ... either way it sure can't be fun with little discretionary money.

Bankruptcy - For Dummies

All I know is with my devious crafty mind, my ideal scenario (if I were underwater) (and eligible) would be to HAMP it and get my mortgage lowered, and then bk it and get my pesky consumer debt out of the way, and then find relief in knowing I could almost make ends meet again.

Otherwise, it's curtains for these borrowers.

It's a survival mechanism.

"Refinancing still represents nearly 8 out of every 10 mortgage applications."

Yes, but what percent of actual new mortgages does refi represent?

The problem with HAMP is at the highest level. There is a public mission and a real mission. The public mission says the goal is to keep people in their houses. The real mission is to keep people (or somebody) paying these mortgages. HAMP exists because there are tangible real mission successes.

It has always been only about the banks.

ah, the dreaded insurance regulation black hole. it's the states' responsibility. no, it's the feds. no, it's the states...

After a federal judge in Boston dismissed a policyholder suit claiming that Chattanooga, Tennessee-based insurer Unum Group was stealing account earnings from survivors, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit overruled the lower court in 2008. It reinstated the case.

“The euphemistically named ‘Security Account,’ accompanied with a checkbook, was no more than an IOU which did not transfer the funds to which the beneficiaries were entitled out of the plan assets,” the three-judge panel wrote.

Borrowers? Lenders? Servicers?

Shakespeare never warned us about the third one.

Rob Dawg wrote:

It has always been only about the banks.

It's been about the banks, and maintaining their upper crust, moneyed clients.

3 NJ teens charged with videotaped immigrant death - Yahoo! News

SUMMIT, N.J. – Dusk fell around Salvadoran immigrant Abelino Mazaniego as he sat on a bench on a promenade in an upscale New York suburb after finishing his restaurant shift. As night encroached, so did a group of teenagers, including one with a cell phone videocamera at the ready.

Then, authorities say, they beat him unconscious, with the camera rolling.

Days later, the 47-year-old father of four was dead — but not before the video had been circulated among teenagers in Summit, N.J., authorities say. And not before a nurse in the emergency room where he was taken the night of July 17 was accused of pilfering several hundred dollars from his wallet.

Political fruits are beginning to ripen...

Read BB's deflation speech again - he fantasizes at throwing trillions at busted foreign banks like Homer Simpson dreams of Beer.
Going through the ECB to do it was just a formality that they won't bother with next time.

It always is... for the tricklers. For those trickled upon... not so much.

See "oats and sparrows" from GD1...

Folk Heroes of the Great Recession The Reformed Broker

The statistical recovery we've all been told exists sure feels like a recession for most people who are not C-level execs at publicly-traded financial institutions. In fact, the jobless situation hasn't hit Americans this hard since the 1930's.

During that decade's economic malaise, the people cheered for King Kong as he swatted away airplanes on the movie screens; they saw him as a surrogate for the little guy fighting against the world. They celebrated sports heroes like James Braddock, Seabiscuit, Joe DiMaggio and Jesse Owens and lifted them to mythic status. Even gangsters and bank robbers like John Dillinger, Al Capone and Pretty Boy Floyd found the adulation of the masses as they battled a system that itself was seen to be oppressive to everyday people.

Let Them Eat Losses

This had nothing to do with the so-called “Trickle Down” theory. This was “Gush Up.” In Bush/Obama economics, the richest and biggest that had lost billions through bad investments, or were in danger of going bust, had to be rescued. If the Über-Rich weren’t saved, there would be nothing left to trickle down to the population below. By government decree, those taxpayers who had never felt any trickle to begin with, now had to finance the failed financiers.
.....
In the dying American Empire, there was no longer a place for the small:

  • The Mom & Pop shop was as passé as the corner candy store.
  • The family farm — penalized by big government’s “Get Big or Get Out” policies that subsidized factory farms — had become a quaint curiosity.
  • The village hardware store was hammered by Lowe’s and Home Depot; Staples and Office Depot stomped out the stationery store.
  • Across the spectrum… finance, defense, insurance, health, news and entertainment… virtually every business sector had been commandeered by the Bigs.

.....

Not only was there no hard evidence demonstrating that saving the “too big to fails” was necessary to save the economy, the rescue plans themselves violated the most cherished tenets of capitalism, which hold that:

  • Failures should be allowed to fail.
  • The best will succeed.
  • Competition is healthy.
  • Market voids created by failures will be filled by competitors.

Comrade Janošik wrote:

It's been about the banks, and maintaining their upper crust, moneyed clients.

Exactly. Do YOU own the country or its lawmaking and lobbyist interests? Neither do I.

Cinco-X wrote:

they battled a system that itself was seen to be oppressive to everyday people.

Two words: Prop 19.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Do YOU own the country or its lawmaking and lobbyist interests?

Lobbyists are rented, not owned.

some investor guy wrote:

Two words: Prop 19.

Five words: Proposition two and a half

I was just getting ready to head down to my bank and give them a taste of "I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take it anymore" but I decided to check my account online before I did. They've reimbursed me the overdraft fee and corrected my account. Good thinking on their part because I had geared myself up to act an ass this morning...

some investor guy wrote:

Lobbyists are rented, not owned.

Good point.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Good point.

Here is your invoice. Thank you for using SIG Consulting. Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt

So Blinder and Zandi come out saying that all of the TARPing and such staved off a second great depression:

In Study, 2 Economists Say Intervention Helped Avert a 2nd Depression - Yahoo! Finance

It does seem odd that JD Hooker was not an attorney or a lobbyist, but a botanist.

"Treasury: HAMP Re-default Rate incorrect"

......What a CIRCUS! This kind of stuff is really bush-league (no pun intended). Deceit, inaccuracies, typos.......now a financial reg law that disallows FOIA requests directed to the SEC?........Our Congress needs to be totally replaced - as does the President (for signing this garbage)......How many congressional staffers are required before a Congressional Bill is READ before a vote??? Total BS. No wonder we are an international embarrassment.........

The Downside Of Recovery: Germany's Middle Class Is Vanishing

Since the year 2000, the German middle class has slowly diminished, while the gap between rich and poor is wider than ever, a recent study by the German Institute of Economic Science shows.

The middle class now represents 61.5% of the population, down from 64% ten years earlier. The number of people with lower income, on the other hand, has increased by four percentage points to 22%

They'd be better off to embrace a socialist agenda- oh wait! Snark

some investor guy wrote:

Lobbyists are rented, not owned.

More like buying SRS. The further from your most recent refunding the less they are worth.

ATA truck index down 1.4% in June, first back-to-back sequential decline since March-April 2009.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

They've reimbursed me the overdraft fee and corrected my account. Good thinking on their part because I had geared myself up to act an ass this morning...

Cool. And I don't think you'd be an ass to complain-- I'll bet a lot of people did, and somebody actually got the message and took a decision. That's the only surprise here! Wink

yagij wrote:

Here is your invoice. Thank you for using SIG Consulting.

Mercenaries are the highest aspiration of capitalism, and the winners.

Black Star Ranch wrote:

.How many congressional staffers are required before a Congressional Bill is READ before a vote???

I would love to hear from the lurking Congressional staffers on this one. I would bet that on the Major bills exceeding 100 pages, less than half of the representatives or anyone on their staff read the entire bill.

It's no fun to be trickled on and nickel and dimed to death at the same time. You Maniacs! You blew it up! Ah, damn you! Damn you all to hell!

Black Star Ranch wrote:

No wonder we are an international embarrassment

If only we were more like Italy.....Wink

Good chart illustrating why the Bush Tax Cuts need to be allowed to expire. Check out the corporate taxes line of the graph.

Did Supply Side Work? « Rortybomb
+++++++++

Caught this story when it happened about a Russian Police Major who spoke out against police corruption on YouTube. The entire State apparatus fell on his head. Poor guy.
Videos Rouse Russian Anger Toward Police - NY Times

I'm fairly shocked myself scone. When I spoke with the branch manager yesterday she wanted the receipt that showed hubby had deposited my check on Saturday. Of course Hubby didn't have it because he cleaned the car out Sunday. I guess she figured dealing with me in the lobby today wasn't going to be worth the 34 dollar fee. It was their error and they know it. One of the account reps had to force the deposit through yesterday and last night it was STILL listed as pending.

Can anyone tell me what percentage of US mortgages are serviced by the Big Four (BOA, Chase, Wells, CITI)?

If you have a link, that would be helpful.

CITI was just fined for not reporting FHA delinquencies on time... I wonder how solid the data is for these HAMP updates.

"Nickel and Dimed" is a great book that shows how the working poor live their lives.

black dog wrote:

I remember the government actuary who determined that medicare part D would cost more than $100 billion than first reported was told to sit on it by higher ups till after the '04 election.

Butch Otter, the "libertarian" representative from ID and now current Governor, cast the deciding yes vote after being pressured by Tom"The Hammer" DeLay. The R's love unfunded wars and RX programs. Rant

Externalized Costs wrote:

Good chart illustrating why the Bush Tax Cuts need to be allowed to expire. Check out the corporate taxes line of the graph.

Did Supply Side Work? « Rortybomb

Ruth Marcus - Why Congress should let the Bush tax cuts expire
Bush tax cuts: Keep some, allow others to expire - latimes.com

Maybe a class on "How to understand Book Cooking."

Anyone I've spoken with that is trying to do a mod via BoA has had NO luck whatsoever. I have not heard of ONE modification being approved.

sm_landlord wrote:

So Blinder and Zandi come out saying that all of the TARPing and such staved off a second great depression:

Well I guess then it can finally begin.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

"Nickel and Dimed" is a great book that shows how the working poor live their lives.

Excellent book. The author and I share a hometown.

She did a great job on that book. I know many people that work cleaning condos and such and she hit it out of the park on what their lives are like. Of course, I am a tipped employee so I know all too well how things go for us.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

I'm fairly shocked myself scone. When I spoke with the branch manager yesterday she wanted the receipt that showed hubby had deposited my check on Saturday.

To me, it sounds like somebody got ahold of the regional manager and read them the riot act, or at least threatened to do it. I usually either threaten to go upstream, or mention my lawyer. That generally gets quick results. Middle managers are always weasels who will go whichever way is easiest, with maximum cya. Still, credit unions might be better.

robert wrote:

CITI was just fined for not reporting FHA delinquencies on time...

Funny, it's almost like one regulator encourages something and another discourages it. Snark

Just wanted to get my response on that paper that claims that GDII was averted. What can you expect from a Princeton and a Moody's economist? Hopium :steaming pile of horse manure: ?

Well, this was just a screw up on a deposit to my account but if they did that with all the other folks who have checks from this Payroll Mgmt company then yeah, they had a shitstorm. They are the largest payroll mgmt company in the area.

Dirty secret about RX Medicare Part D is it doesn't really cost the taxpayers much. Most of the premiums (taxes) collected are used to buy drugs for a few very ill people. It's an optional program. You don't have to participate, but most people do so it's working out pretty well. In an effort to tally votes, Obama is sending checks to the participants that meet the donut hole this year. That is a giveaway, stimulus kinda thing.

REBear wrote:

" Boeing is also bulking up in government growth areas"

Hmmm... I thought my wallet was feeling lighter...

This from Nickel and Dimed

She reports that "help needed" signs don't necessarily indicate an opening; more often their purpose is to sustain a pool of applicants to safeguard against rapid turnover of employees. She also argues one low wage job is often not enough to support one person (let alone a family); with inflating housing prices and stagnant wages, this practice increasingly becomes difficult to maintain. Many of the workers encountered in the book survive by living with relatives or other persons in the same position, or in their cars in parking lots.

She concludes by disputing the argument that all low-wage workers, recipients of government or charitable services like welfare, food, and healthcare, are simply living off the generosity of others. Instead, she suggests, "we" live off their generosity:

When someone works for less pay than she can live on ... she has made a great sacrifice for you ... The "working poor" ... are in fact the major philanthropists of our society. They neglect their own children so that the children of others will be cared for; they live in substandard housing so that other homes will be shiny and perfect; they endure privation so that inflation will be low and stock prices high. To be a member of the working poor is to be an anonymous donor, a nameless benefactor, to everyone. (p. 221)

not sure how big of a factor it could be, but there are probably many cases where owners' DTI does not reflect other help, whether from renting out a room or two, or other family members contributing/renting, etc., in addition to non-reported income.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

if they did that with all the other folks who have checks from this Payroll Mgmt company then yeah, they had a shitstorm.

It sounds like a software thing, and then they compounded the error with BS and cya. But if it is software, they might not be able to fix it by next month, and the whole annoying thing could happen again. Just a thought.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

When I spoke with the branch manager yesterday she wanted the receipt that showed hubby had deposited my check on Saturday.

I got the same reasoning from my bank when I accused them of sitting on a deposit after they said that they would transfer the money as soon as they got the request from the other bank. They wanted me to prove that the other bank didn't delay the request. I think it's up to the bank to show what they did, not up to me.

It's up to your bank to prove when your hubby made the deposit. It seems to me either they can't or don't want to.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Ah memories...HAMP was so much fun for me. I broke the first rule and talked though...

They even found your long lost sister you never had.

Interesting post by Gross, but I can scarcely believe that he left out the influence of increasing oil prices / energy into the leveraging up of consumer expenditure.

Honest to God, how hard is it to measure the re-default rate?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

They offered 4% on 67 cents on the dollar.

You were right to toss that offer - ridiculous.

Though, I'd bet some fools take them up on it.

Jonathan wrote:

Interesting post by Gross, but I can scarcely believe that he left out the influence of increasing oil prices / energy into the leveraging up of consumer expenditure

We're Calling BS On Bill Gross's Latest 'Demographic Doo Doo' Economic Scare

Thing is, he failed to mention one very important driver of growth -- rising living standards, and this is where the world can expect far more, not less.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Honest to God, how hard is it to measure the re-default rate?

Not hard. Just like it wouldn't be hard to measure unemployment via the IRS.

You're assuming someone wants an accurate count.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Though, I'd bet some fools take them up on it.

Exactly, which is why they don't consider it a waste of their own time.

Thanks for the update AllenM

As hard as you want to make it..making it complicated allows you to manipulate numbers!

Rob Dawg wrote:

lack of political cover

that's the key right there.

why did WaMu fail while Wachovia was rescued?

Bob Steele.

Ah, yes! That was an unexpected bonus although dear Sister Sam still hasn't sent me any money...

Warren Buffett is political cover.

"Honest to God, how hard is it to measure the re-default rate?"

... hu still expects honest ?

Rob Dawg wrote:

The real mission is to keep people (or somebody) paying these mortgages.

Exactly. Every day I still read stories about morons dipping into their retirement accounts to pay the mortgage.

The sheeple are easily mislead.

Basel Too wrote:

Warren Buffett is political cover.

Warren Buffet or Elizabeth Warren?

Re: "Treasury has retained a third-party consultant to provide additional review and validation. "

Goldman takes over again..... Ruh-roh

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Exactly. Every day I still read stories about patriots dipping into their retirement accounts to pay the mortgage.

Fixed It For Ya

robert wrote:

Can anyone tell me what percentage of US mortgages are serviced by the Big Four (BOA, Chase, Wells, CITI)?

MortgageStats

there is a table on this site, of the top 10, looks like the top 4 have 83%, so probably 75% of the total market.

No, I haven't but I did see her discussing it on Bill Mahers show. It looked interesting. Being a "doomer" I quite enjoyed what she had to say on those cheery people with perpetual smiles plastered on their faces.

Back to last night's predictions about income tax changes:

My bet is 2nd homes & HELOCs get eliminated from mort int deductions 1st
Then gradual lowering of the mort cap on deductibility, say over 5 yrs, to $200k

While everyone is fixated on Europe, China is quietly imploding.

“It’s much easier than working every day to make money,” Wang said. “I work very hard and compete for my so-called career every day, but I don’t make that much money from work.” In November, he bought two more apartments.

Not that anyone would know, because China is a black box.

Analysts say the apparent success of the clampdown on lending disguises a worrying new trend that involves banks co-operating with lightly regulated trust companies to keep loans off their books
China and bust? « naked capitalism

"I don’t make that much money from work.”

We are definitely exporting our culture to china.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

there is a table on this site, of the top 10, looks like the top 4 have 83%, so probably 75% of the total market.

Oligopolies rule.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Honest to God, how hard is it to measure the re-default rate?

It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.

bearly wrote:

My bet is 2nd homes & HELOCs get eliminated from mort int deductions 1st
Then gradual lowering of the mort cap on deductibility, say over 5 yrs, to $200k

mortgage insurance is deductible today, but only through the end of the year, it will be interesting to see if they let that lapse. they should. the last thing the tax code should be encouraging is greater than 80ltv mortgages.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Oligopoly rulz.

Fixed It For Ya

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Oligopolies rule.

here is a table with a market share estimate:
MortgageStats

they have the top 4 at 69.4%.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

bearly wrote:

My bet is 2nd homes & HELOCs get eliminated from mort int deductions 1st
Then gradual lowering of the mort cap on deductibility, say over 5 yrs, to $200k

mortgage insurance is deductible today, but only through the end of the year, it will be interesting to see if they let that lapse. they should. the last thing the tax code should be encouraging is greater than 80ltv mortgages.

If they do make a change it probably grandfathers in loans made before the end of this year.

Plus, it's only $100k of heloc, and the interest on the first $1M of first mortgage debt, so who is getting more that $70-80k of benefit?

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

mortgage insurance is deductible today, but only through the end of the year, it will be interesting to see if they let that lapse. they should. the last thing the tax code should be encouraging is greater than 80ltv mortgages.

And because mortgage insurance is a way to cause all kinds of other problems. It concentrates credit risk. It also leads to the mortgage insurers' standards dictating much of what happens with loan modifications. I have seen the standard procedures for one of them, and it specifies that loans must be in default before offering mods. I think I can find a link to an online copy.

All along the Wachovia
The cartel's money flew
But nobody was watching
The watchers, they knew

JD<

This HAS to be Mrs. Delinquent!
Kayak Redwoods

I found this report from Bloomberg staggering:

“Chinese banks may struggle to recoup about 23 percent of the 7.7 trillion yuan ($1.1 trillion) they’ve lent to finance local government infrastructure projects” and that “The China Banking Regulatory Commission has told banks to write off non-performing project loans by the end of this year”. The report notes that “Commission Chairman Liu Mingkang said this week borrowing by the so-called local government financing vehicles may threaten the banking industry.”

These financing entities were apparently set up to circumvent legal limits on local government borrowing. So these sums are in addition to the certainly large debts incurred through normal processes. If the Bloomberg source is accurate, these off balance sheet losses would be equivalent to roughly one third of China’s foreign currency reserves.

75% haircut on Chinese SIV's?? Dooooooooooooooom!!! They just threw that money away. Perhaps China will have a hyperinflationary experience.

HomeGnome wrote:

This HAS to be Mrs. Delinquent!
Kayak Redwoods

I thought he was......well.....unattached!? No?

Jonathan wrote:

Interesting post by Gross, but I can scarcely believe that he left out the influence of increasing oil prices / energy into the leveraging up of consumer expenditure.

Older people work less and consume less, hence fewer car trips, stuff made of plastic, etc. And at some point, I expect a lot of retirees will migrate to buy distressed condos with lower heating costs.

But the big point is, if the depression goes on for a very long time, the "rate of decline," so to speak, might accelerate in the developed world. Note that I'm talking about rates of growth or decline-- the population is still going to grow, but the rate of growth is already slowing down. If it slows down enough, we may finally go into actual decline in absolute numbers. Bill makes the point that capitalism has not really dealt with such a decline on a huge time scale, so we could see some rather large changes going forward, especially after the currently midlife American, European, and Chinese folks die.

Cinco-X wrote:

We're Calling BS On Bill Gross's Latest 'Demographic Doo Doo' Economic Scare
Thing is, he failed to mention one very important driver of growth -- rising living standards, and this is where the world can expect far more, not less.

Austerity increases standards of living, sure it does. And I have a bridge to sell.

What Could Go Wrong wrote:

so who is getting more that $70-80k of benefit?

No one. But this is a neat little way to make a really big dent in the deficit by hitting the middle class, rather than cutting programs/spending.

some investor guy wrote:

It also leads to the mortgage insurers' standards dictating much of what happens with loan modifications.

that whole system is broken. during the bubble the gses dictated to the mortgage insurers what their underwriting guidelines would be - if they didn't play along, they didn't get any business.

and, surprise, surprise, all the mortgage insurers became insolvent (though like the banks they fudged their reserve numbers so they looked solvent).

the notion of independent, private mortgage insurers is bunk.

now, as you mention, we have yet another set of parties with their own set of rules involved in the modification process.

we need to make mortgage originators retain credit risk. period. end of story.

any other model is doomed to fail.

We had Siamese-twin plastic surgery done on us, and it was a complete success.

K Street goes to the defense of Charlie Rangel | Washington Examiner

Every person accused of a crime or an ethics violation deserves a competent defense. Charlie Rangel's legal defense, fittingly, comes from K Street.

Two of the three firms providing legal counsel to Rep. Charlie Rangel, D-N.Y., in his pending ethics cases are lobbying firms. In fact, one firm, Oldaker, Belair & Wittie, conducts much of Rangel's political fundraising, while operating four different lobby shops.

But who's ultimately paying Rangel's legal bills? Mostly corporate and union political action committees along with individual lobbyists. Over the past six months, PACs and lobbyists have accounted for a majority of the money Rangel's campaign has raised this year, not counting transfers from Rangel's other fundraising operations (more on them below).

Bill's a stealthy guy, the opening toilet gambit was to imply, that the economy is in it...

josap wrote:

Austerity increases standards of living, sure it does. And I have a bridge to sell.

Huh!? Are you replying to a different post?

Austerity increases standards of living, sure it does. And I have a bridge to sell.

Another contradiction in that thesis appears to be the impact of those higher standards of living in the developing world - the marginal value of almost anything is greater there, hence the price they would be willing to pay - outbidding the inhabitants of the USA at basically every turn...

does having 3 LCD's, as opposed to 2 plasmas, indicate a higher standard of living?

Mrs.Delinquent ain't really a hairy-legged fern-feeler type that sings mushy granola songs, but she knows how to kayak.

Rob Dawg wrote:

the TBTF 19 that would be thrown under the bus if necessary.

The CEOs and boards of those 19, are a veritable, who's who of the American Oligarchy. In what kind of scenario do you imagine them being thrown to the Pitchforks and Torches

energyecon wrote:

Another contradiction in that thesis

Which thesis?

"ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello said that the two sequential decreases reflect an economy that is slowing. Furthermore, growth in truck tonnage is likely to moderate in the months ahead as the economy decelerates and year-over-year comparisons become more difficult. Nevertheless, Costello believes that tonnage doesn't have to grow very quickly at this point since industry capacity has declined so much. "Due to supply tightness in the market, any tonnage growth feels significantly better for fleets than one might expect."

Note on the impact of trucking company failures on the index: Each month, ATA asks its membership the amount of tonnage each carrier hauled, including all types of freight. The indexes are calculated based on those responses. The sample includes an array of trucking companies, ranging from small fleets to multi-billion dollar carriers. When a company in the sample fails, we include its final month of operation and zero it out for the following month, with the assumption that the remaining carriers pick up that freight. As a result, it is close to a net wash and does not end up in a false increase. Nevertheless, some carriers are picking up freight from failures, and it may have boosted the index. Due to our correction mentioned above, however, it should be limited. "

Blackhalo wrote:

The CEOs and boards of those 19, are a veritable, who's who of the American Oligarchy. In what kind of scenario do you imagine them being thrown to the

What happened to Lehman's CEO?

The stock mkt is down, what's with that

no, but receiving your signal digitally is eons ahead of analog

I'm pretty sure he isn't standing in a soup line nor living in a cardboard box.

Cinco-X wrote:

Huh!? Are you replying to a different post?

To the qoute you posted. Regarding our ever increasing standard of living.
It struck me as funny. Someone things our standard of living is increasing at this point.

Basel Too wrote:

does having 3 LCD's, as opposed to 2 plasmas, indicate a higher standard of living?

You'se guys haven't switched to LED sets yet?

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Rob Dawg wrote:

The real mission is to keep people (or somebody) paying these mortgages.

Exactly. Every day I still read stories about morons dipping into their retirement accounts to pay the mortgage.

The sheeple are easily mislead.

The rent to own ratio here is still so outrageous I don't understand how these people got into a position where they qualify for $1m houses.

Then again there is the opposite side of the equation. accidental landlords.
Rent me: 409 Calle Mirasol, Camarillo, CA, 93010 - MLS #10012597 - Rentals real estate - REALTOR.com® $2145/mo.
Zillow me: 409 Calle Mirasol # 63, Camarillo, CA 93010 - Zillow
Last sold 2005 $649k. Sounds like the rent is a bargain? Nope. Houses in the neighborhood are sitting at $400k.

energyecon wrote:

Another contradiction in that thesis appears to be the impact of those higher standards of living in the developing world - the marginal value of almost anything is greater there, hence the price they would be willing to pay - outbidding the inhabitants of the USA at basically every turn...

I just had breakfast at the local greasy spoon, and a friend that works @ the lodge in the National Park tells me tthat 40% of the rooms are sold to European tourists this summer, even with the plunge in value in the euro~

energyecon wrote:

Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

Bloggers.

I still have a non flat screen dinosaur of a JVC that weights about half a ton. Has great sound and picture still and it's 9 years old.

lawyerliz wrote:

The stock mkt is down, what's with that

Earnings season excitement is over, the incoming data is not bullish, and we're moving into the August doldrums. No wind in the sails one way or the other, unless we get a Black Swan or a herd of slavering Wheres MY pony? Wheres MY pony? Wheres MY pony? on government Hopium

josap wrote:

To the qoute you posted. Regarding our ever increasing standard of living.
It struck me as funny. Someone things our standard of living is increasing at this point.

My standard of living now compared to that of my parents in the '60s is vastly greater, and in any event, I believe he was referring to the average standard of living throughout the world. There's plenty of room for improvement there...

eg:

While world population growth will slow over the next few decades, there's still massive room for people in developing nations to achieve higher living standards. Higher living standards come through increasing people's productivity, and while this is extremely challenging in a developed nation like the U.S. since productivity is high and thus requires new innovations to take it further, in a developing nation people can achieve rapid productivity growth simply by using the same technology and knowledge which is already used in higher-productivity-per-capita developed nations. Witness China.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

toilet gambit

Great way to start the day! Kool-Aid

I didn't have any mtg insurance closings for years before the bubble maxed out. Too many idiots were willing to make 80-20 loans.

Of course, all the 2nds are wiped out.

Green Shoots Boeing gets hit by tighter U.S. spending: analyst - MarketWatch
....
J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Nadol. "Defense results were lower than we expected across the board," Nadol wrote in a research note. "Management lowered defense margin guidance 50 basis points, and given budget and pricing pressure, it's hard to have much confidence that things will get much better." Boeing is the U.S. military's second-largest provider of weapon systems, but the Pentagon's budget has been under pressure to rein in spending ....

lawyerliz wrote:

The stock mkt is down, what's with that

It can't go up all day, everyday. The Dow has risen over 800 points in the past two weeks. (Remember when the world was about to end?)

ha!

Bill compares complexity vis a vis the crapper, all in one fell swoop.

Well, he put a lot of assets in his wife's name.

He gets a salary, and presumably a bonus, from some hedge fund. Are you concerned?

lawyerliz wrote:

Too many idiots were willing to make 80-20 loans. Of course, all the 2nds are wiped out.

But prices were ALWAYS going to rise ? I don't understand..... my modeling software showed prices hitting infinity by 2014, how could it have gone wrong.
~splat

but 1080p has to be an increase in living standards compared to 720p. the colors are much more vibrant.

Man hit by six meteorites is being 'targeted by aliens'
| Metro.co.uk

whodathunk that advanced aliens would be off target by as much as 6 time zones?

Cinco-X wrote:

The American Spectator : The Timeless Principles of American Prosperity

Steal brand new landmass from natives. Get capitol from overseas, then rebel/default. Be at forefront of oil age. Did I miss anything?

Basel Too wrote:

but 1080p has to be an increase in living standards compared to 720p.

Not at my age....

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

He gets a salary, and presumably a bonus, from some hedge fund. Are you concerned?

We should all be concerned with the fate of such a shining exemplar of the genius of modern finance capitalism.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

More Than 1,300 Space Shuttle Workers Get Layoff Notices - Yahoo! News

But LL's hubby didn't get it as of yesterday evening....

Hu knows how worthless paper money can be, after 1949.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

Bill compares complexity vis a vis the crapper, all in one fell swoop.

And the "we all turn to compost, eventually" implication was pretty sly, too. Wink

heads up signs of Its not easy being green jumping

Nevertheless, some carriers are picking up freight from failures, and it may have boosted the index.

Survivor's bias. Everyone of the myriad of indexes CR posts on need this disclaimer.

justaskin wrote:

Steal brand new landmass from natives. Get capitol from overseas, then rebel/default. Be at forefront of oil age. Did I miss anything?

Drop the bomb.

Blackhalo wrote:

The CEOs and boards of those 19, are a veritable, who's who of the American Oligarchy. In what kind of scenario do you imagine them [WFC] being thrown to the [Pitchforks and Torches]?

I see a confluence of desperation. The political need to appear tougher on the FIRE sector. The necessity and desire to concentrate the banks. The massive slowdown in profitable FIRE activity and next quarter's profit challenges. Besides, without the cover of TBTF Wells Fargo is deader than WaMu. Classic lifeboat scenario. Who gets tossed? "Let's toss Fargo, he's a goner anyway."

some investor guy wrote:

Citi has done an analysis which I was working on, but had not completed.

The same Citi that keeps sending me (haven't worked full time in 2 years, haven't had a contract gig in 4 months) and my wife (doing good works employed with United Way...you can guess the pay levels) checks every week?

splat wrote:

But prices were ALWAYS going to rise ? I don't understand..... my modeling software showed prices hitting infinity by 2014, how could it have gone wrong.

In USD it may be too early to say you are wrong.

Rob Dawg wrote:

I see a confluence of desperation. The political need to appear tougher on the FIRE sector

Yet they can't actually get tougher on the FIRE sector, since it bought/rented them. So it has to appear to be doing something useful while actually just serving the same special interests. Quite a dilemma, but they're lawyers and went to Harvard/Yale

More Than 1,300 Space Shuttle Workers Get Layoff Notices - Yahoo! News

Ouch.. I worry that our technology is retreating. We're giving up on the big picture projects and retreating to bread & circuses.
~splat

Oh, no, quit worrying you guys.

In fact, a program he handles was extended for 2 years. Unexpectedly.

And he wasn't worried before that even.

And he's 67+, so could retire.

But I appreciate your concern.

splat wrote:

Ouch.. I worry that our technology is retreating. We're giving up on the big picture projects and retreating to bread & circuses.

The fact that the program is nearly 40 years old and is being eliminated may have some bearing on this turn of events...

And thanks for the cat food info.

lawyerliz wrote:

Oh, no, quit worrying you guys.

We're as nervous as a long tailed Fat Cat on a porch full of rocking chairs.....

justaskin wrote:

Steal brand new landmass from natives. Get capitol from overseas, then rebel/default. Be at forefront of oil age. Did I miss anything?

Capital, not capitol although L'Enfant might disagree.

Anyway, survive two world wars with your infrastructure intact, stable unobtrusive government, merchantist then capitalist as required, export economic model, on and on.

splat wrote:

Ouch.. I worry that our technology is retreating.

Indeed. Today, I had to install some Perl modules old school via CPAN.

bearly wrote:

No one. But this is a neat little way to make a really big dent in the deficit by hitting the middle class, rather than cutting programs/spending.

It is a way to make a dent. But that will lower house prices and cause other problems. And it can't apply to anyone who's already bought a house, because most of them can barely keep up even with the tax deduction.

I see John Kerry will not be getting the Invitation to the Fat Cat parties for the remainder of the summer months.

Basel Too wrote:

but 1080p has to be an increase in living standards compared to 720p. the colors are much more vibrant.

Amazing boondoggle: The video is displaying a bitstream, and the information content of the bitstream has not been changed. As an example: Every pixel has a "lightness" (think black-and -white), but the color is subsampled either by 1/2 or 1/4 in order to fit the information into the bitstream. (Human eyes detect brightness very well, color not-so-much.)

I thought we'd already worked out that not even a single TBTF bank can be so much as breathed on without threatening the entire system. Wells Fargo would certainly constitute a threat to our entire civilization!

Snark

There was a thing on 60 minutes last Sunday, about regrowing organs and limbs. And a vet guy, who had had a muscle in a leg regrown. It looked horrible, but he could walk again on the leg and looked very happy.

shill wrote:

I see John Kerry will not be getting the Invitation to the Fat Cat parties for the remainder of the summer months.

He's tainted. He actually paid taxes. What if it is contagious?

Why did Texans make for the best astronauts?

They took up space in school

"Prescription Renal Diet Cat Food"?

$185 to repair a broken chicken's leg at a Veterinarians Office?..........This was our hospice nurses beloved chicken......the chicken was pecked to death shortly thereafter through no fault of the vet.

he'd probably be happier if he had the option of choosing between the regrown limb and the payments made to the medical complex.

Mr Slippery wrote:

Today, I had to install some Perl modules old school via CPAN.

Perl is such a mess at this point, I'm surprised that you can do anything complicated with Perl without using CPAN.
Of course, maybe you were just snarking?

I can get a whole chicken, potato salad and bread for $8.99 @ the supermarket, I think you're getting ripped off, BSR.

Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:

J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Nadol. "Defense results were lower than we expected across the board," Nadol wrote in a research note. "Management lowered defense margin guidance 50 basis points, and given budget and pricing pressure, it's hard to have much confidence that things will get much better."

Not so fast! The Axis of Evil remain a really promising military expense opportunity. Wag that dog!

Jonathan wrote:

I thought we'd already worked out that not even a single TBTF bank can be so much as breathed on without threatening the entire system.

That is a tough needle to thread. To be so big and over-connected as to be essential and integral to the system, but yet not so big that they'd be worthy of some additional regulation and oversight.... Being insolvent probably does not help much either.

He's tainted. He actually paid taxes. What if it is contagious?

Yes he ( supposedly ) paid it, but he still is a glorified Tax dodger. Must be nice to write out a check for $500,000 and not even breath hard about it....Must be real nice.

how many people on here has ever paid the state use tax for items ordered tax-free from the Internet?

Maybe we've been going about it in the wrong way, and need to make a boogeyman adversary out of somebody closer that can't defend themselves, like say the Bahamas?

traderwalt wrote:

The Dow has risen over 800 points in the past two weeks.

Right. Don't you remember all the bad economic news? It's reasonable to expect that the market would have propelled itself higher.

Black Star Ranch wrote:

$185 to repair a broken chicken's leg at a Veterinarians Office?..........This was our hospice nurses beloved chicken......the chicken was pecked to death shortly thereafter through no fault of the vet.

Poor little birdie. Sad

Anyway, survive two world wars with your infrastructure intact,

How many realize how decisive that has been over the past 90 years, in terms of infrastructure and society?

sm_landlord wrote:

Perl is such a mess at this point, I'm surprised that you can do anything complicated with Perl without using CPAN.
Of course, maybe you were just snarking?

You are right about Perl being a mess. I am moving some legacy scripts to a new server and needed a few modules that were not packaged, so off to CPAN. I haven't done any development in Perl since the late 90s. Almost everything I do now is Rails.

Basel Too wrote:

how many people on here has ever paid the state use tax for items ordered tax-free from the Internet?

I know of one person that paid it. That is out of a pool of several hundred individual tax returns. He had previously been caught not paying and was charged penalties and interest, so now he pays every year.

pavel.chichikov linked to:

More Than 1,300 Space Shuttle Workers Get Layoff Notices - Yahoo! News

They were space cowboys
I'll bet they weren't ready for that

Double Dip? New Normal? No Fun Either Way: Frank Aquila - BusinessWeek

While falling prices might seem to be a good thing for consumers, the reality is much more complex and in fact rather painful. Deflation makes money more valuable and everything else less valuable.

==> I sure the F don't see prices falling ... WTF is going on??? Now back to the yacht race

like say the Bahamas?

Grenada was a morale booster.

Basel Too wrote:

but 1080p has to be an increase in living standards compared to 720p. the colors are much more vibrant.

1080p is an increase in resolution; it won't make anything look rosier, but it will make problems more clear.

They are the largest payroll mgmt company in the area.

Have you contacted the payroll company and asked them (or their lawyers) to contact the bank's headquarters.

Can you give us a hint as to which bank?

scone wrote:

No wind in the sails one way or the other, unless we get a Black Swan or a herd of slavering Wheres MY pony? Wheres MY pony? Wheres MY pony? on government Hopium

Nice slumcast.

Basel Too wrote:

he'd probably be happier if he had the option of choosing between the regrown limb and the payments made to the medical complex.

No payments to VA hospitals...

How are you breaking the law by taking advantage of interstate sales-tax laws that work in our favor?

Nanoo-Nanoo linked to:

P&G Recalls Two Lots of Prescription Renal Diet Cat Food due to a Possible Health Risk

Doubtlessly because of the number of poor humans subsisting on it.

Doc Holiday wrote:

I sure the F don't see prices falling ... WTF is going on???

Housing, to some extent. Outside of that, not so much

Mr Slippery wrote:

You are right about Perl being a mess.

??? still use it daily here. Install via CPAN has not been a prob.

Basel Too wrote:

how many people on here has ever paid the state use tax for items ordered tax-free from the Internet?

In MA, they have a "standard payment" for that; you can choose to itemize and possibly be audited, or you can make the payment....

pavel.chichikov wrote:

like say the Bahamas?

Grenada was a morale booster.

What if we lose to the Bahamas? Buster Douglas beat Mike Tyson.

ghostfaceinvestah wrote:

Honest to God, how hard is it to measure the re-default rate?

Very difficult, if your solution set is limited to "Only report good news".

Bank of England's Mervyn King warns over inflation - Telegraph

Mr King also suggested the US has been wrong to prioritise growth over cutting debt levels.

"All countries need to have a credible medium term plan within which they can demonstrate that they will get back to a position in which structural deficits are eliminated and there is a sustainable path for the long-term public finances," he said.

"Not spelling it out is, I think, a problem." Mirror mirror on the wall, who is paying for this all?

is that for individuals? if so, how do they come up with the value?

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

How are you breaking the law by taking advantage of interstate sales-tax laws that work in our favor?

You aren't. That's the point. Dangerous precedent that obeying the law and avoiding taxes could have been set.

Cinco-X wrote:

In MA, they have a "standard payment

Taxachusetts.

how many people on here has ever paid the state use tax for items ordered tax-free from the Internet?

So are you trying to compare $500,000 to a internet tax? Dope comment if there ever was one.

HomeGnome wrote:

Taxachusetts.

"The Pay State."

When they decided to be a commonwealth they meant that literally.

I reside in mass also....trust me I pay more than my fair share...and then some.

This is the bank that took over my old bank (FDID pizza party). It is Hancock Bank out of Miss. They fixed it but I'm going to be certain to ask the teller this week when I make the deposit that it is being deposited THAT day.

Basel Too wrote:

is that for individuals? if so, how do they come up with the value?

No clue about the "value". An account does mine, not so much because they're complicated as because I don't like the stress, and <$300/year is more than worth it to me.....

CBO Warns of Greek-style U.S. Debt Crisis

The CBO estimated that the cuts needed to be taken now must be “equivalent to roughly 20 percent of all of the government’s noninterest spending this year.”

Kabuki Theater

.. the United States will have a 110 percent debt-to-GDP ratio before the end of next year, the same level Greece had in 2008.

Basel Too wrote:

is that for individuals? if so, how do they come up with the value?

Add up the purchases and apply your state tax rate (for CA). Probably varies by state. A major pain and almost always for a small amount of money to the state. But hey, it's your time and the state will take the money.

shill wrote:

Must be nice to write out a check for $500,000 and not even breath hard about it....Must be real nice.

Based on some of your previous comments, I'd think you'd admire another tax dodger. Or is it just Democrat tax dodgers you despise?

Comrade Kristina wrote:

This is the bank that took over my old bank (FDID pizza party). It is Hancock Bank out of Miss. They fixed it but I'm going to be certain to ask the teller this week when I make the deposit that it is being deposited THAT day.

For what? Two years we've been begging you to get a Credit Union. What's stopping you?

shill wrote:

I reside in mass also....trust me I pay more than my fair share...and then some.

Give CA a try. High taxes, but still great deficits.

Based on some of your previous comments, I'd think you'd admire another tax dodger. Or is it just Democrat tax dodgers you despise?

No your my true admiration MB....When I grow up I want to be just like you.

Or is it just Democrat tax dodgers you despise?

I despise all democrats Fixed It For Ya

JP wrote:

?? still use it daily here. Install via CPAN has not been a prob.

Are you still doing new development? I have a handful of old scripts to maintain, but I always thought Perl was ugly. Even the Perl I write looks ugly to me two weeks later. Ruby is what Perl 6 wanted to be. Elegant, powerful, OO to the core.

Basel Too wrote:

how many people on here has ever paid the state use tax for items ordered tax-free from the Internet?

If they're ordered tax-free, there is no state use tax. The Congressional ban still applies, as long as there is no physical presence in the state.

The hassle I suppose. We just had hubby added to account which involved taking a day off from work so we could go in person with our "papers" to prove we weren't domestic terrorists. That and having to change all my auto pay information.

.. the United States will have a 110 percent debt-to-GDP ratio before the end of next year,

Do you think default can be delayed until the end of the world in December 2012?

Rob Dawg wrote:

For what? Two years we've been begging you to get a Credit Union. What's stopping you?

It's tough love, but it's love, nevertheless. Big smile

JD<

What's wrong with fondling a fern every now and then?

Who doesn't love an inspired game of Kick the Can't

Re: HAMP Re-default Rate incorrect

FYI: U.S. banks, insurance companies, and mutual funds held approximately $1 trillion worth of U.S. debt as of the first quarter of 2010. See Department of the Treasury, Financial Management Service, "Ownership of Federal Securities," Treasury Bulletin (June 2010), Table OFS-2.

Dooooooooooooooom!!!

I despise all democrats

Don't despise anybody. You could be pulling opposite oars in the same galley.

Basel Too wrote:

how many people on here has ever paid the state use tax for items ordered tax-free from the Internet?

I was not aware that the several States had been granted the right to regulate interstate trade?

"the United States Congress shall have power "To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian Tribes"."

Bill makes the point that capitalism has not really dealt with such a decline on a huge time scale, so we could see some rather large changes going forward, especially after the currently midlife American, European, and Chinese folks die.

Yep. It will be interesting to see how this will be grappled with. Population decline means no new markets or cheap labor in those new markets.

Doc Holiday wrote:

Re: HAMP Re-default Rate incorrect

FYI: U.S. banks, insurance companies, and mutual funds held approximately $1 trillion worth of U.S. debt as of the first quarter of 2010.

It's almost as if you are implying the two are somehow related. Snark

I was not aware that the several States had been granted the right to regulate interstate trade?

What are you, some kind of shyster? Snark

Rob Dawg wrote:

He actually paid taxes

Was it Kerry or Heintz money that "actually paid" the taxes.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Do you think default can be delayed until the end of the world in December 2012?

==> Yes and no...

See: "Another common objection to debt settlement is that debtors whose debts are partially canceled outside the bankruptcy system will need to report the canceled portion of the debt as taxable income."

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Grenada was a morale booster.

Which in turn inspired the all-time film classic, Heartbreak Ridge.

Heartbreak Ridge (1986)

Witness China

And the development of China, even at per cap GDP/PPP of 6,000 is already causing huge geo-political tensions. The development of the rest of the world and the resulting power shifts, is not going to be smooth. A China at 20,000 per cap GDP/PPP eclipses the US and then some. Throw in India and the US elite is irrelevant. They won't go quietly.

Mr Slippery wrote:

Are you still doing new development?

That might mean different things. There's almost always a module for what I'm doing, which is why I like perl -- everything is already written, cataloged and out on CPAN.

I wouldn't call it "doing new development" tho. Very easy scripting and database query.

the use tax isn't regulation of interstate trade, nor is it a sales tax; it is the tax of activity wholly within a state's physical jurisdiction. IIRC, the legal mechanism is an excise tax for the use of the tangible property, and paid sales tax (in any jurisdiction) is then deducted.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Don't despise anybody. You could be pulling opposite oars in the same galley.

And therein lies the rub for tolerance and liberalism, it's not as forceful as the hand of the righteous.

If only there was an island named Bazooka we could invade?

Rob Dawg wrote:

The rent to own ratio here is still so outrageous I don't understand how these people got into a position where they qualify for $1m houses.

Well, if it's anything like west LA it's because:
A-Everyone is rich
B-Rich foreigners will buy anything, always.
C-Dual income families all make upwards of 2-300k
D-it's special, everyone wants to live here
E-first time buyers all get $$ from their parents, who are rich.
F-They're not making any more land.

Now, this is obviously Snark . However, all these reasons are still trotted out daily to explain the "resiliency" of the market. My Head Just Exploded

Basel Too wrote:

the use tax isn't regulation of interstate trade,

What happens to interstate trade if a state's use tax, is set to 500%?

I'm curious about mp's take on this article. He seems to be up on manufacturing. I also find it interesting that China and currency manipulation are being addressed.

Daily Kos: For the Strength of Rosie the Riveter: Make It in America

She said the strategy is to pass "one bill after another" supporting American manufacturing. The House started last week with two, one to ease American industries’ access to raw materials and parts and another to improve specialized workforce training.

In addition, Speaker Pelosi said, House leaders want to address currency manipulation – the deliberate undervaluing of currency to make a country’s exports artificially cheap and imports into that country artificially expensive. Currency manipulation by China, for example, is believed by both conservative and liberal economists to be adding as much as 40 cents to every dollar of the cost of U.S. products exported to China and discounting Chinese goods sold in the U.S. by 40 cents on every dollar.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

The hassle I suppose. We just had hubby added to account which involved taking a day off from work so we could go in person with our "papers" to prove we weren't domestic terrorists. That and having to change all my auto pay information.

Think of the great feeling when you do. I can't guarantee you'll get what I get but when Sue the branch mgr calls me and talks to me by name about something the worst that happens is we talk about it the next time one of us comes in.

...and their increase in standard of living will not increase our standard of living - as they become more productive, purchasing power increases - and the marginal value of just about everything is greater due to greater scarcity in the developing world - so as the USA experiences flat economic improvement in aggregate, with poor income distrubution we will see lower decile income earners (say, 80th percentile and down) experience declining earning power and price increases for those things the developing world is outbidding them on...which contradicts the Green Shoots POV the article was trying to present.

Speaking of Perl, I called Larry Wall and told him I had some problems getting programs to run under Perl 6. He told me that everything should work just like it did under Perl 5.

"Yes, that's exactly the problem I said!"

shill wrote:

Yes he ( supposedly ) paid it, but he still is a glorified Tax dodger. Must be nice to write out a check for $500,000 and not even breath hard about it....Must be real nice.

His wife paid it... Snark

Doc Holiday wrote:

The CBO estimated that the cuts needed to be taken now must be “equivalent to roughly 20 percent of all of the government’s noninterest spending this year.”

Hmmm ... let's see ... Afghanistan? Iraq? Energy subsidies? Aid to the poor?

Yeah! Of course! Cut off those damn freeloaders, the poor! As George Tenet would say, it's a slam dunk.

was for me, got the 720p set for 50% off cash price Needs More Cowbell Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt

MB wrote:

“equivalent to roughly 20 percent of all of the government’s noninterest spending this year.”

That will leave a mark. In other words, it will never happen.

shill wrote:

When I grow up I want to be just like you.

Hee hee. No you don't! Smile

Doc Holiday wrote:

.. the United States will have a 110 percent debt-to-GDP ratio before the end of next year, the same level Greece had in 2008.

Greece was fine in 2008.
US has the :printingpress:.

N.B. Ken that's a hint.

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